All posts made by edwardspitz in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 5763206 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Kraken.com was down for about 15 min. in the middle of this shit storm. Glad I sold all my coin yesterday, but I'm guessing there are a few people who have been getting bit desperate   Angry



2. Post 5881619 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

I'm currently on vacation in Tenerife. I picked this hotel because it was the only reasonably priced hotel with WiFi in the room (I had to get a "superior room" though Grin)... So the plan was to do some trading and generally keep an eye the developments. Only problem is that the internet connection is really really unstable. Currently I lose the connection once every minute Embarrassed So I hodl and hope for the best for now :-)



3. Post 5881779 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: FTWbitcoinFTW on March 24, 2014, 10:23:30 PM
Check for RJ45 plug on room  and grab a cable

No where to plug it in except the hotel managers butt. There only WiFi. It is a capacity issue I think. Every morning and every night it is the same problem... I contemplate starting the fire alarm. That should give people something else to worry about instead of surfing pr0n on the net :-)

@fonzie: Myanmar sounds nice. Maybe I should go there next time :-)



4. Post 5893196 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: explorer on March 25, 2014, 02:17:59 PM
比特币 = bǐtè bì = "bitcoin"

I remain very skeptical of the Chinese language's long term success.

i lol´d hard.

They seem to be far behind also with eating technology. I once bought, made in china, a fork-sppon-knife set that was solidly grommeted together by the handles.

How would one hodl such a device?

:-) I guess you would use both hands and then realize you have been trapped. Then all you can do is hodl tightly and hope it will eventually break. While you wait you will have time to regret your purchase.

I'm sorry that was just plain silly.



5. Post 5903352 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Please help me interpret what is going on at Huobi right now. There is a fair bit of volume, but the price is fixed at 3540. It looks very odd, like two dealers/bots cancelling each other out. It did the same thing last night between 2 and 3. It is as if someone has decided that 3540 is the perfect price to buy coins at. Or am I misinterpreting what is going on?



6. Post 5903621 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: chessnut on March 26, 2014, 01:22:07 AM
Please help me interpret what is going on at Huobi right now. There is a fair bit of volume, but the price is fixed at 3540. It looks very odd, like two dealers/bots cancelling each other out. It did the same thing last night between 2 and 3. It is as if someone has decided that 3540 is the perfect price to buy coins at. Or am I misinterpreting what is going on?

I had trouble understanding a bug like that a few days ago at 3479. Huobi has had minor bugs since the ddos attack a few days ago. but my huobi chart on bitcoin wisdom is working just fine, it says the price is 3531.

I was also looking at the chart on Bitcoinwisdom. The chart on https://www.huobi.com/ shows the same thing.

Here is the section that puzzles me:

Image here: http://imgur.com/EI1rtfK

As mentioned the graph on Huobi shows the same thing, so unless they also have a bug I find it a bit fishy. If this is a bug I don't think it is the same bug as the one with the bid list.



7. Post 5903808 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: chessnut on March 26, 2014, 01:48:01 AM
I was also looking at the chart on Bitcoinwisdom. The chart on https://www.huobi.com/ shows the same thing.

Here is the section that puzzles me:


As mentioned the graph on Huobi shows the same thing, so unless they also have a bug I find it a bit fishy.

Bitcoinwisdom has stated that the bug is on Huobi but that is the only data source they have so they must show the bug prices or nothing.

though I still see nothing fishy on bitcoin wisdom at the moment.

My image did not work but try this http://imgur.com/EI1rtfK 

I don't think there is anything wrong with bitcoin wisdom. It is the trading that is taking place that i find odd: A dump is made so that the price reaches 3540. A few moments later all traders agree that 3540 is both the perfect price to sell at and buy at. It must be a machine/script. But why???



8. Post 5904037 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on March 26, 2014, 01:55:05 AM
I was also looking at the chart on Bitcoinwisdom. The chart on https://www.huobi.com/ shows the same thing.

Here is the section that puzzles me:


As mentioned the graph on Huobi shows the same thing, so unless they also have a bug I find it a bit fishy.

Bitcoinwisdom has stated that the bug is on Huobi but that is the only data source they have so they must show the bug prices or nothing.

though I still see nothing fishy on bitcoin wisdom at the moment.

My image did not work but try this http://imgur.com/EI1rtfK  

I don't think there is anything wrong with bitcoin wisdom. It is the trading that is taking place that i find odd: A dump is made so that the price reaches 3540. A few moments later all traders agree that 3540 is both the perfect price to sell at and buy at. It must be a machine/script. But why???

Here is the chart from Huobi for the same period:


Image link: http://imgur.com/gueKpEW

Lots of volume but basically no variation in price.



9. Post 5904410 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on March 26, 2014, 02:15:37 AM
The largest volume spike in that period is just about 100BTC.

It could easily be two small walls right next to each other. Happens on USD markets frequently.

Ok, I see.

When it happened yesterday the largest volume-spike was 600 BTC over a 5 min. period (on average maybe 250 BTC every 5 minutes). The price was almost flat for 60 minutes, and the total volume was around 3000 BTC. There was a little variation in price in that period (between 3530 and 3534).

But I understand it can occur due to buy/sell walls very close together. Thanks for taking your time to explain.



10. Post 5908229 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Lets go 600. Huge buys all around :-)



11. Post 5911466 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Wake up Stamp?



12. Post 5911674 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: TERA on March 26, 2014, 01:41:10 PM
Wake up Stamp?
Why? Is it supposed to follow Huobi's fake volume?

Yes



13. Post 5912033 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

I guess so. If the volume is fake then I understand why. But if it is even a quarter of the volume is correct it is still substantial.



14. Post 5913734 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: TakeTheSkyRoad on March 26, 2014, 03:40:50 PM
At one point this thread had 5689 pages...
Yeah I noticed the shrinking too.

Same thing has been happening to the volume of BTC in circulation, it has been shrinking recently as well.... . What gives? It dropped from 12.4M to 12.1M

Yup, it's better to save the entire thread, so you can blackmail later.

Down to 5684 now... page crash !! lol

Soon someone will come up with a chart that shows a nice correlation between BC price and the amount of posts in this thread :-)



15. Post 5922751 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on March 27, 2014, 12:37:12 AM
After seeing the tax treatment the IRS put out recently, I'd move to Denmark in a second, if I didn't think the whole country is going to sink into the ocean, lol.

Bitcoin is kinda done here in the U.S. Can't use it. No reason to hold it. The revolution, she is caput. Hopefully other countries will take up the torch.

If you want to apply for citizenship i'll put in a good word for you (I am from Denmark)  Grin



16. Post 5923008 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Is what we are witnessing a Bitcoin style bailout... it looks kind of well organized? Is now the time to show support and buy BC to assist those who are keeping things "on track" or leave it to those who have made huge profits from BC, and who have too much at stake to let Bitcoin drop one more time? I am a newbie, so please bear with me if my interpretation is completely wrong.



17. Post 5935727 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: fonzie on March 27, 2014, 06:16:17 PM
When Mark and his shiny blue ball left the game, that was the moment when Bitcoin unlearnt how to bounce appropriate.
 Sad


You are referring to the 4k dump on Stamp?



18. Post 5936886 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Not so cheap coins at Kraken at the moment. The price is 10 EUR above average most of the time at Kraken where I trade (that is compared to the average price as measured by bitcoinaverage). Right now the price has been pushed up to 392.9 EUR and average price is currently 377.9 EUR. Maybe Kraken (or the market maker) has tried to build confidence back after the drop, but I'm not buying at that price because price will most likely go down from there. It is all a bit ironic. ...and now we are at 394.57 EUR vs 378.6 EUR average Cheesy



19. Post 5937104 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on March 27, 2014, 07:46:53 PM
To the tune: Let It Snow!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kMpB5rjdxKg

Oh the news outside is frightful
But the coins are so delightful
With no idea on price at all
Let It Fall! Let It Fall! Let It Fall!

It doesn't show signs of stopping
And I've bought some corn for popping
We'll keep a close eye on the wall
Let It Fall! Let It Fall! Let It Fall!

When I finally say good night
How I'll hate being away from the charts
But if I hold my phone really tight
I'll be awakened by the alarms

The price is slowly dying
And, my dears, we're still a-crying
Volume has slowed to a crawl
Let It Fall! Let It Fall! Let It Fall!

Nice one. Made me smile :-)



20. Post 5938152 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Before I wrote that coins were a bit overpriced at Kraken. They now appear to be back to normal Smiley



21. Post 5941018 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Panik, I have a plane to catch very soon Smiley



22. Post 5941584 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on March 28, 2014, 01:03:20 AM
I'm really angry that wall street is probably buying cheap coins right now (not much, but any is enough)... they should pay much higher price.

Then be glad that if Karpeles sels "his" coins we will get them at a discount.



23. Post 5982770 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Not related to what anyone has said:

April is approaching... and I wonder how April Fools Day will play out on this forum Cheesy

Personally I think it will be the same as usual. But unlike other days those who spread questionable information will have the added benefit that they can always claim their info. was an April Fools prank. Any input on this "important" subject?



24. Post 5984783 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

It seems to me that the bulls are just taking bears coins for cheap. I'm holding for now :-)



25. Post 5988877 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

It seems to me that it was a missing ask wall and a relative purchase on Stamp (at 18:55) that set off the buyers and allowed things to develop.



26. Post 6008064 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Something to pass the time while we hodl.... or panic sell. The quiz broadcast by Mitchell and Web https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l28o6fJda1c  Grin



27. Post 6008370 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: fonzie on March 31, 2014, 09:30:23 PM
Everyone of you has to convince at least 3 new suckers that have to send money(min. 5000$) to the exchanges, now!, or your investment will continue to lose value.

Yes otherwise Bitcoin would not be a proper fonzie scheme Cheesy



28. Post 6008471 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: fonzie on March 31, 2014, 09:41:41 PM
Everyone of you has to convince at least 3 new suckers that have to send money(min. 5000$) to the exchanges, now!, or your investment will continue to lose value.

Yes otherwise Bitcoin would not be a proper fonzie scheme Cheesy



Thanks for the drawing :-)



29. Post 6023877 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: Chalkbot on April 01, 2014, 08:55:42 PM
Max kieser gone crazy hahahahaha http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=Zm7gQvTl2dA#t=1104

1st April joke ? hahahahhaah this is amazing  Cheesy


"I don't know if you noticed, but I almost knocked him out just then."

lol

Ha ha! Reminds me of Walter from The Big Lebowski: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WiQmQhA-OrM

Must be a 1st April joke, otherwise I think they would have stopped filming :-)



30. Post 6043237 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on April 02, 2014, 11:01:30 PM
Can you guys stop feeling entitled to a rally every 9 months and accept for once that bitcoin is in a downtrend and stop calling everything FUD? It's getting old and doesn't help anything.

such FUD

I am HODLING.




confirmed!

confirmed!

hodler unit!, and confirm your willingness to HODL

I'm hodling. Expected a drop today, but not quite so big  Shocked



31. Post 6045178 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Exit china. But what does that mean for the rest of us?



32. Post 6060305 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: fonzie on April 03, 2014, 10:27:37 PM
can we ban fonzie yet? I know most have him on ignore and I do too, but he is LITERALLY in every single thread today spouting nonsense. I know he posts normally now and then, but today is ridiculous and everyone keeps quoting him. he must be short and trying to get the market to crash any way he can.

Just burn the books, kill the commies. Let´s get rid of all these annoying problems.

I don't think Fonzie wants the market to crash and I don't see him campaigning against Bitcoin outside of these forums. I think Fonzie has has benefited many people on this forums whether they will admit to or not. Just understand his perspective.



33. Post 6061390 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

This is the same pattern as yesterday IMO. The trading on the Chinese exchanges does not make sense to me. Since we still follow them to some extent I'm getting out. Don't mean to cause panic. I am still a newbe. However last night the price dropped about 20 EUR/coin, but rose the next day. I expect something similar tonight and it will be cheaper for me to get out now. Maybe I will buy back tomorrow morning.



34. Post 6061416 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: cee-euros on April 04, 2014, 12:12:12 AM
8 am in china. quick bowl of rice, then selling

Don't forget morning gymnastics (See TARA's pic page 5911 @https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.118200 Cheesy)



35. Post 6084741 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

There is a little movement on Huobi.



36. Post 6096027 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: molecular on April 06, 2014, 12:24:27 PM
I dont see down trend. I see a $700 correction.

Yeah, well, you know that's just like, uhh, your opinion, man.

It's shared by quite a few people.


Quote spottet: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWdd6_ZxX8c - Hodl like The Dude. The dude abides!



37. Post 6107613 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on April 07, 2014, 09:50:30 AM
What if TERA is right?

Much fear

People have been buying a lot of coins the last couple of days. If everyone start rushing to the door now, we will see $400 very soon. Looking at the 1 day chart on Huobi is a cause for concern. We may be in reversal, but personally I feel it is too risky to get involved at the moment. I am a beginner so maybe I am too cautious.



38. Post 6117849 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

BTC-E bot is at it again I think  Smiley



39. Post 6163422 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Stamp $12 below Huobi. Wow!



40. Post 6163596 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Quote from: nrd525 on April 10, 2014, 10:09:10 PM
Stamp $12 below Huobi. Wow!

I was wondering if this would happen. If Chinese cannot buy bitcoins, then they'll go up in value (because they can still use them to take money out of the country) - much like the old MtGox premium.

I'm not so sure. Maybe Stamp crowd panicked a bit when a few red candles started to form on Huobi.



41. Post 6163677 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Quote from: magicmexican on April 10, 2014, 10:23:26 PM
Its almost like the Chiniese cant sell on their exchanges and moved their coins to btc-e to dump

But they can sell on their exchanges :/

Ye i am puzzled about that, very uncharacteristic for btc-e to lead, usually it laggs behind with their panic over dumps, but i've never seen it suddenly step up and take their own action while other exchanges are hibernating

If you are right it is time to look at BTC-E for a change.



42. Post 6190665 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Is it just me or has everything just gone VERY quiet on all exchanges?!



43. Post 6190942 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: podyx on April 12, 2014, 09:39:19 PM
Is it just me or has everything just gone VERY quiet on all exchanges?!

Expect action in a few days Cool

(HINT: it's upwards Roll Eyes)

Yes I also expect some action over the coming days :-) But I found the lack of action a bit eerie. I was looking around and I could not spot a single transaction taking place (verifying it with volume). Even Houbi where the bots normally keep themselves busy was totally quiet for 10 minutes. I haven't seen that before. Could it be that there was something wrong on BitcoinWisdom?

Edit: Spelling



44. Post 6197091 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: minerpumpkin on April 13, 2014, 11:44:33 AM
Holy cow - big dumps and, again, it doesn't affect the price. This is great.

It is a good sign. I am buying a bit more now :-)



45. Post 6197207 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Full panic on Kraken. Prices are 10 EUR below average! Usually it is 10 EUR above there



46. Post 6197348 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: eiskalt on April 13, 2014, 12:12:31 PM
How to bid bitcoin good buy bye.:

#!/bin/sh

a="Sunday bloody sunday"
b="Tell me why I don´t like Mondays"

if [ $a -lt $340 ]
then
   echo "good bye bitcoin!"
fi

if [ $b -lt $266 ]
then
   echo "good bye bitcoin!"
fi

EDIT:  Cheesy

Some people calculate. Other people shell script. :-)



47. Post 6221534 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: p0peji on April 14, 2014, 10:37:00 PM
And the pump on Huobi continues.. Huh

Edit:
Anyone thinks that Huobi and the other Chinese exchanges are going to be the new mt gox (an exchange with no possibility of getting fiat out)?

I guess that could explain why the price keeps going up. They seem pretty determined to reach 3k. Who knows what will happen after that.

Edit: Spelling



48. Post 6225951 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on April 15, 2014, 07:21:40 AM


Without a doubt this GIF is the most bullish sign for Bitcoin I've seen since Atlas changed his username.

That even beats the nyan cats. Weeeeeeii! Cheesy



49. Post 6231923 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: TERA on April 15, 2014, 01:08:14 PM
You can rest assured there will be brand new chinese bear ammo when it comes time to cross back into the bear zone.

Those who think that because they made it to April 15th so now they are off scot free are in for a mean suprise.

China has really proved to be very convenient for insiders who want to influence or explain price movement through the news/rumors. At least that is what I think. For amateurs like myself it is hard to distinguish fact from fiction, and this is why China is so convenient. I also think we are in for more surprises from China. I honestly don't know if the Chinese exchanges deserve their current reputation, but the Chinese rumors gets me every time Cheesy

It has been nice to see whale buys lately... I trust/hope they know what they are doing  Tongue



50. Post 6233078 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 15, 2014, 02:41:57 PM
For amateurs like myself it is hard to distinguish fact from fiction, and this is why China is so convenient.

Proudhon's confirmation system is truly a work of art.

Confirmed. I mainly stick around here because entertainment and occasional useful info. That, AND Proudhon's confirmation system.



51. Post 6233434 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: podyx on April 15, 2014, 04:07:20 PM
chinese men showing the light!!

Or selling climax?



52. Post 6233694 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

I see a selling climax coming, but maybe it is too early. I could be totally wrong, but I definitely don't feel like buying right now Smiley



53. Post 6235785 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: freebit13 on April 15, 2014, 05:00:16 PM
you guys are so full of shit..

..for a moment I forgot this is the trollbox Cheesy

Agreed, I don't believe anything these jokers here say.  Nothing but verbal diarrhea in order to justify past decisions or else attempt to manipulate others for future gains.
Don't forget the ever important post count and activity increase...

Prepare for amazing analysis: You will get a lot more manipulation from people with few coins compared people with many coins. Newbies with a few coins have a lot more at stake and will therefore do anything to manipulate the market any way they can. It is the same with forum activity and post count. Members with lots of post will always speak their honest opinion. Think about it: They have been in the game for a long time and many of them only trade to pass the time (not to make $). Giving sound advice on these boards is basically one of their philanthropies.  Smiley

On a related note: Do not put trolls on "ignore". If you do you will miss out on great entertainment, says newbe :-)



54. Post 6236578 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: freebit13 on April 15, 2014, 07:14:16 PM
Prepare for amazing analysis: You will get a lot more manipulation from people with few coins compared people with many coins. Newbies with a few coins have a lot more at stake and will therefore do anything to manipulate the market any way they can. It is the same with forum activity and post count. Members with lots of post will always speak their honest opinion. Think about it: They have been in the game for a long time and many of them only trade to pass the time (not to make $). Giving sound advice on these boards is basically one of their philanthropies.  Smiley

On a related note: Do not put trolls on "ignore". If you do you will miss out on great entertainment, says newbe :-)
Not everyone who has a lot of posts has been around for a long time, there are accounts here who've been around for a couple of months and are Sr. Members already... it's quality that counts, not quantity. Most people just look left and check activity level and never look at the date of the account or the quality of old posts... just saying  Wink

Quote
quality that counts, not quantity

I totally agree. I must admit I was being a bit sarcastic in my analysis because I do believe that the pros have a lot more at stake. The real manipulation comes from people who are able to influence the news. Bad/good news, volume/price manipulation, TA and statements from influential people can all be used to promote a certain point of view. It may be more or less sophisticated, so no matter what one needs to stay sharp and make up ones own mind.



55. Post 6238852 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Wall moving up. Much impressed!



56. Post 6240245 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

That is what I call erratic trading Smiley bitcoinaverage.com is down. Look at OKCoin. lol. I did my last round of buys at the top (almost). Jesus what a day  Smiley



57. Post 6244394 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: Hypnoise on April 16, 2014, 07:23:05 AM
Wedge closing in Huobi just about now. It's a game of musical chairs and the music is stopping. Short or long?
buy&wait

That is what I would do if I could monitor the situation closely and if I was using Stamp. Unfortunately I'm at work and can't monitor the situation closely... so I feel it is a bit risky to buy right now.

People talk a lot about new money coming into the system. These new money will buy at a high price and they help to push the price up for a day. But at the end of the day people take their profits, because nightly drops have been so frequent over the past months. Holding might be a good strategy if you bought at $100, but at this stage it is not a good strategy not for newcomers. Things are looking up though, but it will take some time before people get more confident. I wish China was more transparent. The events last night around 1 am GMT (I think) shows how fragile the situation is imo.




58. Post 6255798 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Someone requested a wall observation, so here is one. At Kraken BTC/EUR there is a 33 buy wall (that is quite a bit on Kraken). When the price hit 374 EUR that triggered a 35 BTC dump @ market. Very strange. I think that was ment to have triggered a 35 BTC buy instead  Smiley I want to buy into that wall but I have no fiat left Smiley



59. Post 6255975 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on April 16, 2014, 09:18:32 PM
Someone requested a wall observation, so here is one. At Kraken BTC/EUR there is a 33 buy wall (that is quite a bit on Kraken). When the price hit 374 EUR that triggered a 35 BTC dump @ market. Very strange. I think that was ment to have triggered a 35 BTC buy instead  Smiley I want to buy into that wall but I have no fiat left Smiley

Edit: And it is gone/bought.



60. Post 6256345 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: FlyingLotus on April 16, 2014, 09:45:49 PM
Someone requested a wall observation, so here is one. At Kraken BTC/EUR there is a 33 buy wall (that is quite a bit on Kraken). When the price hit 374 EUR that triggered a 35 BTC dump @ market. Very strange. I think that was ment to have triggered a 35 BTC buy instead  Smiley I want to buy into that wall but I have no fiat left Smiley

I've seen this happen a couple of times now, very strange to be using those orders on Kraken

And there it happened again. Another strange dump out of nowhere. Order book is really thin though.



61. Post 6266143 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: magicmexican on April 17, 2014, 01:16:19 PM
Nice advice. As fast as you see some Chinese characters on this board or on tweeter , sell like it's the end of the world Smiley.

Yep, maybe even write a bot, like "IF=chingchong ACTION=SELL"

The other night BitcoinEverage.com was down (ddos'ed?) and at the same time there was dumping on the Chinese exchanges. I speculate that the bots might (also) align their trading to the average price and use that site.
Code:
IF BitcoinAverage = 404 do SELL

Smiley This is of course just me speculating, but I found that the dump was a little out of place.



62. Post 6278695 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: magicmexican on April 18, 2014, 09:17:27 AM
Looking weak, think its going below 3000 today

When you say it looks weak do you mean the markets response to the dump?



63. Post 6280042 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Here is a clip from the Big Lebowski for your enjoyment while we parse the time and wait for the next dump or hope for some unexpected good news will turn up (= small rise. Are the Chinese good at marketing?).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VLR_TDO0FTg

To me just seems like a good analogy for the current sentiment. Watch the clip and replace "She" with "Bitcoin".   Smiley

Bitcoin is like a young trophy wife, in the parlance of our times. She needs money man :-)



64. Post 6280094 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on April 18, 2014, 11:38:08 AM
Here is a clip from the Big Lebowski for your enjoyment while we parse the time and wait for the next dump or hope for some unexpected good news will turn up (= small rise. Are the Chinese good at marketing?).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VLR_TDO0FTg

To me just seems like a good analogy for the current sentiment. Watch the clip and replace "She" with "Bitcoin".   Smiley

Bitcoin is like a young trophy wife, in the parlance of our times. She needs money man :-)

Oh.. I guess we don't get "the good news" scenario today  Smiley



65. Post 6280204 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: UnDerDoG81 on April 18, 2014, 11:46:37 AM
Just woke up, why it went down again?  Roll Eyes

We lowered the price a bit while you were sleeping Smiley It was a shared effort but we blame the Chinese. We lowered it because no one was buying. Just to get you a bit exited about the new low price Smiley



66. Post 6280384 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: UnDerDoG81 on April 18, 2014, 11:58:06 AM
Well, for a long term investor, it is really better to not check the charts and the forum for a half year, just like I did last year. Because this price movements are really silly Grin

Yes I agree. I don't think that now is a bad time to buy if you are in it for long term. I consider doing that myself. For now I am attempting my luck at day trading I still make mistakes and I am not sure it is worth the time. It is funny however. I am short and mid term bearish but long term bullish. So my plan is to wait a bit (maybe 2 weeks) and then go long term.



67. Post 6280858 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: mmitech on April 18, 2014, 12:25:42 PM
Well, for a long term investor, it is really better to not check the charts and the forum for a half year, just like I did last year. Because this price movements are really silly Grin

Day traders are dedicated, I give them that much. I track major bubble movements and overall sentiments, but some stuff I read on here is from 24 hour chart watchers who seem to make decisions and start drawing lines with every $5 fluctuation in price. I could never do that. I just hope they are successful enough to make it worth their while, let alone not lose their shirt. Seems like a sad way to spend a majority of one's time, especially with nice weather on the horizon (here in Canada anyways, I am hoping).

Successful day traders provide a vital function. They are the liquidity providers, the decentral bankers of Bitcoin. They reduce volatility by profiting from it. They accomplish this without even intending to, by looking after their own interest.

I don't agree with your statement, inexperienced daily traders are causing the volatility, or should I call them "pigs" that jumps in and out without knowing what they are doing, a small price drop (5$) makes them sell and bring the price down and shout "Bitcoin IS DONE, IT IS THE END", then a small rise of 5$ makes them all buy back and yell "TO DA MOON".....


Why should Bitcoin go to wallstreet if wallstreet traders can make tons of money from such unregulated market with all these noobs around ? the moment Bitcoin hit Wall street they will lose this kind of game....take china as an example, anyone farts there the price crash, no new news, they use the same old thing to trigger panic and make tons of money.... I find it really hard to make money the last few months, I used to take a spot and stick to it when we didn't have these Chinese shit around, now it is impossible to predict a direction... because you know "you never know when the Chinese fart".

I agree that some day traders scream and shout a lot, but I don't think you are right about traders causing the volatility. Log term investors just follow a log term trend and they will sometimes just dump/buy a huge amount of coin out of the blue. That is very confusing, but also great for day traders. They quickly spot this and drive the market in the opposite direction.



68. Post 6281966 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 18, 2014, 01:42:49 PM
Where are links to scary chiniese articles, i think its time
See my previous post.  The time of the OKCoin notice apparently coincides with the start of the current dump.

It may be that the Chinese exchange CEOs have karpeled a little; they may have known what was coming but waited until the last minute to tell their clients.

I am not sure, but the OKCoin note may be saying that further notices will be shown only to logged-in clients "in order not to affect the normal market conditions".

The Huobi note link is in red, next to a red light bulb, near yhe top of their homepage.  The OKCoin is in red too, next to a loudspeaker icon.  Further notes mat be accessed perhaps by fiddling with the URLs. (Huobi's note 325 is some Western press news, 326 does not exist yet.)

Quote
I am not sure, but the OKCoin note may be saying that further notices will be shown only to logged-in clients "in order not to affect the normal market conditions".

Yes, that is just crazy. Now we will see the price drop, but we will no longer be able to judge why. More FUD.



69. Post 6289589 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

I'm having an absolute ball watching Huobi and OKCoin. Much action on low volume. It is so cute to see them wait for each other. Maybe they will have a fight for 2900 later. I think the bulls will win that one and they will be back at 3000 or maybe 3200 if things go crazy.



70. Post 6289642 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

There is much talk about Wall Street entering the Bitcoin trade and a lot of people hope for that. Mining is one area of the Bitcoin economy that has already gone from amateur to pro, and I think that most of the remaining "amateur" miners have been in the game since the beginning. They are semi pro and of course in hard competition with owners of data centers. If I understand correctly the current price makes it unprofitable to mine Bitcoins. You would think that it was in all miners interest to keep the price high enough to make it profitable for them to mine. But I speculate that the competition among miners and mining companies is so fierce, that some them might actually see a benefit in keeping the price low for a period in order to weed out the competition. Any thoughts on this?



71. Post 6301169 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: escalicha on April 19, 2014, 08:57:30 PM
Sell off... NEWS?  Huh

My guess:
- Bad news
- Insider knowledge
- An attempt to trigger stop loss orders or similar
- Someone is trying to get a feel for the sentiment
- Someone is trying to better his/her position in case we go down (maybe not so likely)
- A long(ish) term investor decided that now was the best time to take home profits and dumped

I predicted the the 2900 drop and suggested a possible rise to 3200 today (I was lucky), but since then I have been in the dark. Some people believe we might go down and test $450. If that test fails it could be pretty bad I guess. Today low priced coins have been raining down on the bulls, but it is very difficult to tell if whoever is doing that is loosing control or if if the bulls are playing right into the hands of the bears. That is my take on the current situation which is not very useful. I could very well be totally wrong... I don't have that much experience and I haven't encountered a situation like this before. I would like to hear from anybody who can provide alternative explanation(s).

Edit: spelling



72. Post 6301719 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: chessnut on April 19, 2014, 10:22:02 PM
On the EW thread we are expecting a blow out fifth wave, above 580, possibly high 600s. no news required - just natural exhaustion. for this analysis to hold, we cannot pass 450.

Here's hoping this is the within the 50% you guess correctly.

what? I have been specific as the market will allow me. in 2-3 days you should remember that I am expecting for at least 580 to be touched. This is not a guess, this is analysis, and it is at stake.


I will be interesting to see. Maybe there has been some signs of exhaustion, but is is very difficult to evaluate (for me at least  Smiley). Also we may not see 450 again if "insiders" change their strategy now.



73. Post 6301780 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: chessnut on April 19, 2014, 10:33:00 PM
On the EW thread we are expecting a blow out fifth wave, above 580, possibly high 600s. no news required - just natural exhaustion. for this analysis to hold, we cannot pass 450.

Here's hoping this is the within the 50% you guess correctly.

what? I have been specific as the market will allow me. in 2-3 days you should remember that I am expecting for at least 580 to be touched. This is not a guess, this is analysis, and it is at stake.

Just as cleromancy was analysis for the Bronze Age. They got it right @50% as well, just like you.

I have proof you are 100% wrong.
I make new odds for you..... 580 before 480. my analysis at stake.
I heard you lost some coins yesterday, what was your analysis? (I didnt lose any -made lots)


Ok, it sounds like I got wrong... what you said. I will shut up now and watch the events unfold Smiley



74. Post 6301853 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: chessnut on April 19, 2014, 10:47:11 PM
Ok, it sounds like I got wrong... what you said. I will shut up now and watch the events unfold Smiley

no need for that. They are still odds. dont shut up, but do watch the events unfold.


Thanks, I will  Smiley



75. Post 6308484 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):



Not much going on this Easter holiday Smiley



76. Post 6310926 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

But strangely the graph for Kraken on BW has not been working for a few hours. The order book is fine though. I have reported the problem in the BW thread.



77. Post 6312233 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: QuestionAuthority on April 20, 2014, 08:05:09 AM

Chartbuddy you sexy bitch. Let's go get a room for the night and you can tell me all about Bitcoin.

How was your date?



78. Post 6320768 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on April 21, 2014, 10:36:25 AM
Another China pump and dump is my guess. It will suddenly stop and go down again. This happened how many times now already?

And everybody fell for it again Smiley
As always the holders are the only winners here.

"As always"... I think that is I exaggerating a bit looking back on the last couple of months  Smiley I'm holding so far through this (hopefully) mini crisis. If I had more fiat I would buy more coin now. I have been very sceptical about the last mini rallies, but they seem to continue. I think there is a good chance things are turning around. This will take some time though. I definitely feel better about holding these days and I think that is a good sign.



79. Post 6344337 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: lynn_402 on April 22, 2014, 07:13:57 PM
Seeing these pictures of the ridiculously big KNC mining warehouse made me realize the amount of coins that must be insta-dumped everyday: http://imgur.com/a/CcIhX

Sadly, centralization of mining means that less and less miners are long-term believers and holders, as these data-centers consider the electricity bills as more than a trivial expense.

... and some say Bitcoin is a deflatory currency Wink

These low prices are helping the big mining warehouses getting rid of the remaining competition. Soon there will be nothing but data centers mining coins... a bit sad really. But bitcoin is going pro. and that is also a positive thing in many respects.



80. Post 6366618 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 24, 2014, 05:49:08 AM
Let's play a game:
Feel free to join in the fun by naming things you think are more exciting than Houbi.
# 6. OKCoin.


Yes I second that. OKCoin is a curious place these days.



81. Post 6380606 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: frienemy on April 24, 2014, 10:08:36 PM
4 green candles on the 4h chart

I feel a song coming on..

"Candle On The Chart" based on "Candle In The Wind" by Elton John?

