All posts made by NewLiberty in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 2447023 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: momobitcoin on June 12, 2013, 03:46:49 AM
zZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZz ZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZ zZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZz ZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZ zZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZz ZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZzZ
It is pretty, symmetric even.
Like the calm before the storm.



2. Post 2493062 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 16, 2013, 07:33:24 PM
QED ... go against the norm and think/act outside the box ... society says you are insane
Nice one Goat

Thank you for this.
I think I now have the new motto I was seeking:

"COGNITARE EXTRA BUXUM"

Look for it to appear prominently on the newly upcoming bitcoin silver pieces.
Pure cloud-sourced genius, .999 fine.



3. Post 2493477 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on June 16, 2013, 08:18:38 PM
QED ... go against the norm and think/act outside the box ... society says you are insane
Nice one Goat

Thank you for this.
I think I now have the new motto I was seeking:

"COGNITARE EXTRA BUXUM"

Look for it to appear prominently on the newly upcoming bitcoin silver pieces.
Pure cloud-sourced genius, .999 fine.

Do I get one as a token of your appreciation for the inspiration ?  Cheesy

Well done.  Its often said that if you don't ask, you don't get.
..But I was thinking something more on the order of a specially marked commemorative, encased suitably for display, with a personal note of thanks signed by the designer.  Sources of inspiration merit unique rewards.



4. Post 2507573 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: solex on June 18, 2013, 09:06:30 AM
Which Chinese exchange are people looking at?

Every single one ;-)

You can see them all here: http://btckan.com/price

USD price is second from left.

The weekend drop was already pretty reluctant TBH.

That's an amazing link, 9 RMB exchanges! The Chinese are really getting excited about Bitcoin.

The exchanges are growing, but the striking number that ought not be ignored is the futures volume.
It is approaching the volume of BTC-E.
Futures are where the price manipulation will be happening increasingly. 
https://796.com/reg/index/100231



5. Post 2522692 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 19, 2013, 07:06:17 PM
oh ya their will be a rally tonight  no question.

silver just took a hit.

Dow, gold, silver, anything $ denominated.
Bernanke is contemplating easing his foot from the accelerator.
So dollar goes up a notch against other stuff because folks are believing it.



6. Post 2531166 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 20, 2013, 02:26:26 PM

Wrong forum.

+1



7. Post 2567011 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: samson on June 24, 2013, 12:05:32 PM
1.The Cease & Desist

"f found guilty, the conference organiser for Bitcoin, the decentralised digital currency, could face fines of $1,000 - $2,500 (£650 - £1,600) per violation, or per day if violations are less frequent, plus criminal prosecution which could result in five years in prison and a fine of up to $250,000."
How do you prove they are a money transmitter?
Hope they don't keep Avalons in their office.

2.The news comes just days after  Gox, suspended users from withdrawing their Bitcoins as US dollars for two weeks.

I see a coordinated attack. Though, they seem to have the wrong target in the case of the foundaton.

Note that that is from May 30th so it isn't a coordinated attack, but I wonder why the foundation might not have mentioned it sooner?

When I get a baseless horseshit letter like that (and I've had a few over the years) I generally ignore it.

I hope they aren't ignoring it.  It offers an education opportunity at the least.



8. Post 2580032 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: Richy_T on June 26, 2013, 12:01:24 AM
More info here:

http://www.samizdata.net/2010/06/money-supply-th/

Well, if you really want the global view on money.  Here is the fresh info:
http://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2013e.pdf
The Central Banks of the world, their relative debt levels, change over the last few years, etc.

its on www.bis.org
If you want it in French, German, Italian or Spanish.



9. Post 2580364 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

A word to the wise:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/irswatch/2013/06/25/reminder-fbar-filing-due-by-june-30/

FBAR reporting requirements are due for all folks in the US who have a foreign account that had a value over US$10K in 2012 with the IRS.  
Penalty for non-reporting can be as much as 50% of the value of the account per year (not profit) though are much lower for provably innocent mistakes.

To reiterate, it doesn't matter if you cashed out anything or took any profit or just held it all in BTC, it is the value of the account and it being in a foreign nation that triggers the report requirement.
Call your tax attorney to understand your situation, don't take my advice.




10. Post 2580395 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 26, 2013, 01:20:57 AM
All hail for the great evil empire.
As much as I hate being the bearer of evil tidings, I really love you all and don't want to see you hurt by what you don't know.
This also may be some of the reason for the recent price drop.  US folks taking some out to pay off the tax?



11. Post 2581263 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: Voodah on June 26, 2013, 02:55:54 AM
A word to the wise:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/irswatch/2013/06/25/reminder-fbar-filing-due-by-june-30/

FBAR reporting requirements are due for all folks in the US who have a foreign account that had a value over US$10K in 2012 with the IRS.  
Penalty for non-reporting can be as much as 50% of the value of the account per year (not profit) though are much lower for provably innocent mistakes.

To reiterate, it doesn't matter if you cashed out anything or took any profit or just held it all in BTC, it is the value of the account and it being in a foreign nation that triggers the report requirement.
Call your tax attorney to understand your situation, don't take my advice.



What has your accountant said about this? I will call mine tomorrow, but I was under the impression that the US Government still has not classified BTC as a currency which wouldn't require filing.
My understanding is that if there is $10,000 in the account at any point during the year you would need to file the form. So if you import BTC to Mt. Gox and sell it off for $10K, you have $10K in the account. Or if you transfer $10K to the account to purchase BTC.

So what happens when you buy BTC with those 10k and now you don't have 10k anymore and you're lying in your statement..?

How is this handled with forex?
( just curious, not an american..)

It doesn't even matter if it is BTC or USD$, if the VALUE goes over US$10K adding ALL foreign accounts of anything you have to file.  So if you have US$5K in gold in Switzerland, and $5K worth of BTC, you are at the minimum to file.

Doesn't mean you owe any tax, you just have to file the paperwork.... but if you don't file it, and they call you on it, you have to pay a LOT.  It is a Banking Secrecy thing.



12. Post 2581332 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 26, 2013, 04:23:34 AM
It is a Banking Secrecy thing.

Sounds more like anti-secrecy to me.  Tongue
But then you can't call it "BS" eh?
http://www.irs.gov/uac/Money-Laundering-&-Bank-Secrecy-Act-(BSA)-Criminal-Investigation-(CI)



13. Post 2583089 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on June 26, 2013, 08:14:49 AM
A word to the wise:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/irswatch/2013/06/25/reminder-fbar-filing-due-by-june-30/

FBAR reporting requirements are due for all folks in the US who have a foreign account that had a value over US$10K in 2012 with the IRS.  
Penalty for non-reporting can be as much as 50% of the value of the account per year (not profit) though are much lower for provably innocent mistakes.

To reiterate, it doesn't matter if you cashed out anything or took any profit or just held it all in BTC, it is the value of the account and it being in a foreign nation that triggers the report requirement.
Call your tax attorney to understand your situation, don't take my advice.

I wonder which exchange should be used to determine such value. Like the one where you can't take dollars out or the ones that aren't based in US?
The one that matters will be whichever the IRS wants to use to show that there should have been a filing.



14. Post 2585413 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: momobitcoin on June 26, 2013, 12:15:26 PM
Oh, just thought of something else.

Regarding my statement above, I would need to file that form...unless

Unless I export the bitcoins (value of $5K) to a wallet after purchasing. Then price doubles to $10K. But, the bitcoins are in my wallet, no longer in the account. So the account value never exceeded $10K. The value of my wallet did though!    Grin
Yes.  That avoids the filing requirement. (If it never reached US$10K in value on foreign land).
There are other ways to avoid it, but that would suffice.
IRS rules are often weird that way.  They seem designed to encourage some arbitrary behaviors vs others.



15. Post 2585463 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: molecular on June 26, 2013, 02:13:57 PM
Oh, just thought of something else.

Regarding my statement above, I would need to file that form...unless

Unless I export the bitcoins (value of $5K) to a wallet after purchasing. Then price doubles to $10K. But, the bitcoins are in my wallet, no longer in the account. So the account value never exceeded $10K. The value of my wallet did though!    Grin

oh, now I finally understand that weird "account" feature in the satoshi client. It's for dividing up money into multiple accounts for regulatory evasion purposes.
The word you are looking for is "avoid" not "evade".  The first is legal, the second can get you a free room with bars, but nothing good to drink.

That feature wouldn't do either though, the requirement is triggered by the sum of foreign held accounts going over US$10 in the previous tax years, so it doesn't matter how many accounts you control, if they add up to 10K, you are on the hook.

Again, don't take any advice from me, I'm just mentioning the dragon sitting over there looking hungry.  How you handle it is entirely your business.



16. Post 2585491 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: barbs on June 26, 2013, 04:00:37 PM
Oh, just thought of something else.

Regarding my statement above, I would need to file that form...unless

Unless I export the bitcoins (value of $5K) to a wallet after purchasing. Then price doubles to $10K. But, the bitcoins are in my wallet, no longer in the account. So the account value never exceeded $10K. The value of my wallet did though!    Grin
Yes.  That avoids the filing requirement. (If it never reached US$10K in value on foreign land).
There are other ways to avoid it, but that would suffice.
IRS rules are often weird that way.  They seem designed to encourage some arbitrary behaviors vs others.

Do you guys realize that if one of your foreign accounts ever reaches over 10k, you need to report all your foreign accounts irrespective of their balance?

I have foreign account 1: 11,000$, f account 2: 2,000$ f account 3: 500$ f account 4: 0$
I need to report account numbers of all 4 accounts

I have foreign account 1: 100$, F account 2: 200$, f Account 3: 5,000$
don't need to report any account numbers on the 3 accounts

True.  Well put.

But also if Foreign acct1 =6000 and foreign account 2=6000, the sum is over 10K and its triggered.



17. Post 2585542 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

This FBAR report is mostly going to be useful for folks that have never had a lot of money, and suddenly have a whole bunch and can't show where it came from.  The assumption is going to be something criminal if you get audited.  This is a way to put it in the clear and spend it without worrying that you are going to get hit with anything unexpected later. (If you are US).  Its how they got Heidi Fleiss, taxes and money laundering, not so much the prostitution.



18. Post 2586775 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 26, 2013, 06:07:56 PM
Like someone else said, "Land of the free".  Undecided

*placing myself on the NSA watchlist*

Someone should bomb the Statue of Liberty.
The US lost the right to claim anything related to liberty years ago.
Noooo!  She's beautiful!



19. Post 2587412 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: byronbb on June 26, 2013, 07:22:53 PM
Yes, certain people are interested in keeping the price around $100.

If the market really wasn't comfortable with that, the price wouldn't still be there. So you can't really say that it's "artificial." The people putting up the walls don't have unlimited powah.
Ya no doubt about this.

Incidentally, since the charter of the Federal Reserve has as its mechanism the manipulation of the value of the dollar vis-a-vis other currency, now that Bitcoin is in that category according to FinCEN, the fed could decide on any given day to blow over the market in any direction that suits them.
They could short it to nothing and wait for weak hands to sell and then grab it all back.  They can print as much dollars as they like so you can't fight and win, all you can do is weather the storm.
There are whales, and there are leviathan.

Like the shao lin priest, they walk through walls.
Look for, they can not be seen, listen for, they cannot be heard.

It only took about US$30 billion to break down the gold bull market.  Bitcoin is peanuts to that.  Stay nimble.



20. Post 2605428 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: nmersulypnem on June 28, 2013, 05:43:02 PM
So someone wants to unload huge coinage and is propping up buy side to pick off anything offered above his fake walls? Since gox has usd delays he can bleed it out slowly over two weeks. I've been scratching my head at this market for days now and can only come up with this.

You have a point here. Eyes often glued on clarkmoody, that strategy makes sense, previous support at 100 was removed just before passing it. Lets see how the walls at 95 act.

Those fake buy walls are actually a huge risk for the wall owner.  He thinks he's just propping up the price for his smaller sells, but if another whale wants to cash out, he can easily sell into them and the wall owner will be stuck with 3K extra coins that he can't unload.

There's whales, and there's leviathan.  Now that Bitcoin is a currency, it is fair game for the Federal Reserve to toy with as well.



21. Post 2634432 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Miz4r on July 02, 2013, 11:39:37 AM
Bitstamp is really starting to gain some momentum now, the trading volume keeps increasing there which is a good sign imo. Smiley
Agree, better resilience than market dominance.



22. Post 2636503 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: nmersulypnem on July 02, 2013, 03:45:04 PM
Disclaimer: I know nothing about EFTs and TLDR the Winklevii document.

I wonder what the tax implications of the Winklevii moving their BTC into this EFT trust are. They would not need to pay any capital gains tax, since they've not realised their profits. But what about the shares they are selling?

There is no tax implication for them or their corp.  the corp does not pay taxes when issuing shares.  That money goes to the corp (not to you directly).  If they then pay themselves a salary from that money, then they'd pay taxes on it.

I guess the difference is that if they just sold the BTC, they would pay taxes on any realized gains.  So, actually, I guess this is the perfect way of selling BTC at a profit without paying taxes.   The money is technically in the corp, but they can still buy themselves pretty things with it.

What it does is make the Bitcoins into an ETF.  There are well established rules for ETFs for taxes and accounting, so it hides the fact that your investment is in Bitcoins making the accounting easy, its just another ETF in your list of ETF investments.

Whether it is wise to do so is an entirely separate question.  

Also, the ETFs are the #1 mechanism that the leviathans use to manipulate currencies (such as gold).  So the existence of an increasing number of ETFs that can move the market however a central bank desires it to move creates additional issues.



23. Post 2646426 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Keep in mind that there are ETF's and BTC lenders now.
So, Bitcoins can be borrowed and sold short in a numerous ways.
And...
It is a currency according to FinCEN.... so...
The Federal Reserve is within its charter to manipulate it, and with a tiny fraction of one day's money creation, put the price wherever it wants, 50, 5, 500, 50,000.  Whatever suits them, at will, whenever they like.  And they can do it with their reserve banking partners, with as many billions of fiat as they need.

Enter the leviathan, whales beware.



24. Post 2646493 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 03, 2013, 06:13:27 PM
Keep in mind that there are ETF's and BTC lenders now.
So, Bitcoins can be borrowed and sold short in a numerous ways.

Ok, say I want to short more than 1k BTC, where do I go?

Today you can go to http://bitcoinfund.eu/  Account minimum is US$1Mil, though they are reputedly lowering it for Bitcoin only accounts.



25. Post 2646541 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: gandhibt on July 03, 2013, 06:16:31 PM
Keep in mind that there are ETF's and BTC lenders now.
So, Bitcoins can be borrowed and sold short in a numerous ways.
And...
It is a currency according to FinCEN.... so...
The Federal Reserve is within its charter to manipulate it, and with a tiny fraction of one day's money creation, put the price wherever it wants, 50, 5, 500, 50,000.  Whatever suits them, at will, whenever they like.  And they can do it with their reserve banking partners, with as many billions of fiat as they need.

Enter the leviathan, whales beware.
Any facts to back up your bullshit? If they buy the price to $50000 I think I'll be maybe selling...

More likely they will do what they did with gold.  Though that was more expensive.  They dumped about $28billion in a single block trade to break the market down, with an immediate loss of over $1B on the gap down in April.



26. Post 2646609 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 03, 2013, 06:20:29 PM
Today you can go to http://bitcoinfund.eu/  Account minimum is US$1Mil, though they are reputedly lowering it for Bitcoin only accounts.


I see how I can buy, not how I can short...

Account min was wrong above:
Minimum Account size with EXANTE EUR 100,000.
Minimum Bitcoin Fund transaction size  EUR 10,000

If you want to short, call them up.

Or you can do it the penny-ante way and borrow from coinlenders at a high rate.



27. Post 2647220 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 03, 2013, 06:31:32 PM
Today you can go to http://bitcoinfund.eu/  Account minimum is US$1Mil, though they are reputedly lowering it for Bitcoin only accounts.


I see how I can buy, not how I can short...

Account min was wrong above:
Minimum Account size with EXANTE EUR 100,000.
Minimum Bitcoin Fund transaction size  EUR 10,000

If you want to short, call them up.

Or you can do it the penny-ante way and borrow from coinlenders at a high rate.

Again, I saw that, but I still don't see if they offer any kind of shorting.

You are so easily thwarted?

I learned that by speaking with them at the convention.  
Call them up, not everything is on the website.
They are available 24/7, and have folks around the world to answer your call.
https://exante.eu/contact_us/



28. Post 2647283 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: byronbb on July 03, 2013, 06:51:01 PM
Today you can go to http://bitcoinfund.eu/  Account minimum is US$1Mil, though they are reputedly lowering it for Bitcoin only accounts.


I see how I can buy, not how I can short...

Account min was wrong above:
Minimum Account size with EXANTE EUR 100,000.
Minimum Bitcoin Fund transaction size  EUR 10,000

If you want to short, call them up.

Or you can do it the penny-ante way and borrow from coinlenders at a high rate.

Again, I saw that, but I still don't see if they offer any kind of shorting.
https://exante.eu/press/news/314/
Relevant snip from that page:

"The broker is also meeting the much waited requirement from the commercial processors and large merchants of Bitcoins i.e. they can now hedge their Bitcoin inventories without liquidating actual Bitcoins that they have been doing till now daily."

So you post your cash to cover, and they sell borrowed coins for you.
https://exante.eu/press/news/314/



29. Post 2647295 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 03, 2013, 07:52:12 PM
You are so easily thwarted?

I learned that by speaking with them at the convention.  
Call them up, not everything is on the website.
They are available 24/7, and have folks around the world to answer your call.
https://exante.eu/contact_us/

 Huh Huh Huh

Oh right, that's not like I should expect anyone to publicly show what they are offering on the Internet.
Especially if they are the first to offer it.

Better call them to see if they forgot to include something.

So you ARE easily thwarted.  That phone is sooo far away.... can't look away from screen...




30. Post 2647330 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 03, 2013, 07:54:17 PM
You act like I didn't acknowledge what you have already posted...
No, I act like you goaded me into reading and digesting the information for you due to your incredulity.
Really, you should just believe everything I write.  It will save us both time.  Smiley



31. Post 2649483 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Loozik on July 04, 2013, 12:00:00 AM

we're hitting a key support, post count on this thread is crazy high, all bearish comments ...expect me...   time to buy guys its trend reversal  Cool

Maybe



Use log scales Smiley



32. Post 2652778 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Miz4r on July 04, 2013, 11:06:33 AM
It will be interesting to see how the US will react to the good news from MtGox. Up or Down? We will find out in about an hour from now. Cool

I bet there will be fireworks.  Lots of fireworks.  And parades.



33. Post 2652872 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: gizmoh on July 04, 2013, 11:13:46 AM
It will be interesting to see how the US will react to the good news from MtGox. Up or Down? We will find out in about an hour from now. Cool

I bet there will be fireworks.  Lots of fireworks.  And parades.
Which color, i prefer Red, they shine better  Roll Eyes
Maybe its already starting..
Red is guaranteed, with some white and blue.
There will also be much drinking and BBQ.  
People will celebrate nationwide.



34. Post 2661249 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 05, 2013, 09:49:58 AM

I covered all my shorts yesterday, but have now re-opened them plus some, so I am putting my money where my mouth is in case anyone wants to call me on that. And by short I mean negative Bitcoins, not just sitting in fiat.

What is negative Bitcoins? I always thought that short means sit on fiat waiting to increase bitcoin position later as they fall in price

I mean leveraged short CFD's ... I make fiat when the price goes down. To me holding BTC is long, holding fiat is 'flat'. 'Short' means selling borrowed BTC or a CFD (or ETF  Cheesy)

Where do you trade these instruments?

I think Bitfinex lends BTC to short from what Frozenlock has said. There may be others. Some online FX brokers are now offer BTC CFD's. Plus500 and Spreadex to name two accessible in the UK. I am sure there are many more. But tread carefully and manage your risk well if you intend to use leverage on something like Bitcoin. Things can blow up in your face real quick if you don't have the cash to cover it. TBH, for me the leverage just serves as a way to give them less of my fiat.
A CFD is a Contract For Difference in case you are not aware- basically a bet that the price will go up or down where you make or lose only fiat and never touch the underlying asset, though the issuer may do. Its a derivative - the paper shit that Rampion hates ! TBH for me it's not the 'paper shit' that is the issue, it is it's misuse/abuse that is the problem. Any market should have the ability to go short in my opinion otherwise there is no way for true price discovery. It's when the derivatives become greater than the value of the underlying that the problems start to arise and the house of cards starts to be built . When people use them to magnify position to such an extent that a small unexpected move can 'blow them up' that the systemic risk arises. See Long Term Capital (Mis)Management for the best example. And Lehmans for the more widely known one.

EDIT : I normally don't disclose my positions - I feel it can bring bad luck. I just felt in this instance it was necessary

If your minimum trade is >EUR10K you can also use BitcoinFund's ETF to short.
Need EUR100K minimum account.  Available 24/7 globally through Exante.
They are pro at getting orders processed with minimal market movement for maximal customer profit.




35. Post 2664493 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: dexX7 on July 05, 2013, 10:35:52 PM

Those are my reasons to call 50 and 30-35 as worst worst worst case. Smiley

0 and a lawsuit are my worst worst worst cases. 
I like your worst case instead. 
Sell me some insurance? Smiley



36. Post 2664663 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: dexX7 on July 05, 2013, 10:50:01 PM
It's all my perception and of course really crazy events aren't included in this scenario, but even with a ban in some countrys it's value won't be zero though. Wink

I agree.  Bitcoin is resilient to law.  It is not resilient from technology.
Any of the largest governments, and even some of the large banks, if they wanted Bitcoin gone, could 51% it.  They could 90% it.  We are a mote.  No mistaking it, we can go to zero.
I am optimistic, I think this will not happen, but I also recognize that it might.



37. Post 2668470 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: fulepp on July 06, 2013, 04:08:55 PM
I can't believe a small sell wall at 70.00 is holding this upward trend at bay  Huh

That's because it's not an uptrend

why ppl would buy @70 when most of the ppl predict 50's? that's a huge difference and it seems the trend is showing to this direction...

"Most of the ppl" are usually wrong.



38. Post 2668508 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on July 06, 2013, 04:20:42 PM
You guys are ready to see the deniers use the next rebound as a "See, you bears were wrooong! To da mooon!" ?

 Wink

No.  Don't have any predictions.
Even whales can't fight the leviathans.
The price goes where they want it to go.



39. Post 2680932 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: Kazu on July 07, 2013, 08:08:46 PM
Lol, I still don't know why they say they have to 'trust hackers', why not just actually go and read the sourcecode if you actually think that nobody would have pointed something like that out by now its open source for goodness sakes.

Also what the heck is it with the term 'hacker' anyway, its like they want to tag him as evil for no reason whatsoever.

You forget...To news people, a hacker is someone that either knows what source code is, or can read source code.
We are like aliens to these people.



40. Post 2684162 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: hlynur on July 08, 2013, 07:19:13 PM

M-Pesa seems more like a rivaling currency than anything else. It already has millions of transactions daily and growing fast, bitcoin is becoming a gamblers paradise.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M-Pesa
.

i wonder how high the fees are?

Quote
Users are charged a small fee for sending and withdrawing money using the service.

You pay a fee of R2.45 each time you transfer money to another registered m-pesa customer
(About USD$0.25)


There are over 2000 m-pesa outlets. You’ll find them at:
Vodacom shops
Vodacom 4U stores
spaza shops
community containers
all Nedbank branches
selected retailers
anywhere you see the Vodacom m-pesa outlet sign

http://www.vodacom.com/personal/services/m-pesa/aboutm-pesa



41. Post 2688299 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: niothor on July 09, 2013, 07:50:25 AM
Well , in term of number of transactions , we're back to 2012 ... cimpochi to the rescue?

Not surprising.
More anecdotes:
At these exchange rates, folks are not spending them and so almost all my orders are USD.
The BTC buys less silver now than they used to.  Had a lot of orders when BTC was >110, more than I could take and clear so I had to limit the BTC sales.  Now it is all USD.



42. Post 2691526 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: QuestionAuthority on July 09, 2013, 05:10:58 PM
Isn't this still just the ASIC manufacturers selling off their coin. They can't allow it to drop too low or they'll kill their profit margin.
No, it isn't, but thanks for asking.



43. Post 2692639 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: vokain on July 09, 2013, 07:21:43 PM
Gee, I just realized how crazy this is going to be when/if the ETF launches. If this can be manipulated this easily, you should see how the wall st. guys push around gigantic market cap stocks within like 20 milliseconds just before another wall st. guy announces a downgrade. Bitcoin will get blown to bits the moment those guys even start to take it seriously.

who says wall st guys aren't pushing bitcoin around right now?

There is already a Bitcoin ETF, you can short or long but needs EUR100K for an account and minimum trade is EUR10K



44. Post 2706471 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Richy_T on July 11, 2013, 02:26:13 PM

This is true, Bitcoin as a speculation medium and as a currency don't go together.

People speculate on traditional currencies all the time. It's how Soros made his money.

I think you made the Mickey's point for him.
Or were you not aware of the effect on those currencies?

So yes it can be done.   Is it good for "Bitcoin"?



45. Post 2706685 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Richy_T on July 11, 2013, 02:53:42 PM

So yes it can be done.   Is it good for "Bitcoin"?
It may be. There's an awful lot of bitcoins owned by relatively few early adopters. If Bitcoin is to succeed, a large chunk of those bitcoins need to be extracted from those early adopters and spread amongst the general population.
Not sure I agree with that as a necessary precursor to the success of bitcoin, but assuming that it is for the moment, how and why does speculation accomplish that?



46. Post 2707130 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on July 11, 2013, 03:33:15 PM
IMO most Bitcoiners are the most sociopathic people there are.
It takes a *special* attitude to strive after a system where economic status is derived only by a unchangeable, unchallengeable, non-physical ledger.   

http://www.spiegel.de/international/zeitgeist/going-rogue-share-traders-more-reckless-than-psychopaths-study-shows-a-788462.html

Mr Pot, meet Mr Kettle



47. Post 2722324 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: molecular on July 13, 2013, 01:17:54 PM
Triggering password reset seems harmless, unless of course the attacker has access (or can snoop on) your email traffic.


"Harmless" might be overreaching.
If someone wanted to move the Gox price, locking out as many accounts as possible on a low volume trading day just might make that even easier.



48. Post 2774078 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: crumbs on July 21, 2013, 02:08:28 PM
...
Sure, but the point is that in bitcoin world big money doesn't automatically mean more money, because you can't print and loan bitcoins. That's pretty simple.

You don't think there were tycoons & beggars with gold standard?  We had the silly thing in US 'til the seventies!  As far as lending with Bitcoin, i can talk you through many interesting lending schemes where the total number of bitcoins in circulation is not the ceiling (hint:  when you borrow a million dollars from a bank, do you take it home in a trunk?)

The trick you will have to solve in order to have this paragraph make sense, is how to get someone to accept a fractionally reserve borrowed "~bitcoin" as payment.



49. Post 2774170 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: crumbs on July 21, 2013, 03:56:59 PM
...
Sure, but the point is that in bitcoin world big money doesn't automatically mean more money, because you can't print and loan bitcoins. That's pretty simple.

You don't think there were tycoons & beggars with gold standard?  We had the silly thing in US 'til the seventies!  As far as lending with Bitcoin, i can talk you through many interesting lending schemes where the total number of bitcoins in circulation is not the ceiling (hint:  when you borrow a million dollars from a bank, do you take it home in a trunk?)

The trick you will have to solve in order to have this paragraph make sense, is how to get someone to accept a fractionally reserve borrowed "~bitcoin" as payment.

I have x bitcoins.  I issue you & 10 other people letters of credit for x/9.  Magic. Smiley

OK, next you are going to have to solve the problem of how to get someone to accept a letter of credit for Bitcoin.  Or in other words, the same thing I wrote in the last challenge to this scheme.  You've done no magic yet.  It is ~bitcoin, or !bitcoin if you prefer...  Who accepts it?



50. Post 2774797 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: crumbs on July 21, 2013, 04:18:26 PM
...
Sure, but the point is that in bitcoin world big money doesn't automatically mean more money, because you can't print and loan bitcoins. That's pretty simple.

You don't think there were tycoons & beggars with gold standard?  We had the silly thing in US 'til the seventies!  As far as lending with Bitcoin, i can talk you through many interesting lending schemes where the total number of bitcoins in circulation is not the ceiling (hint:  when you borrow a million dollars from a bank, do you take it home in a trunk?)

The trick you will have to solve in order to have this paragraph make sense, is how to get someone to accept a fractionally reserve borrowed "~bitcoin" as payment.

I have x bitcoins.  I issue you & 10 other people letters of credit for x/9.  Magic. Smiley

OK, next you are going to have to solve the problem of how to get someone to accept a letter of credit for Bitcoin.  Or in other words, the same thing I wrote in the last challenge to this scheme.  You've done no magic yet.  It is ~bitcoin, or !bitcoin if you prefer...  Who accepts it?

The same person who accepts anything more interesting than a pawnshop/payday loan.  Unless you're used to asking for your loans in used, nonsequential twenties, you're familiar with one piece of paper representing another.

Edit:  Think "line of credit."  If it seems inconceivable to you, figure out how the fractional reserve system come into being -- there's no need to "print" all the monyz you lend Smiley
Edit2 (tangent):  I will also issue Crumblets, paper promissory notes denominated in bitcoins.  As tangible currency, requiring no internet access or gizmos, this folding money will become more popular than Bitcoin itself. Smiley
Paper is paper.  The old game is not the new game, we're talking bitcoin crypto-currency, so you need to improve your trick.

So you don't know anyone who would either take the bait either?  And now you want me to do this magic trick for you?
I am well aware of how the fractional reserve system came into being.  The problems which were solved by the creation of fractional reserve (carrying heavy gold and silver from place to place) are not problems of bitcoin, it moves faster than most cash equivalents and is lighter than a feather.

To perform your magic trick, you are going to have to find "marks" and "patsys" with whom to trade your "letters of credit" !bitcoins.  The trick will be on those that accept !bitcoins for payment for anything rather than asking for bitcoins.  I may have a few bridges to sell to your customers, but I am not going to be accepting the !bitcoins for them.

But hey, you are so confidant in this scheme, maybe you are that patsy? Would you like to buy an online wallet account that has !bitcoin in it for the privilege paying interest on it in bitcoin?  I have been told the seller promises that they won't sell the bitcoin backing it to more than 10 other people and that they won't take the bitcoins out of it suddenly.  It is just as good as bitcoin, really it is. Wink  We can call it !ripple if you like.

If you are going to do this scam, you are going to need a bunch of shills who are going to offer to accept your !bitcoin from your mark after the mark gets !bitcoin from you.  Fractional reserve is a confidence game.  Why else do banks build such impressive structures? They want your confidence.  I'm not saying it can't be done, or even that you can't do it.  If it will work anywhere, it will probably work in a high-trust society like USA.

We are way off the topic of MtGox walls.  My apologies to the rest, if anyone objects, we'll start a fractional reserve bitcoin thread in a more appropriate place.



51. Post 2776483 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: crumbs on July 21, 2013, 08:04:02 PM
...
Fractional reserve is a confidence game.  Why else do banks build such impressive structures? They want your confidence.  I'm not saying it can't be done, or even that you can't do it.  If it will work anywhere, it will probably work in a high-trust society like USA.

Are you saying that my Bitcoin fractional reserve lending is no better than the fiat lending we know & love?  I agree.  All i wanted to show is fractional reserve lending could be done without inflationary currency -- what did you think i was trying to prove?  Cheesy

I just want to see your magic trick.  
Quote from: crumbs on July 21, 2013, 03:56:59 PM
I have x bitcoins.  I issue you & 10 other people letters of credit for x/9.  Magic. Smiley
We both know how the trick is performed long before we started this dialog, it was done with gold (inflationary only in geologic time).  So don't need proof, just a performance.

Show me the rubes that will sign on for accepting the debt (!bitcoin) of fractional reserve lending of Bitcoin, as a payment for something.  I'm sure they are out there, it is a ancient and brilliant con.  I want to meet these marks, these rubes, and to see you do the trick.  I am also curious to discover what they think after they learn the secret of the trick.  When the illusion is revealed and they realize that the emperor never had any clothes, nor do any of the other emperors, and they aren't wearing much themselves either.  

When their exposure is exposed, they just may want to buy some of my bitcoins, or my precious metals (but I won't be taking any of their !bitcoin for that).  Or if it is too much work, just point me to someone else that is doing it, and I can have my fun.  Smiley



52. Post 2849716 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: thezerg on August 01, 2013, 08:08:55 PM
your sure its not the bear trap of in the institutional investor stage?

nice joke

No joke... quit your day trading perspective and zoom yourself out to an investor's timeframe.  Despite a flash of media hype barely anybody knows about bitcoin.

If you consider the Winkevoss as the Institutional Investor?  Then no joke.
I'm at OHM2013, a hacker conference in the Netherlands.  I gave a presentation on non-government money.  About 75% of attendees (at this talk, not just the whole conference) had "heard of" bitcoin.  Less than 10% at the presentation had ever owned any, and this is about as deep as you can get in the target market without being at a bitcoin meetup.

These are the early days.



53. Post 2862056 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

If PP is even contemplating this, they and the people "in the know" would have been buying BTC since it began.  It is not as though SEC would care to get involved over insider trading, as SEC doesn't govern BTC.
Any sign of that buying happening...?



54. Post 2862304 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: Wagner2014 on August 04, 2013, 12:06:36 AM
re. paypal rumor:
a) You have to trust someone that breaks trust of company he works for and likely confidentiality obligations. And for what?
b) How is a company like PayPal going to "accept" business in bitcoin currently? Paypal has to consider the legal ramifications of doing this in every country in the world where it operates, and where the legality of bitcoin is not yet certain.
c) It would be much safer for PayPal to invest money in a company like BitPay to hedge it's bets going forward but to separate its current business from a speculative investment in a 'currency' of questionable legality.
d) Do people really believe random rumors posted on internet message boards? Use your head!

d) is the important one.  If others believe it, the price may move, otherwise...




55. Post 2862324 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 04, 2013, 12:12:14 AM
Quote
PayPal has hinted
...
of course bitcoin is the future its on a matter of time till everyone get with the program, expecting more "Rumors"   Wink

Granted, the question is whether the future is now.



