All posts made by nikauforest in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 26125504 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on December 11, 2017, 08:08:42 AM
We are $200 below ATH on stamp and you guys aren’t even paying attention.

I am watching the battle at 16400 . Some big buys going through.



2. Post 26127001 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):

On Bitstamp
We tested the 13k area three times yesterday.
21 hours ago we tested 13k for the third time.
We have risen 160 dollars an hour since then . ATH high in a few hours?



3. Post 26128733 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):

Quote from: windjc on December 11, 2017, 07:29:44 AM
Did you guys watch this?:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KTf5j9LDObk&feature=youtu.be

If not, enjoy.

It might be quite literally the best bitcoin music video ever made. Move over Proudhon.

That was great!

have you seen this one?

All The Way Up (Bitcoin Rap Parody)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZNUMcOGbq4



4. Post 26131697 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):

Please fasten your seat belts.



5. Post 26160678 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):

Please fasten your seat belts . ATH Bitstamp



6. Post 26470515 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

30 Minute chart going positive and recharged again on Bitstamp.



7. Post 26512795 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Yes, no room for the poor here.

Ponder this: Lightning network requires you to open a channel (high fees) and close a channel ( high fees ). Bob and Alice are not going to be buying coffee. I am not going to be using Lightning. I am going to pay 100-500 dollar transaction fees and buy a boat or a house or just sit on Bitcoin.



8. Post 26513292 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: bones261 on December 17, 2017, 10:32:23 PM
Yes, no room for the poor here.

Ponder this: Lightning network requires you to open a channel (high fees) and close a channel ( high fees ). Bob and Alice are not going to be buying coffee. I am not going to be using Lightning. I am going to pay 100-500 dollar transaction fees and buy a boat or a house or just sit on Bitcoin.

I'm not sure what country you live in, but in order to buy a boat or house you most probably will need to convert your BTC to fiat.  This transaction is liable to be a taxable event, and the government will bend you over and extract their exorbitant taxes. If you try to evade this, the will outright rape you with taxes and penalties if you get caught. If you are fortunate enough to live in a country that wouldn't tax this. Good for you.

I pay my taxes, even if you do not convert to fiat it is a taxable event in many countries.

A potential flaw in Lightning is the cost to open and close a channel. The fees are high enough that the average user might find it difficult to get onto payment channels. ALso the motivation to do so by the time they roll it out might not be there.



9. Post 26515366 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: d_eddie on December 17, 2017, 11:21:00 PM
A potential flaw in Lightning is the cost to open and close a channel. The fees are high enough that the average user might find it difficult to get onto payment channels. ALso the motivation to do so by the time they roll it out might not be there.
Indeed, that is the crux with lightning: the cost to open/close a channel. Or equivalently, the blockchain space.
However, channels can be kept open indefinitely. No need to close them if you don't have to cash out and just re-use those new incoming btc for new expenses. The way things are now, re-funding a channel also involves a blockchain transaction.

However, and it's a big however IMO, this kind of issues is already being addressed. I am aware of at least one possible solution that allows multiple channels to be opened together, with one single transactions (and closed too? I'm not sure about that, gotta find the source again). Of course the opening wouldn't be immediate, as the system must find the required number of participants to share the blockchain fee. It's a  mechanism akin to coinjoin, with extra crypto to secure the joining/unjoining steps.

The bottom line is: once L2 really starts working and gets acceptance, there are several technical tricks that can be played to squeeze utility out of it, significantly limiting recourse to L1 (the base blockchain). Ideally, such L1 transactions would only be used in special cases, when really necessary.

Enduring transaction costs such as the current ones hurts. It hurts me too, to the point that I chose traditional banking over bitcoin for some of my smaller recent transactions. However, after some research, I am an informed optimist.

Hey thanks for that post. I want be an informed optimist too. I need to do more research like you have done.



10. Post 26515524 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: realr0ach on December 17, 2017, 11:37:39 PM
Fees are too expensive already.



Wow the world has gone completely nuts!



11. Post 26575359 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: somac. on December 18, 2017, 11:54:38 PM
As soon as the alts start to ease the tide will swing back to Bitcoin. But it will be a flood.

Same as it ever was.

Let's hope that tide swings back soon.

Bitcoin Dominance compared to all cryptos is in a bear market. There is a firm downtrend line.



12. Post 26576083 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: afbitcoins on December 19, 2017, 12:09:08 AM
As soon as the alts start to ease the tide will swing back to Bitcoin. But it will be a flood.

Same as it ever was.

Let's hope that tide swings back soon.

Bitcoin Dominance compared to all cryptos is in a bear market. There is a firm downtrend line.

Image?


Chart for Bitcoin Dominance. Scroll Down to the bottom of the page. Shows the down trend. I am not saying that alts have performed better. ( They have NOT!) What I am saying is that over time Bitcoin will become less important overall relative to all the improvements this tech will bring humanity.
https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/



13. Post 26576683 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

I like to think of Bitcoin as the AOL of Blockchain tech. Wow, AOL was awesome in the 1990's when everyone logged in with a modem.(AOL was also a darling of the market for some time. )  I am just saying Bitcoin is not a religion for me. Bitcoin prices will continue higher and blow most peoples minds. As an investor I try to keep an open mind. As hard as AOL tried to maintain dominance it eventually became less relevant.

Don't get me wrong I am a HODLer 'for now'.



14. Post 26577357 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on December 19, 2017, 01:02:49 AM
I like to think of Bitcoin as the AOL of Blockchain tech. Wow, AOL was awesome in the 1990's when everyone logged in with a modem.(AOL was also a darling of the market for some time. )  I am just saying Bitcoin is not a religion for me. Bitcoin prices will continue higher and blow most peoples minds. As an investor I try to keep an open mind. As hard as AOL tried to maintain dominance it eventually became less relevant.

Don't get me wrong I am a HODLer 'for now'.


You are coming off as a bit of a corporate shill with all your mainstream (and altcoin pumper) nonsensical and superficial talking points. 

Many of us in this thread seem to get annoyed with that kind of repetitive dribble that tends to come from trolls, newbies, and/or posters who don't know what the fuck they are talking about that gets caught up with faulty historical analogies, attempts to portray some kind of supposed deep understanding and wisdom of bitcoin, and tries to suggest that there is some kind of ongoing looming threat that is going to replace bitcoin. 

Why don't we cross one step at a time rather than getting caught up in hypothetical doom and gloom for bitcoin, alt coin pumping nonsense?  Do you even understand bitcoin and the fact that bitcoin is the dog wagging the tail rather than the other way around?  We do not have a bunch of equals out there, at least not currently and nothing even looming, even though there are attacks on bitcoin and there are regular ongoing nonsensical FUD spreading talking points.

I am the furthest thing from a corporate shill. I am just saying everything has a life cycle.
Mick Jagger and AOL



15. Post 26577407 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: gentlemand on December 19, 2017, 01:15:58 AM
I am the furthest thing from a corporate shill. I am just saying everything has a life cycle.
Mick Jagger and AOL

But Mick's still busy impregnating people.
How true! Smiley



16. Post 26577589 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on December 19, 2017, 01:20:34 AM
I like to think of Bitcoin as the AOL of Blockchain tech. Wow, AOL was awesome in the 1990's when everyone logged in with a modem.(AOL was also a darling of the market for some time. )  I am just saying Bitcoin is not a religion for me. Bitcoin prices will continue higher and blow most peoples minds. As an investor I try to keep an open mind. As hard as AOL tried to maintain dominance it eventually became less relevant.

Don't get me wrong I am a HODLer 'for now'.


You are coming off as a bit of a corporate shill with all your mainstream (and altcoin pumper) nonsensical and superficial talking points. 

Many of us in this thread seem to get annoyed with that kind of repetitive dribble that tends to come from trolls, newbies, and/or posters who don't know what the fuck they are talking about that gets caught up with faulty historical analogies, attempts to portray some kind of supposed deep understanding and wisdom of bitcoin, and tries to suggest that there is some kind of ongoing looming threat that is going to replace bitcoin. 

Why don't we cross one step at a time rather than getting caught up in hypothetical doom and gloom for bitcoin, alt coin pumping nonsense?  Do you even understand bitcoin and the fact that bitcoin is the dog wagging the tail rather than the other way around?  We do not have a bunch of equals out there, at least not currently and nothing even looming, even though there are attacks on bitcoin and there are regular ongoing nonsensical FUD spreading talking points.

I am the furthest thing from a corporate shill. I am just saying everything has a life cycle.
Mick Jagger and AOL



Sure everything has a life cycle, but so what? 

Bitcoin's life cycle could take hundreds of years to play out, and then why the fuck would it matter to many of us?  Some of us might have 100 years left on this planet, but likely the average is less than 50 years for folks participating in this thread, even if some of us happen to be more younger whipper snappers than others.

Fair enough. I will not argue with that. BTW I joined this forum 3 weeks after you. I just don't post as much as you. Number of posts do not equal knowledge.



17. Post 26578114 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Hey JayJuanGee
All good, we are good. You and I are here for the same reasons.



18. Post 26627286 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):



Does this chart even matter?



19. Post 26629239 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):



One day chart needs to hold. 12 hour is negative at the moment.



20. Post 26633576 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: lightfoot on December 20, 2017, 12:37:39 AM
Ok, so at what point does all the hash power go to bitcoin trash and so forth?



Short term uptrend in Bitcoin dominance broke today. Maybe we test 39% Huh



21. Post 26634260 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: rafanadal on December 20, 2017, 01:05:56 AM
Ok serious question u guys

in what way is Btc better than BCash ?

from what i read online

BCash does everything btc does only better

Blaspheme

cmon
i want an answer

much lower fees, more transactions
so how is btc better ?

I think this is a religious forum we are not allowed to ask those questions.



22. Post 26634273 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):


Weeeeee



23. Post 26635231 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

We live in a non linear world full of linear expectations.
also
The head is round so that thinking can change direction.



24. Post 26636224 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: mfort312 on December 20, 2017, 02:25:22 AM
Look, they scrawled their names on the floor...



nice one



25. Post 26637915 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):


Bitcoin Cash contemplating the next move.



26. Post 26675863 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Perhaps Utility trumps hubris?

Whatever your thoughts are... spam , attacks from Bitcoin Cash on core etc. Core brought this about on them selves. Let the market decide. The mere fact that core is vulnerable to these type of attacks tells you something!

One thing pointed out yesterday was the market for gold is 6-9 trillion . The market for cash is over 100 trillion.



27. Post 26676896 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: Syke on December 20, 2017, 05:11:08 PM
You guys know she is 51 right? You are drooling over grandma titties.

There's nothing wrong with appreciating a younger woman.

exactly



28. Post 26683542 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: STT on December 20, 2017, 07:27:26 PM
It's hilarious to see the panic and sabotage calls on reddit and in this forum.

Meanwhile, the fees continue to rise:



Good graph but also fees would rise in any case as they are a function of the price.    Perhaps another scale for ratio of fees to price has to be done to show that increasingly value of the mining network is falling.   Ultimately it becomes price gouging as the network is unable to cope with the transaction volume.  Its a failure in competition perhaps, every capitalist system relies on any business can enter that domain and introduce innovation and receive some part of the production revenue.

  This is why the consumer and ultimately society benefits from capitalism over other systems like socialism or fascism where profit is seen as a negative, why isnt BTC an open system any more.   I really preferred when GPU could mine, that was open ended but maybe Im just biased there :p

Looks like a bull market in fees to me.



29. Post 26684676 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: RayX12 on December 20, 2017, 07:47:11 PM
I think for bitcoin to grow and the price to grow past 20k the scalability issue need to be fixed. Fees of 700+ sat/B is unsustainable. I don't think that increasing the block size like BCH did is the solution but a hard look at scalability is needed.
Do you think that halving the block size is a solution then?

Problem could be solved if everyone adopts segwit.

Ture or False?



that is a good question. Core claims yes. We have 5% segwit adoption so far. ( heard from Jimmy Song this morning) Anyone care to guess the fees if everyone moved to segwit today. 1) The cost to move. 2) the costs after moving. Any guesses?



30. Post 26691536 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on December 20, 2017, 10:46:12 PM
Perhaps Utility trumps hubris?

Whatever your thoughts are... spam , attacks from Bitcoin Cash on core etc. Core brought this about on them selves. Let the market decide. The mere fact that core is vulnerable to these type of attacks tells you something!

One thing pointed out yesterday was the market for gold is 6-9 trillion . The market for cash is over 100 trillion.

You are still spouting out a lot of fuzzy logic in your attempts to make equivalencies between bcash and bitcoin... leads to bad conclusions, too. 




31. Post 26698476 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Great interview posted 4 hours ago.

The Debate Within Bitcoin: Jameson Lopp vs. Roger Ver on Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEBkdCdj4FQ



32. Post 26743836 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: motoprose on December 21, 2017, 07:35:24 PM
920 stinking Satoshis per Byte for a transaction?

I have one wallet with €500 in it, my max spend is €240 with a €260 fee! This really is the future!  Bitcoin Cash isn't the answer, I know, but someone needs to come up with an answer, or people will dump this 'currency' hard soon.

I get the idea that the current crash doesn't have anything to do with the fees though, it's just a random correction.
Had the same thing happen to me.
They are saying 0.028btc in fee to pay soon for all transactions! Angry

That is $425. Are they fucking insane? Roll Eyes

I paid 10 satoshis/byte ( .13cents)  for a largish transaction on the competing chain which shall remain nameless. (It was in the next block)



33. Post 26744071 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: Gab0 on December 21, 2017, 08:06:49 PM


Fees Up / Price Down  Undecided

so only "the rich" can cash-out if they want?





If you listen to this debate posted yesterday. You will hear a Core member telling you Bitcoin is working well for institutions and large investors. This is not FUD it is a fact in the interview.

The Debate Within Bitcoin: Jameson Lopp vs. Roger Ver on Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEBkdCdj4FQ



34. Post 26745652 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: European Central Bank on December 21, 2017, 08:38:22 PM
 My advice as a veteran since $49 is to take some profit if you're well into the green to soothe your nerves, and to make sure you hold at least 1 BCH for every 1 BTC you hold.

you sure your advice isn't coming from an ever so slightly different angle? just curious.


I think this is good advice 1 BCH for every 1 BTC.



35. Post 26745958 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on December 21, 2017, 08:53:37 PM
I paid 10 satoshis/byte ( .13cents)  for a largish transaction on the competing chain which shall remain nameless. (It was in the next block)

Good for you. Now get back under the bridge where you belong.

Smiley Hubris knows no bounds for you.



36. Post 26746443 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on December 21, 2017, 09:03:40 PM
I paid 10 satoshis/byte ( .13cents)  for a largish transaction on the competing chain which shall remain nameless. (It was in the next block)
Good for you. Now get back under the bridge where you belong.
Smiley Hubris knows no bounds for you.

Hubris ? How do you figure ? You poke your snotty little nose into a Bitcoin speculation thread with some snarky comment that's been discussed, ad-nauseum, and expect people to listen to what you have to say ?

Fuck right off. Do not pass Go. Do not collection $200. Just fuck off, all proper like, and wrap those lips around Roger's cock.

K ?

Who the hell are you? You joined in 2015. Fuck off you twit
BobLawblaw
 October 18, 2015, 10:19:19 PM

Nikauforest
 March 08, 2014, 04:33:35 AM



37. Post 26747684 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on December 21, 2017, 09:32:55 PM
920 stinking Satoshis per Byte for a transaction?

