All posts made by Erdogan in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 3318195 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on October 10, 2013, 08:36:23 PM
[..]
Never going to happen. Don't want to cause any confusion between me and Jaroslaw.

You are probably the only two who are confused about that  Smiley



2. Post 3327863 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on October 12, 2013, 10:20:45 PM
I hope so.. I'm long.   Shocked

The recent bullishness may be heavily correlated to this US gov't shutdown.  I suspect it is, and will continue as long as that anxiety continues.  The more fighting and bickering on capital hill, the more BTC is likely to appreciate in the interim.  People pissed off at politics like the apolitical nature of Bitcoin.

Time will tel, of course.  Put your money where your mouth is.   Cool

I think the current upward pressure is the result of news and new users dating back several months.



3. Post 3333464 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

This is the effect of the cctv program months ago.



4. Post 3334873 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Looks like the TA-ers here believe that 152.91324 USD version October 2013 per bitcoin was "speculators getting ahead of themselves". I think not. We need this pace of appreciation if we are going to get to 1000 in a reasonable time.



5. Post 3335517 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on October 14, 2013, 09:44:20 AM
Looks like the TA-ers here believe that 152.91324 USD version October 2013 per bitcoin was "speculators getting ahead of themselves". I think not. We need this pace of appreciation if we are going to get to 1000 in a reasonable time.

10 years reasonable?

No. 1 year.



6. Post 3347717 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

My oh my here we go down again (158). Crisis, sell, sell. It might take a whole hour before we are back again at 163!



7. Post 3351263 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

148, is this really connected to the debt ceiling debate? Cheezes, bitcoin is infected with liberals (current semantics).



8. Post 3365876 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

We are at high since the april crash.
Adam: Don't forget your numerous 180 predictions now when it is within reach.
Next: 200, massive publicity.
Next: 266, even the blondes turn their heads.
After that, USD/BTC passes the page number in this thread - a moving target.



9. Post 3366243 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: 01BTC10 on October 19, 2013, 02:56:20 AM
i am now a bear.


just incase no one noticed....


omg last I've seen you being a bear we went from 20 to 266  Shocked

I have said it before, Adam - just get in. You have followed this forum for years, for chrissake.



10. Post 3381730 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Kj1 on October 21, 2013, 06:18:18 PM
so if the price keeps rising, how would we ever use it as a real currency to buy stuff?
i'm pretty sure everybody who has them has them for buy and hold or making profit, not for purchasing goods - I certainly don't because in two months the price might have doubled, and I would curse myself for giving them away "back then" instead of using real currency.


Don't worry. There is a market with trades every minute. It means anybody can buy, anybody can sell whenever they want.



11. Post 3386899 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Now less than 5% spread between gox and stamp. WTF?



12. Post 3390856 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Third stab on 205.5. Can it be done?



13. Post 3390944 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on October 22, 2013, 11:53:33 PM
[...]
Last but not least, you can pick any multimillionaire, venture capitalist, Chinese, Winklevoss twin you want an attribute the price to him/her or it. If you think for one minute that a venture capitalist is going to sit back and watch their investment shrivel you are dead wrong. The companies, technology, implementation and legal battles being fought over bitcoin are much bigger than you, I, or anyone person on this forum and I can assure you that if, and when a significant price drop occurs they will prop up the market again and restore faith for the rest of the bitcoin community.
[...]
These people are just like you or the others on this forum, except they have more fiat. Did you think they have divine traits?



14. Post 3397719 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Still less than 10% down to stamp. China follows. Looks sound.

When we pass all time high, every fucking lowly newspaper in the world will have an article about it.




15. Post 3398160 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: MoreFun on October 23, 2013, 10:20:31 PM
Still less than 10% down to stamp. China follows. Looks sound.

When we pass all time high, every fucking lowly newspaper in the world will have an article about it.



Could be true, so if someone wants price down he needs to dump at max $250 without ATH. Right?

Why would anyone want to do that? Self-sacrifice?



16. Post 3398240 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: MoreFun on October 23, 2013, 11:22:22 PM
Still less than 10% down to stamp. China follows. Looks sound.

When we pass all time high, every fucking lowly newspaper in the world will have an article about it.



Could be true, so if someone wants price down he needs to dump at max $250 without ATH. Right?

Why would anyone want to do that? Self-sacrifice?

Why would anyone want high price now? Why not hoarding for a year or two in the $50 - $200 range? Just a thought.

Too late for that cheap coins now.



17. Post 3398503 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

It's too early to go to bed before 230.



18. Post 3400652 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

A weeks gain lost. What a waste of entertainment. Should've watched tv.



19. Post 3400722 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: macsga on October 24, 2013, 08:28:08 AM
Market      Last      Volume (24h)   Bid      Ask      High      Low

mtgoxUSD       186.8000    88,184.96       175.40    175.50    233.40    175.30
btcnCNY       1160.0000    46,644.16       1160.00    1166.00    1328.00    1010.11
bitstampUSD    169.9500    45,086.09       168.99    168.00    205.44    156.20
btceUSD       170.1090    29,341.98       166.00    167.00    204.00    152.50
mtgoxEUR       135.2000    14,390.43       131.11    132.66    167.90    125.00

This should be a record high afaic volume transaction history. I like it... Smiley

MtGox - the biggest and best exchange.



20. Post 3487598 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Holliday on November 05, 2013, 04:49:34 AM
After two days of hectic buying and now facing the psychological 250 barrier,If we don't see buys with volume today,then a retracement is very probable.
yes, if we do not go up, we might go down.

just don't forget about sideways...
No one ever predicts sideways.

We might go sideways for a while. Wink

How can we go sideways? Dollars to yen to euro to sterling to yuan?



21. Post 3487837 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: seljo on November 05, 2013, 11:20:38 AM
What happens when we hit 266?  Huh

Massive media exposure.



22. Post 3488335 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: oakpacific on November 05, 2013, 01:07:39 PM
I can't believe I am here again watching Bitcoin price rising towards $266, everything about it seems to be magic.
Magic, only to the uninformed. This was expected.



23. Post 3505061 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 07, 2013, 02:47:51 AM
Grin

you seem to have recovered your mood Adam

its to bad i sold shouldn't of been playing with triggers

I have some play btc left

and still very bullish!  Cheesy

300 when, Adam? Just get in.



24. Post 3535484 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: Its About Sharing on November 08, 2013, 06:57:13 PM
On the weekly chart we are just now starting to see the kind of growth that characterized mid to late March. (33% now vs 35%-46% then)

If things play out the same way now that they did then, we've got about 3 weeks left before some major exchange melts down and causes a panic.
In March, we went +55% in 4 days from 47$ to 73$ :
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg60zczsg2013-03-18zeg2013-03-21ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zvzp

In the last 4 days, we went +59% from 169€ to 269€.

Wow, you may be right, maybe this bubble WON'T pop! (right now) I should have checked previous bitcoin increases more thoroughly...

Well, I guess in that case I'll just diversify into gold and silver with those "useless" € I just got trying to sell at the top...

Add to my math, but keeping it simple. If we do 266(top)/73 = 3.64
Then we can say X/269=3.64...   X= $980
Is that our top?  Grin

I have to say that's the top I have in my mind. My initial plan is to realize some profits at $700, and some more at $970. I mean... x30 profit on average is good enough to cash in some fiat for me. But I will keep most of my BTC stash for the long run Smiley

Brother Rampion, hope you are well!

You bring up a great point. I really wonder about selling some at 700 ish (to make up for my initial investment, or maybe 1/2 of it). Then just watch the next 5 years unfold.

Now, when BTC goes to 10,000 dollars, that is when we need to start giving away BTC's to organizations to change the world. Just think of what Satoshi could do there...
Remember, this is a disruptive technology, let's disrupt.

IAS

ps - Yes, the mining investments were bad for me too. But, we will still make our money back at higher prices, so just look at it as a hobby that pays for itself.

At 10000 USD, I would consider selling a single coin. Depends.



25. Post 3581020 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: fluidjax on November 14, 2013, 02:39:35 PM
You should not under estimate that a rocket if using the correct propulsion system (infinite probability drive) can create whales.

"It is important to note that suddenly, and against all probability, a sperm whale had been called into existence, several miles above the surface of an alien planet. And since this is not a naturally tenable position for a whale, this innocent creature had very little time to come to terms with its identity."




infinite improbability drive



26. Post 3584710 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on November 14, 2013, 08:03:35 PM
Overall sentiment is changing in a bearish direction, very quickly all over this forum.  From people expecting a crash from rising too fast, to Mike Hearns, Coin Validation, etc.  The writing is on the wall. All it takes is for a whale or two to want to be first to take some profits.  In times like these, in USD I trust.   Wink

It seems you are really a dollarseeker, not a coinseeker.



27. Post 3584847 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: electronistul on November 14, 2013, 09:34:45 PM
Someone (with a crystal ball) tell me what's going to happen price-wise on stamp over the next 5 hours. Is China still pushing the price up ? I don't see that kind of movement just yet, but anyway it's 5 AM on a Friday morning over there.

My new crystal-rubber keynesian ball is in for repair (it bulges out some places, but generally seems to have shrunk), but my hundred year old austrian one is still round and shiny. To the question, it says "in the short horizon, I don't know, but long term, to da moon".



28. Post 3584882 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: souspeed on November 14, 2013, 09:33:24 PM

This is a good sign.

Bitcoin is taken seriously and they are already thinking about possible regulation!
Just to make sure that when this industry takes off the US will be part of it and not lagging behind!


They are soft now, but that is only because they don't know. It is possible they will impede bitcoin usage or even briefly forbid it, but as we know, this does not effect the price.



29. Post 3584898 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on November 14, 2013, 09:47:55 PM
Overall sentiment is changing in a bearish direction, very quickly all over this forum.  From people expecting a crash from rising too fast, to Mike Hearns, Coin Validation, etc.  The writing is on the wall. All it takes is for a whale or two to want to be first to take some profits.  In times like these, in USD I trust.   Wink

It seems you are really a dollarseeker, not a coinseeker.

It's all fiat. 
What law in what country says that someone wholly or partly has to use bitcoin?



30. Post 3584944 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 14, 2013, 07:53:10 PM
Why do people assume that this is going to be another march/April style 800% bubble? You are forgetting that back then the time in between the last ATH of $32 was an entire 2 years of consolidation. This time it was only 6 months. Were likely to see a 2012 style increase instead.

Uh, because it's already quite clearly proven itself not to be 2012 style. Look at a graph again.



youre not actually illustrating what you are saying. can you show us why it is not like 2012? you can't see price action in 2012 on that graph.

You should know I slaved away in Paint to bring you this.



This is quite funny! Yes, it feels like 2012, but it happened in 2013, only seven months ago.



31. Post 3587742 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: Coinseeker on November 14, 2013, 10:15:33 PM

What law in what country says that someone wholly or partly has to use bitcoin?

It's obvious you misunderstand the full definition of "fiat".  Fiat can be a government issued currency but it also is defined as a currency with no intrinsic value.  Bitcoin, like USD, only has value because we agree that it does.  Thus Bitcoin is simply another form of fiat currency.  Bitcoin though, is not debt based.  So thats good.

With word relativism, anything is possible.



32. Post 3618583 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

New development, arbitrage bot is buying on gox. Must be against btcchina.



33. Post 3661181 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on November 20, 2013, 02:25:04 PM
Every time it's a bigger bubble, bigger losses, and more negative publicity. Which is why they won't buy in.
Which is why they will never buy. Which is why there will never be mass adoption. Which is why Bitcoin will never become all of the things we had hoped it would.

What are you talking about? The 2011 bubble was the biggest bubble of all and those who bought at the top would be sitting on huge profits right now. This drop from $900 to $453 is also peanuts compared to the crash in April, so the bubbles are only getting smaller and the losses as well. There is no such thing as negative publicity for bitcoin.

The only people who bought in 2011 are people who understand Bitcoin.
Again my point is take yourself to a normal person thinking strategy. Okay let me spell it out for you.
You now only have a high school diploma. You work at a factory, walmart, you're a waiter bartender whatever.
You have 3 kids, a tiny house, and a minivan.
You live paycheck to paycheck.
You took your savings ($10,000 or so) you put it into this Bitcoin thing.
Now you have $5000 worth of Bitcoin/savings.
You think they are still holding and hoping?
You think they haven't sold and are screaming and cryin at the top of their lungs I lost half of my life savings Bitcoin is the devil to everyone they know?

This is why it is bad. Because the people investing in bubble rises are people who think they will get rich quick (99% of the population which is why lottery is the most profitable thing for states) and when "healthy corrections" happen it's devastating to the reputation to Bitcoin and the bigger they get and the harder they fall the more negative news and I promise you the 99% don't know, care or believe in BTC technology they believe in their dollar and you Bitcoin took it from them.

So what?



34. Post 3696297 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on November 24, 2013, 12:43:25 PM
Even if you do not catch the crypto currency wave early, you will still benefit of the fairness and wealth-creating/preserving aspects of this technology.

A new Golden Age.

It's true I was kind of ambivalent about investing at one point because I thought, "If Bitcoin succeeds, just about everyone is eventually going to be rich by today's standards anyway, whether they bought in or not." It's more about how fast you want to get there. If you invest now, you get to experience financial freedom in a year or two, instead of a decade or two.
Come on Zangelbert.  You can't possibly believe everybody is going to get rich?  I mean, sure, if bitcoin is a more efficient method of payment and finance in general, then it will benefit the general population, much like the internet itself has already provided many benefits to the economy. But it doesn't instantaneously transform everybody into millionairs.

Everyone but the last adopters will profit from the appreciation to varying degrees.

The last adopters will have the advantage of sound money, which is not available now. They can save normally and expect to have the full value when they later want to spend them. Now they have to save in the form of a too large house, which is wasting. (A rightly sized house is not good enough for saving for retirement, because you need the house also when you are retired). In Argentina, currently the peso users buy overly expensive cars, obviously a bad investment, but still better than keeping the pesos.

And the really big thieves in the banks will have to stop leeching and do something useful, like mowing you lawn for bitcoins. Abundance for all.



35. Post 3788647 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: aminorex on December 01, 2013, 03:04:30 AM
I am amazed to still find people posting about currency deriving its value from "faith".  That is a  preposterous  big lie which gains currency only from its constant repetition.  A currency per se derives its value from its use.  Not from faith orconfidence or backing in quatloos or fairy dust.  This is accurately and adequately described by the quantity theory of money:  PQ=MV.   The value thus derived is kept connected to the currency by the faith or confidence that the utility conditions described in this equation will persist over the users discounting horizon.

Bitcoins have uses other than use as currency, i.e. a medium of exchange, and therefore the fundamental value of  bitcoin is greater than the total M might naively imply,  but of course the quantity theory adequately accounts for this in the V factor.


V is the universally general flexible constant that makes your otherwise bogus formula always true. You know, the Fed is basically a Reichsministerium für Volksaufklärung und Propaganda at this point.



36. Post 3788943 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):

Quote from: aminorex on December 01, 2013, 03:28:23 AM
I am amazed to still find people posting about currency deriving its value from "faith".  That is a  preposterous  big lie which gains currency only from its constant repetition.  A currency per se derives its value from its use.  Not from faith orconfidence or backing in quatloos or fairy dust.  This is accurately and adequately described by the quantity theory of money:  PQ=MV.   The value thus derived is kept connected to the currency by the faith or confidence that the utility conditions described in this equation will persist over the users discounting horizon.

Bitcoins have uses other than use as currency, i.e. a medium of exchange, and therefore the fundamental value of  bitcoin is greater than the total M might naively imply,  but of course the quantity theory adequately accounts for this in the V factor.


V is the universally general flexible constant that makes your otherwise bogus formula always true. You know, the Fed is basically a Reichsministerium für Volksaufklärung und Propaganda at this point.

I guess you can be safely ignored then.  I suspect that I despise the neokeynesian kleptocrats even more than you do, but you had might as well cast stones at the ideal gas law.

Refer to http://www.cato.org/events/31st-annual-monetary-conference/schedule, panel 1, second speaker: George A. Selgin.



37. Post 3829230 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Re Greenspan. Does anybody here still believe that they know how to regulate the money supply to optimize the output of the economy?



38. Post 3869083 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: bootlace on December 07, 2013, 04:00:38 PM
I'm not fully convinced the correction is over, but Bitcoin is here to stay.  I've learned that much and after some of the ignorance I see posted around the web in the various comments sections of negative Bitcoin articles it actually makes me respect you crazy people here, even more.  Most people just have no clue how the money in their pocket and the system they live under is robbing them.  And they celebrate it.  It's saddening because they "rah rah" for a system designed to steal from them.  It angers me that this system still stands and these greedy bastards are still getting away with such corruption.  

I know, off topic rant.  Just wanted to say...keep fighting the good fight.  The people need us, even though most don't yet know it.

How many people here wouldn't give up the SHA-256 backdoor to the NSA for a truckload of money if they could? Yea, let's not pretend to be the new Gandhis of the world..

But...nobody was supposed to know that! It's to early, ssssh!



39. Post 3870062 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: User705 on December 07, 2013, 08:52:46 PM
I have a 12 year old Renault Scenic works as charm, I love the cheap parts if I have to repair anything, however I own this car for sometime I hadn't to repair anything except the check that I have each 15000 KM and maybe the brakes I had to change.

my wife want even a bigger car, but I am not even thinking about changing this one, it is working and it is serving its purpose.

Same here, I own a 13 year old Honda Civic since 3 years now. Never had anything break on it, cheap as fuk to drive around in...

Beats me why I would spend hard earned money on a status symbol like a fancy car. Even if I was rich i'd probably go for something midrange than a Ferrari or Porsche...
I wouldn't be surprised if this is a somewhat general characteristic of a typical 'bitcoiner'.  I have got a bunch of second-hand furniture, because it looks ok, does the job, and costs way less than new stuff.  Don't have a car either.  I would much rather invest the money that I save by doing so, in the hopes of becoming less dependent on income from my job, and doing only what I feel like doing.

Bolded part might be on to something. Bitcoin is by design encouraging saving and thus attracts people who would like to save. (But have only shitty ways of doing so thanks to the inflationary monetary system  Grin)
Not only does it encourage savings it encourages careful treatment of things including money.  People can relate to buying a tiny amount a while ago which is now worth a lot more.

It is the savers' revenge - at last.



40. Post 3870163 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: rocks on December 07, 2013, 09:08:37 PM
Bitcoin is by design encouraging saving and thus attracts people who would like to save. (But have only shitty ways of doing so thanks to the inflationary monetary system  Grin)

The is the argument against a gold (or bitcoin) standard by the FED and banking status quo.

Under today's credit fiat system, it makes no sense to "save" money in currency since it continuously inflates. Instead savers are suppose to invest the money into businesses, capital spending, stocks, etc.

The problem is today no one saves this way, instead savers (those with disposable income over expenses) spend money frivolously on vacations/restaurants/crap instead of saving for the long term, and many of those who do invest do so in bubble type assets (i.e. large houses).

The fiat credit system is suppose to work in theory, but in practice it obviously does not. Hence bitcoin. It provides a real escape for true savers.

Correctly observed. It is so bad, in fact, that the assets that the people (who know about the diminishing value of saved fiat) use to park their savings, houses, stocks and bonds, take on exchange value in addition to their intrinsic value, in effect becoming money to some degree. These are the bubbles, Mr. Greenspan. They pop when better money become available. In a sense, you could say that the exchange value is the bubbly value. Conclusion: All moneys are bubbles, they pop when better money arises.



41. Post 3870405 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: John999 on December 07, 2013, 09:13:26 PM
Bitcoin is by design encouraging saving and thus attracts people who would like to save. (But have only shitty ways of doing so thanks to the inflationary monetary system  Grin)

The is the argument against a gold (or bitcoin) standard by the FED and banking status quo.

Under today's credit fiat system, it makes no sense to "save" money in currency since it continuously inflates. Instead savers are suppose to invest the money into businesses, capital spending, stocks, etc.

The problem is today no one saves this way, instead savers (those with disposable income over expenses) spend money frivolously on vacations/restaurants/crap instead of saving for the long term, and many of those who do invest do so in bubble type assets (i.e. large houses).

The fiat credit system is suppose to work in theory, but in practice it obviously does not. Hence bitcoin. It provides a real escape for true savers.

Saving is good, hoarding like a lunatic is not.

Confession: My name (pseudonym) is Erdogan, and I am addicted to the austrian economics.

Everything that is produced, has to be consumed or invested (in capital goods). When you buy a car, you pay with your work. Or, even easier to understand: when a farmer buys a pair of rubber boots, he really pays with potatoes. The money is just oil in the trading machinery. Money has to be maximally tradable, and it has to keep its value in the short run and the long run.

The two main functions of money, medium of exchange and store of value, are closely related, and you can not have the one, and not the other.

When you save money, you let other people consume what you do not consume. All saving is for the purpose of spending later. Tomorrow, next summer, when you retire, or by your descendants in the next few generations.

Hoarding is just a derogtive name for for saving, and the hate is undeserved. What is bad with letting some needy child getting in front of you in the toilette queue?

The savers (hoarders) deserve to be able to spend the full value of their savings when they later decide to spend.

With bitcoin, of course, you will be able to spend more. That is because bitcoin, the new money, is in the implementation phase. When you save in bitcoin, you do not just save, you are also an entrepreneur. You are paid for your knowledge and vision, by giving the world a better money.

The bitcoiners saw all that they had made, and it was very good.




42. Post 3870539 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: kurious on December 07, 2013, 10:18:03 PM
Bitcoin is by design encouraging saving and thus attracts people who would like to save. (But have only shitty ways of doing so thanks to the inflationary monetary system  Grin)

The is the argument against a gold (or bitcoin) standard by the FED and banking status quo.

Under today's credit fiat system, it makes no sense to "save" money in currency since it continuously inflates. Instead savers are suppose to invest the money into businesses, capital spending, stocks, etc.

The problem is today no one saves this way, instead savers (those with disposable income over expenses) spend money frivolously on vacations/restaurants/crap instead of saving for the long term, and many of those who do invest do so in bubble type assets (i.e. large houses).

The fiat credit system is suppose to work in theory, but in practice it obviously does not. Hence bitcoin. It provides a real escape for true savers.

Saving is good, hoarding like a lunatic is not.

Confession: My name (pseudonym) is Erdogan, and I am addicted to the austrian economics.

Everything that is produced, has to be consumed or invested (in capital goods). When you buy a car, you pay with your work. Or, even easier to understand: when a farmer buys a pair of rubber boots, he really pays with potatoes. The money is just oil in the trading machinery. Money has to be maximally tradable, and it has to keep its value in the short run and the long run.

The two main functions of money, medium of exchange and store of value, are closely related, and you can not have the one, and not the other.

When you save money, you let other people consume what you do not consume. All saving is for the purpose of spending later. Tomorrow, next summer, when you retire, or by your descendants in the next few generations.

Hoarding is just a derogtive name for for saving, and the hate is undeserved. What is bad with letting some needy child getting in front of you in the toilette queue?

The savers (hoarders) deserve to be able to spend the full value of their savings when they later decide to spend.

With bitcoin, of course, you will be able to spend more. That is because bitcoin, the new money, is in the implementation phase. When you save in bitcoin, you do not just save, you are also an entrepreneur. You are paid for your knowledge and vision, by giving the world a better money.

The bitcoiners saw all that they had made, and it was very good.




Agree with some of the economics (although I am a Keynesian).

However, we are not gods - we are believers.  There is a difference.

Hehe, nonbeliever here, I just had to loan and adapt this elegant phrase from the bible.



43. Post 3872093 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: John999 on December 07, 2013, 10:31:29 PM
Bitcoin is by design encouraging saving and thus attracts people who would like to save. (But have only shitty ways of doing so thanks to the inflationary monetary system  Grin)

The is the argument against a gold (or bitcoin) standard by the FED and banking status quo.

Under today's credit fiat system, it makes no sense to "save" money in currency since it continuously inflates. Instead savers are suppose to invest the money into businesses, capital spending, stocks, etc.

The problem is today no one saves this way, instead savers (those with disposable income over expenses) spend money frivolously on vacations/restaurants/crap instead of saving for the long term, and many of those who do invest do so in bubble type assets (i.e. large houses).

The fiat credit system is suppose to work in theory, but in practice it obviously does not. Hence bitcoin. It provides a real escape for true savers.

Saving is good, hoarding like a lunatic is not.

Confession: My name (pseudonym) is Erdogan, and I am addicted to the austrian economics.

Everything that is produced, has to be consumed or invested (in capital goods). When you buy a car, you pay with your work. Or, even easier to understand: when a farmer buys a pair of rubber boots, he really pays with potatoes. The money is just oil in the trading machinery. Money has to be maximally tradable, and it has to keep its value in the short run and the long run.

The two main functions of money, medium of exchange and store of value, are closely related, and you can not have the one, and not the other.

When you save money, you let other people consume what you do not consume. All saving is for the purpose of spending later. Tomorrow, next summer, when you retire, or by your descendants in the next few generations.

Hoarding is just a derogtive name for for saving, and the hate is undeserved. What is bad with letting some needy child getting in front of you in the toilette queue?

The savers (hoarders) deserve to be able to spend the full value of their savings when they later decide to spend.

With bitcoin, of course, you will be able to spend more. That is because bitcoin, the new money, is in the implementation phase. When you save in bitcoin, you do not just save, you are also an entrepreneur. You are paid for your knowledge and vision, by giving the world a better money.

The bitcoiners saw all that they had made, and it was very good.




Let's say only 300000 people own bitcoins today and they all decide to hoard their coins for 20 years. How will this new money spread to the rest of the population?

Everybody has a price for letting go of some of their coins. The actual price of bitcoin is arbituary. You need only one of those people to let go of one coin, and the world will have enough to do their business. In short, hoarding bitcoin harms noone.

Compare that to gold, which have some intrinsic value, also called value for direct use. Many applications where gold could be useful, are now out of reach because gold has money value. For example, gold could be the perfect material for a heat pipe in a compact computer. But no, it is too expensive.

Now imagine if food was money. In fact, dried fish was in fact money around these parts a few hundred years ago. How many people starved because of that?

The perfect money has no intrinsic value. Hoarding coins harms noone.




44. Post 3872122 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote from: kurious on December 07, 2013, 10:50:14 PM
Bitcoin is by design encouraging saving and thus attracts people who would like to save. (But have only shitty ways of doing so thanks to the inflationary monetary system  Grin)

The is the argument against a gold (or bitcoin) standard by the FED and banking status quo.

Under today's credit fiat system, it makes no sense to "save" money in currency since it continuously inflates. Instead savers are suppose to invest the money into businesses, capital spending, stocks, etc.

The problem is today no one saves this way, instead savers (those with disposable income over expenses) spend money frivolously on vacations/restaurants/crap instead of saving for the long term, and many of those who do invest do so in bubble type assets (i.e. large houses).

The fiat credit system is suppose to work in theory, but in practice it obviously does not. Hence bitcoin. It provides a real escape for true savers.

Saving is good, hoarding like a lunatic is not.

Confession: My name (pseudonym) is Erdogan, and I am addicted to the austrian economics.

Everything that is produced, has to be consumed or invested (in capital goods). When you buy a car, you pay with your work. Or, even easier to understand: when a farmer buys a pair of rubber boots, he really pays with potatoes. The money is just oil in the trading machinery. Money has to be maximally tradable, and it has to keep its value in the short run and the long run.

The two main functions of money, medium of exchange and store of value, are closely related, and you can not have the one, and not the other.

When you save money, you let other people consume what you do not consume. All saving is for the purpose of spending later. Tomorrow, next summer, when you retire, or by your descendants in the next few generations.

Hoarding is just a derogtive name for for saving, and the hate is undeserved. What is bad with letting some needy child getting in front of you in the toilette queue?

The savers (hoarders) deserve to be able to spend the full value of their savings when they later decide to spend.

With bitcoin, of course, you will be able to spend more. That is because bitcoin, the new money, is in the implementation phase. When you save in bitcoin, you do not just save, you are also an entrepreneur. You are paid for your knowledge and vision, by giving the world a better money.

The bitcoiners saw all that they had made, and it was very good.




Agree with some of the economics (although I am a Keynesian).

However, we are not gods - we are believers.  There is a difference.

Hehe, nonbeliever here, I just had to loan and adapt this elegant phrase from the bible.


I know and I can forgive you.  It's nice to see economics theory here instead of mathemetics and physics for a change.  It is supposed to be a child board of 'Economics' after all...

Thanks mate.



45. Post 3872191 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Hemisferio Sauvignon Blanc 2012. Makes my words roll off my keyboard like stardust.



46. Post 3872217 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

And I applaud the new "unwatch" function.



47. Post 3872289 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

So what could be the fundamental reason for this crash? China? The news were positive in my view. Mr. Greenspan's bubbly comments? Does the man really have that much influence any more?

We know that there is a fundamental exponential rise for bitcoin, but we do not know the parameters of the exponential function: its starting point and it's daily percentage of increase. In addition to that underlaying function is of course the speculators.

Maybe the speculators (us) just got it wrong this time?



48. Post 3902215 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

There are four kinds of people in this thread:

Those that say the opposite of what they mean, hoping to move the market to their advantage.

Those that say what they think, because they know that a post here can not move the market.

Those who can not count.



49. Post 3902270 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: seriouscoin on December 10, 2013, 04:33:34 AM
Wow. Someone's desperately trying to push the price down.  Cheesy

I can see 1500 in the horizon and its not a mirage.....

If the 4 major exchanges all hit $1100 to $1200 again then it will be the 3rd occasion and bullish for another leg up. How many bubble top peaks ever end in a triple header? None.

+1 Smiley

If we break the ATH, we will be heading to $10k.... fck all these bears!!!


If whe break ATH, we can go to $10K. If not, we can not.



50. Post 3902366 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: Vycid on December 10, 2013, 07:55:07 AM
Wow. Someone's desperately trying to push the price down.  Cheesy

I can see 1500 in the horizon and its not a mirage.....

If the 4 major exchanges all hit $1100 to $1200 again then it will be the 3rd occasion and bullish for another leg up. How many bubble top peaks ever end in a triple header? None.

+1 Smiley

If we break the ATH, we will be heading to $10k.... fck all these bears!!!


If whe break ATH, we can go to $10K. If not, we can not.

Man, analysis like this is why I keep coming here.

 Smiley



51. Post 3911451 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: Chalkbot on December 10, 2013, 08:24:44 PM

This shows the most important thing , how much gas you can buy with your average wage.
http://www.bloomberg.com/visual-data/gas-prices/
And suddenly something that looks price becomes affordable Smiley

Wow. Venezuela: $0.04/gallon. Sick.

Even sicker is that you can get a new plasma tv at half the price.
Plasmas for everyone!!! And if the merchant doesn't agree he will get shot!
Do you have to do the shooting, or is there a 3rd party standing by for that?

When will the Venezuelans have their next TV import shipment? Never?



52. Post 3911591 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: KFR on December 10, 2013, 09:31:35 PM
This is why we need more female members.  So the little boys will start to behave like grown men. Tongue

I heard bitcoinity changed their default unit to millitits.



53. Post 3912197 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: I_bitcoin on December 10, 2013, 10:26:50 PM
China going to crack 6k.
Stabilizing around 1030- What a downer.



54. Post 3912228 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: KFR on December 10, 2013, 09:31:35 PM
This is why we need more female members.  So the little boys will start to behave like grown men. Tongue

Knowledge, foresight, balls - all male traits.

(Ok, you have been hammered enough  Smiley)



55. Post 3913432 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: Richy_T on December 10, 2013, 10:13:04 PM

How, huh? What?

I like to think I'm usually informed about European politics (EU uber alles! jk.), but what is this about? How can anyone "ban" commuting? Or are they cutting commuting subsidies?

Care to explain? (I have friends in Greece I could ask, but I'm too lazy to write Cheesy)

I know there are already places in Europe where only half the cars are allowed to enter the city on one day and the other half the next. Those with the $$$, uh, I mean €€€ simply have two vehicles, of course.

Hey I read that as only the left side half of each car one day, right side the other day. Had to stop and wonder.



56. Post 3917886 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on December 11, 2013, 09:07:07 AM
[...]
I have asked in the Economics board what would be the expected state of the "bitcoin network" 15 years from now.  No one knows what will be the value of a bitcoin, of course.  But people cannot even answer (with justification) the more basic question of whether the value will be stable, will grow of fall gradually with time, or will be as chaotic and unpredictable as it is now.

Bitcoin network or bitcoin value? Seems you are interested in bitcoin value.

Nobody knows of course, but we can speculate.

It will be volatile by definition as long as adoption increases. Rise is volatility.

Volatility will be reduced as the usage turns to real world trade. When you sell or buy consumables, you do not care so much about hourly swings, that adds some stickyness to all prices (all prices being the inverse of the value of bitcoin). Think that we now have a rocky river bed, we will go to a swampy river bed.

Price will rise, basically with adoption. Is the system useful? In that case high adoption. Think for yourself.

End game: Stable value, but not completely. There will be bitcoin scares just as there have been gold scares throughout history. World-wide sentiment change regarding necessity of saving will move the value of coins. Value may rise with population growth, productivity rise and lost coins. My guess 2-5% per year.



57. Post 3918218 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on December 11, 2013, 09:54:50 AM
Predictable changes, like a steady inflation or deflation, or seasonal variations. People can adapt to them. Volatility is unpredictable changes in value
[...]
I suppose you could define some measure of volatility that is the degree to which the value differ from the theoretical underlaying exponential adoption curve. This would be stretching the reality.

Quote from: Erdogan on December 11, 2013, 09:31:42 AM
Price will rise, basically with adoption.  My guess 2-5% per year.

Hold it. You fucked up my message here

Quote
Price will rise, basically with adoption.

This is during the implementation phase.

Quote
My guess 2-5% per year.

This is the end game, after adoption is completed to the level where number of new adoptors equals number of users leaving bitcoin.



58. Post 3918258 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: neutrinox on December 11, 2013, 10:15:38 AM
That is another stumbling block for economists.  Infation encourages people to spend or invest their currency as soon as possible, thus keeping the economy in motion.  Deflation has the opposite effect, it encourages people to hoard the currency.  If bitcoins increase in value, they will be hoarded, and therfore will be less used in trade, and therefore their usefulness will be limited, and therefore their value will collapse. How will this paradox get resolved?

Okay, you say nobody want's to buy due to deflation because price will be cheaper tomorrow. I say with the same logic nobody should want to sell due to inflation because price will be higher tomorrow. Yet people are selling things all the time. People are also buying massive amounts of phones and computers, even though they will be better tomorrow. In real life, very few people can afford to hoard and wait. We have needs as humans that can't be put on hold forever.

Best anti deflation scare argument ever.



59. Post 3918318 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on December 11, 2013, 09:54:50 AM
[...]

That is another stumbling block for economists.  Infation encourages people to spend or invest their currency as soon as possible, thus keeping the economy in motion.  Deflation has the opposite effect, it encourages people to hoard the currency.  If bitcoins increase in value, they will be hoarded, and therfore will be less used in trade, and therefore their usefulness will be limited, and therefore their value will collapse. How will this paradox get resolved?

Now I have to find every anti-deflationist economist out there, e-mail them and ask them to get into a discussion with me, resolve it, come back here and answer you. Would it not be easier to post your own thoughts here directly?



60. Post 3921287 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: mmitech on December 11, 2013, 12:58:03 PM
it really pisses me off the dump scheme some manipulators are following, the only victims here are the newcomers which we call the weak hands, being not used yet to the bitcoin's volatility,  they can lose allot in aa minute because of fear which will automatically discourage further investing and strength the troll about bitcoin value.


if I had 20,000 BTC and even if I wanted to go all FIAT I would do it in a way that it wouldn't effect the price even if took me 1 month to cash out, but these people in purpose dump few thousands of Bitcoin so they get to buy a sum at a lower price and cash a sum to FIAT.....



If you dump a lot of coins slowly, the price will probably go down slowly. After a few slow dumps like that, you just say what the heck, and dump it all at once.



61. Post 3946018 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: I_bitcoin on December 12, 2013, 09:41:55 PM
Meanwhile @ Yahoo Finance:



That's frackin great. 10% is way high!   Can you imagine if 10% of fund managers agreed?

I used this link to get to the vote...


http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-fund-raises-65-mln-205149343.html;_ylt=AwrSyCVULapSc28AQ9aTmYlQ



From the article:

"To invest in the BIT, individuals have to prove their net worth is $1 million, not counting primary residence, or that they draw annual incomes of more than $200,000. The minimum buy-in amount is $25,000."

We can do better: To save in bitcoins, you don't have to prove your net worth, it can in fact be negative, nobody cares, just draw a note up from your pocket and convert it to a fraction of a bitcoin, you can do it now, you don't have to wait until the banks open.





62. Post 3946259 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: 11ams on December 12, 2013, 10:17:02 PM
I guess the flip side is that it was posted on Yahoo, not exactly the cutting edge. Gives you a good idea of what 50 year old traditional business guys think though (which is a great contrarian indicator).

Why, do you have problems with the young guys?



63. Post 3946845 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: seleme on December 13, 2013, 03:35:06 AM
Well, this is not funny anymore, I definitely shorted BTC at very bad time  Cry

You could not have known. Nobody could.



64. Post 3947890 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: Vycid on December 13, 2013, 11:37:38 AM

Too early to glean anything meaningful from this. The number of searches per day is greater than it was in mid-november, but unsurprisingly the pace has slowed from the fever pitch it hit at the ATHs.

Only one percent of those interested, get it. The rest just follows the stream. We will live off those in two year's time.



65. Post 3947982 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: maz on December 13, 2013, 11:46:03 AM
Fighting talk!!

http://www.independent.ie/business/eu-banking-watchdog-warns-of-risks-from-bitcoin-29835212.html

"The watchdog has been studying virtual currencies for three months and is still considering whether they can or ought to be regulated. It has powers to ban them, though questions remain over how this could be done in practice."

Consumer protection, always. "We scare you, we protect you, oppose and we will crush you. The real question is, is bitcoin a risk for us?. Screw the public."

They have studied it for 3 months. That should be enough to "get it". They, as individuals, are probably now in load-up mode with borrowed money. 150 % BTC, -50 % fiat is the goal.



66. Post 3948248 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: mbets on December 13, 2013, 12:06:19 PM
Fighting talk!!

http://www.independent.ie/business/eu-banking-watchdog-warns-of-risks-from-bitcoin-29835212.html

"The watchdog has been studying virtual currencies for three months and is still considering whether they can or ought to be regulated. It has powers to ban them, though questions remain over how this could be done in practice."

Consumer protection, always. "We scare you, we protect you, oppose and we will crush you. The real question is, is bitcoin a risk for us?. Screw the public."

They have studied it for 3 months. That should be enough to "get it". They, as individuals, are probably now in load-up mode with borrowed money. 150 % BTC, -50 % fiat is the goal.

It has powers to ban them?

Of course not. That is just the "we protect you" mantra.



67. Post 3949322 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: seleme on December 13, 2013, 01:52:36 PM
I wouldn't trade BTC now in any direction if my life would depend on it..

Get in, don't worry, be happy.



68. Post 3949454 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: Erdogan on December 13, 2013, 02:07:41 PM
I wouldn't trade BTC now in any direction if my life would depend on it..

Get in, don't worry, be happy.

Not only dip your toes, get in with head and shoulder, teacup with handle, beer glass, butt and tits and everything. Edit: and your alpaca socks, iranian hand made shoes and your lamborghini.



69. Post 3950228 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: owlbear on December 13, 2013, 02:28:52 PM
I wouldn't trade BTC now in any direction if my life would depend on it..

Get in, don't worry, be happy.

Not only dip your toes, get in with head and shoulder, teacup with handle, beer glass, butt and tits and everything. Edit: and your alpaca socks, iranian hand made shoes and your lamborghini.

Yeah, now is an exceptional time to get in. Last time the trend and its direction were in this level was at 11th April, noon GMT Smiley

And that would have been an awesome investment compared to practically everything else available to average people on 11th April, noon GMT.

Exactly. What is wrong with 400 % profit in less than a year, especially when it is low risk=



70. Post 3950511 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: Richy_T on December 13, 2013, 03:49:34 PM
We are in dire need of a resurgment(sp?) of the Usenet approach, where a bunch of different people just synchronized their message databases, where no single company had control over so many people's online social life, and anyone could get in the busyness...

Centralization is bad for the Internet, and bad for it's users.

There are decentralized social networking efforts out there (Diaspora for one). Maybe Facebook will fall from favor as Myspace did. It's a bit of a juggernaut at the moment though.

Usenet is not going away.



71. Post 3954041 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: rampantparanoia on December 13, 2013, 08:51:02 PM

It says that the silk road was possibly took down by "de-anonymizing" of the transaction hashes?

Is that correct?  I thought the Pirate guy was caught through his own errors. 

he got caught by being a dumbass

Information leakage through public posts and emails. Anonymity is hard.



72. Post 3982229 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):

Quote from: MicroFi on December 15, 2013, 09:27:53 PM
China's about to wake up in 3-4hrs.
I wonder what they've got in store for us!

I'm glad the price popped up above 900 again on Gox - wouldn't be fun to have Monday start with a downwards momentum into the low 800's.

This china-waking-up stuff is pathetic. Can you not imagine a chinese speculant staying up all nignt to speculate, just as you do yourself?



73. Post 3982413 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):

I am pissed with this random, nonsensical stability. Bernanke, where are you?



74. Post 3992585 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):

Quote from: RAJSALLIN on December 16, 2013, 02:15:41 PM
sold 60 BTC at avg 780 at stamp bounce, i was wrong earlier, but luckily my trading is not based on my predictions, but to reacting what happens

You just said at 820 we were very over sold. You really seem to have no clue what so ever. My advice to you is just stick to your coins and don't try any short term tricks.

The good thing about gandhibt is that he said what he did. He did not hold it to himself, then say what he did after the gain was in box, or if he lost, kept quiet.



75. Post 4017503 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: TheCoinBull on December 17, 2013, 01:57:06 PM
What a boring day in the world of Bitcoin. Already increased my stash as much as possible, now what?

Wait.



76. Post 4017553 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: NewLiberty on December 17, 2013, 01:57:42 PM
In China its better than US.
The banks will still work with you in China.
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1t0yk5/final_word_from_my_rep_at_chase_all

yea as long as you can still move money via banks it doesn't seem a big deal, certainly better than it is for us in Australia in moving $ to an overseas exchange, the fees are crazy.

http://money.msn.com/top-stocks/post--the-hottest-investment-in-2014-bitcoin


The US banks are starting to run away, scared.  This is pretty weird when you think about it for a minute.  Why should they be afraid, the have biggest powers in the world wrapped around their fingers..
Do they fear competition, innovation?
They rely on big buildings to make them appear stable and solid, but it is just a front.  None of them have been solvent for a long time except by stealing, cheating, and extortion (If you don't give us all your money, we wreck the world, if you don't use your power to take money from everyone and give it to us, you all die.  We're too big to fail, now make us bigger).

They talk like they do not understand bitcoin, but they act like they do (except they act like they think it can be stopped by erecting hurdles). If they really understood, they would individually start to hoard coins.



77. Post 4017915 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on December 17, 2013, 02:13:39 PM
Probably the tinfoil hat talking but there seems to be a fair amount of trading that's taking a loss to push lower. Long term bear maybe but it coincides with European timezones and Europe could be due some bad news tomorrow:
http://www.irishtimes.com/business/sectors/financial-services/eu-agrees-bail-in-rules-for-deposits-1.1626033

News like this usually sends the price rocketting.

Yep,real 'to da moon' stuff. That's what makes me wonder if someone's willing to throw away a lot of coins to make the charts look bad for anyone looking for a route to safety. Even I know 'sell low' isn't how its usually done, at least not in the short term, but that's what seems to be happening on the lows. That should cause spikes if it wants to go down but the spikes are upwards, hard to be sure though because there's also a lot of negative slippage in both directions.

Probably the tinfoil hat talking but there seems to be a fair amount of trading that's taking a loss to push lower. Long term bear maybe but it coincides with European timezones and Europe could be due some bad news tomorrow:
http://www.irishtimes.com/business/sectors/financial-services/eu-agrees-bail-in-rules-for-deposits-1.1626033
News like this usually sends the price rocketting.
A Bail-In means Banks will confiscate depositors accounts right? (As Gerald Celente and Max Keiser have been predicting) That will just make Crypto-Currencies that more attractive no?

Yes but its not planned for implementation until 2016. That figure doesn't mean a whole lot, if it passes there's little to stop it being brought forward, but its a nice comfortable looking 'long way away' figure for the media.

Bail in, what a stupid set of words. It is really the forced bailout of the insolvent bank by the depositors.

How should it be done in an ideal world, if a bank goes titsup?

First, the share holders should lose. The equity is the money that is set at risk. It is the shareholders that gets the profit if it goes well,  and they should lose first.

Then the bondholders, the depositors and other creditors should share the rest of the loss, just what happens in a bankruptcy in any firm. If there is nothing left, the bank disappears from the scene.

There is no fundamental difference between bond holders and depositors. Both are loans to the bank, there are just some differences in the interest and the payback conditions. Mainly, the difference is that the depositors can ask for payback on demand, while bonds are paid back at a specific time in the future.

The workers at the bank, including management should all lose their jobs and a part of their not yet paid salary just like any creditor. Only if some private investors decide to recapitalize the bank, the bank could continue operating, and the old workers could continue in their jobs if and only if the new owners want them to. In case of top management, they should almost always have to go, as they obviously did a measly job.

Wait - the depositor guarantee. That should obviously be honored to the extent that the guarantee fund is sufficiently large, it is part of the deposit deal - you give the money to the bank in exchange for a claim on the bank plus an insurance.

The problem is the government guarantee in addition to the fund, and the fact that they prioritize the bondholders to avoid spreading to the bondholders of other banks, and of course the government bailout (this is what they want to avoid with the new plans).




78. Post 4018027 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Quote from: Nolo on December 17, 2013, 04:36:52 PM
It seems impossible to get actual verifiable information on what is happening with various governmental regulations and Bitcoin.  

Does anyone KNOW what the Chinese government has done, or are we still in complete rumor territory, or are we somewhere in between?


The decision was just as indefinite as from any other government, no big deal in my view. But the market decides, and it decided to go down. Nothing to do about it but wait.



79. Post 4018328 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on December 18, 2013, 01:09:21 AM
I went from liking Chinese to hating Chinese over night.  The people.  I love the food..


How can you hate a thousand million very different individuals? That is nonsensical.



80. Post 4024911 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: QuestionAuthority on December 18, 2013, 05:11:06 AM
[...]

Worse than Hitler maybe but not worse than Josh.

I sense negative waves.



81. Post 4030450 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on December 18, 2013, 12:57:01 PM
I take comfort in the fact that as bad I'm doing. Thank god I'm not margin trading!

How come?? What happened?

There was so much swinging up and down, you almost couldn't go wrong if you patiently set a counter order and wait..

Fucked myself royally with some stupidity. Bought back at the wrong number. Didn't double check my order before I confirmed it. Drinking coffee. Always my arch nemesis.

Now I actually have to root for it to go down. :-( That said, I still don't think any of us know what the Christmas holidays are going to be like. Maybe this will get worse. I *gulp* certainly hope so.

Anyway, I should have known better. In positive news, I got my first prototype of a new sort of Physical bitcoin that will save me from myself in the future, and potentially many others. I'll have details when it gets closer to production time. :-)



If you're in US, you cant sell physical coins now Sad. Thanks to fucking FINCEN.


That's the brilliance of it. Although I'm American, I have a business in the Czech Republic. And even more brilliant, this device legally gets around the FinCEN rules, meaning I won't have any problem selling it even if I were in America.

I'm hoping that because it's a product I myself need- that others will find it useful too.

What do you mean by this "device." I do not mean to sound cynical, but ahve you actually read teh FinCEN ruling on the matter? I mean the actual documentation?

I can't divulge more at this point, but suffice it to say- yes I do believe I've gotten around it.

You got around the random whims of the bullies? Also future whims?



82. Post 4054324 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: jojo69 on December 20, 2013, 12:53:28 AM
loaded is a real whale. One who moves markets.


I'm just a troll whale. I just bull shit.

it's important that we all know our place

Long live the king.



83. Post 4054360 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on December 20, 2013, 01:50:20 AM
Why do you keep thinking of "cash" as profit?

I wonder how many people in the Bitcoin trade see BTCs as a tool to earn USDs, and how many see USDs as a means to grab more BTCs.


This is the great bitcoin divide. Know which side you are on!



84. Post 4054380 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: windjc on December 20, 2013, 01:58:39 AM
I am buying with cash, gold, and some silver.

I am long term bullish, but sell when clients want to. Inducing panic only hurts my own holdings, which I have not sold a single BTC of.

Your life is pretty interesting. Very cool-- thank you for your decency. Bitcoin is good peeps. Cheers

Tip for our dear early adopters, if you get are annoyed by these "Loaded" guys, take a notice how he mentioned buying with gold and silver.
If you read between the lines they are close to exhausting their funds. I wouldn't hope for a bigger sucker at this point....

Tip for our dear early adopters, if you get are annoyed by this "ElectricMucus" guy, take a notice how he mentioned that he doesn't own bitcoins and doesn't trade bitcoins.
If you read between the lines he is just here to troll. He is hoping you are a big sucker.

He is one of the early rejectors.



85. Post 4054599 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

The great China scare - it's over. Another page turn in the Book o Bitcoin.

Now I can go back to my sofa.



86. Post 4056762 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: granathus on December 20, 2013, 11:21:16 AM
Sorry I'm new. Who is Rpietila?

He is just a guy claiming he knows a thing or two about Bitcoin. Also owns a coin or two.  Wink

A poster boy surrounding himself with drooling wannabe moneybags hoping to attract customers to his investment businesses, sometimes he takes a walk on the wild side.



87. Post 4057684 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: alexeft on December 20, 2013, 12:42:10 PM
So much butthurt people and hate for Rpietila.... I guess many are regretting not having listened his latest call.

Yes, he is arrogant but guess what?

When someone's arrogant, it's not nice and we just ignore him.

But when someone's arrogant AND right, oh man... that sure brings out the worst in some around here.... too much jealousy...

So, you KNOW that he is rich! You ABSOLUTELY SURE about it!
You are also sure that he made his money trading!

Too many assumptions, don't you think?

No, he has a silver saucer on his head, didn't you notice?



88. Post 4188747 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: mmitech on December 28, 2013, 01:09:38 PM
for some reason I have been so angry reading some posts from Mirsad and rpietila the past few days, the first for his racism and trashing a whole race (bosnians), BTW I am not even from balkan but I felt so angry when I saw his post I couldn't take it.

rpietila didn't piss me off until he started acting as a jerk you know what I mean " I am so rich" "rich people like me" "listen to who have more than you" " I am a pro trader" " my clients" and he doesn't even post a disclaimer where he states that his predictions shouldn't be taken for a trading plan... many noobs got owned by his "prediction".

 

forgive my tiny tolerance over such people, I do apologize to all members for crossing my lines and going off-topic....

It's ok, you are right.



89. Post 4197030 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: DieJohnny on December 29, 2013, 12:28:49 AM
Long term perspective is generally even more difficult to predict. Based on how peak/correction cycles played out historically, I would be extremely surprised if we've already seen the end of the correction. Late January/Early February is more likely based on how previous corrections played out wrt time. Price targets are difficult because it all depends on whether the December 18 low was really the bottom, or just an intermediate step in a larger more forceful downtrend, or alternatively, a long drawn out decline. I still see the possibility that daily SMA100 was active as support on that crash, and the final capitulation will be higher than the low of December 18, but that's not a strong conviction I hold, at best an informed guess.

It doesn't seem like you've factored in the kinds of changes - "mass-adoption" (or at least evolving mass-awareness thanks to increased media coverage), developing services, etc. - that have led to some calling this the "tipping point" for Bitcoin. Of course it is impossible to give precise mathematical indicators in this respect but qualitatively speaking things are not the same now as they were historically. That said, the December 18 low of $450 fits well in comparison with history.

We are nowhere close to mass adoption, not by a long shot. I just spent dinner with my extended family where there were five middle aged wealthy men attending (not overly wealthy, just have nice jobs, equity in their homes,  investments, et cetera). Not a single one of them knew anything more than Bitcoin by name. NONE of them were interested at all in investing in Bitcoin, too risky, too strange, to difficult to even understand for them.

I spent 15 minutes discussing Bitcoin with the most open minded of the bunch. He wanted to know what he would do to even buy a single coin. Holy crap, what method was I going to suggest to this guy who can barely get Skype to work correctly. I chose a paper wallet and Local Bitcoins. He thought it was reasonable, however, i could tell by the look in his eyes there was no way in Hell he was going to invest a single dollar any time soon.

The masses ARE NOT early adopters, they will not do research, take a chance, learn about digital wallets, trust some web site exchange or anything of the sort. If it isn't offered by their broker, or banker, or something they can buy at the local Gold dealer, then they are not interested. BITCOIN right now seems a world away from this mass adoption. A WORLD AWAY.

We are still in speculative, niche phase that has a long way to go to play out. It is the biggest reason Bitcoin can fail because if another Crypto steps in and solves these access problems look out. Guys like those in my family DO NOT care about the virtues of Bitcoin's distributed, non-regulated, anti-govt protocol. They will invest in the first thing that is 1) accessible 2) available to them through standard channels 3) endorsed by things they trust: banks, govts, large companies.

That said the price may go to $2000 in the next month Smiley, or $200....

Confession: Permabull.

These people do not look like potential early adopters to me, and they are ok, we are ok. There are billions of people in the world, and we need only a tiny part of those people to be adopters at this point, just a few more than the number of people leaving bitcoin.

I can not predict the short term price development, and I think noone can. Here is why: Many of the current users are unsure about the future, and they look over the shoulders of the others to try to find out. A bunch of people having their own opinion that changes, and at the same time trying to guess what the future change of opinion others have (and guess what others guess that the others guess...). That makes the price a chaotic function.

Rpietila and others are right in that there is an underlying exponential function for the long term, based on number of users and what value each users want to have in reserve. But we do not know the parameters of that function (the start value and the increase per time period). It could be far lower than the historic price. The actual price can also be lower than the baseline, due to speculation, just as well as it can be higher. The baseline is purely theoretic, and it will never be possible to prove what it is.

So there is room for more lows. I just don't want to set my coins at risk.




90. Post 4209208 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Daytraders thrive in a rising longtime trend. Is it rising? It depends on what is your real money, and what you trade in. If your real money is dollar and you trade in bitcoin, we are in an uptrend, and every daytrader wins. But if your real money is bitcoin, and you trade in dollars, we are in a downtrend and the daytraders lose.



91. Post 4209281 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):



bear facepalm



92. Post 4209407 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: Peter R on December 29, 2013, 09:54:04 PM


bear facepalm

Is this in response to my previous post?  Do you feel I mis-interpretted what you were saying? 

Hehe, no, regard it as a new subtopic.  Smiley



93. Post 4210079 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: oda.krell on December 29, 2013, 10:40:17 PM
A log trend line (more precisely: linear regression on log charted price history) is a nice little tool to get a feeling for where we are at any point in time compared to the historic trend, and where we're going to be, very very roughly, in a few months or a year from now.
I don't think Bitcoin's long term trendline is going to be straight on a log graph - I think it's going to trace an S curve graphed in log space.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#igDailyzczsg2011-11-01zeg2013-12-30ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zl

Throw away the data from before November '11, while the exchanges were trying to figure out how to operate, and what do you see?

I know, I know Smiley I participated in the previous discussion of that idea. Didn't we conclude that the well known S shaped "tech adoption" curve would still be a straight line when mapped to log. Why does BTC deserve a "super S", if I may ask?

I don't exactly know what super S means, but anyway, bitcoin adoption is both about the network effect, or each user spawns 2 new users after a unit of time, plus the fact that each user seeks to expand his bitcoin hoard as he understands or gains trust in bitcoin as a store of value. In serious questions like this, understanding and logic is not enough, your feelings and intuision have to be on board also. Hence, the price function could increase at a higher rate than number of users. Impossible to be certain, also after the fact.



94. Post 4210266 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: Ducky1 on December 29, 2013, 10:58:49 PM


And I honestly don't know what function would even look S like when mapped to log.



e^(1/(1+e^-x)) maybe

Hey - you forgot the velocity of money... Smiley



95. Post 4226069 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Voodah on December 30, 2013, 08:34:53 PM

I love it how you just disregard everything and oversimplify things.

I'll say it again in case you haven't read it: Recognizing something is not the same as identifying its purpose.

Which means NO, I don't see its effects and can automatically extrapolate all the information needed. No one can. What makes you the oracle?? "Then I will help you determine why".. Really??? Where do you get off?? Who made you trader of the century?

"This isn't rocket science." so you must be a multi-millionaire right? right??

I encourage you to use you're amazing foresight skills in other fields: see Cancer, extrapolate, Cancer defeated, profit. See quantum forces, extrapolate, time travel achieved, profit.

I read all of your posts and enjoy them, but this "know it all, EZ mode" attitude I cannot understand. I know you're a intelligent person.

Just answer me this with your most honest point of view: is there manipulation in Bitcoin markets?

a) Yes
b) No

Because that is what it boils down. I don't truly believe you, an intelligent person from what I've seen in your posts, thinks there is NO (and it means NO, not a single shred) manipulation.



Lol. So this secret manipulation, it always works against you?

Disregard everything and just answer with a stupid question?

You didn't answer my question.

I'll take that as "a) Yes, plus I'm too proud to admit it".

And it's no secret either, you just choose to blindly ignore and disregard (quite the modus operandi you've got there).


Manipulation, yes? Are you talking about someone happily selling to a happy buyer? Or are you talking about someone happily buying from a happy seller?

Or are you talking about someone using fraud or violence to aquire coins or fiat?

Or do you have problems with people selling many coins? Well that is ownership, he can sell if he wants. Large buyer? He can do that if that is what he wants to do with his fiat.

Maybe you are talking about trading for the effect, like selling a lot to lower the price, then take advantage of that? Well that may be forbidden in some markets, but not with bitcoin, and we don't want it to be. Rather we want the other traders to be aware of it and take precautions to exploit it. Which they do.

There is nothing to indicate that the bitcoin market is not free. Any reason to buy or sell is as good as another. It is up to the participants. And any rule to deviate from trading for each participant's own interest is just you wanting to control others. No thanks.



96. Post 4229177 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Peter R on December 30, 2013, 11:28:00 PM
Interesting debate guys regarding market manipulation.  I think aminorex's definition below is a good one (regardless of one's views on the ethics of such an activity):

Market manipulation is generally understood to mean trading for purposes of effecting a price impact, not otherwise in the interest of the trader.  For example, sham sales, in which the counterparties have pooled resources, or one party takes both roles, so that transactions occur at their preferred prices, can be used to create a trap for speculators, who trade at prices not determined by market forces, but by the collusion of the manipulator(s).  

According to this definition, I believe that market manipulation is indeed happening.  The next question is "is this wrong"?  vdcc says this is fraud:

Quote from: vdcc
No violence, but fraud yes. If you pump/dump coins (or even fake volume and trades) for financial gain, then you are defrauding honest traders.

I'm not convinced, but I'd like to hear further arguments.  Here's what I think is fraud:

A whale calls up the owner of an exchange and, says "I want to put up a 5,000 BTC ask wall to scare the fish into selling to me for cheaper, but I don't actually want to risk a bigger whale buying all my coins.  Can I pay you 50 BTC to ensure that if someone tries to buy my wall that your trading engine encounters 'technical difficulties'?"  If the owner agrees, this is fraud and we have laws that would apply in such a situation.  

I agree this is fraud, as I don't expect the exchange owners to do this. (I wish they stated clearly how they stand in such cases). This is probably unlawful. Even regarding this, I do not want regulation, because a) regulation invites to corruption b) excessive regulation and control leads to erotion of ethics on the part of the exchange ( anything that is not expressly forbidden will seem ethical, ref current situation with the banks) and mostly, c) it leads to complacency among the traders, who will not care to evaluate the exchanges themself, but blindly trust the regulators (ref the Madoff example). Another thing is a voluntary organization to check on the exchanges for their members, that could be useful. Now we have only the press and this forum, which is better than nothing.

Quote
But if two colluding whales buy and sell to each other on the open market to try and make it appear there is more volume at a price higher or lower than what they believe to be the market price, then could not one argue that this is simply "strategy"?  Is not everyone still playing by the same rules?





97. Post 4238673 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: shmadz on December 31, 2013, 05:04:13 AM
[...]
I say gloves off, anything goes, let bitcoin regulate itself.

That's perfect. Gloves off. Bitcoin, the only gloves off-market.



98. Post 4244355 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Richy_T on December 31, 2013, 07:37:52 PM

Does anyone else get a little fed up with this sort of attitude?


Sometimes it annoys me. Then I check my Bitcoin balance and imagine the subject having to struggle to obtain a few hundred mBTC down the road and I feel better.

Yeah, my stragegy has been to only inform my closest. But it is sometimes intriguing to ask some snotty questions when others ramble on with the stability of fiat, the trust in the powers that be, and such things. And sometimes I can't stop too... but it is a waste of time.



99. Post 4244381 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: MikeH on December 31, 2013, 07:38:06 PM
Most of the forum posters here, being from the US or EU don't realize it because they don't see it. It is extremely difficult to buy coins in volume from 3rd world countries.

If you're a South American today, you cannot hook your bank to any exchange. You cannot get market prices. There is no way to acquire ""fair"" value BTC other than LocalBitcoins or the such. None.

Only people with access to foreign bank acc's can. The rest buy p2p or with CC's in dodgy sites, and always at 15-25% markup.

it's not just the 3rd world countries though, people in most countries are paying 5-10% premium because of the international transfers involved, Australia to Gox for eg. is like 5% + $90 USD.


Yes it an unfair advantage to the most advanced countries, but the hope is that this time, they can be ripped off only once, after that the playing field can be more leveled.



100. Post 4246226 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on December 31, 2013, 11:56:08 PM
Once wall street owns 90% of all bitcoins, what's the plan? Hard fork? Switch to PeerCoin?  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

1. Waste them all on risky trades. 2 Call Bernanke. 3....




101. Post 4247901 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: macsga on January 01, 2014, 02:18:38 AM
It's official. It's 2014 in Greece and
I AM DRUNK! Grin

Happy new Year! I'm in the same timezone Wink

Cheers!

P.S.:
Have fun with the EU-Presidency for the next 6 months Smiley
(German Spiegel headline: "Of all nations Greece now has the EU presidency" - an idiotic bash article...)

EU has the worst politicians EVER. All the wrong people to all the wrong places. No arguments, just random movements here and there to save their precious "unification". Where's Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, Helmut Kohl, Konstantinos Karamanlis... those were politicians with balls. What we have here is their cheap imitations. Employees of big corporations, that play it "Leaders" in their monopoly games. I just hope it falls apart in pieces. If it's not bitcoin; let it be something else, I really don't give a rat's ass' shit. I just want better people governing. Not those clowns.

Maybe it's because I'm drunk, but I surely won't take back even a piece of what I've wrote. Good night people. Happy new year. Cya tomorrow, hopefully with not to much hangover.

We have Merkel. No balls I'm quite sure...a transvestite in miniskirt..thats balls.



102. Post 4272015 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

There is buying 10-20 coins each 5 minutes or so, and it has been going on for half a day. Seems quite regular, could be someone trying to buy in while moving the price as little as possible. Mtgox-



103. Post 4275145 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on January 02, 2014, 07:13:31 PM
I'm not jumping on any trains until the situation in china is cleared up.  Wink
Yeah, you will be the first to know, I guess.



104. Post 4276666 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Nobody really leaves bitcoin. Even the perma-bears - they need some coins to exploit the next dump.



105. Post 4285265 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: granathus on January 02, 2014, 04:54:40 PM
There is buying 10-20 coins each 5 minutes or so, and it has been going on for half a day. Seems quite regular, could be someone trying to buy in while moving the price as little as possible. Mtgox-

+1, i'm seeing the same pattern.

I hadn't noticed that but you are right.  Probably a good strategy for getting more coins without moving the price.  Unless everyone stops selling. Wink

Whoever it is, is buying at a rate of pretty exactly 100 BTC/Hour. So pretty big buy-in summed up.

And it goes on. Good of course, but if it is only one person action, others may be led into panic buying.



106. Post 4292380 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 03, 2014, 04:07:02 PM
There is buying 10-20 coins each 5 minutes or so, and it has been going on for half a day. Seems quite regular, could be someone trying to buy in while moving the price as little as possible. Mtgox-

Isn't that the ping-pong I mentioned earlier? My guess is that it is a trading robot that sells to itself, alternating between two prices that increase 1-2 USD every few minutes. Has been going on since 2013-12-30 with a few interruptions.

The transactions I am talking about, are only buys. The period is maybe 6-7 minutes. When I first noticed them they were indeed increasing by 1, 13-14-15-16-17-18-19 BTC, but now they seem to be random between 10 and 20. Still ongoing.



107. Post 4294275 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on January 03, 2014, 07:49:37 PM
TheCoinBull lasted .. honestly 2 minutes before I had to re ignore him.. lol


In other news, 900 by monday or 900 by next friday?

wtf, why not today?



108. Post 4294290 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: alexeft on January 03, 2014, 08:36:53 PM
Jonesing for some Bitcoin excitement. Think I may go drive the wrong way down the interstate at 120mph.

In Bitcoinia (the bitcoin country) we should ban all weekends and holidays.
The price will always go up! Or at least there will be high volume at all times.

 Wink

Nah, can't do that, not in Bitcoinia.



109. Post 4316697 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

We have a situation now with one or more powerful buyers repeatedly hammering the MtGox asks. People see the solidly rising trend and panic buys from time to time, but we hardly correct, it is sideways for a few hours then upwards again like a marathon runner.

tl;dr extremely bullish situation. New ATH in 24h?



110. Post 4316770 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: fotosonics on January 05, 2014, 12:32:21 AM
Ahhh. I understand.

Just get a lambo and put a btc sticker on it. Muuuch better than a tshirt. 6 to 8 months maybe everyone here can buy lambos.

That would be a bit earlier... Wink

not when wall street fianly can get money into the system and btc goes to the min $40,000

i assume most people here have at least 5 btc.

Wednesday :/
But I will have 10. Maybe even 12.

"Grandpa, is it true that you once had 12 bitcoins?"



111. Post 4317003 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

The single coin sells is arbitrage, I guess. Is there somewhere with lots of single coin buys?



112. Post 4317220 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Sooo, what happened to the weekend dip? And what happened to the people who reserved some fiat to exploit it? I guess they have not cleared. Another sunday rally coming.



113. Post 4317241 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: iarsenaux on January 05, 2014, 01:04:33 AM
Just went all coins. So im shutting my pc down now and complete all the things need to be done for my wedding this coming Jan. 15.  I wont be touching my coins. See you bulls on MOON.  Grin

Greetings. If you wanna shoot - don't talk - shoot!



114. Post 4317814 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

dollar gonna fall to one embic soon. better buy something forem quick. anything.



115. Post 4317862 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

If you can read this, you chose life.



116. Post 4318300 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Young Tot Ank Amon: Father, shouldn't we get rid of all the wheat we have collected, at least all that we don't need for ourselfs and our servants the next 5 years? It seems that gold is the new money. The caravane captains seem to prefer it, it is more compact and durable...

Father: No son, you can't eat it. It has no intrinsic value. It's a bubble.



117. Post 4318458 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Tut Ank Amon: Father, I think we should sell our wheat, that part that we don't need to feed ourselves and the servants for the next five years. The traders from the east seems to prefer gold. It is durable and compact.

Akhenaten: No son, it is unusable. You can't eat it. It has no intrinsic value. It's a bubble.



118. Post 4318617 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Thanks Adam. 10 bucks down, and everybody goes to sleep. What party. Typical. Pour us another, Chartbuddy.



119. Post 4318763 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on January 05, 2014, 03:18:28 AM

i store wheat and there is no way i could ever think of trying to store $500,000 worth of wheat. Gold, well that could fit in a shoe box...

How about $500,000 worth of shoes then?

Better ask Imelda Marcos.

Good one. She has still not worn out her rubber boots. What an investment.



120. Post 4318801 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):

Trending upwards last hour.

If the sleepers have alarms on 940, will they have time to brush their teeth and shave before AWH (all week high)?



121. Post 4324301 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: Dalmar on January 05, 2014, 12:26:32 PM
What makes Bitcoin attractive is that nobody can create new units arbitrarily and spend them, diluting everybody else's purchasing power.

Inflation is so destructive because of what it does to economic incentives - why work to create useful products and services to earn currency if someone else can just spend newly-printed units and bid up the price of everything you want to buy?

This effect is present in Bitcoin too, but fortunately it's something that diminishes over time via a known schedule.

The imaginary economic growth thanks to controlled inflation is what brought us to the information age. Using a deflationary monetary unit worldwide will just bring humanity back to neo-feudalism with the bitcoin whales being even crueler than the current elite who are at least kept in check by politicians. I sincerely doubt that bitcoin or deflationary cryptocurrencies will replace fiat altogether, it will just remain a complementary niche market.

Wrong forum pal.



122. Post 4324338 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: molecular on January 05, 2014, 12:24:39 PM
Looks like a breakout attempt. If the ~360 BTC wall @845 on bitstamp gets eaten, we'll break out.


The buying machine was out of memory and was oom-killed, then the operator woke up and restarted it.



123. Post 4325376 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

new AWH!



124. Post 4326851 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Bernanke, now a retiree, can finally admit to being a bitcoin hodler: I went to fetch my mail, and when I came back it had passed the 1000 mark. Clearly, we need the postal service to deliver also on sundays.



125. Post 4327514 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: alexeft on January 05, 2014, 04:09:21 PM
gotta love those weekend dips.


LOL indeed!!! Let's have some more!!!  Cheesy

Bloomberg tomorrow: Weekend dips ends as short woman takes the helm at fed.



126. Post 4327783 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: humanitee on January 05, 2014, 04:19:52 PM
Short now Huh

Edit:

Short now Cool

You still short? lololol

Marathon buyer still present. Ignores price. Sideways for next hour, then slowly up.

Edit: Prediction: 10-20 BTC buy at 17:31



127. Post 4327911 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: Erdogan on January 05, 2014, 04:24:51 PM
Short now Huh

Edit:

Short now Cool

You still short? lololol

Marathon buyer still present. Ignores price. Sideways for next hour, then slowly up.

Edit: Prediction: 10-20 BTC buy at 17:31


17:31:06 16.5734 BTC bought.

Edit: Next buy 17:36



128. Post 4328033 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: Erdogan on January 05, 2014, 04:32:40 PM
Short now Huh

Edit:

Short now Cool

You still short? lololol

Marathon buyer still present. Ignores price. Sideways for next hour, then slowly up.

Edit: Prediction: 10-20 BTC buy at 17:31


17:31:06 16.5734 BTC bought.

Edit: Next buy 17:36

I was totally off this time. It was 17:38:20.



129. Post 4328087 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: humanitee on January 05, 2014, 04:34:38 PM
Marathon buyer still present. Ignores price. Sideways for next hour, then slowly up.

Edit: Prediction: 10-20 BTC buy at 17:31


17:31:06 16.5734 BTC bought.

Edit: Next buy 17:36

Nice call!

edit: Next buy never happened. Oracle status revoked!

Sorry if this caused problems for our customers. It was 17:38:20

Let me try again: Next 17:44, slihtly less than 7 minutes.



130. Post 4328130 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: Erdogan on January 05, 2014, 04:43:31 PM
Marathon buyer still present. Ignores price. Sideways for next hour, then slowly up.

Edit: Prediction: 10-20 BTC buy at 17:31


17:31:06 16.5734 BTC bought.

Edit: Next buy 17:36

Nice call!

edit: Next buy never happened. Oracle status revoked!

Sorry if this caused problems for our customers. It was 17:38:20

Let me try again: Next 17:44, slihtly less than 7 minutes.

Off again, 17:45:16. My dice is not working. Must be the Fed.

Edit, I need that oracle status. Next marathon-buyer buy 17:52



131. Post 4328262 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: Erdogan on January 05, 2014, 04:46:06 PM
Marathon buyer still present. Ignores price. Sideways for next hour, then slowly up.

Edit: Prediction: 10-20 BTC buy at 17:31


17:31:06 16.5734 BTC bought.

Edit: Next buy 17:36

Nice call!

edit: Next buy never happened. Oracle status revoked!

Sorry if this caused problems for our customers. It was 17:38:20

Let me try again: Next 17:44, slihtly less than 7 minutes.

Off again, 17:45:16. My dice is not working. Must be the Fed.

Edit, I need that oracle status. Next marathon-buyer buy 17:52
17:50:51 close but no oracle. Maybe If I present my prediction as time last buy plus 6 1/2-7 1/2 min. You get the picture. End of predictions.



132. Post 4328401 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: pietje on January 05, 2014, 04:48:40 PM
Marathon buyer still present. Ignores price. Sideways for next hour, then slowly up.

Edit: Prediction: 10-20 BTC buy at 17:31


17:31:06 16.5734 BTC bought.

Edit: Next buy 17:36

Nice call!

edit: Next buy never happened. Oracle status revoked!

Sorry if this caused problems for our customers. It was 17:38:20

Let me try again: Next 17:44, slihtly less than 7 minutes.

Off again, 17:45:16. My dice is not working. Must be the Fed.


This is happening for a few days now right?
He already bought tons of btc if thats non stop each 5 minutes Shocked

Yep, almost continuously.



133. Post 4330511 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: Erdogan on January 05, 2014, 05:01:56 PM
Marathon buyer still present. Ignores price. Sideways for next hour, then slowly up.

Edit: Prediction: 10-20 BTC buy at 17:31


17:31:06 16.5734 BTC bought.

Edit: Next buy 17:36

Nice call!

edit: Next buy never happened. Oracle status revoked!

Sorry if this caused problems for our customers. It was 17:38:20

Let me try again: Next 17:44, slihtly less than 7 minutes.

Off again, 17:45:16. My dice is not working. Must be the Fed.


This is happening for a few days now right?
He already bought tons of btc if thats non stop each 5 minutes Shocked

Yep, almost continuously.

Can not everybody see this? I watch it on bitcoinwisdom, they compund the transactions happening each second or so, and presents the time, price of last part-transaction and the sum.



134. Post 4330580 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: mmitech on January 05, 2014, 07:20:20 PM
rpietila just created a new self moderated thread: I will make it my duty to stop his fucking ego that harms the noobs.

Welcome to the new business lounge. Wine and cigars are on the house.

The intention of this thread is to post analysis on short to medium term fiat/BTC price developments, scenarios, portfolio allocation, etc. what fits the topic. No double bottoms, ad hominem, trolling or low level comments. As usual, your post will be deleted if not conforming to guidelines above.

Welcome to the new business lounge. Wine and cigars are on the house.

The intention of this thread is to post analysis on short to medium term fiat/BTC price developments, scenarios, portfolio allocation, etc. what fits the topic. No double bottoms, ad hominem, trolling or low level comments. As usual, your post will be deleted if not conforming to guidelines above.

instead of bragging about your cigars and millions and your worthless predictions you could just start helping the people in need and post about it to be a model for others....otherwise go shove your millions and cigars up your ass, I just gave you the first comment to delete start from here  Cheesy




he will delete and report me for sure, but totally worth it  Cheesy

Funny and may be true, but you don't really have to do it.



135. Post 4331968 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: Salivan on January 05, 2014, 08:37:05 PM
stop with german here, go to your subforum

Jawohl, herr Hauptbahnhof!   btw What film was this line from?



136. Post 4332251 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: tutkarz on January 05, 2014, 08:57:17 PM
so you say that price is that high and here are still many people who want to buy back? Interesting. My advise is wait for $5k and buy back when it crashes to $4.5k.

That sounds rational. Don't buy now at 1K, buy after a crash at 4.5K



137. Post 4332321 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on January 05, 2014, 09:04:32 PM
stop with german here, go to your subforum

Jawohl, herr Hauptbahnhof!   btw What film was this line from?

Sir main railway station? Have we been drinking tonight sir?

No, but I have had that line in my head for 20 years, and I remember it every time I hear some german. Was it Dr. Strangelove. Dr Merkwurdigliebe?



138. Post 4377210 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on January 08, 2014, 12:28:48 AM
It surprises me that no one see's the obvious. Large manipulators wait for negative PR and then take the opportunity to start the drop, knowing that people will attribute it to the news and panic.

Holding is not because you're sticking with your internet friends, its because by and large individual amateur investors are going to have a really hard time timing the market properly and not losing money. You will lose less if you just step away and stop thinking about it. It's either going to be worth millions or nothing at all. You joined up for this ride, so don't quit your day job.

And please, stop complaining.

This.

I don't think many people here realise what it means now these Wall St. sharks are circling and amongst us ... they'll be picking you off one at a time like the ripe fat whales you are.

I've been watching/trading the Gold market for 18 years and you guys have no fucking clue what's coming ... it's not going to be pretty.

From here on out, either you're in bitcoin for the long haul and the protection of assets it provides or you're gonna lose most everything .... especially if you think you can out trade these guys with their trading algorithms, bots, deep pockets and propaganda machine ... they'll out psyche you every time and then take your money when you are beat ...

You've been warned. Get real or get out now.

Too much respect - borderline asslicking.



139. Post 4377719 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 08, 2014, 12:51:21 AM
It surprises me that no one see's the obvious. Large manipulators wait for negative PR and then take the opportunity to start the drop, knowing that people will attribute it to the news and panic.

Holding is not because you're sticking with your internet friends, its because by and large individual amateur investors are going to have a really hard time timing the market properly and not losing money. You will lose less if you just step away and stop thinking about it. It's either going to be worth millions or nothing at all. You joined up for this ride, so don't quit your day job.

And please, stop complaining.

This.

I don't think many people here realise what it means now these Wall St. sharks are circling and amongst us ... they'll be picking you off one at a time like the ripe fat whales you are.

I've been watching/trading the Gold market for 18 years and you guys have no fucking clue what's coming ... it's not going to be pretty.

From here on out, either you're in bitcoin for the long haul and the protection of assets it provides or you're gonna lose most everything .... especially if you think you can out trade these guys with their trading algorithms, bots, deep pockets and propaganda machine ... they'll out psyche you every time and then take your money when you are beat ...

You've been warned. Get real or get out now.


I like to think that when I trade its to help stabilize the market to find the true value, and the market rewards me  Cheesy

You do stabilize ... if you are successful.

If not, like buy high sell low, you destabilize the market. But then - natural selection will take care of you. Don't take my word for it. Darwin said it first, and he said it good.



140. Post 4383062 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: vortex1878 on January 08, 2014, 02:31:47 AM
and i mean it, u idiot.

the "info" u provide is anyway for people like u. ignored...

I might have quoted someone you didn't like but I was trying to provide constructive input not yet raised by anyone else.
If you have a problem with that then that's all yours and I'm not interested Smiley

nope. u posted shit besides feeding the fucktard. but hey, u finally made it to my ignore list. congrats. i am not interested either. Cheesy

Two people on ignore! You are dangerous!



141. Post 4420161 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on January 09, 2014, 08:36:53 PM
How long until quintuple digits? I recommend researching villas, private jets and supercars that you would like to buy within the next months so you are ready. Might even get to purchase it with Bitcoin then.

So you don't want to buy a coin now for the common good? Sounds suspiciously selfish. (sarcasm).



142. Post 4425122 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on January 09, 2014, 01:54:30 PM
Enjoy your deflating currency.

What happened, did you lose some coins?



143. Post 4468049 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on January 12, 2014, 03:17:43 AM

A more libertarian analysis of the phenomenon from three years ago here

http://www.samizdata.net/2010/06/money-supply-th/

I'll just add that that article is a large part of why I jumped on Bitcoin as soon as I found out about it and understood its fundamentals.

Curious, what does the article say why this is bad? I can't make out any argument, just a prolonged statement that it is.

Oh and the analogies suck. (The fear mongering too)

The article says that at the same time credit is expanded in the housing and sovereign bond market, credit is sucked out of the private space. This is done through the banks, they have deposited their money with the fed. A dollar deposited with the fed, is multiple dollars removed from the private sector due to the fractional reserve banking money multiplier. The banks have done this because the fed started to pay interest on the voluntary excess reserves. The sum withdrawn from the private sector matches the expansion in government debt. This is bad, because it adds to the planned economy and reduces the free economy.



144. Post 4470270 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on January 12, 2014, 05:31:48 PM

A more libertarian analysis of the phenomenon from three years ago here

http://www.samizdata.net/2010/06/money-supply-th/

I'll just add that that article is a large part of why I jumped on Bitcoin as soon as I found out about it and understood its fundamentals.

Curious, what does the article say why this is bad? I can't make out any argument, just a prolonged statement that it is.

Oh and the analogies suck. (The fear mongering too)

The article says that at the same time credit is expanded in the housing and sovereign bond market, credit is sucked out of the private space. This is done through the banks, they have deposited their money with the fed. A dollar deposited with the fed, is multiple dollars removed from the private sector due to the fractional reserve banking money multiplier. The banks have done this because the fed started to pay interest on the voluntary excess reserves. The sum withdrawn from the private sector matches the expansion in government debt. This is bad, because it adds to the planned economy and reduces the free economy.

You are presenting a Circular argument.
In case you haven't noticed: Excess reserves aren't supposed to be in the public hand in the first place or part of any economy. And that they aren't suggests that the FED is doing something right.



No. Normal reserves are mandated by the fed, and is (was) used to regulate the money supply. Too much money in circulation, mandate higher reserves and vice versa. If the banks had more money, they would lend them in the market. It would not be rational to deposit them at the fed, because the fed did not pay interest, so not lending to the market would be a loss. The fed changed it policy, not by increasing the reserve requirement as usual, but by paying good interest of the deposits. They are called excess reserves because they are not mandatory.



145. Post 4471541 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: Erdogan on January 12, 2014, 07:32:50 PM

A more libertarian analysis of the phenomenon from three years ago here

http://www.samizdata.net/2010/06/money-supply-th/

I'll just add that that article is a large part of why I jumped on Bitcoin as soon as I found out about it and understood its fundamentals.

Curious, what does the article say why this is bad? I can't make out any argument, just a prolonged statement that it is.

Oh and the analogies suck. (The fear mongering too)

The article says that at the same time credit is expanded in the housing and sovereign bond market, credit is sucked out of the private space. This is done through the banks, they have deposited their money with the fed. A dollar deposited with the fed, is multiple dollars removed from the private sector due to the fractional reserve banking money multiplier. The banks have done this because the fed started to pay interest on the voluntary excess reserves. The sum withdrawn from the private sector matches the expansion in government debt. This is bad, because it adds to the planned economy and reduces the free economy.

You are presenting a Circular argument.
In case you haven't noticed: Excess reserves aren't supposed to be in the public hand in the first place or part of any economy. And that they aren't suggests that the FED is doing something right.



No. Normal reserves are mandated by the fed, and is (was) used to regulate the money supply. Too much money in circulation, mandate higher reserves and vice versa. If the banks had more money, they would lend them in the market. It would not be rational to deposit them at the fed, because the fed did not pay interest, so not lending to the market would be a loss. The fed changed it policy, not by increasing the reserve requirement as usual, but by paying good interest of the deposits. They are called excess reserves because they are not mandatory.


Related to this - why it is bad - I noted a passage from chairman Bernanke in his farewell speech:

Of special concern is the reduction of productivity. Businesses hire more people now, to do the same thing as they did before with fewer people.


Free from memory. The reason for this development could very well be the distortions that the central planners introduce into the market with the low interest rate and public money going to privileged businesses.



146. Post 4474157 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 12, 2014, 09:13:55 PM

Cryptocurrencies pay no dividends and have no "destructive" demand. So they have no base price to anchor the speculation, even remotely.


They have a fundamental value which is described by PQ=MV.
Destructive demand in this case means savings.  Dividends in this case means deflation.

Deflation means change in price, so that is not "base value" but the very unknown variable that the market has to define.

Savings is not "destructive" because the bitcoins saved will be traded again depending on expected price.  Indeed every bitcoin is always someone's "savings" except for an instant while it is being traded.

(Perhaps one may consider that bitcoins are "destroyed" temporariliy while a transaction is awaiting confirmation from the net, if they cannot be traded or used for commerce in that interval.  From that "consumption" and predicted volume of commerce one may be able to compute a "base value" that does not depend on speculation, assuming that Bitcoin will be the only cryptocoin in use.  However, the volume of "consumption" depends on the speed of confimation.  Is that predictable?)

You do not need consumption or destruction of bitcoins. The demand is reservation demand, and only reservation demand. This is the characteristic of pure money, money that is not at the same time some useful commodity.



147. Post 4474243 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 12, 2014, 09:41:34 PM
[...]
Methinks that 1800 dollars is too much money to gamble. (My betting limit is a pizza and a beer, and I have made only three or four such bets in my life.)  I would rather spend that money on tools or other grown-up toys.
[...]

Go as low as you need, to be comfortable. Try out a few payments, for instance give something to a charity in another country. Tip a blog. Anything. You will get a feel for the usefulness. Believe me, if you ever have had some difficulty or high cost with paying internationally, you will be surprised how elegant bitcoin is. That usefulness creates demand.



148. Post 4475868 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 12, 2014, 11:19:50 PM
For that, you need to understand not Bitcoin but the world of fiat. I suggest looking into the Weimar republic, a lot of graphs that have gone very steep recently, Zimbabwe trillion dollar bills, Cyprus, the works of Ron Paul and F.A.Hayek and friends.
I am Brazilian. I will spare you the history of Brazilian inflation, suffices to say that the currency was devaluated by a factor of 2.75 quintillion (2.75 x 1018) in my lifetime. So I do know something about the world of "fiat".  Undecided


Yes, IF I knew at the time that bitcoins were going to appreciate that way, I would certainly have bought them.  Ditto for gold or Apple stock. But with my luck I would probably have invested in Enron or the Madoff fund instead...

But right now Bitcoin does not look like such a good investment, does it?   It may be a gold mine for day traders, but to prosper one must be smarter and quicker than all the other smart guys, which I am not.  


This is a common misconception. Disregarding the dayly/weekly/monthly swings, the appreciation will continue. It is not over. You have not lost the train. The reason is simple: There is a lot of people that are not currently users, many have heard but do not understand, and most people have not even heard of it. Due to the reservation demand that each user creates, the value per bitcoin will increase with new users. There is still a long, long way to go. Just jump on and you will be good.




149. Post 4517639 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

I believe bitcoin is money of course, a currency if it is heavily used. But you can also view it as an asset, like stocks, bonds, real estate and so on. It is just different views. I happen to think that the money view is the correct one in the long run, but it can be viewed as an asset. If it is an asset, it is somewhere you invest, instead of saving in dollars. Just like investing in a bond, a house, a stock or even in a bank account. Appearantly the asset view is also rampant with new users and the potential investors from wall street.

Viewed as an asset class, the speculative view is different. You have some fiat, or some other asset that can be liquidated to fiat, and consider investing it in bitcoin. Your goal is to enter at a low price, then for a high price sell out to the safety of fiat or some other traditional asset.

The point with all this is, that to the degree that a number of people view it thusly, it will be affected by the central banks actions just like stocks. That is, bitcoin can go down if the investing public believes that the money fountain will be turned off.

What do you think?



150. Post 4517906 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Haven't seen this talked about much on bitcointalk, and the good people frequenting this topic should know about it:

Sourceforge:
http://sourceforge.net/mailarchive/message.php?msg_id=31813471


Reddit:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1v7ayg/revolution_in_bitcoin_privacy_stealth_addresses/

It is about stealth addresses, a possible new anonymity feature. So with coinjoin, we now have two anonymity efforts going on.

Breaking the partial anonymity we have now, is the most realistic way governments can reign in the bitcoin users. In my view.



151. Post 4537033 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: KFR on January 16, 2014, 01:20:33 AM
My favourite altcoin is Mike (μBTC).  They're crazy cheap at the moment - you can pick up a thousand of them for less than a dollar.  Definitely gonna go moon IMHO.

I prefer the Embics (mBTC). They don't weigh my pants down so much.



152. Post 4582591 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: Kouye on January 18, 2014, 12:57:45 AM
WE BTC
There you go Grin
That looks more like back(ing force) than consecutive bottoms.
Plus, that's hardly hairy.

This market needs balls.



153. Post 4591618 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):

Bad news and good news are floating around. It seems the market only focuses on the bad news, and ignore the good news. What the market should do, in my opinion, is to focus on the good news, and ignore the bad news.

The bad news aren't really bad, it is expected and unavoidable reactions from governments, they can only slow down bitcoin slightly.



154. Post 4598413 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):

10-20 btc buyer every 7 minutes or so is back. Good.



155. Post 4620695 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):

Quote from: Tzupy on January 20, 2014, 09:26:09 AM
This chart actually makes me bearish.

The chart shows that the previous bubble didn't fully deflate, it should have bottomed around 30$ - 40$, not 67$.
That's one reason for the current bubble to happen so soon after. Maybe this bubble won't fully deflate either and there will be
another one soon, with an ATH in the 5k$ range, and then the very early adopters will dump millions of coins and crush the price.