56. Post 2864114 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: gandhibt on August 04, 2013, 09:49:34 AM
This is all about does Paypal believe that bitcoin will be huge or not. If they do, then they should become new Gox. This would be good.
Isn't there a better thread for this?
PayPal would shift from "engine for Bitcoin scammers" to "big man on bitcoin campus" in the minds of many.  That "good will" might be worth something.  They would also benefit from the carry trade in a way that they don't with USD or other fiat.  They were once deeply innovative, and sought to change the world in the way that Bitcoin is doing so (in the Elon Musk, Ken Howery days, both of whom like Bitcoin).
http://www.mainstreet.com/article/money/investing/paypal-founder-invests-bitcoin

Paypal, with its lobbying heft, may also be sweeping the market clear of the less compliant to make room for it to plop itself down in a clean space in the market.  There is much about this that makes sense, but it assumes a combination of sagacity and shrewd cunning on the part of folks who are keeping their cards hidden.



57. Post 2885186 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: solex on August 07, 2013, 02:48:33 AM
I'm getting more and more interested about this:
https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions-excluding-popular
It excludes MtGox, SD and other similar sites. So where is the traffic coming from? Real-world usage like in Argentina and M-Pesa?
This IS interesting...



58. Post 2895247 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ardana123 on August 09, 2013, 01:14:12 AM
Just thought of something.
If Gox really had liquidity problems and were in need of cash to dig themselves out, they wouldn't just badmouth their ability to handle deposits (like they did in their latest update), on the contrary they would promote it. I think they have more problems than they'd like to admit though.
Growing pains are to be expected.  Orders of magnitude differences each year has to take its toll.



59. Post 2971910 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: molecular on August 20, 2013, 02:20:03 PM
<images removed>

An economist would say that the bid sum is clearly on a trajectory to infinity, and the ask sum to zero  

so price will head to infinity squared
Either that... or economists' heads are square.



60. Post 2972832 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ardana123 on August 20, 2013, 04:09:40 PM
It's relevant in my case, as a european trading bitcoin in USD, i'm interested in the exchange rate usd/euro. So i wouldn't like it if the USD takes a tumble.
So, fed tapers: dollar rises, fed doesn't taper: dollar goes down, down, down.

To use a baseball analogy. 
Monetary policy (Fed action) is the backstop.  Fiscal policy (congressional+administrative spending control) is at bat.

When Fiscal policy strikes out, the dollar goes down down down.  All monetary policy can do is keep some of the balls that our batters can't hit from sliding into the gutter, rolling into the sewer and out to sea.

Too much credence is given to the Federal Reserve wrt dollar valuation, but its not their game to lose, it is the absence of governance on government.



61. Post 2977000 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 21, 2013, 03:54:54 AM
What would be the point of that wall?
Sometimes...
To entice smaller sellers to get out in front of it so that when it is pulled, the price rises more swiftly and the coins can sell at a much higher price.



62. Post 2989889 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):

Quote from: Its About Sharing on August 22, 2013, 06:57:38 PM
thoughts?

They should decentralize?

this is just the beginning of major exchange issues
Once the deflation is in full force, we will see more outages. when selling starts in earnest, NASDAQ, NYSE, etc. servers wont be able to handle it.
it is like 100,000 people trying to escape out of a baseball or soccer stadium at once when only one gate is open...


I wonder, the FED can just buy stocks that are being sold. The engines the exchanges use can handle the volume. I mean the FED is injecting a fair amount of that 85 billion a month into the stock markets. AT ALL COSTS they will not let people think the shit has hit the fan. The revolution will not be on television.   Cry

That said, I think the FIAT bubble is going to burst, but when? BTC has a "market cap" of 1+ Billion. The FED prints that amount every day by noon. It won't matter, if they try to create volatility there will probably be less to buy back if the currencies of the world are not doing well. Interesting experiment we got here.

And when some, even a small amount of that money goes into BTC, we will be talking valuations that are decoupled from current understanding. That is the best way to NOT put a value on things.

The Fed can't directly buy stocks in the way that other Central Banks can and do.  Bank of Japan owns and is buying more stocks.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-24/central-banks-load-up-on-equities-as-low-rates-kill-bond-yields.html

The Federal Reserve has a blank check for currency manipulation, and most currencies have some reserves of stocks, so the Fed is in the game by proxy, but for them to get any stocks directly it takes an act of Congress (like TARP) or it can dabble by funding a Special Purpose Vehicle that buys a broad basket of stocks through indexes or Exchange Traded Funds, but they don't get to pick and chose which company stock to manipulate directly in the way that some other central banks and sovereign funds can.



63. Post 3004808 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):

Quote from: johnmatrix on August 24, 2013, 05:42:18 PM
whales will probably wake up sunday morning
Hmm...



64. Post 3020954 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 27, 2013, 05:23:03 PM

... they had nothing to fear from the government as long as they followed U.S. financial rules.


^could be problematic for most, if not all, companies currently involved in bitcoin. First, it is super expensive. Second, who knows what those recent 20+ subpoenas will reveal. Would anyone be surprised if the regulatory bodies determine that no current bitcoin-related companies have adequate KYC and anti money laundering procedures in place?

KYC is not really that hard or expensive.  There are service desks that will do it for you for a few bucks a customer.  Perhaps it is the non-monetary costs that have been more daunting?



65. Post 3025440 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):

Quote from: bitcodo on August 28, 2013, 11:13:24 AM
Quote
With every +10k buy I pray that this is not some leverage BTC derivative guy with lots of money to play and a good script to execute buy/sell on exchange and broker simultaneously.

Why? If that's really what it was, he/she would at least be helping to make the market more efficient and deepening liquidity, right?  Better a deep-pocketed arbitrageur, than a deep-pocketed manipulator trying to yank the price around playing games like "the hammer" for a few bitcoins profit here and there at the cost of greatly increasing volatility...

The one with 40 kBTC(5M$ buy this week) can sell today, drop price to 100 (plus all others who will follow - so maybe to 70$). Average sell price for him let's say 110, so he lost 1M$. At the same time he opens leverege 1:5 sell order at 130 with another 5M$ (sell 38kBTC*5) and close it at 70$. This is 11M$ profit - 1M$ loss = 10M$ pure profit.

So he can duble his money in matter of minutes. He can sell BTC with loss, he can do it in both directions, he even don't need others to participate.

Nope, my guess is that he is a buy and holder.  Say goodbye to those coins for a good long while.  One of the paypal original investors was looking to get 5MM into bitcoins at our last meetup.



66. Post 3035504 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):

Quote from: telemaco on August 29, 2013, 09:59:55 AM
What will happen if US starts the proxy war against Russia & China?

Big movement but in what direction. Some possible implications?:

Possible gold & bitcoin running up?
Possible massive selloff of $ by the chinese state?
ASICMINER (China) consequences for western customers?
BTC-e consequences for western customers?
Bitstamp & MtGox consequences for Russia & China customers?

Huge movements i guess.

Any opinions?

I <3 all bitcoiners, no matter on what soil they are standing.



67. Post 3039771 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 29, 2013, 10:59:56 PM
I see around 8k 24hr volume on gox...  

and Thursday is an action day....

Expect sub-5k volume each weekend day...

Srsly, how is the value of 11 mil coins decided by this ridiculous level of volume? Not good. Undecided

Bitcoin is dead...


Or it is being used in trade, you know, commerce...
Would be good to pull a running metric of how many transactions vs how many on gox



68. Post 3047012 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):

Quote from: telemaco on August 31, 2013, 12:11:54 AM
I'm noticing an interesting phenomenon where positive news = dump btc for fiat (more likely you will be able to get your fiat off exchange later) and negative news = panic buy bitcoin (fiat might get locked on exchange for various reasons). This is pure insanity.

like gold?
Satoshi would not have invented bitcoin without 2008 crisis. He wrote some comments on the blockchain about it
Insanity is the financial system we have. Bitcoin is sanity.

Yes he would have.  It started long before then.



69. Post 3072084 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on September 03, 2013, 12:49:20 PM
I personally think some big money is waiting in the shadows. Imagine if a couple billion moved in right now. Popularity would skyrocket, everyone would go all-in (because the initial billionaire pushed the price up to extreme highs already), pushing the price up even further, earning the billionaire who invested his money a huge ROI? Why wouldn't they do this? Prolly because the market is not liquid enough for this kind of money. Maybe the bitcoin ETF from the winklevii will allow this kind of money to move in.

Who would you even SEND a billion dollars to if you wanted to buy that much bitcoin? Gox? You'd log into your gox account and it would say 1,000,000,000? And you would click "Market order"? Not happening. Not now, probably never on gox.

You'd do better to send it to Exante.  They are probably the best at getting trades performed in bitcoin with minimal market movement.



70. Post 3081921 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: Zangelbert Bingledack on September 04, 2013, 01:14:27 PM
Holy smokes! When did China become a third of the total global exchange volume?!

And how fast are they coming up?

As expected.
And also why Chinese ideograms for Freedom and Harmony bookmark the QR code on the reverse side of the new Silver Bitcoin 1 ozt COLD HARD CASH pieces:




71. Post 3082019 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 04, 2013, 06:32:57 PM
right now a selloff on bitstamp is drawing mtgox down. The position at 143.6 is being sold of peacemeal (and slowly, there still isn't any volume on gox).

Volume on bitstamp is much higher than on gox right now  Shocked.


People are becoming impatient with this whale who probably isnt going to come to the rescue.

Right now a pullback is the only thing that can ensure a sustained rally. Buy whale will be shy as long as it looks like his volume will contribute to increasing slippage to the upside.

Well.... maybe a pull back not the "only thing" that can ensure a sustained rally.  Lots of buying over a long period of time could do that too, right?



72. Post 3087466 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on September 05, 2013, 12:52:50 PM
That's exactly what the voicemail was. And throughout our discussion questions were raised regarding whether eBay policies could be updated to allow the use of bitcoin on eBay.

For eBay this makes a lot of sense, its just another currency.  There may be internecine issues with paypal, but there is room for both for at least a while.



73. Post 3088916 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: Rampion on September 05, 2013, 04:00:40 PM

Not that it matters, but to be clear, I am a Critical Marxist.

Which means I don't play fair.

Taking into account that, among other many things, the very meaning of the world capitalism (=private ownership of means of production) was defined by Marx in "The Capital", its simply a shame that almost nobody under 50 has read that work. You really cannot understand the history of the last 200 years without having read it.

Am under 50 and read it, but would recommend Carl Menger over Karl Marx for purposes of understanding.
Though both is better.



74. Post 3095318 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on September 06, 2013, 02:29:47 PM
All you need to know is mortgage loans in the US fluctuate based on bond yields. So if average dumb, fat, walmart employee, American wants to buy a house, s/he is greatly limited by the rate on the 30 year loan. A single percentage point can raise monthly payments quite a bit. Home owners must lower the principle to offset the portion of monthly payments attributable to interest.

It isn't pretty. Almost all large assets that require a loan will go unsold unless the holders accept massive losses.

*edit*

Another way to think about this is that it may force many inflated asset bubbles to finally BURST! Sounds good for bitcoin. Probably is, in the long run. But not until USA decides to hyper-inflate. You are a fool if you believe this is just around the corner, in response to bubble burstings. We will see more stagnation for a while, caused by more failed QE-BY-ANOTHER-NAME. Could last years. Govs don't hyper inflate but as a last resort. We have plenty of room to suffer!

yes..  inflation can happen fast when it happens, but we aren't always going to know when.

The onset can be swift:



The macro also matters but is a bit more complex and sometimes counter-intuitive.  When the rates rise, it encourages bond buying (which other central banks do to "back" their currency with our debt), this increases the dollar forex rate, which in turn decreases the cost of imports and makes exports more difficult to sell, which hurts the balance of trade, reducing economic output, but requires the US to become more efficient in order to compete, so we build infrastructure on borrowed money all of which gets dumped into the deficit, hastening the inflation curve.

The last few (every 30 years or so) shows the USA may be overdue...

Also notice that the lower it is before the spike, the higher the spike...



75. Post 3095927 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: oda.krell on September 06, 2013, 04:09:43 PM
Are there any bibcoin beliebers other than me that don't actually think the world economy is about to collapse, fiat is just a ponzi scheme and that Bernanke is about to reveal that he's just a  space lizard being remote controlled by a geostationary Illuminati satellite?


*raises hand*

The world economy is not likely to collapse.  There are a lot of problems, but there are a lot of people working on them as well.  Bitcoin is a great solution to quite a number of things.  Its a great way to make money, have fun, and do good.

The chart does not show any hyper-inflation, just the inflation spikes we seem to have had every 30 or so years since the federal reserve started its games.  Hyper-inflation is 50% inflation per month, a very different thing.



76. Post 3096088 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: Miz4r on September 06, 2013, 05:42:59 PM
Are there any bibcoin beliebers other than me that don't actually think the world economy is about to collapse, fiat is just a ponzi scheme and that Bernanke is about to reveal that he's just a  space lizard being remote controlled by a geostationary Illuminati satellite?


*raises hand*

The world economy is not likely to collapse.  There are a lot of problems, but there are a lot of people working on them as well.  Bitcoin is a great solution to quite a number of things.  Its a great way to make money, have fun, and do good.

They are not working to solve the underlying problems of our monetary system at all, they don't even recognize how unsustainable our consumption driven economy that depends on infinite growth really is. And how the absolute power of banks to create money out of nothing and lend it out at interest turns us all into a bunch of debt slaves. Really, people need to be educated about how we're being royally screwed here. Nobody (in a position of power) is working to solve these problems at all, they just want to make you think that way while they keep rigging the system.

To disambiguate...By a lot of people working on it, (with respect to the monetary systemic problems) I meant you, me, and the rest of us here... not so much "they", the following sentence was the punch line for that.



77. Post 3096101 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 06, 2013, 05:51:50 PM
Hey guise, this is all OT

So, let's get back to observing the WALLS—m'kaay?

Show us a wall and we'll stare at it...  Looks like an old slow river valley, not so much a canyon.



78. Post 3097664 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: crumbs on September 06, 2013, 09:49:17 PM
About here, on the 30th, i have predicted that we'll hit 120 before we hit 150, with a warning that my predictions are always wrong.

Here, we were a few bucks away from 150, and i pointed out that it looks like i'm wrong again.

Let's see if this wrongness streak keeps up Grin

But if you are wrong about being wrong, do two wrongs make a right?  That's just... wrong...



79. Post 3097679 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: oda.krell on September 06, 2013, 09:08:12 PM

No, sorry to disappoint, but whoever drove the price up might or might not come back, but pump and dump 't was not.

That would suggest whale's accumulation is not yet complete, the buy in chunks as soon as sellers appear, then followed by flash-crashing it to set a new base for more accumulation?



80. Post 3099989 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: FNG on September 07, 2013, 09:05:48 AM

A bull elephant!



81. Post 3100072 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: marcelus on September 07, 2013, 09:26:33 AM
Am I the only one that thinks it's a pony??
probably but didn't someone else think it was a bollinger bandger?



82. Post 3110128 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: coolbeans94 on September 08, 2013, 09:42:30 PM
24hr volume on Gox under 6,000. lol.

Turbo-ultra-mega-bulls:

I'm interested in your tinfoil hat theories about the laughably low volume on weekends and/or other days when Gox is not crediting accounts with deposited fiat. Specifically, please explain in detail why/how this volume indicates genuine demand to buy bitcoins at these prices.

Thanks in advance.
It may be that people are waiting to see if the FED scales back QE or not. Might be another week or two before we see real volume. A lot of people may be sitting on the sidelines atm. In my opinion, they are not going to taper QE, it will keep on happening. So once the FED report comes out that they are going to continue QE for now, people will probably buy into bitcoins. Thoughts?
They can taper it insignificantly and save face/confidence.



83. Post 3110150 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 08, 2013, 10:53:15 PM
volume on gox will continue to get weaker and weaker....

Gox and the other exchanges can be used as price setters and then trades happen off-exchange, so a whale may move the price up, sell x5 coins off exchange and then drop it back.  No fiat need move off gox for that.

I've heard this rumor that Bitcoin is peer to peer.



84. Post 3110469 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: squidface on September 08, 2013, 10:59:41 PM
Sorry, I just don't buy it. Trying to find a shitty conspiracy behind an actual major shit's going down sort of conspiracy just seems a touch excessive.
I'm no conspiracy buff, but wouldn't a more simple/plausible conspiracy be that they just let one off the leash, so that they could then ask congress for more budget/power/authority/surveillance?



85. Post 3114499 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on September 09, 2013, 03:02:10 PM


A nice addition for the wall hall of fame.



86. Post 3121075 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: wonkytonky on September 10, 2013, 08:52:07 AM
I am seeing a repeat of last year; And I doubt we will ever see prices around 50 again. I'd say we are on track to see 200 sometime in November.


when there's a bit too much bullish sentiment around..  i get this urge to start selling Smiley

Makes sense generally, though Bitcoin price is more rigid downward than upward.



87. Post 3122977 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: samson on September 10, 2013, 03:27:36 PM
If you offer a stop loss would you not simply put the coins for sale at the stop loss? How can they end up not being sold then?

Example:
 1. imagine you have 10k BTC
 2. set stop loss @ $130
=> there is not buyer who can buy your coins

The only way you could do it would be to have the script / engine monitor the bid depth and dump accordingly and in advance as the price falls.

If someone else dumps a large amount of Bitcoin - something like 5-10K moving the price straight past your stop loss trigger point then you would be out of luck and could end up missing your sell point by a large amount due to the low liquidity and huge swings in this market.

Yes, in such a case, you would get much lower than 130. 
A large stop loss on real exchanges is what the day-traders and bots are sort of hoping to trigger...  if they can sell into the stop price, and trigger the big sell, they can then buy after the stop-loss triggered market-order selling is done (and any other stops that such selling may trigger) and then get cheap coins.

Thin markets are decent reasons not to have stop loss orders, but offering the option for folks to do it anyway may be in the best interests of the exchange from a pure trade-revenue perspective.  If they were trading their own exchange, then it would REALLY be in their best interests, though that would be inviting the SEC in a away that would best be avoided...



88. Post 3132967 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Hitting a 6 month high might pull some coins out of a few pockets anyway.



89. Post 3141494 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: marcelus on September 13, 2013, 01:12:04 AM

I dont imagine gox failing. They make tons of money in fees. Although, I suppose, it is possible. If Gox does implode, then most coins should have been sold on other exchanges, causing a dive elsewhere. Those on Gox of course, well, we're fucked :/


Gox isn't going anywhere. Having now properly read over their counter claim, it's clear they have Coinlab by the balls. When this court case is done and dusted and there'll be a big payout coming Gox's way.

Getting a judgement is one thing, collecting it is quite another.



90. Post 3143889 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: tskweres on September 13, 2013, 07:04:42 AM
A new US-based exchange (CoinMKT.com) opened last night with Dwolla as a deposit option.  It will be interesting to see if this has any affect going forward.

US-based, professional looking site, multiple currencies, founders show their face publicly (https://coinmkt.com/#/about_us) and are not dodging AML&KYC compliance.

Interesting. Definitely keep an eye on this exchange.

Model turned MSB?

http://www.travisskweres.com/#/modeling

That is strange. He is a model?Huh

The startup life has definitely put a few lbs on my mid section, but crypto is of course my only focus these days

I think they were saying "Congratulations on the launch", but something was lost in the translation. Smiley
(Translations from Trader to English is like Orcish to Elven, the inflections are tricky.)



91. Post 3144342 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: uvwvj on September 13, 2013, 12:54:47 PM
His estimation of 4$/bitcoin is based on the assumption, that there are 11mil bitcoins in circulation.
I think that we can assume that less than 10% bitcoins are used in day-to-day use. [40$ per bitcoin]

When I ran numbers on what I thought the cost per bitcoin should be to buy it came to $40 per bitcoin in June.  But the problem I have found is that real world is not anything like the bitcoin world.  Look at the security pages and why bitcoin stocks are trading 10x of what they should be.


What did you use to figure out what the value of a Dollar "should" be?



92. Post 3147211 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: TERA on September 13, 2013, 07:58:55 PM
I propose changing the title to this to: Wall Observer - MtGox $140 USD Watch - Softcore

How about... "Whale Observer"




93. Post 3170586 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

It provides for some liquidity.



94. Post 3213087 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on September 22, 2013, 10:48:17 PM
Just to throw a vote out there, i much prefer this thread without the charbuddy updates. It keeps people from being notified all the time and feeling like they should say something evne when there's no real developments. We don't need hourly notifications for subscribers to this thread. 

I would also like to throw a vote out there: stop using colored text.
If you look at it through rose colored glasses, it disappears.



95. Post 3271137 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Richy_T on September 30, 2013, 04:16:05 PM
Thats what Chart Buddy would be good for. Sadly someone banned him from this thread..
Now we cant verify this claim by looking up month old order book depth!
Is there some place chart buddies output can be looked up?
I'd love to see ChartBuddy back.

It seems that www.rtcons.com (ChartBuddy) was cut off by NFSN (his ISP). Maybe it was a matter of costing too much to offer a free service. Perhaps if enough people donated a few million satoshis each he'd put it back up.

When Blitz banned him he made it clear that it was only because of the snafu and that the door was open for a return.

ChartBuddy (Richy_T?) are you reading this?

Chartbuddy is back up-and-running (has been for a while) but still banned.
I miss chartbuddy.  Maybe start a new thread for it?



96. Post 3301174 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on October 08, 2013, 06:02:53 PM


Ode to ChartBuddy, welcome back
(With apology to Sting-I'll be watching you)

Every coin I stake
And every move you make
Every high you break
Every wall they fake
Ill be watching you

Every single day
And every move I pray
That my coins will stay
Through the night OK
Ill be watching you

Oh, cant you seeeeeee
Coins belong to meeeee
Now my poor heart aches
With every coin they take

Every chart you make
Every bank you break
Every pattern they fake
Every coin I stake
Ill be watching you

Since you've gone, I've been lost in this rat race
I dream at night, I can only watch this place
I look around but its you I cant replace
I feel so bold and I long for gap retrace
I keep crying chartbuddy please....

Oh, cant you see
Coins belong to me
Now my poor heart aches
Every coin you take

Every coin I stake
And every move you make
Every bond you break
Every wall they fake
Ill be watching you
Ill be watching you
Ill be watching you





97. Post 3301279 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on October 08, 2013, 06:11:53 PM
another tinfoilhat theory about lack of volume: what if 90% of trading (up until recently) was by a very small group of criminal traders, who have been caught or scared away from the major exchanges?

amirite, or amirite?

I suppose if you are picking numbers out of a tinfoil hat 90% is as good as 4%:
http://thegenesisblock.com/analysis-silk-roads-historical-impact-bitcoin/



98. Post 3320231 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: gat0r on October 11, 2013, 04:04:06 PM
what is Midas?

Midas is the new trading engine, that can do 500k transactions/second, so we can flashcrash to 0 in a matter of seconds when fbi dumps those SR seized coins Wink

Wow, getting cheap near zero bitcoins from the FBI... wouldn't that be a sweet gift.



99. Post 3325048 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Hfertig on October 12, 2013, 12:13:15 PM
So bears ?

Bull trap in the works. No way we will break the 150. Will see a slow grind to 110...
We´ll walk it up to 145. 



100. Post 3326625 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on October 12, 2013, 05:44:45 PM

Interesting little rally here. This is beyond what we saw earlier when a few whales pushed the price to $145-~$149, and then the price receded quickly, asks rebounded sharply.

Its just a constant small buying pressure. And bids are looking, relatively, great.

Wall at 145 is going to get some paint knocked off of it.



101. Post 3339924 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on October 15, 2013, 02:12:33 AM
i'm buying feathercoins  Grin

That reminds me, what happened to that exchange with PPCoin and Worldcoin and a bunch of other random ones? 

CoinMKT.com?



102. Post 3345550 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Kupsi on October 15, 2013, 10:52:45 PM

How so? People were touting their horns about it the whole time, and now suddenly as it appears to be happening it's supposed to be not?
Of course lobbyists are onto Bitcoin, the whole gox situation wouldn't be there if they weren't.

I think this article is a pretty consistent explanation of current affairs.

I haven't seen a single government that is hostile against Bitcoin.

True, they just want the vig.



103. Post 3350972 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: prophetx on October 16, 2013, 05:14:27 PM
this is nothing. the real fun is coming this evening.

Why do people even post this garbage? Its not funny, informative, or interesting. Every time something happens, some loser posts this same shit. Fuck you.

This could pretty much apply to every post in this thread tho.

wait... but it is evening for me...

But not yet China Daytime



104. Post 3353551 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on October 17, 2013, 03:05:52 AM
Live feed of House voting: http://www.cnn.com/video/data/2.0/video/cvplive/cvpstream1.html

Already enough repub votes to pass. Default avoided.

We're all shocked.  There was < 0.002% chance of an actual default.

The chance may be a bit higher than that... given enough time.



105. Post 3354729 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: prophetx on October 17, 2013, 08:37:54 AM
Live feed of House voting: http://www.cnn.com/video/data/2.0/video/cvplive/cvpstream1.html

Already enough repub votes to pass. Default avoided.

We're all shocked.  There was < 0.002% chance of an actual default.

The chance may be a bit higher than that... given enough time.

Not a chance.  Both parties get massive massive donations from big biz... be real.  The only thing that could happen is deciding to extend the debt limit but not budget money for nonessential govt services.  Looks like we will get about 21 days of that in 3 months.  

Too bad it wont include the bubbas at DHS and last a few more months, otherwise people would start realizing how worthless half those federal services are.
"given enough time"  Wink
When it defaults, it likely won't be due to any particular vote.

But Yes, all these "crisis" are manufactured to soak the political donors.



106. Post 3355858 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Richy_T on October 17, 2013, 01:45:23 PM

What the fuck? That's HUGE!

As regards the debt ceiling, etc, the government will continue to do stupid stuff. Not coming to an agreement is stupid, raising the debt limit even more is stupid. It's all good for Bitcoin long term (But bad for everyone in general and US residents in particular).

Debt ceilings, shutdowns, fiscal cliffs, blah blah.  That's all a bunch of political fund-raising theater.  Creating and then milking each crisis in turn.
Folks outside the US point and laugh, but it's all pretty much an ignorable if ignoble part of playing out the rope that's left.



107. Post 3361294 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: joesmoe2012 on October 18, 2013, 05:00:07 AM
This is getting blown way out of proportion.

A news item get blown out of proportion?! On THIS forum of all places?! I never thought I'd live to see the day...

Yes but at the same time, a high constant fee is a good way to lock "most" people out but keep it legal for you and your pals (provided you are rich or funded by the rich). 

For example, from reading these forums I learned the term "dollar denominated account" a few months ago.  So I googled around found just one bank (UBS) that offered foreign currency denominated accounts.  I thought it might be a good idea to diversify a bit into euros, yuan, etc.  Called them up -- not going to happen unless I was going to deposit > 1 million USD.  Too much overhead and paperwork...

Ironically, there's a trick that lets you do it in a small way with the company we love-to-hate: Paypal.  If someone sends you money you can choose to hold it in the currency it was sent...

Schwab, Fidelity, and HSBC are a few examples of banks that offer multi-denominated accounts in the USA.

All require no minimum or a small minimum (I think HSBC is $5000, fidelity and schwab are $0 minimum).

Also, given the current administration's proclivities... this all probably has more to do with preventing medical tourism (under the auspices of AML) than anything to do with Bitcoin.  Wink



108. Post 3364039 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 18, 2013, 07:03:52 PM
interest rates to borrow usd are sky high just now on bitfinex.

300%!!

wha? you can short USD?

you lend your USD to traders  at wtv % interest you want.

no one is lending right now... thats why its 300% interest,  i guess its because the bulls exhausted the USD, everyone is long.

This is a bearish signal, suggesting the run-up is extended.
Bitcoin kills bears for breakfast though so don't think I am recommending anything.



109. Post 3364978 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Kupsi on October 18, 2013, 09:27:06 PM
when we reach 180 new walls will appear, the size of these walls piling up fast will strike fear even in the most bullish bulls.

180 will be run over...
169 is US$2B Market cap.  Closing at 170 may wake up some sleepers.

This market is still tiny and illiquid.  Big players can't get their money in without stirring it up like this.
And there are so many of us working on making it succeed, just for the love of it, that it is not going to stop in our lifetimes.



110. Post 3366564 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Froth?



111. Post 3367596 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Sword Smith on October 19, 2013, 10:34:46 AM
This is a cool morning. I wonder how the Americans will react when they wake up (It is 4.35 am EST). We might see some selling which would probably be healthy.

Who can sleep with all the noise Bitcoin is making?



112. Post 3367641 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: xorglub on October 19, 2013, 10:47:30 AM
This is a cool morning. I wonder how the Americans will react when they wake up (It is 4.35 am EST). We might see some selling which would probably be healthy.

Most likely they will get reminded banks are closed on weekends and they can't buy anything until Monday...
At the rate this is going I have no idea what the price will be on Monday. Even the megadump taking place now is not having any effect. This is insane.

Most Banks aren't closed on Saturday in the US.



113. Post 3367671 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on October 19, 2013, 11:01:31 AM

There's a keeper



114. Post 3367786 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Not bad for the Magic The Gathering online eXchange.
Those are some sweet magic cards.

Oh wait, these are virtual coins we're buying?  who knew?
I thought I was getting a wall card



115. Post 3368114 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Loozik on October 19, 2013, 12:22:43 PM
a bubble is never good for the long term health of the bitcoin market, it creates panic sell/buy which will keep most investors and normal people from trusting the coin.  

There isn't a bubble yet.

Agreed.
If you look at the volume, in currency, across all the exchanges and at the trendlines there.  This is not so different from normal trading activity.  Just a few good days in a row for the bulls, and some bits of new money coming in.

The bubbles have been overall good for the Bitcoin market.  Though some have lost.
They have raised awareness, (though more from investors than from users) and brought new people in, many who stay and learn.



116. Post 3374278 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Holliday on October 20, 2013, 03:34:15 PM
Looks like we might be heading lower, a lot of new asks turned up:


Are you sure you are reading that chart correctly?

Some new asks HAD to turn up, the old ones were all bought.



117. Post 3375033 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: rpietila on October 20, 2013, 05:56:40 PM
Thanks for sharing, i liked this part:

"By prohibiting Bitcoin use, the United States could put itself at an
international competitive disadvantage in the development and
use of what may be the next-generation payments system. "


Finland mentioned in a positive context.

GMU is one of the foremost feeder institutions to Washington DC.  It is well respected inside the beltway.  This will be read and attended to by folks that make decisions, whether and how they follow any of it is anyone's guess.



118. Post 3376570 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

A two day base behind us.  Maybe its the weekend.



119. Post 3378874 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Those green waves are crashing over the red shore eroding it and washing it away as more economic activity happens with Bitcoin by the day.



120. Post 3378886 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: klee on October 21, 2013, 11:07:40 AM
1094 @BTCChina

That should be $180US.



121. Post 3378918 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: klee on October 21, 2013, 11:11:46 AM
1094 @BTCChina

That should be $180US.

Non Gox values Wink

Yes, point being the China buys are leading BitStamp and BTCE up as arbs hit.



122. Post 3385198 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: smoothie on October 22, 2013, 07:22:21 AM
CNY has gone up almost 2% in just the last 60 minutes or so.
China is at 217 USD /BTC

 Cheesy China leading the Bitcoin charge!!!!!!!
This is not so surprising.  Smiley

China is a very wealthy nation, and these are not expensive bitcoins.
Later they will be more.



123. Post 3386005 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):



China can blow this bubble pretty big.
We have seen nothing yet.
If even a little of the air in their housing bubble looks to find its way into Bitcoin, then this is just the froth.



124. Post 3388677 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: prophetx on October 22, 2013, 05:06:33 PM
the present value should already contain all discounted future value, which is anticipated by market participants.  although one could make an argument that market participants are growing temporarily driving up the price.
Inflation adjusted interest rates are veering negative in unbacked currencies that may also default.  The question of the revaluation of discounted future value seems that it is being answered by the market in the moment.

Oh...And tulips are pretty too.  Wink



125. Post 3401834 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: mah87 on October 24, 2013, 12:40:37 PM
ripple is the future : https://ripple.com/blog/xrp-for-prosperity-888-xrp-giveaway-open-in-china/

Last chance to come onboard

Oh for fucks sake you idiot, that's it. You already posted that unfounded crap.

I can accept your views (I don't agree with them, but I respect them), but the way you present them here is not worthy of a human being. You're getting on everyones nerves. How about going back into your parrot cage for a day two and cool down a bit?

ignore +1


Why are you so mad bro ?
Doubt he will answer as you are probably ignored, but since you have difficulty understanding meaning maybe I can help make it plain this once.
He is granting you some small measure of success in your ongoing goal of spreading hate for Ripple and yourself.



126. Post 3401899 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Nagan on October 24, 2013, 10:20:05 AM
Excellent, this correction is damn healthy. The longer it hovers around 200, the better.

+1
The price curve was starting to bend up further.  The exuberance gets checked and becomes a bit more rational exuberance rather than that other kind.



127. Post 3402452 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

My 401K will be a part of the inflow of 401K money into the Winklevoss BCT.  I doubt the trust will drive prices lower.  Money that can already buy that wants to buy BTC will have done so.  Money that currently can not buy BTC that wants to buy it may.  If that money overflows the trust holdings, the trust may buy and so may drive the price higher.

People that want BTC to USE IT won't be buying trust shares, it is for stagnant money, like 401Ks and pension trusts and such.



128. Post 3406352 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on October 24, 2013, 11:36:28 PM
Completely unrelated note... anyone watching world series??  Trying to find it online, to no avail.  I would even pay for it... but looks like it's blacked out the whole USA.  Don't have TV... don't watch TV.

Sports bar with wifi?  Probably your local Hooters.



129. Post 3409355 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: maz on October 25, 2013, 01:25:32 PM
So we're going to $30 "again"? =)

It would be cool if we dropped like this. I wonder if Shroomskit managed to sell at the recent high.

yes, everyone likes a crash (no, really), but I was curious as to what allowed bitcoin to claw it's way back up after massive crashes, why didn't it die? It seems obvious to me now that silk road kept it going, and growing. Silk Road has gone - so what now?
posted before but deleted it, because i said it many times.

SR is gone, sheepmarket and BMR seeing exponential growth. (AFAIK from people buying there SR merchants simply changed marketplaces and do the same as before)
Ullbricht in the media worldwide was cheap advertising for new consumers to learn that you can buy high quality stuff on the TOR network.
pandora's box opened and hdyra is grwoing more heads.

this is bullish news for adaption of btc as a blackmarket currency.

And you don't think any of these people are shaken by the fact that if the FBI can find DPR and NOD that they are not as safe as they thought they once where?

I agree the market will simply move to Sheep & BMR but confidence in anonymity has been shaken also...

