All posts made by natewelt in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 7119794 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

I don't think there was any news just a continued failure to breakout above 680 which caused it to breakdown imo.



2. Post 7157704 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on June 06, 2014, 01:01:08 AM

Explanation

Can you explain this image?



3. Post 7157865 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: medialab101 on June 06, 2014, 01:21:06 AM


It just shows ask and bid depth and the current price. Similar to this but in 3D: http://bitcoinity.org/markets


So does a steeper incline mean more bids/asks?
 
Is this image bullish because it shows huge support or bearish because it shows huge resistance? I am used to level 2 bid/ask with stock trading just never seen a bid depth like the one posted...



4. Post 7157951 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Richy_T on June 06, 2014, 01:35:04 AM

I made an "Explanation" link under the image just for you. And just to be safe, I backdated it 9 months or so.

Ahhh I see the explanation link now. Thanks



5. Post 7333165 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Quote from: dnaleor on June 15, 2014, 08:53:46 PM
It's looking better. I think the support at 550 will hold Smiley


The exact same TA I was seeing.

Looks like we just had a breakout above the resistance trend line. Next area of resistance that will probably be heavy is around 610-615. Let's see if we can test that area here soon.



6. Post 7333496 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):

Within the past few weeks Bitcoin has failed to decisively break above the 200 day moving average. This is one of the main reasons I believe it fell back below 550. However, the 50 day moving average has shown support over the past few days and looks to be the bottom. You can see the chart from this link shows the 200 DMA currently at 643 and 50 DMA 529.

Bottom line...if Bitcoin can break above the 200 DMA here soon I believe it will get above 700 shortly after.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitfinexUSD#rg360zigDailyztgSza1gSMAzm1g50za2gSMAzm2g200



7. Post 9535351 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

I just bought some more at 386 on that 2pm dip bringing my average down a bit to 406.

I recently became bullish again with it making a higher low at 320 in early November (higher than Oct 275 low). I just needed to see a huge rip (which came from 360 to 450) and dip before buying more. I don't want to try and catch a falling knife that's why I was not buying sub 300.

We need to get back above 450 and stay there...time will tell.

Welt




8. Post 11859933 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

It will be interesting to watch GBTC this week. Each share represents .09653305 BTC at this time so at 315 we are looking at a share price of $30.41 which is about where it closed last Friday.

So far it has traded well above its NAV, but I just think that is because it has been super clunky with low volume. Hopefully volume will pick up and it will start to mirror BTC more accurately.


http://grayscale.co/bitcoin-investment-trust/



9. Post 11860044 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on July 12, 2015, 03:01:29 PM
It will be interesting to watch GBTC this week. Each share represents .09653305 BTC at this time so at 315 we are looking at a share price of $30.41 which is about where it closed last Friday.

So far it has traded well above its NAV, but I just think that is because it has been super clunky with low volume. Hopefully volume will pick up and it will start to mirror BTC more accurately.


http://grayscale.co/bitcoin-investment-trust/


GBTC is a fairly closed system. It might explode when the pressure rises. Might produce some news articles, but otherwise a poor indicator of anything for the rest of us.


I agree with you in that it is a fairly closed system. I also don't look at it as an indicator of anything. My thought is that the shares represent another way to invest in Bitcoin and the more accurately they track the BTC price the better.

I wouldn't want it to have to close or for the creators to decide to delist because it was acting poorly or volume was so laughable.



10. Post 11890296 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

The weak hands are being shaken out right now. Great time to buy



11. Post 11890509 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: natewelt on July 15, 2015, 11:44:33 PM
The weak hands are being shaken out right now. Great time to buy


Back to 291. Somebody got themselves a deal at 285.


Personally, I bought within the last month or so at 240, 250 and 270.



12. Post 11890600 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Well folks. The 50 day moving average has moved above the 200 day moving average signaling near-term momentum is on our side.

If the 200 DMA was currently trending upwards while being overtaken by the 50 DMA then we would have a golden cross on our hands, but technically the 200 day is still moving down ever so slightly. Most technicians believe both moving averages need to be trending upwards for a golden cross to occur. Look up golden cross if you don't know what I am talking about...

If we stay at or above current prices for another month or two then we would have both the 50 DMA and the 200 DMA trending upwards which would be great news for Bitcoin longs.





13. Post 11890815 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: kodtycoon on July 16, 2015, 01:48:23 AM


mean anything? Smiley


They are both uptrends, but other than that...nope



14. Post 11898873 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Here is what I am seeing on the long-term chart. Appears that we are in a tight rising wedge that goes back to early 2013.

The upper and lower bounds of the wedge touch very precisely in roughly 5 spots each which tells me this isn't a coincidence. We recently tested the upper bound at roughly 315 and failed to breakout. Testing the upper bound was bullish, but failing to breakout above it was bearish. In order for me to turn ultra bullish I would like to see us...

1. Breakout above the upper bound considerably to roughly 415 (area of support in April/May of 2014 which became resistance in Oct/Nov of 2014)
2. Retrace back to the breakout point to test the upper bound to see if transitioned to support
3. Bounce off the upper bound (which would be below the BTC price at this point in this scenario) and head back towards 415






Even though I am not ultra bullish, I still own some coins and think the risk is to the upside for the following reasons...

1. The 50 day moving average is now above 200 day moving average and trending upwards signaling near-term momentum is on our side
2. The wedge in the above picture is a rising wedge which obviously is better than a falling wedge
3. Bitcoin adoption and investment continues to rise while volatility continues to fall
    see link ---> https://blog.coinbase.com/2015/07/15/bitcoin-trends-in-1h-2015/


I'd like to hear some opinions on these thoughts. Any takers?



15. Post 11913486 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

We have flatlined for 3 hours now. The new normal?



16. Post 11938210 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

ausbit - meant to quote you


But I like these sites

http://bitcointicker.co/

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/



17. Post 11938228 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

I didn't see that dump coming.

Hope we can recover a couple dollars before 8 pm eastern so the daily candle doesn't look too ugly.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg60zigDailyztgSza1gSMAzm1g50za2gSMAzm2g200



18. Post 11938308 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: ausbit on July 21, 2015, 11:42:20 PM
ausbit - meant to quote you


But I like these sites

http://bitcointicker.co/

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/

Thanks natewelt, http://bitcointicker.co/ is just what i was looking for.

I have been using bitcoinwisdom for over a year now just to check the price of BTC and a couple of other alt's, but really wanted to see buy/sell graphs not just figures.


No problem. I usually have them up at the same time. Wisdom has great charts, but ticker has the best order book details I've found.



19. Post 11938314 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on July 21, 2015, 11:43:42 PM
I didn't see that dump coming.

Hope we can recover a couple dollars before 8 pm eastern so the daily candle doesn't look too ugly.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg60zigDailyztgSza1gSMAzm1g50za2gSMAzm2g200


Started at $279, currently at $277.

I wouldn't call that too ugly.


No it wasn't a big deal, just was hoping for a close over 279 to have a green candle on the daily.




20. Post 11938579 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: ssmc2 on July 21, 2015, 10:42:30 PM
Support at $274 looks good.

Yeah have been watching whoever it is flashing the 300 BTC wall on the sell side pushing it down, press it down then takes it off the books... interesting to say the least. Shitty that a few people with tons of cash can set market price like it is right now.

Yeah, seems like they're creating a pennant that may take us sideways a little longer.



At least in the immediate near term there appears to be an actionable wedge worth watching. Question is do we break up or down?





21. Post 11963606 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on July 24, 2015, 10:46:49 PM
The winklevii already have investors ready to buy as soon as they go live.  They know alot of high power people.


I don't doubt they know powerful people but powerful people are "usually" powerful as they are fairly intelligent.

Now, I am mildly semi intelligent and I know if I were them I'd buy before Gemini is launched and the price potentially rises.

Why wait for the winkles?

I am not sold on this Gemini exchange doing much at all to the price. Not moon bound anyway but............

I really hope I am wrong and everyone points and laughs at me.

There is nothing new anymore about a regulated exchange. And with the swedish ETN the Twinkletossers ETF has lost much of it's novelty. But they somehow get all the media and all the fat cats to listen to them. Often just to point and laugh, but listen they do.

Don't get me wrong. I still think a fully regulated ETF listed in NY is a big deal, just not as big as it was. And with the other exchanges, the ETN and general acceptance of BTC in financial circles, we don't need the Facepalm Bros to launch this mofo.


Sorry, but you are completely wrong here saying that the Swedish ETN ruins the COIN ETFs novelty. ETNs do not = ETFs, not even close

ETNs are not nearly as secure and transparent ETFs. ETFs actually hold the underlying asset being tracked and ETNs simply follow the price. This gives people much more confidence in using ETFs to earn returns versus ETNs. If the company that runs the ETN goes out of business the ETN would become worthless (ETN = unsecured debt), but with an ETF there are actual assets backing the investors purchases so they have much more security.  





22. Post 11963657 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: ImI on July 25, 2015, 12:03:14 AM
The winklevii already have investors ready to buy as soon as they go live.  They know alot of high power people.


I don't doubt they know powerful people but powerful people are "usually" powerful as they are fairly intelligent.

Now, I am mildly semi intelligent and I know if I were them I'd buy before Gemini is launched and the price potentially rises.

Why wait for the winkles?

I am not sold on this Gemini exchange doing much at all to the price. Not moon bound anyway but............

I really hope I am wrong and everyone points and laughs at me.

There is nothing new anymore about a regulated exchange. And with the swedish ETN the Twinkletossers ETF has lost much of it's novelty. But they somehow get all the media and all the fat cats to listen to them. Often just to point and laugh, but listen they do.

Don't get me wrong. I still think a fully regulated ETF listed in NY is a big deal, just not as big as it was. And with the other exchanges, the ETN and general acceptance of BTC in financial circles, we don't need the Facepalm Bros to launch this mofo.


Sorry, but you are completely wrong here saying that the Swedish ETN ruins the COIN ETFs novelty. ETNs do not = ETFs, not even close

ETNs are not nearly as secure and transparent ETFs. ETFs actually hold the underlying asset being tracked and ETNs simply follow the price. This gives people much more confidence in using ETFs to earn returns versus ETNs. If the company that runs the ETN goes out of business the ETN would become worthless (ETN = unsecured debt), but with an ETF there are actual assets backing the investors purchases so they have much more security.  




