All posts made by lucas.sev in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 2349527 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: etaty on June 02, 2013, 03:23:46 PM
Hello 115  Grin

I did expect people to start cancelling 115 orders, this big sell bounced off. For now.



2. Post 2349558 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 02, 2013, 03:25:16 PM
Hello 115  Grin

Seeing Bitcoin go down makes you all happy?



If he sold today a bit higher then seeing it go down makes him happy as it confirms that it was a good decision. It makes me happy for that reason.



3. Post 2349583 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on June 02, 2013, 03:28:09 PM
People at 115 might not even have noticed yet. They probably put their bids in ages ago on the off chance

Why would you cancel it now if you put up a bid? Did you expect to get it filled without the market tanking?  Grin

People tend to do so anyway.



4. Post 2349718 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

One small sell and 115 will be broken...



5. Post 2349778 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: Skeptiker on June 02, 2013, 03:51:31 PM
I regret not putting in a stop order. . Well, lost $40. Now I'm shorting, to see where that gets me.

I think there are still people waking up like me and seeing what has happened, and then selling.

So in essence your strategy is "buy high, sell low"?

I think in essence his strategy is "sometimes sell lower and buy even lower"



6. Post 2349850 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: worldinacoin on June 02, 2013, 03:56:57 PM
It looks like an attempt to sell just to make Bitcoin prices lower.

I wonder why they did not just do that. At one point it cost only around 200 BTC to break 115.



7. Post 2350009 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

200BTC to 128USD Cheesy



8. Post 2350525 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Some buys pushing price up...



9. Post 2350713 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: Le Happy Merchant on June 02, 2013, 05:52:57 PM
Yeah, who would sell, when we know it's going to da mooooon!

Honestly though, who is selling right now? Who has been in this long (assuming they have) and doesn't just want to sit back and watch?

Those who think that it will go down and want to buy more?



10. Post 2351380 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 02, 2013, 07:08:44 PM
One interesting part in those two last moves downward was that it wasn't stopped by buyers.

The resistance were broken one after another, but the sellers simply stopped selling.

What do you mean? 115 resistance did not get broken so people started buying. It was stopped by buyers



11. Post 2351458 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: IG0BR0KE on June 02, 2013, 07:22:58 PM
One interesting part in those two last moves downward was that it wasn't stopped by buyers.

The resistance were broken one after another, but the sellers simply stopped selling.

What do you mean? 115 resistance did not get broken so people started buying. It was stopped by buyers

115 been broken and they arreted to sell at this point.

edit: not broken but the 4k wall on 115 have been eat completly and then they stopped

Not completely. I bet seeing 114 would trigger some more movement down.



12. Post 2353252 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Wow only after having clarkmoody back up again it strikes you how much walls have shrinked on bid side...



13. Post 2359597 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: San1ty on June 03, 2013, 04:29:38 PM
Look at that support we had at 120. Looks like a bear tried and failed AGAIN.


Yeah, 450BTC to push price down 3 dollars, rally time  Roll Eyes



14. Post 2360263 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

My bet is that big players are waiting for support to grow in 118-120 region and then they will dump.



15. Post 2360560 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: michaelGedi on June 03, 2013, 06:04:48 PM
My bet is that big players are waiting for support to grow in 118-120 region and then they will dump.


why?

because

A - big players already dumped? So if they did already they naturally would do it again.
B - because there is some real deep reason to be dumping right now that we don't know about?
C - just for jokes

or

D - because they think bitcoin is a fad and it's not on fire anymore, only a bubble: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A7TuFy0fcuw&hd=1

or

E - because they believe lucif and the general "look at the 2011" past crew and expect a long downtrend despite whatever might be "different this time" https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=131065.msg2352736#msg2352736

or

F - something that I've clearly forgotten Smiley


I think that as now everyone sees that trendline is broken they will try to escape from bitcoin with taking as little hit as possible, and rebuy lower.



16. Post 2360754 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: michaelGedi on June 03, 2013, 06:20:49 PM

you missed my point, I'm asking what their motivation might be for dumping in the first place.


I think that they have noticed that mood has changed significantly since wallzilla and 15 dollar drop and that's why they want out, at least for a while.



17. Post 2364750 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 04, 2013, 04:00:38 AM
Some people are buying at current price (~$123.5) , while the bids are almost non-existent until $120?!  Shocked

Similar to wallzilla time, huh?



18. Post 2365033 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: IG0BR0KE on June 04, 2013, 04:56:37 AM
your homework bulls

http://www.chartpatterns.com/flagsandpennants.htm

have fun

So how does reversal of trend look like?



19. Post 2365053 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 04, 2013, 05:01:40 AM
Would you mind drawing on the chart? I don't really see a flag or pennant.  Undecided

I think he means the flag after the drop with heighs at 122 and 124



20. Post 2368623 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: prof7bit on June 04, 2013, 01:57:29 PM

And on the log chart its even more obvious:


Why your first two lows touch the trendline but not the last one? It seems to me that line should look more like this:




21. Post 2371010 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Does anyone else imagine a puking sound when few 100k dollar dump happens?  Grin



22. Post 2383016 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Away for 30 minutes and this happens  Grin I wish I saw these dumps, how big were the biggest ones?



23. Post 2383079 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: Abandon on June 05, 2013, 08:25:06 PM
What would be the point of that wall at 124 exactly?

It doesn't make much sense, most of the orders won't get filled unless the wall is broken through, and why would anyone want to sell at the beginning of a breakout?

Continuation pattern...



24. Post 2384221 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 05, 2013, 11:12:50 PM
But I still think Bitcoin is currently overvalued.  Wink

The truth is, outside speculation, bitcoin is only supported by silkroad. Imagine speculators leaving, and silkroad shutting down.



25. Post 2384332 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: oda.krell on June 05, 2013, 11:23:46 PM
But I still think Bitcoin is currently overvalued.  Wink

The truth is, outside speculation, bitcoin is only supported by silkroad. Imagine speculators leaving, and silkroad shutting down.

That canard doesn't become truer just by repeating it over and over, y'know.

Many people riding the 1k BTC bandwagon seem to forget that.



26. Post 2384338 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: giszmo on June 05, 2013, 11:32:52 PM
About Bitcoin's value: If somebody shows you a gold/silver/bit coin or a $100 bill and offers you to buy it for half its value, would you buy it?

Sure. If somebody offers me a $60 BTC, I'll buy it.

So how about the 100 dollars for $50? How about the gold and silver coins? Lets add a bank transfer: If you give me $50, I will send you $100. I will even send them first if you insist.

What are you trying to prove? Anyone would buy it so that they can sell it 1 second later for instant profit.



27. Post 2384396 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: giszmo on June 05, 2013, 11:39:20 PM
About Bitcoin's value: If somebody shows you a gold/silver/bit coin or a $100 bill and offers you to buy it for half its value, would you buy it?

Sure. If somebody offers me a $60 BTC, I'll buy it.

So how about the 100 dollars for $50? How about the gold and silver coins? Lets add a bank transfer: If you give me $50, I will send you $100. I will even send them first if you insist.

What are you trying to prove? Anyone would buy it so that they can sell it 1 second later for instant profit.

yeah good luck. How many stores don't take $100 bills? How often have you been offered a "real gold chain/coin/whatever" for a hell of a bargain? How many people try to cash out on their hacked bank accounts? Let me guess: you were heavily invested in Pirate@40

Nope, at that time I was only a bitcoin user and not speculator and did not care for price as I spent on the same day as buying them. I don't even remember how much were they, only how much I spent on them. Question stands: what are you trying to prove?



28. Post 2384492 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 05, 2013, 11:50:11 PM
But I still think Bitcoin is currently overvalued.  Wink

The truth is, outside speculation, bitcoin is only supported by silkroad. Imagine speculators leaving, and silkroad shutting down.

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Trade

Is that a list of some obscure vendors who support them? Is any of them 10% as popular as silkroad?



29. Post 2384661 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote

Is that a list of some obscure vendors who support them? Is any of them 10% as popular as silkroad?
Namecheap is an ICANN-accredited domain registrar and web hosting company, based in Los Angeles, California. They claim to have over 3 million domain names under management and more than 800000 customers.

Alexa rank: 1025

Just out of interest, you don't agree that silkroad is the major force that will prevent bitcoins from falling into single digits if something terrible happens like mtgox and major exchanges closing (or some other crisis, exact nature is not the point of this question)? Do you think this namecheap thing if 10% as significant?



30. Post 2385049 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: BitcoinAshley on June 06, 2013, 12:56:48 AM
lucas.sev got in a funny-looking delorean in 2011 and showed up here.
Now, like a bewildered Marty McFly, he's looking around in disbelief.

You are a funny guy! Must be great having you at parties!


Quote
Just because Amazon, Wal-Mart, and the IRS don't accept bitcoin yet doesn't mean we're still riding on Silk Road's coat tails.  Roll Eyes

It's kinda like those jackets that dry themselves and the hovering skateboards... this is the fuuutuuurrree , luke.sev... the fuuuuuttuuurrrreeeee Cool


Dwarfing silkroad in sales volume in BTC? I take your word for it. What would be your guess of ratio bitcoins being SPENT on services/goods of silkroad vs everywhere else?



31. Post 2385520 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on June 06, 2013, 02:28:45 AM
Ah yes, I see the Bitcoin, bible thumping, delusions continue.  

"Silk Road, no.  We have a bunch of legitamate businesses."

"Oh really?  Which ones?"

"Umm...well...we have a bunch of VC money coming in."

 Grin

Bitcoin the currency commodity. Great for speculators and dope dealers.   Wink

Yeah it's funny how that guy refused to answer about his guess on ratio bitcoins being spen on services/goods of silkroad vs everywhere else. But maybe it's just coincidence and he went to bed  Roll Eyes



32. Post 2386058 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: Abandon on June 06, 2013, 04:01:21 AM

I completely missed this earlier, and just noticed it now, but this still counts as support, right?

Well let's say we drop now to 99$. You can still draw this graph, can't you?



33. Post 2392997 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Isn't this graph we have a textbook volatility squeeze - continuation pattern?



34. Post 2393071 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Down the road we go  Grin

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpc3cCxWNkU



35. Post 2393186 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: rezurect on June 06, 2013, 07:23:51 PM
5$ drop bear, 5$ rise bull ?

120 still holding.

Doesn't price BELOW 120 mean that it's NOT holding?



36. Post 2395193 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 06, 2013, 10:40:52 PM

The Silk Road talk is so '2011ish. Came on. People sees that there's much more in BTC, besides of the fact that real economy is still reduced and that it's very speculation driven.

This baby needs to grow a little bit, but it's unstoppable.

The question is why the f--k would I want to internationally transfer my money to Japan, wait 4 days, pay transfer fees, buy one bitcoin and then buy a service I could pay for instantly with paypal? The only reason to go through hassle of getting bitcoin is using silkroad. Please tell me, why else would I want to use bitcoin to buy something over using credit card or paypal.

It is a serious question, I expect a thought out answer.



37. Post 2395347 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: lebing on June 06, 2013, 10:53:02 PM

The Silk Road talk is so '2011ish. Came on. People sees that there's much more in BTC, besides of the fact that real economy is still reduced and that it's very speculation driven.

This baby needs to grow a little bit, but it's unstoppable.

The question is why the f--k would I want to internationally transfer my money to Japan, wait 4 days, pay transfer fees, buy one bitcoin and then buy a service I could pay for instantly with paypal? The only reason to go through hassle of getting bitcoin is using silkroad. Please tell me, why else would I want to use bitcoin to buy something over using credit card or paypal.

It is a serious question, I expect a thought out answer.

You expect too much.

How did you even get here with this level of understanding of bitcoin?


How do you define 'understanding'? Is your definition 'OMG HEDGE AGAINST FINANCIAL SYSTEM' or the way blockchain works and bitcoins decentralized nature? Maybe you want to answer my question, or do you agree that main use of bitcoin that makes sense is silkroad?

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 06, 2013, 10:56:01 PM
The only reason to go through hassle of getting bitcoin is using silkroad


Tell me then why else would I buy something using bitcoin instead of dollars?



38. Post 2395407 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 06, 2013, 11:01:18 PM
Excluding political arguments, I see no reason right now. Hence most proponents are hoarding and waiting for the next bubble. And it will probably come. I am not a techy, but my limited understanding leads me to accept that the technology behind it is 'genius', but right now, as a currency ... meh ... it isn't one. It's a speculative investment. Nothing wrong with that ...

I think the SR argument is wearing a bit thin now though  ... I do not believe that BTC would fail without SR

I agree that it would not fail, however without it it would be totally in speculators hands. I see no reason either. And I agree that next bubble will come. I hope for it as well of course. In other news: someone dumped 2.5k 5k BTC Tongue



39. Post 2395440 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

2k ask wall at 118 Tongue



40. Post 2395486 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: nmersulypnem on June 06, 2013, 11:09:31 PM
PRO TIP:  Do not buy into the Sell Wall.  It is designed to bleed money from the bots.

That's interesting information, how does that work?



41. Post 2395532 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 06, 2013, 11:12:57 PM
Excluding political arguments, I see no reason right now. Hence most proponents are hoarding and waiting for the next bubble. And it will probably come. I am not a techy, but my limited understanding leads me to accept that the technology behind it is 'genius', but right now, as a currency ... meh ... it isn't one. It's a speculative investment. Nothing wrong with that ...

I think the SR argument is wearing a bit thin now though  ... I do not believe that BTC would fail without SR

I agree that it would not fail, however without it it would be totally in speculators hands. I see no reason either. And I agree that next bubble will come. I hope for it as well of course. In other news: someone dumped 2.5k 5k BTC Tongue

It IS almost totally in speculators/innovators/early adopter's hands already ...

Again, I agree. But it's nice knowing that there is one practical use for it, that will continue to be exist even if big money leaves.



42. Post 2395583 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: nmersulypnem on June 06, 2013, 11:15:16 PM
PRO TIP:  Do not buy into the Sell Wall.  It is designed to bleed money from the bots.

That's interesting information, how does that work?


The volatility bots assume that the price will hover around a certain running average.  When they see it dip above or below they are programmed to buy/sell accordingly.  If you want to unload a very large number of BTC the optimal strategy is to stabilize/inflate the price with a buy wall for a bit (artificially lowering volatility), wait for the sell orders to build up above you, then sell into them.  This will cause some slippage, but by putting a sell wall midway through your big sell the volatility bots will trade into it (incorrectly thinking it's just a momentary fluctuation).  That way you sell 20K BTC from, say 119 to 117, and another 5K at 118.  ...this maximizes your selling revenues.

You mean for buy orders to build up above me?



43. Post 2395618 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: nmersulypnem on June 06, 2013, 11:20:51 PM
PRO TIP:  Do not buy into the Sell Wall.  It is designed to bleed money from the bots.

That's interesting information, how does that work?


The volatility bots assume that the price will hover around a certain running average.  When they see it dip above or below they are programmed to buy/sell accordingly.  If you want to unload a very large number of BTC the optimal strategy is to stabilize/inflate the price with a buy wall for a bit (artificially lowering volatility), wait for the sell orders to build up above you, then sell into them.  This will cause some slippage, but by putting a sell wall midway through your big sell the volatility bots will trade into it (incorrectly thinking it's just a momentary fluctuation).  That way you sell 20K BTC from, say 119 to 117, and another 5K at 118.  ...this maximizes your selling revenues.

You mean for buy orders to build up above me?

Yes, sorry: buy orders.  I always get confused between buying and selling... Smiley


I understand it as:

Lets say price is 120

1. I put a massive wall at 117
2. Other people think price wont dip because of 117 support, they put bids at 118 and 119.
3. I unload and lower the price to 117.
4. I put a wall at 118
5. Bots think that 118 is a great deal and bite into it



44. Post 2395660 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: MAbtc on June 06, 2013, 11:24:53 PM

The Silk Road talk is so '2011ish. Came on. People sees that there's much more in BTC, besides of the fact that real economy is still reduced and that it's very speculation driven.

This baby needs to grow a little bit, but it's unstoppable.

The question is why the f--k would I want to internationally transfer my money to Japan, wait 4 days, pay transfer fees, buy one bitcoin and then buy a service I could pay for instantly with paypal? The only reason to go through hassle of getting bitcoin is using silkroad. Please tell me, why else would I want to use bitcoin to buy something over using credit card or paypal.

It is a serious question, I expect a thought out answer.

This applies to a lot of people, IMO, including me. There is absolutely zilch that I would use bitcoins for, since it is far more convenient (and safe, considering the short time bitcoin vendors have existed) to use fiat, with the exception of Silk Road. Re Silk Road, however, I can find better drugs for much cheaper, and fuck drugs in mail, so that's no go either. So I am here strictly for speculation. So I wonder..... what do we see among the speculator population if we see months of sideways trading, or a long slow downslide?

Silkroad is great for people that don't want anything to do with dealers, are looking for prescription medication and fuck, drugs in mail!



45. Post 2395679 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 06, 2013, 11:25:35 PM
why else would I buy something using bitcoin instead of dollars?

Bitcoin is a deflationary currency. I bought coins back in 2011 and 2012, those have now massively increased in value. I'm kind of a minimalist so I don't buy much, but if I wanted to, I could now go to bitcoinstore.com or whatever and have purchasing power many times what I put in. So the first question to ask yourself is maybe, could it be worth buying bitcoin, and save them for later. So instead of buying the exact number you need to purchase something today, buy 10 times more than you need, or 100 times. And keep the money there for the day you will actually need it.

Yeah that's the point upon which we agree, it's a thing that could boom. Thing that I can sell 100 of in 10 years and get myself maybe a nice flat? I want to believe in that becuse, hell, who does not want to be rich Wink But otherwise its only USE that does not involve unnecessary hassle is silkroad. For all other uses there are traditional methods.



46. Post 2395747 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 06, 2013, 11:33:12 PM
why else would I buy something using bitcoin instead of dollars?

Bitcoin is a deflationary currency. I bought coins back in 2011 and 2012, those have now massively increased in value. I'm kind of a minimalist so I don't buy much, but if I wanted to, I could now go to bitcoinstore.com or whatever and have purchasing power many times what I put in. So the first question to ask yourself is maybe, could it be worth buying bitcoin, and save them for later. So instead of buying the exact number you need to purchase something today, buy 10 times more than you need, or 100 times. And keep the money there for the day you will actually need it.

Yeah that's the point upon which we agree, it's a thing that could boom. Thing that I can sell 100 of in 10 years and get myself maybe a nice flat? I want to believe in that becuse, hell, who does not want to be rich Wink But otherwise its only USE that does not involve unnecessary hassle is silkroad. For all other uses there are traditional methods.
Eventually it will become valuable and adopted enough to be stable. At that point it will be a flourishing economy. Just look at liberty reserve and similar payment systems. They are doing great, without people like you. But I think bitcoin can even work for people like you, eventually, but we are many years off.

I do not know what you mean by "people like me". I belive in holding bitcoin, but I believe it's only use beside silkroad is holding so that it can be exchanged later for much much more than it could have on the day of buy.



47. Post 2395779 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 06, 2013, 11:34:53 PM
Wall gone, nom nom Smiley

which wall?



48. Post 2396143 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):




49. Post 2396326 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 07, 2013, 12:43:48 AM
Oh wow, there's even a trollbox, like BTC-e.

Everyone feeling elitist about trollbox, but we have our own and it is over 700 pages long  Grin



50. Post 2396635 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: hlynur on June 07, 2013, 12:49:03 AM
I do not know what you mean by "people like me". I belive in holding bitcoin, but I believe it's only use beside silkroad is holding so that it can be exchanged later for much much more than it could have on the day of buy.

I don't know where you're living I'm relatively sure you're not affected by ongoing crisis in any way,
don't have relatives that were scammed by banks, didn't get your bank account seized or haven't even thought about the flaws of a centralized currency in combination with a f***ed up financial system.

just keep on seeing the whole thing as some highrisk investment with real good profits perhaps you will realize the other side of the coin in the future.


UK, graduating in few weeks, not affected one bit, you are right in that.



51. Post 2396669 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: ThatDGuy on June 07, 2013, 01:25:51 AM
I do not know what you mean by "people like me". I belive in holding bitcoin, but I believe it's only use beside silkroad is holding so that it can be exchanged later for much much more than it could have on the day of buy.

I don't know where you're living I'm relatively sure you're not affected by ongoing crisis in any way,
don't have relatives that were scammed by banks, didn't get your bank account seized or haven't even thought about the flaws of a centralized currency in combination with a f***ed up financial system.

just keep on seeing the whole thing as some highrisk investment with real good profits perhaps you will realize the other side of the coin in the future.


UK, graduating in few weeks, not affected one bit, you are right in that.

University will hopefully open your eyes some.

I'm graduating from university  Cheesy



52. Post 2397118 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on June 07, 2013, 02:38:21 AM
We might be in the early phases of the slow long slide.

Early phases? We are in the slide for few weeks now. Slide of pain and broken hopes, and lower highs Tongue



53. Post 2397190 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on June 07, 2013, 02:40:58 AM
We might be in the early phases of the slow long slide.

Early phases? We are in the slide for few weeks now. Slide of pain and broken hopes, and lower highs Tongue

I am talking about months here, if it happens.

I am talking about months as well. I'm just saying that it looks like we are in the process of it. 160$, 140$, 130$... will 120$ be our next high that won't be broken until next bubble? Perhaps not, but I feel we are in the slide.