Time will tell how much impact these places have on btc stability

Both the enforcers and the black marketeers can see the parts of the black market system that failed.  
Bitcoin provides a money trail for the enforcers when the black marketeers make the inevitable mistake, and for the black marketeers the DPR private Bitcoin hoard remains secure even from arguably the most powerful entities in the war on drugs, and may remain so forever with zero counterparty risks.  
The Silk Road takedown is solid proof of Bitcoin's security and utility.  Bitcoin failed no one.  It is the innocent bystander.



130. Post 3410172 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Loozik on October 25, 2013, 03:47:24 PM
It's not even really crypto that's needed. Here's how it could be done in Linux

Code:
$ echo To Da Moon >prediction.txt
$ md5sum prediction.txt
16c02065ecdd742048d78181dbbeae8d  prediction.txt
Then just post the md5.


I saw linux installed on a computer once in my life. md5sum ??

Something simpler please  Smiley

If you use Microsoft Windows.  They have a free tool for it here, along with some instructions.
http://support.microsoft.com/kb/841290

Download FCIV, then run
FCIV -md5 -sha1 (path/filename)

If you post the hash (the result of running the FCIV program on the text file in which you write your prediction) then you can prove that the prediction is unchanged later when you choose to reveal what it was because people can check the hash and see that it was the same then as now.



131. Post 3410294 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Loozik on October 25, 2013, 04:09:24 PM
If you use Microsoft Windows.  They have a free tool for it here, along with some instructions.
http://support.microsoft.com/kb/841290

Download FCIV, then run
FCIV -md5 -sha1 (path/filename)

If you post the hash (the result of running the FCIV program on the text file in which you write your prediction) then you can prove that the prediction is unchanged later when you choose to reveal what it was because people can check the hash and see that it was the same then as now.


Isn't Sha1 already cracked / broken / compromised?

It is secure enough for this.  The chances of a non-technical person creating two files that can collide their hashes is not high. Smiley
But if you want to be even more provably truthful about your having made the prediction you can use sha256 if you like:

Code:
C:\Users\loozik>copy con prediction
bottom is 160^Z
        1 file(s) copied.


C:\Users\loozik>type prediction
bottom is 160
C:\Users\loozik>FCIV -md5 -sha256 prediction
//
// File Checksum Integrity Verifier version 2.05.
//
8b504cd67b545ff72c1ca99c9e17e04d prediction

C:\Users\loozik>

Then you can just post the hash: 8b504cd67b545ff72c1ca99c9e17e04d
And then later when you reveal the contents of the prediction file, we can all see that it was what it was when you made it.



132. Post 3410537 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Odalv on October 25, 2013, 04:47:55 PM
I saw linux installed on a computer once in my life. md5sum ??

Something simpler please  Smiley

http://www.pc-tools.net/win32/md5sums/

I will get it checked by my IT buddy.

I will post the bottom prediction (date and price) hash maybe a quarter / month /week before.

http://www.xorbin.com/tools/sha256-hash-calculator
Just click "calculate hash"

This wins the "easiest" contest



133. Post 3411734 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

With all the pseudo-panic, this is not a bad time to fund the education accounts of my nephews and nieces with bitcoin.  Those coins will stay put for years.



134. Post 3424607 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: revans on October 28, 2013, 01:21:06 AM
Yes but it does give bitcoin a physical presence out there in the real world.

Why does a non physical currency need a physical presence?

Might as well ask: Why does love need sex?
(People are physical.)



135. Post 3424667 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on October 28, 2013, 01:56:22 AM
Yes but it does give bitcoin a physical presence out there in the real world.

Why does a non physical currency need a physical presence?

Might as well ask: Why does love need sex?
(People are physical.)

No hormones and neurotransmitters (for love/sex).

I hope people don't get off on their gold. Makes me think twice about buying any of them Cheesy
Hmm...Thought we were talking about ATMs?

Why does math need engineering?
But you are right, we need Bitcoin Gold Specie too.
Like the virtual dollars used to have silver and gold pieces, back when it worked.



136. Post 3429222 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: mccorvic on October 28, 2013, 06:44:59 PM
It doesn't mean anything as it's not actually approved yet. But when it does get approved, it means institutional investors and firms will have an easy way to throw funds at BTC without actually holding BTC. (Not sure why they'd want that, but hey.)
Of course as more shares are bought, Winklevii will have to purchase additional BTC to be represented, and of course as shares are sold they'd liquidate. Not sure *exactly* how it works, but I think that's the general gist. In the end, purchases of this ETF will (not-quite-directly) contribute to increased demand, and also the opposite.

I'd be curious to get a precise answer on this for my own curiosity.  I've heard that the fund won't buy more coins, but just make profit and payout on the increased value of the 100k coins.  I've also heard that they will buy more coins as they get more investors.  And now with someone else in this thread, apparently they might sell coins?

Does anyone actually know? Does this EFT or whatever force them to buy/sell/hold/eat/hump coins or can they do whatever they want with them?

Here is the S-1
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1579346/000119312513279830/d562329ds1.htm

The section on creation and redemption of shares explains it, but the basics are that more bitcoin can be bought or sold to fund or defund the ETF depending on the activities of the "Authorized Participants" who can do this in "Baskets" of 50K Shares of the WBCT (Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust)  These Baskets of 50K shares will be equivalent to a declining number of actual bitcoin (over time) as bitcoin will be sold to pay the costs of maintaining the trust.

When a new Basket of 50K shares is created (because the Authorized Participants are selling a lot of them to their customers) the trust will buy more bitcoin.  When a Basket is redeemed, this often means that bitcoin will be delivered in redemption, however the trust reserves the right to pay out in fiat Dollars instead of bitcoin in the value of the bitcoin at the time of the redemption request.



137. Post 3434435 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: ErisDiscordia on October 29, 2013, 12:06:14 PM
As said, just parroting St. Terence McKenna. Still worth repeating though, as this point of view gets overlooked too commonly.

Spent a delightful private afternoon with Terrence over tea in his woodland home in California, and rubbed shoulders at a handful of conferences.  He is deeply informed by plant inspired wisdoms and a profound cultural engineer.  He will be missed.



138. Post 3442542 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: rpietila on October 30, 2013, 02:37:54 PM
"I think Bitcoin could be worth upwards of $500,000 to $1 million a coin." -Former Facebook Vice President Chamath Palihapitiya

Chamath means business.

He has more coins and his coins are more valuable than mine  Wink

Or his dollars are worth less.



139. Post 3443124 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: gizmoh on October 30, 2013, 04:06:53 PM
The bitcoin ATM is really nice and simple:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PFqBtvLVRpY&feature=youtu.be


Yes, they had an easier time with the ATM then they did with their camera.



140. Post 3448209 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: gizmoh on October 31, 2013, 08:32:51 AM
And turns out yesterday was actually bigger than post silk road.
We might be going down/sidways over the next few days... but next week will be ridiculous.


It takes 2 to 4 weeks for a newcomer to learn about bitcoin, set up a Verified account and wire funds.
IMO the recent good news, press coverage and anticipation of new money is already reflected in the price.

So you expect selling to equal the anticipated new money?



141. Post 3448588 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: gizmoh on October 31, 2013, 10:12:30 AM
And turns out yesterday was actually bigger than post silk road.
We might be going down/sidways over the next few days... but next week will be ridiculous.


It takes 2 to 4 weeks for a newcomer to learn about bitcoin, set up a Verified account and wire funds.
IMO the recent good news, press coverage and anticipation of new money is already reflected in the price.

So you expect selling to equal the anticipated new money?

Rather most participants are long(when the forum is full of 'to the moon' posts) anticipating newcomers to continue the price ascension. Buying now means paying a premium anticipating the new cash inflow, the proportion of incoming funds is the real question here. I doubt it will be a mass hysteria and buying spree like April. That's why it is usually wiser to sell on the news.

The proportion is the issue I agree.  There is not even US$2.5B in existing bitcoin.  Of that, much less is active.  Whether it gets swamped by inflow depends on the size of the wave.  I'd be happy for some consolidation though.



142. Post 3449423 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Even after the big bad news from Western Union that dropped their stock yesterday, I'm not buying back my short position on NYSE:WU.
Long Bitcoin, Short WU unless and until WU buys MtGox and saves both WU and Gox, then I buy back and go long for the long bomb.

Seriously though, if Gox had WU's Money transfer licenses and global reach, and WU had... well...  bitcoin, they would both survive.  As it is they are both dieing.
If the goxxers here need any help putting that deal together, give me a buzz.  Smiley



143. Post 3449864 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on October 31, 2013, 02:21:21 PM
Even after the big bad news from Western Union that dropped their stock yesterday, I'm not buying back my short position on NYSE:WU.
Long Bitcoin, Short WU unless and until WU buys MtGox and saves both WU and Gox, then I buy back and go long for the long bomb.

Seriously though, if Gox had WU's Money transfer licenses and global reach, and WU had... well...  bitcoin, they would both survive.  As it is they are both dieing.
If the goxxers here need any help putting that deal together, give me a buzz.  Smiley

If WU bought MTGox wouldn't they instantly lose all their US licenses and be liable for all fines the US wants to pin on MTGox for things that happened in the past?

WU would lose no licenses.  WU is already doing money transfer and have the channels in Washington to negotiate on the fines.  WU will be slain by bitcoin faster than they think, unless they do something.  This would be a big win for Gox and a big win for WU, if they can get to "yes" before their independent death spirals sweep them into the dustbin of history.

It would give Gox the largest localbitcoin franchise globally there is, and WU would cut costs tremendously.  All bitcoin holders would benefit.  Its win-win-win.
But... I'm betting they don't, and am holding my WU shorts until its a penny stock



144. Post 3449884 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: damnek on October 31, 2013, 02:41:12 PM
Even after the big bad news from Western Union that dropped their stock yesterday, I'm not buying back my short position on NYSE:WU.
Long Bitcoin, Short WU unless and until WU buys MtGox and saves both WU and Gox, then I buy back and go long for the long bomb.

Seriously though, if Gox had WU's Money transfer licenses and global reach, and WU had... well...  bitcoin, they would both survive.  As it is they are both dieing.
If the goxxers here need any help putting that deal together, give me a buzz.  Smiley

Hi-five!! I covered it right at the open and reshorted it on the bounce. Interesting future targets are Visa and Mastercard.

I went over the conference call transcript and interestingly there was no mention of bitcoin specifically, but they did say that the "competition" is becoming stronger.

Great minds think alike.



145. Post 3449893 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on October 31, 2013, 02:49:24 PM
Even after the big bad news from Western Union that dropped their stock yesterday, I'm not buying back my short position on NYSE:WU.
Long Bitcoin, Short WU unless and until WU buys MtGox and saves both WU and Gox, then I buy back and go long for the long bomb.

Seriously though, if Gox had WU's Money transfer licenses and global reach, and WU had... well...  bitcoin, they would both survive.  As it is they are both dieing.
If the goxxers here need any help putting that deal together, give me a buzz.  Smiley

If WU bought MTGox wouldn't they instantly lose all their US licenses and be liable for all fines the US wants to pin on MTGox for things that happened in the past?

WU would lose no licenses.  WU is already doing money transfer and have the channels in Washington to negotiate on the fines.  WU will be slain by bitcoin faster than they think, unless they do something.  This would be a big win for Gox and a big win for WU, if they can get to "yes" before their independent death spirals sweep them into the dustbin of history.

It would give Gox the largest localbitcoin franchise globally there is, and WU would cut costs tremendously.  All bitcoin holders would benefit.  Its win-win-win.
But... I'm betting they don't, and am holding my WU shorts until its a penny stock

And I'm holding my WU longs. If WU loses market share at the rate you're predicting, I'll profit way more from my Bitcoin holdings than I can ever lose of my (limited) WU investment.

If WU closes a bitcoin deal, you will win on both, if not, I will.  Either way we both win on bitcoin.  Smiley



146. Post 3456175 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: chriswilmer on November 01, 2013, 04:26:28 AM
I have a theory. There is a big player slowly accumulating bitcoins across all of the exchanges. Basically there is a very big, invisible bid wall.

There are more than one.



147. Post 3465983 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: manfred on November 02, 2013, 08:26:57 PM
If we are getting into the second wave of interest by the public, then I really could see a LTC rally happen. Bitcoin's price is "too high", but there is this litecoin, "which is the same as bitcoin but like silver to gold and will be worth 1/4th of bitcoin because there will be 4x of them and they are only 2.5 USD and if you bought bitcoins at $2.5 you would be rich now".

This +1

We are still very early in the process.
If LTC wants to go anywhere it needs to be in one of the 3 major exchanges, so it can be traded easily.

Which is to say that once it is, it will go somewhere so buy now?



148. Post 3466366 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: ablewasiereisawelba on November 02, 2013, 09:16:27 PM
With the price staying this solid over the weekend I'm tempted to buy some coins just for this coming week's a least +10% bump.
You think 233 by next weekend?



149. Post 3466965 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 02, 2013, 11:10:16 PM
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/10_year  10 year bond is on the move!

Can the FED print enough money to fix this?

Its perverse.
The PMI comes out better than expected (producers are succeeding) so there is a monetary move to stocks to invest in producing companies and away from the bonds, which causes the interest on the bonds to rise.
But the government spent all the money for the next generation of production already so now has to pay more interest to keep floating dollars.

This meager economic success means that the FED has to suppress interest rates, or the government goes belly up?
WHAT IS WRONG WITH THIS PICTURE?

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:.:     _.__    '.:
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 XX7            4XX
 XX              XX
 Xl ,xxx,   ,xxx,XX
( ' _,+o, | ,o+,"   
 4   "-^' X "^-'" 7
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   4XXi,_   _iXX7' 
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  Xx,  ""^^^XX7,xX 
W,"4WWx,_ _,XxWWX7'

Xwi, "4WW7""4WW7',W
TXXWw, ^7 Xk 47 ,WH
:TXXXWw,_ "), ,wWT:
::TTXXWWW lXl WWT: 



150. Post 3475329 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: InwardContour on November 04, 2013, 01:29:11 AM
wow, bitstamp is just flying up today! 212.97.... was nervous for a minute, glad i held onto my coins!  Cheesy
Coinbase buy price is >219, where are they getting them?



151. Post 3475442 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: justusranvier on November 04, 2013, 01:35:09 AM
Coinbase buy price is >219, where are they getting them?
Maybe Coinbase has increased their commission? Or perhaps they are seeing enough BTC->USD business to start matching orders internally instead of relying on the exchanges?
This is their rate before commission.  They add .5%  If they are matching internally, they are doing so poorly if they can get them off exchange less expensively.  I haven't seen what exchange they are meant to be sourcing from, if it is themselves it is an opaque exchange entirely.

I should check the cooler, maybe they have some on ice.



152. Post 3475501 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: justusranvier on November 04, 2013, 01:54:36 AM
If they are matching internally, they are doing so poorly if they can get them off exchange less expensively.
Maybe.

Suppose their ability to send international wires in sufficient quantities was not scaling with their growth in BTC sales volume. In that case they'd have no choice but raise prices both to encourage more people to sell them bitcoins for USA, and to reduce the amount of BTC they have to source externally.

Right, that may well be.  Which suggests a forward indication as they take about a week to award the coins bought there to the Coinbase cloud wallet, so not even transferable elsewhere.



153. Post 3475543 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: ag@th0s on November 04, 2013, 02:02:10 AM
Mt Gox's kitchen on the other hand....
They have Fukashima with which to contend, who can blame them?



154. Post 3476926 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: rpietila on November 04, 2013, 06:48:51 AM
For the first time in btc-history Mt.Gox lost his 30day volume leadership.


This IS historic! Poor Karpeles Sad

With free trading, anyone could.  You could build an exchange on your notebook that trades with itself and have beaten gox with free trading.



155. Post 3484240 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on November 05, 2013, 12:31:39 AM
Agreed, poor taste.  Would you show a GIF of the twin towers collapsing a few months after 9/11 to infer that a market crash was incoming?  Me thinks not.

But moving on...   Cheesy

If you wanted to post something more appropriate (for the day anyway)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D9gYhnUKehU

Train and explosions included.



156. Post 3484331 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on November 05, 2013, 01:20:22 AM


It is the 5th at Mt Gox already.



157. Post 3484408 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: mah87 on November 05, 2013, 01:34:22 AM
CORRECTION IS CLOSER AND CLOSER
So is 2015



158. Post 3484420 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: mah87 on November 05, 2013, 01:36:26 AM
CORRECTION IS CLOSER AND CLOSER
So is 2015

TRUE !!! THE END IS NEAR !!!

I was talking about the price, not the year.  Wink



159. Post 3487283 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: rpietila on November 05, 2013, 10:14:49 AM
You too.
Sleep is fun too.



160. Post 3489374 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Missionary on November 05, 2013, 02:47:52 PM
I would actually prefer if the price stabilized right around here and consolidated for a couple of weeks before moving on. To much of a hype right now, and the base is way down lower, around 185-200. I am afraid that a failed attempt to break through ATH would be very bad right now.

Yes, but how likely is that?
The pumping will start in earnest when the all time high is breached, then the news cycle still has to pick up on it.  Then there is the delay before folks take any action.

When they see that huge spike in april dwarfed by current activity, there is going to be a whole new inflow.  Maybe hit an M1 of US$4B or so.

The operative question for traders is whether to sell into it, when, or wait for the bounce after the fall, or just sit tight for the next wave.
There are more exchanges now, and less centralization, better arbitraging tools, and more liquidity.
All of this helps to smooth the market, but we are still going to have these surges.



161. Post 3489405 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Another question is whether the Gox withdrawal issues clear up when they can no longer buy the coins on other exchanges for less then they can sell them, by keeping the fiat transfers backed up.



162. Post 3489959 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on November 05, 2013, 04:27:36 PM
That was the first of the many 1 million dollars orders that will follow.

Yes, have had some approach me for off-exchange transactions larger than this, within the last week or two.
There is more demand than can be filled at the moment, so hang on.  It is going to be an interesting week.
(Why they think I have so many coins for sale?)



163. Post 3490639 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: miningnew on November 05, 2013, 05:49:57 PM
Does everybody realize that public opinion is changing positive towards Bitcoin?

And you thinck that. why Huh

Step one: The public is starting to form an opinion.  That alone is positive.

In my straw polls, I am coming across an increasing frequency of folks that have at least heard of Bitcoin.



164. Post 3493858 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

If I were following-da-money, the DDOS today is bullish short-mid term.  It looks like it was orchestrated to drive the price lower as it was coordinated with eating up the bids and preventing new bids suggesting that the initiators are looking to buy much lower.  It appears most of the DDOS activity is on that side of the order book historically as well, which makes sense sociologically.

The geeks are fleecing the wall-streeters...

It is the 5th of November after all.



165. Post 3497043 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: rpietila on November 06, 2013, 08:43:04 AM
I invested only 20% bitcoin, the rest gold and silver - what an idiot!

This sort of blunder self-corrects in a few months. (I only invested 1%  Cheesy )

I had a call from a new investor in bitcoin today.  He had sold his car to have some money to buy in and found me on localbitcoin.
I think he is going in for about 150% of what he can afford.  Maybe he is the smart one?



166. Post 3497873 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: dserrano5 on November 06, 2013, 11:13:19 AM
the cautious atmosphere in here affirms my belief that we'll go to $450 and beyond over the next weeks.

Well I wouldn't say it's precisely cautious, there's lots of excitement, gif animated rockets, it's happening and all that. However people aren't getting loans to enter (yet!) so that's a bullish signal.

Did I mention that I had a call today via localbitcoins from a guy who had sold his car in order to buy?



167. Post 3498297 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: maz on November 06, 2013, 11:45:06 AM
the cautious atmosphere in here affirms my belief that we'll go to $450 and beyond over the next weeks.

Well I wouldn't say it's precisely cautious, there's lots of excitement, gif animated rockets, it's happening and all that. However people aren't getting loans to enter (yet!) so that's a bullish signal.

Did I mention that I had a call today via localbitcoins from a guy who had sold his car in order to buy?

For heavens sake, please give him the usual caveat of 'what your prepared to loose' etc

Seems he was prepared to lose his car.  Problem was he wanted cheap coins.  I did explain to him that cheap coins in this market might not be as good as fast coins, which is what I could give him with localbitcoins.   I offered him what I could get from the exchange plus a two percent and some hor d'erves at the local French restaurant while we wait for confirmations, but he passed.  About an hour later, the price with much higher. 
We all have to get our lessons where they come, I figure.  By the time he had the confirmations, he would have been in the money.

We exchanged numbers, so I may call him back just to see how it went.  Wink



168. Post 3500188 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Newscastix on November 06, 2013, 04:34:54 PM
love that wall nibbling on gox at 260.. one big seller.. many smaller buyers...

coin-redistribution into more hands = more stability in the long term  Cheesy

That, and maybe a little tape painting so that we hit the new high on Nov 5
Remember remember the 5th of November...

The anonymous collective loves you.  Cheesy



169. Post 3504150 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Coinbase = 274
MtGox = 266.5

Easy exit from gox, buy coins and arbitrage selling on coinbase.



170. Post 3504249 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: spooderman on November 07, 2013, 01:17:08 AM
Coinbase = 274
MtGox = 266.5

Easy exit from gox, buy coins and arbitrage selling on coinbase.

wow it's true. as of now it can't be said that price rise is only cos of money being stuck at god. maybe i can take walsoraj off ignore now
They will only sell 50 coins a day anyway, but even so, it is a couple free coins a day for a few clicks, if you have the accounts.



171. Post 3504637 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: hahahafr on November 07, 2013, 02:17:16 AM
$281.18 Coinbase

Now why is coinbase much higher than anyone else?

Buying pressure there than anywhere else + low liquidity order book.

And because they are getting it...
Its the easiest KYC for the USA folks for small transactions.



172. Post 3504774 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Meanwhile on that other exchange that is hitting a new high today...
S&P500 is "tooo bullll"




173. Post 3505497 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: oakpacific on November 07, 2013, 03:53:23 AM
What about CampBX? Do they not look legitimate? Their price has been low, and liquidity pretty small, I even wonder how/why are they continuing this business, it doesn't seem profitable at all.

It is a bit difficult to get fiat in to CampBX, and there are max account sizes.  I don't know why.  
Possibly the engine is not mature, there are lots of limits there.
CoinMKT.com is about the same price, slower site for some browsers but you can do a lot more, and it also has a good number of Alt coins..



174. Post 3505639 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: bassclef on November 07, 2013, 04:47:13 AM
What about CampBX? Do they not look legitimate? Their price has been low, and liquidity pretty small, I even wonder how/why are they continuing this business, it doesn't seem profitable at all.

The reason for the price difference on BX is because Dwolla pulled their business recently. Now there is no easy way to get large sums of fiat there other than postal money orders through snail mail. When they start ACH bank transfers later this month the gap will close quickly. 

I think the US post office limits postal money orders to US$1000, though I suppose you could cram a bunch in an envelope, and send it certified/registered  mail...



175. Post 3509377 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

With the bitcoin price increase, we are getting closer to having mining be less than "infinity days" to break even on new purchases.
http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincalculator.php



176. Post 3512425 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: xxnewbiecoinerxx on November 07, 2013, 07:49:39 PM
As a newcomer and "rediscovering" bitcoin exactly a week ago and now waiting desperately verification on bitstamp, imagine how i am now watching the price movements  Shocked. Although, the last 2 hours seem promising. Cheesy

Sometimes faster coins are better than cheaper coins.  If you want some today, check out localbitcoins or bitcoin-brokers (which is like local bitcoin but with concierge service)



177. Post 3513375 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: molecular on November 07, 2013, 09:34:10 PM
Would someone define ATH?

select max(price) from trades;


Gotta love a place where someone can answer in SQL and no one bats an eye.



178. Post 3513656 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: BRADLEYPLOOF on November 07, 2013, 09:48:13 PM
Bitcoin is the first engineered sound money.

I like this description of Bitcoin so much, that I decided to drop this in here. I think it's quite accurate.

I dont get it.

Bitcoin is the first engineered, sound money.
"first" may be questioned, "best" wouldn't likely

How about: Money over IP

Email is Mail over IP - p2p communication without a letter carrier
VOIP is Voice over IP - p2p voice (and now video) without a telco switch
Bitcoin is Money over IP - p2p transactions without a bank



179. Post 3529997 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Wekkel on November 09, 2013, 11:09:30 AM

Is it too late to get in?

Not until after 3 years

If you are using bitcoins to buy something over the internet, it will never be too late to buy.
As an "investment"? Who knows...



180. Post 3533733 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on November 09, 2013, 07:59:04 PM
Very strong... much more deposit $$$ coming to the exchanges

Any sources on amounts of new USD arriving at exchanges or is it purely speculative ?

Sorry, I thought I was in the Speculation sub-forum.    Tongue

I imagine there's no where you could get data like that.

... the NSA.



181. Post 3534419 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on November 09, 2013, 09:52:50 PM


You always told me that this was a bad sign  Roll Eyes

This is the best example of random lines on a chart I've ever seen..

Seriously, WTF is that supposed to be? Half of the data isnt even in the wedge..

Its the dreaded pterodactyl head and shoulder.

We know what to do:




182. Post 3534535 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: Loaded on November 09, 2013, 10:13:23 PM
Averaging $3M in gains daily over the past week. Bitcoin is officially my #1 investment.

Nice, you can afford your own congressmen now.



183. Post 3536886 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

All the way back to Wednesday's prices?



184. Post 3545310 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: bits4books on November 11, 2013, 03:19:18 AM
Then you have money on Bitstamp.....how do you get it out? Bank transfer? Wire? I hope you don't like using your money for a week or two.

Then you have several fee's for buying/selling and wire transfers....and the price of bitcoin has changed so much in those two weeks that you don't know if you will win or lose money in the process.



Would it really take that long?
It's all money that would just be sitting around anyways.
There's such a big disparity between them..

EDIT: Or just sell them in the exchange section. There's tons of people looking to buy @bitstamp rate or even bitstamp+

Or at US$500 per bitcoin?
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/localbtcUSD#rg60ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zv



185. Post 3547995 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Bitcoin is the next upcoming story on Bloomberg, may discuss this past weekend, or?
The quick highlights:

"Gaining in legitimacy and Gaining in value"
"Upcoming senate hearings"
"Does Bitcoin fuel illegal activity?"

Zillow CEO: "Too much shadyness with a currency not backed by a central bank"
Shutterstock CEO: It is a great idea, will take years to grow, give it time"



186. Post 3548296 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Banking holiday in USA for Veterans Day 11/11



187. Post 3564146 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: ag@th0s on November 12, 2013, 11:55:39 PM
Off Topic - but John Tavener died today.

This is his working of the Lamb, by William Blake.  It's only 3.48, give it a whirl for him.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h-mSmEfLmZc&feature=youtu.be

May he rest in peace.



188. Post 3568015 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: bnjmnkent on November 13, 2013, 02:50:16 AM
In the meanwhile..

Btcchina at almost $400, compared to Stamp at $365.  And still apparently no one has figured out the arbitrage.

you need a chinese bank account to withdraw your fiat, but you need to visit china to get a bank account

thats the problem  Grin

I'm not implying most people could do it.  But surely someone could do it, and would be doing it, you'd think.

lol

*checking chinese subforum*
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=329534.0
Remember how BTC-E has always had low prices? There's a reason for that: hard to get money in.

And you know how now BTCCHINA has really high prices? There's a reason for that, too: hard to get money out.

If it was easy to do, people would already be doing it and we wouldn't see as large a gap as we do. China is a Communist country, and they have a strong hold on their currency. Just doing some quick Googling, Chinese residents can only send $50,000 per year overseas.

So, let's say you put up $45,000 to buy 150 coins. Send them to China, sell for $340 each, split the $6,000 profit with your Chinese partner, and have them wire back $48,000 (while also possibly paying taxes and bank fees, etc).

Oh, and don't forget to add in your trip to China  Cheesy

So you might make $3,000 for the year. You could exceed the limit by having your Chinese contact's friends and relatives send you transfers in their names, but it seems like that would require even more trust.  And if the price of bitcoins goes way up and the price difference stays the same, you'll hit your limit earlier and make less profit.

It's a nice idea in theory, but I don't think it will pan out as well as it looks. Please let us know if you do try it, though!  Smiley



Sure, but still at some point it must become profitable for someone..  If btcchina was at $1m/bitcoin and Btc-e was at $100/bitcoin, someone wouldn't take advantage?

Cmon homeboy

Maybe traders assume there is soon a chinese SR-like takedown to come? This risk is therefore reflected in the price difference.
Is this called efficient market hypothesis - dunno?

Difficulty moving money out of China explains both the price difference and the demand for bitcoins there.



189. Post 3572033 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: David M on November 13, 2013, 07:03:49 PM
Well colour me awed!

The old man dumped another 100 BTC at $406.

"This is getting ridiculous.  What am I meant to do with this $40K?  Buy more Bitcoin?"

"I think I might change the plan slightly.  Sell 50 instead of 100 at every $100 mark..."

Yes, otherwise you will be out by summer.
Tell him you expect him to live longer than summer and want to have more time discussing this with him.



190. Post 3576406 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: haightst on November 14, 2013, 03:12:34 AM
there's never been a bubble, just large holders dumping to accumulate more and scaring people away for a while..


+1 And it will happen again after the US decides on its digital currency regulatory policies on the 18th of this month. The news will create more questions than it will provide answers, giving the perfect opportunity to induce some panic into the public.

*edit There HAVE been bubbles in the past, but this likely is not one of them... yet

China , brasil , india , Iran , etc do not care about some pitty US rules.
Even germany will not care.
The $ is done and the world knows it Smiley


LOL even us here in California don't care!!! "rules"  hahahaa   Grin

Capital controls tend to increase the price.  Just look at China... and Gox.   Undecided



191. Post 3594043 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: TERA on November 15, 2013, 05:53:18 PM

Light that rocket!



192. Post 3594520 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: QuestionAuthority on November 15, 2013, 07:13:46 PM
I can't take it anymore. The price is just too tempting. I'm selling all my coin as fast as I can. I may hate myself later but I feel like I have to do it.

save 10% in XBT

I thought about that but if I don't sell it all I won't have enough to pay cash for this house I want to buy.

You can have inflating fiat debt, where they bank takes the loss on the inflation.
And bitcoin.
It would be doubling down, just be sure you like the house.



193. Post 3597076 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: BarkinTree on November 15, 2013, 11:57:15 PM
This is different from the normal dip/retracement. Sellers are actually running a demolition on the large walls rather than just retracing over low bid depth. Also, over 900,000 coins were transferred today.

had http://www.listentobitcoin.com/ running in the background and my box was constantly grumbling.

http://blockchain.info/charts/estimated-transaction-volume

this spike looks unreal   Shocked

i'm overslept atm and on second beer and not sure what to think of this,
but i find it a bit disturbing. (at least on log scale it looks more comfortable)

are these coins from cold wallets flowing back into the system?

don't want to spread FUD, just want to understand what's going on.


.....anyone notice any outgoing coins from some of the big holders?  Smiley  ...i have no idea what to make of it either.


https://blockchain.info/charts/bitcoin-days-destroyed



194. Post 3598814 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: ButchHashidy on November 16, 2013, 03:00:26 AM
No dont get discouraged.  Butter bot threads full of people with success ... But if you look through the help the OP gives, you have to do your back testing and make sure you set the values to what other people that are successful with.  I'm pretty new to this all too, but when I calibrated one of the bitcoincharts using EMA 9/20 and a HOURLY sample, it appeared to be giving a pretty solid sell signal.  But, if you notice, most people using the butter bot have it set to 2 hour intervals.  When you go to the same chart and set it to 2 hours, the lines don't converge.. D'OH!  Don't forget golden rule of trading is you'll win some and lose some...Just try to win MORE when you win Wink.  When you get the bot configured right, you should have more positive experience.

Or set it to 1:58 and front-run the herd?



195. Post 3600091 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: majamalu on November 16, 2013, 07:48:24 AM
US Banks are fighting Bitcoin hard:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2013/11/15/bitcoin-companies-and-entrepreneurs-cant-get-bank-accounts/


“Saying Bitcoin in a bank is like yelling fire in a theater,” says Kinnard Hockenhull, the 23-year-old founder of Bitbox.

We need to try that  Grin

Lol I went to my bank to make a wire transfer and the cashier asked me what was the reason for the transfer. I really hesitated about mentioning anything about bitcoin.

"Personal loan"  Wink

The reason for the transfer is "sending money".



196. Post 3600642 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: TERA on November 16, 2013, 10:54:10 AM
If you know could know exactly when bitstamp would come back online to bitfinex then it would make for a great shorting opportunity.
I would do arbitraging instead of shorting, but hardly worth it due to trading fees.  Percentagewise the price difference is still small.
I have seen up to a 10% difference when it happens.

Making 10% on an arbitrage can get dwarfed by the loss in the opportunity cost of moving the fiat around rather than having had it in bitcoin.



197. Post 3608725 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: TERA on November 17, 2013, 04:01:24 AM
There are no coins!
There is no spoon!



198. Post 3611474 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: jzcjca00 on November 17, 2013, 12:08:11 PM
$500!!!!

looks like the chinese were later after all...

I think the impact of demand from China is overblown.  The volume in China is driven by day traders because of the 0% commission rate.  I think new U.S. investors with deep pockets are behind most of the recent price increase.

If I were given to conspiracy theories, I would think that the media was scheming to link the price of Bitcoin to made-up Chinese demand, expecting the Chinese government to outlaw Bitcoin, thus creating a big crash.

I don't follow that logic at all.  Why would it be outlawed, and even if it were, why would that create a crash?
Why wouldn't they do the opposite and encourage it?
You are familiar with their position on WoW gold?



199. Post 3611522 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 17, 2013, 12:09:38 PM
Now the question becomes:

Is this the vertical of the Sigmoid curve or are we ahead of it and due for a major correction like in April?

We are nowhere near the inflection point of the adoption curve. You will know we are getting close if you can order off of Amazon with Bitcoins.

You know we've been able to order off Amazon with Bitcoin for quite a while already, yes?  Using Amazon Gyft cards.
http://www.gyft.com/bitcoin/



200. Post 3611564 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on November 17, 2013, 12:25:39 PM
You are familiar with their position on WoW gold?
I am not, please elaborate.
Encouraged...
They even made prisoners play Warcraft to sell the gold.
Here's an article about the Jixi labor camp.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/may/25/china-prisoners-internet-gaming-scam

The US classifying Bitcoin in the same category as WoW gold was a green light to them.



201. Post 3611922 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: spooderman on November 17, 2013, 12:45:38 PM
You are familiar with their position on WoW gold?
I am not, please elaborate.
Encouraged...
They even made prisoners play Warcraft to sell the gold.
Here's an article about the Jixi labor camp.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/may/25/china-prisoners-internet-gaming-scam

The US classifying Bitcoin in the same category as WoW gold was a green light to them.