I have one wallet with €500 in it, my max spend is €240 with a €260 fee! This really is the future!  Bitcoin Cash isn't the answer, I know, but someone needs to come up with an answer, or people will dump this 'currency' hard soon.

I get the idea that the current crash doesn't have anything to do with the fees though, it's just a random correction.
Had the same thing happen to me.
They are saying 0.028btc in fee to pay soon for all transactions! Angry

That is $425. Are they fucking insane? Roll Eyes

I paid 10 satoshis/byte ( .13cents)  for a largish transaction on the competing chain which shall remain nameless. (It was in the next block)

Yes...... show a bit more of your colors.  Are you gonna claim that bcash is the real bitcoin too, and are you going to claim that bcash has the same network effects as bitcoin?  Yes.  Fees are going to be cheap when no one is using it and when no one even feels inclined to spend any time and resources to spam attack it.  So you may as well trade in all of your bitcoin for Bcash, and then go play on r/btc with the other shills, no?

I have an equal amount of BCH and BTC. So you can crucify me now.



38. Post 26750653 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

any opinion to share on the status of LN hubs as money transmitters under FinCEN regulatory requirements?



39. Post 26751383 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: nikauforest on December 21, 2017, 11:03:34 PM
any opinion to share on the status of LN hubs as money transmitters under FinCEN regulatory requirements?

While I think the Lightning network holds promise. I think it will be regulated and centralized. Just like exchanges. Perhaps this is it's Achilles heel. LN networks will be subject to KYC and AML laws not just in the US.



40. Post 26759415 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Maybe some form of SneakerNet could help us with fees until LN comes out?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sneakernet



41. Post 26770250 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Just another volatility storm. Should be over soon, a day or two more, maybe.



42. Post 26796773 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: d_eddie on December 22, 2017, 06:03:03 PM
Hello micgoossens
thanks for the new game!

For going past 24777$, I pick January 4th 2018

I would have said January 7th, but ghandhi beat me to it.
But I think the ATH around 20k will be even before that - something like Dec 29th!



Breaking 24777$ prediction game


27/12/2017 bikerleszno
31/12/2017 Raja_MBZ
05/12/2017 BTCMILLIONAIRE
06/01/2018 HanvanBitcoin
07/01/2018 ghandi
08/01/2018 savetherainforrest
09/01/2018 explorer
10/01/2018 bicoinpsycho
11/01/2018 Bitcoinaire
12/01/2018 speedwheel
13/01/2018 undeadbitcoiner
14/01/2018 northypole
15/01/2018 ivomm
16/01/2018 maca068
17/01/2018 bitcoinvest
18/01/2018 last of the v8s
19/01/2018 mfort312
20/01/2018 1982dre
21/01/2018 flamast2
22/01/2018 RealMachasm
23/01/2018 willope
24/01/2018 kartala
25/01/2018 orpington
26/01/2018 rolling
27/01/2018 LFC_bitcoin
28/01/2018 jojo69
29/01/2018 CristiTCM
31/01/2018 realsteelboy
02/02/2018 mancroofer
03/02/2018 True Myth
07/02/2018 vapourminer
08/02/2018 alexeft
09/02/2018 siera
12/02/2018 yonton
13/02/2018 Wekkel
14/02/2018 Thekool1s
15/02/2018 starmman
16/02/2018 Globb0
17/02/2018 leveldkrypto
18/02/2018 olesh
19/02/2018 BitCoinBurger
20/02/2018 Paashaas
22/02/2018 icygreen
23/02/2018 erisdiscordia
24/02/2018 phil_s
26/02/2018 Arriemoller
01/03/2018 bones261
06/03/2018 sa_94
07/03/2018 NUFCrichard
08/03/2018 Imbatman
11/03/2018 badream
13/03/2018 erre
17/03/2018 fragout
18/03/2018 fabiorem
21/03/2018 dakustaking76
01/04/2018 somac.
02/04/2018 kurious
05/04/2018 bitcoinbunny
11/04/2018 hairymaclairy
02/06/2018 oblox
05/11/2018 mikenz
31/12/2018 melman2002
12/02/2019 FractalUniverse
18/12/2021 luckygenough56


Maybe because its This time of the year we make a small game Just to call 24777$ (CET) the one with the day of breaking This price wins .25 BTC
The list Will be Made after This post So When a date is taking iT cannot been taken again
When the winning date is exactly in the middle of 2 each Will get .25
Oterwhise closest to the winning date wins

LIST MAKING ENDS 25-12-2017  @ 22.00 cet

AFTER THIS POST NO MORE NEWBIES MINIMUM 50 Posts

SOME HAVE TAKEN A DATE THATS ALLREADY OCCUPIED      -fluidjax
                                                                                       -vito5
                                                                                       -wachtwoord
                                                                                       -twocorn
                                                                                       -realmachasm
                                                                                       -ludwigvon
                                                                                       -vroom
                                                                                       -dotto
              TAKE DIFFRENT DATE PLEASE GRTS

I will say 23/03/2018
Thanks for the game. Cheers



43. Post 26803212 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):


Current BCH BTC on Bitstamp. ( small amount in trading pair at Bitstamp)



44. Post 26804147 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: jojo69 on December 22, 2017, 09:28:00 PM
yeah, my buddy got that too...been on his ass for months, lol

Yea, this is mass adoption! I think we will be over 1 Trillion total market cap sometime in the Feb-March time frame.



45. Post 26809596 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: BTCMILLIONAIRE on December 23, 2017, 12:27:42 AM
Yeah, every trade is a taxable event to US persons. Whether that is buying coffee or litecoin. It is property according to the IRS.

Even if you thought you could get away with the like kind exchange rule, you still have to report every trade individually on the exemption form.

If it were classified as a stock, you could just report net gains and losses but not so with property.

They have made compliance nearly impossible so unless someone passes a law to exempt transactions prior to a certain date, a lot of people are going to owe back taxes and penalties if not jail time.
Simple solution: Become an expat.

Does not apply to US citizens unless you give up your citizenship.

That's right, you still have to pay !
That's really just another reason to renounce citizenship.

Does the US not have double taxation treaties though? In some places you can just create an offshore company, tax your profits in a different legislation, and then be exempt from further taxes under your own legislation due to the treaty as you've "already paid them" (even if the taxes are as low as 2% or even 0%).

I was a US citizen. I gave it up in 2014, the tax laws are just too complicated. Simple honest mistakes can generate huge fines.



46. Post 26811270 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on December 23, 2017, 01:09:18 AM
Yeah, every trade is a taxable event to US persons. Whether that is buying coffee or litecoin. It is property according to the IRS.

Even if you thought you could get away with the like kind exchange rule, you still have to report every trade individually on the exemption form.

If it were classified as a stock, you could just report net gains and losses but not so with property.

They have made compliance nearly impossible so unless someone passes a law to exempt transactions prior to a certain date, a lot of people are going to owe back taxes and penalties if not jail time.
Simple solution: Become an expat.

Not so easy or simple, unfortunately. Have you heard of the Exit Tax? Capital gains are realized for high net worth individuals upon renouncing.

You still owe cap gains if you don't renounce and just expat. Unless you plan on just hiding and never setting foot in US again nor using any international banks cooperating with FinCen rules.

Puerto Rico offers tax free cap gains for residents, but you still owe on any gains realized up to the date you become a resident.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertwood/2017/02/27/renounce-u-s-heres-how-irs-computes-exit-tax/#45c8627287d4

No, I actually haven't heard of the exit tax. It does make sense to some degree, or at least it would if taxes were legitimate in the first place. But regardless of whether or not you'd choose to pay what you "owe" before renouncing, it still doesn't sound like anyone who expects any significant profits should be staying in the US any longer than absolutely necessary for whatever individual circumstances.

Agreed. However, I'm suspecting you're not married or have many close family relations in the US? The moment I brought up renouncing to my wife, and that she would need to apply for visas to visit family, friends, etc., well... you can imagine the response. Although she's warming up to it proportionally to crypto value.

Which begs the question, how much is US citizenship worth? A US passport gets you in a lot of places without visas or trouble. Attaining citizenship in another country takes time and often a good deal of (traceable, taxable) fiat. Although being stateless is an option, it's not recommended for long. You have no rights, anywhere.




I think you can buy New Zealand citizenship and that will get you anywhere US citizenship will.  You can go buy mountain in Queenstown with all the hedge fund billionaires.

New Zealand is a very nice place to live. Come on down.
https://www.newzealandnow.govt.nz/investing-in-nz/visas/investor-visa



47. Post 26813075 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Here is some info for those interested in 2nd countries.

http://www.businessinsider.com/countries-where-you-can-buy-citizenship-or-residency-2017-6?IR=T

http://nomadcapitalist.com/2014/04/06/top-5-expat-friendly-countries-with-no-capital-gains-taxes/



48. Post 26813656 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: bitserve on December 23, 2017, 03:31:47 AM
Is it just me or the 1d Bitstamp chart looks VERY bullish?

The 4 hour looks to be turning bullish



49. Post 26815373 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: Imbatman on December 23, 2017, 04:38:08 AM
Take a peek into the inner workings. Technical discussion on address format is strangely compelling.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2624630.0



Are addresses going to be longer because there is a concern they can be cracked with quantum computers within the next 10-20 years?  I think I read this somewhere.

I like how casascius (Mike Caldwell) jabbed Core fees!

"Neurotypical users will probably applaud having the transaction fees back under $1 before they give accolades for typo correction.  Core will lead the way in most efficient usage of pixels in a QR code, while economic forces make winners of the alt coins that don’t charge $30 in fees to do a simple transaction."



50. Post 26825049 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: 404Revolution on December 23, 2017, 09:48:12 AM
My concern is not that bcash will overtake bitcoin. It's that these attacks on bitcoin will undermine confidence in all cryptocurrency.
bcash is so fun

et tu, BAC. Cry

I'm sick of BCore Coin being unusable and people thinking it is fucking some future tech because they put $100 in Coinbase and now it is worth $1000.

BCore Coin fucking SUCKS at the moment regardless of whatever the price is.

I wouldn't buy Bitcoin Core right now if it was $100 a coin and I fucking love Buttcoins!


There is no such thing as bcore, even though I know that you are trying to derogatorily refer to bitcoin in a way that is equivalent to the way that the world refers to Bcash.

Why don't you divest yourself from bitcoin, if that is what you are wanting to do, or perhaps just own a small part of bitcoin, and then put the rest of your efforts into bcash, if you think that bcash is some kind of superior coin that you want to shill in this bitcoin thread.

So go off to your own lillie forums rather than complaining and exaggerating nonsense about bitcoin including attempting to try to suggest that bitcoin is broken or will not overcome some of the current attacks upon it in the coming years and with increasing developing and network effects that are likely to be inevitably beneficial to bitcoin.. and sure a lot of the alts are going to profit from this too... because if bitcoin succeeds, then likely a lot of alts, ICOs, and bitcoin attack forks are also going to have some platform and some ability to profit as well from such a lucrative growth oriented environment.

so, go go go.. bugger off, BayAreaCoins.  Roll Eyes

I'm here to stay... thanks though.

There absolutely is such thing as BCore and I couldn't give two shits about BCash... we are actively liquidating BCash for BCore using FreeBitcoins.com, but this is getting more and more difficult as BCore fees get worse and worse by the day.

What am I exaggerating? Because the numbers I'm posting are real numbers that anyone can check...

The shit you are throwing out there is 60% horse shit, 30% pipe dreams and 10% garbage.  Basically, all I've heard you say is "We are getting spammed... there is nothing we can do about it.  I know Bitcoin is worthless right now, but maybe we find a niche for our $40 fees."



If you are so content with bitcoin and you are putting your money into it, then why you whining so much like a little bitch?

Why don't you grow the fuck up and figure out ways that you can work around any issue that you might have than trying to act as if the whole fucking sky is falling.  Get a fucking grip on reality... yeah we all fucking know that fees are high right now, so if we are trying to be practical, then we are not sending a lot of small transaction on the bitcoin blockchain if we can avoid it. and we are attempting to figure out ways that we are not personally bearing those extra costs.

I still have three outstanding transactions from a week ago.. so I know.

Furthermore, yesterday, I sold about $6k bitcoin to someone who wanted to buy some bitcoin from me.  Actually he wanted to buy $13k, and I told him that I was only going to sell him $5k, but if he wanted to get $6k, I would agree to $6k rather than $5k if he paid me $50 extra for the transaction fee.  He said o.k..... no problem.  He wanted the extra $1k and he did not mind paying the high fee. 

A day or so earlier the fee was around $20, and a couple days earlier the fee was around $12.  So I am fucking well aware of the increases in the fees, which is frustrating for me, too, but you don't see me whining about it in the same nutjob way as you, because I am figuring out work arounds, and I also understand that there is a bit of a war going on right now and there are malicious players who are attacking the bitcoin network.  I am not sure if either the attacks are going to go away or if there are ways that such spam attacks can be fixed, but I am willing to accept that the new state of bitcoin could possibly be a state in which spam attacks continue to be ongoing which causes higher fees and also causes slower transaction times and also takes away some of the lower cost use cases of bitcoin because the bcash nutjobs and who ever else is engaging in such ongoing and persistent spam attacks continue to believe it is in their interests to continue to attack bitcoin.  So in the end, this spam attack dynamic becomes the new reality of bitcoin, at least for the time being and it could persist for a long time, so we have to figure out ways to deal with it and to prepare ourself for such new situation, and if we don't like it, then we sell our bitcoins, no?  If we think that there are better solutions, then we buy into them, right?  Oh no, instead you want to whine about it, rather than figuring out some work arounds, right?

Whining about somebody explaining why BTC is bad... and accusing them of whining....

All you seem to have done is prove his point. Hilarious.

+1 BayAreaCoins is entitled to his opinion



51. Post 26825521 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on December 23, 2017, 10:10:42 AM
My concern is not that bcash will overtake bitcoin. It's that these attacks on bitcoin will undermine confidence in all cryptocurrency.
bcash is so fun

et tu, BAC. Cry

I'm sick of BCore Coin being unusable and people thinking it is fucking some future tech because they put $100 in Coinbase and now it is worth $1000.

BCore Coin fucking SUCKS at the moment regardless of whatever the price is.

I wouldn't buy Bitcoin Core right now if it was $100 a coin and I fucking love Buttcoins!


There is no such thing as bcore, even though I know that you are trying to derogatorily refer to bitcoin in a way that is equivalent to the way that the world refers to Bcash.

Why don't you divest yourself from bitcoin, if that is what you are wanting to do, or perhaps just own a small part of bitcoin, and then put the rest of your efforts into bcash, if you think that bcash is some kind of superior coin that you want to shill in this bitcoin thread.

So go off to your own lillie forums rather than complaining and exaggerating nonsense about bitcoin including attempting to try to suggest that bitcoin is broken or will not overcome some of the current attacks upon it in the coming years and with increasing developing and network effects that are likely to be inevitably beneficial to bitcoin.. and sure a lot of the alts are going to profit from this too... because if bitcoin succeeds, then likely a lot of alts, ICOs, and bitcoin attack forks are also going to have some platform and some ability to profit as well from such a lucrative growth oriented environment.

so, go go go.. bugger off, BayAreaCoins.  Roll Eyes

I'm here to stay... thanks though.

There absolutely is such thing as BCore and I couldn't give two shits about BCash... we are actively liquidating BCash for BCore using FreeBitcoins.com, but this is getting more and more difficult as BCore fees get worse and worse by the day.