What if the trendline that is based on adoption, is substantially below the line on the chart? That would make most short time predictions based on that chart void.



156. Post 4639262 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):

Quote from: RicePicker on January 20, 2014, 11:43:39 PM

The same thing can be said for [sensored]Dogecoins[/sensored]. I am pretty sure the rate of adoption for doge coins is comparable to bitcoins right now.


Now that i call delusion.



157. Post 4676256 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Which exchange will be the first to implement different fees for maker and taker? It's modern.



158. Post 4692149 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on January 23, 2014, 05:34:16 PM
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-23/china-bank-run-beginning-farmers-co-op-unable-pay-depositors

Gonna be huge, right?

Right, agree.



159. Post 4696887 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on January 23, 2014, 11:39:08 PM
How is low volume bullish? I'll admit ignorance here if someone can explain.

Everything is bullish. That's how.


[...]

I agree again. What happened here?



160. Post 4696994 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: proudhon on January 24, 2014, 12:13:24 AM
How is low volume bullish? I'll admit ignorance here if someone can explain.

Everything is bullish. That's how.


[...]

I agree again. What happened here?


Self-performed lobotomy.

Low volume is a confirmed strong bullish SHOTR signal.  Maximize the leverage on any current SHOTRS due to this confirmed signal.

May be you should try self-performed lobotomy. It seems to work, and it is not against the principles of natural law.



161. Post 4697189 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: proudhon on January 24, 2014, 12:21:09 AM
How is low volume bullish? I'll admit ignorance here if someone can explain.

Everything is bullish. That's how.


[...]

I agree again. What happened here?


Self-performed lobotomy.

Low volume is a confirmed strong bullish SHOTR signal.  Maximize the leverage on any current SHOTRS due to this confirmed signal.

May be you should try self-performed lobotomy. It seems to work, and it is not against the principles of natural law.


I'd need some confirmed Chinese or Russian sources on this before proceeding.

毛泽东:自我进行脑叶手术。它似乎工作,这是不违反自然法的原则。



162. Post 4721861 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: Vigil on January 24, 2014, 08:39:18 PM
[...]
Good. I want it to take a longer time to reach an ATH. Because I am jobless with almost nothing. So, I can't drop a few thousand and pick up 10 or 100 coins. At these prices I can buy like 2 BTC - at lower prices I can triple that. Its a huge difference for me.


Case 1 dip to 200:   you get 10 BTC

Case 2 no dip, buy at 4000, you get 0.5 BTC

Will there be a dip to 200 ?
Will price go to 4000 without any dip large enough to tempt you?

Or

Case 3 buy now you get 2 BTC sure thing.



163. Post 4722478 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: dgarcia on January 25, 2014, 03:21:03 AM
[...]
Good. I want it to take a longer time to reach an ATH. Because I am jobless with almost nothing. So, I can't drop a few thousand and pick up 10 or 100 coins. At these prices I can buy like 2 BTC - at lower prices I can triple that. Its a huge difference for me.


Case 1 dip to 200:   you get 10 BTC

Case 2 no dip, buy at 4000, you get 0.5 BTC

Will there be a dip to 200 ?
Will price go to 4000 without any dip large enough to tempt you?

Or

Case 3 buy now you get 2 BTC sure thing.


You are drawing extremities. Why should he buy at 4000$ or at 200,00$. There are more moderate prices...

...or is it so, making a cup of coffee, coming back, and the price will have reached 4000$ or 200$?

You have to decide where to buy. Would you buy at 800? 900? 920? Or, in case there is no dip, would you buy at 2000, 4000 or 10000? Rereading, I see you talked about triple. Would you buy at 320? Or would you wait until 310?. To be in that position is nerve itching.



164. Post 4733044 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Attention good people. Here we go - to the moon!



165. Post 4752718 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: bitdig on January 26, 2014, 08:43:04 AM
It can't be reserve currency, not in the near future, not when 47 people, holding 30% of all bitcoins, mostly very young people can dictate its price... When, and if, they start to cash out we might start think about it...

There is a whale of a lot of comment about this mining reward becoming the dominant currency of some future world.  I cannot believe that, for many reasons.

I'm becoming increasingly convinced that it will become a major currency, a reserve currency.  It has no counterparty risk.  Debt-based money has always and will always fail, either gradually or suddenly.  Only hard money is without counterparty risk.  The technical superiority of BTC to gold is obvious, and you can't overcome that gap without introducing counterparty risk.  USD,EUR,RMB,JPY are all teetering on the brink of the largest synchronized sovereign crisis in the history of the world.  They have sown the wind, and will reap the whirlwind.  It's mathematically inevitable at this point.  We just don't know how long the dead men can keep walking.


It can. You just disproved your own argument with your top posting.



166. Post 4753598 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: outofservice on January 26, 2014, 03:15:41 PM
Can anyone explain the $200 difference with Gox?

1. gox has something, god knows what, that make some people prefer it.

2. The fiat transfer system is ineffective, so ineffective that arbitrage in sufficient volume is not possible. This is a bullish pressure.



167. Post 4753822 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: DieJohnny on January 26, 2014, 03:21:31 PM
Can anyone explain the $200 difference with Gox?

Market analysis based on Elliot Wave Particle Duality Theory suggests that deltas over 10% typically are indicative of coming market failures.  I'm running calculations now in my Google spreadsheet to confirm.

wtf ....

This appears to be a benevolent form of trolling, but it is not. I know something that is going to happen on feb 14 that will prove it. Can't say, but it is called The Thing. Additionally, Proudhon was recommended self inflicted lobotomy, and he is considering it in this hour.



168. Post 4753924 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

The fed total balance 4,097,914,  up 1,086,21 since last year. (millions of dollars)

http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/Current/

Chapter 8.







169. Post 4753968 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: TERA on January 26, 2014, 03:29:55 PM
i am sure some of the whales have insider informations. Also, look at the huobi move, which has not a situation as gox.
This is exactly the sentiment that causes these panics. Everyone thinks there is some insider information and the more people that participate, the strong the feeling becomes. But in reality there is no information. More likely what happened is MtGox's 1D MACD crossed and all the heavy duty bots started buying, and then this massive movement caused all of the other markets to panic. I was watching - Huobi was following mtgox.

I am the only one with insider information. Can't say it all, but price is going up.



170. Post 4754752 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 26, 2014, 04:50:09 PM
Does anyone know how bitcoin investment is being promoted in China? Are there TV ads?



Necessity is the mother of invention, or in this case, buying coins.



171. Post 4754789 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: humanitee on January 26, 2014, 04:54:58 PM
i am sure some of the whales have insider informations. Also, look at the huobi move, which has not a situation as gox.
This is exactly the sentiment that causes these panics. Everyone thinks there is some insider information and the more people that participate, the strong the feeling becomes. But in reality there is no information. More likely what happened is MtGox's 1D MACD crossed and all the heavy duty bots started buying, and then this massive movement caused all of the other markets to panic. I was watching - Huobi was following mtgox.

I am the only one with insider information. Can't say it all, but price is going up.

I am the only one with insider information. Can't say it all, but price is going down.

Can't argue, we will have to wait for The Thing. That what is.



172. Post 4754872 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: Vigil on January 26, 2014, 05:00:13 PM
Do you all think that prevalent use of a protocol such as colored coins could make each bitcoin even more rare and thus drive up price beyond the theoretical future valuations we have predicted?

No this goes against  the fungibility (one unit or piece must be perceived as equivalent to any other), the biggest risk to bitcoin ever. New developments in bitcoin like stealth addresses and coinjoin will remove this threat.




173. Post 4755032 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: Peter R on January 26, 2014, 05:08:55 PM
i am sure some of the whales have insider informations. Also, look at the huobi move, which has not a situation as gox.
This is exactly the sentiment that causes these panics. Everyone thinks there is some insider information and the more people that participate, the strong the feeling becomes. But in reality there is no information. More likely what happened is MtGox's 1D MACD crossed and all the heavy duty bots started buying, and then this massive movement caused all of the other markets to panic. I was watching - Huobi was following mtgox.

I am the only one with insider information. Can't say it all, but price is going up.

Erdogan: you had me for a moment.  You should start a "Confirmed good news thread--no circle jerking, just FACTS!!!2"


Hehe, the fact part of the joke is, there is no insider information, because there are no insiders. We, the current adopters, are the illuminati, and we know based on our insights into money systems, that the value of bitcoin is going up. Time frame, actual value, random intermediate crashes, that is what this thread is about.



174. Post 4755139 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: wobber on January 26, 2014, 05:18:05 PM
Do you all think that prevalent use of a protocol such as colored coins could make each bitcoin even more rare and thus drive up price beyond the theoretical future valuations we have predicted?

No this goes against  the fungibility (one unit or piece must be perceived as equivalent to any other), the biggest risk to bitcoin ever. New developments in bitcoin like stealth addresses and coinjoin will remove this threat.



What are colored coins and coinjoin / stealth addresses?


http://lmgtfy.com/?q=+colored+coins+and+coinjoin+%2F+stealth+addresses%3F





175. Post 4755357 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: wobber on January 26, 2014, 05:27:09 PM
I was ironic. I don't trust them.

New ATH on monday. This is serious, based on sentiment, feeling, antiintellectualism, willed ignorance.



176. Post 4755441 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Jesus, we are down 25 dollars from the weekly high, and everyone grabs their favorite antidepressant and goes to sleep.



177. Post 4755581 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: Vigil on January 26, 2014, 05:35:17 PM
What? Colored coins create different assets from bitcoins. Meaning that a bitcoin can be representative of property - thus it won't be used as a currency, but held. Theoretically, this would make the monetary bitcoins more rare. Has nothing to do with eliminating fungibility.

Perfect for dogecoin.



178. Post 4757248 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

It is the dust limit. Currently 5,430 satoshis.



179. Post 4757636 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Quote from: virtualfaqs on January 26, 2014, 06:56:45 PM
What price did Willy stop buying? Anyone know?
Didn't notice. A couple of hours ago. It is probably a badly programmed perl script that crashed. Wait for the operator to come to work monday morning.



180. Post 4840149 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: prof7bit on January 30, 2014, 10:01:56 AM

Interesting. I can see why distress in emerging markets would be good for Bitcoin, and I predict a whole lot more distress to come. Not happy about that even if it will be good for my bottom line. Lotta people gonna get hurt. They'll get less hurt if they buy some bitcoin.

All headlines about financial events are always composed in the following manner:

<something just happened> [as|after|despite] <something unrelated that happened at the same time>

The second part after the "as" is chosen randomly. Its sole purpose is to make it appear as if they were able to understand or explain what is going on. You will not find a single news source that would ever publish an article about a currency or commodity or stock rising or falling without the obligatory "as"-clause attached to it in the headline, no matter how absurd it may seem:

"Bitcoin drops as emerging market concerns ease"
"Bitcoin drops as Fed is cutting stimulus further"
"Bitcoin drops after disappointing Apple report"
"Bitcoin drops despite disappointing Apple report"
"Bitcoin drops as Google Doodle celebrates Year of the Horse"
"Bitcoin drops despite 6-time All-Star Lance Berkman announcing retirement"
"Bitcoin drops as Justin Bieber is charged with Toronto limo driver assault"

"Bitcoin rallies as emerging market concerns ease"
"Bitcoin rallies despite Fed cutting stimulus further"
"Bitcoin rallies after disappointing Apple report"
"Bitcoin rallies despite disappointing Apple report"
"Bitcoin rallies as Google Doodle celebrates Year of the Horse"
"Bitcoin rallies as 6-time All-Star Lance Berkman announces retirement"
"Bitcoin rallies as Justin Bieber is charged with Toronto limo driver assault"



This is correct. We need a name for this syndrome.



181. Post 4846995 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 30, 2014, 05:04:43 PM
Nice timing for a reconsideration Mr. Lee:

"“Previously, we judged doing this as not being viable, however, we have since changed our stance. We looked again at the guidance issued in December and we think it’s a reasonable for us to accept customer deposits via our corporate bank account,” said Lee."

Such coincidence.Wow

hopefully this is a correct interpretation of the law, and they will be allowed to do this. but china doesn't want money leaving the country, maybe chinese regulators will ask US regulators to make sure a chinese person is not allowed to exchange their bitcoins for USD via an exchange.


It seems mister Lee single handedly destroyed BTC-China with his overly negative view he presented a month ago. It seems it never was prohibited for the banks to send money to an exchange.



182. Post 4847486 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: Denton on January 30, 2014, 09:25:51 PM
Reporters these days........

"One forum member, using the name 'Bitcoinlitcoinbtcltc' said that after 31 January, "Chinese can no longer do anything related to bitcoins. They can not withdraw money from Chinese exchanges. So the bitcoins they have on Chinese exchanges are 'dead'. They can not trade those bitcoins in for real money, or withdraw that money. It's like that money doesn't exist anymore."

This doomsday scenario was echoed by another used called 'Proudhon', who has contributed to the forum for three years. The user said bitcoin's fall from $1,200 to its current level of around $900 will "continue until bitcoins are worth $0."

Much of Proudhon's comments from "confirmed sources" have been dismissed by other forum users, but the sense of unknowing shared across the community is hard to ignore.
"
Lesson for the media everyone: Don't trust anything written on the speculation sub-forum!  Grin

What? Do you prefer new york times?



183. Post 4921446 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: Adrian-x on February 03, 2014, 05:19:48 PM

That's what we used to call in Naval Nuclear Power School a GCE (gross conceptual error). Trade requires two parties. Few will want to trade something that's scarce for something that isn't.

Quote
“Thank you. Since we decided a few weeks ago to adopt the leaf as legal tender, we have, of course, all become immensely rich. [...]

"But we have also," continued the management consultant, "run into a small inflation problem on account of the high level of leaf availability, which means that, I gather, the current going rate has something like three deciduous forests buying one ship's peanut." [...]

"So in order to obviate this problem," he continued, "and effectively revalue the leaf, we are about to embark on a massive defoliation campaign, and...er, burn down all the forests. I think you'll all agree that's a sensible move under the circumstances.”
― Douglas Adams, The Ultimate Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy

Wait, I've just had a great idea for a new alt-coin.

Quick someone buy all the 42coin

Yellen: We need to plant more trees!



184. Post 4922576 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: dgarcia on February 04, 2014, 12:39:20 AM

Yeah man it's game over. Putin is going to invade a sovereign EU and NATO member state to shut down BTC-e and enforce Russian law because Russian law is the only law.

Tanks rolling through the streets of Sofia as they zero in on the building hosting BTC-e servers is going to be box office gold.

The article is probably bs, but where is the proof that btc-e is located in bulgaria?  

nope, this is real, from official page of Volgograd prosecutor.

http://volgoproc.ru/newversion/cgi-bin/run.pl?mod=news.mod&dirmod=mod&func=view&id=2331

Really strange thing that this comes from Volgograd...

...maybe virtual currencies were envolved with the terror attacks there.

If there is a connection, it is to use the attacks to denigrate bitcoin.



185. Post 4923025 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

A digression from the btc-e debate: It seems we have a run on the bank, even if there is no fractional reserve lending, in fact no lending at all. This is what we can expect from banking in a bitcoin economy - sow some doubt, and you are gonners. This is reassuring. It is bullish - CCMF.



186. Post 4923133 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: Peter R on February 04, 2014, 01:45:05 AM
A digression from the btc-e debate: It seems we have a run on the bank, even if there is no fractional reserve lending, in fact no lending at all. This is what we can expect from banking in a bitcoin economy - sow some doubt, and you are gonners. This is reassuring. It is bullish - CCMF.

This sounds interesting but I'm not following.  Run on what bank?  Evidence?

Only the comments here "get out" and "I got out". The interesting part for me was to see the reactions to the doubt. I don't think btce goes down in the near future. I have used them a lot and I think it is a splendid bourse.



187. Post 4923345 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: GaliX on February 04, 2014, 02:03:19 AM
A digression from the btc-e debate: It seems we have a run on the bank, even if there is no fractional reserve lending, in fact no lending at all. This is what we can expect from banking in a bitcoin economy - sow some doubt, and you are gonners. This is reassuring. It is bullish - CCMF.

This sounds interesting but I'm not following.  Run on what bank?  Evidence?

Only the comments here "get out" and "I got out". The interesting part for me was to see the reactions to the doubt. I don't think btce goes down in the near future. I have used them a lot and I think it is a splendid bourse.



Silk Road also went down over night with over 200k Bitcoins on it.

I simply don't want to risk this worst case scenario. I mean if I would be somebody who could face jail because of my Bitcoin exchange, I would turn it honestly off and run away with all the Bitcoins on it. As evil is it would be, it would be just smart.
Maybe you can even buy free of the Jail with that money later on, who knows?

I don't want to black talk or something like that but bad things have happened.

Well if it was me, I would at least try to dismantle it orderly.

The point with my post was, even (btc-e seen as a bank) a bank which only has a storage function, no lending, it will be kept in check by the market. No regulation necessary, no fake guarantees from the state necessary, no bailout with taxpayer money necessary. This is uplifting.




188. Post 4923592 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: MatTheCat on February 04, 2014, 02:22:10 AM
Ahh, Mat, bitcoin doesn't enable money laundering. The ones that profit from money laundering are the ones that enable money laundering.
Some day you will get this. I can feel it.

It isn't the fire that burns, its the heat.

It isn't the gun that kills, it is the person who fired it.

It isn't the knife stuck in your guts that kills you, it is your arteries pissing out blood that finishes you off.

Yeah yeah....but Bitcoin is a pretty good tool in the money launderers arsenal. Especially the small/medium enterprise money launderer that doesn't have access to corporate banking routes of money laundering...or even the large scale money launderer that doesn't want to pay the premiums of going through the conventional routes.


And... bullish or bearish?



189. Post 4927500 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on February 04, 2014, 05:10:30 AM

they held a public forum, I wondering if these reddit posts asking for questions and reasons for btc to be implemented are actually people going to events like these.. please lord let them see the light and yes I am speaking to His Most Eminent Highness Grand Caesar Imperator Goat.

USPS: "We are desperate for publicity, but we are not going to do anything, as usual"



190. Post 4964936 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):

Quote from: dgarcia on February 06, 2014, 02:00:05 AM
I think those were last cheap coins... Tomorow btc china will be full of fiat again.

Edit. Now we sow how much money is on stamp account... Was lots of selling in last 24h and the price moved +/-10$

It is 10 am 'tomorrow' in China right now.

and what is happening on BTC China different from yesterday or the day before that?



That's only verbal diarrhea. BTC-China will stay a zombie, and if not, that doesn't change nearly nothing.

What should be the difference to Huobi?

Moreover Huobi will be stay more attractive for chinese traders, since they have no trading fees.

BTCChina has adopted the maker/taker fee strategy. It does not do much to the trade volume, but I guess it is pleasant for those who just want to sell or just want to buy. Bids and asks are .01 renminbi away from each other, with lots of coins at either side. And the price stays within this range for hours at the time. So I guess there is a difference. A nice addition to the ecosystem.



191. Post 5097756 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Quote from: molecular on February 12, 2014, 07:09:32 AM
received more "insight" on that february 2014 "event" from those nutjobs (?) at the farsight institute.

just dropping here for -- I don't know -- entertainment?:

Quote
_Implications Posting #4:_

_Above all else, those who govern seek to control what the masses accept as true, and there is nothing that they will not do in order to achieve this since it is the sole source of their power. The belief that those who govern would not brazenly manipulate knowledge simply for their own benefit is the single most important belief that supports their continued reign. This belief always leads to confusion, despair, and relentless cynicism from within the ranks of those who are controlled. Once this belief is abandoned, free will returns absolutely, and great change is inevitable._

_Notes:_
_1. This is one of a series of &ldquo;Implications Postings&rdquo; that refer to an announcement that will be made during the month of February 2014. Once made, news of this announcement will be available at www.farsight.org and elsewhere._
_2. These postings are designed to encourage broad public discussion of the February 2014 announcement. They do not directly address the specific content of the announcement._

Strange. You seem to have found the single paragraph on that site that is in fact sensible.



192. Post 5100921 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on February 12, 2014, 12:19:07 PM
Excerpt LA Times:

Quote
The suspensions may be only growing pains, but if they're seen to be serious enough, bitcoin growth may end. And if other flaws in the system become equally troublesome obstructions, bitcoins will be over.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

This seems to be the consensus by the stream followers in the main stream press. (the main stream followers press ??)

But he - the market - can not decide. It has been nervously sideways the last hours.



193. Post 5124430 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 13, 2014, 03:45:55 PM

Note that the article was written before the Chinese stomped on bitcoin.

But even if nothing had changed, there is one little snag in that article.  If a Chinese citizen uses Yuan to buy bitcoins in China and then sells them for dollars in the US, there is no export of Yuan to the US actually.  Instead the guy gives his Yuan to other Chinese traders, and the US traders give him a bunch of dollars. 

So why would the Chinese government object to a Chinese national receiving a gift from americans?

Sure, after that transaction there would be fewer bitcoins in China and more bitcoins in the US.  But since bitcoins have no intrinsic value, the material wealth of China would not change. There would be still the same amount of food and cars in the Chinese market, and the same amount of Yuan in circulation inside China.

If bitcoins could be used to buy things in China, there might be some Yuan inflation as the bitcoins became scarce and the Yuan lost value relative to them.  But that is why the government banned their use in commerce.


You are onto something here. It might well be that they think this way, and see it as no problem. But still, the value will flow out of the country. I think the mercantilists in all countries will suddenly meet the harsh reality.



194. Post 5125855 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.08h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on February 13, 2014, 07:41:11 PM
Oh look, Bitcoin cultists actually don't have any money they could use to buy with. They are merely hoping for others to do it for them.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Yep. New adopters... get it?



195. Post 5140081 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):

Quote from: shmadz on February 14, 2014, 05:49:31 AM
Here's a question:

What happens to your nation's currency when you go "all in" on bitcoin?

Meaning, the government of said nation (Cypress? Singapore?) fully embraces bitcoin and allows banks to freely exchange their national currency for bitcoins.

The specific question I have is: would that make the relative value of that nation's currency rise or fall versus all the other nations?



Basically, when you change your demand to hold from dollar to bitcoin, you increase the value of bitcoin and decrease the value of dollar.

(In the opposite direction, this is not true, because the masters of the mint will think "haha, someone is saving dollars, good for us, print more).



196. Post 5175783 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.10h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 16, 2014, 12:25:03 AM
[...]
My picture of the typical Huobi client is a low or middle-class person, who does not understand English, has no programming knowledge, and keeps his bitcoins in his Huobi account.  He cannot use bitcoins to pay for things in China and does not usually travel outside the country.  Would he need to download the software and/or create a private wallet in order to open an account at Huobi?

Is this peer-revieewed science?



197. Post 5181057 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.11h):

@jorgestolfi

You have a pretty impressive CV and all that. But to have a fruitful discussion, we can not throw those things around, because eventually we will end up with trowing in the name of Krugman, who has everything that you have and more. We are talking about a man who belives in the broken window fallacy, and who thinks the value of the dollar is supported by guns. The prize he got is given by a central bank, the very bank that invented fiat money.

Your arguments against bitcoin is the standard dozen or so that has been deeply discussed here and largely refuted. With your intelligense you should easily be able to follow the discussion. Is there something in your career that inhibits the free thought? May be you aspire to become a central banker in Brazil, or to the sweedish economy prize? What I do, when discussing bitcoin with someone interested, is to suggest he should get some. Nothing is more inspiring than to have a small value in bitcoin while you consider it. You don't seem to want to have even a small fraction of a bitcoin to own for yourself. Is this for being neutral, so your considerations should carry more weight? Or is it so that you can say in your next application for a job within the establishment, that you never had any bitcoins?

Now, the latest argument against bitcoin is speculators and other bad actors. Is speculation bad? The word has negative connotations, yes, but it is really not well defined. The difference from investors is at best that a speculator takes high risk, but an investor takes small risk. The important point is of course the expected return, and if risky you have to spread the investments a bit.

Assuming you consume one bread a day, why did you not buy two today? Because you speculate that you can buy one tomorrow for the same price. You can speculate about a price going up down or stay the same. It is about using your brain to foresee what is going to happen and act accordingly. That is what we do when we buy and hold. You can not safely call it investing, since it is not capital goods you buy, but another kind of money. The reason for other people to buy bitcoin is irrelevant. The question is, will they, and when they do, how much do they want to hold?

Your second latest argument is that there are possibly infinite other coins that can be made, so the supply is not really limited. For this argument we have in fact data, bitcoin has value, countless altcoins are created each day, but up till now they have not been able to water out bitcoin. There is a reason for it also, the reason is that the traders want to have one type of money if possible, maybe a few more if they have other good qualities that bitcoin has not. The current situation with hundreds of different fiat money types is not in the interest of the traders, it is in the interest of the governments and their cronies. Since the governments are not involved with bitcoin, there need to be only one. There is a small risk that it will be something new, but currently I don't see any real competitor.





198. Post 5210389 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: windjc on February 18, 2014, 01:29:13 AM
It makes me laugh that "experts" here are actually saying that this is an permanent upwards trend, even if it's not still sure if MtGox can return it's customers $ and BTC.

do you think the fate of gox bears strongly on the long-term value of btc?  if so, why?


It's because that's what most have been waiting for. A solid reason to call bitcoin an Ponzi scheme. If Gox goes bad, then it will be played out like bitcoin is actually just a tool for people like Karpeles to prey on their victims.

You have vision. Bitcoin has been through WAY worse than this. And it keeps on keeping on. You are just caught up in the moment with no historical vantage point. Its laughable that you think a healthy market means one with no risks. Go trade rocks for sand if you want no risk. Otherwise be quiet please.

(personal and historically unsubstantiated angry opinion) f.a.c.t.


I bought at 200$, when bitcoin was actually covered by an famous news program in China that is known for representing the Chinese government stance. I sold at around the start of December, when there were no volume to support the price going up and it got clear that China won't have any legal potential with bitcoin. I only bought back once around 800, for couple of hours after I sold again. The last reason was only because I was intoxicated and bored.
So, you religious/lying sack of excrement, don't tell me about having no vision. Pricks like you have been telling me 2 month, that NOW it seems like the price is picking up again, making up childish reasons like "China doesn't even matter!". And for all those two months I held my own decision with only winning by doing this. The slow downfall just continues and continues and it's not difficult to see why.
Delusional pricks like you make me feel shame of my interest in bitcoin, because you do make this place look like a cult or a gang of crooks.
No offend, but a speculater like you contributes nothing to bitcoin, no matter you win or lose money. Therefore, your interest on BTC really matters no so much. If anyone interested in bitcoin is just want to buy low and sell high, then BTC better to die now.

+1

Wait a minute... a speculator that is wrong all the time, amplifies the ups and downs. A speculator that correctly foresees the highs and the lows and take corresponding action, will dampen the swings. If all speculators were really good, the swings would be wiped out. You could also say that a bad speculator is good for the good speculator. A buyer and holder (or a holder and buyer...) dampens the grand shock of implementing the whole thing.



199. Post 5210460 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

We need lots of buy-hold-buy-mores, and lots of successful daytraders.



200. Post 5210601 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: aminorex on February 18, 2014, 01:44:58 AM
Wait a minute... a speculator that is wrong all the time, amplifies the ups and downs. A speculator that correctly foresees the highs and the lows and take corresponding action, will dampen the swings. If all speculators were really good, the swings would be wiped out. You could also say that a bad speculator is good for the good speculator. A buyer and holder (or a holder and buyer...) dampens the grand shock of implementing the whole thing.

A "speculator" exercising a reversion strategy will tend to dampen price swings.  A *speculator* exercising a momentum strategy will tend to force price swings.


You could be right that the momentum strategy could initially force price swings, but I still think that if successful, the net effect will be dampening. To be succesful, he will overall necessarily have to buy low and sell high. Please explain if not correct.



201. Post 5210673 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: Erdogan on February 18, 2014, 01:44:32 AM
We need lots of buy-hold-buy-mores, and lots of successful daytraders.


... and we need the bad daytraders to feed the good daytraders, and we need the ignorant nay-sayers to slow down the rise, so the visionary late-comers have a chance.  Smiley



202. Post 5214385 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: aminorex on February 18, 2014, 02:08:27 AM
We need lots of buy-hold-buy-mores, and lots of successful daytraders.


... and we need the bad daytraders to feed the good daytraders, and we need the ignorant nay-sayers to slow down the rise, so the visionary late-comers have a chance.  Smiley


for such a nice person you sure make a terrible president of turkey.

What's wrong about peacefully (for us) removing a million armenians from the surface of the earth?



203. Post 5214791 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 18, 2014, 06:56:46 AM
[...]
Actually it is production that creates wealth and production is stimulated by consumption.


and consumption is made possible by production.

Quote

When world currency would be deflationary then consumption will slow because everyone will be motivated to hold onto their money,

[...]


... which means that in the current inflationary environment, nobody would ever sell anything, because they would get more money tomorrow.

This is nonsense, every trade have two parties, that include you selling your work-hours.
Inflationary means the seller will quickly turn his new money into something of real value. Deflationary means that the buyer will quickly sell more to recoup his money. None of these forces have more weight than the other.

The difference is that in an environment with inflation, it is more rational to hold no or a negative amount of money when you want to save. With deflation, it is more rational to hold money, and value will be souped up in the money system in stead of real assets.

Inflation is wasteful because of all the unnecessary resources you take up when you save, and it takes power away from you because you are in constant debt. Deflation economises real resources and allows you to use your saved resources more freely.

Even more important, the value lost from the money in inflation ends up somewhere, but not in your pockets.




204. Post 5214802 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: Erdogan on February 18, 2014, 08:43:06 AM
[...]
Actually it is production that creates wealth and production is stimulated by consumption.


and consumption is made possible by production.

Quote

When world currency would be deflationary then consumption will slow because everyone will be motivated to hold onto their money,

[...]


... which means that in the current inflationary environment, nobody would ever sell anything, because they would get more money tomorrow.

This is nonsense, every trade has two parties, that include you selling your work-hours.
Inflationary means the seller will quickly turn his new money into something of real value. Deflationary means that the buyer will quickly sell more to recoup his money. None of these forces have more weight than the other.

The difference is that in an environment with inflation, it is more rational to hold no or a negative amount of money when you want to save. With deflation, it is more rational to hold money, and value will be souped up in the money system in stead of real assets.

Inflation is wasteful because of all the unnecessary resources you take up when you save, and it takes power away from you because you are in constant debt. Deflation economises real resources and allows you to use your saved resources more freely.

Even more important, the value lost from the money in inflation ends up somewhere, but not in your pockets.



Oh shit, not the deflation problem again.



205. Post 5218393 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

About coming here to seek investment advice...

Where should you go? To Washington Post? To NY Times? The Economist? Forbes? Or maybe to the central banks in Russia or China? Or maybe to a big bank like JPMorgan?

I think not. Those sources are not useful, other than for us to see what our adversaries have discovered..

Is there a top secret, 1000 USD a month journal, with the real info is, that the common retail investors can't afford to access? No, doesn't exist.

If an interested financier is looking for info, he should come here, right to the adamstgbit's wall-thread on bitcointalk. Any experienced investor should be able to sift through the posts and separate the wheat from the chaff. If he is only looking for the current sentiment, like most finance advisors do, he should just swallow it all in raw form.

Well done adam, you are in the center of the universe now.

Yeah, it is a quiet day in bitcoinland.



206. Post 5218580 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: Wekkel on February 18, 2014, 01:01:41 PM
Finally, my purchase decisions are not affected by a few percent of inflation. I buy if I need or want something. Inflation is mostly an annoyance to me (saving is impossible in our current system).


You are contradicting yourself there. Because saving up in cash has been made impossible, as you say, you save less and buy more. The point is that people should save wealth in production, not in money.

Perhaps it seems that way but wealth can be stored in other means than cash. It does not neccessarily increase my consumption. Whether people 'save' in production should be a free choice to make, not a forced one.


The individual should store his wealth in the form most suitable for himself, which could be money that is not designed to loose value.

The society as a whole can not do that of course, because money is only exchange value based on reservation demand. But a society can also not save money in land, because the land is there, has always been there and will always be there. They don't make it anymore. If it increases in value generally, it is because it takes on exchange value and in effect becomes money.

The only way for the society to become rich, is to build up a massive production capacity through investment in capital goods. But building useless production capacity through companies yielding negative profit is counter productive, it consumes wealth. You need to build production capacity for valuable things, and you can only get that through voluntary trade and the hunger for profit. Any violent interference reduces the efficacy of the capital, and credit expansion and zero interest rate policy is the worst interference there is.



207. Post 5223697 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 18, 2014, 05:06:31 PM
In the interest of saving forum space, I'll fit all the replies in one post.

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus link=topic=178336.msg5214663#msg5214663
hahaha, kkapser's a blowhard ... he's not writing 1000 lines of anything except pure unadulterated FUD.

1) every communist regime known has had rampant monetary inflation

2) the most prosperous nation and period known in economic history is the free market capitalism under the deflationary gold standard period of the 1800's in USA.

I can see that the the level of intelligence of the poster is in perfect correlation with the ability to spell my name..

1) Hyperinflation is as bad as hyperdeflation. Both are unstable forms of financial planning that will mess up the economy. While most of the communism countries suffered from hyperinflation, then hyperdeflation is the inevitable outcome of bitcoin.

2) Where the hell do you get this stuff?
Post-Revolutionary USA had economic growth first because of the success of cotton plantations and slavery, and after that, the industrial war nature of the civil war stimulated urbanization and building of railroads, all of this gave a boost to the economy.
Finance was a big mess in 1800s USA with series of failed banking acts and attempts to create a solid currency.



Quote from: Erdogan link=topic=178336.msg5214791#msg5214791

and consumption is made possible by production.

This is nonsense, every trade have two parties, that include you selling your work-hours.
Inflationary means the seller will quickly turn his new money into something of real value. Deflationary means that the buyer will quickly sell more to recoup his money. None of these forces have more weight than the other.


It doesn't work like that. Consumption creates production and not vice versa.
When Jack feels hunger, then Jack has to work before Jack can consume the food to satisfy his hunger.

Need for consumption always dictates the need of production. There is no need of production without the need of consumption.
So one does have more weigh then another.



Quote from: JayJuanGee link=topic=178336.msg5214816#msg5214816
surely I also believe in personal responsibility.. but there are also social systems that screw certain people... NOT everyone has an equal chance, contrary to the lore.

Well, thats life that everyone won't have an equal chance. The same thing is already set by nature, with some born weaker, shorter or with less intellectual potential. Life isn't fair and it sucks.
Communism actually had a goal to make things fair to everyone. It failed because it was unnatural and only created more problems then it solved.

Quote from: JayJuanGee link=topic=178336.msg5214816#msg5214816

NO HATING>>>>>> but You seem to be talking out of your ass to some extent about a prediction that everyone will be poorer.... You are trying to extrapolate some simple dynamics and paint a simple picture.... I just DONT buy it, but it does NOT seem to be worth arguing about.
I'm not inventing the wheel here with saying that inflation is more effective in aspect of economic strength. Academics who are a lot smarter on the subject then me and you have disputed the same subject and still the answer has emerged that controlled and stable inflation is the best way to go when considering economic strength.
But remember, with bitcoin we are not talking about controlled and stable deflation. We are talking about uncontrollable hyperdeflation.

Quote from: JayJuanGee link=topic=178336.msg5214816#msg5214816
You are leaving a lot of holes in your scenario... but there is some truth to the fact that the big guns may have a lot of money to throw against bitcoin and to develop competition... so that will be interesting to see how that plays out... and how many people die because of this battle.

 Your description of their planning their entrance strategy is a bit off base, though... b/c probably they are just a bit overwhelmed and confused and do NOT really know what to do about BTC.

When you'll find holes in my scenario then point them out and I'm happy to dispute or to agree with you.
My speculation about what are the "big boys" doing is far fetched I agree. It's solely based on assumption on what I would do if I were in their shoes. Assumptions like this have mostly served me right.




nonsense. when a person wants to use the bitcoin protocol, he or she can just do so. it´s free. (almost) no fees. if i decide to buy some sneakers and pay with bitcoin, well yes, i have to take some of my money and convert it into bitcoin. but that money is just the price of the sneaker - not the price for bitcoin. i don´t have to pay a premium because i use bitcoin. it´s free.


Nah, it's not free. Service companies similar to bitpay, who take care of the conversion, have to pay the early adoptors for the privilege to use the "protocol". Everyone who has to hold their value in bitcoin have to pay tribute to the early adopters.
This is the pyramid scheme part that attracts those big herds of people who wish to get rich quick without doing any work. This hyperdeflation part is good for attracting simple minded folks with promises of easy riches, but it makes bitcoin useless as an serious financial tool.
The enthusiasts make it sound like they are all about financial liberty, while actually they are just hoping for wealth redistribution. They don't want to change the world in a way that there won't be a class of wealthy elite people who only enjoy luxury without doing much work. They even want to increase this mentality and only change the people who are at the top, so they themselves can be there.

don´t be bitter. be thankful you did find out about it. you are an early adopter. join us & be happy.  Wink

It's too hard to lie to myself and pretend that all is fine. I'm not very good at comforting myself with false hopes made out of pretty illusions. I would be happy and calm if I would truly see that this will work. But I can't, no matter how much I try, I still see the ugly truth.



LOL. The concept of group dynamics and open source and first mover advantage is completely lost on this guy. He's got a lot of learning to do.

First mover advantage is the only thing that bitcoin has. The only reason why it's more expensive then the tens of other altcoins that have been created from the same source.
Rest doesn't mean much tho, because the development in bitcoin source is very slow and it's actually crippled by core properties like work-of-proof mining and 10 minute transaction times. You can only better the GUI and fix some bugs while you can't develop the core properties that actually need development the most.




Perhaps it seems that way but wealth can be stored in other means than cash. It does not neccessarily increase my consumption. Whether people 'save' in production should be a free choice to make, not a forced one.


And you can freely save up by buying necessary goods that hold value. Inflation doesn't stop you for doing that. Inflation only pushes you towards using your money on something, not just sitting on money.
Production isn't forced, but it's favored because it does increase it's countries economic strength. And economic strength is the thing that decides the survival of the fittest in the modern world.
Controlled and stable deflation system could also be used like the an stable and controlled inflation system. But the first country will always have less production then the last one.
But with bitcoin we are not talking about controlled and stable deflation, we are talking about inevitable uncontrollable hyperdeflation. And hyperdeflation is just as bad as hyperinflation, because the instability creates a lot of problems that will slow down the economy.



Broken window fallacy. Don't just know it, understand it. Then you might understand why production and consumption are not worthy goals in and of themselves.

Broken window fallacy isn't exactly an outcome of an strong and growing economy, but it is caused by the corrupt public sector that I talked about.
When world leaders decide to wage wars to stimulate the economy, then the economy is not to be blamed here. You could also start huge scientific projects with goals to colonize other planets or discover new ways to extract energy. This would stimulate the economy just as well as starting wars.
But people are to blame here who elect weak and corrupt politicians who act on the orders of warmongers, not on recommendations of top scientists. To make it short, broken window fallacy is cased by the lack of proper vision.



I hope I didn't miss anyone..


In the interest of saving forum space, I'll just point you in the general direction of reason and logic. Since you post here, you must have access to the internetz. Did you see what I did here? Reason and logic trumps ignorance, always.



208. Post 5223767 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: Arcas on February 18, 2014, 05:38:40 PM
I don't understand why Bitcoin ATMs are such a big deal. It's almost like a kiosk for paying a credit card bill or something. Why would I pay a ridiculous premium for something I can do for so much cheaper at my own home?

Neither do I, but appearantly people like the instant transaction without the need to register and so on. Anyway it is a free market, and any project is a positive addition to the ecosystem. I hope they can make a profit from it.



209. Post 5223860 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

I don't currently have a stake in gox, neither usd nor bitcoin, but my assessment, based on everything, is that they will survive with all funds intact, with a probability of 10 to 1.



210. Post 5228544 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Soo....  after this, CCMF/TDM, I presume.



211. Post 5235564 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 19, 2014, 11:18:48 AM
@KeyserSoze,

I have promised to keep my negative views to myself in this forum, but you insist asking for them...

Is what I wrote on twitter and put on my homepage any different from what I already wrote here?

(You missed my last tweet, "One day bitcoins will be worth their weight in gold".)

Even if bitcoin ultmately succeeds (which I wish it will, but doubt it) and bitcoins becomes extremely valuable (which I very much doubt they will), bitcoin trading is ultimately a zero-sum game.  Any profit that one makes from it is someone else's loss.  In order for @Goat (or someone else) to buy his Lamborghini, @windjc (or someone else) must lose his house.

I believe that adults have the right to gamble their money and property any way they want.  They even have the right to play at this crazy roulette-by-phone where the casinos may not have money to pay off, and the dealers are know to be liars, cheaters, and thieves.

So I have no objections to bitcoin trade and speculation --- as long as the people who come into the game are aware that it is a form of gambling, and that their expected profit is slightly negative (because of fees and other losses). 

However, this particular game will be profitable for its current players only if the price goes up; and that is not likely to happen if the "market" consists of the same guys trading the same bitcoins and the same dollars back and forth among themselves.  In order for the price to go up, and the old players to make substantial profits, new players must come in and bring new money.

So, in that aspect bitcoin trading is indeed a classical Ponzi schema: the money invested by new members is used to pay the large profits of the early joiners -- if these are smart enough cash out while the price is higher than what they paid for their coins.  The net effect of the game is to shift money from the late entrant' pockets to those of the early entrants.

And that is when the game stops being OK.  That is because in order to lure new players, some of the bitcoin "evangelists" are resorting to plain lies, painting bitcoin as a "good investment", an hedge against "rampaging inflation", etc.  They keep showing that false arithmetic of total e-commerce divided by 21 million.  Some still claim that bitcoin payments are untraceable and un-seizeable. (You may have seen my tweets a couple of weeks ago where I argue with someone who claimed just that.)  And the bitcoin salesmen conveniently forget to mention the growing legal barriers, the dozens of exchange failures that ate millions from their clients, and the many other things that would turn sensible people, even uneducated ones, away from the bitcoin game.

One feature of Ponzi schemes is that most people who join feel the urge to become salesmen and convince others to join too.  You do not see long-term stock investors doing that; that's because those people know that other smart investors will look at what the company does, and will not be impressed by sales hype.

It was the opening of the Chinese market that lifted the bitcoin price from the low tens to 1200, and it is the Chinese who are holding it at the present levels.  But that market is no longer growing. So, where will the necessary new suckers come from?

I have seen people here and elsewhere saying that the only hope left now is Latin America.  Well, I cannot sit and watch fellow countrymen being conned, can I?

Several times I felt the urge to end my posts here with a friendly "I wish you all get filthy rich".  But I cannot honestly say that: if some of you do, others necessarily will become filthy poor.  I thought of writing "may you all get back most of what you invested", which is the fairest outcome one could wish for in a zero-sum game.  But I cannot honestly even wish you that, because many people have already walked out of this game with millions of profits or stolen money --- so you all are, like those guys in my parable above, spinning around only a fraction of the money that you all put in.  Sorry, folks.


So you didn't notice that bitcoin is money? Or do you not understand how money works?



212. Post 5248790 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 19, 2014, 07:25:59 PM
Bitcoin code is not set in stone. Basically whatever the majority of miners uses as a protocol is bitcoin.

It feels like it's set in stone, because there are no development or even open discussions on important aspects, like the one I brought forward in my previous post. It's ignored and everyone are just enjoying getting rich with abusing the hype. Litecoin and other altcoins also use the "bitcoin protocol", and because of that, they are suffering from the same problems.
If there were some responsible people around, then someone would say: "Hey, stop this wasteful nonsense! let's figure it out how to build a network that actually makes sense!".

As long as I am getting rich, the protocol is correct.



213. Post 5411988 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Did mtgox loose coins?  Yes.

Someone discovered that mtgox could be fooled by malled transactions, and retrieve their coins multiple times. That was the reason why mtgox coins were a hundred bucks higher than the competition. Two hundred bucks when this fact was leaked to other thieves.

When mtgox stopped the coin withdrawal, the situation was suddenly turned on it's head. The thieves knew that coins were lost, probably this information was leaked to a broader group. Now the point was to get the fiat out before everyone else, a run to not be the last.

So, what we thought was insufficient arbitrage due to fiat transfer problems, was really arbitrage - but the other way. The gox coins, for the thieves, were really half the listed price.




214. Post 5415825 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: surfer43 on February 27, 2014, 08:39:19 PM
What has happened in past two days? Huh

Nothing much, but now, the next person to wake up after a tornerose sleep has two more posts to read...



215. Post 5416129 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 27, 2014, 09:04:13 PM
...what I have understood is that bitcoin isn't a good invention, but it's a good innovation...

The blockchain man, it is a fucking invention, the world had to wait 30 years for this one after public key cryptography was invented.



216. Post 5416224 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: optimi on February 27, 2014, 11:21:07 PM
Only if you have been staring at the charts for too long.  Its looking good, don't get me wrong, but this is hardly a clear outbreak yet.
You are either with us or against us.

...or with the terrorists, remember?



217. Post 5417510 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 27, 2014, 11:55:35 PM
...what I have understood is that bitcoin isn't a good invention, but it's a good innovation...

The blockchain man, it is a fucking invention, the world had to wait 30 years for this one after public key cryptography was invented.

While I agree, that blockchain is the part that could be classified as an invention the most. Then I still have to say that I see it more as an innovation, because it is built on already created inventions in cryptography. I think that blockchain is a great innovation, but I also think that it will be as great of an innovation in the future as iPhone1 is right now.

I partly agree, because the blockchain (the distributed blockchain, really) was inspired by some proof of work testing as an email spam antimeasure. But following crypto developments from the sideline for many years, reading the bitcoin whitepaper was a revelation.



218. Post 5417653 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 27, 2014, 11:51:29 PM
Your complaint about bitcoin boils down to this:  You can't force people to use their savings on what you want them to use it for.  I regard that as a feature, not a bug.
If an country would adopt this "feature" in it's currency then it will soon fall behind competitiveness, because it hurts both trade and production. That is why countries are not using this model. The bitcoin community isn't a pack of tortured geniuses who knows the answer how to prosper, while the rest of the world is just so dumb, that they wont understand the enlightened truth. This is the work of the cult mentality that I've been talking about.

There are two reasons why "countries", really governments of countries, wants fiat money in stead of sound money. Number one is that they can repeatedly, without their subjects discovering, steal from the money supply. Number two is that they think they can force investments through the zero interest rate policy. They can not really, because the credit made available goes to suboptimal production, sometimes even capital consumption, taking everybody down in the process.

Sound money (of which bitcoin is an example) is in the interest of everyone except governments of countries.




219. Post 5422009 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 28, 2014, 02:20:50 AM
There are two reasons why "countries", really governments of countries, wants fiat money in stead of sound money. Number one is that they can repeatedly, without their subjects discovering, steal from the money supply.

Fiat money and sound money aren't opposites. There are fiat that are soft and there are fiat that are hard. People are whining that money isn't directly connected to gold anymore and they don't even bother to study why. Instead of gold, today we have the petrodollar, where the actual thing that gives value to the dollar is oil that has better practical value and less speculative value.

How come can the government, or more specifically an politician, steal more in case there is a steady inflation rate?


There is no such thing as petrodollar. If you have dollars, you can not redeem it for oil. Dollar is used for trade in oil because it is an international market, and dollar is the best fiat for that. There is nothing special about oil or energy as goods. It is products that are useful, nothing more, nothing less.

When a fiat is inflated, new money is created and the owner of the new money is the government.

Quote


Number two is that they think they can force investments through the zero interest rate policy. They can not really, because the credit made available goes to suboptimal production, sometimes even capital consumption, taking everybody down in the process.

Sound money (of which bitcoin is an example) is in the interest of everyone except governments of countries.

Problems with suboptimal production and capital consumption come from places that lacks education, tradition and culture. I think you are right on that, there is a connection there on how more developed societies can handle themselves better under more intensive investment pressure. There could be a rule that less developed countries need stable deflation rate instead. But.. in this subject we are talking about bitcoin, that has no stable deflation rate. It is volatile and with a never-ending rise. It's a beautiful piece of art, but it has no place in serious finance because of that.
It's job is to introduce the entire subject, so it needed to be attractive to the regular folks who believe financial fairytales. Through regular people, the subject can also reach more influential people, who can start implementing the realistic parts of that idea to everyday finance.

For people who have access to loans with interest rate lower than the price increase, it is optimal to invest in businesses with negative profit.
Quote

There is no use trying to convince me that bitcoin can survive more then couple of years, before it will get eaten by competition. To me it sounds like, when someone is the first to struck oil, and then no one else on earth will drill for oil any longer, because someone else already did it. Creating the perfect digital currency will soon be the holy grail to everyone who consider them to be geniuses at software engineering.

The reason for each government to have its own fiat money system becomes clear when you understand the reason for having fiat, described above. Since there is nothing in virtual currencies for governments (or any other group), there is no natural tendency to have many. For producers and consumers it is best to have one universal currency, therefore bitcoin clones will have a hard time. There must be a good reason for an altcoin to thrive.



220. Post 5422824 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: seleme on February 28, 2014, 10:02:34 AM
Kolin Burges ‏@The_K_meister 2m

Karpeles in Tokyo says MtGox is bankrupt. 750,000 customer bitcoins stolen & 120,000 company bitcoins stolen. None left #mtgox #mtgoxprotest

Wow, thats bullish. My biggest question is, when did the majority get lost?

Hm, not sure... it would be more bullish if he said he lost keys for those coins.

A last dump for the suckers, a last opening for the most persistent bears, then ccmf!



221. Post 5436069 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on February 28, 2014, 09:39:39 PM
http://www.theverge.com/2014/2/28/5453596/voynich-manuscript-decrypting-the-most-mysterious-book-in-the-world

^ might be of interest to Jorge.

Also, how can we interpret this as bullish for bitcoin?

If you need to, you'll find a way.



222. Post 5444134 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Hmm, we have started on an upward leg for the last hour (huobi), but for how long? Hopefully 3 hours more, so we can make some progress.



223. Post 5461647 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on March 01, 2014, 10:34:17 PM
We should get together and buy an island with bitcoins, call it Satoshi Island and have the currency as BTC of course, use the bitcoin protocol to vote trade etc.. and live happily ever after.

It would be nothing but endless Goxings. And as with any utopia, who would clean the toilets?

Even a bitcoin new rich would consider cleaning your toilet, if the compensation is high enough. But it would probably be cheaper to hire the NSA guys living in the tent outside your house.



224. Post 5462720 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Something is wrong. It should be at 600 by now. Could everyone reconsider their bids ands asks? Thank you.



225. Post 5467509 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: zyk on March 02, 2014, 06:13:41 PM
try to wipe your ass with Bitcoin.....and you´ll see cash is king Wink

This is just a reformulation of the intrinsic value question.



226. Post 5467756 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: mellowyellow on March 02, 2014, 06:38:53 PM
Bitcoin do it already, I don't have time and nerves to wait the whole day, do something already....


BTW watching bitstamp for some time now, bids are going lower, less than 4458 to bring us below $520

Its been pretty stable to $400 & $500 for the last couple of days. I expect bids to increase tomorrow with a little more fiat from Goxed people coming in.


zyk seems to be a total nuub, not knowing bitcoin exists outside gox.



have they been payed out?....withdrawls still processing ?
Not sure if serious.



227. Post 5481078 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: niothor on March 03, 2014, 05:54:35 AM
Sorry for the OT, but does anyone here remember who discovered "Willy" and when?

I wrote this article: http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1zdnop/peter_rs_theory_on_the_collapse_of_mt_gox/ and credited Willy's discover to my fellow Wall Observers here.  However, paleh0rse from Reddit claims priority but hasn't shown me convincing evidence.  

We were talking about Willy as early as December, right?  

Gox also appears to have some kind of in-house bot with access to the exchange still and it is still buying, hahaha. This bots seems to be the 15btc buy bot that has been around for a while trying to push the price upwards every 5-10 minutes.

that's the oldest i remember when the bot was the only one trading


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg4328401#msg4328401


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg4272015#msg4272015



228. Post 5483834 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: Erdogan on March 02, 2014, 01:54:33 PM
Something is wrong. It should be at 600 by now. Could everyone reconsider their bids ands asks? Thank you.


Thank you, stranger.



229. Post 5484375 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: ardana123 on March 03, 2014, 01:19:02 PM
http://trading.i286.org/

Does anyone have a good price ticker which shows an overview of the orderbook like this? But for bitstamp then.

I always preferred i286 in the days of Gox. I like the visual layout.

I wish they'd switch to Stamp. Merely saying "Gox is dead" just doesn't cut it.

I've read somewhere stamp's api doesn't support the real time order book... But it would be awesome if we could have the same for stamp as we did for gox.

Missing mtgox already?



230. Post 5492367 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: kkaspar on March 03, 2014, 10:51:33 PM
more seriously,
i suggest you guys go have a look there:

-> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=83794.0#post_toc_2

In the future, when people start to question who owns most of the existing bitcoins, then better hope that there is another popular coin out there so you don't have to just withdraw fiat and game over. When people start to look into the amount of drug trade that went on with bitcoin in the past, and the amount of coins that have been reported stolen, then they will realize an important question: How to know if the criminal world isn't owning most of the coins in existence? People will question if investing new money into bitcoin isn't just filling the pockets of criminals who sold drugs and stole from others in the past. And then there will be one answer, that it's safer to start all over on a new platform that is not that suitable to the criminal element.
guaranteed that 100% of all cash has been used in some sort of drug exchange at one point or another...

Well, but cash isn't like bitcoin isn't it. Cash wasn't introduced with decreasing supply, where drug trade was the main market engine, while half of the coins came out in couple of years, with the rest coming in a period that is over hundred years Wink
Bitcoin was designed mainly to reward early adopters and have a strong starting momentum by this. Most of the early adopters with bitcoin are in all probability different kinds of criminals. That is probably the reason why there are so few "whales" who like publicity.

We will be hearing this for years and it can get hot, but no, there will be no successful slavecoin.



231. Post 5493099 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Just a little more patience before the next leg up. 1, 2 or maybe 3 hours?



232. Post 5493169 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on March 04, 2014, 12:05:22 AM
You guys realize we went from $400 to $700 in a week, right? At that rate, we'll be over $6000 in month.

Extrapolation, bitchez!

Why not? I've had enough of this toe-dipping.



233. Post 5503369 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

A few hours more of this, and the bystanders and toe-dippers will feel a desperate urge to shovel fiat in the general direction of the money-changers.



234. Post 5504534 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: kkaspar on March 04, 2014, 12:52:49 PM
So, is there a consensus about what caused todays sudden price increase

The world is in love with Bitcoin and most realize it is a great value?

I wouldn't stop there.. maybe the world realized that bitcoin is divine and the code was sent down directly by god. Now there will be a 120 year long age of peace and enlightenment, while the entire world is mining for the same amount of coins, that a small group of people mined in 5 years.

Ok, we get it ... you missed out on the early coins and you're jealous.

Would you like some cheese to go with those sour grapes?


Who wouldn't be jealous on people who got rich without needing to do any work or even have a decent enough education? I think that everyone agrees that it would be awesome to win the lottery.
But my previous post wasn't about my personal jealousy, but about the absurdity of bitcoins coin supply.

Mind work. Others could do it, I was prepared to explain everything, but they did not want to know, think, feel or act. Fuck them.

Still they don't want to do the work of collecting information, think and act. The same goes for you. This is not over, you can do exactly the same as the early adopters, with the same force, just with a time lag. The implementation of bitcoin in the world is not over yet.




235. Post 5504980 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: kkaspar on March 04, 2014, 01:58:20 PM
Mind work. Others could do it, I was prepared to explain everything, but they did not want to know, think, feel or act. Fuck them.

Still they don't want to do the work of collecting information, think and act. The same goes for you. This is not over, you can do exactly the same as the early adopters, with the same force, just with a time lag. The implementation of bitcoin in the world is not over yet.

To tell that buying BTC in 2010-2011 is mindwork is funny at best. You can also say that picking the right lottery number is mindwork.
Yeah, it's not over. I think that BTC has about 1-2 bubbles still left in it before the final demise. So, I'll probably still make some money from it Smiley
But that doesn't mean that I have to join the cult of bitcoin and start lying to myself what bitcoin is and what it isn't. Bitcoin is mainly a scheme where you can earn on the stupidity of others. Bitcoins coin supply was designed in a certain way, so it would give a strong starting momentum by attracting people with promises of over the top high rewards. There is a downside on that also. When people start to see that the starting momentum is over, then they will lose interest. Currently there is still hype left in it with attracting fools who actually think that bitcoin is the solution to the problems in world banking. Until that hype lasts, you can still earn. I know it's not nice to earn at the expense of others stupidity, but when you do it, then at least don't lie to yourself.

When I started, somebody else had all the bitcoins, including the unmined, which I didn't plan to find myself.

It is no lottery, you are uninformed.

If everybody else are stupid, I loose. I bet they are not.

If everything play out as I expect, there are only winners, including the non-users.

You are free to make your own choice, but when you want to blame others for that, don't expect me to listen to you.




236. Post 5506750 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 04, 2014, 03:28:07 PM

But then, what is "honorable" about bitcoin?


The honorable thing is to allow yourself and others to have sound money. You, on the other hand, prefer to stay uninformed and shamelessly perpetuate your desinformation. It feels safer to go with the thugs, I guess.



237. Post 5506901 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: kkaspar on March 04, 2014, 03:58:07 PM

But then, what is "honorable" about bitcoin?


The honorable thing is to allow yourself and others to have sound money. You, on the other hand, prefer to stay uninformed and shamelessly perpetuate your desinformation. It feels safer to go with the thugs, I guess.

Money thats value is held up mostly by a group of unknown people, who are in all probability former drug dealers, crackers or confidence men. The value is held up by those people and their decisions whether to dump their coins on the market or not.
This is the definition of sound money in the cult of bitcoin Smiley

How can you defend yourself being involved i such a vicious thing? I guess you are grossly unethical, both of you.



238. Post 5507127 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: kkaspar on March 04, 2014, 04:07:35 PM

But then, what is "honorable" about bitcoin?


The honorable thing is to allow yourself and others to have sound money. You, on the other hand, prefer to stay uninformed and shamelessly perpetuate your desinformation. It feels safer to go with the thugs, I guess.

Money thats value is held up mostly by a group of unknown people, who are in all probability former drug dealers, crackers or confidence men. The value is held up by those people and their decisions whether to dump their coins on the market or not.
This is the definition of sound money in the cult of bitcoin Smiley

How can you defend yourself being involved i such a vicious thing? I guess you are grossly unethical, both of you.

I must confess that I am quite unethical when earning with bitcoin. I'll try to balance my lack of ethics with general honesty Smiley
As I have understood then Jorge is actually ethical and he is not earning any money with bitcoin. Can't say the same thing about me tho..

That could be misunderstood. He is unethical in refusing to think and uncritically spreading desinformation.



239. Post 5510361 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 04, 2014, 04:28:43 PM

But then, what is "honorable" about bitcoin?


The honorable thing is to allow yourself and others to have sound money.

Calling bitcon "solid money" is a lie, pure and simple.  There is nothing to sustain its value, no reason to believe that cryptocoins will succeed, no reason to believe that bitcon will not be superseded by other coins.   "Fiat money wannabe" is the most optimistic description one can use, gievn what we have seen so far.

Sound money. It is a thing. You can look it up.



240. Post 5510591 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: Holliday on March 04, 2014, 04:47:00 PM

But then, what is "honorable" about bitcoin?


The honorable thing is to allow yourself and others to have sound money.

Calling bitcon "solid money" is a lie, pure and simple.  There is nothing to sustain its value, no reason to believe that cryptocoins will succeed, no reason to believe that bitcon will not be superseded by other coins.   "Fiat money wannabe" is the most optimistic description one can use, gievn what we have seen so far.

People who value it's properties will sustain it's value. Once it's properties are no longer valuable, people will no longer sustain it's value. I expect it's properties to become more valuable as governments continue to increase capital controls.

Could you define "solid money" for us?

To Jorge: There is nothing to sustain its value, except that people prefer to own it. This is perfect. No relation to the real world. Pure money.

There is a timestamp in each block, but it is not needed for the transactions or for the function of the blockchain, except to regulate the mining difficulty. A cheap and incontrovertible piece of data.



241. Post 5511866 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 04, 2014, 07:44:21 PM

Sound money. It is a thing. You can look it up.


But that would mean getting the horse out of the stable, riding it down to the library and searching through through the card index to determine which vellum covered tome to consult to find the definition. And he doesn't even have any quills sharpened to take notes.

You forgot he must ask the government for permission for each of those things, unless he can use the university license.




242. Post 5512059 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 04, 2014, 08:05:39 PM
[...]
Here in Brazil we have clandestine (illegal) lotteries and cassinos, and an official lottery that is run by a state-licensed private company.  Some slice of the profits go to the state, to make it seem morally acceptable.  They run ads encouraging people to play; so, yes, I think they should go to jail.


A piece of clear thinking here at last! Congrats, you are going somewhere!

What about addictive substances, have they taken that market also, like here?



243. Post 5512263 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 04, 2014, 08:28:50 PM
This guy showed his hand weeks ago.

I have stated my position several times, but for those who did not see it:

* Cryptocoins are a great invention, and I wish that they succeed in their original goal -- a method of payment through the internet, especially across national borders, that is safe, cheap, convenient, fast, etc.  I wish that, and I would love to use them if and when I think that they are better for me than credit cards or other existing means.  I wish that, but I do not think that the chances are good. (One shoudl never confuse "desire" with "expectation".)

* I am not a libertarian. I believe that governments are useful and necessary, and we should fight to democratize and improve them rather than abolish them. I see the libertarians' idea of getting rid of governments as sheer lunacy. (For one thing, if you don't have your own strong democratic government, other people will gladly and forcibly lend you theirs.)  And I see their hope that bitcoin will let them build their utopia outside the reach of governments as lunacy squared.

* Adults have the right to do whatever they want with their money (within limits of law and ethics, of course), including investing it in whatever they like, gambling it, or even throwing it away. 

* In particular, I do not care care if someone buys a lottery ticket when he is fully aware of the odds, or trades it with some fellow gambler who is equally aware of them. 

* However, if I see someone buying a lottery ticket because he thinks it is a good investment, I feel this Darwinian duty (magnified by professional habit) to inform that fellow primate about the odds, expected value, and all that.  If the guy does not believe me, then, shrug,  that is his problem.  And, of course, I consider myself excused of that duty if  I think that the guy may steal my bananas, or if he snarled some unfriendly noises at me.

* Finally, when someone tries to convince others to buy lottery tickets, by telling them that it is a good investment, when his motive is actually to make a profit out of their "investment" -- then that guy is a scammer, and should go to jail.



I agree with a large number of your points and subpoints however, I do NOT understand why  bitcoin and/or some other crypto-currencies cannot fit within your world view.  In other words, neither bitcoin nor other crypto-currencies need to be incompatible with your world view.  We can still have government and crypto-currencies.  I recognize that there are a lot of libertarians in the crypto-currency space; however, I am NOT one of them b/c I believe in government as the will of the people... I also believe that crypto currencies can facilitate the will of the people.. and likely facilitate government that follows the will of the people.


The main thing governments do with their money, is increasing the supply (newspeak regulating, keep prices stable). If he thinks that government needs to have this power, bitcoin is at odds.



244. Post 5515764 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on March 04, 2014, 10:11:19 PM
Quote
The uncomfortable fact for Bitcoin believers is that every major prediction they've made has yet to come true. And as time passes and the inevitable fizzle-out of Bitcoin becomes visible, those believers will splinter. More will drop out of the cult. And the ones who remain will only grow more convinced, more zealous, more eager to share the good news.
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/03/doomsday-cult-of-bitcoin.html

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

That pretty much nails it.

A well written article, if it were written about something else. Global warming comes to mind.



245. Post 5521921 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 04, 2014, 08:58:11 PM
[...]
As for the reactions, I don't mind people blasting my ideas.  To those who take it on my person instead, I warn again, don't push it -- you don't know what I am capable of (both in the sense of "having the means" and "having no mercy".)  Anonimity, distance, firearms, friends in the Yakuza, tears from you mom -- nothing will protect you.


I suppose this is some form of bizarre humor, but anyway, this is the "threaten" part of the the statists' agenda. The comfort part is, of course, salvation by regulation. If you are free, you will destroy each others. Be glad you have us, or else.

This is the dream of the lower ranked agents of the state. Suffer, but dream of the revenge. The problem is that this kind of power is reserved for the elite. When you are not needed anymore, you are converted to Soilent Green.



246. Post 5536909 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 05, 2014, 03:50:13 PM
Quote
The Doomsday Cult of Bitcoin
By Kevin Roose

On December 21, 1954, a woman named Dorothy Martin thought the world was going to end. Martin, a Chicago housewife, claimed to have received a message from aliens, warning her of an impending flood that would kill everyone on earth except for true believers, who would be carried away to safety on a flying saucer. For months, Martin had been gathering a band of followers who called themselves the Seekers and quietly prepared for their alien abduction. The Seekers left behind family and friends, sold their possessions, and on December 20, they waited. When midnight came, they waited some more.
When they realized the flying saucer wasn't going to come, and that Martin's prophecy had been wrong, something odd happened: Rather than giving up, the Seekers began furiously calling up newspapers and trying to spread their message as widely as possible. In order to overcome the cognitive dissonance of their situation and convince themselves their sacrifices had been worthwhile, they needed to proselytize.
This is, we now know, a psychologically normal response for prophetic groups whose central predictions fail to come true. And today, you can see something similar going on with another group of failing zealots. I'm talking about the cult of Bitcoin.
For months now, Bitcoin soothsayers have proclaimed that the virtual currency is going to Change Everything. The mass adoption of Bitcoin, they told us, would utterly transform the way the world stores and exchanges value. Government-backed currency would become obsolete. Farmers in Kenya would use the same Bitcoin-based payment systems as cafés in the Mission. With the future of money in the hands of Satoshi Nakamoto's brilliant protocol, inexact central planning would be replaced by algorithmic decentralization.
Of course, none of that has happened. And it's exceedingly likely that none of it will. (...)



it is really funny. first the nay sayers told us it will never work, the guys who try it are idiots. now, as they realize that bitcoin is still around they bring on the next move: ha, bitcoin hasn´t achieved what the bitcoiners say it would = must be bad.

it went kind of fast from: it will not succeed to see, it hasn´t succeeded  Wink



http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/03/doomsday-cult-of-bitcoin.html


The above quoted article is such bullshit that it is hardly worth repeating.... Maybe I am guilty of the same but I just wanted to make clear my referent?   Surely, with any movement, there are going to be some people who are true believers, and they have NO basis in fact for their beliefs - however, to put bitcoin in that category and to suggest that a lot of bitcoin followers fall into cultish behavior attempts to poo poo and to minimize a large number of concrete and positive contributions of bitcoin.  


I prefer to call it passion. Anything in life should be done both with rationale and passion.



247. Post 5537937 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: tailor on March 05, 2014, 09:08:26 PM
By the way, Tailor, what are you doing in this forum?  Are you just here to inform bitcoin investors of the perils of bitcoin, or do you have some meaningful purpose, besides spreading baloney distractions?

Is this an attempt to run off one of the unfaithful?

I'm here for the same reason any of us: talk about BTC.  That doesn't mean I have to be part of the echo chamber though. Once in a while it's handy to have an unbeliever in the midst, just in case the emperor really is naked.

Like most here, I'm a BTC speculator - I do hold some, and even lost some when GOX collapsed. My investment in BTC infrastructure is limited to the few bucks I've paid in exchange fees though. I've been pleasantly surprised by the price increase since the spring of 2011, but I don't believe the price accurately represents any underlying value yet.
We don't want bitcoin to represent any underlaying value. Bitcoin is pure money.
Quote
The price thus far has been determined by limited investment of money,
I suppose you talk about fiat money here. Fiat money is also pure money, but bitcoin has better money properties.
Quote
so the market cap is on paper only.
Not even paper. Bitcoin is tangible and real, unvirtueal, no paper.
Quote
Total investment divided by total coins available would be a much smaller number.

The volume of fiat money exchanged for bitcoin historically is no measure of the value. Only the values internal to the mind of the market participants count. Sometimes, the values assigned by somebody is partially revealed in a public trade.

You need to inform yourself what is the fundamentals of value and markets, and use sensible names for the concepts internally in your mind, before you can have any hope of understanding bitcoin.



248. Post 5558784 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on March 06, 2014, 11:51:40 PM
today was a low volume day

~10,230 coins were traded for ~6,800,000$

price ranged from 675 - 650


i'm pretty sure depth on both sides is meaningless

You nailed it.



249. Post 5567827 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: maximum on March 07, 2014, 12:23:04 PM
i had 100, was down at 67 around december, now i got over 100.   Grin

In november I had X coins, then during crash I had X coins, and now, after the turbulence has seceded I have X coins. Nerve-irking, but now I feel comfortable.



250. Post 5574927 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

This is slow torture. but if everything fails and the bitcoin totally tanks, we can always pray like the ghanesians:

"I command the resurrection of the cedi! In the name of Jesus!" preached evangelist Nicholas Duncan-Williams of a megachurch called Action Chapel, recently. Then he addressed Satan: "Take your hands off the central bank!"

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304585004579417822045597450



251. Post 5637141 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 11, 2014, 12:37:46 AM
[...]
... ... OTHERWISE, we will truly be living in a survival of the fittest, dog eat dog world... Most people would NOT want to live in such a society.


This is important. I agree, but why do you think, while most people don't want to live in a dog eat dog world, that we will have one in a free society?

If you meet a stranger somewhere in the wilderness, what is your first thought? Kill him and steal his boots?




252. Post 5637331 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on March 11, 2014, 03:24:56 AM
The main problem with ancap is that there's nothing preventing a violent gang (a new government if you will) from forming, because everyone else is being so peaceful, and if everyone else stops being peaceful, then it it isn't ancap any more - its just regular anarchy.

Ancap will only work if there is some force to stop people from conducting acts of violence, preferably some force that isn't corruptible. So, until we have open-source peacemaking enforcement droids no such utopia can exist.

That is why you need also the principle of self defense.



253. Post 5640298 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: Le Happy Merchant on March 11, 2014, 10:15:39 AM
If you meet a stranger somewhere in the wilderness, what is your first thought? Kill him and steal his boots?

My first thought is 'I wonder if I can keep this guy from killing me for my boots'

Good. If both have this thought, the encounter will end good, possibly with some trade of information or other things for the benefit of both. Otherwise, you have a plan for some kind of self defense.



254. Post 5652569 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on March 11, 2014, 05:01:47 PM
why do you think, while most people don't want to live in a dog eat dog world, that we will have one in a free society?

naivete at its finest. why did we develop a code of laws to begin with, because everyone is an angel?

The code of law was is partially to protect person and property from violence and theft, partly it is degenerated to suit the robber gangs. Adam Smith, in his studies into the wealth of nations, explained (for me it was him) how the sovereigns in Europe amassed wealth from their citizens by theft, basically to cement the domination structure which they were on the top of. After that it is clear to me that the modern governments do the same, but with leaving just as much freedom as the citizens will not give up, while still robbing most of it for the same purpose. The wealth is doled out to the supporters of the state to preserve it. In stead of one man on the top, now it is a less static elite. Much resources goes to hide how the state works, to degrade the citizens, and to hide the fact that the state can only function as long as the people give away their own sovereignty and money. This is done with lies, threats, violence and a bit of bread and circus.

You can clearly not change this overnight without a plan to replace the functions that the state has now monopolized. But just a new plan with maybe some other people in charge of it, is no progress. A gradual change could be possible. That means less state. Currently, the states all over the world expands their volume, monoplolizing more and more functions. A specially negative development, maybe due to technology, is the state's spying on its citizens, and the power that is misused through the payment systems, and the destructive central planning of the production structure through money and credit expansion and the low interest rate policy.

A practical goal is to stop making it worse, and reintroduce markets where possible.



255. Post 5655124 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 12, 2014, 05:25:23 AM

NOTE: Huobi's CEO denied allegations of fake trade volume, but said nothing about fake Glyptodons.


He also said (Edit: Coindesk) that volume as a comparison between exchanges is mostly irrelevant because of the zero fee policy (which he plans to continue forever). He said exchanges should be considered on functionality, ease of use, security, customer relations and so on. I agree.



256. Post 5655251 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: Hypnoise on March 12, 2014, 01:55:04 AM
China may have realized that it cannot stifle bitcoin.. and china has a mixed set of motives including a desire to have some kind of investment vehicle separate from the dollar... .. so China is likely torn about bitcoin and about whether they like it or hate it... maybe they are frienemies with bitcoin?

From what Iknow, Chinese residents cannot pay for goods or services using bitcoin; banks and other financial institutions cannot deal with bitcoin; bitcoins cannot be sold by e-commerce sites; and e-payment services cannot be used to pay for bitcoin.   So what is left?

I believe there are other cointries which have taken similar measures; Russia and India, perhaps? (A thread was started in this forum to build a list the legal status of bitcoin in each coutry, but it never got beyond the first draft.)  Some countries (like the US)  have not banned crypto-coins explicitly, but their existing regulations alerady prevent some of those uses. 

If crypto currencies will only be used for clandestine private commerce between peers, under risk of legal penalties who don't care about regulation, they will have failed succeeded in their goal.

FTFY

Chinese corrupted officers will push Bitcoin price up 1000 times

http://www.bit-sky.com/index.php/english/370-chinese-corrupted-officers-will-push-bitcoin-price-up-1000-times


Nice. This is a nice example of money being whatever the traders prefer to use as money.

Current money (fiat notes and token coins, credit money and debit money (deposits in combination with debit cards)) are good for most things. Deposit account money lacks the hideability feature, and all fiat money lacks the store of value feature. Golden monkey stamp money does not have wings, and house money lacks the fungibility, durability and divisibility features. Good prospects for bitcoin, which is superior on most features.



257. Post 5655337 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: aminorex on March 12, 2014, 02:10:40 AM
My question is, why the Chinese government banned Cryptocurrency but allows everything going?

For the same reason most of the laws in the U.S. exist:  To keep everyone in a constant state of fear and submission.  If you step out of line, there are probably a dozen felony charges that can be laid against you at any time.

Generally, yes, but the situation in China is quite clear for the moment. There was a month or so where officials' statements were unclear (possibly with intent, or they just hadn't decided yet), and mr Lee of BTCChina was extremely pessimistic.



258. Post 5655519 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: Asrael999 on March 12, 2014, 08:48:58 AM
Apologies if this has already been posted or opened up for discussion - but what do you all think of the NY regulators proposal to accept applications for regulated bitcoin exchanges in the US?

http://www.dfs.ny.gov/about/po_vc_03112014.pdf


It is always better to have things clearly written down. Better than just say something and let others (banks) do the regulation with no possibility for defense in court.

Personally I prefer minimum regulation. Any regulation will add up to something chaotic and eventually be captured by a group of actors, and it will really not protect against fraud, just make customers complacent.

In the long run, it doesn't matter. The rules will be changed when the real fight begins.



259. Post 5667046 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: aminorex on March 12, 2014, 06:31:53 PM
insight: friend of mine working in JP Morgan in London also confirmed they are kinda elaborating their own coin as we speak..  Undecided

JPMorgancoin? lol. I can't wait for it.

They'll be great for buying early and then shorting the shit out of (like all alts).

Oh man, piling on naked shorts in JPM coin?  What competing banker could resist?


What will be their genesis? Created by a former forex whale who got lost in the gold vaults and then vanished?



260. Post 5667074 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: F-bernanke on March 12, 2014, 06:47:24 PM
Is there anybody in this mighty thread who has used bitcoin for actually purchasing something with it besides FIAT ?

Bought some gigs at Fiverr. But who cares? I'm in it for the store of value.

Zyk is not really interested. He just wants to tell you that _he_ can not use bitcoins.



261. Post 5667163 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on March 12, 2014, 07:12:06 PM
$200 billion in potential savings in retail, Etail and remittances. What about micropaypents, equities trading, voting, corporate management, wealth storage, accounting, and charities?

a $10,000 bitcoin at Google market cap is a reasonable expectation for the next couple of years, but he the upside potential is substantially greater than that.

Take a birds view. Shave off 2% of everything that is sold to consumers. More, when you realise that there is payments also during the production.



262. Post 5683629 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: soullyG on March 13, 2014, 04:51:15 PM
The Bank of England have released a quarterly bulletin which is mainly about the definition of money, and its role in a modern economy. It (of course) includes some stuff on Bitcoin and digital currencies, as well as local currencies - Coin Desk have an overview here, or you can read the PDF directly here.


I couldn't possibly allege that something the bank of england write about money is wrong, could I, but they say that money is an IOU (I owe you). When it comes to base money (notes and token coins, also bitcoin), it is specifically not an IOU. When an exchange is performed, there is no trust relationship left between the traders. I exclude trust in the system here, this is more exactly described as speculation or foresight about the future value of money, or the probability that the money will keep its value in the future.

They define currency as notes, which really is the base money above. Currency is not well defined, most often what is meant is the type of money that is in common use in the land. I don't like that word to be used in serious discussions about money.

They correctly describe bank deposits as money. Bank deposits are money because it is debt (to the account holder) that can easily be used in exchange using an internet bank or a card. Edit: The voume of tradable debt affects the price level (the value of the money), just like base money. But it is not base money, it is included in a wider definition of money. The deposits are of course IOU's. Any IOU, whether it is your timesheet at work, or an agreement to pay for something later, depends on trust between the parties (and they are only money if they can be traded, that is, used as money elsewere).

This is by the way an important trait of bitcoins, which is one of the reasons for its future success. Bitcoin is trustless just like modern fiat base money, and at the same time, it can be passed over the network just like modern fiat-derived debt money. This is, for some, even for bankers, hard to understand.



263. Post 5683900 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 13, 2014, 09:54:08 PM
I exclude trust in the system here,


This is where you slip up. It is an IOU from the state which people trust enough to trade between themselves as if it had value.

No, if you trade one work hour for a dinner, indirectly using money, at the money stage the state does not owe you neither the work hour nor the dinner. The system trust I talk about, falls on the state, in case of fiat money, only because they produce the money and manage the supply. In other kinds of money, like gold or bitcoin, the state is not involved in the production or the management, therefore it is easier to see the difference between trust between traders, and trust to the system.



264. Post 5684629 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: threecats on March 13, 2014, 06:09:23 PM
Damn, all this philosophy in last 10-15 pages makes this thread boring  Grin

I could make ChartBuddy repost "Favourite charts from the booms and busts of 2013" if you'd like Cheesy

Chartbuddy's Greatest Hits. I like it.

Beats recent discussion on issue number one that never goes anywhere on public forums: political philosophy. Number two is religion.

gotta say i am impressed with our forum though, it has been about ten pages of this argument and Hitler has not been mention yet, correct? what's that fundemental rule of internet forums, all arguments eventually devolve into invoking of hitler?  but not here. : -)

Since the question of dictatorship is now drawn in, I would like to rant:

In computer models, it has been shown that in a population of beings, it is possible to have a balance between the "always attack" personality and a "try cooperation first, then fight if necessary". In the stable configuration, the "attack first" personality is in minority. A sociopath will attack always, but being smart about it and hide it to avoid retaliation from the others. We could live in such a society of a balance between nonviolent, self defending people and dominators. If we have a sociobiologist here, I would like her to comment.

Now, sosiopaths exist plenty, but they are really not a problem as long as you can see it and therefore not give them power over yourself or give them your resources (and make sure you tell others and protect his victims). So if freedom, that is sovereignty over yourself, knowledge and saying no! is prevalent in a society, a sociopath can not rise to be a tyrant. If people generally are willing to give away freedoms and money, someone is sure to rise to be a dictator.

This is why vigilance about freedom and the principle of self defense is so important to keep a free society. This goes both for a society with no rulers, and a society which is relatively free.



265. Post 5685137 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 13, 2014, 10:21:02 PM

No, if you trade one work hour for a dinner, indirectly using money, at the money stage the state does not owe you neither the work hour nor the dinner. The system trust I talk about, falls on the state, in case of fiat money, only because they produce the money and manage the supply. In other kinds of money, like gold or bitcoin, the state is not involved in the production or the management, therefore it is easier to see the difference between trust between traders, and trust to the system.


But if I give it back to them when they come calling, I get to stay out of jail.

It's not unusual for debts to change form and ownership. I could buy somebody's poker markers and they might negotiate to pay me back by mowing my lawn. Of course, there's not much negotiating with the government.

This is real money, after the transaction you don't need trust between you and that somebody.
Edit: I don't really know this, it could be an IOU denoted in some other money type from the casino, so not base money.



266. Post 5693172 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Excellent article on the argentinian peso here, written by T. Salerno:

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article44423.html

but ignore the bitcoin-bashing articles on the same site, they are inedable.



267. Post 5701962 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Weekend dips reinstated. Must be the newbies. Bullish!



268. Post 5741228 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on March 17, 2014, 05:16:15 AM
Who thinks the situation in Ukraine will spark something in the bitcoin price?

Do you think the Ukranians have the infrastructure to use bitcoin in times of war? I dont, I dont think it will be useful in war. However, there may be a few millionaires/billionaires in Ukraine or Russia that want to protect/hedge their fortunes. but why haven't they already done so?

Because it only has gone down over the last few months. That in combination with nothing but scams, hackers and crooks and no sane, rich person would put his money in Bitcoin. Not exactly rocket science.

Bitcoin in Ukraine is too small to affect the overall bitcoin price.

If the people on Кpим starts to use rubles in stead of гpивня, using the bitcointalk theory of money value, there should be a fall in the value of гpивня, not so much a rise in the ruble (because it is 500 times larger). Probably a fall could be explained by other reasons too, so we will never know.



269. Post 5741318 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Dump on Huobi. Yawn.



270. Post 5774666 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 19, 2014, 12:13:35 AM
Ok, since the UTC idea is already taken, my plan now is to convince Dogecoin, Bitcoin and Litecoin to merge their blockhains to create the DogBiteCoin.   Grin

Mybe you are an artist hidden in a scientists body.



271. Post 5793593 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 19, 2014, 05:00:39 PM
I hope BRICS ( Brasil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) countries will say bye bye to USD as second fiat and take BTC

That is really wishful thinking... ... likely, this kind of thing, if it were to occur at all at some point, would come from a smaller location first.. maybe argentina... or greece or zimbabwe or Haiti...   and probably it would NOT be all in .. but instead a experimental type exploratory situation

Already dollarized countries like Ecuador and El Salvador have already given up the inflation tax, and could therefore be candidates.



272. Post 5813629 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

It Went Down, Down, Down
And The Flames Went Higher

And It Burns, Burns, Burns
The Ring Of Fire
The Ring Of Fire



273. Post 5813664 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

I had to fill up my tank, and was caught in a naked long squeeze.



274. Post 5817703 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on March 21, 2014, 02:24:55 AM
I had to fill up my tank, and was caught in a naked long squeeze.

Is this a bad thing? It sounds good.

It means I wait for BTC to go up to a half decent price level. Mybe I should start to fill only half way, like we did in the old days.



275. Post 5819757 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Whoever it is, it is probably not a russian oligark with a visa card.



276. Post 5880968 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 24, 2014, 08:27:31 PM
I just rubbed it in my local grocer's face that I no longer consider myself a lifetime Gold member of their establishment because [ .. ] they ignored my request to add Bitcoin.
There, I found another reason to be skeptic about the success of bitcoin: bitcoiners will shop at Walmart instead of at their local grocer, therefore they will eat less healthy food, therefore the genetic predisposition to believe in privately issued cryptocurrencies will soon be weeded out of mankind's gene pool by natural selection.
Wink

A nice thing with markets, and capitalism in general, is that nobody really need to believe in it, it works anyway. In fact it had worked for decennia before adam smith discovered "the invisible hand".



277. Post 5892304 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: droptable on March 25, 2014, 10:48:20 AM
比特币 = bǐtè bì = "bitcoin"

I remain very skeptical of the Chinese language's long term success.

i lol´d hard.

They seem to be far behind also with eating technology. I once bought, made in china, a fork-sppon-knife set that was solidly grommeted together by the handles.



278. Post 5892805 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

(Permabull warning) I believe that the first two bubbles were real (I mean real based on honest speculation...), but the 1240-bubble was heavily distorted by the mtgox fiasco, and should be disregarded. So, now is the time for the next real bubble...



279. Post 5893837 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: ErisDiscordia on March 25, 2014, 02:58:28 PM
I've seen it mentioned, but perhaps it is the reason as to why some exchanges ie Kraken have started to supply proof of reserves, trying to calm the world down.

These are some real green shoots of recovery after you let big companies fail, instead of bailing them out as is the norm today. What is happening is that people, shocked, and sobered by this fiasco, start to demand things like proof of reserves and transparent exchanges. Companies trying to claim market share (there should be lots of it up for grabs with Gox gone) are stepping forward to meet the new demand. The whole Bitcoin ecosystem is growing more robust as a direct consequence.

I am happy with this development and feel like it validates my initial intuition I had after the final Goxing, when I felt that this is going to help Bitcoin in the long run a lot!



I totally agree. In stead of taking responsibility, and letting the market adapt, nowadays people just turn to the masters for relief, in turn forcing those who otherwise could manage themselves to do the same. What in economy is called "moral hazard".

Hopefully, this will show that over-regulation is counter-productive.



280. Post 5893902 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on March 25, 2014, 03:05:32 PM
比特币 = bǐtè bì = "bitcoin"

I remain very skeptical of the Chinese language's long term success.

i lol´d hard.

They seem to be far behind also with eating technology. I once bought, made in china, a fork-sppon-knife set that was solidly grommeted together by the handles.

How would one hodl such a device?

:-) I guess you would use both hands and then realize you have been trapped. Then all you can do is hodl tightly and hope it will eventually break. While you wait you will have time to regret your purchase.

I'm sorry that was just plain silly.

I suppose one could eat in slow mode.



281. Post 5897280 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: BRADLEYPLOOF on March 25, 2014, 04:35:22 PM
I think that we are really starting to see adoption on a grand scale.   Obviously we have a long ways to go, but I don't think the price yet reflects this last large wave of companies starting to accept bitcoin.   Everyday you jump on the internet, you see a new company starting to accept bitcoin.   It is simple logic that as more companies accept it, the more people will need bitcoin.   

The problem we're having in reality is that we're working on a bottom up approach where consumers have the desire to spend BTC, but companies need to accept it.  Then those companies just turn it into fiat, rather then being able to use it to buy things like power, food, materials, etc.  There needs to be some startups that accept BTC and use BTC to pay for their needs as well.  If only we could get some power companies to accept it as payment, then have those companies pay their employees with it and buy upgrades and such.  Silly economic workings...

Perfect for the new, legal marijuana businesses including support businesses, which are separated from the banking system. I wonder how long it will take them to rely mostly on bitcoin.



282. Post 5897375 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 25, 2014, 04:50:38 PM
There's also the problem of the unknown effects of MTGOX's black hole.. I lost a lot of money which I can't put back into the real BTC system, and plenty of others did too... MTGox also lead a price increase at many points in the run up to 1000++... the price now is it real? It's beign supported by an order book with 12 million dollars assuming the next leading exchange is bitstamp? MTgox's Fake or Real orderbook showed a much higher bid sum.. now the leading exchange's bid sum is equivalent to a few houses in a nice neighborhood... for a worldwide currency

I don't know what's going to happen but the majority of me is convinced the markets have not yet adjusted to the MTGox demise and no one really knows what the price should be of BTC at this moment of time.  Crisis of confidence in exchanges is still prevalant.  BTC as a protocol is still sound but 10 -> 100$ was a big jump in 2013... 10$ -> 1240$... even down to 500$ levels I'm not sure we're at the real BTC price.

Gox really screwed this whole thing up

I thought that massive Chinese speculation and zero fees trading in China caused the quick movement up to $1240?  then uncertainties with the future of China's participation in BTC and also maybe Gox's failures deflated some of that speculation hype...

Preference to hold, for chinese people, obviously, but we also had the mtgox thieves, that would buy at any price since they could redeem the bitcoin twice. The 1240 high was an anomaly, in my opinion, not a result of prudent speculation.



283. Post 5897505 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 25, 2014, 05:02:19 PM
I think that we are really starting to see adoption on a grand scale.   [ ... ] large wave of companies starting to accept bitcoin.   Everyday you jump on the internet, you see a new company starting to accept bitcoin.   It is simple logic that as more companies accept it, the more people will need bitcoin.  
People investing in something should try to have a realistic and accurate picture of its value, market etc.  Focusing only on positve side of news is not good for businesses.

I have seen a few anecdotes about companies starting to accepting payment in USD through BitPay, mostly from customers who already own bitcoins.  And BitPay's CEO said that they do not keep bitcoins themselves; they sell them as soon as they get them.

There seems to be no statistics on

   (a) how many stores really accept payment in Bitcoin, rather than USD through BitPay-like services.  (Many retailers work with rather tight
   profit margins; I don't see how they could post prices in BTC with the current volatility of the latter.)

  (b) how many people buy bitcoin for the purpose of paying for goods and services (as opposed to speculating, giving gifts, etc.), and how
  many dollars that amounts to.

