All posts made by justusranvier in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 1878813 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):

Somebody was tired of waiting to buy low and just went for it.



2. Post 1879371 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):




3. Post 1880782 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):

Seriously guys, you don't have to panic buy all the way back up to $200 in a single day.




4. Post 1881104 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):

Looks like the way to get coins at the lowest possible price is to buy up the price quickly to provoke sellers into dumping and let them drive the price down into your bids. Rinse and repeat.



5. Post 2007321 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.55h):

It looks like a lot of people trying to buy low right now via any method that can use. I've gotten two sales via my Dwolla ad on localbitcoins.com in the last hour.



6. Post 2009039 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.55h):

Quote from: KillaMarci on May 02, 2013, 08:31:06 PM
What the hell is going on? How am I supposed to sleep like this? Tongue



7. Post 2012879 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.55h):

Quote from: master-P on May 03, 2013, 03:24:56 AM
Do you guys think the lawsuit is going to affect the price?
1) Panic selling as people get scared by headlines.
2) While everybody is panicking Mt Gox and CoinLabs work out their differences and actually complete the transfer deal.
3) The improvement in the ease of moving USD to the exchange brings in vast amounts of dollar liquidity eager to buy bitcoins.
4) All the panic sellers buy their coins back at much higher prices.



8. Post 2041504 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.56h):

Quote from: oda.krell on May 05, 2013, 11:09:14 PM
This wall @110 is making me nervous.... just sitting there, doing nothing... silently judging me... mocking me.

I know what you're up to wall, I'm onto you. You can't fool me, wall. Nobody can fool me. Not after what happened last time.

Just do something already, wall, don't just sit there!!!!

'k. Time to go to bed.
Sleep? What's that?



9. Post 2055852 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.56h):

Quote from: 100x on May 07, 2013, 01:45:09 AM
But what happens when the upper blue line collides with the lower blue line?  Grin
Total protonic reversal.

Try to imagine all life as you know it stopping instantaneously and every molecule in your body exploding at the speed of light.



10. Post 2132848 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.58h):

Quote from: gizmoh on May 13, 2013, 04:13:50 PM
12 hour exponentials about to cross
What does that mean ?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyaLZHiJJnE



11. Post 2173450 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):

Quote from: michaelGedi on May 16, 2013, 08:41:09 PM
also, I've been wondering if reptilia is actually right.

Maybe will (now) never see sub $100 again... not sure about the 300k part thought Smiley
If he's right about never seeing sub $100 again then he's also right about seeing $300k.

If Bitcoin fails then we'll see an exchange rate of $0. If Bitcoin does not fail then its adoption will increase at the expense of the dollar because ceteris paribus there is no reason to hold currency that loses value when you have the option of holding currency that does not lose value. In that case we'll eventually see an exchange rate of $300k just before it becomes undefined.



12. Post 2173572 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):

Quote from: Pale Phoenix on May 16, 2013, 09:37:08 PM
I'm not sure your maths are solid there.
Government issued currencies can not survive competition with free market alternatives.

Either Bitcoin will die or the Dollar will die.



13. Post 2173856 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):

Quote from: Pale Phoenix on May 16, 2013, 09:52:18 PM
This probably isn't the place for an in depth philosophical discussion, so I'll just say that I don't at all believe those are the only two possibilities. Party on.  Smiley
Actually I did forget about the time element of his $300k prediction,. Neither of those possibilities has to happen this year, but eventually one of them will.



14. Post 2188307 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):

The cool thing about this conference is that I got to chat with Brian Armstrong before he went on to Free Talk Live, and I learned why they had so many problems with low daily limits on the number of BTC they could sell. It was because of limitations placed on them by their bank, not anything inherent to their processes or backend capability. Apparently the bank has removed this limit as a result of their success in raising $5 million in additional capital.

Once awareness of this increased capability spreads, I expect it to have the same effect on the price in the medium term that their initial unveiling of ACH purchases had back at the end of January.



15. Post 2237450 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.00h):

Quote from: bobdude17 on May 22, 2013, 06:51:02 PM
Who would be selling right now, when Bitcoin is so obviously getting geared up to go?
BitPay



16. Post 2257959 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.00h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 24, 2013, 05:01:15 PM
Can you believe Mtgox still didn't fix their shit?
How is that even possible?
You must be new here.



17. Post 2291946 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.00h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on May 28, 2013, 03:51:22 AM
no I converted my computer chair into a toilet and haven't left this forum since 2011



18. Post 2381478 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 05, 2013, 06:12:38 PM
Wow - they added "..." to the page numbers in this crazy thread.  When did that happen?

well thats new
It's the end of an era.



19. Post 2394456 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: zemario on June 06, 2013, 09:30:38 PM
True. However, if bitcoin is going to have wider adoption, the price has to go up to accommodate a larger slice of world economy.
In order for this to happen importers and exporters need to be able to buy and sell $100 million worth of Bitcoins at a time without making the market go crazy:

http://falkvinge.net/2011/06/18/bitcoins-four-drivers-part-two-international-trade/



20. Post 2467799 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 13, 2013, 09:26:22 PM
in 12 days i will be the one loling.
At the people who listened to you, or the ones that did not listen?



21. Post 2572336 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on June 25, 2013, 04:20:27 AM
Personally I just bought 30BTC on Campbx for $98 and can't get them to Gox fast enough to sell before we see $100 again. I would love to make a quick 3 BTC before bed.
1. Sell Bitcoins on LocalBitcoins using a formula that references Mt Gox price.
2. Use the money from the sales to purchase more bitcoins either via Coinbase or CampBX.
3. ? ? ?
4. Profit



22. Post 2572572 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):

Has this already been posted in this thread?

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1h0fmb/citibank_will_no_longer_process_any_transfers_to/



23. Post 2631085 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on July 01, 2013, 11:58:02 PM
You realize that anybody who buys their security does this instead of buying Bitcoins on for example Gox?
It could be the case the kind of people who are willing to buy the ETF would never have been willing to buy on Mt Gox at all.



24. Post 2658353 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):

Quote from: Voodah on July 05, 2013, 04:51:43 AM
At the moment though, and it hurts to say, btc is still almost exclusively a financial platform, a very speculative one at that. Not nearly ready to go helping the 3rd world.
This is where I think bitcoin will start helping people outside of the US and Europe:

http://www.onlineprnews.com/news/393671-1372182394-major-online-staffing-site-outbounderscom-now-accepts-bitcoin.html

Developments like this make it easier for programmers, artists, designers, and other people whose product can be delivered via the Internet, to sell their services on the international market. I'm sure there are plenty of people in Argentina with those kinds of skills and Bitcoin solves the problem of allowing anyone in the world to pay anyone else in the world.

The ability to spend Bitcoins on imported goods is growing too; it won't remain a speculator's toy forever.



25. Post 2664822 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on July 05, 2013, 11:31:53 PM
Fiat is stinky beans imho. I plan to unload massive USD realllll soon.
Obvious troll is obvious.



26. Post 2702772 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on July 11, 2013, 01:07:12 AM
This is insane... broke 80, 85, AND 90 in one day?

Something isnt right here.
You must be new here.



27. Post 2711084 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: kentrolla on July 12, 2013, 03:07:16 AM
beautiful naked big titted women dont just fall out of the sky you know



28. Post 2740886 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Does David Malki read the Speculation forum here?




29. Post 2776835 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on July 22, 2013, 12:12:44 AM
It's visible in all indicators, USD leaving the market, google trends, your node stats, r/bitcoin, even bitcointalk.
I am so busy selling bitcoins on LocalBitcoins to people who are desperate now that Bitinstant is temporarily down that I don't have time to read the forums, much less post.

Maybe online activity is down because everyone is out working on building the Bitcoin economy.



30. Post 2836849 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: noodle_dam on July 31, 2013, 04:53:43 AM
just someone wants coin really bad hitting up all the ask.

but why?
1) Inside information about something that will cause greater demand for bitcoins in the near future.
2) Someone desperately wants to get their funds out of Mt Gox and are willing to incur significant slippages to do so via buying bitcoins and withdrawing them to another exchange.
3) Some random new trader with a significant amount of dollars to spend wants some bitcoins.
4) Large account holders have given up on trying to withdraw USD, so Mt Gox is speculating with their deposits.



31. Post 2836865 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on July 31, 2013, 05:00:14 AM
There is no selling pressure atm.
All the major payment processors have stopped using Mt Gox, so the selling pressure their operations create has also moved.



32. Post 2863216 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: Kazu on August 04, 2013, 04:50:35 AM
One major bearish sign is that there have been no recent bitcoin music videos made as far as I'm aware.
Zhou Tonged, Zhou Tonged, why have you forsaken us?



33. Post 2901080 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 09, 2013, 08:36:13 PM
I have a feeling MtGox will soon burn to the ground...


this thread will be irrelevant,


I vote that chartbuddy move the Stamps thread now.
I think that six month from now the top bitcoin-dollar exchange is going to be one that is not currently listed on bitcoinity.



34. Post 2901161 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on August 09, 2013, 08:50:03 PM
Care to tell us which one?
No, but I'll give you a SHA256 hash you can quote for future reference:

Code:
b8b476ff6b82b9ed7f3d91a69df6cadc00ce800da0804c77dcba0f5564fc9ccd



35. Post 2906151 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 10, 2013, 02:20:58 AM
CampBX is US based. It is not legitimate?

I've heard their engine can be slow, but is usually adequate for their volume. Also, didn't they recently upgrade?
As an exchange, CampBX is a successful proof of concept but they haven't continued developing it beyond that point.



36. Post 2906575 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 10, 2013, 06:35:30 PM
Do they have reason to develop further? There is so little volume, why waste money expanding or improving the platform until the demand is there? I don't think this bodes well for other US-based exchanges on the horizon. There is simply no demand for them. I won't be surprised if many months after launching they still struggle to maintain even a small fraction of whatever volume is on gox.
Volume on CampBX is low because the only methods they make available for adding and removing dollars from an account are ones suitable only for hobby traders (no bank wires).

There is a very strong demand for Bitcoin in the US, but the legal barriers to entry here are substantial.

In the meantime, anyone willing to help fill the retail demand for Bitcoins via in-person LocalBitcoins sales can stay quite busy.



37. Post 2906628 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 10, 2013, 07:40:48 PM
Bitstamp doesn't offer bank wires?
Bitstamp doesn't offer assurance that they won't have their bank accounts frozen and confiscated by the US government because they haven't paid sufficient protection money in the form of licensing and permits.

That's what is holding back Bitcoin exchanges at the moment.



38. Post 2945379 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: gandhibt on August 16, 2013, 08:53:49 AM
Slowly but surely gox is dying with their incompetent approach to this business...



http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/volumepie/
Can someone please make a chart like this by total BTC volume exchanged, instead of splitting it into the various currency pairs?



39. Post 2947262 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

http://localbitcoins.blogspot.com/2013/08/localbitcoinscom-market-data-now.html



40. Post 2947356 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

I'm more interested in the volume data, as they can verify that.



41. Post 2961200 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Somebody's tired of waiting for cheap coins.



42. Post 2961343 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: byronbb on August 19, 2013, 03:48:10 AM
Litecoin looks more and more doomed.
How can it be doomed? What about all the technical innovations that Litecoin brings? All of the transactions Litecoin can do that Bitcoin can't, the use cases where Bitcoin just isn't ready yet but Litecoin is? The superior software and support infrastructure compared to Bitcoin?

What did you say? Litecoin doesn't have any of those things?

Carry on then.



43. Post 2962139 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):




44. Post 2984156 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):

Quote from: thezerg on August 22, 2013, 03:33:30 AM
You'd be crazy to buy on Gox's 10-20% premium
The only reason to buy on Gox would be if the volume of BTC you want to buy simply isn't available on any other exchange.



45. Post 2999669 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 24, 2013, 04:38:38 PM
That chart is really terrible.

It's not obvious at first glance that Mt Gox still represents a majority (>50%) of trades in BTC terms.



46. Post 3050436 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):




47. Post 3098268 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: chriswilmer on September 06, 2013, 11:56:38 PM
Wait wait wait... guys... Bitstamp is at $118 and Mt.Gox is at $122... could it be... that Mt.Gox solved the withdrawal problem? Is this the elimination of the spread we've all been waiting for?
My guess is that somebody got an arbitrage path working via JPY withdrawals.



48. Post 3112688 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

This has the potential to have some long term impact on the exchange landscape: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=290799.0



49. Post 3116585 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

That dump lasted just long enough to move the Coinbase buy price, right exactly when I was about to buy anyway, so I managed to get them at $115.23.



50. Post 3143939 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

http://falkvinge.net/2013/09/13/bitcoins-vast-overvaluation-seems-to-be-caused-by-usually-illegal-price-fixing/#comment-115757



51. Post 3257050 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on September 28, 2013, 09:54:07 PM
This rally is annoying. All low/med sized buys. Prevents chances for quick sell/buy turnarounds. Tongue


I.e., it is not a rally but a planned demolition. Single digits on the horizon my friend.

Shut up walz, you drama queen
Forget which account you're logged in to?



52. Post 3270763 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: giszmo on September 30, 2013, 06:07:22 PM
Still there is massive volume missing and I have no clue if localbitcoins and all the others compensate for the missing volume on gox.
I'm most interested in Coinbase's volume. They are the only company that allows US customers to buy and sell directly from their bank account.

Originally they mostly served as a front end to the exchanges, but since they do payment processing too they can match orders internally and that volume would never show up on an exchange.



53. Post 3314554 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: rampantparanoia on October 10, 2013, 06:09:20 PM
except that litecoins cannot be mined via asics by design.
That's what the Litecoin pumpers originally said about GPUs too, and look what happened.



54. Post 3332511 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: molecular on October 13, 2013, 07:23:59 PM
what's the most likely reason for this considerable push upwards?
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-10-13/guest-post-they%E2%80%99re-coming-your-savings



55. Post 3333380 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: samson on October 13, 2013, 10:55:57 PM
LOL, if it gets to $180 any time soon I suspect it will 'do a 180'  Grin
You might like this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A7TuFy0fcuw



56. Post 3333771 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: bobdude17 on October 14, 2013, 02:56:33 AM
There is no reason anyone should not be looping this right now.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZfg1Gtcg08
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pID03RrmKow



57. Post 3333800 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on October 14, 2013, 03:01:48 AM
OBVIOUS PANIC BUYS ARE OBVIOUS, YOU PANIC BUYERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

^past three hours.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A7TuFy0fcuw



58. Post 3333855 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

The last time Mt Gox traded this high was April 25th.



59. Post 3333988 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on October 14, 2013, 03:58:04 AM
So what happens when all the coins finally leave Gox?
They're going to China.



60. Post 3334016 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: chriswilmer on October 14, 2013, 04:02:21 AM
Seriously. This is a good day for any bitcoiners that suddenly want to line their pockets with yuan.
It means the US government just lost their window of opportunity to kill Bitcoin, even if they closed down every exchange that touches USD tomorrow.



61. Post 3344127 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Kupsi on October 15, 2013, 06:44:08 PM
Why are the alts crashing when BTC is rallying?


Because BTC is the king of crypto  Cheesy

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Network_effect
http://themisescircle.org/blog/2013/08/22/the-problem-with-altcoins/



62. Post 3346087 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on October 16, 2013, 01:26:08 AM
Steep climb up on almost no volume without ask side replenishing. lordy, the next crash gonna be epic.
One of these bubbles is going to be the last one.

The last bubble won't pop, because it's going to represent the final flight away from fiat.



63. Post 3346161 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaadadhaa



64. Post 3346174 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Volume is clearly picking up, and this doesn't even account for all of the Chinese exchanges:

http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaadadgaa



65. Post 3347380 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: molecular on October 16, 2013, 06:54:38 AM
only on 5 days has bitcoin traded higher than this Wink
6 days: April 7-11 and 24.



66. Post 3356580 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: BitAddict on October 17, 2013, 11:08:37 AM
Mother of god. Any other banks are doing the same?
Look at the bottom of the page:

https://online.1stnb.com/LoginAdv.aspx

Better start asking around to see if the banks you use have any upcoming changes to their international wire policy in the pipeline.



67. Post 3357354 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Feri22 on October 17, 2013, 06:10:26 PM
I have a friend that works at the US/CAD boarder

he got a memo about bitcoin

it said

"let the bitcoiners cross with wtv amount of bitcoin they like, their is no need to declare bitcoin holdings" ( or somthing to that effect )

thats right bitches, bitcoiners are getting special treatment  Cool



https://twitter.com/inthepixels/status/390655737652707328



68. Post 3357818 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: molecular on October 17, 2013, 07:27:26 PM
holy fuck BUY!!!!!!!!!

Quote
Foreign Wire Transfers: Due to recent regulatory changes, effective 10/1/13, FNBT/FCB will no longer offer foreign wire transfer services through Internet Banking or in banking centers.

If you need to send funds to a recipient in a foreign country, you can go to www.westernunion.com to send a transfer using your Debit MasterCard® or visit your local banking center to send a Western Union in person.

puahaha whaaaaaat? They're sending them to western union? Really?

That's ridiculous!
Anyone want to start calling random banks and asking them about their international wire policies to see if this is a trend or not?



69. Post 3357905 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

https://www.uhcu.org/Site-Alerts/Member-Notification



70. Post 3357971 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

There are now four identified examples of this: two major national banks restricting the availability of international wires, and a small state bank and a credit union eliminating them altogether.

https://www.uhcu.org/Site-Alerts/Member-Notification
https://online.1stnb.com/LoginAdv.aspx



71. Post 3363601 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on October 18, 2013, 04:33:00 PM
This growth is insane.
Really?

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg360zigWeeklyztgSzm1g10zm2g25zvzl



72. Post 3364367 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 18, 2013, 08:05:46 PM
price is going up in a parabolic fashion on gox what should we do?
I wonder if it's that Bitcoin is going up in a parabolic fashion, or if people are losing faith in fiat currencies in a parabolic fashion?



73. Post 3365814 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Chalkbot on October 19, 2013, 12:48:57 AM
Remember the last time we were at these levels? This forum was like a carnival. Now... not so much.
It's not as exciting this time around because we aren't going up as quickly as earlier in the year. Look at the size of the candles in March as compared to now:

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg360zigWeeklyztgSzm1g10zm2g25zl



74. Post 3365874 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Voktar on October 19, 2013, 01:08:04 AM
seriously... where are all the bitcoins?  Cheesy
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NG1qooBzE2w



75. Post 3365889 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: spooderman on October 19, 2013, 01:12:50 AM
What about volume though? Back in April it was 10m to 45m a day. We are at best between 5-10m a day. Stamp down in the tens of thousands only. Think we became more of a niche?
If you exclude the months of March and April this year, the total BTC volume traded on exchanges has been remarkably stable over the last two years (measured in BTC per month):

http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaaaafiaa



76. Post 3365931 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: spooderman on October 19, 2013, 01:21:33 AM
yes but I think USD volume is more relevant than BTC.
What that chart shows is that there is that the market for exchanges is become more diversified.

If you've just been watching Mt Gox volume over the last 6 months you'd think that less trading was going on over time, but actually the same amount of trading is happening - it's just being more evenly spread out among the exchanges.



77. Post 3366198 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 19, 2013, 02:51:51 AM
i am now a bear.


just incase no one noticed....

Here's your theme song:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A7TuFy0fcuw




78. Post 3366652 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

I wonder what kinds of new ATH animations Bitcoinity has queued up and ready.



79. Post 3369187 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: samson on October 19, 2013, 04:21:06 PM
[22:33] <@MagicalTux> samson_: downloading new blocks as fast as bitcoind can
Services needing high uptime should really look at switching to one of the alternate implementations (Bits of Proof or btcd).

The Satoshi client is a prototype, not an engineered final product.



80. Post 3369233 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: notme on October 19, 2013, 04:28:59 PM
They should also have several fallbacks.  They already generate and sign the transactions with their own code, so they just need to broadcast it.  Any client can do that.
These alternate implementations do things like separate the blockchain management from the network communication from the wallet.

It means you can do things set up clustering on the various pieces for better performance and load balancing.

You know, grown-up software stuff.



81. Post 3369319 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: notme on October 19, 2013, 04:45:07 PM
I'm just saying that all they need is the network communication code to be able to broadcast the withdrawal transactions, and they should have redundancy in their setup in case a bug is triggered in one client or a server goes down.  Also, I doubt they are using bitcoin-qt... I'm not sure where kazu got that from.
Their problem is that their wallet and their blockchain database and their network code are all in one package, so they can't generate transactions because they don't know which outputs they have to spend.

Once those three things get separated it become a lot easier. If you've still got a working blockchain database, and you are keeping track of which outputs you've spend and which you haven't, then you can generate the transaction manually and use the pushtx feature on blockchain.info to broadcast it if need be.

Quote from: molecular on October 19, 2013, 04:49:14 PM
there is a case to be made for using bitcoind. It's tried and true, community-reviewed and in widespread use.
It's a proof of concept, the kind you need to start with in order to rapidly develop a new application, but it's architecturally unsuitable for production use. As the Bitcoin ecosystem grows up, companies will be forced to migrate to something better suited to their use case.



82. Post 3369354 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: notme on October 19, 2013, 04:53:09 PM
They give you the transaction id when you withdrawal, which means the transaction has to be created and signed.  It is later broadcast on the network.  There is always some delay, but with the outage the delay was longer than normal.
In that case they should just route the transaction through: http://blockchain.info/pushtx



83. Post 3369393 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: notme on October 19, 2013, 04:56:54 PM
That is a good example of a possible fallback they could implement, as I suggested.
Yes. I'm curious, though, how they manage to do that with an extended downtime on their node. Do they route all incoming deposits directly to cold storage or do they route incoming deposits to the hot wallet and only move some of it to cold storage when it gets too big?



84. Post 3374282 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on October 20, 2013, 03:37:39 PM
Okay, anyone has good ideas for destinations to move to for economic refugees of the EU? I'm definitely not paying for their shit. ...
I consistently hear good things about Chile.



85. Post 3381492 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: thezerg on October 21, 2013, 06:27:01 PM
But what you've mentioned is the achilles heel of a "sound" currency.  It is theorized that during recessions/depressions people tend to hoard it, spending as little as possible -- saving it in case the recession continues.  This creates a negative feedback of reduced consumption -> fewer jobs -> more reduced consumption.
Using inflation to boost consumption is like using cocaine to boost work productivity. The negative effects of coming down off a cocaine high is only a problem for someone who gets high on cocaine in the first place.

The "negative feedback" that economists worry about only happens because consumption had previously been pumped up to unsustainably high levels. When you stop trying to centrally plan the economy, especially by tampering with the money supply, then you don't have to worry about the negative side effects that central planning causes.



86. Post 3383978 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: wobber on October 22, 2013, 02:33:23 AM
Surpassing 197.39 in less than 4 minutes.
Your watch must be faulty.



87. Post 3383999 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Thursday is a popular day for crashes. One seventh of all crashes happen on a Thursday.



88. Post 3396729 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

It's like February and March all over again.



89. Post 3397023 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Zangelbert Bingledack on October 23, 2013, 08:26:50 PM
PSA: A correction now, even a big temporary sell-off, would be totally normal.

That's not saying we'll get one, but don't panic if it happens.
Of course you should panic. Just make sure you panic in the correct direction.



90. Post 3397639 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):




91. Post 3398030 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):






92. Post 3398449 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Chaang Noi (Goat) ช้างน้อย on October 24, 2013, 12:19:00 AM
seems these "beers" want a crash cuz they sold already and want back in, loll

to bad

choooooo chooooo



93. Post 3399215 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on October 24, 2013, 02:26:23 AM
Its almost certainly just a photoshop (and a very easy one to make), so yes.
My first thought when I saw the picture is that it looks more like shag carpet than a field of crops.



94. Post 3405910 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on October 24, 2013, 11:35:12 PM
The vids was a spur-of-the-moment and not really plans of anything ongoing. Felt inspired to capture the moment, kinda just joke around and have some fun...Everything was kind of surreal back then wasn't it  Grin

May do some vids again later, but it's quite hard to think of anything good, guess I'm waiting for the right moment.
All the best revolutions have accompanying music.



95. Post 3410138 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: ardana123 on October 25, 2013, 03:42:10 PM
When will someone make a service that will truly revolutionize the way we use bitcoin?
Working on it now.



96. Post 3410171 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: impulse on October 25, 2013, 03:50:04 PM
Awesome, when can we expect it to release? Smiley
Q2 of next year, probably.



97. Post 3411481 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: DougTanner on October 25, 2013, 07:32:30 PM
Big move upwards. Same relative volume.
Anyone else notice that the move upward on Mt Gox happened at almost exactly the same time that Bitstamp prices started showing up again on Bitcoinity?



98. Post 3418587 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: EvilLizardApparel on October 27, 2013, 02:23:15 AM
I shorted around 180 during the downtrend after the huge sell...Then at 180, it perked right back up. I figured it was a short bounce before a continuation downwards, and continued opening short positions up to 190.

Now, I'm not sure if I should close the positions and take a huge loss...or wait it out, and possibly lose all the BTC in my leveraged short positions...

Opinions?
Don't Get Zhou Tonged.



99. Post 3422402 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

The US dollar resumes its collapse after enjoying a brief respite:




100. Post 3422445 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: molecular on October 27, 2013, 06:52:28 PM
is this available online? looks like could be from blockchain.info?

I periodically import the data from bitcoincharts.com into a Libreoffice spreadsheet and play around with it.



101. Post 3422946 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on October 27, 2013, 08:01:46 PM
Is the darkness of the line volume or something?
It's Libreoffice's inability to make charts that don't look ugly.



102. Post 3423409 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: dserrano5 on October 27, 2013, 08:31:31 PM
Yeah +1 but please do it with a log scale Tongue.
Like this?







103. Post 3424022 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: freethink2013 on October 27, 2013, 11:17:51 PM
crashing hard from mid 180's down to 200+
The dollar is down 3.7% today.



104. Post 3429286 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: NewLiberty on October 28, 2013, 06:57:51 PM
When a Basket is redeemed, this often means that bitcoin will be delivered in redemption, however the trust reserves the right to pay out in fiat Dollars instead of bitcoin in the value of the bitcoin at the time of the redemption request.
In other words, they've left themselves room to sell more ownership in Bitcoins than they actually have, just like what happens with every other financial product.

Wall Street wants a monopoly on this kind of fraud, so they make it a felony for everybody except themselves.



105. Post 3430770 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: wobber on October 28, 2013, 11:23:29 PM
Seems the bubble is inflating again. But the bids are so thin...
Look at what's happened to Mt Gox's relative volume:

http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaaabegaa




106. Post 3431314 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: prophetx on October 29, 2013, 01:13:28 AM
keep in mind that is the result of 0% trade commissions Wink
Still impressive, since BTCChina is only 21% of the total Chinese market:

http://btckan.com/price



107. Post 3442589 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: hlynur on October 30, 2013, 12:23:25 PM
i just don't want to have a dejavu in some months asking myself why i bought at the top again.
No one has ever, in the history of Bitcoin, lost money by buying bitcoins and holding them for two years.