Exactly, if the price goes lunatic and makes new ATH the company issuing the ETN could go bankrupt as they eventually have to pay those gains out of their own pockets.


Which is why you should never invest in an ETN unless you know the company has a good credit rating and that the chances of bankruptcy are almost non-existent.




23. Post 11963787 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: poncho32 on July 25, 2015, 12:20:20 AM
The winklevii already have investors ready to buy as soon as they go live.  They know alot of high power people.


I don't doubt they know powerful people but powerful people are "usually" powerful as they are fairly intelligent.

Now, I am mildly semi intelligent and I know if I were them I'd buy before Gemini is launched and the price potentially rises.

Why wait for the winkles?

I am not sold on this Gemini exchange doing much at all to the price. Not moon bound anyway but............

I really hope I am wrong and everyone points and laughs at me.

There is nothing new anymore about a regulated exchange. And with the swedish ETN the Twinkletossers ETF has lost much of it's novelty. But they somehow get all the media and all the fat cats to listen to them. Often just to point and laugh, but listen they do.

Don't get me wrong. I still think a fully regulated ETF listed in NY is a big deal, just not as big as it was. And with the other exchanges, the ETN and general acceptance of BTC in financial circles, we don't need the Facepalm Bros to launch this mofo.


Sorry, but you are completely wrong here saying that the Swedish ETN ruins the COIN ETFs novelty. ETNs do not = ETFs, not even close

ETNs are not nearly as secure and transparent ETFs. ETFs actually hold the underlying asset being tracked and ETNs simply follow the price. This gives people much more confidence in using ETFs to earn returns versus ETNs. If the company that runs the ETN goes out of business the ETN would become worthless (ETN = unsecured debt), but with an ETF there are actual assets backing the investors purchases so they have much more security.  




Exactly, if the price goes lunatic and makes new ATH the company issuing the ETN could go bankrupt as they eventually have to pay those gains out of their own pockets.


Which is why you should never invest in an ETN unless you know the company has a good credit rating and that the chances of bankruptcy are almost non-existent.



What if the Wink's Bitcoins get stolen? Does insurance cover the loss, and is there no way an insurance company could possibly wriggle off the hook of paying? I know it's not likely but nothing's impossible, no matter how good the Wink's security is there is always a risk of theft.


If the coins backing COIN were all stolen then investors would probably loose a lot of money (if not all), but the same goes for any other ETF. GLD for example holds gold and there is a chance it will all be stolen yet there is about $25B invested in the GLD ETF right now and a lot more than that when gold was higher.

In terms of insurance, we will have to read through the COIN's prospectus if and when it comes online to see if says anything.

With that said, COIN won't have all of its BTC holdings online. I'm sure they will have most in cold storage and probably not all in one place.

If COIN does have all of it's coins stolen it will be one of the biggest heists in history assuming COIN gets



24. Post 11967680 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: Andre# on July 25, 2015, 01:42:01 PM
Long term MA is now flat. Bullish!


If prices stay at current prices or higher then the LT MA (200 day) should start curling upwards early next month. Bullish!



25. Post 11968682 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: Wexlike on July 25, 2015, 04:30:37 PM
Good morning Bitcoinland.

Still scrapping over $290 I see.

Typical weekend low volume but at least we're still over $280 with a slight upward tendency. This is good.

Bitfinex: Wallmanipulation from 270$ to 277$.


How do you figure? explain



26. Post 11996292 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 29, 2015, 01:09:25 AM
we break 300 tomorrow.


Only if we get a surge in volume. Bid wall is not as impressive as ask wall at this time.



27. Post 12029156 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: Rev.21 on August 01, 2015, 10:08:13 PM
Fear no more the heat o’ the sun,
Nor the furious winter’s rages;
Thou thy worldly task hast done,
Home art gone, and ta’en thy wages:
Golden lads and girls all must,
As chimney-sweepers, come to dust.


RIP Bitcoin
   2009-2015



If you mean RIP as in rip higher then yes. I agree with you.



28. Post 12033159 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

We need to get back to 285 in order to put an end to this 5 day downtrend.



29. Post 12033278 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: inca on August 02, 2015, 01:37:29 PM
We need to get back to 285 in order to put an end to this 5 day downtrend.

A single 5k market buy moves the price immediately back up to 300.

And all the new shorts in the decline have covered already.



During this entire downtrend I've noticed traders are very unwilling to raise their bids and "slap the ask" as I like to say. That's why its just been a slow trickle down. Sellers are selling right into traders hands rather than traders gobbling up coins moving us higher with market orders.

We need someone or a couple people to aggressively buy in order to break this downtrend...like you said a 5k market order would def do it!



30. Post 12033426 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: citronfête on August 02, 2015, 01:56:46 PM
... break this uptrend...

This uptrend?




That's a clear downtrend that has yet to be broken. Inca was likely talking about the uptrend that started about 2 months ago at 220.



31. Post 12033450 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):




Here's what the technical picture looks like right now. Obviously we need to break to the upside from this 5 day downtrend soon or we may see lower prices still in the immediate near term.



32. Post 12033507 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: inca on August 02, 2015, 02:15:10 PM


Here's what the technical picture looks like right now. Obviously we need to break to the upside from this 5 day downtrend soon or we may see lower prices still in the immediate near term.

Look at the volume on the decline and guess what happens next.





Decreasing volume during a downtrend means sellers have exhausted their selling pressure.  Wink

WE GO UP



33. Post 12033526 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: GaliX on August 02, 2015, 02:17:43 PM


Here's what the technical picture looks like right now. Obviously we need to break to the upside from this 5 day downtrend soon or we may see lower prices still in the immediate near term.

Look at the volume on the decline and guess what happens next.





Volume can be an indicator for tops/bottoms in the rest of the time volume is not so important...


Not true. Periods of abnormally low volume are normally the calm before the storm. Usually the move following a period of low volume is substantial. Lower volume during an uptrend usually indicates buyers are losing interest and lower volume during a downtrend means sellers are almost done selling.



34. Post 12033769 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: gentlemand on August 02, 2015, 02:43:03 PM

Not true. Periods of abnormally low volume are normally the calm before the storm. Usually the move following a period of low volume is substantial. Lower volume during an uptrend usually indicates buyers are losing interest and lower volume during a downtrend means sellers are almost done selling.

There've been a ton of low volume phases in the last year or more. Lots of people wheel out the calm before the storm line then not a goddamn bean occurs for another few weeks or months. Sometimes low volume just means good old sideways and boredom.


Absolutely, which is why I try not to talk in certainties with my analysis by frequently saying "normally" and "usually." All technical analysis and volume analysis is merely speculation based on history and repeating patterns. The hope is to simply be right at least 51% of the time.



35. Post 12035565 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Broke 281


Breaking 282-283 would lead to a quick rush to 285 in my opinion.


Let's watch and see...



36. Post 12065093 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on August 05, 2015, 10:25:14 PM
C'mon volatility... There is a number of bitcoins I want to own before the halving!  Grin


Well, just broke below 280 on stamp. Might get another chance for some cheap coins after all.



37. Post 12065132 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: nioc on August 06, 2015, 12:14:03 AM
That small dumped that just happened or is happening started 2 minutes after I bought.  What else is new.  YW

Sounds about right. Buying at the perfect time just never happens.



38. Post 12091179 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on August 09, 2015, 02:46:22 AM
It's bizarre how there's no bounce at all. Hit like a sack of seed. 


People are hesitant. Volume will only follow due to the FOMO if we go up 5-10 points. Maybe. We will see.



39. Post 12094340 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on August 09, 2015, 12:57:18 PM
if u plan on catching a pump u have to get the low and u will only have one chance Smiley

Yep! Weak hands (idiots) will follow the trend of selling after a 20 USD drop in price. Anybody with half a brain will be buying now. Buy on bad news, sell on good news, that logic has worked for traders for decades.
Personally I HODL but now is totally a good time for accumulating not selling.


I bought more under 262 yesterday. No way I'm selling after a huge panic sell event.

I will keep buying as long as it brings my average down. Right now my average is at 284. Started buying around 450 on the way down from the all-time high.

The reason I did not sell when we went above 300 was because I either want to make thousands of dollars or lose it all. I'm not in this thing to make a couple hundred bucks. I also believe in the system and want to use BTC for its intended purpose eventually.



40. Post 12094512 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: eerygarden on August 09, 2015, 01:17:08 PM
if u plan on catching a pump u have to get the low and u will only have one chance Smiley

Yep! Weak hands (idiots) will follow the trend of selling after a 20 USD drop in price. Anybody with half a brain will be buying now. Buy on bad news, sell on good news, that logic has worked for traders for decades.
Personally I HODL but now is totally a good time for accumulating not selling.


I bought more under 262 yesterday. No way I'm selling after a huge panic sell event.

I will keep buying as long as it brings my average down. Right now my average is at 284. Started buying around 450 on the way down from the all-time high.

The reason I did not sell when we went above 300 was because I either want to make thousands of dollars or lose it all. I'm not in this thing to make a couple hundred bucks. I also believe in the system and want to use BTC for its intended purpose eventually.


Right on brother! (I cant pull off saying that in the real world)

I like your mentality and wish you luck. But... at what price does the value need to be before you are happy to use your coins for their intended purpose?

As long as I believe we can still make a new all-time high I don't think I will use any for commerce.  So maybe once we get back over 1,000 I'd sell a few, use a few for commerce, and hold a few. Something like that. But if I feel uncomfortable with the tech progression my plans can change quickly. So far I have held the course.



41. Post 12094642 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: gentlemand on August 09, 2015, 01:34:19 PM

As long as I believe we can still make a new all-time high I don't think I will use any for commerce.  So maybe once we get back over 1,000 I'd sell a few, use a few for commerce, and hold a few. Something like that. But if I feel uncomfortable with the tech progression my plans can change quickly. So far I have held the course.


I spend and replenish when the opportunity arises. I'm not totally convinced that retail is really its eventual fate, but if everyone just sat on their coins waiting for them to go up then it'll wither before long.