I'd rather go for "10 green bottles"

You know you are in trouble when the candles are no longer on the charts.



82. Post 6380852 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: frienemy on April 24, 2014, 10:32:26 PM
4 green candles on the 4h chart

I feel a song coming on..

"Candle On The Chart" based on "Candle In The Wind" by Elton John?

I'd rather go for "10 green bottles"

You know you are in trouble when the candles are no longer on the charts.

Sorry, that was the musician part of me speaking. You're right, the lyrics would be bearish. I not willing to listen to a bear song. Let's write a song together, all of us! Let's create the Bitcointalk Rallye Song! (If there's enough stupid ideas, I might even record them --> got my own recoring equipment at home)

Me too, I got my own little home studio. I can do the remix Smiley



83. Post 6381043 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: frienemy on April 24, 2014, 10:47:16 PM
4 green candles on the 4h chart

I feel a song coming on..

"Candle On The Chart" based on "Candle In The Wind" by Elton John?

I'd rather go for "10 green bottles"

You know you are in trouble when the candles are no longer on the charts.

Sorry, that was the musician part of me speaking. You're right, the lyrics would be bearish. I not willing to listen to a bear song. Let's write a song together, all of us! Let's create the Bitcointalk Rallye Song! (If there's enough stupid ideas, I might even record them --> got my own recoring equipment at home)

Me too, I got my own little home studio. I can do the remix Smiley

Cool! Then let's do a bitcoin band. The world will need a bitcoin band playing in any TV show that's informing people about their new currency Cheesy I'm playing the guitar and I sing, furthermore I got a fancy analogue synth, which I absolutely can't control, but it's making quite awesome sounds!

He he. I know what you mean. I have a DSI Evolver Keyboard Edition and Korg Micro XL. The Evolver sounds awesome, but I don't know how to play keyboard Smiley



84. Post 6381293 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: frienemy on April 24, 2014, 10:55:35 PM

He he. I know what you mean. I have a DSI Evolver Keyboard Edition and Korg Micro XL. The Evolver sounds awesome, but I don't know how to play keyboard Smiley

Got the MicroKorg. Same thing here, I can't play the keyboard, but wanted to have this crazy thing. This coincidence can only mean one thing: Bitcoin will go higher!

I totally agree! "This is Kenndy is communicating with Khrusjtjov"



85. Post 6381558 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: chessnut on April 24, 2014, 11:18:22 PM
I told you! Price is raising.

You're the only one who saw it coming.

was he?

No, well done to you!



86. Post 6404295 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 10:14:30 AM
Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again (Bitstamp). If someone is willing to bet (I naturally expect much better than 1:1 for me), PM please.

Chart1 & Chart2.

This is just the 2013-7-18 again. No looking back (when you least expect it).

I think this bet need a deadline  Grin



87. Post 6409501 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

The 2h MACD looks promising on Huobi I think.



88. Post 6410649 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: Blue on April 26, 2014, 06:50:26 PM


any suggestions for a new poll ??

What Exchange is currently leading. I think Stamp Smiley



89. Post 6438141 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

I usually give my colleagues a daily update on the bitcoin situation. Today the guy next to me asked me a about the red candles and looked a bit concerned at me. I replied, that yes things aren't looking super pretty at the moment but that it doesn't matter because today we are discussing castles.

Tongue



90. Post 6452467 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: TeeBone on April 29, 2014, 08:40:10 AM
how do you guys pronounce Huobi ?  Smiley

I will call it FIRE COIN from now on.... They drop it like it's hot  Grin



91. Post 6461698 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

That must be Stamp taking the scenic route.



92. Post 6472232 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: p0peji on April 30, 2014, 10:39:40 AM
Could this pump have been caused by westerners trading on Huobi, who want to get their money out of the exchange by buying btc and transferring it to Stamp or whatever?

There are many possibilities. It could even be Chinese banks (and large holders) who have resources to take BTC outside China who are doing the buying. I think that by now most people with assets on Chinese exchanges will be working to get them out. Huobi and OKCoin etc. might move overseas, but what will they be worth after that move? Bitcoin speculation in BTC in China is dead in my opinion. If I had BTC on a Chinese exchange I would take them out ASAP. I could keep them i cold storage and hope for black market opportunities in China or I could try and dump them on a western exchange.



93. Post 6476272 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: xulescu on April 30, 2014, 02:16:29 PM
So much delusion here. Look at 1h charts for Stamp and Huobi. Do you notice anything odd in the last two days?

Yes, last night there was a rather large dump on Stamp but Huobi and OKCoin did not take notice. Maybe the traders on Huobi and OKCoin were busy with other things at that time. Is this what you are referring to?



94. Post 6481513 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: elg on April 30, 2014, 06:16:18 PM
excuse for the noob question,

so a red candle on wisdom means more sell volume than buy volume?
and a red candle can be higher (than previous candles)due to a a higher sell price?

You may find this useful: http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/crypto-forex-101-tutorial-gets-right-to-it-with-no-bs/2014/04/19



95. Post 6486067 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: chessnut on May 01, 2014, 05:05:32 AM
Has this 40K btc purchased news actually been confirmed by anyone as legitimate? I saw it linked on some Chinese site. Perhaps it's a Chinese pump before their next dump.

This purchase could technically happen 300 times. But who is to say it will happen even one more time? It takes more than just some occasional institutional investor to cause a reversal - there needs to be a trend of new people getting interested and actually wanting to use the technology, or a new market.

The daily chart is trumped by the weekly ema downcross. All the little patterns and indicators you are looking at will just get erased with a random giant red candle out of nowhere.

yeah it was confirmed.

how could it happen 300 times? that's wishful thinking. 300 market orders? or shall they put up a 5 million BTC buy wall on bitstamp?

I am using the daily chart. and I wish that you could guarantee that my 'little patterns' will be wiped out, but you cant. what we are seeing now  believe is the market preparing for July, when for the first time legit exchanges will be opening in America. we will see all the legit money that's been held back,  and perhaps china follow the lead of the USA as expected.

I'm afraid that China will not follow anything at that point, because I believe that real Chinese Exchanges will be a thing of the past at that point. The current Chinese exchanges made it too easy for common chinese people to obtain, use and invest in bitcoin. The Chinese government does not want that. I don't think they will ban bitcoin all together, they just seriously do not want the common people to get involved with bitcoin. They won't ban it per se for several reasons. First it will be seen as a backward move. Second they have industry (miners and hardware/chips manufacturers) that they want to survive and profit from bitcoin. Maybe they also want someone to profit from Bitcoin speculation, just not the common man. I think the writing is on the wall. Their policy is a major setback for bitcoin adoption in China. I am still hoping that Bitcoin will be powerful enough to pull through, but it is not looking good at the moment in my opinion.



96. Post 6486238 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 01, 2014, 05:33:39 AM
Thanks!  But the Google Translate output is confusing; I cannot tell whether it is about OKCoin's bank account, or a customer worried that his personal bank account could be closed for having used it to deposit into OKCoin.  If you read Chinese, can you confirm that the question and answer refer to OKCoin's account? 

I cannot read Chinese but I think it is a customer worried that his personal bank account could be closed for having used it to deposit into OKCoin. I sometimes try translating to a few other languages in Google Translate if the meaning is not clear when translating to English or my own language.



97. Post 6487287 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on May 01, 2014, 05:55:12 AM
Has this 40K btc purchased news actually been confirmed by anyone as legitimate? I saw it linked on some Chinese site. Perhaps it's a Chinese pump before their next dump.

This purchase could technically happen 300 times. But who is to say it will happen even one more time? It takes more than just some occasional institutional investor to cause a reversal - there needs to be a trend of new people getting interested and actually wanting to use the technology, or a new market.

The daily chart is trumped by the weekly ema downcross. All the little patterns and indicators you are looking at will just get erased with a random giant red candle out of nowhere.

yeah it was confirmed.

how could it happen 300 times? that's wishful thinking. 300 market orders? or shall they put up a 5 million BTC buy wall on bitstamp?

I am using the daily chart. and I wish that you could guarantee that my 'little patterns' will be wiped out, but you cant. what we are seeing now  believe is the market preparing for July, when for the first time legit exchanges will be opening in America. we will see all the legit money that's been held back,  and perhaps china follow the lead of the USA as expected.

I'm afraid that China will not follow anything at that point, because I believe that real Chinese Exchanges will be a thing of the past at that point. The current Chinese exchanges made it too easy for common chinese people to obtain, use and invest in bitcoin. The Chinese government does not want that. I don't think they will ban bitcoin all together, they just seriously do not want the common people to get involved with bitcoin. They won't ban it per se for several reasons. First it will be seen as a backward move. Second they have industry (miners and hardware/chips manufacturers) that they want to survive and profit from bitcoin. Maybe they also want someone to profit from Bitcoin speculation, just not the common man. I think the writing is on the wall. Their policy is a major setback for bitcoin adoption in China. I am still hoping that Bitcoin will be powerful enough to pull through, but it is not looking good at the moment in my opinion.


Another month or two of this various bull - sheit... and many of us will be completely disheartened.     Then, BTC will be ready for its price rally.

I agree. The exchanges are to easy to control with regulation. I hope the Chinese traders will take their BTC out of the exchanges and start trading them in other ways.



98. Post 6488942 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: boumalo on May 01, 2014, 09:11:22 AM
Has this 40K btc purchased news actually been confirmed by anyone as legitimate? I saw it linked on some Chinese site. Perhaps it's a Chinese pump before their next dump.

This purchase could technically happen 300 times. But who is to say it will happen even one more time? It takes more than just some occasional institutional investor to cause a reversal - there needs to be a trend of new people getting interested and actually wanting to use the technology, or a new market.

The daily chart is trumped by the weekly ema downcross. All the little patterns and indicators you are looking at will just get erased with a random giant red candle out of nowhere.

yeah it was confirmed.

how could it happen 300 times? that's wishful thinking. 300 market orders? or shall they put up a 5 million BTC buy wall on bitstamp?

I am using the daily chart. and I wish that you could guarantee that my 'little patterns' will be wiped out, but you cant. what we are seeing now  believe is the market preparing for July, when for the first time legit exchanges will be opening in America. we will see all the legit money that's been held back,  and perhaps china follow the lead of the USA as expected.

I'm afraid that China will not follow anything at that point, because I believe that real Chinese Exchanges will be a thing of the past at that point. The current Chinese exchanges made it too easy for common chinese people to obtain, use and invest in bitcoin. The Chinese government does not want that. I don't think they will ban bitcoin all together, they just seriously do not want the common people to get involved with bitcoin. They won't ban it per se for several reasons. First it will be seen as a backward move. Second they have industry (miners and hardware/chips manufacturers) that they want to survive and profit from bitcoin. Maybe they also want someone to profit from Bitcoin speculation, just not the common man. I think the writing is on the wall. Their policy is a major setback for bitcoin adoption in China. I am still hoping that Bitcoin will be powerful enough to pull through, but it is not looking good at the moment in my opinion.


Another month or two of this various bull - sheit... and many of us will be completely disheartened.     Then, BTC will be ready for its price rally.

I agree. The exchanges are to easy to control with regulation. I hope the Chinese traders will take their BTC out of the exchanges and start trading them in other ways.

The volume won't be the same if the chinese traders can't trade on exchanges but they could trade in offshore exchanges; the price will rise when the situation has settle and we have some visibility
I see some very pessimistic traders that short bitcoins, but if they are right they will lose all their money when the bitcoin exchanges disappear!

According to my last TA we will see bitcoin going down or going up.

 Wink

I have great difficulty figuring out exactly what is going on, because the last "fractal" has showed a few weak signs that could be interpreted as the beginning of a reversal. There has been some good news with great potential from reliable sources and a whole bunch of bad news from less reliable sources. Some people may have figured everything out, but not me Smiley I try to trade on what I know and the only thing I know for sure is that we are currently in a downtrend, that the Chinese situation is unresolved, and that large BTC-assets may be liquidated. If I needed to buy huge amounts of BTC I might consider to buy a few coins now, but since I can't afford 1000's of coins I will wait and see. 1st of the month is payday and that could give us a small rise. But I believe we are approaching the end of distribution. After that prices will drop - I am most likely wrong. Toodle Pip, I'm off to lunch!



99. Post 6497564 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: Bitcoin_is_here_to_stay on May 01, 2014, 07:04:18 PM
The price rises nicely and steadily, but Bitfinex sentiment Index suddenly turned bearish (it has been bullish almost all the time)

https://www.bitfinex.com/pages/stats

what do you guys think? Why be more bearish now than yesterday or two days ago? I was actually becoming optimistic about this recent price raise. Are we for some nasty surprise?



If you are expecting a rise you could be in for a surprise I think. I do not follow the Bitfinex BSI indicator so I don't know how it usually behaves, but I remember that Fonzie was joking that the BSI turning bearish could indicate that it was a good time to buy. But seriously I think Bitfinex BSI indicator is some sort of RSI indicator, so when the market is overbought the BSI will turn bearish and when the market is oversold it will turn bullish. I wouldn't rely on it  Smiley

Edit: Spelling



100. Post 6503352 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: windjc on May 02, 2014, 05:11:35 AM
That wasn't a real dump. What we are seeing is simply an exhaustion of buyers.

No one wants to buy so we are starting to make lower highs. We might have one or two more pushups ahead the next handful of days - maybe to 470 or 480.

But the problem is when the buyers run out, then the market just waits for the next set of China news to dump all to hell.


Quote from: windjc on May 02, 2014, 05:11:35 AM
That wasn't a real dump. What we are seeing is simply an exhaustion of buyers.

+1. Looking at the volume on 6h chart on Huobi confirms this. The holidays could also be a factor. Maybe this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzLT6_TQmq8



101. Post 6531321 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: seldon on May 03, 2014, 09:54:29 PM
Looks like someone tried to hack LocalBitcoins:

Quote
LocalBitcoins received a very dangerous attack against the site infrastructure on Saturday 3.5.2014.
For now
  • All user data and Bitcoins are safe;
  • The site will be down for a while as the system is being rebuilt

Details
LocalBitcoins hosting provided received a request to restart the LocalBitcoins.com website server and give access to the server console (root) on Sat May 3 13:32:27. LocalBitcoins team did not initiate this request. For now, it looks like the request was made using spoofed email addresses and other weakness in the hosting provider support system.
  • LocalBitcoins team was alerted about the abnormal activity when the hosting provider restarted the server.
  • The attacker gained a root access to the server for ~40 minutes before the attacker was kicked out and the server shutdown.
  • All data on the website server is encrypted. Manual actions are needed to make this data readable, so the attacker could not gain access to the data even when having a server console access.
It is very unlikely that the attacker gained access to any data;  LocalBitcoins is still performing full investigation on the matter.
  • Bitcoins in hot wallet and cold wallet are safe, as LocalBitcoins runs its bitcoind and wallets on a separate server.
  • LocalBitcoins team has started to rebuild the website server on fresh hardware.
LocalBitcoins team will make further announcements when the investigation proceeds and the site becomes available again.  We expect to spend at least 24 hours on this. LocalBitcoins team apologizes the issues the downtime may cause to the users.

It sounds like the localbitcoin guys did everything right. Anyways, it is incredible, that people are still able to pull the "reboot my server please" attack in 2014..

I don't mean to scare people, but if the attacker gained root access the attack was not just a (failed) hacking attempt but really serious. I doubt that everything was encrypted on the server, so the attacker may have had time to gain valuable insight into their systems that could be used for future exploits. I think it is good that Localbitcoins are being open about it, and it sounds like they are on top of the situation. But if the attacker has had a peek into their code it could be a bit of a nightmare for their security team.



102. Post 6531444 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: cech4204a on May 03, 2014, 10:37:00 PM
I told you few days ago, that bitstamp is going to be closed  due to some illegal activities. That wasnt just a rumor;)

Please, enlighten us.
as far as my sources teold me. Bitstamp is involved is some illegal activity, presumably  some paedophile groups use  bitstamp to exchange money. That is why bitstamp  is going to be closed for investigation etc  next week or so.
If (or really, WHEN) it turns untrue, I hope someone here will remind me to have this guy banned.
that is almost like a bet.  It needs a timeline.. maybe one or two weeks (or NO later than the end of the month), if the closing of stamp does NOT happen, then Chromosoma = banned... he definitely has been spreading a lot of NON-substantive bitcoin is dead FUD>>>>>  that's for sure.

For all you know he could have been told a lie from someone else and truly believed it.



I wonder why you have this seeming burning desire to defend FUD spreaders.  Chromosoma seems to have developed a FUD spreading pattern of behavior.  Further, when a poster is making outrageous and difficult to believe claims, s/he should have some kind of affirmative obligation to provide some sources for that claim.. . or at least some logic concerning why the claim is plausible.. .. IN this case, Chromosoma is NOT only claiming plausible, but s/he is claiming high likelihood bordering on certainty that Stamp will be closing....   Probably, we are giving him/her too much credibility and airtime by merely discussing such baloney assertions.
why do you call Chinese situation FUD? Chinese situation is facts. it's a reality


Captain: what is FUD ?

FUD = Statements that cause fear, uncertainty, and doubt



103. Post 6531605 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: magicmexican on May 03, 2014, 07:17:39 PM
i dont think the last bottom will be tested, i think it will be somewhere above it

When it went down below $400 there was a lot of buying pressure and price quickly went up (and the move was backed up by volume). But meanwhile $450 has become the new "normal", so going below $400 again may not have the same affect (if it happens again). I think you wrote somewhere that we might go to $370. If the "fractal" repeats again then we can only hope that $370 holds. I personally think there is a good chance you are right, but it is not really based on anything other than what I feel is most likely.

Edit: English is not my first language  Smiley



104. Post 6531887 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: TERA on May 03, 2014, 11:11:51 PM
It all depends on how much time it takes to decline. Theoretically it could either drop immediately to $120 or go sideways for a year at $400.

I don't know which will happen. All I know is that the next 1-2 years is not going to be productive for traders.

Calling the next 1-2 years is very bold and more than slightly ludicrous.
All I'm saying is that it is unproductive for traders. The movements will be slow and there will be a low volume and volatility most of the time. We won't see explosive 400-800% up movements or 50-80% down movements like we have in the past year. It is a consolidation and slow recovery phase. I'm not giving any specific price targets.

Is this because you believe we will see a "total capitulation" in the coming months (maybe sooner) that will bring us to a point where most traders loose interest in Bitcoin?



105. Post 6531975 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Houbi is so crazy right now. Sellers are desperate to keep the price down.



106. Post 6532027 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 03, 2014, 11:36:08 PM
Quite amazing how Tera nows exactly what will happen in the next 2 years.

...but not more crazy compared to people who (constantly) claim that we are only a few days away from going to the moon Smiley I think TERA is basing her prediction based on at the past where there has been long periods with less activity (in between bubbles).



107. Post 6532072 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: TERA on May 03, 2014, 11:36:26 PM
I'm always puzzled by the way that Huobi trades. It's always two large orders suddenly appear on both sides of the book and get 1 yuan away from each other to create this tiny tiny spread and then they trade with eachother somehow.

Someone told me (Maybe Aminorex?) that this happens frequently in the USD market. It looks strange though. You would think that sellers would attempt to get buyers to pay more and move their wall up. It seems to me like sellers are trying to keep the prices down (which of course is not in their interest).



108. Post 6532222 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: TERA on May 03, 2014, 11:54:02 PM
Quite amazing how Tera nows exactly what will happen in the next 2 years.

...but not more crazy compared to people who (constantly) claim that we are only a few days away from going to the moon Smiley I think TERA is basing her prediction based on at the past where there has been long periods with less activity (in between bubbles).
"exactly what will happen"?  I couldn't have been more vague about what is going to happen.

You made a prediction along these lines:
Quote
The movements will be slow and there will be a low volume and volatility most of the time

This:
Quote
I think TERA is basing her prediction based on at the past where there has been long periods with less activity (in between bubbles)
...was just me speculating about how you reached your conclusion that there would be low volume and volatility.



109. Post 6532295 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on May 03, 2014, 11:59:00 PM
I'm always puzzled by the way that Huobi trades. It's always two large orders suddenly appear on both sides of the book and get 1 yuan away from each other to create this tiny tiny spread and then they trade with eachother somehow.

Someone told me (Maybe Aminorex?) that this happens frequently in the USD market. It looks strange though. You would think that sellers would attempt to get buyers to pay more and move their wall up. It seems to me like sellers are trying to keep the prices down (which of course is not in their interest).


in general the market wants to find THE value and stay there, problem is bitcoin is always growing... so every once in a while we have a "bubble" and then bitcoins looking for its value again, we always overshoot on the up side and the down side, and bitcoin keeps growing...

this is why all the volatility.

I see bitcoin calming down and staying steady onces its completely taken over all monetary transactions, because i think in 100 years or so that what will happen bitcoin 4.2.9 will be running and my transactions from 2011- 2150 will be forever recorded on the blockhchain i'll be dead taking at lest 1BTC with me to the grave because afterlife!   Cheesy


It would be nice with a breather after these past months  Smiley BTW it was derpinheimer who mentioned similar behavior in USD markets... It was back on page 5645  Smiley



110. Post 6532420 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: kireinaha on May 04, 2014, 12:08:31 AM
Quite amazing how Tera nows exactly what will happen in the next 2 years.

...but not more crazy compared to people who (constantly) claim that we are only a few days away from going to the moon Smiley I think TERA is basing her prediction based on at the past where there has been long periods with less activity (in between bubbles).

There are no women on the Internet, let alone in bitcoin.

Ups, sorry if I offended anyone. The Swedes have recently invented a new word to replace he/she. That would sometimes be useful to have in English Tongue



111. Post 6532664 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on May 04, 2014, 12:39:40 AM
I'm always puzzled by the way that Huobi trades. It's always two large orders suddenly appear on both sides of the book and get 1 yuan away from each other to create this tiny tiny spread and then they trade with eachother somehow.

Someone told me (Maybe Aminorex?) that this happens frequently in the USD market. It looks strange though. You would think that sellers would attempt to get buyers to pay more and move their wall up. It seems to me like sellers are trying to keep the prices down (which of course is not in their interest).


in general the market wants to find THE value and stay there, problem is bitcoin is always growing... so every once in a while we have a "bubble" and then bitcoins looking for its value again, we always overshoot on the up side and the down side, and bitcoin keeps growing...

this is why all the volatility.

I see bitcoin calming down and staying steady onces its completely taken over all monetary transactions, because i think in 100 years or so that what will happen bitcoin 4.2.9 will be running and my transactions from 2011- 2150 will be forever recorded on the blockhchain i'll be dead taking at lest 1BTC with me to the grave because afterlife!   Cheesy



You are quite hilarious, and to be somewhat serious, one of the problems with bitcoin seems to be that through time there are going to many bitcoin HODLers taking bitcoins with them to the afterlife, until we get some better security vehicles.  I think that if I croaked today, at least half of my bitcoin stash would become unclaimed.  Even if I suffered from some memory loss regarding my bitcoin would cause significant recovery problems.

I am definitely looking forward to better bitcoin wallets.

Quote
(...) there are going to many bitcoin HODLers taking bitcoins with them to the afterlife

That's what true hodlers do Tongue But yes I have been thinking the same thing. So many coins must get lost one way or the other.



112. Post 6547384 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: tupelo on May 05, 2014, 12:00:52 AM
sudden volume spike on bitstamp Shocked

Maybe this: https://btcxindia.com/



113. Post 6550304 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

I had another look at btcxindia this morning before work. https://btcxindia.com looks fake. A Wordpress or Drupal site with a Themeforest template + a bunch of BS social media profiles.



114. Post 6550404 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: TeeBone on May 05, 2014, 05:58:46 AM
I don't think of the upcoming drop so much as a prediction, but as a painfully obvious feature of the chart that I thought we all agreed on.

You see a bounce off 400 or a smash right through it ?

If there is bad news I'm guessing it could go straight to $350. If it doesn't doesn't bounce there then possibly even further down.



115. Post 6550438 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 05, 2014, 06:09:49 AM
I had another look at btcxindia this morning before work. https://btcxindia.com looks fake. A Wordpress or Drupal site with a Themeforest template + a bunch of BS social media profiles.

Fake or just cheap?

If it is fake then it is semi expensive. If it is real it is very cheap. My feeling is that it is fake. It definitely feels fake.



116. Post 6554775 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on May 05, 2014, 06:16:25 AM
I had another look at btcxindia this morning before work. https://btcxindia.com looks fake. A Wordpress or Drupal site with a Themeforest template + a bunch of BS social media profiles.

Fake or just cheap?

If it is fake then it is semi expensive. If it is real it is very cheap. My feeling is that it is fake. It definitely feels fake.



The above graph is taken from https://btcxindia.com/live_trade/ - I see a potential here... by combining this graph with TA techniques know from facial analysis (see https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hakaoQ9L1RM) Smiley



117. Post 6571458 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote from: TERA on May 06, 2014, 09:10:58 AM
I think this market has completely lost its mind.

Also has anyone got a link to the 10th being a day something is supposed to be happening? Only thing I can find is about a Bitcoin conference or something.

10th is supposed to be the deadline for all banks to make a statement, which most already have.  It's also when Dan the EW trader predicted something would happen with EW.

I think maybe he follows the bitcoin news news just a little bit  Smiley



118. Post 6621323 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote from: octaft on May 08, 2014, 10:17:57 PM
I'm willing to draw an MS paint picture of a friendly spider for everyone for FREE.

I want this.

Your wish is my command



Wow, I guess you really do get what you pay for.

He could have drawn a spider with 6 legs but he drew one with 8 legs. It is good value in my opinion. I like it.



119. Post 6628770 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote from: windjc on May 09, 2014, 09:01:22 AM
Looks like Houbi is going to do another pump now that it is 5pm on Friday and no "news" has come out.

I am starting to hate China.  Smiley

China needs to cash out and go to bed. When they wake up they can only buy I guess?



120. Post 6660384 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: dannyspk on May 10, 2014, 10:03:36 PM
Serious buying going on at Stamp with little intervals. Anyone knows why?

It could be the BitPay story and other good news. I think that most traders have concluded that China is not fit to lead anymore. At this point I think it is more likely that the China will follow western exchanges than the other way around. This alone could be bullish if it is true. Also much of the China exit should be priced in by now. Thirdly some TA indicates that we could get (upwards) correction around may 10th. Finally people have become bored with $450 Smiley



121. Post 6665833 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Are there any news out or did the quest for cheaper coins just put us in full panic mode?



122. Post 6666008 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: TERA on May 11, 2014, 07:52:28 AM
Are there any news out or did the quest for cheaper coins just put us in full panic mode?

Breaking news: failed breakout and 4385 volume. Now here is John with sports.

 Grin



123. Post 6680972 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 12, 2014, 03:21:02 AM
Chinese Slumber Method (non-)prediction for Monday May 12

There is no prediction for Monday.  In fact there will be no more Chinese Slumber Method (CSM) predictions. [ Waiting for the hoorays to subside. ] A short report about it is in the works, and the conclusions are disappointing: while CSM is more accurate than the banal predictor "tomorrow is like today" (TLT) on about 60% of the days, on the other 40% is so much worse that it loses to TLT, by most other measures.

Checking the previous prediction

Prediction was posted on: Sunday 2014-05-11, 02:04 UTC
Prediction was valid for: Sunday 2014-05-11, 19:00--19:59 UTC (~17 hours later)

Foiled again again again by the treacherous Chinese:

Huobi's predicted price: 2823 CNY
Huobi's actual price (L+H)/2: 2687 CNY
Error: 136 CNY (~22 USD)

Bitstamp's predicted price: 456 USD
Bitstamp's actual price (L+H)/2: 438 USD
Error: 18 USD
 




[ Plot legend ]
 
NOTE:
  "Erasmus Darwin had a theory that once in a while one should perform a
  damn-fool experiment. It almost always fails, but when it does come
  off is terrific. Darwin played the trombone to his tulips. The result
  of this particular experiment was negative."
    -- J.E.Littlewood


Thank you for sharing your experiment! Who will now post TA with small images of animals and such? I wonder if today's Dodo bird is meant to signify the extinction of the Chinese exchanges or your Slumber Method predictions?  Tongue



124. Post 6681659 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 12, 2014, 05:03:14 AM
Who will now post TA with small images of animals and such?

I will donate the images to the community.  Smiley

I wonder if today's Dodo bird is meant to signify the extinction of the Chinese exchanges or your Slumber Method predictions?  Tongue
As explained in the plot legend (see link), it is only the latter.   Sad  For now.  Wink

Thanks for the images!



125. Post 6683122 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Something to pass the time if you are a cultist in the Church of the SubGenius (the only religion I subscribe to). "I was a cultist for the ATF": http://www.radiohorrorhosts.com/cultist4ATF.html - The intro is kind of funny.



126. Post 6683273 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on May 12, 2014, 07:57:07 AM
Long term downtrend resistance line meeting recent horizontal ghost support line at 429+ in a few days. While the volume stays paper thin.
No one is in the street, everyone is waiting, cowboys gonna duel. Up or down, who knows.

+1. I think we most likely get some bad news from China. I didn't follow the events too closely yesterday, but it seemed to me that the Chinese exchanges were still able to lead the rest of us. But at this point really good news could also spark a rally. If we go past $460 it might be the last chance to get sub $500 coins for a while. But I don't feel it is very likely.



127. Post 6683730 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: ErisDiscordia on May 12, 2014, 08:17:32 AM
Something to pass the time if you are a cultist in the Church of the SubGenius (the only religion I subscribe to). "I was a cultist for the ATF": http://www.radiohorrorhosts.com/cultist4ATF.html - The intro is kind of funny.

thanks for that. Subgenius is a wonderful religion (I practice it every Thursday). Just so you're not stuck with just ONE religion, you should try being a discordian pope every once in a while. It's fun cause you're infallible.  Cheesy

The Subgenius is getting a little too pink, so I'll definitely give Discordianism a go  Cheesy



128. Post 6683930 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: el_rlee on May 12, 2014, 08:31:12 AM
Long term downtrend resistance line meeting recent horizontal ghost support line at 429+ in a few days. While the volume stays paper thin.
No one is in the street, everyone is waiting, cowboys gonna duel. Up or down, who knows.

+1. I think we most likely get some bad news from China. I didn't follow the events too closely yesterday, but it seemed to me that the Chinese exchanges were still able to lead the rest of us. But at this point really good news could also spark a rally. If we go past $460 it might be the last chance to get sub $500 coins for a while. But I don't feel it is very likely.

What's the status of the Chinese exchanges now? Is it still possible to deposit CNY fiat there?

I don't think they can get fiat in. Also I think the Chinese should be done caching out by now. If they can't get fiat out price should go up. If we still follow China (and I think we are) price could go up everywhere (at least until coins from China gets dumped on western exchanges). But if we get news of exchanges closing down first, then price will most likely go further down. This way I see it it can go both ways. Only insiders know what will happen I guess.



129. Post 6684164 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: simtal on May 12, 2014, 09:17:33 AM
buying seemingly started on both stamp and huobi

I was expecting someone to close the arb gap on them. but this will do.

So we're through the December ban , the January one , the April 15 deadline , the may 10th , why do people still watch Huobi?

The lack of buying interest in the west, creates the need to follow the Chinese 0% fee exchanges, with simulated volume. So, everyone could continue to live in their make believe land. thinking that there is demand for bitcoin somewhere.
When Chinese exchanges finally close, then soon there will be a proper drop, because there is no fake dreams to follow any more.

Wait, Chinese exchanges are closing?

I think it is safe to say that more Chinese exchanges may close down Smiley



130. Post 6684422 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: simtal on May 12, 2014, 09:34:08 AM
buying seemingly started on both stamp and huobi

I was expecting someone to close the arb gap on them. but this will do.

So we're through the December ban , the January one , the April 15 deadline , the may 10th , why do people still watch Huobi?

The lack of buying interest in the west, creates the need to follow the Chinese 0% fee exchanges, with simulated volume. So, everyone could continue to live in their make believe land. thinking that there is demand for bitcoin somewhere.
When Chinese exchanges finally close, then soon there will be a proper drop, because there is no fake dreams to follow any more.

Wait, Chinese exchanges are closing?

The Chinese exchanges have been running on a borrowed time since December, when pboc declared that they don't want to see any business activity in China involving bitcoin. Now they are just gradually toughening the laws to gently root out bitcoin without any major incident. The bitcoin market is foolish and inefficient for believing the Chinese exchange owners, on how they have a really good feeling that everything will be all right. The Chinese exchanges were just trying to act confident to keep their business alive as long as possible and to rake in as much money as possible, before you can't even play legal tricks to keep the business going.