54. Post 2402772 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: SlipperySlope on June 07, 2013, 04:10:54 PM
Anyone seeing a trend with these 5 am dumps?

ASICMiner selling... China time zone.

Interesting notion ...

During this transition to ASIC mining technology, one entity - ASICMiner - has a very large share of mined coins. Perhaps they have more motivation to sell than the multitude of individual GPU miners that have been effectively replaced.

Lots of slippage when the dump occurs. There are well known techniques to slice orders and time them for more efficient executions, e.g. wait for bids to fill back in.  Why don't dumpers use them?

They did use them around 120 area.

In other news: 10k wall at 105



55. Post 2402884 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Was that wall at 105 always there? How much of it is fake if not?



56. Post 2402956 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

339BTC market buy, 256 market sell 1 sec afterwards, did someone miss a button?  Grin



57. Post 2403047 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 07, 2013, 04:32:18 PM
Testing $105ish today? I think as soon as we touch it we will go through it like a hot knife through butter.

Next level to be tested will be $90ish, and next REAL support $80ish. Anyhow, as Oda said earlier I think testing $80 won't happen too soon. But honestly, I think the sooner the better. I wouldn't mind at all going rapidly to $50 and double bottoming it hard, with big volume. That would mean that the only way is UP, slowly, but UP. IMO that's the best case scenario for the bulls. Breaking ATH during this year is not happening IMO. And a rally to $165 won't happen any soon neither.

i don't think 105 will be tested today,  maybe next week...

So you refuse to believe that 1k sell can happen and touch 105?



58. Post 2403770 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 07, 2013, 05:33:05 PM
i have a filling my bids not getting filled this time, oh well back to work...

don't worry once enough support builds up we are going to see dumps.



59. Post 2403807 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 07, 2013, 05:44:06 PM
i have a filling my bids not getting filled this time, oh well back to work...

don't worry once enough support builds up we are going to see dumps.





Your google images search history must look WEIRD!  Grin



60. Post 2404837 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: Its About Sharing on June 07, 2013, 07:31:08 PM
Testing $105ish today? I think as soon as we touch it we will go through it like a hot knife through butter.

Next level to be tested will be $90ish, and next REAL support $80ish. Anyhow, as Oda said earlier I think testing $80 won't happen too soon. But honestly, I think the sooner the better. I wouldn't mind at all going rapidly to $50 and double bottoming it hard, with big volume. That would mean that the only way is UP, slowly, but UP. IMO that's the best case scenario for the bulls. Breaking ATH during this year is not happening IMO. And a rally to $165 won't happen any soon neither.

I enjoy reading your posts Rampion. You were talking about this the other day and I think I was split. There is a part of me that just doesn't want to trade out of something I believe in. Do you know what I mean?
But on the other hand, I'm thinking "Hey, maybe I can get more of what I believe in". And then there is the Angel over my shoulder saying "Don't be greedy, if BTC is successful, you will only need one."  Smiley


Does that angel have a face of rpitella?  Grin



61. Post 2405309 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

4, 8, 15...



62. Post 2406972 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: favelle75 on June 08, 2013, 12:05:35 AM
Bought all back in at $112......wondering if I made a mistake.  Obviously missed the bottom, but was that just a false bottom?



You bought at the top. I can relate, made this shitty move a few times too many.



63. Post 2407504 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

bye 110



64. Post 2407510 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 08, 2013, 01:37:36 AM
Wall around $105 is now 11k.  Shocked

One big order for 6k and another for 2k.

And of course walls are never fake  Roll Eyes  Although yeah, this one might stand.



65. Post 2407610 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 08, 2013, 01:50:46 AM
I'm not going to turn this into a Ripple discussion.  That wasn't my intention.  It's actually a brilliant system though, if you take the time to understand.  It's everything Bitcoin could have been and never will be.  That's MY view.



But he IS right in saying that bitcoin will never be used for microtransactions.



66. Post 2407658 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 08, 2013, 02:13:05 AM
I'm not going to turn this into a Ripple discussion.  That wasn't my intention.  It's actually a brilliant system though, if you take the time to understand.  It's everything Bitcoin could have been and never will be.  That's MY view.


But he IS right in saying that bitcoin will never be used for microtransactions.

why not?

i guess using ltc is an option for doing alot of super micro tx

the reddit bot is another good thing people can use, the bot can make miro tx between reddit users for free....

Why not? Because when my friend lacks money to spend on a steam sale that ends in an hour or two, I can't send him bitcoin as it will take too long. I need to use paypal.



67. Post 2407731 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 08, 2013, 02:18:51 AM

I guess you need to read more and educate yourself, because you are not getting BTC's point if you think that not being ideal for fast micro-transactions is a flaw. Again: it was not designed with that in mind. The problems it solves are different, and deeper.

But this will stop it from being used as a currency. It will be store of value, but not currency in a sense "pay for dinner" or "buy a coffee" currency. Of course you CAN buy a dinner in few obscure places that I do not know names of in LA paying with BTC, but that's not the point.

I appreciate BTC benefits. Being decentralised is fantastic. Having a paper wallet is mind blowing. Its compressing value into a QR code. This stuff is truly, truly amazing to me. But I cringe when I hear that BTC will become a widely adopted currency.



68. Post 2407835 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 08, 2013, 02:34:47 AM

Services can be built on top of Bitcoin that can allow you to instant off-chain transactions. And anyhow, not being able to pay your morning coffee with Bitcoin is irrelevant. 90% of the people in here agrees that there is no need to be able to pay for your chewing gum with it. You don't need it to be the "world currency" used by 5 billion people, and with a price per bitcoin of $1M. BTC covers a specific area that generates a huge demand, simply because it enables you to be more free than you were without it.

And now call it a failure...


Isn't ripple such service?

Such demand is Silkroad Wink



69. Post 2408138 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: niothor on June 08, 2013, 02:56:21 AM
In other news we're still in the 109.9999 area.
Weekend is on and Bulls and Bears are already wasted.

But , there is still hope , remember what happend last Sunday morning?  Grin

Soon...




70. Post 2408371 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: drdanishkhan on June 08, 2013, 04:37:36 AM
I wonder what will happen if that 105 wall gets pulled  Shocked

I think it's a no brainer what will happen.



71. Post 2408376 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 08, 2013, 04:49:24 AM
I wonder what will happen if that 105 wall gets pulled  Shocked

I think it's a no brainer what will happen.

up Up UP!  Cheesy

Depending on the timeframe you might be right Cheesy



72. Post 2408498 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

We now have picture of shit dissolving in water, whats next?  Undecided



73. Post 2408704 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: bangersdad on June 08, 2013, 05:58:25 AM
BBC One in UK has just had its first feature on bitcoin on its technology section.

Seemed to be fairly impartial -mentioning many benefits of bitcoin but also silk road association.

It's so 2011!  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes



74. Post 2408814 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on June 08, 2013, 06:10:31 AM
You know, what confuses me about this drop, is it doesn't appear to be triggered by anything.  I've been a firm believer that we would retest our lows in the 60-80 range at some point, but I always assumed it be triggered by some major news event. How sick would it be if this was the ultimate bear trap.  Shake all the weak hands and run it up to 500.   Shocked

I don't remember any bad news on 10th of April either.



75. Post 2409197 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 08, 2013, 07:20:22 AM
BBC One in UK has just had its first feature on bitcoin on its technology section.

Seemed to be fairly impartial -mentioning many benefits of bitcoin but also silk road association.

When will people get over the fact that people buy drugs with Bitcoin. JUST like any real world money.

Thing is drugs are the only thing that bitcoin is better to be used for buying instead of fiat.



76. Post 2409390 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 08, 2013, 07:38:05 AM

Thing is drugs are the only thing that bitcoin is better to be used for buying instead of fiat.

Really? I'm pretty sure that 99% of the drug dealers out there prefer real money.

You are pretending not to understand what I meant or should I explain?



77. Post 2409476 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: BitPirate on June 08, 2013, 08:12:31 AM


I find it easier to pay for some things with Bitcoin than fiat. It only takes a couple of clicks.

The key is how you buy the bitcoins. I happen to have some, so it's easier. Buying them is also still relatively easy. If I had to wire money each time, it wouldn't be worth it.

In terms of *receiving* money, I'd rather have BTC (for the aforementioned reason) than USD or other fiat, and prefer BTC over PayPal or other reversible payment methods.

It's still small, but the potential is there. Try to look into the future a bit.

Yeah the key is how you buy the bitcoins. I am talking from a perspective of a person watching BBC not a BTC miner. Why would a person watching BBC want to buy something with BTC when they can use what they have already (traditional methods) - the only reason to go into BTC for them, other than speculation is to use it on silkroad. At least for now, BTC poses no advantages to them to justify fiat -> btc -> service/good route, of course with exception of silkroad. (I am not talking about store of value and speculation here)



78. Post 2409495 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: gizmoh on June 08, 2013, 08:17:39 AM
The case for continuing downtrend:

The whales are not buying back. There is no buying pressure.

The price is hovering around 110 with low volume just like previous support at 120.

Another big dump comes in at 105 and all hell break loose.

Hello 100 and double digits..


I will welcome them with open arms  Grin



79. Post 2410039 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Eh so it seems that the smartest thing to do now is somehow forget about clarkmoody and come back in 3 months.



80. Post 2410379 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 08, 2013, 10:55:49 AM
People who went "all in" at 50 do care.

I'm all in and I don't give a shit. I will fall and raise with BTC  Wink

You and rpitella are very alike.



81. Post 2414800 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

It seems like everyone of "this time its different" preachers left. Sad times.



82. Post 2415794 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Abandon on June 09, 2013, 12:28:58 AM
The 1H chart is a little worrisome, it might go down to 117 or 116 before it becomes oversold.

What do you mean "down" to 117? Aren't we at 108 now?



83. Post 2415841 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Abandon on June 09, 2013, 12:32:15 AM
The 1H chart is a little worrisome, it might go down to 117 or 116 before it becomes oversold.

What do you mean "down" to 117? Aren't we at 108 now?

Sorry, 107.

Well I just bought in at 108. Let's see what happens.

You might take that as a warning as usually this causes a whale dump  Grin



84. Post 2416497 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on June 09, 2013, 02:59:14 AM
$70 by Wednesday. Then a nice steady rise to $100 again.

You think the 105 wall is fake?



85. Post 2416651 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Abandon on June 09, 2013, 03:16:25 AM
4H chart update, oversold and multiple cross overs:
https://www.tradingview.com/

What is the indicator of being oversold?



86. Post 2416689 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 09, 2013, 03:32:33 AM
4H chart update, oversold and multiple cross overs:
https://www.tradingview.com/

What is the indicator of being oversold?


It tells me nothing, I wanted to get more insight on how the graph can be interpreted in a way that tells you "its oversold". From I understand "oversold" means that it is expected to go back to non-"over" state i.e. buying is expected?



87. Post 2416753 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Abandon on June 09, 2013, 03:36:49 AM
4H chart update, oversold and multiple cross overs:
https://www.tradingview.com/

What is the indicator of being oversold?

If those lines at the bottom go below or above the middle area, it is oversold or overbought. The MACD is a little different, if it goes above the pink pink area it is bullish, if it is below that pivot point, it is bearish. If the two lines cross, then it might be a change in trend also.

Usually if two lines cross, then touch the middle area, that's a change in trend signal.

The pink area on the MACD is volume. If it's above the pink pivot then it's more bought, if it below then it is more sold. They tend to be curvature.

The BB %R takes in account the bollinger bands and the %R, when it bounces off of the walls.

At times one or more of these indicators can be misleading.

Thank you! Wink So MACD tells us we are bearish, because only cross above the pink area tells signals bullish market, yes? Do I understand correctly that oversold is interpreted as expecation to get back to higher pricepoint?



88. Post 2416877 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: byronbb on June 09, 2013, 04:12:38 AM
$70 by Wednesday. Then a nice steady rise to $100 again.

You think the 105 wall is fake?

Very jagged walls like that imply ownership by a single person. Fake or real is not really the issue imo; it means buy support can suddenly disappear at the whim of a single market participant.

Imagine the panic it would cause if it disappeared now



89. Post 2417257 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Now all that matters is if the wall will be pulled or not.



90. Post 2417265 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 09, 2013, 05:45:17 AM
Now all that matters is if the wall will be pulled or not.

It was eaten for more than half its size. I don't think it's fake.

But it's getting smaller by the second...

Does not mean that one person does not hold 3k of it.



91. Post 2417285 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: lucas.sev on June 09, 2013, 12:40:25 AM

Well I just bought in at 108. Let's see what happens.

You might take that as a warning as usually this causes a whale dump  Grin

I'm sorry Sad Sold at 104, fuck.



92. Post 2417338 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Wonder what is going to be reaction when east coast wakes up



93. Post 2417415 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 09, 2013, 06:14:23 AM
I believe they call this stage 'denial'

A friendly reminder from a 2011 survivor.



I'll say again:

Weeeeee....


Haha I wonder if we are going to post "friendly reminder from a 2013 survivor" in few years Cheesy



94. Post 2417462 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: BitPirate on June 09, 2013, 06:30:52 AM
Yes, they are pretty cheap.

A few of us warned weeks ago that this would happen... people want cheap coins? Well there you go. You have them. Fat lot of good it will do you now.

I don't see anyone buying all those cheap coins. Amazing, isn't it?

Not really -- any hopes of recovery up until 2 weeks ago were pretty much ruined by manipulators aiming for "cheaper coins". It removed all steam from the market, and has cheapened the value of bitcoin. Now we're seeing the result -- the cash-out.

They wanted cheaper coins, they got them. It's time now for people to fully reconcile the phrase "cheap coins" with reality.


100 is not cheap. People want 70-30



95. Post 2417486 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

1k buy happened, here come the bulls?


1533.0000BTC just said "nope!"



96. Post 2417502 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

well there we go  Grin




97. Post 2417514 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on June 09, 2013, 06:41:08 AM
Yes, they are pretty cheap.

A few of us warned weeks ago that this would happen... people want cheap coins? Well there you go. You have them. Fat lot of good it will do you now.

I don't see anyone buying all those cheap coins. Amazing, isn't it?

Not really -- any hopes of recovery up until 2 weeks ago were pretty much ruined by manipulators aiming for "cheaper coins". It removed all steam from the market, and has cheapened the value of bitcoin. Now we're seeing the result -- the cash-out.

They wanted cheaper coins, they got them. It's time now for people to fully reconcile the phrase "cheap coins" with reality.

Date Registered:    14-03-2013, 03:59:40

Babby's first Bitcoin bear market/major correction. Wink


because registration on forums means anything. I used bitcoins in 2011, had friends mining them and selling (for 6$ or something) in 2010 but because I registered recently to take part in the discussion instead of lurking it means I am new to this?



98. Post 2417518 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: byronbb on June 09, 2013, 06:42:55 AM
What an EPIC dump.

Hello 99



99. Post 2417529 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Hahaha I can't wait to see new york reaction in the morning  Grin



100. Post 2417549 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: SGExodus on June 09, 2013, 06:45:59 AM
Still sliding down fast.. will it hit 90 before Monday?

There is no resistance to 90, it will hit it in next 4h

London is waking up now Wink



101. Post 2417565 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on June 09, 2013, 06:48:22 AM
67,000 coins.   Shocked


Quote from: lucas.sev on June 09, 2013, 05:49:27 AM

Well I just bought in at 108. Let's see what happens.

You might take that as a warning as usually this causes a whale dump  Grin

I'm sorry Sad Sold at 104, fuck.


It's a beautiful fall, and to think that it is all my fault...  Grin



102. Post 2417650 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 09, 2013, 07:04:23 AM
Yes, they are pretty cheap.

A few of us warned weeks ago that this would happen... people want cheap coins? Well there you go. You have them. Fat lot of good it will do you now.

I don't see anyone buying all those cheap coins. Amazing, isn't it?

Not really -- any hopes of recovery up until 2 weeks ago were pretty much ruined by manipulators aiming for "cheaper coins". It removed all steam from the market, and has cheapened the value of bitcoin. Now we're seeing the result -- the cash-out.

They wanted cheaper coins, they got them. It's time now for people to fully reconcile the phrase "cheap coins" with reality.


100 is not cheap. People want 70-30

Sure...

Funny how with every 5 dollar drop the usual CHEAAAPPP COIIINS!!!! posts were all over the place. Now it dropped below 100 and suddenly that isn't cheap anymore.

Funny how with every drop the usual cheap coins shout is by people who bought in higher and see their money disappear, desperately wanting people to buy back in.



103. Post 2417708 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: BitPirate on June 09, 2013, 07:12:02 AM


This isn't a correction. It also isn't a test. It's tons of money leaving Bitcoin because people lost interest/faith. But at least we have cheap coins right?

Not yet.  Let's hope that was just a warm up.   Wink

Yes, sure. Wouldn't that be SIMPLY WONDERFUL?

Cheap coins!!!

When it finally reaches the bottom, surely everyone will FLOOD IN to buy them.

"SHUT UP AND TAKE MY MONEY", all the noobs will shout as they are desperate to buy into BTC. Banks will be awash with wires to Mt Gox.

VCs will be falling over themselves to get a piece of the action.

I mean, why wouldn't they?




Chill, people are happy because the faster bubble deflates the sooner another one can start forming. Whoops, I mean the sooner steady growth based on expanding economy that is not 90% silkroad can happen.



104. Post 2418082 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Its ridiculus. I'm 100% in fiat, but its fucking ridiculus Cheesy



105. Post 2418111 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: gandhibt on June 09, 2013, 08:14:07 AM
I am 100% back in fiat awaiting further collapse of the bubble.

"Bitcoins are a store of value - hold them"  Grin

*applies only if you bought at 10$ or mined  Grin



106. Post 2418133 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: SlipperySlope on June 09, 2013, 08:15:31 AM
I am 100% back in fiat awaiting further collapse of the bubble.
Interesting. If I may ask, around which price did you sell?

I bought back in at $131 after $125 was finally surpassed on the upside. I sold some back at $112 and then the rest at $99 in the past hour. My volume was large enough for slippage so I sliced it and waited for bids.




This post contrasts a bit with your sig  Grin



107. Post 2418159 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: BTCThousandaire on June 09, 2013, 08:19:40 AM
This is great, I get some cheap coins. Only question is do I buy now or wait until tomorrow morning?

Wait for 2 months and buy at 30.



108. Post 2418174 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Spot on!

Quote from: lucas.sev on June 09, 2013, 06:47:09 AM
Still sliding down fast.. will it hit 90 before Monday?

There is no resistance to 90, it will hit it in next 4h

London is waking up now Wink



109. Post 2418195 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Every time I think about east coast I chuckle  Cheesy



110. Post 2418240 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 09, 2013, 08:27:34 AM
Yes, they are pretty cheap.

A few of us warned weeks ago that this would happen... people want cheap coins? Well there you go. You have them. Fat lot of good it will do you now.

I don't see anyone buying all those cheap coins. Amazing, isn't it?

Not really -- any hopes of recovery up until 2 weeks ago were pretty much ruined by manipulators aiming for "cheaper coins". It removed all steam from the market, and has cheapened the value of bitcoin. Now we're seeing the result -- the cash-out.

They wanted cheaper coins, they got them. It's time now for people to fully reconcile the phrase "cheap coins" with reality.

Date Registered:    14-03-2013, 03:59:40

Babby's first Bitcoin bear market/major correction. Wink

had friends mining them and selling (for 6$ or something) in 2010

Selling coins at $6 in 2010? Cool story, bro.

Sorry this guy was in Poland and I think was selling them for around 30PLN, it was a guy with nick "duniek"



111. Post 2418355 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 09, 2013, 08:41:34 AM
Yes, they are pretty cheap.

A few of us warned weeks ago that this would happen... people want cheap coins? Well there you go. You have them. Fat lot of good it will do you now.

I don't see anyone buying all those cheap coins. Amazing, isn't it?

Not really -- any hopes of recovery up until 2 weeks ago were pretty much ruined by manipulators aiming for "cheaper coins". It removed all steam from the market, and has cheapened the value of bitcoin. Now we're seeing the result -- the cash-out.

They wanted cheaper coins, they got them. It's time now for people to fully reconcile the phrase "cheap coins" with reality.

Date Registered:    14-03-2013, 03:59:40

Babby's first Bitcoin bear market/major correction. Wink

had friends mining them and selling (for 6$ or something) in 2010

Selling coins at $6 in 2010? Cool story, bro.

Sorry this guy was in Poland and I think was selling them for around 30PLN, it was a guy with nick "duniek"

Considering that the absolute maximum price at which BTC were traded in 2010 is $0.5, your" duniek" friend is a boss indeed. Did he bought an island and retired? Was he selling Bitcoins at $3000 in 2013?

Maybe it was 2011, I am pulling numbers from my memory. My point was though that registration date is not everything.



112. Post 2418461 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: zachcope on June 09, 2013, 08:59:26 AM
Yum yum cheap coins.
Brings out the hungry hippo in me  Cheesy Cheesy

good luck when us wakes up



113. Post 2418568 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: wonkytonky on June 09, 2013, 09:05:48 AM
anyone with some ta about the bottom? .. sell button starts to look attractive Sad

edit: if miniwall around 92 breaks.. i say..   doomsday has arived

You know that it broke once already? In past 2h I think.