So far the worst anyone has done by holding for 730 days was the people who bought exactly at the peak of the 2011 bubble. After two years they only tripled their money instead of achieving the average 6600% gain.



108. Post 3460482 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Mt Gox relative market share:

http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaaabegaa



109. Post 3462346 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: vokain on November 02, 2013, 07:46:14 AM
dear god
Try this next time:




110. Post 3464527 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 02, 2013, 03:58:39 PM
its really hard to say who will get the majority of volume...

Stamps, BTCchina or some other new foreign market!?
BTCChina is not the largest bitcoin exchange in China by volume.

Look at ChBTC: http://btckan.com/price



111. Post 3470820 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: klee on November 03, 2013, 01:50:55 PM
I like very much ripple as a transaction platform - way better than bitcoin but a lot less anonymous, can be confiscated more easily, not good store of value etc.
Given that list, in what way is Ripple better than Bitcoin?

"This guy is the world's best surgeon, except that he routinely amputates the wrong limbs, operates drunk, and is also blind."



112. Post 3473350 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on November 03, 2013, 07:55:17 PM
It means imminent crash to single digits
We've now gone more than a year since trading in the single digit range (2012-10-27).

Maybe you should update your trolling to double digit doom predictions?



113. Post 3474842 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: windjc on November 03, 2013, 11:37:42 PM
I also assume that Coinbase is buying from both Btc-E and Bitstamp, whichever is lower. So I assume that that is closing the gap too. I may be completely wrong about who they are buying from though.
All day Coinbase has been selling at almost 3% above Bitstamp.



114. Post 3475347 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: NewLiberty on November 04, 2013, 01:32:01 AM
Coinbase buy price is >219, where are they getting them?
Maybe Coinbase has increased their commission? Or perhaps they are seeing enough BTC->USD business to start matching orders internally instead of relying on the exchanges?



115. Post 3475474 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: NewLiberty on November 04, 2013, 01:50:51 AM
If they are matching internally, they are doing so poorly if they can get them off exchange less expensively.
Maybe.

Suppose their ability to send international wires in sufficient quantities was not scaling with their growth in BTC sales volume. In that case they'd have no choice but raise prices both to encourage more people to sell them bitcoins for USD, and to reduce the amount of BTC they have to source externally.



116. Post 3479229 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Just discovered the sound options for Bitcoinity yesterday.

It makes these large market movements a lot more fun.



117. Post 3479275 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: wobber on November 04, 2013, 02:40:31 PM
234.95!
Only two other days in history ever traded at highs above that.



118. Post 3479356 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: NewLiberty on November 04, 2013, 01:58:34 AM
Right, that may well be.  Which suggests a forward indication as they take about a week to award the coins bought there to the Coinbase cloud wallet, so not even transferable elsewhere.
Mt Gox: $232.80
Coinbase: $226.17
Bitcoinaverage.com: $222.62
Bitstamp: $218.93

Coinbase is now closer to Mt Gox pricing than Bitstamp pricing.



119. Post 3479407 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on November 04, 2013, 02:54:31 PM
Have we established why this change happened yet? Who knows, perhaps Coinbase has a way to withdraw via Emptygox?
Maybe they are trying to avoid buying on other exchanges entirely and so are trying to match BTC supply and demand internally.



120. Post 3479436 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: thetopham on November 04, 2013, 03:00:00 PM
fml, sold at 204 weeks ago Sad
There's an instruction manual for BTC trading. You didn't follow it: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NG1qooBzE2w



121. Post 3479769 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 04, 2013, 03:26:27 PM
While I agree that $10k is unlikely anytime soon
2015 at the latest. Slight possibility of it happening next year.



122. Post 3479908 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: wobber on November 04, 2013, 03:40:51 PM
I could bet 1 BTC if price is $10,000 (+- 5%) by 31.12.2015 only if you bet $10,000 (+-5%)
I only bet on the future exchange rate by holding or selling bitcoins.



123. Post 3480783 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 04, 2013, 05:27:32 PM
Wow, coinbase is giving me the ol "We've exceeded our daily buy limit" message. I haven't seen that since May, though I don't buy every day or anything.
I've been seeing scattered reports of this with increasing frequency over the last few days.

Maybe that's why they are raising their prices, because they are hitting capacity limits with regards to the fiat site of the business.



124. Post 3481206 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Coinbase price for buying BTC is now $5 more expensive then Mt Gox spot!



125. Post 3481854 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: TERA on November 04, 2013, 08:08:29 PM
Whenever we hit ATH
You mean when the USD breaks through its all time low.



126. Post 3482366 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 04, 2013, 09:04:51 PM
This is what makes it so amusing.  The bears think they are being special butterflies by saying crash! crash! but are really part of the mindless heard themselves.
No, this is what makes it so amusing: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A7TuFy0fcuw



127. Post 3482638 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: maz on November 04, 2013, 09:24:16 PM
Show me an ATH or reasonable spike which did not end with a crash?
We started posting all time highs from 2013-02-28 onward, and didn't get a crash until 2013-04-10, where the crash bottomed out at 162% of the old ATH.

If we hit $2289 within five weeks of crossing $266, then maybe we should be concerned about a crash back down to $430.



128. Post 3484151 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Remember early this year how we had to endure three months of stopped clocks calling for a crash every day?

It's going to be like that again for a while.



129. Post 3484251 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lB6vl2ejqTw



130. Post 3484820 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

From #bitcoin-dev:

Quote
[02:22:57] <phantomcircuit> and finally and i suspect most significantly they dont answer the question of what happens when two selfish pools are operating at roughly equivalent hashing rates
[02:22:59] <HaltingState> its ripple's security model Smiley
[02:23:02] <sipa> but we should aim for a system that doesn't need such assumptions to be secure
[02:23:07] <phantomcircuit> i suspect that they both lose out in the end
[02:23:09] <HaltingState> "nobody will ever try attacking the system as it decreases the long term value" <-- ripple ahaha
[02:23:52] ericmuyser [~ericmuyse@173.180.1.169] has quit IRC: Ping timeout: 268 seconds
[02:24:18] <phantomcircuit> sipa, it's the combination of all of them that has the largest impact
[02:24:27] <phantomcircuit> by itself that's not a significant consideration
[02:24:42] <phantomcircuit> but if they tried and only were able to increase their revenues 25%
[02:24:46] <phantomcircuit> well that's just pointless
[02:24:53] independent [~default@201.243.48.51] has joined #bitcoin-dev
[02:25:01] independent [~default@201.243.48.51] has quit IRC: K-Lined
[02:25:17] <HaltingState> if one mining pool increases revenue against another; does not affect bitcoin; mining is just unfair now, but security is same and does not affect anyone except miners
[02:26:26] <@gmaxwell> phantomcircuit: not just a little more variance, a LOT, this was elu's almost instant comment on the subject.
[02:29:57] <phantomcircuit> gmaxwell, yeah i assumed as much but wasn't sure
[02:30:18] <phantomcircuit> either way it's pretty clear to me that their conclusion is wrong
[02:31:52] <@gmaxwell> phantomcircuit: when successful it makes you get more blocks by orphaning the other guys more, but you get less blocks (because you get orphaned more too) so you don't really enjoy _gains_ until the difficulty drops.
[02:33:09] oPen_syLar [~newos@unaffiliated/open-sylar/x-7698563] has quit IRC: Quit: Lost terminal
[02:34:41] <phantomcircuit> gmaxwell, ah i hadn't thought of that
[02:34:50] <phantomcircuit> im sure it's much easier to just ddos everybody :/



131. Post 3485827 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: windjc on November 05, 2013, 05:38:24 AM
Coinbase reached its daily limits for buy orders (whatever that means) early in the day today.
Yes, but they didn't stop processing orders for very long.

They just raised their prices until they were charging above Mt Gox spot and kept selling.



132. Post 3486227 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: BarkinTree on November 05, 2013, 06:46:03 AM
are there any types of sites that show total volume across major exchanges? curious what volume looks like vs april.
http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaaaaejaa



133. Post 3489082 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Missionary on November 05, 2013, 02:47:52 PM
I would actually prefer if the price stabilized right around here and consolidated for a couple of weeks before moving on. To much of a hype right now, and the base is way down lower, around 185-200. I am afraid that a failed attempt to break through ATH would be very bad right now.
October looks a lot like January.




134. Post 3489244 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 05, 2013, 03:10:13 PM
250 won't be much of a hurdle on Coinbase as it generally follows Gox.
Coinbase is already at $252.59



135. Post 3489293 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 05, 2013, 03:16:06 PM
Some how I always get the names mixed up when posting.
https://twitter.com/Mircea_Popescu/status/326398639389949954

Quote from: Mircea Popescu
Coinpeople bitplease stopcoin bitusing coinames bitfor everycointhing youbit coindo omfbitgod!! #bitcoin



136. Post 3489321 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: mvidetto on November 05, 2013, 03:18:13 PM
We might see 300 by the end of the week, however it is not the prices that we see it is the overall feeling of the community.  Where will the resistance be after $266? When will the inevitable bubble burst and how will we know preemptively?
Look at a log-scale chart of prices over the last year. October looks strikingly similar to January.



137. Post 3489510 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

I had to quit my day job in April because I could no longer in good conscience take a paycheck when I was spending all day watching Bitcoinity.



138. Post 3489908 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Was that a 4.5K BTC  market order?



139. Post 3490057 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):




140. Post 3491189 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: bassclef on November 05, 2013, 06:45:57 PM
Yes, theUS would simply get left behind in this scenario, and would be incredibly stupid and short-sighted to do so.
In other words, expect it to happen any day now and be ready to buy the dip, because stupid and short-sighted is our primary export.



141. Post 3493392 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Attempt to crash the market via FUD+DDoS not as successful as last time.



142. Post 3493621 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

20 more pages and this thread will catch up with my birth year.



143. Post 3495501 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

$0.10 away from the ATH.



144. Post 3495561 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Bitcoinity had seven months to prepare something special for breaking $266 and nothing.

I guess it was nice to see the All Time High icons again anyway.



145. Post 3495808 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

http://bitcoinism.blogspot.com/2013/11/us-dollar-falls-to-new-lows-against.html



146. Post 3496083 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Sitarow on November 06, 2013, 05:54:58 AM
With the increase network difficulty today. The amount of BTC being generated will put further strain on BTC supply.



147. Post 3496126 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: BitVegas on November 06, 2013, 06:02:17 AM
I don't think you have enough tabs open.
http://xkcd.com/609/



148. Post 3496917 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: TERA on November 06, 2013, 08:33:26 AM
Alright this time I think btcchina led the recovery instead of stamp. What do we call this instead of a stampede?
Kung fu



149. Post 3503864 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Coinbase is almost at $275.

They must need coins badly.



150. Post 3504220 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Chaang Noi (Goat) ช้างน้อย on November 07, 2013, 01:09:49 AM
Coinbase = 274
MtGox = 266.5

Easy exit from gox, buy coins and arbitrage selling on coinbase.

looks like a good place to sell, only if i wanted to sell Smiley
My guess is that Coinbase just had a huge surge in US customers wanting to buy bitcoins, and they can't wire money to the exchanges fast enough to keep up with demand.

Thus, they are trying to tempt people into selling there and also reducing the number of BTC they need to pay out by raising prices.



151. Post 3504485 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pID03RrmKow



152. Post 3504531 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: bnjmnkent on November 07, 2013, 02:02:22 AM
I do wonder, if it is a bad sign that someone parts from such an amount of BTC?
What if it's Mt Gox's BTC?



153. Post 3504608 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

$281.18 Coinbase



154. Post 3504639 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: EasyQuest on November 07, 2013, 02:16:10 AM
Now why is coinbase much higher than anyone else?

Quote from: justusranvier on November 07, 2013, 01:14:24 AM
Coinbase = 274
MtGox = 266.5

Easy exit from gox, buy coins and arbitrage selling on coinbase.

looks like a good place to sell, only if i wanted to sell Smiley
My guess is that Coinbase just had a huge surge in US customers wanting to buy bitcoins, and they can't wire money to the exchanges fast enough to keep up with demand.

Thus, they are trying to tempt people into selling there and also reducing the number of BTC they need to pay out by raising prices.



155. Post 3504681 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: strawbs on November 07, 2013, 02:22:56 AM
When is it safe to go to bed?
If you have an Android phone get Bitcoin Paranoid, set it for the fastest update period, turn on alarms in annoying mode, and you'll never miss a large movement.

Also, you'll never sleep for very long.



156. Post 3504702 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Wild speculation:

Mark put up the 10k wall on Mt Gox in order to let the price fall behind the other exchanges and thus encourage people to deposit more fiat to get the arbitrage.



157. Post 3504763 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

10K BTC sold at these prices would almost cover what Coinlabs stole from Mt Gox, wouldn't it?



158. Post 3504828 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OImA1k2ckiI



159. Post 3504966 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

This thread now has 1997 pages.

Remember 1997? That's when Computer Shopper was the size of a phone book in a major metro area.



160. Post 3505176 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Chaang Noi (Goat) ช้างน้อย on November 07, 2013, 03:41:04 AM
yes, but not in, unless you trust the Russian mafia with a suit case of cash...   they have been pretty solid so far but most people dont really want to do that... they would rather trust some asshat in japan
The interface between Bitcoin and fiat is still embarrassingly fragile. It's all basement startups for the most part.



161. Post 3505878 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Tzupy on November 07, 2013, 05:41:01 AM
Even China will stop buying at some point. Not today, but that day is coming.
I guess the next question will be, before or after India starts buying?



162. Post 3506027 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: gmannn on November 07, 2013, 06:06:39 AM
startups in garages with great ideas are the things established players fear the most. 
A garage is a fine place to start a business.

You can't stay there forever, though. If you are successful and grow at some point you need to bring in additional expertise and resources to help carry the load and take it to the next level.



163. Post 3506072 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: byronbb on November 07, 2013, 06:16:55 AM
At what point do the gox fiat holders freak out at the diminishing bitcoin orderbook and just panic buy to get out? Time to put some gas on this fire.
Bitstamp is even worse in terms of BTC available for purchase.

If the increasing prices don't lure some more coins onto the orderbook soon it's going to get very interesting.



164. Post 3506091 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: KaTXi on November 07, 2013, 06:19:40 AM
and then...
Either some early adopter coins come out of cold storage and appear on the exchanges, or else we enter a phase where the only coins available for purchase every day come from the newly-mined coins that miners choose to sell.



165. Post 3508803 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Franktank on November 07, 2013, 01:15:25 PM
We'll see double digits again, don't worry.
I'm still waiting for the single digits we've been promised all year by certain posters...



166. Post 3508860 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

We've hit the singularity now.

Thread page count has exceeded the current year.



167. Post 3510061 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

The technical support meltdown in #mtgox right now is quite a spectacle to behold.

The only one giving answers is I think the girlfriend of one of the support staff (SarahCoinBit), and the only thing she can tell people is that their coins are safe and Mark won't be making an official statement any time soon since it's 1 am in Japan.

There does seem to be some useful information leaking out though. Something about withdrawal transactions ending up with too many outputs and not enough fees.



168. Post 3510100 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 07, 2013, 03:59:10 PM
Or is it fiat AND BTC?
Fiat is old news.

Something's wrong with BTC withdrawals too, some kind of input selection / transaction fee problem in their backend.



169. Post 3510174 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 07, 2013, 04:04:27 PM
Gox really does go out of its way to just completely embarrass itself at every opportunity.
95% of their customer relations problems could be solved if Mark would take 5 minutes every once in a while to actually explain what is going on so that his customers would understand the problems, instead of hiring people to just endlessly apologize to them.



170. Post 3510368 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Franktank on November 07, 2013, 04:26:32 PM
So does the bubble break at $366 or $532?
If history rhymes, $2217.



171. Post 3510479 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Somebody is trolling...

Quote
[16:37:47] <chaang-noi> is it true mt gox ran out of both fiat and btc?
[16:38:01] <+SarahCoinBit> mtgox646: We are not having any type of funding issue.  The coins are there in limbo
[16:38:20] <+SarahCoinBit> chaang-noi: We have not ran out of anything, nor is this a cold storage issue



172. Post 3510593 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on November 07, 2013, 04:46:07 PM
FUD. Tried it for myself. Withdrawl from gox took less then a minute.
Apparently it's random. Smaller withdrawals have a higher probability of working than larger ones.

No real explanation so far as to what is causing the problem.



173. Post 3510816 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on November 07, 2013, 04:58:30 PM
Mine has nothing to do with newly minted coins, I don't even mine, been waiting since last night.
It doesn't matter what you do with your bitcoins.

All the bitcoins that get deposited into Mt Gox get dumped into a single pile.

Some of the coins are dumped in there by miners, whose coins can not be spent until 100 blocks after they were mined.

Some of the coins are only spendable if a Mt Gox employee grabs the private key out of safe or something.

The software Mt Gox uses to choose which coins to spend when customers want to withdraw bitcoins is apparently suboptimal.

If their software tries to spend a coin which has not matured (>100 blocks since being mined), the entire transaction ends up in limbo.

Another possible problem is that some transactions end up with too many inputs with an insufficient fee the transaction also ends up in limbo.

If a withdrawal transaction fails, Mt Gox has to double spend those inputs before trying the withdrawal again because otherwise there's a possibility the original transaction will suddenly get mined and they will irrevocably pay out twice.



174. Post 3512563 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 07, 2013, 08:09:09 PM
Guess the bears have ran out of ammo again.  I don't know why they keep trying.
Levered traders who need to pay back their loans?



175. Post 3513662 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Richy_T on November 07, 2013, 10:06:44 PM

Do you realize you just called half of the people on this thread fools and morons?  Wink

This is the internet. That's a) Often done and b) usually true.



176. Post 3515207 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: DougTanner on November 08, 2013, 01:01:44 AM
How do the miners get the coins onto Gox in the first place if they can't be spent??
They are part of the coinbase transaction.



177. Post 3515343 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: DougTanner on November 08, 2013, 01:19:19 AM
How do the miners get the coins onto Gox in the first place if they can't be spent??
They are part of the coinbase transaction.

Sorry I'm not following, how did CoinBase get into this?
Not that Coinbase.

This one: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Coinbase



178. Post 3515888 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on November 08, 2013, 02:50:05 AM
Not FUDDING, but the reports of btc withdrawal probs at Gox just keeps on growing: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=85.0

Never underestimate Gox's incompetence. It can derail any rally.
Don't worry we should be receiving official information soon:

Quote
[02:39:49] <@marionxd> justusranvier: The truth, they are working on today publication and that is why this communication is delayed

I expect the eventual public explanation they offer on their web site to live up to their typical standards of helpfulness and timeliness, as they so often do.



179. Post 3520279 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Mt Gox is now having problems with BTC deposits, not just withdrawals.

That at least partially explains why there are so few coins for sale there.

Once they get that straightened out, it's possible that a lot of coins will be sold all at once.



180. Post 3520439 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

The one thing this rally is missing is some new Bitcoin songs...



181. Post 3520530 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: gat0r on November 08, 2013, 03:06:45 PM
whoa.. is this real life?  Shocked Wink
No, this is Bitcoin.

It's better than real life.



182. Post 3520716 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: proudhon on November 08, 2013, 03:23:22 PM
Historically, my ridiculous bearishness has cost me.  Just ask adam.
But it gained you your own theme song. That's got to be worth something.



183. Post 3520771 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Rampion on November 08, 2013, 03:26:38 PM
I have to admit I'm a bit worried of having gone parabolic so quick. As we all know parabolic growth is completely unsustainable mid term and preceeds panic sells and deep crashes (the wild euphoria turns into panic very quickly), so I would have been more comfortable with a few months of linear growth before the 3rd mania phase w/ exponential growth.

If this trend continues with stopping to consolidate and return to a sustainable path we would reaching five figures in just a month, honestly I don't think that will happen, is more likely that huge correction/pop happens before that unless there is a consolidation phase.
On the weekly chart we are just now starting to see the kind of growth that characterized mid to late March. (33% now vs 35%-46% then)

If things play out the same way now that they did then, we've got about 3 weeks left before some major exchange melts down and causes a panic.



184. Post 3521703 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Actually, trading volumes are relatively high at the moment (even in BTC terms) - you've just got to look at all the exchanges at the same time:

http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaadaehaa

http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaadaeiaa



185. Post 3521764 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Based on the chatter in #mtgox, they appear to have resolved their problem with BTC deposit delays.



186. Post 3521785 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: RationalSpeculator on November 08, 2013, 04:33:00 PM
I hereby want to apologize to all the permabulls I have been finger pointing, cypherdoc, rampion, justusranvier and many others here.
Thanks. Based on our conversations I've learned to be a bit more careful about what is and is not sustainable in the short term.



187. Post 3521871 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote
[17:13:13] <SarahCoinBit> The deposit issue is fixed now so everyone should have their coins.  Please let me know if your deposit still hasn';t gone through



188. Post 3521918 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

I keep my IRC client permanently idling in #mtgox now, to keep an eye on the drama there.

Actually though, they are holding up better than in the spring.



189. Post 3521971 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Nemesis on November 08, 2013, 05:25:32 PM
any word on withdrawing btc?

Quote
[17:17:07] <SarahCoinBit> Thank you everyone for being patient and sorry for any inconvienience
[17:20:03] <joesmoe> 48 hours i've been waiting now
[17:20:37] <SarahCoinBit> joesmoe: For a btc withdrawal?
[17:20:38] <yerp> go away joe u crybaby
[17:21:05] <joesmoe> SarahCoinBit yes
[17:21:55] <joesmoe> 2013/11/07
[17:21:55] <joesmoe> 01:41:54
[17:21:56] <joesmoe> withdraw      120.00000000 BTC   0.75259713 BTC
[17:21:57] <joesmoe> Bitcoin withdraw to 1J5bpFfpHavNyyJtVu4AqRqjZSQjA5dxKD
[17:22:00] <SarahCoinBit> joesmoe: We are trying to resolve it as fast as possible, sorry for the delay
[17:22:15] <joesmoe> also have other transfers missing as well, but thats the oldest and
[17:22:18] <joesmoe> biggest thats missing
[17:22:44] <SarahCoinBit> joesmoe: Sorry, they are going through but it's taking time to fix each one
[17:23:14] PaulB0 [~PaulB0@gateway.genevasi.com] has quit IRC: Read error: Connection reset by peer
[17:23:39] Anduck [~Anduck@unaffiliated/anduck] has quit IRC: Ping timeout: 264 seconds
[17:23:57] <joesmoe> maybe they could fix them in priority of size?
[17:24:08] <Xialla> no
[17:24:12] <joesmoe> would be most logical in my opinion to take care of the more profitable traders before the less profitable ones
[17:24:18] <Xialla> no
[17:24:47] <joesmoe> obviously a dev's time is limited, and fixing things for larger transactions thus is more profitable in the long run fox gox
[17:24:59] <joesmoe> Should have to wait days for a 120 BTC transactions
[17:25:14] <joesmoe> should not*
[17:25:19] <joesmoe> Xialla: How long u been waiting?
[17:25:43] <SarahCoinBit> joesmoe: We are not showing any favoutism.  It is in our best interest to get them all fixed as soon as possible.  Cherrypicking which ones to fix would take much longer
[17:26:09] <joesmoe> funny because i notice most of the others who were waiting for multiple hundred BTC withdraws are no longer waiting, yet here I am...
[17:26:14] <SarahCoinBit> joesmoe: I'm very sorry you have had to wait



190. Post 3521999 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Mt Gox needs to fix the BTC withdrawal issues so that people can pull coins out and sell on Coinbase. My local trading is less profitable when Coinbase prices are high.



191. Post 3525188 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on November 08, 2013, 10:54:46 PM
Anybody here even slightly concerned when looking at the 2yr charts at bitcoinity?
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#igDailyztgSzm1g10zm2g25zl



192. Post 3525459 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: BitchicksHusband on November 08, 2013, 11:23:24 PM
Funny that they have the same sleeping habits as actual Chinese people in China.  Weird.
It must be the same imaginary traders who are eating that ask wall on Mt Gox right now.



193. Post 3525520 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Warning: Bitcoin just crashed to a new ATH on Mt Gox. The end times are upon us.



194. Post 3525741 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Honestly I'll be concerned if the current growth rate on the weekly chart continues for more than another week without some consolidation. In April we had two > 30% weeks followed by a 45% week before the crash.

Current week is +35% with one day left to go.



195. Post 3525794 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: BlueTemplar on November 09, 2013, 12:02:34 AM
What charts are you looking at? The actual growth is almost double that!

The weekly weighted prices from here:
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg30zigWeeklyztgSzm1g10zm2g25



196. Post 3526087 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: BlueTemplar on November 09, 2013, 12:09:28 AM
What charts are you looking at? The actual growth is almost double that!

The weekly weighted prices from here:
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg30zigWeeklyztgSzm1g10zm2g25
Indeed : 350/200=1.75
You're doing it wrong.



197. Post 3526159 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: BlueTemplar on November 09, 2013, 12:48:37 AM
Explain?
281.88/208.16



198. Post 3528276 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on November 09, 2013, 06:33:18 AM
Wow, today has been REALLY rocky, even by Bitcoin standards.Seriously, each one of those "big-wicks" is almost 10% of Bitcoin's value. It's done that like 4 times already.
It's like February all over again.



199. Post 3531353 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

I wonder if 2014 will be the year that we start to see Chinese exporters demanding bitcoins instead of dollars?



200. Post 3531429 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

There is one enormous difference between now and April.

One of the major markets for bitcoin/fiat trading actually has a decent interface with their banking system.

Chinese exchange users can move funds between their bank accounts and exchange accounts as easily as they can transfer bitcoins.



201. Post 3531647 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on November 09, 2013, 04:05:12 PM
bitmit = bitpay as far as i am concerned.
Probably that's why your Ignore tag has that color.



202. Post 3534926 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Bitcoinity just displayed some kind of cool animated gif, but I missed most of it.



203. Post 3551305 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: Zangelbert Bingledack on November 11, 2013, 07:09:46 PM
Nice start to the week. /s

At least Gox is minority now.


Those graphs are obsolete since they don't include all relevant exchanges and also don't group multiple currency pairs on a single exchange together. This is a more accurate view:

http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaaabegaa



204. Post 3552610 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: ardana123 on November 11, 2013, 09:39:28 PM
is there actually a better alternative than Gox for traders who want to trade in euro?
Coinfloor? (when it opens)

Kracken?



205. Post 3553514 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Gox and Stamp moving in opposite directions.



206. Post 3570478 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

You're safest if you assume all trading advice you see on an internet forum is the opposite of true.

Someone who is taking a short position, for example, might try to scare other people into selling. Likewise for long positions.



207. Post 3573934 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

For people who only read this thread, this story has the potential to have long term consequences: http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1qk8yl/bitcoinism_is_it_time_to_boycott_all_us_bitcoin/



208. Post 3574215 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: haightst on November 13, 2013, 10:16:05 PM
tinfoil hats for sailz! ~ I.D. REQUIRED!!! Grin rotff!!!
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=224296.msg2360615#msg2360615



209. Post 3574394 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: shark32 on November 13, 2013, 10:45:10 PM
For people who only read this thread, this story has the potential to have long term consequences: http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1qk8yl/bitcoinism_is_it_time_to_boycott_all_us_bitcoin/

This shit deserves its own thread!
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=333117



210. Post 3578766 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: Holliday on November 14, 2013, 10:08:48 AM
Someone knows! Not me.
Maybe not anyone on this forum.