That makes no sens, the pboc have never said anything about stopping exchanges being operational and they can just move offshore if they need.

Plus I always here that Chinese volume numbers are fake so they probably dont hold as many coins as we think.

1) You are right, they just need to comply with regulations or pay the fines.
2) I hope the volume is fake. I also believe much of it is fake.



131. Post 6684637 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 12, 2014, 09:53:59 AM
Today Bitpay is coming with a huuuuuge announcement right?

That is something to hope for. The market has dropped $25 since they have announced their big something, but it could be something spectacular Smiley Maybe Amazon or Las Vegas? Vegas because they know that bitcoin holders are degenerate gamblers (and cultists)  Grin



132. Post 6696538 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Boring day, but right now is a bit exciting. It seems that someone is trying their best to encourage a breakout. Here is Kraken with an unusual bid wall:



...and there was just a large-ish buy at Bitstamp. But the resistance is strong, so I think we will need some totally amazing news for a breakout to happen.



133. Post 6696682 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: dreamspark on May 12, 2014, 11:02:38 PM
Boring day, but right now is a bit exciting. It seems that someone is trying their best to encourage a breakout. Here is Kraken with an unusual bid wall:



...and there was just a large-ish buy at Bitstamp. But the resistance is strong, so I think we will need some totally amazing news for a breakout to happen.

Whats the volume like at kraken? Is it not big enough to play that spread ?

The volume at Kraken is pretty low (but increasing over the past month). The 6 EUR drop was caused by dump of only 74 coins! A fairy dumper Smiley To me it feels like someone is putting themselves a bit on the line by putting up that bid wall (and it was just put there recently). Or maybe that trader knows something I don't which is very likely  Tongue



134. Post 6718897 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: windjc on May 14, 2014, 05:56:22 AM
Is it not obvious that without FRESH FIAT (I think I am going to change my user name to this) that these markets cannot go up? And there is no way for fresh fiat to reach the Chinese exchanges.

And if the markets don't go up (and we all should be fully prepared for the market to meander right on past the cross point of this multi-month wedge that everyone's talking about) then the markets are all SITTING DUCKS to bad news coming out of China - like an exchange(s) closing, etc.

Buying here is ridiculous. Shorting isn't a great idea either - although you can often borrow it for almost free, just in case.

I agree with you. But the price could go up if the Chinese realize that they can't get their fiat out of the exchanges (I don't know if this is the case or how likely this is). But in that scenario prices should go up as they buy b/c. I think we will still follow China (even though they should be irrelevant imo).



135. Post 6719361 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: T.Stuart on May 14, 2014, 06:24:37 AM
Is it not obvious that without FRESH FIAT (I think I am going to change my user name to this) that these markets cannot go up? And there is no way for fresh fiat to reach the Chinese exchanges.

And if the markets don't go up (and we all should be fully prepared for the market to meander right on past the cross point of this multi-month wedge that everyone's talking about) then the markets are all SITTING DUCKS to bad news coming out of China - like an exchange(s) closing, etc.

Buying here is ridiculous. Shorting isn't a great idea either - although you can often borrow it for almost free, just in case.

I agree with you. But the price could go up if the Chinese realize that they can't get their fiat out of the exchanges (I don't know if this is the case or how likely this is). But in that scenario prices should go up as they buy b/c. I think we will still follow China (even though they should be irrelevant imo).



I think the point is, how are they going to buy BTC (or keep buying it anyway) if they can't get money into the exchanges?


Yes that is true, but they may already have fiat on the exchanges. The traders who wanted to get out must have cashed completely out by now (I know I would have). If the remaining traders realize that buying b/c and transferring it off the exchange is the only way they can avoid losing everything, then they will buy bitcoin with their remaining fiat (on the exchange). This buying will push the price up. This is bitcoin, and something crazy like this could happen although I don't find it likely. I hope that Chinese exchanges will shut down before this happens.



136. Post 6743105 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: niothor on May 15, 2014, 11:51:20 AM


Quote
Next big thing

In December, the bitcoin community turned to India as its next great hope after Chinese government statements caused the price to drop from its record high of $1,200. India is an emerging economy with a population of over a billion people, nearly half of whom are unbanked or under-served by banks.

Another hype based on nothing..
I'm pretty sure the exchange will claim millions in volume while having 100 satoshi in it's wallet.

The emerging countries , BRICS , myths about adoptions in Africa...

The only real way for bit coin to grow is being used where people have enough money to spend and business eager to accept it.
And that's the good old Europe and North America.

I was sure that Exchange was fake, but maybe it is real since coindesk.com is reporting about it. I concluded that is was most likely fake because:

1) It uses a $20 (Wordpress or Drupal) template from Themeforest (nothing wrong with that per se)
2) It has no API (nothing wrong with that, but it confirms that they have not made an effort to make a top notch trading platform - It could very well just be a Drupal- or Wordpress-site put together in 8-20 hours or so)
3) It has an impressive PDF about AML policy here: https://btcxindia.com/law_regulation but it turns out to mostly copy/paste of another document (search Google)
4) The graph and market data looks a bit odd  Smiley I took the screenshot  after they launched so obviously they had not tested it before launch. Not very convinced it is a safe place to trade.
5) The content on the social media profiles looked a bit random and it looks like is more copy/paste work across the profiles.



137. Post 6744910 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Try this: http://www.finextra.com/news/announcement.aspx?pressreleaseid=55252&topic=retail



138. Post 6754706 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

China is dumping again it seems. What a surprise Wink We have been looking a bit overbought so it was inevitable I guess.



139. Post 6754894 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: shmadz on May 16, 2014, 01:49:36 AM
Vampire Squids

http://youtu.be/XcGh1Dex4Yo?t=1h1m12s

quite good little show (you might want to skip the first 30 minutes or so of remedial stuff if you're already aware what's going on)

Thanks. I will check it out tomorrow.



140. Post 6755331 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: Chalkbot on May 16, 2014, 02:39:50 AM
I can't be the only one who had this idea  Tongue




Nice!

+1  Grin Yes I remember it has been discussed before (maybe several times - I joined some time in March), but up until now no one has done anything about it.



141. Post 6762498 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

I am by no means an expert in chart analysis or indicators. But when I look at the 3d chart and the RSI indicator all I see is the fractal repeating itself one more time:



I find this chart particular interesting because there are other indicators the could point to trend reversal (such as the way we have been right at the top of the descending channel and possibly even broken out a few times).

Looking across the 3 sections where we have been overbought you notice that the volume has increased every time. It don't think this means anything...  It is just because Kraken has gotten more customers (which of course is a good thing Smiley)  If you think my interpretation is wrong then please enlighten me.



142. Post 6763948 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: dreamspark on May 16, 2014, 01:28:17 PM
I am by no means an expert in chart analysis or indicators. But when I look at the 3d chart and the RSI indicator all I see is the fractal repeating itself one more time:



I find this chart particular interesting because there are other indicators the could point to trend reversal (such as the way we have been right at the top of the descending channel and possibly even broken out a few times).

Looking across the 3 sections where we have been overbought you notice that the volume has increased every time. It don't think this means anything...  It is just because Kraken has gotten more customers (which of course is a good thing Smiley)  If you think my interpretation is wrong then please enlighten me.

I think that if you want to do long term analysis thats fair over a period of time you should use an exchange that gets more than a peak of 5700BTC on the 3d chart.

Not saying your observations aren't legit just that volume can tell you a lot and kraken doesn't have much.

Thanks for the feedback. I tried the same thing on Stamp and I think it shows the same pattern. However on Stamp the volume has been decreasing when looking across the 3 sections.



143. Post 6779731 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on May 17, 2014, 11:08:39 AM
Another day, again no movement...

which means the bearish pressure remains to hold off...maybe there loading up for the final dump.. maybe the bulls are just eating the coins to quickly.

I think the market has just been taking a little break before trying to break through resistance again. The average price has already started to move up a bit. I don't see the market responding very well to positive news. If someone manages to come up with some convincing bad news that could be decisive. I'm sure we will know more Monday morning.



144. Post 6780569 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: Teppino on May 17, 2014, 12:57:15 PM
meanwhile we're less than 2$ from breaking upper log trendline from november

Yes, and Stamp is currently $2 below the average price  Smiley Come on Stamp we can't move without you!



145. Post 6781561 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: niothor on May 17, 2014, 02:05:35 PM
meanwhile we're less than 2$ from breaking upper log trendline from november

Yes, and Stamp is currently $2 below the average price  Smiley Come on Stamp we can't move without you!


It's a sunny weekend , probably stamp is having a beer and doesn't give a damn about 2$ Smiley

He he. And this is why we go down. All the way down Smiley



146. Post 6781792 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: niothor on May 17, 2014, 02:13:50 PM
meanwhile we're less than 2$ from breaking upper log trendline from november

Yes, and Stamp is currently $2 below the average price  Smiley Come on Stamp we can't move without you!


It's a sunny weekend , probably stamp is having a beer and doesn't give a damn about 2$ Smiley

He he. And this is why we go down. All the way down Smiley

All the way down? Are you sure we're talking about btc price ?

Yes I was referring to btc price. If bulls don't seize opportunities when they arise, then surely price will go down. The good news doesn't seem to move the market, but I'm fairly sure that bad news will.



147. Post 6782377 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: niothor on May 17, 2014, 02:27:03 PM
Yes I was referring to btc price. If bulls don't seize opportunities when they arise, then surely price will go down. The good news doesn't seem to move the market, but I'm fairly sure that bad news will.

But the term "all the way" usually means 0 level.Do you really think we are going all the way down?
Might have to label you a permabear also Smiley.

No I'm not that bearish Smiley I have been bearish since I started trading bitcoin. Looking back I have not had many reasons not to be bearish Smiley



148. Post 6788539 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: tupelo on May 17, 2014, 10:21:36 PM
I suspect that there are Chinese who open an account at Huobi just for the pleasure of moving orders up and down the book, while carefully avoiding being caught by an actual trade.

That is a tough game. The goal is to get as close to the ticker price without getting caught.
Forget mahjong, chess or go... spread hopping is the new thing.
Soon it will be played by old chinese men duelling via real-price bitcoin ATMs at their village's main square.

I can picture it: A warm summer evening and the old men have gathered on the main square for glass of Baijiu and a game of virtual spread hopping... reminiscing the old days when they were trading on Huobi and OKCoin.




149. Post 6789125 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on May 17, 2014, 05:32:34 PM
Yes I was referring to btc price. If bulls don't seize opportunities when they arise, then surely price will go down. The good news doesn't seem to move the market, but I'm fairly sure that bad news will.

But the term "all the way" usually means 0 level.Do you really think we are going all the way down?
Might have to label you a permabear also Smiley.

No I'm not that bearish Smiley I have been bearish since I started trading bitcoin. Looking back I have not had many reasons not to be bearish Smiley

When did you start trading bitcoin?

And did you come to bitcoin b/c of its volatility?

I got involved late February. I heard about Bitcoin a long time before that, but even though I was intrigued I never really took the time to find out more about it. In February I was really into sentiment analysis using NLP (natural language processing) and I was considering writing a program for analyzing Bitcoin trader sentiment. I quickly came to the conclusion that it would be very hard to get anything meaningful from that (just look at this forum Smiley), so I scrapped that project. But while I was investigating I got more interested in trading. After reading a book on the subject and studying the moves I decided to get more involved. The high volatility is definitely a plus, but also stressful at times. I'm currently swing trading, but I'm also looking for a position to go long, so that I can focus more on other projects. If Bitcoin get's into a longer period with low volatility I might take a break from trading or I might get into alts.



150. Post 6821013 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

^^^ Chartbuddy keeping it real with 3 in a row  Smiley



151. Post 6826877 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: shmadz on May 20, 2014, 03:26:07 AM
I was beginning to think that the one thing that could kill bitcoin would be boredom.

Good to see the patient still has a pulse Smiley

+1.  Smiley



152. Post 6883141 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: hd060053 on May 22, 2014, 10:26:30 PM
Huobi seems to be the only market with a surplus of money... hopefully they have enough to keep this rally going.

It is what I was thinking. For an exchange who is supposed to be cut off from banks and without margin trading it is not that bad  Cheesy

okcoin is leading, huobi just following, then bitstamp. i followed the charts.

... we're solving the global puzzle to make the price of Bitcoin go up Smiley



153. Post 6883194 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: elg on May 22, 2014, 10:26:04 PM
wall at 530 seems a real one....

The Bitfinex $530 looks pretty easy.. Only about $50 a moment ago. Now it's at $100.



154. Post 6899355 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: Bronstad on May 23, 2014, 06:16:13 PM
Quote from: BFW
Bitcoin Exchange Guarantees Clients Crime-Free Trade in Denmark
By Niklas Magnusson

CCEDK Crypto Coins Exchange Denmark ApS CEO Ronny Boesing
May 23 (Bloomberg) -- Denmark is about to get a new Bitcoin exchange, promising future clients a crime-free platform on which to trade the virtual currency.
The CCEDK Crypto Coins Exchange Denmark ApS, which is due to open this month, is offering its trading platform to people across the globe, Chief Executive Officer Ronny Boesing said in an interview. The exchange will initially provide customers with the possibility to trade Bitcoin and Litecoin against each other, as well as in exchange for Danish and Norwegian kroner, British pounds, dollars and euros.


Fortræffelig!
   


Fedt :-)



155. Post 6906873 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on May 23, 2014, 06:19:05 PM
Quote from: BFW
Bitcoin Exchange Guarantees Clients Crime-Free Trade in Denmark
By Niklas Magnusson

CCEDK Crypto Coins Exchange Denmark ApS CEO Ronny Boesing
May 23 (Bloomberg) -- Denmark is about to get a new Bitcoin exchange, promising future clients a crime-free platform on which to trade the virtual currency.
The CCEDK Crypto Coins Exchange Denmark ApS, which is due to open this month, is offering its trading platform to people across the globe, Chief Executive Officer Ronny Boesing said in an interview. The exchange will initially provide customers with the possibility to trade Bitcoin and Litecoin against each other, as well as in exchange for Danish and Norwegian kroner, British pounds, dollars and euros.


Fortræffelig!
   


Fedt :-)

I just tested this exchange and successfully transferred BTC to it. The transfer went through pretty quickly. The interface and trading features are not amazing, so they need to work a bit on that. Also there doesn't seem to be any traders yet. When the price goes up that will surely attract traders from Scandinavian countries.



156. Post 6907050 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: aminorex on May 24, 2014, 05:58:13 AM
Quote from: BFW
Bitcoin Exchange Guarantees Clients Crime-Free Trade in Denmark
I just tested this exchange and successfully transferred BTC to it.
crime-free btc i guesss

That is confirmed. I'm the only trader there (I think) and I have not committed any crimes. Yet.  Tongue



157. Post 6907191 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: ChrisML on May 24, 2014, 06:11:58 AM
Choo choo?  Cheesy

I thought maybe we would just stabilize around $525, and then starting to choo choo on sunday. But now it is starting to look like there will be some action before that.



158. Post 6908736 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: molecular on May 24, 2014, 07:52:49 AM
Choo choo?  Cheesy

I thought maybe we would just stabilize around $525, and then starting to choo choo on sunday. But now it is starting to look like there will be some action before that.

because someone said choo choo? I don't see significant action.


You are right. I just got a bit exited about a +10 EUR increase + the breaking the 1 h MA + the descent volume on the Chinese exchanges. All neutralized and back to normal.



159. Post 6924858 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on May 25, 2014, 07:32:38 AM
Our Chinese friends have crossed 3500

Well, just one of them so far  Smiley



160. Post 6935277 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 25, 2014, 07:12:52 PM
Amazing how people instantly panic and sell because someone puts up a wall.

There is much manipulation taking place that is for sure. Bots on my exchange are putting up sell walls below average price. If I could afford them I would buy them Tongue



161. Post 6937509 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: wasserman99 on May 25, 2014, 08:51:44 PM
I dunno what to think. The current formation looks like a top with a bear flag (and we are currently in the flag) But it also feels bullish  Smiley  Do you think we might fall out of the bear flag for a leg down and then maybe continue the up trend?

It also feels mostly bullish to me. I think we will either go up tomorrow from $570 or retrace to $550. Support for $570 does not seem overwhelming. On the bullish side I have seen many traders buying coins from those intimidating bot walls... The bots I have observed have also been "competing" with each other and traders to buy dumped coins. I don't know how clever the bots (or their operators are) are, but they definitely want to scoop up as many coins as possible for the lowest price possible. And that price has not been much lower than the current price Smiley Today has been a bit "messy" in my opinion. Like someone panicking because they realized that that the train has left the station. So I would say that there is risk of a leg down, but I also feel that the up trend will continue.



162. Post 6937716 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on May 25, 2014, 09:48:13 PM
I dunno what to think. The current formation looks like a top with a bear flag (and we are currently in the flag) But it also feels bullish  Smiley  Do you think we might fall out of the bear flag for a leg down and then maybe continue the up trend?

It also feels mostly bullish to me. I think we will either go up tomorrow from $570 or retrace to $550. Support for $570 does not seem overwhelming. On the bullish side I have seen many traders buying coins from those intimidating bot walls... The bots I have observed have also been "competing" with each other and traders to buy dumped coins. I don't know how clever the bots (or their operators are) are, but they definitely want to scoop up as many coins as possible for the lowest price possible. And that price has not been much lower than the current price Smiley Today has been a bit "messy" in my opinion. Like someone panicking because they realized that that the train has left the station. So I would say that there is risk of a leg down, but I also feel that the up trend will continue.


Also watching this closely:


The positive news today is that we have avoided breaking down to the lower channel of the current trend. If we do I think we will go back and to $550. So I am watching this closely.



163. Post 6937875 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on May 25, 2014, 10:01:31 PM
I dunno what to think. The current formation looks like a top with a bear flag (and we are currently in the flag) But it also feels bullish  Smiley  Do you think we might fall out of the bear flag for a leg down and then maybe continue the up trend?

It also feels mostly bullish to me. I think we will either go up tomorrow from $570 or retrace to $550. Support for $570 does not seem overwhelming. On the bullish side I have seen many traders buying coins from those intimidating bot walls... The bots I have observed have also been "competing" with each other and traders to buy dumped coins. I don't know how clever the bots (or their operators are) are, but they definitely want to scoop up as many coins as possible for the lowest price possible. And that price has not been much lower than the current price Smiley Today has been a bit "messy" in my opinion. Like someone panicking because they realized that that the train has left the station. So I would say that there is risk of a leg down, but I also feel that the up trend will continue.


Also watching this closely:


The positive news today is that we have avoided breaking down to the lower channel of the current trend. If we do I think we will go back and to $550. So I am watching this closely.

...and it broke on first on Stamp as far as I can tell. And then it unbroke  Smiley



164. Post 6943744 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 26, 2014, 07:10:22 AM
I'm going in Tera mode for now.
Too much resistance. Bid wall removed. Dump incoming. Back to 550  Undecided

Yes too much resistance. Can I ask where are you trading?



165. Post 6973242 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: dani on May 27, 2014, 02:47:04 PM
Prepare everyone - we're going down! I'm pretty confident as you will see: I just bought some.

..cc..m..f?

What a wasted day, but I'm glad I got out before the 1st round dumping started and that I ended the day with a tiny profit. I caught the bottom perfectly today, and it looked like we were recovering. But then dumpers started their dumping again. I tried to hold but dumpers the price going too far down for comfort and I had to dump not to lose profit. Later I bought back because it looked like a new up-trending line was forming. But then that broke and I sold again. This time at a small loss. I would be nice to see more green hourly candles on all exchanges. Up until now all candles are red or weak (especially on Okcoin). Dumpers there obviously have a target to sell at 3.500 CNY. Possibly bulls think that is a great price to buy at... or something. However price is not really changing much on the Chinese exchanges and I don't believe that western exchanges are able to move much without them. Right now there is no real sign of recovery and buyers must be getting exhausted. On top of that TA looks bad as we have clearly broken the lowest line in the channel we were in. The only positive news is that we are currently sideways and . Also I looks like the crossing of the 15 min. MA might have given the Chinese traders a little confidence.



166. Post 6974398 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Wow all the green candles I could wish for just came in Cheesy



167. Post 6974800 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: cbeast on May 27, 2014, 05:19:39 PM
I'm glad I had a buy order at 555. I'm using my "rule of thirds" and "superstitious numbers" hypotheses for trading.

Ha ha. I had mine at the lowest point possible (around 400 EUR) and got my orders filled. Now I regret dumping them again for very little profit. My profit could have been... er well a LOT better Smiley Bitcoin is c-r-a-z-y  Cheesy

This cultist have to punish himself with this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QH2-TGUlwu4 (the 10 hour version).



168. Post 6985490 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 28, 2014, 04:48:34 AM
Another dump soon?

What's so special about 580-600 that we can't cross it?

$560 is support level imo. We busted the long term down trend at $480 and smashed though $560 pretty readily. There has been some resistance to $600, testing twice, but the market is at odds so we are going sideways. Next resistance point $625 so if we stay above $560 and consolidate we should see another move up.

I feel another leveraged cleaner dump coming on :/



We're not going up anymore so someone will start dumping for sure.

Now is a good time to start increasing your BTC stash imo (if you were trading  Smiley)



169. Post 6986866 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 28, 2014, 07:09:03 AM
Whats even worsed is hes on a bitcoin forum posting daily about something he doesnt believe in lol classic trollism 101...
And even worse, having to scroll through dozens of replies to every post of mine, by people who have nothing useful to say about bitcoin, but think it is important to discuss my person. 

Jorge, have you noticed how this correlates with the resent price-drop? Every time there is a drop the cult gathers to reaffirm themselves that bitcoin is amazing and mock the scientist. Science vs. religion/cultism? I feel that you have plenty of useful things to contribute, although you do not seem to take in arguments that well Smiley You are always polite (as someone else pointed out), humorous and obviously very interested in Bitcoin. It says in your signature that you are skeptical, so what do people expect? I really don't see why some feel the need to make it personal. My point is: Don't worry about emotional traders.



170. Post 6987324 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: Threebits on May 28, 2014, 07:50:18 AM
By the way - what is the current status of the Chinese exchanges? Are they cut out from the banking system and use HuobiCNY and such?

i don't think so. i haven't heard anything about that, as far as banking options being cut. seems like everything just continued as usual. last i heard, all options were more or less still available and the status quo hasn't changed. puts a nice cloud of mystery over the whole market....

I noticed that Huobi's price was usd $10 lower than that of bitstamp, coming to current equavalent, or enen slightly higher.

This tells that the banking system has not cut out. No only so, it might indicate fresh fiat is flowing in. Anyone has different reading?

It has nothing to do with banking or fresh fiat. It is a bullish sign though. I is always positive when you wake up and China hasn't dumped Smiley



171. Post 6988236 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

There must be some new FUD out... Otherwise I can't see why traders @ OKCoin would dump 3-5000 coins into that ever expanding bid wall at 3565.



172. Post 6988537 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: jl2012 on May 28, 2014, 09:22:07 AM
There must be some new FUD out... Otherwise I can't see why traders @ OKCoin would dump 3-5000 coins into that ever expanding bid wall at 3565.

Do you mean 3-500?

Yes. Put more precisely: Large unusual number divided by fake volume factor Smiley



173. Post 6989039 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: KFR on May 28, 2014, 09:46:08 AM
Attention Chinese miners:

Whoever sells your coins is very bad at it.  Please hire a professional - you will save a lot of money by selling intelligently.


Not a bad idea to agree on a fixed price for mined coins and then get the miner to dump them on an exchange: You will get all the mined coins + all the coins from panicking traders. All at a fixed low price.



174. Post 6989539 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: KFR on May 28, 2014, 10:04:56 AM
Great for the buyer but in most cases the miners could get a much better deal.  The sellers that understand that they're setting the prices are doing much better at the moment.

中国矿工:
你失去了金钱,当你卖硬币。因此能够更有效地销售。请聘请专业。

I agree. Those poor miners only get a bowl of rice and then straight back to work in the dark and damp Bitcoin mines Smiley



175. Post 7006142 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: hdbuck on May 29, 2014, 02:12:56 AM
1w EMA crossed back Cheesy

That explains a lot. Boom stop loss kicked in @ houbi and 3500 broken.



176. Post 7006830 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

They sure have been dumping many coins into 3500 over the past 24 hours. Maybe they doing us a favor certifying that 3500 is very strong support. If it holds it should shoot straight up no?



177. Post 7007151 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: shmadz on May 29, 2014, 04:09:11 AM
They sure have been dumping many coins into 3500 over the past 24 hours. Maybe they doing us a favor certifying that 3500 is very strong support. If it holds it should shoot straight up no?

As soon as my money fiat clears, I'm buying half, and setting the other half in a tranche back down to 450 (CAD on virtex)

I'm not giving advice, I'm just saying what I might hypthecically do.

*edit for clarity  Cool

I'm currently 100% fiat and it doesn't feel good. I would love to get more coins, if the price goes up that is also nice Smiley



178. Post 7007479 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: shmadz on May 29, 2014, 04:36:55 AM
They sure have been dumping many coins into 3500 over the past 24 hours. Maybe they doing us a favor certifying that 3500 is very strong support. If it holds it should shoot straight up no?

As soon as my money fiat clears, I'm buying half, and setting the other half in a tranche back down to 450 (CAD on virtex)

I'm not giving advice, I'm just saying what I might hypthecically do.

*edit for clarity  Cool

I'm currently 100% fiat and it doesn't feel good. I would love to get more coins, if the price goes up that is also nice Smiley

ok, I'm gonna stop posting now, cuz I'm probably just being stupid at this point, but if you are 100% fiat, how would the price going up be nice for you?

heavy into fiat has always been a scary place for me.

Increasing price will be seen as something positive by the public and the media. That will help adoption etc. Second I would love it if this article got it totally wrong: http://www.businessinsider.com/williams-bitcoin-meltdown-10-2013-12 Smiley We are already in mid 2014 now so we are actually close to proving Mr. Williams wrong.



179. Post 7009241 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on May 29, 2014, 06:53:26 AM
They sure have been dumping many coins into 3500 over the past 24 hours. Maybe they doing us a favor certifying that 3500 is very strong support. If it holds it should shoot straight up no?

As soon as my money fiat clears, I'm buying half, and setting the other half in a tranche back down to 450 (CAD on virtex)

I'm not giving advice, I'm just saying what I might hypthecically do.

*edit for clarity  Cool

I'm currently 100% fiat and it doesn't feel good. I would love to get more coins, if the price goes up that is also nice Smiley

ok, I'm gonna stop posting now, cuz I'm probably just being stupid at this point, but if you are 100% fiat, how would the price going up be nice for you?

heavy into fiat has always been a scary place for me.

Increasing price will be seen as something positive by the public and the media. That will help adoption etc. Second I would love it if this article got it totally wrong: http://www.businessinsider.com/williams-bitcoin-meltdown-10-2013-12 Smiley We are already in mid 2014 now so we are actually close to proving Mr. Williams wrong.


If you are relying upon that article to make your bitcoin investment decisions, then you are likely going to miss the train. 

Surely, we are all guessing to some degree about the direction of bitcoin prices; however, at this point, it seems you would be lucky to get coins in the lower $500s, or possibly in the upper $400s.  Even though we currently have some downward priceward movement, it seems that within the next few weeks, BTC prices are going to stabilize  $600 and beyond



If i relied on that article at all and invested in bitcoin at all I would be about as crazy as a member of a suicide cult. However I do agree that things are looking up a bit after last night where the bears in China again dumped into the wall at 3500 and again failed to bring the price down below that. There is so much resistance and I'm sure that the battle for the 1w MA and $600 can go on for a while. This was "just" round 3. If I only cared about profit I would prefer that the price went down, but on a personal level I would just like to see the bulls win this one.



180. Post 7010542 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on May 29, 2014, 08:06:11 AM
They sure have been dumping many coins into 3500 over the past 24 hours. Maybe they doing us a favor certifying that 3500 is very strong support. If it holds it should shoot straight up no?

As soon as my money fiat clears, I'm buying half, and setting the other half in a tranche back down to 450 (CAD on virtex)

I'm not giving advice, I'm just saying what I might hypthecically do.

*edit for clarity  Cool

I'm currently 100% fiat and it doesn't feel good. I would love to get more coins, if the price goes up that is also nice Smiley

ok, I'm gonna stop posting now, cuz I'm probably just being stupid at this point, but if you are 100% fiat, how would the price going up be nice for you?

heavy into fiat has always been a scary place for me.

Increasing price will be seen as something positive by the public and the media. That will help adoption etc. Second I would love it if this article got it totally wrong: http://www.businessinsider.com/williams-bitcoin-meltdown-10-2013-12 Smiley We are already in mid 2014 now so we are actually close to proving Mr. Williams wrong.


If you are relying upon that article to make your bitcoin investment decisions, then you are likely going to miss the train. 

Surely, we are all guessing to some degree about the direction of bitcoin prices; however, at this point, it seems you would be lucky to get coins in the lower $500s, or possibly in the upper $400s.  Even though we currently have some downward priceward movement, it seems that within the next few weeks, BTC prices are going to stabilize  $600 and beyond



If i relied on that article at all and invested in bitcoin at all I would be about as crazy as a member of a suicide cult. However I do agree that things are looking up a bit after last night where the bears in China again dumped into the wall at 3500 and again failed to bring the price down below that. There is so much resistance and I'm sure that the battle for the 1w MA and $600 can go on for a while. This was "just" round 3. If I only cared about profit I would prefer that the price went down, but on a personal level I would just like to see the bulls win this one.

I find your stated position difficult to understand.  In essence, you are fairly confident that bitcoin prices are going to double digits - accordingly, you are NOT investing into bitcoin b/c you are convinced that bitcoin prices are soon going to plummet.   yet, on the other hand, you would like bitcoin prices to rise b/c you have some kind of sympathy for the underdog.  If that is your position, then it is a strange one, in my thinking.


I don't agree with the article. Also I don't believe I have mentioned anything about double digits Smiley I'm far from sure that prices will plummet... or if they can go up without further retracement. It is true that my outlook is bearish at the moment, but there is an epic battle going. I feel that bulls are the underdogs at the moment because:

- Resistance
- Many shorters?
- The 1w ema has (or is very close to) crossing back
- We recently had a dump and price has been declining slowly since the $595 peak
- There is also difficulty getting every exchange (and bulls traders) on the same page at approximately the same time (this seems to be a real issue)
- Rallies have failed

On the other hand there are traders who viciously attack those intimidating buy walls and defend support like there is no tomorrow. This is how you win, but it is also risky business. Especially if you are a small fish and just entering the market. To me some of the trading that is taking place looks a bit emotional. I respect that passion, but I fear that emotions can get some small fish burned.

Edit: Misc.



181. Post 7010636 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: magicmexican on May 29, 2014, 08:57:09 AM
Whats its going to be - weekend dump or weekend rally?

I will all become clear when I post my latest TA experiment. I'm currently working on it.

PS: Don't get you hopes up. It is very silly.



182. Post 7010822 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

...and here it is. The result of my latest Jesus TA experiment:



I'm not sure what to make of it. Him being upside down on the cross must be a bearish sign. He went to heaven on this day (that is why I got the day off  Smiley). That must be a bullish sign. Maybe the real Bitcoin Jesus (Roger Ver) know where it's headed: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mF_WhMSKhIg#t=447

PS: This Jesus TA is not really working out for me. Maybe it is because I'm not a true believer in Christianity. Or maybe I just suck at TA  Smiley



183. Post 7010888 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: kurious on May 29, 2014, 09:25:14 AM
Whats its going to be - weekend dump or weekend rally?

I will all become clear when I post my latest TA experiment. I'm currently working on it.

PS: Don't get you hopes up. It is very silly.

I hope there is a dino in it !

Of course - it's not really rigorous TA without one.   Preferably well dressed.

No, I'm sorry he is actually barely dressed at all. Also he seems to be suffering/struggelig. OMG that is another bearish sign!!



184. Post 7028726 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 30, 2014, 04:41:54 AM
300 dump. Odd.

Yes, on Stamp. Strange move...?



185. Post 7029504 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on May 30, 2014, 05:46:49 AM
300 dump. Odd.

Yes, on Stamp. Strange move...?