This is horrific Sad

Oh yeah, doing your time playing video games... oh the horrorz!



202. Post 3612315 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Bounced down off resistance at CNY 3K, but looks like making another run at it.



203. Post 3617536 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: strawbs on November 17, 2013, 11:32:45 PM
An interesting thought struck me earlier - now that the majority of my personal wealth lies with bitcoin, what would be the best and most secure way of leaving them in a will?!?  If I were to get run over by a truck tomorrow, my coins would probably be lost.  None of my family or friends would have any idea what to do with paper wallets either  Shocked

You could set up a bank account, linked to bitpay or some payment remitter, and use a time-locked transaction to it.  While you are alive, you can periodically interrupt this transaction so that it is not sent.  After you are dead, you no longer can and it will fund the bank accounts of your heirs.

There should be a service to do this for you before too long I have heard several in the works.



204. Post 3617999 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 18, 2013, 12:51:11 AM
I can honestly see this going to 1000$. And once it hits 1000$, mainstream media wil go CUCKOO.

The Gold Bitcoin parity meme will be the obvious discussion. Advantage bitcoin.

Well, a satoshi has been worth more than an atom of gold for a long time already...  Smiley

The only sensible comparisons between the two are the cost of their smallest unit (Bitcoin is much greater) and their total market cap (Gold is much greater).

By "sensible" here we mean to mathematicians and physicists, rather than to people that read newspapers and watch TV.



205. Post 3618428 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: telemaco on November 18, 2013, 01:18:51 AM


So what will happen on monday? Will we get a crash, will we go to da moon?
Are you going to hold like spartans or are you ready to sell?


Interesting that Lincoln is applauding, his Greenbacks were both an affront to the Rothchild's bank, and an unbacked fiat legal tender note printed at will, to for the same most new fiat notes are floated, to finance war.
As a centralizer of power, Lincoln was adept.  It set a dangerous precedent in the same stroke as attacking another dangerous precedent.



206. Post 3618443 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: hlynur on November 18, 2013, 01:23:05 AM
somebody posted a link to the audio stream of coming capitol hearing for monday here. (beware of brainmelting test tone! http://www.capitolhearings.org/Hearing/SSGA00201311181500/dirksen342.aspx)

Is there possibly a live video stream or am I expecting too much from technical advanced America?

Live stream of us politics = C-SPAN  
It comes with basic cable TV nationwide and is pretty easy to get.



207. Post 3618467 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: bitjoint on November 18, 2013, 01:27:21 AM
somebody posted a link to the audio stream of coming capitol hearing for monday here. (beware of brainmelting test tone! http://www.capitolhearings.org/Hearing/SSGA00201311181500/dirksen342.aspx)

Is there possibly a live video stream or am I expecting too much from technical advanced America?

Yes, there will be a video stream, can't remember the URL right now...


Chinese are running out of coinsss! lol



For video C-SPAN3:
http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/Currenci



208. Post 3622067 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Dargumin on November 18, 2013, 10:37:25 AM
It's sade how miners have to stick with USD to get a positive ROI Smiley



hey its "virtual gold" even gold compares itself to something..now when paypal and ebay take BTC that will loosen up a lot ..may work its way the other way around comparing USD to the amount of BTC you coulda had at a certain point in time

just saying "mental games" ...that earth killing asteroid coming straight down on earth over the north pole (no telescopes to warn us) will probably make this all moot next week

karma is a bi*ch and I myself am gonna play "look out for trucks next week"  goes around comes around (prob tues with btc crash sigh)

they do call this forum "speculation right......also everthing I think I know is wrong do the opposite odds are better for you


If bitcoin was to be accepted by ebay/paypal, I predict the mother of all spikes followed by the daddy of all crashes when people realise only 1% of the bitcoin community will actually spend their bitcoins as a currency for goods.  Who here would just start giving their bitcoins away in return for stuff that you could buy with fiat? And what can I sell you?

Why not spend them when I can pay less when paying with bitcoin and buy the coins at the time of use?



209. Post 3622160 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Dargumin on November 18, 2013, 10:42:40 AM


Why not spend them when I can pay less when paying with bitcoin and buy the coins at the time of use?

Because the BTC you bought "at the time of use" may be worth $100 more the next day and could buy you a whole lot more?

Try it with numbers and maybe you will understand.

Say you have $1000 and 2 BTC and bitcoin is US$500ea and you want to buy something for 1BTC or $500.  Seller's offer is that they will ship sameday express if you use BTC (because they have no risk).

I want to buy this thing and maximize my BTC.  I can either spend 1 BTC and buy 2 and end up with 3 BTC and sameday shipping, or spend US$500 and buy 1 BTC and end up with 3 BTC and wait on shipping.
Either way I have 3 BTC but by spending the BTC I get shipping faster, seller has less risk and less fees.

When you spend them, everyone wins, so your worry is silly.

Make sense now?



210. Post 3622198 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Who was it that predicted the 4K CNY flash crash because the Mandarin word for "four" sounds like the Mandarin word for "Death"?
Looks like someone used that for the spook factor.



211. Post 3624474 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: mestar on November 18, 2013, 03:11:32 PM
It is completely like gold but better.


Gold does not have a price point at which all the electrical power generated in the world is used by gold.  Bitcoin has such a price point.

Gold and bitcoin have almost opposite (and so have very complementary features)
Bitcoin is best used over the internet, gold is best used in person.
Virtual vs tangible, new vs eternal, hi tech vs elementary...

Precious metal (coin) are needed to make the currency complete, which is the impetus for the Bitcoin Specie project.



212. Post 3626440 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

CampBX is still under D-DOS.

D-DOS defense is a finite and knowable issue to resolve, but it does take some investment in technology and architecture.
Any profitable exchange should be able to afford it.



213. Post 3627128 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: gambitv on November 18, 2013, 07:00:58 PM
Bears want this rally to be like April. What they forget is that if this is like that rally, we are headed for well over $1k.
It doesn't matter if that is true. There is at least a local correction coming. Look at the daily chart and the bid depth especially.

Careful, we have a Pterodactyl forming, he wants to fly.



Oh Noes.... get em!




214. Post 3629872 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: mb300sd on November 18, 2013, 10:20:09 PM


Everyone in the background is asleep...

They probably ready his article already:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=338322.msg



215. Post 3636815 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on November 19, 2013, 02:51:32 AM
question: why don't we open account on btcchina and make some arbitrage with bitstamp? 30% guaranteed..
am i missing some point?
You need a Chinese bank account and then you need someone help you to convert CNY back to USD.

No, you just get a Tenpay account.  

And banking in China is actually very easy...one of the few joys...its funny how 'western' banks still screw clients with fees.  I used to bank with HSBC in HK...zero fees for anything, just happy to look after your money.

HSBC in general is basically the most fair bank I've ever worked with.

Unless you borrow, that is. http://www.justanswer.com/consumer-protection-law/2pkqy-want-sue-hsbc-unauthorized-overdraft-assessments.html
HSBC, yep, they are fair in that will do business with anyone.  US$670B in unmonitored money transfers and folks are worried about bitcoin?  Bitcoin is not even close to being a player in money laundering game.  These guys pay fines larger than all bitcoin and shrug it off.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-02/hsbc-judge-approves-1-9b-drug-money-laundering-accord.html
There's your whale.  If they didn't already have money laundering already well in hand and thought they could do better with bitcoin, they might be buyers, but they do better without it because BITCOINS GENERAL LEDGER IS ON THE FREAKING PUBLIC INTERNET.



216. Post 3636887 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: pera on November 19, 2013, 05:50:11 AM
Everything I read is literally bullshit, still nobody can explain why we went from 3000 to 7000 in 26hs

There lives 1 billion chinese my bear friend. consider 0.0001% knows and buy bitcoin just to get rich quick. There lies the explanation to this mania.


yeah well that still doesn't explain why we went from 3000 to 7000 in 26hs, and also seems like the only thing you can do now in China with bitcoin is paying some cloud service...

why bitcoin, why not for example wow gold?

They still make more $$ in WoW gold than in Bitcoin for 2013



217. Post 3638202 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: humanitee on November 19, 2013, 01:19:39 PM
Surprised people are selling.

It seems to me that all the craziness of yesterday was fueled only by money already on the exchanges (excluding China). The hearing didn't end til ~6 PM EST so no one could transfer to the exchanges.

Yes, there are some very large buyers who are just now coming into bitcoin for the first time.
In the US, the FEC ruling (US politicians can accept bitcoin donations)
The senate hearings (US regulators and law enforcement call bitcoin legitimate, innovative, and don't need new laws)
This unlocks some serious US players.

China front runs these guys, but there is bigger coming.  We've not seen it yet.



218. Post 3638234 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Some OTC today at US$1200/BTC
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/localbtcUSD#rg2ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zvzl



219. Post 3640483 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: CryptStorm on November 19, 2013, 02:15:41 PM
Ready to go lower anyone?  Undecided

Charts look like the trend is somehow in the other direction as yesterday/week.  Tongue

ZOMG, glad my bitcoinreminder woke me up. Hope the west coasters are awake somehow.

edit: Not that anyone should care, but my charts say this (595) is just the dead cat bounce... yuck, guts.
Get new charts, and a sextent.  
And a first mate.



220. Post 3640742 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: CoinHoarder on November 19, 2013, 04:46:41 PM
I agree this price cannot be sustained. No level headed investor is going to buy in at the top of a huge rally like this. Investing 101 says buy low and sell high, and most investors realize this. They are not going to continue to dump money into it on a huge upswing like this. It has gone up way too high & too fast to be sustained.

I would be very surprised not to see a flash crash down to the $300-$400 range this week. I expect this to happen any moment now. You can already see the market adjusting, but I doubt it will stop at $560. Even at $560 it's gone up too high & too fast to be sustained. Sorry bulls, but Bitcoin is not ready to be steady at >$550 just yet. This is just the middle of yet another bubble... this is not the first and it will not be the last.

/speculation

Keep in mind there are OTC folks wanting to pay a lot more than gox.
There were some US$1200 sales in the last 24hours.  Localbitcoin is may hit gold parity today.
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/localbtcUSD#rg1zig5-minztgSzm1g10zm2g25zvzl



221. Post 3641007 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: gizmoh on November 19, 2013, 05:25:28 PM
Has anyone tried exploiting the difference between the USD exchanges en the chinese exchange? Moving your coins over there, selling and then waiting until it drops to buy back in... Then moving back. Does anyone daytrade on there?

Arbitrage doesn't work this way.
You can wait indefinitely for the price to crash to the other exchanges level.
So its even higher risk and you end up with less USD equivalent when you return back to US exchanges.

Those aren't money laundering.  Bitcoin is too tiny to launder money.  Bitcoin is just a baby, and it is out in the open, exposed.

I know the folks that launder money, they don't use bitcoin.  They use Chase, HSBC, BofA, UBS.  
You are right they pay a vig.  US$1.9Billion to uncle sam on $670B, the top dog in the protection racket paid by HSBC
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/11/us-hsbc-probe-idUSBRE8BA05M20121211

13Billion paid by Chase today. (they set aside 23Billion just for their lawyers to keep them all out of jail)

Bitcoin is peanuts to the money laundering folks, not worth their time.
They pay fines bigger than bitcoin's entire M1

Money laundering happens behind closed doors, not on a public internet block chain that doesn't even need to be subpeona'd and can't fit in a paper shredder.  The Money laundering bugaboo is a big lie.



222. Post 3641049 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: Holliday on November 19, 2013, 05:45:23 PM
Not suggesting any conspiracy - just that there's a community of interest amongst players with big holdings that see small fry - like me - as prey.  I can't personally see that as being much of any change from the way the current "system" runs.

Current system: Whales exist, they try to prey on you, when they fail you are forced to bail them out.

Bitcoin system: Whales exist, they try to prey on you.

Wink
Quoted for Truth



223. Post 3641101 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: haightst on November 19, 2013, 05:45:38 PM
I agree this price cannot be sustained. No level headed investor is going to buy in at the top of a huge rally like this. Investing 101 says buy low and sell high, and most investors realize this. They are not going to continue to dump money into it on a huge upswing like this. It has gone up way too high & too fast to be sustained.

I would be very surprised not to see a flash crash down to the $300-$400 range this week. I expect this to happen any moment now. You can already see the market adjusting, but I doubt it will stop at $560. Even at $560 it's gone up too high & too fast to be sustained. Sorry bulls, but Bitcoin is not ready to be steady at >$550 just yet. This is just the middle of yet another bubble... this is not the first and it will not be the last.

/speculation

Keep in mind there are OTC folks wanting to pay a lot more than gox.
There were some US$1200 sales in the last 24hours.  Localbitcoin is may hit gold parity today.
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/localbtcUSD#rg1zig5-minztgSzm1g10zm2g25zvzl


i was feeling like shaking the monkeys out da trees this morning..looks like a better footing now!  Grin *you talking LA prices ..i'm in Pasadena ~=)

Yeah, a guy last week wanted 5000 coins OTC.  There was a 1000 coin buyer today.  Get outta the house, I can't fill those orders.
Fast coins are worth more than cheap coins.  Exchange coins are slow coins.  How long does it take to move money to the exchange, and how many % have you lost in that time in the current market environment... 100%?
Big premium on OTC.



224. Post 3641572 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: haightst on November 19, 2013, 06:04:12 PM
I agree this price cannot be sustained. No level headed investor is going to buy in at the top of a huge rally like this. Investing 101 says buy low and sell high, and most investors realize this. They are not going to continue to dump money into it on a huge upswing like this. It has gone up way too high & too fast to be sustained.

I would be very surprised not to see a flash crash down to the $300-$400 range this week. I expect this to happen any moment now. You can already see the market adjusting, but I doubt it will stop at $560. Even at $560 it's gone up too high & too fast to be sustained. Sorry bulls, but Bitcoin is not ready to be steady at >$550 just yet. This is just the middle of yet another bubble... this is not the first and it will not be the last.

/speculation

Keep in mind there are OTC folks wanting to pay a lot more than gox.
There were some US$1200 sales in the last 24hours.  Localbitcoin is may hit gold parity today.
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/localbtcUSD#rg1zig5-minztgSzm1g10zm2g25zvzl

i was feeling like shaking the monkeys out da trees this morning..looks like a better footing now!  Grin *you talking LA prices ..i'm in Pasadena ~=)

Yeah, a guy last week wanted 5000 coins OTC.  There was a 1000 coin buyer today.  Get outta the house, I can't fill those orders.
Fast coins are worth more than cheap coins.  Exchange coins are slow coins.  How long does it take to move money to the exchange, and how many % have you lost in that time in the current market environment... 100%?
Big premium on OTC.

ya we should talk...There are some major developments going on around here with bitcoin! ~ Pacific exchange? hmmmm  Wink *blessed!

Yes, we should.  We can get together with Travis, CEO of CoinMKT.com, in Santa Monica.  He brings in some of the beluga whales.
There are a few other folks I know with many many K's of coins in town too, but some of them are.... anonymous.  I'm a minnow by comparison, they just like to hang out with smart people that can speak their language so they tolerate me.



225. Post 3643274 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: seldon on November 19, 2013, 08:47:32 PM
We really need to come up with a drinking game for these things...

Awesome idea!

Take a shot for "terrorism", "laundering"
Take two shots for "ripple"

For Ripple, you have to drink.... ripple.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ciR7Fq2tqJ0



226. Post 3643353 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Senator asks about CFTC (commodity futures trading regulator).  This will start to matter when the Winkle ETF starts up.
Is Bitcoin  a security?  No, but the Second market fund is.

OCC = Office of Currency Comptroller: http://www.occ.gov/
NCUA = National Credit Union Assoc



227. Post 3643482 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: chrsjrcj on November 19, 2013, 09:07:08 PM
The bank guy seems kind of worthless. Maybe there to defend the status quo?

Cotner bank guy wants to "protect" us.
Chilling thought.
Keep your consumer protections in your pants mister.



228. Post 3643571 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: 11ams on November 19, 2013, 09:13:24 PM
You don't and you can't Ms. Heitkamp
Senetor Heitkamp: "How do you ring up a pie on a cash register?"
(Between the lines "I want a piece of that pie!!")



229. Post 3643587 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: CryptStorm on November 19, 2013, 09:14:40 PM
Shasky is smart to maintain her composure from within her group's purview. (thankfully, she's quite levelheaded)

Shaskey is the 2nd smartest person in the room (behind Ms Satoshi)



230. Post 3646678 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: bassclef on November 20, 2013, 12:48:29 AM
I agree, the problem now is fiat transfers to exchanges and whether the exchanges can cope: BTCe has a dubious record; Gox is a nightmare all round; Stamp has failed this week; no volume on Coinmkt.  The list goes on - its the fiat interface that hampers crypto adoption.

Indeed. I'm trying to get money into bitcoin RIGHT NOW, and I just can't do it. And that's with me having a verified account at Gox and Coinbase. No coins, or 7-10 day international wire transfer? Hmmm. Well this blows.

Keep checking Coinbase. I was able to buy last night, price lock-in and all.

Coinbase has a daily limit that THEY can buy, and a daily limit that YOU can buy from THEM.  Since few with coinbase accounts are selling their coins, they run out.  Two days in a row, today they were out by 9:30 pacific time.  If you can hit them up between the time they buy and when they run out, you can buy with a lock in, otherwise you get whatever price it happens to be when your money arrives from the ACH.



231. Post 3646718 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 20, 2013, 02:12:27 AM
Alright its time I jump in and ask my obligatory "worried guy" question:

Bought 1BTC @ $717USD.  Do I hold or sell?

I have no strategy, no system, and most definately not a day trader...

FYI, I've "bought in" at a couple of diff price points so my weighted average cost per BTC is about $475...so that combined with my "greedy" nature is telling me to hold even though I'm staring at the blood-red candle sticks on this graph.

Help!  Talk this wanna-be Bull away from the Bear ledge! Cry

Hold. Hold, hold hold. Do you have a bot? Then forgot about trying to trade for profit, you're going to get steamrolled by people who know what they are doing.

The market may bleed money over the next days or weeks. Do not worry about it. Look at the 1-year chart and take a deep breath.

Thank me in six months.

I've got several bots but sadly I'm not "smart" enough to quite get them configured right. I bought the HaasOnline bot and the Butter Bot.  The various configs I've tried the past couple of times on each have ended up costing me -- so clearly I'm not getting the right variables configured in these to capitalize on the swings.  

I've got 7BTC left...after my bot misfortunes...of which 5BTC is "frozen" in my freezer into an block of ice.  The remaining 2BTC is what I planned to try and work with if it makes sense to try again wth the bots or just to manually trade for myself...

I think you should probably cut your losses, man, especially if you're new to trading. I've been doing this successfully in the real world for years and I still don't like technical trading.

But it is fun to watch.

The block of ice is hilarious, BTW. Laminated paper wallet? I might even do that.  Cheesy

I would have laminated it but I dont' have a lamination machine.  I just got the paper double bagged in two ziplocks.  That is then folded and put into a small tupperware container...which is water tight...and then frozen.  My bank was asking too much for even their smallest safety deposit box.  I'm actually thinking of thawing it out and sending a copy to my family as a backup...  ONe thing I hadn't thought of is if my apartment building burns down or somethign...or if we have another Hurricane Sandy, I might lose the private keys...so I guess i know what i'm doing this weekend.

Remember, if there are two copies it's twice as easy to steal the coins. Make sure your family knows how to keep it safe, and NO CAMERAS EVER.

My "paper" wallet is made of steel.
Stamped with hand stamps:





232. Post 3646771 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: zero3112 on November 20, 2013, 02:33:22 AM
I agree, the problem now is fiat transfers to exchanges and whether the exchanges can cope: BTCe has a dubious record; Gox is a nightmare all round; Stamp has failed this week; no volume on Coinmkt.  The list goes on - its the fiat interface that hampers crypto adoption.

Indeed. I'm trying to get money into bitcoin RIGHT NOW, and I just can't do it. And that's with me having a verified account at Gox and Coinbase. No coins, or 7-10 day international wire transfer? Hmmm. Well this blows.

Keep checking Coinbase. I was able to buy last night, price lock-in and all.

Coinbase has a daily limit that THEY can buy, and a daily limit that YOU can buy from THEM.  Since few with coinbase accounts are selling their coins, they run out.  Two days in a row, today they were out by 9:30 pacific time.  If you can hit them up between the time they buy and when they run out, you can buy with a lock in, otherwise you get whatever price it happens to be when your money arrives from the ACH.

How do they calculate how many bitcoins you will get if they don't get a buy price until after you ACH money has arrived?

They wait until your money arrives and then put you in the queue for when they do their daily coin buy.  You agree to this unknown price when you send them the ACH... and still they are selling out, every day...

I think Goat called it when he observed that the bull run isn't over, it is just being throttled by fiat constraints.



233. Post 3650570 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Coinbase is out of daily coins now by 7AM Eastern time, 4AM Pacific



234. Post 3653594 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: Miz4r on November 20, 2013, 05:07:54 PM
A bull is a person who does not hold fiat.

A bear is a person who holds at least some fiat and wants to return to BTC.

As you can see, I am now a bear. But almost everybody else are bulls. What this means is that you do not have the means to influence price to the upside. Only we do. But we are very few. Also the newbies do. But will they really buy in this kind of situation?

Everyone else are bulls? The bears are all over this forum today predicting their doom and gloom, even Blitz turned bear and is preaching 2011 all over again. Tongue

My straw poll index of
1) Number of new localbitcoin buyers pestering me.
2) Coinbase time of running out of coins for sale.  (though it seems there were enough sellers that they have been able to offer coins at times)

Suggests to me that there is still more new moneyflow in ahead, though short term is the domain of the whales and the sharks.  
Am only looking at week over week, and wouldn't call anything daily (nor would that matter to me as it takes longer than that to get cash to an exchange).
I gave up the TA chart analytics, algo writing and daytrading in the 90s as an activity that does not make the best use of my talents, but cherish the lessons from those long gone days, I made a lot of money for people that were a lot richer than I was (or will ever be).



235. Post 3655290 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: Richy_T on November 20, 2013, 08:08:36 PM
The btc payment has got the standard fee included. Heck, even my ftc payment of xx:47 already has 1 confirmation  Tongue

Default fee was zero last time I tried to send from Bitcoin-qt. Took a while for that one to go through. Could be a bit more friendlier on the UI.


Yes, I missed this too on a new install last week.  Cost me a couple hours and some embarrassment helping out a new user at an OTC meetup.



236. Post 3655339 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: oda.krell on November 20, 2013, 08:16:50 PM
every damn time. what happened to good old "lurk moar"? here's your answer: the (highly secure) blockchain is most likely not the ideal medium for micro transfers, and probably not even for small-ish transactions like paying for your coffee. That doesn't mean Bitcoin will fail, it only means there will be ways to perform smaller transaction off the chain.

Such as in bitcoin specie.  Its ideal for the small off-block-chain point-of-sale no-delay small transaction and is also more anonymous than the cryptocurrency.
/shameless-plug



237. Post 3661235 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: windjc on November 21, 2013, 08:58:12 AM
Oh boy, China is awakening and if Gox breaks through the $700 barrier, we will be getting VERY close to confirming no dead cat bounce.

Very interesting to see what happens here. Wall is building at $700 so I do not think this is going to be easy. How quickly we move through this resistance will let us ALOT about where and how fast we are going.



Back to the trend line... carry on.



238. Post 3661853 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: haightst on November 21, 2013, 10:37:03 AM

good morning!~ you going to the OC meeting tonight in Fullerton?  Cool *blessed!

Very likely.  I have gone much further for much less. Smiley



239. Post 3663132 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: philip2000uk on November 21, 2013, 01:35:04 PM
I have just seen an ad of WU:

"Send money around the globe for 0 cost"
In small letters: "WU makes profit via conversion fees".


Though they do need to make money for having their shops available, i wonder how good it would be if they had BTC ATM's in there and use the same fee amount as the one in vancouver.

When WU does *anything* with bitcoin, I cover my WU short sale.  
Until then, that stock is a dog, and the dog has fleas, and the fleas have ghonorrhea.



240. Post 3666479 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: notme on November 21, 2013, 06:52:15 PM
This is a monstrous fuckup of enormous proportions, if this is true then their trading engine is broken beyond repair and should be taken down and replaced by something else immediately!

Right, out of order execution is not acceptable.

You might be surprised which exchanges do out of order execution...
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2013-11-04/wall-street-code-released

**SPOILER ALERT**
They all do, if you know the back channel op codes, and are an insider.
The SEC seems to be turning a blind eye so far, we will see.  This story is still developing.



241. Post 3666492 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: Chaang Noi (Goat) ช้างน้อย on November 21, 2013, 07:10:24 PM
We will see $1000 gox in less than a week. Maybe 48 hours.

$400 gox never again



Choo choo mfs


still this. i don't make (public) predictions often but when i do  Wink

Localbitcoin trades have hit US$1300.
Fast coins are worth more.



242. Post 3666514 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Year of the Snake for China...
Looks like yours has evolved...



243. Post 3666795 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: mb300sd on November 21, 2013, 07:22:54 PM
We will see $1000 gox in less than a week. Maybe 48 hours.

$400 gox never again



Choo choo mfs


still this. i don't make (public) predictions often but when i do  Wink

Localbitcoin trades have hit US$1300.
Fast coins are worth more.

Not around here Sad I'd be all over that

Tell me about it, easy arbitrage.



244. Post 3666845 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 21, 2013, 07:45:00 PM
a house is not fiat.

housing prices only ever go up. mostly, expect in america the land of bubbles

Or in China.  Their housing bubble makes the US housing bubble look like foam.
1) Can't invest in foreign anything
2) Limited domestic investments available
3) Strong encouragement to invest in real estate
4) Massive building
5) One child policy demographic bubble about to burst
6) 80M empty houses (about enough for everyone in the US if the US were all homeless).

So it is no wonder that bitcoin is their salvation.  This is just beginning....very few there even know of it.



245. Post 3666886 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: philip2000uk on November 21, 2013, 07:48:15 PM
I can't believe I sold all just under 500! I was so happy to have over a half million $ that I couldn't wait. Oh well, I guess all I can do is sit in my new completely paid off house and cry. lol

Better to cry in a new house than outside in the park.

You sold on stamp or gox at $500?

Gox
you could make a video on what you've bought with the fiat from the bitcoins, i'd be interested in seeing it Smiley Also you could always just buy 4 and wait for them to hit 100,000 but wow you have a lot of money anyway now so it's ok.  I would probably cash out 50% when i get to 150,000 pound each

Quick, get a mortgage and jump back in!  Grin  The mortgage is a good tax break.



246. Post 3669109 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: Khep on November 21, 2013, 01:51:42 PM
Cup and handle again on Bitstamp?
Begins to look a lot like it yes, plus new money coming in. Next 24 hours will be very important i think.
I think a lot of you underestimate this factor. I see on the Internet a lot of people who ask how to buy Bitcoin.

So people inside don't let the price fail because they think coins are cheap, and people on the outside want to get in because they think coins are cheap. And it's makes sense because there is no way the Senate hearing is already priced.

Now I am pretty convince that this was only a correction (and that's mean was is coming gonna be epic).

This. As a localbtc trader, I usually get an in-person trade request about once every two days. Since the rally to 900, I've gotten literally DOZENS of requests. 9 times out of 10 when I sell to someone in person, they need help setting up a wallet/ learning a few security/ safety tips. The people requesting lately aren't even there yet. They know they want bitcoin and they have cash for it. I'm turning half the people down if I can't immediately reinvest the cash back into btc (when Coinbase reached their max), and it's just a cycle. The same people still want it so they keep trying.

Be careful with relying on coinbase.  They frequently decide not to fulfill an order if the price goes up after you place the order claiming that it is high risk.

It seems to happen whenever I get a really good price with them, I can have 5 or 6 approved on a day, but the one large order at the low of the day gets deemed "high risk".  It is increasingly seeming that the risk is of Coinbase not being able to use its customers to take the risk on all their purchases and when the market goes up they keep your coins and send back your dollars.  I have NEVER seen it happen on market down days.

So if you rely on coinbase to backfill your coins that you sell on localbitcoin, you may find your coins declining unexpectedly when prices are going up and being stuck with dollars you don't want.



247. Post 3689508 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: podizzle on November 23, 2013, 07:49:28 PM

cool chart but the other possibility is it tops off here into another linear regression?

You need more data, but just looking at the last two "bubbles" the slope has been less steep and it has taken longer.  The current "bubble" seems to follow this pattern (so far).

This may be indicative of greater market maturity (more exchanges, higher value, greater coin distribution), or something else.



248. Post 3689756 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: scarsbergholden on November 23, 2013, 08:37:25 PM
wait were not going to the moon anymore?



249. Post 3692697 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Kupsi on November 24, 2013, 02:49:30 AM
I'm drunk in London tonight, and I got two words for Adam: BTC FTW!!!



I'll drop in on London for the Saturday expo, and hang around until Monday.
Sunday is wide open Wink



250. Post 3695347 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: ghdp on November 24, 2013, 09:26:50 AM
Wow damn, trying not to panic sell. Bought 17.5 Coins at 766$ 2-3 days ago. I´m nervous to lose my 13.5k$

Rule number one on bitcoin : do not sell on weekends.

Rule number two : do not sell on weekdays
Rule number three : do not sell at night
Rule number four : bitcoin is global, it is always night somewhere.



251. Post 3712197 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: beetcoin on November 25, 2013, 08:15:15 PM
meh missed to sell at 808$ I think we´re going deep down slowly  Undecided

Regulation anxiety (assumed risk) has decreased significantly post-hearings..

With fresh blood and continued SecondMarket purchasing, I vote for up, up being more probable (though hopefully at a "Bitcoin slow" rate).

yeah, it's hard to really know what's up.. now moreso than the april bubble and bust. china's fervor has died down a bit, but the senate hearing changes the whole game. it gives the OK for major retailer to start accepting BTC. if we don't hear any big announcements within the next week or two, i think it might take a dip.

Big companies often move slowly....  I'm working with a few 100K+ employee companies, the decision process is 6 months plus.  Then when the decision is made....  They won't even have the forms filled out to get some of their legal department's time allocated to the issue ahead of their PR department's draft cycle which is already backlogged for the Xmas selling season.
The Accounting departments are tied up with the end of year accounting and the quarterly reporting.
Any new development has to go through the marketing department which has to do a funding allocation request a quarter ahead and then the HR department has to get cleared to hire someone who knows something about what a bitcoin is, which then starts the interviewing process.

If you think that is going to happen in a "week or two", you might as well sell now.  Wink

If you see any announcements, it will be because they have been working on it for a year already.



252. Post 3719303 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: kurious on November 26, 2013, 10:23:08 AM
Its not an insult, you guys need to research about this reptile dude b4 even bother reading his post. He was a laughing stock. Then he admitted that he needed help and checked into rehab. None of that is an insult. I'm shocked seeing him back and the same old "i'm loaded, i'm dumping coins" BS.

If you check back to my posts last spring, they did indeed generate more angry responses. So I decided to back away from the forum until they would be better received. IMO this is what's happening just now - all of my threads are receiving spontaneous kudos from newcomers especially.

Good for you. Just stop with supernode and whales crap and you'll be fine.


Lol, one cannot deny his destiny: Once I get my hands on the 8-figure amount of CNY that is sitting in my trading account, I buy a 1600s palace with a 14-acre garden.

 Grin Beat that dude!  Grin (With this rate of value appreciation, you can easily in 1-2 years)  Grin

Party at your palace then?

Hah! Priceless Wink

Each Chinese citizen can bring US$50K out of the country per year.
Load up a tour plane of expert Chinese gardeners and bring it home.
14 acres... you will need them.



253. Post 3763737 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: Crazy on November 29, 2013, 08:05:15 AM
Looks like China is still setting the tone for this valuation. Kinda funny actually.
Fiat restriction creates demand.
How to get wealth out of China except bitcoin?



254. Post 3820712 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: KieranJones1 on December 04, 2013, 01:15:51 PM
One final point in the BTC vs mBTC debate - if you just like to be able to say you own 100 of something that costs $1200 a pop, doesn't it sound even more impressive to say you own 100,000 things that cost $1.20 a pop? Changing to mBTC is a win for people new to bitcoin as well as for people who've already established their fortunes. Showing off your material wealth is the only reason I can possibly think of why people would be resistant to switching.
Only for people bad at math.
Impressing people with wealth is a cost, not a goal.



255. Post 3830583 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: Vycid on December 05, 2013, 04:26:06 AM

Honestly it's mostly hype, Bitcoin isn't a serious transaction medium yet. I remember seeing an article proclaiming 6000 or 7000 sales through Bitpay on Bitcoin Black Friday as proof that we're a real ecosystem.

No, a couple sales per minute on a special day does NOT make a payment system worth $12-13B. That's like a fucking Girl Scout cookie stand.

We've passed Western Union at ~$9B market cap, and they process 28 transactions per second, every day.

Right now Bitcoin is a store of value. The value comes from Bitcoin's future potential as a currency and payment system. Lots of businesses will sign up because it's free and it saves them money; the hard part is convincing people to buy and spend bitcoins if:
A) it's going up constantly and they'll have more money if they wait, and
B) if the currency is extremely volatile.

We know A) will eventually resolve itself if the system grows to maturity. There is a limit to all growth.

The doubt was about B), and my doubts are disappearing.

Exactly how much aggravation, eye-gouging fees, delays, noise, fuss, AML rubber-gloving would someone get from WU if they tried to send $147 million on a Sunday night, across the planet, person-to-person, and wanted it to arrive in seconds, irrevocably confirmed in an hour?

WU is Dead Man Walking right now.


You're right, WU has lost 100% of the market share for wiring $147M at once.  Tongue

But, yes; Bitcoin has the short term potential to take the wire and remittance market, just as soon as we get some decent exchanges.

WU needs to buy Gox.
It would solve both their problems.
And many of ours.



256. Post 3830596 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: dwdoc on December 05, 2013, 04:30:44 AM
At 22:23:19 CST Gox Bitcoin (1237.889) passed the spot price of gold (1237.82) for the first time.


No, we did that already.

That's it folks. For the first time in history 1,000,000 bits sold for more than an ounce of gold.

$1242.00


Not true. We came close but Gold was a little over 1242 at the time.

Sort of... you don't get an ounce at spot unless you have a desperate seller.



257. Post 3831358 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: Vycid on December 05, 2013, 05:56:03 AM
Completely legit beating of gold would be to take the global weighted average when all major exchanges are reporting/working.

https://bitcoinaverage.com



Wtf?

That says BTC-e has the most volume.

why does this shock you?

its the only exchange i will even use...