What am I exaggerating? Because the numbers I'm posting are real numbers that anyone can check...

The shit you are throwing out there is 60% horse shit, 30% pipe dreams and 10% garbage.  Basically, all I've heard you say is "We are getting spammed... there is nothing we can do about it.  I know Bitcoin is worthless right now, but maybe we find a niche for our $40 fees."



If you are so content with bitcoin and you are putting your money into it, then why you whining so much like a little bitch?

Why don't you grow the fuck up and figure out ways that you can work around any issue that you might have than trying to act as if the whole fucking sky is falling.  Get a fucking grip on reality... yeah we all fucking know that fees are high right now, so if we are trying to be practical, then we are not sending a lot of small transaction on the bitcoin blockchain if we can avoid it. and we are attempting to figure out ways that we are not personally bearing those extra costs.

I still have three outstanding transactions from a week ago.. so I know.

Furthermore, yesterday, I sold about $6k bitcoin to someone who wanted to buy some bitcoin from me.  Actually he wanted to buy $13k, and I told him that I was only going to sell him $5k, but if he wanted to get $6k, I would agree to $6k rather than $5k if he paid me $50 extra for the transaction fee.  He said o.k..... no problem.  He wanted the extra $1k and he did not mind paying the high fee. 

A day or so earlier the fee was around $20, and a couple days earlier the fee was around $12.  So I am fucking well aware of the increases in the fees, which is frustrating for me, too, but you don't see me whining about it in the same nutjob way as you, because I am figuring out work arounds, and I also understand that there is a bit of a war going on right now and there are malicious players who are attacking the bitcoin network.  I am not sure if either the attacks are going to go away or if there are ways that such spam attacks can be fixed, but I am willing to accept that the new state of bitcoin could possibly be a state in which spam attacks continue to be ongoing which causes higher fees and also causes slower transaction times and also takes away some of the lower cost use cases of bitcoin because the bcash nutjobs and who ever else is engaging in such ongoing and persistent spam attacks continue to believe it is in their interests to continue to attack bitcoin.  So in the end, this spam attack dynamic becomes the new reality of bitcoin, at least for the time being and it could persist for a long time, so we have to figure out ways to deal with it and to prepare ourself for such new situation, and if we don't like it, then we sell our bitcoins, no?  If we think that there are better solutions, then we buy into them, right?  Oh no, instead you want to whine about it, rather than figuring out some work arounds, right?

Whining about somebody explaining why BTC is bad... and accusing them of whining....

All you seem to have done is prove his point. Hilarious.

You are getting mixed up, if you are either confusing my points for whining or considering my points to be the equivalent to those of a troll/shill.

Perhaps you are the kind of person who also believes that the various alts, ICOs and bitcoin hardforks are equivalent to bitcoin, too?    Roll Eyes
You seem to name call people a lot JayJuanGee. Are you in high school?



52. Post 26825551 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

This is like high school with all the name calling.



53. Post 26850277 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: Arriemoller on December 23, 2017, 04:31:03 PM
Yeah, every trade is a taxable event to US persons. Whether that is buying coffee or litecoin. It is property according to the IRS.

Even if you thought you could get away with the like kind exchange rule, you still have to report every trade individually on the exemption form.

If it were classified as a stock, you could just report net gains and losses but not so with property.

They have made compliance nearly impossible so unless someone passes a law to exempt transactions prior to a certain date, a lot of people are going to owe back taxes and penalties if not jail time.
Simple solution: Become an expat.

Not so easy or simple, unfortunately. Have you heard of the Exit Tax? Capital gains are realized for high net worth individuals upon renouncing.

You still owe cap gains if you don't renounce and just expat. Unless you plan on just hiding and never setting foot in US again nor using any international banks cooperating with FinCen rules.

Puerto Rico offers tax free cap gains for residents, but you still owe on any gains realized up to the date you become a resident.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertwood/2017/02/27/renounce-u-s-heres-how-irs-computes-exit-tax/#45c8627287d4

No, I actually haven't heard of the exit tax. It does make sense to some degree, or at least it would if taxes were legitimate in the first place. But regardless of whether or not you'd choose to pay what you "owe" before renouncing, it still doesn't sound like anyone who expects any significant profits should be staying in the US any longer than absolutely necessary for whatever individual circumstances.

Agreed. However, I'm suspecting you're not married or have many close family relations in the US? The moment I brought up renouncing to my wife, and that she would need to apply for visas to visit family, friends, etc., well... you can imagine the response. Although she's warming up to it proportionally to crypto value.

Which begs the question, how much is US citizenship worth? A US passport gets you in a lot of places without visas or trouble. Attaining citizenship in another country takes time and often a good deal of (traceable, taxable) fiat. Although being stateless is an option, it's not recommended for long. You have no rights, anywhere.




I think you can buy New Zealand citizenship and that will get you anywhere US citizenship will.  You can go buy mountain in Queenstown with all the hedge fund billionaires.

New Zealand is a very nice place to live. Come on down.
https://www.newzealandnow.govt.nz/investing-in-nz/visas/investor-visa

What's the weather like in NZ?

Depends on where you  live. Wellington is windy and gets a lot of rain, although the city is beautiful. I spent many years working in Wellington and I prefer it over Auckland. Auckland is nice but it has gotten expensive and crowded. Wine country of Hawkes Bay is fantastic.( Napier and Hastings) Great weather, many wineries, great food, fantastic bike riding.

The south island is extremely beautiful. I will be spending some more time there next year. So many great places. I want to go to Lake Tekapo. It is one of our dark sky reserves for seeing the night sky.


 



54. Post 26899931 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Merry Christmas from the southern hemisphere.



55. Post 26909969 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: Arriemoller on December 25, 2017, 12:21:56 AM
Yeah, every trade is a taxable event to US persons. Whether that is buying coffee or litecoin. It is property according to the IRS.

Even if you thought you could get away with the like kind exchange rule, you still have to report every trade individually on the exemption form.

If it were classified as a stock, you could just report net gains and losses but not so with property.

They have made compliance nearly impossible so unless someone passes a law to exempt transactions prior to a certain date, a lot of people are going to owe back taxes and penalties if not jail time.
Simple solution: Become an expat.

Not so easy or simple, unfortunately. Have you heard of the Exit Tax? Capital gains are realized for high net worth individuals upon renouncing.

You still owe cap gains if you don't renounce and just expat. Unless you plan on just hiding and never setting foot in US again nor using any international banks cooperating with FinCen rules.

Puerto Rico offers tax free cap gains for residents, but you still owe on any gains realized up to the date you become a resident.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertwood/2017/02/27/renounce-u-s-heres-how-irs-computes-exit-tax/#45c8627287d4

No, I actually haven't heard of the exit tax. It does make sense to some degree, or at least it would if taxes were legitimate in the first place. But regardless of whether or not you'd choose to pay what you "owe" before renouncing, it still doesn't sound like anyone who expects any significant profits should be staying in the US any longer than absolutely necessary for whatever individual circumstances.

Agreed. However, I'm suspecting you're not married or have many close family relations in the US? The moment I brought up renouncing to my wife, and that she would need to apply for visas to visit family, friends, etc., well... you can imagine the response. Although she's warming up to it proportionally to crypto value.

Which begs the question, how much is US citizenship worth? A US passport gets you in a lot of places without visas or trouble. Attaining citizenship in another country takes time and often a good deal of (traceable, taxable) fiat. Although being stateless is an option, it's not recommended for long. You have no rights, anywhere.




I think you can buy New Zealand citizenship and that will get you anywhere US citizenship will.  You can go buy mountain in Queenstown with all the hedge fund billionaires.

New Zealand is a very nice place to live. Come on down.
https://www.newzealandnow.govt.nz/investing-in-nz/visas/investor-visa

What's the weather like in NZ?

Depends on where you  live. Wellington is windy and gets a lot of rain, although the city is beautiful. I spent many years working in Wellington and I prefer it over Auckland. Auckland is nice but it has gotten expensive and crowded. Wine country of Hawkes Bay is fantastic.( Napier and Hastings) Great weather, many wineries, great food, fantastic bike riding.

The south island is extremely beautiful. I will be spending some more time there next year. So many great places. I want to go to Lake Tekapo. It is one of our dark sky reserves for seeing the night sky.


 

Thanks, I might go for a visit at least, but a little worried about seismic activity.

Well, we definitely have seismic activity here. Earthquakes and volcanoes.....



56. Post 26911987 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

So much of what I hear is Bitcoin is being attacked. So I look to SunTzu the Art of War.
Full disclosure I own equal amounts of BTC and BCH. Mostly in cold wallets from 2014.

I could see where the following quotes could be applied to both BTC and BCH.

“the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.”
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
tags: defeat, enemy, opportunity, strategy, war

“You can be sure of succeeding in your attacks if you only attack places which are undefended.”
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
tags: business, strategy, war

“You can be sure of succeeding in your attacks if you only attack places which are undefended.You can ensure the safety of your defense if you only hold positions that cannot be attacked.”
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
tags: attack, defence, safety, strategy, success, war



57. Post 26912791 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: bones261 on December 25, 2017, 02:58:25 AM
First of all, there is no perfect competition. Some businesses will always gain an edge. As happens over and over again, an oligarchy is eventually formed. If left unchecked, a cartel is then formed. Then the cartel can charge whatever price the market will bear. For some products and services, this price is quite high indeed. As can be seen from the current tx market with Bitcoin, the cost people are willing to expend on a transaction is quite high. Pennies is not going to be that price. It will be magnitudes of orders higher.


This is actually a good point.  TX fees are extremely high right now because BS/Core has formed a cartel in order to limit the production of block space.  What is confusing (and ironic) is that the miners (those who one would naively suspect to attempt to form a cartel) want the production quota lifted!  So, yes, experience is showing that Bitcoin is somewhat susceptible to cartel formation (it's just surprising that it's cartels of developers rather than cartels of miners).    

 Oh yes, this recent growth in the mempool is totally organic.  Roll Eyes Or do you think Bitcoin Core may be deliberately spamming the network even though AFAIK, it would have no benefit to them? Seems like a pretty pricey demonstration for them to demonstrate why LN is needed. Cheesy Of course, Saint Jihan Wu and friends would never consider stuffing the mempool with lower fee transactions so they can collect the higher transactions piling on top of that. We all know Saint Jihan Wu is much too altruistic to even consider doing something like that.  Roll Eyes

Does it matter the reason who or why transaction fees are high? To me the high fees are a weakness which is being attacked. It is completely predictable.
Bitcoin Cash sees an opportunity and it is attacking Bitcoin . (a predictable result)
“the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.” ( Core's high fees)
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
tags: defeat, enemy, opportunity, strategy, war



58. Post 26954684 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

I am taking some time now to transfer to segwit addresses. ( From my non Armory holdings.)

I used a 140 satoshis per byte. It went through in 3 blocks as a test. ( maybe I overpaid?)

Fees appear to be coming down at the moment.
https://bitcoinfees.earn.com/



59. Post 26956133 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: nikauforest on December 25, 2017, 09:54:10 PM
I am taking some time now to transfer to segwit addresses. ( From my non Armory holdings.)

I used a 140 satoshis per byte. It went through in 3 blocks as a test. ( maybe I overpaid?)

Fees appear to be coming down at the moment.
https://bitcoinfees.earn.com/

So, I got a lot of transactions through quickly at 120-131 Sat / byte, many around $4.35. Not cheap by 2014 standards, but not too bad, I guess. I am leaving my legacy paper wallets alone for the moment.



60. Post 27005969 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: AmazonStuff on December 26, 2017, 08:35:35 PM
H&S pattern


If it plays out , then we have a big buying opportunity around 8k.



61. Post 27008844 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: doc12 on December 26, 2017, 09:39:26 PM
Blablabla

FUD

I like jbreher's posts. Without his posts we would have nothing but BTC cheerleaders here.



62. Post 27014223 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: gentlemand on December 27, 2017, 12:48:53 AM
Let's get to 20,000 pages only using the word 'fuck'.




63. Post 27078186 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.35h):

Quote from: NiceSoft12 on December 28, 2017, 05:15:00 AM
Why is there so much selling pressure right before the the 12/28 fork? Could someone explain?

we broke the recovery uptrend line from 12/23 -12/28 so some selling follows.



64. Post 27126802 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.36h):

Quote from: AlcoHoDL on December 28, 2017, 11:18:51 PM
Yeah, Trezor. My only question there is what happens if they get hacked, and is there a way to run your own trezor server on your own system (so you don't every have to depend on the Trezor company to be in business)?

No need to worry. If the TREZOR company goes bust, just enter your seed in a Ledger. They are compatible. It's a standard. There will always be a way to get to your coins from your seed. Plus, the servers of these companies don't know (and can't know, by design) your seed or your private keys.

Which HW wallets do you like more? I have a ledger and have not used a Trezor.



65. Post 27127768 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.36h):

Quote from: Vin on December 28, 2017, 11:51:39 PM
Never got into the whole HW wallet thing. Are they worth it?

Is there any one big significant drawback?

Dont know if worth but,

offline PC with offline Printer and original Wallet works fine for years now.

...if you are not too lazy to type sometimes a few things Smiley

I run Armory with watch only accounts. I have a virgin laptop that has never touched the internet for signing transactions offline. I got a ledger and and a Nano Blue earlier this year. I will keep the paper wallets as they are , but I do like the ledger products.



66. Post 27173683 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.36h):

Quote from: nikauforest on December 20, 2017, 02:41:15 AM


I think what is happening is BTC dominance is going to test 39%.( It broke the short term uptrend in the last day. )  But who knows. As always it is best to keep an open mind and not be religious about BTC.

I posted the above on Dec. 20th. I think we are testing the 39% area. Please don't accuse me of being a shill. I am a big bitcoin believer. I use this chart to determine under or over performance of Bitcoin.

edit = we are at 41.7%



67. Post 27184980 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.36h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on December 30, 2017, 01:16:38 AM
Has there been any news that is driving this XRP rally ?

I've got a really bad feeling it's pure emotional, FOMO-driven "investing", and shit gon' come crashin' down, cuz da' roof be on fiya, yo !

Have been keeping up on some San Francisco tech-based discussion forums, and all the "cool kids" (20-30 somethings) are currently going nuts over XRP.

It is inexplicable to me.

I caught wind that there was more and more interest growing with the "Silicon Valley Kids'" growing interest earlier in December, when "one of those types" messaged me out of the blue, asking my opinion on XRP, as they knew I was into Bitcoin. I responded I honestly don't know much, other than it's centralized. This is back when it was riding up near $0.40 USD.

So yeah, anecdotally, I know a portion of the XRP fiat inflow is coming from Silicon Valley types that were also heavily into mETH.

Also, boy did I quit a bad time to quit drinking. Figure if I'm retiring end of Q1, I want to be stone-sober and clear-headed when I finally make the decision to resign from ((( them ))). Quit drinking this past Monday. Easier than I thought, to be honest.

Also, watching the charts today are making me seasick.

Sheeeit.

many rumors and some partnerships...
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jessedamiani/2017/12/22/5-reasons-why-the-ripple-price-is-going-up-so-fast-will-the-xrp-surge-continue/2/#520d5cf321ea



68. Post 27252341 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.36h):

Happy New Year from New Zealand!
I can tell you 2018 is going to be amazing!

I am off for some more fun. Wishing everyone a great year.



