All posts made by Schickeria in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 8107647 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: kryptopojken on July 30, 2014, 08:06:48 PM
Weekly MACD currently red :/




2. Post 8107825 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

I'm a bit surprised. Thought this hysteria must be unleashed from newcomers but looks like members with years of experience are on board. In the perspective of years this correction is nothing noteworthy. So why so hysteric?



3. Post 8107882 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: 2014Bubble on July 30, 2014, 08:31:28 PM
It really is difficult climbing through all those asks... I thought this would be easier  Undecided Embarrassed

Take your time. There's enough.



4. Post 8107938 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 30, 2014, 08:35:28 PM
pretty sure this is the most bearish poll results of all time

So it will be a bear trap or the start of capitulation. Hard to say.
But I would guess the second.



5. Post 8108121 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: findftp on July 30, 2014, 08:46:27 PM
OMG IT IS GOING TO ZERO THIS TIME!!!!!!7777

Is there a blink-tag for text?


Yet again? As 1000 times before? ;-)



6. Post 8108280 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on July 30, 2014, 08:59:22 PM
Time for a bounce?Huh  Cheesy who will win it  Grin

I think at least wall at Huobi must get filled. Today or later.



7. Post 8108560 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on July 30, 2014, 09:05:19 PM
Time for a bounce?Huh  Cheesy who will win it  Grin

I think at least wall at Huobi must get filled. Today or later.

That wall on huobi will only fall if a whale will kill it, which i doubt. Bots will never sell into it they just don't work like that  Wink

Oh, I think yes. And after that we'll bounce. Not sure if this bounce will be liberating her from the downtrend, but it could.



8. Post 8108721 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 30, 2014, 09:24:56 PM
also it should be noted that i am almost always wrong.

So could it be, that you are drawing what you wish and not what you would think without (devoutly) wishes? ;-)



9. Post 8108887 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: DjPxH on July 30, 2014, 09:38:49 PM
The pain isn't intense enough, yet! We need to push into the 550s... There can't be a healthy trend reversal without a decent shakeout of all the longs!

And you think 550.00 is enough to shake out the (leveraged) longs? Maybe, but I doubt it.



10. Post 8109005 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: DjPxH on July 30, 2014, 09:45:43 PM
The pain isn't intense enough, yet! We need to push into the 550s... There can't be a healthy trend reversal without a decent shakeout of all the longs!

And you think 550.00 is enough to shake out the (leveraged) longs? Maybe, but I doubt it.

No, but that's the first step we need to take. Kill the credit bubble on Finex! Geez, if we're only going down this slowly, we're never gonna accomplish anything. People need to panic. There has to be desperation!

Yes. I agree.



11. Post 8109303 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: Torque on July 30, 2014, 09:53:53 PM
Yay manipulators, sell it down on all exchanges to < $200! Go for it! Completely destroy the bitcoin market entirely so no one comes back to crypto for years and years!  Great job!



Funny how those mythical "manipulators" are only invoked on the way down, rarely on the way up.

Funny how you always show up suddenly when the word "manipulator" get posted.  Wink

And for the record, I do believe that manipulators are responsible for bubbles too.

As financial giant you can try to trigger a bubble or a downtrend by influencing the crowd, but nothing more. And it's not that easy as there are other players, too.

And after all, why not? It's okay.



12. Post 8109700 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: empowering on July 30, 2014, 10:32:58 PM
My theory is Bitcoin bagholders are dumping to buy Argentine Pesos.

Not Bulgarian lev?

Or Dogecoin...



13. Post 8110676 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: drez on July 30, 2014, 11:42:14 PM
Everyone stop panicking.  This is following what I said earlier today.  We are past the second horizontal,  but it still could hold which means we will be following a triangle to a point before a crash or a moonshot.  But what I think will happen is 560 will break and then we will rally around 540 in keeping with the slight downward trend from June first.  If there isn't a rally there then  or 540 won't hold,  then the long term trend should keep it above 515.  If that fails.  We are in for a ride and I expect some crazy action.  

http://imageshack.com/a/img536/8384/OyNafd.png

Saying 'don't panic' then predicting a possible 515 or worse, is actually infuriating - apologies - but I am personally hoping the 550s is as bad as it gets!


But 515 is the long term trend bottom.  After that it's a climb back to 630-40.   I expect a spring bounce.  But if 515 fails all hell will break loose and anything is game at that point.  Basically don't panic until you see 520,  and then don't loose your shit until we hit 510.



I really don't know which long term charts you are using, but my first really important long term Trendline is a lot lot lower. So we both can hope that your Trendline is stable.

To not to terrify, if your Trendline got broken you really should search on lower levels. I think a lot of people here are getting shaken because they have no plan B(earish) and to high expectations.



14. Post 8110815 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: aminorex on July 30, 2014, 11:59:37 PM
... a lot of people ... have no plan...

Here's a plan that works well in this situation, in case anyone is lacking a necessary plan:  Buy low, sell high.  Now is the buy low part.


Buy low, sell high is not a plan, it's more the motto for the plan ;-)

But talking seriously - no matter where the bottom is, on 560 or a lot lower - people should mentally plan bearish cases, too.

Or they freak out on unexpected movements.



15. Post 8111004 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: drez on July 31, 2014, 12:14:09 AM
Everyone stop panicking.  This is following what I said earlier today.  We are past the second horizontal,  but it still could hold which means we will be following a triangle to a point before a crash or a moonshot.  But what I think will happen is 560 will break and then we will rally around 540 in keeping with the slight downward trend from June first.  If there isn't a rally there then  or 540 won't hold,  then the long term trend should keep it above 515.  If that fails.  We are in for a ride and I expect some crazy action.  

http://imageshack.com/a/img536/8384/OyNafd.png

Saying 'don't panic' then predicting a possible 515 or worse, is actually infuriating - apologies - but I am personally hoping the 550s is as bad as it gets!


But 515 is the long term trend bottom.  After that it's a climb back to 630-40.   I expect a spring bounce.  But if 515 fails all hell will break loose and anything is game at that point.  Basically don't panic until you see 520,  and then don't loose your shit until we hit 510.



I really don't know which long term charts you are using, but my first really important long term Trendline is a lot lot lower. So we both can hope that your Trendline is stable.

To not to terrify, if your Trendline got broken you really should search on lower levels. I think a lot of people here are getting shaken because they have no plan B(earish) and to high expectations.

Long term bottom channel trendline (up slope)  is  515.  There are horizontal support pockets below that.  But they are in the 400's and 300's.  I don't see it getting that bad.  But I'm ready if it does.

Good to hear this. The one I'm looking on is in the 300's (not horizontal - but rising trendline). The others are a bonus if they hold. I suppose that the bullish mania will stop before reaching those low levels, so I agree: I'm not seeing it getting that bad, too.



16. Post 8111201 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: wiak2 on July 31, 2014, 12:36:04 AM
Everyone waiting for bottom to buy back in, ask side is shallow.  This thing could rebound surprisingly fast.  Looking quite oversold at the moment.

Low Volume Rally? :-)



17. Post 8111270 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: empowering on July 31, 2014, 12:42:48 AM
Everyone waiting for bottom to buy back in, ask side is shallow.  This thing could rebound surprisingly fast.  Looking quite oversold at the moment.

Low Volume Rally? :-)

Why not... this is a low volume dip

That's true.



18. Post 8118281 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: madmat on July 31, 2014, 11:54:17 AM
Good morning everyone! Can I get a short heads-up, has Shroomy bought his 2 BTC back, already? Anything new happened in the meantime? I just decided to give up predicting which way BTC decided to go. The honey badger god rabid! Cheesy

Good afternoon (2pm here).

Shroomy bought back its 2btc, but as he did 6 smart trades yesterday, he only has one now  Grin


Is this a Coindesk News or Wall Street Journal?



19. Post 8121291 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: kireinaha on July 31, 2014, 03:49:28 PM
Roll Eyes Roll Eyes the price rises from yesterday (still lower than a couple days ago) and everyone is in moon mode again. This place cracks me up.

Reading exaggerated  emotional ups and downs on each tiny swing can be exhaustive even for a reader. Imagine how exhaustive it'll be for the human, who experiences such emotional swings. It's not healthy.

So take your time, go outside, enjoy. I'll do the same ;-)



20. Post 8195079 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: fonzie on August 05, 2014, 10:15:33 AM
Haven“t you all read the newspaper article where GABI stated that they are buying on HUOBI right now? Someone posted it in here yesterday!

For some reason your pumping isnt nearly as effective as your trolling.
He was ever effective?

Everyone knows that i was solely responsible for the downfall from 800$ to 400$!

So true. It wasn't the china-crash, it was the fonzie-crash.



21. Post 8202027 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: windjc on August 05, 2014, 06:24:11 PM
Trolling is about in your face fear and/or annoyance - which is your specialty, creating depression so that people just feel more miserable all over and are more likely to sell even if it hurts themselves.

I really like and appreciate fonzies bear trolling skills, but I would really be appalled if there are people selling since they got trolled. Can't imagine that humans could be so &„+#~!

However. Fonzie was responsible for the ~800 to ~300 crash, so now he'll be the one who will leads us to +5000 ;-)



22. Post 8203405 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

People asking for trading advises, should better use a fortune cookie.

So your fortune cookie:

She used her best make up and is dressed beautiful. Her headache has gone and she's whistling her favorite songs, but as she often suffers from migraine, situation can change quickly - to a really nasty and ugly diva.



23. Post 8215449 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on August 06, 2014, 03:05:20 PM
On Bitstamp the bid sum / ask sum ratio stays around 400$, compared with 700$ a month ago.
Just some minor FUD can trigger capitulation. The bulls need a miracle to avoid it.
I noticed as well. Really admirable how the price is still holding in the high 500s in the face of this ask pressure. By the way, the 2% divergence between Western and Chinese exchanges is being resolved by the Western ones following. Seems that China still has more influence than I thought? Is Jorge right after all? Cheesy

I agree, crash into 400's or even lower is probable scenario. On the other side I can't bring myself to short as another probable scenario is, that there are very creative entities, interested in let the market looking weak.

Meanwhile I'm clueless, absolutely without any idea. Time will show...



24. Post 8215637 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: kireinaha on August 06, 2014, 03:41:43 PM
huge buy order on stamp! Is this GABO buying?

I think it's related to this news:

Quote from: lemonte on August 06, 2014, 03:25:51 PM
http://www.c[Suspicious link removed]m/id/101898588

 Shocked

Another flash in the pan?



25. Post 8249695 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: cbeast on August 08, 2014, 02:36:00 PM
for the sake of objectivity, it means exactly what it means, a pyramid and Bitcoin is one.

Then by that (your) definition, so is the stock market.  And the PM market.

it is as well, a pyramid. and BTW not my definition, any sane person that have 2 working brain cells would get to this conclusion.  

Nope, no discussion of stock markets or PM markets (or bitcoin market) on this page.  At all.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pyramid_scheme

and tell me how does this deny my statement ? you just posted a prove of the above Smiley
It's not the word "Pyramid" it's the word "Scheme" that gives me pause. Just who exactly is doing the scheming?

all of us, the Bitcoin community, you are higher in the scheme if you bought before me (or cheaper to be accurate).
Baseball cards, paintings, and antique cars fit that description.

Capitalism is a natural pyramid scheme and bitcoin is a capitalistic asset. I think you refer more to the "fraudulent" pyramid schemes, not?



26. Post 8255385 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 08, 2014, 08:10:59 PM
Most of these things listed above are NOT pyramid schemes, unless they are causing value to float to the top without any reciprocating value being transferred below.  The only way that value gets transferred lower down the pyramid is to find more suckers below.  None of these listed items are pyramid schemes, unless they are designed as such.  Bitcoin is also NOT a pyramid scheme b/c there are tangible assets, including an infrastructure and a network and continued investments in side businesses.... NO need to explain further at the moment b/c these pyramid scheme/ponzi arguments are totally attempting to simplify bitcoin into something that it is NOT and playing upon ignorance.

What you are writing is correct but you are arguing in a sophistry manner, bitcoin is no pyramid scheme, regarding the typical fraudulent definitions. It's a semantic shift by mmitech, talking of pyramid scheme but meaning a pyramidical wealth distribution. Reading you, I get the impression that you are not silly (even as I would not agree with a lot of your quoted text) and you understood the regarding context. That the wealth of bitcoin is distributed as a pyramid - I think this is undoubtably. But as I said earlier, that is capitalism - not only bitcoin.



27. Post 8264622 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 09, 2014, 01:47:03 PM
Most of these things listed above are NOT pyramid schemes, unless they are causing value to float to the top without any reciprocating value being transferred below.  The only way that value gets transferred lower down the pyramid is to find more suckers below.  None of these listed items are pyramid schemes, unless they are designed as such.  Bitcoin is also NOT a pyramid scheme b/c there are tangible assets, including an infrastructure and a network and continued investments in side businesses.... NO need to explain further at the moment b/c these pyramid scheme/ponzi arguments are totally attempting to simplify bitcoin into something that it is NOT and playing upon ignorance.

What you are writing is correct but you are arguing in a sophistry manner, bitcoin is no pyramid scheme, regarding the typical fraudulent definitions. It's a semantic shift by mmitech, talking of pyramid scheme but meaning a pyramidical wealth distribution. Reading you, I get the impression that you are not silly (even as I would not agree with a lot of your quoted text) and you understood the regarding context. That the wealth of bitcoin is distributed as a pyramid - I think this is undoubtably. But as I said earlier, that is capitalism - not only bitcoin.


Wealth of Bitcoin is more likely to be a Boltzmann type distribution (in my opinion)

Agreed, as a pyramid is a very rough description for any wealth distribution.



28. Post 8294571 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: HarmonLi on August 11, 2014, 11:53:51 AM
Everyone needs to get bearish so we can liftoff again.