Probably waited to see if it would rally with a fresh wall and realized nothing was happening :/

nomnomnom


That sounds likely. Nice to see some positive signs across the board. 1st in the month is payday for many (including myself). Personally I'm am considering selling more fiat soon.



186. Post 7029614 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: latoxine on May 30, 2014, 06:02:22 AM
300 dump. Odd.

Yes, on Stamp. Strange move...?

Probably waited to see if it would rally with a fresh wall and realized nothing was happening :/

nomnomnom



What do you mean by ''300 dump" ? I don't see any pick on stamp btcwisdom ?! are you talking about bitstamp bid and ask orders ?


It was as sell wall, so not a dump that brought the price down (much). Look at the volume and you will see it.



187. Post 7032074 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

China on the pumps.



188. Post 7032121 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on May 30, 2014, 09:08:30 AM
China on the pumps.

...maybe just a  little test to see if Stamp etc. will follow?



189. Post 7049601 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: gizmoh on May 31, 2014, 06:22:51 AM
Welcome back Willy Jr, buying 1.85 btc every 14 seconds on stamp  Cheesy

Wow, "Little Willy" will buy a lot of BTC in a relative short time.



190. Post 7049812 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: dropt on May 31, 2014, 06:42:59 AM
Welcome back Willy Jr, buying 1.84 btc every 14 seconds on stamp  Cheesy

Mostly buying, sometimes selling.  He even shot up to 4.56 buy/sells there for a minute.

It is nice to know that you can always sell your coins to Willy Jr.  Smiley



191. Post 7051571 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: Erdogan on May 31, 2014, 08:52:41 AM
I educated some friends/family on bitcoin and kept them on call for a breakout. They were originally very interested and bullish about the fundamentals and were going to buy at $800 but I advised against it and to wait for the bull market to start. So I kept them in the loop all the way through the gox crash and through the (second) china crash. They were still interested most of the time. However, as we got to April/May, they started losing interest. I advised multiple times to buy at $450 but now things were looking too grim, "it is volatile - we thought it would be less volatile", "this thing is all over the map", "its been going down too long", "i dont feel the same way about bitcoin anymore", etc.  I alerted them again as the breakout at $460 occured and as it was passing $490 but they completely lost interest by that point.  I guess they will probably buy now at this point at $625. It is ridiculous the mentality of the average person to buy high and sell low.

Afterwards, you knew in advance.


Let us hope they start buying now Smiley I remember the dip to $340 and thinking "this is the end". I took me a long time @ $450 I started feeling just a bit confident that the fractal wouldn't repeat and that it might be a good time to buy.

Currently the sentiment is so bullish. I just witnessed how multiple "small" traders was taking out a buy wall that in principle was way too big for them. They could have waited and tried to use the wall to their advantage, but they just bought it. It took them an hour to get the job done Smiley Is now the time to be fearful or to hope that whoever put up the wall will soon need to buy back at a higher price? I think it best to always be fearful when trading Bitcoin Smiley



192. Post 7052228 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: ihaveaquestion on May 31, 2014, 09:57:43 AM
I educated some friends/family on bitcoin and kept them on call for a breakout. They were originally very interested and bullish about the fundamentals and were going to buy at $800 but I advised against it and to wait for the bull market to start. So I kept them in the loop all the way through the gox crash and through the (second) china crash. They were still interested most of the time. However, as we got to April/May, they started losing interest. I advised multiple times to buy at $450 but now things were looking too grim, "it is volatile - we thought it would be less volatile", "this thing is all over the map", "its been going down too long", "i dont feel the same way about bitcoin anymore", etc.  I alerted them again as the breakout at $460 occured and as it was passing $490 but they completely lost interest by that point.  I guess they will probably buy now at this point at $625. It is ridiculous the mentality of the average person to buy high and sell low.

Afterwards, you knew in advance.


I think it best to always be fearful when trading Bitcoin Smiley

Yeah, it sounds like the best way to minimize your profits. You guys make me feel i do have an edge on most of you even if i don't believe in TA. I just think there is a 90%+ probability that we will be north 10 000$ by the end of 2015 and bought a lot of BTC. I believed a BTC for 600$ is a steal, and i bought, and again at 550$, 500$ to 425$ which is my lowest buying. Unfortunately i missed the fall to 340$ because i am in the wrong GMT. At 425$ it was an obvious buy, but you guys were posting random charts to say we might go a few bucks below so you have not bought for most of the daytraders. And now we are at 622$ and instead of double thinking and wondering if it is amazingly cheap, you are trying to buy at like 610$ risking to see 700$ overnight.

At some point many of you should realize hodlers have an edge on most of you, and especially you edward.

It is good to be fearful when trading Bitcoin because bad news can strike at any moment. A DDOS on an exchange is all it (could) take. For this reason I always have a stop loss in place. My overall strategy is to add to winners and quickly take down losers. It is pretty easy for me to enter and exit because I only have 10 BTC to play with. Currently I'm holding half my stash and I occasionally trade with the other half. Doing it this way gives me more confidence in my decisions, helps me sleep better at night, and still provides gives me a very good feel for where the market is currently headed. It is working out ok, but I would have done better if I had been holding all my BTC since $340 or indeed since $450. This is my first experience with a bull market and I'm still a newbe trader. The bear market taught me to cash out my winners early. I still do this with half my stash the moment I sense a drop is incoming. An example of this is when we had the latest drop: I got out just before it happened and I called the bottom perfectly. But then I took my winner to early and missed the quick rise back. I feel I keep learning and this is also important for me.



193. Post 7052526 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

I haven't studied TA carefully yet, but I think Bitcoin might be a good case for TA, so I plan to get more into it in the future. I have tried drawing some lines and have sometimes been successful. If you see a pattern forming then go with it, but if it stops behaving like you expected then reconsider.

The main things I monitor/use are:
- Support and resistance
- Candles and MACD on different time frames
- RSI (not sure how useful it is, but used in conjunction with other indicators it can help to make a more informed decision)
- The sentiment
- The average BTC price (I some times use this to determine if walls are put in place because someone wishes to sell at that price or if they are used to push the price down)
- TA from TradingView + my own DIY TA



194. Post 7052632 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: nanobrain on May 31, 2014, 10:52:02 AM
Really TA is something beyond my ability as I'm lazy spending time learning it. Because of my inability, I found it wired.

I must admit TA is not wired but useful in many cases, for many people. For me, I would just leave it as it gives me more uncertainty.

The certain thing under my territory is to buy dollar average cost and hodl, until my expectation appears. I wish this  works with bitcoin this time.

There is no TA in the Bitcoin market. The prices are controlled by whales who pump and dump how and when they like. And also by the news.


C'mon Shroomsy...you've spent the last six months pointing out how 'good news' normally foreshadows a drop in price, so 'news' is hardly an accurate gauge for predicting market movement.

And do you really subscribe to the 'trollbox' world view of 'pump and dump'?  For alts with smaller market cap certainly, but BTC....I think those days are long gone.  Whales may set trends but manipulating the market to the extent of 'pump and dump'; too many actors now.

+ Even whales will move in patterns to maximize their profits. And whales have to manage risks just like everybody else. Being a small fish it is useful to understand this and try also and follow what they are doing. What the do is basically to buy at wholesale and sell to us at retail. I forgot to add volume to my previous list, but that is obviously also very important.



195. Post 7053272 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote
Well, now enjoy the bull market.

Thanks I am. It's awesome to see this crazy coin take off  Smiley

Quote
You do realize we follow a log trend, even if we are still below it now? Don't underestimate resilience.

I still don't feel like basing any decisions on the log trend. When looking back in history I tend to only consider the time after Gox. I may be wrong in doing so, but like you said we are not currently following that trend and I think it will take something like a new Silkroad, new markets or mass adoption to get us close.

Quote
Gox was THE exchange. Now there are dozens of exchanges so if one fails, even Bitstamp or BTC-E which are both untrustworthy in my book, as we have already experienced a major exchange's failure and recovered from that, maybe noobs won't be so afraid when early adopters will tell them "yeah routine, +1000% this year too.". Same goes with government shit. PBOC made unbelievable efforts to make Bitcoin look bad and still here we are.
Don't take a big fall for granted if any bad news, that is what happens in bear markets, not necessarily in bubble times when the momentum is here.

I agree with you about the bad news and market direction and most other things you say here... but imagine a major exchange getting closed Shocked. Such opportunity Smiley It would be great if we didn't have to rely so much on the exchanges. At least there are more of them now and new ideas about exchanges are on the table. When I started trading I actually tried to sign up for Stamp, but they claimed they never got my passport and proof of residence (even though I had uploaded them without any issues) so I went in another direction. It was right around the time where the problems at Gox were becoming more obvious, so I was lucky not to fall into that trap (also thanks to BitcoinTalk and critical articles).

Quote
I am not saying you should never sell, i did sell the day of the announce of the malleability of the transactions with the goal of buying back later and did pick the bottom. But don't overestimate yourself, we might just have been both lucky on picking the bottom once. Besides, i DO believe your default choice should be to hold bitcoins, not fiat, especially on these times when we had rallies, are under the long term logtrend, and that you can see many noobs on reddit saying they are coming. Even dogecoiners are finally realizing that Bitcoin is way more valuable and are selling their doge to get bitcoins, as you can see on the DOGE/BTC chart. Yes, even them finallly understand the value of Bitcoin. They needed 6 months to understand why it is better than dogecoin, some people are slow learners.

Yes picking a bottom like that is lucky and I kick myself for not holding better. I need to train that more, but it is also fun to predict the market. Since we have now had this bull market for a while I can finally safely experiment with some of my stash without risking loss.

Quote
Anyway good luck with your trading.

Thanks  Smiley



196. Post 7053532 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: Eternity on May 31, 2014, 11:59:03 AM
Mandrake Mechanism

http://www.geocities.com/rebornempowered/mandrake/mandrake.htm

I can't remember if it was you who shared a link for this docu.: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcGh1Dex4Yo - It is saying the same basically the same thing as the flowchat... but not using a flowchart  Smiley When people doubt crypto because "it is just money made out of thin air" I like to share that documentary with them Smiley



197. Post 7054261 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

New buy wall at Stamp (trying to stay on topic)



198. Post 7054304 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: Krabby on May 31, 2014, 01:22:46 PM
New buy wall at Stamp (trying to stay on topic)

ask*

Oh yeah :-)



199. Post 7054375 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

...and I see they already made mugs, T-shits and what not for the 7k celebrations: https://www.keepcalm-o-matic.co.uk/p/keep-calm-and-love-7k-7/  Smiley



200. Post 7054709 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Could it be someone arbitraging between Stamp and BTC-e?



201. Post 7059909 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on May 31, 2014, 07:45:23 PM
If he has more coins ready and is smart he should stop putting up walls for a little while and slowly put them back again on the way up.
If he keeps adding these walls it might actually stop us from going up for a while and he will be forced to market sell or put a new wall up way lower.

Maybe that is what he is doing. He just happens to have a LOT of coins to sell.

PS: I'm also struggling to make sense of the wall movements today. The seller seem genuinely interested in selling a chunk at this price level. If he wanted to bring the price down he would have dumped. It would have been easy for him to do when we were below $590 imo, but he waited until we were well above $600, and until the bullish sentiment had returned. When/if he removes the walls everything will be ready and primed to go higher (BTC-e is the only major exchange that is behind). This is the best I can come up with  Smiley



202. Post 7061245 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

China wants to rally.

Edit: Someone put the brakes on



203. Post 7061372 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: BitChick on May 31, 2014, 09:47:17 PM
China wants to rally.

So what are we waiting for!?  Wink

I don't know. Maybe we are waiting for Sunday morning in China.



204. Post 7064350 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

I thought maybe China would just pass 4000 and then go back and maintain somewhere just below that. 4100 so quick that is pretty wild  Smiley



205. Post 7071220 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Quote from: Parazyd on June 01, 2014, 11:56:59 AM
My prediction in the next few years is at least $3000 per BTC. In today's value.

If nothing else inflation should take care of that  Smiley



206. Post 7075243 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Just came home from a bike ride and I barely got to say hello to 666 before I had to say goodbye Smiley



207. Post 7078468 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Would love a bear. Watch out my address contains FUd:

1FUdKsp5ZBxoxSWZboYLi42sQEc6XH4Uwe

It will go nicely with the pizza I had delivered ind the middle of everything. Havn't had time to touch it yet  Smiley



208. Post 7078554 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Quote from: seleme on June 01, 2014, 08:12:46 PM
Adam is legend, my favorite Bitcoiner. Always in good mood, wherever price is  Grin

+1



209. Post 7081113 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

It would be nice if $666 started to demonstrate it's gravitational pull  Smiley



210. Post 7081413 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Quote from: ChrisML on June 01, 2014, 11:44:33 PM
Huobi is having a fat dump. LMAO

on super low volume..so infact..not really a large dump at all.

We are below 4000. Thats what I call bearish.

It looks like they are defending 4000-ish. Can't really blame the Chinese for being a bit confused after todays events Smiley

Anyway I thought about this clip from Trailer Park Boys: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gtM9xD-Ky7E  Smiley



211. Post 7086364 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Quote from: YipYip on June 02, 2014, 07:54:31 AM

We are at lower prices.

I will wait for cheaper price under 550 seems OK.. Its bound to test 600 soonish..Yes shroomy i've seen the future Cheesy

Smokin da crack pipes ...

we can stay here all day it wont go below 600 ...toooo many whales invested in cheap-ish coinz ..no body want to kill this golden goose ...YET Cheesy

Gotta feed it some more for the feast taht is 2k+  Cool

I agree, I don't think we will go below $600 for a while. I think we will be more or less sideways for some time. I'll only consider buying on dips at this stage and I might even abstain from that. That is my position for now anyway.



212. Post 7096355 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Bitcoin apps on Apple devices



213. Post 7097897 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on June 02, 2014, 10:03:15 PM
This is unreal... Despite I'm all in, we need to slow down  Shocked

I can't believe we were able to do a full stop mid rally, but I guess we felt the need to see what direction China was taking. I still don't get what is going on on the Chinese exchanges. It just don't make any sense as far as I can tell.



214. Post 7098476 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 02, 2014, 10:48:24 PM

That is a very interesting site.  I had NOT previously seen it.  

The data seems to be inconsistent between clicking on the beta predictor and the other 24 hour, 5 day and 20 day charts.... I mean the beta live version seems to be a bit more bullish than the non-live version.  In this regard, the live version predicts mid-$700s in the coming 24 hours; while the non-live versions predicts lower $700s in the coming 24 hours (though granted, the NON-live version seems to update on the hour, so seems to have NOT yet accounted for the price spike that occurred within the last hour).    


The developer, Kevin asserts that short -term predictions are likely more accurate than long-term predictions, so long as there are NO major news events affecting the prediction outcomes.  And, the algorithm seems to be based on historical performance, which we likely know is NOT necessarily a good predictor of future performance.

Further, his 20-day prediction seems to place BTC prices in the $300 to $400 territory, which seems very bearish and failing to take into account that BTC has been in a down trend for more than 6 months, which will more likely cause BTC prices to go up from here (our current price-point) rather than going down from here.  I could NOT really gather from the website how he came to what seems to be a hair-brained idea that BTC prices are going to plummet anywhere below $600 in the coming month.  Seems highly unlikely given the pent-up at-the-moment BTC situation.

NONETHELESS, I do like the concept of the site, if he is able to take into account more variables, then maybe the predictive aspect (especially longer term) may improve both long-term and short-term prediction(s).

It predicted this for my birthday:


I was sorely disappointed that it didn't come true  Smiley



215. Post 7102769 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

I don't know of any other instrument where traders will put that much effort into maintaining the price $666. Is $666 bullish or goatish?



216. Post 7108961 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 03, 2014, 01:40:05 PM
*finger on the trigger*

should i do it? should i buy 10K BTC all at once?

I recommend you start with 1k and see how you feel after that Smiley



217. Post 7109064 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: YogoH on June 03, 2014, 02:09:36 PM
Hahaha the only guy that got it right ...


https://www.tradingview.com/v/NmrqKsJR/

Ha ha. That is awesome  Cheesy



218. Post 7113797 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 03, 2014, 06:13:34 PM
Plot twist: ShroomsKit dumps all the BTC.

I don't roll like that.

But what about the bot? Maybe it has a mind of it's own?

The sci-fi twistTM



219. Post 7114691 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Volume has declined a lot everywhere, but especially on the Chinese exchanges. Houbi's order book does not look too healthy. OKCoin looks better. At Kraken someone placed a comforting bid wall that keeps getting topped up every time someone dumps into it. Whoever placed it there either has inside info. or is feeling charitable. Without that wall I'm sure price would have crashed some time ago. Stamp had another failed go at $680, but continues upwards right in the middle of the triangle it is currently sitting in. Someone said silence before the storm...



220. Post 7115193 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

From the early days of Bitcoin:



221. Post 7121359 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):



Jesus TATM



222. Post 7121598 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Trailer Park Boys - The way she goes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjB3oTFFRzY  Smiley



223. Post 7135153 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: keithers on June 04, 2014, 09:02:29 PM
A couple decently sized buy orders going through at Stamp right now...hopefully we are getting ready for another little ramp up...  Have a little work to do to get us back to our beloved $666

Positive signs from China after they have spent a good part of the day going in the opposite direction of everybody else. But nice little rise today. Let's see if she goes and how far she goes. Could be head and shoulders we are seeing unfold (also considering the volume)?



224. Post 7135429 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: Torque on June 04, 2014, 09:25:22 PM
Could be head and shoulders we are seeing unfold (also considering the volume)?
Currently in the bitcoin market, it doesn't take much money for the whales to 'paint' whatever pattern they want you to see.  Cool

That is a good point.



225. Post 7136164 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 04, 2014, 09:32:47 PM
Positive signs from China after they have spent a good part of the day going in the opposite direction of everybody else. But nice little rise today.

https://www.egi.com/clinical-division/clinical-division-clinical-products/ges-400-series
I have it from well placed sources that the Chinese traders have managed to connect EEG electrodes on their scalp directly to the Huobi trade API.  They are sleeping now, so those bumps that you see in the chart are merely their periods of REM sleep.

Ha ha. The EEG device is also a fashion statement. If I had one I would wear it all the time  Cheesy



226. Post 7141078 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: Parazyd on June 05, 2014, 05:58:51 AM
Good morning! How are we doing today?

Good morning to you! We are doing ok as no one has dumped (too much) tonight. It seems we are clawing our way back to the line we were following yesterday. If we can do another $25-ish rise today (like we did yesterday) I will be very impressed. That $650 needs to go soon Smiley



227. Post 7141336 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on June 05, 2014, 06:11:43 AM
Good morning! How are we doing today?

Good morning to you! We are doing ok as no one has dumped (too much) tonight. It seems we are clawing our way back to the line we were following yesterday. If we can do another $25-ish rise today (like we did yesterday) I will be very impressed. That $650 needs to go soon Smiley

I don't see why we shouldn't have a rally to $666. If that is followed by a dump then the head and shoulders pattern has been confirmed. A rally to 666 followed by a dump would be very bitcoin Smiley



228. Post 7153304 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: kurious on June 05, 2014, 07:33:53 PM
UK based?

Bitcoins on BBC R4 now - decent programme / debate show.

Guests from: Blockchain / Bitpay / Bitylicious

I'm listening  Smiley http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b045c1wg



229. Post 7162408 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Parazyd on June 06, 2014, 09:17:36 AM
We're about to find out if this 1,200 BTC wall is real on Stamps

Might as well buy it all. One would profit from it for sure... I've spent all my Bitstamp fiat these days, will have to sell some to buy more. Just don't know what would be the right time. These days are so dead.

Who knows... maybe the Chinese will buy that wall for us.



230. Post 7163359 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Parazyd on June 06, 2014, 09:38:44 AM
We're about to find out if this 1,200 BTC wall is real on Stamps

Might as well buy it all. One would profit from it for sure... I've spent all my Bitstamp fiat these days, will have to sell some to buy more. Just don't know what would be the right time. These days are so dead.

Who knows... maybe the Chinese will buy that wall for us.

There was some talk about a person who's creating those walls so he (or she) can buy up all the offers below his and profit that way.

Yes that would normally make sense. Things feel strange at the moment. Yesterday bots were buying at prices I found to be high. Also they were not attempting to push the price down like they usually do. It seemed to indicate that there is accumulating on a big scale and that they don't care if price is $670 or $630. Bot accumulation could maybe also be because 1w MACD is turning (I don't know how the bots operate). But I don't feel that explains the current state of affairs. One moment there is huge resistance, next small rallies, seemingly random dumps and lack of bid support. Also the last couple of days we have been following a support line that dates all the way back to 20th of may. If the exchanges are "inter arbitraging" (or what ever you call it) to overcome liquidity issues and keep the price stable, then maybe that can explain why things feel strange at the moment?



231. Post 7164665 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: dnaleor on June 06, 2014, 12:03:26 PM
Bitcoin on verge of breakout:

Price has been following that main line so closely the last couple of days. I started drawing a line while zoomed in. I then zoomed out and saw it went all the way back to may 20th.



232. Post 7189969 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Krabby on June 08, 2014, 01:11:43 AM
WELL THEN. What huge buy caused that spike to happen?

You mean on what exchange?

(also 200 is not a 'huge buy')

Yes. But also: According to my lines the upper line in the current channel has been broken, so I still feel it could be significant.



233. Post 7190040 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: fonzie on June 08, 2014, 01:25:16 AM
I think the market is reacting bullish due to the fact that GOAT has been banned. A lot of fear got removed!


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=44233



Yes, so much good news. BTW: Good call on the 3rd June Fonzie.



234. Post 7190157 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

The walls @ BTC-E  Cheesy



235. Post 7198348 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: T.Stuart on June 08, 2014, 02:27:44 PM
up.soon

Nope... Seems like we'll be stuck for a while. Low volume too. I don't like it.

Look at the 4h charts for all exchanges. We're flattening out to the upside on decreasing volume. Haven't you seen this happen many times before? In the context we are in now all it needs is a little push from Huobi and up we go.  Smiley

When you say
Quote
"We're flattening out to the upside (...)"
...is that (the flattening out) in relation to the wedge we are currently in?



236. Post 7199162 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: T.Stuart on June 08, 2014, 04:03:01 PM

...is that (the flattening out) in relation to the wedge we are currently in?


Yes, we are a little high in the wedge pattern.

Ok thanks, that is interesting. Normally I would say that sideways action is either accumulation or distribution, but it is always hard to tell who is doing what. Considering how weak the latest rise looked, I thought it was most likely that we had stabilized at a level where mr. whale could distribute his coins at a sustainable price level. But I have also seen quite a bit of accumulation going on and the wall movements are most likely used to shake weak hands. Maybe these different moves can also be attributed to a difference of opinion on whether or not we will repeat previous bubble patterns?!



237. Post 7208005 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Dumps...



238. Post 7208066 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on June 09, 2014, 05:18:54 AM
Dumps...

Well at least a lot of selling going on  Undecided



239. Post 7208346 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

I think the dump was led by Stamp or maybe Finex.



240. Post 7208730 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Raystonn on June 09, 2014, 06:36:18 AM


We just dropped out of the bottom of that triangle.


Yes, it doesn't look great. People need to look at Stamp and not China for this one I think.



241. Post 7209328 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Raystonn on June 09, 2014, 07:03:32 AM
And no follow-up drop yet.  This looks like a single player.  Someone wanted to paint the tape and kill the bullish formation.  Someone wants cheap coins.


...or someone exploited the bullish sentiment and found willing buyers around $655. Those buyers are now exhausted and we have moved to the next level. If there is no buying pressure here whale(s) will move on I think. I agree the latest move looks like one player and you could be right that someone was stop hunting. There may be other whales with a more bullish outlook for the shorter term. I personally don't think a new super bubble is around the corner, but I have been wrong before Smiley



242. Post 7211264 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: oda.krell on June 09, 2014, 09:48:11 AM
What  caused te next drop? Aren't we supposed to head up?  Undecided

Nothing "caused" the drop other than individual market participants' choices (some of which admittedly have larger wallets than others). Could be the attempt by a larger player to move the market in his preferred direction (triggering panic selling), but more likely, it's just someone taking a profit and limiting his risk, by betting on further consolidation or price decline.

We're now either in a consolidation phase after an impressive rise and before another leg up, or the mid-May rally ran out of steam and the market is in a state now that could be summarized as: "reluctant to accept that the only way is down". Depends on who you ask which answer you get.

I agree. But that guy @ Stamp needs to loosen his grip a little and consider that traders (new and old) are so excited about bitcoin these days that they add much fiat Tongue



243. Post 7211480 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 09, 2014, 11:03:36 AM
Bedtime for me, now.

I just bought 10BTC, and maybe I will buy another 10 in the morning... or maybe later in the day... depending upon how I feel... At this point, I would rather see down, rather than up, but my 10BTC hedges in the event that prices go up while I am sleeping.

We'll give you a call if shit hits the fan, but so far it looks like we are recovering Smiley I just saw that there is a new alarm feature on Bitcoinwisdom. That site is awesome.



244. Post 7248773 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: akujin on June 11, 2014, 11:06:19 AM
stamp  Grin Grin

Stamp is being a sick old lady  Grin



245. Post 7263672 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: TERA on June 12, 2014, 03:41:41 AM
What's with all the people who bought at $660? The trend was clearly breaking at $460. Why didn't you buy then? Instead I hear all these sob stories "oh no I bought at $660 after the 50% increase. How am I going to live through the correction in the mid 500s? Woe is me."

They clearly expected it to go to $666  Smiley



246. Post 7279582 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: MICRO on June 12, 2014, 10:18:43 PM
What are the bad news that makes the price falls?

Where do u live ?

FBI selling SR seized coins Cheesy .

Is that confirmed?



247. Post 7279707 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 12, 2014, 10:22:42 PM
fuck man i didnt expect it to go that low...

It looked like $580 was going to hold, but I guess not. I guess once holders (since $450) start panic selling things get nasty and unpredictable.



248. Post 7279749 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on June 12, 2014, 10:21:34 PM
What are the bad news that makes the price falls?

Where do u live ?

FBI selling SR seized coins Cheesy .

Is that confirmed?

http://www.usmarshals.gov/assets/2014/bitcoins/

Thanks. I see I won't be able to bid on these coins until they are put on sale on the exchanges :-)



249. Post 7387916 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on June 18, 2014, 07:52:11 PM
WOW, LEAKED INFO ON BIDDERS FOR US MASHALL BITCOIN AUCTION


Barry Silbert, CEO for SecondMarket

Luther Lowe, director of public policy for Yelp

Malcolm Oluwasanmi, chairperson of Little Phoenix Investment Group

Fabrice Evangelista, quantitative arbitrage at BNP Paribas

Michal Handerhanm, co-founder and COO of Bitcoin Shop

Dave Goel, managing general partner of Matrix Capital Management

Dinuka Samarasinghe, investment professional

Chris DeMuth Jr., Wrangeley Capital

Fred Ehrsam, co-founder, Coinbase

Jonathan Disner, corporate counsel at DRW Trading Group

William Brindise, head investment manager at DigitalBTC

Michael Moro, director at SecondMarket

Jennifer R. Jacoby, lawyer at WilmerHale

Sam Lee, co-founder, Bitcoins Reserve

Avarus Corporation

PLUS YELP AND BNP Paribas (fourth largest bank in world)

source please. looks like a few start-up type people, and not as many wallstreeters as i was hoping for. can't complain though.

This just sample, 37 total

of which 27 are sure to go home empty handed

i'm starting to think people that said they coins might sell at a premium we're right!

I have a feeling one person is going to take the whole lot. The FAQs clarified the auction style.

I'm in the camp who suspects a premium being paid.

I have had the same thoughts. My plan was to buy right before the auction, because I speculated that bidders might end up paying more than the market value at the time of the auction:
1) Because they bid each other up (it will be an easy way to get at large stash and "clean coins" could make it more interesting for banks and other institutions)
2) because they will try to manipulate price down before the auction and push the price up after the auction.

So basically I expected that they might pay a premium at the auction because they know they will be able to get more when they sell them on. When the word gets out that they have payed a premium that will raise the price, so they wont even have to do much (if any) pumping.

I think it will be quite easy for them to manipulate the price. Especially if they work together. If they didn't know who each other are they now know thanks to the article Smiley. I guess it will be bad for the US gov if it turns out they have sold coins at half price.

I'm now thinking this train of thought may be a too speculative (also considering the auction rules), but it will definitely be interesting to what price they will end up paying.

Edit: Clarification



250. Post 7395434 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: Parazyd on June 19, 2014, 07:49:01 AM
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit. Aenean commodo ligula eget dolor. Aenean massa. Cum sociis natoque penatibus et magnis dis parturient montes, nascetur ridiculus mus. Donec quam felis, ultricies nec, pellentesque eu, pretium quis, sem. Nulla consequat massa quis enim. Donec pede justo, fringilla vel, aliquet nec, vulputate eget, arcu. In enim justo, rhoncus ut, imperdiet a, venenatis vitae, justo. Nullam dictum felis eu pede mollis pretium. Integer tincidunt. Cras dapibus. Vivamus elementum semper nisi. Aenean vulputate eleifend tellus. Aenean leo ligula, porttitor eu, consequat vitae, eleifend ac, enim. Aliquam lorem ante, dapibus in, viverra quis, feugiat a, tellus. Phasellus viverra nulla ut metus varius laoreet.

I agree. Typical wall street slang. They will soon come. You will notice it also on the price.

You really think it'll be like that? Maybe later, but definitely not when they start. Expect surprises.

I agree with OP, but I also fear Wall St. with their lobbyists. Wall st. is just so pellentesque.



251. Post 7398564 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: xyzzy099 on June 19, 2014, 01:45:27 PM


How to set up your own Aminorex-style prediction monkey:
(Avoid the robotic arm - sometimes the monkey gets angry.)






lol  Grin



252. Post 7403519 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 19, 2014, 06:42:27 PM
WOW, LEAKED INFO ON BIDDERS FOR US MASHALL BITCOIN AUCTION


Barry Silbert, CEO for SecondMarket

Luther Lowe, director of public policy for Yelp

Malcolm Oluwasanmi, chairperson of Little Phoenix Investment Group

Fabrice Evangelista, quantitative arbitrage at BNP Paribas

Michal Handerhanm, co-founder and COO of Bitcoin Shop

Dave Goel, managing general partner of Matrix Capital Management

Dinuka Samarasinghe, investment professional

Chris DeMuth Jr., Wrangeley Capital

Fred Ehrsam, co-founder, Coinbase

Jonathan Disner, corporate counsel at DRW Trading Group

William Brindise, head investment manager at DigitalBTC

Michael Moro, director at SecondMarket

Jennifer R. Jacoby, lawyer at WilmerHale

Sam Lee, co-founder, Bitcoins Reserve

Avarus Corporation

PLUS YELP AND BNP Paribas (fourth largest bank in world)

source please. looks like a few start-up type people, and not as many wallstreeters as i was hoping for. can't complain though.

This just sample, 37 total

of which 27 are sure to go home empty handed

i'm starting to think people that said they coins might sell at a premium we're right!

I have a feeling one person is going to take the whole lot. The FAQs clarified the auction style.

I'm in the camp who suspects a premium being paid.

I have had the same thoughts. My plan was to buy right before the auction, because I speculated that bidders might end up paying more than the market value at the time of the auction:
1) Because they bid each other up (it will be an easy way to get at large stash and "clean coins" could make it more interesting for banks and other institutions)
2) because they will try to manipulate price down before the auction and push the price up after the auction.

So basically I expected that they might pay a premium at the auction because they know they will be able to get more when they sell them on. When the word gets out that they have payed a premium that will raise the price, so they wont even have to do much (if any) pumping.

I think it will be quite easy for them to manipulate the price. Especially if they work together. If they didn't know who each other are they now know thanks to the article Smiley. I guess it will be bad for the US gov if it turns out they have sold coins at half price.

I'm now thinking this train of thought may be a too speculative (also considering the auction rules), but it will definitely be interesting to what price they will end up paying.

Edit: Clarification


Your point about what is good or bad for the US Government seems to be off base.  What the fuck the US Govt. care if it generates 1 million or 100 million from the sale of bitcoins?  There are billions of dollars printed every month. 

I see your point but government cares if the public cares. Like when Gordon Brown sold off Britain's gold. I just had these thoughts when I first heard of the auction, but the amount of BTC is not that high and also the auction style does not really promote this scenario imo.