I agree and feel a little guilty for not using my coins for commerce. But then again, I'm not convinced in the system yet and it is my money so I will do what I see best. I've only been accumulating a little here and there not because I don't have enough fiat to exchange, but because I am allowing myself to grow more comfortable before making significant bets.

If and when I make my first purchase of goods/services through Bitcoin I'll be sure to post to the forum my experience.



42. Post 12117695 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

It seems to me that OKCoin BTC and Litecoin in general are leading BTC higher.



43. Post 12118482 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: natewelt on August 11, 2015, 11:39:14 PM
It seems to me that OKCoin BTC and Litecoin in general are leading BTC higher.


OKCoin bouncing hard right now.



44. Post 12143944 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on August 15, 2015, 12:02:55 AM
Coin
Explanation



Anybody have an explanation as to why there is a huge bid wall of support on finex but stamp shows the bid wall is actually smaller than the ask wall? Seems like they should at least be close to agreeing with eachother?

I feel like looking at finex can give bulls a false sense of security and that stamp is actually the better orderbook to look at when assessing the support and resistance with huge bids and asks?

What do you all think?




45. Post 12152277 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Hey all. If you could jump over to my thread and vote on the below chart that would be great. All I need is your vote, but it would be great to get some feedback in the comments as well.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1145207.20





46. Post 12160091 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 17, 2015, 12:24:58 AM
The mods at /r/bitcoin are now deleting every post that mentions the existence of the "other" implementation of bitcoin, whatever the contents.  Dozens of posts that had hundreds of upvotes and hundreds of comments.  And banning users who defend it, too.

So much for the great age of freedom and stuff that bitcoin was going to bring.

Oh, and the bitcoin "news" webshites, like CoinDesk, have been as silent on the topic as any statist newsmedia would be.


This makes me think that it is very possible that a lot of these individuals are selling their BTC out of frustration and being fed up with being silenced.



47. Post 12173355 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

I fully expected a pullback once we got over 300 but this fall has been much much more grueling than I anticipated. It seems like we may give up all of the recent gains. Very disappointing



48. Post 12173621 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: dreamspark on August 18, 2015, 02:14:18 PM
Imo Gavin and Hearn are to blame for this.

Blame for what?



You do realise that Gavin has been cashing out his btc and buying stocks instead!



Show me proof



49. Post 12173810 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: dreamspark on August 18, 2015, 02:24:04 PM
Imo Gavin and Hearn are to blame for this.

Blame for what?



You do realise that Gavin has been cashing out his btc and buying stocks instead!



Show me proof

Sure, this article is from the financial times.

https://www.evernote.com/shard/s78/sh/882fdac9-556c-482d-a0c9-c2c2456c185c/55d0920c48d621d3

"While Mr Andresen tries to prepare bitcoin for mass usage, he advises caution to investors. He holds thousands of bitcoins, enough to retire comfortably. But he has been cashing them in slowly, investing in stock market funds instead."

Somebody who is supposed to believe the future of his project should not be making such a nightmare of PR every time he speaks to the media.

From the article --- “If bitcoin is wildly successful, I’m still holding on to a good chunk of bitcoin. It could be worth tens of millions of dollars, but it could be worth zero. It doesn’t make sense to hold more than that amount. I don’t have a desire to be a multi-billionaire. That’s not what motivates me, I have no desire to be filthy rich.”


Sounds to me like he is merely taking profits on a portion of his coins and diversifying into other things. Sounds prudent to me. I also hold stocks which I think all people should if they have the funds.

You make it sound more dire than it is.

Any of you out there that bought coins below 100 and never have sold any are crazy in my book. Taking profits on a portion of your gains is prudent...not reckless.



50. Post 12174159 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: hdbuck on August 18, 2015, 06:41:01 AM
so there is a really really thin bid book on stamp...


I've said something similar to this before and got no legitimate responses. I think Stamp's orderbook is the most predictive of all the exchanges by a long-shot even though it's not the biggest.

Finex can have huge bid support yet the price still drops, but it seems like when Stamp has huge bid support the price actually stays supported or rises. The Stamp bid support started to wane once we fell back below 300 and has not recovered. I am patiently waiting for bids to overcome asks on Stamp before I buy anymore. So far this morning the Stamp orderbook has begun looking more bullish. Still have a long way to go though.



51. Post 12177548 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on August 18, 2015, 09:23:00 PM
We now have four red candles in a row on the weekly chart. That hasn't happened since the crash last winter.

interestingly, we're still down less than 50% for the last twelve months which means we're STILL out performing WTI crude. Is oil dead?


Comparing bitcoin to crude is meaningless. Sorry, but it's true.



52. Post 12178394 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

The selloff is accelerating.

Do people think that their coins are going to be worthless if this whole XT fork ends up happening? Is that why people are dumping? Is there any evidence to suggest the classic core coins will be worthless? What happens to my BTC? I sure as hell don't want to be holding if this is the case.

I thought this whole XT thing might actually be a positive catalyst, but obviously I don't know anything about the economics here.




53. Post 12178729 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on August 18, 2015, 11:58:13 PM
ANYONE ABLE TO BUY ON BITFINEX?HuhHuhHuhHuh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


No, but I got 4 coins on Coinbase for sub 225 including fees.



54. Post 12178957 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Torque on August 19, 2015, 12:26:41 AM
If you think this crash was fun, wait 'til you see what's gonna happen in the Litecoin market in about 7-10 days.   Grin

Your prediction? Pump or Crash? on LTC



55. Post 12179062 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: heartastack on August 19, 2015, 12:38:46 AM
approx how many coins were insta-dumped?

The two largest volume 30 min candles on Finex = over 71,000 BTC



56. Post 12179294 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Stevenirving on August 19, 2015, 01:15:44 AM
If I was secretly a whale with some agenda what would I want to do right now?


Count my money



57. Post 12179651 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Bitfinex CEO talking about crash.

https://soundcloud.com/whaleclub-bitcoin/bitfinex-ceo-recording-after-18082015-flash-crash

Credit: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=934638.60


Edit: Listening right now. Very raw and interesting discussion.



58. Post 12179740 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Yeah seems like they created a lag to try and spread the market orders out a little bit. Similar to stock exchanges except most of the stock exchanges actually trip a circuit where they freeze and allow people to catch their breath before resuming trading.



59. Post 12186435 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

The Stamp bid wall is strengthening. Can't say the same for Finex, but unless you use Finex to trade I would recommend watching Stamp. It seems to act more consistently and be a better predictor. Just my opinion.



60. Post 12186996 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

3200 BTC on Stamp to get through to get back to 250.

Just a little more consolidation in the 230s before an explosion higher once people realize the crash has happened so it's time to load back up.



61. Post 12188510 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: samson on August 19, 2015, 11:25:48 PM
CCMF ?  Roll Eyes

I dumped all my BTC long ago.


No surprise



62. Post 12193428 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: marcotheminer on August 20, 2015, 01:24:51 PM
I think this guy has figured it out.



Credit to: https://www.whaleclub.co/post/RaaVi


Classic hurricane force winds trend. Very reliable indicator.  Tongue



63. Post 12193937 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

What's up with these bs rally and fades right back down to the beginning of the rally point? Pretty annoying. Plus XT talk has killed this thread as well.

Bad times we are living in



64. Post 12194130 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: brg444 on August 20, 2015, 02:56:54 PM
What's up with these bs rally and fades right back down to the beginning of the rally point? Pretty annoying. Plus XT talk has killed this thread as well.

Bad times we are living in

If you are a trader you should be well advised to keep track of the XT issue.

Anyone and their mother could tell we were going to see a dump after the PR propaganda that begun on Monday.

There is no point trading this absolutely manipulated market at this point anyway.


I can keep track of XT elsewhere. Wall observer thread is not the right place.  

Everybody and my mother were surprised with the dump. XT could have easily been seen as the savior and price could have skyrocketed.

Manipulation, manipulation, manipulation...don't you guys ever get sick of crying manipulation? It's the way markets work, big money moves the markets.



65. Post 12194274 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: brg444 on August 20, 2015, 03:07:54 PM
What's up with these bs rally and fades right back down to the beginning of the rally point? Pretty annoying. Plus XT talk has killed this thread as well.

Bad times we are living in

If you are a trader you should be well advised to keep track of the XT issue.

Anyone and their mother could tell we were going to see a dump after the PR propaganda that begun on Monday.

There is no point trading this absolutely manipulated market at this point anyway.


I can keep track of XT elsewhere. Wall observer thread is not the right place.  

Everybody and my mother were surprised with the dump. XT could have easily been seen as the savior and price could have skyrocketed.

Manipulation, manipulation, manipulation...don't you guys ever get sick of crying manipulation? It's the way markets work, big money moves the markets.

 Cheesy

Maybe you need to keep track better.

About markets: I absolutely agree but there is an important difference, in Bitcoin big money breaks the market. We are in an accumulation phase and so you never know when a whale might get hungrier for more cheap coins. When they do there is nothing your TA & wall watching do to help.


Stop acting like you knew XT would crash BTC. Seriously, some good pr before the proposed change could have convinced the masses it was positive. It still might be positive, although XT nodes sit at 13% now and acceptance has slowed so we may not even get to 25% let alone 75%.

You don't really know if we are in an accumulation phase or not. A whale could just be dumping to get out bc they see no future for BTC and not bc they are trying to get people to dump so they can buy more.

I want and believe BTC can succeed and own coins for the record, but just saying...




66. Post 12196182 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: natewelt on August 19, 2015, 06:47:24 PM
3200 BTC on Stamp to get through to get back to 250.


Now only 2,600 BTC on Stamp to get us back to 250.





67. Post 12196717 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: Alley on August 20, 2015, 07:36:23 PM
Got a nice repound pump going on and all anybody wants to talk about is XT.  Maybe this thread should be fork free.


I am enjoying the BTC pump today bc lord knows my stock holdings are getting slaughtered today  Grin



68. Post 12199129 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on August 21, 2015, 03:26:23 AM

Their data-mining revenue per scalp must have increased, or been assessed more 'valuable' Smiley

For every user they stick their probe up "for their own protection" (AML/KYC) they harvest an incredible amount of information that is like gold to the data vultures ... probably sell it straight out the back door to the spooks.