So you think we need to shake out some longs first, or do you think we simply need to get the movement going again? I try to understand why people feel the need for another crash before a new rallye can emerge!

need real despair. i mean REAL. almost to the point where you will think the game is over and that bitcoin failed. Wink

Wow, yeah.. That would surely spark a decision I guess.. But I don't know if I could handle that, I'd be freaking out completely. But I want to stay in Bitcoin, I don't want to play it safe or try to daytrade the market (because I'd fail Wink) What can I do to ease my mind a bit? Cheesy

Despair only helps existing bears, useless.
We need new people to get in, that's all.

But that sounds like the logic on which a pyramid scheme is based on! Aren't we trying to shed that clichee off of Bitcoin? Although I guess it is kind of true, because more people have to come in (or funds, to be precise) than there are new BTC mined every day!

What do you think is the difference to the stock market? For a rising value you need new buyers or existing investors accumulating more.

Higher demand != fraudulent pyramid scheme

But I agree so far, that a lot of people are trying to let Bitcoin look like a pyramid scheme (Price is always cheap, no matter what price you buy, there's only one direction: up, etc.)



29. Post 8296893 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: DjPxH on August 11, 2014, 03:12:07 PM
Massive dump on Stamp, panic everyone! Which exchange started it, does anyone know? Wow what a sad beginning for this week, in which so many people put their hopes and dreams in!

Yes. Bitcoin is actually in a period of massive pump & dump, this rollercoaster is making me sick.

I would prefer a chart that looks like the surface of a neutron star.



30. Post 8311995 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: mmitech on August 12, 2014, 12:55:08 PM
Anyone noticed that the value of Bitcoin has risen quite a lot the last half year, regardless the price of bitcoin?

Whoa what do you mean by that? The price is the measure of how valuable a Bitcoin is, isn't it? I don't seem to be getting what you're trying to say here. Please enlighten us, man Cheesy

The utility of bitcoin is the sum of the benefits derived from its applications by its users.

The value of bitcoin is the size of its transactional economy over a given period.

The price of bitcoin is wherever the market happens to clear.

Only in the case of perfectly rational actors under perfectly efficient condtions will these three coincide.

I don't agree, this is just delusional stuff you are talking, a value of a bitcoin is exactly what it can be exchanged for (in terms of goods and services) compared to what can a dollar (or gold, Euro, Yen...) be exchanged for.

This is more a philosophical question. You are both correct.



31. Post 8313807 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: HarmonLi on August 12, 2014, 02:11:30 PM
I don't believe in charts or past trends. I just have a "gut feel" that price will go up in long term. Holding until it goes below $400 or above $700. Will buy more below $400; sell some when above $700.

Are you not worried by the crash at all? I mean I'm quite impressed if you're not, but I think it's at least somewhat worrying in these difficult times, after all. No one knows which way it'll go eventually...

Worrying about price dumps on high risk investments is like trying to learn to swim in sharks territory.



32. Post 8329294 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: mmitech on August 13, 2014, 11:53:39 AM
no more bubbles. but stable and constant growth.... and I wish that will happen, so most of the greedy bastards here will learn a lesson.

A stable and constant growth is only possible in short to mid term times spaces. The fundamentals of the bitcoin economy can not handle this kind of growth. A strong bear market, going down to low 300's - possible. A stronger bear market , going down to 100's - possible. A stable and constant growth over several years - no.



33. Post 8329411 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: X7 on August 13, 2014, 12:10:03 PM
no more bubbles. but stable and constant growth.... and I wish that will happen, so most of the greedy bastards here will learn a lesson.

A stable and constant growth is only possible in short to mid term times spaces. The fundamentals of the bitcoin economy can not handle this kind of growth. A strong bear market, going down to low 300's - possible. A stronger bear market , going down to 100's - possible. A stable and constant growth over several years - no.

Thank you for the astute analysis - please... have a seat and enjoy a nice tall glass of stfu - you are whats wrong with BTC - plzlearn2economics
.

Why so upset?

I studied economics (Volkswirtschaft). Well, I could tell you that I'm Julio Iglesias, too. But however. A stable and constant growth is not possible - just my point of view. No reason to freak out ;-)



34. Post 8329732 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: X7 on August 13, 2014, 12:19:34 PM
no more bubbles. but stable and constant growth.... and I wish that will happen, so most of the greedy bastards here will learn a lesson.

A stable and constant growth is only possible in short to mid term times spaces. The fundamentals of the bitcoin economy can not handle this kind of growth. A strong bear market, going down to low 300's - possible. A stronger bear market , going down to 100's - possible. A stable and constant growth over several years - no.

Thank you for the astute analysis - please... have a seat and enjoy a nice tall glass of stfu - you are whats wrong with BTC - plzlearn2economics
.

Why so upset?

I studied economics (Volkswirtschaft). Well, I could tell you that I'm Julio Iglesias, too. But however. A stable and constant growth is not possible - just my point of view. No reason to freak out ;-)

In the off chance that you are economic studying Julio Iglesias - your knowledge has indoctrinated you in a world you cannot move past - I know a lot of 'educated' people who fail to see a HUGE paradigm shift.

But I also saw that when I tried to explain to an elderly man that the post office would take a back seat to email and he told me I was speaking 'rubbish'

You can't stop technology - and good luck trying to block the truth - Bitcoin is our only chance to have TRUTH in an otherwise nebulous money society.  

I'm not saying that bitcoin will fail or is forced to fall back to the 100's. But it could. Being aware of the risks of a very, very young market let me see downward movements with composure. I doubt that bitcoin could growth in a harmonic way, since it's not the way in which young markets are growing.

Being an ecomist does not qualify me to make valid judgements about the bitcoin future. In some cases even high qualified economists fail to make valid conclusions regarding very young and volatile markets:

http://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/banken/commerzbank-chefvolkswirt-bitcoins-haben-auf-dauer-keine-chance/9118802.html



35. Post 8330118 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: diebuntekuh on August 13, 2014, 12:55:57 PM
Being an ecomist does not qualify me to make valid judgements about the bitcoin future. In some cases even high qualified economists fail to make valid conclusions regarding very young and volatile markets:

http://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/banken/commerzbank-chefvolkswirt-bitcoins-haben-auf-dauer-keine-chance/9118802.html

Commerzbank? Srsly? You got a PhD in clownsian economics too? Smiley


No matter what you study, one thing is important: you have to read attentively to not to misunderstand and build up false conclusions on this.



36. Post 8330802 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: X7 on August 13, 2014, 12:45:37 PM
Well at least you aren't so caught up with arrogance that you won't admit to the possibilities.
Anything is possible my friend - I personally back freedom... Bitcoin means a lot to me - more than just money in my pocket

I'm invested in Bitcoin, with a decent amount of money, beeing prepared to lose it in worst case scenarios. So I admit a lot of possibilities.



37. Post 8331357 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: hd060053 on August 13, 2014, 02:30:14 PM
so who sold at 525 ? hope u learned ur lesson  Grin

So potential for more downward movement is exhausted at all and the old mantra of: "There is only one direction: up" is starting again?



38. Post 8333342 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on August 13, 2014, 03:20:38 PM
If we break into $400s this could trigger a lot of weak hands and we might just see $300 range coins again. If be a happy happy buying fool @$350-$399

At least 440,00 - 400,00 now is very likely, maybe lower. I guess market will initiate a bull run, when most people (fore-)see it crashing throw former ATHs and this become-a-millionaire-in-21-days fever has cooled down.



39. Post 8333725 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: falllling on August 13, 2014, 04:34:09 PM
so who sold at 525 ? hope u learned ur lesson  Grin

you will think he is smart soon, just like the one sold at $1200 $1000 $900 $800 $700 $600 ..

Recognizing this false pattern in logic is why bear trolls are one step ahead bull trolls in the current market situation. Maybe you are very smart troll, who grasps when paradigm changes.

(I know, to fulfill your obligation as a bear troll you will response me, that paradigm will never change until we hit zero)



40. Post 8334345 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: fonzie on August 13, 2014, 05:10:21 PM
@ fonsie

better cut loose at the top of the next bulltrap 560-580$

Stop denying, Bitcoin is going to 200$

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Oh, you changed the sides, again. Some funny times are coming. I like bear trolls more than the bull trolls. They are funny and quite amusing. The bull trolls are always very serious and sensible.



41. Post 8349253 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 14, 2014, 01:32:35 PM
Final capitulations are the sweetest buying opportunities. You would probably never have heard of me, unless I happened to analyze the fundamentals and charts for month, before buying in at the final capitulation of 2011.

The more ppl speak like you (and the less they speak like me  Cheesy) the better, because that much closer to the bottom we are.

But real tough guys can make the decision without sentiment analysis as well as with it. I hardly knew about the forums back then, even my account is from 2012.

It is the new money that will raise the price to new levels. They are still waiting. What can you do but wait? Next room to me now, there is a guy who takes jacuzzi every day and smokes cigars. He held through the bubble, and the fall, and the capitulation (of 2011) and ever since. His friends sold out in the downtrend and said they will come back if/when the tide turns. They never did. They are probably working now.

Bitcoin does not care if you make money or not. Also I don't care. I know there are enough people in the world who understand reasonable speech, and gravitate into Bitcoin in waves. And if bitcoin is foiled, now we have Monero, so there is a real backup, vainly sought after for 2-3 years.

The waiters came to ask what I want for breakfast, and roasted liver with red wine sounded like nice. Thank you for listening.




Is this Catherine the Great?



42. Post 8355470 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 14, 2014, 08:08:40 PM
I question whether it would be o.k....

What does this ok mean exactly?



43. Post 8355873 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 14, 2014, 09:02:56 PM
I question whether it would be o.k....

What does this ok mean exactly?



Maybe you do NOT realize that if you are NOT citing the whole quote, then you are citing the quote out of context. 

Additionally, from your question and from your fragmented, out of context quote, it appears that you are trolling rather than attempting to engage in substantive discussion of anything meaningful.

If I misunderstood you, then let me know, and we can start over..

Yes, you misunderstood me. Don't be so negative thinking, a troll trauma is explicable but not healthy for discussions ;-)

I did not understand the meaning of your statement, so I would be very pleased if you could deepen it.




44. Post 8357666 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 14, 2014, 11:34:03 PM
I question whether it would be o.k....

What does this ok mean exactly?



Maybe you do NOT realize that if you are NOT citing the whole quote, then you are citing the quote out of context. 

Additionally, from your question and from your fragmented, out of context quote, it appears that you are trolling rather than attempting to engage in substantive discussion of anything meaningful.

If I misunderstood you, then let me know, and we can start over..

Yes, you misunderstood me. Don't be so negative thinking, a troll trauma is explicable but not healthy for discussions ;-)

I did not understand the meaning of your statement, so I would be very pleased if you could deepen it.




I am just of the thinking that it could be difficult for BTC in the long term to recover from extended periods of downward price manipulation - b/c such sustained downward manipulation could cause too much exodus from the bitcoin space or even the marginalizing of bitcoin technology b/c of exiting and marginalizing of necessary bitcoin developments that are inspired by profit potential and potential for NOT taking seriously bitcoin... or even the investment into competitors that end up being worse than bitcoin.   

I could be wrong; however, b/c it is possible that even bitcoin could recover from such extensive downward price manipulation so long as behind the scenes developments are still taking place.  NONETHELESS, I am continuing to think that too low and too long manipulation of a price could be problematic for bitcoin.   

Also, by the way, I am NOT the only person to have made such a claim, so it is NOT like I am being innovative in my concern about prolong and extend downward BTC price manipulation.


I don't think it's manipulation, to me it looks like normal market development, even I don't think that a fall in price to the area of 300 or high 200 would effect the future of Bitcoin in a dangerous manner. It is what it is: a very young and volatile market.

Of course there is a very blurry border where trust is broken so hard, that it would be become a threat to the whole system. But I would point this trust-at-all-destroying levels a lot lower (same like you - this no objective statement - only a personal estimate)

I'm too tired now for a deeper argumentation (if there is any, as it's very speculative) - so thank you for deepening and sharing your thoughts.



45. Post 8357891 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: ssmc2 on August 15, 2014, 12:11:54 AM
Chinaman bull trap?

I call ~3400 tomorrow. After this sidewards (consolidation).

Let's see if I can become a guru ;-)




46. Post 8357954 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: justusranvier on August 15, 2014, 12:31:03 AM
Let's see if I can become a guru ;-)
Easily done.

Create a bunch of sock puppet accounts. Have each one make 10 random predictions.

Throw away the ones whose random predictions are wrong, and keep the ones whose random predictions are right.

At the end you'll have a group of suckers hanging on the every word of the sockpuppet that accidentally got lucky several times in a row.

Guru status achieved.

I don't like cheating ;-)

Therefore quite likely I'll never become a guru.



47. Post 8363648 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: cbeast on August 15, 2014, 11:39:00 AM
china going under, again.

brace yourself.
China bans Bitcoin!

Just again? :-)

Downward momentum on these China Bans is lowering on each repeatition, so in a few month we could could reach a reversal where momentum turns upside on China Bans ;-)



48. Post 8363699 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: tarmi on August 15, 2014, 11:50:56 AM
no china bans this time.

No, no china bans. I understood it as a joke.



49. Post 8364907 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: mmitech on August 15, 2014, 01:20:45 PM
This guy have such a talent that reminds me of the economists on this board.

Ha, ha! Good one. But don't believe that there are a lot better economists outside. If I look there, it's more aristocracy than quality. So you should extend your comparison ;-)



50. Post 8367080 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: aminorex on August 15, 2014, 03:39:11 PM
He estimates 6 to 18 months before a manic top.

Oh, Monkey is even more careful than my Maya doomster. He says 6 - 12 and he's a real merchant of doom.




