All posts made by Adrian-x in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 2345807 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: zoinky on June 02, 2013, 02:13:15 AM
not even one person wants a piece of that wall  Huh i think i sold too early.... oh well, i'm confident if i wait long enough i'll buy back lower...



fair price discovery is fair. BTC
  adam says buy monday night, the latest! ; )

I remember you falling into a similar situation when we crossed $15 I believe?  Did you ever buy back?

Oh how hard it was for me, yes selling out at an average below $13 and now putting in my bids.



2. Post 2345908 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Quote from: chodpaba on June 01, 2013, 11:16:41 PM
Volume isn't just lower compared to post-crash, but also before that:

That's probably because of the recent incidents with regulations. Many people are waiting until that is cleared up before they can confidently trade again on Gox. Until then the volume will stay extremely low, with short increases in volume during price changes.

Don't you mean short increases in volume during funding changes?

What are funding changes?

Re Frozenlock's comment

All this talk about low volume is a little parochial, the price has jumped an order of magnitude, so naturally new Bitcoin traders and speculaters, are trading within that new band. If you measure volume in USD, it is roughly trading an order of magnitude higher too, so volume isn't as big of a deterrent given all the profit taking (new Bitcoin registration number plates) I've seen.



3. Post 2371827 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: prof7bit on June 04, 2013, 07:30:12 PM
Does gox have alt domains?
Still .com?

They have mtgox.jp that is currently redirecting to mtgox.com.

It would probably be a good idea to stop stop depending on these stupid USA-regulated top level domains that can be seized by the USA at any moment and instead use local country TLDs.
I propose Namecoin



4. Post 2371845 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 04, 2013, 07:39:25 PM
Seconded.
Let the trading begin.



5. Post 2374580 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: MAbtc on June 05, 2013, 12:43:17 AM
Most of us here, I think, are bullish in the long term. But... the bubble is over? I don't know about that. Long term charts are scary as hell looking for someone holding 100% BTC. There is plenty of room to fall and nowhere near the hype that took us to 266. Until we are comfortably in 170+ territory, I am not confident that this is over.

Your views transform when you post score goes over 684 (currently Posts: 172) it'll change you in ways you would have never consider.



6. Post 2396260 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on June 07, 2013, 12:02:45 AM

Time to click my first ignore 



7. Post 2413360 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on June 08, 2013, 03:31:22 PM
That's the problem of all those crying about the price going down, because it "hurts the coin". Come on... It's so obvious they bought during or just after the hype cycle, and they are scared and butthurt.
Or maybe they just have a sense of reality.
I bought before the hype. It has to drop A LOT before i start losing money. I just have enough common sense to realize another drop below 100 *might* be very bad. I'm pretty sure many people will agree with me.
This thread is for watching and tracking big trades not bitching.

Going below $5 or $100 is as bad for me as it is for you. (The only thing good for the Bitcoin community is higher adoption)
The price is irrelevant (if it is to you you are focused on greed) we are the little mammals in age of the dinosaurs, before the mammals become dominant there're lots of winners and loses.

You just need to survive. (= hold at all costs)



8. Post 2431573 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Rampion on June 10, 2013, 03:06:32 PM

Well, Satoshi's holdings are public (blockchain anybody?) and not a single coin belonging to him has ever moved.

When last did you check?



9. Post 2435476 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: auto2nr1 on June 11, 2013, 12:28:43 AM
Newbie trader here. Would like some trading tips. I see consolidation is happening right around $105.00-$106.00 area for the past few hours. Usually does this mean it will break out upward after or will it drop? Thanks in advance.

If you are new to trading just save you Bitcoin's, and move on, If you are a veteran trader, the Bitcoin market is manipulated by deep pockets and every angle of psychology, not to mention it happens at the accelerated rate of IP traffic in comparison to road traffic (and MtGox- has the only traffic Light in town and uses it to slow peek hour traffic to a stop whenever the gods think it is a good time).
 
Think of the players as a darting school of fish on steroids and whale as super fast barracuda, playing musical chares to some hi-paced symphony while they gorge on fish.

Oh yes, I almost forgot, it always goes up so buy now, and if it starts going down you are not buying fast enough, so buy more.



10. Post 2436128 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 11, 2013, 02:22:21 AM
This video is over 2 months old.

And why would Kevin O'Leary use such a small exchange?


cavirtex is first class, deposited funds can clear in less then 10 mins. Its the best exchange for canadians


So? If I have many thousands of dollars worth of buying to do, why take such a small exchange?
Not only the slippage would kill you, but so would their 3% fee.

trust! and the fee is only for small volume, + Canadians aren't free from manipulation.