253. Post 7403603 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: aminorex on June 19, 2014, 05:56:11 PM


We rally now?

I think about $1mm usd has to raise its bid by $18 in order to break the wall and rally past 627, which is a fib line.

Monkey tells me this is more likely to happen about 1 hour from now than it was earlier in the day, and if it doesn't, there is a ~.18 chance of fatigue dragging us toward 597 resistance before the next upward thrust.

Monkey says silver is just getting started.


I haven't done the math, but the other night when price went to 615 I noticed that a 600 BTC ask wall @Stamp was quickly pulled when traders started eating into it.



254. Post 7446903 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Some nice bull flags on the 1 and 2 hour chats @ Houbi. I'm hoping we can go to $615 or beyond today. Last time we went to $615-area I noticed that a 600 BTC ask wall was pulled on Stamp. Maybe it belongs to the same person who has made the substantial buys on Stamp today? Some interesting lines are coming together, but I also think we need to go past $615 before things get really interesting.



255. Post 7452615 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):






256. Post 7470455 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: Torque on June 23, 2014, 03:09:59 PM
The candle has been lit.

What candle?

Yeah, what do you mean, Tera?


Lol

Possibly Tera means that there is finally a green 1wk macd candle on Bitstamp. It was sort of confirmed with high volume. It is barely lit  Smiley It could be positive if we are dealing with macd obsessed whale Smiley Long time ago I remember Tera said that a green 1 wk macd could indicate that it is a good time to buy (or maybe build on a position?). I can't tell if that was a joke or not. Tera likes to be a bit cryptic sometimes.



257. Post 7475392 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: Bitcoin_is_here_to_stay on June 23, 2014, 06:59:13 PM

Possibly Tera means that there is finally a green 1wk macd candle on Bitstamp. It was sort of confirmed with high volume. It is barely lit  Smiley It could be positive if we are dealing with macd obsessed whale Smiley Long time ago I remember Tera said that a green 1 wk macd could indicate that it is a good time to buy (or maybe build on a position?). I can't tell if that was a joke or not. Tera likes to be a bit cryptic sometimes.

The best oracles are that way Smiley. Although 1w MACD on Bitstamp not confirmed yet, just one green candle, which can still change. Their weeks ends Wed, iirc

That is true Smiley I did not know that the weekly candles close on Wednesdays.



258. Post 7481926 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: fonzie on June 24, 2014, 04:34:08 AM
Staring into the abyss



I see around $600 down there. At least  Smiley



259. Post 7484686 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: zimmah on June 24, 2014, 09:06:11 AM
My theory is that there is going to be an attempt to keep prices below $582 by the end of the weekly candle.

My theory is that you could not prevent it if you tried.



Really?  The close of the Weekly MACD candle is only about two days from now, and BTC prices in the last about 24 hours have been floating between $580 and $600, and as I type at $586.

It does NOT seem that it would be too difficult to keep the price below $582-ish... I am NOT sure about the exact number to keep the candle red.  Now, I agree that next week would be another story, though.... but this week seems totally manipulable.  and doable and I think that there is going to be a pretty vigorous attempt at such.. to keep the candle red.

but why would anyone even WANT to do that?

also, the candle of the past week at huobi and bitfinex were already green, so bitstamp is already lagging a week behind on the MACD. And even that it pretty late considering it could easily have turned green 2  weeks ago, but missed it by a hair due to a sudden mini-panic or whatever the hell happened two weeks ago.



I have been thinking that I would target Stamp if I wanted to try and manipulate price on grand scale (Stamp being the most dominant exchange). I don't know if this is what is going on. It could just as well be because miners prefer to sell their coins on Stamp. Also the short selling possibilities at Finex (and the Chinese exchanges?) gives a different dynamic that is not found on exchanges like Stamp and Kraken.

It is too bad that they cut the link between Finex and Stamp. I think we need more inter exchange arbitraging. Someone should setup a public and professional service dedicated to this. Something that everyone could invest a little BTC in, and that more or less guaranties not to cause losses. I can't see why this would be impossible. Of course it is already being done on a small scale by bots or traders doing it manually (just did a little arbitraging myself the other day Smiley ). I definitely prefer a situation with many arbitraging exchanges instead of very few very dominant exchanges.



260. Post 7514380 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: Adrian-x on June 25, 2014, 06:25:49 PM
Thanks for cutting my post into half, don't do that again. I guess you agree with point 2 and 3. [ ... ]
It is good etiquette to trim the posts you are replying to, leaving only the parts that are relevant to the reply.  However I should have added "[ ... ]" to show that parts were omitted; my apologies for being lazy.


Yes Jorge!, until you join the cult we hold you to a different standard,  Cheesy

Jorge became a cultist some time ago... I clearly remember that he wrote that he doubled (or tripled?) his BTC portfolio. Todays drop was clearly Jorge cashing out because he needed a little extra cash for the auction.  Smiley



261. Post 7514871 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 25, 2014, 07:51:44 PM
Jorge became a cultist some time ago... I clearly remember that he wrote that he doubled (or tripled?) his BTC portfolio. Todays drop was clearly Jorge cashing out because he needed a little extra cash for the auction.  Smiley
Actually I did not buy nor sell any coins today, but the USD value of my holdings doubled again, nevertheless.   Wink

Good to hear you are a hodler  Wink



262. Post 7516004 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on June 25, 2014, 08:18:01 PM
'tis a bearish pennant, or just Stamp following sleepy Huobi?



It look like you were right. Thanks for sharing that!



263. Post 7516335 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on June 25, 2014, 09:29:22 PM
'tis a bearish pennant, or just Stamp following sleepy Huobi?



It look like you were right. Thanks for sharing that!

Don't know, that was a single dump. More like a single hand trying to "fit" the figure.

But it is now starting to look more like your theory about the bearish pennant was correct because Houbi hardly took notice.



264. Post 7516564 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on June 25, 2014, 09:52:36 PM
seriously puzzled by the selling pressure, oh well more for me.

Someone wants to short on Finex I think...



265. Post 7546911 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: blatchcorn on June 27, 2014, 01:18:45 PM
The bear trap is worse than I expected.  Feel sorry for everyone selling right now

I told you so.

I wonder how much money the bears just lost falling for this obvious bear trap

I sold you so :-)  Also this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jfq3c4Cf1Fs&list=RDYnOcycgXpms#t=205

Maybe it is a bit early to get excited but as far as I can tell we have broke through the upper line in the channel we were in when we passed $585.



266. Post 7547331 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

I haven't been following the charts to closely today (Reason: mining fiat at work), but why is Finex so depressed today?



267. Post 7588403 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

And the Finex is off  Smiley



268. Post 7588849 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 29, 2014, 10:50:21 PM
And the Finex is off  Smiley
Since everybody has me on ignore by now, no one will mind me observing that the price on OKCoin and Huobi started to rise several minutes before that big buy at Bitfinex.  Thus that buy may be just an arbitrage trade, delayed by the trading fees at Bitfinex and perhaps by residual price mismatch.

That rise in the Chinese exchanges was almost predictable: now is 6:40 am in China, about the time when the first traders "wake up".  I have not checked statistically, but somehow I got the impression that the early-risers tend to be more bullish than average.  So the Chinese day tends to begin with a price rise, that may be reversed later.  But, again, this is only an impression.

No, this has been brewing for several hours. The spike at Finex is most likely traders closing their shorts. Wall at Bitstamp changed and I think this is what started it all. If the $480 BTC wall is pulled or eaten price could easily go to $617 (if it gets past $605). There are some long term lines that needs to be broken and $600 is one of them... If it breaks and goes past $610 that will be significant in my opinion. We will see what happens.



269. Post 7590319 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: CEG5952 on June 29, 2014, 11:28:49 PM
The 500 BTC wall has been there for like a day. Unless it was pulled in between the hours I checked, it never left. It's real and has been getting chewed on a bit. But it hasn't been pulled..... we'll see if anyone is willing to buy it.

The wall I was referring to was somewhere between $605 and $615 if I remember correctly. I don't think it got pulled, I think it was just split up into smaller bits. Like I guess you would do if you were a whale preparing for a bull run. This is what got my hopes up, but that wall at $600 has been there all along, and it doesn't look as if it is about to be pull yet. The situation in may reminds me a bit about the current situation. That ended with a big move up after a long accumulation period. But I have no idea if whales are accumulating or distributing at this point.



270. Post 7594155 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wZZ7oFKsKzY



271. Post 7599704 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

So I go for my dentist appointment. When I come back an hour later my stop loss has been triggered and I have made a lot less than I could have. On top of that the dentist cost me $550. Not a super great day so far Smiley



272. Post 7615030 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

It feels like we are a little out of sync today  Smiley



273. Post 7628100 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 01, 2014, 09:44:21 PM
If only i could stop seeing that jorgestolfi name on every page. That would be so nice.

Maybe you are too sensitive for this forum?  Tongue



274. Post 7639060 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: anujjain on July 02, 2014, 01:35:48 PM
Feckin BTC-E to the moon. snap

We are stick around 650, we need some good news so 650 will cross with good volume.

Houbi and OKCoin has defended the line. Everyone is waiting for Stamp (except Finex Smiley)



275. Post 7694120 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: magicmexican on July 05, 2014, 06:47:03 PM
12h macD freakin bad, i think testing 610-600 is pretty much inevitable at this point.

People are putting a lot of faith in that bid wall at $620 (or that buy pressure will resume, Stamps).



276. Post 7694391 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 05, 2014, 10:10:10 PM
i'd like to see some buys were pretty darn close to the launch pad line.

but who buys bitcoin on a saturday??

 Tongue

People who have contributed to the bid wall at $620 I guess Smiley I have been a little concerned that the wall will suddenly get pulled. Then we will see $600 - $610 quickly.



277. Post 7694514 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 05, 2014, 10:28:30 PM
i'd like to see some buys were pretty darn close to the launch pad line.

but who buys bitcoin on a saturday??

 Tongue

People who have contributed to the bid wall at $620 I guess Smiley I have been a little concerned that the wall will suddenly get pulled. Then we will see $600 - $610 quickly.

the stack of bids in front suggest you're being paranoid.

Yes, I think you are right about that  Smiley

Edit: "Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get me" Smiley



278. Post 7695776 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 06, 2014, 01:02:11 AM
How weird. We're going up and someone dumps 47 coins. That person could have sold any day but decides to do it when we go up.
Some people really shouldn't be trading.

That guy clearly does not want the price to go up. Let us hope he runs out of coins  Smiley



279. Post 7696312 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: podyx on July 06, 2014, 01:52:45 AM
So that's it Huh Undecided

dissapoiniting

I thought that was pretty gutsy. I seems that who ever has been putting up ask walls lately on Stamp is not doing it to sell but to manipulate.



280. Post 7704083 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on July 06, 2014, 12:58:08 PM
Gentlemen!  Are you seeing what I'm seeing?



Something is wrong with that picture  Smiley




281. Post 7710226 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: Habeler876 on July 07, 2014, 12:29:20 AM
Here's the trade, for future reference:


so almost 133 BTC sold for $9798.99 each??


how is this not bigger news....


some eccentric whale testing the waters?  a drunk day trader?  time travelers from 2015? Wink

Most likely a hack and attempt to drain the hot wallet, IMO. No one bought coins for $10k. In your dreams. Tongue This is like when someone sells coins on LBC for 10x the market price. Take it with a grain of salt. Smiley

I wonder if shorting was enabled at the time. Shorting at $9700 would have been nice  Smiley



282. Post 7711782 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: BTCfan1 on July 07, 2014, 03:20:38 AM
It's Monday 11:00 am in China and Huobi again has very low volume, like last Monday Jun/30.
That time, the lull was suddenly followed by a big rally at 13:00 (05:00 UTC).
Will it happen again this Monday?


I expect things to pick up at least a little tomorrow....*fingers crossed*

It's feeling increasingly bullish. Looking at the reverse head and shoulders pattern on the chart you would expect resistance at around $650, but if the $640 wall is pulled there will be little resistance. If we go past $650 it will be a strong buy signal imo.



283. Post 7715970 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Houbi and OKCoin dumping into $620-ish. Let's follow their lead, do the same and get this over with  Tongue



284. Post 7718519 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: empowering on July 07, 2014, 01:28:52 PM
Wow. Woke up to crazy cheap bitcoin.  The universe must love me dearly.

Some news that might be having an influence, sky news has an article claiming bitcoin could be used to fund terrorism. Its from an article in an Islamic jihadist blog somehow connected with ISIS that mentions bitcoin can be used for funding. ISIS are using US made weapons and there are several reports claiming they're also US trained. Btw, the same blog entry also claims bitcoin complies with sharia law.



Meh- I can see this being an "issue" and it sticking as one for some people.... and Bitcoin is therefore bad because terrorism, but of course by the same logic $$ must also be bad becuse -  USD=BAD=BECAUSE TERRORISM.

I wonder how many of the local "terrorist supply shops" accept Bitcoin?  buy one get one free on a jihad special if paid for in bitcoin? ffs

(edit: rare Persian rugs could be used to fund terrorism, diamonds too, gold, artwork, etc etc maybe they should all be banned as well)



I always use Persian rugs when funding terrorist ventures, but I may switch to JihadCoinTM if it becomes less volatile Smiley




285. Post 7719433 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: magicmexican on July 07, 2014, 02:52:03 PM
so next bubble will be lead by terrorists buying all the coins?

I expect the price of rugs to plummet as terrorists switch to Bitcoin.



286. Post 7720382 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: hd060053 on July 07, 2014, 04:06:32 PM
it doesnt look good, asks are filling fast.

i think it will go below 600 once again.

There should be support at $595 or thereabouts, but I almost can't believe it will go that far. Let's see...

I shorted at $660 but closed it at $645. I'm bit annoyed with that Smiley



287. Post 7724197 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Take a look at this:



I guess someone is going all in with 7^e-8 BTC order Smiley But seriously, does anyone know if an order this size is even possible? Using the web interface the smallest order you can do is 0.001 BTC

Edit: It is on Finex



288. Post 7727876 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Houbi wants to go up!?  Shocked



289. Post 7738663 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: empowering on July 08, 2014, 04:29:08 PM
Monkey is bullish intraday, for at least 3 hours forward, considers 614 a significant bottom.
Monkey keeps flip-flopping on the daily scale, considers 444 support, 635 has some residual but declining resistance potential.
Monkey remains steadfastly bullish on weekly and longer scales.

Basically, monkey is stuck in the same posture lo the past couple of weeks, and could use some yoga or something.



Ha ha! I guess that illustrates what Aminorex goes through when he feels bullish on bitcoin but monkey says no.



290. Post 7751179 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

A lot of buying going on at Finex today. It is like Finex lives in a world of it's own, pretty much disconnected from movements on other exchanges. When price goes down everywhere else Finex pushes in the opposite direction Smiley The latest buying made on Finex must be from someone who believe that a new bubble is just around the corner.

I think the mini dumps (if you can call 250 BTC a mini dump) on Stamp and Finex are coins that were purchased on Huobi (or OKCoin). That briefly pushed the price up on Huobi+OKCoin and shortly after price went down on Stamp due to a dump. I think there are some strong forces at play who believe that the price should go down from the current level. But the purchase on Finex also shows that bulls are fighting back. But only at Finex as far as I can see. Stamp was accumulating a little yesterday, but the volume was very low and the selling pressure is still high. There has been no real accumulation on the Chinese exchanges as far as I can tell.

The coin purchase at Houbi may not have been done because seller/manipulator is running out of coins to sell. Doing a pump and dump on Houbi and later dumping the remaining coins on Stamp and Finex may have been profitable and also worked towards a long term goal to push the price down. This is pure speculation, but it is the best I can come up with Smiley



291. Post 7757911 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on July 09, 2014, 07:53:48 PM
a few hours ago we were over 625 for a moment on Stamp. Then we had 150 coins to 625. Then 300. Now 762. For a low volume day, the selling pressure is increasing considerably...

Yes, it is starting to look a bit difficult. But traders at Finex don't care if China doesn't follow or if things start to look difficult on Stamp. They just buy more  Grin



292. Post 7758231 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: thezerg on July 09, 2014, 08:17:19 PM
a few hours ago we were over 625 for a moment on Stamp. Then we had 150 coins to 625. Then 300. Now 762. For a low volume day, the selling pressure is increasing considerably...

Yes, it is starting to look a bit difficult. But traders at Finex don't care if China doesn't follow or if things start to look difficult on Stamp. They just buy more  Grin

The amount of longs really is quite large on BitFinex at 30.5 million now.  At these levels it seems like someone could create a flash crash with a small push that would feed upon itself as margins get called.  It has happened before on BitFinex.

Total Speculation: So how could this amount of leverage happen?  Let's say a whale was ready to move in with 20-50 million... clearly this would bring us to a new price level.  Would it be illegal manipulation for that whale to first leverage long, knowing he will soon buy it up to a higher price?  Or how about tempting leverage harvesters to attempt to flash crash, but also keeping a hidden bid of USD on BitFinex so he can sweep in and purchase the BTC at the flash-crash price.

That sounds scary and not totally unlikely.



293. Post 7758420 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on July 09, 2014, 08:25:04 PM
Manipulator on bitstamp is trying to create panic sells near the trend line by putting up huge sell walls. Good thing is its not working. I hope a whale comes along and takes his damn coins from him. You can tell it is mostly one person because he keeps shifting his asks around, as seen on bitcoinity.

I agree. I'am also watching Bitcoinity. It seems that the ask walls shrink as soon as someone buys something. So it appears he doesn't really want to part with those coins Smiley But it is clearly a positive sign that he doesn't just dump in order to bring the price down. At this point he prefers to achieve his goals by manipulation. That is my interpretation. So many games being played. Not only do we have to guess whales intentions we also have to guess if he will be successful in his manipulation attempts Smiley



294. Post 7758640 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: kireinaha on July 09, 2014, 08:47:28 PM
I'm pretty sure we're going down again within a day or two max. I wish it weren't so, but the market sentiment seems to be dropping again and I'm getting strong vibes here.

I have the same feeling. Another leg down to the $600 $610 area before going up again. Maybe we will see another pump and dump on the Chinese exchanges followed by a dump on Stamp and/or Finex.

Edit: Maybe $610 is more likely.



295. Post 7764116 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: molecular on July 10, 2014, 06:37:55 AM
here's something to read: http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/speculative-attack/

the piece details how bitcoin will become mainstream:


made my day Wink

LOL:
Quote
People will be forced to pay with bitcoins

That is true. Recently someone offered to pay me some money advertising on a site I run. I told him I would do it, but only if he would pay me in bitcoin. I never heard from him again  Smiley I even told him about the benefits compared to bank transfer and offered him a discount  Cheesy




296. Post 7772488 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: 4mherewego on July 10, 2014, 04:45:36 PM
500buy takes the price to $619

It is awesome!



297. Post 7773343 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: iram3130 on July 10, 2014, 05:39:06 PM
Monkey says  610 was probably a bottom for the day.
I know that will seem obvious to many.
But hey, I'm buying so I'd like company.


Thank you for the 500 BTC buy on Stamp, but it still only managed to push us up to $619  Sad

Not much beneficial, we need big buying order, 500-1k won't push too much. Selling pressure is big.

With half the bullish sentiment that we had yesterday then wall guys coins would be gone now I think  Smiley



298. Post 7773904 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: Krabby on July 10, 2014, 06:26:07 PM
How the hell did you come up with the lower line of the wedge (the white line)?

It's my last hope for the long term trendline still existing.

And it's not part of the wedge.

I might be superstitious, but I always seem to make bad trading decisions when we are near that trendline. So I wouldn't mind moving away from it. Preferably up  Tongue



299. Post 7786217 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Awesome battle. Shorters starting to get squeezed Smiley



300. Post 7792616 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: hd060053 on July 11, 2014, 06:03:08 PM
wont go up so fast. Ask walls are too high.

Dont compare this time with 1 year ago where mtgox BOTS worked with millions of self-created $$.

No doubt it took quite an effort to get us down to $610. It looks like it is also going to take an effort to get us up again.



301. Post 7792770 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on July 11, 2014, 06:20:38 PM
wont go up so fast. Ask walls are too high.

Dont compare this time with 1 year ago where mtgox BOTS worked with millions of self-created $$.

No doubt it took quite an effort to get us down to $610. It looks like it is also going to take an effort to get us up again.

Also: I think/hope that what we are seeing right now is someone is putting in that effort Smiley



302. Post 7797948 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

I want this kind of house:



I already have a bike, so I'm halfway there. It looks very practical and it will keep my carbon bike from rusting during winter Smiley



303. Post 7798077 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on July 12, 2014, 12:58:11 AM
While the 635 gets slowly eaten away, methinks: is this rise connected to Grooveshark news?

That is good news! I use Spotify, but I might consider switching to Grooveshark because of this. Spotify has a suggestion box and you can vote for Bitcoin payment idea here: http://community.spotify.com/t5/Spotify-Ideas/Spotify-should-accept-bitcoin/idi-p/313120

Edit: I see that Grooveshark is blocked in my country (blocked by Grooveshark) Undecided



304. Post 7798662 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

I wonder if this is the Summer Olympics for whales?



305. Post 7801584 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Bear-bot running on Finex selling 0.5 BTC every 8 seconds or so. China is not following Stamps attempts to move up. Doesn't look super good to me.



306. Post 7801686 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: elebit on July 12, 2014, 08:27:21 AM
Bear-bot. I like the sound of that. Sounds like a movie I'd pay good money to see! Godzilla has nothing on Bear-bot!

He he. It's out now on a chart near you! I'm looking forward to Godzilla vs. Bear-bot  Smiley



307. Post 7827473 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: freedomno1 on July 13, 2014, 10:00:28 PM
germany  Grin


"Football is a game played by 22 players and in the end Germany wins"  Roll Eyes

Indeed but all in all it was a wonderful game and it still is, Football can really move our emotions one way or the other
Just like Bitcoin  Wink

Bitcoins are also round I believe. Just like a football. Moon is also round. Most nice things are round. When football is out moon is coming?




308. Post 7828863 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

I was a bit bored so I did a little test to see what the activity level was like during the WC final. I started measuring from the start of the second half and 45 minutes forward. After the footie was done (including the extended play) I measured another 45 minutes. The data includes most (if not all exchanges) that offer API access so it should be fairly accurate.

Here are the results

During the first 45 minutes of second half:
Quote
Total trades: 647
Total volume: BTC 271.64

After the match had finished:
Quote
Total trades: 831
Total volume: BTC 526.19

There was a 100 BTC dump during 2nd half of the match, so that makes up quite a bit on the total volume. According to bitcoinaverage.com the total volume for the past 24 hours is BTC 18,302.20

I don't know if you can use this info., but I thought I'd share it :-)

Anyone who knows where I can find info. on the total trading volume across exchanges for a given time period?

Edit: I see that it does not include OKCoin and Huobi



309. Post 7829826 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on July 14, 2014, 01:03:45 AM
More dumps in China, absolutely zero reaction on stamp yet

Apparently someone on OKCoin took that as bullish as, just minutes after hitting a daily low they push for a 3 hour high.. lol.

(3860->3836->3865)

The volume on OKCoin is still very fake low. If they drop below 3820 maybe we should be concerned?!



310. Post 7855469 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):



I wonder if we are we headed for a retest of the descending wedge? It is going to take a lot more than a 400 BTC dump to get to $605... The breakout we had from the wedge is not exactly looking strong either.



311. Post 7858400 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on July 15, 2014, 12:00:23 PM


I wonder if we are we headed for a retest of the descending wedge? It is going to take a lot more than a 400 BTC dump to get to $605... The breakout we had from the wedge is not exactly looking strong either.


I'm thinking we might play the same pattern again and form a new descending wedge.



312. Post 7860082 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: wobber on July 15, 2014, 03:25:21 PM


I wonder if we are we headed for a retest of the descending wedge? It is going to take a lot more than a 400 BTC dump to get to $605... The breakout we had from the wedge is not exactly looking strong either.


I'm thinking we might play the same pattern again and form a new descending wedge.

Like this? https://www.tradingview.com/v/vfJQwL48/


No, I'm thinking more short term... like a repetition of the pattern that started to form June 30 (see my chart image). I have no idea if DanV is correct about his long term predictions.



313. Post 7884429 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: DjPxH on July 16, 2014, 11:32:51 PM
A lot of coins being removed from the ask side in the last half-hour or so.

Edit: Meh... forget that, my chart was just wigging out.
bitcoinity.org?  Probably a bug in their software.

Just meant to ask the same. Do you guys also get a completely flat line for about 20$ in one/both directions? I thought it might've been a problem with the computer I'm currently on but it seems there's something awry.

I'm getting the same. F5 helps for a while, but it still looks wrong.



314. Post 7885822 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: seleme on July 17, 2014, 01:05:23 AM
Like watching paint dry.



Yes, but according to my lines it is soon decision time. Will support at $615 hold or will we break down? If we break down it could get brutal. If we break up (again) will we be able to go beyond $630?

 



315. Post 7886152 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 17, 2014, 01:55:46 AM
Like watching paint dry.



Yes, but according to my lines it is soon decision time. Will support at $615 hold or will we break down? If we break down it could get brutal. If we break up (again) will we be able to go beyond $630?

 

According to everyone's lines it was decision time every single day in the last 4 weeks or more. As you noticed nothing happened.
Lines don't work.

So, concepts like support and resistance is something I imagine? I can tell you that these lines help me a lot. I new it was significant last time we broke $615 and I bought as soon as I saw it. We ended up at $664. The following days I shorted twice at $660 (it was the right decision, but I would have done better if I had had not closed my shorts early). A few pages back I predicted that we could be seeing a new descending wedge forming and you must admit that we have been forming a new wedge...



316. Post 7886318 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: DieJohnny on July 17, 2014, 02:20:07 AM

According to everyone's lines it was decision time every single day in the last 4 weeks or more. As you noticed nothing happened.
Lines don't work.

I disagree, lines work great when you are looking into the past Smiley

I do think that all this eminent bubble BS is turning me more and more bearish. We could be hanging around 8 billion market cap for a long long time.


I agree with the bubble thing Smiley I believe there were special conditions that caused previous bubbles and I don't think those conditions are here now (I don't have any experience with previous bubbles, so I could be wrong about this).

Regarding my lines and indicators I am frequently wrong, but you have to base your trading on something. So when I enter a trade the lines help me make a decision. If price starts moving differently than I expect, that can serve as an early indicator that I need reevaluate what is going on or that I need to close my position.



317. Post 7892860 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Lift off everywhere except for Stamp  Smiley Traders at Stamp has bought thousands of coins in the $610 area, but these same traders seem more or less uninterested in moving the price up above this level. Grin




318. Post 7894000 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: dgarcia on July 17, 2014, 01:39:45 PM
Lift off everywhere except for Stamp  Smiley Traders at Stamp has bought thousands of coins in the $610 area, but these same traders seem more or less uninterested in moving the price up above this level. Grin



Why should they? If they would snap up all selling pressure on this level, price would move up by other buyers...

Maybe I'm a bit too impatient. The breakout on the Chinese exchanges looks pretty solid and Finex is not looking too shabby either. I'm hoping for $628 and will be impressed if we go beyond.



319. Post 7894475 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on July 17, 2014, 02:49:02 PM
Lift off everywhere except for Stamp  Smiley Traders at Stamp has bought thousands of coins in the $610 area, but these same traders seem more or less uninterested in moving the price up above this level. Grin



Why should they? If they would snap up all selling pressure on this level, price would move up by other buyers...

Maybe I'm a bit too impatient. The breakout on the Chinese exchanges looks pretty solid and Finex is not looking too shabby either. I'm hoping for $628 and will be impressed if we go beyond.

We went past $628. I am officially impressed  Smiley



320. Post 7906260 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on July 18, 2014, 09:06:54 AM
Quirky shit on Huobi again and stamp depth screwed up on bitcoinity. Me thinky someone screwing around with da interwebs, that kind of thing could cause bots to do crazy things. Who could screw around with data feeds though? I doubt a basement dwelling script kiddie could do it but ISP's and anyone with access to them could.

EDIT:
What's with that glitch on Huobi displayed by bitcoinwisdom? Volatility with very little volume?
Idk, 40 coins somehow went through 1200 coins worth of depth :/



I did a screenshot of it shortly after it happened. It does not make any sense, but it could have something to do with fake data or trades. I highly doubt that Bitcoinwisdom is manipulating the data  Smiley





321. Post 7906512 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on July 18, 2014, 09:51:35 AM
Quirky shit on Huobi again and stamp depth screwed up on bitcoinity. Me thinky someone screwing around with da interwebs, that kind of thing could cause bots to do crazy things. Who could screw around with data feeds though? I doubt a basement dwelling script kiddie could do it but ISP's and anyone with access to them could.

EDIT:
What's with that glitch on Huobi displayed by bitcoinwisdom? Volatility with very little volume?
Idk, 40 coins somehow went through 1200 coins worth of depth :/



I did a screenshot of it shortly after it happened. It does not make any sense, but it could have something to do with fake data or trades. I highly doubt that Bitcoinwisdom is manipulating the data  Smiley


0.099 coins ^^ Its a weird one, the last time I saw this weird stuff bitcoinity was also screwed up too. It would be nice to have some info from somewhere, maybe its just the chart sites but if its coming from the exchanges then its a bit to serious to go unexplained.

Lol at the blonds on the bus Smiley


Ha ha. I hadn't noticed the 3 blondes first time around Cheesy

I'm actually looking for a data feed from Huobi and OKCoin at the moment for a project... but if I find it I am afraid I will drown in data Smiley




322. Post 7907161 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on July 18, 2014, 10:10:24 AM
...
Ha ha. I hadn't noticed the 3 blondes first time around Cheesy

I'm actually looking for a data feed from Huobi and OKCoin at the moment for a project... but if I find it I am afraid I will drown in data Smiley

I used to collect it from a few exchanges and it wasn't to bad, about 100mb a month for a busy exchange iirc. Wasn't at all difficult to set up either, a few lines of dirty, filthy perl and an sqlite db was all Smiley



I'm currently collecting from a dozen exchanges and I'm also surprised that it is only a couple of MB data a day (we are not too busy right now though).
OKCoin is in a league of it's own when it comes to trading activity, so I'm still a bit concerned that it will be too much for the post processing I have in mind. Nothing to do but try  Smiley



323. Post 7909774 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 18, 2014, 01:00:27 PM
I'm actually looking for a data feed from Huobi and OKCoin at the moment for a project... but if I find it I am afraid I will drown in data Smiley
bitcoincharts.com now (finally!) lists OKCoin. (Maybe next century they will admit the existence of Huobi too.)  You can get the summary data from the site, at 1 minute intervals, since the site started (but only 2 days at a time).

You can get transaction logs for Huobi and OKCoin through bitcoinwisdom's API, but I don't know how far back in the past.

Thanks for the info. I have had a look at bitcoincharts.com and they almost cover everything... but with a 15 min. delay. I don't think Bitcoinwisdom offer API access, but you probably also meant bitcoincharts.com anyway. I did find this for OKCoin and for Huobi i found this Xchange plugin. Xchange is Java based and after spending endless time with it I finally got it working on my server... But I really hate Java with a passion, so I will continue to look for a different solution  Smiley

Lastly I also found historical CSV-data for Houbi here. Once it is updated I will see if I can find out more about the glitch we saw earlier today on Bitcoinwisdom.



324. Post 7912020 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

This is a-w-e-s-o-m-e  Smiley



325. Post 7913012 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: abercrombie on July 18, 2014, 06:19:31 PM

After Dish Network, Newegg, and now Dell, I've come to the conclusion that merchant adoption in itself should have no long term effect on price.


You can also add Grooveshark to the list. Grooveshark is not as big, but it might help draw attention to bitcoin from the "hip" crowd. Please vote for Spotify bitcoin payment suggestion here.