Either they think BTC is overvalued by a factor of four and are cashing out. I have accounts at circle.com and CB and I much prefer Circle. I get my money and coins faster. Also, that CB pump and dump when they rolled out their exchange was totally unprofessional.

They are just trying to attract more customers while at the same time rewarding customers they already have in order to gain loyalty. They expect to gain more in fees than they do giving out free bonuses in the long run. This also attracts more people to Bitcoin in general and helps motivate people to spread the word which also helps CB. Not everything is a scam people. This is just marketing. I'm amazed at the lack of understanding of this and how you people read into this in such twisted ways.



69. Post 12199183 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on August 21, 2015, 03:43:44 AM

Their data-mining revenue per scalp must have increased, or been assessed more 'valuable' Smiley

For every user they stick their probe up "for their own protection" (AML/KYC) they harvest an incredible amount of information that is like gold to the data vultures ... probably sell it straight out the back door to the spooks.

Either they think BTC is overvalued by a factor of four and are cashing out. I have accounts at circle.com and CB and I much prefer Circle. I get my money and coins faster. Also, that CB pump and dump when they rolled out their exchange was totally unprofessional.

They are just trying to attract more customers while at the same time rewarding customers they already have in order to gain loyalty. They expect to gain more in fees than they do giving out free bonuses in the long run. This also attracts more people to Bitcoin in general and helps motivate people to spread the word which also helps CB. Not everything is a scam people. This is just marketing. I'm amazed at the lack of understanding of this and how you people read into this in such twisted ways.

It's not a lack of understanding, rather you are being naive. Hey, when you've been screwed by the gubmints and corporations every way since sunday and sold down the river for your personal financial intel ... well, yes "everything is a damn scam people". A little cynicism is healthy after all, these guys are in it for profit and gubmint wants to control your life, no conspiracy necessary. If your product satisfies a need you hardly need the 'marketing' BS layer.

I don't think I am being naive. Corporations attract customers in droves even if it causes them massive losses in the short-run all of the time. What they are looking for is positive operating cash flows down the road. CB has tons of investors giving them money to help them operate therefore everything they do at this time does not need to contribute to profits.



70. Post 12215034 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

xtnodes.com isn't working for me right now. Anybody else having the same problem?

Anyone know the nodes % at this time? Last time I checked it was like 13.5%



71. Post 12215126 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: gentlemand on August 22, 2015, 10:30:53 PM
xtnodes.com isn't working for me right now. Anybody else having the same problem?

Anyone know the nodes % at this time? Last time I checked it was like 13.5%

There's this one too - https://getaddr.bitnodes.io/nodes/?q=/Bitcoin%20XT:0.11.0/

13.82% and the numbers of XT nodes has slightly fallen. It was over 900 for a bit.

Thanks.

What are people's estimations on this? Expect it to continue to rise slowly or taper off at some point until some major happens?



72. Post 12216062 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 23, 2015, 02:13:24 AM
XT now at 3 blocks out of every 1000 blocks

i got a BBBBAAADDD feeling about this

75% of mined blocks is what matters not nodes correct?



73. Post 12216146 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: TerraMaster on August 23, 2015, 02:39:41 AM
Somebody is launching a shitload of XT nodes all on VPS hosting, the next step in the saga.

What makes you believe it is one person?  What makes you believe they are using VPS hosting?

Could it not be people waiting till the weekend to have the time to make the switch?
Yes it possible, I almost download XT earlier but then didn't lol. doesn't mean I would install or open port 8333. Plus you can still use both versions until XT core takes over... if I understand that part correctly.

right 2 weeks after its taken 75% of HASHING power not number of nodes

its currently at 0.3% of hashing power ( up 300% from yesterday )

it might be hard for XT to get 75% miners seem to prefer the idea that 1MB limit will soon bring in higher TX fees
Thx for confirming that  Wink Hash not nodes will determine our fate lol. as far as miners it may be a tougher sell as you described.

from xtnodes.com if you hover over image at top right corner "The light will become green and say YES once 750 of the past 1000 mined blocks (75%) first reach support of BIP 101 (and Bitcoin XT). From that point, 2 additional weeks must pass until the maximum blocksize is raised to 8MB. It must also be Jan 11, 2016 or later to go into effect.



74. Post 12335883 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

I like the fact that we have now broken above the 10 and 20 day moving averages. I just bought more. Now is the time to accumulate.

This is how momentum starts. Slowly and then ramps up....



75. Post 12336083 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Good idea. Sell at the beginning stages of the next great uptrend...   Roll Eyes


I would not be selling BTC right now unless I really needed the funds for something important or urgent.



76. Post 12336659 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

1500 on okcoin



77. Post 12339318 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Head and shoulders forming during today's session most easily seen on the 15 min on OKCoin

Higher if it gets above 1505 and lower and if goes below 1490 (neckline)



78. Post 12339938 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Quote from: natewelt on September 05, 2015, 11:41:07 PM
Head and shoulders forming during today's session most easily seen on the 15 min on OKCoin

Higher if it gets above 1505 and lower and if goes below 1490 (neckline)


Like I said above 1505 we go higher. Now sitting at 1517.

Let's keep Bitstamp on watch now. If we see a 240 handle then the sky is clear all the way up to 250



79. Post 12343813 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Quote from: hdbuck on September 06, 2015, 01:50:30 PM



Don't let your bearishness cloud your judgement. See the trend for what it is...bullish.



80. Post 12344062 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on September 06, 2015, 02:18:00 PM



Don't let your bearishness cloud your judgement. See the trend for what it is...bullish.

 A short squeeze followed by a low volume melt up is simply a short term reversal of a downtrend since the ~$316 top. Whether we are in an uptrend or downtrend depends on your time horizon. The fact is we are range trading until we aren't.


I am talking about the very short term. What I've seen over the past 3 days has been very bullish. Probably need to sustain 260-270 to become more intermediate/long-term bullish, but what we have is a nice start.

I'm just trying to get people to understand that you do what the trend says, not what your position is. Obviously, based on whatever your time horizon is.

Edit: What range are you speaking of? It seems like breaking above 240 was the breakout of the short term range?



81. Post 12704490 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: ImI on October 16, 2015, 06:42:54 PM

gemini volume is such a joke....


No, your lack of understanding on how Gemini has slowly built up more and more volume on a daily basis since opening is a joke....

As long as the trend in volume is up...bashing Gemini is plain dumb.




82. Post 12704812 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on October 16, 2015, 07:40:15 PM
Gemini at $275. It's tiny, but it has personality.



278 now. Arbitraging opportunities should bring in some much needed volume.



83. Post 12704901 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: bobabouey2 on October 16, 2015, 07:51:53 PM
Gemini at $275. It's tiny, but it has personality.



278 now. Arbitraging opportunities should bring in some much needed volume.

Whoops, arbitrage opportunity gone, with only about 30 bitcoin.


If the price never overshot to 278 those 30 BTC might still be sitting on the bid. Gemini will take all the volume it can get at this time.



84. Post 12704957 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: mrkavasaki on October 16, 2015, 08:01:13 PM
any reason for the current pump??


Why is every rise a pump and every drop a dump? SMH



85. Post 12711717 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: rjclarke2000 on October 17, 2015, 03:39:05 PM
I have been on the forum and checking the price far too much recently. Wake me up at 10k.

Can believe I am excited over 15-20 dollars.

It's all good though, and heading the right way finally.


Hey I'm excited too. I hesitated to more or less double down in the 220s, but at this point my account is worth more than all the fiat I've transferred in over the past two years. Green feels good.



86. Post 12713149 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Looks like we might be in for a retrace from $273 on Stamp. In technical analysis, logic dictates a retest of the breakout area which is the upper trend line in this case. If that doesn't hold then we will likely go back into the channel. Either way, things look bullish unless we fall below the channel. 

260-265 seems like a great spot to load up on some more (depending on how quick, if any, pullback occurs), but trade at your own risk. Only time will tell....





87. Post 12713642 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: natewelt on October 17, 2015, 06:29:56 PM
Looks like we might be in for a retrace from $273 on Stamp. In technical analysis, logic dictates a retest of the breakout area which is the upper trend line in this case. If that doesn't hold then we will likely go back into the channel. Either way, things look bullish unless we fall below the channel. 

260-265 seems like a great spot to load up on some more (depending on how quick, if any, pullback occurs), but trade at your own risk. Only time will tell....






That was quick. Currently in my buy zone of 260-265.

Stamp bid wall is firming up. I don't expect staying @ 263 for much longer.



88. Post 12719657 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: oda.krell on October 18, 2015, 01:33:17 PM
Did the elephant know the deadly halving was coming?

*gasp* Supply might be a relevant factor for price discovery? Who would have thought?

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?as_q=supply+demand&as_epq=&as_oq=&as_eq=&as_occt=title&as_sauthors=&as_publication=The+Quarterly+Journal+of+Economics

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?as_q=supply+demand&as_epq=&as_oq=&as_eq=&as_occt=title&as_sauthors=&as_publication=The+American+Economic+Review


According to most posters on here...manipulation is the only way to move the BTC price. No such thing as supply and demand.

This is why they lose money. I will not join their dark side and I hope you won't either.



89. Post 12719851 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: mexxer-2 on October 18, 2015, 02:16:26 PM
BTC at its low and going down, $267.3 . Is it time for the next dump yet?

just a little correction. Will go up upcoming weeks.
Tell that to the price that is keeping on going down, even as I speak. At 265 right now, I think it is safe to say that it is time for the pump to be over folks.


It's not safe to say. I don't know what charts you are looking at, but we are very much so in a bullish trend still. Buy/Sell/Trade off of what you see as well as the fundamentals and not off what you wish to happen based on whether you are long/short.



90. Post 12719943 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: !! pop on October 18, 2015, 02:31:57 PM


According to most posters on here...manipulation is the only way to move the BTC price. No such thing as supply and demand.

This is why they lose money. I will not join their dark side and I hope you won't either.