211. Post 3598477 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 16, 2013, 02:46:03 AM
Stupid bot sold all my bitcoins at a loss and now it seems it will buy again at a loss bitcoin-wise too Sad

Why do you think we keep saying "Buy and hold". Do you think we're joking? Do you think this is some kind of game?

Buy. and. hold!!!
For the longest time.



212. Post 3598767 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: Richy_T on November 16, 2013, 04:36:06 AM
I really don't understand the "all or nothing" mentality of some people. Hold some, trade some. Even when you lose, you win.
You're neglecting opportunity cost.

What if you spend hours per day trading for months, just to end up where you would have been with a buy and hold strategy? What else could you have done with your life during those months?



213. Post 3598820 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: seleme on November 16, 2013, 04:45:34 AM
What a load of bullshit.
You misspelled science.



214. Post 3601475 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: ardana123 on November 16, 2013, 12:28:15 PM
I don't trade on traditional markets, so I'm just wondering the following. Take for instance Google stock, right now it's floating around 1000$. I can't imagine the Google stock has the same shitty market depth bitcoin has, e.g. 1000 bitcoins (or 1000 shares) dropping the price by 40$. Why is it that bitcoin has such bad market depth? The price keeps going up but a few big dumps could drop the price back to the low 300's. I can't imagine the same thing happening to Google stock.
Traditional markets lie.

They let people trade with assets they don't actually have.

Soon enough, Wall Street will get involved and play fractional reserve games with Bitcoin trading.

When that happens just remember - only bitcoins that are in a wallet whose private keys you exclusively control are real. Everything else is just promises back by (potentially) nothing at all.



215. Post 3610503 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 17, 2013, 09:48:21 AM
I'm a little concerned that their plan is to make their piece of the pie the only 'valid' piece.

Hopefully not.
How would they get the Chinese to go along with that?



216. Post 3615313 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on November 17, 2013, 07:56:23 PM
This is not mental. This is Bitcoin.

This has happened before, it is now happening again.
The last few weeks we're increasing at rates that have not happened since early 2011.



217. Post 3615564 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on November 17, 2013, 08:14:40 PM
Actually, you might be right justunravier, depending on how you want to calculate it. The latter stage of the 266 bubble was just as insane though. But it's no use to argue. This bubble is made of the same stuff as the 32 and the 266 bubble, not much difference here.
From the weekly charts:

March-April 2013: 29%->9%->35%->35%->46%->crash
October-now 2013: 7%->16%->23%->4%->42%->30%->Huh (so far, 28%)

>40% on the weekly weighted chart, that's not immediately followed by a crash, hasn't happened since 2011:

April-June 2011: 29%->39%->79%->45%->81%->15%->11%->49%->98%->crash

Imagine if early 2011 repeated itself at these price levels.



218. Post 3615661 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: windjc on November 17, 2013, 08:36:38 PM
$50 spread between Stamp and Gox.

This can't last forever. This is a serious divergence. When we've seen this before it typically resolves itself in a correction.
Talking about spreads in USD terms is pointless. What is it in percentage terms?



219. Post 3615734 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: byronbb on November 17, 2013, 08:43:23 PM
Bitcoin Days Destroyed not as high as previous ATH at $266. Less coins coming out of cold storage to sell into this rally??
Early adopter coins are a finite resource.

Each attention-generating rally ($32, $266) consumes more of them, and then they reenter circulation.

What happens when the supply is depleted?



220. Post 3620408 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Zangelbert Bingledack on November 18, 2013, 06:59:22 AM
Danger: Curving upward on the log chart. If we don't get a correction soon this could be the final blow-off to quadruple digits then crash.

Someone please STOP THIS THING Grin

Look at this chart, and compare the $10->$266->$100 period from earlier this year with the 2011-February through 2011-April time period: http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#igDailyztgSzm1g7zm2g25zl

I'd post a chart with those two regions circled, but my MSPaint skills aren't good enough.



221. Post 3621066 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Just remember no matter how badly you trade, at least you're not this guy (remember him?): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3xhyj-e0Kk



222. Post 3621402 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Zangelbert Bingledack on November 18, 2013, 09:13:48 AM
You can't win.
If you have Bitcoins, you win.



223. Post 3621752 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Fiat is a game of hot potato, and you really don't want to be the loser.



224. Post 3621935 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Things are not looking good for the USD. It's fallen below the 2 mBTC level for the first time ever:




225. Post 3625948 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on November 18, 2013, 05:37:28 PM
Have we officially gone parabolic?
This has happened twice before in Bitcoin's history:

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg5zigDailyztgSzm1g7zm2g25zl

The last two times, we went up about 1.5 orders of magnitude quickly, spent some time cooling off.



226. Post 3630592 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: Nagan on November 18, 2013, 11:05:33 PM
Mother of God... With what price I'm going to wake up with?
$1000 or $100.

Or something in between.



227. Post 3630638 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on November 18, 2013, 11:01:50 PM

Awesome.



228. Post 3630748 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 18, 2013, 11:12:04 PM
Bitcoin Foundation policy director of some kind, and Bitcointalk's newest sex object.
You're only succeeding in drawing more attention to the comment in question. Just ignore the poster and move on.



229. Post 3630785 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Is there no one left to predict an impending crash to single digits any more?



230. Post 3631301 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 18, 2013, 11:53:35 PM
I'm worried about the increase in market cap. Before we were talking about adding hundreds of millions a day during the bubbles; now we're adding BILLIONS in implied value per day to the Bitcoin ecosystem. If a lot of people panic sell on the pop, there's no way there's that kind of money to back up the price. The correction may be brutal.
Chinese exchanges actually have decent interfaces with their banking system. They can move fiat over there almost as easily as BTC.



231. Post 3647570 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote
[04:48:45] <@MagicalTux> very large sell order matching too many buy orders, causing the security system to stop the trade and rollback anything that was caused by it



232. Post 3654472 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: maz on November 20, 2013, 07:00:04 PM
Today reminded me how vulnerable bitcoin really is at times. It was going up so strong you could have been fooled into thinking $500 was gone forever. Major eye opener. I'm glad I was here to experience it.
Watch the Bitcoin Daytrading Tutorial again until you achieve enlightenment.



233. Post 3657493 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

2 minutes left...



234. Post 3659381 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Gox and Stamp are trading much closer together than normal the last few hours.



235. Post 3666531 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: dani on November 21, 2013, 07:15:13 PM
to support your statement:



because I am a proven analyst like you can see in this chart, again.
on a serious note: I think we really will go higher, break this 700ish and .. well, to da moon.
It looks to me more like a classic Trogdor pattern.




236. Post 3676805 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):




237. Post 3676899 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

I've been trying to answer the question, "what would the S-curve representing a hyper-monetization event look like on a log scale?"

I'm starting to think it would retain its S shape in both the linear and logarithmic scales.



238. Post 3677082 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: Chainsaw on November 22, 2013, 06:06:15 PM
Only recently (from BitchicksHusband?) did I see someone mention a sigmoid curve...
People have been talking about sigmoid curves since 2010 at least. Haven't you seen this before?



The question is, what does your curve look like when adoption is following a sigmoid curve, and the value of the currency you're using as a reference is also collapsing exponentially?



239. Post 3678874 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 22, 2013, 09:14:49 PM
Its not a cup and handle formation. Cup and handles are specifically supposed to be U shaped and not V shaped.
lets make up a new term.

call it, V shaped TA trap.
"The S is for sucks dragon" formation.



240. Post 3678953 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: David M on November 22, 2013, 09:15:57 PM
After the epic start to the week, I was fairly sure that Bitcoin would end mid-range ($650) at the end of week.

But now... this damn thing might just finish the week on its highs.

It only has to finish above $670 to make this the best price performing week in Bitcoin history.

The week of June 6, 2011 the weekly weighted price was 98% higher than the prior week.

This week still slightly more than one day left, but so far we're only 65%.

On the other hand, the volume traded on Mt Gox in USD terms so far this week has blown away all previous records, including the week of the April crash.



241. Post 3679092 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: David M on November 22, 2013, 09:31:21 PM
We have added $3.5 billion in market cap this week.  No other week compares from this perspective.
You're thinking linearly.



242. Post 3680081 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Vigil on November 22, 2013, 11:16:44 PM
I never expected
Bitcoin's really good at doing that.



243. Post 3680123 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 22, 2013, 10:58:26 PM

a germain bitcoin is the color green.

0
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DDV6ktC5DJM



244. Post 3680159 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: macsga on November 22, 2013, 11:24:29 PM

I'm not so sure... The night is young (in EU at least) Tongue
Don't worry, they eventually do launch that rocket:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RPcY_Qvc6_4



245. Post 3683229 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Vigil on November 23, 2013, 07:14:12 AM
What sucks is that I bought back in above the point at which I sold before the crash - oh, well... at least I got in.
When will people learn from the great investing sage Zhou Tonged?



246. Post 3683336 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Vigil on November 23, 2013, 07:31:51 AM
it usually makes sense
Bitcoin isn't usual.

All it takes is one mistake when it moves against you and you've permanently ended up with half the BTC you could have owned if you'd have just held.



247. Post 3683609 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: rpietila on November 23, 2013, 08:04:46 AM
For most people, holding 100% of the initial amount is not a wise choice. It is good to diversify by selling into strength to account for the possibility of a black swan event in Bitcoin technology. This way you steadily accumulate also non-BTC assets, and can learn how to handle wealth. You sleep better and don't see dips in price as an opportunity to panic, but rather an opportunity to buy back if you really feel like so. The selling plan must be based on percentages, which means that no matter how high bitcoin goes, you still have more value in your remaining BTC.

If you have BTC1,000 and you absolutely want to have the same number when it hits $million, then it is best to just bury the paper wallet into ground and wake up when you are a billionaire. Trading only makes you lose the most of it over time with no gain. But it is not healthy for anyone to suddenly become a billionaire.

If instead, you flex your Excel muscle and devise a plan to sell BTC900 in decreasing increments at exponentially rising price points, you will already be rich and well-established when bitcoin hits $1 million, and totally content with the idea that your remaining stash is still worth a cool $100M.
For me, Bitcoin is not an investment - it's immigration.

Instead of being a fiat native who dabbles in Bitcoin, I'm now a Bitcoin native who only deals with fiat reluctantly, when it's unavoidable.

At the present time I pay for more than 50% of my monthly expenses with BTC and that percentage is trending up.



248. Post 3683661 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: BitThink on November 23, 2013, 08:25:59 AM
In other word, if BTC cannot be used as a real currency
Should I take a picture of me eating a meal cooked exclusively from ingredients produced by local farmers who accept Bitcoin?



249. Post 3683750 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: BitThink on November 23, 2013, 08:39:58 AM
In other word, if BTC cannot be used as a real currency
Should I take a picture of me eating a meal cooked exclusively from ingredients produced by local farmers who accept Bitcoin?
You know what I mean. I mean it is used widely so we don't need to say 'sell' it anymore.
In terms of your own spending it can be as widely used, or as rarely used, as you decide.



250. Post 3683800 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: rpietila on November 23, 2013, 08:44:47 AM
I was quoting prices is dollars for convenience, because this is a large forum where most readers do not use bitcoin as their accounting unit.

Wealth is the same, regardless whether it is measured in bitcoins or dollars, because (in any point of time), bitcoin is a fixed multiple of dollar.

I do advocate using dollar as your accounting unit, since its value (purchasing power) is relatively constant, whereas Bitcoin's purchasing power increases tenfold every year. It is just handy.

But I also encourage to carefully consider that every one of your bitcoins is increasingly likely to reach $1 million in value quite soon. It should be treated as an inheritance, not to be wasted away. Every bitcoin you give away must give you more value than an extra $ one million would have given you in a few years of time. This is accomplished by selling only so little that the remaining amount is worth more (more dollars, houses, or gold) than the whole stash was in the previous stage.

How you allocate the non-bitcoin part of your portfolio is up to you. I do not advocate holding dollars as any % of it, unless you do arbitrage or something. The value converted from bitcoin should be used to buy silver, gold, castles with apple gardens, businesses, etc.

If you are a world dominator, then it makes sense to acquire as many bitcoins as possible and not care about the above. But who wants in that kind of game anyway...
The "non-bitcoin portion of my portfolio" is my ability to earn a living via means that would still exist if Bitcoin goes to zero.

As far as savings goes, I'm only interested in forms that are transportable frictionlessly across international borders. Whatever form I keep my savings in, it should be capable of travelling with me no matter where I choose to live.



251. Post 3692725 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: nanobrain on November 24, 2013, 03:36:42 AM
Walsoraj, you were predicting a crash to single digits when we were at 150USD....its hardly prophetic to keep predicting a fall when there are only three directions a market can go in.
All hail Walsoraj, master of the stopped clock prophesy!



252. Post 3693052 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 24, 2013, 04:16:48 AM
The exponential trend line is a myth. Media awareness may grow at an exponential rate at first, but there is a "hype" effect that will cause it to eventually depart the exponential trajectory.

I believe we are seeing that now: all time Google Trends high, it is showing up regularly on network news, etc. It's not reasonable to assume that we can go from occasional web journalism to news networks without departing the trend.

Also, the amount invested by every individual joining the ecosystem will grow over time, since there's an intangible measure of "trustworthiness" Bitcoin gains by surviving each successive bubble.

Trend lines are fantastic predictors of the past, but their predictive power for the future is not so simple; you are drawing this trend, then assuming that the trend is created by some fundamental mechanism of growth. Unless you are correct in the assumption of some fundamental mechanism which will continue into the future, the trend will fail to accurately predict.

So really, without thinking about what the mechanisms of growth really are, it's just a blind guess.



253. Post 3693075 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 24, 2013, 04:36:29 AM
This is a great illustration of how well an exponential trend line can predict the past.
That's not an exponential trendline.



254. Post 3700315 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: notme on November 24, 2013, 08:27:26 PM
we are also dumping massive amounts of fertilizers and organic waste into our oceans.  This encourages algae blooms that  absorb dissolved oxygen and create more CO2.
And a not-insignificant fraction of that comes from overproduction of corn caused by ethanol subsidies.

Subsidies that were sold to the public under the guise of helping to solve the very problems which they cause.

Neat trick - convince the public that you need more money in order to solve a problem that's caused them giving you money and you can be set for life.



255. Post 3706101 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: herzmeister on November 25, 2013, 09:23:57 AM
I think the somewhat negative CCTV coverage is having an effect in China.

what happened? The Chinese dear leaders sold a bunch?
No, if they wanted to sell they'd tell the masses to buy.

If they are warning the masses away it's because the leaders want to buy before the prices goes higher.



256. Post 3706203 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: MahaRamana on November 25, 2013, 09:31:57 AM
I think the somewhat negative CCTV coverage is having an effect in China.

I missed this. What did they say?

They said : "bitcoin went too high too fast, big bubble danger, stay away, because we're not done buying yet."
ftfy



257. Post 3711193 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: ardana123 on November 25, 2013, 06:58:59 PM
How is it that online wallets are so vulnerable to thefts? Do they all have the same vulnerability which can't be fixed or something?
The common vulnerability is that they are third parties which hold bitcoins on behalf of other people.

It can never be fixed other than convincing people to never let third parties hold their bitcoins for them, but there are ways to make online wallets less unsafe.



258. Post 3711426 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: micalith on November 25, 2013, 07:07:29 PM
is there a safer option (other than paper wallets) where they don't have to download the whole blockchain?edit: sorry OT
Electrum doesn't download the entire blockchain.

On the other hand, I have a hard time seeing why people who hold significant amounts of bitcoin can't afford a decent computer such that storing the blockchain is a prohibitive.



259. Post 3716608 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: thetopham on November 26, 2013, 04:17:53 AM
slow and steady we will escape earths gravity!
http://www.homestarrunner.com/sbemail138.html



260. Post 3716833 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mFcTJAQ7zc4



261. Post 3716878 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Even though a 100 BTC buy at $850 is like a 1k BTC buy at $85, it's just not the same as when you used to see 10K ask walls bought out in a single gulp.



262. Post 3717245 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: TERA on November 26, 2013, 05:57:09 AM
There are 5 major exchanges now. When you see a 1K buy you need to imagine it is a 5K buy.

That 14k of buying earlier on gox was like 70k of buying - market changing. We are going to the moon.
I understand the math - I'm just saying it's not nearly as subjectively satisfying.



263. Post 3717346 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: xthedamnedx on November 26, 2013, 06:19:05 AM
Can someone explain to me how such a low volume of trades (compared to april of last year) can raise the price this high?
http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaadafjaa

Quote from: Nemesis on November 26, 2013, 06:24:16 AM
You have to measure volume in USD my friend, as the price is going up.
Even in BTC terms, trading volume is historically high.

You've just got to consider all the exchanges.



264. Post 3725513 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

What's up with Bitcoinity?



265. Post 3725876 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: alexeft on November 26, 2013, 07:51:30 PM


This made me LOL so fucking hard i almost passed my pants.

How can you pass your pants???
It would require a rather impressive digestive system.



266. Post 3741413 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: CalibrataBG on November 27, 2013, 07:59:15 PM
Did someone try to create a dip by selling hard at Gox an hour ago?
The simplest explanation is leveraged traders selling to repay their loans, but the conspiracy explanation is more fun so let's just go with that.



267. Post 3741494 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: jatajuta on November 27, 2013, 08:07:26 PM
Selling on gox to repay the loans is not the best movement  Huh

Not with a 3 month withdraw window.
Don't they do it through Bitfinex?



268. Post 3744678 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Is there a site like bitcoincharts.com that will display the daily weighted mtgoxUSD:BTC price in table format?



269. Post 3747183 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: Talbot49 on November 28, 2013, 05:16:05 AM
So LTC is better than BTC? Did I miss something??
http://www.cryptocoincharts.info/period-charts.php?period=alltime&resolution=day&pair=ltc-btc&market=btc-e



270. Post 3747328 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: Chaang Noi (Goat) ช้างน้อย on November 28, 2013, 05:31:55 AM
it is just as easy to use as BTC if not more so cuz to download the wallet its like sooo much faster.
Bitcoin was a lot faster too, back before it was widely used.

If Litecoin was ever actually used in real life for all these fast transactions you keep talking about it wouldn't scale any better than Bitcoin.



271. Post 3747700 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Forget about the dollar value of LTC - what matters is how it moves vs bitcoin: http://www.cryptocoincharts.info/period-charts.php?period=alltime&resolution=day&pair=ltc-btc&market=btc-e




272. Post 3747748 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: windjc on November 28, 2013, 06:25:34 AM
Are you LTC bullish with this chart or are you, as I am assuming, showing us that LTC just hit major levels of resistance?
I have no opinion regarding the short term behaviour of the exchange rate.

Just want to point out that the dollar isn't a good measuring stick, especially in this thread.

If you're going to talk about Litecoin in "Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion" thread, at least talk about it intelligently - i.e. is LTC going to gain against BTC, not the USD.



273. Post 3762459 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: vps15 on November 29, 2013, 06:52:15 AM
complete redundancy of fiat is a rather extreme scenario
What is the historical track record of fiat currencies in terms of longevity?



274. Post 3763526 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: Ducky1 on November 29, 2013, 09:00:55 AM
It says it right on the bar: 'fine gold'.
LOL but if i was a noob and i was buying it, who would i trust? how would i check quickly for myself Smiley

Here is a way:

You weigh it (on an accurate scale), than you measure the volume by putting it into a finely graded  measuring cylinder with some water. Note the increase in volume when adding the gold bar. The volume for one kg gold should be 51.86 cubic centimeters (ml).
...then cut it in half to make sure it's not gold-plated tungsten.



275. Post 3775103 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: beetcoin on November 30, 2013, 03:46:00 AM
all we need is just for a major retailer to jump in the pool. that'll start the singularity of the next phase (whatever it is). most investments would be speculation, but it would at the same time make bitcoin a legitimate world currency.
What's going to happen is that first exporters are going to start insisting on payment in Bitcoin instead of Dollars.

Then the retailers will get onboard by necessity.



276. Post 3775122 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: beetcoin on November 30, 2013, 03:50:25 AM
there is more reason, at least for me, to believe that bitcoin will be accepted by a major retailer.. we're already hearing tons of chatter about ebay/newegg/amazon/tigerdirect accepting BTC.
The company to watch is Wal Mart.



277. Post 3775397 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: Vigil on November 30, 2013, 04:28:13 AM
Get ready ladies... Gox is about to take off.
Which way?



278. Post 3775486 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: Vigil on November 30, 2013, 04:35:48 AM
Up, but slowly over the next day or two.
WTF kind of take off is "slowly over a day or two"?

That's indistinguishable from what happens all the time.



279. Post 3776503 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: Vigil on November 30, 2013, 04:35:48 AM
Get ready ladies... Gox is about to take off.
Which way?
Up, but slowly over the next day or two.
You misspelled "down, very suddenly".



280. Post 3776969 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: OldGeek on November 30, 2013, 08:14:18 AM
I always wonder what possesses someone to dump like that.  If they wanted profits they could have bled it into the buyers a little at a time and made more $, although on a slightly longer time frame. 

Unless they are plumb dumb and thought it would change the market sentiment.  ::shrug::
What if it was BitPay or something similar?



281. Post 3789449 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: Holliday on December 01, 2013, 05:13:15 AM
You could say that.  It's a DYI job.  The main components are an empty soda can, a length of mono filament fishing line*, and a used paint brush.

* I only use 20 lb test.  If you are after bigger fish you need stronger line.

A true fisherman can catch bigger fish with a lower test line. I use 4 myself.

i dont even use a line, i use dynamite.

Only hillbillys and rednecks use dynamite. Why am I not surprised, GOAT? Wink



282. Post 3790566 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):




283. Post 3797581 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: I_bitcoin on December 02, 2013, 06:58:25 PM
I was very happy to see steam getting blown off though.
Where do you think BitPay got the dollars to pay the merchants for all that record high sales volume they processed this weekend?



284. Post 3801303 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on December 03, 2013, 02:02:13 AM
Brainstorming for names here: Pumpcoin (PMPC), CloneCoin (CC), SuckerCoin (SKRC) ... any other ideas?
Fork Bitcoin as "ChristCoin" and get a couple of those megachurch preachers to help you pump it in exchange for a share of the premine.



285. Post 3813763 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: DaRude on December 03, 2013, 11:40:55 PM
Yeah but the fact that he tried to tumble 96k and then put it together back in one wallet address doesn't give him much hope. How many wallets addresses with 90k+ balance do you think there are



286. Post 3829852 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Bitcoin is a distributed timestamping and script processing engine.

Currency and payment processing is just the first program that we've decided to run on it.



287. Post 3832384 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

This tweet doesn't point to an actual story:

https://twitter.com/BloombergNews/status/408505176170184704



288. Post 3832410 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

The actual story: http://in.reuters.com/article/2013/12/05/china-bitcoin-idINDEE9B405S20131205?type=economicNews



289. Post 3832452 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: Vycid on December 05, 2013, 08:32:03 AM
Eh, this really doesn't seem like a big deal.
It will be portrayed as a huge deal though, to attempt to incite a panic.



290. Post 3832481 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: pdawg on December 05, 2013, 08:33:24 AM
probably someone at reuters has a bunch of bids at 800 Tongue
It was Bloomberg that had the most sensational Twitter post.



291. Post 3832848 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: Kazimir on December 05, 2013, 09:09:43 AM
It's not even bad news, is it?
Individuals in China are free to trade Bitcoins.

Banks can't offer Bitcoin-based services.

Bitcoin exchanges will need to implement AML/KYC policies.



292. Post 3834135 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: gandhibt on December 05, 2013, 10:59:41 AM
So this is good for common chinese folks, but not good for big chinese corps who want to invest, why is government doing something that is not good for big corps? This is not common in western world that's for sure. How is chinese government going to profit from this, from common folk?
Can Chinese corporations not invest in commodities?



293. Post 3843602 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):




294. Post 3854860 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: mmitech on December 06, 2013, 07:51:29 PM
do you think this was all played ? create some panic people start selling and some big hands eats the weak hands ?
Welcome to Bitcoin.



295. Post 3859441 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: pokerman on December 07, 2013, 02:29:52 AM
As you may notice the pumping bulls are starting to get scared, we aren't going to see all time highs ever again. Bitcoin will level off and media attention will die off since we're the only reason it was there to begin with was because we were in a period of expontential growth.

People will look back in 3 years time and laugh about how a virtual currency with so many intrinsic flaws managed achieve a market cap of over 12 billion.

Cryptocurrencies may be the future, but it will not be bitcoin.
You need to work on your trolling. C-



296. Post 3869548 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: kurious on December 07, 2013, 08:50:14 PM
I am beginning to wonder if I am the only person here who does not live his parents, has a car which cost more than a thousand bucks, a nice sofa and er.... a girlfriend.
I'm with you on three those. The other two are intentional choices in order to reduce my living expenses as low as reasonably achievable.



297. Post 3869779 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: John999 on December 07, 2013, 09:13:26 PM
Saving is good, hoarding like a lunatic is not.
The beauty of Bitcoin is that people like you can't forcefully impose your subjective preferences on anyone other than yourself.



298. Post 3870870 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: John999 on December 07, 2013, 10:31:29 PM
Let's say only 300000 people own bitcoins today and they all decide to hoard their coins for 20 years. How will this new money spread to the rest of the population?
If the rest of the population wants the bitcoins, they will offer of something in trade which the "hoarders" prefer to have instead of their bitcoins. It's the same as any act of voluntary trade.

Who's responsible for forcing people to create and operate the restaurants where you want to eat? Nobody.

If you and enough other customers are willing to pay enough to make it worth someone's time to build and operate restaurant, then they'll do it.

Who's business is it if somebody decides to refrain, for any reason, from spending their currency? Nobody's.



299. Post 3873986 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

If we're just linking random videos: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bw9CALKOvAI



300. Post 3874027 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: ScrapOfCat on December 08, 2013, 06:50:16 AM
I was all in the mood to watch, but it says it doesn't exist  Wink
It must be some random, transient, YouTube failure and not because I left out a character in the URL, because who would ever do that?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bw9CALKOvAI



301. Post 3874194 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: BitChick on December 08, 2013, 07:17:36 AM
The question is how long this time to twice the previous ATH?
2011 took two years.
Spring 2013 took 6 months.

If the pattern continues, 5-6 weeks this time around.



302. Post 3875512 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: ScrapOfCat on December 08, 2013, 10:37:25 AM
If we're just linking random videos: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bw9CALKOvAI

BTW, that video was not random.  You guys have your charts.  I have my funky sensations.
Maybe I should say ambiguous.

If the price goes down, I can say it was about Bitcoin.

If the price goes up, I can say it was about the USD.

Win-win.



303. Post 3875643 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: ScrapOfCat on December 08, 2013, 10:48:39 AM
Oh sorry, didn't mean to be vague.  To the moon!
Vague is better. Done correctly, it means you can never be wrong.