51. Post 8367652 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 15, 2014, 04:34:37 PM
Even deliberate selling to move prices down requires coins.
You are putting way too much faith in the integrity of the exchanges and third part wallet services.

There is nothing that stops Bitstamp (deliberately or via subversion) from giving sellers infinite paper btc to trade with. They can get away with it as long as most people don't try to withdraw their coins. If they suddenly started making it hard for people to get their bitcoins back, that would be a possible indicator of this.

There is also nothing that stops Coinbase from loaning out customer btc deposits to short sellers. We'd never know if they had done so.


I really don't understand this...

I know you as a reasonable, knowledgeable poster. And, yes, what you describe is a possibility, but so is the claim that the entire 2013 rally was driven by Willy (which I don't believe either, for the record).

So why is it so hard to entertain the possibility that we're seeing the breach of the damn as a result of built-up selling pressure? We had a good rally to $680, from there on things started looking difficult, selling pressure was extremely subdued (for a number of reasons, but imo, mainly because the "hodl" mantra actually took hold - no pun intended), but without further fiat inflow and subsequent positive price action, it is only a matter of time before the sell-offs kick in.

Or am I being naive for considering this the most likely reason for what we're seeing now?

Agreed. Keep things simple. It's nothing more than normal market development.



52. Post 8367727 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 15, 2014, 04:37:49 PM
Even deliberate selling to move prices down requires coins.
You are putting way too much faith in the integrity of the exchanges and third part wallet services.

There is nothing that stops Bitstamp (deliberately or via subversion) from giving sellers infinite paper btc to trade with. They can get away with it as long as most people don't try to withdraw their coins. If they suddenly started making it hard for people to get their bitcoins back, that would be a possible indicator of this.

There is also nothing that stops Coinbase from loaning out customer btc deposits to short sellers. We'd never know if they had done so.


I really don't understand this...

I know you as a reasonable, knowledgeable poster. And, yes, what you describe is a possibility, but so is the claim that the entire 2013 rally was driven by Willy (which I don't believe either, for the record).

So why is it so hard to entertain the possibility that we're seeing the breach of the damn as a result of built-up selling pressure? We had a good rally to $680, from there on things started looking difficult, selling pressure was extremely subdued (for a number of reasons, but imo, mainly because the "hodl" mantra actually took hold - no pun intended), but without further fiat inflow and subsequent positive price action, it is only a matter of time before the sell-offs kick in.

Or am I being naive for considering this the most likely reason for what we're seeing now?


i can't believe people read all the good news and sell.

people look at the price and sell...

this move is purely manipulative.

I think the initial kick, were caused by inpatient people which saw a new bubble forming, what has not happened, so they sold. Now the initial downward kick has become a negative dynamic building up a strong downtrend.



53. Post 8367994 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

~10% to first mayor support zone.



54. Post 8368268 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: mmitech on August 15, 2014, 05:08:55 PM
2-Or will it follow the technicals and go even lower but recover in a long and slow period ?

I will not rule out your very bearish chart, but it does not look very technical. There are very strong support levels/trendlines to break, even a lot more stronger than the 440,00 support, so this is very a premature scenario. It's the contrarian extreme to delusional bull scenarios

Edit: Post deleted.



55. Post 8368414 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

I think I should go out here. It's really turning heavy pathetic.

Ciao :-)



56. Post 8370104 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: tarmi on August 15, 2014, 07:04:40 PM
They'll be a huge move upwards... but I think we have to clear the underbrush of leverage further, first. Remember, crashes in most markets with leverage typically stop at 55%. Maybe we'll stop sooner, but with $20mil in longs on Finex... don't bank on it. Wait until a bottom confirms and buy. This is pretty easy stuff. And yes, we'll lever all the way back up.


55% of 1163 is $640. We're already way over 55%.

55 % of 640.

Cheesy

Legit.



57. Post 8370342 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 15, 2014, 07:20:24 PM
They'll be a huge move upwards... but I think we have to clear the underbrush of leverage further, first. Remember, crashes in most markets with leverage typically stop at 55%. Maybe we'll stop sooner, but with $20mil in longs on Finex... don't bank on it. Wait until a bottom confirms and buy. This is pretty easy stuff. And yes, we'll lever all the way back up.


55% of 1163 is $640. We're already way over 55%.

55 % of 640.

Cheesy

Legit.
this on is for the bears, imagine a long squeeze down to 350ish back up to 540, extreme resistance cannot be over come @540, up is no longer an option!!! market immediately plunges 90%.

you got a hardon now dont you


Slow down please. I see myself as bull. Not this typical form of bull, where price must go up now, instantly without delay. But as a bull. I'm invested, I'm not selling, I've absolutely no panic.

55% of 640 is legit. Not a must be, but legit.

Read again please.



58. Post 8372324 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: cbeast on August 15, 2014, 09:47:53 PM


Let me guess? Game of Thrones? I never saw the series but the books are phenomenal.



59. Post 8373627 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 15, 2014, 09:35:04 PM

My average cost per BTC is about $610, including transactional fees..

That's a lot more than I thought. You started to buy all the way up to 1200?



60. Post 8373887 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 16, 2014, 12:05:57 AM

My average cost per BTC is about $610, including transactional fees..

That's a lot more than I thought. You started to buy all the way up to 1200?

I first started at $1200 on local bitcoin's in November 2013.  My first purchase was 1.24BTC for about $1500... something like that.  How about you?  What's your average BTC costs and your duration for being in the BTC game?  

By accident I heard about Bitcoin at the start of the November explosion. A bought the first small bunch at around ~400. Bought more on the first crash another time at around ~400 and on the third crash at around ~380. Between these mayor buys I bought a lot peanuts at all prices (except on the really high levels of +900), so my average price should be around ~450.



61. Post 8374092 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: samsonn25 on August 16, 2014, 12:22:37 AM

My average cost per BTC is about $610, including transactional fees..

That's a lot more than I thought. You started to buy all the way up to 1200?

I first started at $1200 on local bitcoin's in November 2013.  My first purchase was 1.24BTC for about $1500... something like that.  How about you?  What's your average BTC costs and your duration for being in the BTC game?  

By accident I heard about Bitcoin at the start of the November explosion. A bought the first small bunch at around ~400. Bought more on the first crash another time at around ~400 and on  the third crash at around ~380. Between these mayor buys I bought a lot peanuts at all prices (except on the really high levels of +900), so my average price should be around ~450.

If you sold some when it was higher you could have used the profits to buy more.

I did this, but only with not further mentionable amounts to buy ice cream for the kids ;-)



62. Post 8374515 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Yet again she's drunken and weaving. One more and she will trip over her own feet.



63. Post 8374780 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on August 16, 2014, 01:43:28 AM
Seems like people aren't buying this as the bottom. And so the game continues.

Agreed. Can't see their any significant support before ~440,00. If iI were not so tired, lethargic and lazy I would sell a bit and place an order on 450,00. But I'm really bone idle.




64. Post 8381973 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 16, 2014, 02:16:27 PM
Heck, I'm a perma-bull as are others but I take the downs with good humor and understanding.

Mentioning the word "down" and implying "possible" or "understanding", disqualifies you to be a permabull. Sorry, you are a long term bull, not a permabull.



65. Post 8393516 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 17, 2014, 03:01:33 AM
Heck, I'm a perma-bull as are others but I take the downs with good humor and understanding.

Mentioning the word "down" and implying "possible" or "understanding", disqualifies you to be a permabull. Sorry, you are a long term bull, not a permabull.

Bullishness (and bearishness) is about the future. Ups and downs are historical facts. There's no use crying over spilled milk but some want to wear sack cloth and ashes and flagellate themselves about it.

(Though you are correct in that I am more of a long term bull. I tend to be a short term bull also though)

Well, I think this board (or this thread) is implying a very exaggerated impression of the market-reality. For sure, there are these extreme types of bulls and bears but at large the market is not black and white, there is a lot of grey and varying. Fortunately, as would not like to live in a world with only two extremes.



66. Post 8418232 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 18, 2014, 02:58:39 PM

I have proposed a partial explanation: starting May/20, a few people got wind of something that made them buy all they could.  Now those people changed their minds, and dumped everything back.  So the price got back to where it was.  Is this so much sillier than the narwhals(*) that people have been discussing here?

(*) a large sea mammal reputed to be a cross between a whale and a unicorn.


That's how I see it, too.

If manipulation is: Clever players making money with bullish overexcitement, then it's heavy manipulated. Agreed. Business as usual, on all markets, not only bitcoin.



67. Post 8418892 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 18, 2014, 03:38:03 PM
weren't you bears thinking 490-480 was a breaking point which would lead to fast crash to 350?

don't you think it is too early for celebration ?

i'm not celebrating.

just asking

this is indeed the sentiment isn't

Adam? Please, tell me you are joking! You bears? Who is this "you bears"? Is the market driven by a mystery interconnected "you bears"-force and this mystery force (with 1000 heads and one body) is posting here?

I better go out here for a while...



68. Post 8419368 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 18, 2014, 03:54:13 PM
Tongue

Thanks. This smiley is very valuable for me.  Cheesy



69. Post 8424383 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Reading here I start to think: Bitcoin does not need any bears, having such bulls!  Cheesy
Looks like despair is not far away.

I really have to chuckle a bit, as for false interpretation and short to to mid-term skepticism a was called a bear, but looks like being a bear is making strong holding your investment without fear and despair.

C'mon guys, what have you expected? That it would rise without times where the market will shake his participants hard, harder and a lot harder?

Your are venture capitalists! This no government bond.



70. Post 8424674 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: Chuckee on August 18, 2014, 09:33:31 PM
Reading here I start to think: Bitcoin does not need any bears, having such bulls!  Cheesy
Looks like despair is not far away.

I really have to chuckle a bit, as for false interpretation and short to to mid-term skepticism a was called a bear, but looks like being a bear is making strong holding your investment without fear and despair.

C'mon guys, what have you expected? That it would rise without times where the market will shake his participants hard, harder and a lot harder?

Your are venture capitalists! This no government bond.

We're almost there.  I'm guessing we're going to see another four digit dump between now and tomorrow which should really set things off.  Either way, they're not getting my coins.

Prices won't magically shoot up tomorrow or any time soon "just because it's time".

Sweet troll, you are right! It could go to 200, it could go to 100, it could go even to 0. But one thing you are wrong.

If price will go up in the future, it could magically go up, (seemingly) without any reason, same as it's now falling (seemingly) without any reason.



71. Post 8425018 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: dropt on August 18, 2014, 09:51:30 PM


More really bearish sentiment. Turn at least short-term is likely close.

I agree, although I would hazard a guess to say we'll see another leg down yet.  The real despair only started within the last couple of hours.  Let the manipulator chinese super whales give it a little pump and another slam down on its face.

I hope you will not be astonished. This thing could go lower as most people here expect to.

I putted a bucked with cold water in reach in case this crazy lady is going to outrage.



72. Post 8425279 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

BTC-E seems to know what's going on, they keep cowered  Cheesy



73. Post 8434287 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: SirChiko on August 19, 2014, 12:13:50 PM
Do you guys think we will head back up? Or are we doomed? :/

Both not. But speaking in perspective of the typical bitcoiner I would say: We are doomed  Cheesy



74. Post 8434563 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: SirChiko on August 19, 2014, 12:34:37 PM
Do you guys think we will head back up? Or are we doomed? :/

Both not. But speaking in perspective of the typical bitcoiner I would say: We are doomed  Cheesy
Oh i see...it did seem like we are going up for a while but it's -10$ again :/

Oh, seems like you are referring to the 1 minute chart. Watching it from this point of view I've no clue, could even go to the moon  Cheesy



75. Post 8437518 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: proudhon on August 19, 2014, 03:39:20 PM
My guess is that this is mostly from big boys creating entrance points prior to ETFs.

Hey proudhon, are you currently a bear a bull or a proudhon? Smiley

It seems like the previous bubbles have desensitized traders and hodlers so much that the btc price has to smack us really long and hard in order for capitulation to occur. Such bad sentiment. wow.

Long term I'm bullish.  Short term, I haven't a clue what the coming weeks will look like.

Sad!  Cry

You as a bear is such entertainment. I hope for another season starting in the future ;-)



76. Post 8449981 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on August 20, 2014, 09:20:26 AM
Look at the LTC hogs going up like crazy in a down market. I swear, I think that there is leverage at play and they are going to get slaughtered on the next dip.

On the other hand, and I mention it here for this reason, it could be a sign that we are about to get a bounce on the markets. China's LTC market often times gets a jolt right before the BTC market moves.

Are you“re still trying to short something that already has been down ~90% from it“s last ATH.   Roll Eyes

its funny I read Newbie1022, then saw i could get out of LTC with minimal losses, i was going for it, LTCs on there way to btc-e now...

but then fonzie knocked some sense into me.

I am talking short-term (next few days), anyways, whereas you are probably playing at least a middle-term game. You're a smart cat and they are very cheap historically now.

Specifically, I wonder whether people tossed the leverage behind BTC on the rally or behind Alts on the rally because the Alts would have a higher bounce. I suspect the latter and I think it is why they are still high on the day... I think that's where the leverage game moved to.

not at 5am after watching bitcoin recover 5-6% only to get smashed again

at this point, i'm all feeling no brains....

Alts are rallying because traders are like " oh shit my BTC is losing value better dump it for my fav alt NOW "

Well smile and be well. I don't think the next down wave will break the last low anymore. I think if the sky was going to completely fall it would have done so by now.

When it rains, it poors. It just started to rain.
If she goes into madness-mode (no matter to which side), she tends to mount a drama.