114. Post 2418645 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: stoto on June 09, 2013, 09:27:38 AM
Bottom hit?


( chart from: http://bitcoin.stoto.net/ )

Nope, US still sleeps sweet of innocet.



115. Post 2419065 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: klee on June 09, 2013, 10:34:34 AM
And we touched $89.00 - more lows to come
Should 79 break, the technical picture will be completely damaged.
We will hit 50$ and stabilize around 70-75$ I predict

timeframe, timeframe



116. Post 2419114 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

6:43 in New York... are they still sleeping? Cheesy




117. Post 2419146 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on June 09, 2013, 10:45:05 AM
6:43 in New York... are they still sleeping? Cheesy


 Grin  They either going to panic or they or going to see it as cheap coins.  Time will tell.


The rebound to 98 got quickly crushed, my guess is even if they will see it as cheap coins some whale will make use of new walls and dump their holdings.


EDIT: 40BTC buy has 2.5dollar slippage, crazy times.



118. Post 2419261 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Thing is, Coinseeker is not a doomsday prophert, he is simply going against the fanatics claiming we have thriving economy and times of silkroad being main use of btc are gone.



119. Post 2419360 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Every time a big buy happens a whale shits on them



120. Post 2419408 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on June 09, 2013, 11:19:36 AM
Every time a big buy happens a whale shits on them

Are you not 100% fiat right now? I would be grateful for this. All the same, even whales have a finite amount of coins. There is a bottom somewhere.

I am, just an observation there  Grin



121. Post 2419470 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: tycoonUA on June 09, 2013, 11:31:59 AM
can anyone pls explain to me to what periods of time does these marks "W1 D3 D1 H4 H1 M15 M5 M3 M1" are corelate? at clarkmoody.com, thx

seriously?



122. Post 2419497 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: tycoonUA on June 09, 2013, 11:34:58 AM
can anyone pls explain to me to what periods of time does these marks "W1 D3 D1 H4 H1 M15 M5 M3 M1" are corelate? at clarkmoody.com, thx

seriously?

yes, thx in advance

Hint: W stands for Week... figure out the rest.



123. Post 2419608 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on June 09, 2013, 11:46:59 AM

cut march/april out of the price graph , and see the trend for the last 2 years
Also when there is a panic drop, we will hit for a few the minimum of minimum , the dip , thats why the 13 Smiley

Quote
A lot of other people are thinking the same by the looks of the bids - just look how many bids are on the order book between $10 and $14

How does sentiment factor into this though?  I mean, if you ask anyone if they could buy say $50 coins, they'd say they are all in.  I just think we would run into some serious buying pressure, long before 30 and certainly before 13.  Not saying it's not possible, merely saying I don't think it takes into account other relevant information.  I'm also not sure the bottom is the same anymore, with the number of new people.  All that said, I won't complain.   Grin

Thing is, if you get to buy at 50 most likely price will pierce through 50 and then fall even lower, might bounce straight up, might not. That's the dilema, when to catch it.



124. Post 2419620 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: KS on June 09, 2013, 11:51:13 AM
did the 90$ wall get bought or just moved down to 86?

bought



125. Post 2419720 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: MikkisJ on June 09, 2013, 12:04:56 PM
Interesting, $10,000,000 worth of BTC sold on a quiet Sunday morning. I have some coins and AM shares, bought mostly at $100-120, but I'm in for long run (5+ years), so crashes come and go, I'll worry only if there is real danger like bitcoin security weekness, hacking, slow adaptation or goverment ban on bitcoin.

Yes, repeat that and breathe deeply instead of selling and buying 20 dollars lower.



126. Post 2419753 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Miner2000 on June 09, 2013, 12:08:38 PM
Is this real? http://i.imgur.com/jvBXpsi.png What is your opinion?

proven to be fake, sat was on the 8th



127. Post 2420024 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on June 09, 2013, 12:46:40 PM
$70 by Wednesday. Then a nice steady rise to $100 again.

You think the 105 wall is fake?

Sorry went to sleep. Just catching up. Clearly the wall was fake.
Your going to see a lot of that on the way down.


It was not fake, I saw it being sold into live. I sold as it was getting eaten, managing to get out at 104.



128. Post 2420072 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: niothor on June 09, 2013, 12:51:09 PM
Well if that is the case, then Hello under $50. I wonder what the Asics companies like Avalon with 68,000 btc in wallet will do..

What makes you think that Avalon are holding 68k BTC ? Did they say something ?

I would have thought they'd sell as needed when producing.



https://blockchain.info/address/1FGAftzSTztFSB8LMwsrdCKTyqGY6zr3sU

If this moves.... Grin

Content of one address can crash bitcoin price to almost 50% of current, lovely  Grin



129. Post 2420196 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on June 09, 2013, 01:11:05 PM
Hand In Hand, Shoulder To Shoulder, Protect Your Bitcoin!

The Bitcoin gods will bless you for not using the Spartans meme.

We do not talk of that meme since the 10th.



130. Post 2420354 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on June 09, 2013, 01:34:51 PM
This one, Holding like a retard :


<brown nose> How about no... Mr Lucas has about 100 grand in Fiat, waiting for the low I bet Tongue </brown nose>

Exactly, exactly  Cool



131. Post 2420432 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on June 09, 2013, 01:46:23 PM
For the record I sold at $131.80 and I just bought back at $93.27. I feel pretty good about my current position.

However, now that I have bought back in we are sure to see a slide to $70ish Cheesy haha.

You seem to be undecided Tongue



132. Post 2420447 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: kickinyou on June 09, 2013, 01:48:37 PM
cant make up my mind if i shuld buy back now or not Sad

I wouldn't do it. I think dumpers just wait for walls to build some support to that they can sell into them. But that's just me Tongue



133. Post 2420631 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on June 09, 2013, 02:18:03 PM
Let's predict the future



But you got the past wrong



134. Post 2420700 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on June 09, 2013, 02:21:30 PM
Let's predict the future



But you got the past wrong

it's 2011 chart with my marks.

no way!



135. Post 2420858 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

As much as I would LOVE it to go to 50, what makes you people think its not a repeat from 3rd of May?



136. Post 2420990 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 09, 2013, 03:08:38 PM
As much as I would LOVE it to go to 50, what makes you people think its not a repeat from 3rd of May?

Huh? Why would you love that?

Because this will mean that bubble is largely over and I can buy bitcoins at a price that likely will not halve, split the wallet file into three separate files and forget about checking damn clark moody more often than facebook for a year or two.



137. Post 2421036 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 09, 2013, 03:16:53 PM
As much as I would LOVE it to go to 50, what makes you people think its not a repeat from 3rd of May?

Huh? Why would you love that?

Because this will mean that bubble is largely over and I can buy bitcoins at a price that likely will not halve, split the wallet file into three separate files and forget about checking damn clark moody more often than facebook for a year or two.

So basically you want the whole Bitcoin economy to drop 50% so you can buy a few cheap coins. Did i read that right?

You read 100% correct. There is no Bitcoin economy. (except for silkroad of course) I hope you are not another of hippies preaching that.

The only reason why somebody would go and exchange fiat for bitcoin right now (not counting speculation, store of value) is to spend it on Silkroad. Nobody in right mind would go and exchange it to btc only to buy something they could have bought instantly with traditional methods. And the only thing that they can't, are silkroad goods. YES if you already have bitcoins then you might use them on other stuff, if you mine, you will use them. But this is minority of people. I'm talking about general public. I'm repeating myself but I enjoy seeing idealists try to desperately justify their opinion.



138. Post 2421358 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Lebing, you answer question from my post?



139. Post 2421523 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: lebing on June 09, 2013, 03:53:29 PM
....



I would like to hear you undermine this claim of mine:

The only reason why somebody would go and exchange fiat for bitcoin right now (not counting speculation, store of value) is to spend it on Silkroad. Nobody in right mind would go and exchange it to btc only to buy something they could have bought instantly with traditional methods. And the only thing that they can't, are silkroad goods. YES if you already have bitcoins then you might use them on other stuff, if you mine, you will use them. But this is minority of people. I'm talking about general public.



140. Post 2424169 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Following the pattern 1:1?



141. Post 2424862 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

400k usd, nice



142. Post 2425225 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Gentlemen, do not forget that there is a guy who bought 400k USD worth of bitcoin causing 4USD slippage, watching price go down  Grin



143. Post 2425607 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Jakewell on June 10, 2013, 12:20:54 AM
i just saw how a 1000 btc buy wall got eaten in less than 10 seconds in the morning   Roll Eyes

morning in which timezone?



144. Post 2426745 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Lol, 15k wall at 95



145. Post 2426767 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

400BTC buy causes 4USD slippage, crazy times.



146. Post 2426775 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

5k buy, lovely, we are at 108 Tongue



147. Post 2426805 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

5k buy wall at 110, and somebody seems to be leaning against it



148. Post 2426825 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Aedius on June 10, 2013, 03:55:21 AM
There was a 15,000 btc buy order around $95, then it got pulled and there was a massive buy up to $110. Now we have a 6k BTC wall at 110

It did not get pulled



149. Post 2430885 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: rpietila on June 10, 2013, 02:57:42 PM

It is becoming unlikely that we'll see $300 this year.


TIME TO PANIC



150. Post 2430906 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on June 10, 2013, 03:06:12 PM

It is becoming unlikely that we'll see $300 this year.


TIME TO PANIC

$300 per mBTC  Smiley

If rpietila lost faith in his ultra bullish (verging on bull-shit) stance, it's as if pope said "ok, there is no god"  Grin



151. Post 2430994 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 10, 2013, 03:13:25 PM

It is becoming unlikely that we'll see $300 this year.


TIME TO PANIC

$300 per mBTC  Smiley

If rpietila lost faith in his ultra bullish (verging on bull-shit) stance, it's as if pope said "ok, there is no god"  Grin
He has been in a mental institution, probably just got a reality check and have now readjusted the target. He is still bullish, and a super node, you, on the other hand, is neither, if I had to guess.

Suuuupppernode lifestyle here we come  Grin Grin

and welcome back rpietila!

I'm bullish, I just believe that we will hit 30 before rebounding to new highs Wink



152. Post 2431035 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 10, 2013, 03:18:49 PM

It is becoming unlikely that we'll see $300 this year.


TIME TO PANIC

$300 per mBTC  Smiley

If rpietila lost faith in his ultra bullish (verging on bull-shit) stance, it's as if pope said "ok, there is no god"  Grin
He has been in a mental institution, probably just got a reality check and have now readjusted the target. He is still bullish, and a super node, you, on the other hand, is neither, if I had to guess.

Suuuupppernode lifestyle here we come  Grin Grin

and welcome back rpietila!

I'm bullish, I just believe that we will hit 30 before rebounding to new highs Wink

$30 per mBTC? Rpietila is among us, so we should be sticking to supernode's language. It's a demonstration of respect.

mBTC talk is even more annoying than silkroad slagging



153. Post 2431845 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

I would like to see a study "Effect of coming back of rpietila on sentiment in BTC market"


4k wall at 104...



154. Post 2433201 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Jaroslaw hopes to drive price down I suppose.



155. Post 2433260 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Jaroslaw on June 10, 2013, 07:47:29 PM
Jaroslaw hopes to drive price down I suppose.

why i do this when i want to sell ? i wish the price was 200$.

I am saying that all of your bullshit posts are because you want to drive price down. I mean, if it works it would be great, I want the price to crash because I don't hold any coins at the moment, but you do not own shit.



156. Post 2433378 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: solex on June 10, 2013, 08:02:54 PM
Alright, bullish wedge. Clearest on the 12 hour chart.

We require more charts!

Certainly  (12 hour bars)

Can you please tell me how this chart relates to this one?




157. Post 2433468 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: solex on June 10, 2013, 08:09:46 PM
It doesn't. I am looking at the most recent formation at the end of the current down move which is consistent with how the previous two major down moves ended.  There is no point identifying a turning point long after it has turned. I am saying that this is evidence that sentiment is changing.

It happened because of a 400BTC buy that caused 4USD slippage, and then another buy which brought us to 110, causing 10USD slippage. It looks super weird to me.



158. Post 2439616 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: strawbs on June 11, 2013, 12:21:19 PM

Appreciated post and welcome. I tend to agree with most that you said. In particular we have to be careful with TA and BTC, in can turn on a dime for no reason.
Can't comment on Jaroslaw. I have never ignored a poster as I think there is occasionally truth in the false, so I don't like to filter information. Though, at times, it certainly gets tough ;-)



I'm guessing it's because most traders (including well backed ones) are spooked by the fact that this is entirely unregulated.  If Mt.Gox gets taken down, who do they raise a law suit against to try to get their cash back?  This prevents most traditional traders from getting into it.

I considered it to be a HUGE risk to deposit c.£30k (c. USD$50k) into a Japanese bank account with zero chance of recourse should they decide to make a run for it or be brought down by the Feds.

I decided to grow some balls and go for it.  Either I have bigger balls than most traditional traders or I'm more reckless. Time will tell, I suppose....

I switched to USD because GBP had crazy spreads in late April.



159. Post 2439925 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 11, 2013, 01:01:36 PM
I'm currently 100% fiat again, looking for a suitable price to buy back in (very speculatively, I'm looking at something around USD52, since I think USD50 will be a psychological trigger with mass-buy in, that will see the beginning of a steady, sustainable, non-bubbled climb)

Oh boy, we are really all on the same page. In fact, after reading your post, I decided to put my biggest bid a tad higher, it was at $52.25 and now it's now at $53.75 (aprox., I'm trading in EUR). My biggest bid during the April, 10th crash was unfilled, as it was at 37ish€, and I missed it for such a low margin... I think the absolute low was 37.8€ or something like that. I still did a nice profit as I re-loaded the truck at an average price of 50€ish ($65ish), but still I don't want that to happen again Wink



Ok I put mine at 53.85! Who's going to give more? Cheesy



160. Post 2440030 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Miz4r on June 11, 2013, 01:16:40 PM
One difference I notice between 2011 and now, is that back then most people were taken by suprise and weren't prepared for the fall. Now it's like everyone's expecting it and preparing for it, which makes me kind of worried that it's not going to happen at all. Maybe it will just consolidate here for a long time, make a few more short dips into the double digits and then move up leaving all the sad bears behind. I'm still speculating on a larger dip, but I see the above as a serious possibility.

Well according to all the nice 2011-2013 graph overlays we are right on track for the long and painful slide.



161. Post 2441018 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 11, 2013, 03:19:34 PM
Price rising again with very low volume... painting the tape?  Can we expect touching $110 today and $115 tomorrow?

Damn manipulators Sad Let the bubble deflate completely!

Anyway, i'm not buying it, sitting 100% on fiat until we go under $80, then i will start purchasing little by little.

Oh man, you're going to be butthurt when it hits $120. On the other hand, I can see $120 then crash to $90 and below. If not, $180 in a month.

Calm down boys. Before going to $180 it has to break $166. When $166 is broken, the sky is the limit.

What about 266?



162. Post 2441045 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

BTW don't forget that somebody bought over 4k of bitcoins @110 immediately after the 1 minute push to 110. Wink



163. Post 2442675 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 11, 2013, 06:33:35 PM
Usual trolling apart, let's see if $110 stands another assault.

Come on guys, if it's broken on the upside, who is panic buying in here?
Not me, I'm already all in.  Smiley
I will be panic buying at 111

Adam, do you use some software for setting your entries and stop orders or just normal interface of mtgox? Assuming you use mtgox of course.



164. Post 2442691 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 11, 2013, 06:38:51 PM
Usual trolling apart, let's see if $110 stands another assault.

Come on guys, if it's broken on the upside, who is panic buying in here?
Not me, I'm already all in.  Smiley
I will be panic buying at 111

Adam, do you use some software for setting your entries and stop orders or just normal interface of mtgox? Assuming you use mtgox of course.

I don't use gox, and no bot.

since i don't use gox i often have 30seconds to panic buy b4 my exchange fallows gox price.  Tongue

Haha, lovely.



165. Post 2442802 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: MAbtc on June 11, 2013, 06:50:52 PM
I don't foresee a situation where I'll be panic buying anytime soon.


It makes me uneasy knowing that there is someone who pulled this (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=231934.0) off, and not understanding his motives which are behind the situation we are experiencing now makes buying quite scary



166. Post 2442872 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 11, 2013, 06:58:58 PM
I don't foresee a situation where I'll be panic buying anytime soon.


It makes me uneasy knowing that there is someone who pulled this (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=231934.0) off, and not understanding his motives which are behind the situation we are experiencing now makes buying quite scary

There are manipulators on both sides. You should be just as scared to sell, if their unknown purposes scare you.

It's just this seems like a major fuckup.

One of things I can think of:

1. Push price to exactly 110, not a dollar more
2. Put a 4k+ wall
3. Hope that once people see 110 they will start panic buying
4. People bite into the wall and the guy ends up with over 4k+ of coins that he bought at 110
5. The guy sees that people do not trust price of 110+ so now he is looking to exit his position and try again later.

Its just a hypotheis, I am quite inexperienced in trading or in methods of market manipulation so if someone can think of a better explaination of what could be the motivation then please do share it.



167. Post 2443285 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on June 11, 2013, 07:50:30 PM
rpietila is back guys


Quite a reaction time you've got  Grin



168. Post 2444614 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 11, 2013, 10:28:47 PM
bids filling in, asks being eaten away.

Are you all in yet?

He said he will buy in at 111.



169. Post 2444714 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: dexX7 on June 11, 2013, 10:36:59 PM
bids filling in, asks being eaten away.

Are you all in yet?

I'm panic buying at 111 like everyone else....

Why 111? Above would be a new D3 high with next possible major resistance at 120, I guess? I'm asking, because you sound very convinced and I'm not sure if I'm missing something here. Smiley

Because this would mean that basically the drop got cancelled. However 3 days ago we had 30k to below 100 and now we have 9k so I am not as trusting as Adam.



170. Post 2445151 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: rdsc on June 11, 2013, 11:31:14 PM
Quote
the spike made the crossover,  the crossover did not make the spike.

Good point - really hard to tell without a higher resolution.  So you think it was a single big buy?

I was awake when it happened and described it in detail here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=231934.0



171. Post 2445471 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

But it was two buys (400+5000) which pushed us to 110. Not "people following goomboo"


EDIT: well well well Smiley


EDIT2: It looks like one sell is executed - like 700BTC, which causes -3USD slippage, and then soon after price is corrected to +3 via a 170BTC buy. Nice way of dumping coins.



172. Post 2448289 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 12, 2013, 07:04:59 AM
Asks piling up all the way to $110. The sellers will become nervous sooner or later, there are too many coins till $110 and no buying pressure whatsoever. Someone that bought from $100 to $105 has to decide wether to sell at a profit at $108 or panic sell and probably lose money if a seller get tired to wait and dumps as few coins as 700-800, pushing the price down.


There are also over 4k coins bought at 110 after failed attempt to channel the price into the 110+ range on the June 10th, this guy can't wait to get out and is just waiting for enough support Grin



173. Post 2449402 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: solex on June 12, 2013, 09:50:57 AM
Everyone who holds anything else as investment except bitcoins has diversified to the detriment of their financial interest.

well done. Hope you have managed to keep hold of most of them.

Yes, I haven given away about 2,000,000 and 1,000,000 has been stolen but I still have some.

Sorry for usage of millibitcoin

just fine. I remember your preference for that.
Looks like next up-leg underway as $110 crumbles.


it hardly crumbles



174. Post 2449621 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: rpietila on June 12, 2013, 10:06:30 AM
I told, I have three things I need to do in bitcoinworld to make it $300/mBTC this year.

Then they took me to a mental institution, and what I wrote, could not be established without me. Even now, it is unlikely that I will be the sole contributor.


I always thought people were insulting rpietila when talking about crazy, not stating medical fact :O



175. Post 2450060 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 12, 2013, 11:22:52 AM

Seems to me like some one is using this desperately thin volume to try and squeeze it up past there to hopefully provoke some decent buying volume on a breakout
My guess, they want to sell into that
I think we will find out shortly ...

+1, remember about the action that brought us here from 95.



176. Post 2450128 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

So.... we touched 110 and nothing happened?



177. Post 2450250 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 12, 2013, 12:02:51 PM
Still no volume. Perhaps the volume will come along if it keeps slowly grinding along towards 115 but I still don't trust this 'rally' and will keep watching from the sidelines.

I just hope there won't be another sunday dump which will make all this pointless.

You think there won't be any preemptive dumps?



178. Post 2450279 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Where is your panic buy, Adam?  Grin



179. Post 2450295 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 12, 2013, 12:14:22 PM
$111 broken. Time to panic buy, for whoever is crazy enough to still hold fiat  Wink

111 seems unnoticed by the reaction of the market



180. Post 2450326 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Pzi4nk on June 12, 2013, 12:16:27 PM

There is some small ideas and big ideas to enforce BTC, though. We already gave Bitcointip in Haikko, and I am likely extending it to Punavuori (an area in the center part of Helsinki where about 5000-10000 people live). We will dole out free millibitcoins as bills, and inform all the restaurants there that if they serve their clients well, they will receive tips (because tips are already there in the hands of their clientele - we have give them out for free to all the inhabitants Smiley )

Then the restaurants can cash them in for euros, or redeem them for actual bitcoins. Or keep them in circulation as bitcoin-denominated change.