304. Post 3880900 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: micalith on December 08, 2013, 07:26:37 PM
My guess is we get another wave of selling, while it's still advantageous to do so before Monday's western exchange fiat begins to arrive.
You have a very strange definition of "advantageous". Are those who are selling people who just want to throw money away by selling low today instead of high tomorrow?



305. Post 3882554 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: freethink2013 on December 08, 2013, 09:30:14 PM
china crisis hit us hard and we were in full on panic mode yet @550 the market decided woohoo cheap coins! I still think anything under 1000 is cheap coins. Not sure if we'll make 4 figures next week but we'll come close.
The crisis was imaginary. What happened in China was actually good news.



306. Post 3882923 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: Hfertig on December 08, 2013, 10:21:26 PM
china crisis hit us hard and we were in full on panic mode yet @550 the market decided woohoo cheap coins! I still think anything under 1000 is cheap coins. Not sure if we'll make 4 figures next week but we'll come close.
The crisis was imaginary. What happened in China was actually good news.

Can you elaborate why ?
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1sbefw/chinese_investment_banker_says_what_nobody_in_the/



307. Post 3883010 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on December 08, 2013, 10:27:03 PM
The crash has almost nothing to do with the "quasi"-ban on bitcoins and everything to do with new ID verification requirements by BTCChina.

Same old story. An exchange attracts money launderers and price manipulators. Then requires ID verification. The criminals flee to another exchange.

My guess is someone will set up the new btcchina in India soon.
I would believe that, except that it doesn't make sense for somebody who doesn't want to get caught in ID verification to dump less-traceable bitcoins on BTCChina for more-traceable CNY.

That scenario would have played out like the Mt Gox withdrawal problems this summer, where traders with trapped fiat would buy bitcoins, withdraw them to another exchange, and sell there.



308. Post 3883940 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: rebuilder on December 08, 2013, 11:48:54 PM
And if the price goes off the trendline for very long, the trendline will shift... So how do we know whether Bitcoin has been mostly trading above or below whatever the trendline will turn out to be, so far? I'm guessing some tea leaves will be involved.
I'm not sure the long term trendline is straight on a log graph.

You can fit log10 price to an exponential curve fairly well.



309. Post 3887231 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

For those of you who don't read the rest of the forum: http://texasbitcoinconference.com/



310. Post 3887403 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: greenlion on December 09, 2013, 07:19:25 AM
The crash was basically a big profit-taking dump masquerading as supposedly negative China news in order to suck in more panic sellers for the re-buy.
This is where all the doom and gloom FUD-spreaders are going to come back into the thread and admit they were wrong/lying, right?



311. Post 3915768 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

I haven't been able to check the forum the last couple days because of this conference in Las Vegas.

Can anyone summarize the last 30 pages or so of this thread?



312. Post 3915828 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Sounds like fun.

The only thing that would make Vegas better is if you could pay for bottle service in BTC.



313. Post 3946354 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: barbs on December 13, 2013, 09:10:50 AM
see you guys at 300?
$/mBTC?



314. Post 3980480 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):

Quote from: molecular on December 15, 2013, 07:07:30 PM
There's only so many coins and they need to actually have them (or the cooperation of gox to be able to sell coins they don't have).
If all the major exchanges join a voting pool there's no way for them to sell coins they don't have without being immediately detected.



315. Post 3983598 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):

Quote from: kurious on December 15, 2013, 08:36:35 PM
This would be great, and a huge advantage to the network and for security of exchanges and customers alike.

But will the exchanges do this?

It may be they already sell BTC they don't have.   These exchanges are not run by paragons of virtue!

Getting BTC-e, Stamp and Gox all doing this looks tough - UNLESS they are more afraid of security issues than being found out for what they are (potentially) hiding from the market.  It is possible on balance this is the case.

It would be a leap forward if it worked - but it will take the will and a lot of work.

EDITED to remove thoughts on how they could sell coins they don't actually have - no need to freak everyone out!
In order to get the ball rolling it's only necessary to get three sites to join the first pool. Once that happens, we've got a method for adding new members to the pool one at a time (up to the Bitcoin protocol maximum of 20).

So maybe you don't start with BTC-e, Stamp and Gox to begin with. Perhaps you convince LocalBitcoins, CampBX, and Coinfloor.

Then you make it a competitive disadvantage to not join the pool  by heavily emphasizing how much more secure deposits are in the exchanges that join a pool versus those who do not until the remaining exchanges either join up, or experience a run on the bank which reveals their insolvency.



316. Post 4000701 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

When in doubt: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NG1qooBzE2w



317. Post 4001564 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

$180/mBTC



318. Post 4006088 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: seriouscoin on December 17, 2013, 08:51:43 AM
dont listen to him. This soundwave will cause you lose control of consciousness, most likely cause you to do some shitty trading like panic selling.
You've been warned
http://www.southparkstudios.com/full-episodes/s03e17-world-wide-recorder-concert



319. Post 4013020 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: cbutters on December 17, 2013, 06:46:28 PM
While the document you linked is scary official looking, and in chinese so nobody can really read it easily, a google translate shows that this document doesn't even mention bitcoin or anything related to policy, it just mentions the characteristics of deposits int foreign currency and basically is a financial report on what happened with the bank in october..... not sure what we are supposed to extrapolate from this information.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarcasm



320. Post 4020232 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

The sky is falling... just like when we crossed $1 for the first time, and when we crossed $10 for the first time, and when we crossed $100 for the first time.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#igDailyztgSzm1g10zm2g25zl



321. Post 4021512 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Quote from: arklan on December 18, 2013, 07:54:26 AM
So China really banned deposits from banks and other payment processors to bitcoin exchanges? Is that what this is, or still speculation?
According to BTCChina's web site, CNY deposits are temporarily suspended.

“Dear BTC China valued customer: Due to new government regulations, BTC China will temporarily suspend CNY deposits. BTC deposits/withdrawals and CNY withdrawals are not affected, and will continue to operate in the interim. Rest assure that BTC China will continue to operate normally. Please pay attention to our notices for updates, as we find other ways to allow for CNY deposits. We deeply apologize for any inconvenience. BTC China, December 18, 2013″



322. Post 4022236 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Quote from: seljo on December 18, 2013, 08:50:06 AM
Ok whos buying?
Everybody.

Just some are buying dollars and others are buying BTC.



323. Post 4027515 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Went to sleep at page 3401. Not going to read every post that happened since then - I'm just going to assume much drama was involved.



324. Post 4035962 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: MAbtc on December 19, 2013, 03:09:19 AM
I doctor friend once told me that it's much healthier to shit squatting than to sit on toilets as westerners do.... something about long term effects, organ health..... something....
Supposedly it's better for the plumbing because less force is required.



325. Post 4036002 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: BitChick on December 19, 2013, 03:22:19 AM
Someone just needs to design a raised platform to place around western styled toilets so we can get the "squatting" experience here the USA.  Sell it on an infomercial and talk about the health benefits.  Wink  
Already exists. Search for the "Squatty Potty."



326. Post 4036045 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: deeplink on December 19, 2013, 03:25:59 AM
How do you know these things?  Smiley
This particular fact I heard on Porc Therapy.



327. Post 4036374 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: TERA on December 19, 2013, 03:57:01 AM
The movement originated on btcchina. How do you feel about this?
I heard Loaded flew into China with a plane load of cash and bought all the bitcoins.




328. Post 4040227 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Good news for everybody except US citizens:

https://www.mtgox.com/press_release_20131219.html

Quote
TOKYO - JAPAN - December 19, 2013

Dear MtGox Customers,

Thank you for your patience and support all throughout 2013.
As we noted in our previous update there are many things happening, and we’re proud to announce two more major developments that will make MtGox both easier and more economical for our valued customers:

- Special fee discounts for the winter holidays to celebrate reaching one million customers.  
- A new partnership with payment provider Mayzus Financial Services


1) One million MtGox customers and reduced fees for the holidays!

Thanks to our loyal customer and increased global interest in Bitcoin, MtGox has now achieved a milestone of over one million customers and growing.
This is an incredible moment for us all, and to celebrate, we are offering a Special Holiday Discount of 25% off all trading fees starting today, December 20th 2013 to January 20th 2014!*


2) Mayzus Partnership

We are proud to announce a new partnership with Mayzus  that will enable our customers outside of the United States to deposit quickly and without long processing times.

Now that we are working with Mayzus, a leading financial company that is in-tune with the future of Bitcoin, anyone with a verified account will be able to quickly send money to their MtGox account via 126 global currencies.
For more information about methods accepted on Mayzus, please refer to this link: https://www.mayzus.com/en/deposit-withdrawal.html

Mayzus FAQ:

Q: It’s great that deposits are fast, but what about withdrawals?
A: Withdrawals are coming with Mayzus, but not just yet. Phase One is enabling deposits, and Phase Two will be deeper integration with Mayzus that creates a better experience and allows for withdrawals as well.

Q: I’m in the United States. What about me?
A: We are not ignoring you. We have been working hard to improve the withdrawal process as well.

Q: How do we get started?
A: first you will need to have a verified account with Mayzus. If you don’t have one already you can create one here:  https://secure.moneypolo.com/registration

Once verified, you will be able to deposit within the “Funding Options” menu on the MtGox dashboard. Choose “Mayzus” from the drop-down menu and follow the simple steps.

3) Additional Note:

Don’t forget to secure your account with a one-time password solution such as Google Authenticator or the MtGox Yubikey or OTP Card solutions.
Look for more information in the security center when you login to your MtGox account.

Thank you again for your support,

*The Special Holiday Discount of 25 % will be applied for any trade issued from December 20th 2013 (00h00 GMT) to January 20th 2014 (23h59 GMT).

Regards
Mt.Gox Co. Ltd Team.

Mt.Gox Contact press@mtgox.com



329. Post 4051509 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

This needs to be filled in:

http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=hodl

Also, is it just me or is the forum more 502ey than usual right now?



330. Post 4052638 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: TERA on December 20, 2013, 04:31:59 AM
There are now two goxes



331. Post 4063538 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):

Quote from: CryptStorm on December 20, 2013, 08:52:04 PM
Have you heard of turtle trading? Simplest trading system-- I think it goes, if up 20 days (or whatever in BTC), then buy, if 20 down, sell. Has very good followers and record. Funny.
So... buy high, sell low?



332. Post 4063931 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):

Quote from: CryptStorm on December 20, 2013, 09:20:02 PM
The real take away for me was that entry point is wildly over-valued component (a coin flip might even return better odds), while the added components of setup, position sizing, risk management, expectancy, and exit are *all* required to actually avoid gambling and manage funds properly. We have a long way to go to have those tools available to us, laymen (albeit relatively smart ones), and I'm looking forward to that evolution.
If Bitcoin is successful then the only relevant factors is how many you manage to grab before it happens.

In that outcome currency exchanges are a transitional technology because in the end there won't be other currencies to exchange with.

If Bitcoin fails, then this this is all a bunch of meaningless gambling.



333. Post 4111631 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.45h):

Quote from: TERA on December 23, 2013, 10:34:40 PM
I would love to see a bunch of coins dumped like that and see the market return to a fair price fueled by investor demand rather than speculation and games. If I could get a rock solid price like that which I could feel completely safe with, then I would hold my coins in codl storage and take a break from the exchanges and the charts.
I would love to see virtually all large holders of fiat miss the boat on Bitcoin and be effectively shut out from the future economy.



334. Post 4157081 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.46h):

http://www.zazzle.com/i_am_hodling_tee_shirt-235482383369678937



335. Post 4160561 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on December 26, 2013, 11:53:53 PM
this "can't buy groceries with bitcoin" shittalk is just sooo much crap ... who gives a fuck if you can't buy groceries with btc??
That reminds me that I need to write up a feature request for LocalBitcoins with exactly the features they'd need to add to make it possible for people to buy groceries (or anything) with btc.



336. Post 4165128 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: windjc on December 27, 2013, 04:39:18 AM
Right now the market wants to go up.
The market hates being anthropomorphized.



337. Post 4175997 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: kurious on December 27, 2013, 10:12:10 PM
1. Buy
2. Store in a cold wallet
3. Carry on with living your life and forget about it for a year.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NG1qooBzE2w



338. Post 4181038 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Quote from: donut on December 28, 2013, 04:37:36 AM
Stamp is going down, gox is sitting tight, china is going up. Wonderfully confusing.
That set of indications would be consistent with exchange users buying up bitcoins in China, moving them to Bitstamp, and selling for fiat.



339. Post 4181098 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):

Why are there votes in the poll for anything except "HODL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"?



340. Post 4196052 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: mb300sd on December 29, 2013, 02:56:29 AM
http://r-g-b.me/
That's the closest thing to Snow Crash I've ever seen.



341. Post 4199140 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: windjc on December 29, 2013, 09:20:08 AM
In fact, dozens of people invested $130 or less in Nxt a few months ago and now own the equivalent of 6000 BTC.
I have a hard time believing that it's actually possible for a dozen people to all cash out a total of 72000 BTC from that market.



342. Post 4209662 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: spooderman on December 29, 2013, 10:17:51 PM
My opinion is it will drop suddenly, or go up suddenly, or stay the same. I know this because of teh research.
Your ideas are intriguing to me and I'd like to subscribe to your newsletter.



343. Post 4209909 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: oda.krell on December 29, 2013, 10:33:42 PM
A log trend line (more precisely: linear regression on log charted price history) is a nice little tool to get a feeling for where we are at any point in time compared to the historic trend, and where we're going to be, very very roughly, in a few months or a year from now.
I don't think Bitcoin's long term trendline is going to be straight on a log graph - I think it's going to trace an S curve graphed in log space.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#igDailyzczsg2011-11-01zeg2013-12-30ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zl

Throw away the data from before November '11, while the exchanges were trying to figure out how to operate, and what do you see?



344. Post 4210004 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: oda.krell on December 29, 2013, 10:40:17 PM
[I know, I know Smiley I participated in the previous discussion of that idea. Didn't we conclude that the well known S shaped "tech adoption" curve would still be a straight line when mapped to log. Why does BTC deserve a "super S", if I may ask?
Maybe Bitcoin "true" adoption curve is straight on a log scale (until the inflection point).

The long term trend line of USD purchasing power is exponentially decreasing.

What happens when you graph the value of an exponentially-increasing currency in terms of units which are exponentially decreasing at the same time?



345. Post 4210185 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: oda.krell on December 29, 2013, 10:49:26 PM
Errrm, nothing? Not super exponential growth at least, if that's what you mean.

And I honestly don't know what function would even look S like when mapped to log.
A constant purchasing power line would look exponential when graphed in USD terms.

If Bitcoin is increasing in exponential purchasing power terms, then the graph of Bitcoin compared to the USD should be "double" exponential.

We're looking at a composition of two functions, not a single standard function.



346. Post 4210295 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

f(h)=eh
h(x)=ex

f(x)=eex

That's a double exponential instead of a double-log S curve, but the same transformation applies there too.



347. Post 4210568 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: oda.krell on December 29, 2013, 11:13:52 PM
You composition actually makes the rate at which BTC increases dependent on the rate at which USD decreases. Was that what you had in mind?
The BTC exchange rate depends on two related but independent factors: it's inherent utility growth due to increased adoption, and the simultaneous degradation in the USD which it is referenced to.



348. Post 4210681 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: Peter R on December 29, 2013, 11:21:26 PM
[sarcasm]This means that we will eventually approach a singularity where the bitcoin price becomes infinite.  The only way for this to happen is for the USD to go to zero as well.[/sarcasm]
There are two possible outcomes for Bitcoin.

Either it fails completely, or else this happens. There is no stable equilibrium between those two extremes.



349. Post 4211239 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Placeholder variable/function.



350. Post 4243633 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Voodah on December 31, 2013, 07:45:18 PM
Harsh but true tho:

The average monthly salary in South America does not buy a single Bitcoin.
The average monthly salary in Africa does not buy 1/4 Bitcoin (and this is being good because of SouthAfrica significantly increasing the buying power).
The average monthly salary in India does not buy 1/10 Bitcoin.
This is why the key for bitcoin adoption there is to allow them to start their own online businesses that bypass the economic restrictions that would otherwise get in the way.

This means virtual corporations, smart contracts, and similar features are most important outside the first world.



351. Post 4243662 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: virtualfaqs on December 31, 2013, 07:53:25 PM
Historically The $30 drop in 2011 up to reaching $30 in 2013 was the longest it took to reach the same price. Holding for 1 year should put you in good position. Someone correct me if I'm wrong.
The historical probability of being up after holding for 365 days is 90%.

The average 365 day return is 2370%.



352. Post 4246336 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on January 01, 2014, 12:18:48 AM
False. Wall Street will jump on anything that can be pumped, especially if a bunch of silly derivatives can be attached to the underlying asset.

Get ready for a year of record breaking artificially high prices.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Just remember - Bitcoins aren't real unless you're holding them in your own wallet.

I expect no end to Wall Street's bad behaviour, and I expect lots of people are going to get burned, but at least with Bitcoin it is possible to protect yourself.



353. Post 4260552 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Haven't read all the backlog, so I'm not sure if this has been addressed or not:

There's a difference in terms of the threat posed by a pool that aggregates hashing power from many different individuals, all of whom could switch if the pool operator breaks evil, and that posed by large capacity miners who control all the hashing equipment themselves.



354. Post 4260749 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

We already have a widely-used proof of stake coin - it's called the Federal Reserve.



355. Post 4287683 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: molecular on January 03, 2014, 12:33:11 PM
If you look at volume in USD it's not anemic at all. It's substantially higher than during the post-silkroad-arrest runup in mid to late October 2013.

I'm not claiming we're in hyperdrive like November last year (this is yet to come), but to say this is some people who happen to have time during the holiday playing with the price at will is quite a stretch.

The volume ist not insubstantial.
So basically what we need to do is take this volume chart (all currencies, all exchanges): http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaadaehaa

And convert that to a composite "volume in currency" that uses a weighted average of all the currency pairs.

And then we'd get an accurate picture of volume measured in fiat.

Or as an good-enough approximation you just use the USD exchange rate as a multiplier.



356. Post 4299517 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: spooderman on January 04, 2014, 03:45:32 AM
Maybe about 60% red candles.
a.k.a barely distinguishable from random chance.



357. Post 4313786 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: T.Stuart on January 04, 2014, 09:20:43 PM

Keep hodling folks. This is Bitpay's problem only.
So I tried to follow that link and then this happened:



Is that what I think it is?



358. Post 4313950 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: niothor on January 04, 2014, 09:40:11 PM
Is this something I don't have a clue what it is? Yup.
Please enlighten a fellow bit coiner who hasn't yet recover from the new year party.
Something interesting is happening.

When I visit Twitter with one web browser, I get an SSL connection with a certificate signed by VeriSign, the same one that I've always seen from Twitter.

However, when I visit Twitter using Firefox, then the connection is inexplicably signed from a new CA. It's almost as if there's something in the middle of the connection trying to do something nefarious.



359. Post 4314133 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: molecular on January 04, 2014, 09:51:14 PM
the cert is just for *.twimg.com, though.

It seems I'm getting yet another one for that domain: Cybertrust Public SureServer SV CA



The really strange thing is that Chrome sees the expected Verisign certificate, while Firefox is being given one signed by a different CA.



360. Post 4314151 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: niothor on January 04, 2014, 09:52:55 PM
Tried even your plugin , seems ok for me.
Certificate Patrol can't tell you if a cert is valid or not, but what it does do is remember which CA signed a certificate and warn you of something changes in a way that looks suspicious.



361. Post 4315376 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: molecular on January 04, 2014, 09:51:14 PM
EDIT: akamai is an organizational unit of twitter now?

These content delivery servers are all over the world. Maybe there's a reason for a large network of those to have certificates from different authorities and your ip range got switched to a different one or something.
That's probably what it is.



362. Post 4323946 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: molecular on January 05, 2014, 11:58:44 AM
When you think of it: Bitcoin is just as silly. The scarcity is artificial, just as with diamonds.
What makes Bitcoin attractive is that nobody can create new units arbitrarily and spend them, diluting everybody else's purchasing power.

Inflation is so destructive because of what it does to economic incentives - why work to create useful products and services to earn currency if someone else can just spend newly-printed units and bid up the price of everything you want to buy?

This effect is present in Bitcoin too, but fortunately it's something that diminishes over time via a known schedule.



363. Post 4324191 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: Dalmar on January 05, 2014, 12:26:32 PM
The imaginary economic growth thanks to controlled inflation is what brought us to the information age. Using a deflationary monetary unit worldwide will just bring humanity back to neo-feudalism with the bitcoin whales being even crueler than the current elite who are at least kept in check by politicians. I sincerely doubt that bitcoin or deflationary cryptocurrencies will replace fiat altogether, it will just remain a complementary niche market.
Troll harder next time.



364. Post 4328010 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

The weekend dips sure are rough these days.



365. Post 4333087 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: fotosonics on January 05, 2014, 09:43:31 PM
As do the articles we are still seeing which hate on bitcoin because it is a "Libertarian" effort -- which it is not. Bitcoin came first, Libertarians just see it as conveniently fitting their politics.
Cool story.



366. Post 4407685 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: arepo on January 09, 2014, 12:14:33 PM
GHASH isn't going to sabotage their own reputation and profits -- the incentives just don't line up.
Don't be so sure about that. The problem is Wall Street and the mindset that it has spread.

Right now speculators are buying mining shares on cex.io. They don't care if they are actually overpaying for their shares because they don't give a shit about the NPV of those shares - all they care about is being able to sell higher than the bought (greater fool theory).

A lot of money is being thrown into Bitcoin mining by people who neither know nor care what they are actually doing.



367. Post 4408166 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: arepo on January 09, 2014, 12:56:54 PM
even if the obliviousness of speculators involved in cex.io really does result in a tragedy of the commons scenario, the returns are self-limiting. if they threaten the integrity of the whole project, no one profits, and the scheme collapses. i doubt bitcoin will be utterly destroyed, or even close, at this point, and so the worst that could happen would be a short period of blockchain instability that will be resolved after the panic dissolves the mining majority.
Traders who have spent their whole careers speculating with other people's money don't care about the long term viability of anything.

All they care about is whether they can sell anything they just bought for more than they paid for it. That is literally the only question that exists in their world.

These people can cause a lot of damage. When they're given access to unlimited taxpayer money (overtly or covertly) they can destroy the world's financial system.

Eventually Bitcoin will siphon away their ability to do this, assuming it survives through the short term.



368. Post 4408879 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: medialab101 on January 09, 2014, 01:57:44 PM
Did I miss something... what's this sell-off?
cex.io and ghash.io broke Bitcoin.

Not really, but that's what the headlines say right now.



369. Post 4408999 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: stereotype on January 09, 2014, 02:01:03 PM
Hope Gavins bat phone is working.
It's not really a problem that can be solved in code, by Gavin or anyone else, despite what all the PoS promoters say.



370. Post 4422712 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: windjc on January 10, 2014, 04:09:53 AM
I'll just say this. Based on the stereotypes of your misgivings, there is a lot for you to learn about Bitcoin. And if you study long enough your mind will probably change.
Not likely. Academia is hardly independent from the established interests which Bitcoin threatens.

"It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it."



371. Post 7077273 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Quote from: Richy_T on June 01, 2014, 07:02:34 PM
Ah, this is more like the good old days Smiley

Nothing like a flash crash to get the blood pumping.
The cool part about the Bitcoin growth cycle is that no matter how many times it happens, each time there's a new group of people who've never seen it before.



372. Post 7289962 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: alani123 on June 13, 2014, 12:29:20 PM
That's what ineffective competition leads too. Some people are just bashing ghash for being too good.
Maybe some are, but they're not seeing the real issue.

The problem is that many people would like to compete with CEX and ghash but they are hamstrung by the SEC.



373. Post 7291297 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: bitcoinsrus on June 13, 2014, 01:59:04 PM
Is the ghash directly from people using cex. Those fees are crazy.
The insanity at CEX is a direct result of them not having effective competition because all their potential competitors are legally shut out of the market.

As a result, you get a situation where people will pay 1 BTC to buy a fixed amount of hashing power with a net present value of 0.5 BTC, because apparently nobody buying mining shares at CEX has any fucking idea what they are doing (or if they do get it, they just don't care because they think there will be a greater fool they can sell to).



374. Post 7294082 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: Raystonn on June 13, 2014, 04:33:03 PM
At some point, if the current devs do not step up and resolve the issues important to the stability of Bitcoin, and the public perception thereof, they will find themselves out of a job.  Bitcoin only follows their actions so long as a consensus wishes to do so.  If more competent caretakers come through, we will shift to them.
They are going to be out of a job shortly after btcd finishes getblocktemplate and bloom filter support.

The "Core Developers" won't be able to filibuster any more.



375. Post 7295862 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: Adrian-x on June 13, 2014, 06:07:10 PM
thanks for the introduction, this is awsom, will BTCd be open, and do you know how further development will happen?
do you know if a client like Armory will work with BTCd?
btcd is already open source, and Conformal Systems has a fairly large team working on it. Their actual business is Coinvoice - btcd was developed for their own use and they're giving it to the community as a gift.

Armory could work with btcd now, except that it requires direct file access to the blockchain and btcd uses a different file format than bitcoind uses. Alan has talked about making Armory work as a network peer (no file access needed), and if they ever do that you could use Armory with btcd then.



376. Post 7298721 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: Hawkix on June 13, 2014, 09:43:45 PM
Why the HELL someone with Petahash needs pool at all? They should have been mining solo since start.
BitFury/CEX/GHash are all the same. They are three branches of the same vertically-integrated operation.

Rather than sell their ASIC chips wholesale, they use CEX to attract retail buyers and point all that hashing power at their own pool.



377. Post 7300414 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: shmadz on June 14, 2014, 12:18:52 AM
also withholding blocks, to manipulate the perceived hashrate and effectively attack other mining pools, is a problem
The block withholding attack might actually end up being what limits the size of pools in the end.

If it's no longer safe to accept random members of the public into a pool, then the pool membership needs to be limited to trusted hashers.

This means a larger number of pools for a given number of hashers.



378. Post 7312526 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 14, 2014, 07:32:40 PM
I would NOT call any body stupid or their actions stupid b/c of religion
Joining cults isn't an issue of intelligence. It's more a reflection of emotional health vs injury.



379. Post 7313668 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: gizmoh on June 14, 2014, 07:51:47 PM
This is a nice read for those who do not grasp the issue of concentration of power into one mining pool.

http://hackingdistributed.com/2014/06/13/time-for-a-hard-bitcoin-fork/
This is try #2 for them.

Their only chance of getting it right for once is via the stopped clock effect.

Note that their first attempt was an even more blatant market manipulation scheme.



380. Post 7313690 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: Gingermod on June 14, 2014, 08:02:01 PM
I would NOT call any body stupid or their actions stupid b/c of religion
Joining cults isn't an issue of intelligence. It's more a reflection of emotional health vs injury.

Studies say otherwise. There has been a negative correlation between religion and IQ for the majority of test subjects.
Do I really have to bring up the distinction between correlation and causation?