11. Post 2444640 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: Richy_T on June 11, 2013, 09:59:50 PM
The big speculators are easy to beat. Just don't play their game.

BUY??? SELL???

Huh Huh Huh

Hold. And/or just buy what you need, when you need it.
^ This



12. Post 2453277 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):

Quote from: 10c on June 12, 2013, 05:28:22 PM
Well actually Dutch government wants some coins too.
official statement from minister of finance (Dijsselbloem)
source: http://www.nu.nl/internet/3495285/inkomsten-in-bitcoins-worden-belast.html
He happens to be head of EU finance at the moment as well.
also Canadian government wants coin. Roll Eyes
This sounds good, governments should set an exchange rate for fiat to Bitcoin say $1000 per 1XBT
And regulate the price through market forces, that'll do it.



13. Post 2600534 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: Ares on June 28, 2013, 03:55:15 AM
^ Gox just put a full page ad in the g8 summit.

If they were "fucked" I doubt they'd spend the cash to do that. Unless you think something very significant changed in the past week.
I think it may have been a little to bold of a move.



14. Post 2608995 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on June 29, 2013, 01:01:44 AM


Post charts like this every hour and your ignore button changes colour fast.
I've click it once, and that is what motivated me.

Still I plan to ChartBuddy's recent posts and animate the image at 5fps for some alt. TA.



15. Post 2612421 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on June 29, 2013, 03:18:34 PM

I thought the whole idea of Libertarianism was less taxation (and hence government). Aren't they the opposite of socialists, closer idealogically to Republicans than Democrats in the American political scale?

Democrats & Republicans (Communist too)  are 2 sides of the same coin - collectivists, (the average is more important than the individual)
Libertarians - individualism, (individuals free from coercion will best serve the whole) the US is founded on the principles of individual freedoms and it provided to serve the whole better than other forms of collectivism up until its demise between the 2 world wars.



16. Post 2612494 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: QuestionAuthority on June 29, 2013, 03:30:42 PM

Yes the Libertarian ideal is a lie. That's the joke. Libertarians are Republicans in disguise.

I agree in bold - very similar but there is a big difference though, the difference is Republicans use consensus and the tools of law and FED to maintain there wealth.



17. Post 2613023 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):

Quote from: Frozenlock on June 29, 2013, 04:59:47 PM
Yes the Libertarian ideal is a lie. That's the joke. Libertarians are Republicans in disguise.

Indeed.

The non-aggression principle... what a joke.

I prefer to live my life as I see fit, by pillaging and raping on the go!

 Roll Eyes
As long as the collective (or The Borg) is behind you.



18. Post 2669055 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 06, 2013, 05:25:03 PM

i got a few of these


a got some 10 billion, 50 billion... the whole set ( even the 1$ notes )

it will be on display at the bitcoin embassy

WTF was the designer thinking when he designed it.
You know within my life $1 Zim has been worth about about 1GBP



19. Post 2686212 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: MonadTran on July 09, 2013, 12:31:33 AM
there is no reason for Bitcoin to go down right now, besides speculation


That's it we don't have enough speculator feed stock. If the price is too high the problem is to many speculators and too low = to few.

We need new speculators. We need new speculators after I buy back in.



20. Post 2700667 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on July 10, 2013, 07:18:35 PM
Nothing is happening again. COME ON!! Pick a direction, market! We've been waiting for like 4 days!
It is time to quit your volatility habit cold turkey.
This is just like March -to- June of 2012 (or the start of the $5 stable period in the history of Bitcoin. )
It is going to get boring around here.



21. Post 2700979 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

I think ASICMiner, will be dumping coins to cover production costs of the new blades soon, maybe there will be a rally.



22. Post 2701675 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):

Quote from: byronbb on July 10, 2013, 09:23:40 PM
This is a replay of 10-20.

Whats that?

I meant the rise from $10-$20 and beyond. Powder keg is primed.
Oh yes how could I forget, the time I sold 2/3's of all my coins and diversified into gold, I won't be repeating that play.



23. Post 2703053 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on July 11, 2013, 01:07:12 AM
This is insane... broke 80, 85, AND 90 in one day?

Something isnt right here.


It is ASICMiner new Blades, and the huge jump in hash rate before difficulty adjustment, effectively an almost permanent adjustment of distribution so a big speculator making a call.