My idea is to start with 5, 10, 20 so very small notes that we give out for free and prepare that many do not care. But some will, and that's going to be fun Smiley

You gave away notes worth 5-20 Euro to 5,000-10,000 people?

That's a 75,000 Euro giveaway, right?

I don't see this helping Bitcoin as the notes can be readily converted into fiat. Only people already interested in Bitcoin will see the notes as BTC.

I guess the idea is to get them interested?



181. Post 2450399 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: billington.mark on June 12, 2013, 12:22:20 PM
starting to get a little more exciting now Smiley

Rally is called off, everyone go home.



182. Post 2450478 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: billington.mark on June 12, 2013, 12:32:23 PM
starting to get a little more exciting now Smiley

Rally is called off, everyone go home.

"A watched pot never boils"

Everyone close down clarkmoody\bitcoincharts\bitcoinity\mtgoxlive\etc so the price can jump up...

It seems there is no trust in value above 110, no panic buys too...



183. Post 2450930 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: wonkytonky on June 12, 2013, 01:16:42 PM
+1.5kBTC panic buyed from $110.5 to $112. Who pulled the trigger in here?

I didn't, because....

Wink

i bought a part of it..   
I just needed to test myself to see that i was right..   

and i was ..




Right in what?



184. Post 2452365 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 12, 2013, 03:59:28 PM
180 in less than 13 days  Cool

Do you want to bet on it?



185. Post 2452387 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 12, 2013, 04:16:05 PM
180 in less than 13 days  Cool

Do you want to bet on it?

do you accept Abstract Coin  Huh

I accept BTC and Paypal. So?

EDIT: LTC is fine too.



186. Post 2452488 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 12, 2013, 04:23:52 PM
180 in less than 13 days  Cool

Do you want to bet on it?

do you accept Abstract Coin  Huh

I accept BTC and Paypal. So?

EDIT: LTC is fine too.

last time i made a bet like this I lost 1 BTC..

i'd rather bet by buying or selling the coins themselves

C'mon it's sure gain for you, after all in less than 13 days it's going to be 180, huh? Smiley
Why are you spreading such bullshit if you are not willing to put the money where your mouth is?



187. Post 2452747 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 12, 2013, 04:38:35 PM
adamstgBit, we went past $110... did you panic buy like you said you would?  Smiley

no i just woke up.

i think i will be buying today, tho.

need to do some more TA wishful thinking to reassure myself


Just to confirm, you are not willing to bet that we will reach 180 in 13 days like you claimed?



188. Post 2454250 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: 10c on June 12, 2013, 07:04:44 PM
Ok back on topic as this is not the tread for this I think  Roll Eyes

for what price did you buy in adam?

He most likely didn't, he does not believe in the 180$ in 13 days bullshit himself.



189. Post 2454285 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 12, 2013, 07:07:39 PM
Ok back on topic as this is not the tread for this I think  Roll Eyes

for what price did you buy in adam?

He most likely didn't, he does not believe in the 180$ in 13 days bullshit himself.

But what about the Bitcoin Baby ??

Guess it got aborted.



190. Post 2454307 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 12, 2013, 07:09:47 PM
Ok back on topic as this is not the tread for this I think  Roll Eyes

for what price did you buy in adam?

He most likely didn't, he does not believe in the 180$ in 13 days bullshit himself.

I got some at 106, the lowest price on virtex today   Grin

yes i do believe 180$ in 13days, this is why i will panic buy at 111


111 already happened, and you were online at that time and decided not to buy. If you believe in 180 why you refused a bet?



191. Post 2454319 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 12, 2013, 07:11:42 PM
yes i do believe 180$ in 13days, this is why i will panic buy at 111


Didn't you say $110 previously?

Nah, he said that he will panic buy at 111 "like everyone else"



192. Post 2454497 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 12, 2013, 07:26:15 PM
So your confident this pricing isn't a trap...
at least you have balls.  Grin
Like most of us here: Low volume makes me indecisive.

A 'what' trap ? Bull trap ... yeah, that's where my money is placed
Gotta make a decision sometimes ... indecision can hurt more than losing money  Tongue

Definitely a conspiracy though, whatever happens - of that much I am sure  Cheesy

+1, can't wait



193. Post 2454540 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: 10c on June 12, 2013, 07:29:47 PM
So your confident this pricing isn't a trap...
at least you have balls.  Grin
Like most of us here: Low volume makes me indecisive.

A 'what' trap ? Bull trap ... yeah, that's where my money is placed
Gotta make a decision sometimes ... indecision can hurt more than losing money  Tongue

Definitely a conspiracy though, whatever happens - of that much I am sure  Cheesy



No, no hurt; buy and hold Tongue
I'm a bull, however I think this is a pump to build support and when the bulls think were in the clear, dumping starts. Without our trustworthy TA I call 60-80 once we have support at 120

My bet is that as long as there is enough support in the 110-115 shit will go down. At most. But honestly I can't see 115 to be likely. Too much to lose in trying to pump it up to there.



194. Post 2454692 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: 10c on June 12, 2013, 07:42:06 PM
Maybe you are right. I'm here to learn.
I am certain manipulation is going on.
If I had a shitload of coins I would try to kickstart the price with the fiat from previous dumps, let the bulls do the rest and then keep dumping to that range.

edit Any lower would ensure bear market for prolonged time. which would mean I have to wait to long for recovery

Yeah the thing is there are no bulls. Even the 111 and then 112 did not trigger any bullish transactions, as some inc. Adam predicted ("I will be panic buying at 111 like everyone else". The only way is down.



195. Post 2454729 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on June 12, 2013, 07:47:00 PM
Maybe you are right. I'm here to learn.
I am certain manipulation is going on.
If I had a shitload of coins I would try to kickstart the price with the fiat from previous dumps, let the bulls do the rest and then keep dumping to that range.

edit Any lower would ensure bear market for prolonged time. which would mean I have to wait to long for recovery

Yeah the thing is there are no bulls. Even the 111 and then 112 did not trigger any market making transactions, as some inc. Adam predicted ("I will be panic buying at 111 like everyone else". The only way is down.

As long as there is no down-turn there is no rush for that.

I agree. I'm just saying that there was a bait in form of breaking 111 and then even 112 yet nobody seemed to trust it enough to buy in.



196. Post 2454803 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: 10c on June 12, 2013, 07:51:58 PM
Nah there's enough bulls. Only thing is they want 'cheap' coins at sub 80...
so everybody's waiting for further crashing/deflation.
We just need to wait for the impatient to make a move.
some might call this 'consolidaition' but I think most are just waiting for 'cheap' coins
we have to go to at least 'cheap' coins before we go 'up,up,up'

On this forum wanting cheap coins makes you a bear. Everyone is long term bullish here.



197. Post 2455450 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on June 12, 2013, 08:50:43 PM

Twp decades barely classifies as long term, let alone super long term. Super long term is a couple of centuries.

No no, super long term is couple of millenia, couple of centuries is mid-term! Fucking absurd.



198. Post 2455592 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 12, 2013, 09:08:28 PM
I just don't see the big difference in price when people talk about cheap coins. I don't see the point in waiting for a 20 dollar drop. If you believe in Bitcoin long term then everything now is cheap.
Bitcoin either will be worth 0 or a lot. I think most people will agree. In the case it turns out to be a lot then who cares if you bought for 80 or 130 dollars? Those prices will be a joke.
That's why i think the whole cheap coins thing gets a bit stupid at times.

I bought before the hype and i'm still buying every now and then.
Ofcourse i try to pick the best times but really it doesn't bother me if it's 80 or 120.
And i for sure won't love to see the whole Bitcoin economy going down to 50 just to buy a few cheaper coins. Unlike many people here. I think it's ridiculous and rude to think that way. Pure greed.

It makes a massive difference if you buy at 30 vs 110 if bitcoin is going to the moon. You have 3 times as many of them.



199. Post 2455698 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 12, 2013, 09:20:26 PM
Nah there's enough bulls. Only thing is they want 'cheap' coins at sub 80...
so everybody's waiting for further crashing/deflation.
We just need to wait for the impatient to make a move.
some might call this 'consolidaition' but I think most are just waiting for 'cheap' coins
we have to go to at least 'cheap' coins before we go 'up,up,up'

On this forum wanting cheap coins makes you a bear. Everyone is long term bullish here.

What do you expect at bitcointalk.org? Or you are the kind of guy who enjoys hanging around on forums about projects that will fail only for the lulz? Huh

So you think crashing to 30, or believing in crashing to 30 means believing that BITCOIN WILL FAIL?  Shocked Shocked

I believe in bitcoin, I think that maybe even 4 figure price might be possible. But I think that we are yet to see the capitulation.



200. Post 2455808 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: 10c on June 12, 2013, 09:33:53 PM
point being a lot bulls want to buy, but the prospect of really cheap coins tomorrow compared to today keeps even them waiting

bulls waiting = bulls being bears



201. Post 2460661 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on June 13, 2013, 05:37:41 AM
the spread has been more or less 1$ or ~1%, this is a pretty big spread... what do you think it means?

I think, its because of the recent wild price swing. First, all the bids from 109 to 87 get wiped out Shocked. But! the market sees this a buying opportunity and ~30K BTC buy orders are executed, this bring the price for 88 right back up to 110 with practically 0 buying pressure ( no bid walls ) fueling the rally. recognizing the buying opportunity, the market has keep the price at this level despite the buying pressure lagging behind.

The spread will tighten as buyers acquire more confidence, and buyers will acquire more confidence, as the buying pressure comes back.

once buying pressure builds we will be heading higher, the price move Up, will encourage more buying pressure.

we are seeing this now! we had a false breakout today as buying pressure started showing signs of coming coming back.

were sitting on a launch pad people...

place your bids!

Cool

It's an obvious trap.  It defies all logic and reason that so many can't see it.  Oh wait...bitcointalk.org...nevermind.  Makes perfect sense.   Grin

I wonder how if Adam believes that his posts have enough power to affect the market in any significant way.



202. Post 2460744 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: BitPirate on June 13, 2013, 08:30:49 AM
People have learnt by now.... surely??

Any big dumps will be swiftly bought back. Whether that be Thursday, Friday or Sunday.

There will be no sustained drop of more than $2 for the next few weeks.

Want to bet on that call?



203. Post 2460973 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: BitPirate on June 13, 2013, 09:13:29 AM
People have learnt by now.... surely??

Any big dumps will be swiftly bought back. Whether that be Thursday, Friday or Sunday.

There will be no sustained drop of more than $2 for the next few weeks.

Want to bet on that call?

Nope!

If there are any drops, I'll be buying all the way down however --- and I see a number of people doing the same.

By "sustained" I mean "lasting for more than a few hours".


Yup, me too, like the 95 area drop.



204. Post 2461000 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: BitPirate on June 13, 2013, 09:17:10 AM
Yes, and everyone else too.

Which is why I find a sustained significant drop unlikely.

But not unlikely enough to bet that it won't happen. And you said 2$.



205. Post 2461199 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 13, 2013, 09:50:34 AM

Nope. Mr. Manip only strikes twice in a row. The third time would be otherwise too easily predictable Tongue

I expect next wash-rinse-repeat cycle from him in no less than 6 weeks - like when the memories of his distinctive pattern will have faded enough.  Grin

Kinda with you on that ... I will be surprised to see the a big Sunday dump this week and am expecting him to stay away a while
But then again, Bitcoin does like surprises ... hmmm  <scrathces chin thoughtfully>



It will take one pre-emptive dumper to trigger hell Cheesy



206. Post 2461395 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: 10c on June 13, 2013, 10:27:00 AM

Nope. Mr. Manip only strikes twice in a row. The third time would be otherwise too easily predictable Tongue

I expect next wash-rinse-repeat cycle from him in no less than 6 weeks - like when the memories of his distinctive pattern will have faded enough.  Grin

Kinda with you on that ... I will be surprised to see the a big Sunday dump this week and am expecting him to stay away a while
But then again, Bitcoin does like surprises ... hmmm  <scrathces chin thoughtfully>



It will take one pre-emptive dumper to trigger hell Cheesy

Bitcoin can go any way at this point; The oppostite is also true,
One big buyer can trigger an uptrend now.

We have touched 112.2 yesterday and it did not result in an uptrend. How big the buyer would have to be?



207. Post 2461826 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 13, 2013, 11:31:41 AM

Oh boy, I'm really waiting for some agency/government to try to "ban" Bitcoin. But I guess they are not *that* stupid. Wink

You realise that it will negatively affect price, at least in short term?



208. Post 2461903 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 13, 2013, 11:38:57 AM

Oh boy, I'm really waiting for some agency/government to try to "ban" Bitcoin. But I guess they are not *that* stupid. Wink

You realise that it will negatively affect price, at least in short term?

Probably short term. But not mid-term, or long-term. Everything illegal comes with a premium.

Then, Bitcoin was designed to resist bans. Both the protocol and its creator analyzed a "government ban" situation and prepared for it (why do you think Satoshi is a pseudonym, he always used Tor, and never left traces of who he really was?).

This experiment needs to be fully tested. I don't know if ay government is going to be so stupid to ban Bitcoin, but if they do they will make it stronger, because was designed with that it mind.

Short term price is irrelevant in the grand scheme of things. Some of us are not here for the quick buck.

But we all know how much was bitcoin when it was used only for illegal purposes and not for speculation like today. I would like to hear your opinion on what will happen with bitcoin if it will be illegal to run a bitcoin exchange? Of course TOR-based exchanges could appear, but big money would be gone.



209. Post 2461972 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 13, 2013, 11:53:10 AM

But we all know how much was bitcoin when it was used only for illegal purposes and not for speculation like today. I would like to hear your opinion on what will happen with bitcoin if it will be illegal to run a bitcoin exchange? Of course TOR-based exchanges could appear, but big money would be gone.

First and foremost, a global ban is unlikely. The most likely scenario is that there would be countries where it would still be legal to run exchanges. And "big money" knows how "offshore banking" works - especially is this "big money" comes from dubious sources. I bet you know that there is a lot of "big money" (or better, HUGE money) in counterfeit pharmaceutical drugs, prostitution, illegal weapons traffic, drugs, etc.

Secondly, Dread Pirate Roberts (SR operator) is a visionary. But new generations of "criminals" will join the pack as soon as they understand BTC. If BTC is banned, they would be even more attracted by it. "Criminal activity" (or black market) is a 1,829 billion per year market. If only a small % of that economic activity goes to BTC the price will skyrocket, and as I said earlier: everything illegal comes with a premium.

Bitcoin has the potential to be HUGE regardless of the official position of Governements.




I always thought that bright future of Bitcoin that we look forward to is not being a currency used by criminal big money, and when somebody mentions big money they mean investors, not human trafficing and weapons.

But yeah, I'm fine with that as long as price goes up.



210. Post 2462060 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: needmorecoins on June 13, 2013, 12:04:59 PM
lol imagine drug lords standing around waiting 40 minutes for 6 confirmations before finishing their exchanges.

40 mins is nothing when compared to effort of paying with cash

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 13, 2013, 12:06:18 PM

But we all know how much was bitcoin when it was used only for illegal purposes and not for speculation like today. I would like to hear your opinion on what will happen with bitcoin if it will be illegal to run a bitcoin exchange? Of course TOR-based exchanges could appear, but big money would be gone.

First and foremost, a global ban is unlikely. The most likely scenario is that there would be countries where it would still be legal to run exchanges. And "big money" knows how "offshore banking" works - especially is this "big money" comes from dubious sources. I bet you know that there is a lot of "big money" (or better, HUGE money) in counterfeit pharmaceutical drugs, prostitution, illegal weapons traffic, drugs, etc.

Secondly, Dread Pirate Roberts (SR operator) is a visionary. But new generations of "criminals" will join the pack as soon as they understand BTC. If BTC is banned, they would be even more attracted by it. "Criminal activity" (or black market) is a 1,829 billion per year market. If only a small % of that economic activity goes to BTC the price will skyrocket, and as I said earlier: everything illegal comes with a premium.

Bitcoin has the potential to be HUGE regardless of the official position of Governements.




I always thought that bright future of Bitcoin that we look forward to is not being a currency used by criminal big money, and when somebody mentions big money they mean investors, not human trafficing and weapons.

But yeah, I'm fine with that as long as price goes up.
Of course bitcoin is the currency of criminals, that's why it was created in the first place, to have a safe haven for criminals. But you need to realize that being a criminal is not a bad thing, it's a good thing.

Now that's something! It's a good thing for the criminal as long as they are not caught, and a bad thing to their victims.



211. Post 2462141 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 13, 2013, 12:13:53 PM
Of course bitcoin is the currency of criminals, that's why it was created in the first place, to have a safe haven for criminals. But you need to realize that being a criminal is not a bad thing, it's a good thing.

Now that's something! It's a good thing for the criminal as long as they are not caught, and a bad thing to their victims.
You seem to live under the illusion that every crime has a victim, that is utterly false. In fact, most crimes are completely victimless.

Following your line of thought by saying that "being criminal is a good thing" you live under the illusion that every crime is victimless.



212. Post 2462245 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 13, 2013, 12:21:50 PM
Of course bitcoin is the currency of criminals, that's why it was created in the first place, to have a safe haven for criminals. But you need to realize that being a criminal is not a bad thing, it's a good thing.

Now that's something! It's a good thing for the criminal as long as they are not caught, and a bad thing to their victims.
You seem to live under the illusion that every crime has a victim, that is utterly false. In fact, most crimes are completely victimless.

Victimless crimes is logical contradiction. What they call victimless crimes aren't crimes. (blasphemy, prostitution etc.)
Victimless crimes are still crimes. If you break the law, you are a criminal.
Of course bitcoin is the currency of criminals, that's why it was created in the first place, to have a safe haven for criminals. But you need to realize that being a criminal is not a bad thing, it's a good thing.

Now that's something! It's a good thing for the criminal as long as they are not caught, and a bad thing to their victims.
You seem to live under the illusion that every crime has a victim, that is utterly false. In fact, most crimes are completely victimless.

Following your line of thought by saying that "being criminal is a good thing" you live under the illusion that every crime is victimless.
That's a weird conclusion. Most crimes are victimless, some are not. But since the majority of criminal actions are victimless, I believe it's fair to say it's a good thing that bitcoin is used by criminals.

It's just as weird as your conclusion that I seem to live under some kind of illusion Wink



213. Post 2462288 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 13, 2013, 12:36:42 PM

It's just as weird as your conclusion that I seem to live under some kind of illusion Wink
If you believe most criminals have done something morally unjustifiable, you're either morally corrupt or live under the illusion that those crimes have victims, even though they do not.

But I never said anything like that. I only being a criminal is good for the criminal and bad for their victims. If there are no victims then it can't be bad for them.



214. Post 2462391 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: 10c on June 13, 2013, 12:40:48 PM
Sure sounds like there's a lot of SR vendors on this thread, trying to morally justify they are just that  Roll Eyes

Maybe bitcoin economy is mostly SR afterall...

Bitcoin economy = SR + asic companies to mine bitcoins Cheesy



215. Post 2462468 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 13, 2013, 12:54:17 PM
Sure sounds like there's a lot of SR vendors on this thread, trying to morally justify they are just that  Roll Eyes

Maybe bitcoin economy is mostly SR afterall...

Bitcoin economy = SR + asic companies to mine bitcoins Cheesy

You forget that 99% is pure speculation - like in fiat economy. Or just compare Forex daily turnover ($3.98 trillion) with any other business in the world.

Speculation drives economy in the capitalist system. That's it.



I don't forget that. I'm saying that once speculation is gone all that's left is SR and ASIC companies Smiley



216. Post 2462510 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 13, 2013, 01:00:41 PM
In other news: guys, time to sell. Really.

What? Has it reached $300k/mBTC already?

Almost - anyhow, I'm just trolling. You guys know i'm a long term perma-bull Wink

Is there anyone who is not?



217. Post 2462587 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on June 13, 2013, 01:10:00 PM
In other news: guys, time to sell. Really.

What? Has it reached $300k/mBTC already?

Almost - anyhow, I'm just trolling. You guys know i'm a long term perma-bull Wink

Is there anyone who is not?
Those who held 100% fiat and waited for the price to drop to $2 one more time, back in 2011. Ooops  Wink

I suppose they had their entry points at which they decided the bear market is over, just like me. I think we will drop to 30's but if we get through certain point above current price I will enter.



218. Post 2462853 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: happygeorge on June 13, 2013, 01:43:58 PM
Poll about a "crash" this weekend

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=233452.0

BE HEARD!  Smiley


Polls like this are pointless.



219. Post 2463212 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: happygeorge on June 13, 2013, 02:26:48 PM
Poll about a "crash" this weekend

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=233452.0

BE HEARD!  Smiley


Polls like this are pointless.

I beg to differ, even now, it is interesting to see what people think... and the ramifications of the responses, and our knowledge of that affects valuation and actions of each of us!

I think it provides a window on what people think, and thus their view will affect what will actually happen.

And if people believe it will/may go below, say $50, then that means, that most of us who ONLY HAVE BTC, must sell at some point ABOVE $50... thus starting the ball rolling/falling towards that "low" from where it will make a HUGE BOUNCE back to somewhere...

Anyhow, I think it is interesting, and thus fun, thus NOT "pointless"! Smiley

Yes it would be fun if people were answering these polls under an oath, otherwise it will be a mix of wishful thinking, manipulation and bullshit.