381. Post 7314190 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on June 14, 2014, 09:29:03 PM
I won't get tired of posting this: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/03/doomsday-cult-of-bitcoin.html
I won't get tired of posting this: http://21stcenturywire.com/2014/02/25/snowden-training-guide-for-gchq-nsa-agents-infiltrating-and-disrupting-alternative-media-online/



382. Post 7314673 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: BldSwtTrs on June 14, 2014, 09:47:36 PM
Can you please explain why they are wrong?

To me it seems they make good points, but I am ready to learn more.
Long story short, they make the same mistake in that post they accuse everybody else of making - assuming the situation is static instead of dynamic.

Two things of interest happened recently. The least interesting one is that a pool got too big, again, and financial and social feedback was successful in changing their behaviour, just like every other time.

The more interesting thing is that is just became widely known just how little it costs it for a malicious miner to sabotage a mining pool via block withholding.

The Bitcoin mining ecosystem is now going to have to adjust to that that new knowledge, and the result might actually bring about the smaller pools everybody wants without any protocol changes at all.

Also this:

Quote from: meanig on June 14, 2014, 09:59:50 PM
The guy has a history of spreading baseless bullshit to garner clicks. Just like the case of Professor Bitcorn, trolling Bitcoin seems to be good for an academic CV.



383. Post 7314841 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 14, 2014, 10:20:59 PM
The more interesting thing is that is just became widely known just how little it costs it for a malicious miner to sabotage a mining pool via block withholding.
Is that like a worker at a diamond mine stealing a diamond that he dug out?

More like a worker at a diamond vapourizing the diamond instead of digging it out of the ground.

He still gets paid his wage (which is slightly diminished because the mine earned less) but the total harm caused to the mine is larger than the amount he gives up in income.



384. Post 7315552 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 14, 2014, 11:13:40 PM
I presume that the destination address in the reward payoff transaction, at the start of the block, is specified by the pool, not chosen by the miner -- correct?
Yes, that's what makes pooled mining work at all.

Miners* can't alter the generation transaction and still have their shares accepted.



(*) whether or not it's accurate to call people who operate mining equipment and sell their hashing power to a pool instead of create their own blocks "miners" is a topic for another discussion.



385. Post 7315881 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 14, 2014, 11:35:40 PM
By the way, how does the pool make sure that each member is actually trying out all the nonces that he is supposed to try?
The member has to submit each one to the pool in order to get credit for it.



386. Post 7316634 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 14, 2014, 11:49:48 PM
But how can the pool check that the submitted (failed) hash is correct for that nonce, without redoing the work? 
Pools require miners to submit shares, which are solutions that do not meet the difficulty criteria for the Bitcoin blockchain itself, but do meet some lower target established by the pool instead.

A miner might need to calculate billions of hashes (not sure what share difficulty looks like these days) before they find a valid share.

This means the pool operators only have to duplicate a tiny fraction of the work of the hashers.



387. Post 7327118 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 15, 2014, 12:40:11 PM
Most of those businesses did not adopt bitcoin at all.  They merely agreed to accept dollars from the sale of bitcoins that people already had
And where do those dollars come from?

Not necessarily from the exchanges - why do you think BitPay et al. keep getting millions of dollars of outside investment? The payment processors are turning the dollars of their investors into bitcoins. Merchants might be doing the same thing.

What's especially interesting is Coinbase's announcement that they are making it easy for merchants to offer discounts, which is the same as valuing btc higher than the exchange price.

I think we're going to see price discovery move away from the exchanges and happen instead in the payment processors as investors get impatient about converting their dollars to btc so start telling the payment processors/merchants to increase their exchange rate to attract more sales.



388. Post 7332998 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: bitrider on June 15, 2014, 10:13:04 PM
Objectively, what are our chances of going lower?  I can throw in some fiat and buy some coins, but this is probably the last time I will be buying for 6 months or a year.  Ignoring the trolls, is there a legitimate chance of hitting $500?

DO NOT take any advice from anybody here! Don't ever ask other people here what to do with your money! I know you see all these lines and charts and mainly bears who act like they know it all but i can guarantee you that not a single person here knows where Bitcoin will go. Every bear here will tell you we will see 100% sure 500 again. That's because they're sad little creatures who do nothing but lie and manipulate because they want the price to go down.
The bulls obviously want the price to go up but will be a bit more modest and say we'll likely won't see 500 again. Either way any info you'll get is coloured and worthless.
The fact that you want to invest in Bitcoin means you believe it will be worth more in the future. If you do then you should buy. 500 or 560 is meaningless in the long run if this thing takes off. If you don't think it will take off then don't. Waiting is kinda pointless because again nobody knows what it will do.
now that is what sound advice looks like.

+1 Can't be said often enough.
How to profit from Bitcoin:

1) Buy Bitcoins
2) Hold them for two years
3) Note how much you've gained in real terms over the last two years, and be honest about how much less you'd have had you daytraded
4) Keep hodling



389. Post 7405458 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Just noticed the poll results are almost perfectly centred on 100%



390. Post 7425712 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: aminorex on June 20, 2014, 10:12:00 PM
Meanwhile, in the real world, everyone will ignore the IRS.  This is bad, because it is part of a pervasive and creeping contempt for rule of law.  In the end we all suffer for that.  The fix is to void all the ludicrous, often criminal in themselves, laws.  That would be roughly, let's see, one two three... all of them.
The USA in 2014 is the USSR in the late 1980s.

Nobody believes the charade any more, not even the people supposedly running it:

http://stockman.house.gov/media-center/press-releases/stockman-bill-allows-taxpayers-to-use-same-lame-excuses-as-irs

Quote
Under Stockman’s bill, “The Dog Ate My Tax Receipts Act,” taxpayers who do not provide documents requested by the IRS can claim one of the following reasons:

1.         The dog ate my tax receipts
2.         Convenient, unexplained, miscellaneous computer malfunction
3.         Traded documents for five terrorists
4.         Burned for warmth while lost in the Yukon
5.         Left on table in Hillary’s Book Room
6.         Received water damage in the trunk of Ted Kennedy’s car
7.         Forgot in gun case sold to Mexican drug lords
8.         Forced to recycle by municipal Green Czar
9.         Was short on toilet paper while camping
10.       At this point, what difference does it make?

Number 10 is what people say who are looking for an exit strategy.



391. Post 7438727 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: Miz4r on June 21, 2014, 12:41:37 PM
Being a HODLER has many advantages like no need to submit yourself to exchange risks and no need to wreck your brain and invest time into deciding when to sell and when to buy back. The disadvantage however is that you may spend a lot of time underwater or lose your entire investment one day if Bitcoin fails. But these people don't care as it's either all or nothing for them, and that's also a perfectly valid strategy if you ask me. Smiley
There's an implied advantage that you've hinted at here without bringing up specifically. If one does not need to devote time daytrading, then that time can be used for other things.

Regardless of whether Bitcoin succeeds or fails the entire investment is not lost, because the investment consists of Bitcoins plus whatever else was done with the time that was not used for daytrading.



392. Post 7499248 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: shmadz on June 25, 2014, 01:07:17 AM
Once recorded in the blockchain, that transaction is REAL
I'm sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but this isn't true.

Transactions in the blockchain never become fully real, because Bitcoin doesn't solve the distributed consensus problem. Nothing solves the distributed consensus problem because it's not solvable.

Bitcoin almost solves it, and transactions asymptotically approach a completed state, but no transaction is ever truly confirmed.





Close enough for practical purposes, though.



393. Post 7516145 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Those "regulated Bitcoin exchanges" on Wall Street are going to do to the price of Bitcoin what they do to the price of gold.

They'll be happy to take your real Bitcoins and give you dollars they borrowed into existence, and they'll be happy to give you paper Bitcoins for your Dollars, but when it comes time to actually redeem your paper Bitcoins for real ones it will turn out they won't have any.

Just like how the NY Fed doesn't have Germany's gold.



394. Post 7540587 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Normally when adults start talking to imaginary friends it's seen as cause for concern rather than investment advice.



395. Post 7540926 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: aminorex on June 27, 2014, 05:49:58 AM
Short, are we?
I don't actively trade other than to sell btc to cover the expenses for which I still need usd. I only come to this thread because it's more interesting that most.

I just think Bitcoin has plenty of real things going for it, so it doesn't need help from psychosis or cults.



396. Post 7569421 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 28, 2014, 06:55:52 PM
I am NOT poo-pooing the idea of taking preventative measures.  In fact, I applaud the taking of various preventative measures, yet when push comes to shove, we may be in a situation in which you gotta produce something b/c your hostage taker knows too much.. and it may even be related to someone who knows you well leaking information about you (which is a likely scenario.. an ex-wife.. or a nephew or some other ptiot confident)
The best way to resist extortion is to be incapable of complying.

There are some very useful things that could be done with multisig toward that end.



397. Post 7570777 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 28, 2014, 09:11:29 PM
That's the kind of thing that I am thinking too, regarding the most feasible preventative measure... somehow to make yourself incapable of complying... but still to be able to have access to the funds in the event that you need them.. without having to trust others... A problem with multi-sig would be if you have to trust others or the others could gang up on you and take control over your coins.
If you don't have friends you can trust, then you're going to have lots of general life problems outside Bitcoin.

We shouldn't need to trust random third parties not to inflate our money, but that doesn't mean we can live while trusting no one ever.



398. Post 7570892 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: aminorex on June 28, 2014, 09:29:50 PM
speculation forum, where the crypto-wealthy hang out to discuss how to evade extortion.
This thread didn't get to be over 9000 pages long (counting its predecessor) by only talking about market action, especially when nothing is happening.



399. Post 7606069 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: Torque on June 30, 2014, 07:29:02 PM
I am bullish.. and I love Bitcoin.

But I feel a red candle coming up shortly.
Kinda feel the same way, this don't look real to me.  But hell, 7 solid months of a skittish, panicky bear market can begin to make even the most diehard bull feel pessimistic.  So what do I know.  Tongue
7 months is nothing.

Summer 2011 until February 2013...



400. Post 7611922 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: hmmmstrange on July 01, 2014, 02:49:48 AM
It may just be me but “I’m not at liberty to say why" implies something went wrong.
They lost the private key or accidentally sent the funds to the Bitcoin Eater address.



401. Post 7624019 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: wobber on July 01, 2014, 05:14:28 PM
In 20 years, maybe.
Change that to months and at least you'll still be in the right order of magnitude.

20 years from now there will be no USD or USA.



402. Post 7624113 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

WalMart will start accepting bitcoin when their Chinese suppliers start asking for payment in btc instead of dollars.



403. Post 7624709 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: cAPSLOCK on July 01, 2014, 06:30:18 PM
20 years from now there will be no USD or USA.

Lol.  Thankfully this is virtually impossible.  But if you were right, I suppose you have no idea the sorts of war and chaos you are predicting.

USD could be greatly diminished, but sensible folks should hope this is a gentle transition.  As to the US being gone.  Woof.  That's just reckless and blind.
What did anything you said have to do with whether or not my statement is true or false?

Are one of those superstitious people who believes that if we don't talk about bad things they won't happen?

The USA is following the same historical trajectory as the USSR. Absent some rational explanation of why the same actions that have lead to a failed state in every other historical example will not have the same result here, I conclude that the USA will share the same fate.

I'd call your "I don't like that conclusion therefore it's not true" rebuttal childish, however that's insulting to children.



404. Post 7627241 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 01, 2014, 09:06:10 PM
The reason is because money (or bitcoin, or gold) is not real wealth, it is only a token that society will accept and exchange for real wealth.  The exchange is so smooth and universal that, for personal or corporate finances, it is justifiable to treat money the same as wealth.  But when considering a whole nation, or the world, one must ignore the money and focus only on the real wealth.
True.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 01, 2014, 09:06:10 PM
No matter how much  money the government creates of derstroys, confiscates or gives away, the real weath of the country will not change.  Fiddling with the finacial system, the currency, and the money supply can only change the distribution of wealth among the citizens
Tragically, myopically, false.

Wealth is not a static thing - it's a continually produced and consumed on a daily basis.

The amount of wealth that is destroyed, or more accurately: never created, by bad policy decisions is vast. It's just not always obvious.



405. Post 7640299 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: empowering on July 02, 2014, 02:11:15 PM
I am compiling a list of resources for a person that is totally not up to date and does not get Bitcoin/Crypto currency

The person has a finance background, and a legal background- the person is not technically minded

I have list of resources , videos, text, articles and good places to get key data.

has anyone any works they suggest may be suitable for this gentleman to read ?  (I get the feeling he is more of a reader than a video watcher, plus I have some good videos already- though if you have any amazing links please do share)

I am almost ready to send what I have, but just thought I would ask here if anyone has any good primers to add to my list or rather than me writing it all out again.

The gentleman is a man with very deep pockets and a group of investors, I have meetings planned with the person in question to discuss starting
a Crypto/Bitcoin relegated company here in the UK -

I am looking for good text primers for a person new to crypto but that has a good finance background,  not too basic, not too full on   have you any suggestions that I can add to my ever growing list ?  I do not want to send him everything, I am looking to cherry pick.

Already had one meeting with the chap in question, and before the next one I would like him to do some reading, so he knows more about where
his money is going to be going, before the next rounds of meetings- as the guy is pretty much a crypto newbie.

Thank you in advance.
http://bitcoinism.liberty.me/2014/06/20/cash-and-credit-in-a-cryptocurrency-economy-part-1/
http://bitcoinism.liberty.me/2014/06/26/cash-and-credit-in-a-cryptocurrency-economy-part-2/

I'd also link part 3 but it's still being written.



406. Post 7642528 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: Mervyn_Pumpkinhead on July 02, 2014, 05:05:13 PM
I would recommend you to look at better investment opportunities.
In my idea, the best way would be to invest in yourself. Obtain a needed skill, save up and start your own company. It isn't as easy as buying bitcoins, but it's A LOT more certain and you can have more control of your own wealth.
Because... what good is having control of bitcoin units, if you can't control the unit value? If you can't control bitcoin unit value, then you still can't control your wealth. With holding bitcoins, your wealth is just as much or even more out of your control, then holding your money in the bank. If you want to buy a commodity as an investment and stay in control, then buy something that's value isn't highly speculative. (golds value for instance is also highly speculative)
http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/the-correct-strategy-of-bitcoin-entrepreneurship/



407. Post 7645014 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 02, 2014, 07:51:05 PM
I'm worried by one thing: Volume is approx. at an all time YTD low. Why? Can this affect the imminent moon launch?
vol is fine, vol is more spread out than ever b4 with new exchanges coming online and stuff..
Anyone who cares about accurate volume stats should be using data.bitcoinity.org:

http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/volume/5y?r=week&t=a&volume_unit=btc



408. Post 7645090 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Ripple is the financial establishment's bait-and-switch ploy.

Ripple provides an improvement over the status quo in terms of technology without any inconvenient features like privacy or individual autonomy. They'll throw money at Ripple in order to make it shiny and user friendly as a way of keeping the masses from leaving their pens.



409. Post 7651269 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 03, 2014, 05:35:49 AM
To the veterans here, does this pre-bubble FEEL different than the previous pre-bubbles (under the assumption that a bubble is nigh)?

The difference is the 6 months of bear shit and goxxing and fud we've just had. This wasn't the case last time.
It was just good news and good news meant up.
In those 6 months people have been trained to dump on every news. It's hard to go up when people dumb in blind panic because of a press conference. Also lots of people who bought in at 700-1000 months ago and they want their money back. This is obviously something we didn't have before.

It does feel the same. There is just so much more stopping us from going up. And it sucks.
The people trying to make their money back i totally understand but those panic sellers...man.
Feels a bit like 2011 (post mania) - early 2013.

Two years of an almost uninterrupted stream of good news, with little price movement.



410. Post 7651534 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on July 03, 2014, 06:03:40 AM
I am fine with another plateau phase, followed by a big-ass bubble  Wink
That's indeed the best way to accumulate more bitcoins.



411. Post 7718696 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

http://bitcoinvox.com/article/838/french-police-closed-illegal-exchange



412. Post 7718851 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: Asrael999 on July 07, 2014, 02:45:02 PM
Not coins stolen
What are you talking about? The police stole the bitcoins from the exchange and it's customers.



413. Post 7725750 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/b-money/

Quote from: Wei Dai
I am fascinated by Tim May's crypto-anarchy. Unlike the communities traditionally associated with the word "anarchy", in a crypto-anarchy the government is not temporarily destroyed but permanently forbidden and permanently unnecessary. It's a community where the threat of violence is impotent because violence is impossible, and violence is impossible because its participants cannot be linked to their true names or physical locations.

Until now it's not clear, even theoretically, how such a community could operate. A community is defined by the cooperation of its participants, and efficient cooperation requires a medium of exchange (money) and a way to enforce contracts. Traditionally these services have been provided by the government or government sponsored institutions and only to legal entities. In this article I describe a protocol by which these services can be provided to and by untraceable entities.

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/bitcoin/

Quote from: Satoshi Nakamoto
References

1.    W. Dai, "b-money," http://www.weidai.com/bmoney.txt, 1998. ↩



414. Post 7741864 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 08, 2014, 05:45:35 PM
Anarchy on a larger scale often arises involuntarily after the collapse of a centralized government with a complex administrative infrastructure
Anarchy does not arise after the collapse of a government.

That's a flawed as saying that atheism arises after a church burns down.



415. Post 7746487 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: fff13 on July 09, 2014, 03:47:09 AM
My walrus says another 2 weeks tops, and we'll break $700.
 It could be much sooner though.........
My mercat says we should expect a movement either up or down in the next 24 hours, unless we trade sideways.



416. Post 7760600 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: minerpumpkin on July 09, 2014, 11:34:38 PM
Reminds me of the awful times in the realms of 450.
Reminds me of the awful times in the realms of $10.



417. Post 7764146 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Not enough people realize this yet:

Quote
Everyone admonishes people to not borrow in order to buy bitcoins. The reality is that money is fungible: if you buy bitcoins instead of paying down your mortgage's principal, you are a leveraged bitcoin investor. Almost everyone is a leveraged bitcoin investor, because it makes economic sense (within reason). The cost of borrowing (annualized interest rates ranging from 0% to 25%) is lower than the expected return of owning bitcoins.

This is the carry trade to end all carry trades. Once people start to figure that out...



418. Post 7893298 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: kehtolo on July 17, 2014, 12:34:17 PM
Maybe I'm going to look back in one year from now (or even 6 months)



419. Post 7893466 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: kehtolo on July 17, 2014, 02:08:52 PM
Cool chart bro.
Source: http://btcdesign.liberty.me/



420. Post 7896275 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: An old pal on July 17, 2014, 05:10:59 PM
This means "no holding onto excess liquitdity (profits) in BTC". You will have to denominate all business profits in fiat, pay the man his cut for doing business in his state, and then do with your remaining fiat as you like. But the state of NY seems to say you can't just pocket the BTC like it is property (what the IRS thinks it is) and walk away to pay the taxes another day. Bad news there....
Easily bypassed, with only a slight amount of imagination required.



421. Post 7914056 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: Adrian-x on July 18, 2014, 07:52:01 PM
just 3 years ago a $10 rise was = to 300% now its just meh, I used to piss my self with a $5 rise.
All this good news and we're still lower than we were two weeks ago.

The time to get excited is when we cross $660 again.



422. Post 7914241 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 18, 2014, 08:06:41 PM
I have been doubling my BTC holdings every day since December
Assuming you started with a single Satoshi on January 1st, you must own 8034690221294951377709810461705813012611014968913964.17650688 bitcoins by now.



423. Post 7918641 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: shmadz on July 19, 2014, 02:27:30 AM
Quote
Following today’s announcement, consumers and small business owners are able to purchase all items on Dell.com using bitcoin. To promote the news, the company is offering a 10% discount on all Alienware-brand products to bitcoin buyers.
From http://www.coindesk.com/computer-giant-dell-now-accepts-bitcoin/

Almost makes me want to get a new one... too bad the old one was so good, it really is hard for quality products to compete with Crap you just replace every other year.
Isn't Dell one of the companies whose products come with NSA-sponsored malware? That Alienware deal is a plot to steal your coins!

Seriously though - selling compromised computers to people known to own bitcoins is an attack vector somebody is going to try sooner or later.



424. Post 7936377 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: ag@th0s on July 20, 2014, 01:05:27 PM
That's what Big Trade is buying into - the utility, not the speculative opportunity, so I'm not expecting another "launch".  I'll be very surprised if we see $1000 again - there's no good reason for it at the transactional level.
That belief is certainly the goal which the present psyop against Bitcoin is attempting to achieve.



425. Post 7945493 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: dropt on July 21, 2014, 01:18:14 AM
That, coupled with the apparent inability for people to let their winners run caused him to speculate that if/when Wall Street level traders do show up, that the "day tradurrz" of BTC right now are going to get chewed the fuck up.

I can't wait.
Day tarding is just a bad idea in general.



426. Post 7952814 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: oda.krell on July 21, 2014, 01:44:36 PM
I feel there's a certain level of cognitive dissonance rampant on this forum: everyone welcomes the "free market" and "doing exactly what you think is right", but when it applies to BTC price, those who sell early rather than wait for a much higher price level are considered as acting almost anti-social.
We're in the midst of a civil war of sorts, with Bitcoin currently serving as the battleground.

On one side, there are people for whom Bitcoin is a succession movement (from fiat). On the other hand are the people who are working to maintain fiat hegemony.

The two groups have opposing goals, so naturally they don't see eye-to-eye.



427. Post 7953091 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: oda.krell on July 21, 2014, 02:16:56 PM
But when I want to make an informed trading decision, I need to take an "external" view, one that doesn't take into account the higher goals of the Bitcoin movement, but only considers the objective reality of the market situation (as in: the likelihoods of certain outcomes). This being the speculation subforum, I sometimes would hope for a bit more tolerance of this type of analysis.
Even considering the external view, there are reasonable discussions to be had regarding time preferences and opportunity cost.

Even if everybody accepts the end goal is to finish with the largest pile of Bitcoins, there are different strategies for doing so.

One person might try to sell at local tops and buy back in at local bottoms on a fairly frequent basis.

Another person might do this infrequently, only after large movements, and use their remaining time to accumulate more Bitcoins from other types of activity than trading.



428. Post 7953225 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: giveBTCpls on July 21, 2014, 02:35:06 PM
True, but what could possibly happen in 2015 to change this? Are you implying we'll have a trusteable exchange? What constitutes a trusteable exchange? Of course anything is more trusteable than some manchild that used to play Magic the Gathering, but im just saying, what would the ideal scenareo be on there?
http://opentransactions.org/wiki/index.php?title=Voting_Pools



429. Post 7978937 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: Eal F. Skillz on July 23, 2014, 01:01:16 AM
Since when Wall Observer thread became Politics & Society?
Wall Observer thread is secretly the forum lounge thread.



430. Post 8002169 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on July 24, 2014, 12:35:15 PM
12 mill ether @ 2000 eth/btc
= a *lot* of weed money for the guys at the Ethereum house.



431. Post 8004687 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: minerpumpkin on July 24, 2014, 03:26:18 PM
there are few sellers, hence the lack of volume.

Currently there's been not much volume (until a few hours ago), but the tale of the decreasing volume is flawed! Take a look at the cumulative volume graph across the exchanges: https://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/volume/2y?c=e&t=a&volume_unit=btc (Take a look at the 2y graph!) We're at least at the same levels as last year - if not even higher!
Far too few people seem to realize data.bitcoinity.org exists.

Try increasing the time increments to get a better picture:

https://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/volume/2y?c=e&r=month&t=a&volume_unit=btc

Only problem with their charts is the last point on the right side is always a bit distorted because the last interval is incomplete.



432. Post 8004875 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: BitChick on July 24, 2014, 03:43:50 PM
BitchicksHusband might even chime in but he is speaking at a Christian youth camp this week.
We live in a world where people can openly brag about child abuse with no expectation of being called out on it.



433. Post 8005671 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: BitChick on July 24, 2014, 03:51:05 PM
Is it abuse to tell kids that they have great value regardless of what others say?
Teaching children about Hell is common assault, because it causes a credible fear of injury. Children don't have the capability to distinguish between imaginary threats and credible ones, especially when the threats come from their primary caretakers.

Using threats of Hell to obtain obedience is extortion.

Teaching children about Heaven in order to obtain obedience from them is fraud.

Most Christians also hit their children, which is battery or aggravated assault, depending on the circumstances.



434. Post 8010379 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 24, 2014, 10:12:11 PM
On second thoughts, maybe that opening did not cause the drop.
Maybe this did:

http://www.coindesk.com/secondmarket-ceo-barry-silbert-resigns/



435. Post 8010492 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: gentlemand on July 24, 2014, 10:19:11 PM
He's resigning to throw himself fully at BTC. A strange reason to panic.
It would not be the strangest reaction the market has ever had to incoming news.



436. Post 8026988 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: empowering on July 25, 2014, 10:22:15 PM
wtf  Shocked Shocked  Grin Grin Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy  Cry
Beware - it can not be unseen:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FbuluDBHpfQ



437. Post 8027080 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: Taras on July 25, 2014, 10:24:36 PM
It is a russian game show
Nope:

http://wilkes888.wordpress.com/2013/07/25/weirdest-video-you-will-ever-see-but-is-it-art-nsfw-unless-you-work-in-the-arts/

Quote
“Montreal-based Compagnie Marie Chouinard is a firm fixture on the international dance scene, renowned for artistic director Marie Chouinard’s distinctive choreographic style, which explores the poetics of the body in immediate, intelligible and ever-surprising ways. Crutches, rope, horizontal bars, and harnesses liberate, restrain and define the dancers’ movements in Marie Chouinard’s debut at Sadler’s Wells.”



438. Post 8034461 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: kireinaha on July 26, 2014, 06:11:36 AM
bitcoin has never concluded a 12 month period at a lower price.
You must be new here.

Check out the price behaviour from 2011-06-08 until 2013-03-01



439. Post 8056695 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

I think we may never see < 7777 pages of posts in this thread again.



440. Post 8060584 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: fff13 on July 28, 2014, 03:39:40 AM
but when we had all the great news rolling in lately, you would think we'd be going up.
The longest Bitcoin has ever gone between all time highs was 21 months - from the summer of 2011 until spring of 2013.

There was a lot of good news in 2012 too, with little-to-no price action.

We're only 7 months past an ATH now.



441. Post 8061217 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: discobean on July 28, 2014, 04:45:18 AM
There has only ever been 1 all time high
Congratulations, you win today's "missing the forest for the trees" award.



442. Post 8061735 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Price isn't boring any more, and all the trolls are coming out of the woodwork.



443. Post 8061940 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: falllling on July 28, 2014, 05:51:12 AM
go buy one bitcoin, tell us few minutes/hours later see if you lose or gain
Easy question:

Anyone who buys 1 bitcoin has gained... exactly 1 bitcoin.



444. Post 8062386 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

For everybody who thinks Bitcoin is some kind of knitting circle, or similarly useless social club:

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/b-money/

Quote from: Wei Dai
I am fascinated by Tim May's crypto-anarchy. Unlike the communities traditionally associated with the word "anarchy", in a crypto-anarchy the government is not temporarily destroyed but permanently forbidden and permanently unnecessary. It's a community where the threat of violence is impotent because violence is impossible, and violence is impossible because its participants cannot be linked to their true names or physical locations.