326. Post 7913366 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: Adrian-x on July 18, 2014, 06:56:23 PM
Seriously, why does China seem to love positive US bitcoin news better than the US?   Roll Eyes

It is kind of strange, its about 2am there atm so they even get out of bed to buy coins, serious dedication.

doesn't Jorge trade in China?  Cheesy

I hear he has changed up and now does his coin hoarding on FBI auctions  Tongue



327. Post 7915428 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Tinfoil hat on:

During the past few weeks the market has felt manipulated and the manipulation has been going on at Stamp. Like I have mentioned earlier: I would target Stamp if I wanted to manipulate the whole market using as few resources as possible. It has been possible to day trade this if you bought near support and sold/shorted near resistance. My DIY T/A lines have worked well... almost too well, like the whole thing is run by a machine... maybe Jorge is right that someone is trying to keep the market stable this summer. I sense that the wedge pattern (with lower highs) that we have seen up until now is changing. Today we have seen a higher low, and I would not be surprised if we see $640 before $620. Please note that my idea about the pattern change is just a hunch.



328. Post 7925094 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 19, 2014, 03:31:53 PM
next week or this weekend we will be testing resistance higher up, a key level to watch/support is 640. it is imperative we POWN the 640 mark with gr8 force. make it happen poeple. I have been / will continue to buy so long as we are below 640. ( i will probably be buying higher too, i can not help it, i must buy, i am very bullish ) buy Buy BUY!


I also think that $640 is key. Going past $640 and we will be halfway to the moon!



329. Post 7925279 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on July 18, 2014, 09:51:35 AM
Quirky shit on Huobi again and stamp depth screwed up on bitcoinity. Me thinky someone screwing around with da interwebs, that kind of thing could cause bots to do crazy things. Who could screw around with data feeds though? I doubt a basement dwelling script kiddie could do it but ISP's and anyone with access to them could.

EDIT:
What's with that glitch on Huobi displayed by bitcoinwisdom? Volatility with very little volume?
Idk, 40 coins somehow went through 1200 coins worth of depth :/



I did a screenshot of it shortly after it happened. It does not make any sense, but it could have something to do with fake data or trades. I highly doubt that Bitcoinwisdom is manipulating the data  Smiley


0.099 coins ^^ Its a weird one, the last time I saw this weird stuff bitcoinity was also screwed up too. It would be nice to have some info from somewhere, maybe its just the chart sites but if its coming from the exchanges then its a bit to serious to go unexplained.

Lol at the blonds on the bus Smiley

A little recap on this from yesterday.... According to this feed: https://raw.githubusercontent.com/huobi/btc-trade-result-history/master/2014_07/2014_07_18_with_id.csv the trades really did take place.  These are the  interesting lines from the feed:

Code:
1405670753,2,0.4430,3930.2500,16867089
1405670767,2,1.9629,3930.5100,16867108
1405670835,1,0.0990,3736.6100,16867127

Format:
Code:
[timestamp, {sell=2 buy=1}, volume, price, id?]

So the first number is a timestamp and it matches the trades on the Bitconwisdom chart:
1405670753 = 2014-07-18 10:05:53
1405670767 = 2014-07-18 10:06:07
1405670835 = 2014-07-18 10:07:15

The CSV-data is from this Github account: https://github.com/huobi - I have not verified that this Github account belongs to Huobi, but it appears that way.

Unless Huobi has some kind of wierd trading features that allow this kind of orders this is very dodgy imo.



330. Post 7926559 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 19, 2014, 05:47:46 PM
Unless Huobi has some kind of wierd trading features that allow this kind of orders this is very dodgy imo.
Well, those COULD be trades injected by hand to correct recent mistakes -- not necessarily software bugs, but things like fees charged to the wrong account, trades that were mangled by the API going offline, whatever.  For example, say that the management reviewed a client's complaint and agreed that he SHOULD have had his 1.9629 BTC bought or sold at 3930.51 CNY on July 6.  So they entered that trade by hand now, jumping over the order book, since it would be the cleanest way to satisfy the client without breaking all their other accounting and auditing software.

(Did I tell you this story of a friend of mine? Back in the 1960s or 1970s, when people here paid their utility bills at the bank, his parents got an astronomical water bill due to a faulty water meter.  The water company readily admitted the mistake, but gave them an astronomical cashiers's check that they could use only to pay that astronomical bill at the bank --- because "the computer system did not allow fixing the error in any other way".)

Good point and funny story  Cheesy This day and age you would think they could come up with a more clever solution. Especially since it raises questions about their platform and f*cks with the charts  Smiley

I'm have been doing a little digging in the trade data from Huobi. There were 69.300 trades yesterday. It turns out that roughly half the trades where 0.01 BTC or below. 69.5% of all trades were below 0.1 BTC! Trades with small volume like this must come from bots... so lots of bot activity which is no surprise.



331. Post 7928598 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 19, 2014, 07:32:31 PM
Good point and funny story  Cheesy This day and age you would think they could come up with a more clever solution.
Well, for example, if they fixed the account balances without entering the fix as a trade, any auditing program that tried to validade the balances against the trade log would have to read a separate file of hand fixes and merge them with the trades. 

In accounting it is standard practice to correct past mistakes on an active ledger by entering a new transaction at the date of the fix, rather than going back and trying to modify the wrong entries.  The latter could cause unbounded trouble and waste of time if anyone got a copy of that ledger, or copied any data from it (such as day totals), before it was modified.

I'm have been doing a little digging in the trade data from Huobi. There were 69.300 trades yesterday. It turns out that roughly half the trades where 0.01 BTC or below. 69.5% of all trades were below 0.1 BTC! Trades with small volume like this must come from bots... so lots of bot activity which is no surprise.
indeed.  And the order book activity is even worse.  I have noticed that, immediately after a "real" sale that lowers the bottom of the spread, some robot immediately sprays a bunch of tiny orders into that gap, most of them spaced 0.01 CNY apart; and soon afterwards it sucks up half of those orders and posts a few more above them.  Ditto after a "real" buy, at the other end of the spread.

At MtGOX, sometimes one could see a robot (not "Willy") making a tiny trade every minute or less, alternating between the two ends of spread.  At OKCoin instead there used to be lots of tiny trades at random prices within the actual spread.

I think that bots that play the spread are the most common of them all. I think they are used on every single exchange out there. Their primary goal (it seems) is to make sure that none of my limit orders are ever filled  Smiley

You have a good point about accounting being the cause of Houbi weirdness. Only an accountant would choose to destroy a graph that thousands of people use to make sure that everything is done according to proper accounting principles. Even just for 2.5 BTC! I'm serious.

A while back I was doing API integration between some accounting software and a large web site. The API was a nightmare to work with, but I finally got everything working (customer creation, inventory, products, orders, suppliers etc.). The customer was happy and we launched. Two months and thousands of orders later the customer came back to me and complained that there was an error on all orders that had been payed with a credit card (like 99.2% of them). It turned out that VAT had to be subtracted form the creditcard fee. A tiny error but it had to be corrected. Doh! That was when I learned that one of the main principles of accounting is that you can't just go back and correct mistakes. Even really tiny ones Smiley I find this accounting principle kind of funny even though it caused me much frustration. I'm sure this principle will continue to cause headaches and strange workarounds as long as we have anal accountants.  Smiley



332. Post 7929026 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: macsga on July 19, 2014, 09:35:51 PM
It's a closing pennant pattern. July 24 to August 1, I say. But I may BULL-shit you, as I usually do... Grin

There is to much bull on this forum. It has become unbearable. 

Im really sorry for that joke. Please understand that I am just trying to keep Chartbuddys post count percentage down.



333. Post 7929184 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: medialab101 on July 19, 2014, 10:06:33 PM
Is Bitcoinity.org Bitstamp chart still broken for everyone else or just me?

Same here.



334. Post 7930295 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Getting more geeky with Huobi data.

The list below shows the number of single trades per day for different BTC ranges. The data is based on an average for July 2014 and this is why number_of_trades contains a decimal point.

For example there are 531 trades in the 5-10 BTC range per day on average.

Code:
volume_range    number_of_trades
a) 0 - 0.01     12719
b) 0.01 - 0.1   12500
c) 0.1 - 0.5    16803
d) 0.5 - 1      3706
e) 1 - 5        3450
f) 5 - 10       531
g) 10 - 20      269
h) 20 - 50      81.9
i) 50 - 100     16.7
j) 100 - 200    4.2
k) 200 - 300    0.6
l) 300 - 400    0.17
m) 400 - 500    0.2

Half of all trades on Huobi are 0.1 BTC or below. There has not been any single trades above 500 BTC, but there has been 18 single trades with more than 200 BTC during the first 18 days of July.

The total traded volume at 0.01 BTC or below is 1072 BTC during the 18 days.
The total traded volume at 0.1 BTC or below is 11221 BTC during the 18 days.





335. Post 7931275 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 20, 2014, 12:20:30 AM
I find this accounting principle kind of funny even though it caused me much frustration. I'm sure this principle will continue to cause headaches and strange workarounds as long as we have anal accountants.  Smiley
Well, if you ever have to do some accounting yourself, over ledgers spanning several years of transactions, you would appreciate this principle.

If the totals from two ledgers (say, bank statements and invoices) don't match as they should, even by a few cents, you must check everything all over again because it may be due to some arbitrarily large error on your part (like using the wrong invoice with a similar price), or by someone who was trying to doctor the books. You can waste a lot of time that way.

Or, suppose that you get the monthly report of you bank account for June, and the starting balance is 1.27$ less than the final balance in the May report.

Few joys in life compare to that of having the financial report of one's research project approved by the funding agency's accountants.   Not even that of having the project's funding approved in the first place.  Cheesy


I have a few friends that work as researchers. They tell me that they spend half their time applying for funds and the other half teaching or going to conferences. Not much time for research Smiley

I'm still not convinced that the world of accounting isn't pure evil, but I do appreciate that some people are willing to make it their profession. Smiley



336. Post 7944220 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: empowering on July 20, 2014, 10:58:48 PM
One of the things that make me skeptic of Technical Analysis (TA) is their general reliance on high and low points to determine trends and such.

Highs and lows are very noisy statistics, that may depend on a single decision by a single trader.  So much so, that even for exchanges that track each other very closely  (like Huobi and OKCoin), trend lines that connect highs or lows may be very different depending on which chart one uses -- even increasing/converging on one chart, while decreasing/diverging in the other.

Basic statistics says that the weighted mean a much more reliable parameter than high, low, open, or close; and a weighted least-squares-fitted line is much better than a line connecting any of those points.  To quantify the size of deviations from the mean or the fitted line, the standard deviation is much better than the high-low difference.


Fair point.

That is where experience and judgment come into play, also seeing TA for what it is, an indicator to aid judgement calls - it really would not be possible to have a market at all if there was an indicator that was right 100% of the time.


Maybe another good reason for you to start trading BTC Jorge Smiley I agree with what Empowering says. I don't know much about statistics, but it is useful to consider that the market is moved by two opposite forces (bulls and bears). When price fails to move below a certain point it is because bears have run out of steam. And when price fails to go higher is is because bulls have run out of steam. It doesn't matter if it is a single player who prevents further movement in either direction. All we can say is that price failed to go beyond that point and that is always significant. So maybe it is better to think about the market and TA as forces in physics instead of statistics. If price fails to go further in one direction it will bounce and move in the opposite direction. Like physical objects bouncing off each other when colliding.

It is not enough to consider one exchange alone, but since they all go together you can still use TA from one exchange as a general indicator for market direction.



337. Post 7944503 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

On the topic of TA and indicators does any of you use the CMF indicator also found on Bitcoinwisdom and Bitcoincharts?



338. Post 7944651 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: theonewhowaskazu on July 21, 2014, 12:12:21 AM
On the topic of TA and indicators does any of you use the CMF indicator also found on Bitcoinwisdom and Bitcoincharts?

CMF indicator?

I was disappointed. I thought you may have made a CCMF indicator.

LOL. The CCMF indicator is very good, but usually only works after the fact  Smiley

I can't make much sense of the CMF indicator. Maybe it is useful for longer time frames and for divergences?!



339. Post 7944854 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: aminorex on July 21, 2014, 12:23:37 AM
LOL. The CCMF indicator is very good, but usually only works after the fact  Smiley

Monkey recommends commodity channel money flow used with mixed moving correlation stochastics.

I have not heard of moving correlation stochastics before Shocked I will have to look into that.



340. Post 7952115 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

20 minutes has now passed without a single trade on Bitfinex.



341. Post 8042236 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on July 26, 2014, 11:00:05 PM

Explanation

Chartbuddy, do you want to go to a tea party with me? Also: Have you seen my dolphin?



342. Post 8043225 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on July 27, 2014, 12:58:43 AM
hello 600 Cheesy such a familiar face

+1  Maybe we will be "allowed" to have a go at $640 this time. Smiley



343. Post 8108290 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

100-something BTC ask wall just got bought on BFX. Stoch RSI shows a divergence on the 6 and 12 hour charts. Things finally looking up a bit?



344. Post 8119828 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

350 BTC support @ 585 on Bitfinex. Awesome!



345. Post 8120247 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: DjPxH on July 31, 2014, 02:32:56 PM
Wow! $589 on stamp. That's what I call a train! I gotta post this video again, it just has to be seen during this rally: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vh473k-uHH0

That video. LOL  Smiley It is totally unrelated to BTC walls etc., but you may like the Museum of Techno "tutorial videos". They have done a whole series of them. Here is how you make a techno bassline: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3OezymoIxZM



346. Post 8137987 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Wow. I did not expect it to go this crazy  Smiley



347. Post 8138914 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: magicmexican on August 01, 2014, 03:49:18 PM
Bitcoin plz, i am not done buying yet.

I'm impressed that you took the time to post here before buying Smiley



348. Post 8254069 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: bitcoinsrus on August 08, 2014, 07:19:13 PM
ChartHero soon....

Name:   ChartBuddy
Posts:   10198
Activity:   462
Position:   Sr. Member

Is it based on activity or posts (count). Because if its post count, I think hes good enough

I have noticed he doesn't use many words in his posts. But I guess we will have to celebrate our silent hero  Smiley



349. Post 8297836 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

300 BTC ask wall was just bought @ Bitfinex  Smiley



350. Post 8318802 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Could it be one of those bearish pennants?



 Shocked



351. Post 8319070 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):



The mystery bomb hugger steps in.



352. Post 8325990 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

I think 555 support will hold and bears will need to dump it all if they want to take out support on Stamp. I just woke up and bought at 555.55, so I'm pretty chuffed Smiley



353. Post 8326365 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 13, 2014, 07:17:46 AM
I think 555 support will hold and bears will need to dump it all if they want to take out support on Stamp. I just woke up and bought at 555.55, so I'm pretty chuffed Smiley

Lets see how chuffed you are on e we break 540.

I tried e back in the day and it was pretty awesome. I am however currently not on e. There is no need for it... According to Jesse from Kraken trading BTC is about as addictive as crack.

 Tongue  Cheesy

It don't think we will break 540, but we will see... There is a bullish divergence in the RSI and this could be an sign that we are recovering. It is a bit too early to say for sure though. I'm hoping we will recover from to current level and then head back up to $585 (at least Smiley).



354. Post 8326734 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: Argwai96 on August 13, 2014, 07:48:26 AM
I think 555 support will hold and bears will need to dump it all if they want to take out support on Stamp. I just woke up and bought at 555.55, so I'm pretty chuffed Smiley

Lets see how chuffed you are on e we break 540.

I tried e back in the day and it was pretty awesome. I am however currently not on e. There is no need for it... According to Jesse from Kraken trading BTC is about as addictive as crack.

 Tongue  Cheesy

It don't think we will break 540, but we will see... There is a bullish divergence in the RSI and this could be an sign that we are recovering. It is a bit too early to say for sure though. I'm hoping we will recover from to current level and then head back up to $585 (at least Smiley).

What time frame for the RSI divergence? If you look at the hourly before the last drop, we were forming bullish divergences then too. All it did was bring the RSI above oversold and then BOOM, selling. Divergences can be very deceiving during strong trends, and on longer time frames, they can take some time to play out.

Yes I was looking at the hourly from the drop and until now. I agree that it is too early to take this divergence seriously. I would however buy at this level regardless of indicators because there has been good support here in the past.



355. Post 8332118 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: niktitan132 on August 13, 2014, 02:41:48 PM
so who sold at 525 ? hope u learned ur lesson  Grin

Damn... I knew I shouldn't have listened to fonzie.

lolol

Hahahaha  Grin

But who bought at 525?  Grin Grin Grin

I have!  Grin

I bought at 555.55 and sold at 552 taking a small loss. I was in a meeting at work when it went to 525  Huh

lol, but what a day  Smiley



356. Post 8343993 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: TeeBone on August 14, 2014, 05:22:51 AM
Looks like a new low is coming. Asks rising on bitstamp, bids (being pulled)

Yep, 520 is a peice of cake. We'll be seeing 460-480 by this weekend, if not tonight.

Bears have momentum now. Without quality fud they will need to exploit that before long if they want to bring the price further down I think.



357. Post 8367543 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Huge dumps but price not moving that much. Are dumpers buying coins now I wonder?



358. Post 8370299 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Goodbye Finex. I might come back when you are a bit more bullish Smiley



359. Post 8370407 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Some good news! It is not huge, but a nationwide danish portal for fastfood businesses (hungry.dk) now accept bitcoin. They offer a 10% discount for orders payed with Bitcoin.




360. Post 8371354 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on August 15, 2014, 07:34:21 PM
Some good news! It is not huge, but a nationwide danish portal for fastfood businesses (hungry.dk) now accept bitcoin. They offer a 10% discount for orders payed with Bitcoin.



Oh well, I wasn't going to buy yet, but now that Hungry.dk is in on the action I really don't know how I could control myself.


WTF!! OMG!!

In a small country like Denmark it is big thing that 744 take away restaurants now accept bitcoin as payment. Just saying...



361. Post 8380046 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: fonzie on August 16, 2014, 11:28:55 AM
BITFINEX!  Cheesy Cheesy

+1. That place is manic depressive.



362. Post 8393525 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

It's over. 6 hours of lower highs and lower lows. And volume is picking up in China. Angry



363. Post 8393773 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on August 17, 2014, 07:00:44 AM
It's over. 6 hours of lower highs and lower lows. And volume is picking up in China. Angry

This. I changed my position to short at about 514 a few hours ago when we crossed trend lines... I am kicking myself for not doing it sooner. We have more to drop.

Also, buying pressure will be depressed because of Coinbase and leverage pressure will be depressed because the change of policy of Bitfinex soon to go into effect. In a nutshell... more blood, guys. Wish it wasn't so. It was nice while the party lasted.

P.S. -- Don't take my trading advice on face value. I am a Newbie. I've done ok the past few days, but am a couple percentage points down. I am a pretty smart fellar, but I am still learning the ropes a bit.

I'm glad I woke up early today so I had time to close my long in an orderly fashion. I got done in the nick of time and only managed to short 1 BTC. At $514, same as you Smiley I think we could be seeing a head and shoulders pattern forming. I might short more if there is a little bounce.

Don't worry too much about loosing a little when you are starting out. When I began trading I started of with a small amount, made many mistakes and lost some $. I gradually got better and increased my investment. If we continue down I will most likely definitely increase my investment. It is simply too tempting  Smiley



364. Post 8394417 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Stamp and Finex has stopped following China it seems  Smiley



365. Post 8394522 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 17, 2014, 08:13:07 AM
now is the bottom?
If I were forced to predict the bottom, under pain of having emacs removed from my computer, I would say around 450$.  That is what the price was on May/19, before the buying sprees that lifted it to 650$.  That guess assumes that the traders who did all that buying have changed their minds and are dumping all that they bought.

Oh no the pain of using Vim  Smiley



366. Post 8394906 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Indicator telling me to get out, but maybe China will break out of their wedge if they are encouraged?!



Edit 1:
Link: http://i.imgur.com/aFtY0vc.png

Edit 2:
Lol. Seems we still follow Chinas lead (and shorters at Bitfinex)  Shocked

 



367. Post 8397423 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Dump-bot it only dumping 0.1 btc every ten seconds. It's the sunday morning truce  Smiley

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NzvfWEXU-tc#t=154



368. Post 8402233 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):



Dump3er I have been following your dumping class vigorously. But I missed the opportunity to dump at $500, because I was out of coins. According to my numerologist 500 is a really important number for me so I'm sad I missed the opportunity. I know you told us to never use the green button. But are there any exceptions to this rule, and do you agree that using it could increase the likelihood of price going past $500... and thus give me a second chance for dumping at $500?

Image: http://i.imgur.com/V47x9uT.png



369. Post 8406568 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Last chance to close shorts before things kick off?



370. Post 8426761 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 19, 2014, 12:29:56 AM
strong buys in the mists of many dumps

up again?



Damn those hidden orders  Smiley



371. Post 8426927 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: thefunkybits on August 19, 2014, 12:41:17 AM
Huge 462.9 hidden bid at Finex. Hundreds of coins bought so far.

Good eye dude!

*funky sighs a breath of relief

Seems there is also a hidden ask wall.



372. Post 8432564 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Well, let's go then...  Shocked



373. Post 8432708 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: Junkbarman on August 19, 2014, 10:14:09 AM
Well, let's go then...  Shocked

you can go to nowhere, $520? may be but get readly for the $400 crash again

Wonder if they want the price to crash more..

The always start dumping when I go on my lunch break. It is lunch time now  Smiley



374. Post 8433242 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 19, 2014, 10:46:30 AM
The ask side is getting bigger. It's starting to look "normal". 480 is the new 580. Wouldn't surprise me if we go sideways here for a while and then get another round of dumping. It will probably be the same. People waiting for the next bubble, which won't happen because absolutely nothing is able to raise the price it seems.

So was this what all the dumpers wanted? The same thing but 100 dollars lower? Is everyone happy now or what?

It is bullish that dumping didn't commence while I was on my lunch break  Smiley But I agree with you. Activity and volume is low. It seems only bots are trading. Humans traders are too scared. I tried to get at long position yesterday. Everything was looking good: Price was low and selling volume decreasing. Then suddenly a 1000 BTC dump. Not very motivating Smiley



375. Post 8436720 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: FNG on August 19, 2014, 02:43:34 PM
Exchange gap narrowing, price creeping up.  

Short squeeze soon?
Imminent

I think so too Smiley



376. Post 8444376 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

I agree it is going to get wild at some point in the near future. Looking at the graph it doesn't look pretty but the support of the triangle we are in has been very well defended in spite of many dumps. Also at least some whales have already accumulated all the coins they could wish for at a very low price (especially BTC-e/Finex  Smiley). I have been keeping an eye on the CCI indicator that Amiorex recommended. It is telling me that the move up we have seen since the 18th will continue. I don't have that long experience with this indicator, but the signal is quite clear even on shorter time frames (45 min.).

All these things are bullish... but then we have the rotten sentiment, the ugly graph, the huge ask walls, and the fact that the dominant trend is bearish.

I don't know which way it will go, but I have closed a short that I started at 490, and bought a little BTC near support. I don't know which way it will go, but I wouldn't feel comfortable with a open a short before going to bed tonight. Also at this price point I am more concerned with buying compared to selling/shorting. Must remember to add more fiat. Maybe it is not too late  Smiley



377. Post 8447806 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

I guess I was completely wrong that there was a chance of going up from $480 Cheesy How much of the Stamp ask wall was bought before the dumping started?



378. Post 8447829 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on August 20, 2014, 05:56:33 AM
I had to take three months off when the train left without me, but I'm back, Baby. I still have the cash from when i foolishly dumped and now I'm ready to get back in the game asoon and this next crash makes it cheap enough.  This many shorts get squeezed when it's over and it'll go to up like a rocket, but it's likely to get worse before it gets better.


It's been a while. Welcome back!



379. Post 8458330 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

FOR THE GLORY!  Grin



380. Post 8465442 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Finex has just decided to go off and do it's own thing  Cheesy



381. Post 8476629 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on August 21, 2014, 10:31:43 PM
Dat bitfinex bid!
Now this is a bid book you can sleep on, with a moronic smile on your face. (but with an eye open anyway)


Except the 485 coin wall just got eaten.  Better wake up!

Indeed  Undecided No sleep for me tonight. MOAR charts watching.

I had my doubts about that bid wall but it turned out to be the real deal.



382. Post 8476817 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

My fiat arrived today, so I'm a bit more greedy than usual  Smiley



383. Post 8476914 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Thank you shorters for keeping the price down as long as possible just before you panic close your shorts.



384. Post 8483812 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Looks like a rounding top. Volume matches pretty well also. Any thoughts on this?



385. Post 8495000 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

You rarely see them in all the noise, but just now there were multiple substantial buys (total around 500 BTC) to the ask side on Huobi.



386. Post 8496042 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: samsonn25 on August 23, 2014, 05:43:02 AM
Interesting article about a small farm in China:  about 575TH

http://www.thecoinsman.com/2014/08/bitcoin/inside-chinese-bitcoin-mine/

Good article



387. Post 8500349 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: creekbore on August 23, 2014, 02:36:34 PM
4-500 coin mini walls set up to ensure no-one goes nowhere while the player/s take the w/e off.

Move along, nothing to see here.

Yes it is the perfect time to not open a new position and just enjoy the weekend. I think the next move will either be $550 or $470. I have no idea which. I just added new fiat, but I will most likely not open a  position while we remain in this area. High volume events might make me reconsider though.



388. Post 8501538 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 23, 2014, 04:02:05 PM
You rarely see them in all the noise, but just now there were multiple substantial buys (total around 500 BTC) to the ask side on Huobi.

you can remove the noise if you use http://bitcoinity.org/

i set mine to only show >1BTC  trades

Thanks I did not know Bitcoinity had that feature even though I always have it open  Shocked ...I see it is in the preferences.

I was actually thinking about building something that makes it easy to monitor high volume events and trade activity on all exchanges simultaneously, but I still have some way to go on that project. The feeds I'm using are not very stable and the "resume" feature I setup doesn't seem to work like it was supposed to Cheesy It was also a hassle to get trades from Huobi and OKCoin. Hopefully I will find the time to work more on it, but currently I'm too busy mining fiat at work.  



389. Post 8501706 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: fonzie on August 23, 2014, 04:11:24 PM
BTCChina @3000  Sad

Oh, didn´t the phantom orders fill in time.

Edit: Lol@orderbook. They probably don´t have more than 1000BTC on their site but represent the market with the highest volume, ridiculous.

Didn't they say something about introducing fees in order to stop HFT in their joint statement? I guess they haven't come around to it yet  Smiley



390. Post 8513080 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Sandia on August 24, 2014, 02:08:48 PM
That seems to be a very strong trend line on the 1 hr chart.  The market keeps testing and testing, but can't close a candle over the line.

If it fails again, I might get my price.


What before was support has now become resistance. There was a moment there where it looked like we could break through. It was the same about 12 hours ago where China moved up and Finex went to $510! Stamp followed China and did not make it further than $504. I think we will either be sideways or maybe Stamp will take a dump that brings us to $585 or $570. I'm not sure China and Finex will follow Stamp so closely if Stamp dumps again.



391. Post 8513899 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Dump3r on August 24, 2014, 03:51:01 PM
I think we will either be sideways or maybe Stamp will take a dump that brings us to $585 or $570.

Upwards dumping is extremely stylish.

Stamp doesn't need to go up much before Finex is pushed over the edge. The direction of the fall will be upwards.



392. Post 8552558 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Searing on August 27, 2014, 08:54:13 AM
lets test 530, common now!



er...not brave enough to use the crayons yet to color this in...but still....

Searing


LOL!



393. Post 8552756 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on August 27, 2014, 09:15:34 AM
lets test 530, common now!



er...not brave enough to use the crayons yet to color this in...but still....

Searing


LOL!

Trainz TA with more colors:




394. Post 8565843 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Interesting day ahead. Watching BFX closely.



395. Post 8594440 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Traders don't seem too exited about this new lower price following the latest dump. Very low trading activity and no trades taking place on Bitfinex for almost 10 minutes  Undecided



396. Post 8601896 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: razorramon on August 30, 2014, 08:04:00 PM
At least no one ist dumping anymore...
buying volume is way to low for a real trend to the moon, but it seems like no one wants to sell below 500 either

I agree. It seems whales prefer to sell at $500 or just above.



397. Post 8602507 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: bitcodo on August 30, 2014, 09:07:36 PM
Just a reminder this is wall observer not war observer ok.

Everything has an impact on the price movement, not only Bitcoin but of everything, beside the thing they are talking about is really serious, what is happening now will define how the world will look in the next decade, so it is really important and dangerous at the same time.

To be honest, I survived the Algerian civil war , I came to live in Slovenia and did sense the tension of left overs of the Balkan war, but I have been never afraid and confused as I am now, I have a feeling that we are going into a 3rd world war, and the fact that I have children to worry about makes it even scarier.

It is sad that few politicians and war profiteers can make so much damage to a region. They destroyed our economy and interpersonal relationships. Good that Balkan common people are friendly and warm.

Unfortunate I have this bad feeling too.

BTW I see a lot of ex-yu guys here. Pozdrav svima!

I used to live in London where I shared a flat with couple of ex Yugoslavs. I can confirm that they are really nice people. But of course these guys had chosen to go/escape to the UK because they didn't want be a part of that insane nationalistic war.

The other day I watched pictures of the Russian convoy to Ukraine. Russia claims it is an aid convoy, and they even painted the trucks white to make them look like UN trucks. It is ridicules, but Russia is doing what all super powers do: They look after their own interests. They don't care too much for those who get in their way as long as they can spin a story that satisfies their voters.

The crisis is very real but I don't think we are close to a full scale war. If the EU implement tougher sanctions it will have an effect on Russia. Also I think there are too many interests on both sides, so no one really wants the conflict to escalate further. Putin knows this, but his ignorant supporters/voters basically allow him to push things right to the limit.



398. Post 8602620 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 30, 2014, 09:59:27 PM

Hello darkness 400s, my old friend / I've come to talk with you again.



We have already tested the ask walls and that did not go too well  Smiley Right now I would not mind if we tested that bidwall on Stamp.



399. Post 8603080 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

On the subject of bombs here is a clip from the movie "Dark Star" from 1974: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qjGRySVyTDk - This is one of the most silly uneventful movies I have ever watched (but also kind of funny). The clip is the highlight of the entire movie.



400. Post 8607451 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

BTC-E is like OKCoin in march. Remember those bot battles back then.

I guess BTC-E don't pay fees on their own exchange... Maybe they got a large order from someone Smiley



401. Post 8612798 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Hidden bid wall at $474 on Bitfinex and hidden ask wall at $475. Quickly everybody go under cover  Smiley

Edit: Both gone.



402. Post 8634894 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Look at all those walls on Bitfinex Shocked You get 2000 BTC with almost no slippage. I just took 6 BTC for myself. I migth take more, but quite frankly I'm feeling a bit intimidated by those walls. If you shorted with 2000 BTC on Finex I kindly ask you to close your shorts now Smiley



403. Post 8635873 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: thefunkybits on September 02, 2014, 08:55:48 AM
ummm

BFX is this for real??



Well I went 30% in at $474 and 90% in at $471... So I believe it is real Smiley

Cultists are p*ssed off!



404. Post 8660289 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 03, 2014, 05:02:05 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3CMucDjJQ4E&noredirect=1

i could fall asleep to this video everynight. pretty much what i dream about anyhow.

 Tongue

I actually had dinner with the guy about 8 years ago at a CMS conference I attended. I never new he was into bitcoin  Smiley



405. Post 8691621 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Looking very goatish. Stamp $5 below the average price.



406. Post 8705965 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 06, 2014, 07:52:06 PM
look what happens when you put a coin in dry ice, so COOL!!!

It farts! I would never have guessed a coin could do that. I guess them fiat coins are inflated and full of air  Cheesy



407. Post 8732390 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Shorts on Bitfinex almost up by 1000 BTC today and is now at 9960 BTC in total. Shorting 1000 BTC at this price level... talk about confident bears  Shocked



408. Post 8732895 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: minerpumpkin on September 08, 2014, 06:23:04 PM
Shorts on Bitfinex almost up by 1000 BTC today and is now at 9960 BTC in total. Shorting 1000 BTC at this price level... talk about confident bears  Shocked

We're still in a bear market now and shorting has been the wisest option over the last months. Why changing your strategy now? Smiley If your margin calls are places accordingly, you won't miss the rocket launch!

Yes I generally agree. But finex has been above Stamp for the past few days. I think this is because traders have been closing shorts. They are afraid that the balance is about to tip. Now we have another 1000 BTC that needs to close below $480 (or less) to be profitable.



409. Post 8749949 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: Zicore47 on September 09, 2014, 07:15:48 PM
Uh! Momentum out of nothing. That could get really interesting this time....

lets see if we can break it this time...