69. Post 27677640 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.37h):

Quote from: nikauforest on December 20, 2017, 02:41:15 AM


I think what is happening is BTC dominance is going to test 39%.( It broke the short term uptrend in the last day. )  But who knows. As always it is best to keep an open mind and not be religious about BTC.

Here is an updated chart. It will not be too long before money from alts flows back to BTC. Unfortunately BTC dominance looks headed a little lower before we see explosive new highs on BTC. ( I have March 23 as a new high "guess")




70. Post 27883380 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.37h):

I noticed Counterparty (XCP) on the BTC blockchain was up big time today. Any news?  I bought some of these tokens years ago on my Counterwallet.



71. Post 27883762 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.37h):

Quote from: gentlemand on January 11, 2018, 04:07:58 AM
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/10/south-korea-official-reportedly-readying-bill-to-ban-all-cryptocurrency-trading.html

Entirely the fault of the pricks running the exchanges there.

Another buying opportunity for those with cash. It is a game of whack a mole by the governments.



72. Post 27884100 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.37h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on January 11, 2018, 04:18:58 AM
I noticed Counterparty (XCP) on the BTC blockchain was up big time today. Any news?  I bought some of these tokens years ago on my Counterwallet.

Looks like a dead project being pumped to me.

http://counterparty.cash/

That’s a different token isn’t it?

Yea looks like it is a different token not for Bitcoin but for the other fork.
This is the original project for BTC
https://counterparty.io



73. Post 27884848 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.38h):

Quote from: Heater on January 11, 2018, 04:45:38 AM
https://mobile.twitter.com/iamjosephyoung/status/951300898571018241

Probable rubbish once again. But I'm past caring.
Love this reply :

Quote
Telling people in crypto not to panic is like telling you’re wife to calm down when she’s angry.  It tends to fuel the fire. LOL.  I think this one might take some time to recover.  I hope I’m wrong.

Yea! I know that one, so true.



74. Post 28294603 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.38h):

I just got off the phone with my father in law. ( He is the ultimate contrary indicator)

I know this is only a correction because he was so happy he doesn't own any Bitcoin. I will be worried when he asks me if it is a good time to buy. So far my indicator has been 100% accurate in more then just this market. He did not like gold at 280 then he liked it at 1700. He did not like tech stocks in the early 90's, he liked tech stocks in 1999. Crazy! On and on. I don't have the heart to tell him he is the ultimate contrary indicator.

So as far as I am concerned. New highs incoming later this year, probably sooner then the anti bitcoin people think.



75. Post 29440851 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.41h):

Look like I missed a lot of movement! I was away on vacation in Sydney , and did not look at the news.



76. Post 33296529 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.50h):

Quote from: RayX12 on March 27, 2018, 11:59:21 AM
https://cointracking.info/
Your personal Profit / Loss Portfolio Monitor and Tax Tracker for all Digital Coins

thanks for link ... good services ;-)

Indeed, I have been using it for months!

Yes, it is very good. It works with different base fiat currencies if you are not from the US. I have been using it for months as well.



77. Post 33472619 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.50h):

I think we need to see some sort of capitulation before this bear is finished. Maybe we are getting close. I think we need some panic selling.
Prices are still up quite a bit from one year ago. ( to keep things in perspective )
On April 2, 2017
BTC = 1079.44
XMR = 21.22
etc..
I would prefer this bear does not drag on, so a panic flush, would set the stage for setting a base and a new bull. I hate the drip , drip , drip of down. It does feel a little like 2014.



78. Post 33473884 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.50h):

Quote from: RayX12 on March 29, 2018, 07:32:13 PM
I think we need to see some sort of capitulation before this bear is finished. Maybe we are getting close. I think we need some panic selling.
Prices are still up quite a bit from one year ago. ( to keep things in perspective )
On April 2, 2017
BTC = 1079.44
XMR = 21.22
etc..
I would prefer this bear does not drag on, so a panic flush, would set the stage for setting a base and a new bull. I hate the drip , drip , drip of down. It does feel a little like 2014.

As I said above:

It seems like so many bears where sleeping while the bottom was set in with huge volume of capitulation on February 5th.

Feb 5th/6th could be the bottom. I guess we are in the process of testing that bottom now.



79. Post 34062148 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.51h):

You all have probably seen this already.

It is a visualizer for the lightning network. Some of the node names are great! ---- I thought it was pretty cool.

Lightning network visualizer
https://lnmainnet.gaben.win/

saw it at coindesk website
https://www.coindesk.com/imperfect-pictures-bitcoin-lightning-images-arent-seem/



80. Post 34108202 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.51h):

Quote from: yonton on April 06, 2018, 08:41:17 PM
Its a ghost town here, you guys are scaring me Sad

Too depressing to post right now.

The last 8 hours have been SO FUCKING BORING OMG
Well, I've closed my short if that makes you feel better Smiley I'm back in bitcoin where I will stay now.

Downside won't last forever. Cheap coins coming if have extra fiat.




81. Post 34177034 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.51h):

12288 Game
December 13th, 2019

I hope I am very wrong, but I think it may take some time to repair the market. Thank you micgoossens



82. Post 34273773 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.51h):

Looking at the uptrend lines of the past few years, it looks to me strong support at 4-5k. If we hit that support the downtrend could be over soon. Anyways , I hope we do not go that low, but it appears possible. Maybe we go as high as 8k in the current rally and then back down?




83. Post 34275510 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.51h):

Quote from: mindrust on April 09, 2018, 07:11:05 AM
Looking at the uptrend lines of the past few years, it looks to me strong support at 4-5k. If we hit that support the downtrend could be over soon. Anyways , I hope we do not go that low, but it appears possible. Maybe we go as high as 8k in the current rally and then back down?



Check this out.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/HIIQLGOd-Try-again/

That chart has been accurate so far. I am having a hard time seeing it going below 3k though.



84. Post 34404600 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.51h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on April 10, 2018, 06:35:13 PM
Tera (or anyone else) - do you understand how Cointracking is accounting for the BFX hack?   I think it is screwing up my balances.

That is a tricky one. Have you done a search in the "Enter Coins/ Overview- Manual Import" to see what has happened?( what Cointracking is automatically doing ) I am guessing you are using the API for import?








85. Post 34431625 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.51h):

Love it JayJuanGee, great post and picture.



86. Post 34560247 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.52h):

Quote from: jbreher on April 12, 2018, 03:51:37 PM

Haha! quote from article: "Japan started seeking its own rare-earth metals after China held back shipments in 2010 during a dispute over islands both countries claim". Delicious.

Interesting article. It doesn't estimate how much it will cost to extract these from the seabed. It may be a situation where it is only feasible with much higher prices. I think Lynas Corp , supplies the Japanese market at the moment.



87. Post 34814162 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.52h):

The McAfee Curve
Interactive chart with the math behind it.

Pretty interesting have a look.

https://fnordprefekt.de/

There is a discussion on r/bitcoin on reddit.



88. Post 35930241 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.54h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on April 30, 2018, 05:37:14 AM
I cash out at least 50% every rally which ensures both that I am able to enjoy life and that I have something to show if/when bitcoin finally crashes for good. It makes me much more confident about hodling the remaining portion.

how do you figure out when to cash out your 50%, exactly?  or how much to HODL in preparation for any rally?

For example, it seems that you had removed yourself from bitcoin during the crash from $1100 to $200, and you were reluctant to get back in.  Also, you were talking bear talk all the way up in this past price run, all the way up past $1,, you were talking bear talk, and then further you became even more bearish above $8k, so perhaps you did not have any bitcoins remaining that you could cash out, even above $1k or even above $7k...

Are you sharing a formula that others could actually use, or are you just making up some random non-specific and bearsicle practice that attempts to get HODLers to sell more?   

I had actually theorized that I would sell up to 50% of my HODLings at one time or another when the price was going up, especially if I were to sense that BTC prices were reaching a blow-off top.... however, I am glad that I did not follow such a practice, and really, I remain unclear about when to determine a blow off top, and in that regard, selling less than 20% of my stash incrementally on the way up has given me a whole hell of a lot of fiat to play with, so I cannot imagine selling more, or figuring out what else to invest in (besides bitcoin), if I were to invest.

My General strategy.

1) I try to keep my bitcoin and crypto to no more than 20-25% of my net worth.
Some may think this is low, others too high. This what I am comfortable with. This includes realestate etc.
2) With price appreciation in the crypto portfolio , I generally recycle out profits to three areas, stocks, Gold, and US dollars ( short term).
A) Stocks I use for income and capital appreciation.
B) Gold for long term stable holdings ( relatively speaking)
C) US dollars for buying more Bitcoin or to withstand bear markets.
3) Generally I am recycling some alt coin profits into BTC and Gold right now.
4) I got involved in Bitcoin in 2013 and have maintained my position. ( total number of coins ) While harvesting profits and recycling them into other assets.

Goals:
1) I want to maintain my total number of BTC
2) Recycle out some profits from trades for other assets or increased life style.

I am definitely not as big a holder in BTC as some of you, but is has been a great ride so far.



89. Post 35931730 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.54h):

Quote from: mindrust on April 30, 2018, 06:50:40 AM
I cash out at least 50% every rally which ensures both that I am able to enjoy life and that I have something to show if/when bitcoin finally crashes for good. It makes me much more confident about hodling the remaining portion.

how do you figure out when to cash out your 50%, exactly?  or how much to HODL in preparation for any rally?

For example, it seems that you had removed yourself from bitcoin during the crash from $1100 to $200, and you were reluctant to get back in.  Also, you were talking bear talk all the way up in this past price run, all the way up past $1,, you were talking bear talk, and then further you became even more bearish above $8k, so perhaps you did not have any bitcoins remaining that you could cash out, even above $1k or even above $7k...

Are you sharing a formula that others could actually use, or are you just making up some random non-specific and bearsicle practice that attempts to get HODLers to sell more?  

I had actually theorized that I would sell up to 50% of my HODLings at one time or another when the price was going up, especially if I were to sense that BTC prices were reaching a blow-off top.... however, I am glad that I did not follow such a practice, and really, I remain unclear about when to determine a blow off top, and in that regard, selling less than 20% of my stash incrementally on the way up has given me a whole hell of a lot of fiat to play with, so I cannot imagine selling more, or figuring out what else to invest in (besides bitcoin), if I were to invest.

My General strategy.

1) I try to keep my bitcoin and crypto to no more than 20-25% of my net worth.
Some may think this is low, others too high. This what I am comfortable with. This includes realestate etc.
2) With price appreciation in the crypto portfolio , I generally recycle out profits to three areas, stocks, Gold, and US dollars ( short term).
A) Stocks I use for income and capital appreciation.
B) Gold for long term stable holdings ( relatively speaking)
C) US dollars for buying more Bitcoin or to withstand bear markets.
3) Generally I am recycling some alt coin profits into BTC and Gold right now.
4) I got involved in Bitcoin in 2013 and have maintained my position. ( total number of coins ) While harvesting profits and recycling them into other assets.

Goals:
1) I want to maintain my total number of BTC
2) Recycle out some profits from trades for other assets or increased life style.

I am definitely not as big a holder in BTC as some of you, but is has been a great ride so far.


You can't get rich like that. You need to pour everything you got into bitcoin and hold for a 10x return and then go get a lambo.

That's how it works. If you go with this way, Diversification and shit, like me used to do, you'll stay poor forever.

Maybe.... I am pretty happy though. I still have all my BTC. 10x is a small gain in this arena.



90. Post 35934217 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.54h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on April 30, 2018, 07:03:59 AM
He is serious. You won’t get rich restricting your best asset to 25% of the value of your portfolio.

Diversification is very effective at killing moonshot gains.  You need to allow it headroom to grow.  

Give me two more years like 2017.  Is that too much to ask?  Cool

Yea, give me two more years like 2017 Smiley

What you say is perhaps true, however you are not factoring in other data.

1) For instance, if you already have wealth , do you then have 90% of your wealth in one asset?
2) You can still have amazing growth in other assets. For example marijuana stocks, gold stocks, A2 Milk for example on the NZX. 600% is not that bad for a stock.
3) I guess when you have wealth , you also need to look for ways to protect it.
4) Age makes a difference.

I do get your point. I guess it is a matter of personal strategy and where you are at in life.



91. Post 35996296 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.54h):

Just some cubs at play



92. Post 36334425 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.54h):

Quote from: Torque on May 04, 2018, 06:41:55 PM
Cool news

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/vaultoros-bitcoin-gold-exchange-implements-lightning-network-payments/

That is cool. You can also use crypto to buy gold , silver , platinum , and palladium with Goldmoney. You have to use Bitpay to deposit money. Vaultoros appears to have a better platform.
https://www.goldmoney.com/



93. Post 37524120 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.55h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on May 17, 2018, 02:17:21 AM
Buying a house in cash is a waste of equity. Think bigger!

What about paying off an existing mortgage with free BCash, investing over $2M in a managed portfolio for the next 20 years, and retiring early ?  Kiss

I would call that very smart BobLawblaw. I like your style, and you still keep your Bitcoin.



94. Post 39757666 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.57h):

I hate to be a bear...I think we have a good chance of hitting 4900 -5200 in July to August. Hopefully that would form a bottom. Again it is anyone's guess.




95. Post 40350960 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.58h):

Quote from: Rosewater Foundation on June 18, 2018, 02:36:19 AM
Speaking of Bitcoin, who the hell voted for another leg down in the poll. I didn't approve of this.

Bob? Angry

I want to be bullish. I think one more good flush.



96. Post 40696339 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.59h):

For Today's music we have:

When The Levee Breaks
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uwiTs60VoTM

Are your buy orders in?



97. Post 40906661 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.59h):

Fun Graphic, I want to see what happens when the trains come.

https://bitcoinsubway.cash/



98. Post 40907476 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.59h):

Quote from: mymenace on June 25, 2018, 09:48:02 PM
Fun Graphic, I want to see what happens when the trains come.

https://bitcoinsubway.cash/


and the line that runs it all stays constant?

bitcoin has only one platform?

if it was not for bitcoins multiple platforms
Bcash would not have a platform

Just a fun graphic, I am not sure. Bitcoin looks like a busy station which is good.



99. Post 41207776 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.00h):

Anunymint raises some good points. I am guessing similar to Peter Rizun. It points out a potential attack vector on segwit coins.

Dr. Peter Rizun - SegWit Coins are not Bitcoins

The video is worth watching even if you believe Segwit posses no risk.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VoFb3mcxluY




100. Post 41552649 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.00h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on July 05, 2018, 07:13:37 AM


Is he saying use a legacy address just in case?



101. Post 41725349 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.00h):

300 dollar jump just now



102. Post 42008289 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.01h):

Quote from: Anon136 on July 12, 2018, 04:34:51 AM

Powerful stuff! I hope it's true.
Same here , I hope it is true. Q



103. Post 42313098 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.01h):

Quote from: Phil_S on July 16, 2018, 07:02:12 PM
Price dynamic seems different today.

It's no longer sideways->jump->sideways.

I agree this looks different. Not the Bart movements we have had in the past.



104. Post 42598027 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.02h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on July 21, 2018, 12:13:28 PM
Heueristic:   I may have overstated the case.  The FBI is actively investigating donations to the NRA by a Russian central banker called Alexander Torshin who is a lifetime member of the NRA.  Maria Butina was Torshin’s “assistant”, also a lifetime member of the NRA.  They are the only Russians with that status.  The donations are believed to have been passed on to the Trump campaign.  

https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/nation-world/national/article195231139.html

The NRA is believed to have spent up to $70 million in total on Trumps campaign.  