  (c) how many stores have stopped accepting payment in bitcoins (directly or through BitPay-like services).

Overstock once or twice posted how much they sold through bitcoin.  Were there any updates?

I suppose that BitPay publishes some data regularly on their volume.


I don't think the fact that people buy bitcoin with the intent of spending it, and businesses immediately converting them back to fiat, is of any special consequence. The important point is that we get new users on both sides of the trade, and they will eventually want to hold. The preference to hold for later consumption, is the one and only cause for the value of bitcoins.
 



284. Post 5897890 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: droptable on March 25, 2014, 05:21:48 PM

Ya, there's kind of a which came first, the chicken or the egg.  To get more adoption we need the price to go up, but for the price to go up we need more adoption.

The Chicken.
(always the chicken)

The mutation happened during the "reception" of the animal (the first "chicken"), a animal that happened to lay eggs.
not-chicken-DNS + not chicken-DNS + randomized mutation-> chicken  ---> first egg.

Please do not use "chicken and egg", because it can easily be answered.


Did you just write that the chicken came first? The mutation must necessarily have happened in one of the parents' gametes. Thus the fertilized egg came first. Alternatively, if we consider an unfertilized egg, then maybe was mutated into a chicken egg, maybe not, but it would not develop into a chicken anyway.

So the problem of which came first, is solved, and it was the egg.



285. Post 5898040 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: MAbtc on March 25, 2014, 06:09:02 PM
Quote
IRS Says Bitcoin is Property, Not Currency
In a notice, the IRS said that it generally would treat Bitcoin held by investors much like stock or other intangible property. If the virtual currency is held for investment, any gains would be treated as capital gains, meaning they could be subject to lower tax rates.
http://stream.wsj.com/story/markets/SS-2-5/SS-2-490994/

Probably willful confusion on the govenment side, just like the central bank reports.

It is not a currency, because it is not a generally used medium of exchange, ok, but it is money.

It is not virtual, it is complete, full, real, tangible money.

The expression "virtual currency" should really not be used for bitcoin, cryptocurrency is better, but the best name is cryptomoney.





286. Post 5898231 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: btcsean on March 25, 2014, 07:11:43 PM
Any thoughts on what the recent decision from the IRS on ruling Bitcoin as property is going to do to the price now?

Some loser might find it reassuring, therefore marginally bullish, but really, no consequence for price.



287. Post 5898364 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: windjc on March 25, 2014, 07:48:43 PM
Any thoughts on what the recent decision from the IRS on ruling Bitcoin as property is going to do to the price now?

Some loser might find it reassuring, therefore marginally bullish, but really, no consequence for price.


Some "loser" might find it reassuring?

I find it reassuring that my tax bracket will be 15-20% vs. 40%. Does that make me a loser?

I would rather not call you a loser, but... you don't have to tell them, these statements come in droves, often conflicting, and finally, the US is not the whole world.

EDIT: And I don't think you needed any reassurance, for the feasibility of bitcoins. So ok, a decision on lower tax could be reassuring for non-losers.

Edit 2: Anyway, no consequence for price, my opinion.




288. Post 5898657 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 25, 2014, 07:50:36 PM
Quote
IRS Says Bitcoin is Property, Not Currency
In a notice, the IRS said that it generally would treat Bitcoin held by investors much like stock or other intangible property. If the virtual currency is held for investment, any gains would be treated as capital gains, meaning they could be subject to lower tax rates.
http://stream.wsj.com/story/markets/SS-2-5/SS-2-490994/

Probably willful confusion on the govenment side, just like the central bank reports.

It is not a currency, because it is not a generally used medium of exchange, ok, but it is money.

It is not virtual, it is complete, full, real, tangible money.

The expression "virtual currency" should really not be used for bitcoin, cryptocurrency is better, but the best name is cryptomoney.





Seems better for Bitcoin, at least at the moment, to be defined as an asset rather than as a currency b/c otherwise, it seems that government officials could want to squelch it, if it were defined as a currency. 

Also, defining bitcoin as an asset does NOT seem to stop people from trading or otherwise using bitcoin as a payment system. Doesn't seem like a problem... and there is some benefit that comes with a definition, even though the definition may NOT be the end of the story..


Really, what is money, is what traders say is money.  So a trade consist of selling some good for money, which is the same as buying money and paying with that good. Sales tax is bad, but tax on buying or selling money is just absurd. Still, some governments tax buying gold, as if gold is not money. If gold is money, taxing the trading of it is also absurd.

Therefore, governments will not define bitcoin as money, at least they will defer it till it is obvious to everybody that it is money.

I wonder if the proposition that bitcoin is money, could be confirmed in some international court for human rights, probably not.



289. Post 5903195 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Inspired by a recent altcoin with a novel inital distribution, I would consider donating half a bitcoin to be evenly distributed over the population of India. That would stick it to the man, don't you think?  Smiley



290. Post 5903215 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 26, 2014, 01:06:03 AM


1D ichimoku seems to indicate that if $625 is or has been broken during/after NEXT week, then the trend has reversed. 3D MACD would probably agree as well.

If your charts, lines, mac d's etc would actually be working you would be a billionaire by now. You still don't understand why you're not?
Wow I cannot even post a bullish TA now without getting flak?

FYI I have outperformed the bitcoin market by 10,000%, meaning if I bought and held I'd be up 400%in fiat value, but instead I'm up 40,000%. The problem was I started with a very small capital.

To me, that means that you have gotten 4,000 times return on your initial investment. 

Accordingly, if you started with $1,000, you now have $400,000. 

I wished I could figure out how to get those kinds of returns, but I do NOT want to work too hard... I'm thinking that there's gotta be some luck involved, also... .

Maybe he started with a very small capital because he didn't really believe in his own chart magic.



291. Post 5907548 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: shmadz on March 26, 2014, 01:59:56 AM
Quote
IRS Says Bitcoin is Property, Not Currency
In a notice, the IRS said that it generally would treat Bitcoin held by investors much like stock or other intangible property. If the virtual currency is held for investment, any gains would be treated as capital gains, meaning they could be subject to lower tax rates.
http://stream.wsj.com/story/markets/SS-2-5/SS-2-490994/

Probably willful confusion on the govenment side, just like the central bank reports.

It is not a currency, because it is not a generally used medium of exchange, ok, but it is money.

It is not virtual, it is complete, full, real, tangible money.

The expression "virtual currency" should really not be used for bitcoin, cryptocurrency is better, but the best name is cryptomoney.


And here I thought you were just some silly dude who tried to ban twitter by blocking DNS, but I really like the way you put that.

I will now steal it for my signature. Thanks Erdogan Wink



Smiley



292. Post 5907582 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 26, 2014, 03:07:39 AM

And here I thought you were just some silly dude who tried to ban twitter by blocking DNS, but I really like the way you put that.

I will now steal it for my signature. Thanks Erdogan Wink



Actually, "Virtual currency" is pretty correct for Bitcoin. There are no bitcoins, only the transfer of bitcoins.

How can you transfer something that does not exist? Makes no sense.



293. Post 5907654 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 26, 2014, 06:22:22 AM
[ ... ] the anarchic pipedream of an unregulated global economy without banks and outside the reach of governments, laws and police is not only impossible to succeed, but would be a barbaric nightmare if it did.  
You make the claim "impossible to succeed" with no justification or consideration for the end goal of cooperation to produce surpluses for the benefits of all members.
Now, very few of those crimes have resulted in any criminal cases.  So, why should the criminals stop?  Without laws and law enforcement, fraudster and thieves fare much better than people who respect others's property.
You are talking about Wall St. since 2007-08 crises right?
Yeah, them too.  (Hm, now I get it, MtGOX and all that are bitcoin's strategy to be accepted by Wall Street...   Grin)

Now you are talking... Smiley



294. Post 5923958 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Can someone bring aboard a new, nonbroken country, please? India, f.ex



295. Post 5929145 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Peter R on March 27, 2014, 04:49:04 AM
Really? Let's see, more or less likely to sell them if they are given 3 weeks notice to remove them from exchanges... more, or less? likely? It is a difficult one, I know.


Are you saying that it is obvious they would remove coins from the exchanges to bitcoin wallets, or obvious that they would sell every coin in their possession and remove yuan?

Is it also obvious to you how many coins are actually held by the Chinese?

I wonder whether many people, east or west, don't know about holding coins in their own wallet, therefore just leave them on the exchanges? Think someone accustomed to the stock market, but did not read up on bitcoin.



296. Post 5929172 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on March 27, 2014, 05:04:57 AM
I'm catching up here. Is this what happened?
We were going up, someone spread some fake info, the sheep panic sold, info turns out to be fake, price stays down. Correct?

It's depressing. Like someone stepped in your flower bed, but the flowers don't immediately grow back up.



297. Post 5929350 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: fotosonics on March 27, 2014, 05:28:36 AM
Holy crap. Has anyone seen "Atlas Shrugged?" Rearden Metal = Bitcoin

Rearden refused to sell out to gov't buyout offer, subjected to media smear campaign/FUD...

Two films are on netflix. Third and last is not released yet. Then you have something called a "book", that seems to contain roughly the same information, but is fixed in space.

While gold is mentioned a few times as good money, the book doesn't go deeply into the working of the upfucking and raping of the monetary system, it describes how a society can implode. You can read it as a screenplay for what is currently happening in Venezuela.

The horde of film viewing unconscious slaves have given the film the grade: Worst film ever. This is incorrect in my opinion, it can also be enjoyed as a story about a nice, honest and powerful woman who succeeds in love and business.



298. Post 5929712 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Peter R on March 27, 2014, 06:13:30 AM
[...]

The USD has hit the iceberg, but like the Titanic, most are still dancing under the illusion that the ship is unsinkable.  But more and more hear the crackles and find a lifeboat.  Ironically, the more people that come on board the life boats, the bigger and more luxurious they become.  


Brilliantly written!



299. Post 5932041 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Broseph Stalin on March 27, 2014, 01:34:21 PM
For anyone subscribed to a technical analysis newsletter (not gonna name it, not advertising) this is no surprise.
They've been saying that we need to go down for several weeks now.. so it's about time we actually did.

I'm sure they did, but they didn't know.



300. Post 5932102 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: hdbuck on March 27, 2014, 01:41:14 PM
i'm short! i'm short! cmon bitcoin you can do it! drop drop drop drop!! Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

My trousers feels short, but it could be either that my defect TA refuses me to buy a new one, or it could be that my long hodl has made me put on some fat around the waist.



301. Post 5955524 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: Peter R on March 28, 2014, 03:41:18 PM
Reserve demand can only hold up for so long.

This is true.  Reserve demand for gold has only held up for several thousands of years.  Our high-technology and globally-interconnected economy appears to now be shifting reserve demand to digital assets: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=68655.0



The special thing about money is that there is only reserve demand. Pure money like bitcoin, you can not use them for anything. You can not consume them, you can not squeeze out the energy used to create them. If you have bitcoin and want to consume something, like food, you have to sell your bitcoins for food. The reason why this reserve demand exist, and why everybody wants money, is the superior sellability of the stuff. This is the same for all money, you can always sell them. The reason why some things become money and other things not, is the 10 or so specific qualities people look for in a stuff they don't want to use, but just hold for a short or long time, then trade because it is immediately tradeable for anything. Reserve demand equals money value.



302. Post 5955647 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: FelixO on March 28, 2014, 07:42:16 PM
So people how have you positioned yourself in this dreadful sideway slumber?

I for one am in fiat waiting on the sideline for a more voluminous change of more the 15 USD in either direction

All in, why not?



303. Post 5963842 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on March 28, 2014, 10:00:59 PM
Goddammit I'm bitcoin's worst trader, today's masterpiece: I shorted at 487.

Simply doing the opposite of my decisions is one of the best indicators available

why do you keep shorting? we're like really close to bottom... we might even be below bottom.  Cheesy

That's what I call a bullish sentiment.  Smiley



304. Post 5972879 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 29, 2014, 07:47:23 PM
...
Thus, if the ban report is true,  it can only lead to a substantial and persistent drop in BTC price between Monday and April 15.

This has probably been argued to death already but when fiat was trapped in gox the price went up as coins where the only option for getting funds out.

Then why did the price drop on Thrsday?  For fear that the price may go up on monday?  Wink

I think the chinese mostly will want to hold their coins, even if the exchanges should cease to function properly.



305. Post 5973037 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: aminorex on March 29, 2014, 08:33:42 PM

I am not saying the causal flow is one direction.  I am saying it is vicious cycle.  When price is low, mining is attractive because it is profitable.  Miners rush in.  Mining becomes difficult and competitive.  As a result, miners cannot sell their coins, because they would take a loss.  Consequently, supply is restricted.  Prices rise.  Again mining is attractive.   It is similar to predator-prey dynamics, or a coupled oscillator system, with all the quasi-periodicity that entails, but in this case, it is confounded with exponentially expanding demand.  As a result it is a vicious rising spiral.


Exquisitely stated.

Not sure if that was phrased properly. The correct (at least in my mind) cycle is this:
1) price is low; mining profits are meager against power costs and effort. Most coins are mined by a few larger farms that use thier size to make a reasonable profit against the lower distributed power/space/cooling costs.
2) The bigger miners are responsible for selling coins or using them to add equipment. Thus, much of the fresh coin supply can be controlled by the miners.
3) price goes up; media attracts new attention, mining becomes more feasible, more small-scale users are interested. Many more people are mining and thus capable of selling their coins for the faster turnaround, price is allowed to slump, which also scares out buyers and puts us in a position like now.
4) mining farms and larger entities are gathering coins. Mining looks less attractive with seemingly overpriced hardware. summer is coming. This should restart the cycle.

This is just with relation to mining. the bigger image is the balance of people who are not scared to invest in a bearish market vs current holders who want to cash out in case it drops further.

Adding more factors does make the model more adequate and more nearly correct, better able to describe more behaviour.  It doesn't usually help isolate a factor, however.
I'm actually responding as an excuse to repeat something I said before, which I think is an important point, and would not wish to see lost:

Quote
*That* is the critical point for price dynamics.  Prices fall until enough marginal producers with-hold their supply so that demand exceeds supply at the market clearing price.  When prices rise, some of that supply comes back into the market.  If future marginal supply has higher cost than present marginal supply, then the price rise required in order to draw out that supply is greater.  The result is upward pricing pressure.

With bitcoin, future marginal supply always has higher cost than present marginal supply, in the limit where mining is homeostatic.  Eventually there is no marginal supply.


It doesn't mean squat who holds the coins - miners, permabulls, bears, daytraders, merchandise buyers, merchants, wall street types, whales... The only thing that matters is aggregate demand. The supply is essentially fixed, the result of mining is largely known in advance, there is some hoarding, but we know they are there, some coins are lost, we don't know that but nobody knows that.

Miners could be totally uninterested in bitcoin, sell off everything, they could even sell them in advance ... it doesn't matter.




306. Post 5974993 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: windjc on March 29, 2014, 09:30:41 PM
So the reason why the price is cheap is: somebody wants to do it, but they cannot coerce people to sell if they believe that it goes to the moon. So they instill as much fear as possible. Pretty well done..  Roll Eyes Just remember - you only make money if you BUY in this kind of situations and SELL when it is toppy. Other way round you are sheep, baa baa.
Rather: the reason price is still up is because those who hold thousands of coins need other people to invest so that the price will go up. So they pay for ads and positive reviews, to keep spreading lies and hiding the uncomfortable facts.   Tongue

Jorgi, are you a paid troll? Serious question.

Probably he has taken on, by himseld, to be the useful idiot who support the government and the bankers. He is doing this in hope of being rewarded later on. A house slave, elevated over the general working slaves. He is a dog in a chain. What he doesn't know, is that when he is not useful anymore, he will be thrown under the bus, or directly in the meat grinder. Useful as biomass.






307. Post 5975222 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 29, 2014, 09:48:30 PM
Why so defensive?? If you are a paid troll, are you allowed to deny it? I guess you would be. But your defensiveness makes it seem like you're more guilty.
If I were a paid troll, I would deny it, no? Silly question...

Tell me where I have "spread fear" without backing it up with argument.

Meanwhile I can tell you right away one of the lies that marketeers keep spreading: that "bitcoins will be extremely valuable because there can be only 21 million of them".  The truth is that there can be an infinte number of cryptocoins, any brand of them is just as good for commerce as any other, and there is no reason to believe that bitcoin will be among the ones that will succeed if they do succeed.

This has been refuted again and again. People want a secure, noninflating coin. Not evapourcoin. Not resourcecoin. They dont want coins for dogs or dope or sex. One coin. Not countrycoin, not citycoin. One international coin. They don't want a coin with more frequent blocks. Not premine. Not centralized. They want one coin.

Now there is competition, built on the sound principles of bitcoin, just another chain. Those kinds of coins could be competitors. Maybe one other, maybe two. But bitcoin is the first and the best protected coin. Even if two other coins should become just as prevalent,  that would only reduce the price of bitcoin by 3 at the endgame, when the maximum user mass has been achived. Most probably, altcoins could ever only reach a small part of the total value.

So moaning and grinding and harping of this nonproblem again and again, without even taking these points into consideration, well, that is trolling. Trolling is putting out a false claim, only to watch the common sense participants here wasting time repeating the arguments, repeating and rerepeating the real explanation. This way of working is exactly what is to be expected from a paid shill, a false grassroot which is called astroturfing. You are either that or you are ignorant, nonlogical, without common sense. It is also possible. Locked into a tunnel view, due to defect working of your left or right brain, broken, stupid, willfully ignorant, afraid, traumatized in your childhood. Something.




308. Post 5975295 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: seleme on March 29, 2014, 11:32:39 PM
So the reason why the price is cheap is: somebody wants to do it, but they cannot coerce people to sell if they believe that it goes to the moon. So they instill as much fear as possible. Pretty well done..  Roll Eyes Just remember - you only make money if you BUY in this kind of situations and SELL when it is toppy. Other way round you are sheep, baa baa.
Rather: the reason price is still up is because those who hold thousands of coins need other people to invest so that the price will go up. So they pay for ads and positive reviews, to keep spreading lies and hiding the uncomfortable facts.   Tongue

Jorgi, are you a paid troll? Serious question.

Probably he has taken on, by himseld, to be the useful idiot who support the government and the bankers. He is doing this in hope of being rewarded later on. A house slave, elevated over the general working slaves. He is a dog in a chain. What he doesn't know, is that when he is not useful anymore, he will be thrown under the bus, or directly in the meat grinder. Useful as biomass.





Nah, I think you guys are going over the line. He is not paid nor he will be awarded for his posts from anyone, there's nobody who would pay him to do it, tbh.

He is just intellectual troll who find this as some kind of perverse challenge for himself, he's probably licking his lips now how he is doing us here.

I0ve never seen anyone spending so much time on the subject he thinks it's a failure though, sad state of mind really.

To make it clear, i don't disagree with this. it is the most probable explanation-



309. Post 5975339 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: fonzie on March 29, 2014, 11:50:55 PM
@Erdogan ..... Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

No wonder why everyone hates Bitcoin and the cultists behind it.



Yeah, people are generally superficial, they don't want to read negative things, they don't like angryness, they only want happines, and thruthiness.




310. Post 5975445 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: octaft on March 30, 2014, 12:00:03 AM

Nah, I think you guys are going over the line. He is not paid nor he will be awarded for his posts from anyone, there's nobody who would pay him to do it, tbh.

He is just intellectual troll who find this as some kind of perverse challenge for himself, he's probably licking his lips now how he is doing us here.

I0ve never seen anyone spending so much time on the subject he thinks it's a failure though, sad state of mind really.

To make it clear, i don't disagree with this. it is the most probable explanation-

Or he could be testing his beliefs by presenting them to a heavily dissenting audience. I mean, it's roughly the same thing viewed from the outside, but with significantly less assumed derisive laughter and sadistic enjoyment on his end.

If so, he does it in a very unreasonable way, unprofessional, not in a way expected from a guy supposedly educated in the scientific method and discussion with peers.



311. Post 5975504 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: spooderman on March 30, 2014, 12:03:35 AM
Lol I smeared Jorge hours ago with my paid troll comment. I didn't expect it to still be a topic of discussion. I just don't see why anyone would spend so much time here rehashing (lol) tired old arguments AGAINST what this forum exists to promote. Why would someone do that?

And we know people are paid to do this.

https://firstlook.org/theintercept/2014/02/24/jtrig-manipulation/

I mean this was "tinfoilhat" stuff not so long ago.

Jorge perhaps you are not what I say, and I'm not trying to annoy you, I just wonder why you spend what seems to be HOURS every day here doing what you do.

Your potential story in the year 2020:

"I spent a total of 6 months of my life on a bitcoin forum, not because I owned any, but to tell people I didn't know that it wouldn't work for reasons I would cycle around, that people would point to the well established debunkings of."


And now i have no coins, my reals are useless, my wife left me, my kids won't see me, and I have just been invited to the http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soylent_Green factory. Please don't forget me, bitcointalk.

EDIT: Ok, time to stop this.




312. Post 5975953 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: fonzie on March 30, 2014, 12:35:50 AM
When exactly will FINCEN block US Customers from using Bitstamp or have they registered in the meanwhile?

The enemy is changing from ignore mode to fight mode. Expect to see condemnation, manipulation, bans on exchanges, bans on trade, outright ban of posession. But these attacks will be disorganized, panick-like. As soon as we have a ban in one country, the other country will unban it. Even a few recommendations, from small countries, themselfs victims of banksters.

Most government masters are happy to screw their owned subjects with inflation and bank abuse, but noone really likes that the Fed screws their own fiat and the population of far away countries.



313. Post 5976804 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 30, 2014, 01:33:03 AM
there can be an infinte number of cryptocoins, any brand of them is just as good for commerce as any other, and there is no reason to believe that bitcoin will be among the ones that will succeed if they do succeed.

This has been refuted again and again. People want a secure, noninflating coin. Not evapourcoin. Not resourcecoin. They dont want coins for dogs or dope or sex. One coin. Not countrycoin, not citycoin. One international coin. They don't want a coin with more frequent blocks. Not premine. Not centralized. They want one coin.
Then why are the altcoins still thriving? Those who buy and use them are not people?

Those kinds of coins could be competitors. Maybe one other, maybe two.  [ ... ] Most probably, altcoins could ever only reach a small part of the total value.
And it is me the one who states mere opinions, without any arguments?


Without arguments, what the flying fuck? There were arguments, even after you redacted away a few of my sentences.

Quote


You can have your opinion about the likelihood of bitcoin surviving, but the fact are that there is no justification now to claim that they will die, and bitcoin will not.  The "first players advantage" and "network effect", if they were real, should have prevented the altcoins from starting. That they started and are thriving is proof that those advantages are not that significant.

On the other hand, some altcoins appear to have characteristics that bitcoin does not have; who can tell whether they won't be decisive?

(I hope no one will claim that "bitcoin is now too big to fail".  Wink)



314. Post 5976871 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 30, 2014, 01:41:59 AM
Nah, I think you guys are going over the line. He is not paid nor he will be awarded for his posts from anyone, there's nobody who would pay him to do it, tbh.
He is just intellectual troll who find this as some kind of perverse challenge for himself, he's probably licking his lips now how he is doing us here.
I've never seen anyone spending so much time on the subject he thinks it's a failure though, sad state of mind really.

If so, he does it in a very unreasonable way, unprofessional, not in a way expected from a guy supposedly educated in the scientific method and discussion with peers. [... ] This way of working is exactly what is to be expected from a paid shill, a false grassroot which is called astroturfing [ ... ] or you are ignorant, nonlogical, without common sense. It is also possible. Locked into a tunnel view, due to defect working of your left or right brain, broken, stupid, willfully ignorant, afraid, traumatized in your childhood. Something.

Now, you and the other guys who keep writing this sort of stuff, do you do it because

  (A) you are frustrated with bitcoin price or something else, and need to vent your frustration on someone; or
  (B) you really meant to write that sort of stuff; or
  (C) you don't believe I can teach you a lesson you won't forget, and are calling my bluff?

If (A), fine, I am glad to be of service.

If (C), know that a man who knows his strength does not use it just to prove he has it.




Now I write mostly for the rest of the audience.



315. Post 5977025 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 30, 2014, 01:54:10 AM
Could you please go beserk, you have been talking about this possibility for quite some time. Wink
Beserk? No, the lesson will be delivered calmly, with just a few keystrokes.  But it is not a decision to be taken lightly.

How could you do this without connections to people in the domination apparatus? What do they owe you? How could you pay them? What is in it for you, what is in it for them? Would you reveal to them the secret on how to get rich with bitcoin investment?



316. Post 5977057 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 30, 2014, 02:13:52 AM
Regarding, Jorge, the level of paranoia in here is getting a little scary (and I talk as someone who tries to maintain a high level of paranoia). Jorge is wrong (IMO) but sincere. No one is seriously going to be trying to control the market through this forum (unless it is the market for pictures of rockets and trains).

You must be kidding - this is the center of bitcoin speculation.



317. Post 5980829 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 30, 2014, 04:19:42 AM
I really don't think I'm guilty of conducting a concerted effort to direct any vitriol towards him.
Indeed, I hope we can just stop here.


You hope? If not, are you ready to initiate physical violence against someones person? This is unclear to me.



318. Post 5980997 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 30, 2014, 05:30:19 AM

As for getting a coin, I would rather not invest in bitcoin, but will use it for payments if I find it is better than the alternatives.  Would that do?


No. That is for the masses, those uninterested in the phenomenon. Set up a wallet, get some coin fraction, pay something to yourself.




319. Post 5989381 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: GameStarter on March 30, 2014, 02:52:25 PM
That article does not seem to have any new information, just a re-re-re-hash of the same news, ultimately from the Caixin article.

The OKCoin CEO's statement, IIRC, was made just after the rumor surfaced.  The comment by the Huobi person seems  to have been garbled ("transaction records would go underground"?), the reporter may not know how an exchange works.

I think that the situation is still undefined...


Yes it just go more and more mainstream, central Bank of China will have to say something monday.

Or -- they are happy with the state of confusion in the bitcoin market.





320. Post 5989432 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: Hypnoise on March 30, 2014, 03:16:49 PM
I wonder why there was no volume and no price chang on Saturday, and so much of it today.  Perhaps:

* All active traders get the rumor on Thursday or Friday.  By Friday night all the pessimists among them have sold.

* Nothing changes on Staurday, so no trading.

* The Sunday morning newspapers carry the rumor.  The occasional and week-end traders finally get it, and the pessimists among them start to sell.

all active traders are bots, and bots do not read newspapers. Bots placing sale/buy orders when they got sale/buy signals.

And the bot owners can't do anything, because they are slaves of their master bots.




321. Post 5989700 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: magicmexican on March 30, 2014, 05:03:17 PM
Do those ppl who sell @these prices getting out of the game or just waiting to rebuy below 400 i wonder?

Two sides of the same coin.




322. Post 5990283 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: podyx on March 30, 2014, 08:08:23 PM
Beginning to think the whole run up to 1k was due to gox shenanigans.

Excellent. Can you get other people to believe this aswell?? That would be great, thanks Cool

I do. Absent the gox fiasco, we are on a slow upwards trend that started in the summer 2013.




323. Post 5990308 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 30, 2014, 08:23:49 PM
I still do NOT understand what incentive PBOC has to clarify the rumor.. Maybe in a week by 4/7 they may feel they need to clarify the rumor is NOT true.. .or if it is true.. which portion and to what extent..
If the rumor is false, I don't see why they would not deny it on Monday (last time they denied it on the same day, IIRC).

If it is true, the "confirmation" would consiste in them sending the order to the banks and the banks blocking deposits on the exchaneg accounts.  That may take a bit longer, but since the deadline is April 15, and the report has been leaked, they may want the deposits to be blocked starting tomorrow already.

If the report is true, perhaps it was leaked beforehand so that some big arbitrage traders or investors could have time on Friday to move enough CNY into the exchanges to buy all the coins that will be dumped by common clients.

Now I see, you really do have a plan.




324. Post 5990361 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: Hypnoise on March 30, 2014, 08:35:54 PM
I wonder why there was no volume and no price chang on Saturday, and so much of it today.  Perhaps:

* All active traders get the rumor on Thursday or Friday.  By Friday night all the pessimists among them have sold.

* Nothing changes on Staurday, so no trading.

* The Sunday morning newspapers carry the rumor.  The occasional and week-end traders finally get it, and the pessimists among them start to sell.

all active traders are bots, and bots do not read newspapers. Bots placing sale/buy orders when they got sale/buy signals.

And the bot owners can't do anything, because they are slaves of their master bots.



I'm lost  here .... what you talking bout, cryptocrathy or inslavery of humans by bots. Ether way it sounds real cool.

<irony> I forgot to use the irony tag.

Do you really think that the bots are autonomous?




325. Post 5998459 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: Zule on March 31, 2014, 08:29:01 AM
Thats not how Chinas gov does things. They wouldnt address directly to anyone, let along small pottatos like this. A vague announcement will follow soon.
I expect the banks to make the first move, since they are always sucking up to the gov.

You mean, just like here?




326. Post 5998487 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on March 31, 2014, 09:08:23 AM
In psychology, cognitive dissonance is the excessive mental stress and discomfort experienced by an individual who holds two or more contradictory beliefs, ideas, or values at the same time

And you can stay in that state, or resolve it, or just bury your head in the sand.




327. Post 6033793 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Cyprus:

"Demetriades said there’s about 1.5 billion euros of excess cash circulating in the economy that could be used to shore up the deposit base of the banks.

These are “bank notes that have been withdrawn from the banking system, under mattresses,” Demetriades said. “Some have been put in ovens and partly burnt and some have even been eaten by mice, and we’ve had to replace them. We get requests every month to replace worn or damaged bank notes. People are keeping too many bank notes at home.”

Demetriades said that if Cyprus sticks to the reform plan set by the international creditors and tackles non-performing loans, capital controls could be gone by the end of the year."



http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite2_1_02/04/2014_538671

Yeah, right.




328. Post 6051677 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

A goal for bitcoin would be to increase the value of the total amount of bitcoins to something more than $65B - the size of Bernie Madoff's Ponzi outfit.




329. Post 6052575 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: soullyG on April 03, 2014, 10:26:45 AM
http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2014/04/money

That again. The deflation problem. We have debunked it.

Just admit it. The knowledge is right here, in the Wall Observer thread of bitcointalk. Wall Street will be struggling with this for some time.




330. Post 6052784 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: creekbore on April 03, 2014, 02:20:52 PM

That again. The deflation problem. We have debunked it.

Just admit it. The knowledge is right here, in the Wall Observer thread of bitcointalk. Wall Street will be struggling with this for some time.



Some crazy comments below the line; but comforting to see tulips still being trotted out.







331. Post 6054233 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Can we start to move slowly upwards, or do we have to wring more drops out of this china thing.




332. Post 6065201 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: Cassius on April 04, 2014, 07:42:11 AM
Whats going on in china up 5% in 2 hours?

Because there is no China ban?
Because we went down 100's because of a rumour?
Because people are sheep?

Frenzied trading right up until the moment they pull the plug for good?

The fudders losing steam.



333. Post 6065516 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: serenitys on April 04, 2014, 07:53:08 AM
[...]
Curious about something if anyone here might know...I read somewhere in this forum something about the value of btc being coded in the math, that it can always be known how much it will be worth and how it will increase in value due to the code or whatever and that it's coded to increase exponentially. If that's knowable because of the code itself then why all the speculation?

This is wrong. The value comes from the demand to have value in reserve, from the actors in the market. I happen to think that bitcoin is an excellent store of value, so I want to have some of my reserves in bitcoin.



334. Post 6067019 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: silverston on April 04, 2014, 10:24:41 AM
Somebody call Fonzie QUICK!! we bout to break out!

fonzie allready ignored by me))

That will get you nowhere. He is the one with the highest confirmed/unconfirmed ratio.





335. Post 6079016 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on April 05, 2014, 03:13:38 AM
Just wondering, if you are trading on Bitstamp etc,  do you need to wait for confirmation (n-blocks)   before you can trade bough bitcoins?
Or are tthey instantly available, like with altcoins trading?

yes its "like altcoins trading"

why the F were you trading alts tho?

dont you know china is banning bitcoin?

I think they are banning virtual currencies, something which does not exist.




336. Post 6088226 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

What is demand?

Demand is when you want some bitcoin and are ready to pay for it by putting up an order. You may have lots of fiat, but the order is for an amount. So demand from one user is the pair volume and price. All users' demands aggretated form the order book.

The actual demand is when you place an order near the equilibrium. Low orders is more like a wish, and it can be changed. If you place a low order, and the last price creeps slowly downwards, you might change your mind and cancel the order.

Supply is the compliment - a fraction of bitcoin that you want to sell for a certain price near the equilibrium.

What does them sum of the order book mean?

The sum of orders and the sum of offers mean nothing, really. Since demand and supply are pairs of volume and price, what is relevant is the curve of the order book, as displayed by bitcoinwisdom for example. Large amounts far away from the equilibrium does not mean much, but the form of the curve near the last price is of some importance.

What does the sales volume mean?

When all the users valuations, and therefore the supply and demand vectors they put to the market, are static, there are no sales. Only when some valuation changes, there may be an order, and when the change of the valuation (expressed as an offer) crosses the equilibrium, there is a sale. Imagine you have a statice order book, and suddenly all the actors at the same time change their valuations and offers up say 15%. There is still no volume, because everybody changed in the same direction at the same time. Only when some of the actors change, there will be trades. Say half of the actors value bitcoin 15 % down, the rest stay put. Then some of the sale orders close to the equilibrium will cross over some of the static buy offers, and we have some volume.

So volume does not mean much for the price, only the valuations do. But, typical with bitcoin in the adoption phase, is that some actors, going from an uninformed or uninterested or negative state, changes to a positive state with valuation over the equilibrium. Therefore, new users means volume. But this is not consistent, because we also have high volume with dumps.

Do we need fiat going into bitcoin?

No fiat goes into bitcoin. As a result of change of valuation on part of some of the actors, the bitcoin goes from the seller to the buyer (of bitcoin), and the fiat goes from buyer to seller (or from seller of fiat to buyer of fiat). Moving fiat to the exchange is a precursor to buying, and moving fiat from the exchanges is a by-product of selling. Anyway the fiat will stay at the exchange for a certain amount of time.

What about the fiat parked on the exchanges?

Basically, the amount of fiat means that people are about to buy sometime in the near future, but they could also be lazy. Same with bitcoins left on the exchanges. As far as I know, the exchanges do not show how much fiat and coins they have outside the order book.












337. Post 6088352 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Based on the above, what happens if all the chinese exclanges close, and they have to recourse to face to face trades? Volume goes down, but it does not mean anything for the price, except the trades will have to be performed on a wider price range, decided by the traders' negotiation ability.

Imagine a buyer saying: I have wanted some coins for some time, I have had difficulty finding them, I have lots of fiat and I die to get some. Price will be quite high.

Imagine a seller saying: I bought too many, my creditors are after me and I have four hungry kids at home. I have to get rid of some coins. The price will be quite low.




338. Post 6091034 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 05, 2014, 08:52:17 PM
Based on the above, what happens if all the chinese exclanges close, and they have to recourse to face to face trades? Volume goes down, but it does not mean anything for the price, except the trades will have to be performed on a wider price range, decided by the traders' negotiation ability.

Imagine a buyer saying: I have wanted some coins for some time, I have had difficulty finding them, I have lots of fiat and I die to get some. Price will be quite high.

Imagine a seller saying: I bought too many, my creditors are after me and I have four hungry kids at home. I have to get rid of some coins. The price will be quite low.



Liquidity commands a premium. That premium was destroyed in China.  When the premium went away btc reverted to its  fundamental value -- well, it overshot slightly to the down side.  The question now is when will the overshoot end.

Yes, because the speculators (wrongly) believed that the volume and the continues operation of the exchanges is essential to the price. Slowly we will again approach reality, which is that the value is based in the minds of the market actors.




339. Post 6091144 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 06, 2014, 12:42:18 AM
the next dump could be brutal

For the dumper yes. Who would dump at these prices?

I just market sold 3 BTC @ $465.  If this shit continues, I'll double that and then double it again. Then I'll leverage short.

You risk losing all your gains. With leverage, you risk going underwater. Your whole bitcoin experience could be a drain on your wealth. It could turn to a liability. To a total fiasco.

Why this risky behaviour?



340. Post 6091171 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 06, 2014, 01:13:42 AM
Martingale trading is a bulletproof strat

Only if you have an infinite line, infinite time, snd a random market.  I.e. never.  But it does form an important part of a balanced algo.

The martingale fallacy is based on the fact that the human brain is not easily fathoming the speed with which an exponential function increases. You have to use your left brain for that, which takes some thought work.

Edit: And you also have to understand the limit of your betting power, and the limit for bets in the casino.

Edit2: And to top it up: Your only gain in the end, if you win before the limits, is the size of your first bet. So if you start low, to be able to go on for a large number of rounds, your win is also low. If you start a martingale series with a one dollar bet, and lose many times, you could end up putting thousands on the table, and if you win in the end, your gain is one dollar, the size of the first bet.



341. Post 6091278 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Looking at the trades, which maybe is a perverse hobby of mine, I am regularly surprised at how much fiat people have ready on the exchanges for buying in the weekends. Why wait? Why not just buy as soon as the fiat arrives. At least, why not put up an order somewhere below the latest price to take advantage of a dump?



342. Post 6091579 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on April 06, 2014, 02:21:04 AM
the next dump could be brutal

For the dumper yes. Who would dump at these prices?

I just market sold 3 BTC @ $465.  If this shit continues, I'll double that and then double it again. Then I'll leverage short.

You risk losing all your gains. With leverage, you risk going underwater. Your whole bitcoin experience could be a drain on your wealth. It could turn to a liability. To a total fiasco.

Why this risky behaviour?



Yeah, but if he is saying that he bought in at $10 per BTC.. and in another post he said that his average is below $40  er BTC... He should have a whole hell of a lot of room for playing around and taking risks....   if that is 1,000 or more BTC, which I kind of doubt it to be that much.... but who knows?  working with incomplete information, here... and that is why it is difficult to judge another persons investment strategy without knowing some particulars.

And we all gotta admit that BTC is very much up and down... even though sometimes it seems fucked like we are on our way in one direction, we get the returns back down to some extent.. and if we get a sudden shoot up.. and then who the hell wants to wait 2 months or even 6 months for a flash crash to recover from that?


He could, obviously, conceptually divide his bitcoin stash into two parts, holding one part and speculating with the other part. That would ease his risk a bit. Regardless, shorting the risk part with leverage, it could eat into his hold part, and even erase it, he could still go underwater, both parts taken as a whole.

Edit: He also says he has used credit to buy coins, that means he is leveraged also on his longs, which could take hime out also on the long part if he is unlucky. So that pretty much nullifies my argument, I guess.

In the end, it depends on the price going up. Which I happen to think is a safe bet, but I understand everybody does not agree on that.




343. Post 6091630 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

By the way, as seen on the hourly bars, we have had a nice progression the last few days. I feel comfortable.

Edit: Looking on Huobi, may be not the leading exchange at the moment, but it seems that the wisdom display of the OKcoin trades is not as consistent. I mean, the order book, the last price and the trade history, including the colors (green for a buy) is not consistent. Maybe their api is not as good as on other exchanges.



344. Post 6091672 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 06, 2014, 03:09:54 AM
the next dump could be brutal

For the dumper yes. Who would dump at these prices?

I just market sold 3 BTC @ $465.  If this shit continues, I'll double that and then double it again. Then I'll leverage short.

You risk losing all your gains. With leverage, you risk going underwater. Your whole bitcoin experience could be a drain on your wealth. It could turn to a liability. To a total fiasco.

Why this risky behaviour?



Yeah, but if he is saying that he bought in at $10 per BTC.. and in another post he said that his average is below $40  er BTC... He should have a whole hell of a lot of room for playing around and taking risks....   if that is 1,000 or more BTC, which I kind of doubt it to be that much.... but who knows?  working with incomplete information, here... and that is why it is difficult to judge another persons investment strategy without knowing some particulars.

And we all gotta admit that BTC is very much up and down... even though sometimes it seems fucked like we are on our way in one direction, we get the returns back down to some extent.. and if we get a sudden shoot up.. and then who the hell wants to wait 2 months or even 6 months for a flash crash to recover from that?


He could, obviously, conceptually divide his bitcoin stash into two parts, holding one part and speculating with the other part. That would ease his risk a bit. Regardless, shorting the risk part with leverage, it could eat into his hold part, and even erase it, he could still go underwater, both parts taken as a whole.

Edit: He also says he has used credit to buy coins, that means he is leveraged also on his longs, which could take hime out also on the long part if he is unlucky. So that pretty much nullifies my argument, I guess.

In the end, it depends on the price going up. Which I happen to think is a safe bet, but I understand everybody does not agree on that.

The VAST majority of my coins are in cold storage. I am betting my trading stash that the market is going down, but if I am wrong, I win more than I lose.

Fair enough, but that means your shorts work against your cold storage. Why leverage both? Why not just do one of the things, and rightsize your holdings? Give the kids some food and have ease of mind.



345. Post 6091724 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on April 06, 2014, 03:16:23 AM
2900 should break in 4-8hrs my guess.

lol self quoting is fun Cheesy wonder if 3000 becomes the new target

Nice.




346. Post 6094240 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on April 06, 2014, 09:48:17 AM
Whenever i think this thread can't get any more retarded it does. The fact that so many people using large amounts of money to buy/sell bitcoins that don't understand the concept of EV is mind-blowing.

Explain the bare essence then. 

By EV, I expect you mean expected value?

I see various forms of dollar cost averaging going on with various expectations that Bitcoin will acquire some additional value based on taking market share from remittances, store of value, currencies and hedging against irresponsible monetary policies.  There are other motivations and theories as well, including various forms of speculation on price direction based on charts and lines. 

Any special perspective or insight you can drop upon us cave dwellers?

It could also be exposed value. The fact that so many people using seldom used, unexplained abbreviations in this thread, is mind-blowing.



347. Post 6094632 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on April 06, 2014, 10:36:08 AM
Whenever i think this thread can't get any more retarded it does. The fact that so many people using large amounts of money to buy/sell bitcoins that don't understand the concept of EV is mind-blowing.

Explain the bare essence then. 

By EV, I expect you mean expected value?

I see various forms of dollar cost averaging going on with various expectations that Bitcoin will acquire some additional value based on taking market share from remittances, store of value, currencies and hedging against irresponsible monetary policies.  There are other motivations and theories as well, including various forms of speculation on price direction based on charts and lines. 

Any special perspective or insight you can drop upon us cave dwellers?

It could also be exposed value. The fact that so many people using seldom used, unexplained abbreviations in this thread, is mind-blowing.



Yeah.... I really do NOT mind constructive criticisms or pointing out potential flawed logic, b/c maybe we could learn from that.  However, bare mudslinging... seems to have NO real purpose - except to maybe just to make the poster feel good for a short time. 

Also, even throwing out a term, such as exposed value, may need to be explained in a context by use of an example.  exposed value would likely have something to do with risk taking - but investors vary a lot in this regard NOT only in their risk aversion but their knowledge or even desire to recognize risk.  I'm sure mine differs from yours for example.. but if we talked over our decision-making and preferences, we would likely be more informed thereafter about how to proceed with our future risk allocation(s).


I didn't say earlier, but I understand your desire to learn daytrading by doing.




348. Post 6103167 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

If you say you think it is going up, that is kind of a nonce if you don't at the same time say your perspective.

I thought it was a sure thing (all the time) that it would always go up in the timespan of 3 months.

Since I was obviously wrong, I take the standard financial advisor response: Extend your timeframe. (At the bottom of the stock market, some advisors said you had to have a timespan of 2 generations for your stock investments).

Now I think that you will always gain on a bitcoin buy in the timespan of 6 months.

 Smiley

Edit: ... and I am ready to extend it more, perpetually if necessary!




349. Post 6110619 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: dreamspark on April 07, 2014, 01:53:01 PM


It would need way more than 13 times as much money, you are forgetting that the BTC supply is still increasing. Money needs to be pumped into the BTC eco system for it to maintain its price, therefore if money is withdrawn from this system, the price will drop more rapidly than if the same amount of money was injected into it. This is why these so called BTC bulls (read: people who got in early and want to dump massive amounts of BTC at a good price) keep telling people to hodl.
Those are the same people who are pitching BTC to stupid money, saying that the dollar is inflationary etc., well atm the BTC is more inflationary than the USD.

Your wrong in your thinking. Theoretically you hardly need any new capital to create a higher price and/or higher market cap. This is due to how many coins are actually on sale at any one time.


It is exaggerated in coins that have a larger number of total coins. This is due to market cap being last price x coin supply. For example NXT has 999,997,096 coins that means for every dollar rise in price the market cap rises $999,997,096 dollars. People bitched about the same thing with Quark and the amount of coins it has that artifically inflated its market cap.

In the case of BTC if everyone but one guy took their coins from the ask side and one guy put his coin up for sale at $10,000. Once somebody buys that coin the last price of BTC is $10,000 and the market cap is $126,163,250,000. All that with just $10,000.

This is exactly the case. Change of mind rises the value, a small trade discovers price.




350. Post 6111245 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: chromosoma on April 07, 2014, 02:36:03 PM
Ladies and gentlemen, we are going down.
Women and kids   first....

As a gentleman, I retreat to the back of the queue, letting others dump first.




351. Post 6111337 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: hd060053 on April 07, 2014, 03:00:18 PM
Oh what now? China banned Bitcoin again? Or is it another random rumour?

bitcoin cant be banned. nobody can stop you using a brain wallet. they can just make it difficult to trade on a central platform.

Somebody did not confirm or refute anything. That's why.




352. Post 6114916 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: Mervyn_Pumpkinhead on April 07, 2014, 05:42:35 PM
I personally doubt that after  fall to 100-200$ bitcoin will rise again.
Just scare to think about all those people who newly  bought  all those gridseeds, dragons with  THs of power, thinking they will  get money back.
But now, difficulty is still rising, and value is falling. This hardware will never  ever get your money back.

Is htere any other  purpose for SHA256 ASICs? Can you hack protected files with it?Smiley

Where do people get this retarded idea from that "Bitcoin is dead if it falls below price x".

Oh yeah, I know: from the same jumping-to-conclusions part of the brain that tells them "we never fell below the previous ATH, so it can't happen this time either"...

I actually agree with the donkey on this one. Low price has little threat to bitcoin. Right now,a low price would actually strengthen bitcoin, not weaken it. There has to be a solid bottom and certainty, so things could get moving again. Right now everyone who has a clue, are on hold because they have started to realize that the current price is only held up by desperation, denial and overly optimistic hopes. So, this uncertainty is actually slowing down all the progress that is going around bitcoin. I was already begging in January for people not to pump the price up when it is only supported by denial, desperation and hype. It was easy to see that the only thing it does, is it made the process a lot longer then needed. BTC should have fallen at 300, rested there for a month and now we would already be on a solid uptrend. But the fools kept pumping the market and created a lot of uncertainty about the present situation. But now the fall will take longer and the drop will be deeper.
Only real threat to bitcoin is competition, since the entire idea of open-sourced monetary systems is too big to just put it back in the box. The price may fall, but as long as there aren't solid competition, then it won't kill bitcoin itself.

In the same vain as your post but I'm thinking year not months. On this note it reminds me of a metaphor Gavin made paraphrasing it went like this.

Developing for Bitcoin is like driving a car at 120km per/h while trying to build the steering system or change the tiers, while the occupants fight over the steering wheal and there's a big guy called satoshidice who has the music on full volume with his foot flat on the accelerator.

A crash in price like the kind that would make me cry is just what Bitcoin needs. Shake out the weak ASIC developers, give core developers space to do what they do. It will be very good fore the core believes to test there faith.

Well said..
I also agree that it would have been healthier for the development environment of bitcoin to have a year long resting period. I'm afraid that this isn't possible any more since the competition will also keep pushing. The word is out that it could be possible to offer monetary services separate from global banking. There are smart and powerful people and organizations developing their own variants, that won't be made public before they are considered perfect.
I personally think that the main thing that needs development is the coin supply. Fixed coin supply with increasing deflation makes the currency too attractive for speculative play. As long as there are good opportunities for speculative play, then there won't ever be price stability, and that is the main thing that creates a quality currency.

The relative fluent english there had me for a moment.




353. Post 6122335 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 08, 2014, 08:08:38 AM
Would someone please explain how one becomes a paid troll? Perhaps I can bill them for a hundred bucks (old-fashioned money, of course) for every insult I get here.  Wink

One way is earn tenure at a university. Wink
Another is proffit off Bitcoin fud.

Actually my salary from the university does not depend at all on what I post or don't post.  I could even stop showing up at my classes, and it may be a couple of years and several pounds of paperwork before the university manages to cut my salary.  That, if I do not put up a fight.

(Some 15 years ago the university extinguished its Forensic Medicine Department in a desperate attempt to get rid of a particularly inconvenient prof there.  It did not work, the prof found a friendly judge who ordered the university to re-hire him.  To this day he has his salary, even if he does not teach or do research, has no office, no students, and no duties.)


Sounds like your government is one of the extraordinary efficient type.




354. Post 6122380 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Here is some fiat:



Now go and buy!




355. Post 6124536 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: spooderman on April 08, 2014, 12:07:17 PM
CEO of math to resign.

CEO of encryption to resign.

CEO of electricity to resign.

All due to anti gay affiliations.

Hey, that's racist.




356. Post 6134108 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 08, 2014, 09:59:33 PM
Bitcoin burns greed.  Greed is the fuel for its engine.  All that greed will be consumed and transmuted into a new thing: scarcity.

Bitcoin is commodified scarcity.  The world was running low on scarcity, so we had to create some.  Previously we faced peak scarcity.  Thanks to bitcoin, we now have enough scarcity for everyone.

Bring on the greed.  Come at me bro.  Bitcoin will use crypto fu and redirect that negative energy into pure positive scarcity.

Greed is blind and dumb, it will eat its own children when they get fat enough.

Greed is hurting bitcoin, that is why it is bleeding.  It was greed that attracted all the scammers and thieves that now surround it. It s greed that makes otherwise smart people forget prudence, turn off reason, and trust their money to those scammers, time and time again.

Greed breeds greed.  Greed sustains not only bitcoin, but also the altcoins: "Why should I invest in bitcoin, and help Satoshi & friends steal from my wealth, if I can create my own coin, and steal wealth from those who use it?"

Greed may even destroy bitcoins most praised quality, its planned scarcity.  I don't  see what could prevent that.

It is about allowing yourself to keep the value in your savings. Greed is if you want more, that is what they have, those who pilfers the value from the fiat. Governments people and their friends and agents. You are one of them. You are an agent of those who think they have the right to steal from others.




357. Post 6168874 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

I hold a bag of bitcoin value sprouts.




358. Post 6176417 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: virtualfaqs on April 11, 2014, 05:16:50 PM

There are several factors why people do not daytrade :

1) They feel safer to have their coins in the coldstorage and not on the exchange - nothing wrong with that
2) They understand that trading is a serious deal, that you cant just jump in right into it and make money - nothing wrong with that
3) They have other job and its more profitable/comfortable for them to just focus on their job and buy more coins when the price is right - nothing wrong with that


4) They feel that in the best case trading is a zero sum game in which they have no edge and worst case pure gambling (with a preference for the latter theory) Smiley

5) You have to pay taxes the first time you sell. 25% in US if you held BTC under 1 year. 15% for more then a year. This assume you have net capital gain of course. Otherwise day trading is less of a problem.

Yeah yeah yeah taxes maxes plaxes laxes daxes faxes




359. Post 6203428 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 13, 2014, 01:30:09 PM
Every transaction has a buyer and a seller.  Therefore at least one idiot is necessary for any trade to occur.  Wink

There was a smiley, but anyway, no, both traders are better off, in their own mind, which is the only measure that matters.



360. Post 6204633 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: jonoiv on April 13, 2014, 08:26:11 PM
Every transaction has a buyer and a seller.  Therefore at least one idiot is necessary for any trade to occur.  Wink

There was a smiley, but anyway, no, both traders are better off, in their own mind, which is the only measure that matters.

Well he was responding to several posts from bulls calling anyone that sells (price of $414) an Idiot.   hence the smiley. 



Those posts were correct from the vewpoint of the buyer or hodler (but not correct from the viewpoint of the seller).




361. Post 6245199 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 16, 2014, 04:58:04 AM
In my understanding, a trade happens at price X when the seller thinks that X is a bit too high, and the buyer thinks that X is a bit too low.

During periods when the sentiment of all buyers and all sellers about the item's value is unchanging, trading quickly stops and the market price remains mostly constant.

Conversely, when something causes the general sentiment to change, the market price changes, and volume usually increases -- because each trader usually changes his evaluation by a different amount and at a different time, so the above condition is often satisfied, possibly more than once for the same pair of traders.  (If all the traders changed their perceptions in perfect synchronism, the implicit market price -- that is, the midpoint of the ask/bid spread -- would change without any trades.)

If these premises are correct, then what is happening now at Huobi?  For the last 4 hours, I see quite substantial volume (~5kBTC/hour), but the price just wanders in the narrow range between 3230 and 3280 yuan, about 4 dollars up or down from the midpoint.

What is going on in the heads of those traders?  Why can't they find the equilibrium?  Their perceptions could not be changing constantly like that, up and down by a few dollars, at random.  Are their robots locked in a bogus feedback loop, each endlessly over-reacting to the small over-reactions of the other robots?

Your premises are super correct. You are beginning to get it.



362. Post 6245354 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 16, 2014, 05:54:14 AM
Wedge closing in Huobi just about now. It's a game of musical chairs and the music is stopping. Short or long?

Given that we are now in a long-term uptrend (since Thursday last, untill August next), your default should always be long.  Use it unless the counterpoint case is deeply compelling. I am at 100 on a scale of -100 to 250.

It's way too early to say that with confidence. Yes, long term uptrends have to start somewhere, but a week isn't long term anything.

If there is anything I am good at, it is saying things too early with confidence.

Isn't that funny. You figure out something, and you immediately think that the rest of the world is just as smart! But no, they are normally far behind.  Smiley



363. Post 6342276 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: Richy_T on April 22, 2014, 04:11:27 AM

This concept loses its meaning in forex.  

Yes and no. If you have ways of using the foreign currency, you do not have to "cash it out" but if you need to turn it back into your local currency, then it is just like cashing it out. Having inherited pounds but living in a dollar world, that is my life. Of course, from time to time if I go on vacation, I get to spend some pounds.

We are working to remove the "local" aspect of money. It is not needed.



364. Post 6355335 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: boumalo on April 23, 2014, 12:05:54 PM

 Is there any evidence to the belief that expansions in the bitcoin ecosystem, services & economy actually increase the price..??
...
 So why in the WORLD is there this MYTH continuing about merchant adoption, growing ecosystem = higher price? Wtf? What am I missing..?

Welcome to the forum! Hope you've had the good first 6 days. Btw. the question is off-topic for this thread but let's not be picky.

Your question is discussed for example here.

Ok, though it's worth noting that a 'transaction' for bitcoin generally means something different than for PayPal/Mastercard etc - especially at this point.
For current figures, most bitcoin transactions aren't purchases, they're people moving coins to and from exchanges, between their own addresses, etc. Whereas I imagine almost every PayPal transaction is someone buying a Thing of some sort.
No doubt that will change, but the current figures aren't representative of use or adoption.

They still are to some extent; if the transactions represent real people who need to do the transactions; a growing number of transactions means growing adoption

The money velocity, talked about in econometrics, is not a useful measure. All transactions are not alike, and financial transactions are taken out. It is supposed to mean transactions where real goods are exchanged. Therefore measuring the velocity has the same problems as GDP and various price indexes. In short, it is meaningful only in the bizarre world of Krugman (which means it is not meaningful at all).

The value of bitcoin, all kinds of money, is the demand to hold. Every time you sell, you depress the value, and any time you buy, you raise the value.

This is the same for any trade. When you buy a hamburger, you raise the value of hamburgers and depress the value of money. Of course there is someone on the other side of each trade.



365. Post 6357148 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Sometimes I think that the sentiment this thread rules the market.



366. Post 6373754 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: Mervyn_Pumpkinhead link=topic=178336.msg6370798#msg6370798

[..

... It's a high-risk low-reward investment

[..]

If you understand it, it is low risk high reward.

If you still read the main stream media, you see that understanding is not easy. It takes some work and some brains.




367. Post 6378637 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: Mervyn_Pumpkinhead on April 24, 2014, 04:26:29 PM
Quote from: Mervyn_Pumpkinhead link=topic=178336.msg6370798#msg6370798

[..

... It's a high-risk low-reward investment

[..]

If you understand it, it is low risk high reward.

If you still read the main stream media, you see that understanding is not easy. It takes some work and some brains.



Haha, this seems to be the current method of giving bitcoin more credibility. "If you learn more about bitcoin, then you see how wonderful it is"

Let me tell you this, at first when I heard about bitcoin, then I thought that it had a lot more potential. When I actually studied it in depth, about both it's technological mechanism and it's ability to fit into the picture of global trade, finance and economy, only then I realized how much of an play money gimmick it actually is, without the ability to be considered as an currency, or even just as an practical financial tool.

The bitcoin cultists have this funny idea that they know something that others don't. They really believe that visiting bitcointalk and coindesk, will make them smarter on the subject then everyone else. They really believe that the rest of the educated world is just too stupid to adopt bitcoi. These are the people that learn finance by watching youtube videos. These are the same people who read self-help books and visit motivational classes on finding a quick way to be a millionaire.
Welcome to Idiocracy Smiley


We are in posession of the occulted knowledge of money. No smiley.




368. Post 6386930 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

The good news is that there is really no bad news, only confusion on a grand scale.

The hope for the future rests on the jumping jesus phenomenon.




369. Post 6390201 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: TERA on April 25, 2014, 12:21:07 PM
[...]

Most of your discussions are backed with this fantasy where the whole world adopts bitcoin.


So where will it stop? When 10 more internet shops adopt bitcoin?. When 10 more Syrian exporters accepts bitcoin? When a new country get its bitcoin bourse? When the foreign workers in Dubai starts to send bitcoins home? When another country is shut out of the money transfer market? When another local fiat goes bust?

I am just curious here. Where is the limit? When all the idiots like me already have a suitable stash of coins, and there are no  more idiots?



370. Post 6435095 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: y3804 on April 28, 2014, 08:11:52 AM
According to reports, PBOC requires commercial banks and third-party payment agencies to convey to the public that it no longer provides financial services to any Bitcoin transaction before May 10th "Bitcoin Beijing International Summit".

The deadline is real guys

Sounds like publicity to me.




371. Post 6438148 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: Rampion on April 28, 2014, 11:26:42 AM
making predictions based on the certainty, that bitcoin will be adopted by the entire world, is a little beyond dumb.

strawman. god im so sick of strawmans around here.

why do speculators have to begin and end every sentence with "probably imo" we are specualators, grow up. we are playing a game of probability and Risto knows this better than you.


If you know something about speculation, then you know that there is no certainty in speculation. If someone is trying to pretent certainty, especially in a subject that is extremely uncertain, then that someone is a useless tool.

Did you buy a fucking CASTLE with the money earning trading Bitcoins? He did.

All said.

He bought in when bitcoins were at $10, you do not need to be a genius to make a huge profit in that situation. I pretty much suck at trading and still I increased my original investment by x50, how about that?

Furthermore, to give everybody a little perspective: the "castle" (btw: it is a manor, not a castle) is in ruins and it costed less than what a biggish flat would cost in any top capital (New York, London, etc.)

Hear, hear. He was not maybe the absolute, end of the game, forever, most genius around, but he certainly was more of a genius than those who did not buy at 10.




372. Post 6438324 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on April 28, 2014, 12:49:40 PM
...
Hear, hear. He was not maybe the absolute, end of the game, forever, most genius around, but he certainly was more of a genius than those who did not buy at 10.

^by that measure, the guy who won a few mil in a lottery is the greatest genius of all.

P.S:  If the guy who won the lottery gives you investment advice, and you take it ...you're world's second biggest genius.

It could have been luck, but it wasn't. Read his scriptures.




373. Post 6438464 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on April 28, 2014, 01:04:01 PM
...
Hear, hear. He was not maybe the absolute, end of the game, forever, most genius around, but he certainly was more of a genius than those who did not buy at 10.

^by that measure, the guy who won a few mil in a lottery is the greatest genius of all.

P.S:  If the guy who won the lottery gives you investment advice, and you take it ...you're world's second biggest genius.

It could have been luck, but it wasn't. Read his scriptures.

SCRIPTURES? Cheesy  I'm surprised you didn't capitalize "His." 

 Smiley




374. Post 6438674 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 28, 2014, 01:13:42 PM


Hear, hear. He was not maybe the absolute, end of the game, forever, most genius around, but he certainly was more of a genius than those who did not buy at 10.



I DID buy @ $10. With everything I had. I just didn't have as much to start with.

You are a genius too.




375. Post 6444162 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Someone is trying to buy under the radar, Huobi.

You see it on the smooth upper edge of the minute chart, wisdom.




376. Post 6479655 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 30, 2014, 02:22:11 PM
The impending (and almost certain) closure of the bank withdrawal channels of Chinese exchanges will inevitably lead to transfer of some of the coins that are now in their client accounts to the Western exchanges.  More coins, no new dollars, can only cause the price in the West to go down. The only question is by how much.

How exactly that will play out seems still uncertain.  The Chinese exchanges have been remarkably silent after the last PBoC move, in contrast to the weeks after the late March Caixin leak.  One of them at least has said that it will avoid public announcements because it does not want to cause commotion in the market.

I wonder how far they will take this new "PR policy":

  1. The Chinese exchanges may give their clients advance warning of the bank withdrawal closure, or the closure will happen only on the May 10 deadline.  In that case I expect that there will be a rush by most Chinese clients to sell their bitcoin (which they cannot use for commerce in China, and probably do not believe it ever go to the moon) and withdraw the CNY while they can.  Other clients who have some connection to the West may choose to move their bitcoin to Western exchanges and continue trading there.  Abitragers, habitual or improvised, will use any CNY still in their accounts to buy cheap coins there and sell them in the West.  Then the price will drop in the Chinese exchanges, and the Western ones will follow.

  2. The Chinese exchanges will close CNY bank withdrawals before May 10, without advance warning.   Then many clients with CNY trapped in their accounts will try to buy bitcoin to move them out.  The price of bitcoin in China will probably rise sharply.  Arbitragers, insiders, and other clients who have other ways of withdrawing CNY will make handsome profits at the expense of ordinary clients.  Arbitrage may temporarily transfer some of that price increase to the West, but that will be counteracted by the pressure of other clients moving bitcoin to the West, even at a loss, to get their money out.  Since in the end the net amount of bitcoin in the Chinese exchanges must decrease, the latter effect must predominate, so the price in the West will decouple and fall while it rises in China.

  3. The Chinese exchanges may just shut down without any prior warning, or block bitcoin widthdrawals as well; so that both the CNY and bitcons of their clients will be trapped inside, except perhaps for some privileged users or some restricted non-bank channels.  This option seems very unlikely, considering what happened to the owners of the GBL exchange.

In any case, I imagine that some Chinese traders who keep most of their bitcoins in private wallets, outside the exchange, may want to sell them, since the withdrawal restrictions may take all the fun & profit out of the bitcoin speculation game.  Therfore some of those coins will also find their way to the Western exchanges.


From the analyst who knows nothing, because his mind is clouded by fear.




377. Post 6563093 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: Krabby on May 05, 2014, 10:22:21 PM
Someone do something  Embarrassed

Wingardium Leviosa!




378. Post 6563153 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Play the leveraged shorts and loose your shirts.

Play the leveraged shorts and loose your skirts (insert picture here).



379. Post 6564136 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Difference in opinion is plenty, so trolling should not be necessary, except, maybe in this era of lowliness:

Low price, low volatility, low interest, low post count, low volume, low temper, low user expansion, low quality jokes, low sentiment, low sandwiches, low fat, low truthiness level, low freedom, low politician support, low QE, low mileage, low alligator count.




380. Post 6578386 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on May 06, 2014, 04:15:49 PM

it takes both  enormous bubble that needs to deflate and  bad news weekly. to really do some damage to the all mighty value creator that is bitcoin


Value attractor. Is what it is. Allmighty.






381. Post 6669106 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on May 11, 2014, 09:46:27 AM
ok so let me guess how this might play out:

1. FXBTC played a Gox (fact)
2. Other exchanges might be operating a fractional reserve too (speculation, https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=592760.msg6505570#msg6505570) (meh, call me fudster if you want)
3. Chinese traders are worried that other exchanges might pull a Gox too and hence a part of them will aim for the fiat exit door, depressing the price.
4. 1 and 2 add another reason for PBoC to want to "protect the people" and pull the plug on the other exchanges before a large scale Goxxing happens.
5. When/if 4 happens, we will soon discover how much is the impact on price on western exchanges. It might as well be the final test (bit like the "Silk Road bust" test last year) and bring the decoupling that everyone here seems to be expecting.


The rational thing to do if you are afraid, is to convert everything to bitcoin and withdraw. Because

a) it is risky to be in fiat these days

b) it is risky to have funds at exchanges these days.

Bonus: If your favorite exchange goes bust, it is more difficult for the thugs to track you.




382. Post 6670276 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: TERA on May 11, 2014, 01:26:04 PM
That SEC article was warning about people who promote investments as being a gauranteed high return and risk free.  Well bitcoin bulls go even one step further than this, to tell you that holding cash itself is risky.

Cash is not risky. You are guaranteed to lose, and the guarantee is backed by the full coercive force of the largest government the world has ever seen.

Not even gold is a guaranteed winner every year, because it is only backed by free market.

Let me reprhrase this then... Bitcoin bulls go one step further to tell you not only is Bitcoin risk-free but that if you aren't holding bitcoins, you are taking a risk because holding fiat is risky and bitcoin is clearly the way out of that risk. So bitcoin is not only risk free, but acts as an inverse risk. It is the infallible investment made in heaven and you you need to buy buy buy or die. They are not only going to quell your fears about holding bitcoin but make you fear NOT holding bitcoin. Because bitcoin is the solution for the apocalypse and when the system fails, bitcoiners will become filthy rich. It is the DESTINY. Bitcoin is like a rapture and you need to be on board or be left to perish.

Not risk free. There is a risk, but also a reward. You can assert the probability to each of a few possible outcomes, and compute an aggregate expectation.

You can also do that with fiat, there is a small risk of deflation, which will give you a positive reward (if you can catch it flying by), there is a risk of 2% loss if you believe the current statistics, 5% if you don't. Then there is a real risk of stagflation, where the inflation rate can come up to 20 % easily.

So the expectation, modified by risk, is say 5 percent loss in case of fiat, and conservatively a 100 percent gain in bitcoin.




383. Post 6677215 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: RUEHL on May 11, 2014, 07:44:46 PM
Interesting newer member in BTC-e chat, indicates he is a Wall Street trader. 

Of course, he can be some kid in his parent's basement but his chat logs suggest he does have experience trading and education in business mathematics.  Interesting things said like:

"if CFTC approves of an exchange entity to trade BTC on the like NYMEX or CBOT or any of the commodity trading houses you will see 100k-1,000k% rise weeks before the approval"

"imagine god hit you up and offered you some gold before he cast it onto the earth... now we have bitcoin and its like god is saying to us all who know today hey im about to make the new gold want in before I give it up to everyone"



He probably thinks about a situation where bitcoin is happily traded on several large exchanges like oil, metals, corn and so on. But just opening up trade on NYMEX for instance, will not do it. One reasons is that bitcoin will be held back as long as possible by the establishment, they start to see the threat. The other and most important reason, is that it depends on the minds of all traders. It is a painful paradigm shift, every actor has to work hard to understand. It is sound money just like gold money or classical gold standard, except now we don't need to talk about it for a period of a hundred years, it is happening. It is hard to envision, it has to take some time. So we can not multiply by 1000 in the blink of a moment.






384. Post 6683009 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that not all money systems are created equal, and that bitcoin will rise forcefully from it current level which is below the bottom.



385. Post 6683304 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on May 12, 2014, 08:06:01 AM
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that not all money systems are created equal, and that bitcoin will rise forcefully from it current level which is below the bottom.


While I am OK with the first part, the "current level is below the bottom" part is inherently incorrect.

Yes, but the creator of this thread said so. A religion does not need to be coherent, in fact it can not be.  Smiley



386. Post 6696991 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Here is the hawala system in a nutshell:

A -> B -> C -> D

A is the person sending money, D is the person receiving money.
B and C are the hawalists, residing in different countries.

Trust relationships: A must trust that his hawalist does what he expects, make sure that D receives money. B must trust that C releases money to the customer in the other end. C must trust that B later physically sends the money with the help of a friend that travels, or that the transaction can be cleared by another transaction in the opposite direction.

What can bitcoin do? For the hawalists, they can use bitcoin, thus the transaction can be cleared immediately, and physical transport of money is not necessary.

What can ripple do?




387. Post 6715363 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: mmitech on May 13, 2014, 08:08:46 PM

and you always tend to lick his balls, dont you have a husband for that ?

So classy. Internet...you never disappoint.

I express my opinion the way I like, yes I just said the way I like, if that Austrian creature which didn't decide to be a woman or a man won EuroVision then hell I will express my fucking opinion loud and if you don't like my opinion it is ok, but if you don't like the way how I express my opinion then you go fuck your self, it is as simple as that.


I support this view.



388. Post 6720459 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: windjc on May 14, 2014, 05:56:22 AM
Is it not obvious that without FRESH FIAT (I think I am going to change my user name to this) that these markets cannot go up? And there is no way for fresh fiat to reach the Chinese exchanges.
[...]


It is not obvious, not even correct.

The price come from the minds of all actors. When they take action like putting up a bid or an ask, we have supply and demand. Low trade volume means all traders change their minds in concert. Under low volume, prices can go up, down or sideways. Low volume and sideways price action, like we have had the last days, means that all actors are happy with the current price and their current stash.

When some traders change their mind, up or down, and take action differently from all others, we have trade volume.

For fiat in or out to exchanges to be necessary, we need to have new persons to get interested and value bitcoin above the current equilibrium price. Current holders value it lower and sells the same amount. That is the meaning of equilibrium, which we have at all times as long as the exchanges work.

So we can have low volume, high volume with current users, and high volume with new users. The prices are not directly connected.



389. Post 6720583 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: atoni on May 14, 2014, 08:28:24 AM
In any market price is directly dependent to amount of money willing to enter the market. 

No. See above.



390. Post 6721273 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: windjc on May 14, 2014, 08:45:49 AM
Is it not obvious that without FRESH FIAT (I think I am going to change my user name to this) that these markets cannot go up? And there is no way for fresh fiat to reach the Chinese exchanges.
[...]


It is not obvious, not even correct.

The price come from the minds of all actors. When they take action like putting up a bid or an ask, we have supply and demand. Low trade volume means all traders change their minds in concert. Under low volume, prices can go up, down or sideways. Low volume and sideways price action, like we have had the last days, means that all actors are happy with the current price and their current stash.

When some traders change their mind, up or down, and take action differently from all others, we have trade volume.

For fiat in or out to exchanges to be necessary, we need to have new persons to get interested and value bitcoin above the current equilibrium price. Current holders value it lower and sells the same amount. That is the meaning of equilibrium, which we have at all times as long as the exchanges work.

So we can have low volume, high volume with current users, and high volume with new users. The prices are not directly connected.


This post is rambling nonsense. Your talking about volume. Im talking about price.



And fresh fiat, which is volume.



391. Post 6730205 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: niothor on May 14, 2014, 07:03:38 PM
Very few are going to buy bitcoin so they can use it with eBay. This integration will cause nothing but increased selling pressure on exchanges.

Bearish news imo.

So , if all merchants stop accepting BTC , price will skyrocket Smiley
Sorry , but I had to quote him Wink


It seems everything Walsoraj says is either backwards, or on it's head.




392. Post 6733686 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: turtlehurricane on May 14, 2014, 11:13:03 PM

"Paypal is evil OMG it's so evil"


CEO of ebay talking about integrating bitcoin into paypal

"OMG it's sooo great !! omg omg CCMF"


You are pathetic
No way they ever have Bitcoin in PayPal, only when hell freezes over. They couldn't handle a non-reversible payment method.

Looking into it at this time, actively or not, is just nothing. Deliver or be ignored.




393. Post 6746843 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: Kupsi on May 15, 2014, 03:36:08 PM

I had read somewhere that bitcoin had been essentially banned in India (as in Russia).  Is that true?



No country have banned Bitcoin.

The new exchange there looked promising. See coindesk.




394. Post 6750287 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

ccmf -> blub blub blub




395. Post 6795323 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: RandomPedestrianN9 on May 18, 2014, 09:00:50 AM
1. The price is, in my view, too high, because it is based on future expectations of fiat profit as opposed to backed by an underlying economy.

+1

The price is decided from reserve demand, which includes speculation about its future value. Therefore it is neither to high, nor too low, nor correct. It just is what it is.




396. Post 6811092 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

We are on the moon. Slowly descending to earth.



397. Post 6811691 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: RandomPedestrianN9 on May 19, 2014, 08:43:39 AM
We are on the moon. Slowly descending to earth.


Go play outside, troll kid. The price will only grow. Dont you believe in Bitcoin?

Hey - talking about the general usage of bitcoin here.



398. Post 6821900 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: molecular on May 19, 2014, 08:10:02 PM

[...]

I make a distinction between saving and hoarding: hoarding is "keeping under the matress" while saving really is "investing" (optionally via entities specializing in this (savings & loans)). I think it's is important to make this distinction because for saving to fulfil it's purpose, namely sending a price signal by lowering interest rates (the price of money) and effecting investment into higher efficiency, innovation, etc, the saved money need to be loaned out or somehow else put to use in the economy as capital. If money is just hoarded, this function isn't being fulfilled.

Can you guys agree with this distinction / view?

[...]


No. Saving and hoarding is the same. When you save money, you save the actual money. You can also save other things, like food.

Investing is different. Investing is buying capital goods, which is tools, buildings, raw materials, etc, with the intent of making money. You can also include competency building.

Lending is a third category. You let others spend first, on consumption or capital, and you get the interest as compensation.

Everyone is free to decide how he is going to allocate his money. Saving is not something negative. When you save money, others can spend more. This is organized through the price signals. When you save money, you increase the value of the money, and reduce the price of everything measured in that money unit. Meaning others can spend.





399. Post 6832089 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

A cautious rise at about 10 dollars a week going forward, that would be a perfect build-up to the second half year moon tour.



400. Post 6852075 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: simtal on May 21, 2014, 10:32:59 AM
Does anyone think that now is a good idea to buy? Ive waited for a few months like I was told and now this has reverse?

Just wait until someone tells you to buy. If it goes sour, blame him. If nobody shows up, and you loose, blame all the rest. It's brilliant, someone to blame in all cases.




401. Post 6853289 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

We can not have 10% rise each day at this stage of the bubble cycle. It's too fast. I suspect it will be hovering around 500 for a few days. After a few weeks, we can accelerate.

When we have a doubling of price in 8 hours, be cautious.



402. Post 6854113 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: Erdogan on May 21, 2014, 11:17:27 AM
Does anyone think that now is a good idea to buy? Ive waited for a few months like I was told and now this has reverse?

Just wait until someone tells you to buy. If it goes sour, blame him. If nobody shows up, and you loose, blame all the rest. It's brilliant, someone to blame in all cases.



Just get in. You need nerves of steel to wait longer.



403. Post 6869055 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: xyzzy099 on May 22, 2014, 03:39:38 AM
You even know what a Nazis is? National socialism...... Show me one crypto coin that is socialist?

Um. Just because they called themselves Socialists doesn't make them socialist.

They were in fact fascists, right-wingers not left-wingers.

[/politics]

Wrong.  They were socialists.

In Hitler's Germany, every citizen was guaranteed a job by the government.  Every citizen was guaranteed an education, at government expense.  Health care was not totally socialized, but it was heavily subsidized by the government.  Sound familiar?  They weren't Marxists, but Fascists really are socialists too.

I don't think you know what left-wing and right-wing actually mean.  In America, at least, these terms have become almost meaningless.  Nowadays, right-wing = conservative = republican, and left-wing = liberal = democrat.  In reality, all of these terms have distinct, useful meanings.

The left-wing/right-wing terminology originated in France after the French revolution, where those who favored the old aristocracy sat on the right side of the legislature, and those who were more egalitarian in their views sat on the left.  Thus, right-wing came to be associated with those who believed that some people (the aristocracy, in this case) were genuinely better than others by birth, and ought to rule over others based on their basic genetic superiority.  In this way, the Nazis were clearly right-wing, even though they were also socialists.  I don't think any political group in America now is really right-wing, other than fringe groups like neo-nazis and the Ku Klux Klan - but it makes Democrats feel better to associate that term with Republicans.

Look up "classical liberalism" on Wikipedia to see what the original (and real) meaning of liberalism is.  I think you will be surprised by the answer.  Spoiler:  It reads a LOT like what most of us call 'Libertarianism'.

"Conservative" historically has meant to oppose change, to favor maintaining the status quo - whatever that might be at the time.  I don't know too many American 'conservatives' who are happy with the status quo nowadays.

The media and the political establishment try to conflate any term that has negative connotations among their supporters with their political opposition, and thereby render good, useful words useless.



Great explanation.




404. Post 7003204 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Difficulty on bitcoinwisdom is wrong.



405. Post 7003504 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: keewee on May 29, 2014, 12:03:51 AM
Difficulty on bitcoinwisdom is wrong.


It's correct on mine. Refresh?

Perfect. Thanks.



406. Post 7033551 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: solex on May 30, 2014, 01:46:54 AM
<censored>

SecondMarket is buying up 1000 / 28,000 = 3.6% of the new bitcoin supply on a regular basis.  Without the word "not" your bolded statement above is equally valid (and equally biased): they are big buyers!

Please people, stop quoting that guy. He consistantly gets "facts" completely wrong. I don't think he's stupid, so he must be doing it on purpose, ie trolling.

Second Market has bought over 100,000 bitcoins. That makes them in fact one of the largest buyers in the world.

Yes. JS is the worst kind of troll: one that speaks with an academic and level-headed authority but wastes no opportunity to stick the knife in. Why does he spend so much time on this forum when he could just get a life and wait until (he hopes!) Bitcoin crashes and burns, and then come back here laughing and gloating? The reason is extreme butt-hurt of the first order by missing out buying in at $1 a coin. Now the strategy is to talk (troll) the price down which has the dual goal of punishing all those who did get in early, while possibly enjoying a new chance to do the same at 2010 prices.


1. Set up a simplistic model

2. Falsify the data

3. Conclude with authority

4. Ignore the informed critique

5. Depend on the masses to not bother to investigate.

This is basically the devastating effect the bought up intellectuals have on the public discourse.


 



407. Post 7033736 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: YipYip on May 30, 2014, 03:22:07 AM

... You...have some sort of mental disorder...


Hi, i am Jorge Stolfi, the professor.

My mother hated me.

My father ignored me.

My brothers and sisters blamed me for everything.

My friends bullied me.

My teachers laughed at me.

I contracted APD (Asshole Proximity Disorder).

But I worked hard at school, and got my papers.

Then I met the Government.

Nice guys.

They gave me an office and money for nothing.

No teaching necessary. No research necessary. Only ranting.

And strong.

If I need to punish somebody, I just throw a spell.

Or threaten.

I am amongst the holy chosen.

When everything collapses, They will save me.

I will not disappoint Them.

I support Them.

I will sacrifice everybody for Them.

I will sacrifice myself for Them.

I love Them.






408. Post 7051049 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: TERA on May 31, 2014, 07:18:06 AM
I educated some friends/family on bitcoin and kept them on call for a breakout. They were originally very interested and bullish about the fundamentals and were going to buy at $800 but I advised against it and to wait for the bull market to start. So I kept them in the loop all the way through the gox crash and through the (second) china crash. They were still interested most of the time. However, as we got to April/May, they started losing interest. I advised multiple times to buy at $450 but now things were looking too grim, "it is volatile - we thought it would be less volatile", "this thing is all over the map", "its been going down too long", "i dont feel the same way about bitcoin anymore", etc.  I alerted them again as the breakout at $460 occured and as it was passing $490 but they completely lost interest by that point.  I guess they will probably buy now at this point at $625. It is ridiculous the mentality of the average person to buy high and sell low.

Afterwards, you knew in advance.



409. Post 7105022 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 03, 2014, 01:04:31 AM
Another quick poll: is there anyone here at all who does not believe that, by 2027, 1 BTC will buy all the wealth in the world?  Wink

We always have you.

If everybody else believe that, they are obviously wrong.

The best outcome (for bitcoin) will be that all bitcoins, not one, will have all the savings value in the world, all the value that people will have in reserve for a shorter or longer time. This is not related at all to all the real value that exists. What people want to have in reserve in money, compared to what value they will have in houses, cars, excavators, factories, toothbrushes and son on, is a personal choice for each individual. It can be less than they have in real value, or more.

The fact that better money will be available, may change the preferences.

Nobody knows. Wait and see.




410. Post 7106016 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: rpietila on June 03, 2014, 10:12:42 AM
Another quick poll: is there anyone here at all who does not believe that, by 2027, 1 BTC will buy all the wealth in the world?  Wink

We always have you.

If everybody else believe that, they are obviously wrong.

The best outcome (for bitcoin) will be that all bitcoins, not one, will have all the savings value in the world, all the value that people will have in reserve for a shorter or longer time. This is not related at all to all the real value that exists. What people want to have in reserve in money, compared to what value they will have in houses, cars, excavators, factories, toothbrushes and son on, is a personal choice for each individual. It can be less than they have in real value, or more.

The fact that better money will be available, may change the preferences.

Nobody knows. Wait and see.



I believe that in the nomadic times (such as some part of the Old Testament), the liquid wealth (money) of the world was far in excess to the physical wealth. Land did not have much value then, and people could not have much stuff b/c they carried them all with them. So in that kind of society the value of all money >> the value of "real wealth".

Some have argued that in the heyday of industrialism, both the factories and land had much value, so the money ~== real wealth (or even real wealth > money).

Now I would say that real estate is quite expensive, possibly overvalued. Corporations perhaps more so. We may be entering new "nomadic era" as evidenced by the minimalist tendencies of many people who are rich in liquid assets. Even I personally own much more liquid assets (mainly BTC) than the value of my physical assets (mainly castle). It is not inconceivable that the value of all bitcoins goes north of the value of everything else. I am looking at a conservative 25-50% myself but Stephen Reed has argued that bitcoin's holding is so easy that they might be just held and everything else goes into permanent price deflation.

If the price goes up really fast, the big holders are not able to utilize the alternative opportunities and will have to just hold the majority of their stash, creating the very cycle described by Stephen.

My own experience from buying the castle is that it has made me really busy (and will in the coming years), and curtail my interest in any further bitcoin sales, since I can only handle so much real wealth, but hold any number of bitcoins.

This is barring any coercive intervention of course.

You got that right, basically.

Two worlds, one where everybody is in debt, another one where everybody has lots of money savings, are both possible, everything else the same.

The difference comes from what people want, and, the fact that nowadays saving in money is not possible, because someone fucks the money system. They also fuck with peoples minds, like Krugman, who wants us to believe that it is better for everybody when we are all in debt.




411. Post 7106044 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: dreamspark on June 03, 2014, 10:27:10 AM
666 is nice. Now let's go to 777 Grin

I'd prefer 6666 Grin

or 7777 Grin

It is strange how $666 has this lure, the more people talk about it the more it becomes a thing so everybody shush Wink

Magic numbers are no good in bitcoin, because bitcoin is world money, and bitcoin traders have different cultures and different fiat money references. Just give it up.




412. Post 7106269 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: latoxine on June 03, 2014, 10:52:11 AM
666 is nice. Now let's go to 777 Grin

I'd prefer 6666 Grin

or 7777 Grin

It is strange how $666 has this lure, the more people talk about it the more it becomes a thing so everybody shush Wink

Magic numbers are no good in bitcoin, because bitcoin is world money, and bitcoin traders have different cultures and different fiat money references. Just give it up.



true...Like for example, BITcoin in france mean ''DICKcoin'' so... Cheesy

Funny, but as a consequence of bitcoin being world money, on everybody's lips every day, the frog eaters will have to change their language. No shit man, they will have to. Like hereabouts, we had to swallow the fact that facebook in the local language had something to do with farting. We are over that now.




413. Post 7106411 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: finder_keeper on June 03, 2014, 11:08:40 AM
If one bitcoin could buy all the wealth in the world, it would make the other 20999999 worthless. It's not logically possible.

Technically it is possible. If the remaining coins are lost (eg sent to 1BitcoinEaterAddressDontSendf59kuE by mistake), and all other world currencies become obsolete, then that last remaining bitcoin would represent all the wealth in the world.


No, only the money value in the world, not the value of useful things and services.

Edit: Then we have credit, which always will extend the money to some degree. (edit2: , making that last bitcoin's value less.)







414. Post 7124411 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Soon we will have the pleasure of reading bloomberg (and others) making "headline-analyzes".

Bitcoin gains as <insert fund manager> says <insert random rant>

Bitcoin down as <insert random company event>


I think you will see that they are no better than the ranting here in the wall observer.




415. Post 7144159 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Gentlemen, start your engines!



416. Post 7144364 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: calmindifference on June 05, 2014, 10:37:38 AM
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/27da3t/chinas_bs_continues_a_new_government_document/

Is this FUD market manipulation or another nail in the coffin?

The coffin has no nails, no lid, in fact it is filled with white pigeons which are about to fly off.




417. Post 7162190 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: nanobrain on June 06, 2014, 02:15:15 AM


just sayin...

DUH!

wtf did you think was gonna happen?

So a global currency dominated by individuals such as Goat and Risto...a scary thought in some respects, don't you think?

It is scary to envision that you have no masters. What is the punishment for stealing yourself, again?




418. Post 7163304 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: nanobrain on June 06, 2014, 09:50:19 AM


just sayin...

DUH!

wtf did you think was gonna happen?

So a global currency dominated by individuals such as Goat and Risto...a scary thought in some respects, don't you think?

It is scary to envision that you have no masters. What is the punishment for stealing yourself, again?



My point was/is that wealth is still going to be concentrated in a few, so plus ca change.  As usual everyone here thinks the ideal of democratic govt is a bad thing but I'm not sure I want to live is digital fiefdom where Goat, Risto et al are the new masters.

I'm not sure what "stealing yourself" means but if you mean "stealing from yourself" I'm still as confused.  But if you think the new world order driven by Bitcoin will have no masters then I would disagree strongly.  

Stealing yourself means, if you think your serf status is ethical, running away from the master.

If you think you are born free, you rather would say that you run away from the one who stole your freedom.



419. Post 7165976 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 06, 2014, 02:01:40 PM
looks like the ask side is thinning out
market sells are coming from ask walls I presume, we won't be here much longer, 680 tonight 700 this weekend

Yeah, a rally is imminent (but I always say that...)




420. Post 7187734 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: oda.krell on June 07, 2014, 08:07:31 PM
IMO we are at a point where we have a lot of high net worth, major corps, and invesent funds investing in Bitcoin. The days of huge swings, massive outbreaks, and downward spirals are over. I think we will see peaks and valleys in the range of 2-3% possibly at a faster pace than traditional stocks rise and fall but like I said to many major players now have too much to lose not to control the price. Not only that but if more retailers are to enter the "accepting" bitcoin game then the price has to show signs of long term stability and I think that's what we are seeing here. Long term investment growth, price stability for retailers to enter bitcoin, wider acceptance by the general public who don't have the knowledge or skills to enter a highly volatile market.

That's just my guess, he'll we could be at $1,000 on Monday. Who the hell knows.


A lot of high net worth, major corps and investment funds are investing into a 8 Billion capsize, very little of which is for sale ?

Such entities investing in bitcoin in a conservative manner would bring the price at least 100 times higher.
Such entities investing in bitcoin aggressively would bring the price about 1000 times higher.

These entities still have not touched bitcoin with a pole stick.

I think you're absolutely wrong. Many high net worth individuals have come out to say they own bitcoin. We also have funds like second market, and more in the works. These people do not nor would they buy bitcoins on any of the exchanges that exist today. They would again IMO go to the major holders of today's Bitcoin and secure OTC purchases. They might even go to the major mining pools and buy direct. It wouldn't surprise me if a mining pool has already secured contracts to sell so many bitcoins at a set price over a period of mining to some key players. Everyone has an eye and a toe dipped into bitcoin, it's to risky not to, and when the time is right we will see what they want to do with it. One thing I can promise is you and I have no control, all we can do is sit back and enjoy whatever ride we are on.

Many like 1 out of 1000 ?

The combined wealth of all HNWI in the world is 50 trillions USD (without their primary residence). If only 1% of these people would put only 10% of their wealth (without home) in BTC, the market cap would already be 50 billions.
That's only 1% of them and only 10% of their wealth without home.
And that's without talking about any other entity.
And that's assuming that all early adopters sell them their coins.