77. Post 8451801 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 20, 2014, 12:04:27 PM
will we have what we are looking for? will price ever reach 1000$ again?

price will need to find its footing again, we thought we had it and doubled from the low to 680

now longs have been squeezed, shorts are increasing price is tanking and everyone is questioning everything again

this will pass... we may or may not make a new low b4 this passes who knows.

i wouldn't be surprised to see another doubling from the low after the market has found its confidence again, after that hopefully the good news keeps flowing and more importantly new users, and we'll be on our way.

don't expect a smooth ride, and i would think the market would refuse to buy 1000$ bitcoin again untill theres some good news / more usage.

but good news / more usage seems to be what's coming, with things like COIN being listed on the us stock exchange, thats sure to make heads turn, and there are other things to look forward to... once it gets going, things should turn around pretty quickly...

If all this happens and we do reach 1000$ again it will most certainly not stop there, we'll probably do another 10x increase aka "bubble"


so no one disagrees on any of this?

This bear agrees.

But it will need time. I guess 2014 will be a year of consolidation.



78. Post 8453349 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: bigdave on August 20, 2014, 01:46:23 PM
Looks like we stalled out at 490. I'm expecting a dump any minute.

More likely a pullback to 538 - 555. There things will get interesting.



79. Post 8453721 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 20, 2014, 02:07:11 PM
Looks like we stalled out at 490. I'm expecting a dump any minute.

More likely a pullback to 538 - 555. There things will get interesting.

Doubt it. There are people who did everything they could to take us down. They're not just gonna let it go back up again.

Oh, this pullback most likely would result in finding resistance and going down once again, so in this case your sellers won't disappoint you.

However,  it's nothing more than a long-shot guess.



80. Post 8453952 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 20, 2014, 02:29:37 PM
so..up, down or sideways for next 5 days?

Probably hover around $500-ish until early Sept. A few dips wouldn't surprise me, including one within the next 12 hours. Not going below recent low of $453 on Stamp, absent some terrible news.

Note the time of my post. Everything is unfolding just as I predicted.

 Cool Cool Cool

Magic Walsoraj!



81. Post 8455777 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: ensurance982 on August 20, 2014, 04:17:13 PM
2days price rebound +9.29%



Where exactly would that put us TA-wise?

Until now it's a bounce in insignificant price territory, not worth any further attention.



82. Post 8456359 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: dropt on August 20, 2014, 04:54:34 PM

You don't even understand what a dead cat bounce is, yet you keep telling everyone they're all over the place.

He's not the only one here confusing a dead cat bounce with a bull trap ;-)

Looks like a common mistake.



83. Post 8457075 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on August 20, 2014, 05:08:08 PM

You don't even understand what a dead cat bounce is, yet you keep telling everyone they're all over the place.

He's not the only one here confusing a dead cat bounce with a bull trap ;-)

Looks like a common mistake.

Can I get a short description of the difference? Thanks Smiley

A dead bounce is a not sustainable recovery after a very sharp decline.



Bull and bear traps are all over the way:





84. Post 8457352 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on August 20, 2014, 05:58:08 PM
Barely back above $500, on low-ish volume, right after a sharp drop following a long period of stagnation, still no signs of fresh fiat, but the hodlers (not the same as holders, got no problem with the latter) and cultists are back in force, talking about a new ATH this year, etc. Don't know if we'll make a new low anymore, but don't see any signs for a real trend reversal yet either.

Anyway...


Um, yeah. If there is someone smarter than you with substantially more money, then he's probably going to take it from you.  Listen up, people: there are two things that we are doing here to provide value to the Bitcoin economy: We are either reducing volatility and making money, or we are contributing volatility and paying off the good traders and hopefully learning something in the process. WE are the decentral bankers of Bitcoin. We are the liquidity providers and we are also here to take away the punch bowl when things get too frothy. We are trying to do what central bankers would try to do if bitcoin had a central bank.  Now bitcoin is too volatile which means we are needed. The goal for most people here is to learn what the hell you are doing before you go broke. It's hard, but there is great opportunity for those with skill and a high risk tolerance.

Pay attention to the moving averages.  until the four hour cross, there is no real momentum at all and we can assume a bias to the down side. I missed the train on the shot up to $687 so I'm not risking all cash, but here we are back in the four hundreds, so all I really lost was three months and I still have the same money as if I rode the market up and back down. Make your money on the overshoots up and down, and have enough coin and fiat to profit if either happens.

Happy to see you posting again, billyjoe. Don't always agree with you, but your posts are always entertaining.

This.

Voices of reason. Good to have them here.



85. Post 8533431 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

We can not go up, either down.

So how about building up some wall on 500 and after it's finished breaking it down and repeat it multiple times?  Cheesy



86. Post 8536781 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on August 26, 2014, 12:18:20 AM
We can not go up, either down.

So how about building up some wall on 500 and after it's finished breaking it down and repeat it multiple times?  Cheesy

That's a good thing. That means the price gets more stable and less volatile which make Bitcoin more useful for transactions. Bitcoin doesn't need a central bank because it has us. We make our money by punishing volatility.

I often heard this argumentation and it reminds me of my smallest child, 1,5 years old, using a bar of chocolate or toy blocks as a mobile phone.

Stability regarding your mentioned aspects is illusionary. Bitcoin can fake a matured market, but isn't a matured market. The market cap is a lot too small, and stability on ~500 is nothing more than a little rest before next volatile swing.



87. Post 8544622 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 26, 2014, 06:24:27 PM
Tax system is necessary for human community, isn't it? I thought it was common knowledge.

Whether taxes are spent properly is a different issue, isn't it?

Those who survived without tax can not say other people do not need tax support. If they say so, they don't really need bitcoin as well, as they don't need community.

Humans are social, by nature. Bitcoin will have to go well with tax. But, it does not necessarily go well with fiat!

Rape is necessary for human romantic relationships, isn't it? I though it was common knowledge.

Whether the victims are chosen properly is a different issue, isn't is?

Those who can obtain consensual sex without rape can not say that other people do not need to resort to rape. If they say so, they don't really need sex as well, as they don't need community.

Humans are social, by nature, therefore rape is a necessary part of romantic relationships.



Another ridiculous analogy.. tax is not the same as rape, and it is NOT even close to the same... so stop being inflammatory and devolving into misleading analogies.

+1




88. Post 8544648 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: fonzie on August 26, 2014, 06:18:20 PM






89. Post 8545137 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 26, 2014, 07:18:19 PM
X is NOT Y


You do know how analogies and metaphors work, right?

That varies a lot. Today a read here a lot of analogies that worked in a popolism way.



90. Post 8545937 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: justusranvier on August 26, 2014, 08:03:24 PM
The analogy is perfectly accurate, ...

No, it is not.

You try to compare a hard damage to your body & soul(rape) to a reduction of your financial wealth(tax). Following your analogy aggravated battery is the same as theft (*).

*remaining unanswered if tax is theft and trying to follow your understanding.



91. Post 8546611 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 26, 2014, 08:53:33 PM

*remaining unanswered if tax is theft.

It is not. It is robbery.

Inflation is theft.

It's a hard analogy, calling tax as robbery but it has some valid points, if we suppose that the violence aspect needed to fulfill robbery is the government and the consequences of denying to pay.

Speaking of a tax-free society, how to manage society and all their problems? I read a lot about robbery, theft, rape but not how to do it better. You won't tell me that pure ultra-capitalism would make us a better world.

Shoot the weak?



92. Post 8546869 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: lightfoot on August 26, 2014, 09:26:00 PM
Shoot the weak?
NO! In Libertopia you can enslave them. In fact Libertopia only works with unlimited slavery.

Which is kind of cool: Freedom is slavery.

C


That's what I thought, too. But further consequences would be higher crime, rebellion, robbery, theft, breach of the peace  Cheesy

So someone must shoot them down to keep the system stabile when poor people forming legion. In Libertopia this likely would not be a government, but private security services (payed with bitcoin?)

I really don't like the world(system) we're living in, but until now I heard nothing to make it better, but even worse.




93. Post 8569968 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: Sandia on August 28, 2014, 01:13:40 PM
$513 to 508.74 is enough to bring out the trolls?  That has to be bullish with less than a 1% drop is the most they can hope for.

I can remember a lot of threads and comments on higher price levels where people were shouting "That's all you can do, bears (trolls)?" and a few days after there came a lot, lot more. So should I interpret your comment as a bearish indicator?

No, it's nearly meaningless who's shouting here, but I would wish to read more cautious statements, a wish that will never come true, as some people don't learn from the past and keep shouting.




94. Post 8595534 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: klee on August 30, 2014, 07:46:32 AM
Bears never gonna learn  Cheesy

It horrofies me reading such things after 9 months of bear market. Was it not enough to go down to 300? Must it go down to the ~100 to cool down this maniac? Or even lower? To levels where is no more hope left?

Please let this not be a mirror of the general market sentiment, or the real cataclysm has not even happened.





95. Post 8595776 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 30, 2014, 11:25:26 AM
Bears never gonna learn  Cheesy

It horrofies me reading such things after 9 months of bear market. Was it not enough going down to 300? Must it go down to the ~100 to cool down this maniac? Or even lower? To levels where is no more hope left?

Please let this not be a mirror of the general market sentiment, or the real cataclysm has not even happened.




We have to cross one bridge at a time, and prices have NOT really broken $500, yet.  Then it would take much more work to get to those various lower levels that you mentioned. Do you really think bears have that many coins to sell or that they will be able to convince enough holders to sell at these prices and even lower prices... Gonna be tough to even get into the sub $450s arena... and I really have my doubts about getting that low absent some really decent FUD or other real negative news...

NEVER say NEVER, though.. NOT in Bitcoinlandia.   Wink

Both we know, that a bear is not something static. The bad and clever bear only had to sell his coins on ~1000 and bought back on ~400 to have 2,5x more coins (on only one swing).

Reading "bears never learn" after a long and hard bear/consolidation market makes me a bit afraid, that market participants are losing touch with reality.

No, I don't think we will fall to levels of oblivion and I hope we will build up a stable base between 400 - 600.

Quote from: klee on August 30, 2014, 11:41:05 AM
Get over it you lost the CCMF

*sigh*

The mysterious thing is that a lot of your bears will be on board of your CCMF, if and when it comes. Quite likely they would be one reason (if not the reason) of your CCMF.

So you should treat them better.



96. Post 8597334 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 30, 2014, 01:00:27 PM
Which was exactly schickeria's point by the way (if I understood him correctly).

You did.

Quote from: oda.krell on August 30, 2014, 01:16:57 PM
Keep in mind, I replied to a post by schickeria who complained that in a market like this (consolidation at best, continued bear market at worst) posts like Klee's "Bears never gonna learn" start sounding delusional. I agree with that, even when I'm long-term extremely optimistic for Bitcoin.

Here we share the seats, regarding "delusion" as well as long term.



97. Post 8613788 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 31, 2014, 06:41:20 PM
That is way too complicated... MORE likely is that he is just paid by some government of financial institution to talk shit about BTC...

If a government wants some FUDsters they have better options than this poor guy making an impression of a broken spam bot algorithm. We can blame our governments but better not this way.



98. Post 8614152 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: molecular on August 31, 2014, 07:18:45 PM
This constant downward pressure we've been seeing pretty much the whole year doesn't make sense anymore.
I simply refuse to believe this is natural. That this is what everyone wants.
I also don't believe in theories as banks or governments taking us down. That is nonsense. But this is simply not normal behaviour. It's getting absurd now. This last round of dumping is absurd.


how about miners need to liquidate coins to pay bills? It's the turn of the month. Many might've put it off waiting for higher prices.


I could not say it better:

Quote from: RyNinDaCleM on August 31, 2014, 06:47:58 PM
This fall is purely technical.
The way that news works is like this;
Bear market
Bad news is seen as very bad and good news just slows the descent.

Bull market
Good news is great while bad news slows the rise

It's all about how the news is perceived.

This fall is just unwinding the remains of the bear market. There is more coming and the news will do nothing to stop it. The fact that we had all this good news from earlier this year and we could only correct up a bit of the fall is a prime example of how much news affects the market. It will not create a reversal and we don't need bad news to have a correction. This is just natural market behavior.



99. Post 8615169 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: counter on August 31, 2014, 08:39:05 PM
If fallen is a paid troll I'd respect what he's doing even more because at least their is a chance for him to get something out of it.  If he's not being paid than that is just pitiful and feel bad for the time wasted.

You can imagine someone paying for such low quality FUD. I can't. It's quite beyond my imagination.



100. Post 8616118 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 31, 2014, 05:57:41 PM
I'm a buyer this morning...small buys on 5 separate occasions.

Feels goooooood!  Tasty!

Even though I keep buying and hodling.. similar to you, I don't feel good about it... I mean overall, I am still confident, but it still makes me nervous to have my whole BTC holdings falling in value like this - even though I am fairly certain it is temporary.. probably less than 6 months, at most.

This is one of the main reasons to prepare yourself (mentally) for strong bearish moves from the beginning of your investment and one reason (there are more) why I would never form part of the "to the moon" crowd.

Depreciate it! Bitcoin has just gone to 0,00$! You have lost all your money! There's nothing you can do more ;-)



101. Post 8616425 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 31, 2014, 10:24:43 PM
You could, you know, try selling some when it looks like price is about to take a dive. That tends to give plenty of powder to buy.

...

I know, I know, not an option. "Hodl for life" and so on Cheesy

Successful short term traders are rare. Not because it were extremely sophisticated, but it is an enormous psychic strain. You have to be born for this work.

I can trade with small amounts in short term, but to start trading just with a medium amount and I feel that I will die very young.

I estimate 95% would not be able to trade short term without becoming a mind wrack over time.

I know that there are people who can. If you are one of these, I congratulate.



102. Post 8616512 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 31, 2014, 10:43:41 PM
Anyhow, your last sentence seems to be referring to absolutes and blacks and whites and seem to be referring to a prediction of a future that has NOT yet occurred and your description of such future seems a little crazy from my perspective at the moment.