Sure there's supply and demand, but you first have to understand what supply is.
1. Let's assume you have a bitcoin (this is all hypothetical), and I? I have some hard-boiled eggs.
2. I sell you a hard-boiled egg for 1BTC, you eat it (& get severe food poisoning, but that's irrelevant to this example).
Result: The supply of eggs has gone down. Supply of bitcoins remains the same.
'Why is that?!' you ask.
Well, natewelt, that's because bitcoins don't get consumed in the same sense as rotten hard-boiled eggs.

That's true, but haven't a very large portion of total BTC mined been lost? That would reduce supply...



91. Post 12719983 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: natewelt on October 17, 2015, 06:29:56 PM
Looks like we might be in for a retrace from $273 on Stamp. In technical analysis, logic dictates a retest of the breakout area which is the upper trend line in this case. If that doesn't hold then we will likely go back into the channel. Either way, things look bullish unless we fall below the channel. 

260-265 seems like a great spot to load up on some more (depending on how quick, if any, pullback occurs), but trade at your own risk. Only time will tell....





I'm going to go ahead and bump this. I'd love to hear some feedback on my charts and whatnot.



92. Post 12720047 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: ImI on October 18, 2015, 02:42:32 PM
Looks like we might be in for a retrace from $273 on Stamp. In technical analysis, logic dictates a retest of the breakout area which is the upper trend line in this case. If that doesn't hold then we will likely go back into the channel. Either way, things look bullish unless we fall below the channel. 

260-265 seems like a great spot to load up on some more (depending on how quick, if any, pullback occurs), but trade at your own risk. Only time will tell....





I'm going to go ahead and bump this. I'd love to hear some feedback on my charts and whatnot.




Thanks for confirming once again I am wasting my time on this forum.



93. Post 12720357 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: tarmi on October 18, 2015, 03:09:43 PM
panic will start @ 220.


Wonder who started this thread with a new account?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1212240.0

That's embarrassing



94. Post 12720414 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: tarmi on October 18, 2015, 03:35:05 PM
panic will start @ 220.


Wonder who started this thread with a new account?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1212240.0

That's embarrassing


your buys @ 260 will be embarrassing very soon.



I'm not buying here. I only buy if I can reduce my average.


Edit: Also, do you actually believe you posting on these forums moves the price? You make me laugh




95. Post 12720555 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: tarmi on October 18, 2015, 03:44:20 PM

I'm not buying here. I only buy if I can reduce my average.

Edit: Also, do you actually believe you posting on these forums moves the price? You make me laugh




260-265 seems like a great spot to load up on some more




I am here for the lels.

For the aggressive trader believing we stay above the channel, 260 is a great spot to buy in my opinion. I'm not that aggressive trader though.

I'm merely pointing out what my charts say...and not saying I will be buying at XXX.



96. Post 12733147 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.28h):

Quote from: ImI on October 18, 2015, 02:55:03 PM
Looks like we might be in for a retrace from $273 on Stamp. In technical analysis, logic dictates a retest of the breakout area which is the upper trend line in this case. If that doesn't hold then we will likely go back into the channel. Either way, things look bullish unless we fall below the channel. 

260-265 seems like a great spot to load up on some more (depending on how quick, if any, pullback occurs), but trade at your own risk. Only time will tell....





I'm going to go ahead and bump this. I'd love to hear some feedback on my charts and whatnot.




Thanks for confirming once again I am wasting my time on this forum.

ok, awesome chart you got there! you must be a TA expert or something?


I'm genuinely trying to post helpful stuff here so you might wanna cool the sarcasm. With that said, I don't claim to be an expert, but when I look at candlestick charts I see patterns almost instantaneously just because I've done it for so many years in the stock market. Patterns repeat themselves A LOT which is what I've learned.

So as of now it looks like we are bouncing off the EXACT level I told everyone to watch out for. If we can stay above the upper trend line then the 273 high will be taken out very quickly IMO. Also Stamps bid wall is looking much much more impressive than it normally does. Seems like buyers are gaining confidence as we hold these levels.



97. Post 12782128 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Looking at the charts and the Stamp wall makes me think we are either going to retest the previous high around 318 very shortly or go back down to the 275-280 level to reload. I am hoping the latter just so we can have a healthier rise. I am not planning on buying or selling any of these targets.

The Stamp wall is looking less impressive at these levels so a rise through that heavy ask side needs to be led by some other exchange.



98. Post 12784257 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on October 25, 2015, 06:33:47 PM


That $22-23 million in longs weren't liquidated even in the $160 flash crash, I agree that I would feel better about this rally with shorts hitting new highs rather than floundering about like they are. (Sometimes I shudder to think what BFX actually did that day though, they might have had to flip the breaker before the whole thing unwound...  Shocked)


Yeah, I got caught with my pants down like everybody else. If we had hit double digits I would have gotten a margin call too.  I'm gonna try to leave leverage to people smarter or luckier than me from now on.

Wait... are you saying you've had a long position open for how long?

Of course not. The bounce after the last $316 top.  Quintupled down after the bottom and closed with a profit at about $235.  All this $2-300 range trading is just noise until we get this blocksize issue resolved.

Oh it all makes sense now...



99. Post 12786417 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Quote from: natewelt on October 25, 2015, 02:27:33 PM
Looking at the charts and the Stamp wall makes me think we are either going to retest the previous high around 318 very shortly or go back down to the 275-280 level to reload. I am hoping the latter just so we can have a healthier rise. I am not planning on buying or selling any of these targets.

The Stamp wall is looking less impressive at these levels so a rise through that heavy ask side needs to be led by some other exchange.


I posted this earlier in the day when we were in the mid-290s. I believe this pullback is healthy and will allow us to have a healthier bid side next time we try and take out 300.

We still are a couple of days away from the 50 DMA clearing crossing above the 200 DMA. This tells me we need to cool off, reload, and allow the averages to catch up a little bit.



100. Post 12795558 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Bitstamp bid support is growing like a boss. Love it.

Exactly what we need to ramp up to higher prices.



101. Post 12795769 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Here's how I see the trend playing out. If and when we retest 318 I will re-evaluate the charts.

Right now I am seeing a strengthening bid wall and an accelerating bitcoin price above the main channel. Bullish




102. Post 12795782 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Quote from: Harpua on October 27, 2015, 12:24:26 AM
Bitstamp bid support is growing like a boss. Love it.

Exactly what we need to ramp up to higher prices.

Sorry for the newb question... but where can I see instant transactions taking place on multiple exchange sites at once? 

I mainly watch Bitstamp and OKCoin on here https://bitcoinwisdom.com/

But I know there are better dashboards that I've seen, but don't know the sites...



103. Post 12805502 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

I posted a chart with some comments on a new thread. If anyone has feedback please comment. I don't seem to get a lot of feedback on here....hope I'm not blocked by everyone  Shocked

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1223203.0



104. Post 12805881 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Quote from: ImI on October 28, 2015, 01:10:24 AM

lol tarmifart is online but doesnt dare to speak up  Grin


We he told me 265 was the top as well as 295 and im sure he has been shorting like crazy...digging his heels in deeper...and going more and more into the red...


Wonder if he has covered his short yet?



105. Post 12806034 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Quote from: tarmi on October 28, 2015, 01:57:44 AM
I am busy, wil address your concerns about my wealth later. maybe tomorrow. just after this fake out.

my suggestion to you is to buy all the coins sitting at 300 at bitfinex.

So you are going to wait until we get a pullback of maybe $5 just so you can figure out exactly what price you want to tell us you shorted at?

You know...wait for the action to happen so you can claim you nailed the trade?



106. Post 12806056 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Quote from: natewelt on October 18, 2015, 03:38:36 PM
panic will start @ 220.


Wonder who started this thread with a new account?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1212240.0

That's embarrassing


your buys @ 260 will be embarrassing very soon.



I'm not buying here. I only buy if I can reduce my average.


Edit: Also, do you actually believe you posting on these forums moves the price? You make me laugh




Since we are quoting tarmi now



107. Post 12806098 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Quote from: dothebeats on October 28, 2015, 02:25:21 AM
just buy already

I bought at sub-200 when everyone else are panicking. Am I good now?  Grin


Depends...did you buy enough for it to matter or did you only buy like 1 coin or even less?

Either way though that was a great buy!



108. Post 12815728 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Am I the only one who sees the giant 2K BTC wall @ 310?



109. Post 12815917 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on October 29, 2015, 12:59:22 AM
Am I the only one who sees the giant 2K BTC wall @ 310?

market was shocked for a moment and decided to move on.

2k?   lmfao



On stamp. That's a huge order. Sure there are multi-k trades, but not usually all in one order.



110. Post 12816562 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.29h):

Here comes the explosion. 305.55 on stamp



111. Post 12853775 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Quote from: Morecoin Freeman on November 01, 2015, 11:01:36 PM
I believe we did already see the top so I'm holding on to my short for now.
Cute buy wall at $330 though.

Did the bubble burst? I hope it did because I went short at 2200. Shocked


So what happens if we make a new high say break above 335 on stamp? Are you going to cover your short and concede for at least a short while? We just hit 329 a few minutes ago so not far off.

It seems to me that this recent day or so pullback has already ended by traders aggressively buying. FOMO is strong



112. Post 12854256 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

New chart. Still looking very bullish unless we fall below the rising wedge. Which color you do guys see coming true if any?


screen shot



113. Post 12865046 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Quote from: r0ach on November 03, 2015, 03:45:48 AM
Just sold @366 USD where are the rest of the profit takers I want to buy back for less dammit  Angry

Damn son, where are your balls.  What are you for halloween, a bitch?




Haha seriously! Sell when the trend appears to be ending...don't get scared and sell right as things start poppin. Don't try and time the top.



114. Post 12865137 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Quote from: lyth0s on November 03, 2015, 04:05:56 AM
I usually don't gamble. But my god, 20x leveraged long this shit and couldn't be happier  Grin Grin Grin


20x leverage is a joke. Nobody needs that



115. Post 12865156 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Quote from: lyth0s on November 03, 2015, 04:11:17 AM
I usually don't gamble. But my god, 20x leveraged long this shit and couldn't be happier  Grin Grin Grin


20x leverage is a joke. Nobody needs that


Unless your attempting to maximize a return. The way I figure it I'm either going to lose my entire margined amount (I won't stop before I do) or I'm going to win big on my bet. I would 30x it if I could. I wouldn't go much further than that because I *do* believe in a few single digit dollar corrections.