A few HNWI claiming they bought bitcoins in the media is not representative of what is happening. I maintain that HNWI still didn't touch bitcoin (0.1% could not be considered meaningful).




I agree, and I disagree.

Practically, what matters for us, is the market price. The 'big players' haven't touched Bitcoin yet in any way that affects that market price.

I do consider it possible (though not necessary likely) that off exchange, accumulation of those entities has progressed much further. But since I know of no way of saying that this is happening with certainty, and more importantly: since the public market as a whole has no way of determining it, it won't affect price, and (by my first point), doesn't matter to us.

The problem with regulated financial institutions, is that they are practically banned from buying bitcoins, because they might be held responsible for their decisions. Low risk, to them, is advancing anything that the competition also advances. It makes them a herd of sheep.

Some high net worth individuals (rich people) migh create a fund with their own money and invite others in, they could possibly buy some coins, but the primary way the financial world will parttake in this phase is individuals in the financial business buying coins privately.




421. Post 7189934 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Richy_T on June 07, 2014, 11:47:52 PM
The problem with regulated financial institutions, is that they are practically banned from buying bitcoins, because they might be held responsible for their decisions. Low risk, to them, is advancing anything that the competition also advances. It makes them a herd of sheep.


It's not so much about the risk. Unless they can socialize their losses, they're not interested. They'd bet it all on black if sugar-daddy-uncle-Sam was there to bail them out when it came up red.

Yeah, that too. We will not see bailouts of bitcoin investment firms in the near future.



422. Post 7190209 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 08, 2014, 01:26:09 AM
The problem with regulated financial institutions, is that they are practically banned from buying bitcoins, because they might be held responsible for their decisions. Low risk, to them, is advancing anything that the competition also advances. It makes them a herd of sheep.


It's not so much about the risk. Unless they can socialize their losses, they're not interested. They'd bet it all on black if sugar-daddy-uncle-Sam was there to bail them out when it came up red.

Yeah, that too. We will not see bailouts of bitcoin investment firms in the near future.

"We shorted bitcoin at 3K, thought for sure it wouldn't go any higher... now we need a bailout"


Nah doesn't work. This one works: I lent out a bunch of dollars, which I borrowed from someone,  to someone who lent out to someone who lent out to houseowners. Now everyone is in default, so I lost everything. So I need some dollars (raising hand) over here, just fill up this rucksack with newly created debt please. Thank you.



423. Post 7193774 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Bitcoin: Computer says no.




424. Post 7220674 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Pruden on June 09, 2014, 04:18:54 PM
Debt is money. Taxes are freedom. Boring is good.

Black is white, 2 + 2 = 5, liberals for liberty, conservatives for change, governments have to loan, war is good for prosperity, self sacrifice is good for you, the dominators wants the best for you, the president can mourn with the family of a dead soldier.

Ah, now I GET IT. You were sarcastic!!! Haha, i see right thru you there!!!!




425. Post 7228822 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: ErisDiscordia on June 10, 2014, 08:57:00 AM

... because it is the government who is engaged in these activities. The name of the action depends on who is doing the action, not on the content of the action ...


I know, equality before the law, that was cancelled some time ago.



426. Post 7230353 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 10, 2014, 10:50:01 AM
why don't you enlighten us as to why it isn't?
Because I am only an old retard, you are the ones who know bitcoin inside out.  Do your homework, and tell me: where is that "pure incorruptible mathematics" proof?

You are just right, there is no proof. The article contains lots of other inaccuracies also. Time to move on.



427. Post 7239008 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: romneymoney on June 10, 2014, 08:24:47 PM

 Sad

I don't care.




428. Post 7241340 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: madmat on June 10, 2014, 09:34:18 PM
Since it is FUD time, why not:
Blabla...
So funny. You usually don't care if it is fud time or not.

Three 51% trolls operating in the wall observer thread at the same time... thats 153%...bullish?




429. Post 7241376 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 10, 2014, 09:28:52 PM
Since it is FUD time, why not:

I wonder how many people here know how this pic is related to bitcoin:
Bogart Pediatric 2009 Wine Aficionado Dinner
Here is another one (the URL is a spoiler):
Bogart Pediatric 2010 Wine Aficionado Dinner

There are several things to worry about re this person, but one in particular that may be relevant is that, before getting interested in bitcoin, that man went into the business of acquiring and selling virtual currencies and goods in internet games, and took over the entire market.


Same girl, means low volatility, bullish!




430. Post 7241390 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 10, 2014, 10:32:28 PM


You destroy our reputation in the tea total movement!




431. Post 7241897 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

BitcoinWisdomBitstamp: 647.4 BTC-e: 642.042 Huobi: 654.18/4091.9 LTC/USD: 10.9278 LTC/BTC: 0.01705
MARKETS
 
MINING
 
So is the rate bitcoinwisdom uses for CNY/USD correct?




432. Post 7260074 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: 600watt on June 11, 2014, 08:26:08 PM
My Pink Panther joke was deleted.

Apologies to any who were offended.

I posted

C C M F

a few days ago & it got deleted. I also apologize to those who were offended

Why apologize for something like that? It seems to me that rave and anger would be more appropriate.




433. Post 7276880 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 12, 2014, 04:30:49 PM
One more clueless guess won't hurt, right?

My explanation for the mini-rally of the last few weeks is that some Chinese traders got insider info of some impending positive development X, and all the other traders simply went along with them, without understanding why.  Now some of those traders may have got tired of waiting for X, or began to doubt the rumors, or got scared by that Caixin article.

So, what will happen next depends on whether X will actually happen, and whether it is indeed a positive thing.

Government vodoo. It works when you believe it.




434. Post 7277387 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Keep your cool and you will be rewarded.




435. Post 7278260 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: TheOnly1 on June 12, 2014, 08:41:22 PM
And all this happens exactly when the first world cup game starts.... Undecided

Jorgeassociation: This means that the bulk of bitcoin investors are soccer fans, and now they are on the stadiums - or stuck in traffic.



436. Post 7278532 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: bitebits on June 12, 2014, 09:00:21 PM
Where are the 'Jeorge China is leading posts'?
It is soccer now.



437. Post 7278864 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on June 12, 2014, 09:24:53 PM
Only $660,000 to get back to $640.

$2,830,000 to get to $640 on Bitstamp
$   660,000  BFX
$   640,000 Huobi (Realistically much higher)

unknown BTC-E (~$600,000 again)

So in total about $5m to get to $640.

Only a broad change of sentiment and a single newbie poor student to take us to 2000.



438. Post 7278902 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on June 12, 2014, 09:36:10 PM

Big news. Definitely explains the drop.

Sell low - yeah, sounds like gov. Watch out for a crony buyer - maybe goldman.




439. Post 7279181 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: beetcoin on June 12, 2014, 09:46:58 PM
FYI guys, the coins will be auctioned off in 10 blocks of about 3,000 coins each... that means, at today's prices, it would be $1.8 million per block... but they'll probably get a discount, so let's say 1.5 million.

i don't think there are many investors willing to pay that kind of money. could it be something set up for wallstreeters with big backings to enter the game at a relatively low price?

Yep.



440. Post 7279211 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: Bhosted on June 12, 2014, 09:50:15 PM
What happened to Innocent until proven guilty? How can the government sell personal property until the case is adjudicated ? This is still America?  

America, as we know it, is no more.




441. Post 7310921 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 14, 2014, 03:51:34 PM
Bitcoin is such an awesome investment, it's now the same price it was exactly 8 months ago.  Yay!  

/s

That's high risks investments for you. If you lose money there is noone to blame but yourself.

Torque: So what happened to the dollars in your retirement account in the same timespan?




442. Post 7311112 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

I didn't think a half year bull market was possible. That's how smart I am. So like any good financial advisor, I just expand the horizon.

A full year bear market is not possible in bitcoin.




443. Post 7320682 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: mmitech on June 14, 2014, 07:08:28 PM

yea sure, being Muslim is stupid Wink



Just make sure you are directly connected to god, not via a middleman that can turn out to be a dominator.




444. Post 7322096 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: ActionTaker on June 15, 2014, 08:54:47 AM
Everyones reassures everyone that everything will be good.  Cheesy Cheesy

That's just typical herd behavior. I guess we're sheep after all  Grin

Whenever a new horde of people enter the arena, the old scares will come up again. Bitcoin will have to be volatile for a long time.




445. Post 7323465 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on June 15, 2014, 11:28:58 AM
It's a really tiresome statement. You do lose if the price goes down and you haven't realized the loss. You have fewer options now. You have no access to your former wealth and your purchasing power has declined. Will it be undone in the future? Maybe. But you are trapped in the present.

Remember, everything is still denominated in FILTHY FIAT.

Denominated in whatever, I have a loss from the ATH till now. Had I sold at ATH, I would have more value. It's a loss. You have the same with a house, if it goes down even temporarily. There are lots of excuses, like I can still live in it and so on. The difference is that the house is in a thin market, and you know the value only when you sell it (if then, you still have the excuse of bad luck). Bitcoin is a thick market, there are always buyers. The mantra of "it's not a loss until you sell" is a deception.




446. Post 7324542 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 15, 2014, 01:00:07 PM
Please ignore the trolls. Claiming that Bitpay customers do not keep any of their bitcoins is a lie.
Some of them do, but how many?


If you want to know, start counting. As Mao said, how to eat an elephant is to start with the first bite.




447. Post 7326853 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 15, 2014, 03:34:08 PM
It's a really tiresome statement. You do lose if the price goes down and you haven't realized the loss. You have fewer options now. You have no access to your former wealth and your purchasing power has declined. Will it be undone in the future? Maybe. But you are trapped in the present.

Remember, everything is still denominated in FILTHY FIAT.

Denominated in whatever, I have a loss from the ATH till now. Had I sold at ATH, I would have more value. It's a loss. You have the same with a house, if it goes down even temporarily. There are lots of excuses, like I can still live in it and so on. The difference is that the house is in a thin market, and you know the value only when you sell it (if then, you still have the excuse of bad luck). Bitcoin is a thick market, there are always buyers. The mantra of "it's not a loss until you sell" is a deception.



Its only a loss also if you bought at some higher price - otherwise it is a failure to realize a gain. or failure to make a profit, which is NOT the same as a loss.... You can call it a loss all you like and attempt to conceptualize a loss and a failure to realize a gain as the same thing, but they are NOT the same thing... that is fuzzy logic and failure and/or refusal to recognize the difference between two similar things...


Let's say that buy a piece of gold for $10, and the value of the gold goes to $20, then it goes down to $5... however i still have the gold.  I have NOT gained or lost anything until I cash out.  I could have gained $10, but that is NOT a loss, and I could have lost $5, but that is NOT a loss, until I actually sell.   IT is really misleading to attempt to describe all of these as losses, if you have NOT cashed out yet.

Now it is possible that the value of the piece of gold will go to $1 and never return to $5, $10, or $20... but until it is sold, the amount of the loss or the failure to gain is speculation.. until locked in.




It is a gain even if you have not realized the gain by selling. Its a loss when it goes down. That is the point. The value you have is fluid.

When you realize, gain or loss, you still have to have it in some form of good or money. So you can never lean back and say that you have secured your funds. That is why you have to conclude, in the quest for value, the winner is the one who have the most when he dies.
 



448. Post 7327301 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 15, 2014, 04:09:24 PM
It's a really tiresome statement. You do lose if the price goes down and you haven't realized the loss. You have fewer options now. You have no access to your former wealth and your purchasing power has declined. Will it be undone in the future? Maybe. But you are trapped in the present.

Remember, everything is still denominated in FILTHY FIAT.

Denominated in whatever, I have a loss from the ATH till now. Had I sold at ATH, I would have more value. It's a loss. You have the same with a house, if it goes down even temporarily. There are lots of excuses, like I can still live in it and so on. The difference is that the house is in a thin market, and you know the value only when you sell it (if then, you still have the excuse of bad luck). Bitcoin is a thick market, there are always buyers. The mantra of "it's not a loss until you sell" is a deception.



Its only a loss also if you bought at some higher price - otherwise it is a failure to realize a gain. or failure to make a profit, which is NOT the same as a loss.... You can call it a loss all you like and attempt to conceptualize a loss and a failure to realize a gain as the same thing, but they are NOT the same thing... that is fuzzy logic and failure and/or refusal to recognize the difference between two similar things...


Let's say that buy a piece of gold for $10, and the value of the gold goes to $20, then it goes down to $5... however i still have the gold.  I have NOT gained or lost anything until I cash out.  I could have gained $10, but that is NOT a loss, and I could have lost $5, but that is NOT a loss, until I actually sell.   IT is really misleading to attempt to describe all of these as losses, if you have NOT cashed out yet.

Now it is possible that the value of the piece of gold will go to $1 and never return to $5, $10, or $20... but until it is sold, the amount of the loss or the failure to gain is speculation.. until locked in.




It is a gain even if you have not realized the gain by selling. Its a loss when it goes down. That is the point. The value you have is fluid.

When you realize, gain or loss, you still have to have it in some form of good or money. So you can never lean back and say that you have secured your funds. That is why you have to conclude, in the quest for value, the winner is the one who have the most when he dies.
 


The winner is the one who has a plan and lives within his/her means and enjoys the comfort of such.... or the winner could be the one who lives off of the credit of others and in debt, but spends it all when s/he dies...   There are a lot of ways to define winner in regard to expectations and disappointment... if you are living and framing your position in life in such a way that you feel that you are a loser and that you are losing out, then likely you are NOT going to be able to perceive your situation as being a winner.  

Maybe all of this perception about whether you are a winner or a loser does NOT matter too much b/c each of us will have our own conceptions, yet that does NOT change my point above regarding you are NOT losing anything merely b/c you fail to gain... until you cash out or have to cash out.... before you cash out, the loss or the failure to gain is merely "on paper."


Winner in the quest for value. Some very rich men, who have more than enough to live very well, have said that the work and the drive to have more becomes an obsession. But you don't have to enroll in that quest. You say there are other things more valuable, and I agree. Most people find a middle ground. If for nothing else, when you are old and can not help with painting a house or push a pram, it is good to have some money to give away.




449. Post 7333095 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Sunday night rallies are back! Must be the hordes of new users. Bullish!



450. Post 7333364 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 15, 2014, 11:06:09 PM
For whatever it is worth, here are plots of the Huobi/Bitstamp price ratio, that is, the effective CNY/USD exchange rate, since Jan/2014.
(Click on the image for a fullsize version).


Dot area: total trade volume in that UTC day.  The largest dot is 353 kBTC (on Feb/25).


Dot area: "slumber tranquility weight", 0.0 (smallest dots) to 1.0 (largest dots).

The prices used in the ratio are the arithmetic mean of the high and low trade prices in the 1 hour interval 19:00:00 to 19:59:59 UTC (which is 03:00 -- 03:59 AM of the next day in China).  

The "slumber tranquility weight" is a function of the trade volume observed in the 3-hour interval 18:00:00 to 20:59:59 UTC (02:00 to 04:59 AM in China), compared to the total volume in that same UTC day (from 00:00:00 to 23:59:59 UTC, or 08:00 AM to 07:59 AM of the next day in China).  The higher the ratio of the two numbers (meaning, relatively more trading in the late night hours) the smaller the tranquility weight.

This is great. Bitcoin used as a definitive measure of the exchange rates of fiat currencies. Somone should tell the fx fund managers.




451. Post 7368269 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

At last. Some moon action.




452. Post 7371217 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 17, 2014, 11:01:44 PM
Ignoring arguments that fail to convince me, of course.  I have no power to force anyone to invest or not, all I can do is present my arguments, and people will decide by themselves.
But don't you get annoyed when you present perfectly decent arguments and they either completely ignore them or, worse yet, start calling you a religious cultist? Tongue
I was not referring to the people in this thread, but to the general public.  You guys here generally know enough about bitcoin to choose for yourselves.  But when I read something that I believe is wrong, I feel the need to reply.  Is that serious, doctor?

Jumping in here. Yes, borderline serious. Re:

http://xkcd.com/386/





453. Post 7375869 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: keithers on June 18, 2014, 01:18:46 AM
There are a lot of people waiting to take profits off the table as soon as we cross $600...  Either that or a lot of people trying to cut losses..

Then you have the other bunch, sitting on the fence: I've heard they are suppose to rise, and yes, that seems to happen...




454. Post 7376008 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Millions of BTC have been found, and while we wait for the 300 K USD2014 coins, they have to be parked in some wallets.

It's a dirty job, but someone's got to do it!




455. Post 7393775 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote

[...]


Not on my chart. It is green when the last price noted in the period is higher than the first price noted. You need to stare more at the intervals. Remember, you have no lectures. I am probably being far too helpful here.



456. Post 7393779 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: JayJuenGee on June 19, 2014, 07:03:48 AM
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit. Aenean commodo ligula eget dolor. Aenean massa. Cum sociis natoque penatibus et magnis dis parturient montes, nascetur ridiculus mus. Donec quam felis, ultricies nec, pellentesque eu, pretium quis, sem. Nulla consequat massa quis enim. Donec pede justo, fringilla vel, aliquet nec, vulputate eget, arcu. In enim justo, rhoncus ut, imperdiet a, venenatis vitae, justo. Nullam dictum felis eu pede mollis pretium. Integer tincidunt. Cras dapibus. Vivamus elementum semper nisi. Aenean vulputate eleifend tellus. Aenean leo ligula, porttitor eu, consequat vitae, eleifend ac, enim. Aliquam lorem ante, dapibus in, viverra quis, feugiat a, tellus. Phasellus viverra nulla ut metus varius laoreet.

I agree. Typical wall street slang. They will soon come. You will notice it also on the price.



457. Post 7393920 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: Parazyd on June 19, 2014, 07:49:01 AM
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit. Aenean commodo ligula eget dolor. Aenean massa. Cum sociis natoque penatibus et magnis dis parturient montes, nascetur ridiculus mus. Donec quam felis, ultricies nec, pellentesque eu, pretium quis, sem. Nulla consequat massa quis enim. Donec pede justo, fringilla vel, aliquet nec, vulputate eget, arcu. In enim justo, rhoncus ut, imperdiet a, venenatis vitae, justo. Nullam dictum felis eu pede mollis pretium. Integer tincidunt. Cras dapibus. Vivamus elementum semper nisi. Aenean vulputate eleifend tellus. Aenean leo ligula, porttitor eu, consequat vitae, eleifend ac, enim. Aliquam lorem ante, dapibus in, viverra quis, feugiat a, tellus. Phasellus viverra nulla ut metus varius laoreet.

I agree. Typical wall street slang. They will soon come. You will notice it also on the price.

You really think it'll be like that? Maybe later, but definitely not when they start. Expect surprises.

It can be argued all ways.



458. Post 7407043 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 19, 2014, 07:21:58 PM
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit. Aenean commodo ligula eget dolor. Aenean massa. Cum sociis natoque penatibus et magnis dis parturient montes, nascetur ridiculus mus. Donec quam felis, ultricies nec, pellentesque eu, pretium quis, sem. Nulla consequat massa quis enim. Donec pede justo, fringilla vel, aliquet nec, vulputate eget, arcu. In enim justo, rhoncus ut, imperdiet a, venenatis vitae, justo. Nullam dictum felis eu pede mollis pretium. Integer tincidunt. Cras dapibus. Vivamus elementum semper nisi. Aenean vulputate eleifend tellus. Aenean leo ligula, porttitor eu, consequat vitae, eleifend ac, enim. Aliquam lorem ante, dapibus in, viverra quis, feugiat a, tellus. Phasellus viverra nulla ut metus varius laoreet.

I agree. Typical wall street slang. They will soon come. You will notice it also on the price.

You really think it'll be like that? Maybe later, but definitely not when they start. Expect surprises.

It can be argued all ways.



This is all Mumbo Jumbo to me, and I do NOT understand what I supposedly said.   Huh    Undecided    Cry

I thought so too, but some comments half way persuaded me it was legit. This is absurd!



459. Post 7407774 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Appearantly, all the newcomers and the new businesses come in for the transactions only. Only the old hoarders hoard. Do they have any wives and daughters left? They are now selling their football cards and run after the bus to save money. Less and less people have heard about bitcoin. It will not only go to zero, but it will be forgotten! The blockchain is all that is left for the future archeologists. The bitcoin museum will be weighed down with spiderwebs.



460. Post 7412862 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 20, 2014, 07:25:17 AM
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit. Aenean commodo ligula eget dolor. Aenean massa. Cum sociis natoque penatibus et magnis dis parturient montes, nascetur ridiculus mus. Donec quam felis, ultricies nec, pellentesque eu, pretium quis, sem. Nulla consequat massa quis enim. Donec pede justo, fringilla vel, aliquet nec, vulputate eget, arcu. In enim justo, rhoncus ut, imperdiet a, venenatis vitae, justo. Nullam dictum felis eu pede mollis pretium. Integer tincidunt. Cras dapibus. Vivamus elementum semper nisi. Aenean vulputate eleifend tellus. Aenean leo ligula, porttitor eu, consequat vitae, eleifend ac, enim. Aliquam lorem ante, dapibus in, viverra quis, feugiat a, tellus. Phasellus viverra nulla ut metus varius laoreet.

I agree. Typical wall street slang. They will soon come. You will notice it also on the price.

You really think it'll be like that? Maybe later, but definitely not when they start. Expect surprises.

It can be argued all ways.



This is all Mumbo Jumbo to me, and I do NOT understand what I supposedly said.   Huh    Undecided    Cry

I thought so too, but some comments half way persuaded me it was legit. This is absurd!



Yes, and I am glad that you seem to be having some fun, Erdogan, since you seemed to have started this mumbo jumbo.   I'm NOT really sure why, but what the heck.. adding a few posts to this thread will probably NOT hurt BTC prices.   Wink   Tongue   
Smiley



461. Post 7422814 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 20, 2014, 02:04:49 PM
[...
] My first reactions when I heard about bitcoin, touted to be the investment that would make everyone a millionnaire, were "if it sounds too good to be true, it surely ain't"
[...]

This is a rule of thumb that is not good for an investor. Following this rule means you can never be in front of something. With this rule, you could not invest in anything mobile or anything internet in the beginning. Not in oil, not in aviation, not in electric cars or whatever. It is a rule to make you a sheep investor.

Investigate. Of course it is not necessary to go deeply into any scammy investment opportunity. Most scam investments are just a carbon copy of something, where someone was able to run away with the money, and it takes you 2 seconds to reveal it.

But if there is something novel, a third party describing it, an intelligent article or some buzz on the newsgroups you follow, and you have the brains to research it, you should find out what it is about, make up your own assessment and take the appropriate action. You can forever invest in guaranteed 1% p.a lossy investments, but what is the point?



462. Post 7423175 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: Bios Optimus on June 20, 2014, 04:00:26 PM
Just replace what you use. Cool

I know you are right but I just can't bring myself to spend any right now.

Replace first, then use, just to be safe.




463. Post 7423255 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: empowering on June 20, 2014, 03:22:31 PM
The longer I persist in my negative view, the greater will be your fun when I will be finally proved wrong.  Wink


What would take to "finally prove you wrong"? Certain price level over time? Legal skeleton in one of major countries behind BTC? Large company accepting it (like Ebay etc.) ? Really, i'm wondering, what would it take?

 He already explained a hundred times (barely exaggerated at this point) what precisely it would take to conform w/ his definition of 'ok I'm sorry guys you were right in the end - I have to admit bitcoin is now finally successful' ~>

1] Widespread, government-sanctioned (or even promoted) adoption by the public in at least several countries.

2] ^ Due to actual, tangible, John-Q-Public-relevant benefits of using a blockchain-based currency that are OVER and beyond the economical, security, privacy, speed and convenience of use benefits afforded by traditional payment systems & infrastructure..

3] ^ To such an extent that above-referenced general mainstream public now has a NO-BRAINER choice in naturally & easily using a cryptocurrency as payment system.


Is it really that hard to see the writing on the wall though ? really ?

He wants to be the last new user. During the implementation, lots of people will be unsure, and there is a market for contrarian views. He will play the game all the way. When bitcoin is implemented, his services will be ignored. He will one day take a brake from his postings, because noone seems to listen, he will take a walk into the nearby market street, and he will suddenly find out that his visa or mastercard is not good anymore, and he has to beg the merchants to take his ragged reals.



464. Post 7423482 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 20, 2014, 05:46:58 PM
Just replace what you use. Cool

I know you are right but I just can't bring myself to spend any right now.


ONE of my obstacles in spending is the potential accounting problem to have to keep track... since it is supposed to be treated as property.

My solution is either to replace as I spend, and therefore say I did NOT claim it as profit b/c I replaced what I had spent... or I can spend it overseas (outside of the USA), which would cause me NOT to have to claim a profit.

Also, I am disinclined to sell now, anyway b/c at this point my portfolio remains in the red with a $613 average BTC price.

The accounting...how can the dominators possibly expect people to do that? Do you see people at large keeping tabs on everything they spend and earn. Private double book-keeping? Assuming bitcoins further progress, not possible.

Just say no.




465. Post 7423602 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: blatchcorn on June 20, 2014, 11:57:26 AM
I am currently pessimistic about the chances of the price ever getting much higher than now
I bet you 1 bitcoin that some time during the lifespan of bitcoin the price will rise above the $580 range.  If this does not happen in the next 5 years, I give you a bitcoin.  Sound fair?

Oh and a sell off before July? This consolidation has bear trap written all over it.

This game is frequently resurrected, maybe we nee a name for it. I suggest

The bitcon for high bitcoin value gambler's fallacy.

I am sure an even better name could be found.



466. Post 7423783 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 20, 2014, 07:24:38 PM
The longer I persist in my negative view, the greater will be your fun when I will be finally proved wrong.  Wink
What would take to "finally prove you wrong"? [ ... ]
[Jorge] already explained a hundred times (barely exaggerated at this point) what precisely it would take to conform w/ his definition [ ... widespread no-brainer choice by john-Q-public for international payments ... ]
Yes, that is what would need to happen for me to admit that I was wrong.  But you are authorized to have fun as soon as you are satisfied that I have been proved wrong.  Grin

Without wanting to trigger another 20 posts about my person, let me clarify that my skepticism is due to several reasons, including some political and economic obstacles that, in my estimation, are impassable and cannot be removed by any actions of the bitcoin community.  The estimation depends on probabilities that I assign to certain future developments and reactions, and my understanding of how the world works; opinions, yes, but opinions which I have construed over my lifetime, and will hardly be changed by a few arguments and statements here in this thread.    Obviously most people here have different estimations, and I do not hope to change their opinions either.  Time only will tell who was right.

During the implementation, there will be some number of users, and some greater number of potential users that has not taken the step yet, and some will say "no" (and maybe reconsider years later). Those who say no need negative arguments to reduce their cognitive dissonance. Jorges criteria do not describe the ultimate bitcoin success, so when they are reached, there will still be more outsiders than insiders, and the pressure of opinion will still be largely negative, for those who prefer to count negative or positive expressions of opinion, in stead of just look into it.

tl; dr There is abundance of opportunity to still be negative when the criteria are reached.




467. Post 7423853 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: JayJuenGee on June 20, 2014, 07:55:00 PM
I´m more and more certain, that the so called "reversal" from 340$ was in fact NOT a real reversal. It looks more and more like a huge bulltrap, i wish i had cashed out and cut my losses when we have been @ 680$. However i think it is NOT too late to sell now. I should have listened to JorgeStolfi and mmitech instead of writing huge amounts of pointless nonsense in the last weeks. I do NOT recommend everybody that he should sell, but in the short and midterm it looks like 680$ or has been the peak for this year.  I will sell half of my stuff now and the other 2 BTC when we eventually reach 600-610$ in the next small bulltrap.

Cute, but it only works so many times.




468. Post 7426358 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: empowering on June 20, 2014, 09:40:13 PM
Just replace what you use. Cool

I know you are right but I just can't bring myself to spend any right now.


ONE of my obstacles in spending is the potential accounting problem to have to keep track... since it is supposed to be treated as property.

My solution is either to replace as I spend, and therefore say I did NOT claim it as profit b/c I replaced what I had spent... or I can spend it overseas (outside of the USA), which would cause me NOT to have to claim a profit.

Also, I am disinclined to sell now, anyway b/c at this point my portfolio remains in the red with a $613 average BTC price.

The accounting...how can the dominators possibly expect people to do that? Do you see people at large keeping tabs on everything they spend and earn. Private double book-keeping? Assuming bitcoins further progress, not possible.

Just say no.



It is amazing what technology can do... think about it....

Yeah, maybe the NSA can do the accounting for us.




469. Post 7517125 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: zimmah on June 24, 2014, 09:32:53 PM

Well the price on localbitcoins is always a bit higher because sales take a while there usually and the sellers do not want to risk a sudden price increase leaving them unable to rebuy.

But, a blind auction means that people can not see the other bets, and people who want to really buy a lot of bitcoins without risking to lose their money on an exchange (especially after the mt gox fiasco) may actually bid more than what bitcoins are worth on bitstamp, just to be sure to get the bitcoins.

I am 95% sure we will see a price above the current bitstamp price. And i expect it to be at least 5% higher.

But not much more than 20% or so, most likely.

That still leaves a range of about 612 to 700 or so

I agree. Opinion is divided on this. Some will think it is a fast, safe way to get a large amount of bitcoins. If they do, the lower bids will not be relevant.

 



470. Post 7517861 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: phosphorush on June 25, 2014, 08:02:18 AM
FUCK THIS IS DEPRESSING

If people get depressed from the price, just look at the hashrate.

[img]http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-small-lin.png

truly insane

Hash rate doesn't really imply the price value now though, does it?

but it means that it good long term investment, no?

No, hashrate follows price. But you could say that the mining investors believe that the outlook is good. But, they can't really know more than us non-miners.




471. Post 7517892 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 25, 2014, 08:24:57 AM
So guys, 27th June.. we learn that the coins sold well above market, we should see a price to $650+ within hours after confirmation? And, on the other side (well below market) we should see a drop to $545 or less within hours after confirmation.

But what about the case where we dont know the results? Down? Up? We all know this market never responds to nothing by doing nothing.

I'm sure that several of the various winners are going to want to inform people about the price that they paid.  I doubt that they would be restricted from such publicity, after they have won.

So the marshals forgot to mention if or how and when they will announce the result? Well that's depressing (for the bitcoin price).



472. Post 7518575 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 25, 2014, 07:51:44 PM
Jorge became a cultist some time ago... I clearly remember that he wrote that he doubled (or tripled?) his BTC portfolio. Todays drop was clearly Jorge cashing out because he needed a little extra cash for the auction.  Smiley
Actually I did not buy nor sell any coins today, but the USD value of my holdings doubled again, nevertheless.   Wink

When you sell, please don't sell all at once.



473. Post 7518836 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: lay785 on June 25, 2014, 11:27:20 PM
How do I know when to buy back in? after the auction results are leaked/announced?

Now is always the right time.



474. Post 7518929 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 25, 2014, 11:36:14 PM
So the marshals forgot to mention if or how and when they will announce the result? Well that's depressing (for the bitcoin price).
Dear @Erdogan, if you did not have me on ignore, you would know the answer. I posted it twice already.  Wink


Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 25, 2014, 11:36:14 PM
So the marshals forgot to mention if or how and when they will announce the result? Well that's depressing (for the bitcoin price).
Dear @Erdogan, if you did not have me on ignore, you would know the answer. I posted it twice already.  Wink


I hear you, but no, I didn't see that. Good to have someone to read the full text of everything. Scanning through your posts, I found it. They did not forget to mention it, and they won't disclose the result. Still depressing.




475. Post 7519011 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: aminorex on June 25, 2014, 11:41:18 PM
Anyone else notice how all the bitcoin high priests and cheerleaders have been conveniently absent for the past couple weeks? The exponential log charts have been tucked into suitcases and the purveyors of these bitcoin pipe dreams are heading onto the next big thing. Makes you wonder... all of us still holding... are we the bag holders afterall?

You should get out now.

Yep he should get out, because as the determined holders give up, the more easily shaken uninformed half-holders will be the be the bagholders. Blessed are the whimsical holders, for they shall inherit the bag. Something like that.




476. Post 7519119 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: TalkingBit on June 26, 2014, 12:13:21 AM
So are we all playing lets pay US Marshals as little as we can?

The buyers will state they paid more than they actually paid, to be able to file a lower gain later.
The marshals will say it was lower than the actual price, the difference entered into a slush fund to use for random gifts to friends. Selectively, they might report a few customers to the irs.




477. Post 7519178 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: bigasic on June 26, 2014, 01:09:34 AM
Here is the link to the guy that offered spot minus 15 percent for all the coins..

http://www.businessinsider.com/falcon-global-capital-offers-to-buy-the-fbis-bitcoins-2014-2

All the other potensial bidders will now think: Gee, that low! Well, we can go lower!
So offensive, much logical.



478. Post 7519192 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

A message just ticked in from the bitcoin god:

Currently, we have 1 million owners, 10 million partly informed non-owners, and 7 billion others.
Some of the partly informed non-owners will become owners shortly, the rest will be naysayers.
So we have roughly 10 times more naysayers than owners.

At some point in the future, owners will be doubled, the partly informed non-owners will be doubled.
So the ratio of naysayers to owners will still be 10 to 1.
This will continue with the progress of bitcoin.

But but but: When we come closer to the top of the S-curve, the pool of "others" will diminish, and the set of partly informed non-owners can not expand anymore. Not before that point will we see reduction of the ratio of naysayers to owners.







479. Post 7529979 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: oda.krell on June 26, 2014, 09:55:56 AM
Some of us, rather than cursing the dark, are trying to light candles, with varying degrees of success.  It takes a pretty vigorous crap filter to glean anything useful here, but there is such as thing as exogenous input stimulating useful thought.  By voicing opinions, members stimulate each other to think about aspects of the situation which they might otherwise neglect.  If the stimulus is misleading, that is unfortunate, but a vigorous crapfilter should avoid most of that downside.  The worst part is the time-sink aspect.

You may not read this.  I know you don't like my monkey.  The monkey is a metaphorical monkey, used to voice signals derived by means I do not wish to disclose accurately or justify rigorously.  I find the signals useful, and it does not require any sort of faith in the monkey to observe its signals over time.  I know that some members have benefited from awareness of the monkey's moods, as have I, otherwise your complaint would have sufficed for me to silence the monkey here.  As a third-party reader I would accept the monkey as another source of stimulus for thought, no more and no less.  I regard the other members of this forum much as I regard the magic monkey.  They are a source of highly structured signal, which serves to stimulate thought.

Freedom requires possibilities.  Our possibilities are limited  by our awareness, oftentimes.  Exogenous stimuli often serve to draw attention to those possibilities, and thereby compound our freedom.

Often don't agree with what you write. With this, I do.

Me too. It is impossible to squelch trolls and bad information, the answer is to provide good information.



480. Post 7530032 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: ALToids on June 26, 2014, 10:00:02 AM
So we're stuck at 569 until Friday then?

Not necessarily. If everybody agrees on that, someone will front-run it. When the actors agree on something, the market goes into another dimension. Know something first, act, wait for others to come to the same conclusion. You need to stay ahead of the market. (So when everybody knows this also, we move into yet another dimension...)



481. Post 7530154 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: oda.krell on June 26, 2014, 10:19:50 AM
Why Bitcoin’s Scoring in Argentina
Now this is the kind of news I like to read. [ ... ]
What I see is a marketing push by SecondMarket and Pantera to convince Argentinians that bitcoin is a hedge against inflation (!) and therefore they should invest in SMBIT and PBP.   Which are not doing well in the US, meh?

It is Neo & Bee for Argentina, only with marketing and muscle upped an order of magnitude.  And not managed by a small-time crook.


You conflate the 'investment opportunity to shady types' aspect with the 'additionals options through technology' one. Ignore, if you will, all of that article except for the localbitcoins aspect.

Quote
There’s no way for sure to measure the uptake of bitcoins in any country, but the evidence suggests Argentina is outpacing most. The number of traders listed on Local Bitcoins Buenos Aires is often three times that of Manhattan, for example, and the Fundacion Bitcoin Argentina is known to run the largest bitcoin meetup in the world.

You will then still (I suspect) argue that it's only a marketing ploy. I doubt that, though. If Argentinians are as cynical about promises as I got the impression they are*, no Pantera marketing push was the cause for this uptake in usage. It's more likely that the investment opportunity arose from the usage increase.


* source: Argentinian friend. Extremely skeptical of Bitcoin, though Cheesy

It looks like there is uptake. Good article (but could of course be made up). Even with good progress, bitcoin will still be small when the peso hyperinflates. Only the people able and ready to act quickly can frontrun the demise of the peso.



482. Post 7530255 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 26, 2014, 12:13:13 PM
Also i wonder you mention below or above market price. Is that the price the minute the auction closes?The price it was when the bids had to be in? The price on Stamp or somewhere else? Who decides what the market price actually is?

Could it be that noone really has a clue?

Absoulutely true. Bitcointalk posters are the experts, you know. Does anyone have respect for a so called wall street professional who hasn't got around to buy in already?



483. Post 7530321 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 26, 2014, 12:37:15 PM

No one cares.

They  have to show the webpage, the KYC standard, the fees, the ease to deposit and withdraw, and that the matching and everything in fact works. Only then it will be interesting.



484. Post 7530349 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 26, 2014, 12:39:11 PM
Also i wonder you mention below or above market price. Is that the price the minute the auction closes?The price it was when the bids had to be in? The price on Stamp or somewhere else? Who decides what the market price actually is?

Could it be that noone really has a clue?

This week has been "interesting" thus far.

July is going to be very interesting methinks.

One month without FUD, China, Ghash and other drama would be so nice. But you can be almost sure we'll find something new to panic about. Another deadline that means absolutely nothing.
everything can't go great, some bad things MUST happen. I don't know if you ShormKit understands this. Step out of your fantasy world. Bitcoin will rise, let it take its time.

What fantasy world you idiot?
Do you see me anywhere screaming how we will go to 1000+ by next month?
We've had 6 months of bad things. All i'm saying 1 month without would be nice.
Say hello to the other idiots ony ignore list. Bye.

A probable psyop agent.




485. Post 7530469 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit_Disgrace on June 26, 2014, 02:11:51 PM
Reading about mmitech issue makes me wonder...

How do the Muslims deal with banks? Interest = 0%??

serious question.

Basically what they do, the bank buys an apartment, takes rent plus payment for a part of the apartment. You own a larger part of your apartment as time goes by, and the rent for the unowned part goes down. I suppose you could say that the rent includes interest. So really, you pay rent + interest + principal each month. You then tell god that you pay rent + principal. Oh, he sees it all? Shit.




486. Post 7541532 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on June 27, 2014, 06:24:43 AM
A friend of mine, whom I told many months ago about BTC, said she was praying and God told her, and it appears with a feeling of urgancy, to invest in Bitcoin.  Smiley  Now that is bullish news!  Grin  
Perhaps God intends to teach your friend a lesson about greed.  Cheesy
Perhaps it was really Satan.
Yep in these questions, you should rely on lucifer - the bringer of light.




487. Post 7617235 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: dreamspark on July 01, 2014, 10:06:05 AM
I like 80%+ of Tera's posts.

There is no need to target everyone who doesnt think btc will hit 100k in the next week. Ever super bears do not bother me if they actually mean what they say, and not just posting crap for attention (aka some people we all know, no need to name them)

Agree but thing is with TERA, while she is indeed a good trader you cant help but think bullshit every time a movement happens and she claims to be on the right side of it despite being super the other way 5 mins before. Funny you mention the other one, he actually predicted $650 1st of July, scarily accurate.

Tera here. This explosion after the auction was rather obvious. Only idiots could not see it coming. By the way, on saturday I went long leverage 100x with all my stash. By the way, its going down. Setting up my shorts now.



488. Post 7617598 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: Asrael999 on July 01, 2014, 10:50:49 AM
I like 80%+ of Tera's posts.

There is no need to target everyone who doesnt think btc will hit 100k in the next week. Ever super bears do not bother me if they actually mean what they say, and not just posting crap for attention (aka some people we all know, no need to name them)

Agree but thing is with TERA, while she is indeed a good trader you cant help but think bullshit every time a movement happens and she claims to be on the right side of it despite being super the other way 5 mins before. Funny you mention the other one, he actually predicted $650 1st of July, scarily accurate.

How do you know he is a good trader? Everyone can say they are good at trading and make 1000% profit each day on the internet. He is a good chartist and has a very analytical way of thinking is all I can say from his posts, which doesn't automatically make him right or a good trader.

Why is there so much confusion about TERA's gender?

because half of the people on this forum cannot deal with the fact that a woman might be a) interested in Bitcoin, b) articulate (after all they have never actually spoken to a woman) and c) smarter than they are.

And because his screen name ends in A. He said at some point he was a male, but has probably given up protesting at this point. Extra anonymity cover, after all.



489. Post 7619177 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: Krabby on July 01, 2014, 12:54:07 PM
Just wanted to order some shaving gear online at some random site and during checkout I see: Do you want to pay using Bitcoin via Bitpay? Always fun to come across those Smiley

It was www.deonlinedrogist.nl btw.

You are in denial. You were planning on buying condoms.

Nah, I have sufficient in the house Wink


condoms ?
bitcoiners need to grow in numbers, dude!

I'm going to adopt 13 children!!!

If you already did produce some fiatters, you can convert them using your parent value transmission power.



490. Post 7627921 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 01, 2014, 09:06:10 PM
One basic marketing tool of people who sell investment funds based in gold, silver, etc. -- or bitcoin -- is to paint an apocalyptic scenario for stocks, bonds, bank savings, real estate, etc.  "Repent, the end is near, our fund is the only salvation."

Surely there wil be more financial crises in the world and in the USA, there may be moreinflation, perhaps even hyperinflation  But you can be sure the USA will survive (to the disappointment of many people outside it  Grin)  and so wll China, Russia, and Europe.

Believe me: I have lived most of my life in a country with high inflation, sometimes hyperinflation, that periodically had to redefine the currency by dropping three zeros.  (I still must have somehere coins whose nominal value today is a few pico- or femtodollars.)  Inflation and hyperinflation are a big inconvenience, waste a lot of time, make things inefficient and stressful; but people can finda ways to adapt and survive, and the country continues to function without becoming a Mad Max world.

The reason is because money (or bitcoin, or gold) is not real wealth, it is only a token that society will accept and exchange for real wealth.  The exchange is so smooth and universal that, for personal or corporate finances, it is justifiable to treat money the same as wealth.  But when considering a whole nation, or the world, one must ignore the money and focus only on the real wealth.

No matter how much  money the government creates of derstroys, confiscates or gives away, the real weath of the country will not change.  Fiddling with the finacial system, the currency, and the money supply can only change the distribution of wealth among the citizens

On the other hand, in economic crises and hyperinflation times, the austerity measures that neocons have convinced nations to use are precisely designed to trasfer wealth from ordinary citizens to the banks and big financial players.  If such a crisis comes, can bitcoin (assuming it succeeds) save our wealth from being taken that way?  I don't think that will work. For one thing among many, in a crisis most people need to take money out of investment funds and savings in order to survive; so the value of bitcoin is likely to drop, due to diminished demand, rather than increase.  


You are on your way to being an austrian.
 



491. Post 7627964 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 01, 2014, 09:44:21 PM
If only i could stop seeing that jorgestolfi name on every page. That would be so nice.

I don't care.



492. Post 7635778 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: lay785 on July 02, 2014, 03:51:22 AM
So today we had two major retailers announce that they're taking bitcoin and we're now lower value than we were 24 hours ago. This market is brutal.
As many people have pointed out already, those major retailers announced that they are taking dollars -- that will come from the sale of bitcoins, mostly by bitcoin enthusiasts.  So those news may give bitcoin more visibility, but it is questionable whether they will expand the number of bitcoin owners, and they imply more coins moving from hoards into the market.

And, anyway, those news are irrelevant to the Chinese traders -- who seem to be leading the current drop.


Merchant adoption is the next step towards global acceptance after the initial investment / speculation phase. It's the next logical step and it's a good sign.

They are not taking dollars, they are taking Bitcoins. And not all of the merchants are selling 100% of the Bitcoins back to dollars by the way.

When people start to realize how easy crazy is to buy things in locally and the internet without the need of giving credit card or bank information to anyone acceptance is going to increase. It's the next natural / logical step, credit cards are a thing of the past and obsolete.



Interesting points. However I still cannot understand why someone would pay with bitcoins if rewards credit cards offer bonus cashback + services and features.
eg. many companies add an extra year warranty + some have purchase protection if item gets stolen/breaks within 90 days + protection from sellers who dont send quality goods and refuse to make good on the purchase and many more features.

Some of these benefits coupled with extra cash back (eg. I have a card that gives 2% cashback on all purchases) wont exactly make people flock to bitcoin unless they have something to hide or are paranoid and want to be "anonymous" (as if the nsa cant track you anyway...).

P.S. Of course there is a use for someone who cant get their hands on a credit card with features like those mentioned above (most people probably can though).



Some merchant have something for sale for 0.98 BTC: I see no reason why you can not pay 1 BTC, and seconds after get 0.02 BTC back from the merchant, if this is an offer and you agree. But what would be the point? It is so fun receiving money?



493. Post 7635921 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: aminorex on July 02, 2014, 03:19:27 AM
Inflation and hyperinflation are a big inconvenience, waste a lot of time, make things inefficient and stressful; but people can finda ways to adapt and survive, and the country continues to function without becoming a Mad Max world.

I suspect deflation will predominate for some time.  Presently the bankers and administration seek to undermine the dollar to boost exports and inflate risk assets, but collapsing productivity and debt expansion in Europe and Japan are making the U.S. look healthy in contrast, which is likely to push the dollar back up relative to other majors. These are not
mutually exclusive because all the majors are inflating their currencies massively, in tandem:  They all have far more debt than ithey can service, so money has to get cheaper and cheaper (within the domestic market no less than it needs to do the same) in Europe and Japan.  Thus bankers can carry incredible sums on their balance sheets, to bid up risk assets through a series of proxies.  Each rentier skimming from this chain drains off another fraction of the debt, which the public is obligated in theory to pay off one day.  The result is a class system in which 0.1% of the population gains the bulk of the benefit of economic productivity gains and public spending, A shrinking middle class carries a rapidly increasing tax burden and debt load, and a rapidly growing underclass is kept placid with government benefits. 

Things go on until they can't.  Exponentially increasing debt in the presence of declining economic growth, ultimately, economic retraction, will end catastrophically, if it is not managed.  Absent a change in energy technology, increasing productivity is not a long-term option.  The only way to manage this landing is calculated, systematic debt destruction.

The money is debt.  It is made of debt.  It is a token of debt.  It is debt which can only be repaid by creating more debt.  The money itself is the very root of the problem.
Either the system implodes catastrophically, or it reforms itself.  In either case, debt-based money will cease to exist as it does today.

Quote
The reason is because money (or bitcoin, or gold) is not real wealth, it is only a token that society will accept and exchange for real wealth.  The exchange is so smooth and universal that, for personal or corporate finances, it is justifiable to treat money the same as wealth.  But when considering a whole nation, or the world, one must ignore the money and focus only on the real wealth.

Real wealth being goods and services, command of labor, materials and supplies, energy.  But you are ignoring the bulk of the wealth held by society.  Most of the value in society is in the interconnections between people, the transactions, transfers, obligations and acquitals which they make.  Human capital is not just a matter of skills, but of relationships.   Many of those relationships, often the most economically important ones, are mediated by money.  Ignoring money would cause you to ignore much of the value in society.

Quote
No matter how much  money the government creates of derstroys, confiscates or gives away, the real weath of the country will not change.  Fiddling with the finacial system, the currency, and the money supply can only change the distribution of wealth among the citizens

If the government destroyed all currency and all balances on account, I think half the people in the U.S. would be dead in a month.  Supply chains would collapse, and under modern just-in-time inventory management practices, mass starvation, epidemics, and gang warfare would be pervasive.

The distribution of wealth among the citizens is obviously of crucial importance to the function of society.  If instead, the U.S. confiscated the currency and balances on account, and handed them all to Dennis Rodman,  the result would be indistinguishable from destroying them.
 
Quote
in a crisis most people need to take money out of investment funds and savings in order to survive; so the value of bitcoin is likely to drop, due to diminished demand, rather than increase.  

You''re not doing that right.  Circulating currency is worth more than reserve currency.


When we say that money is not wealth, we do not talk about the value of the money as a system. It is clear that the practicality of money in trade is of immense value, and yes, the relations between the traders may be more important than the goods.

We point out that the money itself is not wealth. It has value because it can be traded for things and services, which is wealth. The consequence is that the volume of the money supply does not matter. I think even the neo-keynesians understand this. The printing is to force and bend the actors to invest more and consumers to spend more, not save. They do not understand that forcing the free market like this reduces output, in addition to a plethora of other negative effects.




494. Post 7638133 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 02, 2014, 11:02:00 AM
The train stopped moving. The auction gave it a small push up. Then it slightly crashed because oooommmg 1 winner. Now we're stuck. I might be wrong but i have the feeling people need a specific reason to buy more. Another deadline that turns out bullish. Obviously amazing news about big companies means nothing anymore.

I don't see anything bullish happening soon so my guess is we will go down again. A big dump followed by panic. Or a new round of hot steamy FUD. People soon will be looking hard for a reason to dump.
People are looking for a reason to sell. Not to buy. And that reason for selling can be almost anything. The reason for buying, almost nothing.
And i hate to sound like Tera so i hope i am completely wrong.


Down again - only if a dump is connected to bad news. Perceived in the market as bad news. I perceive all news as good news. A bourse going titsup - bullish. A government disallowing all bitcoin trade and ownership - bullish. Argentina bankrupt - bullish. Famine - bullish. A new black death - bullish. The ultimate war - bullish. Second coming of Jesus - bullish.



495. Post 7638227 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: lay785 on July 02, 2014, 11:35:07 AM
So today we had two major retailers announce that they're taking bitcoin and we're now lower value than we were 24 hours ago. This market is brutal.
As many people have pointed out already, those major retailers announced that they are taking dollars -- that will come from the sale of bitcoins, mostly by bitcoin enthusiasts.  So those news may give bitcoin more visibility, but it is questionable whether they will expand the number of bitcoin owners, and they imply more coins moving from hoards into the market.

And, anyway, those news are irrelevant to the Chinese traders -- who seem to be leading the current drop.


Merchant adoption is the next step towards global acceptance after the initial investment / speculation phase. It's the next logical step and it's a good sign.

They are not taking dollars, they are taking Bitcoins. And not all of the merchants are selling 100% of the Bitcoins back to dollars by the way.

When people start to realize how easy crazy is to buy things in locally and the internet without the need of giving credit card or bank information to anyone acceptance is going to increase. It's the next natural / logical step, credit cards are a thing of the past and obsolete.



Interesting points. However I still cannot understand why someone would pay with bitcoins if rewards credit cards offer bonus cashback + services and features.
eg. many companies add an extra year warranty + some have purchase protection if item gets stolen/breaks within 90 days + protection from sellers who dont send quality goods and refuse to make good on the purchase and many more features.

Some of these benefits coupled with extra cash back (eg. I have a card that gives 2% cashback on all purchases) wont exactly make people flock to bitcoin unless they have something to hide or are paranoid and want to be "anonymous" (as if the nsa cant track you anyway...).

P.S. Of course there is a use for someone who cant get their hands on a credit card with features like those mentioned above (most people probably can though).



Some merchant have something for sale for 0.98 BTC: I see no reason why you can not pay 1 BTC, and seconds after get 0.02 BTC back from the merchant, if this is an offer and you agree. But what would be the point? It is so fun receiving money?


My point was that retailers are offering an item for $100 or $100 worth of bitcoin. However you save 2% + get more benefits by using fiat on a credit card.

It's a market. Multiple merchants. Every fucking person is a consumer. Everyone can sometimes be confused in the moment, buying on impulse. But do you really think that generally people are so stupid they can not see that payment cost is a cost on the trade, both buyer and seller? Both parties are interested in minimizing that cost. Show some respect, man.




496. Post 7644494 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: bangersdad on July 02, 2014, 04:26:45 PM

I think that there are a lot of fools who dream of riches but who aren't ready to do any hard work for it.

what about those of us that work damn hard at our jobs in order to earn as much money as we can to then buy bitcoin. I work as much overtime as i am offered, and save as hard as i can so i can buy bitcoin, and i would imagine i am not alone. i do not dream of riches - i just feel alot safer having my holdings in BTC which i control rather than in a bank which i do not. If i am making more than the current pittance offered by interest on savings accounts then i am even happier.

All jobs nowadays are mind work. You don't even get a donkey to produce energy to pull a wagon nowadays for less than the food costs. I have aquired my coins using mind work, and noones rights have been violated in the process. They are mine.




497. Post 7644705 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 02, 2014, 05:57:39 PM
On the other hand Jorges trust in the competence and good-will of the central planners is equal parts adorable and terrifying  Cheesy
Why do you say that? I gave TWO examples of Brazilian governments that screwed up the economy egregiously -- so much that we are paying dearly for their mistakes till today and for god knows how long.

Buy I do believe that governments are inevitable and necessary.  If you try to destroy the government you would almost surely fail.   If perchance you succeed, it will be quickly replaced, most likely by a worse one.   The anarcho-libertarian Utopia, a world without government, would be a Mad Max world, and would not last for a year before a king of some sort would emerge.

Crypto will not protect you from a bad government or from economic collapse.  At best it will protect your money, but only as long as you do not use it.   You cannot spend any large amount of it without your government and all the bad guys in the neighbrhood noticing.  And, if it starts looking like crypto could let you escape your government's control, your government will quickly squash it.

No shining piece of technology can solve by itself a social/political problem like corruption, poverty, famine, opression, etc.. Such problems must be attacked by social/political struggle, starting with trying to get the best laws and government we can.  (And that must be done in the open -- one cannot be an effective social activist while protecting one's anonymity, it is either-or.)


This is a quite common opinion, but there are lots of logic errors in it. It is now that we have rampant violation of rights from the government, violence from the government, who has given itself the "right" to violate others rights. That is not logical. Rights are rights independent of any government, the same for all, and an association of persons giving itself right to violate others rights are grossly illogical. It is now we have violence, chaos, no rule of law, poverty, corruption, tension between groups. Corruption comes with government. Famine comes with government. Oppression comes with government. Wars come with government. Serfdom comes with government. Suppression of free speech is stealing your reality, so you don't see what is going on.



498. Post 7644714 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: Buffer Overflow on July 02, 2014, 06:02:18 PM
If you want to generate wealth, then you have to either 1) work hard 2) be talented 3) deceive others

4) Let others do the hard work for you.

Wealthy people don't usually get wealthy by working for themselves. They let others do the hard work for them. And no this isn't taking advantage of people, it's called giving someone else a job.


Work to solve other peoples problems, and trade.




499. Post 7652991 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: BitChick on July 03, 2014, 04:11:33 AM

cost / value ratio Plummets yet again!

I'm just going to repeat myself, this is not sustainable, >800$ next week GUARANTEED
It's getting ridiculous how much good news and how un-stoppable bitcoin is becoming. Next serious surge could send us to hundreds of billions marketcap.

So what is keeping the train at the station this long?  Or are those of us that have been through a "bubble" or two just getting a bit impatient this time around?  I guess we were stuck at about $120 and $140 for a while last Summer.


I am astonished too. I guess the delay in the system, from interest to actual demand, is far greater than I previously thought. Half year to a year.




500. Post 7664084 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: aminorex on July 03, 2014, 05:53:33 PM
Monkey is suddenly fearful of an impulsive downward movement. 

Perhaps monkeys are in touch with their primitive impulsive instincts than I am.  Rationally, I do not see how this thing can fail to take off.  Every professional trader in every major financial center must realize at this point, that a 10x, 50x move is all but guarranteed when COIN lists.  How can they not be loading up in their personal accounts?

Still, monkey sez:  Danger of 640 floor breaking over the next 5 hours.

Hey monkey.

From imf "...the decisive factor in stemming market
distress and spillover effects was the action taken to put in place credible firewalls, including the
commitment by the central bank to ensure zone-wide stability through the necessary support
measures."

They of course refer to the Draghi put:

"Within our mandate, the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the Euro and believe me, it will be enough."

So what you have to do is:






501. Post 7664170 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on July 03, 2014, 09:25:35 PM
Monkey is suddenly fearful of an impulsive downward movement.  

Perhaps monkeys are in touch with their primitive impulsive instincts than I am.  Rationally, I do not see how this thing can fail to take off.  Every professional trader in every major financial center must realize at this point, that a 10x, 50x move is all but guarranteed when COIN lists.  How can they not be loading up in their personal accounts?

Still, monkey sez:  Danger of 640 floor breaking over the next 5 hours.

Hey monkey.

From imf "...the decisive factor in stemming market
distress and spillover effects was the action taken to put in place credible firewalls, including the
commitment by the central bank to ensure zone-wide stability through the necessary support
measures."

They of course refer to the Draghi put:

"Within our mandate, the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the Euro and believe me, it will be enough."

So what you have to do is:

  • gain some credibility
  • Within the limits of our liquidity base, we are ready to do whatever it takes to support a bitcoin price of $800, and  believe me, it will be enough.




Things like the Exchange Stabilisation Fund you mean?

I was more thinking of the monkey's private liquidity base in USD. I suppose he has one, else it will be futile.



502. Post 7664176 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: shmadz on July 03, 2014, 06:30:54 PM

.  I'm done teaching you, prof.



He reminds me of the professor from atlas shrugged.

(paraphrasing) "This is the last institute of academic learning in the country! We must sacrifice this silly bitcoin idea to protect the interests of the greater good!"

Ding!



503. Post 7666211 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 03, 2014, 10:48:22 PM
http://bgr.com/2014/07/03/bitcoin-exchange-mainstream-analysis/

I noticed a lot of positive media the last 7 days. It completely changed compared to even a month ago.
Everyone feels like now is the time. Everyone is excited. Everyone but the sellers.
It's probably the best week this year and the selling pressure is sky high.
So odd.

Good news transforms price with a latency.



504. Post 7673213 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: magicmexican on July 04, 2014, 11:45:47 AM
ye well, first it was China, then Russian, now EU.

USA is next ?

I welcome all government restrictions. Reminds people to not tell how many coins they have.



505. Post 7682625 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: dropt on July 04, 2014, 10:39:59 PM
What about miners paying power bills?

If someone could be so kind as to find out what KnC and Bitfury/MBP/CEX/GHASH.IO are doing with their mined coins, I'd love to know.  And by find I out, I mean actually find out, not this OTC sales wishy washy bullshit I keep hearing.

Look at it this way. A miner is a person with investment in mining equipment and expenses. When he has mined some coin, he is a holder of coin plus he has investments and expenses. Other holders, without mining investments have other investments and expenses. What is the difference? None.
Everybody hold coins, have investments and expenses, and have to decide to sell or to buy, taking other economic realities into account.

tldr; a miner with coins is no different from other people.




506. Post 7727348 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 07, 2014, 07:16:54 PM
Of the laundry list of things that Jorge listed, only "tax evasion" is a thing that government is really concerned about. And then only if you're the wrong kind of tax evader.
Granted, all those items (even financing domestic terrorism) can be fought selectively, by any government. Tongue

You have that backwards. Bitcoin is a super vehicle for governments to finance terrorims, domestic and foreign. They are only concerned with tax.

And of course the end of government funding should the fiat system go down. But that doesn't seem to have to do much with bitcoin,



507. Post 7727629 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 07, 2014, 11:12:07 PM
The goal of bitcoin as a technology is to be a global network allowing p2p payments between anonymous pseudonymous arbitrary parties without a trusted intermediary and without a central  controlling authority.  Take away any of those goals, and the solution described by "Satoshi" does not make any technical sense. But I don't see how it possible to achieve those goals, without also

allowing payments that governments cannot see, can see but not block, divert, or undo.
FTFY
The distinction between anonymous and pseudonymous, for this purpose, escapes me.  Either way, one goal of the technology was to allow a secure payment without the parties having to reveal their identities to anyone, not even to each other, at any time. 

That goal implies that governments will not being able to "see" the payments.  Sure, they can tell that someone paid 23.12 BTC to someone else, perhaps to him/herself; but that information is useless if they cannot tell who the parites are -- not even their nationalities or locations.

Without the anonymity goal, the other technical goals that cyptocoins are suppsoed to achieve would be rather pointless or meaningless.  If the Funnycoin protocol required each party in a transaction to reveal and prove his flesh-and-bone identity, how could people do that without having to trust centralized intermediaries, such as passport-issuing offices? (Perhaps there is a way, but I am not aware of any proposal for such a crypto.) If the government and everybody else can see exactly how much XFC you earn and where you spend it -- what would be the advantage of using FunnyCoin, instead of banks?

You begin to understand the technology of bitcoin. Now you have to understand that for money to work in the free market, anonymity has to be an option available to the traders. It is only the most recent decennium that governments have had the possibility to harvest information from the money system, and they use it to renounce the freedom of the of the people, making them serfs. And they run the productive capacity of world down the toilet as a consequence.

You can probably never understand this. Why am I telling you?






508. Post 7737021 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 08, 2014, 03:39:32 AM
Free is free. No impediment. No rules. No regulation. Nothing to hinder trade by consenting people.
That is not free market, it is "laissez faire capitalism", "wild west market", whatever.  The name "free market" has been taken long ago to mean what I wrote.

Laissez faire capitalism is what gave use the banks too big to fail, tax exemptions for the rich, the 1%-99% society, and so on.

Thats all you can do. Take from others, even their words. You let yourself believe that you don't take, nevertheless you team up with the people that contract gunmen to steal for you.



509. Post 7738705 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 08, 2014, 05:03:05 PM
That's crony capitalism. In the Laissez faire world, there is not "too big to fail" you just fail and get bought out (or not) by someone more competent.
Just as anarchism quickly degenerates into totalitarian rule, under laissez faire capitalism every market quickly becomes a monopoly or oligopoly; and then the companies can demand special laws and bailouts with the excuse that they are too big to be allowed to fail.

Laissez-faire capitalism was not Reagan's invention of course, nor an exclusive of Repubican governments.  It ran amok before 1929 and led to that classic collapse.  The earliest example of the "too big to fail" argument that I remember watching live on TV was Lee Iacocca getting a huge loan (from Jimmy Carter, perhaps?) to save Chrysler, then one of the three only US car makers.

No, anarchy quicly orders itself into sensible rule of law, as opposed to the current lawlessness.

No, in laissez faire firms will be rightsized, unlike the current monopolies which can only exist under violence.





510. Post 7739437 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on July 08, 2014, 05:53:58 PM
Has anarchism ever degenerated into totalitarian rule? The two examples of anarchist societies I can think of were toppled by external forces - by the Red Army in the Ukraine, and by the Spanish Communist Party and it's allies in Spain. Apologies if that was your point, it just seemed you were suggesting degeneration was a result of anarchism itself, rather than its opponents.
i don't know the examples you mention. I know of a few conscious attempts at anarchic communes going back to the middle ages, but all of them small and toppled by external forces.  Anarchy on a larger scale often arises involuntarily after the collapse of a centralized government with a complex administrative infrastructure; and in that case it is often succeeded by a domestic tyranny. The French and Russian revolutions may be examples of the latter.

I don't know of any example, anytime or anywhere, of an urbanized society that survived without government for more than a few months. (Although I gather that achaeologists have yet to find signs of a government at Çatal Höyök, "the very first city").

Ireland had 5000 years of anarchy and was renowned through europe for culture and learning during that time. Then the the British brought freedom, democracy, enslavement and starvation. The bastards chopped down all the trees too.

In the dealings between most countries, there is anarchy.



511. Post 7742268 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: justusranvier on July 08, 2014, 08:20:28 PM
Anarchy on a larger scale often arises involuntarily after the collapse of a centralized government with a complex administrative infrastructure
Anarchy does not arise after the collapse of a government.

That's a flawed as saying that atheism arises after a church burns down.

Anarchy arise as a result of individuals asserting their rights and taking responsibility for their actions.

An interesting development in Mexico, in the area around the avocado industri. They had rulers in the form of a mafia extended from the government, which took 5 percent from each farmer plus 5 percent on the avocado export bourse. They did this by threatening with violence. The farmers armed themselves and closed the villages at night by placing tractors on the village entrances. The mafia evaporized. As far as I know, noone was harmed in the process of evicting the mafia. That is a step in the anarchist direction.

Edit: Chaos replaced by law.



512. Post 7742660 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: xyzzy099 on July 08, 2014, 09:09:41 PM
Despite Jorge's protestations to the contrary, he clearly equates 'anarchy' with 'chaos' in post after post. I'm pretty sure that most people who consider themselves 'anarchists' are not aspiring to maximize the chaos in the world.
Quote
Anarchy is order without power. - Pierre-Joseph Proudhon
Sigh, again, I wrote
Quote
No, by anarchy I mean just the absence of a government and its "monopolistic" courts, police, etc.  I know that anarchists dream of an orderly and free society without government

BUT indeed I believe that anarchy, no matter how it starts, is unsustainable, and is quickly replaced by a government, internal or external; and, in the first case, often an authoritarian government, rather than a democratic one.



I think you just tried to redefine your position to something different from all the posts you made before that one here - but even if that is what you believe, then you still don't get the actual meaning of 'anarchy' as most anarchists use that word.  Anarchy is an intentional state that is achieved, not something that just 'happens when a government collapses, etc.'.

As far as the sustainability of an anarchic political equilibrium goes, you may well be right.  I have never seen any state reach a state of anarchy, as I understand it.  Communist governments ostensibly aspire to it, but I think it's clear that none has achieved any such thing so far - and I have never seen any nation with what I would consider a truly libertarian government, let alone an anarcho-libertarian one.


It could work if extracting the resources from the population cost more than the resources itself. Then the rulers will starve and disappear like vampires in sunlight.




513. Post 7749743 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: Asrael999 on July 09, 2014, 09:45:49 AM

Now what will Russia say? I wonder...
Nevertheless, it's a great thing, and 5000 places to buy isn't a small deal.

No but the Ukraine average annual salary is about $5000, so don't expect huge things

And the average Chinese salary was $2,100 in 2012. Average salary is such a vague measure to use to come to a conclusion that a new market won't have a net positive effect.



Get some facts right - the average Chinese Salary at the start of 2012 was CNY 42,452 - at the time USD 6,738
source
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/china/wages

and the population of the Ukraine is 1/30th that of China, 45million vs 1.35bn.

The income is probably somewhat relevant, but so is the number of Ukranians, and the savings rate they prefer after they discover the long time store of value property of bitcoins.



514. Post 7750396 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: YogoH on July 09, 2014, 10:47:46 AM
You guys are fucking crazy.  Bitcoin has gone from 10$ to 600$ in 2 years and you guys are sitting here bitching its not moving fast enough?


Just get it out of bitcoin now. You people don't deserve wealth.

It is mind work. It consist of stretching out on the sofa, occasionally go to the screen and enter to_da_moon, sometimes endure deep despair, some euforia. That is how we build the future of money. It deserves to be rewarded, and quickly.




515. Post 7750819 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: YogoH on July 09, 2014, 11:22:07 AM
You guys are fucking crazy.  Bitcoin has gone from 10$ to 600$ in 2 years and you guys are sitting here bitching its not moving fast enough?


Just get it out of bitcoin now. You people don't deserve wealth.

It is mind work. It consist of stretching out on the sofa, occasionally go to the screen and enter to_da_moon, sometimes endure deep despair, some euforia. That is how we build the future of money. It deserves to be rewarded, and quickly.



Look, I'm all for changing the world and improving mankind through technical innovations but just sitting on a forum bitching the price isn't making you rich by tomorrow is just greedy and not in the spirit of bitcoin at all. We must improve as a community as well as we improve the ecosystem as a whole.

Bitcoin price has been amazingly bullish as a whole. These price movements people bitch about are just static and noise. Go do something productive that adds value to the network instead of being an ungrateful leech. 

Also I'm on my phone so this formatting got ducked up.

For the common good - Heil Hitler!



516. Post 7752168 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: YogoH on July 09, 2014, 11:38:01 AM
You guys are fucking crazy.  Bitcoin has gone from 10$ to 600$ in 2 years and you guys are sitting here bitching its not moving fast enough?


Just get it out of bitcoin now. You people don't deserve wealth.

It is mind work. It consist of stretching out on the sofa, occasionally go to the screen and enter to_da_moon, sometimes endure deep despair, some euforia. That is how we build the future of money. It deserves to be rewarded, and quickly.



Look, I'm all for changing the world and improving mankind through technical innovations but just sitting on a forum bitching the price isn't making you rich by tomorrow is just greedy and not in the spirit of bitcoin at all. We must improve as a community as well as we improve the ecosystem as a whole.

Bitcoin price has been amazingly bullish as a whole. These price movements people bitch about are just static and noise. Go do something productive that adds value to the network instead of being an ungrateful leech. 

Also I'm on my phone so this formatting got ducked up.

For the common good - Heil Hitler!



Lol. The best thing  about bitcoin is that it's neutral. There is no face. It can and will be supported by all types of people. From terrorists to politicians to soccer mom's. Bitcoin doesn't care, and will do its job.

Yep. World money is desperately needed.



517. Post 7772992 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on July 10, 2014, 02:24:48 PM
Thailand just unbanned bitcoin

http://www.3-coin.com/2014-07-10/4301/

Okay, if they're really approving an exchange this is great news, but it has actually been unbanned before in Thailand. Many of the countries that had a rather strict stance on it before have since changed or at least softened their position.

Slowly backpedaling and then denying they ever fought it. Sounds like politicians.


I think every country will have to go through this sequence.



518. Post 7773905 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: BitchImightbe on July 10, 2014, 06:16:47 PM
C´mon BTC, do something  Undecided

Ehhh...

or maybe

Ah!



519. Post 7879706 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 13, 2014, 10:01:53 PM
germany  Grin
"Football is a game played by 22 players and in the end Germany wins"  Roll Eyes
Sorry -- why are you mentioning soccer? Was there a soccer championship somewhere recently?  And what is Germany?

The country with the most famous hyperinflation.



520. Post 7894725 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: molecular on July 17, 2014, 03:21:18 PM
muahahhaha, the worldbank found out the truth about bitcoin:



bitcoin is a "naturally occuring ponzi"


http://www.coindesk.com/world-bank-report-bitcoin-naturally-occurring-ponzi/


man those "naturally-occurring-central-bankers" are funny.... Cheesy



I used to say: "If Bitcoin fails (goes to 0), it was an accidental ponzi"

you have to give them some credit, it's not far from the truth

In a pyramid, it is clear to everybody that the game ends when the world runs out of suckers. They just underestimate the speed, they are not used to thinking in exponential functions. We do not have that, as we expect the value to basically flat out in the end.

Edit: Ponzi -> pyramid



521. Post 7894750 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on July 17, 2014, 03:17:20 PM
Lift off everywhere except for Stamp  Smiley Traders at Stamp has bought thousands of coins in the $610 area, but these same traders seem more or less uninterested in moving the price up above this level. Grin



Why should they? If they would snap up all selling pressure on this level, price would move up by other buyers...

Maybe I'm a bit too impatient. The breakout on the Chinese exchanges looks pretty solid and Finex is not looking too shabby either. I'm hoping for $628 and will be impressed if we go beyond.

We went past $628. I am officially impressed  Smiley

Come on bitstamp, you can do better!



522. Post 7896672 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: dgarcia on July 17, 2014, 05:35:14 PM
Atleast we are back to 630 and it didn't take big volume.

And what does this tell you?
That there is low volume and yep we don't have enought buyers.

Wrong. It tells us very few people are willing to sell at these prices.

Bullish and bearish view on a sidewards movement. Magnificent.

It tells us that a specific volume is not needed to change the price, because it is the considerations of the individuals, both potensial buyers and potensial sellers that counts. So if everybody think they are more valueable, they are. Small trades needed only to show this fact to the market.




523. Post 7897039 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: Voktar on July 17, 2014, 06:06:57 PM
you want to know how they will regulate Bitcoin in NY state ? http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2aycxs/hi_this_is_ben_lawsky_at_nydfs_here_are_the/cizyqyz

Entities are considered dealing in virtual currencies if:
They transfer Bitcoins on behalf of one person. This includes Bitcoin tipping (/u/changetip), mixers, Blockchain.info Send Shared, CoinJoin, Dark Wallet (200.2n1)
They hold or have control over Bitcoins for their users. This includes Mining pools, Coinbase, Circle, Greenaddress.it, all exchanges. (200.2n2)
They buy or sell Bitcoins as a business activity. This includes Local Bitcoins sellers, #bitcoin-otc. FinCEN statements includes selling physical coinage (including casascius coins) also regulated. (200.2n3)
They create a virtual currency, even if it is decentralized. This includes creating altcoins. In fact, Satoshi would have commited a crime creating Bitcoin without registration. (200.2n5)
They trade any virtual currency, even for another virtual currency. This includes alt coin exchanges. Mintpal, Cryptsy, BTER, etc (200.2n4)
.. to any resident in New York. Web services, even those incorporated overseas, must either comply or block access for NY users. (200.2n)
Entities 'dealing in virtual currency' must:
Perform AML and collect identities, including verification of government issued Photo ID and proof of address, and retain these information for 10 years. (200.15a)
Retain all transaction logs for 10 years, including real name & physical addresses of ALL parties of a transaction - yes, including whoever you are sending to. (200.12a1)
Report all transactions over the USD value of $3000, and file Suspicious Activity Reports. (200.15g4)
Maintain collateral in the form of USD, including collateral for Bitcoin balances. The % as collateral is unspecified.
Retained earnings and profits of in invested in US dollars. They may not keep any profit in Bitcoin. (200.8b)
Forfeit Bitcoins that are inactive for over 5 years to the State of New York - (200.12c)
Not obfuscate any transactions - Bitcoin mixing would be illegal. (200.15f)



Interesting: now these people who creates altcoin would be committing a crime, even satoshi committed a crime following this logic. and NY wants to take your coins, so you wont be able to use your coins as a saving method ? yea so bad news for hodlers.


this is the whole document if you want to read it http://www.dfs.ny.gov/about/press2014/pr1407171-vc.pdf

Committing a crime?

You are describing these regulation news as negative, are you shorting Bitcoin by the way? Just kidding Wink

These type of regulations are pretty common in the financial world when companies are in charge of customers funds, this is GOOD for Bitcoin: no more Mt.GOXes, only serious players are allowed now.

Bullish news Wink

No more Ponzies, except Madoff. No more scams, except MF Global. No more bank collapses, except Lehman. No more money laundering, except HSBC. No more market manipulations, except LIBOR, gold...



524. Post 7898992 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: mmitech on July 17, 2014, 07:04:10 PM
you want to know how they will regulate Bitcoin in NY state ? http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2aycxs/hi_this_is_ben_lawsky_at_nydfs_here_are_the/cizyqyz

Entities are considered dealing in virtual currencies if:
They transfer Bitcoins on behalf of one person. This includes Bitcoin tipping (/u/changetip), mixers, Blockchain.info Send Shared, CoinJoin, Dark Wallet (200.2n1)
They hold or have control over Bitcoins for their users. This includes Mining pools, Coinbase, Circle, Greenaddress.it, all exchanges. (200.2n2)
They buy or sell Bitcoins as a business activity. This includes Local Bitcoins sellers, #bitcoin-otc. FinCEN statements includes selling physical coinage (including casascius coins) also regulated. (200.2n3)
They create a virtual currency, even if it is decentralized. This includes creating altcoins. In fact, Satoshi would have commited a crime creating Bitcoin without registration. (200.2n5)
They trade any virtual currency, even for another virtual currency. This includes alt coin exchanges. Mintpal, Cryptsy, BTER, etc (200.2n4)
.. to any resident in New York. Web services, even those incorporated overseas, must either comply or block access for NY users. (200.2n)
Entities 'dealing in virtual currency' must:
Perform AML and collect identities, including verification of government issued Photo ID and proof of address, and retain these information for 10 years. (200.15a)
Retain all transaction logs for 10 years, including real name & physical addresses of ALL parties of a transaction - yes, including whoever you are sending to. (200.12a1)
Report all transactions over the USD value of $3000, and file Suspicious Activity Reports. (200.15g4)
Maintain collateral in the form of USD, including collateral for Bitcoin balances. The % as collateral is unspecified.
Retained earnings and profits of in invested in US dollars. They may not keep any profit in Bitcoin. (200.8b)
Forfeit Bitcoins that are inactive for over 5 years to the State of New York - (200.12c)
Not obfuscate any transactions - Bitcoin mixing would be illegal. (200.15f)



Interesting: now these people who creates altcoin would be committing a crime, even satoshi committed a crime following this logic. and NY wants to take your coins, so you wont be able to use your coins as a saving method ? yea so bad news for hodlers.


this is the whole document if you want to read it http://www.dfs.ny.gov/about/press2014/pr1407171-vc.pdf

Easy solution? Incorporate outside of the US and give them the middle finger. Americans always think their laws apply outside of the US.

the problem is that most likely the other states will follow the same path, Businesses in EU will have a big problem serving US customers, at the end they will have to ban US customers if the hassle is too much for them.

Why do they have to ban them? because the US says so ... bitch please. Non American who are not in America do not have to follow US laws. You can make laws to attack the US customers of these businesses though. Good luck Wink

you have no clue about how the US government operate outside their borders, a sad fact but if US had a different tolerant policy toward others the world would be a better place and not as we see today.

They can do things, because they have a bowling ball grip on everybody through the dollar and international payments. But, they have to hurry to exploit it, and the more they exploit it, the bigger risk of alternatives cropping up. The heat is on.




525. Post 7913903 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Once it was about nowhere to use your coins. Now, with lots of merchants, it seems to be that noone has coins to use. Well, nowhere was it said that these things have to move in lockstep.



526. Post 7926403 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: techman on July 19, 2014, 05:53:06 PM
When will be 700$ ? Sad before new year? What do you think?

In stead of asking, form your own opinion, say it here with the reasoning behind it.

Here is an example: Based on the number of people just asking what the price will be and when, knowing that there are different opinions and at best they will get all possible answers, I can say that the prospected rise of bitcoin due to the network effect is severely hyped up, and will lead to not a steady rise but bubbles, burns, crashes, euphoria, suffering, despair. When? At all times. Smiley



527. Post 7935297 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on July 20, 2014, 02:35:50 AM
When will be 700$ ? Sad before new year? What do you think?

In stead of asking, form your own opinion, say it here with the reasoning behind it.

Here is an example: Based on the number of people just asking what the price will be and when, knowing that there are different opinions and at best they will get all possible answers, I can say that the prospected rise of bitcoin due to the network effect is severely hyped up, and will lead to not a steady rise but bubbles, burns, crashes, euphoria, suffering, despair. When? At all times. Smiley


I agree with you Erdogan that this kind of volatility is likely to continue with BTC when BTC reaches 1 trillion market cap, and it may continue beyond that, when BTC reaches 10 trillion and 100 trillion market cap.  Once BTC reaches these higher market caps in the trillions, though, it will be much more difficult to manipulate it.

It will never be completely stable. The idea that the current money is stable is an illusion also. The important thing is that the money issuers now can manipulate, this makes long time planning impossible. With bitcoin, everybody can, if they want, try to see what is coming and take action. Those who don't want, can just assume that the value will hold or slightly increase, and they will be correct in the long term. This is a huge improvement.



528. Post 7935425 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 20, 2014, 02:07:52 AM
if you have a fully verified coin base account that is. SO GET SPENDING. Even if you pay USD go USD to BTC to buy... it's actually cheaper that way.
How do you send USD to Coinbase/exchange/Bitpay/whatever, and what do they send to Dell -- USD, or BTC?  If USD, how do they send it?


This appears to be one of those basic retarded questions of yours that could easily be answered by yourself, if you were to buy and use bitcoins then you would possibly realize how to use them.  Of course, the customers pay in bitcoin, and then if Dell wants to convert them to fiat after the transaction, they have that fiat conversion option.
And that is the (non)answer that I get whenever I ask that question in this forum. I had to ask the same person three times (on another thread), before he understood the question (and answered it for only one special case).

You don't really ask a question. It is your convoluted way of proposing that the trades don't make any difference.

Your proposition is wrong. It is correct that only the holding of bitcoins  give them value. A trade only transfers the ownership of bitcoins, but at all times, someone must hold them. So if a trade is only a swift roundabout through bitpay and merchant and the coins immediately come back to the customer, that doesn't do much to the value. But eventually, frantically going to the exchange, sell, then rebuy when the next need arises, will appear as a bad idea, because holding them for a while is low risk and there is no value depreviation. Therefore, all transient users will eventually be converted to holders.



529. Post 7935430 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on July 19, 2014, 09:55:23 PM
It's a closing pennant pattern. July 24 to August 1, I say. But I may BULL-shit you, as I usually do... Grin

There is to much bull on this forum. It has become unbearable. 

[...]

Nice



530. Post 7941650 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Hey, we have a 2 hr high. Not ATH, but it is something.



531. Post 7941739 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: FUR11 on July 20, 2014, 07:55:22 PM
Hey, we have a 2 hr high. Not ATH, but it is something.


We're on our way up the $5-10 corridor now, only to bounce back after we reach $629 I guess. Although it is Sunday night so we might see some surprise rallye. Prepare for another week of uncertainty in Bitcoinland :/

Yeah we could have a repeat (due to new users) of the weekend-dip-no-shit-not-this-weekend-better-buy-back-in.



532. Post 7943885 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

626 is 1 12 hr high. Is it the ignition?




533. Post 7955739 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Jorge, what is so fantastic about reals? To buy a dell computer, they either have to be converted to usd by you, or by dell just after the trade. If you buy locally, the local merchant has the same two options.

In a world with different types of money, you just have to convert sometimes. That's why we need Keynes' bancor. (joke).



534. Post 7976038 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: empowering on July 22, 2014, 04:52:44 PM
just going to pop this here :  http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/07/22/uk-argentina-debt-negotiation-analysis-idUKKBN0FR16M20140722

I wonder, since Argentinians use USD for real estate trades, will it even be possible to have a local currency in Argentina after the next hyperinflation?




535. Post 7986877 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 23, 2014, 11:51:01 AM
Quote from: Jorge_Stolfi
(3) Bitcoin's only intrinsic value is its utility as a method of payment.  Its value as an investment depends entirely on that utility.
No, this is not true. A significant portion of bitcoin value comes from its utility as a storage of value: an asset that is scarce, non-confiscatable, exceptionally carriable (cf. gold), pseudonymous, uncorrelated to any traditional asset, and more.
Those properties do not suffice to make an asset into a reliable store of value. (The last one is in fact a defect.)
Yes they do.
No they don't.  
Not this BS again.

1oz gold is 1oz gold is 1oz gold. Its value is not pegged to anything.

Also read "Rai stones" on wikipedia

For alt-coins, bitcoin is better than alt-coins because of its novelty. You may have 1000 bitcoin clones, but Bitcoin is always the FIRST successful cryptocurrency.
Sigh. JUST LOOK AT THE CHARTS.

The "power of the network" is important for a cryptocoin's utility as a currency. IF BITCOIN IS NOT GOING TO BE USED AS A CURRENCY its network is as good as dogecoin's, or as the UN Agency for Plutonian Development.  if the market price of an item is not derived from some utilitarian demand, and there is no agent that strives to keep it stable, it can drop drastically and unpredictably, even without any external cause.

Gold is a good example of that (Its price already dropped 30% from its all-time high last year, and nothing says that it could not drop another 50%), as is bitcoin (50%) and Rai stones (how much would you invest in one?).  

It does not matter that the item is scarce etc.  You cannot compute the value of gold five years from now, not even by an order of magnitude, from the amount that exists and its other properties. An item whose future value is unpredictable is a lousy store of value.

Gold can go up or down in value (as expressed in the inverse goods prices in gold)

Bitcoin can go up and down in value (as expressed in the inverse goods prices in bitcoin)

National fiat money can go down in value (as expressed in the inverse goods prices in that fiat money). They can not go up. I am sure someone will try again in the heat of a crisis, but the pain inflicted on businesses will stop them and reengage in inflation. Nobody cares about the savers and the pensioners.

USD is the same as a national currency, except that in usd there can be a longer period of deflation due to its international usage. Eventually, usd will also go down in value.

There is no stable form of money, and there can not ever be. Only a degree of stability can be obtained.



536. Post 7987174 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: empowering on July 23, 2014, 02:39:37 PM
That would be nice. But that's not the way of the world or life on it. Life's not fair and not everyone gets what they deserve.

I'm sorry if you think that life hasn't been fair to you. I see the world in a different spiritual perspective, where our karma reaches beyond our present lives.


Here's your opening, BitChick.  Finally, someone, if you count Pumpkinhead as someone, wants to talk about religion.

I guess I fell asleep too early. Wink

Here is a verse for you all: Ecclesiastes 7:16 Do not be over righteous, neither be over wise-- why destroy yourself?  That is something to ponder.  I really like that verse.  Especially because I grew up in a somewhat legalistic environment and realized early on that perfection is impossible to attain.

Basically, most religions are about karma or doing good to earn something.  Fortunately, following Christ is not about that.  It is about realizing we can never be righteous on our own and letting Him change us from the inside out.

I will stop now though.   Grin


A wise man once said "all that pizza is cold"

(please tell me someone gets that)

It's not all that glitters is gold. Wink

Not that I listen to Bob Marley much though. . .

Maybe you should --- more spirit in his words than in any religion on the face of this green and blue home of ours. imho

But he hailed Haile Selassie. A tyrant is ok, as long as he is a black tyrant. Yeah, right.



537. Post 8003638 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 24, 2014, 02:10:47 PM
I'm buying a few more BTC. I think good time to buy if you have some dry powder.

i would

but virtex hardly flinched, and now seem stamps is recovering quickly, catching cheap coins is harder than it looks.

With the high cost of servants, white horses, oysters, caviar and silk gloves nowadays, how can anyone afford to buy more?



538. Post 8008286 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: BitChick on July 24, 2014, 03:51:05 PM
BitchicksHusband might even chime in but he is speaking at a Christian youth camp this week.
We live in a world where people can openly brag about child abuse with no expectation of being called out on it.

Is it abuse to tell kids that they have great value regardless of what others say?  The main message of the camp was how to love yourself, love others and love God.  That is abuse somehow?  But you would probably be totally fine with a bunch of kids smoking something.

Born sinful? Without rights, unless given to you?



539. Post 8027117 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: madian on July 25, 2014, 05:59:28 PM
What if it breaks?  Huh  Cry
What are the generally accepted long term channels at the moment?

It is generally accepted that you should never sell your bitcoins for anything less than a price, which is multiple times of the ATH of the prior boom.

- If Bitcoin is in its growth channel, and you panic sell in the bottom, it will cost you most of your bitcoins when you panic buy at 5-20x higher after realizing you were wrong. (If you panic buy threshold is lower, you end up always buying high and selling low, and diluting your holdings.)

- If it it destroyed, you have no way knowing it and being able to salvage the high point of your value. Salvaging a low point, is meaningless when the same outcome in fiat terms can be achieved by selling a few %-points more in the previous boom.

this community lives in dreams just because of people full of shit like you, of course you sold most of your Bitcoins to buy a "castle" and fill your account but you tell others to don't, what a dick head.

What the hell happened to you too? You used to have spot on predictions and gut feelings and I enjoyed reading most of your comments. Now you're just following risto to discredit him any occasion you get. I get it, you strongly dislike the man, and I'm not fond of him either but now you sound like the dark crypto offspring of Bitchick and Stolfi. One wants to save me from my sins, the other wants to save the world from itself. You wanna save people from... idiots with bitcoin bought castles?

He traded to much with the bitcoins, not knowing that the price of bitcoin can be predicted neither by technicals nor by fundamentals. With leverage, everything can be lost in a day. So he has no more coins. Well that is my guess anyway.



540. Post 8027241 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Risto's thread is good, because he makes sure it's on topic and deletes stupid stuff. But I like this thread because it has everything, and is alive when bitcoin does nothing.



541. Post 8027321 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 25, 2014, 10:53:19 PM
Mmitech keep hodling more than 2000 posts, he is a f*cking whale, if he dumps we are lost.

He´s not the dumptard... how could else be? Fonzie? Strolfi?
Not me!


At least you have the pages!



542. Post 8029019 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 26, 2014, 12:04:29 AM
I think Ecuador’s central bank might be coming out with an altcoin soon, they legislated the monopolization of "electronic currency"

EcuadorCoin, A good pump and dump to watch for  Grin

read all about it!

They plan to develop the thing by themselves - I predict a glorious IT project failure.

(If they can make the software and start the coin, I predict a failure of demand for the coin).



543. Post 8029079 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Some people are eager to rid themselves of the supernode status.



544. Post 8032377 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 26, 2014, 02:17:15 AM
I think Ecuador’s central bank might be coming out with an altcoin soon, they legislated the monopolization of "electronic currency"

EcuadorCoin, A good pump and dump to watch for  Grin

read all about it!

They plan to develop the thing by themselves - I predict a glorious IT project failure.

(If they can make the software and start the coin, I predict a failure of demand for the coin).
From what I uderstood of those news, they won't even think of competing with bitcoin or other cryptocoins.  And vice-versa, there will be no space for cryptos in Ecuador.  And unless they really botch it up, people will use their coin because it will be cheaper than other payment methods AND much faster than bitcoin payments.