It's not a prediction, it's a mental attitude. All my high risks investments are totally worthless.

Until I come to the point where I start recalculating the value, most times...

...to make it worthless for another round.



103. Post 8616787 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 31, 2014, 10:54:05 PM
I personally have a lot more trouble with the mid term calls than with the short term predictions. Identifying a likely developing trend, and selling or buying into it seems relatively easy for me. But the question how to take your profits, in USD or BTC, *that's* the tricky bit, imo. Park them in BTC, and you'll see your profits melt away. Park them in USD, and one swing you missed later, and you only buy 2/3 of your original coins back.

How about open a small "hedge fond"? You stay with 50% of profit from beating the market (for example).



104. Post 8616980 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 31, 2014, 11:34:00 PM
I personally have a lot more trouble with the mid term calls than with the short term predictions. Identifying a likely developing trend, and selling or buying into it seems relatively easy for me. But the question how to take your profits, in USD or BTC, *that's* the tricky bit, imo. Park them in BTC, and you'll see your profits melt away. Park them in USD, and one swing you missed later, and you only buy 2/3 of your original coins back.

How about open a small "hedge fond"? You stay with 50% of profit from beating the market (for example).

Not sure, but is this a test of sorts? I'm absolutely sure I'm not the only one outperforming the market (i.e. buy & hold), and pretty sure there are a lot more successful traders than me, both in percent and absolute profits. I'm doing... okay.

Anyway, I only started trading last year, and wouldn't claim I really know what's going on, and handle other people's money. Also, a very practical consideration: in an illiquid market like this, I'm already struggling with slippage at my current volume. No idea how that could be handled if managed funds are more - guess that requires a completely different type of trading strategy, that I simply have no clue about.

No test, only a proposal.

It's that I experienced for myself not to be able to bear the stress. If you say, that you can handle it and you are successful beating the market (no reason to not to believe you) why not extend your talent? You could set a limit and start trading with peanut amounts to test it out.

I know that there are a lot more successful traders out there and maybe some of them are already trading with other peoples money and I know that it is something very different to trade with your money or the money of other people.

Think about it.

Maybe there will be more people interested. You set a limit: Max 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 BTC per Person, max total amount: 10, 20, 40, 60, 80, 100 BTC.

If you feel uncomfortable at all, no problem. As I said, only a proposal ;-)



105. Post 8617097 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: cbeast on September 01, 2014, 12:01:23 AM


She's looking cute and relaxed. Short term and momentum trading (with high amounts) let me look more like this:



 Wink



106. Post 8617403 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 31, 2014, 11:37:49 PM
Anyhow, your last sentence seems to be referring to absolutes and blacks and whites and seem to be referring to a prediction of a future that has NOT yet occurred and your description of such future seems a little crazy from my perspective at the moment.

It's not a prediction, it's a mental attitude. All my high risks investments are totally worthless.

Until I come to the point where I start recalculating the value, most times...

...to make it worthless for another round.


So you seem to be suggesting that you are employing a psychological tool to NOT invest more into BTC than you can afford to lose.. and then to NOT overly focus on whether your BTC portfolio is in the black or red.. something like that?

Not exactly but similar.



107. Post 8617540 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on September 01, 2014, 12:54:57 AM
Well, you may be correct. One thing is suggesting a strategy that works for yourself, and another thing would be to suggest some strategy for someone else if that someone else was NOT asking for any suggestions. 

No harm meant. I don't want to force you for some strategy. I read here, and sometimes I like to write my thoughts and get input from other people.

What you don't like or is meaningless for you, you can throw away. As with my high risk investments, same for my thoughts here - they are worthless from the beginning and I've no expectation. If they are result in something positive I'm happy. If they result in nothing, it's okay, too ;-)




108. Post 8618898 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: falllling on September 01, 2014, 04:35:59 AM

GABI is shorting bitcoin with their $200 million dollars?

Let's squeeze them!  Cheesy



109. Post 8629884 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: Sandia on September 01, 2014, 09:00:46 PM
We are not in a bear market.  We are in a market where the big guys make more money on dumps than price increases.  And dumps are SO much easier.

Of course it is a bear market. If you are supposing that some wealthy entities are enforcing intentionally the bear market - yes, very likely. But they can only do this as the demand is not strong enough. One other wealthy entity saying "Okay, fine. This price is more then a fair value, I will buy all coins offered for this price" bear market is done instantly. Why it did not happen yet? Are all big players (early adopters, institutional buyers, hedge fonds, VCs etc.) are forming a conspiracy? All of them?

Quote from: Sandia on September 01, 2014, 09:00:46 PM
I would rather deal with wallet street than bitcoin markets.

Bitcoin is a hardcore market. Let the bear market, or in your term "manipulation market" do what it wants to do. You can sell, you can buy, you can hold, you can trade but one thing you better should prevent - to get effected by it.



110. Post 8636279 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

I guessed as much, that this would happen - overexcited optimism switching to deep disappointment.

But that escalated quickly.  Cheesy



111. Post 8636678 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: oda.krell on September 02, 2014, 09:50:17 AM
I do mind however the sometimes rather aggressive "anti trading" sentiment in here.

Where. On. Fuckin. Earth? should trading / price discovery / speculation be discussed if not on the Speculation subforum?

That's nothing different from other things. People have their firm opinion about one thing and another thing. Inconsistency does not matter there. Most people are not open minded enough for thought provoking impulses.

btw. RSI divergence.



112. Post 8637038 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: oda.krell on September 02, 2014, 11:00:00 AM
This what you have in mind? Or something more short-term?

No. The small bullish one on the right. I estimate we get a small bounce back to 490 - 500.



113. Post 8640247 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on September 02, 2014, 11:11:54 AM
Yes, I may used strong language from time to time, but that is NOT the same as personal attacks

Very rude language, often accompanied by circular reasoning and nearly all other kinds of (evil, but very clumsy) sophistry. The constant use of sophistry is nothing more than a perfidious form of trolling. Cynically, but also characteristically for (advanced) trolling, you are very, very fast accusing other people to troll.

/ignore



114. Post 8672059 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

We should deepen our conversation about your maniac and your depressive periods, Mr. Wall Observer.





115. Post 8692873 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Bitstamp switched to full retard-mode:  Cheesy

Sell all you can - don't care about other exchanges! Press "SELL" and run away...



116. Post 8693021 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: podyx on September 05, 2014, 10:38:09 PM
Triple bottom!!!!
 Kiss Cool




117. Post 8703105 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

I wager we bounce back to ~550 before resuming downtrend.



118. Post 8733101 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Looking interesting, nice momentum...but until now nothing had really happened. 480 - 500 is the first interesting resistance zone, all below is cheerleading a potential bull trap just for fun.



119. Post 8733246 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: dyland on September 08, 2014, 07:11:36 PM
Smart money understands that this will create more sell pressure, hence the price is dropping already. Don't be a maroon and a bag holder, cut your loose.


hmm that's actually a good point.

A better point is that 99% of all news are only good for momentum traders and they don't effect a mayor trend reversal. Is this one of the 1% news? We'll know it when entering the real resistances, and not by bouncing up in the lands of nowhere and nothing.



120. Post 8733617 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: Torque on September 08, 2014, 07:33:15 PM
4 Trading steps of silliness:

1.  Troll traders dump bitcoin ahead of PayPal announcement

2.  Troll traders buy back their own dumped coins, hoping to fake a small rally based on PayPal news

3.  Price rises, bitcoiners think it's because of PP news

4.  When small rally loses steam, troll traders dump coins again

Yep, rally failed because we're now on to the troll trader BS.

That's a rough description of a momentum trade based on news. But to be fair, this works also the opposite way with bad news in a strong uptrend.

Let it rise to ~485 and I will put attention on it, until then....yawn.



121. Post 8749380 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Uh! Momentum out of nothing. That could get really interesting this time....



122. Post 8749578 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: ImI on September 09, 2014, 07:13:22 PM
Uh! Momentum out of nothing. That could get really interesting this time....

lets see if we can break it this time...


This momentum was not so foreseeable as it was yesterday, so I give it a lot better chances now. 50%.



123. Post 8749766 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on September 09, 2014, 07:37:19 PM
Well, this is getting ugly fast. It was a trap, folks.

This was a buy of one or at least only a few entities. So only they can get trapped on the current price level.



124. Post 8749943 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on September 09, 2014, 07:51:02 PM
This was a buy of one or at least only a few entities. So only they can get trapped on the current price level.

That's what I love about this place.

A decent dump by one or a few entities and it's the end of Bitcoin.

A decent buy by one or a few entities and it's moon train time.

 Cheesy

I said nothing about moon or trains! Please don't put words in my mouth.

Even breaking 500 would mean nothing more than breaking a very short term bear trend, and has a lot of potential for a bigger bull trap.



125. Post 8750192 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on September 09, 2014, 08:05:40 PM
Sorry if you thought I was referring to you. It was more a reference to the person you were responding to.

Okay, sorry for misunderstanding. Friends again!  Wink



126. Post 8751273 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: inca on September 09, 2014, 09:16:32 PM
Each and every one of you owe me a thank you. I predicted that it was a trap and that we'd stall out around $470... now the rally is developing momentum. Obviously, the market does exactly the opposite of my posts. So, I am going to keep posting that the price must come down. I am doing it all for your sakes. Just saying.

Note: I am still bearish on the market, generally, albeit not so much on today. But, as I said above, that might be a great thing for everybody else.

Why are you bearish when the market is clearly oversold, is a huge way down from ATH in a sea of good news that only a year ago would have been predicted impossible? Sentiment is a fluid thing, if we bust back up through into the 6xx's then watch it turn on a dime.

That's a long way to go to 6xx. Meanwhile 475 - 485 is worth more attention  Cheesy



127. Post 8761113 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Our troll juniors here have to learn a lot from fonzie, dump3er and keirinha. They are terrible and not amusing - more like a plague of fleas and ticks.



128. Post 8764182 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on September 10, 2014, 03:18:04 PM


Why not?  Huh



129. Post 8764357 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: spooderman on September 10, 2014, 05:42:36 PM
because one doesn't have millions in fiat sitting on exchanges, and even if one has the fiat required, the slippage would be insane

I saw this more as a warning and not a a logical consequence  Cheesy

This meme effected me to laugh (one of very few).

Look at CampBX! There one bought the whole book, quite likely only with binary dollar (without counter value) but one did it Wink



130. Post 8769416 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: thefunkybits on September 11, 2014, 01:20:33 AM
Who the hell would put up 4 digit walls ?

Especially considering the price would most likely be $500 + if said walls hadn't been put up



Maybe EW trading. If he speculates that we are currently only in a correction wave and downtrend will resume in a few days it's not a bad idea, to put such high walls right before the start of wave iii.

But I don't know if this is more than a wild guess. My knowledge about EWs is abolutely basic. Look here:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=672187.msg8766949#msg8766949



131. Post 8769481 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: thefunkybits on September 11, 2014, 01:41:06 AM
Who the hell would put up 4 digit walls ?

Especially considering the price would most likely be $500 + if said walls hadn't been put up



Maybe EW trading. If he speculates we are currently only in a correction wave and downtrend will resume in a few days it's not a bad idea, to put such high walls right before the start of wave 3.

But I don't know if this is more than a wild guess. My knowledge about EWs is abolutely basic. Look here:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=672187.msg8766949#msg8766949

Maybe...

But if the seller really wanted to get the best price for his coins he would pull the walls, set small walls $10 higher and then set walls again.

Seems pretty odd to me if their intent really is selling all those coins



You don't know how much more he/they have and want to sell on higher levels or on the (speculative) way back down.



132. Post 8808872 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Bearish divergences. Looks like it's topping.



133. Post 8809422 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Resuming our conversation about one does not simple buy the whole book.




134. Post 8809487 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: Eindbaas69 on September 13, 2014, 10:14:31 PM
Where did you found this chart buddy?
I'm new..
I bought 50btc today.

Buy the whole book on kraken! It's not that large!  Cheesy



135. Post 8810009 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 13, 2014, 11:18:00 PM
I hear ya.
but!
say the shorts that covered was the manipulator ( same manipulator that has been driving down prices, trying to force capitulation ) he just changed teams... and he's a hell of a player.
put that in your pipe and smoke it!

For me it's totally uninteresting if there's acually some strange kind of bear raid ongoing, but people with that amount of wealth trading are normally not that dumb. Smart players know that they have to hide their shorts from the market, so if any question is valid you should better ask why someone is shorting so obviously? Is he trying to direct the market into a trap to the opposite position?

But I will not deepen such thinking cause ultimately we will get no answer. I stay with what I see: An overall very bearish picture. I admit that this could change quickly but at least for first small bullish signs that could occur we have to wait for the end of this consolidation what once again makes a rather bearish impression.



136. Post 8810166 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: fonzie on September 13, 2014, 11:57:52 PM
I hear ya.
but!
say the shorts that covered was the manipulator ( same manipulator that has been driving down prices, trying to force capitulation ) he just changed teams... and he's a hell of a player.
put that in your pipe and smoke it!

For me it's totally uninteresting if there's acually some strange kind of bear raid ongoing, but people with that amount of wealth trading are normally not that dumb. Smart players know that they have to hide their shorts from the market, so if any question is valid you should better ask why someone is shorting so obviously? Is he trying to direct the market into a trap to the opposite position?

But I will not deepen such thinking cause ultimately we will get no answer. I stay with what I see: An overall very bearish picture. I admit that this could change quickly but at least for first small bullish signs that could occur we have to wait for the end of this consolidation what once again makes a rather bearish impression.

Just because someone owns a few thousand BTC doesn“t mean that he“s overall smart or can control the market. If have seen fools(DavidPate) puutin up 1000BTC bid walls for Mxcfees near the top or 4-5000BTC sell walls @LTC/BTC 0.08 a year ago. That 3000BTC sell could have easily belonged to a 16 year old hacker, that might have gambled too hard.