You withdraw cash from BTC-e? Why not stamp?


oh no, i don't use any exchange to get fiat.


fuck that

Forums/large individual sale only? You must have sold for fiat at least once...

If you can't get more than MtGox from OTC, you aren't really trying.
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/localbtcUSD#rg5ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zv

Fast coins are worth more than cheap coins, a lot more in a rising market.

Daily trades over US$2k



258. Post 3834708 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: justusranvier on December 05, 2013, 02:55:41 AM
Bitcoin is a distributed timestamping and script processing engine.

Currency and payment processing is just the first program that we've decided to run on it.

QFT



259. Post 3835082 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: maz on December 05, 2013, 12:16:33 PM
Dude stop reading what some bull manipulates the news to say as fact. It's bad news full stop. China's banning financial institutions from handling bitcoin transactions, if you see that as good news for Chinese exchanges or for bitcoin in China alone, your deluded.

Is your perspective now the following hours, days, weeks or months?

"Bad news for Bitcoin" as a generalization does not exist, because nothing can stop Bitcoin. It is just a question of the way.

Pls elaborate.

Yes I agree, just getting caught up in the excitement. Like I said earlier I still think 1mill per coin is going to happen. But this is a temporary bad news. I think we will feel the effects of this for a few weeks, if not months. Not only because of what has happened in China but because it will effect the confidence of all our new investors, small or big. The media which has helped rally us to our latest ATH with such voracity will act as a two edged sword and now do the opposite touting the crash which will upset our adoption rate.

I don't think we will see several months like the last time, but we will have to go into a bear market for a few months, forget this bad news, recuperate, get more good news, and advance on another ATH attack, how long that takes, I have no idea.

This could be a possibility.

Only in BitcoinTalk can "banning" something that has never been done, bad news.
Where in the world are there banking institutions with bank accounts denominated in bitcoin?  China?
Looks like they were contemplating it, and the big boys said "not yet" loudly.
Wake me up when they ban unicorns too.



260. Post 3835208 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on December 05, 2013, 12:12:59 PM
so, check this out

"...The Notice requires, the Bitcoin websites that act as the main trading platform, should follow the Telecommunications Act and the Regulation on Internet Information Service, and register according to law. ..."

Somebody just got a sweet deal *cough, owner of BTCChina, cough*

Must be nice to get an inside deal. *cough, money exchanges hands, cough*



What advantage does BTCCHina have for which you suggest they've had to pay?

Chinese banks can't enter its business. 



261. Post 3835244 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: hannesnaude on December 05, 2013, 12:47:50 PM
they ban unicorns too.

They BANNED unicorns??!! I don't believe this.  Link or it didn't  happen.

 Wink

Its no joking matter.... apparently...
http://somakeitup.blogspot.com/2013/10/ban-unicorn-jokes.html



262. Post 3835837 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: Macno on December 05, 2013, 01:24:38 PM
is silvers market cap only at 15 Billion USD?
Closer to $22B
1 tonne silver is about US$725K
There are about 30K tonnes in reserves

(and over 1M available to be put in reserves so real number is closer to $800B)

Maybe he is just considering american eagles.

And only considering one aspect of Bitcoin.



263. Post 3858113 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: Elleria on December 06, 2013, 11:51:06 PM
Holding on to my coins for now, but what makes me uneasy, is the feeling that I don't understand what's going on this time.

I've seen DOS attacks, exchanges go down, bad news, unsustainable price jumps, etc.. but my (perhaps overly simplified) interpretation of the China news was that it's just bringing them in to line with what we've already been doing, providing ID to use the exchanges? Surely that's not such a big deal, yet here we are bouncing around 800 on stamp  Huh

One might wonder, how much do you think, a valid Chinese ID costs?
Hire someone to use their ID.  Not ID theft, ID purchase.
Would the Chinese billionaires be able to buy those by the truckload?



264. Post 3860335 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: kurious on December 07, 2013, 03:05:56 AM
So - when does the fat lady sing...?

Come on graph experts - call it - I need some shut eye!



Perhaps a sell off ahead of the weekend?  Sunday bottoms are common.  Sleep now, watch later.



265. Post 3875535 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: granathus on December 08, 2013, 10:29:25 AM
Not everybody. Still have 40% fiat @ exchanges.
It's allways good to have money to buy dips.

You're losing shitload if you have 40% of your stash in fiat while price go to the moon, then it doesn't much help to buy in dips.

Losing?
No! Probably you don't get it. It's not real profit till you sell. If everyone is going to sell @ 10k, there won't be 10k, rather 1$.

Btw I have a lot more then 40% in fiat/gold/appartments. Bitcoin is just my high risk playmoney. It will never be lifechanging, because I have a better life then 99.99% on earth.

I dont put my future in some genious pyramide scheme. Everbody can change his life without the money of others.

Your belief that your fiat/gold/apartments/BTC holdings makes your life better than 99.99% of the people on earth is pretty indicative of your horizon and take on life, which makes me personally think your life quality is pretty shitty compared to most people with views on life less focused on holdings and money.

Be kind, while you may be either right about about that judgement or not, I didn't read that connection (that he thinks his life is better because of his wealth).  Just that he wasn't worried about getting more wealthy from using bitcoin.  For all we know he could be practicing asset diversity and as a result of accurately assessing that mathematically he is one of the financially .01% has devoted his time and energy to being a philanthropist rather than to being one of the .001%.



266. Post 3879166 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Interesting data point:
Over the last 3 months.
100% of the days after having the volume of Dec 7 MtGox (90K+) were the start of uptrends. (4 data points)
We'll see if this trend holds.

If you have bee buying yesterday and today, you probably have nothing to worry about for a while.



267. Post 3884514 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: beaconpcguru on December 08, 2013, 06:51:58 PM
We're all gonna die!  On another note, I chopped down a tree this morning, well chainsawed it anyway.  Was indeed fun.  I don't think a lot of those that expect a crash greater than 61.8% understand the sheer amount of money that was and is still coming in.  Over 225 Million dollars has changed hands in the last three days alone, just on Mt. Gox along with 2.25 Billion Yuan (~367,000,000 USD) on BTC China.

Every time in the last 5 months this happened, it marked a local bottom



268. Post 3886850 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: tHash on December 09, 2013, 05:57:20 AM
Exactly what is going to happen to make 10's of millions of dollars suddenly run away from bitcoin?   Which is what would have to happen to see the price slide.   Other than wishful thinking, I can't wrap my mind around what you bears think is going to destroy bitcoin.   Can any of you read an order book?   After the April crash, the order book collapsed.   It is building like crazy right now.

DDoS vs exchange does tend to thin the book.
slightly more robust now.



269. Post 3955766 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: macsga on December 13, 2013, 11:12:14 PM
I really believe that Risto is seriously trolling in here. It's virtually IMPOSSIBLE to predict ANYTHING for sure into such a system like BTC. A serious prediction of ANY chaotic system (not one like we're observing here, which may as well be the mother of all chaotic systems) would have been in the timeframe of minutes or hours at max, not days; nor weeks.

ANY data provided and calculated may as well be proved as right, also as wrong. If he managed to make it based onto his calculations it's good for him and may as well define a brand new IQ entity by himself. I seriously salute him! But I don't think he did it only because of them. Luck is a special and important factor in this.

Just saying (if you want theoretical proof I can also support what I've just typed).


R is actually right from the historical data, there were 4 dumps with the volume, they followed similar patterns, there was a 5th this past weekend.  We both called the bottom based on volume in evidence, but he did a lot better on it due to the stakes.

His gamble is that it isn't over yet.  That may be true or not and is yet to be seen.

I'm going to take a few unusual hours off working and watch Hobbits do stuff, so behave yourselves!  You are in charge while I'm gone, ok?



270. Post 3958767 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: Rampion on December 14, 2013, 03:14:12 AM

We will have to agree to disagree: i) For you cryptographically signed messages have no significance, ii) for me they have a very strong significance.

Legally binding in USA
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/15/7001

And much of the world
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Digital_signatures_and_law



271. Post 3985928 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):

I am happy for no reason at all.  -0-
Such senseless bliss can never be removed.
I do not need coins to be happy.
Coins help me to make others happy, which is fun.  So they are good.



272. Post 3985980 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):

Quote from: Searing on December 16, 2013, 03:05:33 AM
i will now retire with my tinfoil hat and star trek the next gen dvd's (like i know squat)


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oiSn2JuDQSc#t=0



273. Post 3986382 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on December 16, 2013, 03:36:34 AM
I am happy for no reason at all.  -0-
Such senseless bliss can never be removed.
I do not need coins to be happy.
Coins help me to make others happy, which is fun.  So they are good.

+1

There should be one more option in the poll "Bitcoins can't buy happiness"
Since there was no such option I voted "BUY BUY BUY" of course.

i voted 0, but "Bitcoins can't buy happiness" is more precise

buying a few bitcoins has how ever brought much joy into my life, and its not about the profits i made along the way, its the things that i learned about life & myself.

http://youtu.be/vaiEwbDkKAQ   Wink


but now its over  sell sell sell  Cheesy

For me, its the people.
Bitcoiners are special.
"to the journey"



274. Post 3996543 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):

Quote from: San1ty on December 16, 2013, 05:17:53 PM
Why does everyone hate Heineken.

It's one of the worst beers in the world that barely deserves the name beer.
If you have any respect for your taste buds you should limit yourself to Belgian beers and a select few from other countries.

There is only ONE good beer coming from the Netherlands and thats La Trappe.

Here's a tip, if you have any respect for Bitcoin, the next time one of the largest consumer brands in the world decides to help us out, instead of shit talking their product why don't you just smile, suck it up, and take one for the team.

Lol

Three issues with this post:

1. They did what they're doing for profit, not to help us out. Bitcoin is wonderful for merchants.
2. The idea that a company as large as this would read this forum and get butthurt and then change their "mind" is LOL.
3. It's genuinely a horrible beer.

Sorry sometimes we all have to troll.

Agreed, the team will do just fine without Heineken. Sorry, I can't change my mind, it's truly horrible...

/Forgive me!

McDonalds is not great food either, but if they accepted bitcoin, would that be so bad?
Walmart is not always the highest quality....

Lots of intJ here.  so heavy on the judgement that even good things are bad.



275. Post 3997958 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):

Quote from: ardana123 on December 16, 2013, 07:44:40 PM
You realize what this means right, the China market is pretty much dead in the water. Central bank won't allow for financial institutions to do business with bitcoin exchanges... Which only leaves the otc bitcoin market. There's no reason for anyone in China to hold bitcoins anymore. Everyone will sell and withdraw.

Right... because Chinese do no international trade....  lol



276. Post 3999020 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on December 16, 2013, 08:28:58 PM
You realize what this means right, the China market is pretty much dead in the water. Central bank won't allow for financial institutions to do business with bitcoin exchanges... Which only leaves the otc bitcoin market. There's no reason for anyone in China to hold bitcoins anymore. Everyone will sell and withdraw.

Right... because Chinese do no international trade....  lol

Exactly genius, so American will buy stuff from China, pay in bitcoin and the manufactures in China will pay the labor and materials with a currency that's worthless inside the country.

Win for USD as world reserve currency. Think man, THINK.

You don't really understand bitcoin, do you.

For international settlements, it is unbeatable.  They don't have to spend it domestically at retail.  USA is a consumer economy so it would matter in USA.  China isn't.
Get your head in the game man.



277. Post 4005010 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: windjc on December 17, 2013, 02:57:19 AM
Well ladies and gents, this flushing is going to tell us A LOT about the state of bitcoin and where the money has come and is coming from.  

We won't be able to see the full picture for months or at least weeks, but when we can see it, we will know much better about what kind of investors made up the rally in the East, which ones are long term and where future money can and can't come from there - AND maybe more importantly, we will know how much of the rally really came from the East and how much really came from the West.

And I suspect we will never have to worry about China "leading" the markets again. Which is A - O - K  with me.

I was with you up until the last sentence, Honey Badger, why the antipathy towards China?

I was never quite confident that China had any real long term future with bitcoin. And I would rather, in an ideal world, have bitcoin be driven by people in countries that have more freedoms, because from a PR standpoint it makes bitcoin appear more solid as well.

Places where freedom is dear, need it more.
Without need, no reason for bitcoin.
Unless the money is free, the people never can be.
Do not blame the people for the governments under which they suffer, many may be just like you in more ways than you might imagine, but less free to admit it.



278. Post 4008880 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: marcelus on December 17, 2013, 12:41:59 PM
Is it not the case that most 3rd party payment providers in the US won't go near bitcoin exchanges with a barge pole? And if so, is the situation in China now not pretty similar?

In China its better than US.
The banks will still work with you in China.
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1t0yk5/final_word_from_my_rep_at_chase_all



279. Post 4009072 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: MikeH on December 17, 2013, 01:42:52 PM
In China its better than US.
The banks will still work with you in China.
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1t0yk5/final_word_from_my_rep_at_chase_all

yea as long as you can still move money via banks it doesn't seem a big deal, certainly better than it is for us in Australia in moving $ to an overseas exchange, the fees are crazy.

http://money.msn.com/top-stocks/post--the-hottest-investment-in-2014-bitcoin


The US banks are starting to run away, scared.  This is pretty weird when you think about it for a minute.  Why should they be afraid, the have biggest powers in the world wrapped around their fingers..
Do they fear competition, innovation?
They rely on big buildings to make them appear stable and solid, but it is just a front.  None of them have been solvent for a long time except by stealing, cheating, and extortion (If you don't give us all your money, we wreck the world, if you don't use your power to take money from everyone and give it to us, you all die.  We're too big to fail, now make us bigger).



280. Post 4010559 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: CryptStorm on December 17, 2013, 05:50:36 AM
Lol, china wins for curves this time and stamp gets disqualified for turtling Smiley

In reality.. the smartest people are those on BTCChina waiting for all time lows if this exchange is going down.. hey all my cash into btc sell at another exchange when the prices stabilizes....and while I am at it I'll just move to a country that likes human rights and I can do so now that my fiat is in btc except for the plane, train or automobile ticket.

Except they don't realize their country is shit any more than Americans do.

come to Canada then, were not so bad. But no where is really perfect can't wait till Goat buys an island and we can move there and start a btc only community.

I know this got buried, but Goat at least 2 people are willing to vote you for El Presidente of your own Island lol I'll pitch some btc if were getting a share of the island Cheesy

Been looking at islands for a while now but btc still has a way to go before this happens.

Well keep us in the loop a btc pool to start a new civilization sounds like fun. Wasn't suggesting the Island had to be in Canada ..but let choose somewhere safe from most global warming and tsunami's not caused by meteors bigger the a football field hitting the ocean.

+1 To all good things about this idea. I can build things, actual things... like houses and furniture-- I'm basically a sustainable carpenter/builder who's switching into coding, as I've gotten bored of building (kinda). I could put together a nice natural compound FWIW.

It is not an island, but in a pretty remote part of Malibu:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=371646.msg4010518#msg4010518
Carpentry facilities on site.



281. Post 4014799 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on December 17, 2013, 08:32:49 PM
Mass panic selloff on btce atm, absolutely legit, no doubt about it Wink

I don't know about the emotions, panic or not, but it is brushing against the 650 support.  I'll drop in some orders around 625 if it breaks, there is stronger support at 610 but I don't see it going there so soon.



282. Post 4015251 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: seleme on December 17, 2013, 09:41:40 PM
35$ difference between Stamp and Btc-e  Shocked
Looking at the tape...
BTC-e may have more arbing with china.  500 sold in a block on BTC china, and BTC-e followed but stamp didn't.
Small moves and just looking at the recent stuff, so can't really draw any conclusions.
If so, BTC-e will trend closer to China pricing than stamp will, until the arbitraging levels.



283. Post 4015306 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on December 17, 2013, 09:50:33 PM
No no no not yet! I agreed to sell my 25B coin for $21,000 cash. Meeting him at 10pm going to buy back on coinbase then we can go CHOO CHOO all the way to the moon!

Careful.  Sometimes Coinbase decides it is a risky transaction when the price rises between the time you pay and when they give you your coins.  They can reverse the transaction if it goes against them.
You can only do 10 coins a week for certain pricing.



284. Post 4015777 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: gandhibt on December 17, 2013, 10:24:16 PM
you guys are not giving enough credit to stamp, its the healthiest exchange with working in/out fiat and it is not losing in volume to gox, as long as 650 holds we're not entering bear market
This is your idea of a bull market?
Maybe.... consolidation.



285. Post 4015806 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: TERA on December 17, 2013, 10:20:01 PM
I would really like to see a day with like 500,000 volume on mtgox to give me confidence that a bottom is in. I've been watching all the exchanges and all of the action has been weaksauce - no evidence of any kind real capitulation , plus they're still following BT China which is a sinking ship.

100K tends to mark local bottoms.



286. Post 4023070 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Quote from: mister p on December 16, 2013, 11:25:56 PM
http://china.dwnews.com/news/2013-12-16/59357811.html

O

M

G

!
!
!

TL;DR Translation:  Satoshi Nakamoto located and apprehended by Chinese government.  Was carrying emergency bitcoin shutoff code.  Chinese government plans to use code to shutdown bitcoin network.  Satoshi charged with criminal economic disruption.


Coindesk is getting ready to publish an article corroborating this news from internal sources.  This is the end guys.

fake...?

BREAKING NEWS:
Proudhon knows what Coindesk is going to publish before they publish!

The end is near
(The end of the FUD)



287. Post 4023172 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on December 18, 2013, 09:48:05 AM
Why are the polls on here are always so bullish, no 200 or 300? Not even 450?


>540 is pretty bearish cause it encompasses everything below it.

Shouldn't it be <540?



288. Post 4023401 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Quote from: rpietila on December 18, 2013, 08:44:00 AM
It is all just luck, remember. Nobody can predict the future.  Grin

Too modest.
Nicely played.



289. Post 4029787 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on December 18, 2013, 06:35:06 PM
Now for the lulz:

http://thediplomat.com/2013/12/bitcoin-hackers-reportedly-target-peoples-bank-of-china/

LOL'd at foreign hackers.
We all know that there aren't any in China, and that everyone there is happy with their government's decisions.

My heart goes out to the good people born there.  Today is not their easiest day, and there are likely more days like this to come.



290. Post 4029810 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Latest poll just shows we like prime numbers.



291. Post 4046027 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: MAbtc on December 19, 2013, 06:47:13 PM
Funny you should say that given you're the one mostly looking at BtcChina and claiming all the other exchanges have to adapt to their low price.

There cannot remain such discrepancies in price. Since btcchina cannot follow price on other exchanger. Chinese and their arbers will arb to take the gift of an insta profit.
Price will level out, with max 5% difference, to the downside on other exchange and upside on btcchina. So around 8-10% less in the coming days on stamp irrespective of coming price fluctuations.
I'm still having a hard time figuring out how arbitrage is happening. The price difference would necessitate people looking for ways to do it, but how? Do you mean Chinese traders dumping on western exchanges? Can they get their fiat?

Multinational companies exist.



292. Post 4059055 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):

Quote from: macsga on December 20, 2013, 02:47:03 PM
Highly recommend for everyone:

Bitcoin Neutrality - Andreas Antonopoulos
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jy6XIBnThpY&feature=youtu.be

This was two weeks ago here in Argentina. This guy is a beast. He was the best speaker of the conference.

Real good one! Thanks!

GREAT speech. Antreas is the MAN!  Wink

The need to down-step the technology for usability in places with poor infrastructure is one of our incentives for the specie project.
He is involved in some good stuff, not just talk, action.
The other 6.5 billion...



293. Post 4064827 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):

Anyone taking odds the Lee brothers figured out how to get money into China, and bitcoins out?
Not likely to be hard given their situation.  Grats to them.  I wish them every success if so.



294. Post 4065411 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):

Quote from: Patel on December 20, 2013, 10:58:19 PM
Hloy siht. Is taht wall real? (on stamp)
damn 4.5k wall
ni hao



295. Post 4068043 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):

Quote from: Searing on December 21, 2013, 03:44:02 AM
On that initial drop today, BTCChina dropped like 8-8.5%. Gox dropped like 17%. 5x the volume on Gox. (just ballparking looking at charts)

WTF....

exactly. house. of. cards.

The ONLY thing I can see saving this market is a lot of offline purchases like the one Loaded did and new money coming from the exchange from big hands waiting for an entry point.

But those are freaking loooooong odds.  If this wasn't going into Christmas week, I'd have more faith.

I mean, right now it only take ONE large hand to liquidate in China and the market will crash. I bet 2000 coins would do it.

yeah if btc china is really toast ....it will sink in a day or two after jan 1st 2014.....then if we can stabilize at 500 usd coin I'd be thrilled

that is a lot of folk to yank out of bitcoin at one time (unless there are alternate reasons or ways for them to use/move btc I'm not aware of ...noob that I am)

Searing


Do not underestimate the great walls of BTCchina.
I think they will still be around and doing nicely this time next year.



296. Post 4068717 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):

Quote from: MikeH on December 21, 2013, 04:37:44 AM
dogecoin is like tulips dipped in shit.


Tulip fertilizer?
What's a dogecoin? 



297. Post 4069242 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):

Quote from: jojo69 on December 21, 2013, 05:42:48 AM
dogecoin is like tulips dipped in shit.


Tulip fertilizer?
What's a dogecoin?  

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=361813.0

it was a parody hatched on 4chan and the nether regions of reddit, it now has market cap of over $10M and is the fastest growing alt network

it reminds us not to take ourselves too seriously

Very coin.
Muchly thanking you.
woof
I still don't know what it is, but I think I know enough.



298. Post 4161230 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: mmitech on December 26, 2013, 09:39:22 PM
If you have never used Silkroad 1.0 in your life, you are not a true bitcoiner. Grin

this is waht I exactly hate, so you think we are junks ? using drugs is one thing and using bitcoin is another thing, I am so happy that they took SR down, I hate when people start talking about "body freedom" and all that shit, do you have kids ? or let me put it this way, when you will have kids I would love to know what you think about your kid wasting his life with using drugs and I would love to know how would you feel looking at him, would you still think "yes freedom"

so what do you think about child porn ? also normal ?  man I hate these people....

What about those who saved life with drugs they would not otherwise easily have been able to procure?  Why do folks always focus on the worst cases?  Drug abuse is bad, we agree.  Having an epipen available when someone is having an allergic reaction can save a life in minutes, especially in rural areas.

Doea child porn even still exist?  I thought that was just a LEO bugaboo after the anonymous collective DDoS'd all those into oblivion and off the darknet. TYVM



299. Post 4161287 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on December 27, 2013, 12:56:51 AM
The return of the triple tit!

but when to buy back in?

5 seconds after it hits bottom  Cheesy

You say that because your trigger is 4 minutes after? Cheesy



300. Post 4161332 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on December 27, 2013, 12:45:05 AM
China price has caught up with Stamp. Last time these two came together they diverged to the downside. My hope is BTCChina is back in the driver's seat and we see a huge rally from China to Choo Choo past the gox price.

get with the program it is huboi..driving this crazy train

There is solid unidirectional arbitrage happening with china if you are following price and volume. (getting money in to PRC and btc out is easy, the opposite isn't) so btcchina should have pretty solid flooring. It could be a drag on the upside moves or lead, but should not be seeing it so much below again.



301. Post 4162710 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: OldGeek on December 27, 2013, 02:31:05 AM
Does anybody know why btc-e USD disappeared from bitcoincharts.com?

No idea but I noticed yesterday that it was absent.

Probably because it is so hard to get any USD to BTC-E, so they don't bother.

Anyone want to ripple me some through to there?  Wink



302. Post 4168897 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: TERA on December 27, 2013, 01:15:05 PM
There doesnt need to be a justification for the rise right now. Were simply going up "because china". Its a house of cards too.
China is too big for these little moves.
More likely some Overstock presages Amazon speculation.



303. Post 4169167 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: kurious on December 27, 2013, 01:29:12 PM
Stamp, China and BTC-e all in close sync - Gox 70 (goxbux) up....

Wonder who decides that synchronisation, does it prove we are still following China price - if so, it's a concern.

It's like the (China provoked) dip, was not noticed.

The market decides, as it routes through government barriers.  It moves through Arbitraging (sell on one exchange and buy on another).
Money moves in to china easily, bitcoin flows out easily.   Money does not move out of china easily so China should be expected to never be much below the others, though it could be significantly above with internal demand.




304. Post 4169186 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Bitcoin is infectious.  Once you "catch it" it tends to infect those near you.  You become a carrier.  I don't think China is cured of bitcoin, it is spreading there, person to person.



305. Post 4179317 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: dgarcia on December 28, 2013, 02:13:24 AM
Doesn't look good:



Better?



306. Post 4184045 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: lebing on December 28, 2013, 09:27:38 AM
I may regret this in the morning, as it will cause some people to want to trade against me, but I feel that I need to put it out there. Bitcoin TA is heavily manipulated at the moment, by at least 2 parties. Be careful out there.

Could you please explain it in more detail? Is it the ask spikes I'm seeing @ 750 and 768 Bitstamp? Or something completely different?

Hint: China.


You mean that perfect pennant on the 1H or some other thing regarding your trip?

Are you still there btw?

Yeah, I'm a little confused by what Loaded is saying. The TA on the charts looks bullish, with a bullish pennant forming. It sounds like Loaded is saying the market is being manipulated upwards and so traders may want to hedge to the downside, which would go against his market buys. But really, I have no clue what he is saying.

I dont think one needs to read to far into what he said. The bitcoin market IS heavily manipulated and he who worships at the altar of Bitcoin TA worships a god on strings.

Panic << TA << fundamentals



307. Post 4191084 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

MTGox 749
CoinMkt 734
CampBX 724
BitStamp 719
BTC-e 706
BTCChina 705

I wonder when more miners will be pointing their output to CoinMKT and CampBX for their cash?  It seems there are more USD looking for coins than there are coins in these markets.



308. Post 4193995 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: proudhon on December 28, 2013, 08:28:27 PM
Rpietila seems a reputable in his views.
I think we all should read his writings, learn him, try to figure out his mood and based on this, sell or buy coins.
The price will go quite low if we can trust him - usually we can. He made his bearish call correctly last time while all were laughing at his face, spitting on him and considering him as slain of God, the man of sorrows, the friend of pains etc.

After all, he made his trades and tons of money. Now those of you who do not follow his paths right now will loose as the price eventually crashes.
He is making money so why shouldn't I do it with him? I hope you guys here are also in the same boat with me. It is not that difficult to turn from bull to bear. I did it after I found Rpietila did it also.  Cool

Sounds like legit advice.

I'd totally be down for some bitcoin tarding again, but I hodl because I'm trying to put myself in a good position to pay long term capital gains (best, reasonable, compliance case) without any possible complications and obligation by having any USD or BTC on foreign exchanges.  

Given the position I'm trying to get into for compliance, short term tarding would just be foolish.  Add to that that I think by the time I'm ready to liquidate a significant portion they'll be worth more than they are today, I'm hodling, hodling from bitcoin tarding.

So true, on average, most lose by short term tarding.  
Its like poker in a casino.  
If you look around the table and can't figure out who is the patsy, you're the patsy.  
You have to know a lot, or be lucky, to be half decent.

Quote from: proudhon on December 28, 2013, 08:28:27 PM
If you're a US citizen and you're trading with more than $10k, and haven't considered the implications of foreign exchange and tax implications of realizing profit, etc, good luck.

This is a tricky element, and was touched on earlier this year in an article on taxes and accounts in foreign jurisdictions: http://bitcoinmagazine.com/5481/real-compliance-getting-your-way-by-giving-in/
Though the author may not have looked at everything as it was just before the FBAR deadline.
http://www.fincen.gov/news_room/nr/pdf/20110717.pdf

One might further consider just where the bitcoins are?  They are in the US as well as the blockchain is where they always are.
Looking deeper at some of the FinCEN elements might suggest that it is the control of the asset, which with Bitcoin would be the credentials (private key) moving across jurisdictions.
This is shown as absurd as it would then apply to anyone who's signature would be worth amounts over US$10K traveling abroad.
The precedent for such a ruling would be thin gruel.

This probably isn't the place for discussing it, other than whether or not US folks will sell/buy/hold based on such taxation consequences may be distorting the market.  Probably not much.



309. Post 4194127 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: macsga on December 28, 2013, 11:37:20 PM
Interesting read:
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/12/28/bitcoin-is-evil/?smid=tw-NytimesKrugman&seid=auto&_r=1&

Even more interesting though, are the comments of the readers. Am I the only one here that thinks that Krugman is paid to stand for fiat money? His arguments find me completely indifferent.

Quote
I have had and am continuing to have a dialogue with smart technologists who are very high on BitCoin — but when I try to get them to explain to me why BitCoin is a reliable store of value, they always seem to come back with explanations about how it’s a terrific medium of exchange. Even if I buy this (which I don’t, entirely), it doesn’t solve my problem. And I haven’t been able to get my correspondents to recognize that these are different questions.


Heh... probably talking to the wrong people (intentionally that is...). Grin

He's also fundamentally missing it.  A part of why it is a reliable store of value is connected to the value of it being a terrific medium of exchange.  By carving out parts of his interlocutor's response categorically, shows that he hasn't taken a close enough look at it.

It is reliable.
It creates a public record of trade.  Stored for posterity.
By using it we enter into these records.  It connects us to each other.
It is fundamentally better in many important ways, even for governments, than what governments are getting from the central bankers.  If that isn't valuable, what is?



310. Post 4201766 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: Miz4r on December 29, 2013, 12:48:22 PM
China (huobi) leading the price movements is not a good indicator. Either it could be fake, or it could be real and then the chinese government can shut it down. Neither would be good news. I would have much preferred to see a recovery without China.

Yeah and I would have much preferred a recovery back in June/July without MtGox and its withdrawal problems, but ironically it was exactly that which gave the market the momentum it needed to get out of the bear market after April. We just have to deal with these things, and at some point China will become irrelevant like the MtGox problems became irrelevant.
We'll it's not a definite fact that mtgox's withdrawal problems were really what was driving the market in June. That may have just been a convenient conspiracy theory to serve as a cover up while what was really driving the price was bulls accumulating coins and deals being struck with offline investors like SecondMarket etc.

Also, the China situation is not the same as the Mtgox situation. It is not simply a fiat withdrawal problem, but also a fiat deposit problem, and eventually a btc deposit/withdraw problem and a trading problem. It is a problem with their government. If their government acts again, it is likely to cause another panic.

Could be, but still people were afraid to sell their coins on MtGox and there was a huge shortage of supply on the ask side there. Other exchanges were too small and insignificant back then to provide a balancing counterweight. So I think it definitely helped to build the bullish momentum. The situation with China is not that different I think. Yes their government could act again and I'm sure it will cause some more panic, but we simply don't know what's going to happen and while this is going on the market is adapting and slowly but surely the situation in China will become less and less relevant and other things will become more important to watch.

"China"

There is selling pressure in China due to regulatory issues.  However, it is easy to get money in to China and BTC out, so any sinosell pressure ends up on all the other exchanges.  This is currently the prevalent pressure on pricing.

As January deadlines draw nearer, this effect can be expected to ease, and even reverse.  (Those leaving the China market due to regulatory issues will have left, and the remainder will be the "strong hands" there.  Folks elsewhere who are on the sidelines waiting for this effect to play out will come in.)

Bad news can only get so bad before it becomes ineffectual so "government acts again, it is likely to cause another panic."  Probably not unless they start tracking and imprisoning folks for using BTC.



311. Post 4222745 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Alpacas make me smile.
Have a small alpaca farm in Malibu, which we are setting up for AirBNB (and of course accept bitcoin).
One of our neighbors is already doing this:
https://www.airbnb.com/rooms/1323339?checkin=01%2F08%2F2014&checkout=01%2F11%2F2014&guests=3&s=67e9
Though our little ranchito is a good bit more rustic yet.



312. Post 4232173 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on December 30, 2013, 09:38:54 PM
ok the china deadline is tomorrow

why is the market not reacting?

Tomorrow? It was the Chinese New Year, not? So, the deadline should be the 30.1.14.
Yup, it was Chinese new year, so we still have another month to go.
oh the deadline it on the 30th of next month.

shit

i thought it was tomorrow

There is a different deadline tomorrow:  Swiss Banking and USA Foreign Account Disclosure Compliance and taxation.
Swiss banks have a deadline of tomorrow to sign up for compliance.  Some are doing so:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/27/us-tax-switzerland-lombardodier-idUSBRE9BQ03T20131227

Everyone I know pays their taxes, and usually end up overpaying to be conservative...  But I imagine there might be some folks in the USA that have used Swiss accounts to hide money.  They might want to do something else with that money.




313. Post 4237362 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on December 31, 2013, 12:07:34 AM
If major retailers, such as Overstock.com, intend to immediately convert bitcoins to fiat, then is spending bitcoins equivalent to selling on an exchange? If so, there is little incentive to spend because it adversely impacts your investment, unless sufficient new fiat is flowing into the exchanges to offset your bitcoin purchases.

2014 could turn out to be a very bad year for bulls if too many large merchants decide to accept bitcoin.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Isn't what BitPay does with its BTC more important then what Overstock does with it? Or maybe we can start a whole new group of activists who support merchants who don't instantly covert their BTC to fiat at the POS.

Well, the point is that more merchants accepting bitcoin is typically viewed as bullish. I disagree if the merchants intend to immediately convert back to fiat. Overstock has already announced it intends to do this to avoid price volatility.

Money flow, the speed of money.
What makes a currency, is the flow of it's current.  If there is no flow, there is no currency.
More merchants make for more money flow.  So yes It is bullish, even if you disagree.
A merchant converting to fiat does not reduce that flow, it just doesn't add to it as much as when the merchant uses it in their supply chain.  Then it increases the flow further.  It is a difference between a +1 and a +2 not the difference between a 0 and a +1.



314. Post 4237582 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: OldGeek on December 31, 2013, 07:47:59 AM
Interesting discussions these last few hours.

Let me ask you, who are smarter than I, what do you think would be the effect on the western markets if, say Huobi, crashed to zero in the next 24 hours?
Silly question, but OK...
We'd buy their coins cheaply.  Some would be sold to pay for the cost (but at a cost of "zero" probably not many sold at all)



315. Post 4237644 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: aminorex on December 31, 2013, 08:53:49 AM
mind you the bitcoin foundation would love it, say it legitimized bitcoin.  i think they have no reason to live if they don't file an anti-trust action against APPL.

Picking an anti-trust fight with AAPL?  Even if fun to watch it would sink them completely and gain us very little.  Bitcoin doesn't need AAPL as much as AAPL needs bitcoin.  Let them be the late adopters.