The only purpose of the blockchain, miner network, and associated cryptocoin paraphernalia is to get rid of the bank as trusted intermediary and manager of the account ledger.  Since their coin will be managed and intermediated by their federal bank, the only part of the cryptocoin idea that is of any use to them is the public-key signing of the "digital checks", with offline generation of private and public keys.  

However it is quite possible that the Ecuador law was pushed by some company who expects to be the monopolistic manager of that coin.  That would be a move very much in the style of Brock Pierce.  

Indeed, since 2000 Ecuador's official currency is the US dollar.  So the "Ecuadorcoin" may well be a pilot implementation of Pierce's Realcoin...   Tongue

You mean they will compete, but in the competition they will used physical force in violence of human rights. You like that, it is your style. They will still lose in that competition.






545. Post 8032440 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: kireinaha on July 26, 2014, 06:11:36 AM
Starting to look like 2014 will be the worst year for bitcoin ever...

Walls are getting pulled
from 2.5k coins to 590 to 200 coins...

Even if we stay at current levels for the rest of the year, it wouldn't be the worst year ever

bitcoin has never concluded a 12 month period at a lower price. if we reach Novemeber and are still at this price level, even I'm giving up on it. because it would be clear at that point that it's over: world changing innovations don't just stall for a year for no clear reason.

Whats so special with time intervals of 365 1/4 days?




546. Post 8033850 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on July 26, 2014, 09:44:04 AM
you won't buy bitcoin but you'll buy government issued Ecuadorcoin wouldn't you Jorge...
As I said, I will use bitcoin if I find that it is better (considering cost, speed, convenience, safety, etc.) for payments than other alternatives.  Ditto for an eventual "Brazilcoin" or any other method that may come up.

All things considered, bitcoin does not pass that test for me. 

Sounds like Jorge is warming up a little to BTC... NOT a lot, but a little.   Cheesy    Wink

We have some vendor adoption, but, there will come a time when you can not buy anything unless you are willing to part with some bitcoins. We are starting from a very low level, but don't underestimate the power of the exponential function.



547. Post 8039574 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Last week 620, then 605, then 600, then 590... looks bullish to me!



548. Post 8041309 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Funny - we are not worrying about bubbles forming - we wait for them and long for them. Wait - that's just what wall street does!



549. Post 8049412 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

The MtGox crash was an enormously beneficial event, because it illustrates perfectly the policy of the central bank of bitcoin: keep the money supply fixed whatever happens.



550. Post 8049441 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

And guys (and girls if you take responsibility for yourselves and not glue yourself around the foot of someone): Everybody should know about http://nakamotoinstitute.org.

Hyperbitcoinization - thats a new one.



551. Post 8053026 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Fresh minutes from the BCB:

1) No QE, despite pressure on bitcoin exchange rate to most currencies.

2) The benchmark interest rate is set to float, in fact there is no benchmark interest rate.

3) The BCB foreign currency reserves, which consist of a bucket of foreign currencies the world trades with over the borders, stays at zero.

4) The president declared that the dual responsibilities of the BCB, low inflation and low involuntary unemployment, have been abolished.

5) The president has resigned, as there is nothing more to do.




552. Post 8053060 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

And the End-The-BCB movement is happy and have packed their stuff and gone home.



553. Post 8072061 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Houston, we are ready to ignite the third stage....



554. Post 8132676 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Breakout over 190 means 3 days high.



555. Post 8134222 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Stocks and bonds down at the same time. Cool.



556. Post 8172405 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: lolbtc on August 03, 2014, 10:57:44 PM
they steal LOL

they steal what ? You are rich because french are heavy consumers, because they re educated.
You are not rich but you have a free education. Quality education, how the fugg they steal you ?

ALL IS LINKED. BUTTERFLY EFFECT


ÉTIENNE DE LA BOÉTIE:

"Roman tyrants . . . provided the city wards with feasts to
cajole the rabble. . . . Tyrants would distribute largesse, a
bushel of wheat, a gallon of wine, and a sesterce: and then
everybody would shamelessly cry, “Long live the King!”
The fools did not realize that they were merely recovering
a portion of their own property, and that their ruler could
not have given them what they were receiving without hav-
ing first taken it from them
. A man might one day be pre-
sented with a sesterce and gorge himself at the public feast,
lauding Tiberius and Nero for handsome liberality, who on
the morrow, would be forced to abandon his property to
their avarice, his children to their lust, his very blood to the
cruelty of these magnificent emperors, without offering any
more resistance than a stone or a tree stump. The mob has
always behaved in this way—eagerly open to bribes. . . ."

https://mises.org/rothbard/boetie.pdf



557. Post 8196791 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

What I wonder, with these multiple hundred coin dumps: Where do they get them from? Do they print them?  Sad



558. Post 8211641 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: lyth0s on August 05, 2014, 05:01:32 PM
Can someone please explain the significance of BTC-E being > Bitstamp?

Unfounded speculation: Someone has tried to buy bitcoins with a large stash of fiat the latest days, and is frustrated how quickly the price rises as a consequence (maybe selling again, to try another angle). So, since bitstamp is currently the reference (although not the largest) bourse, the current strategy is to buy at other bourses to delay the effect of that buying.



559. Post 8212452 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Huobi now 6 $ higher than stamp, if you can trust the yuan/dollar conversion used on bitcoinwisdom.



560. Post 8213142 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: lay785 on August 06, 2014, 12:33:25 PM
Huobi now 6 $ higher than stamp, if you can trust the yuan/dollar conversion used on bitcoinwisdom.
Bitcoinwisdom says they get the conversion rate from some public source every day.  But arbitragers have their own rate, which presumably depends on withdrawal fees etc.
You'd think 1.3% difference would be enough to entice arbitragers Huh

Shit, i didn't compute the difference. It is not much.



561. Post 8214176 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: Valerian77 on August 06, 2014, 01:17:24 PM
I need to buy me a car and a new PC

price better fucking go up soon Angry Grin

Same here

Instead of betting on ponzi scheme development of Bitcoin you should start some business accepting Bitcoin.

The don't dig gold, sell them spades, strategy.

No, this time is different.



562. Post 8247293 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

We need 10% per week or about $60, or about $10 a day to conclude that the expected pre-bubble has started.



563. Post 8329886 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

If this is a dump of the ethereum investment, someone is going to lose. Is it ethereum, or is it the investors dumping coins via bitpay?



564. Post 8329944 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: Krabby on August 13, 2014, 12:56:23 PM
What a way to celebrate 8000

9000 at 9000!



565. Post 8417415 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: abercrombie on August 18, 2014, 01:48:26 PM
when crypto traders begin flinging themselves out of windows from their parent's basement, that's capitulation.

 Smiley Lucky we don't reside in top floor offices!



566. Post 8466040 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: fonzie on August 20, 2014, 10:03:36 PM
mimimiitech, newbie, wandererfromthenorth, quick put in some shorts or you will miss the cash train when BTC goes to 100$.

.. if they still have anything to sell.



567. Post 8514998 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Waiting for the next leg up...



568. Post 8515096 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Momentum buyers, time to step in!



569. Post 8515199 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: exocytosis on August 24, 2014, 05:46:29 PM
Oh no, we're going up again! We can't allow this to go on! We need to get down to sub-400 to shake out more weak hands first!

I suppose the ones having more faith in fiat are happy (with their fiat in hand).



570. Post 8525943 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

What the fuck is a capitulation? Everybody crushing their hard disks with keys?



571. Post 8568769 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

We are faling.Help!



572. Post 8582661 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Time to eat those ask walls.



573. Post 8634761 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: esse83 on September 01, 2014, 09:52:36 PM
... Always wondered why hodlers hang out in speculation.. makes no sense. What do they care, they will never participate in price discovery.

Hmm. Should I tell the statist guy in the office to the left about bitcoin? No, let him rot. My friend in the office on the right? Maybe, but it takes a lot of work, starting from the question: I heard IS use bitcoin to do their evil thing. The young guy down the isle? No, he really does not need money, he would prefer to be paid in gasoline and beer. Should I give some millibitcoins to Wikileaks? To OpenBazar? Maybe, their project looks promising. Let me just calculate how much, percentage wise, a donation will take me back...shit, my calculator does not have enough digits.

Hard questions, have to think about it for a while. Back to bitcointalk and the walls.





574. Post 8635033 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: Le Happy Merchant on September 02, 2014, 06:13:03 AM
that is possible when your atoms (or what is left of you in atoms) are about when the heat death of ther universe happens ..they may well
be the last to vibrate! (good to have goals)

Searing


I was put in solitary confinement for insanity, and the voices I heard made me promise to be the last moving thing in the universe so that my death would mark the beginning of the fourth dimensional universe.

Nobody will be left out of heaven. I promise.

And then, slowly and unnoticeably, all your atoms were replaced.




575. Post 8641187 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Don't screem, don't clap your hands, breathe carefully. Else it might fall down.



576. Post 8643465 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: ChancellorOnABrink on September 02, 2014, 05:35:55 PM
True but a sleeping chinese buy more bitcoin than EU awake Smiley

om nom nom nom the 2950 wall

This guy dumped 200 coins last night. At least, it is possible.



577. Post 8679937 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: spooderman on September 04, 2014, 11:46:43 PM
Obvious troll is becoming obvious.

It is a student question automaton. The purpose is, by means of automation, to support the students in their quest to understand bitcoin, and a test to make sure they can answer all expression of doubt with adequate clarity.

As new and ever greater waves of students enter with the passing of time, the learning starts on the base level, with the same problems. The automaton saves time that otherwise would have to be expended from the hodlers. Of course, should a student go astray, the real teacher's are only a click away, scanning the messages boards while simultaniously staring at bitcoinwisdom.

The propositions the students have to adequately refute, are presented in a round robin manner. Note that there are some inconsistencies, and there is some truthiness to some of them. This is just to sharpen the brain of the students. Here is the list (reading it before exams constitutes fraud):

It's a ponzi.

It's a pyramid.

There is no intrinsic value.

There is intrinsic value.

Transactions are expensive.

It's unsecure

It's not needed.

Price will go to 10

Killed by governments

You need a big company

Governments work as specified.

You are not supposed to be free.

They can be produced infinitely using alternative chains

It's not anonymous

Used for drugs

Its too volatile

It is not a unit of account

Nobody can understand bitcoin

There should be a bitcoin central bank

There should be a different coin in each country

When you trade using bitcoin, you have to convert currency trice

ISIS use them

gold is the only money

Nobody can afford a bitcoin

Mining monopoly will kill it

Mining is too expensive

There is no backing

There is no redemption

You can not eat bitcoin

The world is unfair

Rich people should never be allowed to decide where the factory should be located.

Girls use bitcoin

Bitcoin can run on solar power

An asteroide will hit the earth.

I should not go to bed now







578. Post 8683261 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on September 05, 2014, 03:03:36 AM
700BTC buy in finex.

I feel pretty confident. Thank fuck I took in a long position yesterday at $465.



Looks like net=0 on that. Sell of 683 followed by a Buy of 683. Unlikely its just a coincidence.


Why would anyone sell at 691 and then buy at 697... unless they thought that there deliberate dump did NOT work, and they were going to miss the train?... but looks way too soon in time (only 2 minutes between the sell and the buy)

It does not have to be one selling and then buying.

It could be the same guy selling in both thrades, alternatively, the same guy buying. When you sell, you have the choice to accept an offer or place an offer that is later accepted by someone else. It is quite common for a trader to buy or sell the same quantity repeatedly. It is even common to identify the trades with odd numbers, like repeatedly buying f.ex 1.0035 BTC. It is the same with shares of equity. It could be a secret language between traders. Culture, in other words.



579. Post 8683402 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: cbeast on September 05, 2014, 04:56:03 AM
If you go to a bank and take out money to buy a car, then when you buy the car you find out the money is counterfeit? What do you do?

By the way, the place to buy fake banknotes is the dark web, apparently. See for instance
http://qkj4drtgvpm7eecl.onion/

They have no fake bitcoins.

But wait.... <fill in your preferred altcoin>




580. Post 8683445 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on September 05, 2014, 05:12:45 AM
I watched the video yesterday.  Yes, it is a very nice presentation.  

It's good that he avoids the exaggerated sales hype of most bitcoin enthusiasts.  However it seems he has been listening from one ear only, as he barely mentions some of the problems, or omits them altogether.  Like the impossibility of correcting mistakes or thefts.  

But, well, you can't expect an old man to properly understand such a new thing, can you?  Wink

At one point he says that bitcoin is great because it has no rich bankers buying out government.  Is he aware of KnC buying their way into the Bitcoin Foundation, and "electing" their investor/friend Brock Pierce to the board of directors?



He is an old man but it is not right to say that he does not properly understand bitcoin. This guy gave a 1 hour plus lecture on bitcoin. Try doing that if one does not know about the subject.

If you think that you can offer a more balance view and you know more than him, try doing a video or at least write a paper to present your case? It would be more helpful than giving comments which are often IMHO distractions from the main subject.


Whether Jorge is a professor or NOT, he has already demonstrated in his nearly 4,000 posts here that he is more than capable of stringing along a series of irrelevant points and building upon them to the extent to which they begin to seem almost relevant.  In other words, I would NOT mix up quantity with quality, and Jorge surely seems to be capable of producing quantity.. He could probably carry out a 24 hour marathon series of presentation of irrelevance, just to prove the point that he is NOT at a loss of words and that he is UP to the challenge to show his presentation prowess (problem will be to recognize whether there is anything meaningful related to BTC contained therein).







I did some research and seems Jorge Stolfi is a University level professor and researcher in computer science.

He een has a wikipedia page for him:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jorge_Stolfi

Considering his account is not a fake one, would be interesting see his technical opinions about the bitcoin protocol, but he keeps acting like an academic version of the fallllling guy. Sad






The reason that I referred to Jorge's "professor" status in a snarky way is because it does (and should) NOT matter whether one is a professor or a snotty nosed 5 year old in order to post decent ideas in this forum.  So it is an irrelevant distraction at best or an inappropriate attempt to appeal to authority in distracting people into giving him more credibility than he deserves.  In essence, it should NOT matter, too much, whether he is who he claims to be.

In other words, the ideas of his posts should stand on their own, without any need to appeal to authority, and surely some people build their credibility in these kinds of forums through their various past posts.

Don't get me wrong b/c I believe that every once in a while Jorge brings up good points and has fair and reasoned input... and other times Jorge, like any troll, can add some interesting entertainment value to the thread; however, his frequent misrepresentations (and sometimes appearing to be purposeful) actually undermines, in my thinking, the value of his other once in a while decent posts.  In this regard, sometimes we, as posters, become so Jorge distracted that we either fail or neglect to adequately address or even to recognize other areas in which we could be more meaningfully focusing our energies towards bitcoin evangelism, marketing and/or other improvements.

By the way, Evangelism means to spread the good word about bitcoin - which is NOT necessarily based on religious or cultist adherence, even though the word, evangelism, is frequently associated in such religious contexts.



In the beginning, he displayed his credentials rather prominently in his posts. Using the scientific method, I can therefore prove that it is not certain that he learned about bitcoin first, the internet next.



581. Post 8685225 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 05, 2014, 11:18:36 AM
In the beginning, he displayed his credentials rather prominently in his posts. Using the scientific method, I can therefore prove that it is not certain that he learned about bitcoin first, the internet next.

Not true. I used my real name, but it took maybe a month or more before people here bothered to check who I was.

If so, I was wrong.



582. Post 8685544 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: empowering on September 05, 2014, 11:20:37 AM
Obvious troll is becoming obvious.

It is a student question automaton. The purpose is, by means of automation, to support the students in their quest to understand bitcoin, and a test to make sure they can answer all expression of doubt with adequate clarity.

As new and ever greater waves of students enter with the passing of time, the learning starts on the base level, with the same problems. The automaton saves time that otherwise would have to be expended from the hodlers. Of course, should a student go astray, the real teacher's are only a click away, scanning the messages boards while simultaniously staring at bitcoinwisdom.

The propositions the students have to adequately refute, are presented in a round robin manner. Note that there are some inconsistencies, and there is some truthiness to some of them. This is just to sharpen the brain of the students. Here is the list (reading it before exams constitutes fraud):

It's a ponzi.

It's a pyramid.

There is no intrinsic value.

There is intrinsic value.

Transactions are expensive.

It's unsecure

It's not needed.

Price will go to 10

Killed by governments

You need a big company

Governments work as specified.

You are not supposed to be free.

They can be produced infinitely using alternative chains

It's not anonymous

Used for drugs

Its too volatile

It is not a unit of account

Nobody can understand bitcoin

There should be a bitcoin central bank

There should be a different coin in each country

When you trade using bitcoin, you have to convert currency trice

ISIS use them

gold is the only money

Nobody can afford a bitcoin

Mining monopoly will kill it

Mining is too expensive

There is no backing

There is no redemption

You can not eat bitcoin

The world is unfair

Rich people should never be allowed to decide where the factory should be located.

Girls use bitcoin

Bitcoin can run on solar power

An asteroide will hit the earth.

I should not go to bed now







 Cheesy  

and "truthiness" brilliant word.

(if you watch this show....... and I hope that you do)

I do, sometimes.



583. Post 8703464 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on September 05, 2014, 08:04:56 PM
480 is being defended by 10,000 spartans commanding 30,000 free greeks!  WOOT! WOOT!

  Cheesy

My only hope now is if all the chinese awake in 4h, eat their baozi and start buying like crazy

Careful mentioning the chinese, you might wake the megatroll.




584. Post 8704788 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 06, 2014, 06:55:51 PM
Our favorite crazy crypto anarchist girl on alex jones's InfoWars



Alex Jones starting to get it. Bullish! - so we probably go down!



585. Post 8726154 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

So now stamp is ten dollars below huobi, wtf?

The world has turned upside down, which, incidentally, is the same as normal, since we live on a globe where down is to the center.



586. Post 8766361 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

"no later than next week" (which is this week) is now the top vote, while "end of month" was top until now. Really guys, is trending all you can do?




587. Post 8789676 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: inca on September 11, 2014, 10:10:54 PM
Ragnar- one of the few newbies not on my ignore list  Cheesy

Careful.  He (Ragnar/Fallling) is garnering your trust.  Once your defenses are down, he'll betray you in a dramatic true-believer-realizing-he's-been-duped about-face.

Treacherous, these trolls Angry

I'd much prefer that to bitcoin_is_a_mirages approach, which is just plain boring.


I don't know, i chuckled reading about Warren Buffer.



Just waiting for the Warren Buffer stack overflow.



588. Post 8850513 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

They? They are us, stupid!



589. Post 8861422 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 17, 2014, 02:28:08 PM
There is no manipulation people. Blitz, our mod, said so. This is totally natural market behaviour.

lol manipulation IS natural market behaviour.

Thank god for no distortion by coercion. Let the markets rave!



590. Post 8872622 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Will I be depressed, will I be poor? Yes, apparently. Que sera, sera.



591. Post 8872671 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

This story is noteworthy, because the merchant chose to just use its own wallet. It means they are confident they can get rid of the coins when needed, and have a plan for the accounting.

"Medical Marijuana Dispensary Becomes Canada’s First to Accept Bitcoin"

http://www.coindesk.com/medical-marijuana-dispensary-canada-first-bitcoin/




592. Post 8874634 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: magicmexican on September 18, 2014, 01:41:03 PM
I guess everyone is having the same question in mind - will the 0$ hold?

Yes, without a central bank, it will hold.  Smiley



593. Post 8876598 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Here is my predictions:

If we go to the 300's, we may go to zero.
If 300 holds, we may not go to zero.
If we go to 0, we may or may not go up again.
Price will almost always be lower than ATH
If we go to 2000, we may go to 1000000, else not.
Medium term means any point in the future, near or distant, or never.
If the Internet disappears, we must revert to one of the many historical networks, or invent another.
If electricity disappears, the universe will also disappear.
If the world as we know it disappears, we will have a world that we don't yet know.
If humanity disappears, none of this will matter.




594. Post 8876709 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Tzupy on September 18, 2014, 04:42:09 PM
Here is my predictions:

If we go to the 300's, we may go to zero.
If 300 holds, we may not go to zero.
If we go to 0, we may or may not go up again.
Price will almost always be lower than ATH
If we go to 2000, we may go to 1000000, else not.
Medium term means any point in the future, near or distant, or never.
If the Internet disappears, we must revert to one of the many historical networks, or invent another.
If electricity disappears, the universe will also disappear.
If the world as we know it disappears, we will have a world that we don't yet know.
If humanity disappears, none of this will matter.


This is the kind of prediction that could drive you to sell close to the bottom.

You probably remember I am a holder. If we go to 0, we may go up again Smiley
By the way, the definitive ATH may never be known...



595. Post 8876867 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

A real holder holds down to zero, confident that absent central banks, it can't go negative. But at that point, he might jump over to a promising altcoin Smiley



596. Post 8876898 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 18, 2014, 04:56:39 PM
A real holder holds down to zero, confident that absent central banks, it can't go negative. But at that point, he might jump over to a promising altcoin Smiley


ether?

Does it matter, when your holdings are worth zero? Moahahaha - got you.



597. Post 8877058 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

About this risk / reward thing. It only correlates if the market perceives the risk correctly. Currently, this market perception is wrong, IMHO. The risk of going to zero, or the risk of a fatal flaw is small, I think. The consequence of this is that buy and hold is the winning strategy. It is winning as long as the market does not agree with me.

When the market eventually comes to the same conclusion, it is just sound money, which is also good.



598. Post 8877277 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: keithers on September 18, 2014, 05:11:58 PM
what is the reasoning behind all the panic today?  at what prices are you guys scooping up more?   I got some at $450 yesterday, but I will pull my cash out again if we dip much further...

I could take a Bloomberg and say it was Scotland.



599. Post 8877365 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on September 18, 2014, 05:13:28 PM
I guess we're now re-testing a very very long term support line. This is worrying! If we break below $350 - I don't like this saying at all usually - we're doomed!
And why would that be? You probably would have said the same in 2011 about $4.

Because going down about 80% is generally a very very bad sign about effectively anything tradable. If nothing else, it will send a terrible signal to people watching Bitcoin.

Only in Bitcoin land going down 80% is considered no problem or even bullish.
Obviously it's the worst thing that could happen atm.

That's because bitcoin is pure love! 2000 by midnight UTC!



600. Post 8878740 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: scarsbergholden on September 18, 2014, 05:42:45 PM
What would be dead is the inflated expectations of a few overzealous people. That's all.

So it's greedy if a bitcoiner buys a bitcoin sometime, ANYTIME in 2014, and expects it to more or less retain it's value? Should no one have bought any bitcoins AT ALL in 2014 and held them?

Honestly answer the question.  2014 is nearly over, it's been 10 months.
Maybe not greedy but naive? Bitcoin went up x100 in 2013. Do you expect this to just maintain its value without major corrections?

If you want to retain value short to mid term at least, then Bitcoin is not the asset to do that. Bitcoin is an asset to look for high growth, and with that growth comes the cost of RISK.

Sticky please. First post everyone should read who enters this forum.

This is what frustrates me about the constant touting of bitcoin as a "store of value." Ask anyone who bought in during 2014 how that's working out for them.

Now go ask the same question to those who bought in 2012/2013 and come back in a few years.

Is that what a "store of value" is? Buy today, lose more than 1/2 the value in several months, and then hope we have a bubble that goes 10x my initial buy-in a few years later? Is that a "store of value"?

You are completely right. This is no better than some fiats.



601. Post 8878851 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: scarsbergholden on September 18, 2014, 06:02:44 PM
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO, it's a store of value being built. Do you actually believe that because some monopoly money went into bitcoin the last few years, it's already a store of value? NO, but the potential of it becoming a store of value is there.

Agreed with that as well.

I wonder why so many people in here are so binary in their thinking: Bitcoin is a terrible store of value currently (and a highly speculative asset), a not-too-shabby medium of transfer, and absolutely not a unit of account. If things go well, it might be a store of value in the future, and the likelihood of that happening is exactly what we're collectively determining/discovering here, through the markets.

I bolded the key word. Anything can happen in the future. Bitcoin might be worth zero in the future as well. My point was that there is a prevalent attitude in this community that bitcoin is a store of value and that buying now is always a good idea. I'd not even consider such terms as "store of value" until bitcoin is much more entrenched.

It is all these things now. It has to be, if not, it is not money. You vision is fogged if you think that some fiat has better quality. Fuck, when you spend the petty cash you get for your astroturfing on that teddy bear, you depress the value of dollar and support the value of teddy bears!



602. Post 8878909 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: riiiiising on September 18, 2014, 06:30:39 PM
Why are mods deleting threads on here? What do you have to hide?

Conspiracy! Nobody must know that price can go down!




603. Post 8879108 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: oda.krell on September 18, 2014, 07:23:21 PM
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO, it's a store of value being built. Do you actually believe that because some monopoly money went into bitcoin the last few years, it's already a store of value? NO, but the potential of it becoming a store of value is there.

Agreed with that as well.

I wonder why so many people in here are so binary in their thinking: Bitcoin is a terrible store of value currently (and a highly speculative asset), a not-too-shabby medium of transfer, and absolutely not a unit of account. If things go well, it might be a store of value in the future, and the likelihood of that happening is exactly what we're collectively determining/discovering here, through the markets.

I bolded the key word. Anything can happen in the future. Bitcoin might be worth zero in the future as well. My point was that there is a prevalent attitude in this community that bitcoin is a store of value and that buying now is always a good idea. I'd not even consider such terms as "store of value" until bitcoin is much more entrenched.

It is all these things now. It has to be, if not, it is not money. You vision is fogged if you think that some fiat has better quality. Fuck, when you spend the petty cash you get for your astroturfing on that teddy bear, you depress the value of dollar and support the value of teddy bears!


First: you sound angry. Nothing in scarsbergholden's post warrants that, in my opinion.

Sorry, I was caught up in a wave of seriousness.

Quote
Second: my Euro denominated bank account hasn't lost more than 50% of its purchasing power in the last half year, as far as I can tell. So, in the short to mid term then, the Euro was a vastly better store of value than Bitcoin. Care to argue with those facts?

No, was thinking of the Argentinian peso and the bolivar.

Quote

There are, extremely broadly speaking, three types of posters in here:

Those who are convinced Bitcoin is going nowhere but down, on any time scale. Trolls aside, that means they'll actively short to make money.

Those who are convinced Bitcoin can and must go up. Success of crypto as a global currency and store of value almost guaranteed, in the long run. They buy and buy and buy, and hope for the best.

And then there's those who look at it as an experiment. Could work. Could fail. Price fluctuations just represent that uncertainty. They trade in whatever way is appropriate at the time.


The problem is that the first group and the third group are most of the time conflated in here by those in the second group. But that's an unrelated problem Smiley

Sounds legit. I am in group 2.



604. Post 8879273 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: lightfoot on September 18, 2014, 07:27:13 PM
Can we go below zero? Will miners be forced to throw their equipment out the windows? Stay tuned for "As the stomach turns!"

I am sure mario d will offer you to deposit them with him for a negative interest.



605. Post 8879332 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: kenji on September 18, 2014, 07:39:06 PM
now i thinking about suicide! (no joke) Undecided


1 You have the right to do it. 2 it is probably not rational. 3 We don't want to hear that shit here.



606. Post 8879838 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 18, 2014, 08:05:48 PM
Second: my Euro denominated bank account hasn't lost more than 50% of its purchasing power in the last half year, as far as I can tell. So, in the short to mid term then, the Euro was a vastly better store of value than Bitcoin. Care to argue with those facts?
No, was thinking of the Argentinian peso and the bolivar.

The Bolivar maybe, but the Argentinean Peso lost "only" 32% of its value over the last 12 months, 22% since Jan/01.

Compared to the dolar. Blue rate or red rate? How much did the dolar lose? It's not good money. It does not have the potential to regain its value.



607. Post 8880035 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on September 18, 2014, 08:32:59 PM
this thread is almost as crazy as the market.


WHAT?Huh? Post counts have been going down, too?      Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

I love these dump days, not for the loss, for the culture!



608. Post 8880109 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

They don't evaporate, rust or rot. Ergo, a store of value. What is wrong with you guys?



609. Post 8880153 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on September 18, 2014, 08:46:33 PM
They don't evaporate, rust or rot. Ergo, a store of value. What is wrong with you guys?


To me, biggest fear is something better coming along. There are already better alternative. All bitcoin has going for it is that its the most established. And yet, its still quite small.

But you will know that first. Keep your cool.





610. Post 8880199 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: lyth0s on September 18, 2014, 08:50:27 PM
Are people selling to in order to be able to place orders on the Alibaba IPO tomorrow?

That's a Bloombergism!



611. Post 8880287 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on September 18, 2014, 08:55:59 PM
Some folks in here be like:




I like it!




612. Post 8880542 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Everybody, quiet! You might scare the dollar dumper!



613. Post 8885379 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on September 19, 2014, 08:15:30 AM
What does double bottom mean?

It is a pattern in price graphs, that supposedly indicate a trend reversal.
Check more info here.

In short, we are doubly fucked, which is promising.



614. Post 8885517 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: mmitech on September 19, 2014, 08:24:18 AM
Good morning, it feels good sleeping without owning any Bitcoin these days.... regarding the price, I think we will see the real panic when we hit 3xx, people still wish/think this is the bottom but when we hit that 3xx, I think  it is where people's dreams start crashing.

You are sleeping on a bomb, man.



615. Post 8885781 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

War on the supply side terrorists! Kill the extremists, before they kill us!



616. Post 8889060 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on September 19, 2014, 01:30:21 PM
... there was a network scale attack I pointed out to Gavin and the other devs after observing namecoin network getting "hung" for months by miners joining and leaving en-masse due to mining incentives and price fluctuations ...

if a well-resourced 'dishonest miner' attacker could build up a significant of quantity of mining power and ramp up hash-rate by bringing on-line an ever-increasing amount of compute, selling all btc the whole way and simultaneously drive price lower over the same period, squeezing out 'honest' miners ... then in a final act take all their mining power off-line during a final dump of price then it would leave the network hanging at very low block solving rate (long confirms) waiting forever for the next retargetting and a low price and take a toll on confidence ... the fix was to allow for a 'special' retargetting on the downside if it hasn't happened after a time-out, not just the set 2016 blocks.



The "fighting the windmills" attack?



617. Post 8922485 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Bermuda waking up. That has to mean new action!




618. Post 8922507 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Hey. I just peeked into the future, and I saw bitcoin everywhere. Bullish!



619. Post 8923809 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: JerryCurlzzz on September 22, 2014, 10:12:05 AM
Hey. I just peeked into the future, and I saw bitcoin everywhere. Bullish!


That may be, but in the short term, this hasn't turned bullish. Every bounce has been a fakeout, just a short squeeze. No real reversal.

Not that I wouldn't love to see reversal.... Undecided

At least, we are above the ATL  (all time low)  Smiley




620. Post 8925001 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

If I want to pay someone in Indonesia the equivalent of 100 USD, this needs to happen:

a) sell a suitable amount of bitcoin on the local bourse
b) redraw the local fiat to my local bank
c) order a wire transfer in my local bank
d) the local bank needs to order that in one of my country's internationally connected banks.
e) the sum is converted to dollars
f) that bank must order a wire from its account in an international bank like deutche bank
g) the wire arrives in an internationally connected bank's foreign bank account
h) the sum is converted to rupiah
i) the sum is moved from the local banks account in the big Indonesian bank
j) the sum is moved to the customers account
k) the customer must send the fiat to his local exchange
l) the customer must sell his fiat on the exchange
m) the customer must retrieve his bitcoins

So may smart people here, could this procedure be streamlined?



621. Post 8925168 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: Pala_00 on September 22, 2014, 12:50:33 PM
Now that bitcoin is dead what the fuck am I going to do all day?

lol you could tell stories about the good old days of bitcoin. Like you used to buy 5 bitcoins with a nickel.  Grin

WAS A TRICK QUESTION!!!! BITCOIN WILL NEVER DIE!! CHEAP COINS!



Now that bitcoin is dead, we know for sure that even so, it does not stink. That's progress.



622. Post 8925182 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: 600watt on September 22, 2014, 12:53:01 PM
If I want to pay someone in Indonesia the equivalent of 100 USD, this needs to happen:

a) sell a suitable amount of bitcoin on the local bourse
b) redraw the local fiat to my local bank
c) order a wire transfer in my local bank
d) the local bank needs to order that in one of my country's internationally connected banks.
e) the sum is converted to dollars
f) that bank must order a wire from its account in an international bank like deutche bank
g) the wire arrives in an internationally connected bank's foreign bank account
h) the sum is converted to rupiah
i) the sum is moved from the local banks account in the big Indonesian bank
j) the sum is moved to the customers account
k) the customer must send the fiat to his local exchange
l) the customer must sell his fiat on the exchange
m) the customer must retrieve his bitcoins

So may smart people here, could this procedure be streamlined?



just put the coins in an envelope, send it via airmail   Wink

Even better, anyone, maybe you on the last row there, with the white shirt?



623. Post 8925261 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: Tzupy on September 22, 2014, 12:56:22 PM
snip

Now that bitcoin is dead, we know for sure that even so, it does not stink. That's progress.

If bitcoin is dead for you now, then in about a month you'll think it stinks. Grin

You're right. To be sure, I stuck my Trezor into three layers of plastic bags, and placed it just below the air vent.



624. Post 8925274 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Hey, does anyone else remember the time you preferably used unused (unstamped) stamps to pay for mail orders? Wow, I'm old.



625. Post 8925410 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: empowering on September 22, 2014, 01:06:49 PM
If I want to pay someone in Indonesia the equivalent of 100 USD, this needs to happen:

a) sell a suitable amount of bitcoin on the local bourse
b) redraw the local fiat to my local bank
c) order a wire transfer in my local bank
d) the local bank needs to order that in one of my country's internationally connected banks.
e) the sum is converted to dollars
f) that bank must order a wire from its account in an international bank like deutche bank
g) the wire arrives in an internationally connected bank's foreign bank account
h) the sum is converted to rupiah
i) the sum is moved from the local banks account in the big Indonesian bank
j) the sum is moved to the customers account
k) the customer must send the fiat to his local exchange
l) the customer must sell his fiat on the exchange
m) the customer must retrieve his bitcoins

So may smart people here, could this procedure be streamlined?




Could you not

a) Invite person in Indonesia to set up a BTC wallet, and an account with BTC exchange
b) Send them $100 worth of BTC
c) Person either holds or sells BTC


or

a) Invite person to set up a BTC wallet
b) Send $100 worth of BTC
c) Person sells BTC to a local otc exchange


of course these both have the risk of price fluctuation risks for the time that the receiver holds the coins and any exchange fees, but both do allow you to transfer equivalent of $100 USD.


(In your scenario, you start off owning Bitcoins and end up with the customer buying bitcoins , so therefore to get the same result as your scenario, why go through the bank at all?, just two steps needed to do the same thing, just a) Get customers BTC address, and b) send BTC)


Best answer till now, except, you don't need c). You won a horse, which is physically sent through SWIFT, to be expected two weeks from now.

Sorry, this thread needs fillers in slow times.  Smiley





626. Post 8925939 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: empowering on September 22, 2014, 01:51:11 PM

Best answer till now, except, you don't need c). You won a horse, which is physically sent through SWIFT, to be expected two weeks from now.

Sorry, this thread needs fillers in slow times.  Smiley


May I have a unicorn instead please sent via angel fart?

Or a horses head in my bed when I wake up?

Either will be better than SWIFT.... the irony is in the name really.

You could, but then I will have to wait for the horse to come back first.



627. Post 8926134 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: mooncake on September 22, 2014, 02:19:31 PM
If I want to pay someone in Indonesia the equivalent of 100 USD, this needs to happen:

a) sell a suitable amount of bitcoin on the local bourse
b) redraw the local fiat to my local bank
c) order a wire transfer in my local bank
d) the local bank needs to order that in one of my country's internationally connected banks.
e) the sum is converted to dollars
f) that bank must order a wire from its account in an international bank like deutche bank
g) the wire arrives in an internationally connected bank's foreign bank account
h) the sum is converted to rupiah
i) the sum is moved from the local banks account in the big Indonesian bank
j) the sum is moved to the customers account
k) the customer must send the fiat to his local exchange
l) the customer must sell his fiat on the exchange
m) the customer must retrieve his bitcoins

So may smart people here, could this procedure be streamlined?


a) Get a Circle account.
b) Ask your friend to get one too.
c) Transfer money through Circle.

Before doing all of those, check with Circle that they support Indonesia users.

Perfect, saves an instance of blockchain fee.



628. Post 8938256 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: piyany on September 23, 2014, 11:55:16 AM
Who else wishes they shorted bitcoin when it was 500-600$ with maximum leverage shouting 'f*ck you bitcoin'?

Not me. It was risky then, it is risky now. The fact that was a success seen after the fact, does not make it less risky. With leveraged shorts, you can lose everything in one day.




629. Post 8939026 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: empowering on September 23, 2014, 01:31:45 PM
no no.

I am not leaving you, just keeping my precious fiat for now.

Smart choice. If the future is uncertain, then always choose the safe way.
It's always better not to win money, then to lose money. Bagholders get emotionally to attached to the fairy tales of easy riches, and that makes them too acceptable to risk. Success in speculative trading is in small but constant winnings, not about big blind risks.


Well, I woke up this morning, and I got myself a beer
The future's uncertain, and the end is always near
Let it roll, baby, roll

So what is the most safe way? Bitcoin, or dollar demand deposits?



630. Post 8996536 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

If bitcoin goes to zero, I think I will enter the astroturfing business. People seem to do well there.



631. Post 8996917 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Money, in general, can be a bitch, but bitcoin is divine.



632. Post 9001685 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on September 27, 2014, 09:32:09 PM
You guys are too hard on BitChick.  She's Christ-like!  Remember He complimented the money changers for bringing some volume to the Temple, and made an excellent impression on the locals, who honored Him with a big shindig on that nice Golgotha hill?   Well, WE are money changers.

Welcome, Church Lady!

The temple debacle, that is when the otherwise free market enthusiast Jesus crossed the line. According to my very christian friend, he waived a brush at them and said shush! in a clearly violent fashion.



633. Post 9002080 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: mambamanagement on September 28, 2014, 10:04:04 AM
will the federal reserve exist in 20 years?

Wild guess: no.



634. Post 9003619 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: CoinThinker on September 28, 2014, 12:35:29 PM
I am starting to be absolutely POSITIVE that some people in this forum, especially in this thread, are government (and/or bank employees). They manipulate this thread, calling the crash "cheap coins", and so on, when they know exactly that NO MARKET CAN RAISE indefinitely.

So every crash, might be the last one. Every crash might be the end of the bitcoin, and the proof for this is that all of you see that after EVERY drop, price is raising back HARDER and HARDER (usually to a smaller value than it was before the crash started). Speculators, who are buying coins and then they sell immediately expecting a few dollars margin, are happy with this situation; governments and banks are very happy also, but people who see (or who have seen) Bitcoin as a new "era" or a long term investment will be totally screwed.

Another proof: remember how actively governments were fighting Bitcoin? Now they don't. You know why? Because they realized that it's absolutely no danger in it for their systems. They could bring down the price to absolute 0 with a few million of USD (or less) ANYTIME they want. Walls or no walls, people are already not buying Bitcoins, because it become clear for everybody that one of the crashes will not be followed by a next bubble: and then it's over.

If the price will not start to raise, and I mean REALLY raise, and REALLY soon, then it's game over. Just think about that.

No amount of USD can take down bitcoin to 0. You need bitcoins for that.




635. Post 9007722 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on September 28, 2014, 06:33:08 PM
Somebody check Satoshi's wallets! Shocked
holy shit  Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked

WHOA thats a ton of coins? Has bitstamp confirmed that is their address?!

SHIT!!!!

Now we are really going down!!!



636. Post 9007878 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on September 28, 2014, 07:54:49 PM
If I sense correctly, it seems now real bulls and early adopters are starting to feel fear or at least getting annoyed and moody. What are those walls pushing us down? Are they organic selling or something else?


Oh, it's the evil banksters manipulating the price of course. You see, according to the cultists: Whenever BTC price goes down, it's price manipulation. Whenever it goes up, it's a healthy market discovering the "true price" of Bitcoin. That's why the cultists always ignore Willybot, Markus and the other Gox bots that created every BTC bubble in the first place. They deny the very existence of those bots, since they don't fit neatly into the narrative of organic growth and a healthy market ruled by supply and demand.

That's why the permabulls and cultists always talk about "bear whales" supposedly "manipulating" the price to buy huge amounts of "cheap coins".

They can't face the simple fact that ordinary people (and smart investors) simply aren't interested in ridiculous internet funbux. And they aren't suddenly gonna become interested, even when the price crashes to single digits, where it rightfully belongs. In fact, they'll be even less interested then than they are now.
 

internet funbux are still

Scarce
Durable
Portable
Divisible
Impossible to counterfeit
Fungible ( any 1 BTC has the same value as any other )
Easy to keep safe ( contrary to popular belief, it easy to print out a paper wallet...)
Shiny ( yes the digital bits that make up a bitcoin are VERY shiny)



Also they have a rounded shape. Which is nice.

Every address is rounded to an integer,  which is nice.



637. Post 9015653 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: creekbore on September 29, 2014, 09:28:51 AM
FUck me...I can't believe we've had an 800BTC green candle but all you lot want to do is measure your Phds.

My Phd is 16 cm. How large is yours?



638. Post 9020621 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: Bittings on September 29, 2014, 07:22:50 PM
BTW, I just bought $100 worth of bitcoin from circle, and processed a withdrawal which went instantly... which means that they possibly have their own Bitcoin Stock, and this makes me think that they rushed with going live when they saw the price declining, maybe as a move to lower their "loses"?

Nice one! Quality negative theory. You have pleased the great manipulator. May your shorts ever prosper.

1. Have coins
2. Sell at the lowest possible point
3. Profit!!



639. Post 9023320 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: bassclef on September 29, 2014, 09:18:40 PM
Honestly this is the question we don't know for sure the answer, but we know that they are not selling off (going out of BTC) - it would be much more simple and much more profitable to sell it on OTC - even 50k+ coins. But much more believable is, that they want to accumulate cheap (maybe even through cheap OTC bulk buys) and rinse & repeat the bubble. Being end goal BTC at 0 is low probability, cause they were probably early in the game and understand the things well, this would be possible only in the case if someone is doing this who doesn't want BTC to succeed (banks, gvt...). Or if these coins are stolen and they really have xxx.000 BTC (but probably exchanges would get them). But all this killing BTC in imo less than 10% chance.

And remember - China is not the cause of all this rise and fall, its the tool.

My theory is that they want to push to 350, but not much lower. Lower towards $200s will encourage longer-term holders to sell, and of course the whales need them as support on the way up. Their dumps are getting smaller as the price gets lower. They were rejected @ 375 and will have to spend considerably more coin to knock the price down.

They don't dump anymore, they just dump in mostly their own walls and when price is high (paypal push). They control the sentiment and orderbooks and price action so others sell for them. Do you think they care if price is $100 for two days so they can get XX.000 BTC and they push it to 500 in the next two days. Its all about their plan. To bad we don't know what it is.

But there is the question of loss of confidence. If they want this cash cow to remain profitable in the coming years (and they absolutely do want this) then a dip into $100s isn't exactly good for PR. Besides they'll have to risk a lot more to get there.

I'm not saying 100 is the plan, but that if they planned this, it is simple to do. When price will be at 1000s few months later, x00 won't matter anymore, just the next moon and fresh money to be milked again.

On a long-term chart a dip like that would look bad to technical analysts, who make up a big portion of their help during large moves. It would be in their interest to keep the trendline intact. Surely they understand the implications of this technology, regardless of their heartlessness and greed in the short term.

Not saying 100-200 can't happen either, but I'd like to think that they can't control every aspect of the market across all exchanges, especially with exponential adoption and exchanges popping up everywhere.

There are no THEY. The experts are YOU.



640. Post 9093419 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: Mervyn_Pumpkinhead on October 05, 2014, 05:29:40 PM
The mind of an average bitcoiner is intriguing.
If someone buys a lot, then that someone is obviously bullish to acquire those coins.
If someone sells a lot, then that someone is also obviously bullish, trying to manipulate others to sell, so he could buy more.
There isn't a possibility in the universe that someone just doesn't believe in the long-term success of bitcoin. It can't be so! It can't!

So much similarities with religious folks.
Anyway, this drop is far from over. So, enjoy and remember that it's only money.

The majority does not believe. That is the point. The minority knows that bitcoin have the properties to advance organically, and since there is no stopper, moon is where we go.

Edit: The minority have for a hundred years argued for sound money. The majority do not want to keep their freedom, because of credit card points! Ref http://www.forbes.com/sites/learnvest/2013/07/01/i-fund-everything-in-my-life-with-credit-card-points/

So someone invented a better form of sound money, that people actually want to use, proof: the usage growth. There is no religion here.




641. Post 9093590 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

The big wall - it must be an angel, playing with your mind....



642. Post 9094205 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on October 05, 2014, 06:46:55 PM
I was out for tea -- yes, I am studying in England so they really do such things here -- when Stamp and BFX cratered to $275. What was the sentiment on the floor. There seems to have been a nice little bump up thereafter, but I am getting the impression that people don't feel the bottom is in, yet. Any thoughts?

My solid and firm answer: I don't know.

Thanks man. Yea, it looks like about $2 to $2.5 million in swaps fell off the board in that downdraft. Quite a bit, but not catastrophic like I was hoping (that's the wrong word... but catastrophic enough to be a clear signal). Interesting, interesting, interesting. Thanks man.

Short squeeze next...



643. Post 9094230 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: adaseb on October 05, 2014, 06:50:59 PM
I just cannot understand and comprehend why 98% of all the users in this thread are wanting to buy more BTC at the current levels when all the signals, trend, all point to a lower BTC.

Right now there is no reason to go long, only short.


Why is everybody guessing with their financial situation?

It is unfair to the chartists that some disturbed guy sells 8K in one go!




644. Post 9094398 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Relentless buying... who ARE these people?



645. Post 9095302 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: vuduchyld on October 05, 2014, 07:53:18 PM
http://bitcoinpricelive.com/chinese-bitcoins-crash-market/

Did I miss any discussion of this article?  Looks like kind of a reverse Willy hypothesis.  It would certainly be one explanation for what looks like downward manipulation.

The old fractional reserve proposition. We will never know for shure, but luckily we have many bourses now, not just one.



646. Post 9095350 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

The great dumpers should be required to write their intensions into the 90 day moving average, just to help the chartists make their daily coins!



647. Post 9096930 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: BitChick on October 05, 2014, 10:55:57 PM
more fun?
 Wink

I own this market!

Could you put in a 6666 BTC wall for a few seconds to prove that it is yours?

Be sure to put that bid wall at $340 so we know it's you.

Can't we ask for "ask" walls instead please?  Wink

An ask wall is a sell wall, I think you mean bid wall  Wink

This is why we can't have nice things.

And you guys wonder why I just decided to hodl!? Wink  It is better for blonds to hodl when we get our ask and bids confused.   Grin

It is just as difficult for a daytrading blonde to become rich, as for a camel to come through the needles eye.



648. Post 9165588 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on October 11, 2014, 02:50:17 PM
Tonight i'm going out. I read all those tips you guys gave me and i'm confident i'll at least will manage to talk to some girls.
Now which one of my 90's outfit will i pick. Yes, it's been that long.

Also shave the stache, yes or no?

Absolutely yes.



649. Post 9179710 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: gnode on October 12, 2014, 11:47:10 PM
Those that aren't buying are on the wrong side of the technology curve,

http://blogs.wsj.com/accelerators/2014/10/10/weekend-read-the-imminent-decentralized-computing-revolution/

You can play daytrader all you want but you will get burned.

Buy and Hodl!

decentralized computing revolution, yes. but not necessarily bitcoin.

Yes it will be bitcoin. 2 simple reasons, 1) biggest network and 2) most tested in the real world

Yes it will be bitcoin. Other blockchain like applications are fine, but 1 simple reason: Bitcoin is superb money.



650. Post 9179788 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on October 13, 2014, 12:02:38 AM
Those that aren't buying are on the wrong side of the technology curve,

http://blogs.wsj.com/accelerators/2014/10/10/weekend-read-the-imminent-decentralized-computing-revolution/

That is nonsense... Computing and the internet were extremely decentralized in the late 1980s and 1990s. The megatrend, unfortunately, is towards centralization, where user-programmable personal computers are being replaced by sealed terminals of cloud computing and storage, and fully distributed services like SMPT e-mail, USENET, and institutional ftp servers and webservers are being replaced by centralized services, all provided by a handful of mega-corporations - Facebook, Google, Amazon, ... -- which are beyond even the weak public control that democracy provides.

Bitcoin itself, by the way, is decentralized only in appearance.  Decentralization is supposed to be good because it gives control and privacy to local communities and individuals.  But the idea of bitcoin is "we cannot trust banks and local governments with power to control the monetary system, so let's give all the power to ONE global robotic Network that handles all money in the world, and cannot be controlled by humans".  To me, it sounds like the plot of a 1950s sci-fi movie...

The reign of the machines.



651. Post 9191874 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on October 13, 2014, 10:52:38 PM
395 on Stamp Sad

Pump is over.


Go back home.

Try to rebuy your children and wife you sold because you thought bitcoin would goes to moon today.

I'd never sell my children for bitcoins..

Agree. but let them go hungry a few months...



652. Post 9192350 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 14, 2014, 01:13:06 AM
Europe is waking up soon. The next 8 hours are the most critical actually.

idk i think, this is one of the few times in bitcoin when the next 24 12 8 hours are actually not critical   Grin

we breached 400 before i just want to party!



Of course, people tend to rush out and buy just after waking up. Just like coffee and a cigarette.



653. Post 9192383 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: BitChick on October 14, 2014, 01:29:47 AM
Europe is waking up soon. The next 8 hours are the most critical actually.

idk i think, this is one of the few times in bitcoin when the next 24 12 8 hours are actually not critical  Grin

we breached 400 before i just want to party!



Of course, people tend to rush out and buy just after waking up. Just like coffee and a cigarette.

I don't know.  I check the price every morning when I wake up.  Am I the only one or do I have a serious problem?  Wink

Hehe, not the only one, but do you buy first thing? Or maybe sit up late, buy, then go to bed?



654. Post 9195129 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: BitChick on October 14, 2014, 05:19:39 AM
So the question I have for everyone is are we really ready for another bubble?  For those of you that have been through a rally before do you remember how addicted we became to the charts? Even more so than now, which can be hard to believe for some of us. And if you are anything like me, all I seemed to talk about day and night was Bitcoin.  My kids would even say, "Stop talking about Bitcoin!"  But the obsessiveness was because of the adrenalin rush of price increases every day, every hour and sometimes every minute!  Hopefully I can remain more calm and less of an "addict" this time around.  We will see. . .  

I prefer a modest rise of 10% per week in the beginning of a new bubble, so we rise too fast. Wild guess: this time we first get a minibubble of say 2000 USD/B, after a pause of a month or so we get the real bubble.



655. Post 9196004 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on October 14, 2014, 09:45:06 AM
So the question I have for everyone is are we really ready for another bubble?  For those of you that have been through a rally before do you remember how addicted we became to the charts? Even more so than now, which can be hard to believe for some of us. And if you are anything like me, all I seemed to talk about day and night was Bitcoin.  My kids would even say, "Stop talking about Bitcoin!"  But the obsessiveness was because of the adrenalin rush of price increases every day, every hour and sometimes every minute!  Hopefully I can remain more calm and less of an "addict" this time around.  We will see. . .  

I prefer a modest rise of 10% per week in the beginning of a new bubble, so we rise too fast. Wild guess: this time we first get a minibubble of say 2000 USD/B, after a pause of a month or so we get the real bubble.


How far does the real bubble go?

Initially, I had been thinking $2.5k to $5k; however, since we seemed to have been delayed a few extra months, I began to conjecture between $3k and $13k... mostly based on pent-up demand and the fact that there has been considerable more infrastructure built and additional easy abilities for big money to easily get in or out, in fairly short notice.

I agree, much pent-up demand. At least $10K.



656. Post 9196650 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on October 14, 2014, 10:58:23 AM
So the question I have for everyone is are we really ready for another bubble?  For those of you that have been through a rally before do you remember how addicted we became to the charts? Even more so than now, which can be hard to believe for some of us. And if you are anything like me, all I seemed to talk about day and night was Bitcoin.  My kids would even say, "Stop talking about Bitcoin!"  But the obsessiveness was because of the adrenalin rush of price increases every day, every hour and sometimes every minute!  Hopefully I can remain more calm and less of an "addict" this time around.  We will see. . .  

I prefer a modest rise of 10% per week in the beginning of a new bubble, so we rise too fast. Wild guess: this time we first get a minibubble of say 2000 USD/B, after a pause of a month or so we get the real bubble.


How far does the real bubble go?

Initially, I had been thinking $2.5k to $5k; however, since we seemed to have been delayed a few extra months, I began to conjecture between $3k and $13k... mostly based on pent-up demand and the fact that there has been considerable more infrastructure built and additional easy abilities for big money to easily get in or out, in fairly short notice.

I agree, much pent-up demand. At least $10K.


You are predicting, more or less, mini-bubble in 2014, and then "real" bubble in early 2015?

Exactly (but I don't pretend to know anything other than that we will have vastly higher prices in the long term).



657. Post 9198368 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: Moria843 on October 14, 2014, 01:40:13 PM
I looked up FUD. I thought the FU stood for something else and was surprised Roll Eyes

Fuck You, Dude?




658. Post 9198391 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Stop Loss = SL = Stupid Loser.



659. Post 9200520 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

I bet the so called professionals (who in my opinion know nothing, just pose as professionals) are scratching their heads to discover the dynamics of the bitcoin market.

Here is a thought: Traders, daytraders, swing traders or whatever, buys and sells the same amount, meaning that on average, their preference to hold is flat. That includes permabulls, because they have exhausted their investing power. So trading does not mean anything to the price development. With someone that sells to permanently stay out (or low) like the 30 k dumper, things are different. Maybe he had the chance of his life to take over a farm from a relative or something, nobody knows. He wanted to sell 30K - 100K coins, tried first selling in portions, did not understand that the market is small and thought the decline had some other reason, tried to dump it all at once, finally put up an ask wall on 300, after it was sold, the marked turned.

That means the market is really reactive to small amounts that are sold permanently or bought permanently, and the 1) 200 or so coins per day that an increasing hashrate represents could do a difference and 2) big fish entering the market will make it explode.



660. Post 9203262 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: ErisDiscordia on October 14, 2014, 09:38:21 PM
That's a different argument.  Clearly BTC is worth more than my shitcoin.   I simply pointed out that Bitcoin's inelasticity is, in itself, an insufficient reason for Bitcoin to succeed.

But money doesn't have to be elastic. And Bitcoin's inelasticity is absolutely the reason for its current and future success.

Sure, but that's a Keynes/Austrian school debate, outside of this thread's scope.  

I assure you that absolutely nothing is outside of this thread's scope.

The market will provide elastisity when needed. For example, in the season leading up to christmas, the public might hoard coins, leading to deflationary supplier prices, but that would be solved by credit expansion in the form of supplier loans to stores.



661. Post 9203792 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on October 14, 2014, 10:37:01 PM
Ben Lawsky to Speak About the BitLicense Tonight at 6PM EST and will take Q&A
http://cardozolaw.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=01b5be00-c8df-4688-a1dc-5302b6ca3c7e


Hasn't he got bigger things on Wall St. to worry about?? ... like the NY Fed letting Goldman Sachs be "above the law" in the Carmen Segarra tapes?

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bartlett-naylor/does-carmen-segarra-expla_b_5961668.html

... too big to jail for little Lawsky?

He probably doesn't know, but no, there are no bigger things.



662. Post 9262029 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: hmmmstrange on October 19, 2014, 09:54:27 PM

With the leveling of the mining difficulty, inflation of the bitcoin money supply has fallen from 12% to 10% per annum. An instant 20% reduction in the new money supply has huge influence on tipping the equilibrium of the price.

Sure, good point. But I'd assume that rising prices will bring mining operations back in as the profitability of mining increases again, and inflation will pick up again. So I'm not sure if this will help a sustainable rally to develop.

Remember that inflation used to be much higher Smiley

Yep, it was much higher but the the coins were being mined by "hobbyists" who didn't sell them. Right now the majority of coins are being mined in china where they have very little incentive of keeping them.

"As a response to the decline in the bitcoin price during the quarter, the company decided to reduce the number of bitcoins sold from its mining operations. It plans to sell its mined cryptocurrecy when the market value tilts in its favour."

http://www.zdnet.com/bitcoin-hoard-no-remedy-for-negative-cashflow-7000034841/




663. Post 9262544 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: brg444 on October 20, 2014, 08:58:01 AM

With the leveling of the mining difficulty, inflation of the bitcoin money supply has fallen from 12% to 10% per annum. An instant 20% reduction in the new money supply has huge influence on tipping the equilibrium of the price.

Sure, good point. But I'd assume that rising prices will bring mining operations back in as the profitability of mining increases again, and inflation will pick up again. So I'm not sure if this will help a sustainable rally to develop.

Remember that inflation used to be much higher Smiley

Yep, it was much higher but the the coins were being mined by "hobbyists" who didn't sell them. Right now the majority of coins are being mined in china where they have very little incentive of keeping them.

"As a response to the decline in the bitcoin price during the quarter, the company decided to reduce the number of bitcoins sold from its mining operations. It plans to sell its mined cryptocurrecy when the market value tilts in its favour."

http://www.zdnet.com/bitcoin-hoard-no-remedy-for-negative-cashflow-7000034841/



Wow thanks for this link

There is some very interesting information in there from the September quarter report of DigitalCCLimited, parent company of the digitalX Direct platform used by GABI for OTC purchases :
http://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20141020/pdf/42t0mqrygyzd74.pdf

Interesting report. We can infer that GABI just recently bought OTC. Their liquidity desk looked interesting.



664. Post 9290902 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: Raystonn on October 22, 2014, 03:20:42 AM
I am going to start using the term "bits" from now on when quoting prices.  I agree with Gavin.

Price is currently about $0.000387 per bit.  Let's go for bit-dollar parity!  Wink


It's Mikes.




665. Post 9294359 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: Walter Rothbard on October 22, 2014, 06:29:40 PM
This is about payments not bitcoin but there is a synergy of efforts. Bitcoin may be an beneficiary but cryptocurrencies need to "grow up" and have standards. W3C Web Payments is committed to help provide the standards so potential future payment technologies can mature.

The beneficiaries we are the targeting are the unbanked, unbankable, and those not having access to financial infrastructure. We cant achieve this goal without integrating into the core of the browser technologies layered with security to create frictionless & borderless payments. We will help connect up another billion+ people to the global economy.
No offense, but I've been watching the W3C since the days of HTML 3 and your track record of creating successful web standards has been... mixed.

It's not obviously apparent that a W3C Web Payments standard would be useful or relevant.

Plus, I don't much like being told to "grow up."  It's possible to tell me respectfully what you think is in it for me without calling me names should I choose to not do things your way!

Given the level of understanding that exists among the public, it is rather probable that w3c does not understands bitcoin, and therefore creates something that is irrelevant. But by all means, let them try!




666. Post 9294514 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: Erdogan on October 22, 2014, 07:21:44 PM
This is about payments not bitcoin but there is a synergy of efforts. Bitcoin may be an beneficiary but cryptocurrencies need to "grow up" and have standards. W3C Web Payments is committed to help provide the standards so potential future payment technologies can mature.

The beneficiaries we are the targeting are the unbanked, unbankable, and those not having access to financial infrastructure. We cant achieve this goal without integrating into the core of the browser technologies layered with security to create frictionless & borderless payments. We will help connect up another billion+ people to the global economy.
No offense, but I've been watching the W3C since the days of HTML 3 and your track record of creating successful web standards has been... mixed.

It's not obviously apparent that a W3C Web Payments standard would be useful or relevant.

Plus, I don't much like being told to "grow up."  It's possible to tell me respectfully what you think is in it for me without calling me names should I choose to not do things your way!

Given the level of understanding that exists among the public, it is rather probable that w3c does not understands bitcoin, and therefore creates something that is irrelevant. But by all means, let them try!



And during the eons, they have spat out overengineered, underspecified, inconsistent standards that take  years to resolve by practical application programmers and browser makers.



667. Post 9302030 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Steady downwards, which is bullish! Explosion soon!



668. Post 9307022 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

You can not out-troll a troll.



669. Post 9309072 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: goldsun on October 23, 2014, 09:26:49 PM
I've bought bitcoin a few days ago and now I see the price going down. I am a not sure if I am happy or what, but if it keeps going down I might buy a few more bitcoins.

Whats everyones thought on this?

Your value has temporarily moved over to the dollar sidechain. You will have to be happy for the dollar owners for the time being.



670. Post 9309115 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 23, 2014, 10:27:16 PM
You call this a drop ? nah.... I think what is coming is more fun, just wait for it.
- 6-8% in a day?
 
i call it a crash, not a drop.


Anything < 70% down = "healthy price correction, bullish!"

Anything above = "Yeah, well, I meant to do that."

How long are you going to use the ATH for this? Why not go back when it was pennies and now we can see some real gains!

Gosh lamb, I say this out of kindness, get a life. If you hate BTC so much then find another hobby, for being a troll is not something to be proud of.

Look, I know it's frustrating watching your money turn to shit, but nevertheless:  WTF are you talking about?  What ATH?  
Take it easy, BrewCrewFan, you'll be fine.  Life's not all about money.  Besides, maybe you'll dig poverty Undecided

Degrowth is a thing:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-10-23/whats-avant-garde-now-social-innovation




671. Post 9309168 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: goldsun on October 24, 2014, 12:16:23 AM
I've bought bitcoin a few days ago and now I see the price going down. I am a not sure if I am happy or what, but if it keeps going down I might buy a few more bitcoins.

Whats everyones thought on this?

Your value has temporarily moved over to the dollar sidechain. You will have to be happy for the dollar owners for the time being.

Well I have already lost dollar now but when I jumped on the train I thought of half longterm. I am positive that the prices will go up again but I think we are going down for a bit more.

I dont know if I should sell off now and buy when we are even lower than this point. What would you do and why?

Buy and hold, or, if you already bought, hold and buy.




672. Post 9321103 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: lyth0s on October 24, 2014, 02:40:48 PM
Isn't this the BTC/USD wall observer? "Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion". Seems like we are quite a bit off-topic.

The wall of government violence is closing in.



673. Post 9321227 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: superresistant on October 24, 2014, 03:02:21 PM
There were regional kings and High Kings that sat on large Iron Thrones made from the swords of their slain enemies.
The hierarchy doesn't tell about your wealth or power.
It is only a title.
During feudalism, Kings where most of the time less powerful that rich Duchies.
Err...  Obama is less wealthy than a number of Americans, what's your point?

Obama is not a government. What's your point ?

My point was that (1) Europe used to be extremely decentralized for most of its History and (2) that the title of "King" did not mean that you own anything.

Sorry, I consider myself pretty hardcore libertarian. Feudalism does not really connote freedom. Sure, if you were a lord or king or whatnot, it was probably a pretty fun time (until your rival ran a sword through your gizzards) but the common man had it pretty rough. It wasn't really until firearms came along and started to level the playing field that that was redressed.
However, there were regions and times where freedom was more prevalent and we can see its positive effects within the societies that exist currently. Control? Soviet Russia, North Korea, Communist China. More freedom? South Korea, current hybrid China. Even more freedom? 20th century US and UK. Bit less freedom? Declining 21st century US and UK.

Yes that's right if you compare to now but in Feudalism, people were no more "slaves" like they were during the Roman Empire.
It was still very hard but they had the right to own land and trade which make a big difference.


The definition of feudalism is a bit muddy, (perfect for politicians) and the traditions varied over time and place (also perfect for politicians, you can claim anything), but generally feudalism is described  as farmers not owning the land, the lord did and the vassals rented it in exchange for resources and military duties.



674. Post 9329280 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: cbeast on October 25, 2014, 07:35:29 AM
Yes that's right if you compare to now but in Feudalism, people were no more "slaves" like they were during the Roman Empire.
It was still very hard but they had the right to own land and trade which make a big difference.
The definition of feudalism is a bit muddy, (perfect for politicians) and the traditions varied over time and place (also perfect for politicians, you can claim anything), but generally feudalism is described  as farmers not owning the land, the lord did and the vassals rented it in exchange for resources and military duties.

You're right, it is hard to define and you're probably the only one here that know a bit about feudalism.
But I found it really interesting, especially the high decentralization and the absence of state (as we have nowadays).
People are total ignorant when they claim that the social organization did not change in the last 3000 years.
But hey, for most Americans, History start 400 years ago or more likely 50 years ago...

Go tell Israel they never existed before.

I don't see the relevance of that comment, but since you mentioned Isralel, here is some unvalidated info from a random website:


As at 2007, the Israel Land Administration (ILA) (established in 1960) manages 93% of Israel's land comprising 19,508 km² under the following laws and land policy. The remaining 7% of land is either privately owned or under the protection of religious authorities.

...Basic Law: Israel lands (1960) states that all the lands owned by the state of Israel will remain in
state ownership, and will not be sold or given to anyone.

...Use of land in Israel usually means leasing rights from the ILA for a period of 49 or 98 years. Under Israeli law, the ILA cannot lease land to foreign nationals, which includes Palestinian residents of Jerusalem who have identity cards but are not citizens of Israel. In practice, foreigners may be allowed to lease if they show that they would qualify as Jewish under the Law of Return.


So they basically don't have private ownership of land. It is lease, and you have to have permission from the dominators to aquire that lease.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_land_and_property_laws



675. Post 9329325 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on October 25, 2014, 07:53:01 AM
I might take out a big credit loan and buy bitcoin,

 Huh

All the smart people are getting out. Bitcoin is dead.
Can you people seriously not see it?
This is the 6th year and it's going nowhere. It already had its peak and it failed.

I think you misunderstand something. A shill is supposed to intelligently denigrate bitcoin, or, stupidly talk it up. It seems you do the opposite. You should really be on a bitcoin enthusiast's payroll.

Edit: On second thought, maybe you are. I have to sharpen my mind tonight.



676. Post 9329864 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: cbeast on October 25, 2014, 01:39:38 PM
When the panic buys come and there is no Mt Gox to sell fractional reserve coins, how much faster will the price rise?

Interesting angle.




677. Post 9349764 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on October 27, 2014, 04:24:53 PM
Finally going up or nah  Roll Eyes

going up, just slow progress

a very very slow movement, but what creates movement in bitcoin Huh i still dont get it.

Nothing creates movement in bitcoin. The bitcoin simply is, and we are the ones that move.

I figure all the excitement will most likely happen in a week a half.  The reason?  I will be in India for two weeks on a mission trip with very little access to computers and no time to really go online at all.  It will be an epic rally for sure!  Cheesy  
Good luck converting those evil Hindus to Christianity.

You might be happy to know I am not going to "convert" anyone.  Mostly doing humanitarian work, putting in water wells in villages, hosting a medical camp with food and clothing for a village of people suffering from leprosy, visiting an orphanage and bringing clothing, food to a home for the elderly there.  We are also hosting the first ever conference for Dalit women.  These women will all be Christian already, so no "conversions."  But my goal is to encourage them and tell them that they have value in the midst of a culture that does not always value women and especially the lowest women in the caste system.

Funny that Christians get condemned for being the ones paying their own way to go on trips like these.  The world desperately needs compassion but compassion begins with the love God puts in our hearts for others I believe.



The population of India is around 2% Christian. Is the prerequisite of you helping someone in India that they are Christian? Seems weird that statistically the chance of you helping people who are all Christians in India is infinitesimally small. Religious discrimination?

Chance of helping 1 person in India and they are Christian. 1/50
Chance of helping 2 people in India and they are both Christian. 1/2500
Chance of helping 3 people in India and they are all Christian. 1/125000
Chance of helping 4 people in India and they are all Christian. 1/6250000
Chance of helping 5 people in India and they are all Christian. 1/312500000

I am going to be partnering with a Christian organization that is already established there.  They have started colleges to provide education and work opportunities for women that were sold into sex slavery.  Also, there are the wives of the village church pastors that will be attending this conference along with the women in the college.  It is very exiting for these women from the villages because many of them have never been to anything like this.  A retreat where all expenses are paid for them is a luxury beyond anything they have ever experienced. Why does it bother you so much that I am going to do this anyways?

Great job, this planet could use more people like you.

A greedy mentally ill psycho who's only reason to help these people is to be able to constantly bring it up in conversations to convince people what a good person she is.
She is helping shit in India. She and the sect she works with will do some praying and feed some FELLOW christians.
People like her are extremely intolerant against non christians. 
Not a christian? No help for you. Convert first.

Talking about money and convincing people what an amazing christian person she is is all that freak show does. It's sick.

The world needs like people like her. Way fucking less. She disgusts me on so many levels.

She's helping people who could use it.
It's infinitely better than posting negative comments on some traderforum, like you.
Here is another insight; Evil people are evil, and some like to use the vessel of religion to channel their evil ways. Doesn't make the basic ideas in religion bad, just those people. Good luck in life, it seems you're going to need it.

She's helping nobody but herself. If anything it's because she thinks she will go to heaven for doing this.
Nothing but selfish reasons are involved.

She is helping herself to have a good life, connected to the people around her. It is the good form of egoism.



678. Post 9380038 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: Mervyn_Pumpkinhead on October 30, 2014, 10:13:51 AM
I used to think that BTC will experience at least one more bubble before it's final demise, but it doesn't look like it anymore.

I think that the fall of bitcoin will be caused mainly by one of it's biggest flaws - inefficient new coin creation. The bitcoin network has become too expensive to run, and it needs more and more new money to enter, just to sustain it's value. If not enough new money will enter, then mining will start to eat the dollar value of bitcoin. Some miners are claiming that they will temporary cover the losses and wait for better times to sell. Some of them outright lie to support the positive sentiment and some of them actually can cover their losses for a limited time. This also means that their coins will be accumulating together with their losses. This is only building up to an avalanche where the miners can't cover their losses anymore and they have to sell their coins to whatever the price that they can get. When this happens, then the amount of coins that will be thrown at the market will be large enough to destroy any trust that bitcoin still had left.
Cryptocurrencies will live on, but new and better models will take over that have solved the important problems that bitcoin has.
replace bitcoin with government and miners with banks and you'll be spot on.


I don't care much about anti-government agendas and other expressions of teenage rebellion. I care about finding a practical financial tool, that can be used to develop both the finance and the economy. Bitcoin was the first to show that open-sourced monetary systems can be done, and I am thankful for that. But sadly, bitcoin the currency just isn't advanced enough to be used as a practical tool. The blockchain technology can be used as a practical tool to implement into new and better currencies, and the idea of bitcoin can be used as an source of inspiration for new cryptographic innovations.

Bitcoin the currency itself, is just a slot machine, that is shrouded with virtuous looking illusions. People with gambling problems can create a narrative to their spouses, that they are in fact "investors in an highly innovative technological project". That's the intriguing narrative that gets the permission to use the family's life savings on this "new and world changing project". The sad thing is, that if they can't see how it's really just a slot machine, then they can't also see that the machine is rigged to create profit for the house - the biggest holders of coin, and the people who run the unregulated exchanges. They have the power to raise or lower the price as they see fit, while having private information about their customers trading methods and habits.
A practical currency should be unattractive for speculative play, so gamblers who cause instability would stay away. A practical currency should be attractive to merchants, and without the need of middlemen like BitPay who take profit for offering stability. The technology can be used to make money efficient  and cheap (the cost of maintaining the monetary system). Bitcoin the currency is far from realizing the potential, and as long as the core devs aren't considering changing PoW mining and fixed coin supply, then I just can't see a way for that to change.

You haven't seen the light, man!



679. Post 9388799 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: janos666 on October 30, 2014, 09:09:30 PM
Good bids @Bitfinex = ppl want to close shorts ASAP ?  Grin


 Total sum of active swaps   11,784.20 BTC


ehh, that´s not so good, it means that all buys(or a lot of them) in fact were actually shorts that have been closed...
We had about 18000+ before

So, some impatient traders closed their shorts on Bitfinex via rapid market buys rather than slow fishing?

I am really mad at them because they triggered my stop order just a few minutes before I could move the stop price lower as I planned. And now I need to figure out my next move instead of simply waiting for a dump party or to get "stopped" by a real rally. I think it could have been better for all of us if this didn't happen the way it did.

Stop loss order = they pull the rug under me order.



680. Post 9388821 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: spooderman on October 30, 2014, 10:21:56 PM
wtf is a mtgox?

You dtf (don't the fuck) know? That's bullish!



681. Post 9389079 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

A 1:1 pegged sidecoin. Let say it is pegged in such a way that all bitcoins can be moved to scBTC (or none). There will always be a difference in value, due to the different qualities of the two coins. We have discussed the possibility of higher value, in which case all bitcoins will be converted, effectively it becomes an altcoin that takes over.

If the value is smaller, due to the peg, the number of coins converted will be small. Because receivers of sxBTC, when they have accumulated more than is needed, will move them back. The smallness of this volume may limit the number of scBTC to the degree that it is a complete failure. So in case of lower value, it is just like a random scamcoin, and thus no threat to bitcoin, nor especially advantageous for the users.

The reason that a sidecoin might be less valueable, is that it has to have better qualities in the areas where bitcoin could have been better: transaction cost, anonymity, and confirmation speed, but it also have to be just as good as bitcoin, or better, in all other areas.

And no, expandable coin number, keynesian style, is not better than bitcoin's eventually fixed supply.

I am not concerned.

EDIT: This should have been posted in the gold collapsing thread...



682. Post 9391525 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: spooderman on October 31, 2014, 05:05:16 AM
Will there only ever be 21 million checks?

Will there be only one cryptocoin?
Will there ever be only one internet?

Ugh Jorge. I didn't know you responded to me but people will insist on quoting you driving me to respond to your idiocy.

Yes there is more than one cryptocoin.

I started one today with the exact same code as bitcoin but with one difference, it's called bitcoin2.

It has a network difficulty of 1 and is completely useless.

But yes let us pretend that network strength is not a factor. You've been "intellectually trolling" us here for a year or so, almost gaining hero status, but have failed to learn/acknowledge the most simple elements of what bitcoin is, what cryptocurrencies are, and what the relevant factors are in their utility and reliability.

The answer to Jorge is yes, for all practical purposes there will be only one cryptocoin, which is bitcoin.



683. Post 9391595 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: mooncake on October 31, 2014, 05:14:06 AM
Will there only ever be 21 million checks?

Will there be only one cryptocoin?
Will there ever be only one internet?

This is really an interesting question. What is stopping the creation of Internet 2, Internet 3, and so on?

And yes, this question is really answering to the previous question, similar to the other thread on "Answering the question with another question".  Grin

Don't forget history. The Internet is the name of the current cluster of interconnected local nets based on the internet protocol. Before the Internet, there were a dozen networks, not called internets, but which had the same potential and aspiration of being global. Also, Gates wanted to make a distinct  internet built on the internet protocol, but that didn't work out. The current Internet grew organically among competing nets to be omnipotent. It will stay like that for the immediate future.




684. Post 9393664 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Just wanted to mention that my new house is completed:




685. Post 9406432 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on November 01, 2014, 04:12:50 PM


Is it OK to sell a bitcoin below the current already low price to somebody. Or, do you supply letters of indulgance?



686. Post 9406805 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: r0ach on November 01, 2014, 08:04:39 PM
and the attractiveness of BTC as an investment cannot be growing

I made a pretty solid case that if BTC does not go below previous ATH levels, which most people don't expect it to do, that BTC has already entered savings account level of interest rates (5%ish per year) in a bad case scenario where the price only remains stagnant but BTC keeps on surviving:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=837260.msg9353457#msg9353457

Wtf? There is only one ATH, and we will almost always be below it.



687. Post 9413401 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: octaft on November 01, 2014, 10:14:14 PM
Bitcoin is great and all, but my biggest mistake is finding this thread.
All that endless yapping from the trolls with some sort of Messiah complex, trying to save us poor souls. Some of them even having a "Academic" complex.

Yawn.

Personally, I appreciate Jorge's analysis, and encourage him to continue it. If you don't like it, put him on ignore and leave it at that.

No, there is a choice: ignore OR argue.




688. Post 9413434 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: janos666 on November 01, 2014, 11:23:48 PM
Ignoring people because they have different opinions than yours is the reason you holders are losing money every day, while people like me who are able to consider other peoples points of view cut their losses long ago.

I'll be listening for the butthurt to ratchet up a notch once we get sub 300. Shouldn't be long now. This train is off the rails.

It's impossible to lose money if you don't sell.

That argument is usually used by gamblers. Even if you don't sell, what matters is how much that bitcoins are worth now compared when you bought. So if you bought higher you are losing money. The past is over and you don't know what will happen in the future, the only thing that counts is the present.

Yes. It's called unrealized loss.

And let's not forget that 1 BTC will always worth 1 BTC Grin

So it is a question of losing value, not money.



689. Post 9413669 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: BitAddict on November 02, 2014, 01:02:35 AM

Highers transactions means more users, but if they are not willing to buy then it doesn't mean price will go up. People like to invest when price is going up, and when they look last year chart they get scared as fuck. This users will probably buy, but they will feel the real urge to buy when bitcoin is 2x or 3x over ATH because bitcoin will be "cool again" and they won't want to "miss the train".
And I'm also convinced it is growing faster because people are sending more bitcoins to exchanges and expending them, adding more selling pressure.

I think bitcoin will have a shiny future, but it will need time to develop, maybe 6, 12 or 18 months. It is not magically goin to rally like lot of people think here.

but what if higher transactions translates to more coins being bought off exchange?

that sound like a pretty bullish scenario would you not agree?

What?
Are you telling me if Satoshi comes and dumps off exchange 1 million bitcoins would be bullish for the price because lot of people would be buying?

When you sell something in the other side there is a buyer... that's granted. But what matters is sellers to buyers ratio. If you have more sellers price go down...
That's pretty simple, dude...

To elaborate, just for fun: It depends. Imagine two actors, one has a car, and the other has 10 coins. The  coin owner might think the car is worth more for him, and want to buy it. The other might think the car is worth less than 10 coins, and want to sell, in which case there will be a trade.

Note that the car owner can use cars as a unit of account, asking himself whether the coins are worth more than a car, or less than a car. It is the same, and it is important to know that the value of money is decided in the market just like other goods.

Now the important point. After the trade, the situation can be exactly the same, only the individual actors are different. One holds a car, the other one holds the coins. The value in the market for both of those things should be the same. But if the new car-holder thinks, after the trade, that now is the time to earn some new coins to repair his cash balance, and coin owner is happy holding his, the value of the coins have to go up and therefore the value of the car goes down (all things on the market other than money, really). Opposite, if the new car owner is happy with his situation, and the new coin owner sets out to spend his coins as fast as possible, the value of the coins should go down.

Now the really important point: This change of value of the money and the useful goods could happen without the trade, it is the actors' individual valuation, in aggregate that matters. That is why actual trade with money does not change it's value directly (indirectly there are lots of avenues for more transactions to lead to higher value, but that is beside the point).




690. Post 9415962 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on November 02, 2014, 12:49:58 PM
Price goes down very slowly... hope that something happen and price will rise up because price is too much low now  Angry

Don't worry. It'll go up eventually and when it does you'll be smiling you 'survived' this bearmarket.
Even all the trolls in here want it to go up once they buy in. They just don't want you to know.

Why will it eventually go up?
Why do so many here act like that is a fact, like it's guaranteed.

You should have learnt by now. Anyway, here is one argument: Generally, money value flows to the most liquid money type, if everything else is equal. It's not, fiat like USD is currently better in that it is accepted everywhere, or said otherwise, it is more easy to convert USD to something else of value, than bitcoin. Despite this, value flows from USD to bitcoin, increasing value of bitcoin and reducing (currently marginally) that of USD. The effect of this flow is that afterwards, bitcoin has gained usefulness, meaning that next year (month, day), the flow is enforced. The end game is that bitcoin takes over all value. It is the only possible outcome.




691. Post 9416068 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 02, 2014, 07:44:41 PM
Price goes down very slowly... hope that something happen and price will rise up because price is too much low now  Angry

Don't worry. It'll go up eventually and when it does you'll be smiling you 'survived' this bearmarket.
Even all the trolls in here want it to go up once they buy in. They just don't want you to know.

Why will it eventually go up?
Why do so many here act like that is a fact, like it's guaranteed.

You should have learnt by now. Anyway, here is one argument: Generally, money value flows to the most liquid money type, if everything else is equal. It's not, fiat like USD is currently better in that it is accepted everywhere, or said otherwise, it is more easy to convert USD to something else of value, than bitcoin. Despite this, value flows from USD to bitcoin, increasing value of bitcoin and reducing (currently marginally) that of USD. The effect of this flow is that afterwards, bitcoin has gained usefulness, meaning that next year (month, day), the flow is enforced. The end game is that bitcoin takes over all value. It is the only possible outcome.

Other than that throughout 2014, the flow has been from BTC to USD, you got a solid argument there Cheesy

You can not say it has gone up or down unless you at the same time choose a timeframe. You could easily select two year's timeframe. Going down this year is annoying, but it does not change the big picture.




692. Post 9416081 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: ravenjt on November 02, 2014, 07:50:17 PM
It is the only possible outcome.


!!!

Yep, three exclamation marks, that is what an event of biblical proportions mean. You could also say !!!!!!.
Smiley



693. Post 9416635 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: ravenjt on November 02, 2014, 07:54:16 PM
Erdogan you have just stated that bitcoin going to da moon is the only possible outcome.
You are delusional.

No, I just came back from the future. I have seen it, and it is true. Smiley



694. Post 9416725 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 02, 2014, 08:09:00 PM
Price goes down very slowly... hope that something happen and price will rise up because price is too much low now  Angry

Don't worry. It'll go up eventually and when it does you'll be smiling you 'survived' this bearmarket.
Even all the trolls in here want it to go up once they buy in. They just don't want you to know.

Why will it eventually go up?
Why do so many here act like that is a fact, like it's guaranteed.

You should have learnt by now. Anyway, here is one argument: Generally, money value flows to the most liquid money type, if everything else is equal. It's not, fiat like USD is currently better in that it is accepted everywhere, or said otherwise, it is more easy to convert USD to something else of value, than bitcoin. Despite this, value flows from USD to bitcoin, increasing value of bitcoin and reducing (currently marginally) that of USD. The effect of this flow is that afterwards, bitcoin has gained usefulness, meaning that next year (month, day), the flow is enforced. The end game is that bitcoin takes over all value. It is the only possible outcome.

Other than that throughout 2014, the flow has been from BTC to USD, you got a solid argument there Cheesy

You can not say it has gone up or down unless you at the same time choose a timeframe. You could easily select two year's timeframe. Going down this year is annoying, but it does not change the big picture.

If you are suggesting that since its inception (when its price was exactly zero), BTC had nowhere to go but up, I agree with you.  Buying it at zero would have been a no-brainer.  If, OTOH, you are suggesting I pick a timeframe which better supports your argument, the begging question is "why"?
According to your logic, the flow has been from USD->BTC.  But... then it wasn't, for close to a year now.  Explain this shit.

Trying: Bitcoin can not go up in a nice mathematical curve, whatever mathematical function. Assume an exponential function starting just after the genesis. Speculators see this and want to front run the appreciation. We get a bubble, then a burst. This happens at all scales. We have, in addition, external forces like scams and news. A mathematical appreciation is just not possible. The value has gone down since ATH last year, an unexpectedly long down period if you ask me, and it is annoying. What makes me believe still that is only an anomaly, is the other fundamental indicators, like general publicity, difficulty, advances in services and so on.





695. Post 9416888 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 02, 2014, 09:18:41 PM
...
Trying: Bitcoin can not go up in a nice mathematical curve, whatever mathematical function. Assume an exponential function starting just after the genesis.

Why?

Quote
Speculators see this and want to front run the appreciation. We get a bubble, then a burst. This happens at all scales.

Either this works for all coins, including my Utter_Shit_Clonecoin, or you have to explain yourself.  If universal, invest in my Utter_Shit_Clonecoin, because to the moon.

Quote
We have, in addition, external forces like scams and news. A mathematical appreciation is just not possible.


Then your "it's certain to go up" bit is nonsense, Q.E.D.



I think I argued well for the non-prettiness of the appreciation curve. There is no inconsistency. The appreciation for sure is in the long timeframe. How long is impossible to know, I did not think the bear market would last as long as it have. In retrospect, it turns out that five hundred and something days hoarding has historically guaranteed a gain (someone looked into that), but that of course does not guarantee anything for the future. We will see. Maybe two years is necessary to make sure there is a gain in saving.




696. Post 9416952 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 02, 2014, 09:32:30 PM
...Maybe two years is necessary to make sure there is a gain in saving.

No, you're missing the point.  There is no guarantee you will gain tomorrow, in a month, in two years, or ever.  Just like there is no guarantee you will loose all of your money.

Exactly what I said. How are we today?




697. Post 9427074 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: DeadCoin on November 03, 2014, 07:18:46 PM
Interesting how popularity of this forum is so correlated with the price.
Meaning, people are more interested in bitcoin while it is more expensive than while it's cheap. Isn't that ironic?

Does that mean they're not truly interested in bitcoin, but only in dollars?

They don't understand that in the minds of millions of users and potential users, the value grows as we speak, and this will be expressed on the exchanges when those people get their fingers out of their asses, and place bids.




698. Post 9450688 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 05, 2014, 08:36:06 PM
you "sound money" luddites

It's hilarious that the people promoting electronic, programmable virtual currency are the "Luddites" in your mind Cheesy


The expression "sound money" was appropriated by goldbugs--the ones who want to go back to the gold standard.  It has nothing to do with electronic, programmable currency currently inflating @~10% per year.

Always happy to educate.


@macsga: I'll see what I can do.

It has everything to do with bitcoin. It is the main thing.



699. Post 9450721 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: raid_n on November 05, 2014, 10:12:54 PM
Math is limitless, that's the beauty of it.  Unlike Bitcoin's inflation, which is algorithmically predetermined, fiat inflation can be adjusted as needed.

I also can't tell you how many BTC will exist on July 17, 2017.
Learn how Bitcoin works Smiley

I'm pretty sure I know how it works.  You may not be able to predict the exact number, but the math restricts it to a pretty small range.  I'm pretty sure that no such math exists for CNY.

Inflation is never needed.  It is a tax that, for all intents and purposes, is paid only by the poor.

EDIT: Hey, notice how I was able to make my point w/o including a picture of ponies?  You should strive to emulate that kind of self-restraint Wink


I'm sorry if I have to break it for you guys but there is no "math" that limits the number of bitcoins.
You need to stop thinking about bitcoin as some mathematical absolute that has been discovered by satoshi.
It is more or less just a statement made in code that everyone agrees with.

money substitutes, debt? The base money is limited. Please explain your stance.



700. Post 9451955 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 05, 2014, 11:00:07 PM
you "sound money" luddites

It's hilarious that the people promoting electronic, programmable virtual currency are the "Luddites" in your mind Cheesy


The expression "sound money" was appropriated by goldbugs--the ones who want to go back to the gold standard.  It has nothing to do with electronic, programmable currency currently inflating @~10% per year.

Always happy to educate.


@macsga: I'll see what I can do.

It has everything to do with bitcoin. It is the main thing.


Bitcoin is a clumsy throwback to the gold standard days.  The rest of the world has long since discovered the benefits of elastic money supply--benefits proven both empirically and through the works of John Maynard Keynes, the father of modern economics.

Bitcoiners, gold bugs and other Austrian School vandals now wish to destroy decades of economic progress, thrusting the world back into pre-Keynesian economic darkness.

Luddites Angry

You have to read more. When elasticity is needed, the market will compensate with expanding the credit.

Anyway, we (the sound money supporters) are going to prove, in a world scale experiment, that it works and it fixes the main problems of the monetary policy of today (the zero interest rate policy and the expanding money supply), namely wealth distribution from savers to bankers and loaners, and waste of capital through bad investments.





701. Post 9452164 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 06, 2014, 01:16:52 AM
THIS is what Bitcoin is. The ability of Random Matrix Math to solve the human greed factor. The flaw is not the money. It's US.
People often suggest there is a greater "Math" behind why bitcoin is limited in supply.
Basically it is a few lines of code in the protocol an the fact that the majority of miners and users follow that protocol.
It is horribly trivial to change the supply of bitcoin to an arbitrary amount if there was enough backing by the community for it.
Saying it is impossible to change is having a fundamental misunderstanding of how or why bitcoin works
What you say may be true. But bitcoin's value proposition lies in those few lines of code. And that is why they will never be changed.

Bitcoin was meant to be an e-payment method (decentralized, trutless, etc.).  A fixed bitcoin supply is not necessary for that goal.  Indeed, bitcoin is being used in that role, in spite of still having 10%/year inflation (and even higher in the past).  And dollars and euros work fine as payment methods, in spite of their "horrendous" 1-2%/year inflation rate.