I just don't think that much leverage is healthy. That's all.

If someone needs 20x leverage in order to make enough money to matter then they probably shouldn't be gambling 20x in the first place. Only invest in what you can afford to lose.

Now if you are just playing with small sums here because it's fun and you like trying new things be my guest...



116. Post 12865445 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

2500



117. Post 12876259 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Looks like China wants to capture 2800 tonight...2746 now



118. Post 12876450 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: natewelt on November 04, 2015, 01:17:55 AM
Looks like China wants to capture 2800 tonight...2746 now


Well that didn't take long...



119. Post 12876936 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Does anyone here have the balls to hold and not sell a single satoshi until 1k is reached?

I mean no guarantee that happens, but does anyone have any reasonable selling plans or price targets?




120. Post 12877069 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on November 04, 2015, 03:06:25 AM
Does anyone here have the balls to hold and not sell a single satoshi until 1k is reached?

I mean no guarantee that happens, but does anyone have any reasonable selling plans or price targets?



I figure once I start to feel shame, maybe? You?

I am considering starting to sell a little now since I'm up a couple thousand fiat. I don't know how greedy I should be?

I also have a more ballsy plan to start selling at 1k and stop around 2k and hold a bunch of coins with the houses money plus already have like 10k in gains locked in. But of course that seems like stretch...for bitcoin though who the hell knows where it's going.



121. Post 12877170 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: wutizurkwest on November 04, 2015, 03:21:20 AM
Does anyone here have the balls to hold and not sell a single satoshi until 1k is reached?

I mean no guarantee that happens, but does anyone have any reasonable selling plans or price targets?


My first sell point is just above 1000.  I like the SSS Plan: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=345065.0, it enables profit taking while the remainder continues to increase in value.  And it removes emotion from the decision process (which may be the most valuable part of having a plan).  If his advice resonates with you, I suggest trying several variations until you find a schedule you're satisfied with.  I spent a week tweaking my spreadsheet before I settled on values I'm comfortable with.



I am an accountant and I play with spreadsheets for fun so I do in fact already have a couple of different sell scenarios worked out. You're link to the SSS plan lines up well with my way of thinking so thanks!

Right now the price is higher than my least greedy scenario...if I were to follow that scenario I would have already sold 3 BTC by now. However, I told myself I would only follow that scenario if I was ultra skeptical of the price rise. At this point, I am still relatively comfortable holding.



122. Post 12888816 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Everyone freaking out. Bunch of pussies



123. Post 12889721 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on November 05, 2015, 12:35:08 AM
Ahem,

Dear bulls. Dear sweet beautiful bulltards, Thank you so much for the lovely money.  I must admit, you gave it a good shot.  You almost had me. I had to post additional margin @ $480/BTC to avoid a forced liquidation. Allow me to be magnanimous in victory.  You see, I'm a fireman. When things get to hot, I cool them down. It's what I do.  Now I may be a blue collar guy, but I'm a professional.  I get paid to cool things down and today I got paid handsomely. Thank you for that. In return for your generousity, I invite y'all to kiss my working class butt.

Respectfully,

billyjoeallen, esq.

P.S. I you want to give it another shot, I'm your huckleberry.



Great job. You are awesome. I am jealous of your life said no one ever.



124. Post 12890133 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: gentlemand on November 05, 2015, 01:49:56 AM

$440 At most. And we will leave the $400's so don't hold for too long then.
My guesstimate target price is below $335 within 4 days from now.

Is there really any point in trying to guess anything in the near future? There's not a great deal of rationality floating around at present.


Well you see...many on here are extremely naive and believe they can affect the markets through their comments...while the others can't think for themselves and need reassurance on a regular basis.

Pretty sad really.



125. Post 12900163 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Breaking below 365 was a bear trap...you heard it here first.



126. Post 12900182 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: BlackSpidy on November 06, 2015, 01:50:24 AM
A bit of a rebound off of $254 on Bitstamp, but I don't think it's going to be enough. We'll definitely see $340 in th next 10 hours, me thinks.


You can't use the word "definitely" if you are going to follow by saying "thinks"


That's like saying I'm 100% certain that it might happen...



127. Post 12900306 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: natewelt on November 03, 2015, 05:20:11 AM
2500



I posted this two days ago and since then we have risen to over 3300 and back down to almost 2300.

Currently at 2430.

Bitcoin is crazy and not for the faint of heart.



128. Post 12900366 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: Frost on November 06, 2015, 02:22:00 AM
If someone is not completely in USD yet, have fun... last chance.


Sounds like capitulation to me



129. Post 12900726 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on November 06, 2015, 03:33:20 AM

Apparently the professor has an out-and-out (purely academic) interest in flat-out lying. Who'd a thunk it.

Yeah and why lie when you supposedly have no financial interest in BTC?



130. Post 12900749 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 06, 2015, 03:35:41 AM

Apparently the professor has an out-and-out (purely academic) interest in flat-out lying. Who'd a thunk it.

Yeah and why lie when you supposedly have no financial interest in BTC?

emotional interest

You mean "Jealousy"


Because after all, the price is still way higher than it was a couple weeks ago



131. Post 12911250 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Not sure if anyone is watching, but if Bitstamp hits 397 today then that will be a higher high than yesterday although 400 would be a much better number to cross. It is also looking like we are going to see a higher low so both bullish.

What we may be witnessing here is a pullback rather than what many speculate to be another popped bubble.

I haven't sold a single satoshi and am not sad that I ignored tarmi when he said 265 was the top and also not sad that I bought a shit ton in the 220s.



132. Post 12911401 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: goldsun on November 07, 2015, 02:24:15 PM
Can someone just tell me where will we possible head? Up or down? Based on analysies and some speculations  Wink


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1239035.0


I am leaning towards the blue, but if we breakout above 400 then we might see another substantial run.



133. Post 12911527 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: ynef on November 07, 2015, 02:36:53 PM
Can someone just tell me where will we possible head? Up or down? Based on analysies and some speculations  Wink

The support is holding us above levels last seen in Dec 2014. We've never been so high before in the entire year of 2015 and we have tested the support and are now slowly making higher highs.

The downward movement a couple of days ago was due to climbing too high too fast and people were panicking because everyone kept saying we will reach the moon, but we didn't so people got scared and sold the shit out of it, but we are now gradually moving higher and coming out of this correction.

Although you can argue that we are currently correcting a huge downward trend on a yearly scale, I really doubt this is the case because there have been just too many positive news coming out regarding Bitcoin. (gemini, nyse, constant news about the rally, the halving etc.)

I personally see no way to go but up and the guys who keep telling you we're through and it's the end are most likely desperate and trying to lower the price so they can get in early because they missed out or even lost a lot in the panic.

If you happen to have a decent amount of coins I wouldn't recommend selling them right now. As for opening a long position, still not sure in the short term.


+1

Great post



134. Post 12911801 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: TReano on November 07, 2015, 03:14:28 PM
4h EMA on OKcoin going to cross with next candle... some bots will probably turn into buy mode.

Once we get to 600 and then see the first weekly red candle, then the mini-rally is over. If you were in the business of speculation or wanted to lighten up, the good time to sell is the dcb after that. So wait for the bubble, and the pop, and the next bounce. Then sell.

Few words more about that? Why 600$?

MACD is nothing else then a lagging indicator... It's the same as looking at the chart and say "Oh wow it goes up!" ... It's just visualized for the blind trader...


It's a momentum and trend indicator which should mean a lot for Bitcoin traders. After all, Bitcoin is a momentum trade whether it be down or up.

Edit: If you want to make money in Bitcoin or even in the stock market. Wait for a trend to develop and trade off of it in the same direction. Don't try and time the end of bear trends or bull trends.

If you bet the same amount of money each time and take your emotions out of the picture you should be able to win more than you lose and make money overall.



135. Post 12911902 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on November 07, 2015, 03:10:36 PM
4h EMA on OKcoin going to cross with next candle... some bots will probably turn into buy mode.

Once we get to 600 and then see the first weekly red candle, then the mini-rally is over. If you were in the business of speculation or wanted to lighten up, the good time to sell is the dcb after that. So wait for the bubble, and the pop, and the next bounce. Then sell.

Few words more about that? Why 600$?


10 day EMA is looking quite supportive as well.


windows 7 screen shot



136. Post 12912311 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: TReano on November 07, 2015, 04:08:50 PM
Edit: If you want to make money in Bitcoin or even in the stock market. Wait for a trend to develop and trade off of it in the same direction. Don't try and time the end of bear trends or bull trends.

If you bet the same amount of money each time and take your emotions out of the picture you should be able to win more than you lose and make money overall.
It's a solid strategy, but makes more sense trading the common stuff like EUR/USD. With Bitcoin there's just too many variables that can change the direction fast.


the clearer a trend becomes the more likely it gets that the trend will end...



If it would be that easy to simply buy into something because it goes up trading wouldn't work. If you buy there is always somebody betting on the other side of your trade.

I disagree, but that's what makes a market.

I do buy high sell higher rather than buy low sell high and it's worked for me for years.

The more simple your strategy and the lower number of trades you make the more money you make IMO.



137. Post 12924498 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Hey China. Time to wake up get this thing back into bull mode. Please and thank you



138. Post 12924542 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Quote from: yolalanda on November 09, 2015, 12:05:55 AM
Hey China. Time to wake up get this thing back into bull mode. Please and thank you





139. Post 12924779 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):

Anyone with an average below 300 considering buying more? If so, at what price and how aggressively do you plan on buying?

We still are a long way from the halving and what I am hoping to see is a consolidation in the 300s instead of the 220-250 range.



140. Post 12925201 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Bears need to consider covering.



141. Post 12933758 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Quote from: MatTheCat on November 10, 2015, 12:15:43 AM
There goes Bear Whale on Stamp....

All the other exchanges are wanting to head up...but nope....

Edit: And I bet that BTC will not breach the recent $360 bottom, and I bet it will rise back up, but not breach the $388.

Market being held in stasis, quite intetionally, it seems.