24. Post 2703266 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Is he feeding baby bears or pigs?



25. Post 2706857 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: NewLiberty on July 11, 2013, 03:00:33 PM

So yes it can be done.   Is it good for "Bitcoin"?
It may be. There's an awful lot of bitcoins owned by relatively few early adopters. If Bitcoin is to succeed, a large chunk of those bitcoins need to be extracted from those early adopters and spread amongst the general population.
Not sure I agree with that as a necessary precursor to the success of bitcoin, but assuming that it is for the moment, how and why does speculation accomplish that?
The fear of losing there value (early adopters don't want to be holding a hot potato) distribution = diversified demand = greater chance of sustained value.



26. Post 2707998 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on July 11, 2013, 05:04:32 PM
What is most troubling is the widespread belief that human nature is malleable; that somehow once people who have adopted bitcoin get to run the show that it will be any different. I am the first person to complain about the excesses of the current establishment and the widespread systemic problems in nearly every aspect of western (global?) society. However, putting a different group of humans in charge will not drastically change the outcome. History is not linear and despite popular belief, human nature does not progress. 'Science and Technology are cumulative, ethics and politics are recurring dilemmas' (John Gray).  This type of thinking isn't exclusive to users of bitcoin, but, unsurprisingly, there seems to be a particularly large contingent of believers in the impending utopia, borne from technological progress.

Bit off topic, but I typically get carried away once I get on my soapbox.

I think you have some excellent points, but it is important to note that we are not just putting 'different people' in charge, we are changing the framework by which money creation and financial transactions occur.  I believe changing a framework cān have profound consequences.

By the way, theoretically, I would say that human nature does evolve, just very very very slowly, and only after certain "evolutionary incentives" change.

I think people don't understand human nature, or misinterpret a more complex version of it, it is at the heart to seek pleasure avoid pain.  To that end given the wrong information or misguided into blaming the other for your suffering, great evil can be perpetrated, and human nature manipulated.

@ mrbrt link nothing needs to change in human nature, it is perfect*, where the lack in society is, is our collective immune system has not evolved enough to reject infectious parasites. (*how human nature is improved is through the use of empathy [the golden rule] and reason in predicting what will result in pleasure or pain.   Understanding that if I chose to pleasure myself at the expense of others (lack of empathy) I am acutely causing pain which will result in resentment and pain for me, and so what is wrong is we build walls and laws to allow this resentment to build up.)

There is just one mechanism that is responsible for the greatest suffering on earth today, it is the eroding the wealth from the poor (and the producers) to benefit the wealthy, and it is built into the heart of our society. It is the meme that a fixed unit of exchange is how you trade your labour and smarts for wealth. (they lie is that is not the money we use )

This mechanism is the Cantillon Effect, the result of which creates poverty by creating new money, ironically controlled moderate monetary inflation is very thing economists insist ensures prosperous growth.

With a Bitcoin, human nature isn't affected (well it is if you read this tread so we should get back to watching for walls) but the mechanism (Cantillon Effect)  that forces slavery and creates poverty is eliminated allowing something new to develop.  



27. Post 2710479 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: chodpaba on July 11, 2013, 11:07:38 PM
Unfortunately, the state of global economics has become quite a bit more complex than it was in the time of Cantillon/Smith... Despite what you might read on Zerohedge.

That's funny, the other day I was trying to put a face to chodpaba and Zerohedge showed up.

I'd agree things are a more complicated, but fortunately we can distill principals down to simple laws and if we can be objective we can build on the fundamental facts.  While there is a lot to learn from the Monetarists, Chicago group, I, (if not we) now know centrally managed monetary inflation causes poverty not prosperity. (So it is ok to go back the 1700 century to build on the ideas that have stood the test of time.) Don't confuse the complexity with noise, It takes a genius to distill it and make it simple.



28. Post 2710698 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: thezerg on July 12, 2013, 01:43:07 AM
Hope all you newbie doomsayers got back in!  Grin  If not, well welcome to bitcoin and thanks for your coins.  Trading here requires a steady hand; its not for the faint of heart.  You can choose low volatility and inflation (USD), or high volatility and deflation (BTC)  Grin

don't count your chickens (take little steps) the manipulator is building up a little depth, the big dump is coming.

I'm looking for the trend reversal and not seeing it yet.



29. Post 2710877 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on July 12, 2013, 02:12:55 AM
In 2011, we rallied off 5.74 to over 12 in a massive bull trap before we descended to 2. So why not. Cheesy
This time it's different  Wink



30. Post 2718214 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: RationalSpeculator on July 12, 2013, 10:30:10 PM
I think someone just deleted a whole bunch of posts from this thread.