This is a really long document - 165 pages of testimony to the House Intelligence Committee.  The gist of it is that Trump’s businesses globally did not make any money and that historically he has been propped up and extended credit by the Russian mafia.  Almost all of his inner circle have ties to the Russian mafia.  And the Russian mafia is ultimately controlled by Putin.  

Have a read:  https://docs.house.gov/meetings/IG/IG00/20180118/106796/HMTG-115-IG00-20180118-SD002.pdf

"The biggest obstacle to the truth is believing you already have it." Maybe you have been brainwashed? I guess only you can answer that.



105. Post 42599001 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.02h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on July 21, 2018, 01:10:16 PM
Source:  

https://docs.house.gov/meetings/IG/IG00/20180118/106796/HMTG-115-IG00-20180118-SD002.pdf

Excepts below.  Basically says Trump surrounded by Russian gangsters, Russian gangsters are controlled by Putin, his businesses made no money and he relied on fraudulent sales to Russian gangsters to get financing.  In essence Putin controls Trumps business empire.


So you believe this to be 100% true ? and Hillary Clinton is snow white ? What we are seeing is politics playing out.



106. Post 42622912 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.02h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on July 21, 2018, 09:23:02 PM
Russian Foreign Minister tells US Secretary of State to free Russian honey pot Maria Butina.

https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN1KB0JU?__twitter_impression=true

Let’s see if the US Administration follows orders.

Another nice pic.




#walkaway

This is what sane people on the left are doing.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=51UGcghHZsk



107. Post 42707136 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.02h):

So last week I got the dreaded "verify your source of funds from cryptocurrency" letter.
I had made some sales in the first quarter and they just got around to asking me now.

I will not name any institutions.
The information I provided was approved, but it really highlights the need for permission-less money. ( Bitcoin )
Proof of mining was acceptable along with some purchase data.



108. Post 42944717 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.02h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on July 27, 2018, 12:28:42 AM
I just think it’s kinda cute how most of the Republican administration seems to be in bed with Russia.   Quite literally.  

It’s also fun to point out how many right wingers are traitors, prepared to sell democracy down the river for a few bucks.

maybe you have been brainwashed and are controlled by the Russians and you don't even know it!
Lets talk Bitcoin not political crap.



109. Post 42944859 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.02h):

Quote from: xhomerx10 on July 27, 2018, 02:21:03 AM
Lets talk Bitcoin

My bitcoins are worth significantly less than they were yesterday. Yours?

 Nope.  They're still my babies.


same here...from bucket miners



110. Post 42944962 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.02h):

Quote from: Rosewater Foundation on July 27, 2018, 02:26:42 AM
Lets talk Bitcoin

My bitcoins are worth significantly less than they were yesterday. Yours?

 Nope.  They're still my babies.


However, I think you'll agree, in terms of purchasing power...

Nevermind Cheesy

You are right Rosewater.



111. Post 43056671 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.03h):



One more push up coming. I still think we need to test that phase 2 trend line, currently around 5k rising to 6k in December. Maybe we did bottom, but I am skeptical. Still happy either way.



112. Post 43242206 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.03h):

The US has entered the Twilight Zone. Everyone, both parties and all beliefs.



113. Post 43677614 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.04h):

I have many Russian friends.

I asked a friend what was the biggest difference between Americans and Russians. He replied ( I am paraphrasing) Russians know their main stream media is mainly propaganda. Americans still think their news organizations are feeding them the truth.

I distinctly remember this conversation from the late 1990's when I lived back in the US.

The question I have is has the US Media become more truthful over 20 years?? I think not. We only get opinion pieces now and hardly any non biased fact based reporting.



114. Post 43683145 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.04h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on August 08, 2018, 02:11:59 AM
Quote
His primary rules were: never allow the public to cool off; never admit a fault or wrong; never concede that there may be some good in your enemy; never leave room for alternatives; never accept blame; concentrate on one enemy at a time and blame him for everything that goes wrong; people will believe a big lie sooner than a little one; and if you repeat it frequently enough people will sooner or later believe it.

Hitler's psychological profile as described by the United States Office of Strategic Services:  source https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_lie 

so what you are saying is the left is acting like a certain evil entity back in the 30's and 40's

excerpt ( I have used asterisks , you supply the entity of modern day)
.....
took control of all forms of communication in ******: newspapers, magazines, books, public meetings, and rallies, art, music, movies, and radio.
Viewpoints in any way threatening to **** beliefs or to the ***** were censored or eliminated from all media.

https://www.ushmm.org/outreach/en/article.php?ModuleId=10007677



115. Post 43999083 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.04h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on August 13, 2018, 08:53:55 AM
Just when you thought the Bitmain IPO couldn’t get any worse. 


https://medium.com/@btcWolves/a-bch-update-bitmain-bch-the-ipo-what-it-all-actually-means-354220b86ac3

Good article thanks.



116. Post 44002576 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.04h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on August 13, 2018, 10:14:29 AM


WHEN looking into the future.......knowing my ledger sticks and growing fiat value  Grin

better i buy this picture as well

I’d probably buy that & hang it on the wall Smiley

Yea, very cool. That would be a good one to buy. I collect comics, so I love that stuff.



117. Post 44372133 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.05h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on August 19, 2018, 06:31:16 PM
As a leftie I would suggest maybe you need more public toilets in SF.   I take it addressing the symptoms rather than the cause is the conservative approach.  

Here is a shining example of where the left takes you.

Why is liberal California the poverty capital of America? ( Done by the liberal LA Times )

http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-jackson-california-poverty-20180114-story.html



118. Post 44482157 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.05h):

Quote from: European Central Bank on August 21, 2018, 09:31:16 PM
do the exact opposite of what CNBC reckons and guess what happens?

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WPRBTC/X5WuyDQn-CNBC-Bitcoin-Indicator-is-pointing-to-a-massive-rally-soon/

Very high short position at the moment. +1000 dollar rally coming soon.



119. Post 44485240 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.05h):

And Boom Shorts getting rekt!



120. Post 44485311 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.05h):

Quote from: xhomerx10 on August 22, 2018, 01:11:00 AM
And Boom Shorts getting rekt!

 Wow!  You just called that too.  Do you have someone on the inside?  
Waiting for the +1000 Wink


no inside info, just way too many shorts out there.



121. Post 46245280 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.08h):

small cup and handle. up we go



122. Post 46251010 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.08h):

Quote from: Wekkel on September 27, 2018, 11:32:41 PM
I’d be surprised if this rally hits $7,000. Still no conviction.

Yea rally seems weak. Looking at the one hour we came out of a small cup and handle with 6725 as the target. ( target hit )  Nothing amazing, but lets see.



123. Post 46442962 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.08h):

Quote from: BotanicKilt on October 02, 2018, 07:58:00 PM
0-conf croissant purchase in Brisbane? Yes, please.



How do you like Brisbane? I am going there in a few months. Looks like a great city.



124. Post 46736738 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.09h):

Bitfinex at 100$ BTC premium Huh What is going on?



125. Post 46737086 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.09h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on October 10, 2018, 08:39:39 PM
Bitfinex at 100$ BTC premium Huh What is going on?

Tether is trading at $0.98 USD.  It’s a risk premium of dealing with Bitfinex.

Thanks, crazy times ahead maybe?



126. Post 46992261 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.10h):

A serious hat virus has taken over the forum. Has anyone noticed Smiley



127. Post 47789983 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.12h):

Yawn! The market is putting me to sleep for weeks now.
Come on BTC don't be..
dull
dreary
tedious
bland
tiresome
colorless
uninteresting
monotonous
prosaic
dry
humdrum
vapid
stale

Wake up! make a move up or down!



128. Post 48195737 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.15h):

pools of blood. My perspective is lets get some real blood and we can make a low now. Rally for a few months then test the low and we can start another bull market in mid 2019.



129. Post 48196772 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.15h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on November 24, 2018, 10:30:30 PM


Hey Hairy, This fits, I think we will find a bottom soon.



130. Post 48207350 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.15h):




131. Post 48428562 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.18h):

$257 Million Worth of BTC Were Sent From an Inactive Address

https://cryptopotato.com/breaking-whale-alert-257-million-btc-were-sent-from-an-inactive-address/



132. Post 48692194 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.21h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on December 16, 2018, 02:46:40 AM
Simple solution. Take, say, 10% of your "new" profit on the way up.


Say you have 1000 as a baseline, you go up to 2000, you take out (2000-1000)*0.1 = 100.

Now you go from 1900 to 3900, and take out (3900-1900)*0.1 = 200.

That's what JayJaunGee told me he does, and that's indeed a very powerful strategy. I got almost 7x, and if I had taken 10% out I would be much more relaxed now.

This strategy allows you to become rich and protect you from becoming poor lol

Provides some insurance without gambling too much of your stash.

You can find an amount that works for you, including a similar ratio that is cashing out 1% for every 10% the price goes up.

Of course, if you might become less nervous as you are able to have bitcoins and cash stacked up, and accordingly, you might later begin to attempt to wait for BIGGER ranges. 

Some folks suggest that you might not want to cash out any BTC until it reaches at least a certain point, such as 2x or 5x, but in the end, it is good to tailor your own thinking and comfort level on the topic.

I structured some of my initial ideas around rpietila's simple sane savings discussion in this thread.  Ironic, perhaps, that he would be a "sane" recommender... hahahahaha

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=345065.0

Yes, that is a good strategy. I also use this strategy and I have been relaxed about the decline. I have started to scale back in now. It has all been house money for years now as I took out my original investment many moons ago.

Whatever happened to rpietila ?? He had a castle and went insane...or kinda lost the plot? He had some game or virtual world going as well. He made some really good posts years ago.



133. Post 48692426 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.21h):

Quote from: xhomerx10 on December 16, 2018, 03:16:31 AM
Simple solution. Take, say, 10% of your "new" profit on the way up.


Say you have 1000 as a baseline, you go up to 2000, you take out (2000-1000)*0.1 = 100.

Now you go from 1900 to 3900, and take out (3900-1900)*0.1 = 200.

That's what JayJaunGee told me he does, and that's indeed a very powerful strategy. I got almost 7x, and if I had taken 10% out I would be much more relaxed now.

This strategy allows you to become rich and protect you from becoming poor lol

Provides some insurance without gambling too much of your stash.

You can find an amount that works for you, including a similar ratio that is cashing out 1% for every 10% the price goes up.

Of course, if you might become less nervous as you are able to have bitcoins and cash stacked up, and accordingly, you might later begin to attempt to wait for BIGGER ranges.  

Some folks suggest that you might not want to cash out any BTC until it reaches at least a certain point, such as 2x or 5x, but in the end, it is good to tailor your own thinking and comfort level on the topic.

I structured some of my initial ideas around rpietila's simple sane savings discussion in this thread.  Ironic, perhaps, that he would be a "sane" recommender... hahahahaha

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=345065.0

Yes, that is a good strategy. I also use this strategy and I have been relaxed about the decline. I have started to scale back in now. It has all been house money for years now as I took out my original investment many moons ago.

Whatever happened to rpietila ?? He had a castle and went insane...or kinda lost the plot? He had some game or virtual world going as well. He made some really good posts years ago.

 You didn't hear?  His castle burned down.



credit: https://btcmanager.com/burning-long-term-holders-bitcoin-castle-marks-beginning-new-era/



Oh wow...No I did not hear about it. Thanks for the link.



134. Post 48714199 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.21h):

Quote from: bitserve on December 17, 2018, 01:38:09 AM

....So, during the bear market, employ your time opening accounts in as many exchanges as you can, verify as needed, learn their UI, etc... During a bull market things happen very fast, and chances are that you won't be able to use that exchange you need to trade some fork/altcoin or use for fiat withdrawal if you have not done your homework well in advance.....




This is great advice.

The bear market will be long and tough to endure, and this is just the sort of work that will be making progress, instead of anxiously watching falling or stagnant prices.

Verification can often be a long process. It is also useful to be familiar with the rules of the exchanges and businesses you deal with.


Yup, and during a bull run is way longer if they are not simply collapsed. Also, for withdrawals, it is also useful THEY know you. And the best for that is having made some deposit to them in the past (and what better moment to do that than in a bear market?).

Exchanges do not like people coming out of nowhere and pretending to withdraw huge amounts of money.



Yea, that is good advice for someone starting out. Bear markets are good for getting your infrastructure set up with exchanges etc. I sold some btc back in the first quarter and I had to go through a whole process explaining where it came from. Everything worked out fine , but definitely take advantage of this time to get set up.



135. Post 48714998 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.21h):

Quote from: bitserve on December 17, 2018, 03:32:49 AM

....So, during the bear market, employ your time opening accounts in as many exchanges as you can, verify as needed, learn their UI, etc... During a bull market things happen very fast, and chances are that you won't be able to use that exchange you need to trade some fork/altcoin or use for fiat withdrawal if you have not done your homework well in advance.....




This is great advice.

The bear market will be long and tough to endure, and this is just the sort of work that will be making progress, instead of anxiously watching falling or stagnant prices.

Verification can often be a long process. It is also useful to be familiar with the rules of the exchanges and businesses you deal with.


Yup, and during a bull run is way longer if they are not simply collapsed. Also, for withdrawals, it is also useful THEY know you. And the best for that is having made some deposit to them in the past (and what better moment to do that than in a bear market?).

Exchanges do not like people coming out of nowhere and pretending to withdraw huge amounts of money.



Yea, that is good advice for someone starting out. Bear markets are good for getting your infrastructure set up with exchanges etc. I sold some btc back in the first quarter and I had to go through a whole process explaining where it came from. Everything worked out fine , but definitely take advantage of this time to get set up.

I would appreciate advice on what sort of proofs/documents did they request you to "explain where it came from". It might get handy to get them all ready in advance.

In my case I sold some crypto to Gold Money to get USD. When I did , they asked for proof where I acquired the BTC. In my case it was ok to show proof of mining. I had old KNC and Bitmain receipts. Which they accepted. I also showed proof that I had a Bitstamp account going back to 2013. This was sufficient, although I could have shown more. They were then satisfied.



136. Post 48793574 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.22h):

I hate Fakebook. I never signed up for an account. Something I am 100% sure I do not need in my life.

Looks like they are getting into the stable coin biz.
https://sludgefeed.com/facebook-reportedly-creating-stablecoin-for-whatsapp/



137. Post 48866731 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.22h):

Quote from: toknormal on December 24, 2018, 03:22:28 PM
But we have to keep in mind this is an overextended run without any significant pullback. Price doesn’t rise in straight lines
So we can expect some kind of reaction at around 4.4k
And if we get to those 5k levels I still expect us to see the yearly lows again

Could be.

However I still think the "real" bottom was around $5500 and we are now slingshotting back to it having oversold due to Craig Wright bag dumping/shenanigans.

Evenyone's waiting for a 2014 type capitulation to today's equivalent of $183, but the difference is that back then it took a couple of weeks to build the ATH with no consolidations on the way. This time it took an entire year and there were plenty of big consolidations during the build up.

Add to that the fact that the alts are now starting to recapitalise in a big way. That was what was needed to confirm the bottom and start a reversal in BTC because BTC cannot grow without massively reduced dominance as a launching pad.




I would argue that the alts recapitalizing is a sign the bottom is not in yet. The alts need to die. When Bitcoin rises and the alts are dying, then the bull market for bitcoin begins. The alts have been a major distraction, most need to die. I have been accumulating Bitcoin in the 3100 -4000 range , but I really don't believe the bottom is in yet.