220. Post 2464432 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: dexX7 on June 13, 2013, 04:23:44 PM
Bitstamp in trouble. Smiley


Let's see if gox trades basing on bitstamp Cheesy



221. Post 2467183 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on June 13, 2013, 08:15:19 PM

Is it just me or this canyon has gotten a tad steeper if compared to few days ago?

Is that a serious question? Is it just me or is it June 13th while few days ago the day could be expressed with a single digit? Fuck, I'm so observative.



222. Post 2467917 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 13, 2013, 09:41:53 PM
Action?  Grin

Damn, I was away! How much was dumped?



223. Post 2467924 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Ultraviolet on June 13, 2013, 09:43:08 PM
110 is the new 135.

And then 90 will be the new 110 Cheesy


there she goes!



224. Post 2467942 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

I'm watching that 105 wall too Cheesy



225. Post 2467967 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: ineededausername on June 13, 2013, 09:45:58 PM
Is there something I don't know?  No reason the price should be going down further... oh well.

The way in which we moved back into 100's is the reason Wink



226. Post 2468004 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Miz4r on June 13, 2013, 09:49:23 PM
The whale who bought at 95 with slippage to 110 isn't going to be too happy I think. Will he cut his losses and sell? Tongue

I'm glad at least somebody noticed that! And also he did buy another 4k+ of coins at 110, as he put a wall there straight after the buy which got eaten through.



227. Post 2468362 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 13, 2013, 10:28:48 PM
You've had 4 years to buy cheap coins.

I want this heaven sent opportunity to continue  Grin

You want Bitcoin to lose 500 million in value just so you can buy a few cheap coins? Are you serious? I understand people are greedy but that greedy!?

People on this forum are looking forward to whole countries going bankrupt and you are surprised by this?



228. Post 2468509 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on June 13, 2013, 10:49:00 PM
However, $50 coins may bankrupt you if the market never recovers.
2011 survivors know better. Both during the periods of overvaluation and undervaluation.




229. Post 2468595 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: michaelGedi on June 13, 2013, 10:58:12 PM


95 --> 103.5

1000BTC just sold says nope



230. Post 2468764 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: rdsc on June 13, 2013, 11:15:35 PM
Interesting, there is a bidwall of 3000 on Gox at 105.
And a mini one on Bitstamp still of 700 or so.

I think that's called wishful thinking.

Huh? http://mtgoxlive.com/orders

Just meant that they'd be lucky to get 105 - did they get eaten or just evaporate? Missed all the excitement

Evaporated, at least the one at 105



231. Post 2473513 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Go go go, 99!



232. Post 2473554 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: ardana123 on June 14, 2013, 01:10:28 PM
don't you mean
go, Go, GO?

I mean crash to the floor so greedy me can buy cheaply and assume that bubble is over.



233. Post 2473598 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: gandhibt on June 14, 2013, 01:13:50 PM
don't you mean
go, Go, GO?

I mean crash to the floor so greedy me can buy cheaply and assume that bubble is over.
Where's your bids? How much are you going to buy? I assume you are all fiat now?

All fiat, I have them proportionally spread out in 30-60 area.



234. Post 2473635 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: gandhibt on June 14, 2013, 01:17:25 PM
don't you mean
go, Go, GO?

I mean crash to the floor so greedy me can buy cheaply and assume that bubble is over.
Where's your bids? How much are you going to buy? I assume you are all fiat now?

All fiat, I have them proportionally spread out in 30-60 area.
You should move them to 51-80 area, it's very unlikely that we will see below 50.

I strongly believe that bubble requires a capitulation stage, the true panic and fear, it wont happen above 50. But I might be mistaken. I also have my panic buy limit but it is secret  Wink



235. Post 2473888 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: klee on June 14, 2013, 01:39:12 PM
85$ bottom for this fall!
Any other predictions?  Grin

Only 3 dollars lower than last fall?



236. Post 2475397 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

I wonder how much posts from cypherdoc thread influence the price



237. Post 2475517 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Ultraviolet on June 14, 2013, 04:39:26 PM
Bitcoin isn't really a sinking ship, it's just still overvalued from the bubble. Expecting the price to stabilize from what it was early in the year to $100+ without a large, sustained influx of new buyers is just not realistic.

Yup. And we are in for a long painful slide  Smiley



238. Post 2475648 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: samson on June 14, 2013, 04:50:07 PM
Bitcoin isn't really a sinking ship, it's just still overvalued from the bubble. Expecting the price to stabilize from what it was early in the year to $100+ without a large, sustained influx of new buyers is just not realistic.

Yup. And we are in for a long painful slide  Smiley

I'm just waiting it out at the moment.

I will probably buy and sell several times on the way down after each major movement when I expect to see a significant bounce.

I guess I'd class a major movement as something like $100 down to $70/$80 - these movements can happen very fast as can the bounce.

Then I'll dump again and wait for the next leg down into the $50 range, and so on until we hit the bottom which I suspect will be nearer to $20 than $50.

It would be so much easier to somehow forget about it for few months, wouldn't it?



239. Post 2475709 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: samson on June 14, 2013, 04:56:07 PM
Bitcoin isn't really a sinking ship, it's just still overvalued from the bubble. Expecting the price to stabilize from what it was early in the year to $100+ without a large, sustained influx of new buyers is just not realistic.

Yup. And we are in for a long painful slide  Smiley

I'm just waiting it out at the moment.

I will probably buy and sell several times on the way down after each major movement when I expect to see a significant bounce.

I guess I'd class a major movement as something like $100 down to $70/$80 - these movements can happen very fast as can the bounce.

Then I'll dump again and wait for the next leg down into the $50 range, and so on until we hit the bottom which I suspect will be nearer to $20 than $50.

It would be so much easier to somehow forget about it for few months, wouldn't it?

In a way yes, however I don't want to miss the buying and selling opportunities along the way. It would be great to increase my USD by 50% before we reach the bottom.


Depends on how confident you are in your trading ability.



240. Post 2476543 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 14, 2013, 06:40:04 PM
time to catch the " last chance to sell above 100 " cheap coins.  Cool



First your 180$ trolling now this, are you getting away with it only because you have 10x more posts than Jaroslaw?



241. Post 2476621 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 14, 2013, 06:51:04 PM
time to catch the " last chance to sell above 100 " cheap coins.  Cool



First your 180$ trolling now this, are you getting away with it only because you have 10x more posts than Jaroslaw?

Why you so chippy 4 eyes ?

It's just annoying how trolling by an established poster is tolerated and good fun while jarsolaw's bullshit is the opposite, while both of these things are exactly the same.



242. Post 2476681 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 14, 2013, 06:59:33 PM
time to catch the " last chance to sell above 100 " cheap coins.  Cool



First your 180$ trolling now this, are you getting away with it only because you have 10x more posts than Jaroslaw?

Why you so chippy 4 eyes ?

It's just annoying how trolling by an established poster is tolerated and good fun while jarsolaw's bullshit is the opposite, while both of these things are exactly the same.

Lots of things seem to annoy you from what I read - maybe it's not their problem




Nope, not lots at all Smiley However hypocrisy and fanatism definitely are on the list Wink



243. Post 2477806 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: ft73 on June 14, 2013, 09:18:46 PM
Still around 100$. Now i won't exclude a bullish break-up with target 110$ ...

My bet is we won't see 116 before crashing to 85.



244. Post 2477972 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 14, 2013, 09:38:53 PM

I cannot even imagine being totally out. Every man needs his untouchable paper wallet. The feeling of being 100% out has to be unbearable even for the biggest bear Cheesy

I guess it is a bit different if you mined. I casually mine LTC (2.5/day) and I don't even care about their price, shorting them etc. The mindset changes completely once you buy virtual currency.



245. Post 2478011 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: samson on June 14, 2013, 09:41:57 PM
I cannot even imagine being totally out. Every man needs his untouchable paper wallet. The feeling of being 100% out has to be unbearable even for the biggest bear Cheesy

I'm managing just fine without any BTC.

I really don't see why anyone continues to hold it while it's going down in value.

I appreciate it though as when they do all panic at the same time I'll be ready.


If you bought in at 20$ you don't really give a fuck if its 90 or 100.



246. Post 2478444 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

This recent talk made me think - how many of people in this topic, who hold BTC are at loss from their average entry point?



247. Post 2478613 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 14, 2013, 10:57:58 PM
This recent talk made me think - how many of people in this topic, who hold BTC are at loss from their average entry point?

i would imagine very few people are sitting on a loss


So it's after majority will sit on loss we will be finished with the bubble Smiley



248. Post 2478770 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

42BTC sell has 1.6USD slippage, nice



249. Post 2478869 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: BitcoinAshley on June 14, 2013, 11:49:40 PM

As for the boating accident - cashing out through an exchange (and your bank reporting the >$10,000 deposit to your bank account to the IRS per regulation) isn't the only way to cash out.

Yeah I saw people selling dollar bills for BTC on Silkroad  Grin Legit bills, good reviews.



250. Post 2478991 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on June 15, 2013, 12:13:25 AM
crash is coming soon, bitcoin will rise!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2WDqo3k72vs

Bitcoin, the hedge against the world economy?

Wow, that's powerful. I have not heard it before.



251. Post 2479077 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on June 15, 2013, 12:18:23 AM
crash is coming soon, bitcoin will rise!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2WDqo3k72vs

Bitcoin, the hedge against the world economy?

Wow, that's powerful. I have not heard it before.

Did my sarcasm go *Woosh!* as it flew over your head?

It did, my sarcasm detectors got totally miscalibrated after some of the cult-like talk about bitcoin.



252. Post 2479163 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: MAbtc on June 15, 2013, 12:50:25 AM
the wall at 100 keeps growing

Yeah when did those 5k coins show up?!

I wish I was less tired so I could stay all night and watch



253. Post 2479200 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: byronbb on June 15, 2013, 12:57:32 AM
Bids terrified of a $400k ask wall...for shame.

They might be terrified that other people are terrified



254. Post 2479341 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on June 15, 2013, 01:24:42 AM
Buy pressure decreasing and price is slipping away from 100. Looks like a weekend drop, not by whales but by self fulfilling prophecy.

Whales will come soon



255. Post 2479553 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

No more 4k coins offered at 100? Clear sign to buy at 101!



256. Post 2483707 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on June 15, 2013, 03:54:41 PM

This sounds market bullish, be still my beating heart for things are back to normal  Wink

Drop the price to 99 again and I'll purchase 20k USD of bitcoins.


Quite a claim to make, you don't have to prove anything but it would be cool to see some proof that you actually bought 200BTC once we touch 99.



257. Post 2484410 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 15, 2013, 05:31:56 PM
What an incredible rally this was. Moved back to $104 with a powerful volume of ~5k coins.

I can feel the bullish market.  Roll Eyes

A good effort by whoever tried but it failed. Down we go.


Pretty big wall at $96.01, $1M in total. And its money that it was just added to the order book (check blockchained chart), not money already present in it that consolidated at that point.

Interesting times. Much more interesting than in 2011 I'd say.

Walls in bitcoin world have a peculiar tendency to disappear



258. Post 2484431 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: samson on June 15, 2013, 05:36:51 PM
What an incredible rally this was. Moved back to $104 with a powerful volume of ~5k coins.

I can feel the bullish market.  Roll Eyes

A good effort by whoever tried but it failed. Down we go.


Pretty big wall at $96.01, $1M in total. And its money that it was just added to the order book (check blockchained chart), not money already present in it that consolidated at that point.

Interesting times. Much more interesting than in 2011 I'd say.

Walls in bitcoin world have a peculiar tendency to disappear

Yes, looks like it's gone already


I really liked the 16k wall at 95. It appeared and then 30 seconds later a buy was executed that took us to 110 Smiley



259. Post 2490706 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: BitPirate on June 16, 2013, 01:52:43 PM
If you look back at the bubble crash, then it's obvious that afterwards when the price went down below 100, every time the price went back up to above 100 in a relatively short time.
 
This happened several times, indicating that the market will not settle for a price below 100.

The bounces were smaller every time, indicating that the market will not (yet) want to go up. This means it will go down. If it can't go up here it will go down.

This will happen:

-> a little bit more bouncing around here at these levels
-> decisive move below $100, breaking previous lows (huge triangle break)
-> fear and panic
-> $50 -> bounce -> a few weeks of hope -> down again
-> $50 -> smaller bounce -> a few days of (smaller) hope -> down again
-> $50 -> uncertainty, fear -> break -> stops triggered and n00bs panic
-> $30 -> strong bounce -> a few months hope -> down agan
-> $30 -> smaller bounce  - a few weeks (smaller) hope -> down again
-> $30 -> uncertainty, fear -> break -> more stops and more panic
-> $20
-> me converting most of my Fiat to BTC
-> price goes up again, third bubble slowly beginning.


It's ridiculous to make these assertions before the weekend is out. Everyone is waiting to see if the dumper strikes again. Jury is out until Tues/Weds.

This scenario does not look ridiculus at all, although I think there will be at least one or two major bounces between here and 100. Do you seriously believe that there is a possibility that we will begin growth that will surpass the ATH wihout going below first 80? By "believe" and "possibility" I mean at least 51% chance.



260. Post 2493132 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on June 16, 2013, 07:55:25 PM
Anyone else feeling a rally?

Detroit going to default, bid side is heavy and we have held the 100 dollar mark nicely? I'm 50% fiat and planning on a buy in.

There are too many people trapped in 110-112 for a rally.



261. Post 2507694 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: rpietila on June 18, 2013, 09:42:19 AM

If we break to the upside, I will buy in at a loss with a predetermined schedule. I am not nearly as sure of the probability and timescale of my $300k prediction as before. However, IF crypto takes over fiat, there is still no realistic way to do it without Bitcoin reaching $300k. (Or I would still like to hear the reasoning  Grin )

Glad to hear your rehabilitation is progressing. Keep being strong.



262. Post 2507765 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: VolanicEruptor on June 18, 2013, 10:02:18 AM
Just broke through 105.  I have a feeling this rally is going to go on for several hours.

we did not touch 105



263. Post 2521376 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: barbs on June 19, 2013, 04:49:58 PM
The % is really small compared to when i first got on this train in Feb lol.

BTC finding its legs how cute.

The % of what?



264. Post 2524204 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Was there a big wall at 105 today that disappeared or am I imagining stuff?



265. Post 2539691 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

5 and 20BTC buys with 1.5$ slippage, seems like people desperately want to keep the price high



266. Post 2540266 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: spooderman on June 21, 2013, 11:37:42 AM
How the fuk would gox become insolvent... They're sitting on a goldmine of trading fees alone. You guys really need to stop thinking the worst possible scenarios, I personally think Gox isn't as bad as you guys make it seem. Yes, they have problems, but that's to be expected of an online exchange operating in a novelty area like bitcoin...

GOX is doomed.  The sob stories are going to be classic, as millions evaporate to fund the retirement of Gox executives.

I wouldn't go that far but they certainly have lost a lot of customers and they were partly responsible for the big correction a few months ago.
You reap what you sow, so I think Gox will just lose market share. That is needed.
They have done a lot for BTC, being a leader is very difficult. At least they have been great with security.
It will be nice when the exchanges are more evenly distributed, % wise.

Didn't they lose everyone's password hashes recently? My friend had everything stolen.

If your "friend" did not use 2 step authentication he deserved it.



267. Post 2540628 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: klee on June 21, 2013, 12:49:15 PM
Can someone explain to me why, under the certain circumstances, price @MtGox is falling?!?

Maybe people here overestimate impact of news about wire transfers? And they were not behind price rise?



268. Post 2553117 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: dexX7 on June 22, 2013, 10:42:02 PM
In march they processed over $5.2M. Mt.Gox's volume in currency for march was around $120M.

Edit:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eaJwiXN-8cI  Wink

did that have something to do with ASIC's?



269. Post 2558392 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

action!



270. Post 2558542 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

And now 200BTC 2USD slippage pump back to prepare support at 108 again Smiley



271. Post 2558602 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: QuestionAuthority on June 23, 2013, 04:52:45 PM
LOL, now the Bitcoin Foundation is a money transmiter bussines? Cease an desist order here -> http://www.scribd.com/fullscreen/149335233?access_key=key-2lnhtenm4qb1mydngxac&allow_share=false&show_recommendations=false

What a joke, i wonder how they got that misleading info.

can someone explain why they should be a money transmitter?

Because they have created an org that is a central point of contact for money transmission businesses. Remember that whole "centralization is evil" thing? Well they did it anyway.

Well if they disappear nothing happens to bitcoin.



272. Post 2559316 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on June 23, 2013, 06:15:28 PM
By the way, MtGox already has working API for LTC/USD:
http://data.mtgox.com/api/1/LTCUSD/ticker
http://data.mtgox.com/api/1/LTCUSD/depth/fetch
http://data.mtgox.com/api/1/LTCUSD/trades/fetch

My prediction is the price for LTC will be at least $12-15 when Gox starts working with it.


And bitcoin will be 700$?



273. Post 2559380 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on June 23, 2013, 06:37:58 PM
And bitcoin will be 700$?

If Bitcoin is $700, Litecoin will be $80-90

Because aliens.  Roll Eyes

Don't forget that BTC has a blockchain limit for number of transactions to operate.
LTC will be useful for small transactions to unload BTC. So, BTC+LTC will be a very stable payment system in the future.

So what should be stopping me from buying fully into LTC and forgetting about BTC? You obviously believe that if bitcoin appreciates 7 times, LTC will appreciate 40 times.



274. Post 2559427 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on June 23, 2013, 06:41:36 PM
And bitcoin will be 700$?

If Bitcoin is $700, Litecoin will be $80-90

Because aliens.  Roll Eyes

Don't forget that BTC has a blockchain limit for number of transactions to operate.
LTC will be useful for small transactions to unload BTC. So, BTC+LTC will be a very stable payment system in the future.

So what should be stopping me from buying fully into LTC and forgetting about BTC? You obviously believe that if bitcoin appreciates 7 times, LTC will appreciate 40 times.

LTC will appreciate 5 times after Gox starting work with it, and then will corellate with BTC.
Don't forget about BTC  Grin The real future is BTC+LTC.



From investment point of view, by your beliefs staying in BTC is dumb. Why hold BTC if LTC will appreciate faster.



275. Post 2559466 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on June 23, 2013, 06:45:21 PM
From investment point of view, by your beliefs staying in BTC is dumb. Why hold BTC if LTC will appreciate faster.

I say that LTC will appreciate faster in the short-term because of MtGox adopting.
Then LTC will grow 1:1 with BTC.

So, I thnik good investment is both BTC and LTC.

I understand, so assuming what you say is right, it is better to buy fully into LTC now, because it will appreciate faster in short term, and then go 1:1 with BTC, so, as it will go 1:1, it does not really matter if you hold BTC or LTC at that point.



276. Post 2559498 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on June 23, 2013, 06:49:12 PM
so, as it will go 1:1, it does not really matter if you hold BTC or LTC at that point.

In the long-term yes.

And in short term it is better to hold LTC.




277. Post 2572097 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

What the fuck is going on  Grin



278. Post 2572114 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Current trend: +6.31000 USD, Volume:6253.5961 BTC


Just remember that it was a single buy



279. Post 2572216 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: MickeyT2008 on June 25, 2013, 03:58:04 AM
It's interesting how after buying everything up to $110 and selling everything down to $101 that the bids and asks filled the middle in again so quickly at a variety of prices, creating a market depth profile that looked like nothing had just happened.

Just screams fake support.



280. Post 2572419 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

05:42:01 > Current trend: +8.88000 USD, Volume:5505.4166 BTC


Again, I hope you will remember in a week time that it was a single buy that got us to 110 Wink



281. Post 2572437 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on June 25, 2013, 04:42:32 AM
05:42:01 > Current trend: +8.88000 USD, Volume:5505.4166 BTC


Again, I hope you will remember in a week time that it was a single buy that got us to 110 Wink

Yep, part of the reason I registered here [or, finally got my first post in the newbie section] was because of all the confusion around that buy.. I think you made a thread on it, but even it had some errors IIRC.



The thread was 100% correct, it was about 95->110 push.



282. Post 2572456 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on June 25, 2013, 04:47:53 AM
05:42:01 > Current trend: +8.88000 USD, Volume:5505.4166 BTC


Again, I hope you will remember in a week time that it was a single buy that got us to 110 Wink

Yep, part of the reason I registered here [or, finally got my first post in the newbie section] was because of all the confusion around that buy.. I think you made a thread on it, but even it had some errors IIRC.



The thread was 100% correct, it was about 95->110 push.

If you find it, I can tell you what was wrong.. but I am not going to dig.

Also, after the 5500 buy to 109.98.. 9500 of new asks mysteriously appear? The bids are shifting ridiculously. Retreating, pushing back, etc. At one point in the last 10 mins the 100 wall was 6000, and at another was 12000.. currently 10000.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=231934.0



283. Post 2572568 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on June 25, 2013, 04:55:20 AM
We're gonna get an update from chart buddy in about 7 minutes, woohoo!

On a random note for those who use Clarkmoody - and use the sound ticker, what is your min volume? I usually pick 10. 100 is too rare and doesnt always happen in a smaller downtrend... but right now im using it and its doing fine.


10 would make it ding all the time, 100 makes dings meaningfull for me



284. Post 2572614 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: Voodah on June 25, 2013, 05:25:25 AM

This is one heavy piece of information.