Thus, the argument that "raising the emission limit would destroy the value of bitcoin" does not sound convincing.  Hoarders would be very unhappy, of course.  Miners, however, may someday find it advantageous, especially by the time they are expected do depend on transaction fees instead of block rewards.  Block reward is steady and predictable, whereas fees depend on transaction volume -- which will probably shrink substantially if fees became mandatory.   People who use bitcoin for payments may not care, or may prefer block rewards because they provides "free" transactions.

It has been argued that, if some miners tried to change the protocol, the rest of the network would stick to the old one.  However, this correction mechanism has never been tested, and it seems difficult to predict what would happen, in all possible scenarios.  (After all, it was "proved", with the same certainty, that altcoins would die as soon as they were born.)  What if those "some miners" had 70% of the hash rate?  What if a large subset of the users became convinced that the change was necessary for the health of the network, or got some immediate benefit from it (such as no-fee transactions)? What if payment processors and merchants accepted only the "new" bitcoin?  

(By the way, some bitcoiners seem to be trying to convince people to adopt bitcoin by telling them that money sucks.  I sense a problem with that marketing strategy: it seems that many people have used money sometime in their lives, and may even have enjoyed the experience -- unlikely as that may sound.  Wink)

It would still be sound money, if the supply was expanding forever. As long as it is predefined, it does not matter. More money to the miners, but that will only make it the mining effort more costly. Since it is predetermined, future payments and interest rate will be adjusted with the inflation rate. So since it does not matter, it is more straightforward to have a fixed supply.

You could argue that loss of coins and expanding population could make prices more stable with a small inflation rate, but I prefer fixed supply, it feels more sane, sound and solid. We have to live with changes in prices anyway, it is an intrinsic trait to an organic economy.







702. Post 9457977 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: MrPiggles on November 06, 2014, 05:24:05 AM


for a maths professor jorge isn't very good at maths, lol

Exactly, because he believes not having coins is the same as having zero coins. What a delusion.
Smiley

He is also a bad not economics professor.
SmileySmiley



703. Post 9458017 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: 79b79aa8d5047da6d3XX on November 06, 2014, 06:08:30 AM
Hoarding is simply the same as saving. Savings are what makes capitalism a viable economic model. Inflation is a stealth tax from those who have last use of new money (the poor, middle class) to the pockets of those who have first use of new money (the banks, wealthy, government).

It is not quite so simple. Standard economists worry that if inflation becomes too low (or if there is deflation), incentive to hoard increases and incentive to invest drops, which could lead to negative growth, the bête noire of capitalism.



We don't give the fuck about standard economists here!



704. Post 9458061 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: Wekkel on November 06, 2014, 07:30:07 AM
Hoarding is simply the same as saving. Savings are what makes capitalism a viable economic model. Inflation is a stealth tax from those who have last use of new money (the poor, middle class) to the pockets of those who have first use of new money (the banks, wealthy, government).

It is not quite so simple. Standard economists worry that if inflation becomes too low (or if there is deflation), incentive to hoard increases and incentive to invest drops, which could lead to negative growth, the bête noire of capitalism.



The situation you refer to is only possible in a domain where there is an artificially enforced monopoly on the money supply, e.g. central bank, totalitarian capital controls, etc.

Free markets rapidly fill shortages of goods, monetary or otherwise, and correct mispricing.

Can't let that happen, can we?

In Estonia, which was totally fucked up for a decennium or so, got a new money system after the fall of the Soviet Union, they had no money to subsidize, so they started with essentially a free market. It took 3 weeks to eviscerate all goods shortages. Heard it on Tom Woods show, I am too lazy to give a more accurate reference.



705. Post 9458119 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: 79b79aa8d5047da6d3XX on November 06, 2014, 06:08:30 AM
Hoarding is simply the same as saving. Savings are what makes capitalism a viable economic model. Inflation is a stealth tax from those who have last use of new money (the poor, middle class) to the pockets of those who have first use of new money (the banks, wealthy, government).

It is not quite so simple. Standard economists worry that if inflation becomes too low (or if there is deflation), incentive to hoard increases and incentive to invest drops, which could lead to negative growth, the bête noire of capitalism.



The free market will produce extended saving in money (and therefore lowering prices) only when it is called for, that is, only when investments were too high in the preceding period.

What we have now, is that the decision to save, to invest, or to consume is taken away from the citizens, because the masters think that they can decide better (And the sheep does not see what is happening).

Re: 6 new railways in China, Ghost cities, Olympic stadiums, bridges to nowhere.



706. Post 9458213 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: mmitech on November 06, 2014, 12:05:23 PM
The way Winklevoss failed (hilariously BTW) at Money 2020 represents the way the average Bitcoiner act when trying to solve "problems", how fucking stupid is explaining what is money to thousands of payments experts at such an event ?!!!  some Bitcoiners think that they are experts about a subject they have no fucking Idea about or minimum knowledge, they go from ignorance to a minimum knowledge about something then they just go full retard and act like experts on the subject...which is really annoying.


Wait - I am one of those fucking experts, and Krugman knows nothing.




707. Post 9458240 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: spooderman on November 06, 2014, 12:07:50 PM
I assume that 95-99% of this forum would not have heard of bitcoin if the emission would have been infinite from the beginning. satoshis incentive design for bitcoin is from an economics perspective the schumpeterian wet dream for raising awareness for an invention.

For all I know, computer types were first attracted to bitcoin for the pleasure of helping to test a smart solution to an old technical problem.  Then libertarians got interested because they saw in bitcoin a way to build an economy independent of  government and banks.  Then drug users and sellers adopted it as a way to pay for drugs without the DEA knowledge (so they thought).  At some point, others noticed the value going up like crazy, and bought into it as a get-filthy-rich-quick scheme.

I suspect that a majority of the people in this forum are from the latter group.  The finite supply of bitcoins is important only for that group, because it is part of the argument that "proves" that the price will be astronomical one day.  But it is not essential, even to them; that argument would have been only a little less convincing if the supply was programmed to increase 5%/year, forever.  So much so, that they are not bothered by the current 5-10% inflation rate.


YOU ARE CORRECT

That is all you know, despite everyone pouring knowledge and superior understandings unto your black hole of an existence.

Now can everyone stop feeding this cunt please?

+1



708. Post 9458346 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 06, 2014, 12:55:12 PM
... (Otherwise he could have pre-mined a few thousand blocks in advance, in secret, and use them later to steal other people's bitcoins.) ...
hhmmm? and how on Earth would he do that ?
He posts the genesis block of the secret chain, without the headline, mines a million bitcoins, and spends them all to buy a pizza and a coke.  The pizza parlor waits, say, six confirmations before delivering the pizza.  At that time the chain is N blocks long.  Then he posts the first N+1 blocks of the secret blockchain, according to which his million coins were not paid to the parlor, but just moved to another address of his own.  This chain is adopted by the network, since it is one block longer than the legitimate one.  Now he has a pizza and a coke, and still has all of his million bitcoins; whereas the parlor's address is now  empty.

That is an altcoin.



709. Post 9458377 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: flynn on November 06, 2014, 01:14:17 PM
... (Otherwise he could have pre-mined a few thousand blocks in advance, in secret, and use them later to steal other people's bitcoins.) ...
hhmmm? and how on Earth would he do that ?
He posts the genesis block of the secret chain, without the headline, mines a million bitcoins, and spends them all to buy a pizza and a coke.  The pizza parlor waits, say, six confirmations before delivering the pizza.  At that time the chain is N blocks long.  Then he posts the first N+1 blocks of the secret blockchain, according to which his million coins were not paid to the parlor, but just moved to another address of his own.  This chain is adopted by the network, since it is one block longer than the legitimate one.  Now he has a pizza and a coke, and still has all of his million bitcoins; whereas the parlor's address is now  empty.


You realize that

1- after 6 confirmations, the pizza is cold

2- after 6 confirmations from other parties, your precious premined blocks are useless and won't be accepted anymore by the blockchain, never, ever ? Unless you're trying to say that he would make some sort of 51% attack forcing his blocks in the chain, publicly ruining the whole project for the gain of a pizza ...



3 - at the end of the blockchain, everyone here is dead. (Keynes).




710. Post 9458417 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on November 06, 2014, 02:56:38 PM

There's no such thing as a "natural monopoly". Monopolies were created by governments and do not arise in the free market absent government intervention. One of the things I love about Bitcoin is how it validates Austrian Economic theory to the consternation of more conventional economic theorists. Look, even electric companies face competition, even when there are no economies of scale to run redundant power lines. There is alternative forms of power generation and substitutes. So it is not just direct or even indirect competition that restrains dominant market players but just the threat of potential competition.

What happens is that the moment a dominant market players begins to charge higher than free market prices, the competitors begin to come online. You can be the 800 pound gorilla in the room only as long as you act like you are not one.

To spell that out:

4 big miners is not a monopoly, as long as everyone is free to mine.
3 big miners is not a monopoly, as long as everyone is free to mine.
2 big miners is not a monopoly, as long as everyone is free to mine.
1 gigantic miner is not a monopoly, as long as everyone is free to mine.

1000 miners is a monopoly, if some dominator outlaws mining and gives privileges to those 1000 miners.



711. Post 9458525 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 06, 2014, 04:39:29 PM
...
On the contrary, Good Professor. It's Statist who conflate "regulated" with "state-regulated". Regulation is too important to be left to governments. It's in the economic best interest of industries to self-regulate when they are not tempted to externalize costs with the help of the State.

And the difference between "no regulation" and "self-regulation" is?

Underwriter Laboratories is a good example. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UL_%28safety_organization%29 Industries are incentivized to adopt standard best practices.

I asked for the difference between self-regulation and no regulation.
You gave me a link to this:
"UL is one of several companies approved to perform safety testing by the US federal agency Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA)."
I'd like an answer, not a non-sequitur.


In your factory fire example, you need to understand that employers face competition for labor the same way workers face competition for jobs. A worker would choose to work in a safe workplace, all things else being equal. Farmers were maiming themselves with their own machinery in their own fields at the same time, but no government rescue there. Why? Because maybe a factory fire makes a good story. You need a bad guy for conflict and drama. To argue that workplace safety is a constant tension between higher productivity and safety until new practices and technology ratchet the standards higher is kind of boring.

Yes, hungry girls will work unsafe, degrading jobs because need trumps everything else.  What point are you trying to make?  That we should return to the Triangle Shirtwaist Factory days?  Sweatshops?  Child labor?  
Or are you asking for greater regulation of farm equipment safety?

Self regulation is a standard, set by producers, maybe in the form of a free association, where each producer can freely choose to follow the standard or not. Self regulation sometimes succeeds in producing good quality products or products that interoperate well, because the customers in the market want it, too, thereby expanding the market.




712. Post 9459041 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 06, 2014, 05:11:13 PM
...
On the contrary, Good Professor. It's Statist who conflate "regulated" with "state-regulated". Regulation is too important to be left to governments. It's in the economic best interest of industries to self-regulate when they are not tempted to externalize costs with the help of the State.

And the difference between "no regulation" and "self-regulation" is?

Underwriter Laboratories is a good example. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UL_%28safety_organization%29 Industries are incentivized to adopt standard best practices.

I asked for the difference between self-regulation and no regulation.
You gave me a link to this:
"UL is one of several companies approved to perform safety testing by the US federal agency Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA)."
I'd like an answer, not a non-sequitur.


In your factory fire example, you need to understand that employers face competition for labor the same way workers face competition for jobs. A worker would choose to work in a safe workplace, all things else being equal. Farmers were maiming themselves with their own machinery in their own fields at the same time, but no government rescue there. Why? Because maybe a factory fire makes a good story. You need a bad guy for conflict and drama. To argue that workplace safety is a constant tension between higher productivity and safety until new practices and technology ratchet the standards higher is kind of boring.

Yes, hungry girls will work unsafe, degrading jobs because need trumps everything else.  What point are you trying to make?  That we should return to the Triangle Shirtwaist Factory days?  Sweatshops?  Child labor?  
Or are you asking for greater regulation of farm equipment safety?

Self regulation is a standard, set by producers, maybe in the form of a free association, where each producer can freely choose to follow the standard or not. Self regulation sometimes succeeds in producing good quality products or products that interoperate well, because the customers in the market want it, too, thereby expanding the market.

Self-regulation, in practice, gave us the likes of Triangle Shirtwaist Factories.  When self-regulation failed, governments stepped in.  Stifling productivity/economic growth is in no one's interest. Your government can't tax you on the money you don't make.
More recent (and lulzy) example of Bitcoin businesses practicing self-regulation:


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=521520.msg9451926#msg9451926

*Not even mentioning all the Bitcoin "businesses" self-regulating on Havelock, CryptoStocks and other self-regulated "securities exchanges"--that's a whole other bundle of lel.

It was the government who hung up the moon too, I heard it on the Alex Jones show.



713. Post 9459777 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: BitChick on November 06, 2014, 06:27:45 PM
I am off to India!  Smiley  I might have some Wifi while there so I can check in perhaps.  At least Emirites has free Wifi for the flight.

Don't miss me too much!  Cheesy

Good luck. Tell them about bitcoin!



714. Post 9459824 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 06, 2014, 06:54:11 PM
... (Otherwise he could have pre-mined a few thousand blocks in advance, in secret, and use them later to steal other people's bitcoins.) ...
hhmmm? and how on Earth would he do that ?
He posts the genesis block of the secret chain, without the headline, mines a million bitcoins, and spends them all to buy a pizza and a coke.  The pizza parlor waits, say, six confirmations before delivering the pizza.  At that time the chain is N blocks long.  Then he posts the first N+1 blocks of the secret blockchain, according to which his million coins were not paid to the parlor, but just moved to another address of his own.  This chain is adopted by the network, since it is one block longer than the legitimate one.  Now he has a pizza and a coke, and still has all of his million bitcoins; whereas the parlor's address is now  empty.
That is an altcoin.

No: if it starts with the same genesis block, and is longer, that blockchain is bitcoin, by definition; and the blocks in the other (legitimate) branch are orphan blocks, ignored.

[...]

Correction: That is an orphaned chain.



715. Post 9459870 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: oda.krell on November 06, 2014, 06:58:50 PM
It's not the buying of drugs online that puzzles me. Seems to beat the alternative of having to deal with potentially hazardous interactions with drug dealers on the street.

What escapes me is how they solve the problem of having to provide a shipping address at some point. That seems like the real weak point to me, as a buyer. (Yes, I know, PO boxes exist, but to my knowledge, renting one usually requires some form of ID).

Anyone knows how the actual customers solve this dilemma? Hoping they stay below the threshold for being targeted by LE?

P2P solution: Thousands of trucks driving all over the place, dropping off packets at random houses, and picking up packets, until a packet by luck some day comes to the right customer.





716. Post 9484846 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Trading works. A trader can be successful, and what is needed, is to be able to anticipate the future. This is the basis of free market capitalism. If you are good at anticipating, you win, if you are bad, you lose. If you consistently lose, you are out out of the game and your capital is transferred to others, who are better. This is how all investing works, and what is to be anticipated, when all is said and done, is the demand for the different consumer goods. If you are good, you take part in forming the capital structure to produce the most consumer goods with the best balance between the different types of consumer goods.

What we the traders and holders do, is to increase the value of bitcoins, therefore we direct capital to the miners, who build the magnificent bitcoin mining network, and to the service companies. We anticipate that this is advantageous for traders of all goods and services, and therefore ultimately advantageous for the consumers.

The method we use to predict, is not important. Charting, fundamentals, logic or feelings, it does not matter any more than the reasons a gene has, when it chooses to mutate into a variant. It doesn't choose, in fact it does nothing consciously, because it has not the capability to think, but still a gene's code  can either adapt and prosper, or die.

Just as with the genes in the nature, you can never declare a final winner. You can declare a tentative winner, by sampling the world's gene pool and find the gene which is most numerous.

In investing, your status is always temporary. You may have a lot of value at a certain point, but the asset that you own, can depreciate. You can sell out, but then you have money, which can still depreciate. And your competitor might in the mean time find a winner asset that appreciate more than your's. That is why capitalists sometimes say, the one who has the most when he dies, wins. But death is also not definitive, because a fortune can outlive one individual, and living a prosperous life in your own psychical understanding of that concept, is also on the scale.

In bitcoin, it is difficult to predict, because it is a fundamentally new thing, and the liquidity on the market is not known. Liquidity here is the ease with which you can sell, or convert to other money or goods. The daytraders or other traders buy and sell, but in the long term they hold, on average, a number of coins which is not changing, and thus does not add real liquidity. You would think that you could easily sell 30K coins over a few weeks, when the daily trade volume is hundreds of thousands of coins. But apparently, that didn't work. The guy with 30K coins might think, when the price was 600, that his wealth was equal to 18 mill USD. But because of low liquidity, he could not convert at that price. Who could have known? Well now we know.

Daytraders could in theory take advantage of the resulting volatility, but they could not know what was in the head of the 30K seller, when and how much he would sell. It is not good enough to know afterwards, you have to know in advance, and I propose that nobody can know the daily variations.

Therefore a daytrader, as opposed to a long time, fundamentalist trader, can not know what he is doing, and his decisions are random, and produce random wins and losses. Now the big point: To be a daytrader, you have to sometimes have fiat, sometimes bitcoin, and sometimes a mix. So when there is a general uptrend, the daytrader is overall only half invested. A long time holder is fully invested. Therefore, a daytrader can not win as much as a holder. In a downtrend he will lose less, but in the long run, we will not have a downtrend. That is the holders prediction.




717. Post 9485041 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: bassclef on November 09, 2014, 05:08:09 AM
If a trader can properly apply the tools at his disposal (charts, indicators, candles) to predict supply versus demand in any given timeframe, he can profit even if he is right only part of the time. This is the easy part.

He must not only know the market in which he is trading, but he must know himself well enough to not let emotional baggage affect his decisions. To him, a bull market feels the same as a bear market. There is no joy or despair, only opportunity. The true challenge a trader faces is himself.

He must have the courage to confidently enter a position and exit quickly if he's wrong. He must not think too much or pontificate about a profit or mourn a loss.

Hamlet said it well: "...for there is nothing either good or bad, but thinking makes it so."

The sociopath trader - I don't buy it.




718. Post 9487345 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: Wekkel on November 09, 2014, 06:42:12 AM
Trading works. A trader can be successful, and what is needed, is to be able to anticipate the future. This is the basis of free market capitalism. If you are good at anticipating, you win, if you are bad, you lose. If you consistently lose, you are out out of the game and your capital is transferred to others, who are better. This is how all investing works, and what is to be anticipated, when all is said and done, is the demand for the different consumer goods. If you are good, you take part in forming the capital structure to produce the most consumer goods with the best balance between the different types of consumer goods.

What we the traders and holders do, is to increase the value of bitcoins, therefore we direct capital to the miners, who build the magnificent bitcoin mining network, and to the service companies. We anticipate that this is advantageous for traders of all goods and services, and therefore ultimately advantageous for the consumers.

The method we use to predict, is not important. Charting, fundamentals, logic or feelings, it does not matter any more than the reasons a gene has, when it chooses to mutate into a variant. It doesn't choose, in fact it does nothing consciously, because it has not the capability to think, but still a gene's code  can either adapt and prosper, or die.

Just as with the genes in the nature, you can never declare a final winner. You can declare a tentative winner, by sampling the world's gene pool and find the gene which is most numerous.

In investing, your status is always temporary. You may have a lot of value at a certain point, but the asset that you own, can depreciate. You can sell out, but then you have money, which can still depreciate. And your competitor might in the mean time find a winner asset that appreciate more than your's. That is why capitalists sometimes say, the one who has the most when he dies, wins. But death is also not definitive, because a fortune can outlive one individual, and living a prosperous life in your own psychical understanding of that concept, is also on the scale.

In bitcoin, it is difficult to predict, because it is a fundamentally new thing, and the liquidity on the market is not known. Liquidity here is the ease with which you can sell, or convert to other money or goods. The daytraders or other traders buy and sell, but in the long term they hold, on average, a number of coins which is not changing, and thus does not add real liquidity. You would think that you could easily sell 30K coins over a few weeks, when the daily trade volume is hundreds of thousands of coins. But apparently, that didn't work. The guy with 30K coins might think, when the price was 600, that his wealth was equal to 18 mill USD. But because of low liquidity, he could not convert at that price. Who could have known? Well now we know.

Daytraders could in theory take advantage of the resulting volatility, but they could not know what was in the head of the 30K seller, when and how much he would sell. It is not good enough to know afterwards, you have to know in advance, and I propose that nobody can know the daily variations.

Therefore a daytrader, as opposed to a long time, fundamentalist trader, can not know what he is doing, and his decisions are random, and produce random wins and losses. Now the big point: To be a daytrader, you have to sometimes have fiat, sometimes bitcoin, and sometimes a mix. So when there is a general uptrend, the daytrader is overall only half invested. A long time holder is fully invested. Therefore, a daytrader can not win as much as a holder. In a downtrend he will lose less, but in the long run, we will not have a downtrend. That is the holders prediction.



Some good points in this.

A lot of words, I should have slept instead. Pearls before swine.




719. Post 9489294 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: inca on November 09, 2014, 05:10:02 PM
Drifting higher. Almost all my coins are lent out on bitfinex although the swap rate is tosh. Thanks for the interest gamblers Smiley

The market dynamics seems to be: Flat with only trading. 500 coins or so genuinely new buying (actors who choose to get in) gives jump of 10 USD. Just my intuition.




720. Post 9491703 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on November 09, 2014, 10:22:29 PM
What's happening? Where are all the idiot dumpers??

Out of coins, or they look at the charts and think: maybe I can get some more...




721. Post 9492427 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: Raystonn on November 09, 2014, 11:29:05 PM
What am I supposed to do?? Enter 20x leverage right here or wait for a dip??

Fucking christ

That depends.  If you profit from this, will you keep your profit in BTC or fiat?  If BTC, then hold off.  There is some bearish divergence above 360.  If you plan to keep your profit in fiat, please go all in now.


The not-just-yet potetial adopters getting a bit uneasy, my feeling.



722. Post 9492755 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: Kontridder on November 10, 2014, 12:52:16 AM
but but .. already going DOWN?

No no, it is going up in a downward way...



723. Post 9501255 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: superresistant on November 10, 2014, 06:26:34 PM

Cumulatively, the ruble has shed 25% of its value in 2014 alone, making it one of the worst performers in the money markets.
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/russian-rubles-depreciation-trigger-bitcoin-run/

now we can add Russia to the list of countries who are flirting with complete economic turmoil.
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/another-fiat-currency-crisis-pops-russia-ruble-falls/


Great news for Russia....just imagine how bad it would have been, if it was the other way, if the ruble had appreciated...



724. Post 9508365 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Bitstamp fucked up, or is it bitcoinwisdom?



725. Post 9508866 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 11, 2014, 02:00:25 PM
Bitstamp fucked up, or is it bitcoinwisdom?


Seems to be working.    As planned Smiley


Looks like wisdom was somewhat choked. So they have more users than they can handle? Bullish!




726. Post 9508966 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: razibuzouzou on November 11, 2014, 02:53:09 PM
Bitstamp fucked up, or is it bitcoinwisdom?

Seems to be working.    As planned Smiley

Looks like wisdom was somewhat choked. So they have more users than they can handle? Bullish!

Don't know for wisdom, but compared to last week, there are currently about 30% more people connected to Coinorama.

^ Nice page.



727. Post 9537844 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on November 13, 2014, 05:31:56 PM
Healthy dump

We're down 50 dollars since last night and the buying pressure completely stopped. Nothing healthy about it.

So we know how illiquid the market is, from the 30K dumper.

Speculation: Someone with a large stash of fiat money, could be the fund (based on the comment that someone in OKcoin carelessly revealed) or some other rich entity, person or institution. Looking at the trade volumes, which easily can be several hundred thousand coins per day in aggregate, they thought that the start (maybe 1000 BTC) was piece of cake for that large market. But we got a spread of 50 USD between OKcoin and bitstamp, less differences with Huobi and Btcchina. After more than a day, there is still a spread, while the normal situation is that bitstamp is a few dollars higher. The arbitrage is probably small, we know that it is quite expensive in fees, and take a long time to shuffle the fiat around. Probably, the reason for the normally close prices is that the normal bitcoin trader uses more than one exchange, and when he wants to buy he uses the cheapest.

So they have learnt that when they touch the exchange, they drive the price. What will they do? I guess after some consideration, they will start to use all the large bourses and spread out the buys. That could happen in a few days. They will learn that they still will drive the market, but this time without the large spread. So one conclusion they might draw, is that bitcoin is too small, it will present the same type of problem when they want out, and just give up. Or, they just bite the apple and let the price rise.



728. Post 9537931 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

Quote from: nutschig on November 13, 2014, 06:35:00 PM
Bitcoin the currency is totally useless. Everyone is just going to use the blockchain technology.

You must have read that somewhere...

It is both. No blockchain, no bitcoin. No bitcoin, no blockchain.



729. Post 9537937 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

Normal situation with bitstamp on top, restored. Small and steady rise can continue.



730. Post 9539778 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

Smaller bubbles, like this one, means faster correction to a more realistic conservative price. Which is more sound. Maybe this is the future, may be we will be spared from the mtgox-like megabubbles.



731. Post 9550996 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: Chang Hum on November 15, 2014, 10:40:39 AM
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?

Most people purchase Bitcoins in the speculative hope they can later profit by selling them at a higher price to other market participants. As it's mathematically impossible for this to continue ad infinitum it's foolish to think you can continue to make money at the expense of other market participants (of which you yourselves are among) beyond the peak of adoption.

Once adoption rates have peaked, which they more than likely did last year, there's little left but a massive downside caused by an imbalance of those wishing to cash out vs new money coming in from those wishing to speculate on further price rises.  As the imbalance becomes more apparent new adopters are likely to become fewer and fewer thus escalating the downside.

As more people start to realize risk/reward is a bad bet and that the coins are gradually becoming worth less vs USD, a cash grab situation is likely to arise in which people will become aware coins are actually only backed by buy orders amounting to about 0.01% of the arbitrary market capitalization. This situation could be immensely profitable for those buying into the next round of folly.

All those who have become rich from Bitcoin have simply done so at the expense of later market participants, many of whom are likely to realize large losses on the flip side at some point. Hence why it's reasonably comparable to a giant ponzi scheme.

The one I bought from was happy - the one I sold to was happy - I am happy; where is the loss? This is value creation, to some it seems magical.



732. Post 9551046 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: Chang Hum on November 15, 2014, 12:45:52 PM
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?

Most people purchase Bitcoins in the speculative hope they can later profit by selling them at a higher price to other market participants. As it's mathematically impossible for this to continue ad infinitum it's foolish to think you can continue to make money at the expense of other market participants (of which you yourselves are among) beyond the peak of adoption.

Once adoption rates have peaked, which they more than likely did last year, there's little left but a massive downside caused by an imbalance of those wishing to cash out vs new money coming in from those wishing to speculate on further price rises.  As the imbalance becomes more apparent new adopters are likely to become fewer and fewer thus escalating the downside.

As more people start to realize risk/reward is a bad bet and that the coins are gradually becoming worth less vs USD, a cash grab situation is likely to arise in which people will become aware coins are actually only backed by buy orders amounting to about 0.01% of the arbitrary market capitalization. This situation could be immensely profitable for those buying into the next round of folly.

All those who have become rich from Bitcoin have simply done so at the expense of later market participants, many of whom are likely to realize large losses on the flip side at some point. Hence why it's reasonably comparable to a giant ponzi scheme.

The one I bought from was happy - the one I sold to was happy - I am happy; where is the loss? This is value creation, to some it seems magical.


Do you agree that your loss or gain is exactly balanced by the loss or gain of the wider market? if so then I hope you can appreciate that wild gains already made or made in the future must be balanced by the market.

No



733. Post 9551890 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: dinofelis on November 15, 2014, 01:11:38 PM
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?

Most people purchase Bitcoins in the speculative hope they can later profit by selling them at a higher price to other market participants. As it's mathematically impossible for this to continue ad infinitum it's foolish to think you can continue to make money at the expense of other market participants (of which you yourselves are among) beyond the peak of adoption.

Once adoption rates have peaked, which they more than likely did last year, there's little left but a massive downside caused by an imbalance of those wishing to cash out vs new money coming in from those wishing to speculate on further price rises.  As the imbalance becomes more apparent new adopters are likely to become fewer and fewer thus escalating the downside.

As more people start to realize risk/reward is a bad bet and that the coins are gradually becoming worth less vs USD, a cash grab situation is likely to arise in which people will become aware coins are actually only backed by buy orders amounting to about 0.01% of the arbitrary market capitalization. This situation could be immensely profitable for those buying into the next round of folly.

All those who have become rich from Bitcoin have simply done so at the expense of later market participants, many of whom are likely to realize large losses on the flip side at some point. Hence why it's reasonably comparable to a giant ponzi scheme.


I have been trying for a while to wrap my mind around the price of bitcoin, and as such, it is necessary to understand the price formation of monetary assets in general.  von Mises and Rothbard are a good starting point to that.

With bitcoin, we are witnessing - maybe - for the first time since a very very long time - the emergence of another market-determined monetary asset which has not been issued by a state and as such, imposing the quasi monopoly.  The last time must have been when silver or gold became "money".

When an asset becomes a monetary asset, by definition, its market price will be way above its "usage price".  For gold there remains still a jewelry usage price (which is way way below the market price of gold) ; for fiat and bitcoin, the usage price is essentially zero, so the ONLY price they have is their "monetary contribution".

In a steady-state system, the price of a monetary asset is given by the "quantity theory of money", which states that:

P x Q = M x V, where P is the price of the goods - so the price of the monetary asset is its inverse: B = 1 / P

B = 1/P = Q / (M x V)

Q is the amount of goods bought by the monetary asset, M is the amount of monetary asset in circulation, and V is the average velocity (the number of times per year that a given bitcoin is used to buy something).

V is the inverse of T, the (harmonic) average holding time of a bitcoin: the number of years a bitcoin is held as store of value.

So the "end value" in steady state of a bitcoin will ultimately depend on two things:
how much stuff is bought using bitcoin, and how long one holds one's bitcoins.

The rise in value from 0 to the steady state value B represents a lot of value of course, which "came out of nothing".  

There is indeed an initial "free" transfer of value from the whole economy using bitcoin in the end steady state towards two classes of people:

- those who give out the first time a bitcoin (the miners).  This is called seigniorage.  It is what central banks are good at: printing new money and cashing in on first distribution of it.

- the "early adopters" who stored value in bitcoin before its market value reached B.  This last thing is something that has probably not been witnessed since gold became money in the early days of history.

So yes, there is a steady flux of value from the recent adopters to the early adopters and the miners.  That is part of the build-up of the market cap of the monetary asset.  

Of course, the market price doesn't need to follow the quantity theory of money price: it can *anticipate* it.  If everybody would be strongly convinced that a bitcoin were worth $ 10 000 in 5 years from now, most people wouldn't sell them below, say, $ 4000. People would be willing to buy them for $ 4000. It is because one doesn't really know that the price is lower, or higher, than the steady state monetary value once bitcoin is regularly used as means of payment.  

In the end, however, the bitcoin price will be determined by two factors:
the total quantity of goods that is bought with it, and the average holding time of a bitcoin (as store of value).

This will determine the final market cap of the monetary asset "bitcoin".  It can by potentially much higher than today, or it can be lower.  It could potentially drop to zero if it fails to become a monetary asset after all.

What I'm not clear about, is whether bitcoin could become a sole store of value, without being able to buy goods with it.  

So I have no idea what is the end market cap of bitcoin.  I guess nobody has.  There's a potential for a very high market cap if bitcoin is used a lot as means of payment, and if people hold it for a while.  


Dump the velocity. and you are good to go. It has to be liquid, the owner needs to know that he can easily get rid of the bitcoins, actual trades are not needed.



734. Post 9552834 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 15, 2014, 03:15:59 PM
In a steady-state system, the price of a monetary asset is given by the "quantity theory of money", which states that:

P x Q = M x V, where

P is the price of the goods, Q is the amount of goods bought by the monetary asset, M is the amount of monetary asset in circulation, and V is the average velocity (the number of times per year that a given bitcoin is used to buy something).
Dump the velocity. and you are good to go. It has to be liquid, the owner needs to know that he can easily get rid of the bitcoins, actual trades are not needed.

You cannot ignore the velocity.  If everybody would pay their bills the same day they get the money, instead of waiting to the end of the month, the same amount of trading would require 1/30 as much currency in circulation.  If the currency it bitcoin, the smaller demand would imply a lower value per BTC.
[...]

If you have money, change your mind to having a car instead; someone else having a car, but prefers holding money, then the two switched roles, and no change in demand for money or cars happened. So it depends on the seller, does he have the same wish to hold money as the buyer before he decided to buy?







735. Post 9553271 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: dinofelis on November 15, 2014, 05:13:24 PM
In a steady-state system, the price of a monetary asset is given by the "quantity theory of money", which states that:

P x Q = M x V, where

P is the price of the goods, Q is the amount of goods bought by the monetary asset, M is the amount of monetary asset in circulation, and V is the average velocity (the number of times per year that a given bitcoin is used to buy something).
Dump the velocity. and you are good to go. It has to be liquid, the owner needs to know that he can easily get rid of the bitcoins, actual trades are not needed.

You cannot ignore the velocity.  If everybody would pay their bills the same day they get the money, instead of waiting to the end of the month, the same amount of trading would require 1/30 as much currency in circulation.  If the currency it bitcoin, the smaller demand would imply a lower value per BTC.
[...]

If you have money, change your mind to having a car instead; someone else having a car, but prefers holding money, then the two switched roles, and no change in demand for money or cars happened. So it depends on the seller, does he have the same wish to hold money as the buyer before he decided to buy?

One has to use consistent quantities Q, V, M and P of course.

So in your example, if you include the car in Q, then you have to include the money transfer in V.   Of course, if two people exchange something, you might think that that doesn't influence anything.  That would be correct if they were going to exchange, no matter what happens.  If I'm going to exchange my car with my father, who gives me money he has under his matrass instead, then this might not influence the price of cars on the car market.
However, that is not the case in general.
I will make a decision to buy a car, or to buy something else, or to hold my money, based upon several criteria, like the price of the car, my projections of getting money in the future and so on.  And it are these decisions which determine demand and offer, and settle prices.  If I think I will get money next month, I might consider buying a car.   If I think I will not get much money next month, I might reconsider buying that car.  The person supposed to give me some money next month (my employer) will have to get that money from somewhere.  Maybe by selling goods.  The price he will get from his goods will depend on how much money people are willing to give.  And so on.

So, exchanges, or better, the arbitration between different possible exchanges (or not), determine offer and demand, and hence price.  So they are not "neutral to price" except if there is no choice and they are going to happen no matter what.


It is neutral, in my case when everything that happened was a change of roles. If the seller turns around and uses his money, and also everyone down the road, then there will be a cascade of exchanges. If down the road, some seller should just keep the money, the situation is restored.

In the end it means that it is the aggregate demand to hold money (and the aggregate demand to hold anything else, which is just the inverse, or the supply of money), that decides what the money is worth. Not the transactions.

The velocity does not include financial transactions. Money is never produced or never consumed (sound money, that is), so the velocity is a number that tries to express the trade in the production chain. That is, it is fundamenentally expressing the same as GDP. It is never measured, it is computed. It is basically useless for thinking about the value of bitcoin.




736. Post 9553436 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: johnyj on November 15, 2014, 05:53:17 PM


In a steady-state system, the price of a monetary asset is given by the "quantity theory of money", which states that:

P x Q = M x V, where P is the price of the goods - so the price of the monetary asset is its inverse: B = 1 / P

B = 1/P = Q / (M x V)

Q is the amount of goods bought by the monetary asset, M is the amount of monetary asset in circulation, and V is the average velocity (the number of times per year that a given bitcoin is used to buy something).

V is the inverse of T, the (harmonic) average holding time of a bitcoin: the number of years a bitcoin is held as store of value.

So the "end value" in steady state of a bitcoin will ultimately depend on two things:
how much stuff is bought using bitcoin, and how long one holds one's bitcoins.


This theory is too simplified, and has many flaws, thus not used by bitcoin community  Cheesy

1. The formula only works when there is only one currency
If there are multiple currencies in circulation, that will become PQ=m1v1+m2v2+m3v3+... Because bitcoin is only one small currency in circulation, you can not use the formula to calculate its price since you don't know how much goods are exclusively sold for bitcoin (maybe none)

2. Not all the money has the same circulation speed
For a given amount of dollar, the V for each dollar is different, impossible to use this model to calculate anything. For example, FED has created 6x more money since 2008, but majority of those money has a velocity of 0 (hold at FED as reserve), thus removed from circulation

3. The P in the formula usually don't include capital goods (for example MBS or bitcoin), which consists of majority of today's money flow. When capital goods enter the formula, the calculation will be totally changed and the price level of daily goods will become irrelevant

For bitcoin, there is one simple method to calculate its value: The mining cost. Mining cost is the lowest possible cost to get bitcoin, it is the baseline for its valuation


Which is also wrong, the mining cost follows the value. Lower price, lower mining cost, on the long time scale.




737. Post 9555949 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: dinofelis on November 15, 2014, 06:28:34 PM
In a steady-state system, the price of a monetary asset is given by the "quantity theory of money", which states that:

P x Q = M x V, where

P is the price of the goods, Q is the amount of goods bought by the monetary asset, M is the amount of monetary asset in circulation, and V is the average velocity (the number of times per year that a given bitcoin is used to buy something).
Dump the velocity. and you are good to go. It has to be liquid, the owner needs to know that he can easily get rid of the bitcoins, actual trades are not needed.

You cannot ignore the velocity.  If everybody would pay their bills the same day they get the money, instead of waiting to the end of the month, the same amount of trading would require 1/30 as much currency in circulation.  If the currency it bitcoin, the smaller demand would imply a lower value per BTC.
[...]

If you have money, change your mind to having a car instead; someone else having a car, but prefers holding money, then the two switched roles, and no change in demand for money or cars happened. So it depends on the seller, does he have the same wish to hold money as the buyer before he decided to buy?

One has to use consistent quantities Q, V, M and P of course.

So in your example, if you include the car in Q, then you have to include the money transfer in V.   Of course, if two people exchange something, you might think that that doesn't influence anything.  That would be correct if they were going to exchange, no matter what happens.  If I'm going to exchange my car with my father, who gives me money he has under his matrass instead, then this might not influence the price of cars on the car market.
However, that is not the case in general.
I will make a decision to buy a car, or to buy something else, or to hold my money, based upon several criteria, like the price of the car, my projections of getting money in the future and so on.  And it are these decisions which determine demand and offer, and settle prices.  If I think I will get money next month, I might consider buying a car.   If I think I will not get much money next month, I might reconsider buying that car.  The person supposed to give me some money next month (my employer) will have to get that money from somewhere.  Maybe by selling goods.  The price he will get from his goods will depend on how much money people are willing to give.  And so on.

So, exchanges, or better, the arbitration between different possible exchanges (or not), determine offer and demand, and hence price.  So they are not "neutral to price" except if there is no choice and they are going to happen no matter what.


It is neutral, in my case when everything that happened was a change of roles. If the seller turns around and uses his money, and also everyone down the road, then there will be a cascade of exchanges. If down the road, some seller should just keep the money, the situation is restored.

The point is that if we use the quantity theory of money, we use also the amount of goods bought with the money, Q.  Because after all, money serves in the end to buy goods.  Money that doesn't buy goods isn't any good.  It can be a "store of value" for a long time, but in the end, you want to get something for your money.  Money is by definition an intermediate asset, which is no good if it doesn't serve in the end to "complete the transaction". 
If I exchange two apples for an egg, the transaction is completed.
If I sell two apples today, put the money aside for 3 months, and then I buy an egg, it is only at that point that the transaction is completed.  In the mean time, the money served as "store of value" for that transaction that took 3 months. 
But there's no use in acquiring money that doesn't end up buying goods.  This is why Q is important.

Quote
In the end it means that it is the aggregate demand to hold money (and the aggregate demand to hold anything else, which is just the inverse), that decides what the money is worth. Not the transactions.

I agree with you.  However, what is the drive of that aggregate demand ?  The storage of value in order to bridge the two parts of a trade.  In our example, part of the aggregate demand to hold money was 3 months, and the worth of 2 apples.

And we're back to Q (2 apples) and V (4 times 3 months in a year).

Quote
The velocity does not include financial transactions.

You can choose.  In that case, you have to put the other financial asset into Q.  But I agree with you that that is not usual.  However, as long as V and Q are consistent, there is no problem.    The sum must always match, because the left and the right side of the equation P x Q = M x V count the same thing, namely the amount of money (the flux) that went over the counter.

Quote
Money is never produced or never consumed (sound money, that is), so the velocity is a number that tries to express the trade in the production chain. That is, it is fundamenentally expressing the same as GDP. It is never measured, it is computed. It is basically useless for thinking about the value of bitcoin.

I wouldn't say so.  I think it is fundamental.  The formula also works with exchanges of money.
Consider an asset like gold, which is only exchanged for "other money".

You can still write P x Q where Q stands for "all the other money bought with gold and P the price of that money in gold".  I

We then *still* have: P x Q = M x V

Here M is the total amount of gold, and V is the velocity of gold (namely the number of times it has been traded for other money).  P x Q is the amount of "other money" that has been traded for gold, at the money's price in gold.

So it still works.  The only problem is, that there is nothing fundamental in it in this case.  It is essentially just the two sides of the bookkeeping of "all the exchanges in the world".  The traded volume increases just as well Q as it increases V.

But you are dealing with another aspect, that is, the market share of the demand for "store of value" that will be taken by bitcoin, in competition with all other "stores of value".  This is indeed the thing I have no idea for how to estimate , and honestly, I don't believe that it can be the principal driver for the bitcoin price.

If bitcoin were just the "replacement for gold" in store of value, but without any stuff you could buy with it directly, then this price could be just anything.  The current price is no indication.  The current price is purely speculative "to the moon".

This "ponzi" side of bitcoin, which is an essential part in becoming a monetary asset, has of course to stop sooner or later.
You want to buy bitcoin at $100,- because you think people will want to buy it at $1000,- one day.  But people will buy it at $1000,- one day because they think people will want to buy it at $10 000, - one day.  And so on.  This will stop of course.

Because NOBODY is ever going to pay $1000 trillion for a bitcoin.  So nobody is going want to buy  it at $100 trillion.  All the way down.

So one has to consider that in order for bitcoin to have a value X, it means that people will be willing to buy it at X without expecting to resell it at more than X.   Then it would stop being a speculative item, and become a "store of value".  Like gold or the like.

What is that value X ?  It will indeed depend on the share bitcoin has in the general aggregate demand for store of value.  But in my opinion, that could just as well be a very tiny fraction, as well as a large fraction.  Moreover, bitcoin is made especially to do transactions with.  To buy stuff.  I think it is much safer to look at bitcoin as a monetary asset which serves to buy goods and services, and which has hence an inherent store of value in between earning it and spending it, rather than a competition with other stores of value.  This last aspect will probably only become important if bitcoin is already a monetary asset with which you can buy stuff.


You are saying a lot of sensible things, except that horrible formula, which is irrelevant for everything and specially for the value of bitcoins. I believe I have supported that view in my earlier comments.
Quote

I have a hard time imagining people putting a lot of their stored value in, if the speculative aspect (winning value) which is driving us now, is gone (as the ceiling has been reached), if there's no other use of it.


The store of value means that what value you put in, you can get out, either when you turn around and do another trade directly, or you hold the value in money for months, years or even generations. I talk about value, not a number of dollars. And you are never guaranteed the value to be constant over time, that is impossible. Bitcoins are designed to not lose value, and the main aspect is the max number of coins in the system.

The speculative aspect is real, but that is only temporary, until the balance between demand to hold and the demand to not hold stabilizes. What we see currently, is that even while the liquidity of bitcoin is far below the liquidity of the respective local fiat currencies, bitcoin is still winning terrain, and since that means higher liquidity for bitcoin, there is no reason for that to stop, until that crucial balance is achieved. So in the end, it will be the best store of value, now you have the possibility to earn something, if you have knowledge and take action.





738. Post 9556643 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on November 16, 2014, 01:10:28 AM
that monetary velocity formula is a convenient fiction for ivory tower academic economists, e.g. I don't see anything about an human psychology factor in there.

Here's the one I use:

Bmo = N x A

Bmo ~ total value bitcoin M0 (also called 'market cap')
N ~ total number of entities holding bitcoins
A ~ average Amount of value holding entities are willing to hold in btc

It appears likely that N is only going to keep increasing for the forseeable future (perhaps with exponential adoption rates at times).
A will stay around the same but also may increase as the confidence in holding value in btc becomes firmer.

This formula is correct. The consequence is that when a set of people wants to hold more value in money (everybody at the same time), the value will rise even while everybody holds the same number of coins. It also means that everybody can hold an unlimited positive value in the form of money. What is restricted, is the amount of consumable resources. So everybody can not spend all their money to consume at the same time. If so happens, the prices of consumable goods rise and the value of the money diminishes again.

This is possible exactly because money is not directly usable.



739. Post 9559389 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: dinofelis on November 16, 2014, 05:30:22 AM

You are saying a lot of sensible things, except that horrible formula, which is irrelevant for everything and specially for the value of bitcoins. I believe I have supported that view in my earlier comments.

That horrible formula is just plain bookkeeping, there's no discussion about whether it is correct or not (it applies always, trivially), the discussion is whether it is useful (that is, whether the quantities that appear in it, can be sensibly estimated in an independent way).

We both agree that what sets the price of bitcoin, is the aggregate demand for "holding value in bitcoin" as compared to the offer.  But that doesn't help us much !  We have to know *what drives that demand*.

In other words, what makes "people fight for bitcoins".  What is their *drive*.

For the moment, the drive is of course "to the moon" type of speculation, but that can only last a finite time, and should normally be rooted in an expectation of a high bitcoin price *for another reason*.

Now, I see two drives to "make people fight to have a bitcoin".  One is indeed, "long term store of value", that is, in competition with gold and so on.  Then my formula is still valid, but doesn't mean much, what counts is what fraction of the universal aggregate demand for "long term store of value" will be taken by bitcoin, as compared to gold, stock market, real estate, and all other "stores of value".

The other is that bitcoin is used as money to buy things with.  That *also* implies holding bitcoin, between the time you get it, and the time you spend it.  And *there* my formula is mightily useful.  Because the amount of stuff bought with bitcoin, together with the average holding times between two of such buyings, determines the value of bitcoin.

And now my point is that bitcoin will, if it succeeds, essentially first have to do the *second* thing.  Nobody is going to trust bitcoin as a long term store of value in my opinion before it has settled as "money that buys stuff".  

Of course, in the real market, there will be competition for bitcoin for both uses (to "buy stuff with" and to "store value for much later"), so the effect will compound the prices.  But I would guess that the first part is going to take a long long long time.  
Gold was for a long time a means of payment ; that is why people also considered it as a store of value.  There was trust that gold would still buy stuff 20 years later.  Now, the buying function of gold has essentially disappeared and it has only kept his "store of value" function.  But there is still this century-long trust in gold as store of value which was build up over many many centuries.   It takes a lot of trust to put value in a long-term store.  I don't think that bitcoin will get that trust immediately.  
However, bitcoin as a means of payment, yes, I hope so.  The idea that you have "international money" that is valid everywhere in the world, yes.  And then, if that is the main usage of bitcoin, my formula applies.

Quote
The store of value means that what value you put in, you can get out, either when you turn around and do another trade directly, or you hold the value in money for months, years or even generations. I talk about value, not a number of dollars. And you are never guaranteed the value to be constant over time, that is impossible. Bitcoins are designed to not lose value, and the main aspect is the max number of coins in the system.

Yes, that's what "store of value" means.  I agree, except with your last statement.  Nothing can be designed to "not lose value", after all, it is speculative, it depends on the trust people put in it.  Especially in the long term.  What you mean is that bitcoin is a collectable: there's a finite, known amount of it.  Similar to gold (if you include mining reserves under the ground), or to land, or to Rembrandt paintings.  They don't make any anymore.


Quote
The speculative aspect is real, but that is only temporary, until the balance between demand to hold and the demand to not hold stabilizes. What we see currently, is that even while the liquidity of bitcoin is far below the liquidity of the respective local fiat currencies, bitcoin is still winning terrain, and since that means higher liquidity for bitcoin, there is no reason for that to stop, until that crucial balance is achieved. So in the end, it will be the best store of value, now you have the possibility to earn something, if you have knowledge and take action.

Yes and no.  That is what we are all hoping for, and that is why I think it is a good bet to buy some bitcoin now.  But actually, we don't really *know* and the real indicator is the price.  We really don't know whether we didn't already reach equilibrium between offer and demand.  Most people holding bitcoin (like me) do this NOT as a store of value, but for purely speculative reasons because they hope "to the moon".  
I'm not even sure that if you were in some sense to know that it is NOT going to the moon, you would still hold bitcoin "as a store of value".  I would think bitcoin too volatile and too risky as compared even to fiat.  I'm only in it because it would be silly to MISS the rocket too the moon.  But for the moment I still consider fiat a surer store of value than bitcoin if there was not the "to the moon" incentive.  
I wouldn't place all of my savings into bitcoin for the moment as a "store of value".

So if this "to the moon" incentive would be gone, I'm not even sure that the demand for store of value would be as large as the people holding coins now.  Most of them are in it for the ticket to the moon, not as a store of value in my opinion.  

So if you want to have an idea of the steady state aggregate demand for "store of value" you should leave out the speculative drive, which is probably the main drive right now to hold coins.  And then, I don't know if many people are in it.

This is why I think that that cannot be the support for the bitcoin price for a long, long time.  I think that the main steady state drive will be "buying stuff", with my formula.



Fiat is designed to lose value, 2 percent in some countries, 2 1/2 in others. Bitcoin not.

The store of value aspect and the transaction medium aspect of money hangs together, you can not have only the one or only the other. So when you hold, you need to be sure that you can transact. But the volume of transactions that occurs is irrelevant.

Holding today means speculation that a large number of people will discover the same thing. I think they will, and one of the reasons it goes slowly is the vast amount of nonunderstanding of the value of money problem among people who have understanding money as their job.



740. Post 9559421 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: dinofelis on November 16, 2014, 06:49:25 AM

Honestly, would *you* store value in bitcoin right now, if you didn't have any expectation of growth of its value ("to the moon") ?


I wouldn't but the reality is the expectation of growth in its value exist and you cannot simply pretend to remove it from your equation because it fits your argument.


You seem to miss the point.  Growth ('to the moon') can obviously not last indefinitely.  At a certain point, steady state will have to set in.  Every form of speculation is essentially based upon a bet on that steady state value which is expected to be higher than right now, so that kind of speculation (which is now the main drive) will have to stop one day.  

So I propose to make the mental exercise to put yourself in the hypothetical situation where you eliminate mentally that speculative purpose, and try to find out your own drive to put value into bitcoin *for store of value* reasons, and not for "to the moon" speculative reasons.  I very well know that the actual situation is the speculative "to the moon" drive.  But in order to find out what is going to be the steady state situation, you have to be able to find out what would be the drive to hold bitcoin *without* speculative "to the moon" drive.

So in order to make that exercise, suppose that six months from now, for one or another reason, the bitcoin price has gone up to $ 500 000,- (and not because the dollar collapsed) and it stays there for 6 other months with fluctuations of 10% or so.  Obviously, at that price, the "to the moon" expectation afterwards is gone.  You do not expect it to rise to 10 million, do you.  You might still hope for a small factor of 2 or 3, but that's it.

Are you going to put your savings at that moment in $ 500 000,- coins ?  Seriously ?
(or are you going to sell part of what you have to cash in ? :-) ).


This, to find out if you *really* consider bitcoin a good store of value for your savings without any "to the moon" speculation anymore, just a reasonable potential to rise somewhat, like other stores of value like gold, real estate and the like.

Quote
Bitcoin is absolutely a secure store of value. More secure than any alternatives on the market. Stable? Obviously not but is stability a requisite to qualify as a store of value? I do not think so. Especially when considering this growth expectation it makes even more sense to store the value of your wealth in such an asset.

You are obviously missing the point, right.  *Of course* the speculative drive is the strongest one.  But it cannot last, of course.  Once it is over, I'm trying to find out what would be the drive.  Because ultimately, *that* drive is what is going to give bitcoin any value as store of value.  Otherwise, it is indeed, just Ponzi, if nothing holds it up once it cannot grow anymore.  Just to be clear, I don't think it is Ponzi.  But in order for it not to be, one has a clear view on its fundamentals.  Fundamentals are never "growth to infinity", but are "steady state" arguments that are sustainable.

In the long term, fundamentals always win.  That is why a real Ponzi, which has no fundamentals, always collapses.

So I'm trying to find out what are the fundamentals of bitcoin.  As I said, my opinion is that it is "money to buy stuff".  Some think it is "store of value".  My *opinion* which can be wrong, is that that can only come much later.  But "expectations to the moon" are never fundamentals by themselves.


Good points. When the top is reached, wherever that is, it will be turbulent in a number of years until trust is established among the many.



741. Post 9559500 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 16, 2014, 11:24:30 AM

MMM, the company created by Sergei Mavrodi that ran one of the largest Ponzi schemes in history, is a Silver Member of The Bitcoin Foundation:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2mgi7w/well_known_ponzi_scheme_become_silver_member_on/

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MMM_(Ponzi_scheme_company)

With friends like those, does bitcoin need enemies?


Enemies of bitcoin are welcome to hold bitcoins.



742. Post 9560823 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: dinofelis on November 16, 2014, 11:50:03 AM

Fiat is designed to lose value, 2 percent in some countries, 2 1/2 in others. Bitcoin not.

Bitcoin too, until the year 2150 or something !  Although you are right that bitcoin has monetary mass inflation until then, while many central banks have price inflation targets.  The difference between both is (at constant velocity) given by economic growth. 

Quote
The store of value aspect and the transaction medium aspect of money hangs together, you can not have only the one or only the other. So when you hold, you need to be sure that you can transact. But the volume of transactions that occurs is irrelevant.

I think we're in a chicken and egg problem.  Of course, volume can be small, and value (per coin) large, if velocity is small (if most coins are held a very very long time).  In that case, you are right, volume doesn't matter much, my formula doesn't matter much, and we are more in a "store of value" problem, and the market share of the aggregate demand for store of value.
On the other hand, if bitcoin is mainly a means of payment, then the demand will essentially be to have "bitcoins to pay with", and the inherent time they are held between obtaining them and spending them, is then more described by my formula.  We are then in a market that is essentially driven as "monetary asset" (to buy stuff with).

In reality both will play.  But my personal opinion is that the latter will be more important in the medium term (the coming decade say) than the pure store of value.  As someone else said, that's not a problem because for the moment, speculation "to the moon" is the driver.  But that driver will not - in my opinion - hold on for 10 more years without any fundamental driving it, and only a (pipe?) dream in the far future going for it.  This is why commercial adoption is so important, and it has to become a significant part of the demand if bitcoin is to go somewhere (to the moon).

Quote
Holding today means speculation that a large number of people will discover the same thing. I think they will, and one of the reasons it goes slowly is the vast amount of nonunderstanding of the value of money problem among people who have understanding money as their job.

That's true :-)  However, it may become a self-fulfilling prophecy too.  If people commanding large amounts of value are "too stupid to adopt bitcoin", well.... then bitcoin will not be adopted.  This is why I think the road of commercial adoption is much much more important than long-range speculation of "the moon".  Commercial adoption will rise the demand for bitcoin as a payment asset, and not as a store for value (any longer than the time to spend it).  If *that* can support a higher market cap, it may be the main price drive in the coming decade, over promises of "the moon", which will stay hypothetical, in my opinion, for at least many decades (at least the time it takes for the current generation of financials to take their retirement).


A lot of investors think that the main purpose is payments, so they invest in diverse bitcoin related services companies. I think payments in itself does not drive the price, only the urge to hold bitcoins. Fortunately, that is a future side effect of creating many new payment customers, so I am happy with that.



743. Post 9560879 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 16, 2014, 12:09:07 PM
...
Fiat is designed to lose value, 2 percent in some countries, 2 1/2 in others. Bitcoin not.

Bitcoin's doing just fine on that front lately, regardless of design Smiley

Quote
...Holding today means speculation that a large number of people will discover the same thing. I think they will, and one of the reasons it goes slowly is the vast amount of nonunderstanding of the value of money problem among people who have understanding money as their job.

The professionals and academics nonunderstand money, but you, Erdogan, veryunderstand it goodly.
...or might you be unsane?

Perfect description, i veriunderstand goodly. Read the so called experts, they are full of stupid consensus related nonsense, and full of contradictions.

By the way, the 2 percent price inflation is not really 2 percent forever, it takes only a change of mind of a few persons at a central bank to change it to 10 or whatever. Argentina has a goal of 20. Central banks change goalposts frequently, in fact, they change the goalposts at every fucking meeting. And the money volume inflation is closer to 10 percent in the main currencies, for currencies that are completely implemented.

Edit: This is not the place to flash names of famous people, only arguments are good.





744. Post 9561051 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Here is one expert, cato daily, from the monetary conference.
Kevin Dowd, an adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute:

http://www.cato.org/multimedia/daily-podcast/unfortunate-future-bitcoin

"bitcoin will crash to zero, get out now! Yes, I am disappointed too."

Check out his reasoning: Loss of confidence.

And Cato is one of the best sources, committed to liberty.




745. Post 9561069 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 16, 2014, 03:24:11 PM
...
Fiat is designed to lose value, 2 percent in some countries, 2 1/2 in others. Bitcoin not.

Bitcoin's doing just fine on that front lately, regardless of design Smiley

Quote
...Holding today means speculation that a large number of people will discover the same thing. I think they will, and one of the reasons it goes slowly is the vast amount of nonunderstanding of the value of money problem among people who have understanding money as their job.

The professionals and academics nonunderstand money, but you, Erdogan, veryunderstand it goodly.
...or might you be unsane?

Perfect description, i veriunderstand goodly. Read the so called experts, they are full of stupid consensus related nonsense, and full of contradictions.

Experts  = "so-called experts," consensus of the educated = "stupid ... nonsense."  
Illiterate d00d from the interwebs = real learningz.  Gotcha.

Quote

By the way, the 2 percent price inflation is not really 2 percent forever, it takes only a change of mind of a few persons at a central bank to change it to 10 or whatever...

Lol, that's how smart money works.  See explanation by wikip gubermint stooges:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Reserve_System#Elastic_currency

Quote
Edit: This is not the place to flash names of famous people, only arguments are good.

Non-sequitur?

Edit:



I don't understand, did you hide an argument in this nonsense?



746. Post 9561620 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: YogoH on November 16, 2014, 03:54:24 PM
Here is one expert, cato daily, from the monetary conference.
Kevin Dowd, an adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute:

http://www.cato.org/multimedia/daily-podcast/unfortunate-future-bitcoin

"bitcoin will crash to zero, get out now! Yes, I am disappointed too."

Check out his reasoning: Loss of confidence.

And Cato is one of the best sources, committed to liberty.



Watch their conference. They are basically say bitcoin will fail and the non-mining coins will be far superior. Also that the 10 minute block timer for bitcoin is too slow. Regulations will crush it.

http://www.cato.org/multimedia/events/32nd-annual-monetary-conference-panel-1

It is the same, but with the other speakers too. Good.



747. Post 9564650 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: hmmmstrange on November 16, 2014, 10:06:20 PM
Ukraine President Poroshenko announces banking blockade of separatist-held eastern regions:


>The Ukrainian central bank has been ordered to stop servicing all banks operating in the rebel-held areas.
The accounts of individuals living there and companies located there have been frozen.
This will stifle the local economy, as businesses will have to conduct transactions in cash or use a bartering system.

Cash or barter... or Bitcoin.

Pretty hard to get reliable cell or internet access in a war torn area to use bitcoin. .

Like it was impossible to get cell or internet access in Palestine during the catastrophe.

This action and the previous pension action are de facto letting the Donbas region loose, creating a new state.



748. Post 9582566 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: fonzie on November 18, 2014, 03:48:38 PM
This shit is going down ! even feds are dumping  Grin

Please elaborate, how feds are dumping...?

50,000 seized coins are being auctioned.

How is that dumping?

According to Wall Street Journal which are quoting an FBI official who says that they plan to market dump on BTC-E.

I've heard they are gonna dump them on btc-is in al bukamal.
Ref http://www.fbi.gov/wanted/topten



749. Post 9585857 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: molecular on November 18, 2014, 08:42:42 PM
"From a technical perspective, too, a long position offers a better chance of success."

http://www.nasdaq.com/article/two-ways-to-play-a-potential-breakout-in-btcusd-cm414933

"As I write, Bitcoin against the U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD) is poised at levels that could decide the direction of the currency pair for the next few weeks, maybe even longer."





NEXT 24H ARE CRITICAL AS FUCK. CONFIRMED BY WALL STREET!
   Shocked


 Cheesy
Now's the time to paint the tape boys. Execute all buy orders now as planned. Wink

Wallstreet is watching??? Get out the green tape and paaaaaaint!!!

Seems to be just a random bitcointalk troll with a spellchecker.




750. Post 9616514 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 21, 2014, 06:45:38 PM
However , true story :



Let me explain what the difference is:
Money is sent via Western Union when cash is needed immediately.  This money is not sent for stuff like online purchases, otherwise the sender could simply make the purchase and have it shipped to a different address.

Sending Bitcoin is currently extremely cheap, because the miners are subsidised by 10% yearly inflation, AKA "block rewards" (not TX fees).  As block rewards diminish to zero over time, the miners will be forced to rely on TX fees.
Today, Bitcoin is paying 10% of its market cap to maintain the network--that's how many coins are mined in a year.  Once the block rewards approach zero, the transaction fees would have to represent ~10% of Bitcoin's market cap to maintain today's network security.  Because, as Satoshi has pointed out, the cost of mining should approach the price of coins mined.

Imagine that?  Burning 10% of world's wealth YEARLY being paid in TX fees?  

But that's a tangent.  The problem is, after receiving your bitcoin, it still must be converted to cash you can actually spend locally Undecided

Let's say one bitcoiner lived in for instance Burma, knew some merchants or pharmacists, for example and had some friends or acquaintances there, knew english. Maybe he had some cash to start a business. Could he find out who got remittances, what they used the money for, and maybe help them for a small profit?



751. Post 9617772 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 21, 2014, 07:39:00 PM
Quote
Yes, you are wrong.  Let me explain again:
People use Western Union in emergencies--like being stranded halfway across the country with no money for gas, that sort of thing.  The kind of emergencies in which Bitcoin would be of no use, since it can not be spent in in the podunks where these emergencies take place.  Gas stations don't take Bitcoin.

If you are talking about needing something which could be bought online, simply ask the person to put the purchase on his CC, and save bot of you the fee and the hassle.

But I can also pay for someone's gas in the middle of nowhere instantly from my living room with btc, all they need is the payment protocol.

Wait, wat?  We're not discussing hypotheticals, we're talking IRL.  Today, most (if not all) gas stations don't take BTC.

We are most certainly discussing hypotheticals, that is what speculation is about. Imagine!



752. Post 9617827 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 21, 2014, 10:18:31 PM
However , true story :



Let me explain what the difference is:
Money is sent via Western Union when cash is needed immediately.  This money is not sent for stuff like online purchases, otherwise the sender could simply make the purchase and have it shipped to a different address.

Sending Bitcoin is currently extremely cheap, because the miners are subsidised by 10% yearly inflation, AKA "block rewards" (not TX fees).  As block rewards diminish to zero over time, the miners will be forced to rely on TX fees.
Today, Bitcoin is paying 10% of its market cap to maintain the network--that's how many coins are mined in a year.  Once the block rewards approach zero, the transaction fees would have to represent ~10% of Bitcoin's market cap to maintain today's network security.  Because, as Satoshi has pointed out, the cost of mining should approach the price of coins mined.

Imagine that?  Burning 10% of world's wealth YEARLY being paid in TX fees?  

But that's a tangent.  The problem is, after receiving your bitcoin, it still must be converted to cash you can actually spend locally Undecided

Let's say one bitcoiner lived in for instance Burma, knew some merchants or pharmacists, for example and had some friends or acquaintances there, knew english. Maybe he had some cash to start a business. Could he find out who got remittances, what they used the money for, and maybe help them for a small profit?

Are you being intentionally oblique, or would you like to rephrase your question?

Just checking out your imagination. Do you have any imagination? If not, can you imagine what killed your imagination? Are you a fish?



753. Post 9617975 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 22, 2014, 01:50:16 AM
However , true story :



Let me explain what the difference is:
Money is sent via Western Union when cash is needed immediately.  This money is not sent for stuff like online purchases, otherwise the sender could simply make the purchase and have it shipped to a different address.

Sending Bitcoin is currently extremely cheap, because the miners are subsidised by 10% yearly inflation, AKA "block rewards" (not TX fees).  As block rewards diminish to zero over time, the miners will be forced to rely on TX fees.
Today, Bitcoin is paying 10% of its market cap to maintain the network--that's how many coins are mined in a year.  Once the block rewards approach zero, the transaction fees would have to represent ~10% of Bitcoin's market cap to maintain today's network security.  Because, as Satoshi has pointed out, the cost of mining should approach the price of coins mined.

Imagine that?  Burning 10% of world's wealth YEARLY being paid in TX fees?  

But that's a tangent.  The problem is, after receiving your bitcoin, it still must be converted to cash you can actually spend locally Undecided

Let's say one bitcoiner lived in for instance Burma, knew some merchants or pharmacists, for example and had some friends or acquaintances there, knew english. Maybe he had some cash to start a business. Could he find out who got remittances, what they used the money for, and maybe help them for a small profit?

Are you being intentionally oblique, or would you like to rephrase your question?

Just checking out your imagination. Do you have any imagination? If not, can you imagine what killed your imagination? Are you a fish?

You've been completely undone by loss, Erdogan, but we'll get you through this.  Can you still dial the phone?  Do you know where you are?  Do your fingers feel numb?

I can say that I made sure that my kids kept the power of imagination that they were born with, as they do with their own kids.



754. Post 9628969 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Adam, you could delete a few posts to increase the quality of this thread, get it back to the quality of the old days.



755. Post 9638653 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: nakaone on November 24, 2014, 09:06:37 AM
regarding the fed auction - I assume it will be as bearish as the last one was  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

at these prices I assume they will change hands with a 10-20 % mark-up - gl to the shorters Wink

I'm hoping some big pocket swoops all of them in one set a la Draper and advertises the purchase and its price

Too bad we're not likely to have a leaked list of bidders like last time  Undecided

these auctions will be a bullish thing as long as there is no ther place to buy 50000 btc without an insane counterparty risk - once we have these places it will probably turn bearish

When the big mafia confiscates it - that's when we know it is valuable.



756. Post 9640164 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on November 24, 2014, 10:46:55 AM
When the big mafia confiscates it - that's when we know it is valuable.

Big mafia?

The USA government or the international banking community?

One or two.. does it matter...

Edit: In this case, it was the USG




757. Post 9640788 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

I suggest you guys look at the actual price.



758. Post 9655257 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

A 600 coin dump at this time and place. How smart is that, gentlemen? It will take us hours to climb back up.



759. Post 9655524 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

Quote from: SkyValeey on November 25, 2014, 09:46:31 PM
I like silence in thread when btc is dropping. And I hate silly buzz when it's going up.

2300> soon

@jonoiv welcome to ignore Smiley

And the page jubilee noise was like having a bulldozer working outside all night.



760. Post 9659471 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

Quote from: shmadz on November 26, 2014, 03:36:26 AM


Whiskey and women for the first 20 Bitcoiners!

"I have escaped this hell - and you?"
-I am in the process of escaping the hell of currency controlled by fiat government and central banks -and you?

"Don't wait, get out of it too, there is no other chance."
-fuck yeah, every available fiat dollar. Please keep the price below 380 until at least payday on Friday!

"Better to be a live prisoner than a dead hero."
- ...

They can take our FREEDOM, but they'll never take our BITCOIN!

They can take my body, but they can never have my 24 word seed.



761. Post 9677061 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 27, 2014, 09:41:34 PM
if we all spend like crazy we can all buy back lower.

Speaking like a central banker...



762. Post 9679295 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 28, 2014, 04:56:47 AM

Oh, OK. Please ignore the post and put all your bitcoins in a blockchain.info wallet, with their default security.

You should smoke while filling your gas tank, because Chernobyl was much worse than any gasoline fire.

did you buy a bitcoin yet you fuck tard?

With 6.5 % (fake, official) inflation rate, tanking real (the money), currency controls and anti market price controls, the question is not "a bitcoin", but rather a mill or a mike.

Or, the question is are there toothpaste in your shops, and can you afford it on a professor salary? Can those who pay your salary afford it? 



763. Post 9683716 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on November 28, 2014, 06:43:06 PM


Nope, just one guy who probably doesn't even have 20 BTC to his name trying to tell people with 100's that have already made their initial investment back several times that they're going to loose their life savings. Go figure  Huh

I do not have 20 bitcoins to my name... or 100s... because I'm not a f---ing retard. I am shorting 31 BTCs right now. That is the opposite of owning BTCs.

Have fun losing all of the f---ing money.

Betting all you have on one card, to make up for earlier losses, huh?




764. Post 9683761 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on November 28, 2014, 06:54:12 PM
Do you guys seriously believe there is significant commerce in Bitcoin besides drugs and gambling?

I've actually used BTC to get paid for services. Works very well in that domain, as easy as PayPal + without country limitations imposed by PayPal. Bitcoin is truly global, which is not the case for *any* other payment system, each and every other one has some geographical limits.
I used to use it for some internet things, but it really is far too scary how much information you leak on the block chain (information that will get more easily and more successfully analyzed as interest and sophistication in methods increase), so nowadays I actually prefer to use PayPal and banks. Because even though they may know everything about me, they are corporations and want to continue making money, so they have a stake in not sharing my data with anyone they don't legally have to, because otherwise they'll get fucked by Uncle Sam.

Basically, I'd rather have the NSA and a few big corporations know everything about me than a hundred thousand thieves and low lifes all around the world so they can target me.

Know your enemies.



765. Post 9684903 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

This is ladies and gentlemen, guys and gals!



766. Post 9684951 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on November 28, 2014, 10:15:14 PM
This is ladies and gentlemen, guys and gals!


Care to elaborate?

I see a bog standard 380

Elaboration: Highest in three days. I have a short consciense span.




767. Post 9685053 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: jonoiv on November 28, 2014, 10:32:05 PM
For those whales looking for a new place to live.

You can buy your own country just off the UK coast.

http://www.sealandgov.org/about

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principality_of_Sealand

http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/01/070118-sealand.html


£1/2 a billion is not what it used to be Cheesy

Too clunky.



768. Post 9700249 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: janos666 on November 30, 2014, 03:50:43 PM
Ah, I wish I could automatically filter out every posts which has the "ignore" word in the text. But then I would practically ignore this post of mine as well which could be interpreted like I am schizophrenic. Tongue
(I never use the ignore feature on real persons, no matter what. I believe it's there to mute bots which is sometimes handy on some forums but not here.)

Some of that was lost when we transcended from usenet to these web based discussion sites.



769. Post 9700863 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on November 30, 2014, 06:43:26 PM
Anyone else watching that bot on finex? It's doing 0.21 (~$80) market buys every 7 seconds trying to keep the price up

Bots are nothing new. They just do what the buyers and sellers should. That is get the best price for a position.

I think these bots, at least ones so blatant, are bad for the image of BTC. We really do need to get away from bucket-shop exchanges. I, honestly, think we'd have a higher price if the exchanges were more legitimate. That said, in the near term, it has solved the query of whether the price is going up or going down in the near term. So, I'm personally kind of chill with it. But, BFX is a total bucket shop.

Some brain is behind each of them, they are not autonomous. It is just a way of saving work when you want to buy and sell small amounts, as in arbitraging or exploiting the spread. As long as there is no frontrunning, there is no problem.



770. Post 9701387 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: spooderman on November 30, 2014, 07:43:47 PM

erm did I miss something?

Not broken. Maybe people rely on it too much, all it can do is to hide your ip address.




771. Post 9701397 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on November 30, 2014, 08:03:25 PM
Why is child porn being discussed on a BTC forum?

Take that shit to off topic or preferably somewhere else altogether.

Yeah, that is not for us, that is for the politicians.




772. Post 9717917 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Careful with the christmas presents, ladies and gentlemen. Hold on to your wallets! Remember Dickens's uncle Scrooge. An if you plan to soften up: unlike Scrooge, you must wait until BTCUSD is 1000!



773. Post 9721243 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: molecular on December 02, 2014, 06:07:53 PM
Careful with the christmas presents, ladies and gentlemen. Hold on to your wallets! Remember Dickens's uncle Scrooge. An if you plan to soften up: unlike Scrooge, you must wait until BTCUSD is 1000!


Dicken's uncle scrooge?

Damn, I only know this one.




That one has so many stories, don't know if there is one where he actually spends his money.



774. Post 9732325 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Dumpers gotta dump. Thats what they do.



775. Post 9736313 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

It looks like the price is lured towards the walls, not scared away from them.



776. Post 9743739 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.37h):

I met some Chinese the other day. Fairly young, technically minded. At the end of the meeting, i asked:

- Have you heard about bitcoin?

- Yes it's forbidden.

- Well China is the biggest bitcoin country, with the largest exchanges...

- There are some black markets, but it's forbidden.

- ... and the largest mining operations.

- It's forbidden.

- That's just CBOC trying to talk it down...

- No it's forbidden.



777. Post 9743832 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.37h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on December 05, 2014, 01:41:42 AM
I met some Chinese the other day. Fairly young, technically minded. At the end of the meeting, i asked:

- Have you heard about bitcoin?

- Yes it's forbidden.

- Well China is the biggest bitcoin country, with the largest exchanges...

- There are some black markets, but it's forbidden.

- ... and the largest mining operations.

- It's forbidden.

- That's just CBOC trying to talk it down...

- No it's forbidden.


Did you give him a slap?

That's forbidden

I could have told them there were no microphones in the room, and asked again.




778. Post 9743872 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.37h):

Quote from: empowering on December 05, 2014, 01:50:58 AM
I met some Chinese the other day. Fairly young, technically minded. At the end of the meeting, i asked:

- Have you heard about bitcoin?

- Yes it's forbidden.

- Well China is the biggest bitcoin country, with the largest exchanges...

- There are some black markets, but it's forbidden.

- ... and the largest mining operations.

- It's forbidden.

- That's just CBOC trying to talk it down...

- No it's forbidden.


Did you give him a slap?

That's forbidden

I could have told them there were no microphones in the room, and asked again.



while secretly recording of course (evil)  Cheesy

...or - these days you can't be sure. Spies everywhere.




779. Post 9751901 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.37h):

Quote from: cryyptc on December 05, 2014, 08:37:36 PM
Smiley
Overstock CEO Patrick BTCyrne is da man >> http://web.archive.org/web/20101224045221/http://www.deepcapture.com/the-story-of-deep-capture-by-mark-mitchell/

Yep, the stock exchanges are in desperate need of coloured coins.



780. Post 9751954 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.37h):

Either the unsuccessful bidders are on to the bourses now, OR sufficiently many people believe that - I don't care as moon.



781. Post 9760016 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.37h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on December 06, 2014, 06:05:25 PM
Ripple to the moon  Tongue  Grin

There is only one mooncoin. It's not ripple.




782. Post 9784955 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):

Quote from: Sharkie on December 09, 2014, 05:55:49 AM
I'm scared guys, what's going on?  Embarrassed

This is obviously good for bitcoinland, because now the bitcoinland inhabitants export more!!!




783. Post 9824490 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on December 12, 2014, 08:31:42 PM
people are adopting bitcoin all the time ... i've adopted it at least 4 or 5 times already.

First you start off by adopting a few percent of your net worth into bitcoin, then you adopt a little more maybe up to 10-15% then before you know it you adopt at the 30-50% and when you realise how absolutely corrupt and broken the fiat socialists ponzi scheme tax-prison farm really is then you go wtf and go all-in 100% adopt bitcoin.

ergo "adoption" is a meaningless non-quantifiable term useless for any sensible analysis.

Right now there is a group of people (ranging between 2-40 million in number) who are willing to hold ~$5 billion worth of value in bitcoin is as much as you can say with confidence. If those same people decided to double their btc hodlings would the be same effect if the numbers of people 'adopting' bitcoin doubled.


Right. Higher value can come from any of these walks of bitcoin adaption. New users getting their first 0.2 BCT, or existing users digging in after self education.



784. Post 9824600 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Quote from: aminorex on December 12, 2014, 09:57:36 PM
I've been surprised at the degree of correlation between XBTUSD and CL1.  Still and all,
Monkey is telling me to try buying oil again between Monday and Wednesday, but doesn't expect XBT up until late next week.

Mostly, Monkey just expects me to shut up and stay short SPUs until roughly Wednesday.

USDJPY unlikely to see any upside until mid-to-late next week.
EURNOK going *up* through Tuesday or Wednesday.

Monkey expects a lot of turning points next week.  First to turn might be US long bonds.  Monkey actually made me sell, because risk was picking up too much.


Why do you fuck around with risky junk lie that? Haven't you heard about bitcoin?



785. Post 9827834 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Some people calling them selves anti.. think that they just can come here and... come here!




786. Post 9839819 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Is it, or is it not, happening?



787. Post 9839968 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

- There is not cryptomoney 2.0

- Bitcoin is World 2.0




788. Post 9849057 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Only hodlers have it handy at all times.



789. Post 9860795 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Quote from: tarmi on December 16, 2014, 07:27:58 PM
care to explain how someone can do stupid things regardless of what happens next?
I cannot believe you do not understand this: It is stupid to increase your slippage cost, reduce your execution chances and increase your counter-party exposure by selling only on one single exchange. It does not matter what followed after. And in his case, the price actually rose for months afterwards, and he sold at the bottom. Had he had a modicum of sense execution wise and technicals wise, he'd have done much better.

Also, I don't believe he has another 30k because the way he sold showed that he was in a rush, for whatever reason. I'm sure you agree.


you didnt answer my question really and again you are questioning his trading methods.

you said that he was stupid to sell regardless of what happens next and I am asking to you what happens if price crashes to 100 $ levels?

Blitz is right. It is quite clear that the owner of those 30K+ coins were an amateur. Starting with dispensing coins in small portions. Got afraid when price went down, did not understand that he was reason for the downtrend. Dumped in despair several times. He must have understood at that point that his dumping was the problem, then offered the rest for 300. It was eaten after a few days.

The volume may be high, but by traders that sometimes sell, sometimes buy. If someone want in with a large number of fiat units, or out with a large number of coins, it moves the market. You can not stealth sell 30K+ coins in this market, even if 100K coins change hands in a day.

Conclusion: If you have 30K coins, you may think you are good for 10 mill USD, but you are not able to buy a 10 mill anything - yet.




790. Post 9860953 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Quote from: indiemax on December 16, 2014, 10:21:24 PM
care to explain how someone can do stupid things regardless of what happens next?
I cannot believe you do not understand this: It is stupid to increase your slippage cost, reduce your execution chances and increase your counter-party exposure by selling only on one single exchange. It does not matter what followed after. And in his case, the price actually rose for months afterwards, and he sold at the bottom. Had he had a modicum of sense execution wise and technicals wise, he'd have done much better.

Also, I don't believe he has another 30k because the way he sold showed that he was in a rush, for whatever reason. I'm sure you agree.


you didnt answer my question really and again you are questioning his trading methods.

you said that he was stupid to sell regardless of what happens next and I am asking to you what happens if price crashes to 100 $ levels?

Blitz is right. It is quite clear that the owner of those 30K+ coins were an amateur. Starting with dispensing coins in small portions. Got afraid when price went down, did not understand that he was reason for the downtrend. Dumped in despair several times. He must have understood at that point that his dumping was the problem, then offered the rest for 300. It was eaten after a few days.

The volume may be high, but by traders that sometimes sell, sometimes buy. If someone want in with a large number of fiat units, or out with a large number of coins, it moves the market. You can not stealth sell 30K+ coins in this market, even if 100K coins change hands in a day.

Conclusion: If you have 30K coins, you may think you are good for 10 mill USD, but you are not able to buy a 10 mill anything - yet.



why would he be an amateur?

he may be the smartest bitcoin hacker ( gox) ever?
cashing in because he can see it is going down for now,
He can see Bitcoin is not finished but why not take some profits ,we all do that,smart move perhaps

$10M ,thankyou Grin


You don't get it - he was the reason for the market downturn. If he knew, he would find a buyer that had the same problem on the other side - wanting in with a large sum. If he were smart, he would immediately have sensed it, given up, and he would have taken a loan in fiat for the time being, anything other than continue selling.




791. Post 9861023 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Conclusion II: If you have 1000 coins, and desperately want a 300K USD house now, sell only a hundred coins and borrow the rest. That is not risky, if you have a cash problem any point in the future, you can always convert the few coins you need until the next salary.




792. Post 9861118 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Quote from: Bitcoin_BOy$ on December 16, 2014, 10:39:27 PM
Hello everyone
I have a question :
 E.g if i have 1000KK usd and i want to sell theme the price at btc-e  is 345 will it all sell at 345 or what

No, you have the same problem as the desperate 30K+coin seller, you will move the market. The price will just explode, then fall down a bit and you will be sorry that you paid to much for the last part of your purchase. Try to find another large holder lurking around on the conferences, bad shoes, sometimes depressed, sometimes manic, mumbling about retirement at young age, wanting to buy a ranch (and not understanding much about money).





793. Post 9861638 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on December 16, 2014, 11:48:49 PM
In that case there's a good chance a vast number of current investors would leave for good, and price would deflate to level that seems laughably low right now... but then what? Others will pick it up from there, as long as there is the confidence that Bitcoin is useful for something after all. Cue the trolls: "It's about as useful as beanie babies or tulips". I don't need to tell you that's just noise. The usefulness of Bitcoin (or crypto in general) is undisputed. What is up for debate is the scale at which it will be used (and, as a consequence, what the valuation of the network should be).
Forgot to respond before, but Beanie Babies are actually more useful than Bitcoins IMO.

When I hold Bitcoin, I hide them in my cold wallet, too scared to even consider spending any because of the eternal public paper trail it leaves. It's already scary enough to securely handle cold storage considering all possible attack and data loss vectors, but at the same time, I have to be scared that they tremendously lose value again.

At least you can play with Beanie Babies, and some of them actually look nice. Plus, they're already worthless.





Next time, go for Beanie Babies.

He is right about the usefulness, but bitcoins are not useful and that is the point, they have only speculative value, that is what makes them money.

EDIT (just noticed) you are right.



794. Post 9873357 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: luigi1111 on December 17, 2014, 06:50:14 PM
Man, why have I waited so long to begin following this thread?

Happy participation! This is the soul of bitcoin.



795. Post 10039520 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.44h):

Fuck, not again!



796. Post 10039537 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.44h):

Tell me how I can wipe my ass with bitcoins and flush them into the abyss, and I will do it!



797. Post 10058148 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.44h):

Quote from: geoffreyqp on January 06, 2015, 03:30:06 AM
it's been awhile since i've posted in this thread, and this question has no doubt been asked/posted and answered already. But, hope you can understand why i'm not going to even go back 1 page in this thread to find the answer  Kiss

how come the btc price hasn't really been affected since bitstamps news came out?

Maybe it is affected - by being paralyzed. Stamp was the leading exchange (for some) and when it stopped trading people were confused and now want to buy or sell near the last known price.




798. Post 10156707 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on January 14, 2015, 06:24:13 PM
I dont agree with your personal beliefs, so ill call you names and publicly judge you and passive aggressively impose my own world view on you

Yeah, just believe in jesus. He will give you a meal an warm you during the winter.
All hail jesus, the fucker of young boys.

This comment is just ignorant and shows lack of knowledge about what you are so adamantly against. Im sure you form  most of your opinions based on elementary research, and yt videos based on what you just said.

Whatevs

And you on the bible?

Some relevant stuff from the bible. "The king" is in current era the same as the group of government persons: (Samuel 8 )

"10 Samuel told all the words of the Lord to the people who were asking him for a king. 11 He said, “This is what the king who will reign over you will claim as his rights: He will take your sons and make them serve with his chariots and horses, and they will run in front of his chariots. 12 Some he will assign to be commanders of thousands and commanders of fifties, and others to plow his ground and reap his harvest, and still others to make weapons of war and equipment for his chariots. 13 He will take your daughters to be perfumers and cooks and bakers. 14 He will take the best of your fields and vineyards and olive groves and give them to his attendants. 15 He will take a tenth of your grain and of your vintage and give it to his officials and attendants. 16 Your male and female servants and the best of your cattle[c] and donkeys he will take for his own use. 17 He will take a tenth of your flocks, and you yourselves will become his slaves. 18 When that day comes, you will cry out for relief from the king you have chosen, but the Lord will not answer you in that day.”"

Except, bad prediction, the slaves do not cry out for relief, they cry "More, more, hit me more"!



799. Post 10157602 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on January 14, 2015, 10:46:45 PM
Famous bitcoin holders that bitcoiners glorify are either lunatics, schizo clowns, megalomaniac sociopaths, straight out scammers or criminals.

Business as usual.

Next they will hope for a country to collapse to save their bag. As much as i used to joke about it, it's actually very sad now that crypto true face is revealed.

Keep selling your idealist lie about freedom to rob people's money bitcoiners ponzists. Keep talking about organic growth when it's all about pump and dump and always has been.

I've seen this many times over the last year where people were hoping certain countries would collapse economically.

That's bad, but even the PTSB wants Russia to tank nowadays. An the people (in the west) cheers.



800. Post 10199417 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: fonsie on January 18, 2015, 07:58:12 PM
We need a forum only accessible by proof-of-ownership(btc)... too get rid of these dumb trolls.

Fantastic idea.



801. Post 10218817 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: LittleDigger on January 19, 2015, 09:08:17 PM
Trying to get my head around deflation... came across this.. Just started reading but interesting..

http://www.deflation.com/understanding-deflation/

You could also check out google: deflation mises org daily



802. Post 10222000 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Price doesn't matter .... unless it advances. In which case it changes everything.  Smiley




803. Post 10228889 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: madmat on January 21, 2015, 08:11:25 AM
You don't have understand technology to understand why a currency capped at 21M with half already in the hands of neck beard nerds and come into existence by solving puzzles in big jerry rigged Chinese warehouses is not ever gonna work in the real world.


This is as funny as wrong.

Wasn't it Buffet who said about land - they don't make it anymore. I think some professional investors know that the value would rise with more holding, and could take the risk with a small sum, but I think they are held back by not knowing how to report it, taxing and so on. When they discover they just can hold it anonymously, they will come in and we will see it in price action. If I know these guys right, they (some of them) don't care about reporting if they think they can get away without reporting it.



804. Post 10248533 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Leaning back, thinking like a poker player, the odds that bitcoin is higher at any point in the future, is better than the odds that fiat is higher. More so with non USD fiat than USD.



805. Post 10249023 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

The wall: "Hey...someone else got 246.38 for their coins recently, I won't sell mine for less!"



806. Post 10250023 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: coins101 on January 25, 2015, 12:51:06 AM
You guys let me down ... where the heck is all the CCMF pics?!!!



CCMF


Yes, a week later (but we don't have to mention that) Smiley



807. Post 10250424 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: magicmexican on January 25, 2015, 01:55:59 AM
Is it safe to buy? Is it going up forever now? Please confirm that its not a scam to lure me in.

Don't be afraid, and don't mind by big teeth, those are only for eating late adopters...



808. Post 10253662 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on January 25, 2015, 03:48:45 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=934670.0

Quote
No digital currency will soon dislodge the dollar, but bitcoin is much more than a currency. It is a radically new, decentralized system for managing the way societies exchange value. It is, quite simply, one of the most powerful innovations in finance in 500 years.

think wall st. is here yet trolltards?

Not yet, but that article could certainly lure some in. Then they will all convert to anarchism!




809. Post 10253715 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Your mother doesn't work here, so the saying goes, but in this case YourMother probably does work here!



810. Post 10254151 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on January 25, 2015, 12:41:24 PM
Gentlemen, price does not care for your argument.

Their argument is irrelephant

Computer says no.



811. Post 10255297 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: yefi on January 25, 2015, 01:40:58 PM
Looks like a high number of coins are being bought and sold back and forth, check the price history on bitcoinwisdom.

It's almost like we had a market. Unbelievabubble!

A market that springs out of nothing! Phantastic! Tell the world!



812. Post 10255314 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: ibrahim11 on January 25, 2015, 02:22:36 PM
I just bought a bitcoin for £200 = 300USD from virwox because I don't have online banking  Embarrassed Is that a good price?

If it is good for you, it is good, by definition.



813. Post 10257800 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Never again below 247!!!



814. Post 10301223 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on January 29, 2015, 04:41:11 PM
Why does everyone keep quoting the troll?

Yes, I typically don't do that , but being he is using a hero members account I am more apprehensive about placing older users on my ignore list. Looks like some bitcoin hater that has admitted to purchasing/ or taking over someone else s account just to troll. What a loser. He is now ignored and I will stop quoting him... I recommend others do the same too.