138. Post 48871605 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.22h):

Merry Christmas everyone!



139. Post 48939648 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

Sea levels at the end of the last ice age. ( about 11,000 years ago )

During the last ice age (above) sea level was at least 394 feet (120 m) lower than it is today (below), exposing much more area on the continents.



140. Post 48939686 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

What I find amazing, is the sea levels rose so much before fossil fuels came into the picture. < (sarcasm!)



141. Post 48940010 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on December 29, 2018, 01:40:44 AM
What I find amazing, is the sea levels rose so much before fossil fuels came into the picture. < (sarcasm!)

Nikau - you are a Bcash shill.   We already know you aren’t too bright. 

No definetely not a BCash schill. My sister worked for a professor at MIT studying climate change in the 1970's . The prevailing prediction was a warmer trend before another mini ice age. AKA Maunder minimum.



142. Post 48940030 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on December 29, 2018, 01:40:44 AM
What I find amazing, is the sea levels rose so much before fossil fuels came into the picture. < (sarcasm!)

Nikau - you are a Bcash shill.   We already know you aren’t too bright. 


No, definetely not a BCash schill. My sister worked for a professor at MIT studying climate change in the 1970's . The prevailing prediction was a warmer trend before another mini ice age. AKA Maunder minimum.



143. Post 48942015 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

Well I am happy to make money off of the 97% pushing there climate agenda.
https://www.carbonfund.co.nz/

What I do find much more interesting is the so called 3% who don't quite agree with the consensus. Many scientists are shut out of the debate. Here is one scientist who spoke at the Global Warming Policy Forum and many scientists wanted to shut her up.

I think she is interesting, she connects the solar out put of the suns energy to climate change over long periods of time. She is calling for a return of a mini ice age.

https://www.thegwpf.com/professor-valentina-zharkova-the-solar-magnetic-field-and-the-terrestrial-climate/

If you want to believe the 97% go ahead, but it might still be wise to listen to the 3% ( I doubt these numbers, 97% sounds like propaganda, climate change is now an institutionalized big business. ) For instance, if you want to study red squirrels and their mating habits add the line " as it relates to global warming" you will get the funding.

Remember "97%" of scientists thought the sun revolved around the earth. (Way back in the 1400's - 1500's)

Best to keep an open mind. Sure ...does human activity affect the climate. I would say yes, however is it the main driver? What about that giant yellow ball in the sky?



144. Post 48942067 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

Well I am happy to make money off of the 97% pushing their climate agenda.
https://www.carbonfund.co.nz/

What I do find much more interesting is the so called 3% who don't quite agree with the consensus. Many scientists are shut out of the debate. Here is one scientist who spoke at the Global Warming Policy Forum and many scientists wanted to shut her up.

I think she is interesting, she connects the solar out put of the suns energy to climate change over long periods of time. She is calling for a return of a mini ice age.

https://www.thegwpf.com/professor-valentina-zharkova-the-solar-magnetic-field-and-the-terrestrial-climate/

If you want to believe the 97% go ahead, but it might still be wise to listen to the 3% ( I doubt these numbers, 97% sounds like propaganda, climate change is now an institutionalized big business. ) For instance, if you want to study red squirrels and their mating habits add the line " as it relates to global warming" you will get the funding.

Remember "97%" of scientists thought the sun revolved around the earth. (Way back in the 1400's - 1500's)

Best to keep an open mind. Sure ...does human activity affect the climate. I would say yes, however is it the main driver? What about that giant yellow ball in the sky?

The problem I see is that scientists who disagree are being pushed out of the debate. Which leads to dogma and very little science.



145. Post 48958420 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

Is anyone running a lightning desktop client? Eclair or LND?

I am wanting to give it a go. I have a machine already running Bitcoin core 17.01 along with Armory watching wallets only. Is it possible to run a lightning node on this same machine? I am guessing yes.

Anyone diggin lightning? Just curious.



146. Post 48958696 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

thanks



147. Post 48976143 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

Quote from: bitserve on December 30, 2018, 10:28:46 PM
He makes a good point



Great, maybe go invent one and leave the blockchain industry for good. Win-Win.

not to be confused with a blingchain



148. Post 48977847 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):



Hash wars . Craig Wright attacking Bcash.


Yawn...Happy new year everyone, only 9 hours from where I sit.



149. Post 48977871 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

Did we find a bottom??




150. Post 48978380 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.23h):

Quote from: somac. on December 31, 2018, 03:19:14 AM
Proof of keys? I control my own keys thank you.

Trusted third parties? Isn't that an oxymoron?

I haven't had any coins on an exchange since MtGox. Luckily that mistake only cost me 50BTC. Never again.

Closest thing I have to a trusted third party is my Trezor which I somehow got talked into using against my better judgment. Luckily I only have 5BTC on it. I stopped using it last year after having it for less than half a year.

Obviously cold ("paper" wallet) storage is much more secure. Only I have control over the keys and they're never exposed to the internet except when I sweep a wallet into Mycelium to transfer coins and that's only small amounts for short periods of time.  

This is why it's good to spread your stash between dozens or hundreds of small wallets. My biggest single wallet has a little over 30 coins in it (from pulling out what I had at Cavirtex after being Goxed) but I'm almost scared to sweep it to split it into smaller wallets because that would entail risking that many coins at once by exposing them to the internet.

I suppose I should empty my Trezor on Genesis Block Day as a way to assert ownership of my keys instead of trusting Trezor. Then again why wait until Jan. 3?



So paper wallets (encrypted I assume) are the only thing that you consider to be absolutely safe? also how do you create them? live cd on normal net connected pc (disconnected when creating paper wallet), some kind of specialist device, or air-gapped computer that has never seen the internet?

Does anyone else here think ledgers or trezors are insecure? would choosing your own seed for them, rather then random one provided on setup of device, help you feel secure with it?

I used to use paper wallets but now using a hardware wallet, wondering if maybe I shouldn't.



old school would be air-gapped computer, virgin never touched the internet, with the wireless card physically removed. Direct connection to a printer that is only used for the purpose of making paper wallets with no wireless capabilities.

I use a ledger now, ( still have the air-gapped with armory signing offline ) I really like the ledger. Most vulnerabilities appear to be when someone has physical access to your ledger device. ( nothing is perfect but I like the hardware wallets.)



151. Post 49003144 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.24h):

Quote from: julian071 on January 01, 2019, 11:56:52 PM

Thanks man, I totally forgot haha!

This year will be strange paying taxes, on 11.2k / BTC (in NL you have to pay 1.2% on the value of your crypto on the first of january of the fiscal year). But not hard to do, I love my country so I have no problem paying some taxes.

Is that a 1.2% wealth tax? Do you have to pay that on all assets every year? Yikes!



152. Post 49032904 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.24h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on January 03, 2019, 05:16:05 PM
Kinda insignificant in the overall grand scheme of things, but to celebrate the 10th Anniversary of Bitcorn, I've set my Lightning node fees to be outrageously low for the day.

Practically free.

This is some really cool tech, yo.

Really nice to see Lightning starting to pick up momentum; my "month_fee_sum" has been steadily rising over the last couple months.

Still nowhere near profitability, but, feelsgoodman. Feels like we're starting to see the future possibilities coming into better focus.

Hi BobLawBlaw, Which Lightning software are you running? LND , or Eclair or Huh I am thinking of starting one up. I have a full Bitcoin node running on a machine, along with Armory. I am thinking of using an extra machine just for lightning. Any info on your setup would be appreciated.



153. Post 49089812 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.24h):

Quote from: Toxic2040 on January 06, 2019, 08:51:53 PM
I guess if this is a bull trap...I will happily be first to admit you got me. Looking at longer term indicators seems to show a bounce to $4.8k-$5.3k might be possible.

W



W


Hi Toxic should the Ichimoku cloud settings be 20/60/120/30, to reflect 24/7 trading? I am not an expert, but I know some traders use these settings for crypto.



154. Post 49126388 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.25h):

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/climate/europe-inundated-by-snow-down-to-greece-harvard-study-shows-oceans-are-getting-colder/

Perhaps we have a bright future for Bitcoin proof of work heating systems.



155. Post 49163695 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.25h):

Here is my current take on where we are. I would be happy if we did not get another low, but if we do it will be a gift.






156. Post 49164019 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.25h):

Quote from: mindrust on January 10, 2019, 08:15:53 PM
I don't understand the fud, sure we went off a fucking cliff or two today but this doesn't mean we're going to have a new bottom.

I am not FUD'ing. I still hold my coins and I am not dumping a satoshi till I reach my target price. (or net worth) And I'll keep buying no matter what the price is till I accomplish my goal.

I am just preparing myself (and the other people who read WO) for a real capitulation.

$3.5k is no where near of a bloodbath to name it "capitulation". Sub $2k is.

I agree with you Mindrust. I do not believe we have seen capitulation yet. I am happy to accumulate coins in the 3-4k range.However I think there is a good chance at sub 2k for a very short period of time. ( based on my charts )



157. Post 49184773 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.25h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on January 11, 2019, 09:17:22 PM
Ok so Ive been invested in BTC since 2018 with an average cost basis of about 8k per coin. Sadly I dont see how we arent going to have at least one more huge move down well below 3k. I have orders to buy 3 more coins if we hit 2k. I dont want to sell rn but I am considering taking out a short position here. I believe in Bitcoin, but Im tired of so much losing in my first year Embarrassed

Could a few members help me out and post their best argument for why we already saw the bottom, or their best argument of why we are gonna have another big move to new lows.

Thank you in advance.

Stop worrying about shorting the final gasp of the bear market and start thinking about when you are going to long the bottom and how you are going to do it.  Much more profitable.

I have thought about this, thats why I said I have orders to buy 3 more coins at 2k. Thats all I can afford to lose. It will bring my total investment to almost 40k. I will not invest another dollar after that. All ive known investing in Bitcoin is a terrible bear market and its hard not to worry as early adopters dump on my face Cry, but thank you for the advice.

Im interested in hearing other Bitcoiners best argument(s) as to why the bottom is not in yet(i believe it isnt but hope im wrong). If you have one id love to hear it. If not thanks anyway.



The bottom is probably not in, but it is also probably very close.  It could happen tomorrow or anytime in the next 8 months before the halvening starts to kick in.

We need a deep penetration of the 200 Week Moving Average to kick off an enormous volume spike that will seal the bottom of this bear market.  So basically we are sitting around waiting for one final, terrifying price crash.



If you want to wait until it is "safe" to buy, wait until the Moving Averages are all back in the correct order, eg 30 is above the 50 which is above the 100 which is above the 200.  This last happened in November 2016 around $420 which sparked the first real rally of the bull market.  The taupe and purple lines (30 and 50) were the last to uncross in November 2016.   It is reasonable to expect they will uncross again sometime in late 2019, early 2020 at latest.

All of this assumes we follow the model of the 2014 / 2015 cryptowinter.  To date we have followed it closely, so there is no particular reason to think we will not continue to do so.  

This is not investment advice, I am a drunk with hygiene issues and a degenerate gambler.


I agree with you HairyMaclairy. My chart work posted yesterday is essentially looking for that final low as well. You gave good advice for those who want to be "safe"... referring to the moving averages.



158. Post 49292811 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.26h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on January 18, 2019, 04:35:48 AM
I can't believe it . I actually figured it out.
I'm mining Grin... its Theymos approved so don't shit on me, okay chaps?
And besides, I need a shiggle and and grin in my old age....
you find a pool?

*grumbles*

Is there a thread somewhere we can coordinate stuff and things for Grin mining ?

Was thinking of throwing a 1080ti at it later tonight for shits and giggles.

Yea, I am throwing a 1070 ti at F2Pool. What the hell. I mined Monero very early on under 50 cents. You never know.



159. Post 49293301 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.26h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on January 18, 2019, 08:03:44 AM
I can't believe it . I actually figured it out.
I'm mining Grin... its Theymos approved so don't shit on me, okay chaps?
And besides, I need a shiggle and and grin in my old age....
you find a pool?

*grumbles*

Is there a thread somewhere we can coordinate stuff and things for Grin mining ?

Was thinking of throwing a 1080ti at it later tonight for shits and giggles.

Yea, I am throwing a 1070 ti at F2Pool. What the hell. I mined Monero very early on under 50 cents. You never know.

Mining @ https://www.mwgrinpool.com - It feels so strange to me that you send payments to an IP:Port ? Does not seem very good for OpSec. 3.89 gps with my 1080ti ? *shrugs*

Still trying to figure out this Keybase user stuff. Installed the app, but it has some Stellar wallet in it ?!

EDIT: Moved to f2pool

Yea, I just set up one card in a pc for tonight. I am going to spend time tomorrow looking into running a node and wallet. Try to catch up on the tech. I shut down most of my mine for the summer here in the southern hemisphere. We are moving so most of my gear is in boxes at the moment. Going to watch a movie. See you all later. Oh I am only getting 2.5-2.6 gps on my 1070ti



160. Post 49304154 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.26h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on January 18, 2019, 09:10:58 PM
It tells you when moon.

Half the posters on this thread tell you when moon, but they're usually wrong.
Even a broken watch is right sometimes.  Wink

I am starting to believe that December 2017 might have been properly labelled as a "blow off top"; however, I still am inclined to believe that shit coins are coming along for at least one more btc pumpening, so in other words, the shit coins do not have to die nor be considerably demolished as a condition precedent for another BTC pumpening.  That is my current tentative thinking, for whatever that is worth?

Hey JayJuanGee, Do you think most alts need to be destroyed so the mainstream can trust Bitcoin? I tend to think most alts need to be eliminated for this to happen. At a minimum 95-98% need to go away. You could be right they go on one more ride with Bitcoin. There is so much noise in the space, that being said it is good to see innovation. Much of the innovation could be rolled into Bitcoin if it were deemed useful. Any thoughts?



161. Post 49320641 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.27h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on January 19, 2019, 09:30:22 PM

 If the Democrats refuse this deal, I fear we'll legitimately be facing a civil war situation.

 God help us all.

I just listened. Stepping back from all the politics, it seems like a fair proposal. Something for each side.

Which reminds me...."Why can't we all just get along." Rodney King



162. Post 49322218 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.27h):

Quote from: Biodom on January 20, 2019, 01:07:12 AM
For a potential future societal structure I suggest to read or re-read "Snow Crash" by Neal Stephenson (first published in 1992).

Great book. Could be where we are headed.



163. Post 49356853 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.27h):

Quote from: El duderino_ on January 21, 2019, 10:13:32 PM


https://twitter.com/ArminVanBitcoin/status/1087030980903354370

2 Million is a good start, but still a drop in the bucket. Essentially 1 home in Hollywood that is not that flash. ( I know it will be used for small transactions ) Now in 6 months if we are at 100 million capacity , that would be cool. ( good growth )



164. Post 49371956 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.27h):

Good video from Tyler Jenks who is a traditional money manager. He is known for what he calls hyper waves. It is really worth understanding what Hyper waves are, he describes these in his other videos.
BTW he is bearish now and believes we have not hit the bear market low.

very interesting

Hyperwave - $10 Million Bitcoin

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-nBd9lO7AM

Also

https://medium.com/@lucidfunds/the-long-and-winding-road-to-10-million-bitcoin-4b1c83d26e5d



165. Post 49456602 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.28h):

Unconfiscatable Conference

Pretty good panel if you are interested. 10 hours of discussion from yesterday.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16T5CUNGX2Q



166. Post 49456924 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.28h):

Quote from: infofront on January 27, 2019, 08:10:11 PM
Unconfiscatable Conference

Pretty good panel if you are interested. 10 hours of discussion from yesterday.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16T5CUNGX2Q

Can I get a TL:DW summary?