I'm not one for manipulation, but there have definitely been questionable trades that make me wonder.

Such as the dump you are referencing...



142. Post 12933778 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on November 10, 2015, 12:26:01 AM
Multiple winning bidders of USMS aution all win with bids considerably under spot. Each one wondering if the other is going to dump. What would you do? Dump first and lock in profits or roll the dice?


You are a fool if you think they are going to buy with the intent on selling immediately.



143. Post 12933821 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Quote from: MatTheCat on November 10, 2015, 12:33:56 AM
There goes Bear Whale on Stamp....

All the other exchanges are wanting to head up...but nope....

Edit: And I bet that BTC will not breach the recent $360 bottom, and I bet it will rise back up, but not breach the $388.

Market being held in stasis, quite intetionally, it seems.

I'm not one for manipulation, but there have definitely been questionable trades that make me wonder.

Such as the dump you are referencing...


Considering that Bitcoin exchanges are all unregulated, and considering market manipulation is one sure fire way of making the market doing what you want it do, which also happens to mean mega profits for the market maker, I would say that it was extremely naive to believe anything other than these markets are severely manipulated.

Trust me I understand. I'm just not one of those people out there blaming every little move on manipulation and making excuses if I mess up.

I believe in the long-run the market is more powerful than the manipulation. Sure, you could point out manipulation even in AAPL stock so bitcoin would be cake to manipulate based on it's small size.



144. Post 12933851 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

That 2 minute $10 dump really screwed up the chart. A breakout seemed imminent, but now I feel like we are the edge of a cliff.

May prompt me to buy some more even though I told myself I wouldn't.



145. Post 12934562 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Quote from: natewelt on November 03, 2015, 05:20:11 AM
2500

Don't mind me. Just recycling.



146. Post 12934641 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Quote from: brg444 on November 10, 2015, 03:32:50 AM

Jinxed us  Angry


Wish I had that much power!



147. Post 12942998 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Well, time to lurk on the sidelines again and wait for the trend to turn upwards before buying more.



148. Post 12943398 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

jesus christ this is ridiculous



149. Post 12943415 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Quote from: Boxman90 on November 11, 2015, 02:11:24 AM
jesus christ this is ridiculous

Wait, the bubble wasn't?

#delusion

the bubble was ridiculous too

you work for the media you blowhard?



150. Post 12952032 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Stamp bid support is about as weak as I've ever seen it. China is going to have to lead us higher if we want to go higher. Stamp aint gonna do it.



151. Post 12952089 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):

Quote from: DieJohnny on November 12, 2015, 12:45:59 AM
I'm pretty sure this price action has scared away any potential for "new money". I'm out. Buying back in low $200's.

depends on what happens in the next 24 hours.... but seriously if the price and volume inch above 300 for more than a week or two that is very bullish. This mini bubble has brought a lot of eyes into BTC, plenty of people that missed out on last week's bubble because their money wasn't into an exchange, now they are sitting waiting for something to tell them the dump is over.

I would like to see a solid two weeks of stability with a slow move to 340.... 


100% agree with DieJohnny's voice of reason



152. Post 12976252 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):

Quote from: MatTheCat on November 14, 2015, 11:27:33 PM
suddenly i had this bearish feeling come over me and i sold all my bitcoins.

see you all sub 300 suckers!



Sometimes a whale sends a spike upwards to trigger all the stop buys before dumping the market into oblivion. Then all the poor traders who's stop buys were triggered panic dump their Bitcoins for a pittance. On the other hand we might be genuinely heading up. However that spike on stamp soon crashed back down.

oh yes we've seen this before.

and there it goes

Fell for it hook line and sinker...

Earlier today, I sold all my Bitcoins and closed my leveraged long positions, expecting a further retest of lows...

All market fundamentals pointed towards a further correction...and then this happened.....and I panic bought....thankfully, only at $338 (I sold earlier at $332), but it is fucking annoying as it is yet another example of me pissing Fiat and BTC all over the floor whenever I try to be smart and beat the market.

After seeing this shite, I now have to make a decision whether I want to just leave what Bitcoins I have left (the ones I haven't lost), or cut my losses, convert to Fiat, and leave Bitcoin out for good.

Some whale entity has the market by the balls. He can do what he likes, and what he likes is everyone elses FIAT. Who wants to play in a market like this and if nobody wants to play in Bitcoinland, then there is no Bitcoinland. This whale does not have Bitcoin's best interests at heart...this is exactly the sort of shit that people see in Shitcoins or penny shares, and think..."gimme a fucking break, I aint touching that"

It really wasn't that big of a move. I'm sorry to tell you, but my rule is that the less I trade the more money I make. You just have to be patient and not try and be cute and hang on every little move.



153. Post 13018683 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):

It just seems destined to going back down in the 200s in the not too distant future. Not once since we peaked at 500 have I felt like we were at the start of a new uptrend.

Every little rally has fizzled out...

My biggest fear is we go back down below 250. That would be awful.



154. Post 13069408 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

The bid side is looking more solid than the ask side for the first time in weeks on Stamp. Volume is the highest in 5 days and we have cleared the 10 day moving average which sits at about 327. Things are starting to look a wee bit bullish, but by just a little.



155. Post 13070738 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Huobi back on the move. Need to get back above 2100 and get a little uptrend going....

chugga chugga chugga chugga Chiiinaaa




156. Post 13070932 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

We haven't closed above 340 since November 9th. Maybe it will happen soon. That would be a great signal.



157. Post 13086563 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Never thought becoming a HODLER would be such a rewarding experience.

The 1 year chart looks incredible. I love it



158. Post 13086651 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Quote from: Sinistercoin666 on November 27, 2015, 06:48:30 PM
Never thought becoming a HODLER would be such a rewarding experience.

The 1 year chart looks incredible. I love it

Because you only lost $20/BTC since a year ago? I mean, sure, it's a helovalot less than you lost the year before, but still...


You can always adjust your time horizon to support your argument. I could also say it has gone up about 140% since its bottom in January.

As a HODLER and a believer in the Bitcoin ecosystem...I have continuously bought a couple coins here and there if and only if it brought my average down. This has proven to be a profitable strategy.




159. Post 13086940 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Quote from: Sinistercoin666 on November 27, 2015, 07:10:34 PM
Never thought becoming a HODLER would be such a rewarding experience.

The 1 year chart looks incredible. I love it

Because you only lost $20/BTC since a year ago? I mean, sure, it's a helovalot less than you lost the year before, but still...


You can always adjust your time horizon to support your argument. I could also say it has gone up about 140% since its bottom in January.

As a HODLER and a believer in the Bitcoin ecosystem...I have continuously bought a couple coins here and there if and only if it brought my average down. This has proven to be a profitable strategy.

If the "bottom in January" was a year ago, you'd have am excellent point, and I'd be dead wrong. Wait til the middle of Jan. 2016, and, if BTC price is above 166, you get a fist bump Smiley

Sounds like a deal. I'm pretty confident we will be well above 166 in January, but you never know with Bitcoin. HODL only works if the price tends to rise in the long run.



160. Post 13087222 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Quote from: mixan on November 27, 2015, 08:10:21 PM
price going to dump soon




It is happening already and I thought it would be soon the trading day for it to go down. Was $357 last I checked around ten minutes ago thought it broke 360 barely two hours ago. Up to $366 and down to almost $10 is not very promising end of the month tally.


Yes, we are crashing uncontrollably. Except...we aren't.

Zoom out a little bit on your charts and stop trying to be cute with little moves. Look at the pattern, not the pattern within the pattern, within the pattern.



161. Post 13088434 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Quote from: mixan on November 27, 2015, 10:59:21 PM
price going to dump soon


It is happening already and I thought it would be soon the trading day for it to go down. Was $357 last I checked around ten minutes ago thought it broke 360 barely two hours ago. Up to $366 and down to almost $10 is not very promising end of the month tally.


Yes, we are crashing uncontrollably. Except...we aren't.

Zoom out a little bit on your charts and stop trying to be cute with little moves. Look at the pattern, not the pattern within the pattern, within the pattern.
These little movements make me quiver because it makes my intuition say "buy or sell".
Just that little up tick in the price makes the inner wolf in me want to howl at the moon and want to sell.

Well let me give you some serious advice. Start forcing yourself not to look at what Bitcoin is doing so often.

This works in the stock market as well. If you get yourself into good investments then try not to micromanage your portfolio. You will end up trading so much you miss out on the big money moves which take time to develop.

Stick to your convictions



162. Post 13095933 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

I posted a pretty detailed chart of my current price thoughts on one of my original threads. I encourage you to check it out and contribute to the topic if you wish. I would post it here, but there is way too much jabbering...it would get lost in the shuffle quickly.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1223203.20



163. Post 13101997 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Can someone start a new wall observer thread with ChartBuddy?

This thread is absolute shit.



164. Post 13102039 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Quote from: ImI on November 29, 2015, 02:58:46 PM
Can someone start a new wall observer thread with ChartBuddy?

This thread is absolute shit.

To block r0ach and to install newbie-jail again would be enough.

It doesn't help that any time a troll or newbie posts something ridiculously he/she gets quoted like 8 times and when someone posts something with substance it very often gets completely lost in the shuffle.



165. Post 13102659 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on November 29, 2015, 03:18:38 PM
Can someone start a new wall observer thread with ChartBuddy?

This thread is absolute shit.

To block r0ach and to install newbie-jail again would be enough.

I'd vote for that.

I would too.

I just went on a mass ignore spree. Maybe it will help...if not. I probably will become even less active than I already am.



166. Post 13104762 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Quote from: natewelt on November 25, 2015, 08:42:11 PM
The bid side is looking more solid than the ask side for the first time in weeks on Stamp. Volume is the highest in 5 days and we have cleared the 10 day moving average which sits at about 327. Things are starting to look a wee bit bullish, but by just a little.


Turns out I was intuition and charting feel was right on the money with this one.

At this time I see 370 as strong overhead resistance, but momentum is back on the bulls side and I believe we get above that level sooner rather than later.

From there 400 is the level to watch.

And if you want to see my latest chart check post 35 here https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1223203.20



167. Post 13107266 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Has anybody here purchased anything off of tigerdirect.com with Bitcoin?