Yes, of course. You are right. This shorter could be an idiot. I only would not count on that he's an idiot  Wink

Therefore I said: I better stay with what I can see and that's not so much  Cheesy



137. Post 8815874 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: klee on September 14, 2014, 01:34:00 PM
War of the Walls

This looks more like a suckers battle. Selling pressure is just as low as buying pressure. The real resistances are at higher levels and real support on lower levels.

A meaningless weekend battle  Wink



138. Post 8843207 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Meanwhile consolidation on Stamp and Finex is not finished yet. You will all left behind when it skyrocks with a breakout upwards  Cheesy






139. Post 8845014 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: jaberwock on September 16, 2014, 02:19:11 PM
Meanwhile consolidation on Stamp and Finex is not finished yet. You will all left behind when it skyrocks with a breakout upwards  Cheesy





People talking about sky rockets for months.

And no sky rocket so far, only downwards

It was a semi-joke. Not a joke as consolidation in fact has not ended yet, but it looks quite bearish and nothing seems to indicate a breakuout upwards. ~400 is quite likely, ~300 also seems reasonable, and there is even potencial for a further capitulation.



140. Post 8846214 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Sandia on September 16, 2014, 03:10:56 PM
Meanwhile consolidation on Stamp and Finex is not finished yet. You will all left behind when it skyrocks with a breakout upwards  Cheesy





People talking about sky rockets for months.

And no sky rocket so far, only downwards

It was a semi-joke. Not a joke as consolidation in fact has not ended yet, but it looks quite bearish and nothing seems to indicate a breakuout upwards. ~400 is quite likely, ~300 also seems reasonable, and there is even potencial for a further capitulation.

I will say it again, and get mocked for it again:

If btc goes below 340-350, there is no future for btc.  We have already lost so many new adopters this year.  Expecting anyone with a buy in from 2014 to stick around for a 40-70% drop in value is ludicrous.  Long-term growth is based on adoption, not short-term greed.  It would be a Pyrrhic victory for the whales who engineered it. (Exponential growth implies exponential adoption, which implies that the vast majority of btc owners are from 2014, amirite?)

Inb4 is btc dead AGAIN, remember 2012, stupid newbie (who has owned coins for 3 years...), there is no such thing as manipulation, this is consolidation, this is is the accumulation stage, etc.

Discussion question: do the vast majority of early adopters believe in btc, or are they trying to get as much money out of the next "bubble" as possible, then run with the fiat?  And the follow up question: does evidence from the market support one side or the other of question #1?  Scary for those who think, tragic for those who feel.

I am going to drink some Chang draft for the next few weeks, and try not to pray for a crash.


I don't agree.

First let me explain the potencial capitulation aspect. It looks like that over the past years a lot of market participants have developted some very naive kind of market perspective, that implies we top out at some point and after that we have a bear market to 0.3 - 0.25 of the top only to repeat the same pattern until we reach 1,000,000$ and beyond. Now breaking below 340, could effect a cascade of Get-Rich-Quick Holders to unload their cold wallets and we could see a cascade of heavy selling waves forcing a capitulation.

This possible cataclysm has not has to materialize never, but it's far away from delusional bearish dreaming. If we now draw a mid sized cataclysm of a capitulation low to ~220 you really mean this would be the end of bitcoin? I say, no! I say the market only would liberate hisself from exaggerated expectation, and from people who mean they can calculate market movements by counting 1 + 1 = 2.

Regarding your point of new adopters: in this early stage of bitcoin they have no big impact to the markets. They market makers, the ruling traders etc. have an impact. New adopters are like flies smelling shit, they go away when there's nothing to earn, only to come back as a bigger crowd when weather is bettering.

As I said, capitulation has not to materialize, but if it does you should stop kinda thinking that many called permabulls here have. A lot of them  (not all - as there are of course some real believers) will sell and than quitle likely beeing trapped. Hold, sell now, buy now, do what you want but don't sell into a capitulation and don't believe capitulation would mean the end of bitcoin, it likely would mean the contrary.



141. Post 8846840 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Richard Branson on September 16, 2014, 04:36:51 PM
And no, I'm not from a 3. world state (like the usa).

 Cheesy



142. Post 8847843 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on September 16, 2014, 05:42:54 PM
I remember the good old times when the price doubled on a mere mention in Forbes magazine. That was in 2011, and the price was $3. Cheesy

It's not even that unmotivated, if you think about it.

Back then, Bitcoin was fighting for even the slightest chance at recognition, and even just awareness. A mainstream article was enough for that.

Next was merchant adoption. Took a while, but it looks like Bitcoin is on track in that respect. Makes sense, as well: there's a good, solid financial incentive for merchants to favor Bitcoin over legacy payment systems (assuming they put a processor like Bitpay in between).

Now that that one is settled, more merchant adoption (short of amazon.com) doesn't seem to move price up much anymore.

So, big question to the audience: what's the next "unresolved" question (as in: something that the market still reacts to)?

I have a hunch Cheesy
Totally agree with you. My hunch? Getting Bitcoin tradeable on every real world broker, aka ETF.

Other than that, Bitcoin is IMO still searching for a "killer app". I don't know what future ones could be, but since Silk Road and SatoshiDice I haven't seen much that motivates people to use Bitcoin over fiat for transactions.

I bet with you that it needs no reason. If there will be any so called reason I think it's only a coincide. People are calling reasons like Cyprus, China etc... at best it has been a small push and after that it's all kinda mass psychology.

If we were rising now people were shouting GABI and PayPal is the reason.

It's a wave, nothing more.

You can see these small pushes even now. PayPal effected strong upwards momentum, but it couldn't stop ongoing wave.



143. Post 8850517 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: mmitech on September 16, 2014, 08:27:08 PM
stop with "manipulators" conspiracy, not every single trade that effect the price is manipulation, we are 200$ (from 650) in 2 months and you are still talking about bubbles and manipulators!!!  the truth is that the price might fall down further, I am surprised it held this long.  

Once I read that bitcoin is the devils method to teach nerds economics. Some do, others not. Regarding that a bear raid is something that happens in other markets too (I can't recognize an ongoing bear raid, but this does not mean that there is no one) I find it a lot more troubling that a lot of people here still seriously mean that bears could run out of coins. That's a big lack in education about market behaviours. Likely these people (bears) will effect the last big selling wave  (Hell!  They are not running out of coins! I can't explain me that, but better I sell now until these bears make bitcoin worthless).



144. Post 8850675 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 16, 2014, 09:07:50 PM
oh cares!

cut your looses!!!

Never!!! I will live proudly in that van down by the river Adam! You will live there with me you permabull!

You can learn to become an expert fisher. That way we wont starve and could make a living. You down?

down. i'll leave my wife & kids tomorrow.


Was it not that nearly all people were shouting for cheap coins? Looks like they are coming.  Cheesy

No, seriously no matter where it stops (now, 400, 300, 200 or even ~100) this is not the end, it's a big opportunity. Be happy! Really.



145. Post 8851425 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Soccruo on September 16, 2014, 10:13:24 PM
Actually this bear market accumulates very high tension for an upcoming buble..

More tension we accumulate and more high will be the explosion...

And that's exactly what derpinheimer said, and it's correct: With this kinda assumption you fuel capitulation, not a bubble.



146. Post 8855979 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: podyx on September 17, 2014, 07:48:22 AM
Feels great to see my life savings just dissappear

Can't sell at this huge loss either..



fucking hell


when playing with life savings maybe some stop losses are in order.

I probably won't be selling, (maybe but not sure)

I'm taking loans if we go sub 400
I will be incredibly fucked if this thing goes wrong...

That would be stupid. Better sell now or quick and set an stop loss for a upswing, for example ~490/520. Yet price is moving slowly, but if you sell into momentum you could get burned hard.

Or hold all the way till the bottom.



147. Post 8856672 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: findftp on September 17, 2014, 09:09:03 AM
Quote
is it possible for bitcoin price to trade below 400:
strong yes    - 28 (25%)
strong no    - 10 (8.9%)
yes.    - 29 (25.9%)
no.    - 14 (12.5%)
idk but i cut my looses!    - 1 (0.9%)
IDK, but I say HODL!    - 30 (26.8%)
   
Total Voters: 112
Not many times I've seen poll results accepting a downfall..! almost 67% of feels that btc might trade below 400. Wait and watch if that happens.
Usually the opposite happens.
Markets often move in the opposite direction of what most market participants expect.

Is it possible for bitcoin price to trade below 400?

Why it should not be possible? 0,10$ is possible same as 100,000$ is possible. Stupid poll, or is it that I understand it wrong?



148. Post 8856816 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: itod on September 17, 2014, 09:24:09 AM
Is it possible for bitcoin price to trade below 400?

It's obviously possible to trade as low as BTC production price is reached, currently well below US$300. Nobody will sell them bellow what it costs to mine them. Except that limit, everything else depends on the demand. If we hit that price watch for datacenter movement to locations with extremely cool climate and dirt cheap electricity.

Nearly all prices are possible regarding the poll, even prices near 0$. You are talking about realistic prices, that's another thing.



149. Post 8857001 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: sally87 on September 17, 2014, 09:34:41 AM
That's true! But you think the Bitcoin price will stay below 300$ or 250$ for one month. Even when that happens it will increase again. I keep them in my pocket, because there is a lot of votality on the price on this moment.

Some of you guys are talking like it's just all written down in the books. Why don't you better say "I suppose it will increase again" and not "it will increase again". It makes the impression of lemmings jumping from the cliff...



150. Post 8859639 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Tzupy on September 17, 2014, 01:21:38 PM
It's going to be fun to watch then support at 440$ will be broken. Grin

I don't think this will happen yet. Looks like a small bounce is incoming.



151. Post 8859809 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: mmitech on September 17, 2014, 01:46:43 PM
It's going to be fun to watch then support at 440$ will be broken. Grin

I don't think this will happen yet. Looks like a small bounce is incoming.
you call 1400 BTC support ? what happened to the 10K and 20K BTC walls that we've seen at the beginning of this year ?

You was talking with Tzupy, not? I don't care about this wall, but I see divergences indicating a bounce.



152. Post 8859970 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: ensurance982 on September 17, 2014, 02:03:41 PM
Dead cat bounce, fake recovery, or failed to get through the $450s this time? What's your opinion? I'm really not sure, and quite scared, shorted a tiny tad more. Not convinced this is the bottom.

No. I don't think that this is the bottom. The bottom quite likely will be followed by heavy volume spikes and large divergences. This looks more like a small correction.



153. Post 8860315 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on September 17, 2014, 02:27:24 PM
There is no manipulation people. Blitz, our mod, said so. This is totally natural market behaviour.

If it's better for you to believe in bear raid, ok. But in conclusion it makes no difference what the reason is.

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 17, 2014, 02:28:08 PM
lol manipulation IS natural market behaviour.

Okay, now supposing it's all a big manipulation. What does it change, except feeling oneself more victim?



154. Post 8860478 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 17, 2014, 02:33:31 PM
price seems to have a strong tendency to rise, but it keeps getting knocked down b4 any momentum can build

<chart of bitcoin doing nothing but falling>

You got dem rose tinted specs on again haven't you ??
OK ... there is one big green dildo on there, I'll give you that much lol

poeple see wtv they want to see, i am no different.

You don't want to answer me, hm? I give it one more try.

What's the difference for you between a bear raid (manipulation) and a bear market as a normal market behaviour? Don't you think it's getting a bit too melodramatic?



155. Post 8860607 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 17, 2014, 02:43:50 PM
price seems to have a strong tendency to rise, but it keeps getting knocked down b4 any momentum can build

<chart of bitcoin doing nothing but falling>

You got dem rose tinted specs on again haven't you ??
OK ... there is one big green dildo on there, I'll give you that much lol

poeple see wtv they want to see, i am no different.

You don't want to answer me, hm? I give it one more try.

What's the difference for you between a bear raid (manipulation) and a bear market as a normal market behaviour? Don't you think it's getting a bit too melodramatic?

can you repeat the question?

I asked, if it makes any further differnence for you to see it as a normal market behaviour or a bear raid, except the second lets you feel more as a victim.



156. Post 8862310 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: inca on September 17, 2014, 04:45:17 PM
Dipped again, bought again. Cheap coins for everyone who wants them!

Obviously no one

The fact that the price has been sustained at, or above $450 for a while, with more BTC being created daily, shows plenty of people want them. Wink

Really ? I cant remember since when the price was/is sustained @ $450, wait... is it since the time it was $550 and you said we will never see $500 again, or is it since the time the price was $650 and you said you feel a bubble forming ?

cant really blame you, people are just desperate..... meanwhile lets do something fun, you ask your inspiration (risto, for readers who doesn't know) about how many coins he still hold and he have to sign a message were coins are contained, and come back to me with the answer and I will make it more fun and interesting with few other facts.
So what a fair price would be for you?

Please don't quote it!

But he's correct here. I really have no problem with bullish outlooks but sometimes it looks like people are not able to see the fact that meanwhile we are in a downtrend and it sounds absolutely delusional atm talking about a sustainable 450, where we are now 1 hour and it made a ridiculous bounce.

It seems to be impossible that "reasonable" people (not trolls) start to make reasonable comments, without delusion, conspiracies or starting a melodrama.



157. Post 8862760 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Moria843 on September 17, 2014, 05:25:23 PM
My speculation - I think we're seeing a downtrend.

You are my hero! The world is not that stupid as I thought!  Cheesy

Edit: And there has it gone, our sustainable 450.



158. Post 8862810 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: podyx on September 17, 2014, 05:32:34 PM
This is so fucked up..

makes zero fucking sense
anyone thinks there's a chance for sub 300??
I don't know if I will sell my whole fucking stash or leverage HARD if we would sub 300 Huh

Of course there is a chance. This would mean capitulation. But it has not to happen.