Trace Mayer was interesting.
The author of the Bitcoin Standard spoke.
Tyler Jenks a traditional money manager spoke about Hyper Wave. He is bearish for now but very bullish longer term.
Ugly Old Goat spoke and unmasked himself.
Another analyst spoke about why he thinks we have entered the accumulation phase.

Overall pretty good.



167. Post 49457187 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.28h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on January 27, 2019, 08:37:14 PM

To be fair, the gold doesn’t belong to Maduro and the West should not assist him stealing it while Venezuela burns.

I’m sure the goldbugs are going conspiratard over it tho.

Old news really . Same thing happened last year.
https://www.kitco.com/news/2018-11-08/The-BoE-Refuses-To-Release-Venezuela-s-Gold-Worth-550-Million-Reports.html



168. Post 49463045 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.28h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on January 28, 2019, 07:25:59 AM
Unconfiscatable Conference

Pretty good panel if you are interested. 10 hours of discussion from yesterday.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16T5CUNGX2Q

Can I get a TL:DW summary?

Trace Mayer was interesting.
The author of the Bitcoin Standard spoke.
Tyler Jenks a traditional money manager spoke about Hyper Wave. He is bearish for now but very bullish longer term.
Ugly Old Goat spoke and unmasked himself.
Another analyst spoke about why he thinks we have entered the accumulation phase.

Overall pretty good.

I appreciate that you provided that video link.  I did watch the video, too.  10.5 hours playing in the background, so yeah quite a long one.  

Even though everyone there seemed to be bitcoin maximalists, they seemed to have a common sentiment of long term bullishness and pretty decent short term bearishness.

Cool , glad you enjoyed it. That is what I did too, played it in the background. I may listen to a few sections over again. Cheers.



169. Post 49476337 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.28h):

Better times.

Why can't we be friends? 1975

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5FfJ89rGPc



170. Post 49665606 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.30h):

Quote from: Last of the V8s on February 09, 2019, 10:14:21 PM


Yes, pretty much true.

Socialism is easy to vote for, but you need a gun to get rid of it.



171. Post 49732644 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.31h):

Quote from: Hueristic on February 14, 2019, 03:48:56 AM
I lived in China for about six months.  In Shanghai, in the French concession.  I was working for a company in the Jing'an district.  This gave me the opportunity to experience first hand what it is like to live in a country with little to no environmental regulations.  It has been awhile since I have been there so things may have changed a bit since but I have my doubts.

  • I went out to the bars on Bund one night and came home piss drunk.  Hopped in the shower and was thirsty and drunk so took a big mouthful of water.  I nearly vomited and was instantly sober.  Shanghai tap water is disgusting - no one drinks it except the very poor.  It tastes like liquid metal with god knows what mixed in
  • I was driving home in a taxi one winter evening and looked out the window at the beautiful snow fall.  Then I realised it was still well above freezing.  The falling "snow" was just fly ash from the local coal fired power station
  • A friend of mine landed at the airport.  I went to collect her.  On the taxi ride into the city she commented on the moon which was high in the sky.  I told her 'no' that's the sun and its just smog that make it look dim.  We then had an argument about whether it was the sun or the moon.  I was right and she was wrong.

Here is a picture of what Shanghai looks like on a typical day



Here is a photo of Beijing, which tends to be worse than Shanghai



A pic from Shijiazhuang which is further inland





You guys might think that environmental regulations are killing the USA and UK, but I suggest the opposite.  A lack of environmental regulations are killing China and places in Asia.  All the rich Chinese establish anchor homes in the West, in part just so they can get away from the pollution.  

Think twice before you advocate for getting rid of environmental protections.  You might think that the EPA is communist, but it is truly awful living somewhere without proper environmental controls.  I was offered a pay rise if I would stay for another six months after my contract was up, but I got the fuck out of China and have never been back.  Once I got off the plane in the West and walked into the airport parking lot, all I could smell was this wall of fresh air and flowers.  That memory is absolutely seared into my brain after six months of living in smog.  




Some more information just so you don't think I am making it up:

Quote
Can I drink the tap water in China?

No, the tap water in China is not safe to drink. Unlike most western countries where there is easy access to safe tap water, in most places in China the tap water, although it looks clear, is not safe for drinking unless it has been boiled. Even in big cities like Beijing and Shanghai, water from the tap is not well filtered, sterilized, or purified, and may carry hazardous contaminants like sediments, rusts, bacteria, virus, chlorines, or other heavy metals. Sicknesses like diarrhea caused by drinking unclean water may spoil your trip.
Source: https://www.travelchinaguide.com/essential/water.htm

Quote
China's air pollution crisis shows no sign of ending as nation fails to lower coal use  10 January 2017

For the last month, severe air pollution has choked Beijing and coal is estimated to cause about 40 per cent of the smog in the nation's capital. Other cities in the north, such as Shijiazhuang, have recorded air quality of 1000 PM2.5. PM2.5 are fine particles less than 2.5 micrometres in diameter that can lodge in the lungs and get into the bloodstream. The World Health Organisation says anything over 25 PM2.5 as a health hazard
 Source:  https://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-01-08/chinese-air-pollution-crisis-caused-by-ongoing-coal-use/8168702


Look at you, using all facts and shit, lets not have that crap get in the way of a good party line.

I have no issues with green policy. We need to be smart about it. For instance if we turned all of our cars to electric today, then we would only have a 50 year supply of lithium for batteries. My point is the earth is finite in every regard. You need rare earths for magnets for wind turbines etc. and the leaching process to refine mined metals is highly polluting. With a bit of effort you can minimize the pollution but you also use a hell of a lot of fresh water.

Let me give an example of bad policy. Natural gas is considered a clean transition fuel ( by most nations ) to get to the quote clean economy. New Zealand has passed laws to stop all new exploration /( consents by the government) to search for natural gas. This is a green labor deal. We go into a worldwide supply deficit for Natural Gas starting in 2020. China is or will be soon the world leader in renewable energy. They also realize using natural gas will help get them there. ( Good Policy ) Last time I checked they have plans to increase natural gas use while decreasing things like coal.

Green is good when it is intelligent. At any rate there is a ton of money to be made on the transition if you know what commodities will be valuable.

just sayin..



172. Post 49733018 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.31h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on February 14, 2019, 05:49:46 AM
I worked in mining for 15 years.  We have fuck loads of lithium, rare earths, gold, copper, coal, uranium etc.  

The calculation of a mineable reserves only references quantities that are economically extractable at the current market price.  Increase the current market price by 50% and you could easily triple or quadruple known economically extractable reserves.  “Hey where did all this lithium just come from nowhere?”  It was always there, just you would lose money with every shovel full at the previous price, so it wasn’t counted as a “reserve”. 

Half the time they can get significant production by just reprocessing tailings with modern methods.

That’s what people like Roach don’t understand.  There is a massive dam wall of supply of ore just waiting for the price to creep up a bit.  Put the price of gold up 10% and bam the Chinese reopen all the mines they shuttered.



Right I agree! Economically ex tractable. Is the key!!!! Have a look at Lynas ( Australia rare earth producer ) and the controversy in Malaysia about its processing plant. They are upset about radioactive byproducts in the refining process.

Anyways I have not worked in the mining industry but I understand it quite well. The greens will make some people quite rich who understand the resource needs to transform the economy. My point is most greens do understand the trade offs with pollution.

I have worked in Singapore on two occasions. I think we will transition to a green economy but we will need many forms of energy production. One example I saw in Singapore was at a car park. Every time you ran over what looking like a plastic speed bump it generated energy that was stored and reused on site.

Anyways I am happy with the green proposals because it will cause a boom in certain minerals. Remember for every Prius Car you build there is a whole the size of your house in Australia dug for the 17 or so KG's of rare earths. As you know we are talking grams per ton of extracted material.



173. Post 49829842 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.32h):

Does anyone want a Bitmain coupon for 65$ and 160 USD ? ( Good to March 31 )  I am not buying any equipment at this time.
PM me and I will transfer it free to the first person.



174. Post 49844305 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.33h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on February 21, 2019, 02:27:59 AM
The world gold council says this huh? No chance they could be bias now is there?
The more impressive part is they are worried enough to put out this press release

Well in all fairness the statement at this time is true. As great as Bitcoin is , we have a long way to go before it gains mass acceptance. It is only 10 years old vs a very long history in gold.
Just sayin..



175. Post 49903344 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.33h):

Just woke up. Looks like a splash down party.




176. Post 49906390 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.33h):

Quote from: jbreher on February 25, 2019, 12:19:34 AM
Update from Cryptopia Managing Director posted on Discord :



"kack"?

Yea looks like they were "kacked" on. Sounds unpleasant.

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Kacks



177. Post 50418547 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.39h):

YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Giant green dildo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!



178. Post 51004145 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.45h):

Looking good.
At some point we will need a pullback. Would be nice to see 6k form strong support.



179. Post 51246984 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.48h):

China legalises holding Bitcoin - ICO's still illegal.

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/china-legalizes-holding-bitcoins-and-p2p-otc-trading-201905280445?utm_source=tradingview&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=254b9d70-7c4b-481b-a94e-aaac0c60ed14



180. Post 51248233 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.48h):

More positive news

Yahoo!’s cryptocurrency exchange to go live on May 30

https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/yahoos-cryptocurrency-exchange-to-go-live-on-may-30-201905280742?utm_source=tradingview&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=254b9d70-7c4b-481b-a94e-aaac0c60ed14



181. Post 51248435 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.48h):

Quote from: Majormax on May 28, 2019, 08:01:18 AM
still hovering on the levels of the last rise.

this is looking stable, it doenst want to go down

solid level for the next rise

SUMMER OF PUMP 2019 coming

Do you think?
I’d rather we had a slow, steadier rise than last time, at least until we reach the halving.

I’m not in the mood for an unsustainable, parabolic rise now if we’re just going to get a major correction again.

I’ve tried to meticulously plan what I’m going to do this time but I’m not really prepared for any kind of selling, at least mentally, until the end of 2020 at the earliest.

Bitcoin will do what it wants to do though so I guess we must be prepared for all scenarios.
I really think 2021 is the time we’ll see fireworks though in this cycle. I think it’s far too early to expect a new ATH this summer.

a new ATH would be nice before the halvening, between 30k and 70k after that a crash down and then a new rise after the halvening.
Adoption is rising and big players are getting into the game. Infrastructure is being buildt and me might get an ETF this year.
Things are set up for a new wave of adaption.
The price looks quite parabolic but yet not too steep, so things are looking quite good.
Nobody knows, i can just say it feels like it going to do something that nobody is expecting

That scenario is very unlikely, and undesirable IMO.  When that sort of parabolic rise ends, another crypto winter is more likely than anything else.

The 2016 chart is more instructive, and that suggests a few pullbacks this year, ending higher but not ATH.

Yea, I would agree. We do not want a parabolic rise here. I would like to see 9400-9700 then a healthy correction and stay above 6000 before heading higher.



182. Post 51249074 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.48h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on May 28, 2019, 09:06:20 AM

Yahoo.  Determined to be third best at everything on the internet.

Yea, I would agree.



183. Post 51463826 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.51h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on June 14, 2019, 10:23:25 AM
Anybody here still mine?
Was half heartedly looking into it the other day, I suppose it’s not very profitable for a lone miner these days with UK electricity prices?

I still do. But mostly to generate heat for the house. Although I just moved to Australia so the summers it may not be a good idea. I have an S9 still running.



184. Post 51475311 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.51h):

I found this cool dollar cost averaging calculator just for Bitcoin.

Good to show friends who have no coins or are afraid to invest. Ugly Old Goat also did a good article about DCA with Bitcoin in Medium.

https://dcabtc.com/



185. Post 51481935 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.51h):

I am not seeing any mention of Bitcoin in the mainstream media, which leads me to think the rally has some legs, ....before some kind of correction.



186. Post 51542622 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.52h):

9655 ! Go!



187. Post 51542818 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.52h):

10k Tonight? Go!



188. Post 51544165 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.52h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on June 21, 2019, 04:26:35 AM
10k Tonight? Go!

TBH, I'm hoping for a small pullback, so I can BTFD before $10k, and finish off acquiring another whole kernel of corn (Currently at 0.72 BTC purchased on dips). Not going to FOMO at these levels, despite having the cash already loaded on the exchange.

The next twenty-four hours are absolutely critical.

I would like more corn too. I am all in at the moment so ...dips don't help me too much right here. Although I will have more fiat next month.



189. Post 51556994 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.52h):

How do you like it? How do you like it ?

More, More, More !

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RlJGrIyt-X8&list=RDRlJGrIyt-X8&start_radio=1

I had to work today so I missed it crossing 10k.



190. Post 51557659 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.52h):

We may be just getting started. The last time the weekly EMA crossed over was October 25th 2015, which led to a two year bull market. We just went positive again on June 9th 2019. So maybe we are just getting started?



If this were a normal asset my instinct would look for a pullback to make a large cup and handle. But we all know Bitcoin is the extraordinary, unlike no other.



191. Post 51558202 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.52h):

Quote from: Pamoldar on June 22, 2019, 08:24:06 AM
Brothers,
What's your take from this: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5157191.0

Well it is a good story. First she was confused about what to expect with the milk expanding. She had a linear expectation while living in a non linear world. ( big mistake).

No one knows how high Bitcoin will go or not go. Personally I would be uncomfortable with ALL my wealth in Bitcoin. ( that is just me) My strategy is selling some during extraordinary Bull runs and putting the proceeds into other assets. ( that is just me). All of my bitcoin is at no cost. It is all house money. Which means I will not be like the Gypsy.

That being said, I am also uncomfortable not owning enough relative to my net worth. ( I guess it is personal to everyone's situation )

That is my two cents.



192. Post 51580785 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.52h):

Reviving this thread.

BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=470453.msg26854986#msg26854986

Current fair value 44k
and -1.423

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00331615547164061++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.118770392977885+)

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00331615547164061++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.118770392977885+)



193. Post 51604771 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.53h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 26, 2019, 04:27:30 AM
26/10/2018 kurious Sad
09/11/2018 fabiorem
15/11/2018 bitserve
20/11/2018 Globb0
22/11/2018 Last of the V8s
01/12/2018 Alexander_Z
07/03/2019 CoinCube
15/04/2019 Spaceman_Spiff_Original
20/06/2019 bitebits
13/12/2019 nikauforest
10/04/2020 yefi
05/09/2020 samson   
23/06/2021 fortune143             


12288= 1 person shorter..... only 12 remaining on this list....

I would say the best spot for winning that list is hodl by bitebits.

Indeed.


That game is OVER!!!!!

Dun!!!!

Kapooooot!!!!

Just a few minutes ago, such price of $12,288 has been reached and breached.

I am ashamed. I was not in fomo/pump/hodl mode enough to be anywhere near right. Sad

playing my fomo song still Smiley

Brad


Your guess was closer than my (non-existing) one.   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

I am happy just to be in the top twelve. Also happy it came sooner than I expected.



194. Post 51604931 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.53h):

Yea , I do need to divorce myself from my inner bear.