Yeah I really would like to hear this lady on the phone talking about liberty reserve and mtgox.



285. Post 2572744 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: Voodah on June 25, 2013, 05:51:53 AM

holy crap indeed. It smells funny though because they were even willing to give a reason... who would've thought that?

They way I see it this information is only important to Bitcoin insiders.. The general public can not infer one bit of meaning out of that change of policy by Citi, hence the lady tells it nonchalantly like it is. It must've been told to her unimportantly, and she just transmitted it.

Or it just did not happen?



286. Post 2611067 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 29, 2013, 11:04:47 AM
Oh dear, someone just established 100 as a resistance by buying to 100.44 and having it fall.

Goodbye, triple digits. See you next year(s). Cheesy

You want to make a bet on this?

He won't obviously because he knows it's total bs.
I just don't understand why he keeps saying this as he must also realize he will look pretty damn stupid soon enough.
Really odd beaviour.

Edit: obviously he already looks stupid as a few hours after he said we won't see triple digits again we saw triple digits.
He simply ignores it and just goes on  Huh

Isn't Adam's 180 in x business days same bullshit?



287. Post 2629680 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Was this 8k wall at 90 pulled or eaten?



288. Post 2648749 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on July 03, 2013, 10:45:05 PM
Man, we are really hosing through the 70s.

Panic/capit detected. I'm looking forward to the bottom.

no panic as long as we are above 50



289. Post 2648813 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

rpietella's meds started to work and he called off 300k



290. Post 2648864 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

6k wall at 75, wonder how real is it



291. Post 2648891 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on July 03, 2013, 10:58:05 PM
Morale is so low that anyone who buys is slandered. My my, bitcoin has changed dramatically in just one month.

No, it didn't change a bit. Seriously.



Looks very similar to your avatar  Grin



292. Post 2653842 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: kickinyou on July 04, 2013, 02:50:52 PM
Is there som site there people can vote for what thay think will happen with bitcoin up or down ?

any vote on future price that is not backed up by money is worth exactly that - nothing



293. Post 2658622 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Rampion on July 04, 2013, 07:15:34 PM

Completely agree on the killer app. Right now, the only killer app of Bitcoin is Silk Road. It's genius, but more are needed to reach a next level.

Wow you sure changed in one month, I remember arguing with you about this exact thing.



294. Post 2658801 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Rampion on July 05, 2013, 07:08:47 AM

Completely agree on the killer app. Right now, the only killer app of Bitcoin is Silk Road. It's genius, but more are needed to reach a next level.

Wow you sure changed in one month, I remember arguing with you about this exact thing.

No, I didn't change anything. We were speaking about regulation. You said that if BTC was banned by the US, it would die and fail miserably. I said that even if it was banned, it would absorb more black market economy activity, which would make BTC grow and its price raise.

Note that I say SR is genius, and we need more killer apps like SR. Business models that couldn't exist without BTC. You mocked SR, to the contrary I consider it genius, and I say BTC needs more and bigger SR's.

You mistake me for the wrong person. I said that the only use where bitcoin is better than fiat at this point is Silkroad and store of value. I said that bitcoin economy = silkroad + asics + speculation and nothing else.



295. Post 2659123 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Rampion on July 05, 2013, 07:29:52 AM
I don't know how I could argue that because is true. Still, 99% is speculation. ASIC and SR are a drop in the ocean compared to the relevance of speculation in the BTC economy.

Quote from: Rampion on June 06, 2013, 10:40:52 PM

The Silk Road talk is so '2011ish. Came on. People sees that there's much more in BTC, besides of the fact that real economy is still reduced and that it's very speculation driven.

This baby needs to grow a little bit, but it's unstoppable.



296. Post 2659445 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 05, 2013, 09:24:09 AM

I covered all my shorts yesterday, but have now re-opened them plus some, so I am putting my money where my mouth is in case anyone wants to call me on that. And by short I mean negative Bitcoins, not just sitting in fiat.

What is negative Bitcoins? I always thought that short means sit on fiat waiting to increase bitcoin position later as they fall in price



297. Post 2659472 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 05, 2013, 09:36:11 AM

I covered all my shorts yesterday, but have now re-opened them plus some, so I am putting my money where my mouth is in case anyone wants to call me on that. And by short I mean negative Bitcoins, not just sitting in fiat.

What is negative Bitcoins? I always thought that short means sit on fiat waiting to increase bitcoin position later as they fall in price

I mean leveraged short CFD's ... I make fiat when the price goes down. To me holding BTC is long, holding fiat is 'flat'. 'Short' means selling borrowed BTC or a CFD (or ETF  Cheesy)

Where do you trade these instruments?



298. Post 2659525 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: wopwop on July 05, 2013, 09:40:52 AM
Jaroslaw posting , the price going down right?

yes because i will dump 7k btc today
i can confirm jalosraw that he will dump

but things are looking bullish as investors are coming into the markets again so i'm putting my money where my mouth is and buy, it will go up from here

are you Lech?



299. Post 2659604 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: kickinyou on July 05, 2013, 09:49:00 AM
under 70s in under 30min, is this thread not a wall tracker ?Tongue
need a tsunami tracker for when jalosraw sprays his juice over the market


Jalosraw has ever proven that he has the judgment assets he has?

if I say I will dump so we're going for 70 now I have lot of assets, then?

Nope jaroslaw is a troll known from a polish forum, he has nothing. Take note that average salary in poland is less than 11BTC per month, and that is before tax.



300. Post 2659757 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Loozik on July 05, 2013, 10:28:26 AM
i will dump 7k btc

Let us know 10 minutes before you dump, so that we know it's you whom we should thank for this.

Can you do it (inform us before the dump happens)?

don't waste your breath, he has nothing

Quote
He even has a forum troll ( polish: forumowy troll ) label under his nickname http://forum.digital-future.it/member.php?action=profile&uid=63



301. Post 2664054 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: sarc on July 05, 2013, 09:16:07 PM
Just curious: why don't folk reveal the position of their bids in advance, if this thread has no impact on the price?  

People here secretly think it has



302. Post 2667064 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: xorglub on July 06, 2013, 10:24:56 AM
Why is everyone wanting in at 50 ? Either 2 things :
if 50 indeed holds it's not going to the low 50s but it will settle higher. So what, are you going to panic buy in the 60s when you realize you bids for cheap coins didn't get filled ?
if it falls (more likely), this will be an epic selloff as all those who bought have an "oh crap" moment, and there's not much support until 30 where the same story applies.

In either case, 50 won't be the bottom.


But it will be a bounce



303. Post 2675099 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: Loozik on July 07, 2013, 05:33:57 PM
Dont know if today or tomorrow will dump coins till price hit 65$

Jaroslaw, you still have a few hours left not to default on your promise of bringing BTC to $65

I have faith in you and your thousands of Bitcoins. Now it's the right moment to dump your coins.

It's amazing how some people really started to believe jaroslaw is real deal. His poor self posting from a polish village must be really proud of himself.



304. Post 2683885 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: ardana123 on July 08, 2013, 06:47:50 PM
It's funny all you fags trying to sway people into buying while we're clearly still in a downwards spiral. There's no reason for bitcoin to go up right now besides speculation, and that has already been done the last few months, too soon for another bubble.

There is no reason to go up beside speculation. Now, 3 months ago, and in a year.



305. Post 2688699 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: solex on July 09, 2013, 10:01:52 AM
Well , in term of number of transactions , we're back to 2012 ... cimpochi to the rescue?

Not surprising.
More anecdotes:
At these exchange rates, folks are not spending them and so almost all my orders are USD.
The BTC buys less silver now than they used to.  Had a lot of orders when BTC was >110, more than I could take and clear so I had to limit the BTC sales.  Now it is all USD.

The latest Bitcoin software v0.8.3 disincentivizes the number of micro-transactions. This stat is likely influenced by that change.

In what way it achieves that?



306. Post 2688774 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: w00dy on July 09, 2013, 10:25:06 AM
In what way it achieves that?

5340 (?) dust limit.

Thank you this explained everything. So you think that people play less satoshidice because of this limit? I guess this is the main contributor to the transaction volume isn't it.



307. Post 2688800 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: Rampion on July 09, 2013, 10:32:10 AM
In what way it achieves that?

5340 (?) dust limit.

Thank you this explained everything. So you think that people play less satoshidice because of this limit? I guess this is the main contributor to the transaction volume isn't it.

No. The minimum SD bet is bigger than 5340 satoshis.

So basically what sotex said is bullshit. This part:

This stat is likely influenced by that change.



308. Post 2689448 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: oda.krell on July 09, 2013, 12:46:08 PM
*cough* volatility squeeze *cough*

*cough cough* looks pretty clear to me what the bias is *cough cough*


I should really get some cough syrup.

What the bias is? I guess it could be interpreted as bullish flag.



309. Post 2691873 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: hlynur on July 09, 2013, 05:33:37 PM
someone clearly needed some fiat fast.


You seriously believe these sells happen because people need fiat? I.e. that they withdraw money from exchanges?



310. Post 2692346 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Maybe its same person that owns 80 wall and wants some support below it Smiley



311. Post 2693869 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 09, 2013, 10:15:07 PM
Some more lines:


Any insight for those of us with no working knowledge of lineology?  Smiley

I guess it means "up" like 90% of his predictions



312. Post 2693956 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on July 09, 2013, 10:35:08 PM
Some more lines:


Any insight for those of us with no working knowledge of lineology?  Smiley

I guess it means "up" like 90% of his predictions

amidoinitrite?



not enough lines



313. Post 2701167 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 10, 2013, 08:26:31 PM
11k bids wall. Oh goody.

Theres a new bid wall? Did I miss it?

Gone.

It's the great manipulator's wall.

This just says a lot about comments "oh guess somebody needed fiat", nope big sells do not happen for that reason, they do not move fiat out of the exchange.



314. Post 2701819 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

So when jaroslaw buys bitcoin he posts from walsoraj account, and when he sells them its his own, what a guy



315. Post 2712583 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Guys what was the name of that charts website with nintendo sounds?



316. Post 2712635 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: telemaco on July 12, 2013, 08:23:23 AM
Guys what was the name of that charts website with nintendo sounds?

i think it was listentobitcoin.com



No, it was something trading.i386.com something like that



317. Post 2712716 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 12, 2013, 08:34:27 AM
Did we just got all the bubble stage in less than a week?  Cheesy

You really hope that its the histeria now, don't you Wink



318. Post 2713154 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: cosmicblue on July 12, 2013, 09:51:34 AM
...


So big buys trigger new price levels, this is enlightening. Or did you try to convey something else?



319. Post 2713234 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: cosmicblue on July 12, 2013, 10:05:00 AM
...
So big buys trigger new price levels, this is enlightening. Or did you try to convey something else?
 You are so smart .. Tongue

That was a serious question, you posted a screenshot with no explaination, what were you trying to show?



320. Post 2713295 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 12, 2013, 10:15:03 AM
50k coins up to $110 on Gox
Go any ideas who might want to push panic buying up into that wall <scratch head thoughtfully>

Ah ... I got an idea ... the bloke that pushed us up from the $70's to here

Just a thought ...

I panic bought in, surely hope that he will do it. Although this whole rally makes me scratch my head.



321. Post 2713320 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Its About Sharing on July 12, 2013, 10:20:05 AM
50k coins up to $110 on Gox
Go any ideas who might want to push panic buying up into that wall <scratch head thoughtfully>

Ah ... I got an idea ... the bloke that pushed us up from the $70's to here

Just a thought ...

I panic bought in, surely hope that he will do it. Although this whole rally makes me scratch my head.

But is it really a "rally" if driven by 1 or two buyers putting down $1,000,000 for each huge leg up?
Seems like we are just along for the ride, really.

That is why it makes me wonder so much.



322. Post 2713998 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on July 12, 2013, 12:36:17 PM
If there is no selling into these bid walls i'm completely convinced of this trend reversal.

which bid walls?



323. Post 2714008 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: barbs on July 12, 2013, 12:38:36 PM
If there is no selling into these bid walls i'm completely convinced of this trend reversal.

which bid walls?

There was about 6k for a moment 3k at 101 and 3k at 100 or something and they flashed for a while then disappeared

Whale sonar



nice. Usually flashes below are a positive signal.



324. Post 2714031 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 12, 2013, 12:43:38 PM
If there is no selling into these bid walls i'm completely convinced of this trend reversal.

There were some sales into these walls and then they disappeared. So, no trend reversal

I seriously reckon that those are his 50k coins $110 and he wants to push us up there to take his very large profit for a couple of days whaling

what does "50k coins $110" mean in english?



325. Post 2714068 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 12, 2013, 12:46:44 PM
If there is no selling into these bid walls i'm completely convinced of this trend reversal.

There were some sales into these walls and then they disappeared. So, no trend reversal

I seriously reckon that those are his 50k coins $110 and he wants to push us up there to take his very large profit for a couple of days whaling

what does "50k coins $110" mean in english?

It means look at the Gox order book and go figure  Grin

I have clarkmoody feed blocked at work and only bitcoinwisdom works Tongue



326. Post 2714126 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 12, 2013, 12:55:15 PM

Fair enough ... just ask nicely next time I make an obvious typo Wink
I have corrected it now ...
Can you get coinorama.net ? Thats the best for looking at the walls IMO


Coinorama makes this security risk notice appear, probably sends a flag straight to compliance once I click continue.
Panic bought in the spike, now a bit nervous, I'll ask nicely next time Smiley



327. Post 2714133 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: gizmoh on July 12, 2013, 12:59:37 PM
If no walls get pulled - 10,000 BTC gets us up to 107 ish, or down to 86. What a disparity...

Thats why i just took some fiat profit. It will be harder to push up more after such a wild rally!

It was like that all the way from 66.



328. Post 2714261 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: vokain on July 12, 2013, 01:21:38 PM
If no walls get pulled - 10,000 BTC gets us up to 107 ish, or down to 86. What a disparity...

Thats why i just took some fiat profit. It will be harder to push up more after such a wild rally!

It just seems like the psychology of "up" is meeting the disparity of "lots O Sells".
If no big guys come we can't go much further up and even if they do how much room do we have?

Big guys are now waiting for asks to come up a bit than dump with 40%+ profit and see you next time to repeat.

i would do that. Some people think that if someone invested in bitcoins he is going to keep them. There is no reason for them to do this. I bet they prefer to keep their dollars.

"There's no reason to just keep bitcoins", hahahahaha.

There is, to sell them. Timeframe varies.



329. Post 2715114 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Abandon on July 12, 2013, 03:27:03 PM

Just so I can say I called it if it does happen.

are your predictions ever not bullish?



330. Post 2715143 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Abandon on July 12, 2013, 03:38:06 PM
<chart>
Just so I can say I called it if it does happen.

are your predictions ever not bullish?

For all of this decline from 100 to 65 I was bearish, as for my predictions, they're mostly bullish.

I can remember very well your bullish predictions just before we bounced off 114 into 60's



331. Post 2715162 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Abandon on July 12, 2013, 03:40:53 PM
<chart>
Just so I can say I called it if it does happen.

are your predictions ever not bullish?

For all of this decline from 100 to 65 I was bearish, as for my predictions, they're mostly bullish.

I can remember very well your bullish predictions just before we bounced off 114 into 60's

I at realized where and why I was wrong. I changed my view once it went from 114 to 110.

Out of interest, why you were wrong?



332. Post 2715209 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: rampantparanoia on July 12, 2013, 03:46:34 PM
^ aren't ppl responsible for their own $$/BTCBTC?

people are responsible for bets they place



333. Post 2715226 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Abandon on July 12, 2013, 03:50:21 PM
<chart>
Just so I can say I called it if it does happen.

are your predictions ever not bullish?

For all of this decline from 100 to 65 I was bearish, as for my predictions, they're mostly bullish.

I can remember very well your bullish predictions just before we bounced off 114 into 60's

I at realized where and why I was wrong. I changed my view once it went from 114 to 110.

Out of interest, why you were wrong?


And it didn't feel bullish.

Can you explain in words?



334. Post 2715266 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Abandon on July 12, 2013, 03:54:25 PM


The indicators indicated a strong down turn,  overbought, and the market didn't look or feel bullish.

Does 10 dollar drop from 7h peak feel bullish to you?



335. Post 2715403 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: blackreplica on July 12, 2013, 04:07:06 PM
Selloff to 93 now....this bullrun may continue yet, but if we drop below 90 its not going to be pretty

Just realised as well that these are low volume sells. Hopefully the big players don't start panic selling. One big sell can easily plunge the price back to mid 80s

This is why they are not selling I suppse



336. Post 2715489 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 12, 2013, 04:16:41 PM
Guys, I need to lace my shoes, could someone hold this for me...



 Grin

It's incredible how you change when you buy/sell Smiley



337. Post 2715601 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 12, 2013, 04:35:39 PM
It's incredible how you change when you buy/sell Smiley

What about my mother of all head and shoulders?
It's bullish as hell- but still haven't bought.

I panic bought and I won't be able to enjoy drinks after work today Sad Still hoping that it will continue



338. Post 2721321 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

13:37 in London, people buy.



339. Post 2721340 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: samson on July 13, 2013, 12:41:28 PM
13:37 in London, people buy.

LOL, look at the depth on the bid side. We'll be back in the 80's before we know it.

I looked at the depth on the bid side all the way from 64 to 100, there was no depth during this run.



340. Post 2721395 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: samson on July 13, 2013, 12:46:45 PM
13:37 in London, people buy.

LOL, look at the depth on the bid side. We'll be back in the 80's before we know it.

I looked at the depth on the bid side all the way from 64 to 100, there was no depth during this run.

When the bids arrive the sells will soon follow.

so no bid side is a bullish sign?



341. Post 2721604 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Loozik on July 13, 2013, 01:33:45 PM
But what happens next, I do not know.

A new high above the recent one of 104 will be made.

It is possible that prior to making a new high Mrs Market will decide to dive to 86 though.

Timeframe?



342. Post 2721729 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Loozik on July 13, 2013, 01:44:40 PM
Timeframe?

Hard to say with good accuracy (today or tomorrow). Mrs Market as many classy women can be unpredictable from time to time.

You never know for how long she decides to rest before her next climax.

Very true Smiley



343. Post 2724942 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Abandon on July 14, 2013, 12:18:00 AM
Anyone notice that there is almost never a trend reversal off of whole numbers? With a few exceptions, such as when the wall is too big and the rally is exhausted. (Less likely to bounce on the small scale)

because everyone wants to get out/in right before it



344. Post 2741928 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: micalith on July 16, 2013, 03:30:22 PM

problem is, allot of those miners won't get ROI for many months. Knowing this, I would expect most (except for those who took out loans) to choose to wait for higher prices before getting their fiat back.

Exactly, I dont see why on this forums people seem to think that miners want to get ROI as soon as possible. I think 90% of them will just mine and hoard, for years



345. Post 2742047 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Rampion on July 16, 2013, 03:50:29 PM

problem is, allot of those miners won't get ROI for many months. Knowing this, I would expect most (except for those who took out loans) to choose to wait for higher prices before getting their fiat back.

Exactly, I dont see why on this forums people seem to think that miners want to get ROI as soon as possible. I think 90% of them will just mine and hoard, for years

Well, if the price gets high, it would make sense to sell to lock in profits. But if that's what people were doing, the bubble would not have been quite so crazy.

I'm sure you know the bubble started more or less when block reward halved, which was a moment when nobody had ASICs yet, 99% of the network were GPU and FPGA miners... Those already had their rigs paid off long ago (no new GPU and FPGA miners for a while because everybody was expecting ASICs since last summer), so as soon as they saw their proceeds halved they started to hold like mofos, creating scarcity of coins, which made the price to grow - the growing price attracted speculators, speculators bought driving the price high, the media started to run stories about how Bitcoin price was growing, which attracted more speculators, etc... Wash rinse and repeat, speculative bubble in its purest form.

This cycle is about to invert when ASICs will be widespread. Same thing happened in 2011 with GPUS.

You really think people took loans to buy ASICs? I bet you most asic owners are early adopters from GPU times.



346. Post 2742253 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: MickeyT2008 on July 16, 2013, 04:29:59 PM
I've been considering building a multi-GPU mining rig, even though it'll be barely profitable but cheap second hand cards would make a difference.

That's the problem with mining. It's filled with irrational actors. If you're looking to make a profit, you'll be competing with people (like me*) who will mine even at a loss. It might have worked for a while when hardware to hash was rare but now it's out there and cheap and you can't even hope to resell it for alternate use later.

Supply and demand dictates that this means miners end up operating at marginal profits or none at all. The only wildcard is the future price of Bitcoin. If it rises as it should, it turns into a good investment for early adopters. Of course, if everyone is expecting high prices later, that increases the loss miners are willing to mine at. Miners who are operating in this zone are likely to hold since an immediate sell means immediate loss (or they may be believers in which case they are holding simply to have later. Not everyone needs to realize short-term profits on their investments).


*I do a little mining on the side as a hobby but it's insignificant.
As I said, I'm basically just looking for a form of heating for my living room which breaks even and doubles as a LAN party gaming setup, I know I'll never make much more than the cost of some used cards (probably HD5870s) and the electricity back.  Even if it doesn't quite break even it should eventually work out cheaper mining LTC with this than paying my gas bill.  And even if it doesn't do that it'll be fun assembling it anyway, I enjoy messing about with computers.