Until now it's not clear, even theoretically, how such a community could operate. A community is defined by the cooperation of its participants, and efficient cooperation requires a medium of exchange (money) and a way to enforce contracts. Traditionally these services have been provided by the government or government sponsored institutions and only to legal entities. In this article I describe a protocol by which these services can be provided to and by untraceable entities.



445. Post 8068309 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 28, 2014, 02:37:59 PM
Goddamnit! I'm panic buying back my 2 coins!
I spent more than 2 coins on vet bills last month.



446. Post 8068531 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 28, 2014, 02:46:03 PM
Well as i still live with my parents and go to school 2 coins is a lot to me.
Then you're better off not trading.

Buy coins. Put them in cold storage. Come back in a year and check on them.

It's a lot less stressful that way and you can devote your attention to more productive things.

You've already got more bitcoins than most of humanity will ever own.



447. Post 8068703 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Seriously though, fixing this cost almost 3 BTC:

https://twitter.com/JustusRanvier/status/475740436192296960

Considering the future value of those coins, she's got to be the most expensive dog in history.



448. Post 8068776 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

She's fine now - this happened last month.

https://twitter.com/JustusRanvier/status/483701159480152065

We still aren't really sure what happened. It could have been broken glass, or a sharp rock, or maybe a snapping turtle (all of those could have been present where it occured).




449. Post 8068792 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on July 28, 2014, 03:07:51 PM
looks like the bottom is in ... got a big finger of volume in there too.
Also, the order book does look beautiful like you said.



450. Post 8069737 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 28, 2014, 04:01:42 PM
BTCD
Is there really an altcoin called BTCD?

That's annoyingly confusing:

https://opensource.conformal.com/wiki/btcd

Quote
btcd is an alternative full-node implementation of the bitcoin protocol written in Go and is currently under active development. We feel that by providing an alternative to bitcoind we can substantially improve the diversity and resilience of the bitcoin ecosystem and infrastructure.



451. Post 8070066 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: MoreFun on July 28, 2014, 04:27:33 PM
I don't remember 1000 market buy for months...
It was a lot more fun back when you'd see 10K+ market buys during manias.



452. Post 8070129 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: minerpumpkin on July 28, 2014, 04:31:46 PM
Yeah, makes you wonder if those times really have ended. Why is that? Maybe it really is just because the volume is spread across multiple exchanges now? I think we've seen those big amounts even after Gox went under, so no Willy rumors, please!
Well I haven't seen a 10K BTC market buy since the price was below $100.



453. Post 8072996 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

I like price increases as much as anyone else, but celebrating the return of the exchange rate to where it was 18 hours ago is a bit early.



454. Post 8077446 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 29, 2014, 01:14:28 AM
other threads still think we are heading down, hahaha we are one step ahead!
I don't think we can go down very far. Looks like support above 7777 is holding.



455. Post 8077964 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Does anyone like Flight Simulator?

Remember how there was this project that would let you query satellite photo imagery from map sites and overlay it over the map? Remember how cool that was?

Then do you remember how some asshole from Google sent a cease-and-desist and ruined it?

I wonder who that asshole was...

http://www.biosfarm.ro/~vuk/apps/sdk/FSX/Tileproxy/README.TXT



456. Post 8088587 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

If the price is rising on Chinese exchanges and falling on western exchanges, it could mean Chinese traders are using Bitcoin as a method of obtaining overseas currencies. Buy in China, sell in Europe.



457. Post 8089025 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

If Irving Fisher was here, he'd say the number of pages in this thread has reached a permanently high plateau.



458. Post 8092559 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

How and Why to Build an Unbanked Bitcoin ATM

...in which I combine electrical engineering, economy theory, and trading strategies.



459. Post 8094280 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 30, 2014, 01:11:54 AM
it's an interesting idea, but seems this ATM would end up buying high and selling low.
someone loads the ATM with 10BTC the ATM gives him 6,000$ cash, then that ATM is considered overload in BTC so it offers to sell the same 10BTC for 5,500$   Huh
you'd have to charge one hell of a fee to make buying high selling low profitable.
There's no such thing as "overloaded in BTC" - bitcoins don't take up space. Giving up cash would either cause the machine to increase the price more slowly, or reverse and start lowering.

You'd need to maintain a spread between the buy and sell prices, and probably also limit the amount of a sale such that you'd never get the situation where the customer could arbitrage the machine itself.



460. Post 8094879 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 30, 2014, 02:37:18 AM

Needs the Scumbag Steve hat photoshopped in.



461. Post 8103356 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 30, 2014, 03:14:35 PM
i wonder if the launch of coinapult's locks yesterdays has anything to do with all this selling.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-07-30/bitcoin-tax-free-transactions-face-test-at-top-eu-court.html



462. Post 8108103 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

What if all the Bitcoin companies who have been retaining profits in BTC are dumping for USD in anticipation of BitLicenses?



463. Post 8111020 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

On the bright side, the page count in this thread hit an all time high today.



464. Post 8111553 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: kireinaha on July 31, 2014, 12:49:32 AM
Just a reminder to all less experienced speculators out there: never throw good money after bad.
True.

Just remember which money lost more than 99% of its value compared to the other over the last few years as you perform this analysis.



465. Post 8119998 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: souspeed on July 31, 2014, 02:20:38 PM
It is the July rally!!!
It's too soon. I was looking forward to a low exchange rate right before getting paid.



466. Post 8124188 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

https://medium.com/p/bae91f981d1



467. Post 8139190 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: kurious on August 01, 2014, 05:02:21 PM
Choo choos are (as yet) premature...
...until we cross $700 again or thereabouts.



468. Post 8140453 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

https://twitter.com/Coinapult/status/495272931048837120



469. Post 8142647 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: ensurance982 on August 01, 2014, 09:16:09 PM
Another worrisome aspect of the blockchain statistics is that the "effective fee" for bitcoin payments is about 4% -- since the mining community earns 4000 BTC/day to process transactions whose estimated output volume (minus changeback) is 100'000 BTC/day.  Since mining is still a substantially free market, the actual cost must be not much below that value.  

Currently users do not pay that 4% fee, because it is paid by all the long-term holders of bitcoins, that lose 4000*365/12'000'000 = 12%/year of their value because of mining inflation.  (And, of course, that loss is more than offset by the price increase due to speculative demand.)  But since that fee will some day become a real transaction fee paid by users, it seems to be a bit too high for a service that is still often touted as "free" or "much cheaper than bank transfers".

But it gets worse if that 100'000 BTC/day blockchain traffic volume is indeed partly "fake" (transactions with no change in ownership).  In the final future when the mining costs will be paid by the users, the fake transactions will disappear and the cost will be borne by the real ones only.  But if 30% (say) of the volume now is fake, the "effective fee" now is not 4% but 4000/(0.70 x 100'000) = 5.7%.  If 50% of the volume is fake, the fee is 8%, and if 90% is fake, it is 40%.  So what is the "effective fee" now, and what will it be in that final future?

Putting on my triple-layer aerodynamic tinfoil hat, I would suspect that the blockchain traffic is being inflated with fake volume by The Powers That Wanna Be, in order to keep that calculation at 4% -- and thus preserve the illusion that bitcon can be a competitive payment method in that distant future.



That really is an interesting analysis. But I still believe it's more or less a self-regulating market. The only thing that concerns me is if miners really stop including transactions because the fees is too low...
The transaction rate of Bitcoin is artificially capped.

We can expect that 4% value will drop by orders of magnitude when that artificial cap is lifted.

Also, it will be cut in half soon (every 4 years).



470. Post 8147582 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Once upon a time somebody had a version of this image modified for Bitcoin, but I can't find it and I'm too lazy to make one myself:



Stability is boring.



471. Post 8174833 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: lightfoot on August 04, 2014, 04:02:24 AM
Out of curiosity, is anyone going to be at Defcon/Blackhat/Vegas this week? Want to spend some bitcoins on root beer?

I'll pack a pair of bitcoins and see what I can do.

C

Yamamushi is going to be there, trying to see if he can win the scavenger hunt for a sixth year in a row.



472. Post 8181584 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: sickpig on August 04, 2014, 01:55:37 PM

thanks Justus. this is big. I'm eagerly waiting for the day the documents about alleged market manipulation will be published.

tl;dr Jon Matonis Executive Director of The Bitcoin Foundation accused to manipulate the market through "The Exante Fund".

FYI the author have deleted the article from medium.com platform, strange.

Justus do you have any more info?
No, I found the link on Reddit and posted it here because it looked interesting.

I don't know what to think about the accusations.



473. Post 8186890 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/im-hoarding-bitcoins-and-no-you-cant-have-any/

Quote
One of the most annoying things about Bitcoin is that it’s so convenient to make payments with it that sometimes it is extremely tempting to spend it and avoid the hassle of using dollars. One of the ways to help deal with the temptation to spend is to demand a Bitcoin discount at any store that accepts Bitcoin. This is perfectly reasonable because not only is the store lowering its own costs by using Bitcoin, but it is asking me to give up an inherently superior commodity.

Hoarders are more important than merchants. If a restaurant downtown starts accepting bitcoins, this does not necessarily create an incentive for anybody to buy more bitcoins. Why would anyone bother if they can still just use a credit card? If you can convince a merchant to accept bitcoins and stop accepting dollars, then I’ll be impressed.

Unless a merchant is offering something that cannot be bought for dollars, or at least offering a discount, he is only benefiting Bitcoin to the extent that he encourages more hoarding. If he immediately converts the bitcoins he receives as payment into dollars, and if his customers only buy bitcoins so as to spend them at his shop shortly thereafter, then neither has much direct effect on Bitcoin’s demand. The real hero is the hoarder behind the scenes who buys from the merchant and enables him to convert his payments into dollars.



474. Post 8206623 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

An anonymous benefactor wrote up a trading algorithm for the unbanked ATM concept. Still needs to some work, but the basic concept appears to be sound:

https://gist.github.com/anonymous/e1f2dfb2b5b8d8a87aec



475. Post 8218302 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

I predict that in two weeks, Bitcoin will have an exchange rate.



476. Post 8241669 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: hdbuck on August 08, 2014, 02:12:01 AM
nahh 2k+ coins wall up to there
I remember the days when we'd see 10k buys, one after the other.

A 2k wall seems so pathetic in comparison.



477. Post 8289796 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

I'm thinking about selling some Bitcoin, and trying to resist.

I'm not happy about Newegg accepting BTC. Too tempting.

http://secure.newegg.com/WishList/PublicWishDetail.aspx?WishListNumber=24976852



478. Post 8293614 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: kurious on August 11, 2014, 10:26:42 AM

Ive mentioned it a couple of times on the forum already today, but I have it through very good sources that the majority of large miner coins that are being sold are being sold off exchange for a point or two premium by hedge funds.

A large miner recently confirmed that he had had several calls put into him by hedge funds looking to buy every coin he had. If they are tracking him down, their tracking others down as well. I think this is one of the reason selling has practically dried up relative to what it used to be. Big money is desperate not to have the price run up.

I have been dwelling on this analysis from Windic and of course it makes sense.

If the miners go to market with the current volume, then they won't get the price they might from off exchange sales.

But with these sellers and the corresponding buyers both off-market, then volume dries up.  It also means the price is far more easy to manipulate by dumping a few every time it looks like creeping up and buying them back once the rise has been stopped.

This will only change if off-market demand exceeds supply.

But at first miners will just have more bidders and may just auction at higher rates, but still off-market.

The only way this situation changes will be if the large off-market buyers see the premium asked by miners as excessive and break ranks.

And these large buyers are not so stupid.   So right now we stay in this equilibrium - large miners will not change it, they get guaranteed sales at market or slightly over and predictable, optimised cashflow.

Miners not selling off-market are supplying about what the market wants right now, hence (relative) stability.

So...  what needs to change?  Probably the point where it becomes inevitable that it WILL change.

At this point miners may hold and ask a premium - large buyers see the cosy arrangement is not going to last and then they start to break ranks and just land grab on-market.

So breakouts are being stamped on - it is inevitable it MUST be what is happening. 

Once it looks like this amazing accumulation 'party' is over, the shit will hit the fan.   

The longer it lasts the faster it will turn.  And events, of course 'events' can be the calalyst for someone to blink.

And so it will begin - we will have our choo choos again.
Speaking of pool operators selling coins off-market, I wonder how many of them are robbing their members?

I believe Eligius is the only pool that gives participants their payouts via the generation transaction, and all the rest of the pool holds the earnings of individual miners in off-chain accounts.

Surely with miners, just like with speculators, there are probably a lot of them content to let the pool hold on to their coins for them. They don't understand that the number they see listed as their balance isn't the same as actually having bitcoins.

Surely there must be pool operators who look at accumulating idle balances and are tempted to sell those coins off to the hedge funds who want them so badly.

What's the real downside to going fractional on their deposits? When they get caught they can just claim to have been hacked.



479. Post 8301084 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: sickpig on August 11, 2014, 07:34:30 PM
wow this is a beast :-)
Haven't actually bought it - just made the wishlist.

So far the necessity to pull coins out of cold storage to complete the purchase is just enough of a barrier to help me keep hodling.



480. Post 8302228 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 11, 2014, 09:28:04 PM
Speaking of Satoshi Nakamoto, I have a "historical" question.  When he set up the first mining node and started the current blockchain, did he see it as "the" blockchain, that one day would be used to buy servers from Dell, support investment funds, send people to jail, etc.; or did he think of it as an alpha-test of the protocol, that would be used only by computer nerds, only long enough to show that the idea was sound?

(IIRC there is nothing about that in the published paper.  Did he comment on that in his "epistles"?)


Yes.

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1r8iwt/satoshi_and_hal_finney_discuss_the_value_of/



481. Post 8325366 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

It's so weird how all the people who give up on Bitcoin as a failed experiment feel the need to stick around and comment on the discussion forums of said failed experiment.

It seems like it happens over and over again...



482. Post 8334738 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on August 13, 2014, 05:14:18 PM
A lot of people here probably don't even trade and just hodl cold storage coins.

Probably the majority.
Some of are using Bitcoin as it was intended - as a way to secede from the USD.

When your income is delivered via btc, and your expenses can increasingly be paid directly in btc, you gain independence from fiat currencies.

Does a dip matter to traders? Maybe.

Does a dip matter to people with a steady income? Not really. Low prices just mean you can accumulate more coins.

Bitcoin's real value is independence - income independent of location, savings independent of imaginary lines on maps, financial autonomy.



483. Post 8336104 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on August 13, 2014, 06:51:45 PM
Sorry man, I went to bed shortly after this post. but... Take a look at the mining pool chart, all big miners are pools, that pay out individuals, so they would not be able to buy those coins. The biggest private pool mines less the 20% of the coins. That is the biggest chunk they can buy from one entity. I am a miner and I hoard my coins, so they aren't buying them off market. This goes for 80% of the coins mined
What percentage of miners actually withdraw their coins from the pool and hold them in their own wallets?

Any pool operator that ends up holding a substantial amount of other people's coins will be tempted to sell them now and deal with the consequences later.



484. Post 8343321 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Maybe the price is going down because too much of the Bitcoin infrastructure is in the US and it looks like a civil war just started.



485. Post 8343359 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: falllling on August 14, 2014, 04:44:27 AM
bitcoin is going to end soon, you have to let go
No, you can't have my coins. Get your own.



486. Post 8343490 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 14, 2014, 04:58:21 AM
Wouldn't a civil war cause BTC prices to go up?  Even the appearance of such?
Apparently not, because it's happening right now.



487. Post 8344056 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: dmiceman on August 14, 2014, 05:36:17 AM
Wouldn't a civil war cause BTC prices to go up?  Even the appearance of such?
Apparently not, because it's happening right now.
What it all about? Have I miss something?
https://twitter.com/hashtag/Ferguson



488. Post 8344258 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: kireinaha on August 14, 2014, 06:19:18 AM
ghetto rats looting and burning down their own neighborhoods is called a "civil war".
That kind of trolling isn't nearly good enough to get the job done.

Too many people are getting first hand reports of what's going on to be fooled.

You'll need to up your propaganda game if you want to be effective.



489. Post 8348555 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: Dump3er on August 14, 2014, 09:50:07 AM
Trolls are market makers, but plain cheerleaders won't see it. We are smart, we are strong, we are legion.

You never know the real motivations behind trolls trolling or what they are doing.
You are boring.



490. Post 8357928 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: Schickeria on August 15, 2014, 12:26:20 AM
Let's see if I can become a guru ;-)
Easily done.

Create a bunch of sock puppet accounts. Have each one make 10 random predictions.

Throw away the ones whose random predictions are wrong, and keep the ones whose random predictions are right.

At the end you'll have a group of suckers hanging on the every word of the sockpuppet that accidentally got lucky several times in a row.

Guru status achieved.



491. Post 8358252 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

https://twitter.com/Bitstamp/status/499468752833228800
https://twitter.com/Bitstamp/status/499145124279238657



492. Post 8367551 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: inca on August 15, 2014, 04:22:53 PM
Even deliberate selling to move prices down requires coins.
You are putting way too much faith in the integrity of the exchanges and third part wallet services.

There is nothing that stops Bitstamp (deliberately or via subversion) from giving sellers infinite paper btc to trade with. They can get away with it as long as most people don't try to withdraw their coins. If they suddenly started making it hard for people to get their bitcoins back, that would be a possible indicator of this.

There is also nothing that stops Coinbase from loaning out customer btc deposits to short sellers. We'd never know if they had done so.



493. Post 8368122 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 15, 2014, 04:34:37 PM
So why is it so hard to entertain the possibility that we're seeing the breach of the dam as a result of built-up selling pressure? We had a good rally to $680, from there on things started looking difficult, selling pressure was extremely subdued at first (for a number of reasons, but imo, mainly because the "hodl" mantra actually took hold - no pun intended), but without further fiat inflow and subsequent positive price action, it is only a matter of time before the sell-offs kick in.

Or am I being naive for considering this the most likely reason for what we're seeing now?
You're probably right this time, but I want to make sure this possibility is on everyone's radar because the odds of it happening go up every day.

That the Federal Reserve Bank of NY stole 300+ tons of gold from Germany is not an imaginary conspiracy theory.

They promised to hold those bars. Not an equivalent value - the specific serial numbered one which Germany originally deposited.

When keeping that promise became inconvenient they defaulted.

This is the MO of Wall Street, and they will not change their ways when they get involved with Bitcoin.

What I expect to happen is that Bitlicenses are going to eventually force all Bitcoin startups to get acquired by banks, because Bitlicenses are impossible to comply with and banks are immune from their provisions. One day after Coinbase has been bought out, their users are going to log in and have to check a box indicating they've read the new Terms of Service. Buried deeply in the legalese where nobody will actually read it will be the provision that says they "might" rehypothecate your deposits.

tl;dr: Hold your own coins and don't store them with third parties, because if you don't you'll eventually discover you don't actually own any.



494. Post 8368923 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: rocks on August 15, 2014, 05:25:56 PM
But with bitcoin it will always be easy for people paying attention to take physical possession of their own coins in their own wallets. The only way to stop this is to make it illegal entirely, which exposes the scam. This is why I am betting on bitcoin more than gold this time around.
It's easy for people who are paying attention.

Yet, in spite of this, how many people who should have known better left life-changing amounts of Bitcoins sitting in the care and custody of Mark Karpeles because they were to lazy to set up a secure wallet on their own computers?

How many people will be tricked into the promise of interest-bearing Bitcoin bank accounts, pegged-to-gold or "easy" web wallets where they "don't have to worry" about their own security or backups.

How many Bitcoins are credited to the the accounts of Coinbase users vs the number that they actually hold?


In the long term, the manipulators lose. It's a question of how much damage they cause and how many innocent people get robbed between now and the inevitable.



495. Post 8386919 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: Norway on August 16, 2014, 08:06:15 PM
Any feedback from this shit?




The problem with that image is that there are only two possible fractions of the global currency market which Bitcoin can occupy in a stable equilibrium:

0% or 100%.



496. Post 8387586 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: Norway on August 16, 2014, 08:31:38 PM
I want to smoke what you R smoking ;-)
This is a good read:

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/the-problem-with-altcoins/

Take a look; you might learn something.



497. Post 8393009 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 17, 2014, 02:17:49 AM
Bitcoin is a weapon.

its purpose, to destroy.

its promise, a new beginning.

its method, decentralized consensus.

the corrupt fear us, the brave join us.

together we will usher in a future brighter than anyone can imagine.

free the market free the world, never stop believing.

On résiste ŕ l'invasion des armées; on ne résiste pas ŕ l'invasion des idées.



498. Post 8393189 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: 2dogs on August 17, 2014, 06:11:20 AM
Not exactly.
Smells like manipulation to me.
Coinbase can't even "provide exact price quotes right now"?
LMFAO
This isn't new.

When they originally started the service, they'd have a site-wide daily buying limit and as soon as it was hit nobody could enter new buy orders.

It got particularly bad during the spring of last year, so much so that people would create bots that you could run that would retry your order very 10 seconds until it finally went through.

I think it was last summer sometime they changed the system so that if they ran out of coins they could guarantee a price on (presumably, this would have been when they ran out of USD on Bitstamp to buy coins with) that you'd get the opportunity to buy but without a guaranteed exchange rate.



499. Post 8400418 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: mmitech on August 17, 2014, 03:43:27 PM
I couldn't explain it better than a member of the Slovenian Bitcoin Association, so I am quoting his post.

Quote
The conclusion is that price will stay unstable due to increasing adoption? I'm not so sure. At least it need not rise proportionally to adoption... One quite simple way to look at this is Fisher's formula for velocity of money: M * V = P * T.

M is money supply (fixed in case of bitcoin), T is num of transactions (rising in orders of magnitude). So to keep the equation balanced, the price (P) can rise but so can V (velocity of money, "frequency at which one unit of currency is used to purchase domestically-produced goods and services within a given time period"). Velocity has so far in history been rather stable, but given the usefulness of bitcoin for transactions (not very disputed even among critics), I wouldn't dare say V for bitcoin is going to be stable or at the same approximate level as for regular fiat money.

That's why I'm uneasy about projections like "the use of bitcoin will increase 1000x, therefore the price will rise 1000x". I believe the first part, but I don't think the second part follows necessarily.

V will be lower in a Bitcoin world than in a fiat world.

Right now inflation artificially increases V by encouraging currency holders to spend today rather than lose purchasing power tomorrow.



500. Post 8400860 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: mmitech on August 17, 2014, 04:19:00 PM
what does that mean  P= (M * V)/T assuming that the velocity will be much lower and transactions much higher then the price will:

a) stay somehow stable if transactions and adoption are almost equal.
b) rise slowly, with no bubbles whatsoever if the adoption is slightly more than the transactions.
c) can even drop a bit if adoption slow down and current holders start using it as a currency


which confirm the theory above "the use of bitcoin will increase 1000x, therefore the price will rise 1000x, I believe the first part, but I don't think the second part follows necessarily", dont you think ?
First of all, you're doing it wrong.

P is not the exchange rate of the currency - it's the price of good and services.

With M approximately constant, and with V approximately constant, increasing T means that the cost of good and services priced in Bitcoin will fall, a.k.a the purchasing power of a bitcoin has increased.



501. Post 8401588 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 17, 2014, 05:05:36 PM
Only in a very very far away future (and maybe not even then), if and when crypto/BTC accounts for the entire global money supply. Let's not count on that, mkay?
Um, no.

Bitcoin either expands until it becomes the money, or else it goes to zero(1).

Anyone who is not interested in, and working toward, the former doesn't belong in Bitcoin.

This isn't a game.



(1)http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/the-problem-with-altcoins/



502. Post 8401701 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on August 17, 2014, 05:25:58 PM
There's quite a big chance the truth will be between your 2 projected outcomes rather than one of them.
Just saying that doesn't make it true.

If you've identified some error in the praxeology, then write it your argument and publish it. SNI would even accept it on their site if it's any good.

Until you've shown your work, your statement falls into the category of "random shit some guy on the internet said" and can be trivially dismissed.



503. Post 8401837 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on August 17, 2014, 05:35:52 PM
Anyway, let me invert. What evidence do you have believe a niche utility or at least a non-complete takeover of Bitcoin is so completely infeasible you estimate the chance of it happening to be zero?
If you're not going to read my posts well enough to correctly characterize what I've already said, nor to examine the references I already provided, then I'm going to assume that anything else I say will be just as much of a waste of my time as what I already said so I'll cut my losses with this post.



504. Post 8402071 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: justusranvier on August 17, 2014, 05:23:49 PM
(1)http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/the-problem-with-altcoins/
Fixed the link so that even the lazy people can click on it.



505. Post 8404674 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 17, 2014, 08:22:00 PM
Fitting, given how lazy the argumentation in that article is.
What an amazing breakthrough in epistemology you've just made!

All this time, we thought it was necessary to rebut an argument, but in reality insulting the argument is just as good as logical rigour.



506. Post 8423858 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: 600watt on August 18, 2014, 07:33:30 PM
this catastrophic price movement (i am losing a fortune)
The price now is what the price was in May, and about 4x what it was a year ago, and 40x what it was 2 years ago.

What are you doing so wrong that you're losing a fortune under these circumstances?



507. Post 8423963 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: Torque on August 18, 2014, 08:48:19 PM
Under those circumstances, yes he would be losing a fortune.
Unrealized losses aren't real unless you make them real.

Some people are just incredibly impatient.



508. Post 8424350 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 18, 2014, 09:19:06 PM
china on the rebound

i move to top bid.

i need more fiat this is ridiculous... fucking around with last remain 150$



thanks
Sell the chair, take the proceeds and buy more bitcoins.



509. Post 8424608 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: blaaaaacksuit on August 18, 2014, 09:36:59 PM
Whats up with all the 14 activity posters here telling everyone its over, pack your bags and go home?
It can't possibly because they want to buy more bitcoins at a lower price.

They must really believe Bitcoin is a dead project, which is why they spend so much time hanging around on a Bitcoin forum.



510. Post 8444016 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 19, 2014, 09:31:52 PM
I wouldn't be surprised to learn that Coinbase now buys from BTCChina, instead of Stamp.
That would make a lot of sense.



511. Post 8444031 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: medialab101 on August 19, 2014, 11:12:25 PM


2 minutes and 45 seconds of my life that I'll never get back
Better: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-z9Jwp2x86o



512. Post 8445918 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 20, 2014, 02:16:07 AM
Pretty sure plan would fail because moon has enough energy to stop the Earth from spinning, but I'd need to math to make sure.



513. Post 8446051 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 20, 2014, 02:23:58 AM
you clearly have not taken any cyber space physics classes

all kinds of possibilities open up



I was wrong anyway. The Earth has enough rotational energy to winch the Moon down to the surface. (21x1028 vs 8x1028 J)

On the bright side, we'd have more hours in the day.

Quote from: grappa_barricata on August 20, 2014, 02:34:06 AM
Hey Justus, I just read your 'bitcoin is sedition' article and I wish to thank you, the best read in a while! And your analysis is very interesting!
Thanks. I'm glad you liked it.