Any idea where it is going to take a rest? ( even for a day or two ?)  Vertical rises are fun while they last. Not that I am doing much about it , tax consequences are too high to trade.



195. Post 51605018 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.53h):

DAMN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
What a rocket ride!



196. Post 51606281 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.53h):

Bitfinex goes offline in 30 minutes for 7 hour upgrade.

https://cryptopotato.com/more-action-ahead-bitfinex-goes-offline-for-7-hours-at-8-am-utc/

UTC time
https://time.is/UTC

Wonder what happens next? Would hate to have my trading with them.



197. Post 51615332 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.53h):

Just woke up! Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!

This is good a bit of a rest.



198. Post 51667480 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.54h):

Quote from: smartcomet on July 01, 2019, 02:35:47 AM
https://twitter.com/ayandgbtcmax/status/1145304785668595713
Quote
Here's the Puell Multiple Z-Score Chart against $btcusd prices based on @kenoshaking's multiple to spot market tops and bottoms. This tells me that the party has hardly started.


The blip on the Z score could be doing what it did just before May 2012.  If you look at the rally after the decline , then and now. In other words we get a correction in price now, before the massive bull run starts.



199. Post 51725887 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.54h):

Ledger researchers discover seed exploit on Trezor.
FYI

https://beincrypto.com/ledger-researchers-uncover-seed-extraction-exploit-trezor-wallets/



200. Post 51726071 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.54h):

Quote from: heslo on July 06, 2019, 08:50:28 AM

Using a passphrase nullifies this exploit AFAIK.

I have both wallets, I still like Trezor better regardless... got burnt hard with the Ledger Blue, that thing just sits collecting dust with no support.

I have not tried Trezor, so I have no opinion. I have a ledger nano-s and still use Armory Wallets with offline air gaped signing.



201. Post 51791443 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.55h):

Damn! Nice!!!

Chairman Powell

However, he noted, bitcoin is already increasingly taking over gold in the global economy as a store of value.

https://bitcoinist.com/federal-reserve-chairman-jerome-powell-bitcoin-a-store-of-value-like-gold/



202. Post 51791482 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.55h):

Quote from: kurious on July 11, 2019, 10:25:12 PM
He also said..

Thou shalt always read the previous pages
Before posting, for fear of posting
Something that already has been before
Amen

Sorry mate my bad



203. Post 51893665 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.56h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on July 20, 2019, 10:04:53 PM
More pixels.  10 merits to whoever can tell me the location of this picture.  It is somewhere well known in the world. Further pixels to be added at random timings.



Charles de Gaulle – Étoile in Paris???



204. Post 51893919 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.56h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on July 20, 2019, 10:56:54 PM
Here is the full picture.  Entrance to Etoile with Arc de Triomphe in the background.

How did you know with just the 'e'?







Cool , it was the "le" in the pic that gave the clue. Thanks



205. Post 51894066 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.56h):

Quote from: El duderino_ on July 20, 2019, 11:03:28 PM
Btw NICE win.....

Must be a french Guy.....

And F*** HM you pretty close to Antwerp Cheesy

Thanks...It was the ("some place famous" + le + blue sign + stairs down ( assumed a metro station).
I got a bit lucky, but I am not French. I am living in Australia at the moment. Originally from the US then lived in New Zealand.
Cheers



206. Post 52362103 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.00h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on September 04, 2019, 11:53:43 AM


Still in the triangle. If this breaks out upwards, this is going to play out exactly like anon predicted. $16k in October.

Big 200/350D MA Golden cross is supporting this too. You can't get more bullish than this.

Good news is, it looks like there will be another month (maybe 2 at best) to collect cheap coins. Possibly our last chance. Consolidation is happening around here. Anything you buy from here may return you x6-x10 profits in a year.

BAKKT will be the trigger probably.

I was also thinkin about Torque's post.

Those wondering about the impact of BAKKT on the market, needs to realize something else.
It's not the fact that they are going live within days. It's completely the relative timing.
They could have gone live over a year ago. The tech was already in place and working behind closed doors.
But they didn't. They delayed it.
So ask yourself: Why go live now? Why not a year ago? Or why not kick the can for another year?

Either Anon knew BAKKT was going to launch on Sept 23 (less likely), or the BAKKT officers put the launch date on September, purposefully just to amplify the gains. Right before the big parabolic move.

@mindrust - You’re turning me on!
This kind of post should be X rated. It’s giving me a sweat Grin

Descending Triangles will break to the downside 55% of the time with an average decline of 19%. This would pull us back to 7k ish, which is the phase 2 trend line from the uber bull of 2017.
Descending Triangles will fail to break to the downside 45% of the time. ( break to the upside ) with an average rise of 42% , which would bring us to 14 k ish.

Essentially with  Descending Triangles it is best to wait for the break either up or down. They are not particularly reliable until the break.

There is a great book called "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns by Bulkowski " It might be out print? It is a great resource as it breaks down the odds of the 50 or so most reoccurring patterns.



207. Post 52363156 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.00h):



As of August 2019.

I love the green movement. Very Naive in terms of what resources will be needed to shift out of fossil fuels. Mining companies love the green movement. Australia had its first surplus in 44 years due to exporting natural resources. Yes coal will die and fossil fuels use will greatly diminish, however mining will boom for the transition materials required.
 



208. Post 52363166 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.00h):

^ from an energy exhibit in Richmond, Virginia last month



209. Post 52363206 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.00h):

It is more than just Lithium. According to the CEO of Sandfire Resources , we will need 12 times our current copper usage. The list goes on into other materials such as rare earths.

Don't get me wrong , I am for the green energy movement.



210. Post 52363478 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.00h):

Quote from: Ibian on September 05, 2019, 02:39:21 AM
It is more than just Lithium. According to the CEO of Sandfire Resources , we will need 12 times our current copper usage. The list goes on into other materials such as rare earths.

Don't get me wrong , I am for the green energy movement.
If it requires 12 times the materials we currently use then it's not "green", WHATEVER people think that means, it's just wasteful.

And just because I know people keep forgetting, co2 is not a pollutant.

Bingo! You are correct!



211. Post 52467675 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.01h):

Since we are all feeling consolidated and a bit bored ....

Here is an interesting set of graphs posted on WTF Happened In 1971? (after we went off the Gold standard)

https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/




212. Post 52468800 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.01h):

^ cool
I missed that . I was travelling overseas, so I missed a whole month of WO! I could only check a few times a week.



213. Post 52485749 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.01h):

Ready for some weird stuff. Bitcoin Sci-Fi
Someone else posted this on F2Pool

Hyperbitcoinization on Earth BTC

What does a hyperbitcoinized future Earth settling nearby planets look like?

https://www.unchained-capital.com/blog/law-of-hash-horizons/

If someone else has posted this already ...my bad



214. Post 52485838 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.01h):

Quote from: jojo69 on September 18, 2019, 04:01:16 AM
Ready for some weird stuff. Bitcoin Sci-Fi
Someone else posted this on F2Pool

Hyperbitcoinization on Earth BTC

What does a hyperbitcoinized future Earth settling nearby planets look like?

https://www.unchained-capital.com/blog/law-of-hash-horizons/

If someone else has posted this already ...my bad

"center of hash"

outstanding, and yes, it's new here

BTW, they ripped that graphic element directly from http://stuffin.space/

Yea, I thought it was pretty cool. I never thought about "center of hash " issues until reading this.



215. Post 52495094 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.02h):

Here we go again sub 10k



216. Post 52514594 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.02h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on September 21, 2019, 04:33:46 AM
Yes.   Add another nutjob to the mix in order to assert that you are not the only nutjob.

Oh yes, he now says all the same things I do about Bitcoin, so that means because he's not attempting to promote the pump and dump scam for JayJuanGee to profit on from fraud, he must have zero credibility and be a complete nutjob:

Haven't you realized by now, that bitcoin is going to bitcoin,.... (the rest is edited out)


Yea shit! "Bitcoin is going to Bitcoin!" I like it!
Bitcoin is going to Bitcoin!!!! Like never before , it is just going to keep on Bitcoin'in.

Got Bitcoin?



217. Post 52533839 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.02h):

I think Whales are lurking at 10k. Up or down? I think they want cheap coins. If they push it down it won't last long IMHO.




218. Post 52548273 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.02h):

I just woke up to some of my buy orders getting filled. Here is a fractal that may play out. I am not expected a V bottom in any case.




219. Post 52558465 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.02h):

Quote from: jbreher on September 25, 2019, 09:31:05 PM
^^
NP jbreher will keep pumping/supporting that one

Clearly BSV led that drop. Little ol' BTC merely caught in the wake.

or smth

Whatevs... I have all the time in the world.

One will not say that when he’s under the dirt......

No man got all the time in the world....

When one is in the catbird seat, the difference between the end of the world and 'it doesn't matter' is merely academic.

Well hopefully you are referring to you BTC investment rather than bcash or various varients of bcash, which are both likely to perform less well than bitcoin.  

Of course, if you have a smaller portion in bcash, then you still might do o.k., but not as well as if you ONLY held bitcoin.  

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

That's an evasive response if I had ever seen one.   Tongue

No evasion whatsoever. If one reads and ponders, that response is all that need be said.

You seem to be of the notion that since BTC is doing well relative to the other Bitcoins at the moment, that it will do so for all time.

As you are aware, my thesis is that Blockalypse II is in BTC's future, which will drive adoption to the other Bitcoins. This is an episodic event, consisting of a sea change in BTC's operating environment. Such an precipitating event may result in a snowball into the more capacious Bitcoins, each of which fits the purity narrative of hewing closer to the initial protocol design.

IOW, Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.


Hey jbreher... Lets say for a moment Blockalypse II takes place. I would think this would be so damaging to Crypto it might not add value to other cryptos. It might just make people turn away altogether. Just thinking out load. In a real Apocalypse it would take a long time to recover from the devastation.



220. Post 52562681 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.02h):

Quote from: fillippone on September 26, 2019, 11:42:31 AM
Little variation on the classical WO game: where am I?



This is depressing...


The New One World Trade Center , New York City ?



221. Post 52570095 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.03h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on September 27, 2019, 02:29:26 AM
Daily RSI is at 20.

The only time we have been this low in the last couple of years was when we bottomed at $3.1k.


Time to bounce

Yes ...but the weekly RSI is still relatively high and falling.



222. Post 52570473 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.03h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on September 27, 2019, 08:15:05 AM
I disagree on your interpretation of “relatively high”.  Weekly RSI is about 45 and falling.   Historically the only time we get under 45 Weekly RSI is during the significant bottoming events in January 2015 and December 2018.  I would say 45 Weekly RSI is “relatively low”.

To get much further down you have to assume a capitulation event. We already had our capitulation this cycle.  Am not convinced we need a second one this cycle.   During the 2013 first crash we never got below 48 Weekly RSI.



I see where you are coming from. The only thing I would add is we fell from 6k to 3k from these weekly RSI numbers. I don't discount a bounce here. I also would not be surprised if we go down to 7k. Beyond that I don't expect much further downside. I have been doing some buying at these levels , so that says something of my expectations.



223. Post 52577245 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.03h):

I have a 6kWh Solar panel system going in next Wednesday. So I am doing my part Smiley

Long way to go though. From August 2019, which I posted before.




224. Post 52586977 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.03h):

Quote from: jojo69 on September 28, 2019, 06:49:21 PM
Antidepressants are evil.

If I have a religion, it is my belief in the immutability of the laws of thermodynamics.  I believe they apply beyond the material plane.

There is no free lunch.  All equations will balance.  Joy has no meaning without sorrow.

Any attempt to circumvent pain will be ultimately futile.  Attempting to borrow happiness from the future is ill advised.

gave you a merit.



225. Post 52600859 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.03h):

buying some here below 7800. I still expect 7200.



226. Post 52609635 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.03h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on September 30, 2019, 10:43:53 PM
I paid US$6,500 installed for a 8.5kw system which is a very large system including top quality panels and microinverters (not the cheaper string inverters).  You should be able to get a decent smaller system for less than US$3k installed.  I don't understand the pricing you have quoted.

If you size the system appropriately, you should be able to pay off the panels in 3 - 4 years.  Yes this requires staying in the same house for 3 - 4 years  Grin   After that it is free electricity.  But it also improves the resale value of your home. 

The power companies pay me about $4 per day for the solar I send to the grid.  My quarterly power bill is the power company paying me about $360.   Once your HOA realises they can make money off it, they will come around.  I put some panels in suboptimal positions so that I do not have any panels directly visible from the front. 



Hey Hairy. What is the feed in tariff rate where you are. I am .11cents AUD.



227. Post 52610954 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.03h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on September 30, 2019, 11:21:21 PM
I paid US$6,500 installed for a 8.5kw system which is a very large system including top quality panels and microinverters (not the cheaper string inverters).  You should be able to get a decent smaller system for less than US$3k installed.  I don't understand the pricing you have quoted.

If you size the system appropriately, you should be able to pay off the panels in 3 - 4 years.  Yes this requires staying in the same house for 3 - 4 years  Grin   After that it is free electricity.  But it also improves the resale value of your home.  

The power companies pay me about $4 per day for the solar I send to the grid.  My quarterly power bill is the power company paying me about $360.   Once your HOA realises they can make money off it, they will come around.  I put some panels in suboptimal positions so that I do not have any panels directly visible from the front.  



Hey Hairy. What is the feed in tariff rate where you are. I am .11cents AUD.

20 cents AUD.  

Solar Boost Plus.

If you switch to Origin you should be able to get 15 cents.

https://www.originenergy.com.au/solar/feed-in-tariff-rates.html#rates

I bought a battery because I don’t think those prices can last.  Not with spot prices on the NEM going to zero at noon.

Thanks for the info. My Solar is being installed tomorrow. Currently I am with Alinta without a contact lock in...so I could switch.



228. Post 52803943 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.05h):

Quote from: nikauforest on September 24, 2019, 08:21:52 PM
I just woke up to some of my buy orders getting filled. Here is a fractal that may play out. I am not expected a V bottom in any case.



This chart I posted weeks ago has Bitcoin bottoming next week( who knows really ). I need to update the chart, the movement is rhyming with the previous fractal. The big green line is the phase 2 trend line around 7k.



229. Post 53035138 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.06h):

Quote from: BobLawblaw on November 09, 2019, 10:30:40 PM
Oh no! Not Bakkt again! This is going to trigger V8!

I must admit, I don't understand Bakkt. There are a lot of different things and stuff happening with Bitcoin lately, and kinda hard to keep on top of everything that's developing or being rolled out.

Bummed out bailing on LND as "entirely unprofitable and a management nightmare", GRIN being a pile of shit (new 2080ti gaming rig on the positive side !) and nothing else being interesting to me in crypto space right now, in terms of Layer 2 Bitcorn stuff. Even Liquid is boring AF to me.

So, I will just HODL until $15k.




Yeah, I came to the same conclusion. Lightning is very cool, but a time sink and not very profitable. I have been getting back into VR to pass some time and do development.



230. Post 53952670 (copy this link) (by nikauforest) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_17.17h):

Quote from: nikauforest on October 18, 2019, 11:12:38 PM
I just woke up to some of my buy orders getting filled. Here is a fractal that may play out. I am not expected a V bottom in any case.



This chart I posted weeks ago has Bitcoin bottoming next week( who knows really ). I need to update the chart, the movement is rhyming with the previous fractal. The big green line is the phase 2 trend line around 7k.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Looks like it followed the last fractal with some exaggerated moves. Here is where we are now.