These days attempting to do this as a serious business venture would probably be futile, it's only because the heat the cards put out is useful to me (not now, it's 27C) that it's even worth considering doing this at all.

You will get almost same return mining LTC and BTC, as they are basically pegged long term.



347. Post 2742317 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: MickeyT2008 on July 16, 2013, 04:43:22 PM
You will get almost same return mining LTC and BTC, as they are basically pegged long term.
And with LTC I'm up against other GPU miners, not ASICs

What difference does it make if you mine LTC or BTC if LTC price is constant fraction of BTC? (long term)



348. Post 2749179 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: Abandon on July 17, 2013, 04:13:06 PM
There's the adoption rate, and then there's the hoarding percentage.
The higher the percentage of hoarders, who are not weak hands, the more upward pressure there is, as we can see now. So even if the market looks bearish to the weak hands, it won't go down nearly as easily with the strong hand hoarders/investors, who look at the more long-term, or are not easily shaken.

Bitcoin can either go up from adoption, traders, or investors.

If there's an influx of adoption, there is increased demand

If the traders think the market will go up, there is increased demand

If the investors think the price will go up in the long-term, there is increased demand.

It's the weak hands that push the price down (and largely responsible for volatility). The strong hands hold the market up, and prevent it from going to the floor so easily.

The strong hands do nothing, its the big buyers who prevented the slide from continuing and going to the floor.



349. Post 2754059 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 18, 2013, 09:18:13 AM
Is there any bad news I missed?

No, just the bull trap closing.

so what is this satoshi dice thing people keep mentioning? I mean how could it affect the price?



350. Post 2755458 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on July 18, 2013, 01:56:36 PM
I just woke up and was amazed to find things pretty much the way they were when I went to bed.

Still hovering around 90, 5 hours after the pair of whale dumps.

When do the first round of incremental payments to SD shareholders start?

Gotta grind some beans and wake up enough to enjoy the show. People wanted activity? They're getting it.

At what time did you go to bed? When I went to bed we were at 99-98.



351. Post 2760933 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: jbcv on July 19, 2013, 09:43:08 AM
When there is very little trading going on, like right now, surely that would result in the price going down?

nope, it might just as well been a correction



352. Post 2760956 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: jbcv on July 19, 2013, 09:49:43 AM
When there is very little trading going on, like right now, surely that would result in the price going down?

nope, it might just as well been a correction

well if the market is now correct then wouldn't that spark more trading?

large, single buys/sells spark more trading, nothing else.



353. Post 2761010 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: jbcv on July 19, 2013, 10:06:06 AM
When there is very little trading going on, like right now, surely that would result in the price going down?

nope, it might just as well been a correction

well if the market is now correct then wouldn't that spark more trading?

large, single buys/sells spark more trading, nothing else.

ummm yess, when there is more trading, there is more trading, but i'm looking at why that would happen. what i'm thinking is that there would be a certain level of trading when the price is correct. when the price is low the market would be having a higher trading volume, and when it is high there would be less, which is why i think btc is over priced now.

nope, one buy or not sell is not 'more trading'. Well ok, ANY BUY/SELL is one more trade, but I think we mean actual action going on. One 3k buy or sell will trigger volume. 100 30btc buys and sells will not trigger further volume



354. Post 2761051 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: jbcv on July 19, 2013, 10:18:42 AM
nope, one buy or not sell is not 'more trading'. Well ok, ANY BUY/SELL is one more trade, but I think we mean actual action going on. One 3k buy or sell will trigger volume. 100 30btc buys and sells will not trigger further volume

dude all im saying is that so far today's low volume in trade shows that btc is over priced. do you agree or disagree?
[/quote]

I disagree. I think it shows nothing. Bitcoin does what it wants really.



355. Post 2762650 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on July 19, 2013, 03:44:28 PM
nice little buy

Little? >5k Smiley

1.5k, how is it supposed to be 5k if volume during past 20 min is less than 2k?



356. Post 2762689 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: btc237ftw on July 19, 2013, 03:50:35 PM
There has been a buyout from a single entity of 5,000 btc (almost $500,000) - could this be the first batch of buyings from the $11M of the SatoshiDice PayOut?

buyings from payout? wtf?



357. Post 2762747 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: btc237ftw on July 19, 2013, 03:55:10 PM
Quote
The payout was in BTC, not USD.

To be paid in BTC, but maybe the buyer/s are using Dollars to buy BTC to pay? or you are 100% sure the buyer/s already had 135,000 Bitcoins in their pockets before signing the payout....? since we dont know who the buyer/s is/are - you can't know that.. furtheremore that anouncement of "batches" sounds to me like money will be coming from fiat to BTC

do you even know what payout means?



358. Post 2762829 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on July 19, 2013, 04:04:31 PM
Quote
The payout was in BTC, not USD.

To be paid in BTC, but maybe the buyer/s are using Dollars to buy BTC to pay? or you are 100% sure the buyer/s already had 135,000 Bitcoins in their pockets before signing the payout....? since we dont know who the buyer/s is/are - you can't know that.. furtheremore that anouncement of "batches" sounds to me like money will be coming from fiat to BTC

do you even know what payout means?

He's suggesting that the new owners of satoshi dice don't already have the BTC they agreed to pay for it. Tremendously stupid I know, but we can expect such suggestions under these circumstances.

And he is suggesting that through use of word 'payout' which has been universally used across speculation board when talking about the SD event in relation to paying out BTC to shareholders.



359. Post 2787563 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 23, 2013, 02:45:45 PM


I think it's for effect.

If you have 1k in coins, you really need fiat bad enough that you will dump them on Bitstamp at up to $10 lower than you can get them elsewhere? Doesn't ring true to me.

Could be.
But my premise is not about 'needing fiat bad enough' it is about the value of a Gox IOU vs $'s at Bitstamp. The Gox $ IOU's appear to be becoming worth less (notice the space for the moment)

what do you mean by IOU's?



360. Post 2825601 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

I sense very bullish sentiment here



361. Post 2825645 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: vokain on July 29, 2013, 12:48:04 PM
I sense very bullish sentiment here

which is bearish, in and of itself, you think?

"Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful"



362. Post 2838364 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):




363. Post 2838838 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Where is this chart from 2011 bubble with captions?



364. Post 2839049 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: razibuzouzou on July 31, 2013, 12:44:02 PM
Where is this chart from 2011 bubble with captions?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=251045.0

not that one. The one with 'to the moon!' and then 'weeee' down



365. Post 2839592 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

nice



366. Post 2840092 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: Kazu on July 31, 2013, 03:56:50 PM
Possible retrace to $100-ish?

I smell a hint of fear  Smiley Retrace to the ground  Grin



367. Post 2840167 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: vps15 on July 31, 2013, 04:06:14 PM
price falling right now, dont expect this to last long though. Get on the train now if you missed before when it was below $100

bubble keeps deflating, nothing to see here



368. Post 2840336 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: vps15 on July 31, 2013, 04:17:23 PM
price falling right now, dont expect this to last long though. Get on the train now if you missed before when it was below $100

bubble keeps deflating, nothing to see here

WRONG!!!!! we're already back up baby (well at least from the point where i just bought in)

Blastoff!




369. Post 2865601 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: inbox on August 04, 2013, 05:11:29 PM
Anyone else still using gox?

Quote
You are part of a selected few to be able see and test the new trading interface.
If you wish to test it, click this link now!

https://staging.mtgox.com/trade



Is gox implementing any other new features?

12690BTC is a lot of BTC. So there are whales here after all Smiley



370. Post 2867638 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

5k wall at 105...



371. Post 2870926 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: capsqrl on August 05, 2013, 01:56:46 PM
Do you realize we've been in triple digits for one week now? 18K BTC down to 100, and we just hit 3-day highs. The Gox trading engine is lagging, which is usually a bullish signal. S3052 tweeted "Bitcoin trading to become more violent in the next few months." Interesting times ahead.

Violent could just as well mean crushed hopes of a 115-130 rally.



372. Post 2870977 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 05, 2013, 02:16:19 PM
Do you realize we've been in triple digits for one week now? 18K BTC down to 100, and we just hit 3-day highs. The Gox trading engine is lagging, which is usually a bullish signal. S3052 tweeted "Bitcoin trading to become more violent in the next few months." Interesting times ahead.

That part would make me extremely suspicious. ("The great and wise benevolent leader blogger has concluded that price now must go up uP UP.")

Suspicious of what?



373. Post 2871705 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: lucas.sev on August 04, 2013, 05:17:56 PM
Anyone else still using gox?

Quote
You are part of a selected few to be able see and test the new trading interface.
If you wish to test it, click this link now!

https://staging.mtgox.com/trade



Is gox implementing any other new features?

12690BTC is a lot of BTC. So there are whales here after all Smiley

We have some whales in this thread, although mr. inbox decided to delete his post Sad



374. Post 2871746 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: vokain on August 05, 2013, 04:41:55 PM
we should respect his privacy though and take it down, just on principle. though he is foolish for not blacking out the text entirely, perhaps twice over

Why be so shy though Smiley Wonder how many more of you here hold 10k+ of BTC... maybe I do?  Shocked

He also had 14 open orders, a lot of walls may be his, interesting.



375. Post 2878974 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: sa_94 on August 06, 2013, 07:00:51 PM
only 14k to 100. Down from 21k. Whats happening ?

Nothing yet, just a big chunk of the $105 wall got pulled.

volume suggests like it was sold into.



376. Post 2879022 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: sa_94 on August 06, 2013, 07:07:39 PM
only 14k to 100. Down from 21k. Whats happening ?

Nothing yet, just a big chunk of the $105 wall got pulled.

volume suggests like it was sold into.

Was that wall actually at $105? The low is still over $105...

There was 1.6k at 106 I think



377. Post 2879060 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: Tzupy on August 06, 2013, 07:11:14 PM
There were about 3.5k BTC at 105, and more than half was sold into. The walls partially pulled are at 103 and 101,
but they are almost back by now. Looks like the continuous uptrend is challenged.

Where do you see up to date order book? Is there 3 minute lag or is my clarkmoody fucked up?


4 minutes, well here we go



378. Post 2879112 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

no trades happening though. Waste of money DDoS?



379. Post 2879119 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on August 06, 2013, 07:23:18 PM
4 minutes, well here we go Six minute.

Eh, this has happened before, and it never ended up causing any panic. Now, if a whale sold right now, and Gox didnt fix the lag.. well...



I think it caused a bit of panic on the 10th of April.



380. Post 2885837 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

105 wall got cancelled



381. Post 2885994 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: Tzupy on August 07, 2013, 07:08:32 PM
105 wall got cancelled

That seems to have really happened, as viewed in the MtGox buyer queue at clarkmoody, but the
graph at bitcoinity still shows the wall present, for several minutes after, anyone has an explanation?

ctrl + f5?



382. Post 2890777 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Now panic and freak out.



383. Post 2890802 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

only 2300BTC to double digits which would cause mega panic



384. Post 2890834 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

20BTC is all it takes to bring us back to ~104  Cheesy

Current trend: +1.83277 USD, Volume:26.3768 BTC



385. Post 2890913 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: Tzupy on August 08, 2013, 01:23:57 PM
If I were the dumper (I'm not!) then the best strategy is to break the 100 $ psychological barrier and let the market do the rest.
That assuming the dumper wants to buy back later much cheaper.

Yup, I never understand why they don't do just that. Or maybe there is some strategy of false hopes for a better effect -> dump -> let it go back up a bit -> crush newly formed support and break 100



386. Post 2890933 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

1.2k at 102, will it bounce off it or will it be eaten?  Huh

1.2k moved to 101  Cheesy



387. Post 2891300 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: Tzupy on August 08, 2013, 02:19:15 PM
I missed an opportunity: should have let the whale hit me at 101.2, but who knew where it would stop?
And who knew there would be someone willing to buy 700+ BTC at 104 $ after that?
Anyway, I believe that once the small rebound loses steam and the downtrend continues, the whale will
proceed with another dump, because he doesn't want someone else to harvest 'his' buy orders.

So did you buy at 101.2 now?



388. Post 2891351 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Tzupy on August 08, 2013, 02:52:51 PM
I missed an opportunity: should have let the whale hit me at 101.2, but who knew where it would stop?
And who knew there would be someone willing to buy 700+ BTC at 104 $ after that?
Anyway, I believe that once the small rebound loses steam and the downtrend continues, the whale will
proceed with another dump, because he doesn't want someone else to harvest 'his' buy orders.

So did you buy at 101.2 now?

NO, buying at 101.2 now would have been too risky IMO, we are going down, as far as I can tell.
No idiot will put now another large buy order at 104.

well there was a guy a two months ago who put a 10k order that took the price from 95 to 110.



389. Post 2891971 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 08, 2013, 04:35:53 PM
Wednesday, August 22, 2013
$124

You do not believe we will touch 99?


hmmm,

its a good possibility,

if we don't break below 100 today, i'd say the mid term looks crazy bullish.
if we do break 100 today, mid term will still be bullish


this dump is what the market had been waiting for, the more coins we can get here the better, soon we will climb a little higher and wait for more dumbass bears to sell coins.


What worries me for example is that there are people like the guy who accidentally posted an mtgox screenshot with almost 13000 in BTC (1 million 300k USD (1300000 USD)) and 40k USD funds (which is 4k BTC at current price). And 14 open orders, so this is money that is actively used.

Thats a 30:1 ratio of BTC to USD which means that his BTC exposure is REALLY high, I don't think he will be buying more anytime soon. And if he decided to sell, he would bring us down to 94. He alone, the panic that would follow obviously would bring us further down.



390. Post 2892005 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on August 08, 2013, 04:43:00 PM
Wednesday, August 22, 2013
$124

You do not believe we will touch 99?


hmmm,

its a good possibility,

if we don't break below 100 today, i'd say the mid term looks crazy bullish.
if we do break 100 today, mid term will still be bullish


this dump is what the market had been waiting for, the more coins we can get here the better, soon we will climb a little higher and wait for more dumbass bears to sell coins.


What worries me for example is that there are people like the guy who accidentally posted an mtgox screenshot with almost 13000 in BTC (1 million 300k USD (1300000 USD)) and 40k USD funds (which is 4k BTC at current price). And 14 open orders, so this is money that is actively used.

Thats a 30:1 ratio of BTC to USD which means that his BTC exposure is REALLY high, I don't think he will be buying more anytime soon. And if he decided to sell, he would bring us down to 94. He alone, the panic that would follow obviously would bring us further down.

What picture is this???

Also 40k USD is only 400 coins Wink

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg2871705#msg2871705



391. Post 2893530 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Tzupy on August 08, 2013, 08:36:20 PM
Why are we having a rally just after this dump? Doesn't make sense to me, it may take the price above 106... Weird...

The dump was not a panicky one. We did not see 99. So its correcting now. Also its super easy to bring price up, as sell walls are small.



392. Post 2899057 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Somebody has a lot of fun buying and selling for ~2.8USD



393. Post 2907745 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):




394. Post 2918483 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

2k at 104. Will someone lean on it?



395. Post 2919723 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: hlynur on August 12, 2013, 08:01:19 PM
If you claim anything else, you are tryin' to sell some bullshit.
Listen to this guy - he's an expert bullshit seller so he knows what he's talking about.

i'd love to see him perform a whole page of discussion with his twin brother Jaroslaw but that's perhaps too hard to pull off.
would be a nice paradoxon though.  Cheesy

its the same guy, notice how once this one became active jaroslaw disappeared



396. Post 2923973 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

NOM



397. Post 2926496 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: capsqrl on August 13, 2013, 07:05:12 PM
Weekly high, that's nice. I guess it's all the regulation news? Or the 36% difficulty jump?

no its a big buy and people follow



398. Post 2926736 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on August 13, 2013, 07:34:06 PM
Triple top forming since the first started at the end of July? Third peak on falling volume. Thoughts?

single digits by Friday

Welcome to the piss yellow club. You went there pretty fast.

He forgot to relog to jaroslaw Tongue



399. Post 2928727 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 14, 2013, 12:30:02 AM
Ok i change mind. $180 by Friday. Fundamentals are demanding such

lol panic buy



400. Post 2930539 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: MikeH on August 14, 2013, 08:18:15 AM
what did I miss? is this a news based rise?


Are you new here? The only 'news' that causes price to rise is whale buys.



401. Post 2930623 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Blastoff?  Cheesy




402. Post 2931419 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: molecular on August 14, 2013, 11:35:44 AM
what did I miss? is this a news based rise?


Are you new here? The only 'news' that causes price to rise is whale buys.

The only 'news' that causes price to rise is a rising price.

Agree 100%



403. Post 2931503 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on August 14, 2013, 11:56:57 AM
what did I miss? is this a news based rise?


Are you new here? The only 'news' that causes price to rise is whale buys.

The only 'news' that causes price to rise is a rising price.

Agree 100%

Come on, for once there's actual news. The Feds are going to try and fight Bitcoin. If you think they'll fail it's quite bullish don't you think?

If the price went down you would say that feds are going to fight bitcoin so price goes down. News mean NOTHING in this market.



404. Post 2931626 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on August 14, 2013, 12:12:52 PM
Come on, for once there's actual news. The Feds are going to try and fight Bitcoin. If you think they'll fail it's quite bullish don't you think?

Don't underestimate the disdain that TA devotees feel towards anything not based on traditional stock/commodity-market technical analysis.

The very idea that news might affect a market (even as new and unprecedented a market as BTC) is heresy, an affront to their existing orthodoxy.

 Smiley

Nope, I believe news affect FX markets, but not bitcoin.



405. Post 2932594 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 14, 2013, 03:02:45 PM
Tzupy, i have one question before i put you on ignore.
You are extremely filthy rich right? I mean you have to be since you know in detail where the market is going every single hour...right?

He is just panicking because he did not buy in/sold too early, and trying to calm himself down, relax a bit.



406. Post 2944287 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on August 16, 2013, 08:20:59 AM
I know you will come up with a bunch of excuses instead of admitting you're wrong.
But whatever.
http://bitcoinmagazine.com/bitpay-processes-5-million-in-march-eclipses-silk-road/
Keep in mind this is just from one merchant!

There are no excuses needed, just look at the dates. We are talking about consistency here.
ASIC pre-order waves are hardly that.

And funny thing is bitcoin economy is silkroad and asics to generate more bitcoins.



407. Post 2944733 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ardana123 on August 16, 2013, 10:46:38 AM
simple question for you guys

I know you're all hoping for the bitcoin value to rise, but why would it go up since it's divisible up to 8 decimals (and way more apparently?)

How is that related to price?



408. Post 2951402 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

heh, 2k bought an immedieatle walls set up at 112 Tongue



409. Post 2958002 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Also, this:




410. Post 2960515 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Serious question: why ratio is important?

If someone puts 10m into orderbook on bid side at 90usd what difference does it make? There are no money deposits coming into mtgox so it does not mean that there is money flowing into mtgox, so what is its significance?



411. Post 2962029 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 19, 2013, 07:21:07 AM
Why do people suddenly start selling after the price has reached 120? Doesn't make much sense to me?

because 8h rise from 111 to almost 121 will definitely have some kind of a correction soon?



412. Post 2964065 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Rampion on August 19, 2013, 02:49:34 PM


Try making trades of +300 coins at Bitstamp without MAYOR slippage and then report back please...


Mayor Slippage  Cool



413. Post 2965036 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Its About Sharing on August 19, 2013, 05:06:17 PM

That is nice to see, thanks for the post. Has Gox addressed this publicly though? Why just in a thread (and who are those characters? Any Gox affiliation?)

MagicalTux is Mark Karpeles if that is what you are asking.



414. Post 3091253 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/05/nsa-gchq-encryption-codes-security

I like how there is really no room for interpretation here



415. Post 3091292 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Walsoraj, I come when panic starts to loom on the horizon Smiley



416. Post 3103833 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

past performance does not guarantee future results

I looked at the past price action and I have not seen an example where correction this strong did not break a short trem uptrend. April bubble on the picture.






417. Post 3106946 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):




418. Post 3110627 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: hlynur on September 09, 2013, 12:35:55 AM
Everything you both wrote also describes perfectly the situation here in the UK, where we genuinely do have a continuation of the dreadful Thatcher years.

"...while society sleeps in an uninterested apathetic coma" - That's the same here too unfortunately.  Considering the way this government is deliberately impoverishing everyone whilst blatantly stuffing their pockets it should be enough to cause rioting or even civil war, unfortunately the population is too busy watching Eastenders and Big Brother on TV instead.  So long as nobody's pointing guns at them the British public will happily suck up the propaganda and accept mistreatment from corrupt governments indefinitely.

Anyway, I'll say no more about it because this could easily turn into a several page long rant if I get started.

Where's the ask/bid walls to discuss when I would like to get back on topic?  I haven't seen one for a few days now
i must say the 2011 riots in London felt like a sign. reminded me of the riots every year in the banlieus of paris.
it was the first time i saw the dark side of social networking resulting in massive violent flashmobs.


2011 riots were fuelled by opportunists tempted by free stuff. There was no ideology behind them. I watched these riots with utter disgust. It's a shame they did not roll out the army.