Is there another way to stop receiving notifications from a thread?

The unmark/unwatch button at the bottom, maybe?

That doesn't work. When clicking on 'show new replies to your post' you can not unwatch threads that you never 'watched' but just replied.

It also annoys me to continue to see certain threads in there that I am not interested anymore to see. And whenever someone replies to that thread it shows in top of list again :/
*2



31. Post 2721953 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):

Quote from: bzzard on July 13, 2013, 12:00:16 PM
Just a warning:

15 minutes ago I received an email from Mt. Gox with a requested password recovery link. Thing is, I didnt request this.
I now tried to log into my account with my old pw and it doesnt work.
I have 2-step turned on on gox AND my email account and nobody has access to my email account anyway.

This is at least strange and I just wanted to send this out as a warning.
Same on my account, wtf is going on?

Gox looking to do some market engineering and price manipulation and they don't want your participation.
[Tinfoil hat ] I bet you lot have big selling habits in common [/tinfoil hat ]



32. Post 2742599 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: Rampion on July 16, 2013, 04:03:10 PM

problem is, allot of those miners won't get ROI for many months. Knowing this, I would expect most (except for those who took out loans) to choose to wait for higher prices before getting their fiat back.

Exactly, I dont see why on this forums people seem to think that miners want to get ROI as soon as possible. I think 90% of them will just mine and hoard, for years

Well, if the price gets high, it would make sense to sell to lock in profits. But if that's what people were doing, the bubble would not have been quite so crazy.

I'm sure you know the bubble started more or less when block reward halved, which was a moment when nobody had ASICs yet, 99% of the network were GPU and FPGA miners... Those already had their rigs paid off long ago (no new GPU and FPGA miners for a while because everybody was expecting ASICs since last summer), so as soon as they saw their proceeds halved they started to hold like mofos, creating scarcity of coins, which made the price to grow - the growing price attracted speculators, speculators bought driving the price high, the media started to run stories about how Bitcoin price was growing, which attracted more speculators, etc... Wash rinse and repeat, speculative bubble in its purest form.

This cycle is about to invert when ASICs will be widespread. Same thing happened in 2011 with GPUS.

You really think people took loans to buy ASICs? I bet you most asic owners are early adopters from GPU times.

I surely don't know what's the %, but I surely know there are a lot of newcomers spending all their fiat savings (tens of k's of $) in miners because they think they will break even in one month and then they will have a x10 ROI in the first year... Loan or no loan I don't know, but you can be sure they are throwing at this more money they can afford to lose because they think this is a "no brainer" and they do not want to "miss the train".

I know for sure because I've been meeting/discussing with a lot of guys like that since March, both in cyber and meatspace.

There will be a lot of pain for miners very soon, you will see.

What I have learned from observation is most miners save the XBT, some spend X% and a few triad with X% but the majority are saved.

ASICMiner is a new type of miner they get about 900 coins a day and those coins go to "investors" not miners. (The new dollar extraction)


Not much Fiat is entering the system to buy ASIC's the ASIC suppliers who are delivering are charging XBT, and there is a long ROI on those purchases up to 3 years calculated when in XBT. (ROI in XBT = saving XBT)

The ASIC manufacturers (and Mining funds) on the other hand have hard expenses in fiat, so they are converting new XBT to fiat at the moment.  

If we stay in the $100 target, the ASIC manufactures do more of the same and difficulty increases exponentially, if the price dips the demand for high priced Asics will diminish and the manufacturers will have to innovate.  

We are approaching equilibrium with difficulty related to price, so we should expect change soon.  




33. Post 2742993 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on July 16, 2013, 05:44:03 PM
Why do you keep saying XBT when almost everyone uses BTC?
lol, I'm an early adopter & an optimist. www.xe.com my go to for international convections uses that identifier.  

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on July 16, 2013, 06:09:25 PM
Yeah, honestly, I think it's pretty clear which one is used the most,

USD seems to be more popular the Bitcoin, but that isn't a valid reason to use it.



34. Post 2797284 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):

Quote from: wonkytonky on July 24, 2013, 07:24:45 PM
big guy reloading for massive drop Smiley thats what i think

If Bitcoin is going to grow, it needs many users, the current rate of adoption looks like market saturation.
The whales know this so I believe we will see a huge sustained drop to encourage new investors followed by a new upswing.