316. Post 4238044 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Macno on December 31, 2013, 01:23:16 PM
Does anyone know where to post that a 5 BTC withdrawal I did 3,5 hours ago on MtGox hasn`t still been processed? Their customer service does not answer yet. On Gox is does not show up as pending, but as done (in the history).
There is a 136 page thread on that here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=179586.2700;topicseen



317. Post 4238145 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: macsga on December 31, 2013, 01:33:56 PM
mind you the bitcoin foundation would love it, say it legitimized bitcoin.  i think they have no reason to live if they don't file an anti-trust action against APPL.

Picking an anti-trust fight with AAPL?  Even if fun to watch it would sink them completely and gain us very little.  Bitcoin doesn't need AAPL as much as AAPL needs bitcoin.  Let them be the late adopters.

Bitcoin is the means; ie: the protocol, on which applications run; like messages/monetary transactions and probably many more to come in the future. Or if you prefer "the river" that many "boats" will be floating. Whether a company (no matter how big or small) decides to (or not to) incorporate it to their marketing philosophy it's really their call. Eric Schmidt from Google yesterday said in an interview that "We should have been into social networking earlier". Maybe it's Apple's turn to pay (or not) the price for not getting into bitcoin.

This new year will really be a huge turn for Bitcoin. I'm not sure if it's $10000 or $10 by this time next year; but what I have to stand for is this: It's a brand new innovative tech that it's similar to no other. The thing we have to answer to ourselves is: Is the world ready for such a technology? Only time will tell. Roll Eyes

 AAPL can afford the US$10000 coins a lot more easily than most.



318. Post 4245145 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Richy_T on December 31, 2013, 02:47:24 PM
One question related to those funds is if some of them might belong to people who committed no crimes (or at least have not been convicted of them). I'm have little doubt (in fact, I pretty much know for sure) that there's precedent for the cops just keeping the whole lot but still.
I'm still wondering how they got the coins. If he's claiming them back, it suggests he didn't hand them over (i.e. as part of deal). So, weak password?

Maybe no password. If he didn't have the sense to have it distributed through multiple offline wallets with some kind of auto-drain for at least some of them...

Feds don't seem to be doing that either.



319. Post 4271729 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

When China gets too far below the pack, expect an arbitrage dump.  Getting fiat in and coins out is easy.
China is very long on gold.  So as one of the nuclear powers with a carrington effect button, I like seeing them have some bitcoin.  real politik



320. Post 4373256 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.52h):

Quote from: QuestionAuthority on January 07, 2014, 08:06:11 PM
In order to use media to make trade decisions you would need to speak every world language fluently, subscribe to thousands of media formats and read them daily.

Or, write code ...
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/23/business/23trading.html?_r=0



321. Post 4373570 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.52h):

Quote from: jojo69 on January 07, 2014, 09:02:31 PM
In order to use media to make trade decisions you would need to speak every world language fluently, subscribe to thousands of media formats and read them daily.

you mean you don't do that?

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/23/business/23trading.html?_r=0



322. Post 4387735 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: niothor on January 08, 2014, 12:11:18 PM

read it last night, linked it here as well. Tera felt it was repetition of stuff already mentioned. Others explained to me how the negative commission for market makers worked seems all around interesting. I mean it is not impossible he's just putting on a front. All the while knowing its closing down...but I doubt it will and huobi is the volume holder so it really depends on how they get cracked down upon if a crack down appears.

Now  really , do you believe the volume houbi shows?
I doubt they trade more than 10 coins per day there.

It may be a honeypot.



323. Post 4441745 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: byronbb on January 11, 2014, 03:21:22 AM
Soon gox will break the 1,000 mark again  Smiley

We need to break out from 960 which we are testing for the 3rd time.

uhhh ohhhh



4th time if you include the test of it as support on the 6th.



324. Post 4450945 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: BitChick on January 11, 2014, 05:04:49 PM
My sources from the future say we will break resistence soon and leave all the bears behind after they start panic buying.

and who will buy it above 1K?  one or two kids with daddys money?Smiley

Hence why we need to start using mBTC now.

1K is a psychological barrier for whatever reason.

I think people will be happier spending $50 on 1mBTC than $1000 for 1BTC even though $1000 per BTC is $49,000 less per coin!

I'd be happier selling 1mBTC for $50 than $1000 for 1BTC and would very much like to meet these psychological people of whom you know.



325. Post 4489650 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 13, 2014, 05:51:05 PM
who still trade at Mtgox ?  well this news is not really pleasant http://thegenesisblock.com/mt-gox-seizures-linked-silk-road-fed-testimonies/
Quote
“In May 2013, through an interagency taskforce led by ICE in Baltimore, Maryland, three U.S. bank accounts [with about 5 million US$] associated with what was then the world’s largest bitcoin exchanger, Japan-based Mt.Gox [...] were seized for violations of 18 U.S.C. § 1960, operating a money service business in the United States without a license.”

Very interesting.  Could this be the reason for the alleged difficulty of moving USD out of Mt Gox?


and the absence of compelling explanations



326. Post 4509705 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: macsga on January 14, 2014, 05:32:06 PM
urm... http://gizmodo.com/federal-court-invalidates-net-neutrality-rules-sides-w-1501028467    Shocked Undecided

This is big govt vs big telco.
Telco wins.
Probably a good thing for people and companies that use their networks.

MPLS QoS means that things that need real-time responsiveness can get it, so your skype call doesn't get choppy when your email attachment is coming across.
Not the end of the world, and likely a good thing for progress.

Hand-wringers fear speed-censorship and advert pushing.  This is less about speed and more about latency.  Worry less please.



327. Post 4511708 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: notme on January 14, 2014, 05:51:20 PM

This is big govt vs big telco.
Telco wins.
Probably a good thing for people and companies that use their networks.

MPLS QoS means that things that need real-time responsiveness can get it, so your skype call doesn't get choppy when your email attachment is coming across.
Not the end of the world, and likely a good thing for progress.

It's a good thing, so long as we can control these parameters ourselves.  If I want to prioritize things differently then I should be able to.  In fact, I could already.  This is the telecos wanting to take over prioritization in the name of optimizing their networks.  Of course it is technically trivial to just ignore user priorities, but until now it was thought to be against antitrust regulations because it enables, for example Comcast, to prioritize NBC's content (which they own), and deprioritize Fox's content.  Other networks might deprioritize NBC to harm Comcast.  This is a surrender of freedom.

By ourselves, you mean free to buy network connections as you like, or be prevented by government from these being made available.
I buy "business accounts" from my telco and do my own prioritization.  Large companies pay for QoS prioritization and love it for the last 20 years, finally consumers can get a taste of it.
 
For most people they won't care, won't notice.
The things you are afraid of (NBC vs Cox) are already illegal under other laws in most jurisdictions (oops, sorry Italy) and are not an issue here (in the USA where this particular legal battle is fought).

If you really want to worry about something in regards to this, your radar is seeing only the media chaff, while the missile sails right through.
The operation of packet inspection for prioritization contains metadata that could ultimately be seized or subpoena and provide a deeper intrusion to privacy by TPTB.
This can show what protocols each of us are running on our networks, and that may be far more interesting than the prosaic notion of whether the ads and services you are getting are for the company from whom you are buying a network.

Think deeper.



328. Post 4512814 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: notme on January 14, 2014, 08:21:02 PM

This is big govt vs big telco.
Telco wins.
Probably a good thing for people and companies that use their networks.

MPLS QoS means that things that need real-time responsiveness can get it, so your skype call doesn't get choppy when your email attachment is coming across.
Not the end of the world, and likely a good thing for progress.

It's a good thing, so long as we can control these parameters ourselves.  If I want to prioritize things differently then I should be able to.  In fact, I could already.  This is the telecos wanting to take over prioritization in the name of optimizing their networks.  Of course it is technically trivial to just ignore user priorities, but until now it was thought to be against antitrust regulations because it enables, for example Comcast, to prioritize NBC's content (which they own), and deprioritize Fox's content.  Other networks might deprioritize NBC to harm Comcast.  This is a surrender of freedom.

By ourselves, you mean free to buy network connections as you like, or be prevented by government from these being made available.
I buy "business accounts" from my telco and do my own prioritization.  Large companies pay for QoS prioritization and love it for the last 20 years, finally consumers can get a taste of it.
 
For most people they won't care, won't notice.
The things you are afraid of (NBC vs Cox) are already illegal under other laws in most jurisdictions (oops, sorry Italy) and are not an issue here (in the USA where this particular legal battle is fought).

If you really want to worry about something in regards to this, your radar is seeing only the media chaff, while the missile sails right through.
The operation of packet inspection for prioritization contains metadata that could ultimately be seized or subpoena and provide a deeper intrusion to privacy by TPTB.
This can show what protocols each of us are running on our networks, and that may be far more interesting than the prosaic notion of whether the ads and services you are getting are for the company from whom you are buying a network.

Think deeper.

Deep packet inspection by ISPs has been going on for at least a decade.  They never needed priority as an excuse.  But keep on cheering for more centralized control of our networks.

If you remember your history, all networks were controlled by government.  All the PTTs...
The increase of shifting of control from government to private enterprise is less "centralization" not more.



329. Post 4513480 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: notme on January 14, 2014, 08:49:11 PM
Excluding broadband internet from common carrier regulations keeps completion out of the industry.  With copper lines, which do fall under common carrier, you provider has to provide you with the contracted bandwidth and you are free to resell it if you wish.  Broadband providers do not have to follow these rules.  I just moved into an apartment and I am having a terrible time dealing with Comcast just to get simple fucking internet (it's been over a week since I moved in).  If I had any other options for broadband, I would love to give them my business.  But regional monopolies dominate and even when demand is strong competitors can't get a foot in the door by buying from the monopoly provider.  Networks are expensive to build and maintain, which is why centralization is such a strong force in these industries.  Common carrier regulations were put in place to help balance this tendency and promote competition.  If a stronger Comcast is so great, why am I typing this on my phone when I have a really nice desktop?

Because bitcoin.

The internet is fundamentally broken in part precisely because it doesn't include any economic protocol until now.
There are a great many tragedies of the commons that occur from this: spam, pervasive advertising, all you can download/upload pricing, that you even have to pay for it at all if you are getting just basic internet is a symptom.
Letting the providers use the available technology to solve some of these problems is not such a bad thing.

There will always be folks that just enjoy using law to stop technology, but that doesn't make it better.

For your particulars, I don't know where you are, but I've never lived in a location that had so few choices for network.  My priorities are likely different as I wouldn't have considered living in a place without more choices.  If it doesn't have cable + DSL + wireless + nearby fiber + satellite availability, for myself, it could at best be a vacation rental.  Certainly not a place I could live / work.  
Your vote with your rental payment has more sway than the ballot box.



330. Post 4514904 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: notme on January 14, 2014, 08:21:02 PM
Deep packet inspection by ISPs has been going on for at least a decade.  They never needed priority as an excuse.  But keep on cheering for more centralized control of our networks.  Soon all my traffic will be encrypted on Comcast's network.

Sure it happens, but it is relatively rare and expensive to do pervasively, even in places where the government claims the authority and is uncontested to do it at will, it is still relatively rare.
Putting this financial incentive in front of it will ease the burden making it more common.
When we brought our new shiny QoS high speed ATM and MPLS switches into China, knowing what to say, and what not to say, and to whom, remained important.



331. Post 4514934 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: T.Stuart on January 14, 2014, 10:25:48 PM
Blitz is right. Many here are very badly prepared psychologically for the event of a long term bear market. Do I expect $100 coins? Lower? No. Is it a distinct possibility, outside of a fatal crash to $0? Yes, unquestionably. Dismissing the possibility out of hand, as many here do, is laughable. Queue log chart, etc. that is supposed to show me that trend break is impossible.....

I think many may be very badly prepared for a long-term bear market because it seems rather unlikely at this stage. The only reason I can think of for this to happen over the next couple of years would be a catastrophic technical event rendering the security of the protocol unreliable. China ban, bubble-theorists, etc... none of that has the power to cause a long-term bear market considering where Bitcoin is now.

What else do you think might cause such a change in market sentiment at this stage?

Even the China ban was on the heels of China broadcasting video about the wonders of bitcoin.
Bitcoin is in China to stay, they just haven't figured out how to handle all the issues and so are putting a hold on the big business until they do.



332. Post 4522824 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: fotosonics on January 15, 2014, 09:27:04 AM
If French speaking, watch the debate live right now:

www.senat.fr/espace_presse/actualites/201401/monnaies_virtuelles_quels_enjeux.html

So far banque de france representative says bitcoin is not a currency..


Very good kids. Now let's try it with colors.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bTPQKyAq-DM
This guy is a bitcoin evangelist, and he also says it's not a currency. Banque de France, quit wasting time and tell us something we don't already know.  

Heh, I was in that room.
Its not just a currency.
Network, platform, invention...



333. Post 4527568 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: Richy_T on January 15, 2014, 02:59:41 PM

"Just leave" is a poor solution, especially when I am in one of the most population dense areas in my state.  I probably am moving elsewhere when I finish my degree, but that won't help the millions of people that have no option to but to live with the situation (most people in my state are too poor to even think about moving).  Ultimately lack of population density is the main problem, but at least with common carrier lines there was the possibility of smaller fish focusing on service to clean up the scraps left by the whales.  Without such options, I am currently a scrap that can only access the internet though my phone or by visiting a friend.

Seriously, just get tethered. Even if you only have to pay for one month, it'd be worth it (if you don't know how to do it for free)

I didn't say to leave, didn't advise you at all actually, just noticed that your priorities are different than mine.  I need highly available networks.  I just wouldn't remain in a place that didn't have multiple network options.
Yes, tethering is one of my go-to options.  Just one network link is a failure state waiting to happen.

And...It beats hoping the feds will be "helpful" with new regulation.



334. Post 4527803 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: proudhon on January 15, 2014, 03:46:47 PM
There is a live conference going on in China atm, they just said

"Japanese public television:
There is a question about bitcoin, as China's central bank on Bitcoin development in China how to treat? Do you think bitcoin will bring what risks? The Chinese government should prohibit the use of bitcoins it?
2014-01-15 12:22:09
Shengsong Cheng:
About Bitcoin problems, the People's Bank and other five ministries jointly issued a notice, I would like to emphasize, first, we propose, is not the true meaning of bitcoin currency. Second, we prompt the Bitcoin risk and made the request.
Bitcoin is a specific virtual goods. What I understand is called money? The first is the medium of exchange currency is widely accepted by society as a whole medium for the exchange of commodities. Monetary developments in the history of thousands of years, once the physical currency, the final form of physical currency is gold and silver. Like Marx said natural gold is money. The most essential characteristic of money is a medium of exchange and measure of value. Itself to be valuable, so it can be denominated. Since gold production is limited, it can not meet the growing social and economic development, so the gold standard collapsed. From the later seventies of last century, the world monetary credit system completely behind monetary credit system is a powerful force of national credit and forced the country, so we put the national currency, credit currency called legal tender.
2014-01-15 12:22:27
Shengsong Cheng:
We take a look at Bitcoin, Bitcoin is not having the characteristics of these currencies? As far as I know, the vast majority of countries do not recognize the Bitcoin currency status. Currency in circulation in addition to the media, the value of scale functions, there is a very important function is denominated instruments. Bitcoin itself is not denominated in the currency, nor as the quote currency is possible. Plunged wild speculation "currency" can be used as currency it? Bitcoin transactions for good, good investment, you need to pay attention to its risk. People's Bank and the relevant departments will continue to focus on the movements of Bitcoin and associated risks, strengthen the monitoring, analysis, and guide the public to establish a correct concept of money and investment philosophy. Thank you.
"

I don't really know what this means. I used google translate on this page:-

http://www.china.com.cn/zhibo/2014-01/15/content_31172976.htm



I read the Chinese version and basically it says don't buy bitcoins, sodl all your bitcoins if you have any, and if you don't have any then shotr at maximum margin.

Edit:  Just wanted to say that my interpretation has been confirmed by sources.

It is closer to "we the wise government understand things, the little people do not understand things and so need to be protected from risky things like bitcoin by us the wise government, gib dem to usssss"



335. Post 4527856 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: Richy_T on January 15, 2014, 03:57:38 PM

However; I do believe that mankind has a big influence on the current global warming.
So a good start is changing mankinds behavior and lower carbon emission.


The methods being proposed to "lower carbon emissions" would be devastating to the world economy, lead to the death of millions from reduced quality of living conditions and could lead to technological slump that we, as a race, might never recover from.

I happen to be somewhat skeptical on global warming (agnostic rather than denier) but even if its true, our response to it needs to be cautious and closely monitored. AGW advocates often espouse the precautionary principle but the precautionary principle tells us not to drastically change the way we're doing things without good cause.

You do have to admit, it is the best excuse TPTB have come up with for total world government takeover yet.



336. Post 4564204 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: seriouscoin on January 17, 2014, 06:25:13 AM
Chinese New Year is coming (starts from Jan 20th)....

According to Wikipedia, in mainland China the 2014 Chinese New Year holidays are 31 January – 6 February
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_new_year


Noobs, Chinese starts the holiday from 20th.... Yes they usually have 2-3 weeks off.

Are you thinking that they won't get around to selling all the coins they are mining until after holiday?



337. Post 4565622 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: chodpaba on January 17, 2014, 03:44:29 PM
The price might go down now, but it's not worth it. It will still take a while for the feds to sell, in the meantime the price will go back up, and then yo-yo. But really the people who will buy these coins aren't going to be dumping them on the market. They are buying to keep the supply controlled and the price high. :-)

It doesn't matter when they do it. Right now is when we have the knowledge that they will do it. Although there is some question about how much. It will definitely be 29,655BTC, but it could possibly be as much as 144,336BTC.

It's getting priced in right now.

It's being auctioned, this is not the reason for current movement.

New Knowledge is always a reason for current movement.

It clearly is not. You claiming this proves your ignorance.

It only proves how important this is to the market, but it will take a day to filter in. And another three days for the reactions to the movement to settle out.

Also currently price may be dropping a bit from Overstock, small influence though.
There is still some wealth effect from the rise at end of 2013.
This o.co overhang will begin to reverse when
1) Overstock takes advantage of BitPay's payroll feature and begins to allow its people to also be paid in bitcoin at a percentage of their compensation.
2) Time.  When folks are buying their bitcoin off an exchange to use on overstock instead of using the ones they already have.
3) Supply chain, when Overstock is able to purchase its inventory in bitcoin.



338. Post 4568685 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Patience.... wait until everyone is sure the price is going lower.

That is the time to buy.



339. Post 4570273 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: micalith on January 17, 2014, 08:22:13 PM
On other news:

eBay UK to Allow Sale of Virtual Currency from 10th February
Emily Spaven (@emilyspaven) | Published on January 16, 2014 at 21:36 GMT | Companies, Merchants, News
ebay
eBay is launching a dedicated Virtual Currency category on eBay Classifieds in the UK on 10th February.

The Classified Ads category will allow for the sale of all types of digital currency, including bitcoin and litecoin, eBay representatives have confirmed.

eBay Classifieds, which lists posts throughout the site, serves as the site’s answer to Craigslist. eBay provides the free platform for local buyers and sellers to connect, but does not participate in the transactions.


http://www.coindesk.com/ebay-uk-virtual-currency-february/

I think that kills localbitcoins with their 1% fees

Localbitcoin is free if you don't care about the escrow and ratings.



340. Post 4570443 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: macsga on January 17, 2014, 08:47:02 PM
There is an overstock of coins right now. Cheesy

It's going to be interesting to find out if overstock are able to hedge against the volatility.
If they are able to, then maybe there's hope for a larger adoption of bitcoin.
If not, and they end up with a significant loss, instead of the small gains they expected, the signal will be bearish.

You are aware they are selling their coins, right?

They ought to. They have to pay their suppliers with fiat money; what else could they do? I strongly believe though that they don't give up all their income in btc... It's not wise, nor profitable. Roll Eyes

Bitpay gets the coins, Overstock gets the lower transaction cost.
And Bitpay they are better suited to manage the risk of hodling or dupming.

Wait for the volume, don't buy until you see the whites of their eyes.  (or at least until after my limit orders all hit)




341. Post 4570686 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: Adrian-x on January 17, 2014, 08:52:07 PM
This "capitulation" has got absolutely no conviction. And as the days countdown to 31 January and nothing happens, people wanting to buy in but waiting for the China crash are going to start getting twitchy!  Smiley

any action is more likely to be during the week of Feb 10.

Great, that will move the Bitcoin 1K party into the spring when it is warmer.



342. Post 4576106 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: alexeft on January 17, 2014, 09:56:44 PM

Then they'll find their way! Or so I hope!

An Newton cares, (the price violates the law of gravity).



343. Post 4579665 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: Feri22 on January 18, 2014, 10:47:51 AM



edit2: you´re also usin the same info  in your green shot analysis thread

Yeah but last time I did that analysis we moved up almost straight away!

yeah i agree, that´s the whole purpose of this bot action, to trick people into buying or at least give a secure feelin. Last time there was enough motivation around to make it happen.
Let´s see how it works this time. I have no i idea, but i´m kinda distracted by this kind of obvious market manipulation.
Would you personally recommend to anyone of your friends to buy into BTC right now?
Yes. Why? If Bitcoin will not be stopped or destroyed somehow, it won't matter if you bought at 600 or 800. I would say them it is the best gamble bet ever - you win nothing or in few years you will maybe become milionare. And now...you wrote it will be on stamp 400-500...you have balls to back it with 1 BTC bet (i already asked and you ignore it)or are you just another troll waiting to get on ignore lists?


Can fonzie provide an example of an investment that is not "manipulated"?
The DOW index has been pumped by the FED for the last handful of years at the expense of the treasury, and don't even start with bonds.
Real Estate? Gold?  What isn't manipulated?
If bots doing microtrades is scary, stay away from every equity on any stock exchange.
The high speed trading algos used there would burn MTGOX to the ground.



344. Post 4579807 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: Ducky1 on January 17, 2014, 09:06:02 AM
Realy, it sucks. Strong resistance upwards. Strong support downwards, resulting in tiny movements.

Finally the stability bitcoin needs to be used as a currency.

LOL, keep in mind, some invoicing is NET 30.
If we are still in this band for a couple 30 day periods in a row, we can call it stability.
Even with the last few days, we have a beta that swamps any currency.



345. Post 4650514 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 21, 2014, 07:04:44 PM
I'm trying to understand this.  Off-putting, how?
Too much effort in convincing people to invest in Bitcoin, rather than to use it.

"Look at how many millions you could make by investing  bitcoins" instead of

"Look at how many cents you could save by buying a toaster with bitcoins instead of a credit card."

A sure sign that an investment is a scam is when its TV ad shows a smug man on a luxury boat with three girls on each side.  Renting a storefront next to NYSE is not as bad, but is going in that direction, IMHO.


I haven't seen that advert, but it is likely not to far away.  Next bubble for sure.

As for the storefront next to NYSE?  Consider what a wise man once said:  “Those who are well have no need of a physician..."
I can think of few places with a higher concentration of "the sick" as regards bitcoin than next to the NYSE.  It is a great place for an education facility.

More often I find myself trying to convince people not to invest, but instead to accept.
Let the Winklevoss and Second Market folks suggest investing.  Most everyone I interact on the topic of Bitcoin is engaged in the same process, "accept not invest".  

The point where investment becomes a suggestion is when a newbie tells me that they want to start mining.  That has to be offset against the opportunity cost of buying the bitcoin from someone or else there is no place to start a discussion of ROI from their fiat vs crypto position.

I would be curious as to what you all think of as a good activity as regards the communication/education/marketing/advertising/propaganda spectrum.  I suspect there may be some who might consider any mention of it as a bad thing?

JorgeStolfi, what would you see as the right message to be giving in regards Bitcoin?



346. Post 4650580 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):

Quote from: nanobtc on January 21, 2014, 09:01:50 PM
I consider Napster is a good partial comparison.

It's a disruptive technology, there's been a lot of them. How many thousands of years did man use horses/carts/whatever to move stuff? Cars and trains changed all of that, presumably for the better.

The internet? I've been online since 1981, but only since the turn of the millennium or so has it done these things (America-centric view):

Nearly killed the postal service via email. There's been a postal service in USA longer than there's been a USA.
Newspapers and magazines? Adapt or die.
Greedy record companies? Ten years ago they were screaming that 'digital downloads' will kill the record industry. Now Walmart and Amazon have 99 cent music downloads.
Greedy movie companies? They wailed about piracy, but years later Netflix and Hulu are doing very well.

Bitcoin may not make Money 1.0 obsolete, but could very well change many parts of it forever.

Napster is one of the inspirations Satoshi Nakamoto drew upon in the formulation of the Bitcoin solution to the Byzantine General's problem.



347. Post 4651425 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 21, 2014, 09:26:20 PM
I haven't seen that advert, but it is likely not to far away.  Next bubble for sure.

Sorry I wasn't clear: I haven't seen such ads for Bitcoin yet (except here in this thread 8-).

what would you see as the right message to be giving in regards Bitcoin?

It is hard to answer, since I am still skeptical about the chances of success - for cryptocoins in general, and for Bitcoin in particular.

One essential thing that cannot do harm is to convince more merchants to accept international payments in cryptocoins.  (I do not see any advantage for domestic payments, except perhaps for very small amounts.)

However that will require efficient, reliable and trustworthy exchanges.  It is not helpful if a merchant has to wait 3 months to get the money out of MtGOX, ou get his bitcoins snatched by the FBI.  That in turn will require regulation by the local governments, disclosure and independent auditing, just as in stock markets.

Beware that credit card charges are usually a small part of the extra cost of international purchases.  The main item, at least here in Brazil, are the customs taxes (like 40% or more depending on the item).  Not to mention the delay and hassle of having to fetch the merchandise through customs, warranty limitations, risk of item being stolen, etc..  For these reasons, I suspect that most people will continue buying imported goods in the domestic market, rather than make direct purchases.

A pretty good answer to an admittedly hard question.
Any reasonable person ought be skeptical about the chances of success of a novel notion, especially one that is bound to be on the receiving end of significant barricades by entrenched powers.

Consider however:
From the merchant's perspective, every bitcoin transaction is beneficial.  It lowers the cost of sale vis-a-vis credit, debit, or any other form of electronic funds transfer with the exception of point-of-sale cash (which has a different set of costs in regards to physical security roughly equivalent to the digital security needs of bitcoin commerce.

The assumption of required regulations is not universally accepted.  A Caveat Emptor solution is equally viable.  There is no necessary state interest in regulation for regulation's sake.  There is no state backing, and no state liability for loss.  Bitcoin can fail and there is no political cost, so no state has a need to protect it or its users.  Consumer protection ought not be enforced where it is neither needed nor wanted.  To do otherwise creates a "protection racket".



348. Post 4669782 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on January 22, 2014, 06:36:06 PM
I'm a moon citizen, so SHOTR and get a MAGRIN KALL after this:



So the fair value for Jan 2014 is somewhere between US$180 and US$18000 per BTC?  Hard to argue with that.



349. Post 4670246 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on January 22, 2014, 07:05:36 PM
I'm a moon citizen, so SHOTR and get a MAGRIN KALL after this:



So the fair value for Jan 2014 is somewhere between US$180 and US$18000 per BTC?  Hard to argue with that.

We run 100x in a year and not going to crash. So, I guess every price is fair for BTC.
100x?  Pump much? Smiley
As a user I'd be happier with 2x-6x with lower highs and higher lows.  As an investor, CCMF.



350. Post 4673090 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 22, 2014, 09:29:58 PM
I guess maybe you already knew all this about what Bitcoin is, and what it can be,

I believe I know enough about the positive arguments, and in general I do not dispute them.

Unfortunately there are negative or highly uncertain arguments and I have still to see good answers to them. "Selling" articles like Mark's generally avoid them.

The risk of bitcoins being stolen (possibly en masse) by hackers is an example.  
Negligible compared to the risks of credit card fraud.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 22, 2014, 09:29:58 PM
Bitcoin is only one cryptocoin.  Why should it be the one to survive?
Survival until when?  Why only one?  Its 75th in the M1 rank now.  It may not survive, but is better suited to do so than half the world's currencies today.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 22, 2014, 09:29:58 PM
Non-cancellation may be good for merchants (especially dishonest ones) but is bad for customers.  
Customers and Merchants share this interest.  It is pricing determinant in aggregate.
What is important here is the choice.  Pay more with consumer protection or less without.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 22, 2014, 09:29:58 PM
Governments can ban, restrict, or heavily tax cryptocoins if it suits them.
They can also blow up the world many times over.  What me worry? YOLO!

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 22, 2014, 09:29:58 PM
What will prevent banks and Wall Street from taking control of Bitcoin?
You and me and that guy over there.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 22, 2014, 09:29:58 PM
How could the value of a bitcoin be stabilized enough for merchants who thrive on 2% profit?
It doubles their profit to 4% by instant conversion to cash, and more than that if they use Bitpay, and opt for the payroll elements which let them pay their workers with it.  The business only accepts as much of the risk as they want to accept.  There are more than a few of us eager to take that risk for them that are more comfortable with that position.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 22, 2014, 09:29:58 PM

And so on...


These are all very good and valid points, and you may not like my answers, but they work for a growing percentage of folks.   As they improve, so will that percentage.



351. Post 4673195 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on January 22, 2014, 09:19:18 PM
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1vvfxz/google_confirms_their_payments_team_is_working_to/

update looks promising... and google turns everything in to goldddd

I hope they hurry, my turn to buy Google Glass has come up.  I'm not sure I want it, but if I do get it, I'd like to pay with bitcoin.



352. Post 4673629 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: xyzzy099 on January 22, 2014, 10:04:38 PM
Almost every point you have quoted here with my name is not anything I said.  Please edit it and attribute it correctly, thanks.
Done.
Thank you for the kind request to correct myself, always appreciated.



353. Post 4688945 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

We taped the rehearsal, this is pre-pre release:
https://soundcloud.com/newliberty-dollar/16-usbs



354. Post 4694579 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 23, 2014, 06:29:40 PM

Many Bitcoin users will just replenish their BTC when making a purchase on these sites too, if they are still wanting to hold as much coins as possible.

Overstock might be surprised at how much new business they get when bitcoin goes up significantly. Buying stuff may be the best way to take profits from a tax avoidance standpoint. I'm planning a whole bunch of purchases myself.

That, plus anyone knows how much coinbase/bitpay charge merchants to process btc? If it's lower than 3%? credit cards charge merchants will embrace it with both hands as it bumps up their profit margins. Once wall st sees that there's $ to be made and wider adoption they won't sit on side lines.

bitpay is 1% ( this includes currency conversion, its unbelieveable! )

Less if you use their flat fee options.  All you can process...



355. Post 4694648 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 23, 2014, 06:46:40 PM
It'll be interesting when OS's suppliers also start accepting BTC and they won't need to cash out. For every $100,000/day get's trapped in the bitcoin system with no cashout, it supports a price increase of $27/BTC.  

this would lead to a monumental bubble of all bubbles

I would be happier when they offer it as a payroll option to their employees.  Suppliers taking it is a little bit good, employees taking it is a lot good.  Much more buzz, it provides a greater competitive advantage for o.co and will lead to better employees, more savings, swifter adoption.




356. Post 4695658 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: mah87 on January 23, 2014, 10:43:58 PM


It's fun to learn that Ripple is a "Bitcoin startup".

Ripple is the next step for crypto currencies. Believe or not but this is the future.
lol
ok

Have you even one argumetn against ripple ?
Sure, but they would be out of place in this thread.



357. Post 4696396 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: Sukrim on January 23, 2014, 11:26:33 PM
Ripple != XRP.

I understand that people are not too excited about XRP (neither am I...) - Ripple on the other hand is a great thing to have.

Find a thread where this is apropos please.



358. Post 4697443 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

I hope Dimon keeps preaching against bitcoin and that everyone that follows him sells or doesn't buy.

When comes the time to separate the quick from the dead.



359. Post 4697515 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: kurious on January 24, 2014, 12:48:06 AM

Wallet in sync, first transaction failed second (ten minutes later) arrived.

All checked out thoroughly - but I will report back when my ticket progresses beyond "Awaiting assignment to a support agent"

Try the MTGox Withdrawal Delays thread.  Its only 148 pages long instead of 4K+ but more focused on your topic Wink
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=179586.2940;topicseen



360. Post 4697608 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: hmmmstrange on January 24, 2014, 12:51:11 AM
So who is going to take BTC to 20000$ if the chinese and the big money from the bankers are no longer inerested in it?


First of all, it is the proprietorial desks of banks that would be investing in bitcoin and they certainly would publicly denounce any possible investment until they were fully invested.

Second, the big money will be coming from hedge funds and pension funds.

Those are probably waiting for Winkles to be smoothed out.
Testimony in early Feb will suggest something there.

The corporate international settlement market would benefit from "Stealth Addresses" so their competition can't research their intentions and money movements.

The mining centralization still poses some existential risks (So Jamie Dimon or whomever can't send thugs to the homes of the 3 biggest mining pools to kidnap the women and children until they rewrite enough transactions to destroy bitcoin confidence)

There are some business and technical issues to resolve ahead of the next "investment" traunch (+USD100B)

Meanwhile usage ramps up.  I am hoping 2014 is the year of the 2-4x price movement instead of 10-100x



361. Post 4698044 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: kurious on January 24, 2014, 01:09:39 AM

Wallet in sync, first transaction failed second (ten minutes later) arrived.

All checked out thoroughly - but I will report back when my ticket progresses beyond "Awaiting assignment to a support agent"

Try the MTGox Withdrawal Delays thread.  Its only 148 pages long instead of 4K+ but more focused on your topic Wink
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=179586.2940;topicseen

Thanks - but it wasn't money withdrawal - that is dreadful, I know, it was BTC - normally pretty instant...

I will just have to wait and see.

They also discuss that in the other thread.  Lots of folks have issues with it.  Coins fresher than 100 blocks get mixed in and your transaction doesn't process.  Lots of miners point their reward to their gox account so it happens more often than we'd like (or maybe its another reason, lots of discussion in the withdrawal thread).



362. Post 4698140 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 24, 2014, 01:09:43 AM


He is just whining because he missed getting his limit order on bitstamp filled.

We should be keeping a list though, and make a game out of it like bitcoin bingo...
Whenever the head of one of the largest 24 banks in the world denounces Bitcoin, you get a box checked out.  5 in a row wins.

Hey... that could actually be fun.  Who want's to buy a bitcoin bingo card?



363. Post 4888284 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: seleme on February 02, 2014, 03:30:01 AM
Altcoins are going mental.

There is a scrypt coin launched 6 hours ago, has network hashrate of 5.5 Gh and difficulty over 80 with 100 coming in next dozen blocks.