514. Post 8446115 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: TheJuice on August 20, 2014, 02:39:49 AM
It's amazing it's so close.
I suspect something about how the Moon was formed in the first place has something to do with it. The difference in energy is probably came from whatever hit the Earth hard enough to knock part of it up there in the first place.



515. Post 8446889 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 20, 2014, 03:02:21 AM
isn't that what we want?
we want the world on board,
Do you want Mike Hearn's proposal to let miners vote to confiscate the block rewards of other miners, or mandatory blacklists?



516. Post 8449795 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 20, 2014, 09:19:28 AM
can't sell bitcoin because low, can't buy it bcause out of fiat, cant buy or sell LTC for the same reasons

technically i am in the best position i think i can be in, not a damn thing to do

so why can't i sleep!?  trying again....
Are all your coins safe in cold storage, so that you're sure you actually have them?



517. Post 8450962 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: manfred on August 20, 2014, 10:13:20 AM
Remember the days when bitcoin was down 93.08% from its all time high (closing price on June 8 2011 was $ 29.6 on Nov 18 2011 it was $ 2.049)

If you're going to accurately compare Bitcoin and Litecoin, then look at the LTC/BTC exchange rate instead of comparing them both to USD, which is irrelevant to the comparison.



518. Post 8451409 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: rpietila on August 20, 2014, 11:12:56 AM
If you're going to accurately compare Bitcoin and Litecoin, then look at the LTC/BTC exchange rate instead of comparing them both to USD, which is irrelevant to the comparison.

How is this so?
If you want to know if Litecoin was a better investment compared to Bitcoin, then look at that exchange rate.

Watching both of them move against the USD, and then trying to deduce from the two graphs which one moved faster is a process more prone to error compared to just looking at the relevant exchange rate.

The reason no Litecoiners don't display this chart is because it's not nearly as compelling:

http://cryptocoincharts.info/v2/pair/ltc/btc/btc-e/alltime

Litecoin started trading at 0.006 BTC and now, almost two years later, it's trading at... 0.008 BTC.



519. Post 8452210 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 20, 2014, 12:38:38 PM
just HODL
...off the exchange, so you can be sure you actually have the coins.



520. Post 8474687 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: GaliX on August 21, 2014, 07:13:12 PM
I heard they already had over 2 Million $ debts they have to pay. For lawyer marketing and so on.

So I guess they really need the money, it's not an investment for them. They need this money to keep everything running for now.
I heard that most or all of those debts are owed to the many of the same people who invested so many coins in the presale.

It's a neat trick that happens in political campaign fundraising:

Some company who wants to donate a small amount to a candidate actually donates a lot more, and then that candidate's campaign spends most of the money buying services from that company.

It helps the company launder income they'd otherwise have trouble accounting for and it makes the candidate appear to be more successful at fund raising than he or she really is.



521. Post 8490023 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 22, 2014, 06:58:50 PM
What's wrong Adam?

stress....
Do you have a life-changing amount of bitcoins deposited with Bitstamp?



522. Post 8494511 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 23, 2014, 02:41:44 AM
I have been away without internet access for 4 days.  I see not much has changed with the price or the posting.  Have you guys figured out this bitcoin thing yet?  

I heard it was some kinda Ponzi plan.

I thought it was some sort of pyramid

pretty sure its a circle with a B in it.
Blow stamps



523. Post 8543573 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Threebits on August 26, 2014, 05:07:42 PM
Tax system is necessary for human community, isn't it? I thought it was common knowledge.

Whether taxes are spent properly is a different issue, isn't it?

Those who survived without tax can not say other people do not need tax support. If they say so, they don't really need bitcoin as well, as they don't need community.

Humans are social, by nature. Bitcoin will have to go well with tax. But, it does not necessarily go well with fiat!

Rape is necessary for human romantic relationships, isn't it? I though it was common knowledge.

Whether the victims are chosen properly is a different issue, isn't is?

Those who can obtain consensual sex without rape can not say that other people do not need to resort to rape. If they say so, they don't really need sex as well, as they don't need community.

Humans are social, by nature, therefore rape is a necessary part of romantic relationships.



524. Post 8543791 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 26, 2014, 05:40:12 PM
realize that the free market does NOT accomplish the objectives the same as the public creation of various education institutions and infrastructure.  

I disagree. People in general realize education is important and will go out of their way to obtain it for their children (There is historical evidence for this by the way). And being discerning consumers and not the money firehose that is the government, they will ensure they obtain value for money.
In this case, I agree with JayJuanGee. The free market would never build educational institutions that resemble anything the government builds.

We know this, because the government has to use the threat of fines and jail both to force parents to send their children to those institutions and also to pay the taxes that fund them.

Our best guess is that education in a free market would probably be the opposite of government-provided education.



525. Post 8543999 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 26, 2014, 05:55:06 PM
I was assuming sane objectives Wink
That's a dangerous assumption to make, because it reinforces the basic lie about the state.

The state pretends to have the same goals and motives as the people it subjugates, but that's just an efficient illusion, or camouflage.



526. Post 8544510 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 26, 2014, 06:29:01 PM
Indeed, it was the creation of a government who traditionally considered health care not to be its concern, and therefore left it entirely to private enterprise.  As it always happens, left to its "self-regulation"  the health care market degenerated into an oligopoly, whose only concern is to maximize the revenue of their owners; who that maintains their dominance of the market by buying out the government.
This is a great example of why belief government is just as faith-based as any other religion you could name.

Literally no part of the myth above is true.

http://www.freenation.org/a/f12l3.html



527. Post 8545647 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 26, 2014, 06:50:58 PM
Taxation is NOT rape, and it is NOWHERE near even close to rape... and people are being disingenuous and deceptive when they are attempting to frame reasonable conversation with such inappropriate and diverting analogies.
They are both involuntary impositions of one person's will onto another person.

In the case of rape, the victim submits to unwanted sex either because they are physically incapable of stopping it, or because they've been threatened with even greater harm unless the cooperate.

In the case of tax, the victim pays either because the money has been taken from them before they had the opportunity to resist, or because they are threatened with greater harm unless they comply.


The analogy is perfectly accurate, which is exactly why those humans who use the state to prey upon other humans hate it. Their work is much easier if they can do it in the shadows, and cloak their predations in the illusion of respectability.



528. Post 8747786 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: Holliday on September 09, 2014, 04:57:56 PM
The signal to noise ratio on the entire forum seems to slowly erode as time goes on (Bitcoin becomes more popular/increases in value).
There are public sector employees/contractors who get paid to do that to forums.



529. Post 8749364 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: Holliday on September 09, 2014, 05:18:52 PM
The signal to noise ratio on the entire forum seems to slowly erode as time goes on (Bitcoin becomes more popular/increases in value).
There are public sector employees/contractors who get paid to do that to forums.

Do you think this is something that can be fixed (assuming it is something that should be fixed)?

http://cryptome.org/2012/07/gent-forum-spies.htm



530. Post 8765621 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: Wekkel on September 10, 2014, 07:13:35 PM
However, this is not the most interesting part of Bitcoin. The real innovation (from my perspective) is Bitcoin's programmability. Programmable money that - in a far future - can even be used by autonomous machines without central interference. That's a far more promising feature than shoving some 'value' from A to C against the lowest fee possible.
The most interesting part of Bitcoin is that it's the best form of money yet invented by humanity, because it finally neutralizes the printing press.

Programmability, fast transactions, low fees - they are all just secondary benefits.

Freedom from government-managed money is what makes Bitcoin important.




531. Post 8766526 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: Wekkel on September 10, 2014, 08:25:54 PM
I am afraid the average guy does not care.
First world problem, mostly.

There are about 7 billion people in the world, and the vast majority of them do care.

Those who don't care will learn their lesson soon enough.



532. Post 8766555 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Also: most of the "average" doesn't matter.

The under-30 generation is who decided the future, and they don't look eager to work their ass off to pay off the debts of their ancestors.

If the Millennials opt out of welfare-warfare state system...



533. Post 8787537 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 12, 2014, 08:03:37 AM
For many believers, bitcoin certainly has become a religion, in the most literal sense.   (People in this thread are relatively pragmatic, but what I have read in some other threads is far beyond voodoo..)
Bitcoin is not a religion - it is an insurrection.

Bitcoin's job is to make governments impossible to fund themselves - if you're a public sector employee then all of us in Bitcoin are working to imperil your paycheck and pension.



534. Post 8787993 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 12, 2014, 09:03:03 AM
Sorry, but the belief that it is possible to get rid of governments, and that society will be better without them, is religion. One cannot be convinced of that by argument or historical examples; one has to take it on faith.
You've gotten things confused - you're the one taking things on faith.

There are, in fact, rigorous logical arguments that prove government is incompatible with any consistent definition of ethics.

The fact that you've blindly asserted that those arguments don't exist, instead of asking whether or not they exist, shows that you probably wouldn't accept them even if you were unable to refute them.



535. Post 8788229 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on September 12, 2014, 09:31:11 AM
beneficial for every individual player
I disagree only with this part.

The people who derive unearned benefits from the current corrupt system, and who prefer those unearned benefits to a more fair system, will not benefit from Bitcoin.

Even if you could prove that Ben Bernanke would end up with more real disposable income in a Bitcoin world than a Dollar world, you still can't unilaterally conclude that Ben Bernanke would benefit from the change.

This is because value is subjective and only Ben Bernanke can determine whether a world in which he has less control over other people's money and more disposable income of his own, compared to the present, is a benefit to him.



536. Post 8791143 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 12, 2014, 10:11:44 AM
There cannot be rigorous arguments in that sort of subject.
Called it.

Maintaining your belief requires you to preemptively deny the possibility of being wrong, just like any other religion.



537. Post 8795139 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: oda.krell on September 12, 2014, 05:44:50 PM
There cannot be rigorous arguments in that sort of subject.
Called it.

Maintaining your belief requires you to preemptively deny the possibility of being wrong, just like any other religion.

Quite the contrary.  Believing that your belief is certain and objective, rather than just probable and subjective, is the mark of religion.

There can't be rigorous arguments in economics or other "soft sciences".  It is pointless to debate if we start disagreeing right there...

(Haven't you never read priests, politicians, and assorted pundits "prove rigorously" all sort of weird and contradictory ideas, from creationism to communism to why gun control is good/bad and beyond?  Why do you think that those sciences are called "soft"?)

Agreeing with Sr. Stolfo here. Economics, politics, etc. are at least partially based on an individual's set of preferences. Arguing which of those sets is superior to another won't work unless you appeal to a set of higher axioms, which eventually always turn out to be ideologically motivated.

That said, there is one case in which a rigorous political/economical argument can be made: in showing that one's set of preferences is contradictory.

However, the problem is that even in those potentially rigorous arguments, one will need to make some assumptions that are not easily seen as "objective", so we're back to the first point - that economical/political objectivity doesn't practically exist.
Did a thousand years of alchemy prove that chemistry didn't exist?



538. Post 8808883 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: Ragnar Danneskjold on September 13, 2014, 09:23:52 PM
But the evil of state-backed currency needs to be exorcized and expelled for something better.
The people who can look at the legacy of blood and death and misery directly caused by the nation-state and still advocate for it are the ones who are in a cult.



539. Post 8850642 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: FUR11 on September 16, 2014, 09:09:11 PM
Do you just think that Stamp is simply drying up, i.e. losing volume, or do you also believe that it may go gox? There's a big difference.
Has anyone posted this here yet?

http://www.coindesk.com/banks-cut-ties-isle-mans-bitcoin-industry/



540. Post 8850763 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: cmacwiz on September 16, 2014, 09:20:29 PM
What service did they provide to businesses accepting BTC?
I believe several exchanges used banks in Isle of Man to process their fiat.



541. Post 8851006 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on September 16, 2014, 09:37:36 PM
This seems like a complete U-turn <confused>
They were subjected to unannounced financial sanctions by the rest of the world's banking system, most likely because of that announcement.

I know of at least one startup that had their non-USD bank account (with a non-US bank) frozen just because one of their second round investors funded them through a bank that was located in Isle of Man.



542. Post 8852662 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 17, 2014, 12:38:54 AM
Adam you need to admit it.

From the Boston Fed paper: http://www.bostonfed.org/economic/current-policy-perspectives/2014/cpp1404.pdf

"The revolution in payments technology pioneered by Bitcoin helps to accelerate
the development of better technologies
for making payments and transfers cheaper, faster, and more
secure. For instance, a new technology called Ripple, essentially a protocol that allows disparate systems
to communicate in order to transfer funds and make payments, has recently been developed. One notable
point, made clear by Ripple, is that the development of new technologies for making payments does not
need to be accompanied by a new financial claim.
"

No one has a Fing clue!
...I dont have a clue

make up your own damn mind.

Ripple is a closed, invite-only network.

Regular people can't just download software and start running a validating Ripple node - they have to be invited in by getting added to the trust list of an existing validator.

Of course the Federal Reserve and US banking system in general is going to attempt to push for Ripple instead of Bitcoin - they are going to do as much as possible to divert and extinguish any movement towards P2P financial tools they can not directly control.



543. Post 8853028 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 17, 2014, 12:48:00 AM
i would not have been able to take a heavy position in Ether had i not had alot of BTC at my disposal...
You have a position in Ether?

That means you actually hold the Ethers in your own wallet, right?



544. Post 8853060 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 17, 2014, 01:30:48 AM
well actually i will hodl ether when / if they ever finish building the protocol  Tongue
You gave away real bitcoins for the promise of receiving some units of another currency which does not, and may never, exist.



545. Post 8853075 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: David M on September 17, 2014, 01:27:38 AM
"does not need to be accompanied by a new financial claim" = We will fuck over the innovators and risk takers so legacy system gate keepers (aka bankers) keep all the money.
Amazing how many people in the community were willing to sell out their integrity in exchange for Wall Street blood money.

Not everybody involved with Ripple was an obvious scammer when Ripple got started.



546. Post 8853106 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: uvwvj on September 17, 2014, 01:35:57 AM
well actually i will hodl ether when / if they ever finish building the protocol  Tongue
You gave away real bitcoins for the promise of receiving some units of another currency which does not, and may never, exist.

yes
I am taking an extreme risk on a sizeable amount of bitcoin.
i know...

Your only hope is ethereum releases and somehow dooglus finds a way to open Just-Dice using Ethereum while him staying in Canada - otherwise sorry for your loss.
Don't worry - it's not like Vitalik is trying to something completely silly like trying to base their mining algorithm on 12 dimensional hypercubes...



547. Post 8853176 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 17, 2014, 01:40:11 AM
they can be in dev mode for 3 years for all i care.
There are probably still people who believe that Pirate@40 is going to pull through and give them back their coins any day now.



548. Post 8954520 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on September 24, 2014, 02:33:53 PM
http://www.coindesk.com/us-banks-announce-ripple-protocol-integration/

This gonna be huge. And bullish as fuck, to quote adam.

Ripple may turn out to be what saves Bitcoin and fuels the next rally.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Ripple is the US banking system's attempt to avoid being destroyed by Bitcoin.

They think that if they make USD transactions easier then they'll be able to avoid losing the USD as a unit of account.

Note that Ripple's consensus system is a closed, invite-only network. Exactly what you'd want if you were trying to preserve a banking cartel's position in the world.



549. Post 8979338 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: mooncake on September 26, 2014, 06:19:07 AM
it means the mission to infest bitcointalk and sway it into a bitcoin-negative site is working ... Jorge and the team will get their bonuses from Uncle Sam

I wonder why it turns out this way. Initially it was such a quality forum.
https://firstlook.org/theintercept/2014/02/24/jtrig-manipulation/



550. Post 8979711 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

http://cryptome.org/2012/07/gent-forum-spies.htm



551. Post 8979861 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: mooncake on September 26, 2014, 12:47:35 PM
You have let the cat out. I wonder how the trolls will respond.
When you're observing reactions consider that I haven't made any comments at all directed at any specific post or forum member's behaviour.



552. Post 8997580 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: Boxman90 on September 27, 2014, 10:34:31 PM
every transaction paid with Bitcoin will be dumped on the nearest exchange immediately
I don't believe that BitPay gets all, or maybe even most, of their dollars from exchanges.

They probably have underwriters who want to accumulate bitcoins without going through the exchanges who buy them from BitPay.

They've had this kind of arrangement in the past - according to rumours some people became Bitcoin millionaires via this route - but I don't know if they still do it.



553. Post 9002964 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

All these n00bs that don't remember 2011...



554. Post 9003449 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: mmitech on September 28, 2014, 01:04:32 PM
All these n00bs that don't remember 2011...

You remember what happened 2011 ? good because whoever were present should know better than anyone else what a long bear market means.
It means the trolls should get better FUD, or at least something new.



555. Post 9003496 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: klee on September 28, 2014, 01:17:29 PM
cryptos are my full time job, I want BTC only UP UP UP.
Your living expenses are most likely pegged to fiat, so for the time being try to get an income that is also pegged to fiat.

That way when the price goes lower it just means you accumulate more bitcoins and add to your savings.

If the price goes up, then your savings have more purchasing power although you're adding to them more slowly.

Then you fundamentally don't care which way the price moves.



556. Post 9003522 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: mooncake on September 28, 2014, 01:27:54 PM
This is provided exchanges do not practise fractional reserve.
If the coins aren't in a wallet under your exclusive control, then you don't actually have any...



557. Post 9003654 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: creekbore on September 28, 2014, 01:31:48 PM
Your 'milestones' thread
Hasn't been updated in a while because the data came from a hand-updated spreadsheet and I haven't gotten around to updating it.



558. Post 9003738 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on September 28, 2014, 01:44:20 PM
Save you some work:  No need for any updates Smiley
It's more important right now to work on making fractional BTC reserves on exchanges impossible.

After that's done, then we'll see about milestones.



559. Post 9005165 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

How to benefit from Bitcoin exchange rate declines*:

1. Buy some more coins.
2. Remove them from the exchange and put them in your own wallet.
3. Goto 1

(*) Assuming you have a source of income independent from day tarding.



560. Post 9016693 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: creekbore on September 29, 2014, 01:30:25 PM
Users of this forum had no sympathy for those who suffered huge Gox loses (the general attitude was "we knew better, serves you right") and the idea that Gox may have impacted on the 'unwashed' does seem to have completely been forgotten by most here.
People who lost money on Gox had no sympathy for the people who tried to warn them for years that if they didn't hold the private keys they didn't actually have any bitcoins in spite of being attacked and ridiculed by the shills of whatever service was getting ready to scam their users next.

At some point maybe if the unwashed masses aren't willing to do their own research they don't deserve to hold bitcoins yet.



561. Post 9017927 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: oda.krell on September 29, 2014, 03:58:45 PM
Point is, as long as centralized exchanges are the best option we have to get our hands on bitcoins, we will have to have a slightly more nuanced view on them, in my opinion: ideally, get your funds out of the exchange as soon as you can, but general heuristics apply as well (how trustworthy do the exchange owners appear? where is it registered? are there delayed withdrawals, fiat or btc?)
Did anyone lose significant amounts of bitcoins if they were just using the exchanges for purchasing and immediately withdrew the coins they bought?

I've never seen such a story.



562. Post 9029497 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: Torque on September 30, 2014, 02:11:54 PM
No, if Coinbase gets bought by a financial institution, the public will never use them again.
The degree to which they have been making their service less useful and more intrusive recently fits with the idea that they are being groomed for acquisition by a bank.



563. Post 9044191 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 01, 2014, 05:11:11 PM
More BTC that's now worth less.
More BTC that is temporarily trading at a lower price.



564. Post 9057222 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: 79b79aa8d5047da6d3XX on October 02, 2014, 06:30:05 PM
 It has been longer than any other bear market in bitcoin's entire 5-year history.

not sure how you are counting.

BTC hit $32 on june 2011. It only hit that mark again on february 2013, 620 days later.  It has been around 300 days since last ATH.
Math isn't his strong point...



565. Post 9065663 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: noobtrader on October 03, 2014, 11:36:58 AM
"...that it may become impossible to seize coins from websites in the future. Such a feature could certainly prevent economic catastrophes like Mt. Gox. It also means the current US Marshals bitcoin auction may be the last one of its kind in history...."

https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/checklocktimeverify-means-bitcoin-escrow-refunds-fork/
I understand how timelocked refunds can make privacy-destroying tracking wallets like GreenAddress unable to steal deposits, to better convince users to voluntarily submit to the Panopticon.

I don't see any way at all they can be useful for an exchange, nor have I ever heard a satisfactory explanation.

Example:

1. Alices wires $1000 to Mt Gox, and receives credit for this deposit in her account.
2. Bob deposits 1 BTC to a 2-of-2 multisig address negotiated with Mt Gox with a time-locked refund and receives credit for the deposit in his account.
3. Alice places a limit buy order for 1 BTC @ $1000
4. Bob places a market sell order for 1 BTC.
5. Bob's BTC balances is now 0 and his USD balance is $1000
6. Alice's BTC balance is now 1 and her USD balance is $0

What's the state of the time-locked refund transaction?

If it changed at some point in this procedure, where and how did it change?

Did any step 3-6 need to be delayed in order to wait for blockchain confirmations of a new transaction?

Do Alice and Bob have equal protection against BTC loss throughout the entire procedure?



566. Post 9065834 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on October 03, 2014, 12:33:27 PM
Not sure but I'd imagine the exchange does settlements each block, the orders and matching is internal and the final settlements happen every 10 min or so. That would probably need contracts for the fiat side and should be able to expand to contracts for both sides to allow trading of regular stocks in the same way, the trades are settled with verifiable contracts recorded in the blockchain.

EDIT: Multisig would allow users to withdraw coins only with the exchanges sig (and the exchange to move funds only with the users sig), if the exchange disappears then the timelock function would allow users to access their wallets without needing the exchanges sig after a time value, maybe 30 days for example.
This is too vague to answer the questions, but I'll go with it anyway.

How do you suppose this "every 10 minute settlement" would work?

To illustrate one potential problem, let's add another detail to the example:

3a: Alice immediately goes offline after placing the limit buy order (so she's not available to sign any transactions).



567. Post 9068663 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Didn't Russia just propose banning Bitcoin?

I can see that might worry people on btc-e.



568. Post 9154004 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 10, 2014, 03:09:08 PM
i've got some damage control to do now
Make sure the private keys for your bitcoins are under your sole control, just in case.



569. Post 9154447 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: Adrian-x on October 10, 2014, 03:49:11 PM
Cheesy a little paranoid  Cheesy (must be single)
I've been lucky.

I've seen other people get blindsided and financially ruined when they could have protected themselves with just a few precautions.

Sadly in these cases it's when people are least ready to protect themselves that they need it the most.



570. Post 9154974 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: Cheeseonastick on October 10, 2014, 04:37:52 PM
Coinbase wouldn't let me buy today. They claimed that they had sold their daily limit. That means silicone Valley is buying.

Choo choo.

Where does coinbase get their coins? Directly from miners? Or do they buy from an exchange?
Coinbase buys coins from BitPay.



571. Post 9155579 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on October 10, 2014, 05:33:13 PM
I wasn't always what you call a "jackass". A long string of women turned me into one. Blame your sisters.
This sounds like a "fool me once, shame on you. fool me twice, shame on me" situation.

You only get to blame the first one. After that, it's your own fault for not learning from past mistakes and continuing to choose poorly.

Note this applies equally to women who blame the entire male gender for their repeated poor choices of partners.



572. Post 9245381 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: podyx on October 18, 2014, 02:22:43 PM


 Cheesy
How do to both:

0. Get a job / start a business
1. Convert all your savings to btc
2. Arrange to have your income paid entirely in btc
3. Every time you receive a salary payment, buy enough fiat to cover your expenses until the next payment. Hold the rest of the bitcoins as savings.

Exchange rate falls from $600 to $400? Congratulations - you just got a 33% pay raise.

Exchange rate rises $400 to $600? Congratulations - your savings are worth 50% more.

4. Laugh at all the daytarders



573. Post 9245557 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: mmitech on October 18, 2014, 02:51:39 PM
Yea, what a great idea...for the easiest way to lose money, when we advise people about investing only what they can afford to lose because of the risky nature of Bitcoin, you come here to advise them to put all they've got into it.... the best pump and dump pyramid scheme.
I'm glad people like you are around to make sure the wrong type of people don't become large bitcoin holders.

I don't want the future to belong to you or people who listen to you - keep up the good work.



574. Post 9245806 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: mmitech on October 18, 2014, 03:15:56 PM
don't worry, the future belongs to me and not because Bitcoin will be in it....
If that is indeed the case, why exactly are you spending your time here, on a Bitcoin forum?

Surely, if Bitcoin is destined to end up in the dustbin of history you could find more productive things to do with your time?

I wonder what mechanism could make it profitable for you to spend your (presumably) valuable time on the enthusiast forum of a doomed technology?



575. Post 9249586 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 18, 2014, 08:41:48 PM
Here's the problem with your reasoning:  The likelihood of Bitcoin becoming world's major currency is slim enough to make me (and my Lizard Overlords) laugh.  If it does become a threat to the status quo, it will be banned--already talk in Russia of criminalizing it.  It won't vanish, but it certainly won't thrive.

"The primary purpose of evil people is to instill helplessness in the morally energetic." --Stefan Molyneux



576. Post 9249807 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: 79b79aa8d5047da6d3XX on October 18, 2014, 11:38:04 PM
It is not an argument per se, it appears to be based on the (sensible enough) thought that Bitcoin becoming global reserve currency would entail a total revolution in the world order, and it is too improbable for this to happen.
The future will not resemble the pass.



577. Post 9270759 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

I'd rather get paid more bitcoins than fewer bitcoins, so as long as they want to keep the price low is fine with me.



578. Post 9293628 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: dprophet on October 22, 2014, 06:08:09 PM
This is about payments not bitcoin but there is a synergy of efforts. Bitcoin may be an beneficiary but cryptocurrencies need to "grow up" and have standards. W3C Web Payments is committed to help provide the standards so potential future payment technologies can mature.

The beneficiaries we are the targeting are the unbanked, unbankable, and those not having access to financial infrastructure. We cant achieve this goal without integrating into the core of the browser technologies layered with security to create frictionless & borderless payments. We will help connect up another billion+ people to the global economy.
No offense, but I've been watching the W3C since the days of HTML 3 and your track record of creating successful web standards has been... mixed.

It's not obviously apparent that a W3C Web Payments standard would be useful or relevant.



579. Post 9303994 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

It's amazing how many people who genuinely believe Bitcoin is dead don't have anything better to do with their time than to post on the forum of a dying, failed idea.

If I wasn't so sure that nobody has a reason to lie on the Internet, I might start to question their motives.



580. Post 9305298 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: empowering on October 23, 2014, 05:38:40 PM


Is that dear NotPorkChops?

I don't know what to believe any more...




581. Post 9306192 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 23, 2014, 07:03:26 PM
EBMF

Eat Beef Mother Fucker!
The end of the month is coming.

Given that my goal is to get paid as many bitcoins as possible, I always welcome a lower exchange rate at the end of the month.