I might be due for a new laptop one of these days...

Edit: here's a relatively recent article about them https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/18-months-adopting-bitcoin-tigerdirect-reports-fantastic-experience-continued-growth-1438985840



168. Post 13107323 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Quote from: jbreher on November 30, 2015, 03:47:34 AM
WTF is GBTC? Whose implication?

http://grayscale.co/bitcoin-investment-trust/#overview



169. Post 13107351 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):

Quote from: Cconvert2G36 on November 30, 2015, 03:49:48 AM
Has anybody here purchased anything off of tigerdirect.com with Bitcoin?

I might be due for a new laptop one of these days...

Edit: here's a relatively recent article about them https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/18-months-adopting-bitcoin-tigerdirect-reports-fantastic-experience-continued-growth-1438985840

I've bought parts from both tiger and newegg. I usually lean toward newegg because of western US ship times, but tiger direct was first to integrate a bitcoin processor option (iirc)...


Thanks. I hadn't thought of newegg. I purchased an external hard drive from them once and it was a good experience.



170. Post 17248124 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.59h):

Hey all! It's been a while since I've been on here, but glad to see we broke $800!

Accumulating on panic dumps and holding long term has and will continue to be the best strategy until proven otherwise.




171. Post 26043578 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.31h):

Was Gemini hacked or is this just scheduled maintenance like their status page claims?

https://status.gemini.com/incidents/k4qvyflfmm24



172. Post 26635059 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: Imbatman on December 20, 2017, 01:37:43 AM
Lol BCH @ $9500 on GDAX..

I'm furiously trying to sell lol

ME TOO!

but it says "Bitcoin Cash sales are temporarily disabled"

which surprises zero percent...



173. Post 26635869 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: gentlemand on December 20, 2017, 02:09:07 AM
Don't be shocked if Coinbase adds Ripple next. If that doesn't show their true colors, I don't know what will.

I presume Coinbase's ultimate aim is to be bought out by Goldman Sachs et al. They are not anyone's friend and don't have anything's best interest at heart other than their own value.

No one should be shocked by this, but I am slightly surprised at the blatantness of this particular move taking place during blockchain spamming, difficulty readjustment, all time high in attention and super high fees.

Coinbase merely added Bitcoin Cash as fast as they could...stop acting like there's a conspiracy behind the time of the release.

Originally they said Jan 1st, 2018 so I'm glad they are ahead of schedule.



174. Post 26748991 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Just bought more BCH and LTC. I have plenty of BTC and other alts. First time my BTC stash is under 40% of my crypto holdings. I'm all about diversification...



175. Post 26749525 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on December 21, 2017, 10:23:25 PM
Just bought more BCH and LTC. I have plenty of BTC and other alts. First time my BTC stash is under 40% of my crypto holdings. I'm all about diversification...

At this stage there are more old school bitcoiners that sank their battleship in shit coins than there are old schoolers left.  You have the goose that lays the golden egg and you are willingly giving it up.  Not a smart idea.  The internet is a winner takes all economy.

You can't see into the future so I don't know how you can claim it's not a smart idea. So far it has worked out and if I exchange my alts back to BTC I'd have more BTC.

Diversifying is not only smart. It is usually more profitable. Get with the program.



176. Post 26749744 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on December 21, 2017, 10:33:29 PM
Just bought more BCH and LTC. I have plenty of BTC and other alts. First time my BTC stash is under 40% of my crypto holdings. I'm all about diversification...

At this stage there are more old school bitcoiners that sank their battleship in shit coins than there are old schoolers left.  You have the goose that lays the golden egg and you are willingly giving it up.  Not a smart idea.  The internet is a winner takes all economy.

You can't see into the future so I don't know how you can claim it's not a smart idea. So far it has worked out and if I exchange my alts back to BTC I'd have more BTC.

Diversifying is not only smart. It is usually more profitable. Get with the program.

I have insurance, which is mostly Monero and ETH and less than 10% of my portfolio.  This protects me in case of a wipe out event in Bitcoin. But we both know that when the first Bitcoin ETF is announced early next year, Bitcoin will go vertical and your BTC/Alt pairs will collapse, including my Monero and ETH pairs.

I disagree that we both know that will happen. The only alts I own are mostly in the top 25 by market cap and few outliers that I like the concept of so I have faith in them. There's space for alts and master Bitcoin. I'm still HODLING some Bitcoin from 2014 when I got in so I love Bitcoin. I just love diversification and playing the game also it makes life more interesting.

Edit: Also if my alts keep gaining on BTC in terms of their exchange rate I may convert them all back to BTC only time will tell. I don't have an allegiance to one coin. I know many on here do and that's great, but that's not my style.




177. Post 26749934 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on December 21, 2017, 10:38:41 PM
I just love diversification and playing the game also it makes life more interesting.


It’s great to play the game with lunch money but I’m not putting my retirement funds in it.

I'd agree. I think we are mostly on the same page except you like to stick more to BTC which is the more prudent thing to do.



178. Post 26750692 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

We have to breakout of this descending pennant pattern. Also getting above 17,300 on stamp would be massively bullish.





179. Post 26751482 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: Rosewater Foundation on December 21, 2017, 11:21:57 PM
I'm going to start to panic soon. I don't like it when Bitcoin goes down a lot, then doesn't come right back up.

If you panic now you might be selling at the bottom. Calm yourself. Go play outside. I don't care if it's dark.



180. Post 26752811 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

BTC needs to reclaim and the 10 day moving average and show a green candle on the daily. That would do wonders for market confidence.




181. Post 26753636 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: jojo69 on December 22, 2017, 12:36:07 AM
BTC needs to reclaim and the 10 day moving average and show a green candle on the daily. That would do wonders for market confidence.



too soon for that

we need to drop another 3K and get a good base under us

Possibly, but we've already had 5 red daily candles in a row time to turn green.

The price action at this moment is not looking so bullish though....



182. Post 26757769 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Welp bought a shit ton of BTC, BCH, LTC and ETH tonight hope it works out....



183. Post 26757909 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: Rosewater Foundation on December 22, 2017, 03:35:50 AM
Welp bought a shit ton of BTC, BCH, LTC and ETH tonight hope it works out....

My pittance will be back in at 11k. I can't take the abuse no more

At least my ripple I bought a few weeks back at 25 cents is up over 400%



184. Post 26805942 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

I know this link (https://blockchain.info/unconfirmed-transactions) shows total unconfirmed transactions...but does anyone have a link that shows a linear chart over time with the unconfirmed transactions?

Trying to get a feel for the trend. Although I know it's up in general would still like to see it...



185. Post 26806094 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: jojo69 on December 22, 2017, 10:28:10 PM
breakout confirmed

No way. We still need to break above 16k on stamp to confirm. And even then I'd say don't call a breakout until new highs.



186. Post 26806173 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: vroom on December 22, 2017, 10:30:45 PM
I know this link (https://blockchain.info/unconfirmed-transactions) shows total unconfirmed transactions...but does anyone have a link that shows a linear chart over time with the unconfirmed transactions?

Trying to get a feel for the trend. Although I know it's up in general would still like to see it...

https://jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/#all
https://blockchain.info/charts/mempool-count?timespan=all


So the number of unconfirmed transactions was actually worse in June than it is now?



187. Post 26806335 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on December 22, 2017, 10:34:39 PM
breakout confirmed

No way. We still need to break above 16k on stamp to confirm. And even then I'd say don't call a breakout until new highs.

Down channel broken in any event.

Depends on what down channel you are talking about.



188. Post 26806409 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: natewelt on December 22, 2017, 10:38:02 PM
breakout confirmed

No way. We still need to break above 16k on stamp to confirm. And even then I'd say don't call a breakout until new highs.

Down channel broken in any event.

Depends on what down channel you are talking about.

The channel is a little rough to draw but the upper line is clear as day in my opinion. We need to get over that, but that won't be an easy task.




189. Post 26806459 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: realr0ach on December 22, 2017, 10:40:44 PM
Liquidity in the altcoin market officially dies Jan 1st:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-22/trumps-tax-bill-may-be-reason-crypto-rout

But that news is also bad for bitcoin as a lot of the bitcoin demand was for gambling in places like the Poloniex casino, so it lowers liquidity for the entire crypto market.

I don't think many traders/investors/HODLERS actually know what a like kind exchange is so I don't think this is the reason for the route.



190. Post 26806742 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: realr0ach on December 22, 2017, 10:46:10 PM
Liquidity in the altcoin market officially dies Jan 1st:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-22/trumps-tax-bill-may-be-reason-crypto-rout

But that news is also bad for bitcoin as a lot of the bitcoin demand was for gambling in places like the Poloniex casino, so it lowers liquidity for the entire crypto market.

I don't think many traders/investors/HODLERS actually know what a like kind exchange is so I don't think this is the reason for the route.

You're crazy.  The BTC market is controlled by a VERY small number of people moving large amounts of cash.  As soon as bitcoin topped out, the same money that was used to pump BTC was all shifted into altcoins at Poloniex.  These are entities like Pantera capital, Goldman Sachs, etc, constantly going back and forth between coins like BTC and Ethereum.  The people who are actually moving these markets are all utilizing that loophole.  It doesn't matter what the small fish know.

You act like tax law is clear hear when it's definitely NOT.

Taking the position that these transactions qualify as a LKEs is an extremely aggressive position to take tax wise. I sure as hell wouldn't take it.



191. Post 26809406 (copy this link) (by natewelt) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):

Quote from: rolling on December 23, 2017, 12:12:59 AM
Yeah, every trade is a taxable event to US persons. Whether that is buying coffee or litecoin. It is property according to the IRS.

Even if you thought you could get away with the like kind exchange rule, you still have to report every trade individually on the exemption form.

If it were classified as a stock, you could just report net gains and losses but not so with property.

They have made compliance nearly impossible so unless someone passes a law to exempt transactions prior to a certain date, a lot of people are going to owe back taxes and penalties if not jail time.

^^^yes yes everyone saying it's a legit loophole is going to be in for a beating once they realize they took an aggressive position without any basis to do so. Good luck to them, their back taxes and their prison buddies.