Was going to post the same Smiley

Ha ha. Me too. It would a least be nice too test the wall and see if that was the case.

Also I think there is a bit too much anonymity for large players in the market. Currently there is no way to tell if a player is buying/selling his own coins (using different accounts). If this has become common practice it is really bad and no one benefits from it. If large players were forced to display a trader identification code that would provide a way to recognize moves of individual large players. It could also help to identify when these large volume events are legit.



410. Post 8750365 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on September 09, 2014, 07:56:38 PM
Also I think there is a bit too much anonymity for large players in the market. Currently there is no way to tell if a player is buying/selling his own coins (using different accounts).

They don't even have to use different accounts... it is possible to execute against your own offers.

I did not know that. I'm fairly sure it is impossible at Kraken.com as I did by mistake once. My order got canceled if I remember correctly. That was some time ago so I could be wrong. But either way it would help if individual trades of large players could be identified like in other markets.



411. Post 8750431 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on September 09, 2014, 08:20:11 PM
Well, this is getting ugly fast. It was a trap, folks.

Not so sure. I would not be surprised to see the price slowly drop (from the peak) and then take another jump up from ~465

You think it could it be some one buying cover for his shorts on Bitfinex?



412. Post 8751700 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on September 09, 2014, 09:15:58 PM
I'm not going to wear an iwatch or any other computer watch. I think apple is taking a misstep here imho.

when the ipad was announced:

everyone: "what do i need that for? lol"

six months later everyone had one, or at least a tablet of some sort.

My wife begged for a tablet.

Now I just use it to read comics.

I saw a few of them floating around the office as well about a year ago but I can't remember the last time I saw one being used in earnest. Just cause apple can still generate a bit of fad momentum doesn't mean much.

I could never see what the fascination with tablets was. They seemed to be just crappy netbooks without real keyboards and underpowered with ARM CPUs instead of real Intel x86.

I finally broke down and got a Nexus7 so I could get something that would fit in a shirt pocket. What a mistake. You can't do anything with it without linking it to an identity through a Google account. I couldn't even install drive mounting software or a file manager without rooting it first.

A couple of months ago I acquired a cheap Apple tablet which necessitated buying a proprietary cable to even reset it to factory condition. What a horror show. Not only did they want me to get an Apple account, I couldn't do anything without installing malware called iTunes. So I used a throwaway installation of Windows on an external SSD only to find I couldn't even transfer files from my PC to the tablet.

I finally found a tablet I can live with in the form of a Sony Xperia Z Ultra, without a SIM card. It has a reasonable (for ARM) quad-core CPU, 2 GB of RAM and an SDXC slot so I was able to up the internal storage to 144GB. It comes with robust drive-mounting and file management software, a 1080p display and is waterproof to 3 feet for 30 minutes.  

Best of all by not installing a SIM card, I've been able to maintain anonymity. I've never been to Google Play Store. All the software I've needed have been available as APK files to download in Windows and transfer to my tablet via cable.


The only reason I haven't sold the Apple to some sucker is that I enjoy the challenge of creating a pseudonymous identity so I can use the damn thing without giving any information to some nosy, snooping foreign corporation.

I just got a Chinese Cube Talk 9X Android tablet through the mail today. Havn't had much time to play with it yet but so far it is looking great. I decided to pay for it with fiat as I think the Chinese already have enough bitcorns  Smiley



413. Post 8751776 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on September 09, 2014, 08:32:26 PM
Well, this is getting ugly fast. It was a trap, folks.

Not so sure. I would not be surprised to see the price slowly drop (from the peak) and then take another jump up from ~465

You think it could it be some one buying cover for his shorts on Bitfinex?

No idea as to why or who it would be, just guessing Wink

Regardless, the price seems to be leveling out around 468, so this would be the price it jumps from, I'd think.

Short are down about 1200 BTC on Bitfinex  Smiley



414. Post 8786519 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: seleme on September 12, 2014, 04:09:33 AM
I got only one friend interested in Bitcoin after going mental on Facebook during bubble and he bought 4.5 at 800$  Cry

He bought them from me though  Tongue

That made me lol



415. Post 8797162 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Feeling a bit bullish at the moment. The weekend has landed and that is generally considered a good time for club hopping. Here is my suggestion:




416. Post 8798128 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 13, 2014, 12:01:36 AM
inching closer and closer to that massive wall

I think these super walls are bullish aren't they?  Is it a last ditch effort to try to get cheap coins?  

If only someone would just buy them all at once.  That would be so much fun to see!  Grin

what's bullish is the lack of panic when these walls appear.

tells me all the "tourist" are gone.

i think the manipulator will try to push us down further, he wouldn't be selling 3K BTC on margin if he didn't plan to take it down lower after.

if he thinks he can make us panic sell because of lower and lower prices, hes gonna have a bad time....

seriously guys, Hoist the Colours

 Cheesy Cheesy

We have been bouncing around $470 for a while... Traders seem unwilling to part with their coins when we go below and it quickly gets bought back up. So I think bulls are slowly gaining more confidence and there is less panic as you pointed out. The ask walls are clearly of the manipulative kind on BFX... it is not like sellers are trying to get the best price for their coins by slowly selling at the best price they can achieve. At least not at this level. Also I find it quite interesting that shorts went down 1k BTC a few days ago. So there are definitely some bullish signs. But I guess we could go further down if whales are willing to dump harder. They have tried this, but maybe they have come to the conclusion that it is not worth the effort. But we surely won't go up until whales wants us to. Without whale type bid support it is too easy for shorters to cause panic and bring the price down after breakout attempts. That is the way I see it anyway.



417. Post 8802061 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: klee on September 13, 2014, 08:52:01 AM
http://www.bfxdata.com/swaphistory/totals.php

seems like a huge short or amount of shorts closed

^^ This. Looks like that big buy was no whale accumulator, but a/many shorter(s) closing their positions for low slippage.
Potentailly bearish in reality as 11k was waaay too high for the market to make any significant move down.
Now at 5.5k, there are not enough shorts to squeeze IMO.

What does this mean? I am not very familiar with the technical terms...

The huge ask wall on BFX offered whale shorters (and non whale shorters) a way to close their positions with no slippage. That basically means that they were able to buy a lot of BTC at fixed price and without raising the price in the process.

It is altogether very bullish because:
- The ask wall was of the manipulative kind (as far as I can tell)
- Shorters no longer believe they will get new/better opportunities for closing their shorts at a lower price
- They are now focused on accumulating BTC (and when done with that raising the price)

I agree with Davyd05 that all these unclosed shorts could have provided the fuel for a very bullish scenario. Also the shorters might still be able to keep the price down while they accumulate although I doubt it will go much lower from this point on... There are still shorts that needs to be closed and coins that needs to be accumulated (Edit: added buy pressure as Teppino pointed out). I believe we will go sideways or up from now on. That is what I am hoping for anyway  Cheesy

Everybody pack your wallets and cut your foot looses!




418. Post 8802285 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: klee on September 13, 2014, 10:11:39 AM
Bitfinex is active with buys

I think this could be traders panic closing their shorts. Some got tempted to short just below the big wall. Now that it is gone they fear we are headed to the moon. Who know maybe we are but there is still a lot of resistance at Stamp.  



419. Post 8809235 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Market maker(s) does not appear to be done with the $470's yet. So after the rise to $480 we get dumps and after that the market is flooded with more low priced coins than the remaining active traders can handle. I don't see us going past $480 as long as the activity level and sentiment is so bad.

Question is if market movers have the balls to dump us below $470, or if we will just continue sideways for a while longer? As I said before I don't expect we will go much below $470 before we go up, but who knows.

Whales move slowly and it looks like this could give us yet another opportunity to get BTC below the current price level (and a chance to close shorts in an orderly fashion). I'm thinking that there must be a lot of traders sitting on the sidelines waiting to get some sort of sign of improvement. I personally believe that things are turning, but maybe we need to get to a point where inactive traders start thinking: "Wow, trading BTC has become really silly lately, I think I will buy some and see what happens".

Always remember: BTC price manipulation is one of the highest forms of endeavour to which a human being can choose to devote his time and energy  Cheesy



420. Post 8810806 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on September 14, 2014, 01:19:02 AM
Welcome to the Wall Observer's thread.


Thanks, dafaq is this  Cheesy

I thought it was just my imagination. Now I know it is for real!



421. Post 8831686 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: Dump3er on September 15, 2014, 03:34:58 PM
I think the one manipulator will come soon, hammering the final nail in the coffin.

Yes the dumping is looking pretty weak at the moment.



422. Post 8831775 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: Zicore47 on September 15, 2014, 04:49:51 PM
Bitfinex just released a new trading pair.

Quote from: Bitfinex
Hello,
We are pleased to offer mining contracts as trading product on the Bitfinex platform. We have worked for some time to develop what we believe is a superior approach to “cloud mining” that is smartly packaged to offer simplicity and transparency. While we are very excited about this offering, please note that we consider this a “live beta” as we continue to tweak the product to meet the need of our traders. Because it is a beta phase product, the first “tranche” is purposely small and short-dated. As we gain experience in administering this product, assess demand, and incorporate feedback from our traders, we will introduced larger and longer dated tranches. The contract specifications follow:
•   Trading Pair: TH1BTC
•   Tranche Size: 100 THS (terahashes per second)
•   Expiration: 3 Months
•   Pool: TH1 is part of a larger pool (~3,500 THS total). Statistics regarding this pool will be posted regularly along with blockchain transaction id’s will be posted and frequently updated.
•   Pool Fee: 3%
•   Hosting: All hosting, power and maintenance cost for the duration of the contract is included in the price per TH.
•   Margin: TH1 can be borrowed and sold short. We will start out with a 25% Initial Margin Requirement, but we see that going as low as 12.5% in the near future.
•   Dividends: The blockchain time stamp on block rewards will be used to determine “holders of record” at the time that the block was mined. Positions will be aggregated between balances in the Exchange Wallet and trading position in the trading wallet to determine a “net position”. Dividends will be computed as the pro rata share of the block reward less the pool fee. Longs will get paid dividends in their default wallet. Shorts will pay dividends from the Trading Wallet only. Longs who provide TH1 swap liquidity will still receive dividends.
The product is designed as a “depleting asset”, whose value will continue to go down all the way to zero at expiration. Coupled with the fact that all hosting and maintenance is already included, we expect fair value analysis to be much easier for the average trader and cloud miner. TH1 will also be the first shortable mining contract (that we are aware of) further enhancing efficient price discovery. Trading will commence at 9 AM EDT on Monday September 15, 2014. We welcome your feedback and, as always, we thank you for your business and continued support.
Regards,
The Bitfinex Team

Was posting the same thing. You beat me to it :-)



423. Post 8843716 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on September 16, 2014, 12:47:18 PM
race is on!

100,000 btc to whoever reaches hero status first?
I see we're both heroes today.

I didn't see who made it first.

Let's call it a dead heat.

 Smiley

Congratulations to both of you  Smiley



424. Post 8852185 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: hdbuck on September 16, 2014, 11:11:08 PM


dont think it would be this one.. Grin

Finexers and Huobians seem to think is time to recover a little bit. Stampers are a little more reluctant (can't say that I blame them).  Smiley



425. Post 8864899 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: thewayshegoes on September 17, 2014, 05:37:13 PM
What's with all this Ripple spam lately?

Ripple is attractive to people who enjoy really cheap coins. There seem to be a lot of those around at the moment  Smiley



426. Post 8865181 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: fonzie on September 17, 2014, 07:58:03 PM
lol shorts are truly spiking HARD




BTC Swaps Opened 24h

2,696.56

NOT BAD


[img width="200"]http://prisonorfreedom.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Prentice-Dorian-Satoshi-Nakamoto.jpg[/img]

Everybody is going all in! Rates are also low! Some borrowers will cut their looses later.



427. Post 8874946 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Hunyadi on September 18, 2014, 01:40:46 PM
wife says " you know what i hate to see on youtube, bitcoin adds they fucking piss me off "

she HATES crypto...

Everyone hates crypto  Undecided

Bitcoin hates us  Smiley



428. Post 8881675 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

What an awesome crazy day!  Cheesy



429. Post 8891681 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Bitfinex trying to break out to the upside  Shocked



430. Post 8891733 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on September 19, 2014, 05:39:43 PM
Bitfinex trying to break out to the upside  Shocked

And right away gets dumped on.

Not the right timing. Maybe later  Smiley



431. Post 8895302 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: esse83 on September 19, 2014, 09:10:48 PM
Hmm so bitfinex has a unique way of performing margin calls. First they add it on the ask side, if nobody buys after a certain time it gets dumped.
Yes, it's very interesting that they're essentially speculating on their own with user funds instead of liquidating @market.

I've also noticed that before a margin call sometimes an opposing order with the exact amount come out, by magic.
This happened to me, when there is not enough liquidity available near the margin call price (perhaps).

Lets not forget that the owner of bitfinex (Raphael Nicolle) was a huge supporter of pirateat40 and not long after offered a similar service.

Quote
Also questionable is the founder, Raphael Nicolle, himself. Fortunately, this is not another attempt at an anonymously run financial service; Nicolle has provided a LinkedIn profile which confirms his involvement in BitFinex, and has plans to register the company when they settle on the best jurisdiction to locate their service. However, he was also involved in the Bitcoin investment scheme craze that had reached its peak in the Bitcoin community this summer, strongly supporting the (then only suspected) Bitcoin Ponzi scheme operator Pirateat40 in August, stating “now that Pirateat40 closed down his operatations thanks to all the fud that was going on and growing on the forum, I expect everyone that spreads this fud, accused and insulted Pirate and the people that supported him to apologize.” He even tried to open a 2%-per-week investment scheme of his own in September.

http://bitcoinmagazine.com/2830/bitfinex-bitcoinica-rises-from-the-grave/

Just to add to the margin call theory, after they dump they seem to instigate a mini pump to trick traders into buying the asks (which makes sense). It's fascinating to watch..

I'm 99% sure that Bitfinex play the market themselves. The 1000 BTC dump that happened about two hours ago was most likely a stop loss that got triggered. Guess who have all the info. about those...

I have observed quite few examples of odd behavior on BFX. On example is how overlapping orders are prioritized. Normally you would think that whoever places their limit order first gets served first, but not at Bitfinex. This examples could be explained by the hidden orders... I just find that unlikely especially in one instance where I observed it. I have also seen other examples of trading that simply does not make sense unless you have special insider knowledge. Overall I get a sense that the majority of the bids and asks are placed by bots that are by is run by BFX (they seem to be able to distinguish between bids/asks placed by themselves and everybody else).



432. Post 8895530 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: Raystonn on September 20, 2014, 12:01:14 AM
So anyway, we're just a few days away from an event that should begin to provide buying pressure to Bitcoin.  Still a chance we could go a great deal lower until this happens.  After that, I expect the ramp up that began on 10/2/2013.  I'll let you know when the day hits.


OK, I am letting you know.  The event has occurred.  No, it wasn't the Scotland vote.  I expect us to begin slowly ramping up now.


End of USG/FED QE?

No.  It's much more subtle than that.  But it has happened at the start of every bubble rally.


You mean there is a method in the madness? I'm 90% in. Let's go! Also, please give a hint  Smiley



433. Post 8899889 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: fonzie on September 20, 2014, 11:14:23 AM


Bulltrap or reversal, that is the question?

Edit: At least a good bounce to 450-480$ seems very likely.

I'm seeing a ghost pattern and wall movements. This could be a trap  Sad



434. Post 8899972 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: Pala_00 on September 20, 2014, 11:22:41 AM


Bulltrap or reversal, that is the question?

Edit: At least a good bounce to 450-480$ seems very likely.

I'm seeing a ghost pattern and wall movements. This could be a trap  Sad



idk, maybe we are all good + I worry too much  Smiley Good support @ 420 on Stamp. I just went away for a second though.



435. Post 8900205 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

What I'm currently looking at:



Ghost (H&S) pattern from Stamp is not confirmed. Looking at Bitfinex volume is quite high on the right side (compared to Stamp). Watch out for disappearing bid-support and dumping.



436. Post 8900276 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: AirFlame on September 20, 2014, 11:57:09 AM
What I'm currently looking at:



Ghost (H&S) pattern from Stamp is not confirmed. Looking at Bitfinex volume is quite high on the right side (compared to Stamp). Watch out for disappearing bid-support and dumping.


Nice stats what Program You use ? Smiley

It is from TradingView (so you probably know it). Lots of wild ideas about bitcoin predictions there Smiley Data from Stamp is fairly close to real-time, it is free to use, and very good if you are into TA. Pretty awesome service Smiley



437. Post 8900777 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: AirFlame on September 20, 2014, 12:13:28 PM
What I'm currently looking at:



Ghost (H&S) pattern from Stamp is not confirmed. Looking at Bitfinex volume is quite high on the right side (compared to Stamp). Watch out for disappearing bid-support and dumping.


Nice stats what Program You use ? Smiley

It is from TradingView (so you probably know it). Lots of wild ideas about bitcoin predictions there Smiley Data from Stamp is fairly close to real-time, it is free to use, and very good if you are into TA. Pretty awesome service Smiley


Wow good nose You have. They are dumping Smiley Good Work !

Dumping is easy to predict because that is all they do these days  Tongue Nothing is broken as far as I can tell and we have made a new higher high and higher low. So I'm still hopeful. I wonder if we will be sideways here for a while.



438. Post 8902057 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: fonzie on September 20, 2014, 02:22:05 PM
Bullish pumper on Finex detected!

Was that you closing your short in the least boring way you could think of?

 Smiley



439. Post 8902934 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Hidden bidwall @ 423.01 on Finex

Edit: It's gone



440. Post 8903471 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: Sandia on September 20, 2014, 05:24:15 PM
Small 193 coin wall appears, the small guys all dump, wall disappears.  Still no confidence in the market.

I am saying bull trap until the guys who dumped us down 400 USD start buying.  If I start seeing 1-2k coin buys, I will believe.  This is organic buying, but organic buying doesn't control the market.


We had a new higher low at $618. Then traders decided it was time to dump taking out much support. If we bounce after this it will be kind of funny imo.



441. Post 8905363 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Bitfinex has gone insane. It is following China it seems, but is trading $3 below Huobi (at least) and about $4 below Stamp. Maybe it is linked up with OKCoin.



442. Post 8906740 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: johnwest on September 20, 2014, 10:21:41 PM


hahah, very nice for who did short, but they still have chance to recover from that.
Price still moving near to 400 so they can cover their shorts.

Ha ha. Nice one  Smiley



443. Post 8912469 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: Hunyadi on September 21, 2014, 01:29:10 PM

That guy has red nails...  Grin

....that one guy on Guam is getting whipsawed while his wife is enjoying a weekend on the beach  Smiley



444. Post 8918160 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: fonzie on September 21, 2014, 10:02:10 PM
This is a win win situation. Bulls are getting cheap coins while bears enjoy their shorts. We should celebrate together!

Lol. We are finally getting rid of those manipulative walls. All the walls in both directions  Smiley



445. Post 8918324 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Someone is shorting at 398 on Bitfinex using a hidden ask order. 100 BTC so far.



446. Post 8927489 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 22, 2014, 03:54:35 PM
one step closer to the edge, you bitches better start dumping.

Yes why are they not dumping? Are bears waiting for someone else to do it or do they think the timing is wrong!?



447. Post 8927839 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on September 22, 2014, 04:15:42 PM
one step closer to the edge, you bitches better start dumping.

Yes why are they not dumping? Are bears waiting for someone else to do it or do they think the timing is wrong!?

They are dumping. In the last 24 hours there has been 3 large sells (BTC1800, BTC600, BTC400) [And probably a couple more ~BTC500]

On top of hundreds of smaller sells totalling a couple kBTC.

Its just like $500 again. Or $600. Plenty of buyers. Once they are worn down the price drops again.

I have been buying @ $401, and I feel pretty worn down. I just need a little push and I will dump as fast as I can Smiley There is only 1200 BTC to 396 on Stamp and that must look tempting for those who think BTC is overpriced and is bound to go down further. Around 1000 BTC was dumped on Bitfinex to break a trendline alone and there has not been much buying to the ask side... so I agree there has been much dumping today. But where is the follow up? It must be a timing issue or something.



448. Post 8928559 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: inca on September 22, 2014, 04:59:40 PM
one step closer to the edge, you bitches better start dumping.

Yes why are they not dumping? Are bears waiting for someone else to do it or do they think the timing is wrong!?

Seller exhaustion.

Anyone other than a miner who was going to sell has already. Everyone (including all the trolls) screaming the end is nigh sold long ago and actually despite being very vocal exert absolutely no effect on the price whatsoever.

It would be nice to see a high volume reversal after another bear raid below 400 but if we stick here for some time I can see the price moving up without it, given how oversold we are. There are a lot of people wanting to buy back in..



Sellers don't look to exhausted to me although volume has been lower today compared to previous days. You could be right about sideways movement lead to a rise. This is kind of what I was hoping for and why a bought a small amount (also because I always like to buy a little at the bottom of ascending lines). Also the whipsawing could indicate a change.. Although I think that  whipsawing indicates in bull markets indicate that a bear market is on the horizon?



449. Post 8928966 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: inca on September 22, 2014, 05:48:50 PM
one step closer to the edge, you bitches better start dumping.

Yes why are they not dumping? Are bears waiting for someone else to do it or do they think the timing is wrong!?

Seller exhaustion.

Anyone other than a miner who was going to sell has already. Everyone (including all the trolls) screaming the end is nigh sold long ago and actually despite being very vocal exert absolutely no effect on the price whatsoever.

It would be nice to see a high volume reversal after another bear raid below 400 but if we stick here for some time I can see the price moving up without it, given how oversold we are. There are a lot of people wanting to buy back in..



Sellers don't look to exhausted to me although volume has been lower today compared to previous days. You could be right about sideways movement lead to a rise. This is kind of what I was hoping for and why a bought a small amount (also because I always like to buy a little at the bottom of ascending lines). Also the whipsawed could indicate a change.. Although I think that  whipsawing indicates in bull markets indicate that a bear market is on the horizon?

On the horizon? I think we have had the vast majority of the bear market! This is the full stop at the end of the sentence Smiley

Sorry that last bit did not make any sense at all Smiley



450. Post 8930097 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: bitcodo on September 22, 2014, 07:29:50 PM
Slovenia’s biggest Bank NLB published article ''Bitcoin: Is this the beginning of the end of the money?''.

But don't get excited. Slovenia is small and the bank is not doing well.

Let me guess: They invested in crypto and now they are trying to pump it  Smiley



451. Post 8935896 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Woke up 2 hours ago and surprised to see we are still (barely) above $400. RSI is rising and quite a bit of support was taken out yesterday on Stamp. Although some of it is back and the breakdown attempt failed it is getting harder to see a bullish outcome from this sideways movement in my opinion.



452. Post 8936071 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on September 23, 2014, 07:40:03 AM
One more point.

I came across this reddit article:  http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2h6yl3/no_faith_in_bitcoin_profit_from_shorting_it/

 I found it very interesting that people are promoting some ideas about shorting BTC... which in principle would NOT be a bad idea, but getting involved in shorts NOW seems really looney.. .to suggest merely because BTC has  gone down in price for nearly 10 months that NOW would be a good time to learn about shorting.. or to get involved in shorting seems to be totally looney, in my thinking.


actually i see this as bullish....but are there even enough open btc swap positions? there were only a few a couple of days ago


It's bullish that some articles are promoting the concept of shorting?  Some naive people may think, "oh, I can short BTC?  Maybe I should try that?" 

Which would really be stupid in my thinking for people to be shorting (or learning about shorting), now. 

Surely, there are a few of us, even in this thread that are probably contemplating shorting (or have already shorted around this price territory) b/c they believe BTC prices will go down somewhere between $50 and $350. 

I do NOT have enough confidence to even contemplate such.. and just like always, I feel fairly clueless about the short-term price direction of BTC.

There is nothing wrong with a little shorting, but I agree you have to be careful. I think all newbe traders should try it at some point, because you learn something about market behaviour. But right now is maybe not the best time to experiment with large amounts  Smiley



453. Post 8937323 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

This dumper must be very confident to be dumping with borrowed BTC (on Bitfinex). If he fails it is going to bounce hard.



454. Post 8945008 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 23, 2014, 07:44:36 PM
bitfinex finally updated

shorts:
was 11,325.44 BTC
now 10,604.50 BTC


~750 coins covered thats it!?

run for your lives!!!!

Bitfinex was completely unusable for a while and I actually shorted with 10 BTC @ 440 by mistake instead of selling some coins (I didn't think my first order had gone through). Lucky for me I got to close it below 440 Smiley



455. Post 8961039 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on September 25, 2014, 12:33:08 AM
Or maybe it's just old style manipulation and a dumper is simply selling over 420 with no slippage.

Bears fear it is real. Maybe bulls should test it instead? If they confirm it is real shorters begin to panic.



456. Post 8961106 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: spooderman on September 25, 2014, 12:49:07 AM
How does a bull test a bidwall (without temporarily becoming a bear)?

Yes it is a bit of a head fuck  Cheesy



457. Post 8964170 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: podyx on September 25, 2014, 06:15:24 AM
gnu bash vulnerability fear mongering going on /r/bitcoin, be safe do your research.

what does it mean?

I just had a chat with a colleague who is currently patching our servers with the lastest updates in an attempt to fix this security issue. In my estimation this is quite a bit worse than heartbleed. Multiple services and web servers on Linux can be exploited  Undecided



458. Post 8969072 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: spooderman on September 25, 2014, 02:33:20 PM
windows is less secure simply because its the most widely used and so the most targeted.

No, its because the NSA backdoors it.

It's also NOT the most used.

GNU/Linux is the most used OS in the world if I'm not mistaken?

You're grossly mistaken.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usage_share_of_operating_systems

I humbly take it back Sad

I was under the impression that billions of servers were all using linux, dwarfing the desktop PCs in numbers. And then there's android which is huge (and also linux)

The server market is dominated by Linux. Even Microsoft was using Postfix for their Exchange servers and Hotmail was running on FreeBSD at one point (I don't know if they still are... I read about it a few years ago). I think they also use Linux for several other sites. Kind of funny, but I guess they just pick the best tool for the job  Smiley



459. Post 8971705 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on September 25, 2014, 07:46:00 PM
Anyone else in here use Circle?

I've never experienced a better way to buy bitcoins. So easy my grandma can do it.


I requested my invite May 27, 2014... and I have been waiting ever since... waiting , waiting and waiting.... In the end of july, sent them an e-mail requesting   a status update, and they said dont call us, we will call you.

lol, they slap you in your face by calling don't call us, if you deserve we will call you.

I wonder how they chose invitees. I just checked my email and I requested an invite on May 18th, and I got approved about 10 days ago. I guess they are doing so many a day?

I also got my invite about 10 days ago. I like it but it is not amazing. I would like something that mimics QT.



460. Post 8972079 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Shorters are trying to create panic, but really they just want to close their shorts. Accumulating and closing short all at the same time is not easy  Smiley



461. Post 8972396 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

The pressure is on  Cheesy Wink



462. Post 8973445 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 25, 2014, 09:34:11 PM
god damn

these restarts
 

If we didn't go up a little we wouldn't be sideways :-)



463. Post 8981139 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on September 26, 2014, 02:17:05 PM
Shell shock?

a general bug they found on linux's bash allowing hackers to run commands remotely. no reported comparisons as of yet, bash getting patched.

Why would that have anything to do with the price?

Because bitcoin sites are a attractive to hackers. Most sites run on Linux servers. More info. on Arstechnica: http://arstechnica.com/security/2014/09/concern-over-bash-vulnerability-grows-as-exploit-reported-in-the-wild/ - I'm sure that all exchanges and other bitcoin related sites/servers are aware of the problem and patched yesterday... They better because the exploit is already being used Smiley



464. Post 8981158 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: prophetx on September 26, 2014, 02:31:49 PM
I have this crazy idea that the Winklevoss bros are selling their stash for DOGE...  Grin Adam, did you SODL yet or...?
lol
no.

For Doge? These guys aren't completely retarded, they are actually pretty smart. Doge is something with a terminal value of zero. You do the math.

I think I keep about 1.1M of them somewhere in this hoarding mess... Maybe I must change my nick to Winklesga or something... Grin

Be sure to sell them at some point. Doge, just like fiat, will be inflated indefinitely and is therefore inherently worthless. Have fun speculating Smiley

Granted. Seriously now, I think it will hit 5x this price and feel free to call me whatever you like. It's only a game for me (always was); used to spend them for tips and small buying in the past (bought a raspberry with 100K of them). I respect the community though. The liftoff I think it's not a usual pump n dump only. It has to do with the Litecoin fork and the fact that the community kept strong even at their lowest point.

We'll see.

PS: Wallet found Wink

i agree there are some things the DOGE community has which Bitcoin lacks. Like fresh blood.

Doge also seems to do well with their marketing.



465. Post 8982567 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

I think communication and information is more important than any form of money. So the Internet wins that competition in my book Smiley On the subject of protocols email has survived for 20 years even though it is crap. Everyone agrees but it just won't die. The reason of course is that that it is easy to use, widespread and actually solves a problem.



466. Post 8983114 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on September 26, 2014, 05:07:15 PM
We have pretty much returned to "pre paypal" prices.   I still think that anywhere near $400 is a total bargain, and everyone should be adding at least a little BTC to their holdings.   As long as you can withstand possibility being down a little money over a couple of months, I think it is a no brainer.

Once there is true paypal integration and you can use it as an actual payment option within your paypal account, then we will see a real bounce in prices IMO

Are you really gonna repeat this 3 times a day?

lol



467. Post 8986888 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

The lines on my chart look like this:





468. Post 8987043 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: shmadz on September 26, 2014, 11:29:54 PM
The lines on my chart look like this:




It looks like your chart is missing some dates and numbers, not to mention dinosaurs  Wink

But seriously, what the hell am I looking at here?

It is the 3 minute chart on Stamp. I just made it now. I like to post my chart in real-time, so no time for dinosaurs  Smiley



469. Post 8987055 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: prophetx on September 26, 2014, 11:27:30 PM
The lines on my chart looks like this:




it's a call to batman...  gotham is in trouble

who is it this time?  the riddler? joker? catwoman?

stay tuned...

It's Mr. Gartley I think. Batman is on Bitfinex with good support.



470. Post 8993799 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Come on bears. There is only 3k BTC to $390 on Bitfinex. You can do it!



471. Post 8993955 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: MoreFun on September 27, 2014, 04:10:18 PM

Bid/asks walls (more bids than asks)
https://de.bitstamp.net/market/order_book/

Even more bullish @Bitfinex


Strange though, during the multiple month long bull-run earlier this year, I remember seeing an exact same pattern, though inverted (exponential ask-wall pedestal, slowly trailing linear bid-pedestal).

How peculiar.

Of course, market generally moves to the greater side of the orderbook. Why move to the side without orders - for paying high price for low number of coins?

Also kind of interesting that Bitstamp was leading in terms of initiative while Bitfinex was leading in terms of volume in this latest round of dumps.



472. Post 9002474 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

That wall on Stamps wants us to sodl

Edit: There is a huge lack of panic



473. Post 9002542 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: molecular on September 28, 2014, 11:53:20 AM
That wall on Stamps wants us to sodl

Edit: There is a huge lack of panic

they great calm?

that wall... it's gone.


Yes, that was pulled quickly.



474. Post 9002879 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on September 28, 2014, 12:08:10 PM
The only thing between current price and "dirt cheap bitcoinz" is those single buy walls at Finex and huobi that could be pulled at any moment.

This thing looks ready for a flash crash, if not today, in a few days.

I suspect at least some of those buy walls are shorts closing. Shorters want to cash out and be ready to get the cheap coins when we go down. Stamps orderbook looks kind of bullish, so I think closing shorts is a good idea (at least if they were opened recently). But more shorts are actually opened, so not everyone agrees.



475. Post 9003408 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: exocytosis on September 28, 2014, 12:39:12 PM
Stamps orderbook looks kind of bullish,


Stamp's orderbook has looked bullish for more than a week. Still we've been heading down. People cancel their buy orders all the time. It's just the nature of the game. When traders search their hearts, deep down inside they all know that there'll be cheaper coins to buy a week from now. And even cheaper coins, two weeks from now. Etcetera.
Everyone is losing faith in Bitcoin. This is a free market, and it's wonderful to watch how it unfolds, how supply is increasing while demand is decreasing, predictable and mechanical like clockwork.