Freaky unbelievable.
Yo the hash rates of new alts grows double exponentially and then falls 1500% in 4 days. Do you even history?

This one is special, none ever gained so huge hash rate and difficulty in first few hours, it's mental.


Not sure which one you're referring to but it's been an interesting day for alt releases all around --->
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=444549.0;topicseen

It's Saturncoin, yes.

This is how you kill a new alt yes?  Mine up the difficulty and then abandon it so the blocks stop?



364. Post 4893556 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: empowering on February 02, 2014, 01:22:17 PM
No argument for me..I am expecting up as I say... just noting that the $817 level I pointed out yesterday as being a potential resistance/pivot/support  level has indeed done so for the past 12 hours baring minor dips out but not out of the channels...  I am going to continue to track the pivots and levels I have posted and see how they continue to play out... as a bit o fun

LOL... u guessed 20 numbers between 725-991, added "-ish" to those numbers, called this a "channel" and now claim victory that the price hovered around one of your "-ish" guesses for 3 hours. On top of that you said "i expect it to go up but it could go sideways and here are some lower prices in case it falls."

Quick, sign me up for your newsletter, Nostradamus. Care to give us another $250 range guess in quatrain?

Oh dear , I am sorry
Thicker skin please.  Welcome to the internet.



365. Post 4894186 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: empowering on February 02, 2014, 02:38:21 PM
No argument for me..I am expecting up as I say... just noting that the $817 level I pointed out yesterday as being a potential resistance/pivot/support  level has indeed done so for the past 12 hours baring minor dips out but not out of the channels...  I am going to continue to track the pivots and levels I have posted and see how they continue to play out... as a bit o fun

LOL... u guessed 20 numbers between 725-991, added "-ish" to those numbers, called this a "channel" and now claim victory that the price hovered around one of your "-ish" guesses for 3 hours. On top of that you said "i expect it to go up but it could go sideways and here are some lower prices in case it falls."

Quick, sign me up for your newsletter, Nostradamus. Care to give us another $250 range guess in quatrain?

Oh dear , I am sorry
Thicker skin please.  Welcome to the internet.

I will continue to see if the pivots and SP/RS levels get hit and maybe post a highly condensed 1 line update or something as they either do or do not get hit

Very cool, thanks for sharing. Always appreciate concise TA.  I used to do programming for William O'Neil in the 90's for the institutional investor products so have a long interest in TA, though fundamentals (and news) rule when they are present. 
And remember that on the internet the 1000 that will agree with you will silently nod and say nothing, and the 10 that don't will comment.



366. Post 4950221 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: kurious on February 05, 2014, 09:37:37 AM
If an exchange's outstanding obligations (the sum of its client's account balances, plus pending bills etc.) are more than its assets (furniture, cash in bank, and coins in wallet), why would anyone want to buy it?

Reputation (lol), contacts/customers and a platform that has been mostly proven and is up-and-running.

There may be buyers for their physical assets including computer hardware and software.  That may be worth a couple million US$ at most. However, no one will want to inherit their client accounts, since they are not assets but debts. I would guess that the sum of all account balances (coins and cash that they owe to their clients) is much more  than 100 million US$.  Do they have that much in their bank and wallet?

I have pennies in my account. If a credible operator took over, there would be tens of thousands in it. I am not alone by a long shot. We would be trading, generating commissions and fees. We only left because we had to. There is still a big demand for an exchange other than stamp that can handle big volume. it would be a tremendous opportunity for someone who could recapitalize Gox. Recapitalization will take only a few million. Gox could be a billion dollar company if the operator got his act together.


+1

Rover was bought by BMW with massive debts and they only wanted the Mini brand. VW bought Skoda, which was considered a joke at the time.  Gox is still the legacy 'headline exchange' that the media uses for the actual benchmark price when an ATH is hit.

It would be recoverable very quickly and the cash in need only be enough for sufficient liquidity and a guarantee of safe withdrawal.

I always traded there rather than Stamp until recently, even though Stamp was my first exchange.

In BTC things move so fast I think this is absolutely right - Gox would be back real fast.   Imagine if money stepped in, and promised secure withdrawals.

Western Union should buy Gox.  It would give them both a future.
WU has all the registrations and certifications worldwide to deal with the existing structure.
From a business perspective it is an easy deal, but not likely to happen for social reasons.



367. Post 4977056 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):

Quote from: MatTheCat on February 06, 2014, 03:31:07 PM
if you take the time to read the article, you'd see that it would be around a 4% premium.. Smiley

edit: oh nice you sroted it out Smiley

If we are talking about the typical Western Union customer who deals in cash, it is more like an 8% premium, and then someone has to take that on the chin again at the other side of the world.

Considerably worse rate than Western Union.

Also, the premium on bitcoin in those "other parts of the world" are likely to be pretty good in favor of those to whom the bitcoin is sent.  Especially so in places where there is economic difficulty.



368. Post 4998044 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.04h):

Quote from: hdbuck on February 07, 2014, 02:08:40 PM
didn't quite reach my bids. hope that wasn't my last chance to buy low!

Still a breddy gud price on stamp now i'd say
How in the heck is $730 a good price? It's a whopping 18% above the bottom of $619 just a few hours ago. That's ridiculous. It's further from the bottom than it is from where it fell from, during a downtrend.

Last time when it crashed to 380-450, the 630-650 was still a damn good price to buy
That was the initial crash, which is always a huge trading opportunity. During that time the long TA indicators are still pointing upwards. Now they are downwards, indicating that this is likely the first step of a downtrend.

i kinda agree, the only question is, at what point shall we short back? 780?

Short back Western Union, Paypal?  Now is as good a time as any.



369. Post 5005872 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.04h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 07, 2014, 06:25:08 PM
If "the oldest and once largest" Bitcoin exchange were to fold, hundreds if not thousands of people would probably lose tens of millions of dollars.

Learn to math.
1K x 10M = 10B = more than the value of all bitcoin.
Is your claim that gox has all the coins?



370. Post 5041175 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):

Quote from: TooDumbForBitcoin on February 09, 2014, 07:22:14 PM
Quote
Banks and users can choose to only deal with addresses that are "clean" with some identity tied to it.

Then block-reward coins will have a different values then circulated coins.  
This is already occurred.  Fresh coins never spent can be sold for more.  Never having been exposed to a shipping address or any transaction, there are those today that may seek these above all others.



371. Post 5058254 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: stompix on February 10, 2014, 03:58:08 PM
Bitstamp is back to the niveau before the Gox news Smiley

Feels like the end of the DarkAges. Smiley
Should we stop using the term Gox and replace it with Clown ?

Or go back to MagicTheGatheringOnlineeXchange



372. Post 5061366 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: fonzie on February 10, 2014, 06:23:40 PM
There was not nearly enough bid depth to sustain those prices. Two exchanges (finex, BTC-E) got wiped out with a single order.
Many trustworthy. Let´s say some sociopath basement guy with 300k+BTC can do this again a few more times, just for the lulz if he wants.
Keep on hodling Hodlers  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Not in your wildest fantasy.

There is exactly one person in that situation, he is not selling, and never has.



373. Post 5063797 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: Equus on February 10, 2014, 08:49:46 PM
anybody else is unable to withdraw BTC from btc-e?
Is this real life?

Is this just fantasy?

Caught in a landslide, No escape from reality.

Open your eyes
Look up to the skies and see........GOX turned everyone over

I'm just a poor boy ...                 again now that Gox has my coins.

Easy come, easy go
Bought high, sodl low
Anyway the wall falls, doesn't really matter to me.



374. Post 5071444 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: shmadz on February 11, 2014, 04:46:41 AM

Always keep in mind that this is an experiment.

And its in beta...  RC-0.9.
Software is never really done until at least version 3.1



375. Post 5071678 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: deeplink on February 11, 2014, 05:15:37 AM
Software is never really done until at least version 3.1

Like Windows 3.1

And DOS 3.1



376. Post 5092236 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Quote from: fotosonics on February 12, 2014, 02:31:59 AM
Lasky: “Let’s be frank, a lot more money has been laundered through large banks than has been laundered through virtual currency.”

The real money laundering folks laugh at bitcoin.  Too small, too open.
They use the banks, where "paper trails" are shreddable, and people can be bought.
The blockchain is open and buying it is more expensive than all the money they could launder with it.
That as much as anything else was Satoshi's design genius.



377. Post 5092680 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Quote from: creekbore on February 12, 2014, 03:18:53 AM
I'm wondering with regard to the malleability issue, having read both Glen Maxwell's interview and http://falkvinge.net/2014/02/11/the-embarrassing-fact-mtgox-left-out-of-their-press-release/ whether this issue wasn't on anyone's radar until Gox (stupidly) made it global news.

That is, are the issues at Stamp and elsewhere the work of 'hackers'/attackers who have been alerted to the issue but before Monday had no idea.
no
"hackers" have been aware of the issue for quite a while and almost never get their news from the "news"



378. Post 5308847 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.16h):

The mtgox problem isn't solvency, so much as it is competency.



379. Post 5310277 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.16h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 23, 2014, 02:28:28 AM
Jorge

go buy a bitcoin.

"It might make sense just to get some in case it catches on" - Satoshi Nakamoto 01/17/2009



380. Post 5484114 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: ChrisML on March 03, 2014, 03:30:48 PM
I am happy when it passes $640. Thats it.

That would be the mark it passes the left shoulder on the reverse H&S.  Otherwise, just more consolidation.



381. Post 5639940 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: oda.krell on March 11, 2014, 12:36:48 PM
the simplistic (a.k.a. retarded) battle cry of the libertarian/armchair-anarchist in here seems to be "kill the state", not "reduce the state to its optimal level".

Let me put it differently: I'd be more than happy to discuss in which areas, in which countries, for this and that reason, the state has taken over more control than it should have. I however laugh at the notion that a complete removal of the state would somehow lead to a guaranteed improvement of our current living conditions.

The crypto-anarchists might suggest that much of what is currently government might be replaced by mathematics.
To that end, it is less "kill the state" and more "obsolete the state".
To the extent that effort is successful, it may "reduce the state to its optimal level".



382. Post 5693615 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: freebit13 on March 14, 2014, 12:15:34 PM
UK only  Sad but the guy has a load of other vids Smiley Thanks.
VPN bro. Its worth a watch.
Seriosly, fuck this geofencing shit! Why do I need to bother with proxies and shit? I hope those media companies die in a fire. Fuck! Even if I lived there, I would not see any of their adverts, because that shit is blocked. Not cool, man.
Its the BBC, so there arent any ad's, thats kinda the point - the brits pay tv tax for it, so why should anyone else get to watch it for free who hasnt paid?  (thats the govt sentiment, not mine -before you shoot me down!)
So the taxpayers get to pay more tax to afford the extra development so that they can stop everyone else from watching what's already been paid for... Genius!
Is the UK government position that if it is made and advertised in the UK it is worthless elsewhere?  Why wouldn't they export their media and let non UK folks pay (either with ads or whatever) they don't like exporting?

Governments are so silly sometimes.



383. Post 5838904 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: EvilPanda on March 22, 2014, 12:45:48 PM
This feels like capitulation.

You can sense the despair on r/Bitcoin. the permabulls are starting to question themselves lol

everywhere, on r/bitcoin r/bitcoinmarkets and on the speculation forum here
Everybody's confused by what's happening, I certainly am.
Don't you think this whole situation is stupid?
Someone posts fake news on some Chinese blog, Chinese idiots panic, the rest of the exchanges follows, the news are confirmed to be fake, scared sheep keep selling...


Hackers sold at a higher price, and they now want the coins back.  Will you give your bitcoins to them?
This is not the first time, CNN had a news hack too.  Remember this, July 1 2013?
http://news.softpedia.com/news/CNN-s-Political-Ticker-Blog-Hacked-Fake-Bitcoin-Operator-Story-Published-364494.shtml
Fake article was published Near the end of June, the low for the that whole inter-spike period was July 7.
Since it worked so well last time, why not again.
Buying between the fake article and when the rise starts again is about as good a deal as anyone can get.



384. Post 5840611 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: arklan on March 22, 2014, 02:24:52 PM
so i've been offline the last week while moving. wtf caused the dip into the 500's? anything specific or just general movement?

China fake news precipitated this last drop.
Same thing happened in June 2013 at the bottom of the trend.  Hacked news post caused the final drop to the bottom of the market for the inter-spike interval.

Hackers want your coins.  Sell them to the hackers along with the sheeple, or call it capitulation if you like.  Its all the same to me, I'll buy them along with the hackers and thank you for them.

As you know, most of the dips and bear trends are stimulated by hacking activity, DDoS, and cracked exchanges.




385. Post 5840624 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: threecats on March 22, 2014, 03:15:48 PM
Fuck me, i blame it on those 350ug acid tabs, but i´m feelin bullish for BTC again.
I hope i won´t get burned for all that love about BTC(price).  Cheesy
Just bought 30 new coins.
If we go below 490$ i will never post again, promised.

better get your last posts in quick bud : -)

riiiight, because the price of BTC in USD depends on the amount of micrograms of LSD that fonzie takes?



386. Post 5841084 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

During the 2013 trough, the absolute bottom was about 2 weeks after the news hacking.
I suspect that buyers over the next week and a half will be among the best of 2014.



387. Post 5961991 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: fonzie on March 29, 2014, 03:25:20 AM
Does anyone has a explanation why we did have a 15-25$ spread between the western and the asian exchanges in the last 2-3 weeks?
Haven´t we been mostly equal before?

More people selling in China than elsewhere where more coins are probably being bought up?  Just a guess.

There should be at least a theoretical possibility for doin arbitrage between the exchanges which would remove almost all of the difference after a few days autmatically.

Theory and practice are the same in theory, but different in practice.
Do it yourself if you think there is money there.



388. Post 5962354 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

This dump has weak volume compared to the last two, and seems to be running out of steam.



389. Post 5962537 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: surfer43 on March 29, 2014, 05:00:06 AM
More adoption

<scam removed>


"Grown with Love. Powered by Bitcoin"

Please stop spreading this scam.

I think he saw this:

Quote from: BBmodBB on March 29, 2014, 04:29:41 AM
420>>>next support $250 then we will see the wild freekin' west once again! =) ~jmho!

And thought that the "420 support" was inviting him?



390. Post 5967267 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

You know the amount of time it takes to move new money to bitstamp.
You know when the price moved down.
You can expect new money to be attracted to the sale on bitcoins at bitstamp and when.



391. Post 6070020 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: Pruden on April 04, 2014, 02:51:23 PM
Quote
Hey Adam and boys,
whats happening in BTCland?

Saw Gox bit the bullet but didn't expect to see this much carnage.
Someone give me a quick update.
China has been banning Bitcoin for the last four months. Current deadline is 15th April.

Also, every long-term technical indicator is going down: daily 200 sma, weekly 21 ema...

Fundamental indicators? number of transactions has turned south for the first time since December.

The only things holding us are the $400 double (december and february) bottom, that there is not much selling from BIT, and the fact that volume is high though inconspicuous due to exchange market fragmentation.

And eBay now has a category for "virtual currency".

Best daily updates:

http://www.moneyandtech.com/

Every day.

Start there, then ask about specifics.



392. Post 6070199 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: nanobrain on April 04, 2014, 03:05:06 PM

Yes Sir!

Btw...are you really John Gresham's lawyer?

LOL!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gresham's_law



393. Post 6082696 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: fonzie on April 05, 2014, 01:08:16 PM


The hope it goes down for you is so strong, that the line curves back in time.



394. Post 6087959 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Clearly 1a starting from nov.



395. Post 6090337 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

TA without using volume metrics is fail.  If you just look at price you see less than half of the picture.



396. Post 6103272 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote

Edit: Also MtGOX is fact and no FUD. China news right now are a bit FUDdish but will soon proven to be rock solid facts.

Is you claim that there are big bitcoin investors that don't yet know about emptygox and china issues, or that the situations are worse than anyone knows?
Otherwise the market has already reacted to these.  Its in the price today.



397. Post 6126027 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: seldon on April 08, 2014, 01:05:20 PM
Have noticed that Kraken never seem to be effected by any of these bullshit issues and come out on top everytime yet their volume is still so low Huh

Kraken is top a noch exchange, i would say it's the better out there, they only thing they are missing is volume. They where not affected by the malleability issue also.

Indeed, everything to do with Kraken so far was perfect. Maybe volume is low, because volume is low? Meaning, they are unattractive for bigger investors as they could not act without giant slippage.

Because Whales get eaten by Krakens?




398. Post 6134114 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Mine pool owners might also act under coercion.
Damaging things may be done willfully or not, the vulnerability is simply the concentrated power to do them.  Self interest is a necessary protection but not a sufficient one.



399. Post 6141877 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

More retail merchants may be bearish short term and only bullish later.
More users = bullish
More spend-ability = bearisn

More spend-ability ultimately leads to more users, but that lags.



400. Post 6170236 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: TERA on April 11, 2014, 09:48:08 AM


I don't know, this chart is not really screaming reversal. A major support was just broken on LOW volume on bitstamp and everything is still being driven out of china. The only thing fueling this is misinformation and hype over a statement that a banker made and people think it means the bank closures will stop but they are wrong.

Yes, not screaming reversal, the volume was pretty thin, good observation.  A drop-bounce on such thin volume is sort of weird, as if trying to prove the "bitcoin is too volatile" mantra.
For volume, the Dec dip was BTC-e/gox, the Feb was Huobi/BTC-china, and this was mostly on bitstamp.
There is distribution on bitstamp and accumulation on China exchanges, so this Chinese ban stuff seems to affect sentiment outside China more than inside.
When accumulation does start, it tends to snowball, so accumulation/distribution has been a pretty reliable spike forecaster.



401. Post 6174784 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: dreamspark on April 11, 2014, 10:28:30 AM

How do you distinguish between distribution and accumulation?

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:accumulation_distrib

It is a volume weighted metric.
Volume manipulation is much more expensive to accomplish than price manipulation (except on exchanges where the transactions are free).
It tends to be a much more reliable indication of trend reversals than price, when the preponderance of trade volume is on up time rather than down time.
When we go down on big volume and up on small volume, its just whales setting the price up for the next dump.  When we go up on volume, whales aren't going to dump but are going to wait for the run to go as far as it can before we sell.
This indicated the November climb in October, and the 2013 spring rally almost 2 months ahead.
These early warnings are things we need in the US especially because we have no real exchange and it takes so long to move fiat money around unless you are rippling it.



402. Post 6191049 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: dreamspark on April 12, 2014, 10:16:47 PM
Im more optimistic but Im waiting until the exchanges actually lose their bank accounts and the 15th-18th passes nothings really changed in the last few days other than breaking the previous lows. This could easily be retested on any China FUD
China is accumulating, while bitstamp is still selling.
The China news is already baked in to the price so unless they start executing people for having bitcoins, the only FUD you are going to see is rehashing old news.



403. Post 6192218 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

double bottom on huobi, new low on bitstamp.
China likes bitcoin more than most places, fiat on an exchange there is going to be worth more than fiat off an exchange when it gets hard to deposit.



404. Post 6252208 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: Bitcoin_is_here_to_stay on April 16, 2014, 04:56:54 PM
Still waiting for 3070 on Huobi

BTC-e already in $4xx, looks like other will follow - sooner or later.

And you know this is true, because the previous two times that prices went below 400 this year it was at 700 within the week and that sort of thing just never happens 3 times in a row.



405. Post 6254481 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: uhoh on April 16, 2014, 06:16:55 PM
Just in case you guys aren't watching Reddit:

Second Market Exchange is now LIVE!

https://www.secondmarket.com/bitcoin-trading

25BTC transaction minimum.


Ahead of schedule.

Not really the exchange as we are familiar with. I expected more than that.

This is not the exchange they're talking about, this is just how they get their coins for the BIT, its been up for a while now. Incidentally, they're very fast and professional. Great way of selling a large amount, a wire from a large registered broker looks better than "Bitstamp Slovenie"

You are showing the transfer to people with whom you spend the lower amount BIT pay than Bitstamp because some vendor will give you discounts?  Or is this because the lower payout rate of BIT means you have to find some way to justify to someone that you sold under the market rate so you explain how good the wire transfer "looks"?



406. Post 6357824 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: bigdave on April 23, 2014, 04:09:03 PM
Surely if we continue dropping we will hit a point where all the bulls will start mass buying and hopefully drive the price back up.

Some people think that this is exactly what happens daily, minute by minute every day...



407. Post 6494106 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: infofront on May 01, 2014, 03:06:02 PM
Not if I was on that jury.
"undue" is subjective. How were you going to buy bitcoins if they weren't for sale? If I'm a firefighter (and I am), I can't get credit for putting out a fire when I put oily rags next to a heater. Placing the ad is encouraging and enabling the "crime". If I as a private citizen did it, could be prosecuted for soliciting, then when a policemen does the same thing, he is entrapping. Fucking cops need to understand their job is crime prevention primarily and secondarily to assist in the solving and prosecution of crimes. Turning people into criminals so they can have someone to arrest is itself a criminal act.

So let's say I go onto a website to buy cocaine. I see an ad for cocaine, and contact the seller to buy it. How was I in any way pressured or entrapped to buy cocaine? I clearly was seeking out a way to buy cocaine, and almost certainly would have broken the law regardless of whether that person was an undercover cop. Now replace "cocaine" with "bitcoins" and it is the exact same situation. You absolutely did not go to localbitcoins with the express intent to not buy bitcoins, just like you didn't go onto that drug website to not buy cocaine.

There are some gray areas regarding entrapment. This is absolutely not one of them. Even if the ad was sent to me directly regarding the sale, as long as they didn't keep hounding me after I said no, it would not be entrapment.
I think this goes back to what Billy said earlier: it's not a cops job to be going around putting up ads for cocaine. It's their job to prevent crime, not incite/entice crime.

That is a valid opinion, but not the way the law currently sees it.

Indeed.

Forfeiture laws create the incentive for LEO to entice folks to commit crimes so that they can seize their property.  The LEO department gets to keep a significant percentage of the proceeds.  Some of this goes to expense accounts which directly affect the quality of life of the LEOs.  

Our laws have created law enforcement that is in the business of creating crime.

... oh yea... look at those walls...



408. Post 6494686 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on May 01, 2014, 04:11:42 PM
This guy is really loading up on coins without moving the price... makes me very optimistic.

Optimistic that we won't run out of sellers?

The net purchase of the last 3-4 days has not overcome the divestment of a week ago.
So if the buyer is the dumper from last week, he has managed to buy the dumped coins back more cheaply.
Basic accumulation/distribution metrics at play, c.f. William O'Neil.



409. Post 6510667 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 02, 2014, 04:11:51 PM
I have to admit that it looks like Stamp is moving more on its own the last 2 days or so. Maybe people finally realize following China is just stupid.

There may be some folks that would rather not do their trading within the China borders due to the legal environment.



410. Post 6513972 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on May 02, 2014, 06:00:49 PM

Explanation

Straight lines.....



411. Post 6865165 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: lyth0s on May 21, 2014, 11:58:10 PM

Yes.  Jorge thinks bitcoin is a dangerous ponzi and makes an argument there by first presenting a stawman argument in the form of an extreme false dichotomy.

Is this news?  He has seemed fairly transparent in his views of bitcoin.

I personally think he is wrong.

But who knows?

Statements like the one quoted below get me everytime. Isn't this statement also true for every central bank fiat currency, IE the USD? The USD is only worth what we believe its worth, in that what we are willing to trade for the $1.

Quote
The fact is that bitcoins have no value in themselves : they are only worth what people believe they are worth .

If anyone has better insight as to why or how this statement is true for bitcoin, but not for fiat. Please, please let me know. I'm awaiting enlightenment Smiley

the bank note is a promise

A promise of what though? Only that they would give you a different US dollar for it?

A promise that they will tax you.



412. Post 6897776 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Breakout needs volume, or its not a breakout.



413. Post 6897891 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

http://education.investors.com/investors-corner/430830-beware-of-low-volume-at-the-breakout.htm

Look for volume that's at least 50% above average.
Especially in downtrends



414. Post 6898061 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: rpietila on May 23, 2014, 04:54:09 PM
Breakout needs volume, or its not a breakout.

Because the exchange situation is particularly precarious, perhaps the volume is not in the exchanges.

Also, the downtrend was unusually long, so the sellers were thoroughly exhausted as a result. In the beginning of the breakout, the advancing armies of the buyers meet no resistance, but the breakout is nevertheless real for the reason that ground is taken (although no hostages).

No Hostages!  ROFL.
(well admittedly I was already reclining so it wasn't really on the floor, but a great laugh anyhow.)



415. Post 6906169 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: darlidada on May 24, 2014, 03:59:25 AM
lol I was thinking about dumping and buying back sunday as its usually cheaper. But reading your post made me think again about it. I am a noob but my strength comes from knowing it. So I rely on you guys.

And after some more experience, you might realize how unreliable that can be.



416. Post 7108020 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: dreamspark on June 03, 2014, 12:35:51 PM
Leveraged long Finex holders, how does it feel to pay 1% interest per day?


As long as I'm in the green totally, I'm happy.
Isn't the interest rate the same if going short? I think so.

No its nothing like the rate going short, its like 100 times cheaper. How can you not know this yet trade on leverage?

How strong of an "overbought" signal is that?
I don't watch margin rates much.



417. Post 7158085 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Richy_T on June 06, 2014, 01:39:12 AM


So does a steeper incline mean more bids/asks?
 
Is this image bullish because it shows huge support or bearish because it shows huge resistance? I am used to level 2 bid/ask with stock trading just never seen a bid depth like the one posted...


You have to take the image in context. It's a bit steep on the asks at the moment. If the price has just moved, that can mean different things. At the moment, it just means there's some resistance. But many bids get moved so it doesn't necessarily mean much overall.

It's fairly boring when things are static but when things start moving, you get to see a bit of the battle that's being played out. Bidwalls being eaten for breakfast, struggles, dumps, upsets, blood, sweat, tears, urine...

When both sides deepen as they have recently, it usually means there's a fight brewing.

Yes, when on the move, the side with the steeper wall tends to be the direction of movement.



418. Post 7158132 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 06, 2014, 01:49:04 AM


just sayin...

DUH!

wtf did you think was gonna happen?

The Fed was chartered in 1913, arguably it wasn't the reserve currency for a while, and also arguably IMF SDRs should have their time in there, but is really just a basket of other national fiats currently.

And up until the last half century, each of these was merely a proxy for gold.

But... other than that yeah baby, CCMF



419. Post 7158155 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on June 06, 2014, 01:53:54 AM


So does a steeper incline mean more bids/asks?
 
Is this image bullish because it shows huge support or bearish because it shows huge resistance? I am used to level 2 bid/ask with stock trading just never seen a bid depth like the one posted...


You have to take the image in context. It's a bit steep on the asks at the moment. If the price has just moved, that can mean different things. At the moment, it just means there's some resistance. But many bids get moved so it doesn't necessarily mean much overall.

It's fairly boring when things are static but when things start moving, you get to see a bit of the battle that's being played out. Bidwalls being eaten for breakfast, struggles, dumps, upsets, blood, sweat, tears, urine...

When both sides deepen as they have recently, it usually means there's a fight brewing.

Yes, when on the move, the side with the steeper wall tends to be the direction of movement.

Other way around. Even moving, it is generally towards the side with a steeper incline. (More asks/bids)


Edit: looks like that was what you said..maybe? Disregard then

Yes, thank you for restating it.  Price tends to move toward the steeper wall as it takes time for the orders to fill in behind the movement.



420. Post 7280530 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: Bhosted on June 12, 2014, 09:50:15 PM
What happened to Innocent until proven guilty? How can the government sell personal property until the case is adjudicated ? This is still America?  

USAmerica has a Legal Tender law...



421. Post 7287138 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Current Pool distribution:
https://blockchain.info/pools?timespan=24hrs

Eligius under attack from someone with hash power to waste.
https://bitcointalk.org/?topic=441465.msg7282674#msg7282674



422. Post 7287249 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 13, 2014, 07:44:14 AM
Regarding silk road coins, if you had around $1.809.000 and bough BTC for it, would you sell them straight away? I don't think so. Anyone buying those coins will be longterm holders.
I have this notion (please correct me) that government auctions of other kinds of property, such as cars and houses, generally are closed well below the respective market prices.

It seems that the people who bid at government auctions usually include "professionals" who buy only to resell.  Those people place bids significantly below market price; if there are no higher bidders, they have made their day; otherwise they just retrieve their deposit and move on to the next auction.  People who are not "professionals" tend to be scared away by the bureaucratic requirements and the large deposit.

Since there will be some delay between sending the payment and receiving the coins, the bidders will also have to factor into their bids the likelihood of the market price falling in that interval and then taking months to recover. 

In summary, it is by no means assured that the auction will close above market. I rather expect the opposite.


The limited buyer group tends to insure that auctions go below market.
Unless these coins are more valuable than others.
The bigger the buying audience, the better the auction pricing and closer to market.



423. Post 7305888 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: justusranvier on June 13, 2014, 10:14:20 PM
Why the HELL someone with Petahash needs pool at all? They should have been mining solo since start.
BitFury/CEX/GHash are all the same. They are three branches of the same vertically-integrated operation.

Rather than sell their ASIC chips wholesale, they use CEX to attract retail buyers and point all that hashing power at their own pool.

Perhaps the move provides a false sense of security as mining control remains centralized.  GHash will likely attract others due to the perceived risk reduction.



424. Post 7337169 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 16, 2014, 01:27:32 AM
Couldn't they just "destroy" [the SR bitcoins], as they do for illegal stuff like drugs ? (send them to a random address and not store the private key)
The fact that they sell them instead of destroying them has a strong meaning.
Bitcoins by themselves were never declared illegal, and by allowing trade etc the USG has already made that clear.  Moreover the IRS has already declared them property with value (hence taxable), so they could not destroy them -- they would be destroying valuable public property.

That is a point that people seem to miss: the philosophy behind govenment auctions.  Any seized property belongs, by right, to the US citizens as a whole; the government is supposed to be merely its custodian.  The sale of seized property exchanges it for dollars; these dollars then belong to the US citizens as a whole, and therefore are collected by the Treasury or other government branch, suposedly to be used for the public good. The government's motivation for exchanging property for dollars is that dollars are easier to manage and use rationally than random property.  The exchange has to be done by public auction to ensure that no citizen gets an undue advantage over other citizens.

You should know better.  Asset sales get outsourced.

Such corrupt.
Big grabs.

This from the Madoff asset sales, which had even more spotlights on it at the time than bitcoin does now:

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/14/nyregion/auditors-find-chaos-in-us-marshals-asset-sales-record-keeping.html?_r=0

Quote
The lack of basic records, including final sale data, made it impossible to determine whether the Marshals Service properly valued or sold the assets, which sold for $1 million to $49 million, according to the report....assets were sold without public notice or competitive bidding and that Mr. Briskman assessed the value of certain assets and found buyers through his business contacts.

The thing with bitcoin is that any transfer becomes public record forever.
We get our audit.  "basic records" come built in.
If only all liquid assets which required auditing were on a block chain...
He thought he could get away with this scam, no jail time, because dollars.



425. Post 7378153 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: TERA on June 16, 2014, 12:27:08 PM
This coming from the guy who analyzes charts and daytrades more than anyone lol.
I know that I'm a trader but I acknowledge that Bitcoin is about much more than trading. Underdog on the other hand, makes posts implying that every other bitcoin participant is a trader so everyone who is selling is doing so out of a weak trading strategy.

QFT

It is a good point you make here.  As one who is at least as much a user than a trader, the changing value of what is left over in the cashier's till is nice.  That this value improves more durably due to the volume of commerce than the volume of traders is a point that some might miss due to its authorship.



426. Post 7873654 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: dreamspark on July 16, 2014, 10:08:14 AM
For anyone who doesn't follow alts, although two days ago was better, XMR is a solid buy at the moment. Some serious money going into it.

Monero looks like great new P&D coin and you are doing here just that Smiley

Thats exactly what its not due to the emmision curve etc. Im not pumpin Im saying its a solid buy due to the general trend being reversed, someone in this thread mentioned it to me months ago and thats what got me started in it so I was grateful for that. There are lots of people in XMR who don't normally buy any alts and its one of the first coins thats not based on Bitcoin. You don't have to be interested Smiley

Monero is actually a Very interesting innovation, but the BTC/USD thread is just not the place to discuss it.



427. Post 8052098 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

The quiet before the storm...



428. Post 8153739 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: empowering on August 02, 2014, 01:54:42 PM
Pointing to the smartphone, Kurzweil says, devices like the iPhone are 100,000 times smaller than the computer that he used as an MIT student. "It is also several thousand times more powerful," he says. "It is a million times cheaper. That is a several billion-fold increase in price performance." Technology is being reduced at a rate of "100,000 in 3-D volume per decade," says Kurzweil. "That is another predictable exponential trajectory, so computers of this capability will be blood-cell size in 2030.

Phone size is increasing again.

30 Years Of Cell Phones



429. Post 8353663 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: BitChick on August 14, 2014, 05:43:21 PM
Final capitulations are the sweetest buying opportunities. You would probably never have heard of me, unless I happened to analyze the fundamentals and charts for month, before buying in at the final capitulation of 2011.

The more ppl speak like you (and the less they speak like me  Cheesy) the better, because that much closer to the bottom we are.

But real tough guys can make the decision without sentiment analysis as well as with it. I hardly knew about the forums back then, even my account is from 2012.

It is the new money that will raise the price to new levels. They are still waiting. What can you do but wait? Next room to me now, there is a guy who takes jacuzzi every day and smokes cigars. He held through the bubble, and the fall, and the capitulation (of 2011) and ever since. His friends sold out in the downtrend and said they will come back if/when the tide turns. They never did. They are probably working now.

Bitcoin does not care if you make money or not. Also I don't care. I know there are enough people in the world who understand reasonable speech, and gravitate into Bitcoin in waves. And if bitcoin is foiled, now we have Monero, so there is a real backup, vainly sought after for 2-3 years.

The waiters came to ask what I want for breakfast, and roasted liver with red wine sounded like nice. Thank you for listening.




I like what you did there, pouring oil on fire  Cheesy

I beg to disagree Smiley Casually dropping some info about your at-noon breakfast of roasted liver with wine, in the middle of a capitulation that'll cost quite a few investors dearly, is the real oil-on-fire. Which is why I got the Marie Antoinette association.

Yep.. I noticed that too... Risto can be a little bit pompously irritating from time to time - even if he may be dropping some otherwise decent data and/or historical perspective.

I think Risto's point is that we can all "eat cake" too is we just hold and don't panic (or buy during this great opportunities to do so if possible).