Do you want a tissue?

What is your reason for not changing the password?



815. Post 10305190 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Years of downtrend is bad - I wish the dumpers would stop, I need to feed my kids real soon now.

But - up or down, tomorrow is one day closer to the day when we break the ATH!!!



816. Post 10309899 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Weekend dump, or weekend pump? That's the question now.



817. Post 10310260 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: esse83 on January 30, 2015, 02:39:37 PM
Looks like Star Xu is worried that BTC will go to 0 because it's pretty much just 100% speculation. He is pleading to the world to please start using it, or else his business will go down the shitter.

http://blog.okcoin.com/post/109570662089/okcoin-in-my-words-star-xu

Enjoy the words of a desperate CEO Cheesy

"If Bitcoin forever stalls at a theoretical stage, the value can only become ever lower - all the way to 0. The development of real use cases for Bitcoin is fundamental. There is no point in dreaming of Wall Street becoming the next buyer or regulatory authorities helping to legitimize Bitcoin."

"If Bitcoin remains only on exchanges, then the likelihood of Bitcoin failing is fairly high. "

Nice thing with capitalism, you don't have to understand it to be a part of it. Not using, holding holds the value up.




818. Post 10320634 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: galdur on January 31, 2015, 01:10:15 PM
This ongoing first stage of the stock market crash of 2015 doesn´t seem to affect BTC action noticeably so far.

I have noticed too. In fact, nothing in the real world seems to be relevant to bitcoin price. I think the large volume is from trading back and forth, not affecting the price too much. The real market, for people permanently changing their assessment of bitcoin, is small. A few holders sell out, or a few minimalistic newbies decide to save a significant value in bitcoin, that can change the market, unpredictably.



819. Post 10320670 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: Jammalan the Prophet on January 31, 2015, 01:59:11 PM
This ongoing first stage of the stock market crash of 2015 doesn´t seem to affect BTC action noticeably so far.

Which stock market crash?

You will see  Smiley

Just like i saw the crash of the dollar in 2000 ,2001 , 2002 , 2003 , 2004 , 2005 .... 2300, 2301,2302

We have seen smaller national fiats die, next is the larger fiat systems, then the dollar. Thinking of it, a good forex strategy now would be to hold dollars, then, when most other fiats have died, sell dollars.



820. Post 10320724 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: Jammalan the Prophet on January 31, 2015, 03:55:48 PM
This ongoing first stage of the stock market crash of 2015 doesn´t seem to affect BTC action noticeably so far.

Which stock market crash?

You will see  Smiley

Just like i saw the crash of the dollar in 2000 ,2001 , 2002 , 2003 , 2004 , 2005 .... 2300, 2301,2302

I was not talking about the dollar.

I would not be surprised if the dollar has probably got still a ways up to go actually... makes sense, it could run up (against other currencies with their own woes)  at least until the next round of in the US QE (4)....

US stock markets though are looking choppy and toppy... and with all that is going on, figures/fed talk global pressures I would not be surprised to see something go down this year, not in the least.

Though that being said with the current global currency wars, and the bond markets I would not be surprised to see some action in the dollar either..

I suspect though that the stock market and housing will probably take a hit first though, (followed by QE4?)

We shall see.


I know what you were talking about...
Another crash waiting at the corner ...and I gave you an example of another one people are waiting and waiting and waiting...


That is correct.... and are there any market watchers that have been around for a few decades that has a good reason to not wait for the next crash, in a cyclical stock market? Is there any reason that there should be an infinite bull run? are there any outside reasons, in this global system we have that there could be external pressures, and internal pressures that could cause the next (inevitable) financial crisis?

Guess not.

I am not arguing that it won't happen , but like the original post said ...2015?Huh
I see no reason for this year to be the one of the crash and the ones saying preaching about  it are the same that said 2014 2013 and 2012 before with the same arguments.


A fun competition would be to predict which of the large fiats will tank first. Will it be dollar, euro, yen, yuan, sterling or swiss francs? I guess those are the largest currencies.



821. Post 10321245 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: Arpeggio on January 31, 2015, 05:11:01 PM
Noob question. Is there a way for one to somehow value this instrument for market vs intrinsic value.. Any ratio performance driver?Or something similar in a way to 3 financial statement forecasting model for equities or is TA the only way to ride?

Absolutely not. There is no intrinsic value at all, that is, no use value, or, you can not consume a bitcoin leading to its destruction, and at the same time gain something useful. *)

Said otherwise, bitcoin has only money value, and in this regard it is the same as paper money.

It is at the same time pure money, and sound money. This has never existed before in history.

The money value is by definition speculative, all actors at all times have to decide for themselves what value (real world, use value) it is possible to exchange the bitcoins for in the future, far or near.

*) I know, you can prove that you have destroyed bitcoins to prove something...



822. Post 10321797 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: oda.krell on January 31, 2015, 06:17:24 PM
Noob question. Is there a way for one to somehow value this instrument for market vs intrinsic value.. Any ratio performance driver?Or something similar in a way to 3 financial statement forecasting model for equities or is TA the only way to ride?

Absolutely not. There is no intrinsic value at all, that is, no use value, or, you can not consume a bitcoin leading to its destruction, and at the same time gain something useful. *)

Said otherwise, bitcoin has only money value, and in this regard it is the same as paper money.

It is at the same time pure money, and sound money. This has never existed before in history.

The money value is by definition speculative, all actors at all times have to decide for themselves what value (real world, use value) it is possible to exchange the bitcoins for in the future, far or near.

*) I know, you can prove that you have destroyed bitcoins to prove something...

And how do you think that would be compatible with:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Velocity_of_money

If the network proper is used to transfer a certain total value (measured in USD) over a certain time span, then given the money supply (total bitcoins in circulation, in this case) that transaction usage will provide a lower bound for the USD valuation per coin (assuming transactions are not instantaneous - which they aren't, even if the pure protocol part of it almost is, but there's slow humans involved as well Cheesy)

I'd call that a pretty good candidate for "fundamental" valuation (even if the exact value of it is up for debate)

It is not compatible. I don't give a shit about that article, or the concept of velocity of money. I have written about that numerous times. Although it can be computed, giving a number, the parameter says exactly nothing of the value of money.




823. Post 10322030 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

1) Holders: I want to sell! I want to sell! I want to sell! Just waiting for the bids to curl up just under the current price.  After a sell, next holder: Fuck, now it takes ages before the bids build up again. Can't wait any longer, selling too!

2) Non holders: I want to buy, but will someone immediately dump? Have to wait until it quiets down. Maybe now? Dipping my toe in, buying just a small amount. And another buyer, and another one, and another one. Oh fuck, someone sold a small amount! Back to 1)



824. Post 10322570 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: bassclef on January 31, 2015, 08:02:50 PM
Tony Gallippi is just desperately trying to hype.
I wanna remind y'all that Barry Silbert said the same exact thing all throughout 2014. "I know that Wall Street is coming into bitcoin in a big way".

Guess naht lel

Hence the prolonged bear market and recent shakeouts. That is how Wall Street buys.

Maybe, but not many, not much. Off market or not, spread on all exchanges or not, we would have seen the price action, which we have not. Yet.

Edit: I don't much want them, I want prudent savers. It does not make much difference, but I would like to see them being the late comers, I want to see them largely coinless in the new era. Just schadenfreude, it doesn't make much difference for bitcoin what they do.

Edit2: I don't care much if they shake the price, short squeezes or what not. That only leads others to keep their asks high and their bids low with more patience, maturing the market.






825. Post 10322740 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: Kupsi on January 31, 2015, 08:40:05 PM
I have a question for you guys:

You own 5k bit-coins. What do you do? Serious question.

Sell 1% every month and enjoy life.

Yes, and you are set for 100 years, should be enough for most people...





826. Post 10324461 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: oda.krell on January 31, 2015, 11:03:45 PM

It is not compatible. I don't give a shit about that article, or the concept of velocity of money. I have written about that numerous times. Although it can be computed, giving a number, the parameter says exactly nothing of the value of money.

I don't get. At least at its core, this isn't some economical conjecture, this is just what you can or cannot do given a set of constraints on your medium of exchange.

If we agree on a medium that consists of a total of 10 tokens, we know that we'll buy and sell goods worth $100 each day, each transfer causes the tokens used in that transfer to be out of circulation for one day, then there is no way around an associated valuation per token of at least $10, or one of the other constraints has to give in (more tokens, less value transferred, less time before token is back in circulation).

At least to my understanding, velocity of money is essentially a formalization of the intuition behind the trivial example I just gave.

But feel free to correct my lack of understanding on this matter. It's possible that I'm missing something very fundamental here.

To measure the velocity, you have to remove transactions that are purely financial, and those transactions in the production structure that would be eliminiated with a completely vertical business structure. Basically, you want only the payments for consumer goods. That means that it is just another measure of the total consumer production.

In bitcoin, you can use bitpays numbers for a year and add some percentage for all the rest of the consumer payments, then divide by the found coins.

In practice velocity is never measured, it is computed using the absurd keynesian quantity formula, which then always is correct, because any other three numbers you put into the formula, you can fix with the velocity.




827. Post 10324500 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: kodtycoon on February 01, 2015, 12:50:42 AM
just spent 10$ in bitcoin..

..

..

..

..

aaaaaaand iv earned it back... Cheesy

Just spend 10$ on a 4x leveraged long..
..
..
..
..

aaaaaaaand it's gone!




828. Post 10324854 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

I did not expect all this downward action now, but I can apprehend the style of the econometrists when they are wrong: The consensus was up, this was unexpected, "everybody" was taken by surprise, the market is obvously wrong (hey we need more block rewards) etc.




829. Post 10324937 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

If the fed chair were in charge of bitcoin: We may or may not continue the manipulation of the interest rate, that depends on the numbers we can more or less accidentally glean out our helpless statistics, come to think of it, we will continue manipulating, whether higher or lower, indefinitely. If something happens or not happens, we will not engage in a new quantitative easing program, unless shit really happens, then we might. And I really shouldn't tell you, but our actions can not be too obvious, so we may invent something new, or maybe we already have invented it, and are ready to act, depending on my aunts cats rate of miauing.

As long as the bitcoin god is in charge of bitcoin: There will be reward halving at block 420000.




830. Post 10325879 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: bassclef on February 01, 2015, 06:05:49 AM
How low can this possibly go?  I'm thinking 160ish
Daily chart on this downmove is on declining volume... that's a sign of market strength. I got out of my short around $230.
I've observed that in Bitcoin, secondary tests of lows after selling climaxes (on larger timescales) generally don't play out all the way to the previous low, which would be $160. We might see $200. We bounced off $160 on such high volume that it's going to be one hell of a support level to break back through (expensive for whales, they can't dump forever unless they get the sheep to follow). The lower we go the stronger the reaction rally will be as more supply from weak hands will be siphoned out.
Another reason for the lull is that in the US, everyone is partying for the Super Bowl. I know I'll be away from the charts drinking beer and eating nachos.

Shall we call it "The great nacho lull of 2015?"

Ha! More like "The Great Drunken Panic Buy of 2015"

He should demand a bitcoin ticker on the splendid screens they have at the stadiums.



831. Post 10328131 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

bitcointalk down - must be new users overwhelming the site - bullish!



832. Post 10328558 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: thresher on February 01, 2015, 07:04:20 PM
All the retards woke up this morning and say hey lets buy bitcoin at a rapid rate for no reason.
It doesn't matter that we are trending downwards, no positive news came out, or that there was another fake buy wall at 220 today, nope no one cares.
Honestly If this pump brings us up to $300 again I am out.  The community, including myself is a bunch of delusional morons that seem to forget about what happened hours before.

Fun fact: I bought 10 btc for superbowl bets yesterday, and guess what, I am already down 90 bucks and the game didn't even start! Bitcoin at its finest!  

So you haven't heard about the weekend dump and the corresponding sunday evening pump? Doesn't matter, because just as you have discovered the pattern, it will be the opposite. Welcome to speculation!




833. Post 10350782 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: samson on February 03, 2015, 09:32:05 PM
I'm pretty sure that virtually nothing said by anyone here makes the slightest difference to the market prices.

I view this thread as pure commentary and comedy. It's still my favourite thread on bitcointalk even after all this time.

I disagree. This is the best place. On reddit you find the same shit in a different wrapping. Coindesk, same shit in a serious-smelling-but-not-really, pro-government packing. In main stream media and most of the alternative media, just trolling.

At least occationally, here you have a tidbit of something both new and essential.



834. Post 10350815 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: fonzie on February 03, 2015, 11:24:03 PM
I really wouldn't dare to say that with such determination. Bitcoin has been therefore and it might fall back there again. I still believe that it will stabilize in the 50-100 dollar range, with my guess being closer to 50 than 100. This year will bring us further valueing of Bitcoin on the basis of its true use, which is extremely limited at this point. Also: the bear market is not reversing for the time being, so it's a safe bet that it will keep going down further.


You seem to have fallen into the trap of thinking that bitcoin was ever valued on 'the basis of it's true use' and we will return to that point.



How would you call the trap that YOU have fallen into?  Huh



The truth trap: the value comes from the speculative holding, and the speculative non-holding.



835. Post 10354230 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: elkrisi on February 04, 2015, 09:07:54 AM
Suppose that the USD supply was limited to just 21.000.000 USD for the whole planet and the whole existing money supply.

Given that the USA current debt ceiling is standing at 16 TRILLION USD, just to cover this debt alone, the value of each "limited supply dollar" would have to be 761,904 "unlimited supply dollars".

It seems to me that in the long term there can only be two possibilities: either bitcoin will just disappear or remain the play-money of a very limited geek group or will rise in value to the six digit value against the "unlimited supply dollars".


"unlimited supply dollars" == USD  -  I like it.



836. Post 10356347 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Long march back to 230 ... then a new dump. It is saddening.




837. Post 10368776 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Bitfinex on bitcoinwisdom looks totally stupid.



838. Post 10372063 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Pump!!! a whole dollar!!



839. Post 10377240 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Bitfinex: 50 order book movements per trade, however small. Hurts my eyes.



840. Post 10377258 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: Elwar on February 06, 2015, 02:53:32 PM


Laughable. No interest hike until the global government reset. Military expenses to bubble.




841. Post 10377422 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: WeltMaster on February 06, 2015, 02:57:43 PM
It'd be hilarious if it wasn't so heart-breaking

We've learnt literally NOTHING from 2008 as EVERYTHING is exactly the same, same practices by the same fucking cosy cartels

It makes my blood boil

Day of the rope when?

After the reset (GGR global government reset - I like it) you can choose to say no to governments. Line up with your neigbours with guns, and say "take noone, steal nothing".



842. Post 10377987 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: WeltMaster on February 06, 2015, 04:04:21 PM
It'd be hilarious if it wasn't so heart-breaking

We've learnt literally NOTHING from 2008 as EVERYTHING is exactly the same, same practices by the same fucking cosy cartels

It makes my blood boil

Day of the rope when?

After the reset (GGR global government reset - I like it) you can choose to say no to governments. Line up with your neigbours with guns, and say "take noone, steal nothing".


I'm from the UK, we can't into revolution

Not necessary. Just don't give them your money.



843. Post 10378056 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Back on 225 after a night and a day. Fucking low information, syrup brained cowards - all of you!




844. Post 10404552 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: Stargazer on February 09, 2015, 12:39:27 PM

Let's just hope that you end your miserable life  Smiley

Don't even bother talking to fonzie. He's a known troll ignored by most people here. The only moment I see his posts is when somebody quotes him, so please spare me Cheesy

..or a very persevering sarcast...



845. Post 10404676 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Dump on rumour, slowly creep back as the rumour fizzles into nothing...



846. Post 10414131 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Sadly, bitcoins have to be around already, for the greek to use it as an insurance against confiscation of euros or forced conversion of euros to bank shares or new drakmas. To get bitcoins in net amount in the hands of persons residing within greece, those persons have to move their euros either to some other european bank or physical notes over the border. At that point, they may think they are safe enough.

As always in these situations, you have to do everything before confiscations and currency controls. After the fact, the money is gone.




847. Post 10414501 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: fonzie on February 10, 2015, 11:34:59 AM
so? someone offered to generate money by magically spinning your funds around and it turned out to be a... omg... a scam? goddamn jesus, what world do we live in!

again, so what?

Tighter regulations(total bans) for bitcoin exchanges in China(Hongkong) most likely to be established soon. Byebye Bitfinex, Huobi and whatelse.

Hopefully then you will **** off to another forum

So much hate in here  Undecided

It is acceptable. What we don't want, is someone throwing his mouse so hard into his screen that it converts to digital energy, travels over the net to the other party, materializes, and hits the other guy in the eye. That's violence, we can't have that!




848. Post 10419956 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

On bitstamp, I think there are one or two bots buying indiscriminately random amounts between 0.05 and 1 every few minutes. Have not found the precise timing. Has gone on a few days.

EDIT: 5 decimals



849. Post 10432788 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

Quote from: octaft on February 11, 2015, 09:15:45 PM
it's pretty loathsome behavior to hope for economic collapses -- with no regard for the lives it would destroy -- just so you can (maybe) make a few extra bucks off your BTC.

Either the Greeks suffer or all of Europe suffers. I prefer less suffering to more suffering so I don't see what's loathsome about that.



Oh spare me. Of all of you discussing it, I am confident you are the one who would give the least fucks about who suffers or how much as long as you think it will help you make a few extra bucks.

So nobody suffers under the current system, huh? I think some do.

Could the G8 come together and agree on no more money printing, no more government loaning, no more banker bailouts, no more corporate welfare, no more welfare state, no more taxpayer deposit guarantees? A soft landing? I think not.

In fact there is no option for a soft landing, and a reset sometime in the future is unavoidable. A crash would be painful, but continuing the current system, we can expect lower living standard, which mean freezing, hunger, sickness, war, AND a larger crash later.

So I think wishing for a crash as soon as possible is the most altruistic attitude.
(Not being altruistic myself, as I think it is a philosophy of death).




850. Post 10433135 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

Quote from: octaft on February 12, 2015, 02:07:49 AM
it's pretty loathsome behavior to hope for economic collapses -- with no regard for the lives it would destroy -- just so you can (maybe) make a few extra bucks off your BTC.

Either the Greeks suffer or all of Europe suffers. I prefer less suffering to more suffering so I don't see what's loathsome about that.



Oh spare me. Of all of you discussing it, I am confident you are the one who would give the least fucks about who suffers or how much as long as you think it will help you make a few extra bucks.

So nobody suffers under the current system, huh? I think some do.

Could the G8 come together and agree on no more money printing, no more government loaning, no more banker bailouts, no more corporate welfare, no more welfare state, no more taxpayer deposit guarantees? A soft landing? I think not.

In fact there is no option for a soft landing, and a reset sometime in the future is unavoidable. A crash would be painful, but continuing the current system, we can expect lower living standard, which mean freezing, hunger, sickness, war, AND a larger crash later.

So I think wishing for a crash as soon as possible is the most altruistic attitude.
(Not being altruistic myself, as I think it is a philosophy of death).



Do you realize that nothing you said applies to any statements you quoted from me?

My original point was about hoping for economic collapses in general, because you think it will make BTC price rise. It was not meant to be a commentary on the Greece situation, and I didn't accuse anyone in particular of anything except BJA. Judging his character by his posts that I've read, I stand by my opinion that his only interest in Greece is the possibility that he can line his pockets from the situation, but that's still not actually a commentary on the Greece situation. I'll leave the back and forth discussion of that to the resident armchair economists.

Pathetic. Your moralism is unethical. It brings death. Bring on the crash. Buy moar coins.




851. Post 10441131 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on February 12, 2015, 06:52:57 PM
http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/ripple-labs-joins-w3c-web-payment-interest-group-help-set-standards-value-web-1991404.htm

Bullish  Tongue Cool Cool

Hehe... now the ripple guys have set up camp where they can stay put a couple of years...



852. Post 10515518 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):


"Evo Morales Raids Bolivia’s Pension Pots"

http://blog.panampost.com/roberto-ortiz/2015/02/17/evo-morales-raids-bolivias-pension-pots/



853. Post 10515637 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: LewiesMan on February 19, 2015, 08:07:12 PM

Fun read but how is it discussion related?

It't about confiscation of savings. Cyprus...remember?



854. Post 10516774 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: mcplant on February 19, 2015, 08:40:14 PM
so i've been doing a lot of price speculation thinking this last week and i came across an interesting question.  the btc/usd not only depends on the btc market but the usd market. if the usd started steadily losing value how would we see this effecting btc/usd prices.

That's right, but there is not and can never be a value yardstick, because all value is individuals comparing alternatives. We use dollar as a practical approximation (in this international forum) but you could compare to other fiats, gold, iron ore or just about anything.




855. Post 10521189 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: Richy_T on February 20, 2015, 05:13:00 AM
This is why it is so fascinating. The most logical thing for them to do is to default HARD on that debt, start from a clean slate, and we will all be vacationing in Greece next year due to the affordable prices. The Greeks are already in the worst case senario, it can't get much worse economically - the only place where it can get worse is that the Greke population may take a haircut on their savings by converting to Drachmas. If I was in charge of Greece, and I was brave enough, I'd default.



That would be the logical thing to do. Unfortunately for Greece, their politicians got in on pledging to end austerity. Which means more spending which means more borrowing. Something has to give. They can't even inflate their way out of it *and* remain in the Euro. It won't be pretty. Though if it ends with everyone fleeing the Euro, that would be a good thing.

I still think the greeks have the best poker cards. No politician want to expose that every state is insolvent. My guess is, they will extend more loans, make it look (to greeks) that they won (their national dignity, which seems like an important thing), make it look (to germans) that it cost them nothing. Using the standard politician newspeak, inventing a new meme to sign it off. Bad solution, risk up, eventually the general market will tear apart either the euro or the EU or both.



856. Post 10521240 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on February 20, 2015, 08:05:30 AM

Isn't it amusing that the Freedom Loving ancap bitcoiners post mainly to command other users to ignore and don't reply to this and that?  Grin

(Myself, I can ignore people on my head.  I don't see why one needs a computer to do that.)

at least no one gets thrown into jail and fined for ignoring this suggestion  Roll Eyes

I see the Esteemed Honorable Professor is attacking straw men again. The academic integrity of this man fills me with awe.

Edit: BTW, if you have people on your head you shouldn't ignore them. You have a job to do, get licking!

It would be prudent, if you know something and are able to express yourself, to meet disinformation with good information. This would be good for the expansion of bitcoin usage. Two problems: Trolls will divert your energy towards fighting them, and it is costly to lose my peace of mind. I just can't be bothered. Anyway, bitcoin will win in the end based on the self interest of the individuals. When the general market (the free market plus the nonfree market plus basically every choice that is made, economic or otherwise) is ready, the change will commence.




857. Post 10521269 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: Afrikoin on February 20, 2015, 09:52:07 AM
Nice steady rise, I guess it has to do with CNNs show last night! Great exposure! Is there somewhere a link of the recording to watch the show by the way?

It's important to understand that not every piece of fundamental news affects BTC price action.

Which is true for just about every submarket. The media just invent, randomly, correlation between two events. The analysts sit at bars to hear what the other analysts thinks, following the stream, hoping to front run the others. Look at the reaction to the reports of oil inventory builds yesterday. The market was apparently "surprised". Who could not know that there were inventory bulding going on? Analysts, really?



858. Post 10521286 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on February 20, 2015, 10:27:53 AM
This is why it is so fascinating. The most logical thing for them to do is to default HARD on that debt, start from a clean slate, and we will all be vacationing in Greece next year due to the affordable prices. The Greeks are already in the worst case senario, it can't get much worse economically - the only place where it can get worse is that the Greke population may take a haircut on their savings by converting to Drachmas. If I was in charge of Greece, and I was brave enough, I'd default.



That would be the logical thing to do. Unfortunately for Greece, their politicians got in on pledging to end austerity. Which means more spending which means more borrowing. Something has to give. They can't even inflate their way out of it *and* remain in the Euro. It won't be pretty. Though if it ends with everyone fleeing the Euro, that would be a good thing.

I still think the greeks have the best poker cards. No politician want to expose that every state is insolvent. My guess is, they will extend more loans, make it look (to greeks) that they won (their national dignity, which seems like an important thing), make it look (to germans) that it cost them nothing. Using the standard politician newspeak, inventing a new meme to sign it off. Bad solution, risk up, eventually the general market will tear apart either the euro or the EU or both.


We've already covered that many times. If Greece gets better terms, then every other deadbeat country will want them too. I think the new Greek government promised what they can't possibly deliver: a debt writedown, end of austerity AND staying in the Euro. No way they do all three. No way their is no pain for Greeks. Very difficult for Greeks not to blame Tsipras and Veroufakas when the pain comes. Very likely they will get replaced by either banker toadies or far right reactionaries.

I don't think the terms matter. Only the words, which are spoken for effect.



859. Post 10527640 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: okthen on February 20, 2015, 08:22:31 PM
Greek deal is reached (apparently - though we have had many false starts). Bitcoin is flat... interesting.


It's so funny to watch. Syriza was all like "we're getting out of the Euro, blablabla".
What did they get? An extension which would have been granted to any political party who would have won.
A change of name for the Troika, so that they can brag to the Greek citizens.
Ridiculous.

They need a better meme before this is over

Troika repayment redefined
Flexible repayment
Soft repayment
Dignity deal
Prosperity swap
No greek left behind
Euro Unity Reassurance deal
Responsible Prosperity
respionsible anti austerity
Hellenic eternal enlightenment revival and inclusion treaty of the 21.century

Something.



860. Post 10528075 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Weekend pump or weekend dump?

Smart trader: We had a pump last weekend, and since statistics with a sample of one is a good statistic, we will have a pump this weekend BUY

Smarter trader: Smart traders are smart, but I am even smarter, so I do the opposite SELL

Even smarter trader: Some traders think they are smart, some think they are smarter, but I am going to front run them all BUY


Kenesian econometrist: I have this model with a hundred variables, including the velocity of money, which I have trimmed with love and care so I can prove that it is historically correct, so I know (those blind sheep...) but I won't tell anyone until monday.






861. Post 10528255 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on February 20, 2015, 10:01:29 PM
Weekend pump or weekend dump?

Smart trader: We had a pump last weekend, and since statistics with a sample of one is a good statistic, we will have a pump this weekend BUY

Smarter trader: Smart traders are smart, but I am even smarter, so I do the opposite SELL

Even smarter trader: Some traders think they are smart, some think they are smarter, but I am going to front run them all BUY


Kenesian econometrist: I have this model with a hundred variables, including the velocity of money, which I have trimmed with love and care so I can prove that it is historically correct, so I know (those blind sheep...) but I won't tell anyone until monday.

You question gives away the answer: If what happens is what the most people least suspect, then we'll go sideways, because that wasn't even an option in your question.

Honestly, I don't have the faintest idea where we are going...

EDIT: except a small overweight on up, since I believe in the long term success, and if so, we will have to go upwards more than downwards, in general.





862. Post 10528353 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: Erdogan on February 20, 2015, 09:15:14 PM
Greek deal is reached (apparently - though we have had many false starts). Bitcoin is flat... interesting.


It's so funny to watch. Syriza was all like "we're getting out of the Euro, blablabla".
What did they get? An extension which would have been granted to any political party who would have won.
A change of name for the Troika, so that they can brag to the Greek citizens.
Ridiculous.

They need a better meme before this is over

Troika repayment redefined
Flexible repayment
Soft repayment
Dignity deal
Prosperity swap
No greek left behind
Euro Unity Reassurance deal
Responsible Prosperity
respionsible anti austerity
Hellenic eternal enlightenment revival and inclusion treaty of the 21.century

Something.


Happy to quote myself here, because it was borderline brilliant. Anyone want to chirp in? A good meme for the politically grand success of todays Eurogroup meeting.



863. Post 10528619 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on February 20, 2015, 10:43:21 PM
Greek deal is reached (apparently - though we have had many false starts). Bitcoin is flat... interesting.


It's so funny to watch. Syriza was all like "we're getting out of the Euro, blablabla".
What did they get? An extension which would have been granted to any political party who would have won.
A change of name for the Troika, so that they can brag to the Greek citizens.
Ridiculous.

They need a better meme before this is over

Troika repayment redefined
Flexible repayment
Soft repayment
Dignity deal
Prosperity swap
No greek left behind
Euro Unity Reassurance deal
Responsible Prosperity
respionsible anti austerity
Hellenic eternal enlightenment revival and inclusion treaty of the 21.century

Something.


Happy to quote myself here, because it was borderline brilliant. Anyone want to chirp in? A good meme for the politically grand success of todays Eurogroup meeting.


Grecian repayment formula 44?


Versailles II, the trust in banks peace and freedom treaty.



864. Post 10528635 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: Erdogan on February 20, 2015, 11:01:07 PM
Greek deal is reached (apparently - though we have had many false starts). Bitcoin is flat... interesting.


It's so funny to watch. Syriza was all like "we're getting out of the Euro, blablabla".
What did they get? An extension which would have been granted to any political party who would have won.
A change of name for the Troika, so that they can brag to the Greek citizens.
Ridiculous.

They need a better meme before this is over

Troika repayment redefined
Flexible repayment
Soft repayment
Dignity deal
Prosperity swap
No greek left behind
Euro Unity Reassurance deal
Responsible Prosperity
respionsible anti austerity
Hellenic eternal enlightenment revival and inclusion treaty of the 21.century

Something.


Happy to quote myself here, because it was borderline brilliant. Anyone want to chirp in? A good meme for the politically grand success of todays Eurogroup meeting.


Grecian repayment formula 44?


Versailles II, the trust in banks peace and freedom treaty.


The people's victory over markets.



865. Post 10528660 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quiet, friday night, I guess some people have a life!



866. Post 10528966 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: macsga on February 20, 2015, 11:29:43 PM
Greece won't bother the EU (and the World for that matter) for the next 4 months. What will we do, when the focus is where it should be all these 5 years?

Just sayin'...

4 months? The market never sleeps, and could tear the whole thing apart.




867. Post 10529428 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Train is on station, fuelled up, waiting for passengers.



868. Post 10533178 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: Erdogan on February 20, 2015, 11:02:41 PM
Greek deal is reached (apparently - though we have had many false starts). Bitcoin is flat... interesting.


It's so funny to watch. Syriza was all like "we're getting out of the Euro, blablabla".
What did they get? An extension which would have been granted to any political party who would have won.
A change of name for the Troika, so that they can brag to the Greek citizens.
Ridiculous.

They need a better meme before this is over

Troika repayment redefined
Flexible repayment
Soft repayment
Dignity deal
Prosperity swap
No greek left behind
Euro Unity Reassurance deal
Responsible Prosperity
respionsible anti austerity
Hellenic eternal enlightenment revival and inclusion treaty of the 21.century

Something.


Happy to quote myself here, because it was borderline brilliant. Anyone want to chirp in? A good meme for the politically grand success of todays Eurogroup meeting.


Grecian repayment formula 44?


Versailles II, the trust in banks peace and freedom treaty.


The people's victory over markets.


No bank left behind.



869. Post 10558092 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

I like this thread.



870. Post 10559959 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: camolist on February 23, 2015, 09:05:08 PM
300 by the weekend gentlemen!

New fiat will be entering the exchanges.
BTCBTCBTCBTCBTC

willing to make that a bet?? I have up to 1 BTC on the NO side of that



Fuck those bets. Just buy or sell.



871. Post 10559978 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: Wary on February 23, 2015, 09:48:18 PM

I agree.  Is this garbage what we want the newbies who just watched that CNN special to read when they hit bitcointalk and look at active threads?

I understand that there's a fine line between trolling and a completely valid bearish perspective.  So it is not right to moderate on-topic bearish posts.  But the trash I'm reading today is not the image we want to present to new bitcoiners.  Letting it stay here is a bad idea if you care about Bitcoin, even if you care but happen to be short today.

So I'm here posting on this thread to ask other bitcoiners to en-masse ask the moderators to start monitoring this thread until the off-topic trolling -- in fact all the off topic posting -- goes somewhere else.  

Please reply to this post if you agree!!!   Drown out the garbage posts with replies so the trolls see how little we appreciate their off-topic "contributions".

And also start clicking the "report to moderator" link on off-topic posts to this thread.

thanks,
theZerg
It's the communistic approach: declare something to be a common property and then control it, for the common good.  Grin
Capitalistic approach would be creating your own thread, with your own rules, and making it more popular that this one. Sure, it's a bit harder to do.  Grin

^
Right.




872. Post 10581189 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: LewiesMan on February 25, 2015, 06:03:30 PM
What I meant is that "bitcoin insurance" can probably only be what circle and coinbase are offering, basically telling people that "it's all insured" but if your computer/account gets hacked you are screwed and they don't give you a penny.
Considering bitcoin is irreversible and all, good luck with actual consumer protection.

If I let my computer get hacked, and the thieves empty my fiat bank account, I'm screwed, too. No difference.

One of my neighbours had her bank card stolen after she went to an ATM. The thieves had seen her typing in her code. She got nothing from the bank.

Sounds like utter bullshit.  What country do you live in?

Entirely possible even in the US.

To expand on that: In the early years of ATM cards, the 4 digit pin-code was encrypted on the card, and it was easy to steal a card, read it, brute force the pin, and use it - the ATM's were not always online and you could always find one that was offline. The banks just assumed that nobody had access to card readers, and that the encryption formula was secret. Both turned out to be untrue after some years, but countless courts trusted the banks, and the conclusion was always that if the correct pin was entered, it had either to be the owner of the card who did it, or he had not secured his pin sufficiently (which he had to, according the contract). Money lost.




873. Post 10581631 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: empowering on February 25, 2015, 07:33:36 PM

Considering bitcoin is irreversible and all, good luck with actual consumer protection.

OMG! It's irreversible like the cash you pay in a brick and mortar! There is NO WAY consumer protection could exist with bitcoin.  

Oh wait!

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/mainstream-consumer-protection-meets-bitcoin-100900458.html

Quote
February 13th, 2014 -- While Bitcoin has been exploding worldwide, many have argued that for Bitcoin to reach the next level of mainstream adoption there needs to be a mechanism to protect Bitcoin users from scams and fraudsters. New innovative open source start-up Bitrated is doing just that – bringing the standards of consumer protection customers have come to expect from legacy payment systems to Bitcoiners worldwide. In a world first Bitrated offers consumer protection for the safe purchasing of Bitcoin and other goods with Bitcoin, an open arbitration marketplace, buyer fraud protection mechanisms, niche experts and more.

Are you even aware of what day of the week it is? Huh

No wonder you are a wanderer  Undecided
Calm down, cultist. You are a little nervous.

I read this thing and I see "trusted third party". I thought bitcoin was supposed to avoid those evil ugly "trusted third parties" satoshi was talking about in his paper and that this was the whole narrative for bitcoin paranoid libertarians.

Now you are saying that trust is necessary?

Can you imagine a world, with improved Bitcoin security ,where some are , if they choose, able and willing to secure their own coins and devices, and then there are others, some individuals that use companies, third parties, and some companies are insured, so as to comply with standards that enable them to interact with the conventional financial system, in a way that satisfies peoples needs and the regulations that exist?

I can.

Looks like we are going at the very core issue of the whole bitcoin phenomenon.

First satoshi creates a technology that is supposed to avoid "trusted third parties" because apparently they are a problem.
Then we discover that trusted third parties are actually important and not a problem.
So we introduce trust in something that was supposed to avoid it? Huh

Why not used centralised finance that works better in the first place I wonder (that sure can welcome some improvements for example with distributed ledger protocols)?

Basically we just discovered that the original satoshi endeavour of making money 100% decentralised and trust-less was kinda... bullshit because trust in necessary.

So you are saying you cannot imagine a world where some choose to use a third party, if that is their choice, and some choose not to, and instead choose to disintermediate?

The point is you now have the choice.

I have not bought a CD, or used blockbuster, or bought a DVD for nearly half a decade, I still can choose to do so, but now I download or stream all of my content. However if I wanted to I could pop down to the shop and pick it up and buy cash, or order online and get a hardcopy sent in the post and pay by credit card or by Bitcoin , but I choose not to, I choose to interact with the web (with the risks associated) and download or stream or p2p,  but the point is I have the choice. Whereas I remember very clearly getting all new release films from blockbuster or going to the cinema, because well I had no choice.

The advent of digital downloads and streaming and p2p, did disintermediate to a certain extent the businesses that used to be the largest providers of DVD/CD rentals, sales etc.

It provides the choice.

Plenty of people I know still buy DVDs and CD's and plenty of people p2p or stream, and industry is playing catchup all of the time with this.

Point is people have the choice, to use technology that disintermediates the middleman.

Also, solutions to problems are being found all the time, Bitcoin security being a problem that is getting a lot of focus, I expect to see better solutions relatively soon. Things change.

(ps "Middle men" is quite a good film anyone seen it?? it is actually quite relevant now that I think of it  i.e internet, payments, evolving tech, and dodgy dodgy fuckers ... but now years later turned into a "grown up" fully fledged global industry, which still has some dodgy fuckers no doubt)


The bogous assumption in these kinds of discussions, is that bitcoin is in competition with these bank like services. Bitcoin is not that, bitcoin is money, base money, like banknotes. The confusion stems from the fact that bitcoins are so easily transferrable, globally, instantly, that they seem to be something different from normal money. But they are money, only very easily transferrable.

The services of banking is of course possible for bitcoin, just as with any kind of fiat (and gold). So anything from the banking world that is useful, will be implemented by the market in due time.





874. Post 10581887 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: Andre# on February 25, 2015, 08:37:26 PM

The bogous assumption in these kinds of discussions, is that bitcoin is in competition with these bank like services. Bitcoin is not that, bitcoin is money, base money, like banknotes. The confusion stems from the fact that bitcoins are so easily transferrable, globally, instantly, that they seem to be something different from normal money. But they are money, only very easily transferrable.

The services of banking is of course possible for bitcoin, just as with any kind of fiat (and gold). So anything from the banking world that is useful, will be implemented by the market in due time.


Hear, hear! Bitcoin doesn't make banks redundant, only a few cash cows will disappear. Like international money transfers, which are now tediously slow, expensive, and complicated. But few people will like to have a lot of BTC at home. If banks offer deposit insurance, they will happily put their BTC at the bank in return for ease of mind (like Circle already does in a limited way).

And people will still need loans, mortgages, etc.

Thanks for strengthening my exact point.



875. Post 10581931 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: empowering on February 25, 2015, 08:38:55 PM


The bogous assumption in these kinds of discussions, is that bitcoin is in competition with these bank like services. Bitcoin is not that, bitcoin is money, base money, like banknotes. The confusion stems from the fact that bitcoins are so easily transferrable, globally, instantly, that they seem to be something different from normal money. But they are money, only very easily transferrable.

The services of banking is of course possible for bitcoin, just as with any kind of fiat (and gold). So anything from the banking world that is useful, will be implemented by the market in due time.




I do not believe I am making this assumption.

 

Right, it was the one you quoted, Wandererfromthenorth. I just think that bitcoin, being comparable primarily to fiat money, not to banking services, should be pointed out repeatedly.



876. Post 10591564 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on February 26, 2015, 04:55:52 PM
Price not going up? Where is dev?  Huh




@billyjoeallen stopped buying MOAR ...
Is he one of the devs?

Dev promised roadmap "coming soon".

I'm hodling strong but children are screaming and wife hates the invisible coins.
What to do?

Is this scam?  Huh



re wife: flowers, always flowers.

This is true. Buying flowers to wife is always smart, but economically it is the equivalent of burning coins.



877. Post 10592480 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: NotHatinJustTrollin on February 26, 2015, 07:18:52 PM
Is Bitcoin The Next Internet? According to Yahoo! Finance, the naive and foolish permabulltards at the Bank of England think so.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-next-internet-163107308.html
Looks like the only permabulltards here are the bulls in this thread:

They say:

"While existing private digital currencies have economic flaws which make them volatile", the paper says, “the distributed ledger technology that their payment systems rely on may have considerable promise.”



They ain't talking about no bitcoin/shitcoin.

And that is their grave error.



878. Post 10595981 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Time to stop the infighting - this is gentlemen.



879. Post 10611254 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: octaft on February 28, 2015, 02:22:44 PM
Obama:  If only we could rid the world of the dumbest, greediest criminal element, without harming normal people...
CIA:  Mr. President, our secret research labs have finally perfected just such a weapon.  We call it ... Bitcoin.
Obama: Hahahahahahahahaha!  Make it so!

Obama:  Now we only need a name. The creator of Bitcoin, what could it be?
CIA: What are you thinking Mr. President? First thing that comes to your mind.
Obama: Gotta be something hilarious. "So a man took a shit". Make an anagram out of that. Go ahead lol
CIA: mmh... ... "Satoshi Nakamoto"?
Obama: hahaha you are a fucking genius!

Just wanted to quote this bit of comedy for those who might be ignoring these two.

Funniest thing I've seen in ages.

Gotta give credit where it's due.

Lett me get this strait. You are intentionally exposing people to the writings of people you know are purposefully ignored? You are doing this because you know better what people want or ought to read than they know themselves?  

It's a fucking anagram, you arrogant ass clown. Circumventing users control of their own experience is a shitty thing to do here of all places. You ought to know better.

You're one to talk, you stupid fuck. The man can do what he pleases, so shut the fuck up.

This reminds me of the happy days of usenet and gnus. There, the standard answer was: Just write a piece of sufficiently intelligent emacs code to filter not only the trolls, but also the troll quotes (and posts that go against you with fatal success in general).




880. Post 10621430 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: oda.krell on March 01, 2015, 11:20:28 AM
Well, the price being 252$, it means that everybody who who owns bitcoin thinks that they are worth more than 245$; but, on the other hand, everybody in the world who has some money to spare thinks that 1 BTC is not worth 255$.


You really are not much of an economist, are you ? Cheesy How does such an oversimplifying way to look at economic choice even go together with your ability to solve abstract mathematical problems?

Okay. To name just one objection to such an incredibly naive model of the market:

Misrepresentation of your actual valuation for strategic purposes.

Similar to the misrepresentation, "tactical voting", in voting theory: sometimes it is individually rational for an actor not to cast a vote according to his sincere preference.

He is basically right this time. Since bitcoins are neither produced not destroyed (by consumption), the only basis for demand is people who think it is worth more, and the only source of supply is people who think it is worth less. Historic value could for some be of importance, but should not, again since they are not consumable there is no reference. Only expected future value should matter. Just like cold and heat, where cold is just absence of heat, and darkness and light, where darkness is just absense of light, bitcoin supply is the same as absence of demand. So in case of bitcoin (and other pure money types), there is really only one parameter: The demand.

The speculation is about projecting the demand for bitcoins in the future. Those never exposed to the idea are one source of future demand.



881. Post 10625146 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: oda.krell on March 01, 2015, 07:10:20 PM
Well, the price being 252$, it means that everybody who who owns bitcoin thinks that they are worth more than 245$; but, on the other hand, everybody in the world who has some money to spare thinks that 1 BTC is not worth 255$.


You really are not much of an economist, are you ? Cheesy How does such an oversimplifying way to look at economic choice even go together with your ability to solve abstract mathematical problems?

Okay. To name just one objection to such an incredibly naive model of the market:

Misrepresentation of your actual valuation for strategic purposes.

Similar to the misrepresentation, "tactical voting", in voting theory: sometimes it is individually rational for an actor not to cast a vote according to his sincere preference.

He is basically right this time. Since bitcoins are neither produced not destroyed (by consumption), the only basis for demand is people who think it is worth more, and the only source of supply is people who think it is worth less. Historic value could for some be of importance, but should not, again since they are not consumable there is no reference. Only expected future value should matter. Just like cold and heat, where cold is just absence of heat, and darkness and light, where darkness is just absense of light, bitcoin supply is the same as absence of demand. So in case of bitcoin (and other pure money types), there is really only one parameter: The demand.

The speculation is about projecting the demand for bitcoins in the future. Those never exposed to the idea are one source of future demand.


Only that my argument wasn't about people who haven't heard of it yet. I was talking about the (overly simplistic) idea that current market price is identical to everybody's sincere valuation, the "worth" of one bitcoin.

"... everybody who who owns bitcoin thinks that they are worth more than 245$; but, on the other hand, everybody in the world who has some money to spare thinks that 1 BTC is not worth 255$."

I'll even point out this goes both ways: someone planning to execute a pump & dump will be (temporarily) willing to pay a higher price than he sincerely values it at (as long as he's convinced he can get rid of the stuff at a profit, before others do), someone who's commited to build a large long-term position might not bid at market for the full amount to avoid driving up price in the process.

Your first paragraph: Neither he nor I have said that the market price is identical to everybody's sincere valuation. The point is that everybody has a different valuation, either above or below the last price.

The other paragraphs: Yeah, all kinds of reasons for what people do.



882. Post 10625162 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: greenlion on March 01, 2015, 08:14:30 PM
Well, the price being 252$, it means that everybody who who owns bitcoin thinks that they are worth more than 245$; but, on the other hand, everybody in the world who has some money to spare thinks that 1 BTC is not worth 255$.


You really are not much of an economist, are you ? Cheesy How does such an oversimplifying way to look at economic choice even go together with your ability to solve abstract mathematical problems?

Okay. To name just one objection to such an incredibly naive model of the market:

Misrepresentation of your actual valuation for strategic purposes.

Similar to the misrepresentation, "tactical voting", in voting theory: sometimes it is individually rational for an actor not to cast a vote according to his sincere preference.

He is basically right this time. Since bitcoins are neither produced not destroyed (by consumption), the only basis for demand is people who think it is worth more, and the only source of supply is people who think it is worth less. Historic value could for some be of importance, but should not, again since they are not consumable there is no reference. Only expected future value should matter. Just like cold and heat, where cold is just absence of heat, and darkness and light, where darkness is just absense of light, bitcoin supply is the same as absence of demand. So in case of bitcoin (and other pure money types), there is really only one parameter: The demand.

The speculation is about projecting the demand for bitcoins in the future. Those never exposed to the idea are one source of future demand.


This not correct whatsoever, because future value is discounted by time preference.

So you will have to compensate for that in your personal valuation, not?



883. Post 10625271 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: oda.krell on March 01, 2015, 11:05:25 PM
[...]

Your first paragraph: Neither he nor I have said that the market price is identical to everybody's sincere valuation. The point is that everybody has a different valuation, either above or below the last price.

The other paragraphs: Yeah, all kinds of reasons for what people do.


I'm getting the feeling you're reaching here.

Jorge's original quote, one more time:

Quote
everybody who who owns bitcoin thinks that they are worth more than 245$; but, on the other hand, everybody in the world who has some money to spare thinks that 1 BTC is not worth 255$.

"thinks that they are worth" ... "thinks that 1 BTC is not worth" ...

If that's not supposed to be about fundamental, "sincere", valuation then it's phrased pretty misleading. If it is about fundamental valuation, see my argument above.

No it is precise. There is no fundamental valuation, it is speculation about what others will do in the future. It goes for all money, the reason is that money can not directly be used for anything.



884. Post 10625396 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: oda.krell on March 01, 2015, 11:16:16 PM
[...]

No it is precise. There is no fundamental valuation, it is speculation about what others will do in the future. It goes for all money, the reason is that money can not directly be used for anything.


Except that precisely because of the speculative part of the market valuation, Jorge's point was wrong.

(I'm guilty of sloppy terminology here myself, by the way. I wrote "fundamental", which is usually understood in contrast to "speculative". I mean it here as the contrast to: market participant's choices running counter to their true valuation on some given time horizon)

I'll break the argument down again, and you can tell me exactly where you think I'm wrong:

Jorge: "Nobody who has heard of Bitcoin and holds USD thinks it is worth more than $250".

Me: "Wrong. Someone might value it at $300, but still refrain from buying the amount he wants to buy now, because he expects to be able to get a better price by spreading out his bids".

(Similarly for someone who buys btc *above* his own valuation, because he plans to sell them off after the "pump" he created himself.)



It's not wrong, but the demand is not from wanting or wishing, it is when someone act by making an offer or accepting an offer. If someone thinks it is worth 300, but does not accept an offer of 250, he does not act and his valuation is meaningless.




885. Post 10633157 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: greenlion on March 02, 2015, 06:13:11 PM
You're going on a bit of detour there, doc Smiley

I already mentioned several of your points (e.g. that mining is based on the "currently best know procedure", not the provably optimal procedure).

And I know of course you're not facetious about the (lack of) intrinsic value of bitcoins, but you probably were facetious when you were asking what their weight is...

Good point about quantum computing possibly getting around the  (Landauer) limit though. Well outside my field though, so I can only wonder if it'd simply lower the limit, or entirely remove it possibly.

It's just the kind of specious FUD that people have to resort to when the price is rising. I think that's a good indicator of reversal, where suddenly the narrative shifts to grasping at straws on bizarre misguided technical grounds that are akin to arguing "well what if somebody invents free energy?'.

It is JorgeStolfi being back to his normal trolling mode. How easy it would it be for him if he used his capacity to read just a bit, and to let the arguments presented here sink in, then either accept them or build on them.



886. Post 10633266 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: inca on March 02, 2015, 06:32:00 PM

(Before you scream "21 million": that bitcoin limit is "guaranteed" only by  fuzzy arguments about a complicated economic game, not "by math", and could be changed if the right players agreed to it.  Moreover, any kid can duplicate the amount of bitcoins in existence by creating a hard fork of the blockchain and starting to mine it on his laptotp.  Anyone who has bitcoins will gain an equal amount of those "series B" bitcoins, accessible through the same private keys, and could trade them independently of his old bitcoins by duplicating his wallet and downloading the kids's client software. Whether those "series B" bitcoins will get a significant market value is a market(ing) question, not a technical one.  And, of course, there are the altcoins.)


You're describing a double spend attack, right?

No, I am describing a hard fork.

It does not interfere with the original chain directly, simply creates another clone, premined and "pre-transacted" to hae the same addresses, private keys, UTXOS, and everything as the original chain.  All it can do is steal value from the original bitcoins, if for some reason people prefer to spend their dollars on "series B" bitcoins rather than original ones.

What tosh. Who would spend their dollars on series B bitcoin, what scenario do you envisage where someone would be tricked into buying from a second chain.

Exactly. Who the hell will value stolfi coin?

Edit: there are hundreds upon hundreds of ALTs..but only one bitcoin!

And as everyone here knows, the topic has been discussed here ad "killing me softly with his song"-um. He puts out an argument, then draws the curtain, until a few days later, where he repeats the same thing.




887. Post 10635254 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: 12345mm on March 02, 2015, 09:26:59 PM
*30 ... so ... not quite 2 grand last month gain ... but getting there ... if 300 happens ill be happy to have the 2K+ profit since start of february ... so ... yeah ... i've done as well as can reasonably be expected from someone who's not already a multi millionaire with cash to burn and move markets ...

(we're watching you goofs make us stupid free money with the coins we scraped up at sub 200 / low 200s and looking for the next cliff dive ... at least I am ... tbh i almost feel bad how much i'm making whilst knowing how much of a rigged sham this all is ... but hey profit is profit so we can't complain much at this point ...)

Where are all the -

'BTC is dead'
'Sub 100 coins'
'Double digit coins'
'Single digit coins'

FUD'ers....

Where you at brah's

They are gonna be selling into this artificial pump, while you're left crying b/c you listened to the Moon shysters.

Enjoy spending all that profit on the 3 BTC you bought

There is nothing here. Fucking top post.



888. Post 10643339 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 03, 2015, 07:10:00 AM
Gee. Nice chart, I'm somewhere between 2 and 3 from the bottom... so I guess I have long road ahead Tongue

That chart shows when each group adopted or will adopt. If you joined in mid-2010, you were right on schedule, and you are OK.  Smiley 

Why is not the bankers on top?



889. Post 10657937 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

No rate hike before the reset.




890. Post 10668808 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: gkv9 on March 05, 2015, 01:14:59 PM
So how do we know that some whale or whales weren't planning on buying 50K coins or more on the open market and instead are buying them at auction? In other words, How do we know that this sale isn't already priced into the market? It's not like this auction is a surprise or anything.

If it ain't, then why is it still in the talks and making people think they will see some hikes because of this?
Everyone's talking about the roller-coasters, I think we should let them talk and the naked price action will speak soon. Wink

You are true, there's actually nothing surprising as there are exchanges where whales can buy those many coins without just going for an auction and harm their anonymity...

At best there is a small risk reduction after the auction is finished, the fiat paid and everyone is happy. That means, after the completion, sell the news. But sell what? Bitcoin or dollars?



891. Post 10673690 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: HalFinneysBrain on March 05, 2015, 09:38:33 PM
Is there any confirmation to auction being 30% above market?  Who started the rumor?  Don't tell me it was AdamstgBit.

Why would anyone bid that high above market?  You could buy 50k across several exchanges without driving it up 30%.  

I doubt it. There are lots of trades, with traders over time staying at about the same holding level, but for real changes in demand like this, the market is thin as a hair.



892. Post 10675558 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: Ezmoneyezlife on March 06, 2015, 12:53:23 AM


XAU, probably, but they wont abandon such a golden goose until there will be a solid competitor, so i suppose that there will be a real trend reversal after retesting of sub 200$ levels (last rape market operation i.e. shakeoff). People hasnt realized what that means - http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-elite-meet-secret-island-bilderberg-style-retreat/ , it means that btc so far is a project for some douches who wanna be a new financial elite soon (when banking fiat system is going to collapse - matter of month,s i bet). People do need a BTC 2.0 to have a chance to buy not from those fuckers who own millions of btc now, but from a fair distribution. Anyway, we all will be able to earn money when they finish their last btc shakeoff. (matter of 30-45 days) i guess.

apart from your ridiculous username - why not just buy now instead of then from those "fuckers"? Apart from that, not a single person owns millions of Bitcoins anymore - not even close.

Why should i buy now something that is clearly going to be cheaper soon? Im a trader, i do think that btc will rise >1000$ this year, but i gave up on btc waiting for a btc 2.0 without any "wanna be financial elite" douches. World need a fair currency, not another virtual wallstreet/fedreserve bitch. And if you dont see any large btc wallet it doesnt mean that there are no huge btc holders with tons of wallets. Anyone knows where are ~10kk of btc which have never touched exchanges? And after all those wannabe bilderberg secret meetings people should trust into "fair currency for regular joe"? No wonder that btc cannot grow naturally now because for now its just a toy for a "big boyz".

What do you want? Gratis money?



893. Post 10675608 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on March 06, 2015, 02:05:00 AM


XAU, probably, but they wont abandon such a golden goose until there will be a solid competitor, so i suppose that there will be a real trend reversal after retesting of sub 200$ levels (last rape market operation i.e. shakeoff). People hasnt realized what that means - http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-elite-meet-secret-island-bilderberg-style-retreat/ , it means that btc so far is a project for some douches who wanna be a new financial elite soon (when banking fiat system is going to collapse - matter of month,s i bet). People do need a BTC 2.0 to have a chance to buy not from those fuckers who own millions of btc now, but from a fair distribution. Anyway, we all will be able to earn money when they finish their last btc shakeoff. (matter of 30-45 days) i guess.

apart from your ridiculous username - why not just buy now instead of then from those "fuckers"? Apart from that, not a single person owns millions of Bitcoins anymore - not even close.

Why should i buy now something that is clearly going to be cheaper soon? Im a trader, i do think that btc will rise >1000$ this year, but i gave up on btc waiting for a btc 2.0 without any "wanna be financial elite" douches. World need a fair currency, not another virtual wallstreet/fedreserve bitch. And if you dont see any large btc wallet it doesnt mean that there are no huge btc holders with tons of wallets. Anyone knows where are ~10kk of btc which have never touched exchanges? And after all those wannabe bilderberg secret meetings people should trust into "fair currency for regular joe"? No wonder that btc cannot grow naturally now because for now its just a toy for a "big boyz".

What do you want? Gratis money?


Have you considered paying your trolls to convert. I bet it wouldn't take much. Most of them are too far under water to think

It could be worth some mikes for the peace, but with 7 billion potential trolls, I don't have the funds.



894. Post 10681784 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: calme on March 06, 2015, 03:06:54 PM
Oh shit, there's a Greek guy in here. You guys ought to be ashamed of yourselves, talking about that crisis the way you do.  Angry

You always have to differentiate between the government in the country, and people who live there.



895. Post 10682515 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: Brewins on March 06, 2015, 05:04:44 PM
Oh shit, there's a Greek guy in here. You guys ought to be ashamed of yourselves, talking about that crisis the way you do.  Angry

You always have to differentiate between the government in the country, and people who live there.


they are a democracy, not a dictatorship or an occupied country.

The gov and the people inside the country have some relation, even though not necessarily the equal relation

The relation is that some people support the government, and some do not.



896. Post 10697172 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 07, 2015, 10:37:29 PM
I'm skeptical about comparing zero fee volume to non-zero fee volume.

To be clear: for short to mid term trading purposes, I absolutely don't doubt the relevance of CNY volume.

But for the longer term view of market volume, in my opinion, the "costly" volume of the three big USD exchanges is a good measure of how much money is "flowing into the market". (Sidenote: I really need to include Coinbase from now on)

That said, I know just discarding CNY (or permanently zero-fee USD) volume is not ideal. I have been trying to come up with ways to 'discount' the Chinese volume by some factor to make it comparable, but nothing ever really came out of it that looked satisfying to me.

Is there a relation between exchange volume and the amount of money coming into the system (or being drained from it)?  Volume is generally up when the price is changing, up or down; and that may be cause and effect at the same time.  But figuring ot the net input money flow seems to be a complicated computation at least...

I would think that, in China, money is steadily leaving the system: Chinese traders seem to be gradually selling and taking their cash out of the exchanges.  This feeling is not based on the exchange volumes, but simply becuse of the decay of the China bubble (which seems to be too fast to be due to miner dumping alone).   The rest of the world should still be a net buyer, but there is no data, really, and apparently it can barely absorb what the Chinese and the miners are selling.

 

There is no "money" entering nor leaving the bitcoin system. Bitcoin is money, so is USD, CNY etc. What happens is that value moves from one money system to another. When the revaluation of money system is not the same in all actors' minds, there has to be trades. If all actors at the same time and to the same degree change their valuations, there need not be many trades.



897. Post 10702813 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 08, 2015, 05:40:37 AM
I would think that, in China, money is steadily leaving the system: Chinese traders seem to be gradually selling and taking their cash out of the exchanges.  This feeling is not based on the exchange volumes, but simply becuse of the decay of the China bubble (which seems to be too fast to be due to miner dumping alone).   The rest of the world should still be a net buyer, but there is no data, really, and apparently it can barely absorb what the Chinese and the miners are selling.
There is no "money" entering nor leaving the bitcoin system. Bitcoin is money, so is USD, CNY etc. What happens is that value moves from one money system to another. When the revaluation of money system is not the same in all actors' minds, there has to be trades. If all actors at the same time and to the same degree change their valuations, there need not be many trades.

Indeed you are right, there is no USD or CNY in the "bitcoin system", so there is no sense saying that money is going into or out of it. I should have said instead that, in my opinion, more and more Chinese traders must be selling their holdings for whatever others want to pay, and dropping out. 

Detailing with examples:
If every seller suddenly revaluated their bitcoins up 50%, all trades would stop. If every buyer moments later revalued bitcoins up 50%, the value of bitcoins are up with that factor, with only the everyday small trading starting again. So this is an example where everybody acts likewise.

Another example: If every holder suddenly lost his faith and valued bitcoin to USD 20 and acted upon that, while every nonholder suddenly saw the light and wanted bitcoin for up to say 300, all the bitcoins in existence would change owner in a split second.

These examples are extreme and we will never see them, but the practical consequence is that that there is no absolute correlation between traded volume and change in value. A part of the change in price will be that all traders will revalue, this might be due to some big monetary event. Another part of the change will be that some actors revalue, others not, a typical scenario is new users discovering bitcoin and want to get in. This part of the change in price will necessaily lead to lots of trades.





898. Post 10702853 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: oda.krell on March 08, 2015, 01:06:10 PM
I'm skeptical about comparing zero fee volume to non-zero fee volume.

To be clear: for short to mid term trading purposes, I absolutely don't doubt the relevance of CNY volume.

But for the longer term view of market volume, in my opinion, the "costly" volume of the three big USD exchanges is a good measure of how much money is "flowing into the market". (Sidenote: I really need to include Coinbase from now on)

That said, I know just discarding CNY (or permanently zero-fee USD) volume is not ideal. I have been trying to come up with ways to 'discount' the Chinese volume by some factor to make it comparable, but nothing ever really came out of it that looked satisfying to me.

Is there a relation between exchange volume and the amount of money coming into the system (or being drained from it)?  Volume is generally up when the price is changing, up or down; and that may be cause and effect at the same time.  But figuring ot the net input money flow seems to be a complicated computation at least...

I would think that, in China, money is steadily leaving the system: Chinese traders seem to be gradually selling and taking their cash out of the exchanges.  This feeling is not based on the exchange volumes, but simply becuse of the decay of the China bubble (which seems to be too fast to be due to miner dumping alone).   The rest of the world should still be a net buyer, but there is no data, really, and apparently it can barely absorb what the Chinese and the miners are selling.

 

There is no "money" entering nor leaving the bitcoin system. Bitcoin is money, so is USD, CNY etc. What happens is that value moves from one money system to another. When the revaluation of money system is not the same in all actors' minds, there has to be trades. If all actors at the same time and to the same degree change their valuations, there need not be many trades.


Well, I disagree with that assertion.

Except for the chosen few that already (completely and honestly) think of profits in this market in terms of this market's underlying asset, the most common measure of profits (or losses) is in terms of your national fiat currency of choice.

Practically, this means you might withdraw USD profits from an exchange in case you feel like "cashing out", or, if you have money to spare, and feel the price is right, you "cash in" by wiring money into an exchange. This will either remove USD from or add USD to the market.

My claim that some types of trading volume are indicative of this flow in and out of the exchanges is obviously up for debate, but questioning the above process itself I find rather silly. Price per coin is not only determined, on the demand side, by what USD holders on the exchanges are willing to pay per coin, but also by how USD balances on the exchanges are changing over time.

If you don't want to call this process "money entering or leaving", fine, but I'd say you're semantics lawyering now, not really saying anything descriptively interesting.

No the dollars on the exchange just change hands. See my other post above.

Edit: I don't like the notion of dollars going in or out (specially not "money" going in or out of bitcoin). That terminology obscures what is going on, that is why I don't like it.




899. Post 10710071 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Here is a great trade for those having fiat, but dare not invest more in bitcoin due to the downside risk.

1 Buy a bitcoin
2 Sell a 6 month forward, using the bitcoin as collateral.
3 Collect a USD20 no risk*) profit. That is a 7% in 6 months. Buy an extra ice cream now, care free.

The reason is that the forwards are 20 % higher than spot, indicating an expected rise, in aggregate, by the market.

You have the same phenomenon in oil, except storage of oil is costly, which means that a larger spread on the future/spot is necessary to make a profit.


*) except third party risk.

I don't personally go into this, I would rather just have the bitcoin, I don't mind the risk.



900. Post 10710479 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: oda.krell on March 09, 2015, 10:42:20 AM
Here is a great trade for those having fiat, but dare not invest more in bitcoin due to the downside risk.

1 Buy a bitcoin
2 Sell a 6 month forward, using the bitcoin as collateral.
3 Collect a USD20 no risk*) profit. That is a 7% in 6 months. Buy an extra ice cream now, care free.

The reason is that the forwards are 20 % higher than spot, indicating an expected rise, in aggregate, by the market.

You have the same phenomenon in oil, except storage of oil is costly, which means that a larger spread on the future/spot is necessary to make a profit.


*) except third party risk.

I don't personally go into this, I would rather just have the bitcoin, I don't mind the risk.


What exactly are you looking at, OKC futures? Didn't know they have 6 month contracts :/

cryptofacilities.com, 6 month forward.



901. Post 10710858 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: picolo on March 09, 2015, 11:38:41 AM
Here is a great trade for those having fiat, but dare not invest more in bitcoin due to the downside risk.

1 Buy a bitcoin
2 Sell a 6 month forward, using the bitcoin as collateral.
3 Collect a USD20 no risk*) profit. That is a 7% in 6 months. Buy an extra ice cream now, care free.

The reason is that the forwards are 20 % USD higher than spot, indicating an expected rise, in aggregate, by the market.

You have the same phenomenon in oil, except storage of oil is costly, which means that a larger spread on the future/spot is necessary to make a profit.


*) except third party risk.

I don't personally go into this, I would rather just have the bitcoin, I don't mind the risk.


What exactly are you looking at, OKC futures? Didn't know they have 6 month contracts :/

It is weird they only have 1, 2 and 3 weeks contracts and they cost more than the spot price Grin I wonder why Grin

Corrected bug above. It is cryptofacilities.com.

The market believes the future prices will be higher, some are willing to guarantee to buy at a 20 USD higher price at that point.




902. Post 10728321 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: Tzupy on March 10, 2015, 06:36:49 PM
I wouldn't be surprised if during the next couple of days a head-and-shoulders pattern will emerge. Wink
I don't care about heads or shoulders. Where is the dicks?



903. Post 10729963 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

So, are we ready for a new attempt to cross the rubicon?



904. Post 10730150 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: Erdogan on March 10, 2015, 09:06:33 PM
So, are we ready for a new attempt to cross the rubicon?


Hey... the Rubicon is over here - not down there !!!



905. Post 10734619 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: empowering on March 11, 2015, 08:38:56 AM
Fuck me.... it is a party

https://www.cryptofacilities.com/derivatives/pressreleases

https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/traditional-bankers-creating-bitcoin-derivatives/


"Bitcoin Derivatives

In partnership with another former big-time banker, Jean-Christophe Laruelle from Société Générale, Schlaefer has founded Crypto Facilities. What Crypto Facilities will be primarily concerned with is the hedging of Bitcoin investments via derivatives trading. Its first offering will be the trusty forward contract, a trading mechanism utilized in all derivatives markets. These are purely financially-minded people, keep in mind, and the liberating benefits of Bitcoin as well as its technological superiority are meaningless to them. In their press release, they make as much clear:

    The platform aims to appeal to sophisticated investors and is backed by a high-profile team of experienced professionals from top investment banks and regulatory advisors. “The bitcoin space still lacks professional, reliable marketplaces, and this is what we provide. We apply the same standards in terms of risk management, compliance and reporting as you would see in the traditional finance space,” said Timo Schlaefer, Co-Founder and CEO."


PS - Massive laugh in the face of all the trolls with their pathetic bleating "Wall street is not interested, they will never be interested blah blah  blah blah blah" wrong, plain old fashioned just wrong.

I have looked into this site, and it seems legit.



906. Post 10734669 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Blythe Masters, assuming she is as bad as her reputation here (which I don't assume, really), is welcome. The free market that we see forming, should be able to, by itself, to restrain any bad behaviour.

In my mind, the mildly scary part of this story is that she talks to the politicians and the banksters at all. I prefer people who can operate in the market without political power.





907. Post 10737684 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: DeboraMeeks on March 11, 2015, 02:25:50 PM
what a good time to be earning dollars, spending euros and holding bitcoins - which is exactly what I am doing  Cool

This year will be interesting for sure. I sense a big crash coming...but not in bitcoin Wink

Might be EUR/USD you talking about?
Have been watching the charts, but can't conclude as to why is this happening. Is it confirmed that Greece has left the Eurozone?

what's happening is that the dollar is a worthless piece of paper while the euro manages to be even more worthless. meanwhile bitcoin is gaining traction as a form of honest money. USD and EUR will both go down the drain eventually. I have been betting on EUR getting there first for years now.

It always had been. The only reason we need to use fiat is, without them, we cannot get BTC currently as what might valuate it?

Nah, that is just the most practical route for the time being. There is nothing that values bitcoin. You and other actors consider value pairs. If you think a bitcoin is worth more than your stool, you need to find someone who values your stool more than a bitcoin. That's all.

You can get bitcoins for just about anything, you just need a seller to accept your offer.



908. Post 10742002 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: ErisDiscordia on March 11, 2015, 08:25:14 PM
Actually i think gox was literally the case of what doesn't kill you makes you stronger. Gox was pretty much THE BTC exchange, and sort of had a monopoly and could (did) even set the price. It was ironic to have one centralized exchange thus one point of failure. And it did fail, BTC price took a hit, but now we're up to what like 5 "major" exchanges, and now no one exchange failure can (stamp  Roll Eyes ) can have such catastrophic effect...growing pains

Very true. In the fiat world, Gox would have been "too big to fail", received a big bucket of taxpayer money and continued to lose its customers' money out the side-door.

Instead we just pick up and move on and make things better. The way it should be.

The final Goxxing was sad for the people involved (but hey at least money is all they lost!) but it underlines an important point about Bitcoin: if you mess up, there will be no bailouts. Finally full responsibility returns to the individual instead of residing with illusory promises like FDIC insured bank accounts. What this does is force the individual to become better at handling this responsibility. This is something we want, right?


Yes, that is what I want. I think we can show that after some learning, the free, unregulated market will function better and more fairly.



909. Post 10753398 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: sAt0sHiFanClub on March 12, 2015, 02:20:00 PM
If devs decided to make this change,  miners and nodes would then have the option to follow or not, essentially what you are suggesting would be a fork/ hard fork, saying it ain't so ^^ is semantics.

You can test your theory, create a hard fork of BTC now, increase the limit to 42 million and convince all of the nodes and miners to follow you.

I will give you my vote now.

NO

Its not a theory. Its there in the code.... 

May be you could show us the code? Find the line that says there will be 21 million. The code is on the net. Please give the link to the file and the line number. Thank you.



910. Post 10753733 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: uhoh on March 12, 2015, 07:42:03 PM
If devs decided to make this change,  miners and nodes would then have the option to follow or not, essentially what you are suggesting would be a fork/ hard fork, saying it ain't so ^^ is semantics.

You can test your theory, create a hard fork of BTC now, increase the limit to 42 million and convince all of the nodes and miners to follow you.

I will give you my vote now.

NO

Its not a theory. Its there in the code....  

May be you could show us the code? Find the line that says there will be 21 million. The code is on the net. Please give the link to the file and the line number. Thank you.


https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/search?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q=21000000

Beat me to it

It's not gonna change, it makes no sense for anyone in the system for it to change (including miners). Increasing it is completely zero-sum (well not, actually, because the mere fact that it changed would create uncertainty in an economy based on certainty).

That was half an answer (comments, and check code). My point was basically that the code defines the halvings, not the 21 million number, and the OP didn't seem to know. Anyway, I'm done.



911. Post 10753757 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: sAt0sHiFanClub on March 12, 2015, 07:55:36 PM
If devs decided to make this change,  miners and nodes would then have the option to follow or not, essentially what you are suggesting would be a fork/ hard fork, saying it ain't so ^^ is semantics.

You can test your theory, create a hard fork of BTC now, increase the limit to 42 million and convince all of the nodes and miners to follow you.

I will give you my vote now.

NO

Its not a theory. Its there in the code.... 

May be you could show us the code? Find the line that says there will be 21 million. The code is on the net. Please give the link to the file and the line number. Thank you.


Ive already  stated that the cap is derived from the following calculation  ( from main.cpp:1235)

    // Subsidy is cut in half every 210,000 blocks which will occur approximately every 4 years.
    nSubsidy >>= (nHeight / Params().SubsidyHalvingInterval());

Link to the file on github is

https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/blob/4ad73c6b080c46808b0c53b62ab6e4074e48dc75/src/main.cpp#L1230

Right, but I don't see the 21 mill number in that line of code.



912. Post 10783088 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Prepare for the sunday evening run to safety (safety = be in bitcoin)



913. Post 10800738 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Is it only me, or have we had extreme non-volatility the last ca 24 hours?



914. Post 10808350 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Looking forward to your pension?






915. Post 10816618 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

I am not patient, but that does not mean that I am unpatient.

Je suis bitcoin.



916. Post 10845927 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Quote from: BlackSpidy on March 21, 2015, 01:16:21 PM
Hm... I dont know. I guess repeating "you're full of shit" would be a less classy way to say that... though you could say I'm curious to see what claim he will say counts as evidence/proof of what he said to be true.
Most of what he says in response can be summed up to "hard fork here, hard fork there, poof! Magic!", so I guess I should stop.

Just go ahead, take it as a practise in forming your arguments against the ten or so common misunderstandings about bitcoin. Just do it for you, and when you are satisfied, ignore him. He is a troll.



917. Post 10875541 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Quote from: bri912678 on March 24, 2015, 04:27:48 PM
The Justice Department is ordering bank employees to consider calling the cops on customers who withdraw $5,000 dollars or more, a chilling example of how the war on cash is intensifying.

Is this for real?  Shocked Shocked Shocked

http://www.infowars.com/feds-urge-banks-to-call-cops-on-customers-who-withdraw-5000-or-more/

What are they expected to charge them with, receiving funds from sold bitcoins? I didn't know it was a crime to sell your bitcoins. Having your account closed is bad enough without being arrested too.

Nothing. The purpose is to scare.




918. Post 10876687 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Quote from: macsga on March 24, 2015, 11:02:16 PM
The Justice Department is ordering bank employees to consider calling the cops on customers who withdraw $5,000 dollars or more, a chilling example of how the war on cash is intensifying.

Is this for real?  Shocked Shocked Shocked

http://www.infowars.com/feds-urge-banks-to-call-cops-on-customers-who-withdraw-5000-or-more/

What are they expected to charge them with, receiving funds from sold bitcoins? I didn't know it was a crime to sell your bitcoins. Having your account closed is bad enough without being arrested too.

Nothing. The purpose is to scare.


Mind you there's a *cough* rumor that the same is happening in the EU Banks... A friend of mine told me the amount was different though; 3000Eur. Well; that feels "safe"... Undecided

Capital controls come sneaking in, most people will not be bothered by them in a normal situation. But if shit happens, you are locked in.



919. Post 10963033 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on April 01, 2015, 09:13:11 PM
Democracy is an oxymoron. Demo-cracy mean power of people, but power over whom? Over themselves? It makes no sense, like horse riding on itself.
In reality it's state having power over people. By force and deception. Police is the force, democracy is the deception. As for relations between judges and police, it may be true, but it  doesn't matter. They are parts of single entity: the state, and this entity is your collective owner. They are ultimate owners of your money, freedom and life. They can take it from you, if they decide to.

Hi again Wary,

But how would you suggest that society should arrange itself?

No rulers!



920. Post 10963201 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

The force is strong in this one:

http://its.time/apr-2-yellen-says-oh-shit-that-didnt-work-well-from-now-on-sound-money-and-no-rulers.html



921. Post 10969219 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

Quote from: Cconvert2G36 on April 03, 2015, 03:45:43 AM
Blockchains, not that silly bitcoin, are the future. They are secured by Proof of Hand Waving (POHW).

Break out from the blockchains!

Buy bitcoins!



922. Post 10988525 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: NotHatinJustTrollin on April 05, 2015, 11:21:18 AM
Bitcoin is trustless, you don't have to trust anybody*


* You only have to trust a bunch of chinese anon dudes that for all we know are pretending to be different pools so they could attack the network right now.

The concept of trust needs definition, I see. In all trade, you need to trust the other party. If you buy an apple, you have to trust the seller that the apple is not rotten inside, or if it is, that he will replace it with a good one when it is discovered. If you pay with a carrot, the same thing. You can not avoid trust. In an evolutional view, when an individual can remember and identify another individual, is the breaking point. In trade, generally, the possibility to develop trust between members of the trading community is a big plus. Between people who trust each other, trade flows easily.

Then there is a distinctive trade, it's beginning and it's end. If a trade is concluded successfully, there is no more need for trust. Now the trust that is achived is good for future trades, but the concluded trade is finished and there is no outstanding liability.

When money is paid, the trade is concluded and there is no liability. If the trade is paid with debt in any form, there is remaining liability, either between the traders themselves or a third party. This means that if a trade is finished with payment in fiat, gold, or bitcoin, it is concluded, there is no liability that needs trust. If it is paid with a bank transfer, a credit card, a bill of exchange, there is reminescent liability somewhere in the system,  and the need for trust that some debtor is able and willing to clear.

You need to trust the exchange, but only until you have withdrawn the bitcoin or fiat you converted your money to. After that, no trust is needed.

This is a huge difference between holding bitcoin and holding fiat in a bank. Bitcoin is trustless, the deposit in a bank account is not.





923. Post 10998111 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Seen over the last few days on finex, are there lots of hidden buy orders? The bid to ask curve is slightly downwards sloping, but we have seen that megasells hardly move the price downwards. To me it looks like something new.




924. Post 10998532 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: Bitcoin_BOy$ on April 06, 2015, 01:07:07 PM
After obama allow state to confiscate all Cryptos holdings without any warnings  Cry what did you through about the
future of bitcoin globally and in America ?? Will the price shut down  Undecided ??

Kind Of Respect ,
Bitcoin Boy .

We don't care. It is expected, bitcoin is not for the statists, it is for you and me.




925. Post 10998749 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: tarmi on April 06, 2015, 01:38:54 PM
Seen over the last few days on finex, are there lots of hidden buy orders? The bid to ask curve is slightly downwards sloping, but we have seen that megasells hardly move the price downwards. To me it looks like something new.




yes, bulls are so weak that are trying all kind of tricks to fool the market.

if it were a legit buy support, there would be no need to hide it.


Or - the big guns are sniffing on the market, wanting to get in but afraid to move the price too early.

Edit...Edit



926. Post 10998831 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: tarmi on April 06, 2015, 01:55:58 PM
Seen over the last few days on finex, are there lots of hidden buy orders? The bid to ask curve is slightly downwards sloping, but we have seen that megasells hardly move the price downwards. To me it looks like something new.




yes, bulls are so weak that are trying all kind of tricks to fool the market.

if it were a legit buy support, there would be no need to hide it.


Or - the big guns are sniffing on the market, wanting to get in but afraid to move the price too early.



and they are doing it with borrowed USD from bitfinex?

naaaaaah

Why not new entrants? The world is choke full of people who have 100KUSD as play money.

If so, it means that they vake a few dollars below the equilibrium, meeting the dumps coming from old hoarders or dumps that try to shake out some stop loss sell orders.




927. Post 10998988 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: tarmi on April 06, 2015, 02:03:28 PM
Seen over the last few days on finex, are there lots of hidden buy orders? The bid to ask curve is slightly downwards sloping, but we have seen that megasells hardly move the price downwards. To me it looks like something new.




yes, bulls are so weak that are trying all kind of tricks to fool the market.

if it were a legit buy support, there would be no need to hide it.


Or - the big guns are sniffing on the market, wanting to get in but afraid to move the price too early.



and they are doing it with borrowed USD from bitfinex?

naaaaaah

Why not new entrants? The world is choke full of people who have 100KUSD as play money.

If so, it means that they vake a few dollars below the equilibrium, meeting the dumps coming from old hoarders or dumps that try to shake out some stop loss sell orders.




so for new entrants the best entry point would be an obscure exchange in HK? doubt it. Cheesy

for new players the best entry points are the gov auctions and big mining operations. if someone were indeed entering you would be the last one to know that.

dont be fooled by greedy pigs.

Wondering - and hoping....




928. Post 11001952 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: bromide on April 06, 2015, 03:29:06 PM
I don't get it. Surely it would be better to have waited longer after Paycoin to release the next scam coin.

Not if you're dealing with idiots

+1 and +1

At least LEOCoin victims might have some sort of legal recourse.
I've lost so much money on bitcoin and I just don't know who to turn to.

Yes, walk straight into the lions den, and bet that someone comes and saves you. Good luck.




929. Post 11002153 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: bromide on April 06, 2015, 06:58:40 PM
I don't get it. Surely it would be better to have waited longer after Paycoin to release the next scam coin.

Not if you're dealing with idiots

+1 and +1

At least LEOCoin victims might have some sort of legal recourse.
I've lost so much money on bitcoin and I just don't know who to turn to.

Yes, walk straight into the lions den, and bet that someone comes and saves you. Good luck.

This is worse than a lion's den!  Bitcoin's been a veritable pit of vipers for me.
And now that I have no more money to steal, you make fun of me and tell me it's all my fault?!
Discovering bitcoin is the worst thing that ever happened to me.
Now go ahead and laugh.

No more money to steal, huh? Maybe your low moral standard is the culprit.




930. Post 11100605 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.11h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on April 15, 2015, 09:28:16 PM

Funny to see the almighty Draghi being terrified by... a girl with a bag of confetti! Is this the man who when he talks the "markets" go crazy? Oh Please!

The funny thing to me is, the girl there has no idea whatsoever, what she is protesting against. I bet she is of an anti-capitalist bolshevik sort. A useful idiot, who does not understand that a fight against capitalism is a fight against her own prosperous life. I bet she is against everything that this bitcoin crowd here stands for.

Don't understand me in a wrong way - I oppose the central banks too. Just not by pacting with bolsheviks. Ever.
That's a lot of assumptions dude, you don't know. You could be right though, could.
From my experience with these loony tune leftist drones is that all they know or can spew is bottled up talking points from their mentors in the propaganda networks. These pretty much signify the protest wall street types and are only these nagging activists since they have nothing else to do. I can see the resident creature doing this sort of stuff on its vacation from trolling.

The problem with the Occupy Wall Street protests is kind of the opposite. They have no real political agenda, they have no clear message. It's all "Ughh, banksters are destroying everything. The financial sector are all crooks." They don't want regulation, they don't want an alternative to banking, they don't want to close down the stock markets. At least the "bolshevik" socialists of old believed in something and wanted real tangible change. The Occupy Wall Street movement is just a lot of whining from people who's got nothing constructive to add. They're not liberals, they're not socialsts, they're not conservatives. It's a fad protest movement for shallow people from the middle class who wants to collect bumper stickers and Lapel pins. At least the french riots and the London riots weren't messing about.

You can also think of the possibility that a movement can be diverted, that is, infiltrators can work within the movement and focus on some absurd side argument and change the people in a direction that leads nowhere.



931. Post 11100616 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.11h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on April 15, 2015, 09:54:31 PM
^Trolls don't like me, non-trolls don't like me. I'm like a flying monkey just pissing everyone off.   Cry

But you are not ignored.



932. Post 11100725 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.11h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on April 15, 2015, 11:39:12 PM
^Trolls don't like me, non-trolls don't like me. I'm like a flying monkey just pissing everyone off.   Cry

But you are not ignored.


Ah. Careful who you quote, brother. You could be next on The List!!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1019752.0

I don't care about that list.



933. Post 11130737 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

I sense that a lot of people want in or want to expand their holdings - but the fear of a sudden dump, coming from nowhere, holds them back.  Bullish!



934. Post 11132735 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: Chaosoahc on April 19, 2015, 09:22:38 AM
Is today boom a twilight of bull?
Or just short party before big crash?
How do you think of it?

We are up 5 from the last days' relatively stable level. It seems noone cares.



935. Post 11132782 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: Chaosoahc on April 19, 2015, 09:29:49 AM
Is today boom a twilight of bull?
Or just short party before big crash?
How do you think of it?

We are up 5 from the last days' relatively stable level. It seems noone cares.


No one cares? Why?

It has not been mentioned (here), no rocket or train pictures...



936. Post 11135066 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: D05GTO on April 19, 2015, 03:26:18 PM
From early April to the end of May, the going rate for a bitcoin rose from 86 cents to $8.89.    That was in 2011.  Usually get some nice pumps this time of year.. Just saying.  Bitcoin just keeps playing the same tune over and over.  People still refuse to catch on. LOL

Like rings in water, while holders (the real bitcoiners) expand, the ratio of non-enthusiastic get-rich-quickers to holders are constant.





937. Post 11137447 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: fonzie on April 19, 2015, 07:42:03 PM
So what are the chances that Wall Street is starting to buy BTC on Huobi and Finex tomorrow? 85%? 97% 110%?

Zilch. They are all flock following losers.



938. Post 11137527 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: *Loaded* on April 19, 2015, 08:11:54 PM
Why the dump? I posted smileys goddamnit!



                       Wink
                     Wink Wink
                   Wink Wink Wink
                 Wink Wink Wink Wink
               Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink
             Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink
           Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink
         Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink Wink


Hopefully this time the market doesn't crash, last two times I posted smileys everybody dumped on me.

Make believing is not enough. Looking in the mirror is not enough. Smiling is not enough. Action is required: Buy coins!



939. Post 11138462 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Hm, if there is going to be a weekend-end-pump, it is slow to start.




940. Post 11141225 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: oxiyusuf on April 20, 2015, 07:44:15 AM
anyone, can tell me, how to predict price of bitcoin,?? Huh

Not possible, but you can try. I like to think of it as a game of poker, where you allocate odds that it goes this way or the other. I bet that there is a better chance of bitcoin going up than going down, hence I am long. I have been wrong basically for two years now.



941. Post 11553642 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

News from the government of Nepal:

It is we who control what is going on inside the borders of Nepal. If you want to give the people here some food, by all means, do it, but we shall have our cut.

The people who live within the borders of Nepal are our slaves, they don't know it. You can not give them anything, whether information or resources, that empower them to cut their chains.

Welcome to our country.



942. Post 11610486 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Quote from: BitChick on June 13, 2015, 05:01:46 AM
Hi everyone. If anyone cares, I am still holding, still a bull, not really worried about this long plateau.  It has been rather boring lately though.   Undecided 



Welcome back



943. Post 11626722 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Quote from: spooderman on June 15, 2015, 06:51:13 PM
I don't care, BTC has been nothing but great news since gox collapse. Turns out markets are NOT ENTIRELY RATIONAL.

It was never ment to be rational, only free.



944. Post 11645264 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: Norway on June 17, 2015, 07:13:42 PM

lol! FED bankers never promise anything. in fact they stay most of the time as indifferent as possible.
Yeah, she's just a moneyprinting slut working for the banks. She will NOT raise the rate this year, and she will just keep her options open like today. Her boss, the private banks, want to continue printing money out of thin air at zero interest, lol.

It seems the market actually thought there would be a rate increase.



945. Post 11645287 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: Andre# on June 17, 2015, 07:17:05 PM
Price difference between Kraken en the Chinese exchanges is now over $10. This means arbitration is exhausted for the moment?

Arbitrage is probably quite small in the bitcoin market. The cost is high, and you have to have a part of your holdings in fiat, which is a waste if you are a bull.




946. Post 11645317 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: Norway on June 17, 2015, 07:25:53 PM

lol! FED bankers never promise anything. in fact they stay most of the time as indifferent as possible.
Yeah, she's just a moneyprinting slut working for the banks. She will NOT raise the rate this year, and she will just keep her options open like today. Her boss, the private banks, want to continue printing money out of thin air at zero interest, lol.

CBC says the risk of a Grexit might put the Fed off raising the interest rates at all this year. Maybe if the Greece thing works out OK they might consider it, otherwise forget it.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/fed-keeps-interest-rate-steady-but-hints-at-hike-to-come-1.3117342

Some economists also note that if a Greek default and an exit from the euro currency alliance were to ignite turmoil in global markets, or if investors dumped bonds and sent long-term rates soaring, the Fed might decide to put off a rate increase until next year.
The real reason is simple. Bankers like free money. Bankers control the Fed.

It is pleasant to have an excuse, I suppose, but the fact is they have painted themselves into a corner. Any rate hike will only be posture, and it will be reversed quickly.



947. Post 11646006 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: molecular on June 17, 2015, 08:32:09 PM
My Friends!
Is the mankind really ready for the blog-chain, or not? I think not , because women arent very smart yet.
Discuss.

After thinking about the what and why and who of this post for 3 minutes, I give up.


Blog-chain technology is desroptive technology , hard to get if your not very smart (or not old enuf or a woman) but never give up ! Its like mankind is on the tipping point , but just not have big yarbles to think outside the box to inovate.

If you think women aren't smart enough to get bitcoin, you either have no woman or no bitcoins.


Those who sacrifice bitcoin for women deserve neither.



948. Post 11676585 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: LaudaM on June 21, 2015, 03:33:33 PM
Why should I believe that bro ? Although I want that for sure.
I might ask you a similar question. Why do you believe that the price won't rise?
I've seen and heard different opinions on my situations especially Grexit. Some are saying that it will have a minor impact on Bitcoin or none, while others are saying the exact opposite. Wouldn't their best bet be Bitcoin and/or gold in case that Grexit actually happens?

The euro itself is not at risk for now. That is an argument against movement i bitcoin. A greek should take his savings out of the bank, but euro notes or deposit in a foreign bank should be relatively ok.



949. Post 11690541 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: rolling on June 23, 2015, 03:05:43 AM


I'm pretty sure I read somewhere that there was no block size limit in Satoshi's software. They added it later. He believed in game theory where things sort themselves out through risk and reward.

Not sure,  but I found this?

"Andresen never mentions the actual reason that Satoshi imposed a block limit. Oleg Andreev, however, does:
Huge blocks could lead to excessive use of bandwidth which could lead to higher percentage of orphaned blocks due to higher synchronization delays."
From: http://cascadianhacker.com/blog/2014/10/25_notes-on-increasing-the-maximum-bitcoin-block-size-or-why-it-aint-happenin.html

If bandwidth is really the only issue then you would think the 8mb compromise will likely gain enough traction to get implemented. After all, even with a 8mb limit, most miners will still be sticking to 750 k - until you provide sufficient incentive to change.