Yes I agree with you. Some large holder(s) are distributing their coins and try to get the best price for them that they can achieve. It has been going on since July. We also see short term manipulation to keep they price down and orderbook manipulation to lure the bulls to buy back for a short term profit. It is a bit scary to think that accumulation may not even be on the agenda at this point. Hopefully their long term goal is to buy back in. Fundamentals are looking good so why not?



476. Post 9003432 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

500 BTC bid wall just pulled on Bitfinex  Shocked



477. Post 9007073 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: Tzupy on September 28, 2014, 06:50:32 PM
Stop pushing the price down so far that quick. Honest bear trolls@BCT will get paid less from the "big ones" if it crashes too hard too fast as they won´t be needed any longer. My 11 children rely on JP Morgans money.

LMAO, this a little gem! Cheesy
But you have a point, once the bear market will be over I think I'll enter hibernation.

..to think there are a total of 12 Fonzies in the world  Shocked I'm dumping all my crypto!  Cheesy



478. Post 9007620 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 28, 2014, 07:47:16 PM
If I sense correctly, it seems now real bulls and early adopters are starting to feel fear or at least getting annoyed and moody. What are those walls pushing us down? Are they organic selling or something else?


Oh, it's the evil banksters manipulating the price of course. You see, according to the cultists: Whenever BTC price goes down, it's price manipulation. Whenever it goes up, it's a healthy market discovering the "true price" of Bitcoin. That's why the cultists always ignore Willybot, Markus and the other Gox bots that created every BTC bubble in the first place. They deny the very existence of those bots, since they don't fit neatly into the narrative of organic growth and a healthy market ruled by supply and demand.

That's why the permabulls and cultists always talk about "bear whales" supposedly "manipulating" the price to buy huge amounts of "cheap coins".

They can't face the simple fact that ordinary people (and smart investors) simply aren't interested in ridiculous internet funbux. And they aren't suddenly gonna become interested, even when the price crashes to single digits, where it rightfully belongs. In fact, they'll be even less interested then than they are now.
 

internet funbux are still

Scarce
Durable
Portable
Divisible
Impossible to counterfeit
Fungible ( any 1 BTC has the same value as any other )
Easy to keep safe ( contrary to popular belief, it easy to print out a paper wallet...)
Shiny ( yes the digital bits that make up a bitcoin are VERY shiny)



Also they have a rounded shape. Which is nice.



479. Post 9008516 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: criptix on September 28, 2014, 08:58:11 PM
dreamsbitcoin and unicorns never die:

Robot Unicorn Attack


we wont go lower then 350!

Ha ha. Awesome game  Cheesy



480. Post 9009508 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Made especially for "the event":



 Smiley



481. Post 9012419 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on September 29, 2014, 05:40:30 AM
To recreate the bug, you may have to have BFX open in one tab, then open the order book in a new tab.

You are right, I see another username and his balance flash in the top right panel for a second.

Same here. I see the same user every time. His balance is 0.



482. Post 9020882 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Stampers are now able to get coins $10 below Huobians



483. Post 9028150 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: Darkmatter12 on September 30, 2014, 11:52:27 AM
Looks like chinies decided to step on bull side  Cool
Looks more like they took a running jump onto the bull side, wtf got them so excited?

Who knows. Maybe some Chinese have discovered a new way to convert CNY->USD through a combination of Circle and something else...

Only chinese knows what they are doing :c

I think China is doing a little test to see if other exchanges are ready to move up now.



484. Post 9045142 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: fonzie on October 01, 2014, 03:45:47 PM
Sigh... bitfinex is getting too glitchy lately.... I don't feel good trading in this exchange anymore  Undecided

Check out Okcoin.com, it is by far the best exchange experience i had so far. I switched over from Bitfinex 3-4 weeks ago.


I am considering it. About a month ago I signed up with OKCoin to use their API and it looks pretty sophisticated. Also there is quite a bit of volume. The only thing that annoys me a bit is that they are not on Bitcoinwisdom. Their built-in chart is basically the same as BW, so I guess I should just use that. Have you figured out how to short sell?



485. Post 9045980 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: fonzie on October 01, 2014, 06:49:33 PM
Sigh... bitfinex is getting too glitchy lately.... I don't feel good trading in this exchange anymore  Undecided

Check out Okcoin.com, it is by far the best exchange experience i had so far. I switched over from Bitfinex 3-4 weeks ago.


I am considering it. About a month ago I signed up with OKCoin to use their API and it looks pretty sophisticated. Also there is quite a bit of volume. The only thing that annoys me a bit is that they are not on Bitcoinwisdom. Their built-in chart is basically the same as BW, so I guess I should just use that. Have you figured out how to short sell?

Short selling is only possible if you use their future trades (up to 10x leverage, no interest to pay), you can contrary to Bitfinex, open multiple single positions e.g. 3 positions long and 2 positions short which do not get counted up. A huge disadvantage however is that you have no stop-loss function in future trading(at least i haven´t found one), which sucks pretty hard, lol. They offer stop loss and other interesting algo trade mechanisms like "trail, iceberg and twat", but only in normal trading mode.

No stop loss does suck but I will take another look at it soon. Thanks for the info.



486. Post 9046114 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Fish appearing on the charts:



Only small fish so far. Is there a fish chart pattern? Have I lost the plot? Discus fish!



487. Post 9046579 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: findftp on October 01, 2014, 08:23:42 PM
Fish appearing on the charts:
...

The old Dinosaur patters where better, how about a nice Pimposaurus

Better call it a Pumposaurus!

I look for fish patterns on shorter time frames and dino patterns on longer time frames. But seriously an 8 legged dino! It can't be real!



488. Post 9063737 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: lyth0s on October 03, 2014, 07:40:30 AM
Guys.... I'm a whale incognito and I need you to panic sell all of your coins immediately so I can buy in before my planned pump.


Resistance will result in your financial destruction.

Thank you for your cooperation,
:Lyth
If you are a real whale you sound pretty desperate.
Let's buy some extra coins.

No please stop buying coins. Keep your fiat. It is much more valuable and it has a lot of really smart people regulating it to perfection.

Dear Mr. whale. I think your problem is the lack of quality fud. Deep down I suspect you love BTC and want's to see how it succeed. So I think/hope you are a bit conflicted Smiley Your love for BTC is also why you don't spread too much fud, and try to do things "the right way". Anyway I promise to dump if you do. But you have to go first. Ok?



489. Post 9083373 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Careful Finex don't get too bullish or we will punish you  Cheesy



490. Post 9089360 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

I would not mind seeing a 8.000 BTC bid wall right around $311 (just so Finex is at the same level as Huobi). But I guess shorters want to panic close their shorts  Tongue



491. Post 9096646 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: Nemesis on October 05, 2014, 10:36:01 PM
more fun?
 Wink

I own this market!

Soon you can have it all to yourself  Smiley



492. Post 9103914 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Bitfinex attempting a breakout this moment.



493. Post 9108446 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: fonzie on October 06, 2014, 08:48:52 PM
Attenzione: Pump incoming!

Because of Overstock's guy?

What, no? What did he say, is he wiring 50 Mio. to Stamp+BTC-E? I think price will go up because people are going to buy like mad. I can smell the bullishness in the orderbook, trades, charts. Cheesy Everybody is waiting to buy back.

A mix of traders being p*ssed off and kind of bullish at the same time + the hope that maybe China will continue to (almost) ignore Stamp and do their own thing. That is my analysis anyway Smiley



494. Post 9109677 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 06, 2014, 11:27:50 PM
<320 tonight?

time to load the boat?

Bitfinex is struggling (and succeeding) in becoming the cheapest exchange  Cheesy

It will be interesting to see if we still get excessive dumps that take out support like it was nothing or if that has changed now.



495. Post 9128430 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: samson on October 08, 2014, 12:59:03 PM
What is the bitstamp international wire deposit delay like? Any ideas? Might be delaying the response to the low prices?



I think it is about 5 days on average.


Edit: in case you are worried you will miss "cheap" coins, I dont think you have to, because there is still a big possibility that we will see even "cheaper" coins.

International as in sending from the US to Slovenia?  I send in the morning from the US, money is in my Bitstamp account and verified when I wake up the next day.

really ? Interesting, I thought only SEPA is that fast, beside they say 5 days in their website... I am really impressed.

I sent a few thousand Euro from the UK to someone in Belgium and it arrived pretty much instantly. I believe it took minutes, not even hours to complete.



I think Exchange247 might be a lot faster... Anyway that was the impression I got from Fonzie when he tried it back on page 9xxx




496. Post 9158623 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on October 10, 2014, 11:38:04 PM
A wild bitfinex dump appears

Stop hunting I think



497. Post 9163333 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

500 BTC ask wall on Bitfinex. Will it get bought?

Edit: Another 100 added



498. Post 9163414 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: studio1one on October 11, 2014, 01:07:16 PM
500 BTC ask wall on Bitfinex. Will it get bought?

Edit: Another 100 added

quite a bit has but its just stopped the market dead now, no one wants to do anything.

Wall bought  Cheesy



499. Post 9163617 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 11, 2014, 01:18:11 PM
All aboard?



Edit:  So quiet here, everyone ready for the weekend dump?

Was it you who just shorted with 60 BTC $7 above support  Tongue



500. Post 9163749 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on October 11, 2014, 01:46:23 PM
Bears have been desperate to get China below 2200 for several days, might wear it down eventually but for now its strong and steady up every time they leave it alone. Might be some of that VC money protecting investments because the volumes are huge and the volatility bots must be making a killing.
Bloomberg's run with the paedophile smear job and a few other mainstream channels are echoing it with errors all over the place plus there's a lot of alt coins being pushed, it looks like there's some opposition to the scaremongers though because since the bottom Bitcoins wonders are being touted all over the news and in all kinds of places from backwater local to mainstream tech and financial.
Hasn't looked this good in a long long time, bears are putting up a strong fight but its against the tide and with nerves running high on wall street I'd give it 50/50 for an ath before the end of the year if Greenspans bubbles start popping.

Does anyone know if these volatility bot are the ones creating the endless series of mini pump and dumps? They are getting a bit predictable... But I guess they must still be profitable + they defiantly seem to be able to kill the spirit.



501. Post 9163992 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 11, 2014, 01:47:28 PM
...
Was it you who just shorted with 60 BTC $7 above support  Tongue

No, but the answer would be the same if I did.  Trading is a competitive, not a cooperative, sport.

That said, care to show your hand?

I was all fiat but just bought some back at $355 and $354. My average buy back price is now $553.4 after selling a bit. I'm pretty happy about that, as I feel it is a bit risky to be without BTC at the moment (especially at Bitfinex - Just look at the upper part of the ask side on their order book  Cheesy). A lot of shorts were opened on the 10th, and that was a nice day to go short. But most have since closed... and a few new risky ones have since opened. These shorts along combined with the shakeout from $390 should provide plenty of fuel for further movement up. So If we manage to stay above $350 I think it is most likely that we will move up in the next couple of days.



502. Post 9164391 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 11, 2014, 02:46:13 PM
...
Was it you who just shorted with 60 BTC $7 above support  Tongue

No, but the answer would be the same if I did.  Trading is a competitive, not a cooperative, sport.

That said, care to show your hand?

I was all fiat but just bought some back at $355 and $354. My average buy back price is now $553.4 after selling a bit. I'm pretty happy about that, as I feel it is a bit risky to be without BTC at the moment (especially at Bitfinex - Just look at the upper part of the ask side on their order book  Cheesy). A lot of shorts were opened on the 10th, and that was a nice day to go short. But most have since closed... and a few new risky ones have since opened. These shorts along combined with the shakeout from $390 should provide plenty of fuel for further movement up. So If we manage to stay above $350 I think it is most likely that we will move up in the next couple of days.

I'll stop being a dick for a second just to break up the monotony, and to admit that I haven't been able to read the market well since ~this time last year.  Much smarter, $-richer, and tougher kids came to our sandbox.  I've been slowly selling since that time.
Slowly.

I have not been doing too well either, so don't take any advice from me! I started having trouble figuring out what was going on in July... although I did have a feeling that someone was cashing out big time on Stamp.

I shorted with quite a bit at $660 but closed it way too soon. I have been trying to find a long position since the upper 4xx's! For the short term I'm just hoping that $350 will hold and that pumpers will be back. I don't see why they wouldn't as I feel there ought to be a potential to go higher.




503. Post 9164540 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: fonzie on October 11, 2014, 03:17:23 PM

Dear tacoX Customers,

In the event of recent news reports and the potential repercussions on tacoX's operations and the market, a decision was taken to shut down and keep all your money. We will be closely monitoring the situation and will react accordingly.

Best regards,

tacoX Team

 Angry  Thanks for luring me into this trap  Angry

I think I read it was a scam on Bitbuddychat. You really need to keep yourself updated Tongue



504. Post 9165548 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: dnaleor on October 11, 2014, 05:02:55 PM
short term breakout?


I'm looking at the same lines. Someone is trying to break out on Bitfinex too.... buying 25 BTC market at a time. That has been going on for a while. Shorters on Bitfinex like to give up their coins cheaply ($3 below Stamp), so that is slowing things down a bit. Maybe they think they can affect the market by keeping the price down. Maybe they can?!



505. Post 9165951 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on October 11, 2014, 05:48:27 PM
One good sign (that could mean more dumping) is that the bid depth is really building, and I love how most of the bids at Bitstamp and Bitfinex are down to $200, people seem to believe that the price wont drop lower than that, yet they don't think this is a reversal (or the bottom)otherwise we would see more market buys...

So for the ones here that say it is reversal and it is moon time, simply vote with your orders, because you are doing a bad job if you already did.

You are aware it is Saturday right?

yes, which means ?
Shroomie's going to get laid Wink Heading out on the town tonight, putting on his best flares, waxing his balls and everything.

I would love to do some club hopping with Shroomie, although I'm pretty sure he will spend most of the time complaining about the staff, the sound, and the other patrons.  Smiley



506. Post 9172726 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on October 12, 2014, 08:57:38 AM
Total sum of active swaps 13,885.50 BTC

It appears that 600 BTC was used to dump with: http://bfxdata.com/swapstats/btc.php

Who would do such a thing? I mean that is a pretty big gamble unless you have special knowledge about hidden orders and stop loss orders... or is there something I am missing?



507. Post 9173437 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on October 12, 2014, 09:56:23 AM
Total sum of active swaps 13,885.50 BTC

It appears that 600 BTC was used to dump with: http://bfxdata.com/swapstats/btc.php

Who would do such a thing? I mean that is a pretty big gamble unless you have special knowledge about hidden orders and stop loss orders... or is there something I am missing?

aint that a taboo subject.

Also, is anyone else concerned that its taking 4 months, and counting, for Bitstamp to release its 'financial statement audit' ?
Been asking for details for 2 weeks now, and all i get is "its in progress"

https://www.bitstamp.net/article/Bitstamp-BTC-Proof-of-Reserves-May-2014/

Yep... one of the problems with an attempt at voluntary compliance to get centralized systems to comply with transparency..... and NOT engaging in shenanigans... ... .. surely looking forward to a day in which exchanges are more transparent... and most likely some kind of decentralized solution will work.. if all bugs can be worked out.  

I am NOT technical enough to know exactly all of the bugs, but I understand that there are some experimentations in the development of decentralized exchanges taking place.

A decentralized solution would be great. They mentioned it here: http://www.coindesk.com/coinffeine-centralized-exchanges-distributed-alternative/ - Accoring to http://www.coinffeine.com/ it is "coming soon". There is not much going on in their mailing list, but the last commit was 3 days ago, so there is some activity.  

But back to the walls and shenanigans... I think that the walls were broken for the purpose of shock and awe. Most likely by the same guy on both Bitfinex and Stamp. Maybe this was the final shakeout before we go up? After the shock and awe the bullish sentiment will eventually return and we might be allowed to buy the market makers coins without too much resistance (he may even do some pumping to get things going and to maximize his profits). We have a quadruple bottom at $350, so at least that is looking bullish  Smiley

We also have what looks like a bearish pennant forming, so that contradicts the bullish scenario that I am hoping for. My average buy back price is now $351.2 and I plan to hold on for that for now... But I will not add to it before I know which way we are headed.




508. Post 9174234 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: heartastack on October 12, 2014, 11:48:20 AM
Total sum of active swaps 13,885.50 BTC

It appears that 600 BTC was used to dump with: http://bfxdata.com/swapstats/btc.php

Who would do such a thing? I mean that is a pretty big gamble unless you have special knowledge about hidden orders and stop loss orders... or is there something I am missing?

aint that a taboo subject.

Also, is anyone else concerned that its taking 4 months, and counting, for Bitstamp to release its 'financial statement audit' ?
Been asking for details for 2 weeks now, and all i get is "its in progress"

https://www.bitstamp.net/article/Bitstamp-BTC-Proof-of-Reserves-May-2014/

Yep... one of the problems with an attempt at voluntary compliance to get centralized systems to comply with transparency..... and NOT engaging in shenanigans... ... .. surely looking forward to a day in which exchanges are more transparent... and most likely some kind of decentralized solution will work.. if all bugs can be worked out.  

I am NOT technical enough to know exactly all of the bugs, but I understand that there are some experimentations in the development of decentralized exchanges taking place.

A decentralized solution would be great. They mentioned it here: http://www.coindesk.com/coinffeine-centralized-exchanges-distributed-alternative/ - Accoring to http://www.coinffeine.com/ it is "coming soon". There is not much going on in their mailing list, but the last commit was 3 days ago, so there is some activity.  

But back to the walls and shenanigans... I think that the walls were broken for the purpose of shock and awe. Most likely by the same guy on both Bitfinex and Stamp. Maybe this was the final shakeout before we go up? After the shock and awe the bullish sentiment will eventually return and we might be allowed to buy the market makers coins without too much resistance (he may even do some pumping to get things going and to maximize his profits). We have a quadruple bottom at $350, so at least that is looking bullish  Smiley

We also have what looks like a bearish pennant forming, so that contradicts the bullish scenario that I am hoping for. My average buy back price is now $351.2 and I plan to hold on for that for now... But I will not add to it before I know which way we are headed.



Thanks for your insight. Would be great if you could also let me/us know which zoom you're in on the chart e.g. 5min - 3day? re Quad bottom

I'm just looking at the past 3 days. Here is the 15 minute chart from Bitstamp:



As you can see we have bounced off $352 a couple of times, so it is acting as support. Round numbers such as $300, $350 or $700 will often act as support/resistance. There doesn't seem to be any long term history with the $350 area in Bitcoin.



509. Post 9174496 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: Bagatell on October 12, 2014, 01:15:20 PM
That's just broken up then?

I'm guessing you are looking triangles? Yes it has broken up, but it also broke in a similar way yesterday (from a different triangle). I think the whole thing looks a bit like late April and early May.



510. Post 9174926 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: Zicore47 on October 12, 2014, 02:02:02 PM
That's just broken up then?

I'm guessing you are looking triangles? Yes it has broken up, but it also broke in a similar way yesterday (from a different triangle). I think the whole thing looks a bit like late April and early May.

When I look at the huobi market, I don't see a wedge there. It just looks very bearish to me.
While the dollar market may rely on 350$, the chinese market more relies on 2000 cny I suppose.

My wild prediction is, we see an outbreak towards north driven by technical players, probably test 380$ again.

I have no idea, but the shorting euphoria will have to end at some point  Smiley

Good point with the differences in currencies btw.

When I look at Houbi the this line seems to be important (the bottom one - maybe just ignore the upper line):



The bottom line has served as resistance in the past and now acts as support (on 3 occasions). If it breaks I will consider it very bearish.



511. Post 9176251 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: BBmmBB on October 12, 2014, 04:11:53 PM
^
What's bothering you, stereotype?  You feel I'm giving folks here too much credit?  Say it in words Smiley

What are your thoughts on exchanges using other peoples BTC to short the market?
Unregulated and transparent are different things. One is honest.

Yes stocks can be shorted the same way, except stocks are not generated every day (and can be effectively sold twice at market price due to shorting).

This is the bullshit the whales are exploiting. Get your BTC (all of it) off of BitFinex and other exchanges that allow for this. Overall the sell pressure is probably much higher than even shorts + naked shorts typically generate in the stock market.


i know bitcoin exchanges just turning BTC into another p&d stock! ...it seems  Tongue *watch!* lol

<speculation>
Yes. I believe someone has created a p&d bot and this is what we are seeing now. It might do another leg up or it might dump when it is done distributing. It is not running on Stamp as far as I can tell, but it is running on on Bitfinex and Huobi. It really kills the spirit because of the excessive dump it will take after it has completed it's cycle. After this volume and activity goes way down because everyone walks away in disbelief. I think it gauges sentiment by placing to walls close together (I'm totally guessing here). If the overall volume is high then the walls will be larger. Here it is:



This is taken from Bitfinex. When it reaches the end of the green line it will either pump further or dump. Anyone with an understanding of bots who care to comment on whether this is bot action or not?

</speculation>



512. Post 9182417 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: sidhujag on October 13, 2014, 04:15:50 AM
this chart literally PROVES the next few hours are critical!  Cheesy

You can draw lines to make every second critical but depends on what tf you really care about... end of day only indicator you need is volume.

I think volume can be totally misleading sometimes. This is unfortunate because it is the most important indicator and because other technical indicator rely on it. I think "Wash trading" is a lot more common than we think... even on some exchanges that have fees.

Quote
“Wash trading is a very big deal in traditional finance, but in bitcoin-land, I could just say I traded $1tn in bitcoin derivatives yesterday, but if you’re stupid enough to believe me, then go ahead.”
http://www.coindesk.com/chinese-markets-dominance-poses-questions-global-bitcoin-trading-flows/

Another problem is high volume events where a trader will buy or sell into his own orders  in order to cause panic.

I think it is a problem and that it could be avoided (to some extent) if each trader could be identified with a code like in the stock markets. It could still be totally anonymous.



513. Post 9191899 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on October 14, 2014, 12:18:23 AM
Is it possible to go down to 200s again  Huh
https://www.tradingview.com/v/ovIEXIIE/

Is it a dinosaur?

Nope, that is a seahorse. Not valid TA.



514. Post 9191964 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on October 14, 2014, 12:29:12 AM
Nope, can clearly see its a dead seahorse. Where's that roundy chart from a few days back? That was damn good TA.

I think that was on page 9xxx  Smiley How can you tell it is dead?



515. Post 9196246 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

It seems China was breaking down and dragging everyone with them. It is time for China to start following the west I think  Smiley



516. Post 9196527 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on October 14, 2014, 11:27:25 AM
It seems China was breaking down and dragging everyone with them. It is time for China to start following the west I think  Smiley

In the short term China's going up regardless, whales have lost out bigtime trying to kick them around with the kind of things that made stamp a joke because there's way more inertia than western markets. The western markets are much more dynamic though and a jump on them when the asian exchanges are going through a round figure will give them a big boost. The weight of the asian markets is providing a platform to make agile moves on the western markets.

Not 100% sure, but I think I know what you mean. This was a breakdown from wedges though and I have not seen a recovery like this before. Much resistance on Bitfinex and Huobi. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.



517. Post 9228575 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: Raystonn on October 16, 2014, 11:15:13 PM
Fascinating.  There and gone.  Thomas, what do you know?


Maybe it was a market buy that should have been a market sell  Cheesy



518. Post 9300115 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

I have a few indicators that are making new records today. Woodies CCI below -400 on the hourly chart... I choose to take it as a strong buy signal  Smiley

Those hidden buy orders on Bitfinex could be shorts closing their positions + buying back.

Edit: I cut my chose



519. Post 9300248 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: madmat on October 23, 2014, 08:48:50 AM
I have a few indicators that are making new records today. Woodies CCI below -400 on the hourly chart... I choose to take it as a strong buy signal  Smiley

Those hidden buy orders on Bitfinex could be shorts closing their positions + buying back.

How do you see hidden buy orders ?

You can see it by comparing the individual trades (below the order book) and what orders are actually visible on the order book (I am looking at Bitcoinwisdom). Because of these hidden orders bid support might actually be strong even though it appears weak. Right now 3k coins were sold, but price "only" dropped $4-$5... This also indicates that there was pretty strong support between $368 and $364. Everyone can create hidden orders on Bitfinex, but I think they cost more. They give whales unfair advantage in my opinion.



520. Post 9300346 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: madmat on October 23, 2014, 09:12:36 AM
I have a few indicators that are making new records today. Woodies CCI below -400 on the hourly chart... I chose to take it as a strong buy signal  Smiley

Those hidden buy orders on Bitfinex could be shorts closing their positions + buying back.

How do you see hidden buy orders ?

You can see it by comparing the individual trades (below the order book) and what orders are actually visible on the order book (I am looking at Bitcoinwisdom). Because of these hidden orders bid support might actually be strong even though it appears weak. Right now 3k coins were sold, but price "only" dropped $4-$5... This also indicates that there was pretty strong support between $368 and $364. Everyone can create hidden orders on Bitfinex, but I think they cost more. They give whales unfair advantage in my opinion.

Thanks a lot for these explanations. I don't use bitfinex, but on kraken, hidden orders don't cost more. Simply create an order of the type stop loss or make profit and the order will be triggered when price hits the target price.

https://www.kraken.com/help/trading-guide#take-profit-orders

I like Kraken a lot. I guess these order types can be used in the same way as hidden bit orders because you can use them for both sell and buy orders?



521. Post 9303939 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Fib levels look interresting (at least when I draw them). I hope/think we stabalize here. That last dump on Houbi looked threatening, but maybe it was just the Chinese checking out before bedtime. They deserve a good nights sleep after seeing all that red volume Smiley Hopefully they wake up and feel more bullish.



522. Post 9304083 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on October 23, 2014, 03:43:53 PM
Fib levels look interresting (at least when I draw them). I hope/think we stabalize here. That last dump on Houbi looked threatening, but maybe it was just the Chinese checking out before bedtime. They deserve a good nights sleep after seeing all that red volume Smiley Hopefully they wake up and feel more bullish.

^ It appears Stamp is not done dumping  Huh



523. Post 9325493 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Anyone else experiencing problems on Bitfinex?



524. Post 9325574 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on October 25, 2014, 01:55:48 PM
Anyone else experiencing problems on Bitfinex?
What happens?

There seems to be a big lag. My orders would't execute for a looong time. Looking at the 1 min. chart there was no activity for about 5 minutes. It seems to be fine now.



525. Post 9325680 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: mmitech on October 25, 2014, 02:03:53 PM
in 32 Hours the price according to my sources will be $377   (+/- 5) Cool

yea, your only "source" is being too much invested and shitting your pants because of that....pathetic.

Promise me you will re-quote this at 01:00am ( GMT - UTC) in the early hours of Monday morning.

Promise, Ha ? I don't forget things really easy and I have allot of " I told you so" ammo, I am preparing it for many bull-tards here, so don't worry.

We can't wait



526. Post 9343183 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: ask on October 27, 2014, 06:34:27 AM
Meanwhile, the total amount of BTC swaps (read: shorts) at Bitfinex has reached a historic high of 16.2k BTC.

17,254


and growing.

Guess something big going to happens

Just thinking... how will all that shorts close their positions? I see only two options: short or long squeeze.

Could this be some form of manipulation? Maybe they are already covered?



527. Post 9344241 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: dakota neat on October 27, 2014, 10:05:11 AM


I predict something will happen before Jon Stewart is done eating popcorn Smiley But seriously the rates for BTC swaps are high, so I think something will happen soonish.



528. Post 9348740 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Looks like Monero might have found the bottom.



529. Post 9376230 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: tarmi on October 30, 2014, 12:32:33 AM
4k buy wall at 330$ on finex?  Shocked

If you had any doubts, now you know where are we heading.

Just over 4.3K now. That ought to put some pressure on those who shorted below $350  Smiley It has most likely been put up by Chinese traders. Worst case they just want to squeeze shorts before testing 2000. Right now things are looking up though and I am increasingly happy about my $333 purchase  Tongue If we can go past and stay above $345 I will buy more.



530. Post 9376271 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on October 30, 2014, 12:51:27 AM
I'm following a new trading method lately...



You are asking the wrong question. FTFY:





531. Post 9487014 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: tarmi on November 09, 2014, 11:45:41 AM
much dumping on bitfinex.  Kiss


That and a hidden ask wall at $348. Someone has zero faith in this going any further or just enjoy giving Finexers cheap coins. I picked up a few, and sold most of it again. Thank you fairy whale dumper.




532. Post 9488342 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

4.2 k BTC ask wall @ Bitfinex  Shocked



533. Post 9488387 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: abercrombie on November 09, 2014, 03:18:16 PM
Don't be this poor feller...   Grin



Is he running after a train or towards an oncoming train?

 Smiley



534. Post 9488427 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: noobtrader on November 09, 2014, 03:23:48 PM
4.2 k BTC ask wall @ Bitfinex  Shocked

fake sell

Yes. It has been split up. Maybe the first 1k wall @ 352 is "real".



535. Post 9514295 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

A majority of the buying volume on Houbi is to the bid side. Still they have managed to raise the price  Shocked



536. Post 9640586 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Suggestion: Every time this tread hits 10k we must all buy 1 btc to the ask side  Smiley



537. Post 9640602 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: dewdeded on November 24, 2014, 02:59:17 PM
in

Lol! I blame you that I didn't get to make a post on page 10.000  Cheesy



538. Post 10039059 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.43h):

Quote from: klee on January 04, 2015, 07:12:28 PM
https://twitter.com/kLee1977/status/551816269398560768

I think this is not for real...

Did you follow on TeamSpeak? If I was a whale those are the kind of statements I would make if I wanted to accumulate as mush as possible without raising the price.



539. Post 10044802 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.44h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on January 05, 2015, 11:44:06 AM
Need to say... I'm impresed there was no panic on other exchanges (yet)  Smiley

Yes I agree. I am also pleased about the way Stamp is handling the situation.



540. Post 10045380 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.44h):

Quote from: inca on January 05, 2015, 12:08:16 PM
Need to say... I'm impresed there was no panic on other exchanges (yet)  Smiley

The manipulators who dumped us down to new lows have already fired their ammo.

Even with finex and the Chinese fake exchanges you need coins to sell to move the price. Anyone selling will have done so a long time ago IMO. Grizzly believers left now Smiley

Edit: btc shorts at near all time highs on finex. Over 20,000 now.

At least Benjamin revealed that he is 100% fiat at the moment. Also he left the impression that he had closed all his shorts. So currently he is only able to dump with borrowed coins, and he said he is working on that... But I don't know how realistic his plans are. To me they sounded a bit far fetched  Smiley



541. Post 10137225 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.47h):

Quote from: abercrombie on January 13, 2015, 12:12:14 PM
It's a massacre!!  Shocked



Lol. Is crypto done?  Shocked



542. Post 10254893 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: elasticband on January 25, 2015, 11:23:08 AM

when you share the link it says "to the moon"

Inside the HTML source there is a link (https://www.coinbase.com/lunar/feature). Pretty awesome, but they should have redirected to this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-41ve90rks8 - All your moonbase are belongs too us.



543. Post 10261305 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Regarding the Coinbase news I think it is more or less confirmed that they are opening an exchange.



544. Post 10261336 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

BTC price is negotiated by hackers, drug users, drug dealers, libertarians, anarchists, nerds and eccentric millionaires. What could go wrong? I think it is perfect!  Cheesy



545. Post 10271660 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

Very bullish article on CNBC: http://www.cnbc.com/id/102369183



546. Post 10421213 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on February 10, 2015, 09:00:08 PM
Coin
Explanation


Hello Chartbuddy. I see you have expanded your operations since last time I was here.   Cheesy



547. Post 10475440 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on February 16, 2015, 04:41:21 AM
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2w1jjd/okcoin_appears_to_be_down_in_light_of_recent/


 Undecided Undecided Undecided

*edit*

I'm also getting a cert error from https://www.okcoin.com/

There is nothing to suggest they got hacked, but you can make stuff up if you want. Also have a look here: https://twitter.com/OKCoinBTC/status/567194742283202560



548. Post 10477266 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: razorramon on February 16, 2015, 09:31:35 AM
Big buys on Bitfinex!

i bought some coins right before it happened...nice Smiley

looks like the fight is not over yet

Yes, it was just shorts closing.



549. Post 17465960 (copy this link) (by edwardspitz) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):

Sensible TA without dinos: https://twitter.com/Uruncles/status/818965950619930624