159. Post 8863313 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: podyx on September 17, 2014, 06:03:36 PM


Hell, Muhammad as-Sahhaf! You made a meme with this clown. Even I get scared now.

Loook here:

https://www.tradingview.com/u/ZarNegar/#search-charts=BTCE:BTCUSD

That's his TA friend, an equal clown - nothing more than entertainment.



160. Post 8873431 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: nottoorich on September 18, 2014, 10:29:28 AM
rpietila failed to call the bottom, but I won't.
The bottom is 347$.

274.97$



161. Post 8876118 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: oda.krell on September 18, 2014, 03:38:12 PM
There's a reason why there's a substantial growth potential in price - because there's a substantial risk that it'll all go tits up.)

That's it. Sometimes I wonder that people have no problem to assume and welcome 5000% price spikes but aren't capable to understand that this game has two sides. Now we are experiencing the other side. Maybe it will stop soon, but I give it a lot higher likelihood to go down further. I'm not sad about it. It will cool down the maniac, at least for a while and give good entry points for people - hopefully being aware of the risks.



162. Post 8876259 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: ImI on September 18, 2014, 04:06:38 PM
I feel dumpers running out of ammo, and shorts will have to cover soon.

This thing could bounce like a Mofo.

Also one of the things i've been reading for months and months.

Dumpers out of ammo.
Weak hands shaken out soon.
We're near the bittom.
Etc.

one has to admit that's true

Since there is no ammo at all, one keeps telling useless stuff.



163. Post 8877137 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Torque on September 18, 2014, 05:08:04 PM
I guess we're now re-testing a very very long term support line. This is worrying! If we break below $350 - I don't like this saying at all usually - we're doomed!

I truly think we're fucked if we cross that point. It simply shouldn't go that low if Bitcoin is healthy. If we cross it then there is something seriously wrong and there will be a good chance it won't go up anymore.

Actually, I would look at it differently.  If we go that low, and people really do start cashing out at a major loss, then we're looking at another 2+ years before even getting near the last ATH.  Because no matter how revolutionary bitcoin may be, the Average Joe just doesn't care enough to continue to lose money.  Period.

The average joe never cared about bitcoin. Maybe in 10 years, maybe not but for now he has no impact. Maybe a few as a lemming crowd buying up the last leg up of a bubble or the last leg down of a capitulation. Meanwhile forget about the average joe.



164. Post 8877232 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Wow, lowest weekly RSI since 2012.



165. Post 8877250 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on September 18, 2014, 05:19:45 PM
What would be dead is the inflated expectations of a few overzealous people. That's all.




166. Post 8877922 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: souspeed on September 18, 2014, 05:58:03 PM
Ok guys, this was it.... This was the final dip...
Get ready for the launch...

CCMF!

Hell! I better go and shoot myself. The world does not know any grace.



167. Post 8878018 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on September 18, 2014, 06:10:41 PM
do you guys think 10K$ in the end of 2015 is possible?

Is that you, Draper?

 Cheesy



168. Post 8878150 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: oda.krell on September 18, 2014, 06:10:39 PM
It can be hard sometimes not to feel like a huge bear with all the constant accusations from the rest of the bullish crowd that if you don't believe in $10k by December, you're a retard.

(and then you still have to draw a line between yourself and the actual bear trolls).

I surrender! Bitcoin's volatility is really nothing in comparision what one has to bear in this thread. I quit here, and will search a new, better home - Ryan's Log, Analysis never ends, Speculation Posting Guidelines or whatever. It's too heavy, my head! I need asparine or better some valium.



169. Post 8987644 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: findftp on September 27, 2014, 01:16:07 AM
Ok, I'm done.
Just sold all 12 shitcoins except monero and 1000 ripple because I don't know how to sell that shit (they are still shitcoins).
I'm all into bitcoin. Fuck it, I'm drunk and capitulated.
Fuck this shit. From now on I'm only into bitcoin, the rest can go to hell.
I'm sorry for the strong language.


You can sell ripple on justcoin for example. Monero on Poloniex. On both exchanges it's very easy to register and trade. That reminds me that I still have some 5000 ripples, too.

https://justcoin.com

https://poloniex.com




170. Post 9003802 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: klee on September 28, 2014, 01:30:13 PM
cryptos are my full time job, I want BTC only UP UP UP.
Your living expenses are most likely pegged to fiat, so for the time being try to get an income that is also pegged to fiat.

That way when the price goes lower it just means you accumulate more bitcoins and add to your savings.

If the price goes up, then your savings have more purchasing power although you're adding to them more slowly.

Then you fundamentally don't care which way the price moves.
This is what I will do but it destroys my biz plans (people are not interested to buy when it falls despite my efforts to convince them for the opposite. Only 5% from my customers buy in the recent bear market, the others wait for clear bull signals..)

What kind of business is that? Just curious. Only off-exchange trade or something more/other?



171. Post 9015642 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: InvestorPerson on September 29, 2014, 12:44:38 PM
good news means slight bump up and right back to downtrend

True.

It opens the door for momentum trades, nothing more. Downtrend will terminate byitself, without good or bad news. But quite unlikely yet.



172. Post 9016266 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: inca on September 29, 2014, 01:35:59 PM
This (Circle) will have taken at least 12 months (two years, more?) to plan and bring to fruition, so they couldn't have expected to open in such a bearish period.  Will their presence increase demand?

It's unlikely IMO, sentiment is going to take a long time to turn around from Gox (which everyone here seems to have forgotten).


So your argument is sentiment will take a long time to change for the great unwashed because of gox, and your closing statement is that we, those most affected by it, have already forgotten gox. Erm.

Bears were never known as the wisest on these forums Wink

Well they have such an incredibly short lifespan before everything they preach is invalidated by the next upsurge in price. Most are secret bulls I suppose, but some like Edward50 are a very rare breed indeed!

Wow, this from someone who's been here less than 12 months.

Check my join date.

I've been through all this shit a few times and your cultist nonsense is pretty lame.

Join date doesn't equal bitcoin using date. And to be clear using a term like cultist just makes you sound like a troll.

You sound very cultish and there are also enough trolls on the bull side. How about a wager up to 25 BTC that we crash throw april low before 2015 if you feel so confident? Escrow, of course.



173. Post 9016600 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: Schickeria on September 29, 2014, 01:42:45 PM

Wow, this from someone who's been here less than 12 months.

Check my join date.

I've been through all this shit a few times and your cultist nonsense is pretty lame.

Join date doesn't equal bitcoin using date. And to be clear using a term like cultist just makes you sound like a troll.

You sound very cultish and there are also enough trolls on the bull side. How about a wager up to 25 BTC that we crash throw april low before 2015 if you feel so confident? Escrow, of course.

No? Take your time. My offer keeps even valid in case we bounce over 400. All the good news on your side...




174. Post 9016925 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: inca on September 29, 2014, 02:31:21 PM
You sound very cultishand there are also enough trolls on the bull side. How about a wager up to 25 BTC that we crash throw april low before 2015 if you feel so confident? Escrow, of course.


No? Take your time. My offer keeps even valid in case we bounce over 400. All the good news on your side...



It is tempting but I don't want to gamble 25 btc thanks. Perhaps a smaller sum but not a great amount as it is quite possible the price may drop and retest the April low.

I don't think being a bitcoin bull and a long term holder makes someone cultish. I am not brain washed so it smacks of trollery to use that term.

At least I post honestly about my expectations for btc, unlike the doom mongers and leveraged book talkers who actually are bitcoin bulls deep down, yet talk it down constantly ('game is over', 'cut your loose') for short term profit.



I understand. It's okay, no wager.

To me it sounds a bit cultish but I may understand it wrong. In the longer run I'm bullish like you, but meanwhile I suppose that there is more down to come. We'll see.

We gamble for a beer (5$) without any escrow but act of honour, agreed?



175. Post 9022716 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: Torque on September 29, 2014, 10:45:37 PM
and the dumps come right on time, come on..atleast get down to the old bottom bears.

not that I didn't expect dumps on circle going live, its been sell any news since China bans.

More good news to crash the price further!  Dump it into the ground, yay!

I hope Amazon announces adoption soon, so everyone can get those $50 coins they've been wanting.  Hell I hope the FED announces switching to bitcoin from USD, so it'll go to 0.

If you would recognize that this trend is driven by technicals and all the positive news have no more value than making momentum-money with news-buyers, this downtrend is easy peasy to accept. I think a lot of people get scared since they can't understand. That market makers trying to enforce a capitulation, maybe, but meaningless.

It's a game, and if you lose your composure, you'll lose the game. Take it easier, it's not that they are selling your childrens or parents  Wink



176. Post 9034333 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: klee on September 30, 2014, 08:45:58 PM
Bull trap once more, I'll pass this time...
Only that spike and the spike's only there to give a point to stay beneath later, China seems to have found bottom and big dumps are being swallowed up. Maybe. Impossible to know but there's at least the illusion of buying pressure.
It would be a BIG win if we don't go <370 - maybe this is the start of manipulating the price with higher lows (fingers crossed though I am all fiat)

Until now it looks very promising. But if it is a bull trap (on this price level), I think there are very bloody times ahead.



177. Post 9036005 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: empowering on September 30, 2014, 11:00:55 PM
(Not religious btw , but at the same time , all hail Hermes the God of Wisdom! and the hermetic truths, some say that maybe Abraham learned and formed his mysticism from Hermes, and from whence the Abrahamic religions Judaism, Christianity, and Islam were born (and twisted from the "Hermetic truths") anyways... whatever I say, I just like reading)

Well, the connections between religion in the ancient egypt and our todays religions are obvious ;-)

You should read some of the stories about Osiris, Isis and Horus and it will remind you on some other stories  Wink



Toth aka Djehouti is a deep myth, a lot of shitty esoteric around him.



178. Post 9044226 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: Torque on October 01, 2014, 04:50:41 PM
I've noticed that "bearwhale" is now some sort of deity cult figure. Apparently he has a huge power over the markets. Reminds me of KARHU, but that one was a joke.

Repent! Cheesy

Bow before your new God.

https://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/2hyl9c/daily_discussion_wednesday_october_01_2014/ckxbdu6

EDIT: I wonder how many people in this thread don't also frequent r/BitcoinMarkets.

He left out the 2k walls that the guy put up to stall the rally.  Every time the price dipped below the next 5USD level, he moved his walls down.

With no evidence, I have always believed the guy killed off either a bubble or a rise to a "normal" level of 800USD.  Instead, we have seriously damaged the reputation of btc by crashing down to the 300's.

Edit: I see no reason to read /r/bitcoinmarkets.  Short trolls and book talking dominate the subreddit.  This thread has several of the major whales in it (please don't delete my post again, you know it is true) and I am entertained  reading what they say about price changes.


Aren't the whales worried at all about the fact that these dumps are causing some people to seriously give up and walk away from Bitcoin?  I would think that they would hope, at some point, for the price to rise.  If more buyers just walk away with no intention to return the whales could just be shooting themselves in their own foot with these dumps.  I can understand their desire to use their stash of coins to make more, but they can manipulate the market at a higher point later just by giving the market some "breathing room" and letting it rise.  But what do I know?   Huh  Just a small holder here.

Same question I have BitChick.  It really seems as if more is going on here than just a whale with a lot of coins selling.  Someone seems to have an endless supply of coins and is actively trying to suppress a market that would naturally rise if not for the massive sell walls.  If they are trying to destroy market confidence, I say it's likely working so far.

Remove those walls, and I guarantee that we'd be at 500+ in 2 weeks, and with rising volume.

But no... don't even so much as breathe the word 'manipulation' on these sub, lest you get completely ridiculed and called a tinfoil hat wearer.  Even though the whales' intentions are so obvious an 8-year old could figure it out with the data.

What's very small minded is not the assumption of some intentionally enforced bear market* (bear raid or manipulation or whatever) but the absolute preposterous claim that it is always one guy mounting all the sell walls and executing all larger sell orders. At this point posters are starting to ridicule themselves.

*If if the bear raid exists, what does it mean? Is there any furhter difference to a normal market behaviour? Some difference how market participants are reacting or should react. For me as market observer it results exactly the same.
People need something to cry about? Is this the difference?



179. Post 9052288 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on October 02, 2014, 09:56:11 AM
This whole year Bitcoiners were telling me daily that the dollar is about to collapse. Instead the dollar is getting stronger by the day.


It's even not certain that a dollar collapse would necessarily boost Bitcoin. There are some assumptions and some hints, but it's not that certain as some people say.



180. Post 9070277 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

I think we'll find a meanwhile bottom very soon, in not more than 7 days, quite likely earlier. But how it will develop after a bounce to 400, 500, 600 or even higher, that's another question. I don't think it will be finished with this downswing.



181. Post 9070317 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: inca on October 03, 2014, 07:04:52 PM
I think we'll find a meanwhile bottom very soon, in not more than 7 days. But how it will develop after a bounce to 400, 500, 600 or even higher, that's another question. I don't think it will be finished with this downswing.

Hope it turns up Shickeria. We have a beer each riding on whether it breaches the yearly low before 2015:)

;-)



182. Post 9070459 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: hd060053 on October 03, 2014, 07:11:17 PM
I don't understand why holders are selling their btc



People that hold btc are doing so because they believe that it will be used worldwide by pretty much everybody, right? (="going to the moon")

This means that each btc will be worth thousands (or millions) of dollars, according to this thery.

In this view, btc are underpriced now... so why sell?

The only possible answer would be that they don't really believe in this technology, I guess

hodlers are not selling, only one entity/manipulator/mark karpeles is selling

So tired of small, plain children's world.




183. Post 9070640 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 03, 2014, 07:32:46 PM
ah all that talk about manipulation

bitcoin is still overpriced right now, we are still in a correction after last winter

Ok thanks, i almost bought some. Could you tell us when the price is right?