Yeah, exactly. You can have a higher limit or no limit at all and it's still a risk for a miner to build a block that big. It's going to take a longer time to propagate over the internet which means more time for another miner to find another (smaller/faster) block and possibly orphan yours. I'm sure the limit was created to prevent some kind of "large block attack" (to disrupt miners with slow internet?) but in reality, risk and reward will prevent most miners from increasing their block size very much even when the limit is officially increased.

Exactly, a big part of the cost of mining large blocks is the risk.




950. Post 11721993 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: gijoes on June 26, 2015, 04:35:25 PM
It would be nice (for the bears  Cheesy ) to see a 4k dump soon, the wall on bfx asks for it... Cheesy

The bid walls were there for more than a week, just begging for a huge dump. The very fact that such dump didn't happen tells us one thing loud and clear: The bears have no more coins to dump, and are afraid to borrow. All their "dump talk" is just a bravado, there is nothing behind it. Looks like this bear market died a horrible death: it died of boredom.

The big dumps have taught the believers with lots of fiat, that it is smart to keep large, low price, bids.



951. Post 11728466 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

250 before midnigth, UTC, on finex?



952. Post 11730026 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Cyprus, and now Greece. It must be it, the reason for the increase.

I like it - when all assets seems risky, go bitcoin!



953. Post 11730953 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: Erdogan on June 27, 2015, 03:48:02 PM
250 before midnigth, UTC, on finex?


Check.



954. Post 11730991 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: ssmc2 on June 27, 2015, 09:28:18 PM
250 before midnigth, UTC, on finex?


Check.


Next target- $260!

We can do it. We are up only about five percent since early morning.



955. Post 11731064 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: Ezmoneyezlife on June 27, 2015, 09:40:09 PM
Shorts have decreased even more while longs have decreased as well, this is not going far mates, sorry for breaking of >255$ dreams.

No easy money for you. Too negative.



956. Post 11731293 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Gold has been remarkably stable the last hours. Maybe because the market is closed?

Hahahaha. Gold bugs, know the price! go bitcoin!




957. Post 11731352 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

"It has accurately predicted 200 of the last 2 recessions."

Good one.

It is 4 articles based on false visual comparison of nonrelated graphs with inconstent axes, 5 gold bug articles, and 1 good austrian economics article out of 10. Bitcoiners not welcome.

Edit: But I read it every day. They draw in relevant news.



958. Post 11731531 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: Norway on June 27, 2015, 10:48:48 PM
"It has accurately predicted 200 of the last 2 recessions."

Good one.

It is 4 articles based on false visual comparison of nonrelated graphs with inconstent axes, 5 gold bug articles, and 1 good austrian economics article out of 10. Bitcoiners not welcome.

Edit: But I read it every day. They draw in relevant news.


Exactly.  Either the quality of the articles has gone down considerably the past few years, or I used to be an idiot to give them as much credit as I did (perhaps because I was very new to economics).

I'm sorry, captain Spiff. The quality went down. You are not smarter.

JUST KIDDING! BTC teached economics to the nerds!

BTC + bitcointalk will teach you.



959. Post 11735253 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: cyclotronmajesty on June 28, 2015, 11:49:31 AM
That's it for me... good luck to ya'll still holding.

How polite. Thank you.



960. Post 11739826 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: GaliX on June 28, 2015, 11:14:27 PM
In case you consider shorting Euro with your Bitcoins ... Try a bitcoin only Broker like:

https://1broker.com/


Could be a smart idea but be careful when using high leverage... Start with low leverage
You can also go for the safer trade an buy Gold Futures 20x....

good charting site is Tradingview for all forex pairs/future marks:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=FX:EURUSD

What is their KYC standard?



961. Post 11745699 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: empowering on June 29, 2015, 12:46:24 PM
Quoting myself from another thread:

-I was trying to buy something online (costing just 2-3$) with my greek visa, and the charge was getting rejected.
-Gas stations take only cash.
-Suppliers of stuff, take only cash as they are afraid of the consequences of accepting digital payments, and with that I include bank payments (they are afraid they will not be able to withdraw it, or their money could be bailed-in / converted to drachma etc etc).

There is in a sense a fungibility issue with the euro in Greece right now. Digital euros / bank euros "suck" as they are useless to transact. Cash euro is what counts for most people, even companies.

Times like these, you *realize*, not theoretically, but by living it, that you wouldn't trade your crypto for fiat and that crypto is immensely more useful (ie you can actually transact, when with digital cash / banks / cards etc you can't).

The sense of value increases in a way that is unexpected: I wouldn't trade a single BTC even if I was offered >1000 euro in the bank in these conditions. The euros in the bank are useless.




Just curious, if I were to fly down to Greece in this environment to capitalize on the market would it be better to bring Euros down to buy bitcoins for cash or would it be better to sell bitcoins for euros?


My advice if you wanted to sell BTC in Greece for cash now , would be take a few ex special forces bods with you, and some very very large bags, source some guns, and try not to piss off the local mafioso and thugs that would want to help relive you of your cash.

Remember on small islands there is only so far you can run, and news travels quick.

 Wink


"Don't talk to strangers, unless it is sanctioned by the bank"



962. Post 11749197 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: LaudaM on June 29, 2015, 05:31:34 PM
I don't understand what people expect...
I mean imagine if the EU Parliaments gets wind of people avoiding capital control by using bitcoin in a bigger scale... They will make buying Bitcoin illegal asap...
Despite it wouldn't effect Bitcoin itself it would make the price drop below 100$...

Let bitcoin take baby steps and not let it fall and get seriously injured because we are greedy...
The situation is already very heated... They will do everything to safe the euro now.
What's your point here? In that case anyone who bought in time would be the one who has a great benefit.
Bitcoin is just legal in way too many places so far, ruling in favor of it is the right call to make. Any country that has banned it will probably remove that ban eventually.

Besides, you can avoid controls if you cash out and buy into gold. That never made gold illegal, did it?
It's good to see that we're seeing some positive movement again.

Are the currency controls legal somehow? ^^ might ask assfucked greek about that.



963. Post 11749382 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: itod on June 29, 2015, 08:44:41 PM
CNN Money : Greeks are rushing to Bitcoin

http://money.cnn.com/2015/06/29/technology/greece-bitcoin/

Hyperbolic title but hey, can't hurt!

Some big entity should really put bitcoin atm's in all major cities and islands.

How stupid is this idea?!? Do you think someone who has EUR 60 daily limit on the ATM will waste their precious EUR on Bitcoin? They have many other more necessary things to buy with that money.  

So when they have used their 60 euros on more necessary things like general food, restaurants, wine, petrol and haircuts, what should the shop and restaurant owners do with those euro paper rectangles? Maybe deposit them in a bank, to the exstatic clapping of hands from the politicians and bankers?



964. Post 11749667 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: empowering on June 29, 2015, 11:22:40 PM
The Greek referendum question makes (almost) no sense

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-33311422


I can translate that to modern greek:

After the government has loaned and wasted 100000 euro per person on socialistic common good, and at the same time destroyed the organic value creation capacity of greece, and now that nobody really want to lend more money, do you want the government to continue to do the same thing indefinitely with non-existing money?



965. Post 11753550 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: itod on June 30, 2015, 07:40:10 AM
CNN Money : Greeks are rushing to Bitcoin

http://money.cnn.com/2015/06/29/technology/greece-bitcoin/

Hyperbolic title but hey, can't hurt!

Some big entity should really put bitcoin atm's in all major cities and islands.

How stupid is this idea?!? Do you think someone who has EUR 60 daily limit on the ATM will waste their precious EUR on Bitcoin? They have many other more necessary things to buy with that money.  

ATM's are running low on fiat. Buy 1000 euro worth of bitcoins online, go exchange bitcoins for fiat at bitcoin atm. Doesn't seem that stupid "?!?"

You are telling me that the whole Greek banking infrastructure can't fill ATMs for more then 60 EUR/person a day, but some new private entity will succeed filling Bitcoin ATMs with more cash? that makes sense to you?

The ATM owner can buy bitcoins otherwise in the local market, if he runs a good service he can make some money on the spread. Travellers going into the country with bitcoins and people going out of the country functions as arbitrageurs, keeping the price in line with the rest of the world. The volume has to grow organically, not explosively. Yes, it can work, why not?



966. Post 11753611 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Erdogan on June 30, 2015, 12:21:46 PM
CNN Money : Greeks are rushing to Bitcoin

http://money.cnn.com/2015/06/29/technology/greece-bitcoin/

Hyperbolic title but hey, can't hurt!

Some big entity should really put bitcoin atm's in all major cities and islands.

How stupid is this idea?!? Do you think someone who has EUR 60 daily limit on the ATM will waste their precious EUR on Bitcoin? They have many other more necessary things to buy with that money.  

ATM's are running low on fiat. Buy 1000 euro worth of bitcoins online, go exchange bitcoins for fiat at bitcoin atm. Doesn't seem that stupid "?!?"

You are telling me that the whole Greek banking infrastructure can't fill ATMs for more then 60 EUR/person a day, but some new private entity will succeed filling Bitcoin ATMs with more cash? that makes sense to you?

The ATM owner can buy bitcoins otherwise in the local market, if he runs a good service he can make some money on the spread. Travellers going into the country with bitcoins and people going out of the country functions as arbitrageurs, keeping the price in line with the rest of the world. The volume has to grow organically, not explosively. Yes, it can work, why not?


I hate quoting myself (...NOT), but all this it's impossible, someone is going to say no, a half-governmental gigacorporation must do it...

...it just reminds me of Atlas Shrugged. The book essentially predicted this shit.



967. Post 11753688 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: okthen on June 30, 2015, 12:34:10 PM
Sorry if I'm reposting but this is just hilarious:

https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/greek-bailout-fund#/

"€1.6bn is what the Greeks need"

Waste your money. I wonder who is the one to steal them.



968. Post 11753797 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: gentlemand on June 30, 2015, 12:42:33 PM
Sorry if I'm reposting but this is just hilarious:

https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/greek-bailout-fund#/

I wouldn't really want my beer money disappearing down the toilet of international finance but it's a fun idea to focus minds. Maybe it has national applications in the future.

All these incompetently run hell holes should just bypass governments and aid budgets and fund the building of their infrastructure that way. Far more efficient. I'm not sure it would go down too well with the local dictator but I guess they'd be allowed to cut the ribbon with some giant scissors.

If you want to help the greeks, use the blue market. Go there, pay with cash, don't ask for a receipt. Take a bunch of olives back home.



969. Post 11754144 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Totscha on June 30, 2015, 12:59:30 PM
Sorry if I'm reposting but this is just hilarious:

https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/greek-bailout-fund#/

I wouldn't really want my beer money disappearing down the toilet of international finance but it's a fun idea to focus minds. Maybe it has national applications in the future.

All these incompetently run hell holes should just bypass governments and aid budgets and fund the building of their infrastructure that way. Far more efficient. I'm not sure it would go down too well with the local dictator but I guess they'd be allowed to cut the ribbon with some giant scissors.

If you want to help the greeks, use the blue market. Go there, pay with cash, don't ask for a receipt. Take a bunch of olives back home.


Isn't this how their problems started in the first place? Wink

No, the welfare state. The cost was hidden with galloping loans. The welfare state destroyed the capital structure, now it does not produce much of anything. Effective tax collection would not have been enough, and it would further have reduced the value generating capacity of the land.

However, every corrupt politician in europe, every corrupt crony capitalist, every corrupt central banker, every leeching violent union leader are talking their book. It is not easy for common people to understand, as long as they only skim the headlines in the main stream media, and never got proper education.




970. Post 11754332 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Elwar on June 30, 2015, 01:25:44 PM
Greece owed the European Central Bank a few million euros last week. They defaulted on that payment. That's what the whole "extensions" were about last week. Since they did not make that payment the ECB cut off further funds which was the reason for the bank closures.

I am not sure of what the consequences of defaulting on the IMF would be, there have only been 3 other countries in history that have defaulted (Argentina, Jamaica and Equador).

They owe the ECB 3.5 billion euros in July.

That is the payments due. Debt to the troika, to private equity funds, the emergency liquidity assistance, and the trans-european automated real-time gross settlement express transfer version 2 system, adds up to six hundred giga-euros, or about a hundred kilo-euros per greek soul.




971. Post 11754425 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: tarmi on June 30, 2015, 01:51:03 PM
Sorry if I'm reposting but this is just hilarious:

https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/greek-bailout-fund#/

I wouldn't really want my beer money disappearing down the toilet of international finance but it's a fun idea to focus minds. Maybe it has national applications in the future.

All these incompetently run hell holes should just bypass governments and aid budgets and fund the building of their infrastructure that way. Far more efficient. I'm not sure it would go down too well with the local dictator but I guess they'd be allowed to cut the ribbon with some giant scissors.

If you want to help the greeks, use the blue market. Go there, pay with cash, don't ask for a receipt. Take a bunch of olives back home.


Isn't this how their problems started in the first place? Wink

No, the welfare state. The cost was hidden with galloping loans. The welfare state destroyed the capital structure, now it does not produce much of anything. Effective tax collection would not have been enough, and it would further have reduced the value generating capacity of the land.

However, every corrupt politician in europe, every corrupt crony capitalist, every corrupt central banker, every leeching violent union leader are talking their book. It is not easy for common people to understand, as long as they only skim the headlines in the main stream media, and never got proper education.





what a bunch of bs. on the contrary: it's the capital that is destroying the welfare state.

all those austerity measures and zee german stories about "commie" gov in greece or lazy greeks is about it: cut your pensions, cut your services.

I am bullshitting your bullshitting, but I agree that austerity on the part of the people through tax increases destroys not the welfare state, but the capital structure. Austerity on the part of the government is sorely needed.

Come to think of it, we are not much in agreement after all.

Edit: Reintroduced proper quoting. Fucking selective quote occultist!




972. Post 11755733 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: tarmi on June 30, 2015, 02:40:01 PM

I am bullshitting your bullshitting, but I agree that austerity on the part of the people through tax increases destroys not the welfare state, but the capital structure. Austerity on the part of the government is sorely needed.




can't get it more wrong than that.

austerity measure by definition is an attempt to preserve the neoliberal capitalist model and the current capital structure.

Fix your misquoting habit, and I might answer.



973. Post 11758059 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: tarmi on June 30, 2015, 05:05:29 PM

I am bullshitting your bullshitting, but I agree that austerity on the part of the people through tax increases destroys not the welfare state, but the capital structure. Austerity on the part of the government is sorely needed.




can't get it more wrong than that.

austerity measure by definition is an attempt to preserve the neoliberal capitalist model and the current capital structure.

Fix your misquoting habit, and I might answer.



you dont appear much intelligent, so please explain why would I care for your answer?

I don't need to appear intelligent. You don't have to care.




974. Post 11758313 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on June 30, 2015, 07:23:38 PM
if there is some a big move into bitcoin in greece, say this time next year 10% of greek pop uses bitcoin and its accepted everywhere in greece we could very well see 32,000$ in less than 2 years. 10% of greece's pop is ~1 million poeple, assuming these 1million poeple hodl a 500$ balances in bitcoin we're looking at half a billion dollars pumped into bitcoin, but it won't stop there, having a real world economy use bitcoin is going to improve investor confidence, and i could easily see 10-20billion get pumped into bitcoin as a result, but it won't stop there, economies will crash around the world one by one, and seeing how greeks all got rich off of using bitcoin, they will all want to do the same thing, the decentralization of world domination is well under way! but it won't stop there aliens will come down from the heavens and buy bitcoin.

Is it that easy ?

I think coins will leak in via tourists.



975. Post 11758327 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Natalia_AnatolioPAMM on June 30, 2015, 08:42:22 PM


the only answer

I wonder when they will start to print fake euro paper rectangles, pointing nose to ecb.




976. Post 11758351 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on June 30, 2015, 09:13:02 PM
if there is some a big move into bitcoin in greece, say this time next year 10% of greek pop uses bitcoin and its accepted everywhere in greece we could very well see 32,000$ in less than 2 years. 10% of greece's pop is ~1 million poeple, assuming these 1million poeple hodl a 500$ balances in bitcoin we're looking at half a billion dollars pumped into bitcoin, but it won't stop there, having a real world economy use bitcoin is going to improve investor confidence, and i could easily see 10-20billion get pumped into bitcoin as a result, but it won't stop there, economies will crash around the world one by one, and seeing how greeks all got rich off of using bitcoin, they will all want to do the same thing, the decentralization of world domination is well under way! but it won't stop there aliens will come down from the heavens and buy bitcoin.

But don’t forget that the NSA is watching this thread and they are forming a union with Morgain Stanley, Goldman Sachs and all huge banks against bitcoin... paid troll invasions, huge fud campains, heavy market manipulation will happen.... and then eventually the one manipulator by itself will come and fill all those fucking bids in one hit till the lower double digits.

Uhh that meeting was supposed to be confidential.

They leaked it, so they must have wanted us to know. Counteract by forgetting it immediately.



977. Post 11758729 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Markets tranquilized. Greece appearently fixed. (NOT!).



978. Post 11758750 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on June 30, 2015, 10:47:15 PM
if there is some a big move into bitcoin in greece, say this time next year 10% of greek pop uses bitcoin and its accepted everywhere in greece we could very well see 32,000$ in less than 2 years. 10% of greece's pop is ~1 million poeple, assuming these 1million poeple hodl a 500$ balances in bitcoin we're looking at half a billion dollars pumped into bitcoin, but it won't stop there, having a real world economy use bitcoin is going to improve investor confidence, and i could easily see 10-20billion get pumped into bitcoin as a result, but it won't stop there, economies will crash around the world one by one, and seeing how greeks all got rich off of using bitcoin, they will all want to do the same thing, the decentralization of world domination is well under way! but it won't stop there aliens will come down from the heavens and buy bitcoin.

Is it that easy ?

I think coins will leak in via tourists.


Could be, but what I was asking about is, will banksters and all the current people who benefits from the current centralized finical ecosystem, will they let the revolution take place with that ease ?

Why would you ask them for permission?



979. Post 11758978 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on June 30, 2015, 10:54:09 PM
if there is some a big move into bitcoin in greece, say this time next year 10% of greek pop uses bitcoin and its accepted everywhere in greece we could very well see 32,000$ in less than 2 years. 10% of greece's pop is ~1 million poeple, assuming these 1million poeple hodl a 500$ balances in bitcoin we're looking at half a billion dollars pumped into bitcoin, but it won't stop there, having a real world economy use bitcoin is going to improve investor confidence, and i could easily see 10-20billion get pumped into bitcoin as a result, but it won't stop there, economies will crash around the world one by one, and seeing how greeks all got rich off of using bitcoin, they will all want to do the same thing, the decentralization of world domination is well under way! but it won't stop there aliens will come down from the heavens and buy bitcoin.

Is it that easy ?

I think coins will leak in via tourists.


Could be, but what I was asking about is, will banksters and all the current people who benefits from the current centralized finical ecosystem, will they let the revolution take place with that ease ?

Why would you ask them for permission?


Actually it's not permission, but the language of power/force is the one which will take place.

Will these people lose their power and ultra-mega-profits they make from the current system that easily ?

Their power will diminish.



980. Post 11759052 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on June 30, 2015, 11:32:39 PM
if there is some a big move into bitcoin in greece, say this time next year 10% of greek pop uses bitcoin and its accepted everywhere in greece we could very well see 32,000$ in less than 2 years. 10% of greece's pop is ~1 million poeple, assuming these 1million poeple hodl a 500$ balances in bitcoin we're looking at half a billion dollars pumped into bitcoin, but it won't stop there, having a real world economy use bitcoin is going to improve investor confidence, and i could easily see 10-20billion get pumped into bitcoin as a result, but it won't stop there, economies will crash around the world one by one, and seeing how greeks all got rich off of using bitcoin, they will all want to do the same thing, the decentralization of world domination is well under way! but it won't stop there aliens will come down from the heavens and buy bitcoin.

Is it that easy ?

I think coins will leak in via tourists.


Could be, but what I was asking about is, will banksters and all the current people who benefits from the current centralized finical ecosystem, will they let the revolution take place with that ease ?

Why would you ask them for permission?


Actually it's not permission, but the language of power/force is the one which will take place.

Will these people lose their power and ultra-mega-profits they make from the current system that easily ?

Their power will diminish.


I agree, but how and when ?

It's not easy as Adam and others think.

Changing chairs and places were never easy and will never "be".

Just have coins.



981. Post 11759957 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on June 30, 2015, 11:45:08 PM
if there is some a big move into bitcoin in greece, say this time next year 10% of greek pop uses bitcoin and its accepted everywhere in greece we could very well see 32,000$ in less than 2 years. 10% of greece's pop is ~1 million poeple, assuming these 1million poeple hodl a 500$ balances in bitcoin we're looking at half a billion dollars pumped into bitcoin, but it won't stop there, having a real world economy use bitcoin is going to improve investor confidence, and i could easily see 10-20billion get pumped into bitcoin as a result, but it won't stop there, economies will crash around the world one by one, and seeing how greeks all got rich off of using bitcoin, they will all want to do the same thing, the decentralization of world domination is well under way! but it won't stop there aliens will come down from the heavens and buy bitcoin.

Is it that easy ?

I think coins will leak in via tourists.


Could be, but what I was asking about is, will banksters and all the current people who benefits from the current centralized finical ecosystem, will they let the revolution take place with that ease ?

Why would you ask them for permission?


Actually it's not permission, but the language of power/force is the one which will take place.

Will these people lose their power and ultra-mega-profits they make from the current system that easily ?

Their power will diminish.


I agree, but how and when ?

It's not easy as Adam and others think.

Changing chairs and places were never easy and will never "be".

Just have coins.


You want me to keep buying and HODLing you mean ?

Why not? Buy when you please, sell when you please, but holding some supports the value.

Bitcoin is useful now for some people for some types of trade. Since the penetration is so low, that means there are other people out there with the same kind of needs, so bitcoin will expand. When bitcoin expands, its liquidity increases, which means that new types of needs can be met. It is a chain reaction.

Just hold some coins, wait. It does not hurt to tell people, but it is not necessary. Those who make good use of bitcoin will tell their friends.






982. Post 11767236 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: tarmi on July 01, 2015, 08:56:50 PM
Quote
Sigh.... Euro is a way more superior to bitcoin , how do you compare something that is backed by natural resources and production of a continent to something that is hashed out of thin air from discovery of numbers? .... you guys have wool so deep covering your eyes that you can't even functionally even logically rule out the reasons for why Greece has failed and use these non comparative scenarios to back your belief in bitcoins ...

If that was referencing my comments - I read it over and I realized it sounded like I was saying that BTC was poorly designed just like the Euro - that was not my intension and I have since edited my comment.

Specifically - I think Greece has failed because it is a fundamentally stupid idea for 19 very different economies to share 1 monetary policy. This is why the Euro will fail in the long run IMHO

Bitcoin on the other hand is a different animal entirely... though it is still an experiment that may well fail or get eclipsed by some other innovation.

europe is more than a monetary and economic union. get your facts straight.

...and, ^^, in a hypothetical world where people in two countries use bitcoin, they will have to share the monetary policy, they will have to print the same amount of bitcoins each week: 0




983. Post 11767775 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on July 01, 2015, 10:44:39 PM
if there is some a big move into bitcoin in greece, say this time next year 10% of greek pop uses bitcoin and its accepted everywhere in greece we could very well see 32,000$ in less than 2 years. 10% of greece's pop is ~1 million poeple, assuming these 1million poeple hodl a 500$ balances in bitcoin we're looking at half a billion dollars pumped into bitcoin, but it won't stop there, having a real world economy use bitcoin is going to improve investor confidence, and i could easily see 10-20billion get pumped into bitcoin as a result, but it won't stop there, economies will crash around the world one by one, and seeing how greeks all got rich off of using bitcoin, they will all want to do the same thing, the decentralization of world domination is well under way! but it won't stop there aliens will come down from the heavens and buy bitcoin.

Is it that easy ?

I think coins will leak in via tourists.


Could be, but what I was asking about is, will banksters and all the current people who benefits from the current centralized finical ecosystem, will they let the revolution take place with that ease ?

Why would you ask them for permission?


Actually it's not permission, but the language of power/force is the one which will take place.

Will these people lose their power and ultra-mega-profits they make from the current system that easily ?

Their power will diminish.


I agree, but how and when ?

It's not easy as Adam and others think.

Changing chairs and places were never easy and will never "be".

Just have coins.


You want me to keep buying and HODLing you mean ?

Why not? Buy when you please, sell when you please, but holding some supports the value.

Bitcoin is useful now for some people for some types of trade. Since the penetration is so low, that means there are other people out there with the same kind of needs, so bitcoin will expand. When bitcoin expands, its liquidity increases, which means that new types of needs can be met. It is a chain reaction.

Just hold some coins, wait. It does not hurt to tell people, but it is not necessary. Those who make good use of bitcoin will tell their friends.

Brother,

You are not getting me yet.

I'm permabull and investor as you can see in my PM as well as accumulator.

Imagine you are in a position where you have power and making a shit load of money, not only you, you and your gang (no offense).

Will you allow "decentralized" system to take your position that easily ?

It's mafia brother, it's not that piece of cake.

I can imagine being in a position in power. What I think they think is that they don't quite understand why people ask for help from the government, because they know that they can not give to people anything they have not already taken from them. So they are somewhat confused, but then happy to provide and at the same time shave off a fraction from that "help". They are satisfied with the feeling of power, the respect they get, and the money. To the people, it looks like they pay only taxes, they don't see the burden laid upon them through money printing and galloping government debt. Of couse they want to protect that, and try to hold bitcoin down. But what can they do?





984. Post 11767939 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 01, 2015, 11:42:30 PM
PLEASE SNIP YOUR QUOTES ... WALLS OF REPEATED TEXT VERY ANNOYING  

declined.



985. Post 11768473 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 02, 2015, 12:09:59 AM
<snip>

Don't you think if you PMed saying what you said, would be better ?

No, just stop doing it

Erm, perhaps I was exaggerating to get the message across, not same  Wink

Hey what are you guys talking about here? There is no context.



986. Post 11852752 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: aztecminer on July 11, 2015, 03:22:51 PM
i think my days of supporting bitcoin could very well be coming to an end. i have a tendency to turn when i feel wronged. a cashless society is not really a free society.

I often wonder why so many posters here have followed bitcoin for years and still do not grasp the essence.

Bitcoin is cash, man.



987. Post 11863593 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Come on bitcoin. We have a lot to catch up with.



988. Post 11863643 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: shmadz on July 12, 2015, 08:29:08 PM
Now what would you suggest? I have sold few bitcoin at 305 dollars and now I am holding  $$.

Code:
If in doubt, please refer to the chart below for all your decision making needs!

                           Have bitcoin.             Don't have bitcoin
                  |-----------------------------------|-----------------------------------
Bullish.          |      Hold (patience)              |    Buy (panic)
              ----|-----------------------------------|-------------------------------------
Bearish.          |     Sell (panic)                  |     Wait (patience)

(Note: any decisions made by following the above chart are not endorsed by shmadz.corp and this is not intended as investment advice  Grin

I like it. It covers it all Smiley



989. Post 11864859 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Cconvert2G36 on July 12, 2015, 11:19:31 PM
Now what would you suggest? I have sold few bitcoin at 305 dollars and now I am holding  $$.

Code:
If in doubt, please refer to the chart below for all your decision making needs!

                           Have bitcoin.             Don't have bitcoin
                  |-----------------------------------|-----------------------------------
Bullish.          |      Hold (patience)              |    Buy (panic)
              ----|-----------------------------------|-------------------------------------
Bearish.          |     Sell (panic)                  |     Wait (patience)

(Note: any decisions made by following the above chart are not endorsed by shmadz.corp and this is not intended as investment advice  Grin

I like it. It covers it all Smiley


Doesn't help the poor soul who has 0.1 btc and is bullish.  Cheesy

Follow the instructions: Panic buy.



990. Post 11871675 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Intrinsic value, patiently and tirelessly explained again, this time with new words:

Intrinsic value: Think of something that you have, but can not sell, lend, give away, or trade in any form. The value that the thing has, if any, is the intrinsic value.

In the market, it can be sold or exchanged some way, for something that is slightly less valuable to the other trader. This is the total value.

The money value, or speculative value, is the difference between the two. So you have value = intrinsic value + money value.

Most consumable things have only intrinsic value, other things you have in your posession because you know they also could be traded for a higher value than your own use value. This include houses, vintage cars, wine, old paintings, and sometimes smaller things that you know others will value in the future. For example, if you join a group to quit smoking, in the form of a hike to kilimanjaro, it could be smart to fill up unused space in your backpack with cigarettes and sell them for an exorbitant price.

What we call money, have mostly only the speculative value. Gold has is a little of both, but mostly money value. Bitcoin and fiat paper rectangles have almost exclusively speculative value. I call it pure money.



991. Post 11872293 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: BurgerKill on July 13, 2015, 08:14:02 PM
Oh, this thread is getting bigger and bigger!

Anyways, is it relatively safe to move my entire savings into Bitcoin? I want help from experts about this..

Jepp, relatively safe. Have some fiat because it is more liquid, and so you avoid selling at the most laughable prices.



992. Post 11873739 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Richy_T on July 13, 2015, 11:51:57 PM

Economics has a practical definition of intrinsic value, which very different from the arguments philosophers use.

Economics has an impractical definition of intrinsic value that leads to all sorts of wrong conclusions.

I'm not just being obtuse, I'm explaining what's wrong in the thinking.


You have explained nothing, you seem to be fixated on the word intrinsic, and refuse to discuss what it is. In fact you got this right in a previous post: Gold's utility value is pretty low and its current price is mostly speculative.

By refusing to use the tools of the trade (the words, in this case), you at the same time refuse insight. It is common, but bad.



993. Post 11874388 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on July 14, 2015, 01:41:59 AM
That whale that stacked the ask side of the finexs orderbook to 18k hasn't gone anywhere, so there's at least that bitcoin must overcomeovercomb

Keep the dream alive.



Stupid, but I had a physical laugh.



994. Post 11878901 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Richy_T on July 14, 2015, 04:09:17 PM
You have explained nothing, you seem to be fixated on the word intrinsic, and refuse to discuss what it is. In fact you got this right in a previous post: Gold's utility value is pretty low and its current price is mostly speculative.

By refusing to use the tools of the trade (the words, in this case), you at the same time refuse insight. It is common, but bad.


"Intrinsic" has a meaning. If economists (or Aztec) misuse that word and then go on to act as if it meant what it actually meant, then of course wrong conclusions will be drawn. Are we really just going to accept conventional economics on this forum or look closer and seek the truth? First principles man...

How many legs does a dog have if you call the tail a leg?

It has four, unless a keynesian tries to count them.

Also linguistically, my use of the word is correct. A can of beer can cool your throat, make your jokes worse, give you a little energy and balance your bodys fluid contents. It is the intrinsic aspects of the beer that give you these services. It is contained in the beer, it is inherent, inborn native, inseparable, deep-rooted in the beer itself. The properties are therefore intrinsic, and it is the intrinsic value of the beer for anyone who prefer those things.

A bunch of dollars do not have these values intrinsically. You can, on the other hand, fill your pockets with dollars and go to bali, in the speculation that you can exchange them for beer. It is not certain, you need to find someone who has beer and wants to sell. The risk is low, but not zero. The money is liquid. The value of the dollars is not that it can cool your throat, they can't. You have to speculate that you can exchange them for beer. Wen you get there, you are only loaded with money value.

You seem to think that intrinsic means absolute, it does absolutely not mean that. It does not mean static, it does not mean physical, or hard, or measurable. Intrinsic value is not better than money value. In fact, money value is better because it is more general. (Well your body exists in the physical world, so you sometimes have to consume something). You can easily google the words meaning yourself.

By erring in these definitions, it is impossible to discuss bitcoin with gold bugs. "But gold has intrinsic value!!! It shines!!!". Who cares? We are here to discuss money, and as you said, the intrinsic value of gold exists, but is small, the money value is the important part of the value, and bitcoin has only speculative, money value. That is what it is all about.

The newcomers have a hard time with this, because bankers and other politicians all the time wants to obscure what they are doing. Use the correct words and lay it out, and it is easily understandable for everyone.



995. Post 11879329 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Richy_T on July 14, 2015, 05:15:26 PM
Also linguistically, my use of the word is correct. A can of beer can cool your throat, make your jokes worse, give you a little energy and balance your bodys fluid contents. It is the intrinsic aspects of the beer that give you these services. It is contained in the beer, it is inherent, inborn native, inseparable, deep-rooted in the beer itself. The properties are therefore intrinsic, and it is the intrinsic value of the beer for anyone who prefer those things.


My friend from Alpha Centauri says that beer would dissolve the flesh from inside his carapace and gront his falamble. Chartbuddy said last time he had a beer, it rusted his diodes and contaminated his oil. Where is your intrinsic value now?

Besides which, that would be a property (which you actually used). I would not say that a beach ball had a value of yellow.

In fact Let's look at your sentence again...

it is the intrinsic value

continue...

for anyone who prefer those things

So a subjective value designated externally. One might almost call that extrinsic value.

You are obviusly not stupid, and yes, the value is defined not by the beer in itself, but individuals, considering it, all persons are different, so there is no yardstick, it is personal, psychological, individual. Every price you see, is the value from individuals preferring, with the help of their total life experience and individual needs, one thing over another. Is this your problem, do you think that therefore, we can not group value into two distinct types, intrinsic and speculative?



996. Post 11882001 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Richy_T on July 14, 2015, 06:35:09 PM

You are obviusly not stupid, and yes, the value is defined not by the beer in itself, but individuals, considering it, all persons are different, so there is no yardstick, it is personal, psychological, individual. Every price you see, is the value from individuals preferring, with the help of their total life experience and individual needs, one thing over another. Is this your problem, do you think that therefore, we can not group value into two distinct types, intrinsic and speculative?


Oh, we can have many groups of value. In fact, I would say that intrinsic and speculative would surely not be enough since, in my book, intrinsic value would be an empty set. Speculative is a subset of extrinsic value since one might value something not merely because one hopes to exchange it for increased value/price later.

Now, the intrinsic properties of gold might have subjective value in the common sphere. It is shiny, resists corrosion, easily malleable, heavy (dense), all that jazz. But all those are location, time and context dependent.

At this stage, I think we both see where the other is coming from so there's little point beating it to death and there are many better places to read about the arguments. Austrian economics just tends to reject the idea of intrinsic value.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subjective_theory_of_value

Again, you seem to be fixed on the word subjective, as if it under discussion. Who talks about objective value? Not me. Your struggle with the word intrinsic, is as if you are hypnotized, and programmed to go into delirium mode when the word intrinsic is uttered.

Well your attitude is not helpful. It is destructive. It is a barrier to learning a meaningful aspect of money.

And no, there are no better places for this discussion. This is the best place.



997. Post 11882863 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on July 15, 2015, 02:10:01 AM

You are obviusly not stupid, and yes, the value is defined not by the beer in itself, but individuals, considering it, all persons are different, so there is no yardstick, it is personal, psychological, individual. Every price you see, is the value from individuals preferring, with the help of their total life experience and individual needs, one thing over another. Is this your problem, do you think that therefore, we can not group value into two distinct types, intrinsic and speculative?


Oh, we can have many groups of value. In fact, I would say that intrinsic and speculative would surely not be enough since, in my book, intrinsic value would be an empty set. Speculative is a subset of extrinsic value since one might value something not merely because one hopes to exchange it for increased value/price later.

Now, the intrinsic properties of gold might have subjective value in the common sphere. It is shiny, resists corrosion, easily malleable, heavy (dense), all that jazz. But all those are location, time and context dependent.

At this stage, I think we both see where the other is coming from so there's little point beating it to death and there are many better places to read about the arguments. Austrian economics just tends to reject the idea of intrinsic value.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subjective_theory_of_value

Again, you seem to be fixed on the word subjective, as if it under discussion. Who talks about objective value? Not me. Your struggle with the word intrinsic, is as if you are hypnotized, and programmed to go into delirium mode when the word intrinsic is uttered.

Well your attitude is not helpful. It is destructive. It is a barrier to learning a meaningful aspect of money.

And no, there are no better places for this discussion. This is the best place.


The reason he might seem "as if [he is] hypnotized" is that that is what you are discussing. Does gold have intrinsic value? Is there such a thing as intrinsic value in economics or are all concepts of value in economics subjective? His position is a non-positivistic one.

Intrinsic value and subjective value are not opposite.

All value in economics is subjective, it is a strictly human concept, unmeasurable because it is different for every person, and it depends on everything in that persons life. Your question implies that only one of intrinsic and subjective is possible, and my response is no. Someone values something, it is subjective (it depends on the person valuing). That value can be either intrinsic to the thing valued, or the value can be decided by that individual based on the assumption that it can be exchanged for something else. That something else can also be exchange value (money value, speculative value), or it can be something of intrinsic value (value for direct use). In the end of the chain, there must be someting of intrinsic value, even if the time to exchange the money to something directly useful is deferred over generations. There is not much reason to collect money and keep them for ever, which is equivalent to destroying them.



998. Post 11882877 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: TerraMaster on July 15, 2015, 03:15:54 AM
I can't believe you guys are still talking about  intrinsic value....

Since I have no clue on how to explain intrinsic value. I looked it up lol

Watch the video midway down the page. Very simple now to understand or explain  Grin

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/intrinsicvalue.asp



I am somewhat disbelieving too.



999. Post 11882944 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on July 15, 2015, 03:45:42 AM
I can't believe you guys are still talking about  intrinsic value....

Since I have no clue on how to explain intrinsic value. I looked it up lol

Watch the video midway down the page. Very simple now to understand or explain  Grin

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/intrinsicvalue.asp



The problem occurred when aztecminer claimed that gold will always have intrinsic value. This problem can't be solved by purely looking at the problem through the specter of the financial definition of intrinsic value, since the basis of the premise is that the value of gold remains regardless of the market. So what do you have left? You can either claim that gold has intrinsic value, as in value in itself, through the specter of kantian concepts of value, which I doubt anyone is suggesting (come to think of it, not so sure anymore). Or, that gold has intrinsic value, value in itself, via a positivistic epistemological conception. I guess you could argue for this last one, but positivism is a very unsatisfactory basis for anything.

Edit: I might be reading too much into this.



When you have the concepts well defined, it is straighforward.

Gold has partly intrinsic value, it is directly useful, and "regardless of the market" (your words). The last human on the planet (no market) can use it for something for himself, for benefit or pleasure. Only, of course, if that individual prefers it to something else (subjective).

This is in fact essential to gold bugs. If gold should lose its money value (due to bitcoin may be), it will still be around, have value, traded in the market, dispersed among the people of the earth, due to its intrinsic value. Therefore, in a catastrophic technology event where computers disappear, gold can take on the money function, and in which case it will regain its money value. A plus for gold.

Bitcoin does not have that. If it goes to zero in a catastrophic event (which it can because there is no intrinsic value), there is no special reason that it will regain its value. The world could just as well start a new blockchain.

The intrinsic value of gold is also essential for Mises' regression theorem, which has also been discussed here thoroughly.

Just two examples of how useful the concept is.





1000. Post 11882999 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on July 15, 2015, 04:27:46 AM
[...]
Sry, back to my gifs.



CCMF!!!


I'm Ok with gifs.



1001. Post 11909945 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: cyclotronmajesty on July 18, 2015, 12:09:58 PM
BTC-E allows leverage, and this means that:

- some people have used it to go long
- they can be wiped out by forcing the price down to trigger automatic margin call
- some (other) people have access to the information on the margin call limits, either accurately or by deduction
- selling as much as to trigger the cascade, and then buying them back cheaper from the cascade, is called $$$ (profit)
- no real BTC need to be involved at all, because the operation happens completely in the exchange internal system

Wow. That's diabolical.

Guess u always should set a stop loss for margin trades.

Normally, you have to, in bitcoin. But it is the stop losses that are the problem, someone always knows and they can exploit them. So the advice should be the opposite - if you have the choice, and consider a stop loss: reconsider.




1002. Post 11909957 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

China consistently lower by a few dollars, according to bitcoinwisdom and their choice of yuan/dollar rate.

China has some foggy rules for currency conversions. Maybe the yuan real market price is lower?

EDIT: Or higher? If somebody has an unfogged mind, please help.



1003. Post 11910043 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: everaja on July 18, 2015, 02:04:46 PM

Hia ..
can anybody , you predict for me that what will be the max and min range for BTC/USD for next 24 hours.


No, but based on the characteristics of the money system, and the natural spreading of information, there is a slightly higher probability of a higher price than a lower price.



1004. Post 11910104 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: everaja on July 18, 2015, 02:09:19 PM



No, but based on the characteristics of the money system, and the natural spreading of information, there is a slightly higher probability of a higher price than a lower price.


I mean will it cross 280 $
or will be below it?

There is a slightly higher probability of over 280, than below (assuming the price is 280 now, it is, close enough). According to me. Did you expect to get a sure answer? Who's responsibility would it be, if the answer was wrong? If it was an advice from a government sanctioned entity, would it be the entity, the government, or yourself? Maybe you just write badly, but, you have to take responsibility. Do something or do nothing, and take responsibility.




1005. Post 11932649 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: findftp on July 21, 2015, 11:39:17 AM
Looks like the stories about Greece are over for now. What's next?

A worthless shitcoin.  Wink

Another story about Greece Smiley



1006. Post 11941879 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

It is bitcoin, it is not "blockchain technology". Bitcoin. It has the best liquidity among altcoins, it expands as described above, leading to better liquidity... a chain reaction.



1007. Post 11942112 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: hdbuck on July 22, 2015, 12:32:04 PM
Something big is brewing. Fasten your seatbelts, ladies and gentlemen. Soon you will hear people talking about Bitcoin all over the place. Grin

Could you elaborate more please  Grin

I call it the trickle down effect of mostly positive reporting on Bitcoin since January. Bitcoin is mentionend as side topic in more and more reports. Bitcoin is discussed more openly in the comments section of major newspapers.

I conclude: The public gets a better understanding about what Bitcoin essentially is. Once one big buy occurs in the market, this will trigger a cascade and people will try everything to not miss out on the next big thing! Especially, when the former safe heaven (gold) is tanking at the same time.

Gold is as big a loser as the dollar, when bitcoin adoption starts!

In other words: People begin to realize, that bitcoin Blockchain technology is the ultimative hedge!

Edit: All technical indicators show up,Up,UP! I think it's a sign of strength, that despite the temptation, bitcoin still holds back its orgasm! Comapre to may 2015, when bitcoin came to early.

Ftfy Roll Eyes

You are right. I don't disagree (in the light of the blocksize debate). I even would encourage people in here to put some spare money in a few selected alts.

there is a difference between bitcoin, blockchain tech and alts.

i, as an investor//speculator, only rely on bitcoin (and alts to maximize my bitcoin stash).

the propaganda about the blockchain technology is just what it is: pro-pa-gan-da

because TPTB dont obviously enjoy the idea of censor-less transactions (ie. loosing its main leverage).

so i'd argue nonetheless that the masses sheeps will fall for some state-cryptocurrencies, so forget about them pumpin bitcoin.

bitcoin will be pumped because bitcoin and the people involved in it (ie. whales), not because blockchain tech, nor because VCs, and neither because some clueless "awakening" from the masses.
 

With time, it will become clear for almost everybody why bitcoin is in the best interest for themselves. People are collectivists, not primarily because they want to share, but because they want to be shared with (ok, a bit because of folk ecomomics).



1008. Post 11946426 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on July 22, 2015, 03:36:41 PM
Is this right ?

Quote
Porn were first real mass adopters of VHS, DVD and Internet technology

And postcards.

In the beginning of the VCR, a friend of mine bought one, and the reaction from his mother in law was: Do you really want that filth in your house?



1009. Post 11946452 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: inca on July 22, 2015, 05:51:35 PM

Hence why the argument of it already being priced in somewhat certainly holds water.



It isn't priced in because it is over a year away. There are people arguing for a rally, a fizzle or no effect.

It is undeniably a huge event on the bitcoin calendar because it marks the last time that bitcoin coin inflation can ever be blamed for supply exceeding demand and pushing the price down.

5% inflation is pretty good. But any price shenanigans that go on around that time will be driven by the same heavy speculators driving the price up and down.

In the longer run if demand picks up then the reduced mining supply could lead to price rises. Which would be nice. Smiley

Disagree. Any event that you know of is a part of the consideration when buying/selling that stock/currency/commodity etc etc.

I'm not saying its completely priced in I said hence why that argument holds water.

You can't seriously suggest that it's not already part of the market psychology when people are already talking about it and anticipating a price rise due to it. All speculators big and small are holding hoping for it to cause a price rise.

It certainly doesn't mark the last time that btc inflation can be blamed for supply exceeding demand. How can you possibly say that. If the price rallies up to $10000 on a spike (remember on long term charts $1000+ was just a monthly spike) Then supply in $ terms could still easily outstrip demand. Don't forget not all mined coins are instantly sold, and all mined coins are part of inflation.

My point being you can't possibly state what you're saying as fact.

Saying it is priced in is meaningless in my humble opinion. It is just something people say. If the market simply knowing an event in advance means it is priced in then the 2020 halving is priced in too, right? Smiley

You are right of course that if the price rallies up hugely then even 5% inflation could exert an effect. But the price is set by supply and demand and going forward the mining supply is going to become largely an irrelevence in comparison with the actual proportion of coins already in existence being used to set the price.

I will just say that it is an exciting time to be in bitcoin.

The supply is the coins on offer from people who want to hold less.



1010. Post 11971070 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

The english speaking world is at sleep. Good! You need the sleep, to be prepared when the financial tsunami rolls in.



1011. Post 11990693 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: coinpr0n on July 28, 2015, 06:47:21 AM
BTC-e is still more than $10 below other USD markets. Any reasons for this? I doubt the fatfinger/flash crash has to do with it anymore as that was a while ago. Ideas?

I have been wondering about this too. Assuming they have a large portion east european customers (which may or not be the case): Bitcoin price is depressed, which is the same as the dollar price is pressed upwards (assuming we trade in the bitcoin/dollar pair), so: Some people use bitcoin to move dollars into east europe?




1012. Post 12023084 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

A big pop now would be welcome. It's about time.



1013. Post 12029437 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: unbeelzebub on August 01, 2015, 04:54:41 PM
No my retarded friend.
If bitcoin is used by 'few' people and becomming bigger that snapchat it will be at $2k+.


Bitcoin is becoming more regulated, the perceived advantage it had back in SilkRoad days is vanishing.  That bird has flown Smiley
Good luck with yr D4rkWeb hooker dreams tho - shit just 2spooky4me.

@Ivanhoe:  Don't sell yourself short, ur the best lel money could buy!

The blue market all over the world, some call it the black market, is a source of bitcoin expansion that is largely untapped. Including some market that are legalized by the dominators, but that they don't like and therefor choke. A fresh example is the medical marihuana market, where the players wanted to establish a special bank. It also includes businesses that compete with the cronies. With time, these markets will use partly fiat paper rectangles as now, and partly bitcoin.



1014. Post 12029569 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: unbeelzebub on August 02, 2015, 12:15:31 AM
No my retarded friend.
If bitcoin is used by 'few' people and becomming bigger that snapchat it will be at $2k+.


Bitcoin is becoming more regulated, the perceived advantage it had back in SilkRoad days is vanishing.  That bird has flown Smiley
Good luck with yr D4rkWeb hooker dreams tho - shit just 2spooky4me.

@Ivanhoe:  Don't sell yourself short, ur the best lel money could buy!

The blue market all over the world, some call it the black market,

Pretty much all, unless you mean "gray," or are Argentine and mean "blue dollar market."

Quote
is a source of bitcoin expansion that is largely untapped. Including some market that are legalized by the dominators, but that they don't like and therefor choke. A fresh example is the medical marihuana market, where the players wanted to establish a special bank.

I'm sure if I smoked enough of that medicine, the above might start to make sense.  Doesn't now tho Sad

The gray market is half black, half white, talking about the gray market is to use the words of the enemy. Thus the blue market. I may have invented the concept, so it is not unimaginable that it is new to many people. Smiley

Re the second point: They have something called operation chokepoint. "The business may be legal by the law we haphazardly wrote, but let's kill them off anyway".



1015. Post 12029769 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: unbeelzebub on August 02, 2015, 12:38:29 AM
No my retarded friend.
If bitcoin is used by 'few' people and becomming bigger that snapchat it will be at $2k+.


Bitcoin is becoming more regulated, the perceived advantage it had back in SilkRoad days is vanishing.  That bird has flown Smiley
Good luck with yr D4rkWeb hooker dreams tho - shit just 2spooky4me.

@Ivanhoe:  Don't sell yourself short, ur the best lel money could buy!

The blue market all over the world, some call it the black market,

Pretty much all, unless you mean "gray," or are Argentine and mean "blue dollar market."

Quote
is a source of bitcoin expansion that is largely untapped. Including some market that are legalized by the dominators, but that they don't like and therefor choke. A fresh example is the medical marihuana market, where the players wanted to establish a special bank.

I'm sure if I smoked enough of that medicine, the above might start to make sense.  Doesn't now tho Sad

The gray market is half black, half white, talking about the gray market is to use the words of the enemy. Thus the blue market. I may have invented the concept, so it is not unimaginable that it is new to many people. Smiley

Aha, a new word!  Well ain't you the smartiferous one!

Quote
Re the second point: They have something called operation chokepoint. "The business may be legal by the law we haphazardly wrote, but let's kill them off anyway".

Who are "they"?  Those pesky Saurians again?

Operation chokepoint:
http://lmgtfy.com/?q=operation+chokepoint




1016. Post 12029777 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: TheLookOutKid on August 02, 2015, 12:44:54 AM
I think the troll is telling us the crypto is dead u guise.


 Shocked

Whatever shall we DO?!?

I certainly know what I will do to your nick.



1017. Post 12029818 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

The time is ripe for a major explosion:

Fading in, fading out
On the edge of paradise
Every inch of your skin is a holy grail I've got to find
Only you can set my heart on fire, on fire
Yeah, I'll let you set the pace
Cause I'm not thinking straight
My head spinning around I can't see clear no more
What are you waiting for?



1018. Post 12029860 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: unbeelzebub on August 02, 2015, 01:20:29 AM
No my retarded friend.
If bitcoin is used by 'few' people and becomming bigger that snapchat it will be at $2k+.


Bitcoin is becoming more regulated, the perceived advantage it had back in SilkRoad days is vanishing.  That bird has flown Smiley
Good luck with yr D4rkWeb hooker dreams tho - shit just 2spooky4me.

@Ivanhoe:  Don't sell yourself short, ur the best lel money could buy!

The blue market all over the world, some call it the black market,

Pretty much all, unless you mean "gray," or are Argentine and mean "blue dollar market."

Quote
is a source of bitcoin expansion that is largely untapped. Including some market that are legalized by the dominators, but that they don't like and therefor choke. A fresh example is the medical marihuana market, where the players wanted to establish a special bank.

I'm sure if I smoked enough of that medicine, the above might start to make sense.  Doesn't now tho Sad

The gray market is half black, half white, talking about the gray market is to use the words of the enemy. Thus the blue market. I may have invented the concept, so it is not unimaginable that it is new to many people. Smiley

Aha, a new word!  Well ain't you the smartiferous one!

Quote
Re the second point: They have something called operation chokepoint. "The business may be legal by the law we haphazardly wrote, but let's kill them off anyway".

Who are "they"?  Those pesky Saurians again?

Operation chokepoint:
http://lmgtfy.com/?q=operation+chokepoint

Oh, you mean the one that's no longer happening, that one?
Quote
On January 29, 2015, the FDIC issued a Financial Institution Letter that states "The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) issued a Financial Institution Letter today encouraging supervised institutions to take a risk-based approach in assessing individual customer relationships, rather than declining to provide banking services to entire categories of customers without regard to the risks presented by an individual customer or the financial institution's ability to manage the risk."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Choke_Point

Try as I might, couldn't find your medical weed on that list Sad  Hookers?  Check.  Pyramid schemes?  Check!  "Home-Based Charities"?  Checkity-check.  No weed tho.

The article does not say it has stopped.




1019. Post 12029867 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: Erdogan on August 02, 2015, 01:26:27 AM
No my retarded friend.
If bitcoin is used by 'few' people and becomming bigger that snapchat it will be at $2k+.


Bitcoin is becoming more regulated, the perceived advantage it had back in SilkRoad days is vanishing.  That bird has flown Smiley
Good luck with yr D4rkWeb hooker dreams tho - shit just 2spooky4me.

@Ivanhoe:  Don't sell yourself short, ur the best lel money could buy!

The blue market all over the world, some call it the black market,

Pretty much all, unless you mean "gray," or are Argentine and mean "blue dollar market."

Quote
is a source of bitcoin expansion that is largely untapped. Including some market that are legalized by the dominators, but that they don't like and therefor choke. A fresh example is the medical marihuana market, where the players wanted to establish a special bank.

I'm sure if I smoked enough of that medicine, the above might start to make sense.  Doesn't now tho Sad

The gray market is half black, half white, talking about the gray market is to use the words of the enemy. Thus the blue market. I may have invented the concept, so it is not unimaginable that it is new to many people. Smiley

Aha, a new word!  Well ain't you the smartiferous one!

Quote
Re the second point: They have something called operation chokepoint. "The business may be legal by the law we haphazardly wrote, but let's kill them off anyway".

Who are "they"?  Those pesky Saurians again?

Operation chokepoint:
http://lmgtfy.com/?q=operation+chokepoint

Oh, you mean the one that's no longer happening, that one?
Quote
On January 29, 2015, the FDIC issued a Financial Institution Letter that states "The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) issued a Financial Institution Letter today encouraging supervised institutions to take a risk-based approach in assessing individual customer relationships, rather than declining to provide banking services to entire categories of customers without regard to the risks presented by an individual customer or the financial institution's ability to manage the risk."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Choke_Point

Try as I might, couldn't find your medical weed on that list Sad  Hookers?  Check.  Pyramid schemes?  Check!  "Home-Based Charities"?  Checkity-check.  No weed tho.

The article does not say it has stopped.



I am talking to a troll. Sorry about that.



1020. Post 12071075 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: sAt0sHiFanClub on August 06, 2015, 05:00:22 PM
Tokyo judge says "You cant own a bitcoin...."

http://www.coindesk.com/tokyo-court-bitcoin-not-subject-to-ownership-2/

Obviously, it is not the last word.

I regard them as tangible. (Remember Tangible Cryptography?)



1021. Post 12085441 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on August 08, 2015, 10:49:38 AM
Volume? Volatility? Anything?



Is this picture real?



1022. Post 12090942 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: ImI on August 09, 2015, 01:53:50 AM
Is this crash due to all New York customers cashing out due to being dropped by every exchange because of bit license deadline?

bitlicense could very well be a reason here...  

Could be. Some people have only bitcoin on exchanges, and don't know what to do when they are ordered to remove the BTC, except sell them. It seems they (finex) are about to sell off the remaining BTC balances for NY residents after the limit of 4:00 pm EDT on August 15, 2015.

https://www.bitfinex.com/pages/announcements




1023. Post 12091683 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

erected



1024. Post 12094917 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: natewelt on August 09, 2015, 01:41:50 PM

As long as I believe we can still make a new all-time high I don't think I will use any for commerce.  So maybe once we get back over 1,000 I'd sell a few, use a few for commerce, and hold a few. Something like that. But if I feel uncomfortable with the tech progression my plans can change quickly. So far I have held the course.


I spend and replenish when the opportunity arises. I'm not totally convinced that retail is really its eventual fate, but if everyone just sat on their coins waiting for them to go up then it'll wither before long.


I agree and feel a little guilty for not using my coins for commerce. But then again, I'm not convinced in the system yet and it is my money so I will do what I see best. I've only been accumulating a little here and there not because I don't have enough fiat to exchange, but because I am allowing myself to grow more comfortable before making significant bets.

If and when I make my first purchase of goods/services through Bitcoin I'll be sure to post to the forum my experience.

If you have made purchases on a few different internet sites, try some purchases using bitcoin (and replenish your stash). You will feel the difference, and your belief in bitcoins future will be boosted.




1025. Post 12096053 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on August 09, 2015, 03:16:28 PM

As long as I believe we can still make a new all-time high I don't think I will use any for commerce.  So maybe once we get back over 1,000 I'd sell a few, use a few for commerce, and hold a few. Something like that. But if I feel uncomfortable with the tech progression my plans can change quickly. So far I have held the course.


I spend and replenish when the opportunity arises. I'm not totally convinced that retail is really its eventual fate, but if everyone just sat on their coins waiting for them to go up then it'll wither before long.


I agree and feel a little guilty for not using my coins for commerce. But then again, I'm not convinced in the system yet and it is my money so I will do what I see best. I've only been accumulating a little here and there not because I don't have enough fiat to exchange, but because I am allowing myself to grow more comfortable before making significant bets.

If and when I make my first purchase of goods/services through Bitcoin I'll be sure to post to the forum my experience.

If you have made purchases on a few different internet sites, try some purchases using bitcoin (and replenish your stash). You will feel the difference, and your belief in bitcoins future will be boosted.



Especially when your confirmation is delayed and you realize that you can't just send an e-mail to paypal.

You are a well pisser in real life, aren't you?



1026. Post 12111558 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Wekkel on August 11, 2015, 09:38:53 AM
Yuan devaluation does nothing. Bitcoin is its own kind  Undecided

I wondered about that too. The yuan price of btc should go up, relative to the dollar price of btc.



1027. Post 12112903 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

I am long. Just wanted to say it. It is easy to be a trader when you have a crystal ball that works.



1028. Post 12116576 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Mye eye spy some serious mooning. The next few hours are CRITICAL.




1029. Post 12116759 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: rjclarke2000 on August 11, 2015, 08:47:14 PM
Mye eye spy some serious mooning. The next few hours are CRITICAL.


I hope so. Could do with some mid week excitement. Would it be because of the yuan?


Traditionally we have seen absolutely no reaction to that kind of world economy news. What we have seen, is that price moves when something bad happens to a bitcoin related business, especially the bourses.

I think this means:

a) Use of bitcoin for hedging against movements in fiats, countries going bust, or risk of banks going bust is not important to bitcoin holders, toe-dippers or newcomers.

b) The liquidity is very small, most trading is daytrading or week-trading, if someone really wants out, the price tanks.



1030. Post 12117099 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

The reason could be that the block size controversy now seems to be resolved.



1031. Post 12117260 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: redsn0w on August 11, 2015, 10:00:53 PM
The reason could be that the block size controversy now seems to be resolved.



Nah, I don't think it has been resolved... but how the price could be influenced by this thing (I can't understand at all...).

That prolonged low quality debate has instilled doubt in the toe-dippers and bystanders. It was never catastrophic, but they wouldn't know.

Now it seems to be resolved, the latest news being miners voting with their proverbial feet, the comments in the coinbase transactions. So I think it is resolved, by new year we have larger max blocks, and first quarter of next year we will have a large block, and minimal orphaning.




1032. Post 12117331 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on August 11, 2015, 10:27:56 PM
This has has everything to do with China dropping the dollar peg.  Currency wars (where every player tries to LOSE) are great for Bitcoin.

It should make people rush to bitcoin - but it hasn't, historically. I think it is the block size.



1033. Post 12118290 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: shmadz on August 12, 2015, 01:41:32 AM
This has has everything to do with China dropping the dollar peg.  Currency wars (where every player tries to LOSE) are great for Bitcoin.

It should make people rush to bitcoin - but it hasn't, historically. I think it is the block size.


Seriously, dude?

What makes you think the block size problem has been resolved?

Two pages of people saying this and not a single link.


Gut feeling.



1034. Post 12127162 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Brewins on August 13, 2015, 12:54:11 AM
XT nodes still slowly on the rise... Were the trolls right after all that bitcoin would be replaced by a superiour coin, in this case bitcoinXT?

Is bitcointalk.org done? As abercrombie would say.


where can I see how many XT nodes are online at the moment?

http://www.xtnodes.com/




1035. Post 12127407 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Coins are cheap now all right, 265 that is crazy...



1036. Post 12134711 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: infofront on August 13, 2015, 05:21:35 PM
is this ETH serious ? i sold 1 BTC into it just in case.

scamcoin

sorry for your loss

This.
Not sure why would it be better than btc...

As has been said before, everything etherium can do, bitcoin can do - and then some.

Duh... selling 30K bitcoins just to ease their immediate hunger... what a waste!



1037. Post 12134728 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: kenbytes on August 13, 2015, 06:12:49 PM
Today the global markets are sinking because China is devaluating the Yuan, but bitcoin is very stable. I think this shows how there is very little connection between the bitcoin market and other markets.

Yep - the first devaluation should scare every chinese saver, and everyone who knew about bitcoin but had not jumped in yet, should do just that. But no. Nothing of that kind happened. There is a chinese wall between bitcoiners and the financial market!




1038. Post 12135391 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: aminorex on August 13, 2015, 08:53:43 PM
There is a chinese wall between bitcoiners and the financial market!

Which side claims John Searle?


Don't know him, is on either side? The dark side, the outside...




1039. Post 12140388 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: becoin on August 14, 2015, 01:25:38 PM
Kraken BTC/EUR has a similar wall to Bitfinex on a smaller scale ... 200BTC orders stacking up 7000BTC between €231 and €237. Notable because it's Kraken.

Thanks for this... This is interesting. Theories, why someone is doing this? Smiley

I bet someone is hopping for another margin cascade?
Kraken allows every order above 50 bitcoins to be hidden. So every order above 50 bitcoins you see has just one purpose: manipulate market. Take care! I'd give my business to exchanges that do not allow hidden orders.

The free market at work, keeping tabs on suspected cheaters. Glitters.




1040. Post 12140459 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: becoin on August 14, 2015, 03:42:14 PM
Trading Forex you don't really get to see the order book at all.
Oh, you can. Just need to be a privileged (level 2) customer!

But why should bitcoin forex be the same as the fiat forex trading? Bitcoin should be different! It must be 100% open and transparent! There is no excuse for hidden order books! Their only purpose is to not hinder the manipulation process through the "open" order books.

The point, seen from the customer using hidden orders, is to avoid scaring off other traders with a large wall. You can achive something like it by entering a small order, and refill as it is nipped at. We see that a lot on finex too.

Generally, i like to see everything, because then it is easier to spot eventual frontrunning. Competition among bourses should be enough to keep them in check.

Here is a horror story of front running, defrauding their customers. The regulators basically take a cut and polish over it.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-08-13/project-omega-why-hfts-never-lose-money-criminal-fraud-explained



1041. Post 12141781 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

I like the number 270. But only for a while, after that I get tired of it.



1042. Post 12148501 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

When iron ore prices goes down, and we hear about problems in china steel industry, we should think that the money from raw material producing countries would go down, not? So, just hours after entering some aussie shorts, a respected, well placed IDIOT in Autralia goes public with a statement that just now, he thinks that the aussie dollar was low enough, it shouldn't go further down. What did he mean, did he mean that Australia planned to stop money printing and debt issue to reduce the money volume? No, absolutely not, they can't do that. He just wanted to send the message to traders in the currency, and it had an immediate effect, the aussie dollar rose. I hate that.

That is why I like the fact that bitcoin does not respond immediately to what happens on the fx markets. (It seems to only respond violently to events in the bitcoin environment itself) It is better that the price rises slowly as an effect of more users and users holding more. Oganic growth. It is more sustainable.



1043. Post 12150632 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Finex: "...but users who do not remove their cryptocurrency holdings from their Bitfinex accounts (or set up a locked withdrawal address) by 4:00 pm EDT on August 15th, 2015 will have their cryptocurrency balances exchanged to USD at market rates. "

We just passed that moment. I hope they don't dump all of it in a short time.




1044. Post 12151070 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Cheezez guys. Grow up. Forget that email.



1045. Post 12151290 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: klee on August 15, 2015, 10:08:46 PM

Ok, while I think it's great that "Satoshi" has resurfaced to fight the Gavinistas, I do think that the hard limit must indeed increase (perhaps to 2mb, maybe in a few years it could go higher?)

But the 101 proposal of doubling every couple years is pure insanity.

This is not just a ledger that might exist on a few select locations around the world. This is a ledger that should exist on every computer around the world. The best security or guarantee of authentic transactions is when as many as possible can hold and parse the full Blockchain. This will not happen if you just double by arbitrary rule instead of calculated increases decided by need.
Technically speaking I have NO opinion on the block size. I just know when I see assholes (Mike + Gavin).

But they are our assholes.



1046. Post 12151329 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: klee on August 15, 2015, 10:12:32 PM

Ok, while I think it's great that "Satoshi" has resurfaced to fight the Gavinistas, I do think that the hard limit must indeed increase (perhaps to 2mb, maybe in a few years it could go higher?)

But the 101 proposal of doubling every couple years is pure insanity.

This is not just a ledger that might exist on a few select locations around the world. This is a ledger that should exist on every computer around the world. The best security or guarantee of authentic transactions is when as many as possible can hold and parse the full Blockchain. This will not happen if you just double by arbitrary rule instead of calculated increases decided by need.
Technically speaking I have NO opinion on the block size. I just know when I see assholes (Mike + Gavin).

But they are our assholes.

I know, that's why we should be short until they are gone...

Short now, or forever hold your longs...



1047. Post 12151354 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: shmadz on August 15, 2015, 10:16:41 PM

Ok, while I think it's great that "Satoshi" has resurfaced to fight the Gavinistas, I do think that the hard limit must indeed increase (perhaps to 2mb, maybe in a few years it could go higher?)

But the 101 proposal of doubling every couple years is pure insanity.

This is not just a ledger that might exist on a few select locations around the world. This is a ledger that should exist on every computer around the world. The best security or guarantee of authentic transactions is when as many as possible can hold and parse the full Blockchain. This will not happen if you just double by arbitrary rule instead of calculated increases decided by need.
Technically speaking I have NO opinion on the block size. I just know when I see assholes (Mike + Gavin).

But they are our assholes.


Not my assholes, those two stink to high heaven.

Hearn lost any trust of mine as soon as he began advocating for breaking fungibility. Gavin, I think, was a nice guy, but he's been compromised and can't be trusted either.


I don't care, I want gigantic blocks.



1048. Post 12151387 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Had a couple of beers, I sense that my posts are getting more arrogant.

During a very famous moment, Krishnamurti asked the audience if they wanted to know his secret. The lecture hall went silent, and everyone leaned forward.

“You see,” he said, “I don’t give a shit.”




1049. Post 12151554 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: shmadz on August 15, 2015, 10:33:43 PM


I don't care, I want gigantic blocks.


Your post about boot strapping fiat currency in another thread was borderline brilliant, but this is just silly.

The larger the blocks become, the more difficult to secure the block chain. If there are gigantic blocks there is no incentive to pay any fee, also no incentive to block non fee payments.

Quote
“You see,” he said, “I don’t give a shit.”

Yeah, I got that feeling, I've had a few more than I should as well,  but I'm not gonna let you off so easily.

How do you propose to incentivize chain security as distribution continues to halve?

The blocks will naturally be limited by the cost and benefit balance in the market. I expect the fee will be small but not insignificant at any time. Eventually, the blocks will be limited by nature. Artificial limitation has no purpose (other than possibly to destroy bitcoin for someone with interest in other systems). For the sake of safety, I am ok with a small increase for now.



1050. Post 12151622 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: shmadz on August 15, 2015, 10:33:43 PM
[...]
How do you propose to incentivize chain security as distribution continues to halve?

I am not that concerned with distribution. Having all miners and all full nodes in one country is probably a bit to risky, but it will never come to that. Some countries having none, is not a problem. Anyway, the direction of development of home bandwith is not obvious. USA has not had the best bandwith for years. They lag on IPV6. Suddenly, bandwith can explode in a developing nation. Still, with low computer and network penetration, users in for example north korea can rely on nodes in other countries, they don't need to have country specific miners and nodes to participate. The country borders are being extinguished. The market will make sure that we don't end up with a single entity controlling all mining. The one miner will be attacked from all directions, and has to do everything right at all times over a long period. There is a low barrier to entry, as long as you have the capital to build a large mining factory. It never happens in the free market. Monopoly only happens when the state persons use their power to privilege their friends.




1051. Post 12151658 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: shmadz on August 15, 2015, 11:11:28 PM


I don't care, I want gigantic blocks.


Your post about boot strapping fiat currency in another thread was borderline brilliant, but this is just silly.

The larger the blocks become, the more difficult to secure the block chain. If there are gigantic blocks there is no incentive to pay any fee, also no incentive to block non fee payments.

Quote
“You see,” he said, “I don’t give a shit.”

Yeah, I got that feeling, I've had a few more than I should as well,  but I'm not gonna let you off so easily.

How do you propose to incentivize chain security as distribution continues to halve?

The blocks will naturally be limited by the cost and benefit balance in the market. I expect the fee will be small but not insignificant at any time. Eventually, the blocks will be limited by nature. Artificial limitation has no purpose (other than possibly to destroy bitcoin for someone with interest in other systems). For the sake of safety, I am ok with a small increase for now.


I'm ok with a small increase, and I share your hope that natural selection would limit the blocks to a reasonable level, but it still remains possible that there exists irrational actors that would not limit themselves to the "natural" limit and instead use the larger artificial limit to attack the network.


It has not been a problem for the six years up till now. An the reason is that there is a cost to make large blocks. The market works, as it always does. Central planning efficacy is an illusion. Go with the market, freedom and private property. It is the only sustainable way.




1052. Post 12151702 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: eerygarden on August 15, 2015, 11:15:45 PM
It seems like good news to me. An option has been put out there and people are free to select or reject with a year or so to consider a transition.

Yep, bitcoin is free market money after all. Re Rothbard.



1053. Post 12151708 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: shmadz on August 15, 2015, 11:18:41 PM


The problem is that the market does not decide in this case. It's the "Hearn and Gavin" show that propose their decision. The market has no say, well... until the fork actually happens and then bitcoin and Gavincoin can trade freely against one another... that will be interesting.

something else that's interesting is that somebody just spent about 700 coins trying to punch through $263 support and got a bounce instead.  We need bigger blocks. everybody knows it. That's why we know the fork will become the main branch.

I'm personally not against a marginal increase in block size. I think 4 mb would be sufficient for the next halving interval, and perhaps we could double each 4 years after that.

It gives reason to the decision: the allocations of new coins has been cut in half, so we double the available transaction space to compensate the miners.

You all need to remember that this whole thing exists on trusting that the Blockchain can not be violated, which means trusting the miners, which means the miners must be properly incentivized, or they will turn against the system.

You've heard the expression "don't bite the hand that feeds" ?? What do you think happens when that hand stops feeding and the one with the teeth gets hungry?


Yeah and Workers of the World Unite! Gimme a break with your commie talk. That gets no play here. The issue is not between a 8MB block and a smaller increase. It's about a block size increase or NO block size increase. It's your fault. There are no other proposals on the table, so we are forced to chose between Gavin's proposal or doing nothing.  Doing nothing is not an option.

Lol, "commie talk" indeed, I should mine for you for free?

Fuck you, enjoy your fork, asshole.

I take your cripplecoin, and double.



1054. Post 12151794 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: shmadz on August 15, 2015, 11:35:29 PM


The problem is that the market does not decide in this case. It's the "Hearn and Gavin" show that propose their decision. The market has no say, well... until the fork actually happens and then bitcoin and Gavincoin can trade freely against one another... that will be interesting.

something else that's interesting is that somebody just spent about 700 coins trying to punch through $263 support and got a bounce instead.  We need bigger blocks. everybody knows it. That's why we know the fork will become the main branch.

I'm personally not against a marginal increase in block size. I think 4 mb would be sufficient for the next halving interval, and perhaps we could double each 4 years after that.

It gives reason to the decision: the allocations of new coins has been cut in half, so we double the available transaction space to compensate the miners.

You all need to remember that this whole thing exists on trusting that the Blockchain can not be violated, which means trusting the miners, which means the miners must be properly incentivized, or they will turn against the system.

You've heard the expression "don't bite the hand that feeds" ?? What do you think happens when that hand stops feeding and the one with the teeth gets hungry?


Yeah and Workers of the World Unite! Gimme a break with your commie talk. That gets no play here. The issue is not between a 8MB block and a smaller increase. It's about a block size increase or NO block size increase. It's your fault. There are no other proposals on the table, so we are forced to chose between Gavin's proposal or doing nothing.  Doing nothing is not an option.

Lol, "commie talk" indeed, I should mine for you for free?

Fuck you, enjoy your fork, asshole.

I take your cripplecoin, and double.


Most of my remaining crypto horde is already moved into Monero (big risk, yeah, we'll see how that turns out)

What I have left on bitcoin I am confident I will be able to spend on whatever chain survives, or on both, perhaps?

It's bitcoin, stupid! Whatever is the winning branch.



1055. Post 12151998 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: ImI on August 15, 2015, 11:54:38 PM

if public gets notice of this fork-thing we could easily go double digits.

We are just waiting for the conclusion of the debacle, then MOON!



1056. Post 12152054 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on August 16, 2015, 12:26:18 AM

if public gets notice of this fork-thing we could easily go double digits.

We are just waiting for the conclusion of the debacle, then MOON!


you're an idiot if you think Hearn is taking you to the moon ... he's the lead engineer on the train to the gulags.

Who is fucking hearn?

Gloucestershire slang. Originating from teenagers who hang out at Gloucester Cathedral, "hern" is another word for "cigarette" (preferably a "roll-up").

The internet is so good!





1057. Post 12152062 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

I have a hard time defending my longs. Can we have larger blocks now? Thank you.



1058. Post 12152139 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on August 16, 2015, 12:12:40 AM
Looks like Hearn's bankster-buddy handlers at Circle want to buy lower so they pushing hard for the PanoptiCoin and extended bitcoin turmoil.

PanoptiCoin. Good one!



1059. Post 12152438 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Thank you for your order sir, will it be gigacoin or cripplecoin?

Gigacoin please!

Ok, let's see, that would be 0.43 coins.

Oh shit, I have only the cripplecoin purse on me! Please recompute the ticket!

That's allright sir, we like to please everyone, in cripplecoin that would be 7.40!

Ah, thanks, I'll pay 7.45 including tip, sorry, I've had a hard time with XT lately, and my mistress left me.

That's ok, but just to inform you, in the future we will only take gigacoin, starting next week.

Shit, I sold them all!

Maybe you should not come here any more, sir. There is an excellent McDonalds just a few blocks down the road.







1060. Post 12155215 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Jdj1727 on August 16, 2015, 11:05:27 AM
Is the dropping price a reflection of the fork issue, the supposed Satoshi email, all the ETH profits cashing out, or maybe a mixture of the three?

Haha. Some block micromanist forked from a block just prior to 500 kB, now covertly trotting on with his FPGA miner... sold 5k coins from his suspected to be XT altcoin supply for microcoins true to sathoshi bitcoins. Must be an Elder Whale squared.



1061. Post 12155665 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on August 16, 2015, 12:26:29 PM
Disappointing that we've dropped below 260 USD. I can't see any reason for it other than people selling because they're worried about this potential fork. I don't trust Hearn one bit & it's pissing me off that one man & his little scheme seems to be having an effect on the price.

Yes but we love antifragility, which can only be learned the hard way.



1062. Post 12155786 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

We have actually not seen any total node count increase.

If you have a half decent machine, and a half decent link, you can do it. Just download the binaries, unpack and run. No configuration.

If your machine is ticklish, you might hear the fans enjoy themselves every time a new block is found. After a while, check the number of connections. If it is only 8, you might consider doing some configuration work on your home router.

Extra bonus: It runs ipv6 out of the box. You can brag about it.



1063. Post 12156932 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on August 16, 2015, 03:34:14 PM
Sooo... a 6tb hdd from HGST (The most reliable brand) costs $169 at newegg.


It's not only the physical sizeof the hard drive needed to store the blockchain that's causing problems. The length of time it takes to index the blockchain is getting longer as the size of the blockchain increases. That creates problems for anyone running a full wallet that needs to use it in a hurry if it takes hours, days, or weeks to index.

If you insist on running a full node then you'll have to run a full node. I don't see the problem. If it's a security issue then there are alternatives such as Trezor or other HW wallets. Or just load the private key into a client wallet on a clean device and send the remaining coins to a new cold wallet. If running a full node has to be as effortless as syncing your icloud account then Bitcoin is dead in the water.

^^
Just ignore the wallet part of it, leave it empty and continue using your preferred wallet.



1064. Post 12157004 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: lebing on August 16, 2015, 03:51:20 PM
OK finally...

Why did the market wait a whole week to dump 10K coins for 3 dollar discount?

 Cheesy

Is this it? Or will we dump another 10k and get our $255 coin?

because the fork is actually happening now. This isnt going to be good for the price.

As I understand it the fork is a very slow process.

It is until it isnt. The writing is on the wall now. I am of the opinion this is going to be very bad for bitcoin.
This fork only makes difference when majority (75%) miners have switched to the new fork. Actually, since everyone can see the progress in the blockchain, once it is close to 75%, most of miners and nodes will switch already. So in my opinion, there will be no noticeable fork happen at all.

Depends on your perspective. From the perspective of a merchant or an exchange, it is very much going to affect them as there are going to be two copies of the blockchain and that means two copies of spendable coins. This is not going to be good.

The code fork is XT. The chain fork will look like just another random orphan. 5 blocks toppers.



1065. Post 12157073 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: ronald98 on August 16, 2015, 03:56:36 PM
Sooo... a 6tb hdd from HGST (The most reliable brand) costs $169 at newegg.


It's not only the physical sizeof the hard drive needed to store the blockchain that's causing problems. The length of time it takes to index the blockchain is getting longer as the size of the blockchain increases. That creates problems for anyone running a full wallet that needs to use it in a hurry if it takes hours, days, or weeks to index.

If you insist on running a full node then you'll have to run a full node. I don't see the problem. If it's a security issue then there are alternatives such as Trezor or other HW wallets. Or just load the private key into a client wallet on a clean device and send the remaining coins to a new cold wallet. If running a full node has to be as effortless as syncing your icloud account then Bitcoin is dead in the water.

I have never run a full node, the only knowledge I have of the experience is from posts by others here. Spider-Carnage said his computer took about 4 days to index the blockchain, and I have heard others complaining of longer durations. I have sometimes read posts by the operators of exchanges saying Bitcoin withdrawals will be delayed for hours while they reindex their Bitcoin wallet. If this problem is ignored such delays will get longer. It would be better to deal with the problem before things get any worse, and if it's possible to fix it and make running a full node as effortless as syncing your icloud account then more people will start running full nodes to help the network.

You don't have to wait for anything. Download, unpack, run. That's all.



1066. Post 12157099 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: lebing on August 16, 2015, 03:51:20 PM
OK finally...

Why did the market wait a whole week to dump 10K coins for 3 dollar discount?

 Cheesy

Is this it? Or will we dump another 10k and get our $255 coin?

because the fork is actually happening now. This isnt going to be good for the price.

As I understand it the fork is a very slow process.

It is until it isnt. The writing is on the wall now. I am of the opinion this is going to be very bad for bitcoin.
This fork only makes difference when majority (75%) miners have switched to the new fork. Actually, since everyone can see the progress in the blockchain, once it is close to 75%, most of miners and nodes will switch already. So in my opinion, there will be no noticeable fork happen at all.

Depends on your perspective. From the perspective of a merchant or an exchange, it is very much going to affect them as there are going to be two copies of the blockchain and that means two copies of spendable coins. This is not going to be good.

They will be smart running some wallet based on XT, starting from today. No hazzle, just removing themselves from the problem, minding their business.



1067. Post 12157127 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: lebing on August 16, 2015, 04:04:35 PM
The code fork is XT. The chain fork will look like just another random orphan. 5 blocks toppers.


What does that mean?

The eventual chain fork will be so short lived, most people will not see it. I suppose by analyzing the timestamps you could, after the fact, see that a small number of miners were left on the smallblocks branch, until they discover they have been left at the station.



1068. Post 12157188 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: lebing on August 16, 2015, 04:10:51 PM
There will only be a fork once 75% have moved to XT. Up to that point there is but one chain.  Once the fork occurs, there will be a very rapid migration of the remainder to the consensus chain. There will be no extended period of duplicate chains.

How do you know how long this will take and what the consequences will be in the meantime? Define extended period? As far as I understand it, this is going to be messy as hell and even if the old chain is sold into oblivion in 72 hours, the PR damage will be permanent and who knows who is going to get scammed or which transactions will get completely fucked in the meantime.

The main reason for a short life of two paralell coins, is that liquidity the the all important statistics. Two coins almost exactly the same is totally unstable. It has to lean to one side or the other, then the one with smaller popularity will take the liquidity hit and land hard.

EDIT: Running XT is the safe, laid back option. Watch the drama at a distance. It will follow the longest chain.



1069. Post 12157362 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: lebing on August 16, 2015, 04:23:55 PM
There will only be a fork once 75% have moved to XT. Up to that point there is but one chain.  Once the fork occurs, there will be a very rapid migration of the remainder to the consensus chain. There will be no extended period of duplicate chains.

How do you know how long this will take and what the consequences will be in the meantime? Define extended period? As far as I understand it, this is going to be messy as hell and even if the old chain is sold into oblivion in 72 hours, the PR damage will be permanent and who knows who is going to get scammed or which transactions will get completely fucked in the meantime.

The main reason for a short life of two paralell coins, is that liquidity the the all importan statistics. Two coins almost exactly the same is totally unstable. It has to lean to one side or the other, then the one with smaller popularity will take the liquidity hit and land hard.



"As to what will happen if/ when there is a hardfork:

Currently MultiBit Classic and HD both will follow the chain with the most work done in it.
Thus in a hardfork all the existing MultiBit code will follow the 'winner'. This is how the normal one or two block forks (that occur reasonably frequently) get resolved so it should just be the same but on a larger scale.

Both MultiBit Classic and HD connects to Bitcoin Core and XT happily and they should work correctly with larger blocks. The bloom filtered blocks Core/ XT send back to MultiBit are the same - MultiBit is agnostic about connecting to Core or XT."

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=43616.msg12154185#msg12154185

So all over in about twenty minutes or so.

That is just one wallet... Everyone needs to have a similar feature already built into their systems before that majority hits. At the current rate of adoption that looks to be less than 3 weeks away.

I want every wallet provider, electrum, mytrezor, mycelium... to declare where they stand. There should be enough time, no rush.




1070. Post 12157410 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: conspirosphere.tk on August 16, 2015, 04:30:34 PM
this, and the fact that the free fee market would solve any traffic glut is what make me suspect that the blocksize crusade is just an inside job for a controlled demolition of btc.

The worst case scenario is that someone starts spamming the blockchain with the 8mb blocks. Then, next thing you know, people will say "ohh these 8mb blocks are full, we need bigger blocks". Then you get 20mb blocks and ~3gb/day of bloat / >1 tb per year. And who is to stop them spamming the 20mb blocks and getting them full too? What's next? We'll be asking for 100mb blocks? This is madness.

Personally I don't believe that even the 750k/1mb blocks are full by legitimate transactions and not bogus transactions. I believe these bogus transactions are created to stir a "debate" about "ohh we need bigger blocks" and stuff so that we can then go on and shoot ourselves in the foot by "accepting" larger blocks as the "natural evolution".

We have to deal with a reality here: Big banks, credit cards, swift etc, don't want BTC to succeed. Bloating it is a very cheap way they can use to kill it. It's much cheaper than a 51% and cheaper than manipulating the BTC market. And it will be FAAAAAAAAAR cheaper to enable that attack vector with 8mb or 20mb blocks.

The banks are all on the outside looking in, doing nothing. They think they can wait to see if it succeeds, maybe the second, third or fourth generation, then go all in using their share size power, and depending on the state to fend off competition. Not this time, bitcoin is the real thing, there is no second take.

Or...for savers, the second take is to go in now, late compared to the Elder Whales, but early compared to just about anyone else.




1071. Post 12158992 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: shmadz on August 16, 2015, 08:12:06 PM
So is everyone supposed to sell their coins and then repurchase them on Bitcoin XT?
And where do you go to buy Bitcoin XT coins?
Just on the contrary! If you buy bitcoins now will give the opportunity to spend same coins twice both on Bitcoin and XT networks in future if there is a split at all. So, if you buy 1 bitcoin now you actually buy 2 bitcoins if XT altcoin succeeds in being true alternative to bitcoin!

I don't think this is correct.

If curious, this is an example of what will actually happen once bitcoin forks:

http://qntra.net/2015/01/the-hard-fork-missile-crisis/

That speak about getting coin fractions from the competing chain, thus tainting your otherwise good coins - that is plain rubbish.


I'm unfamiliar with this "fractional tainting"  part. Perhaps you could quote or outline that bit?

As far as I understand, any fork that persists will allow for this kind of double spending.

I retract that post - I see that there might be some confusion at the time of fork. Let's hope the losing chain dies quickly.




1072. Post 12159963 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 16, 2015, 11:52:09 PM

i thought its a protest against this whole fork-mess

Nope, I'm actually quite on-board with that, whoever wins. (I have an opinion but maybe I'm wrong).

The white knight already won!




1073. Post 12160088 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 17, 2015, 12:24:58 AM
The mods at /r/bitcoin are now deleting every post that mentions the existence of the "other" implementation of bitcoin, whatever the contents.  Dozens of posts that had hundreds of upvotes and hundreds of comments.  And banning users who defend it, too.

So much for the great age of freedom and stuff that bitcoin was going to bring.

Oh, and the bitcoin "news" webshites, like CoinDesk, have been as silent on the topic as any statist newsmedia would be.

Haha, I thought you were the statist! The world turns, certainly.



1074. Post 12164403 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Just a little story: You know running a node does not give you any block reward or fee, but as the market depends on psychical differences beween two choices, and the cost is low, some people run nodes anyway, and the reason is the psychical profit.

I had the opportunity to talk about bitcoin today, and I mentioned the number of nodes, the purpose of nodes, and that I run one of them.

- So you are one in 6000 of people running nodes?
- Yes.
- In the world?
- Yes.

Low profile bragging.



1075. Post 12174692 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Torque on August 18, 2015, 01:43:59 PM
Is this good or bad?Huh

Jon Matonis:

""Bitcoin XT is attempting to fork the core code by propagating it through the existing nodes. I would urge Gavin and Mike Hearn to withdrawal the Bitcoin XT propagation starting today. (If Gavin and Hearn succeed) it will eventually lead to a 21 million cap change."


I think the more coins there are the more money will be put into it so we should go up?Other thoughts?

The 21M cap is one of the core features.  If the 21M cap ever changes, I will sell all my bitcoin and never look back at cryptocurrency ever again.  I'm willing to bet that > 90% of holders/users would do the same. 

^^ Scaremongering. A fork with an increase (which will not happen) of coins, is easy and does not create much stride. It is easy, just follow the old chain. The economics of the new branch which destroys the essential feature, may of course live for a while, since there are so many keynesians (some of them think value depends on creating more coins), but let them have it. It will cause at most a slight confusion-dent in the bitcoin price.




1076. Post 12196132 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: brg444 on August 20, 2015, 04:34:21 PM
Advice: Just think of XT as a security valve. If the core deadlock continues, the miners will opt out Wink

And leave Bitcoin in the hands of "benevolent" dictator Mike Hearn and his blacklists? Sure...  Roll Eyes

... there is no reason why the core devs can't update the fork when the dust settles.

"Update the fork" ?

How is that suppose to work again?

You just negotiate a deal with the NSA where you provide chinese miners as slaves in return for access to the mothership.

Or find common ground with the XT team and agree on an update. Or just do what Gavin and Hearn is doing.

Nahh.. NSA/Mothership.

common ground with the XT team ??  Cheesy Cheesy you haven't been following too well have you.

there is no place for common ground in XT: https://bitcoinxt.software/faq.html#who-is-involved

Quote
Decisions are made through agreement between Mike and Gavin, with Mike making the final call if a serious dispute were to arise.


... and he will include a link to the new code fork on his pages.



1077. Post 12211553 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: julian071 on August 22, 2015, 01:23:17 PM
There's a lot of discussion here about the pros and cons of a bigger blocksize, but other threads elsewhere on this forum are more informative about this subject. What I am interested in is, what are you people thinking this whole blocksize discussion will mean for the price the coming weeks or months?

I'm asking because I'm usually dead wrong when trying to predict what will happen. This will probably mean the price will sharply rise very soon, as I have sold my entire stash @ 208 euros hoping to buy back a lot cheaper when this whole thing is settled (one way or the other).

As long as there is uncertainty, there will be a downward pressure. Uncertainty will dissappear long before new year, and the larger blocksize will be accepted by all. Then, price can rise, because unhampered new adoption will necessarily lead to a higher price.



1078. Post 24908340 (copy this link) (by Erdogan) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.28h):

Quote from: soullyG on November 20, 2017, 04:21:29 PM
Ahh, another ATH  Cheesy

How far will this leg up take us....$9600? $10k?

I think that $9000 - $9500 is possible, but before we reach $10k price will drop hard at least one time. Maybe even under $6k