Maybe I am strange but I find his words quite comforting.  To be able to drink a glass of wine with no worries to what Bitcoin is doing at the present impressive, especially when it is so easy to get emotional about it.  But I am admittedly a huge fan of Risto.  Of all the people on the thread he has been the most helpful to me, and generous too. Smiley

There is NOTHING wrong with being appreciative of the contributions of Risto or anyone else for that matter, and I get your point that he may have NOT meant to be pompous in his presentation of that situation.

 NONETHELESS, he does have some flaws... especially in the hooty-tooty tone arena... from time to time...

Having said all that, I appreciate his contributions, too....  but I also think that it helps for the survival of bitcoin to have people like Risto (who have profited in the past from BTC) to invest back in to BTC in order to help build a better and stronger BTC infrastructure in order that newcomers can become acquainted and comfortable with BTC space.

If and when we have castles of our own how will people react to us? Will they think we are pompous jerks just because of that alone?  I think sometimes just being wealthy, successful, or in a different situation in life is enough to cause envy and see things that are not necessarily there, or can be construed to be that way. 

For example, I live in a pretty wealthy area in California, but would still be considered "middle class."  I find that those that are wealthy are often considered "pompous" just because they have nice houses and cars.  Some even consider my husband and I "rich" and although it seems totally ridiculous to us, think we are "snobby" because of where we live.  Of course we know in our neighborhood we are just average.  But I have learned that we see others through our own lens of our experiences and we need to step back and consider where the other person is coming from.

That said, I don't think Risto is ever really trying to be pompous.  He may have a little fun with the successes he has had and post a comment here and there about it, but I think his heart is one that wants to encourage us not to "throw in the towel" so to speak and hold on or buy more coins and try to see the big picture. He has been in this a bit longer than many of us have and has reaped the rewards that could well be ours too if we just show a little patience and self-control.

Alll  weee  is saaaaaing,   is give Bitcoin a chance.




430. Post 8353796 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: _javi_ on August 14, 2014, 06:22:09 PM
TL;DR

let´s get back to WALL OBSERVING plz  Smiley



Those are some nice walls....



431. Post 8377199 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: MrPiggles on August 16, 2014, 07:00:51 AM
Never realised how thinly traded this is.

You could move bitfinex and bitstamp up by $50 each with $2 million!!

Perhaps most exchanges are not on exchanges.



432. Post 8381866 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: sidhujag on August 16, 2014, 01:38:29 PM
Anyone else excited for Syscoin release today? Only few hours away. I had the chance of previewing the code and its def one to watch for!
Anything in particular of interest beyond there being a chance of it being open source?



433. Post 8942871 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Can you feel the squeeze?



434. Post 9106138 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on October 06, 2014, 05:25:49 PM
Reminder:

The first time we had volume this high on the daily was when SR went bust.

:^)

That's bullshit.
Both the 1200 peak and the following lows were higher.

Those were after, not first.



435. Post 9119000 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: megadeth on October 07, 2014, 05:18:26 PM
...
Technically killing Bitcoin is possible, this could be achieved by simply forcing ISPs to block the 8332 port, this will kill Bitcoin, even if you would change the port this would create two forks and confusion and incompatibility between the new and old software.... it would be a whole mess and the end of Bitcoin as you know it.

Sure about that? I ran a full node with port 8332 blocked for about a year with no problems.

blocked... and full node!!! I will assume that you don't know what you are talking about.

You can buy a static IP and have the port open on your host.

1) This is not "simple"
2) It wouldn't kill Bitcoin.
3) Experience shows the opposite effect of such action.  (Turkey tried this with twitter).

The Bitcoin killer is a better Bitcoin.



436. Post 9119016 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: mmitech on October 07, 2014, 05:20:45 PM
...
Technically killing Bitcoin is possible, this could be achieved by simply forcing ISPs to block the 8332 port, this will kill Bitcoin, even if you would change the port this would create two forks and confusion and incompatibility between the new and old software.... it would be a whole mess and the end of Bitcoin as you know it.

Sure about that? I ran a full node with port 8332 blocked for about a year with no problems.

blocked... and full node!!! I will assume that you don't know what you are talking about.

You can buy a static IP and have the port open on your host.

Edit: where will you buy it from? what part of force ISP don't you understand ?

I think you don't understand what this would require either.



437. Post 9384149 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: ParabellumLite on October 30, 2014, 03:41:29 PM
I like to think of this topic as a type of Doomclock. When it reaches 10.000 pages, Bitcoin will be decimated.
You know the original definition of decimate is killing 1/10th, yes?

Bitcoin gets decimated all the time, somehow Bitcoin is still a thing though.



438. Post 9404190 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: fonsie on November 01, 2014, 02:45:30 PM
Does anyone really doubt at this point a return to 275$?

Permabulls keep hoping, but what do they know? Wink
The real danger is not finding a new bottom from which a slow bull market can develop, that's normal,
the danger is that too many whales could panic sell below 300$ so the new bull market won't be able to
develop and we could see an extension of wave C and eventually possibly double digits. Shocked
80 $ doesn't seem impossible.

That would be awesome... I'd buy so much MOAR!!!!!1 Grin
Yeah, will also buy when it hits 80  Cheesy

Why would you do that? Wasn't btc dying? I was just in denial...
80 $ seems reasonable.

For something that's dying??
You are looking like this at the moment

Its been $80 before.
price =/= life



439. Post 9427494 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

I think it is sad that the poll uses "Halloween" to mark the day rather than "THE ANNIVERSARY OF THE SATOSHI WHITEPAPER"



440. Post 9618434 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 22, 2014, 02:29:06 AM
An article published several years ago told how Brock Pierce built a billion-dollar company that cornered the market of virtual money and other virtual goods from some computer game (IIRC, World of Warchraft).  He got partners in China who set up "mines" of  those virtual goods.  They had umpteen Chinese workers playing the game all day long, stopping only to eat and sleep on the premises.  His company collapsed when regular players of the game sued it, claiming that their gaming experience was ruined because those Chinese miners were everywhere in the game, and cared only about collecting stuff.

I just remembered that from the news. This was before Bitcoin wasn't it?

Edit: http://boingboing.net/2007/11/15/goldfarming-empire-l.html

Yes, but I was thinking of this two-part Wired article:
The Decline and Fall of an Ultra Rich Online Gaming Empire
http://archive.wired.com/gaming/virtualworlds/magazine/16-12/ff_ige?currentPage=all

A Drive Through Laurel Canyon With Brock Pierce
http://archive.wired.com/gaming/virtualworlds/magazine/16-12/ff_ige_pierce

Protest lack of democracy in China, get sent to jail and be forced to play World of Warcraft,
If you don't make your quota of Warcraft gold, you get beat up with a plastic pipe.
True story:
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/may/25/china-prisoners-internet-gaming-scam




441. Post 9631003 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Is there a post wall?



442. Post 9632336 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: hmmkay on November 23, 2014, 05:59:03 PM
10k.

Time for a new poll: how long until bitcoin reaches 10K



443. Post 9905755 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: BitAddict on December 21, 2014, 01:23:05 PM
If bitcoin was really about solving poor people problems, then it should have been distributed for free with all of them. But we all know that kind of approach would have never worked out.

Instead it will be sold to them at high prices, so all people who invested before (mostly from rich countries) can make lot of profit.

And don't get me wrong, early adopters deserve all that profit. But don't come to sell that lie about poor people, because poors will be the last ones to benefit.

Perhaps you are not understanding the effects of inflation on the poor?  By poor here, we mean the people that don't own banks and aren't the ones inflating the currency.  

When a national currency fails (as every nation's state's fiat currency eventually does) maybe rich people make or lose some money, but life is about the same.  Just get on a plane and fly somewhere else.  For the rest left behind it is a very big impact, and for the rest of their lives they will not ever forget it.



444. Post 9905766 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on December 21, 2014, 01:43:25 PM
...
This is where I am working to change this. I'm not giving bitcoins to the poor. I'm teaching them how to secure Bitcoins.

And I'm teaching them how to secure their mansions & yachts.  

Must be a busy time for you teaching "the poor" how to secure their mansions and yachts?



445. Post 9905793 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: greenlion on December 21, 2014, 01:28:39 PM
all that talk about mass adoption and price skyrocketing, especially in 3rd world countries.  

did any of you consider scenario where mass adoption leads to massive price decrease?

the more people use it to transfer value (transfer as opposed to hodl) less value it has.

Perhaps you can talk us through the precise mechanism whereby millions of people buy in to bitcoin but the price falls.

Quantity theory of money, equation of exchange, velocity increasing, ceteris parabis.

Your analysis shows how price rises with adoption not falls.
You do understand what the "Quantity theory of money" applies to don't you?
Try again?

(Or are you expecting a sudden "quantitative contraction" of all fiat?)



446. Post 9905825 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on December 21, 2014, 01:54:13 PM
If bitcoin was really about solving poor people problems, then it should have been distributed for free with all of them. But we all know that kind of approach would have never worked out.

Instead it will be sold to them at high prices, so all people who invested before (mostly from rich countries) can make lot of profit.

And don't get me wrong, early adopters deserve all that profit. But don't come to sell that lie about poor people, because poors will be the last ones to benefit.

Perhaps you are not understanding the effects of inflation on the poor?  ...

Perhaps you don't understand that the poor, almost by definition, have no savings, and live hand to mouth.
Explain how the depreciation of wealth stored as money affects the poor again?

You are missing it entirely again little lamby.
The SoV isn't so much the feature that benefits here, so much as the existential stability of the money and not having the Argentine Peso yanked out from under them.



447. Post 9905878 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: greenlion on December 21, 2014, 01:57:39 PM
all that talk about mass adoption and price skyrocketing, especially in 3rd world countries.  

did any of you consider scenario where mass adoption leads to massive price decrease?

the more people use it to transfer value (transfer as opposed to hodl) less value it has.

Perhaps you can talk us through the precise mechanism whereby millions of people buy in to bitcoin but the price falls.

Quantity theory of money, equation of exchange, velocity increasing, ceteris parabis.

Your analysis shows how price rises with adoption not falls.
You do understand what the "Quantity theory of money" applies to don't you?
Try again?

(Or are you expecting a sudden "quantitative contraction" of all fiat?)

I'm not the person with the "analysis", read what you're replying to.

What I'm saying is exactly correct and unambiguous, providing supporting information to explain the theoretical basis for the claim made by the original person quoted.

Then you do understand.  Appreciate the clarification.
As to unambiguous, you offered only bullet points without stating your conclusion or position.



448. Post 9905889 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on December 21, 2014, 01:59:40 PM
If bitcoin was really about solving poor people problems, then it should have been distributed for free with all of them. But we all know that kind of approach would have never worked out.

Instead it will be sold to them at high prices, so all people who invested before (mostly from rich countries) can make lot of profit.

And don't get me wrong, early adopters deserve all that profit. But don't come to sell that lie about poor people, because poors will be the last ones to benefit.

Perhaps you are not understanding the effects of inflation on the poor?  ...

Perhaps you don't understand that the poor, almost by definition, have no savings, and live hand to mouth.
Explain how the depreciation of wealth stored as money affects the poor again?

You are missing it entirely again little lamby.
The SoV isn't so much the feature that benefits here, so much as the existential stability of the money and not having the Argentine Peso yanked out from under them.

Wait, "existential stability" of Bitcoin, the most unstable thing calling itself a "currency" in the history of the world?! Cheesy



You have something more stable than math?

What, gold?



449. Post 9905956 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on December 21, 2014, 02:10:17 PM
Bitcoin relies on math.  So do banks.  So do random number generators.  So do shitcoins.
If you seriously need examples of things more stable than Bitcoin, there's the dollar.  And the peso, for that matter Roll Eyes

The difference being that each of the national fiats rely on a particular regional taxation and military regime and those people pulling its strings to keep those strings untangled, unbroken, and well sorted.

There is nothing more unstable than people.  You are evidence enough of that.



450. Post 9905976 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on December 21, 2014, 02:13:36 PM
On a positive note: good news about your man Von Nothaus. That was a long time coming

Thanks for this. Smiley  Yes, good, not great, but certainly good.  The judge figured out a way to "split the baby" and not do too much evil.
It was a Record Setting long time coming, longest time between conviction and sentencing in the court's history.



451. Post 9906001 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on December 21, 2014, 02:02:57 PM
The Argentine Peso was a case-study justification for Bitcoin, until Bitcoin underperformed even it Roll Eyes
If we pick an arbitrary time-frame where that is true, sure.  Can say the opposite also.

Discussing existential stability, we still have to wait a while in order to see which one is here in the end.



452. Post 9906021 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on December 21, 2014, 02:22:12 PM
Bitcoin relies on math.  So do banks.  So do random number generators.  So do shitcoins.
If you seriously need examples of things more stable than Bitcoin, there's the dollar.  And the peso, for that matter Roll Eyes

The difference being that each of the national fiats rely on a particular regional taxation and military regime and those people pulling its strings to keep those strings untangled, unbroken, and well sorted.
Lol, the dollar, which is
There is nothing more unstable than people.  You are evidence enough of that.

Over the lifespan of Bitcoin, its value has increased by 999999999%, and over the last year has tanked by ~65%.
In the same timespan, the USD has remained within 10%.
Just stop, brah.
Why, you can't handle the truth?

The USD hasn't remained within 10% of anything except the USD, which is all that it is redeemable for anyhow.



453. Post 9906056 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on December 21, 2014, 02:24:16 PM
The Argentine Peso was a case-study justification for Bitcoin, until Bitcoin underperformed even it Roll Eyes
If we pick an arbitrary time-frame where that is true, sure.  Can say the opposite also.

Discussing existential stability, we still have to wait a while in order to see which one is here in the end.

>existential stability

What does that mean?  Another meaningless phrase coined by coiners?
You could probably figure it out from the rest of the sentence, but there is a hint for those without English language skills or dictionaries:  The first part of the word sounds like "exist".



454. Post 9906069 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on December 21, 2014, 02:29:34 PM
The buying power of the USD has remained within 10%, educate yourself.
The buying power of BTC has dropped by 65% in the last year alone.
And that's vis-a-vis teh USD, so, according to you, likely much more.



Straw man much?



455. Post 9906125 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on December 21, 2014, 02:33:44 PM
The buying power of the USD has remained within 10%, educate yourself.
The buying power of BTC has dropped by 65% in the last year alone.
And that's vis-a-vis teh USD, so, according to you, likely much more.



Straw man much?

I told you what I meant by 10%.  You chose to ignore that.  Grasping at straws much?
Nope, I up'd your 10% and gave you 0%
The USD is perfectly stable when measured in USD over all arbitrary time-frames.
Your tautology is just fine.

We can pick arbitrary exchange pairs and timeframes until your cartoon animals fade to black.  Bitcoin will still be around long after you waste your time trying to convince people of anything.



456. Post 9906212 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: octaft on December 21, 2014, 02:37:48 PM
Price goes from $10-$1000 in a year, drops from $1000-$300 in about the same time.

So stable.  Roll Eyes

There is a difference between the folks who are trying to understand and those who willfully misunderstand.  
There are some folks who are just trying to wrap their heads around all this stuff for the first time and are confused by the conflation of the different merits of:
1) price stability
2) existential stability (or "resilience" if you prefer)

As to the first.
Bitcoin price stability is highly volatile.  If this were not true, it would still be 10 to a penny, or maybe up to 5 by now?  But no its more than 5 orders of magnitude more than that and still going strong.  Just ask Microsoft.

As to the second.
We are looking at decades ahead, and how to get there without requiring a military or regional regime (which are quite expensive things to maintain) to prop up a currency just so we can do our every day lives.  Let the government do the things that it is good at, and not managing a currency, which it isn't good at.



457. Post 9906466 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: octaft on December 21, 2014, 02:59:34 PM

There is a difference between the folks who are trying to understand and those who willfully misunderstand.  
There are some folks who are just trying to wrap their heads around all this stuff for the first time and are confused by the conflation of the different merits of:
1) price stability
2) existential stability (or "resilience" if you prefer)

I imagine the first matters a lot more than the second to most.

If by "existential stability" you mean "resilience," then why don't you just say "resilience?"

To most the first matters more, until the second matters at all, and then the second matters a LOT more.
You are right about "most" people.  Most people aren't monetary architects and shouldn't be made to think of either of these and ought live their happy lives without such concerns.

The few intrepid folks that find their way to this cranny of the internet are not like most people.  Bitcoin folks are also generally smarter and more attractive than "most" people.  These people can handle such distinctions and recognize the importance of both.

Going out on the limb that your question isn't rhetorical...I'll make the joke of taking it seriously.
I don't just say resilience because by "existential stability" I mean precisely "existential stability" and not some other thing.  Resilience is one of many factors of existential stability and so it is easier for some people to understand and discuss.  The parenthetical was to be helpful for that understanding, but they are not generally equivalent terms, just sufficiently exchangeable in this context.



458. Post 9906494 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: shmadz on December 21, 2014, 03:24:59 PM
...

I don't think I've ever seen anyone so willfully dense as our beloved professor.
Yes, he is frequently mistaken.  He thinks you need a Coinbase account to pay Microsoft?  No, that would be only if you want to RECEIVE bitcoin from Microsoft.  (for example when getting a refund).

Edit: Wait, that's Overstock that does that.  Doesn't MSFT use Bitpay?

I give him a pass though, by his reports, Jorge has never actually used the stuff, so anything practical is likely not something he would be expected to understand.



459. Post 9906638 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: octaft on December 21, 2014, 03:40:12 PM
To most the first matters more, until the second matters at all, and then the second matters a LOT more.
You are right about "most" people.  Most people aren't monetary architects and shouldn't be made to think of either of these and ought live their happy lives without such concerns.

The few intrepid folks that find their way to this cranny of the internet are not like most people.  Bitcoin folks are also generally smarter and more attractive than "most" people.  These people can handle such distinctions and recognize the importance of both.

Going out on the limb that your question isn't rhetorical...I'll make the joke of taking it seriously.
I don't just say resilience because by "existential stability" I mean precisely "existential stability" and not some other thing.  Resilience is one of many factors of existential stability and so it is easier for some people to understand and discuss.  The parenthetical was to be helpful for that understanding, but they are not generally equivalent terms, just sufficiently exchangeable in this context.

I was sure you were serious (and ready to call you out on your obnoxiously pompous and condescending tone, FYI), until you said "more attractive," and now I have no idea if you're trolling me or what.

Please feel welcome to call me out on anything you like.
We're all friends here and working to understand things better than we did yesterday by chipping away at the parts that aren't yet perfect.

Today I'm in an argumentative mood.  Don't take it too personally.  I don't really know how attractive you are, its was just a general observation.



460. Post 9906683 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on December 21, 2014, 03:53:31 PM
What are you talking about??
Edit: you know full well that Microsoft is accepting BTC for digital content

It is not, it is accepting dollars through Bitpay (not Coinbase as I said, sorry). 
http://www.coindesk.com/microsoft-adds-bitcoin-payments-xbox-games-mobile-content/
Bitpay's name is shown in small letters on the payment page, but it is there --
converting the bitcoins to dollars, which is what Microsoft gets.

Knowing this would take inside knowledge of Microsoft's accounting (which from the source you site here I'd guess you don't have).  Microsoft may receive Bitcoin and Dollars, only Bitcoin, or only dollars from BitPay.  Their system allows for all of these payment mechanisms.  

For what its worth, Bitpay's systems will also allow Microsoft to open the option to pay their payroll with bitcoin in the percentage that an employee chooses.
Its not the old days anymore, its almost 2015.



461. Post 9906688 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: octaft on December 21, 2014, 03:59:23 PM
To most the first matters more, until the second matters at all, and then the second matters a LOT more.
You are right about "most" people.  Most people aren't monetary architects and shouldn't be made to think of either of these and ought live their happy lives without such concerns.

The few intrepid folks that find their way to this cranny of the internet are not like most people.  Bitcoin folks are also generally smarter and more attractive than "most" people.  These people can handle such distinctions and recognize the importance of both.

Going out on the limb that your question isn't rhetorical...I'll make the joke of taking it seriously.
I don't just say resilience because by "existential stability" I mean precisely "existential stability" and not some other thing.  Resilience is one of many factors of existential stability and so it is easier for some people to understand and discuss.  The parenthetical was to be helpful for that understanding, but they are not generally equivalent terms, just sufficiently exchangeable in this context.

I was sure you were serious (and ready to call you out on your obnoxiously pompous and condescending tone, FYI), until you said "more attractive," and now I have no idea if you're trolling me or what.

Please feel welcome to call me out on anything you like.
We're all friends here and working to understand things better than we did yesterday by chipping away at the parts that aren't yet perfect.

Today I'm in an argumentative mood.  Don't take it too personally.  I don't really know how attractive you are, its was just a general observation.

Well I kind of already did. You speak quite pompously overall, and the entire tone of your previous post is very "we intelligent, privileged few."
And I thank you for it.
You are intelligent and privileged.  That doesn't make you bad.



462. Post 9907358 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on December 21, 2014, 04:12:58 PM
It is not, it is accepting dollars through Bitpay (not Coinbase as I said, sorry).  
http://www.coindesk.com/microsoft-adds-bitcoin-payments-xbox-games-mobile-content/
Bitpay's name is shown in small letters on the payment page, but it is there --
converting the bitcoins to dollars, which is what Microsoft gets.

Knowing this would take inside knowledge of Microsoft's accounting (which from the source you site here I'd guess you don't have).  Microsoft may receive Bitcoin and Dollars, only Bitcoin, or only dollars from BitPay.  Their system allows for all of these payment mechanisms.  

If they were willing to accept bitcoins, why would they need Bitpay's help?

Accepting payment in bitcoins makes bookkeeping much more complicated.  BTC is not legal tender, not even a foreign currency; so bitcoin payments would have to be considered barter, and bitcoin holdings would have to recorded as investment, not cash, for auditing purposes.  For tax reporting, they would have to list each separate payment with the BTC price at the time of payment, as well as any conversion to USD.

That's too much trouble for the expected amount of purchases that they expect to get that way.  That is one reason why established companies that "accept bitcoin" do so only through bitcoin payment processors.

Quote
For what its worth, Bitpay's systems will also allow Microsoft to open the option to pay their payroll with bitcoin in the percentage that an employee chooses.

Riiight... and soon Bill Gates will convert his fortune to bitcoin too...

Bitpay has a nifty API.  Microsoft decided to support it rather than compete with it.  Do you think they didn't have a choice about that?

You also have a lot of "would have to"s in your mind.  Do you know whether these also exist in the world outside your mind?

Consider that Microsoft exists in many jurisdictions, and also that Microsoft does have a few lawyers and accountants scattered around the planet, many of whom are quite clever.  I'd imagine they can probably handle these little details pretty easily.  And the company also is rumored to write some software, so maybe it isn't too hard for them.

If you were to hazard a guess about how many of Microsoft's 128,000 employees might know something about Bitcoin and might not mind being paid with it, what Might that guess be?  

As to "not being Legal Tender or even a foreign currency", those are part of what makes it better, not worse.  Being attached to a regional political authority is not always so great.  Software is the same way, it doesn't care so much about political parties and regional borders.  The only surprise is why Microsoft waited so long.  I'd guess that this was more a bottom up initiative than top down, so my hats off to the engineers and others in the company that pushed for it.

Did you catch this one a few years back?
http://research.microsoft.com/pubs/156072/bitcoin.pdf
This isn't a new effort.



463. Post 9937186 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):

Quote from: brg444 on December 24, 2014, 04:49:57 PM
I'm not certain dark wallet can provide the same level of anonymity as Monero does.
I looked at both and agree.
It isn't the same at all, but it is similar.  
So it's probably "good enough" for some folks, up until when it isn't good enough.
The wallet is great for all who are married for life to XBC, and I'm happy it is there, but also like the availability of privacy built in to the XMR protocol.
That it is built in, makes best practice into common practice.  Choices make both better.



464. Post 9937615 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on December 24, 2014, 08:26:07 PM
Xmas rally ... derp  Tongue



Good call on the 6hr PSAR  Tzupy  Smiley

This is the live cat bounce?



465. Post 9941638 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):

Quote from: tarmi on December 25, 2014, 01:06:15 PM
What happened with LTC/CNY on OKCoin, currently at 1985 CNY  Shocked

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/okcoin/ltccny


someone panic bought and closed his shorts.

LOL
Crossed the streams with the BTC/CNY  LTC/CNY



466. Post 9946706 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on December 26, 2014, 05:14:58 AM
There's lots of talk about cheap Bitcoins

So what USD Value do you think a Bitcoin would be cheap ?

Below average mining price, whatever price that may be.
We soon may find out however.

The value of something is not how much it costs to produce.

The value of something is exactly what someone is willing to pay.

The world was willing to pay 80$ a barrel of oil because that was the lowest price offered. Now the Saudis are offering it cheaper (because they produce it cheaper) and the world is willing to pay 60$. Obviously value is some combination of both.

So the question becomes: who will be able to produce the cheapest coins, and if the world will be willing to pay that price when it hits?

The production rate is pretty well determined from the outset.  So it may not be the production that matters so much.... Say if Karpales may find another 600K bitcoin somewhere in an "old format wallet" after all the BK issues are resolved.



467. Post 9950225 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on December 26, 2014, 06:05:26 AM
...
No, it's called a negative feedback loop and should probably respond like any other damped oscillation.
...

Not all negative feedback loops result in damped oscillation.  Oscillators, for instance, are simply a negative feedback loop with a time delay.
This is sorta important to remember, and the reason not everything should be modeled on pendulum of a run-down clock.

The expert on negative feedback tells all.



468. Post 10088795 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.45h):

It's time....
They Might Be giants, Tubthumping.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yf0Amcgxot8



469. Post 11282942 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: stoick on May 04, 2015, 05:06:54 PM

Your edit is pretty much what I was trying to say. There is nothing inherently wrong with Socialism. The Reich's (amazing) initial success in WW2 was, in large part, due to its socialist aspects: state taking control of the industry, subsidized scientific research, etc., etc. It's the "Nationalist" part that made nazis ...unlovable. The whole racial purity, eugenics, antisemitism, lebensraum at any cost etc. The "socialism" part worked like a charm Smiley


A great many people DO think that there is something inherently wrong with socialism.  It is an unnecessary and detrimental bundling of services into too-big-to-fail geographic monopolies.

Why does the insurance company need an army?

Personally, I am not well pleased by the unification of the entity that provides the survivor benefit (social security) also deciding how long I survive (health care).  It seems a very clear conflict of interest with an abhorrent enforced trust.

The fact that the governance of most geographies have fallen into this trap does not make it more welcome or justified, only less so.
The only opt-out is exit and there are increasingly fewer of those.



470. Post 11282980 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: inca on May 04, 2015, 05:12:31 PM
Lets see what happens.

Either bitcoin is very underpriced or GBTC users are happy to pay a heavy premium.

Dumping into the opening on a Chinese exchange shows the degree of desperation from bears - yes you will have to cover your positions Smiley

Both are true.  GBTC is the only option for some classes of funds (so heavy premium), and bitcoin is underpriced.  This is a decent arbitrage opportunity.



471. Post 11283168 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: stoick on May 04, 2015, 05:30:28 PM

And a very effective way of running an economy which is what I was driving at.


Sure, but that is a horrible job for a government to be doing.  It works well until it doesn't.  When it fails it is catastrophic due to the massive bundling of services within the government institution.  It becomes the opposite of anti-fragile.

Building tanks out of glass is a very effective way of seeing the enemy from within the tank also.  It is just not the right job for it to be doing.



472. Post 11283203 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: stoick on May 04, 2015, 05:38:42 PM
...
A great many people DO think that there is something inherently wrong with socialism.

You bet. Some also think that Ron Paul is perfectly sane & even believe in Austrian school economics. I know all about it.

Quote
It is an unnecessary and detrimental bundling of services into too-big-to-fail geographic monopolies.

Dog eat dog world out there, brother, not sure what to tell you. Write to your congressman, I guess. Or start a revolution, I dunno Undecided

I take it that by "out there" you mean outside the government sector?



473. Post 11377051 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: elux on May 14, 2015, 06:07:13 PM

Volume:



http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/GBTC/quote
I'm surprised that there aren't more folks moving BTC short plays to GBTC and taking advantage of the gap.
Or even go long BTC and short GBTC.  Free straddles, and you hold the more secure asset, the BTC.



474. Post 11381234 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: macsga on May 15, 2015, 07:11:25 AM
If I was those people I'd buy BTC from these little markets (Coinbase, Bitstamp & others) then sell for a 2x profit on OTCmarkets.

The catch is that you must give the bitcoins to Grayscale, they will give you fresh BIT shares, and you must keep them for 1 year before you can sell them on the OTCQX market.  Good luck...

If this is true, then it explains a lot, regarding the difference from the exchanges. Do you have any source about this info? I constantly kept scratching my head why this is happening...

Weird that after hodling for a year, that they aren't being loaned out for shorting.  I would expect the hodlers would welcome the interest and wouldn't mind more forced hodling.



475. Post 11723860 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 26, 2015, 11:33:06 PM
buy & hodl or die.
!
The classic pterodactyl pattern.
JOUST TIME



476. Post 11848397 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on July 11, 2015, 02:49:54 AM
It figures. My sell order was at $296.62 missed the top by 52 cents. This keeps happening to me. Look people, we don't have a central bank so it's up to us day traders to keep the price stable enough for bitcoin to be usable as a currency. if it jumps up 10% in a day, sell. buy when it retraces 5%. don't let it rise too far too fast. It's unsustainable, draws in the wrong crowd and drives out more cautious investors. 

I would be happy to see consolidation in this range for a few days before the assault on $300.

Remember, you have more money to buy the dips if you sell the spikes.

Thank you for providing this liquidity and stability, and I wish you every success with it.



477. Post 11870059 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: spike420211 on July 13, 2015, 03:35:20 PM
Quote
But what benefit would (monetary) metal have compared to crypto? I only see downsides
It's a handy edge if and when the power grid craps out.
Yeah, cell phones & tablets are portable and have batteries... but those batteries can't get charged off the grid [solar]
in 99% of all cases.
Gradually, this will change for the better-but slowly.

Bitcoin remains dependent on electricity and the internet.
As do many other things, precious metals are not among those things.

Precious metals are money to more people in the world than is bitcoin.  This may not always be true.

A dual system with both would be better than either alone.



478. Post 11871952 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Richy_T on July 13, 2015, 04:18:53 PM
metals have a intrinsic value while bitcoins does not. i no longer trust bitcoin because it is, in my opinion, manipulated by whales and exchanges.your in the club or your not... their are predators out hunting for some poor newb who invests a bunch money into the scheme while they pump it and then they turn around and dump on them causing them to fear and dump their coins at a loss for their gain.. you trying to claim that is a system we can trust ?? this is my new opinion about bitcoin.


There is no such thing as intrinsic value.

Gold's utility value is pretty low and its current price is mostly speculative. Good luck with that.

You write that as if it were either true or meaningful, so lets unpack it a bit.
This "no such thing as intrinsic value" notion depends whether you are talking philosophy or economics.
Economics has a practical definition of intrinsic value, which very different from the arguments philosophers use.

So there is such a thing, unless you are 'only' a philosopher and not also an economist.  For those that are both, or are at least economists, the opposite is true.



479. Post 11909127 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Someone sold 5K BTC-E coins at market.
Either desperate, or an expensive miss-click.  oops!



480. Post 11911813 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: belmonty on July 18, 2015, 06:04:20 PM
Have you sold any Bitcoins to Greeks through local Bitcoins yet? They were selling for way above the market rate last week but I haven't heard how much they are selling for since the Grexit fears subsided. Somebody from Greece quoted a very high figure last week and I'm interested in hearing if it's still the same.

This looks like a bargain for spending some bitcoin in Greece.  I wonder if they will take bitcoin?

http://www.privateislandsonline.com/islands/isle-of-gaia



Name:   Isle of Gaia
Region:   Greece, Europe
Location:   Echinades Group, Ionian Sea
Development:   Partially Developed
Title:   Freehold
Type:   Private Island
Price:   USD 4,637,438 convert
Status:   For Sale
Size:   43.00 Acres / 17.40 HA



481. Post 11988743 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: molecular on July 28, 2015, 06:13:47 AM
Bitcoin is currently at the same stage you just hodl your long position until the market stops looking bullish

For a permabull the market always looks bullish.

Only trolls can't see that the whole crash from ~1200 to ~160 is nothing more than a bull flag!  Cheesy

if you just look at the chart BTC is currently for the first time really in a bullish phase...

The problem is there is nothing fundamental backing this Bull-trend up like Interest rate decision etc. pp.

There's fundamentals backing up of long term bull trend:


add some time to that mix and you'll have quotes like

Quote from: guyfromfuture on March 15th 2023 at 02:30:21 PM
damn, I wish I was one of those early adopters buying bits in 2015 at 0.0003 USD/bit

QFT

As an investment, it is anyone's guess...
However if you want a transparent and international currency tailor made for use with the internet, that has a predictable and diminishing inflation along with the notable distinction that it doesn't have an army attached to it, then it would be very hard to find a better choice.



482. Post 12531640 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.26h):

Quote from: macsga on September 26, 2015, 08:34:01 PM

Hehe... Because Doom! Haven't you heard? Smiley


The 2015 3rd quarter has only a few days left...


But one of those days is the night of the Super Blood Harvest Moon (its rare, look it up), and the next is a full lunar eclipse!!  Definitely apocalypse stuff.
Sell me your coins naaaooow.  Its the only way to be safe.



483. Post 15390721 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.54h):

Quote from: HyphyBTC on June 27, 2016, 04:15:41 PM
A few thing people here don't seem to understand:

Most buying is done off exchanges and OTC. By a wide margin too.

China is not leading this market.

No fee Chinese exchanges are being used to "control" the market, because bots are linked and people think China is leading the market.
...
The rise to nearly 800 was one entity

...

If you figured this much out, then you probably also figured out that the one entity is not done yet either.



484. Post 15394844 (copy this link) (by NewLiberty) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.54h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on June 28, 2016, 07:27:26 AM
A few thing people here don't seem to understand:

Most buying is done off exchanges and OTC. By a wide margin too.

China is not leading this market.

No fee Chinese exchanges are being used to "control" the market, because bots are linked and people think China is leading the market.
...
The rise to nearly 800 was one entity

...

If you figured this much out, then you probably also figured out that the one entity is not done yet either.

If one entity managed to corner BTC already, we have bigger issues
Funny how people always try to explain stuff through one hugely powerful entity, the great manipulator.  
I guess it is easier to imagine a single actor and attribute intentions to this actor than to imagine the net effects of a large number of individuals.


This new buyer is doing quite a lot of distribution, not holding so much, and should be buying a more continuously for a good while