150-200 seems ok

bids at 200.1

fuck it 202

ahhh wtv 230

I don't think it will go below 300 on this swing.



184. Post 9071795 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: hmmkay on October 03, 2014, 09:19:32 PM
More despair please. Common bears, is this all you've got....pathetic.

Normally these are the words before even bigger dumps are starting  Shocked

Well, I think on the next bigger bounce we'll find here a lot of dead bear pictures, though when it happens it's caused at most with money from bears who sold at ~680, buying the coins from bulls who had given up  Cheesy



185. Post 9072291 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: BitChick on October 03, 2014, 09:57:44 PM
Why such hate?

You should better not argue with people who obviously...ignore it. If not it could depresse you and that's the target.



186. Post 9072516 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: Oblodo on October 03, 2014, 10:28:27 PM
Why are there so many conspirationist in here? Whales and Illuminati my ass. Just a bunch of amateurs with greed in their minds and herd behavior. Chill, this is a looong project, not something to be retarded over. It will be fine, and it will be dandy!

+1

Pure freakshow.



187. Post 9072577 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on October 03, 2014, 10:34:42 PM
Jesus never existed, he is and has not ever been. Not a single piece of evidence exist, just retarded, ignorant people, living in fear of reality think there is a god or super-being out there. You are just lustful, and greedy like all of us primates..  

Can we please leave religion out of here.  There is enough polarization on these boards already  Smiley.

Why? If we are talking about one dumper ruling all exchanges, executing all dumps, building up all sell walls, a discussion about God is not far.  Cheesy



188. Post 9072821 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: MoreFun on October 03, 2014, 10:50:58 PM
Jesus never existed, he is and has not ever been. Not a single piece of evidence exist, just retarded, ignorant people, living in fear of reality think there is a god or super-being out there. You are just lustful, and greedy like all of us primates..  

Can we please leave religion out of here.  There is enough polarization on these boards already  Smiley.

Why? If we are talking about one dumper ruling all exchanges, executing all dumps, building up all sell walls, a discussion about God is not far.  Cheesy

 Cheesy

To be honest doing this is very simple, click of the button and a tiny programming skills and you control the whole market. And you also need some BTCs.  Wink

Oh come on, please! I would argue with you about market manipulation in a more sophisticated manner. But this one dumper theory is a waste of time. If there is some bear raid ongoing then there are a dozens of whales involved into the game, and it's not a one man show.



189. Post 9073888 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Looking at daily rsi I doubt, that it will go a lot lower. The 200s are for now very unlikely. Maybe after the next upswing  Cheesy



190. Post 9081914 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: inca on October 04, 2014, 05:44:34 PM
Why hold BTC now when you can buy them for around 100 bucks in a month? Pre-MtGox-fake-pump is the true price of BTC.

You know a lot for a newbie with 3 posts.

I admit, I feel better that we did not bet for 25BTC. I would feel miserable to take away such amount from you. But I take my beer without remorse ;-)

Also this lets me test my new circle account:

1DWPQYzZKeBorz4ZHwdauNGQbDNZrg8he4



191. Post 9082202 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: inca on October 04, 2014, 06:43:27 PM
Why hold BTC now when you can buy them for around 100 bucks in a month? Pre-MtGox-fake-pump is the true price of BTC.

You know a lot for a newbie with 3 posts.

I admit, I feel better that we did not bet for 25BTC. I would feel miserable to take away such amount from you. But I take my beer without remorse ;-)

Also this lets me test my new circle account:

1DWPQYzZKeBorz4ZHwdauNGQbDNZrg8he4

Which part of the world are you in? What is the price of a fine beer there? Smiley

Germany. You  have sent me too much, we said 5,00$ ;-)



192. Post 9082295 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: inca on October 04, 2014, 06:54:19 PM
Why hold BTC now when you can buy them for around 100 bucks in a month? Pre-MtGox-fake-pump is the true price of BTC.

You know a lot for a newbie with 3 posts.

I admit, I feel better that we did not bet for 25BTC. I would feel miserable to take away such amount from you. But I take my beer without remorse ;-)

Also this lets me test my new circle account:

1DWPQYzZKeBorz4ZHwdauNGQbDNZrg8he4

Which part of the world are you in? What is the price of a fine beer there? Smiley

Germany. You  have sent me too much, we said 5,00$ ;-)

I remember it being more than that in Berlin the last time I visited! Enjoy it on me. Who says bitcoin is dead Smiley

Thanks, I will enjoy me beer. But don't think if one day we bet for 25 BTC I'll send you 50 BTC if you win!  Cheesy



193. Post 9084034 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on October 04, 2014, 09:51:56 PM
Did not brake 2000 CNY. Bullish.

Price did not break 1000 CNY. Bullish.

 Cheesy



194. Post 9084277 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 04, 2014, 10:26:01 PM
being bearish on bitcoin is like taking a coffee with 7 sugars.

Explain, please!  Cheesy



195. Post 9085469 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Are the deposits on circle are holded in BTC or fiat?



196. Post 9085518 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 05, 2014, 01:26:34 AM
Are the deposits on circle are holded in BTC or fiat?

depends what you deposit i guess.

My English is lacking, hm?

Another trial:

I hold BTC or Fiat on a circle Account? You know what I mean? I guess BTC, but want to be sure.



197. Post 9085645 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 05, 2014, 01:35:15 AM
Are the deposits on circle are holded in BTC or fiat?

depends what you deposit i guess.

My English is lacking, hm?

Another trial:

I hold BTC or Fiat on a circle Account? You know what I mean? I guess BTC, but want to be sure.

it is my understanding that circle accounts can hold BTC or Fiat(of any color), and you are free to switch back and forth at anytime, I'm guessing they won't let you do bitcoin trading with this account... its probably part of their policy that it the service should not be used to day trade bitcoin.

I don't want to trade, I only want to send a medium amount of Bitcoins to my Circle Account. It irritates me that there are coming up messages like "you received xxxx.xx $ and not xx BTC. So it's only a reference value in USD and in conclusion nothing more than another form of a Bitcoin wallet or are they converting BTC to USD on entrance (and therefore I hold USD)?



198. Post 9085684 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Oh god, I'm too heavy drunken. Better I stop making withdrawals.



199. Post 9085733 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on October 05, 2014, 01:59:56 AM
Are the deposits on circle are holded in BTC or fiat?

depends what you deposit i guess.

My English is lacking, hm?

Another trial:

I hold BTC or Fiat on a circle Account? You know what I mean? I guess BTC, but want to be sure.

it is my understanding that circle accounts can hold BTC or Fiat(of any color), and you are free to switch back and forth at anytime, I'm guessing they won't let you do bitcoin trading with this account... its probably part of their policy that it the service should not be used to day trade bitcoin.


The second you send money to circle it is converted to BTC. You cannot sent USD to circle and then place a bid. They have no bids or asks. When you send BTC there is it held until you market sell, when you send USD it automatically converts to BTC. Therefore all holdings are in BTC.

Thanks.

You want a Tequila for this info?  Cheesy



200. Post 9085914 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: inca on October 05, 2014, 02:25:16 AM
Smiley sorry..revealing my bull side there

 Cheesy

Chances for a bull run are very good. But if it will be a sustainable recovery...that's another thing.

Meanwhile I won't care now and better go to bed, good night you all bulls and bears  Cheesy



201. Post 9089604 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Over monthes and monthes I was listening here that it were impossible to go so low and now we are there(and could even go lower). And now it's impossible to go to 10,000$ (in the long run)?  Cheesy



202. Post 9090074 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: podyx on October 05, 2014, 12:24:53 PM
We never hit a previous ATH before.

Unless bitcoin is dying for real

People, please stop to exaggerate. Only cause it's breaking a former ATH and it never happened before it does not mean it is dying.

Why you are all so maniac depressive?



203. Post 9094220 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on October 05, 2014, 06:50:27 PM
The thing I don't like about the 30000 ask wall is that is the moment when the manipulator shows his hand.  Every one  panics at first, but then a feeling of temporary relief comes in and people tell themselves "don't worry, everything is fine, now we all know for sure that this crash is really just manipulation and nothing more".  People become confident and maybe even start placing bids.  Why would the manipulator prove to the whole world that the dumping is just manipulation and nothing more?  Wouldn't that make his accumulation harder?

It is done for one last good size dump so that he can accumulate his final coins. He would be foolish to put up the wall again. Somebody might be lurking, ready to take out the wall then he will lose his coins.
 
Why people are selling now is beyond comprehension.

About 30 times a day here i read about the whale or whales that are accumulating. Not once has someone shown me any evidence that this is the case. Will you be the first?

Check it out, he is accumulating right now.

I understand that you prefer to fool yourself but i prefer proof. Got any?

Sometimes our friend ShroomsKit is talking very reasonable  Smiley

Accumulation or not...no proof of it, so it is not more than a rumor.

A rumor?!

Buy, buy, buy! Cheesy



204. Post 9094672 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: inca on October 05, 2014, 07:32:17 PM
It would be nice to see some bids line up on stamp

Nope, better not. Direct market buying, invisible support and small to medium walls are a lot healthier for now.



205. Post 9095162 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

I love this Wild West Market.  Cheesy



206. Post 9095195 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Come on, let it go up, I want to buy a chunk of this wall. I will not buy lower! Grin



207. Post 9095233 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: knight22 on October 05, 2014, 08:29:51 PM
So who's gonna eat that wall?  Grin

Me.



208. Post 9095678 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: podyx on October 05, 2014, 09:07:09 PM
Even if the wall were eaten, its just going to deplete the market of a huge chunk of money. If its fake? Well.. that seems unlikely considering they are old coins.

It's most likely somebody waiting for fiat to arrive at the exchange to buy more coins (it's fake)


We'll see. If the market comes near enough I'll buy from the wall. I don't think it's fake.



209. Post 9095838 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: optimi on October 05, 2014, 09:28:37 PM



 Cheesy



210. Post 9096093 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: inca on October 05, 2014, 09:49:25 PM
Doesn't look like 300 will hold on stamp

So before I go to sleep.

What does everyone think is the motivation for this guy sticking 27000 bitcoins in a big ask wall?

Is he trying to stifle any move upwards (otc sale perhaps?) or encourage panic selling into bid walls that belong to him further down so he can accumulate coins?

Or is this a bearish guy who simply wants to sell his coins. 27k seems ludicrously excessive and a terrible way of going about selling.

Theories?

I guess he/they simple wants sell. Maybe speculated for a double bottom and failed. Now he wants to take the ~9,000,000 USD leave the game. I think: it's an offer, not bearish, not bullish, a simple offer.



211. Post 9096329 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: fonzie on October 05, 2014, 10:17:00 PM
Doesn't look like 300 will hold on stamp

So before I go to sleep.

What does everyone think is the motivation for this guy sticking 27000 bitcoins in a big ask wall?

Is he trying to stifle any move upwards (otc sale perhaps?) or encourage panic selling into bid walls that belong to him further down so he can accumulate coins?

Or is this a bearish guy who simply wants to sell his coins. 27k seems ludicrously excessive and a terrible way of going about selling.

Theories?

I guess he/they simple wants sell. Maybe speculated for a double bottom and failed. Now he wants to take the ~9,000,000 USD leave the game. I think: it's an offer, not bearish, not bullish, a simple offer.

It's bearish only in the sense that it invalidates all the "big players are paying premium prices, buying OTC to avoid slippage."

Only if it sells.. Smiley

Actually, just the opposite.  The wall being bought would mean that big players do want to buy large quantities without slippage.

Seriously. I“m sure all of the big players that are interested in buying huge chunks have 10 Mio+ layin around on Bitstamp (and on every other exchange to be sure) sitting in front of their computer24/7, just in case someone puts up a 30k BTC wall... And it“s weekend btw.
That wall has been around for a few hours on a Sunday. we“ll see how much longer it stays.



It must not get bought by one or very few people. We saw this on smaller walls. Reaching the wall one starts to buy, other will follow.

Well, I agree that it could be some manipulation, only I see no reason to believe that for now. Let's wait and let us see what will happen  Wink



212. Post 9096365 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: spooderman on October 05, 2014, 10:26:15 PM
Well it seems to me that that wall did it's job.

We seemed to bounce back. From 276 to above 320. Then he sold and put up a giant wall to prevent further recovery.

Thanks a lot.

It does not mean a lot. Could start to sell a part, move it down...next hours/days will show.



213. Post 9096530 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: myworkaccount on October 05, 2014, 10:38:49 PM
Some trolls here still try to deny that he is using the oldest trick ever aka buy everything up below your sell wall...

A lot of people/trolls here probably don't even know such a trick exists.

No. It's a very sophisticated trick. A lot of people (the most of them without head) can't follow such a genius trick.

Thank you very much  Roll Eyes



214. Post 9096569 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: BitChick on October 05, 2014, 10:50:50 PM
more fun?
 Wink

I own this market!

Could you put in a 6666 BTC wall for a few seconds to prove that it is yours?

Be sure to put that bid wall at $340 so we know it's you.

Can't we ask for "ask" walls instead please?  Wink

An ask wall is a sell wall, I think you mean bid wall  Wink



215. Post 9099689 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

So surprise, surprise. As written before, wall is a simple sale. Players come in - players go out, nothing more, nothing less.



216. Post 9099732 (copy this link) (by Schickeria) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: beetcoin on October 06, 2014, 05:17:20 AM
i've got a question.. so the sell wall whale is selling 30k coins via an exchange. how's he going to deposit that $9 million into his bank account without arousing suspicion

anyways, i guess the upside is that we have a shitload of support at 300.

Suspicion for what? Why it should be suspicious to withdraw ~9 million from a bitcoin market sell?  Huh

He fills the papers, pays the taxes (if there are some) and that's it.