582. Post 9309814 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on October 24, 2014, 01:46:01 AM
Wasn't the main purpose of LTC to extend the life of GPU miners after the advent of SHA256 FPGAs and ASICs?
No no no - the original main purpose of Litecoin was to extend the life of CPU miners - to protect them from the barbarian hordes of GPU miners.



583. Post 9314314 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 24, 2014, 12:50:20 PM
"Name and shame"?  Why are so many Bitcoiners eager to throw away the fruits of civilized society and take us back to the dark ages?
Very clever - you structured your post in a way that implies the people who want to out scammers to limit the damage they can do are "throwing away the fruits of civilized society" without actually lying.



584. Post 9314724 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 24, 2014, 01:23:45 PM
Laws, regulations, and a mechanism to enforce both are "the fruits of civilized society."
Voluntary free association creates civilization and all it's benefits.

Those benefits are so great that civilization can survive (for a short time) even under the predation of institutionalized violence.

In the end, however, the parasite always grows until it destroys the host civilization.



585. Post 9315607 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: mmitech on October 24, 2014, 02:25:21 PM
this is why states and borders exist, and some kind of enforced regulation has to exist so people can live with each other.
Here's the problem - you're confusing yourself for humanity. That's called projection.

Maybe you need enforced regulations in order to get along with other people. If so, that's a personal problem you should discuss with a competent psychotherapist.



586. Post 9316060 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: mmitech on October 24, 2014, 03:43:48 PM
you start with that and you end up with what we have today, because then you keep adding, for example education, health care.... the systems that we have today didnt just appear in one night, they are the outcome of development of centuries.

Yes, I also agree about changing some corrupt governments and improving things, but I don't think a free libertarian state is any kind of a help, in fact I think it will just make things worst.
You're exactly right. The US empire is the direct result of minarchism.

Cancer treatments has to kill every single cancerous cell, because if even one cell remains it will form a new tumor.

The only solution is to give up on the addition to the state entirely. Cold turkey.

This has happened before - slavery was a near-universal human institution right up until it was rejected for moral reasons. Then we learned how to live without it.



587. Post 9321056 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: jonoiv on October 25, 2014, 02:05:01 AM
This looks really bad...



what the rally that just started ? Smiley
A rally before the end of the month would be bad.



588. Post 9321079 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

I buy bitcoins with a paycheck, and so I'd rather the price stay as low as possible so that I can keep adding to my savings.



589. Post 9321214 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: pjviitas on October 25, 2014, 02:34:30 AM
Bitcoin was a great idea but its over...get on with real life
How sad your life must be to spend time commenting on the forum of an idea whose time has past instead of getting a real life of your own.



590. Post 9349148 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

The reactor is critical.



591. Post 9350735 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 27, 2014, 10:15:23 PM

Anything on requiring auditing yet? We're in-between exchange fuckups at the moment so it would be best to have that in place before the next one happens.

its probably more focused on KYC and AML then actually protecting consumers
Monetas is coding voting pools as fast as humanly possible.

Real-time automatic auditing which both prevents operators from stealing customer deposits and also prevents operators from refusing valid withdrawals.



592. Post 9356653 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 28, 2014, 01:22:03 PM
On a more serious note,
<==click
Discuss.
Non-economic actors are buying/borrowing bitcoins OTC, then using them to sell down the market at a loss.

It will work until all the weak and gullible hands have no more bitcoins, then it won't.



593. Post 9369231 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: UnicornFarts on October 29, 2014, 01:53:58 PM
so when do we hit the bottom people?
When people stop lending their coins out for shorting.



594. Post 9369443 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: catena5260 on October 29, 2014, 02:18:18 PM
I think it will be when people stop to have big profits by trading with borrowed coins
There are people trading with borrowed/purchased coins at a loss.

There is a network of entities that buy/borrow coins over the counter, then short with them regardless of whether or not they take losses.



595. Post 9377393 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on October 30, 2014, 03:11:51 AM
333. the mark of the beast half off?

yep, carlyle group is on board ... satan himself runs that place.

I said when the real Wall St. shows up you're not gonna be happy ... psyops, head-fakes, trading-bots, sick money.
Wall St. Can bring it.

I'm a Bitcoin earner, not a Bitcoin trader.

Low prices: my savings accumulate faster.

High prices: my savings are worth more.

Can't lose.



596. Post 9451890 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 05, 2014, 11:00:07 PM
Bitcoin is a clumsy throwback to the gold standard days.  The rest of the world has long since discovered the benefits of elastic money supply--benefits proven both empirically and through the works of John Maynard Keynes, the father of modern economics.

Bitcoiners, gold bugs and other Austrian School vandals now wish to destroy decades of economic progress, thrusting the world back into pre-Keynesian economic darkness.
This is absolutely true.

The ruling classes and their minions who control the issuance of money reap enormous benefits from an elastic money supply.

A fixed money supply truly is a dark age as far as they are concerned. Millions of people who will suddenly be forced to get real jobs, to earn only what their skills will generate via voluntary market exchanges instead of what they can enjoy by earn via the politics of pull.

For that class of people, Bitcoin is an unmitigated catastrophe.



597. Post 9453532 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on November 06, 2014, 05:26:06 AM
Jorge and ripple seem like a good match but in the long run they might both be dead.
I see what you did there.



598. Post 9456228 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: raid_n on November 06, 2014, 12:46:18 PM
I'm only trying to point out that people should avoid adopting a black or white stance on bitcoin.
It is not an all-or-nothing thing where either bitcoin succeeds or some other alt does but they do not want to accept the possibility of co-existence.
Unfortunately for your desires, reality does not cooperate with that position.

Money is an all-or-nothing proposition because of opportunity cost.

Every Bitcoin one holds is held at the exclusion of every other possible use for that money, especially other currencies.

The act of holding Freicoin instead of Bitcoin has a calculable cost associated with that action.

If the benefits of holding Freicoin do not exceed that cost, then nobody will hold Freicoin.

When we're talking about the opportunity costs associated with currencies, then it's even worse for small currencies.

The opportunity costs associated with not holding the largest currency increase greater-than-linearly based on the relative difference in adoption between the two currencies.




599. Post 9456720 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: raid_n on November 06, 2014, 01:05:50 PM
By your logic shouldn't we already have a single global currency because that is where we would logically converge to?

The world has been trying to converge to a single global currency for many decades. It takes concerted effort by national governments to resist this pressure.

A free market would converge to a single currency.

Quote from: raid_n on November 06, 2014, 01:05:50 PM
What I think is that you are implying the convergence to a monopoly, a single globally accepted digital currency.
If you're using the word "monopoly" you're thinking of this in the wrong terms.

Currencies are communication standards, like alphabets, or numerical systems, or the metric system, or charging plugs for mobile phones.

Competing standards introduce friction, which the market continually works to erase.

This is a widely observed phenomenon.

Quote from: raid_n on November 06, 2014, 01:05:50 PM
I don't think it is in the nature of humanity to agree. There will always be people wanting something else
How nice for you.

Hint: Maybe try something some epistemology?



600. Post 9457442 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: Thomas-s on November 06, 2014, 02:57:32 PM

 Monopolies were created by governments and do not arise in the free market absent government intervention
Not sure if serious.
http://mises.org/journals/rae/pdf/rae9_2_3.pdf

Natural monopoly theory is thoroughly debunked.

Quote from: Thomas-s on November 06, 2014, 02:59:26 PM
I don't get it, there are literally hundreds of examples for monopolies in free markets.
You misspelled "zero."



601. Post 9459772 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: oda.krell on November 06, 2014, 06:58:50 PM
It's not the buying of drugs online that puzzles me. Seems to beat the alternative of having to deal with potentially hazardous interactions with drug dealers on the street.

What escapes me is how they solve the problem of having to provide a shipping address at some point. That seems like the real weak point to me, as a buyer. (Yes, I know, PO boxes exist, but to my knowledge, renting one usually requires some form of ID).

Anyone knows how the actual customers solve this dilemma? Hoping they stay below the threshold for being targeted by LE?
It's generally less profitable for LE to go after the buyers as opposed to the sellers, so the buyers worry less than the sellers.



602. Post 9460778 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: rebuilder on November 06, 2014, 08:32:41 PM
One bust is a fluke. Two busts is worrying. Three... One may start to think the online drug market business is too risky.
Last year there were 4 operating markets and one got busted.

This year there were 18 operating markets and 3 got shut down.

Odds of getting busted fell from 25% to 17%.



603. Post 9480509 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on November 08, 2014, 05:40:48 PM
I wonder 2 things:

1: Will the traders try to kill Bitcoin for another year?

2: Will Bitcoin even survive another year of this shit. How much longer will there be buyers before everyone gives up? This can't and won't go on forever.
Killing Bitcoin that way didn't work in 2011. Why would it work now?



604. Post 9480658 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on November 08, 2014, 05:51:43 PM
It will just get worse till all the buyers are gone.
Bitcoin isn't immune to this shit.
"All the buyers" will never be gone.

I keep buying Bitcoins, once per month, in the form of receiving a (fiat denominated) paycheck in btc.

Every month I add to my savings a considerable fraction of what I get paid.

The evil manipulators can do exactly two things to me: they can cause me too add more Bitcoins to my savings each month, or they can increase the purchasing power of my savings.

Since I don't expect to need those savings for many years, I'd highly prefer the former over the latter, but I win either way.

Working for a living is so much easier than daytarding.



605. Post 9480920 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on November 08, 2014, 06:04:49 PM
What about all those little barracudas that do both, just to survive? Do you really consider them retarded, from the highs of your lucky-early-adopter-loaded position?
It's not a matter of how many Bitcoins I do or do not have - it's a known fact that day trading (in general, not specific to BItcoin) is a negative sum game.

Anybody who is not cheating is just achieving random returns.

Over long time scales, the lifetime returns of all investors converge to the same average value (except for the ones that manage to cheat).



606. Post 9480951 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: molecular on November 08, 2014, 06:32:44 PM
There's another way to "win" at this: get out while you're on top. Works in conjunction with "random results", but is hard to do, because when you're having a lucky streak, it's usually quite a bit of fun.. why leave?
Same strategy works on slot machines.

It's fine for people who understand they are gambling, but there's a tendency for people to start believing they that it's a game of skill instead of a game of chance.



607. Post 9480973 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on November 08, 2014, 06:33:27 PM
So, to be clear, day-trading is bad and bounded to failure but month-trading or year-trading ('investing') is all good and dandy. Is that correct?
I don't trade.

I emigrated.



608. Post 9481120 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on November 08, 2014, 06:46:40 PM
Well, lucky that you emigrated when price was a couple of orders of magnitude lower than now. Will you be of the same opinion if you emigrated when it was 1100$, or if you saw your last 6 months of job rewards shrink 20% in a day? I don't think so. But please keep defining others that struggle every day 'retarded'.
So now we have 2 major personalities here: the cocky early adopter that just nailed the universe, life and everything; and the whiny shroomkit whose mission is to 'talk' the price to the desired level.
You're making unwarranted assumptions about how many Bitcoins I own.

Anyway, it's a matter of time preference and planning.

If I would have chosen exactly 1 year ago to go all-in Bitcoin, it would have made no difference.

Suppose for the same of argument that it's 2013, my income is not pegged to bitcoin, I get paid in btc, and that I can save 50% of my earnings.

Jump forward today and using bitcoin as my unit of account, what's happened since then equivalent to a 3x pay raise, because the number of bitcoins I'd be adding to my savings now would be triple what I was adding a year ago.

Edit: Bitcoin is the best unit of account.



609. Post 9481266 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on November 08, 2014, 07:02:42 PM
Unless, of course, one use real buying power as a measure of value. Like in the real world.
Your "real world" is a world in which people have been punished for saving by inflation and credit expansion (actually the same thing) to the point at which actions that should be entirely familiar and widely recognized as beneficial are viewed with fear and suspicion.

The fact that living below ones means and accumulating savings to be drawn upon far in the future is considered extreme and unrealistic is a sign of how much the money has been corrupted.



610. Post 9481765 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: molecular on November 08, 2014, 08:14:16 PM
Like the dudes on wall street?
Especially them.



611. Post 9481945 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: octaft on November 08, 2014, 08:24:49 PM
I've been buying during this bear market, then I sodl for lower than I bought, then I bought back for even lower than I sodl, ending up where I started. This is about as good as you can hope for daytarding.


Just because you suck at something doesn't mean everyone else does.  ;0
The only thing that anyone sucks at here is basic math and statistics.

http://www.alphaarchitect.com/blog/2011/06/30/mission-impossible-beating-the-market-over-long-periods-of-time/

http://www.moneyshow.com/articles.asp?aid=No-Nonsense-32901

The number of expert stock traders who can consistently beat the market is statistically indistinguishable from zero. This result is only surprising because with the amount of blatant fraud on Wall Street you'd expect the cheaters to be able to muster more than 0.6%.

Stock trading is just gambling. Apparent skill at trading is an artifact of human brains seeing patterns in randomness that don't exist.



612. Post 9482144 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on November 08, 2014, 08:49:24 PM
If everybody is losing, who's winning?
The people who earn a cut on every trade, and the people who get out of the ponzi scheme first.

Here's what happened:

In 1978 the US passed a law that introduced the 401k.

The effect of this law was to funnel a huge amount of money into the markets in an attempt to escape taxation. This happened right as the Baby Boomers were approaching their peak earning years.

All this money being forcefully shoved into the market solely because of tax policy, instead of because there was something actually worth buying, bid up the prices of everything into the stratosphere, and all the people on Wall Street thought they were geniuses just for being there when the money spigot opened.

Most slot machines have a average payout of < 100%. Imagine if you were playing on a slot machine with a 120% average payout. Play on that machine long enough and you'll eventually delude yourself into imagining you're some kind of god of probability.

This was all well and good until the demographics shifted and all of a sudden there were more people wanting to pull money out of the market than were adding new money into it.

Naturally, the market crashed.

Now a bunch of rich, deluded, (mostly) sociopaths screamed, and cried, and stomped their feet, and threatened Congress with tanks in the street, unless they got bailouts.

Now the Federal Reserve prints new money into existence for the primary dealers to pour into the market to make up for the missing Baby Boomer earnings.

Thus, we all lose because of inflation (except for the sociopaths).



613. Post 9482238 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on November 08, 2014, 09:09:07 PM
I mean, in a zero-sum game where the majority is losing, somebody has to win. Every day.
Obviously if you only look at a single round of a zero sum game you'll find winners and losers.

The point is that nobody can remain a winner in the long term.

Play enough rounds and eventually your track record will converge to the same as everybody else's.

Mathematically, this must be the case.



614. Post 9482348 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on November 08, 2014, 09:23:06 PM
If you can do any of these things you already have an edge in the game. Those that have an edge win.
That theory is not supported by the evidence.

Study after study shows that everybody who thinks they have an edge eventually, inexorably, loses it.

The edge is an illusion.



615. Post 9483710 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: oda.krell on November 09, 2014, 12:38:35 AM
I'd prefer if a competent member of this community would put a bit more effort before forming convictions, on the other hand.
You're making unwarranted assumptions about my background.



616. Post 9487733 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: oda.krell on November 09, 2014, 01:16:27 PM
Do you consider a competent poker player a "gambler"? If yes, I'm okay with calling the act of trading that as well: both are (risk controlled) finite resource bets on a stochastic process, based on the limited ability to predict future outcomes of that process.

If, on the other hand, a competent poker player is not a gambler, while a trader is, I would like to hear what makes predictions of the 'poker' process different from predictions of the 'market' process. Or, if both of them are gamblers, but neither of them has a chance to be EV+ in your view, then I'd like to see an explanation of why a competent poker player beats an incompetent time after time, (almost) independent of the cards that have been dealt. Been there myself, lost some money in the process Cheesy
Poker is not a pure game of chance in the same way that a slot machine is a pure game of chance. (I've added enough disclaimers about cheating in prior posts, so mentally insert them where appropriate)

I don't know exactly what mechanism makes trading a game of pure chance, but the evidence shows that it must be.

The first way we know is that because if a strategy existed which consistently resulted in EV+, then one single entity could follow it and eventually own the entire market, at which point it's no longer market. Markets continue to exist, therefore no EV+ strategy exists.

The other way we know it's a game of pure chance is because when enough data is collected on the lifetime behavior of all traders, the results are consistent with playing a game of chance, with about the number of outliers one would expect given the sample size (every once in a while 20 random coin flips will come up all heads in a row).



617. Post 9488961 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: justusranvier on November 09, 2014, 01:51:47 PM
Do you consider a competent poker player a "gambler"? If yes, I'm okay with calling the act of trading that as well: both are (risk controlled) finite resource bets on a stochastic process, based on the limited ability to predict future outcomes of that process.

If, on the other hand, a competent poker player is not a gambler, while a trader is, I would like to hear what makes predictions of the 'poker' process different from predictions of the 'market' process. Or, if both of them are gamblers, but neither of them has a chance to be EV+ in your view, then I'd like to see an explanation of why a competent poker player beats an incompetent time after time, (almost) independent of the cards that have been dealt. Been there myself, lost some money in the process Cheesy
Poker is not a pure game of chance in the same way that a slot machine is a pure game of chance. (I've added enough disclaimers about cheating in prior posts, so mentally insert them where appropriate)

I don't know exactly what mechanism makes trading a game of pure chance, but the evidence shows that it must be.

The first way we know is that because if a strategy existed which consistently resulted in EV+, then one single entity could follow it and eventually own the entire market, at which point it's no longer market. Markets continue to exist, therefore no EV+ strategy exists.

The other way we know it's a game of pure chance is because when enough data is collected on the lifetime behavior of all traders, the results are consistent with playing a game of chance, with about the number of outliers one would expect given the sample size (every once in a while 20 random coin flips will come up all heads in a row).
I should also clarify that I'm talking about gains relative to the overall market. When the entire market is moving up due to the addition on money from external sources, it's easy for individual traders to see patterns that look like successful strategies, but aren't in fact.

Imagine 100 gamblers playing slot machines that start out at 99.5% payout, then as they continue to play the operators gradually increase the payout past 100% to 110%, then lower it back down to 100% and finally back to where it started.

That's what the infusion of the Baby Boomer's 401k money did to the market, and also to the perceptions of the people involved in it.

Every strategy that appeared to work from the early 1980s until the mid 2000s only did so because the market had been temporarily turned into a positive sum game by tax policy and other regulatory manipulation.

It was never real or sustainable.



618. Post 9503621 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on November 11, 2014, 02:06:07 AM

Department of Financial Services superintendent, Benjamin Lawsky, who has been leading the charge in an effort to regulate bitcoin, is reportedly resigning from his position in early 2015!

https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/bitcoin-regulator-benjamin-lawsky-resign-nydfs/

how do we ChangeTip Lawsky for doing the right thing and resigning?
How do we know he's doing the right thing?

I would not be surprised if his next career move is into the Bitcoin space somehow. It would fit the modus operandi:

1: Create a massive problem as a bureaucrat
2: Sell your amelioration services in the private sector
3: Profit



619. Post 9503965 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: solex on November 11, 2014, 03:01:24 AM
Occam's Razor: reconciliation with wife means abstinence from bct.
If this is true, I don't expect it to turn out well in the long term.

Those kinds of ultimatums generally don't.



620. Post 9523914 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

Quote from: notme on November 12, 2014, 08:17:43 PM
Please don't remind me how many I sold at $3.  I was turning a steep profit at $1... then shit tripled and I got excited Sad.
Too late for you, but maybe this warning will help somebody else:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NG1qooBzE2w



621. Post 9532033 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

Quote from: criptix on November 13, 2014, 02:12:36 PM
Ah i see my bad.

To my defnese though, im always getting  confused when i see the pictures you are posting ^_*
The troll who I'll avoid quoting is mistaken.

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/the-correct-strategy-of-bitcoin-entrepreneurship/



622. Post 9561853 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: dinofelis on November 16, 2014, 04:54:07 PM
A lot of investors think that the main purpose is payments, so they invest in diverse bitcoin related services companies. I think payments in itself does not drive the price, only the urge to hold bitcoins. Fortunately, that is a future side effect of creating many new payment customers, so I am happy with that.

... and we're back to the quantity of money formula !

The "side effect of holding bitcoins with the purpose of doing payments" is *exactly* what that formula expresses !

Of course the payments in itself do not drive price.  The payments (Q) plus the "holding" (1/V) that goes with it, does.

But this was also my worry: if bitcoin payments are going to be:
1) acquire bitcoins on an exchange
2) do your payment immediately with it (after a few blocks)
3) the seller receives the payment
4) after a few blocks, converts them back into fiat

Then this corresponds to a very high velocity (a very low time to hold) and you can buy *a lot* of stuff with a few bitcoins at a relatively low price that way.
It's hard to tell from this post whether or not your explanation is correct.

In your scenario, "you can buy *a lot* of stuff with a few bitcoins at a relatively low price" is true if by "price" you mean the price of a bitcoin in terms of stuff. A higher velocity means a higher P in the quantity theory of money formula, where P is the price of stuff in terms of money.



623. Post 9565367 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: coins101 on November 17, 2014, 12:17:15 AM
I will be taking profits at $1,999 and waiting for the retreat to $1,203 before getting back in again.
How many time has the Bitcoin exchange rate retreated back down to the value of a previous peak after achieving a new one?



624. Post 9565503 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: boogi on November 17, 2014, 12:27:54 AM
I will be taking profits at $1,999 and waiting for the retreat to $1,203 before getting back in again.
How many time has the Bitcoin exchange rate retreated back down to the value of a previous peak after achieving a new one?

3
Which three times are you talking about?



625. Post 9565611 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 17, 2014, 12:59:53 AM
He may be referring to ancient history.  More recently, the price peaked at 259 USD on April 10, 2013, and bottomed at 275 USD on October 5, 2014.  Not quite, but pretty close...
Close, but not quite.



626. Post 9569321 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: galdur on November 17, 2014, 12:21:05 PM
So, how about spending some time on discussing why BTC has no volume to speak of month after month.
BTC trading volume near an all time high on the monthly scale, with a clear 5 year long uptrend isn't good enough for you?

http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/volume/5y?r=month&t=a&volume_unit=btc



627. Post 9569413 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: galdur on November 17, 2014, 12:35:06 PM
Well, compared to stocks and forex it´s just pocket lint.

So, why doesn´t BTC have any volume to speak of ?

What keeps big investors off ?

Is it the totally unregulated and scam-ridden marketplace ?

Is it the primitive "exchanges" , which may or may not
exist tomorrow ?
Bitcoin is developing in a way that makes it naturally more resistant to those parasites.

I hope they stay away for as long as long as possible.

Let them stay in their own little sandbox and eventually 100% of the paper that nobody else wants.



628. Post 9575508 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: solex on November 17, 2014, 11:02:58 PM
Technically speaking, since this is meant to be a TA thread, we are on page 11,120 already.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=85687.msg1860699#msg1860699
Remember when a 1000 page thread was almost unimaginably long?



629. Post 9592343 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote
"As part of a civil forfeiture proceeding, Ulbricht and the government in January reached a deal in which the bitcoins on his hardware would be sold, with the proceeds to be held pending the outcome of his case."

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/11/17/us-bitcoin-auction-idUSKCN0J11UJ20141117
This actually means that Ross wants his coins sold at as low of a price as possible.

The money at stake is the prize which the prosecutors are competing for, and to maximize his chance of regaining his freedom he'd want their incentive to be as low as possible.



630. Post 9592445 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote
So you've already convicted Mr. Dread?
Or is it just poor reading comprehension?
If course it was a typo. I was thinking about your post and Miz4r's post at the same time.

Whether or not Ross is DPR, and whether or not he's committed any crimes, the prosecutors have a very strong financial incentive to convict him.

Their only goal is to convict him(*) - not to determine the truth of his guilt.

Knowing this, Ross should know that minimizing the financial incentive they have to push for his conviction is in his best interests, so he'd want the coins they seized from him to be sold as cheaply as possible.

* Well-known features of the US "adversarial" court system



631. Post 9592554 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: janos666 on November 19, 2014, 03:26:14 PM
I never understood how these US Marsals can auction these coins before at least one court officially finds him guilty. Is it normal in the US to sell these kind of assets before the end of the trial?
"Hey, I prooved I am innocent, so I can finally go home ... oh wait, they sold my house and took the money. Well... I won! Yeah..." Strange.
It makes sense when you understand that the use law enforcement apparatus is a machine that turns crime into profit.

It's goal is to extract money from its victims and disburse that money to its beneficiaries.

Direct victims are the people from whom theft is socially acceptable ("criminals").

Indirect victims are the people from whom theft is not socially acceptable, but who can be convinced to accept a protection racket which defends them from the "criminals".

Beneficiaries are the employees of the system, the contractors who supply them, and the customers who can hire out their services in order to attack their rivals.



632. Post 9592655 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote
And that, kids, is why US prisons are so disproportionately blacks/minorities.  Because wealthy Roll Eyes
And here I though you understood reading comprehension, since you just brought it up a minute ago.



633. Post 9594281 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 19, 2014, 06:18:42 PM
Civil servants do not get a cut of the money from the auction; that money goes to the Treasury (or to some general fund for the public good).  They are motivated by gold stars in their resumé, that eventually lead to promotions.  Catching and convicting criminals yields gold stars for all involved.  Carrying out a smooth auction of a weird item, with no complaints of bad press,  also yields gold stars.  They do not care if the auction messes the market or gets a lousy price, but they worry about doing something stupid that could stain their resumés -- such as auctioning a bunch of seized game tickets after the game, or auctioning so much stuff at one time that they cannot get enough bidders for it.
Are you suggesting that the total value of seized assets they process has no effect on the number of gold stars on their resume?

Civil asset forfeiture does not need to go directly into the pockets of civil servants to create financial incentives.



634. Post 9596874 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Did I just read a post complaining about Ripple shills by a "Monero Evangelist?"



635. Post 9610987 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on November 21, 2014, 09:29:49 AM
If this is what "non idiot traders/sellers" or "holders" look like, then what do idiot traders that he constantly whines about look like? Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

snipped

Hint: He hates himself.
Why do you quote ShroomsKit so much? Do you know whose sockpuppet he is?



636. Post 9615621 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: WeltMaster on November 21, 2014, 08:17:28 PM
Does anyone know of somewhere I can see combined exchange volumes?

Like bitcoinwisdow if they combined them somehow
http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/volume/30d?c=e&t=a&volume_unit=btc



637. Post 9626084 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: shmadz on November 23, 2014, 12:04:40 AM
If you could all hodl the price below 350 until payday at the end of the month, that'd be great.
Seconded



638. Post 9646732 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

Each one of the next few hours are the duration of 33093474372000 periods of the radiation corresponding to the transition between the two hyperfine levels of the ground state of the caesium 133 atom



639. Post 9661337 (copy this link) (by justusranvier) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on November 26, 2014, 03:08:56 AM
I see you understand. Thankfully you understand all too well that the main point of all of this is that by suggesting a more civil tone towards any potential woman who may frequent this forum, it is you who are the victim. I just hope every woman who reads our little discussion understands that they should either post pictures of themselves in bikinis in the forum or pretend to be a guy, so that your fragile manhood stays intact.
I have a difficult time reconciling your apparent strong concern for civility and avoiding offense with your choice of name.