419. Post 3116900 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):




420. Post 3117315 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

At least the wall was real



421. Post 3117393 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

I admire people who bought above 130 and hold. We might go up. Situations like these remind me why I fucked up a few times. I would look at it today and think 'shit, I won't fall asleep holding BTC today'



422. Post 3127854 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

We are going down  Cheesy



423. Post 3140205 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: mccorvic on September 12, 2013, 06:19:37 PM
ooh ... whale showing a fin again  Cheesy

When did this obsession with the Whale God start? It's like, any time anything happens it's "because whale!" Some of you sound like you'd sacrifice children on an alter of fiat money if someone told you it would make the Whale Gods happy.

We don't need no stinkin' whales.

It's because during this rally thats how it works


whale buys -> price oscilates around 2-3 USD from end of whale buy until whale sells or whale buys.



424. Post 3141070 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: MoreFun on September 12, 2013, 10:47:10 PM
Guys on topic: will this wall fall?

nomnomnom



425. Post 3211612 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

5500 sell brings us to 125, 5500 buy to 141. Nice spread.



426. Post 3279812 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

It'll most likely keep going up, I would be much more surprised to wake up to 129 than 151. Still, just for fun  Grin





427. Post 3283774 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Did that wall at 141 that I saw when leaving for work get eaten?

Quote from: lucas.sev on October 01, 2013, 08:23:23 PM
It'll most likely keep going up, I would be much more surprised to wake up to 129 than 151. Still, just for fun  Grin








428. Post 3286080 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Omg I can predict the future

Quote from: lucas.sev on October 01, 2013, 08:23:23 PM
It'll most likely keep going up, I would be much more surprised to wake up to 129 than 151. Still, just for fun  Grin






429. Post 3313563 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on October 10, 2013, 02:37:13 PM
and  the BTC economy is a thing, so its much easier to gain traction.



lol wat?



430. Post 3333412 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

pullback to 144 any moment I suppose



431. Post 3345763 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Sword Smith on October 15, 2013, 11:59:04 PM
Ten minutes ago, I bought 12 bitcoins @ 139.97. Just made 60 USD Cheesy

Edit: 84 USD

you made it only if you sold



432. Post 3350282 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Well fuck



433. Post 3362550 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 18, 2013, 03:04:08 PM



omg its almost over

What is almost over?



434. Post 3362691 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: uhoh on October 18, 2013, 03:24:07 PM
About to go under 30k ask sum... We are gonna correct hard. Maybe mini crash $20 or so.

How is it that Walsoraj started as a satire of Jaroslaw.... and now Jaroslaw has gone, Walsoraj has taken his place!

It's the same guy



435. Post 3362698 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: uhoh on October 18, 2013, 03:25:53 PM
About to go under 30k ask sum... We are gonna correct hard. Maybe mini crash $20 or so.

How is it that Walsoraj started as a satire of Jaroslaw.... and now Jaroslaw has gone, Walsoraj has taken his place!

It's the same guy

Jaroslaw didn't have english as his first language, it can't be!

What makes you think that this guy has?



436. Post 3376668 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: TERA on October 20, 2013, 10:52:12 PM
Bid depths have exploded overnight. On gox, about $2M bid depth was just added between $165 and $175.  On btcchina, about ¥2M have been added. Bitstamp added another $100K. Last time this happened, we took off from $110.

does it have any significance if a 4k dump takes us down 10USD? It's an honest question, just wondering if I put 500k USD at 90USD/BTC will it mean anything



437. Post 3376732 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: thezerg on October 20, 2013, 11:31:37 PM
Bid depths have exploded overnight. On gox, about $2M bid depth was just added between $165 and $175.  On btcchina, about ¥2M have been added. Bitstamp added another $100K. Last time this happened, we took off from $110.

does it have any significance if a 4k dump takes us down 10USD? It's an honest question, just wondering if I put 500k USD at 90USD/BTC will it mean anything


90 not so much esp. on gox but 165 to 175 could be a buyer hoping for a dump.  but if s/he sees momentum building this b8d could become a mkt order...



So if I want to prop the price up all I need to do is to add TONS of bids at low prices that won't be reached and people will start screaming about bid ask ratio?



438. Post 3400372 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Nemesis on October 24, 2013, 07:18:44 AM
BUY BUY BUY!!!

Translation: Holy fuck I'm panicking please buy and make it stop!



439. Post 3407806 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: David M on October 25, 2013, 07:50:49 AM
A few months later...

Members: 0
Price: $0

Do you sell 3 month $20USD/BTC Puts?  I'd be very interested.


I can sell you these puts.



440. Post 3408466 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: San1ty on October 25, 2013, 09:58:09 AM
Hmm, I'm out for a while, if we drop below 180 all hell might break loose. If we go back to 200, I'll gladly buy back at a loss.

I think we can expect a bounce at 176



441. Post 3409851 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Loozik on October 25, 2013, 03:03:13 PM
Anyone willing to call a bottom?


A local bottom or the bottom or the big bottom (of this bearish market)?

big



442. Post 3470730 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: micalith on November 03, 2013, 01:23:44 PM

I would give 62/38 that it will go up. Yeah, that is pretty strong..

What does 62/38 mean?

odds



443. Post 3497980 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Loozik on November 06, 2013, 11:50:57 AM
$300 by the end of the week !

340 - 360 seems achievable.

Didn't you talk about a bear market a week ago and calling the bottom of it?



444. Post 3535781 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: samson on November 10, 2013, 01:20:41 AM




hahahah I remember when this picture was posted  Grin



445. Post 3552827 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on November 11, 2013, 10:08:19 PM
Gox goin nuts, lol, even the lag counter cant decide.

15USD slippage, lol



446. Post 3637149 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: kurious on November 19, 2013, 11:29:17 AM
BBC pretty BTC positive - this from 15 mins ago on BBC online:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-24986264

that's from yesterday Smiley



447. Post 3637192 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

I'm wondering if people putting 300BTC at 650 are doing it because they want to buy at this price or they hold 10k btc and want to prevent panic.



448. Post 3637365 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: NamelessOne on November 19, 2013, 12:02:29 PM
We have a potential classic bitcoin triangle forming. Needs to climb back to and bounce down off of 775ish to really see if it forms though... But it looks like it could happen... We shall see.

What is a 'classic bitcoin triangle'?



449. Post 3638310 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

lol at the 1.7m USD wall at 500



450. Post 3638322 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: barbs on November 19, 2013, 01:44:17 PM
that 500 wall is no joke

do you think he wants to buy them at this price or holds BTC and wants to keep people from panicking?



451. Post 3638353 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):




452. Post 3638400 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on November 19, 2013, 01:49:59 PM
Wow. Woke up to see just over 2k total asks and just over $2m bids on Gox according to i286.

Made a pot of coffee and the asks are over 9k and bids are over $11m.

Still, we're just back to where we were yesterday. One of the more interesting days in Bitcoin's short history.

price-wise we are yesterday, and that's the only similarity



453. Post 3649425 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Wow, just arrived at work, what happened over night? Where is the 1.1 million wall at 550? Cancelled or eaten through?



454. Post 3650041 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: fluidjax on November 20, 2013, 10:57:21 AM
@To the people who are using BTC-China:
As I understand it you can't get money out of china? So is the intention to repeatedly create panic selling and increase your BTC holding?
Do you think the panics in China will be greater than on Gox?



You can if you have friends/friends' parents in China and they are willing to accept a transfer into their account in return for money in cash in your country.



455. Post 3650094 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: chrsjrcj on November 20, 2013, 11:06:48 AM
*Reads thread*

Yup. Looks like a perfect time to buy.  Grin

we had 7 consecutive days of drops in the april bubble. Now question is whether 'this time it's different'.



456. Post 3686590 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: bnjmnkent on November 23, 2013, 03:13:38 PM
All people calling bitcoin a tulip craze don't realize that one of the main differences between both phenomenons is that the tulip craze was not supported by a worldwide digital platform called the internet. I mean the internet seems to be causing a qualitative effect on several phenomenons once they reach a quantitative peak thanks to the ease of interaction the internet provides. Look at the Arab spring, what seemed like a regular discontent or protest that wouldn't achieve much managed to topple whole governments. In my opinion this day and age we are witnessing very nice examples on how quantitative changes lead to qualitative ones thanks to the internet. So trying to predict what will happen to bitcoin using a phenomenon which happened centuries ago without having something like the internet to support it is not very accurate IMO.
Don't overcomplicate things. Tulips are useless.

Tulips are not useless, they might not be a good currency but they can be a store of value, nobody has control over your Tulips but you



457. Post 3687022 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: ErisDiscordia on November 23, 2013, 03:36:09 PM
Tulips are not useless, they might not be a good currency but they can be a store of value, nobody has control over your Tulips but you

I wonder what happened to your "BTC value is 90% Silk Road" mantra  Grin

I never said value, I talked about how the only reason why a person on the street would go through the process of buying a bitcoin in order to immediately spend it is/was Silkroad. Oh and ASICS.  Everything else is speculation/'store of value'

I said that bitcoin economy is drugs and asics. 90% of value is speculation.



458. Post 3692029 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Almost one million usd dropped in 3 minutes, epic



459. Post 3692621 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Kupsi on November 24, 2013, 02:49:30 AM
I'm drunk in London tonight, and I got two words for Adam: BTC FTW!!!



Which place is that?



460. Post 3702118 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Thought the wall observer might enjoy it...



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PkisoC4cBVU



461. Post 3706472 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on November 25, 2013, 10:10:36 AM

They said : "bitcoin went too high too fast, big bubble danger, stay away"

That's pretty bearish, especially if you believe China has been leading this huge rally to near $1k.  Hmm...not going to say it's time to sell but this certainly isn't a good entry point.  

Bitcoin is currently not sustained by people who are influenced by mainstream media. Even in China. So I don't see this as bearish, it only reflects where we are at right now. The media is right to warn people, but the intelligent person knows that the media more or less doesn't have a clue.


Is this a serious comment?  Where do you think new money learns about Bitcoin?  This certainly isn't your earliest adopters buying BTC up to $900.  Roll Eyes


That guy is imagining some underground rebels against communist regime of china getting bitcoins to harm the government, lol.



462. Post 3708583 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

There is also a chance that the holder of 2.5k wall at 900 buys it from himself and causes an euphoria



463. Post 3708814 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

In other news, some polish dentist offers 10% off when paid with bitcoin.

Source (in polish): http://wyborcza.pl/1,75478,15009429,Rewolucyjna_promocja_u_polskiego_stomatologa__Mozna.html#BoxSlotII3img



464. Post 3709639 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: John999 on November 25, 2013, 04:32:17 PM
The altcoins are sharply up today http://coinmarketcap.com/
Wondering if it has something to do with a posible weakness in bitcoin price.

ltc went to 10usd on bitcoin rally so its unrelated.



465. Post 3713186 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

So how to identify cup & handle vs double top?



466. Post 3713948 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: Gatekeeper on November 25, 2013, 11:03:22 PM
someone is buying a load of coins, crazy action

Maybe it's just the owner of 850 wall buying from himself Smiley



467. Post 3714571 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

London goes to bed. No idea what I'm going to wake up to. Personal bets: Above 900 perhaps with 980 high or 810-340.



468. Post 3721568 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: JustAnotherSheep on November 26, 2013, 01:57:18 PM
Possible double top? Lots of resistance to 900 and no volume in the middle of the week

Wouldn't it be triple top?



469. Post 3722997 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: atleticofa on November 26, 2013, 04:06:51 PM

Where do you gets this chart? Thank you

btccharts



470. Post 3723218 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: Loozik on November 26, 2013, 04:23:05 PM

China: "yawn"

China is bearish; will go below 3,000. Not sure when though.

Trolling or is that your prediction? That would mean <500USD in China.



471. Post 3723624 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: Rampion on November 26, 2013, 04:54:04 PM
900's being a real cocktease.

I really don't get the guys who pile their sell orders on $900. If you think it won't break ATH, just spread your asks below $900. If you think it will break ATH, just pull the ask and let the price slide upwards.

Really, placing an ask on ATH is something I will never understand, but people does that a lot. Never understood the logic in it unless its pure manipulation (inducing the market to think that the resistance on ATH is too high so the price can just go down).

Maybe it's for the spring effect? Let's say you have 2k placed at 900, but also have money to buy it from yourself in another account, you buy it and cause euphoria, you still have 2k BTC minus the fee and now it's rising sharply in value.



472. Post 3723767 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on November 26, 2013, 05:04:12 PM
That wall at 900 is ridiculous. What's the point?


Quote from: lucas.sev on November 26, 2013, 04:56:54 PM
900's being a real cocktease.

I really don't get the guys who pile their sell orders on $900. If you think it won't break ATH, just spread your asks below $900. If you think it will break ATH, just pull the ask and let the price slide upwards.

Really, placing an ask on ATH is something I will never understand, but people does that a lot. Never understood the logic in it unless its pure manipulation (inducing the market to think that the resistance on ATH is too high so the price can just go down).

Maybe it's for the spring effect? Let's say you have 2k placed at 900, but also have money to buy it from yourself in another account, you buy it and cause euphoria, you still have 2k BTC minus the fee and now it's rising sharply in value.



473. Post 3726221 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: pandaisftw on November 26, 2013, 08:13:46 PM
LTC is heating up as well. Don't see a reason why it wouldn't reach 10-20% of BTC value soon.

The question is: why would it? Feels kind of weird saying this (usually normal people tell bitcoin people this), but there is basically no acceptance for litecoin at the moment, it's 100% speculation.

just like bitcoin to 99% of people.



474. Post 3726359 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: ablewasiereisawelba on November 26, 2013, 08:27:02 PM
LTC is heating up as well. Don't see a reason why it wouldn't reach 10-20% of BTC value soon.

The question is: why would it? Feels kind of weird saying this (usually normal people tell bitcoin people this), but there is basically no acceptance for litecoin at the moment, it's 100% speculation.

just like bitcoin to 99% of people.
False equivalency. LTC does not even have 10% of the acceptance of BTC.

I know, what I mean it's not important at all because its a speculative vehicle (store of value) and nothing more.



475. Post 3727891 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

loving that trailing support wall, now 800 at 950. Somebody is really dedicated to make 1k happen.



476. Post 3727935 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: keewee on November 26, 2013, 10:25:47 PM
loving that trailing support wall, now 800 at 950. Somebody is really dedicated to make 1k happen.

The 1500 wall at 900 hasn't moved though

Still, why put a wall at 950 if there are only around 4 bitcoins below it until 941 if not for manipulation?



477. Post 3729638 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on November 27, 2013, 12:45:25 AM
800 BTC wall at $970

Lets hope it stays this time. Loving the support.

Aaaand it's gone



478. Post 3729899 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Is it me or does clarkmoody look as if it was on speed?



479. Post 3753599 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: Aido on November 28, 2013, 03:54:56 PM
1€ would be nice now (~1.36USD)

FTFY

we're using mBTC now.



You and who else?



480. Post 3812191 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: simonk83 on December 03, 2013, 09:37:04 PM
where do you think he will sell that amount of Bitcoin, all exchanges are AML and KYC compliants even BTC-e is, when he deposit them to the exchange they will bust his ass

Unless he uses a coin mixer first.

It's not going to be that easy.  Read this:  http://www.newstatesman.com/future-proof/2013/12/theres-%C2%A360m-bitcoin-heist-going-down-right-now-and-you-can-watch-real-time

just withdraw 200 at a time and then use tumbler.



481. Post 3819132 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

It's quiet...



482. Post 3819198 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: SnowMonkey_CG on December 04, 2013, 11:45:31 AM
Gox just touched 1.2 USD/mBTC...

no it didn't. Also stop with dumb mBTC. We don't say google costs 1mUSD.


EDIT: Now it did.



483. Post 3819263 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

The buy that pushed us over 1200USD happened at the same time as 1110 wall disappeared, so I suppose he has another 0.6k BTC worth of usd waiting.



484. Post 3820418 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: KieranJones1 on December 04, 2013, 01:43:50 PM
so at this rate when we are expected to hit $1337?
i think it's time to plan a 1337 party
First we've got to pass that bloody $1200 for longer than an hour Sad

With volume this low its might take a while



485. Post 3822946 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: neutrinox on December 04, 2013, 05:03:55 PM


I don't think most of the world really cares about dollars.



Maybe not, but most of the world HATES decimals in prices. Decimals confuse people. Would you like to see a cup of coffee cost 2 milliBits or 0.002 bitcoins? It's much easier to understand whole numbers. Also, many people think 1000 $ /bitcoin unit is too expensive. I try to tell them they can buy fractions of a bitcoin, but they hate that idea. People don't like dealing with fractions. It's basic psychology.

Works fine for gold



486. Post 3823106 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: neutrinox on December 04, 2013, 05:16:09 PM
Works fine for gold

Yes, and gold is used in day to day transactions by regular consumers all the time...  Roll Eyes

Bitcoin won't be used in day to day transactions by regular consumers all the time. It won't be a currency. It's a store of value thing, like gold.  Roll Eyes



487. Post 3832507 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-12-05/china-s-pboc-bans-financial-companies-from-bitcoin-transactions.html



488. Post 3832541 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: Rampion on December 05, 2013, 08:38:47 AM
So, did we have a double top?

bulls will call it cup and handle, bears will call it double top



489. Post 3832619 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):




490. Post 3832674 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: Vycid on December 05, 2013, 08:51:30 AM

Quote
"Notice" clearly the nature of Bitcoin that Bitcoin is not issued by the monetary authorities, such as not having sex with mandatory legal tender currency property, not the true meaning of money.

Thanks, Google Translate.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy



491. Post 3848529 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: mmitech on December 06, 2013, 11:02:56 AM
I will add this to the good news http://www.coindesk.com/zipzap-offer-cash-bitcoin-service-28000-uk-locations/

was mentioned before, turned out to be old news from june



492. Post 3850339 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on December 06, 2013, 02:19:39 PM
Funny enough, $1000 starts to feel like 'normal'.

Funny enough there is so much tension in the air it does not feel like a normal at all



493. Post 3851319 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):




494. Post 3851473 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: mmitech on December 06, 2013, 03:57:38 PM
we have a great Buy support @ mtgox


Assuming it won't disappear Smiley



495. Post 3851893 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):




496. Post 3852161 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: accord01 on December 06, 2013, 04:54:37 PM
did the gox wall at 950 get eaten or pulled back?

part got pulled



497. Post 3852619 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on December 06, 2013, 05:27:27 PM
LMAO @ 959 buy wall.
If that guy had any intent to buy, hes todays BIGGEST MORON.



you mean the sell wall?



498. Post 3852634 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: Vycid on December 06, 2013, 05:29:22 PM
Quadruple bottom?

Bullish as fuck.

Where is the 4th one? I see only 3




499. Post 3852729 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: pera on December 06, 2013, 05:39:24 PM
Quadruple bottom?

Bullish as fuck.

Where is the 4th one? I see only 3



I only see 2: you can't tell if this is the bottom, yet.

That's true as well - but I can't see four for shit



500. Post 3859179 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: maz on December 07, 2013, 02:09:04 AM
Guys im disappointed at the lack of MEME's during this crash, there were far more during the rally, lets be fair now!

everyone is freaking the fuck out



501. Post 3859306 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: Krabby on December 07, 2013, 02:20:59 AM
Predictions?

no fucking clue. off to sleep. expecting anything tomorrow morning.



502. Post 3871615 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on December 08, 2013, 12:13:40 AM
Is this a mini tripple bottom formed in the last 7hours~?

no
zoom out.
its still crashing hard
sell me your coins now b4 its to late!

sarcasm?



503. Post 3891309 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: rpietila on December 09, 2013, 02:27:23 PM
Epic bull trap, or we're going back above ATH.

My prediction for the rest of the week: Rise with slow volume until Wed, then choppy downtrend to 600s, making it hard to see if a certain figure is a buying of selling opportunity.

Risto I like your posts, as they are usually non-sensational and have some value behind them, but how do you expect people to take your predictions seriously when you have admitted to trying to talk the price down because you thought 'crash was healthy'...



504. Post 3891441 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: gizmoh on December 09, 2013, 02:37:14 PM
I smell trap too, as before the crash the rally weakened around 1200.
So unless big money pours in, new ATH is improbable in the coming few weeks and this price will be unsustainable.

I've sent wires on Friday, I wonder who else did. Money will be coming around Wednesday I think.



505. Post 3898164 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Interesting to see what happens tomorrow and after tomorrow when friday transfers arrive



506. Post 3917960 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: fred1111 on December 11, 2013, 09:00:39 AM
Look like the correction is coming guys.... Well we're all about long term right? Its healthy to be this way. I personally hate volatility so i dont like the world media keeps talking about "bubble"

We should go up slow and steady not 15% in a day.

There is volatility because the price is almost exclusively speculation. That's a feature, not a bug. The speculation feeds capital indirectly into Bitcoin infrastructure.


You are not allowed to say that on this forum, people are going to talk about booming bitcoin economy and quote bitpay figures (caused by ASIC's)  Grin



507. Post 3918221 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on December 11, 2013, 10:13:54 AM
what was that? Sharp knife on all three major exchanges at the same time?

mtgox was last



508. Post 3925855 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: gandhibt on December 11, 2013, 08:49:42 PM
I just can't understand why the hell people are still using gox... Just GTFO from there, thank you Grin

Goat should come here and tell what he thinks about gox Cheesy

It's funny that when it's going up nobody is saying that  Roll Eyes



509. Post 3931396 (copy this link) (by lucas.sev) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on December 12, 2013, 10:08:03 AM
What a neat logo you have up there USA Today



Why did they do that? I just checked myself and it really is there.

it's a link to an article on btc