35. Post 2812253 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: Jozzaboy on July 27, 2013, 01:47:23 AM
lol i officially have 0.01$   Ahhhh it feels good to be fiat free  Grin Grin Grin

and now, i need to buy more bitcoin  Undecided


I know that feeling. I have a good 15% of my assets in BTC and I want more and more but...
this is what scares me the invested driving demand.



36. Post 2850505 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on August 01, 2013, 07:45:44 PM
I'll just leave this here:

Despair when translated into Bitcoin is price stability.



37. Post 2885200 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: elux on August 07, 2013, 04:31:13 PM
Quote
"After great boredom comes great excitement."
—Ancient Bitcoin Proverb.
LOL
All of an hour ago. (Relatively speaking it's as old as Plato, rings of Confucius and as practical as describing breathing)



38. Post 2885244 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: NewLiberty on August 07, 2013, 05:07:23 PM
I'm getting more and more interested about this:
https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions-excluding-popular
It excludes MtGox, SD and other similar sites. So where is the traffic coming from? Real-world usage like in Argentina and M-Pesa?
This IS interesting...

During my forced Bitcoin reading this morning I concluded it is a result of newbies taking advantage of arbetrage opotunity on Gox, and fiat leaving Gox via XBT, and the resulting trading on other exchanges.



39. Post 2885269 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 07, 2013, 05:13:03 PM

Quote
"I only went to the bathroom."
—Ancient Bitcoin Proverb.


I remember that one my XBT investment doubled when ... on return the trader was asked to go again.



40. Post 2899811 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Pale Phoenix on August 09, 2013, 05:18:47 PM
Don't bother, I've called the pirate ponzi a "Typical HYIP scam" at the first post after his OP, and left it there over the whole course of the Drama. And we've all seen how that turned out.
I think that's the main reason I became so cynical about Bitcoin.  Undecided

But you must realize that this has very little to do with Bitcoin per se, and everything to do with human nature. We aren't especially good at handling cognitive dissonance and are highly influenced by group-think behavior.
I agree our fundamental nature still drives us. Avoid paid seek pleasure - expanded consciousness.
Bitcoin is an opportunity to get back to nature. The Keynesian ethics you are accustomed to are eroding from the top down.



41. Post 2934060 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 14, 2013, 06:09:29 PM

"In the end of the day we want firms to thrive here in New York, we don't want to crush them."

Hah, the current NY environment is so poisonous to businesses that they'd throw their grandmother under the removal truck to get people to stay. Desperation.

LOL'ed at this /\.

and then Forbes publishes:
1) Silk Road article hint it's a potential 10-11 figure company and
2) Subpoena Bitcoin figureheads on the same day
I think this is an orchestrated plan, consistent with the 2012/13 manipulation.



42. Post 2948826 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: byronbb on August 17, 2013, 12:04:44 AM
Chartbuddy should make some animated gifs.
I think molecular, did somthing similar a while back it is on YouTube.



43. Post 2974290 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: molecular on August 20, 2013, 07:25:05 PM
Some important info is expected to be revealed about the fed tapering issue tomorrow - what do you guys think the outcome will be? Will the fed effectively taper or not in september?

If they - against all odds - announce tapering, we might see a drop in bitcoin (and all other real assets)

Why? Where will the Fiat go - paying down debt, where?



44. Post 2974364 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ag@th0s on August 20, 2013, 07:18:10 PM
Forgive me as this is going to be a bit vague, and I'm fairly new - but trying to understand the divergence between Bitstamp and MtGox it occurred to me that maybe the "history" of the market movers on each Exchange is different and that may explain the gap.  

Specifically - I seem to remember comments a few months ago about a big lump of coins that ended up in Gox at a particular price (can't remember if it was $130 or $180) because of some event - and they were sitting on the ask side waiting for the market to recover as we dropped to $60 ish in July. i can't remember the event, but it was a shit load of coins.

Is it possible that if you're a really major player - and you understand how to move the market but arrived in a losing position for some reason - that you sell out at a loss - wait - and then play back in, in a structured way, to boost the price back to a level where you can make profit (even if you can't get it out of the Exchange)?  It doesn't matter if you can't take it out as long as you can sell at your entry point, because selling will crash the price which would enable you to buy back in, and then exit Gox to exchanges that are more functional?

<a few moments later>  So what I'm saying is players on Gox are trying to reach a price - whereas traders on Bitstamp are trying to find it?

Huge market manipulation is evident, in my opinion, but the game evolves, there are those who have hundreds of thousands of coins, and those who have thousands and hundreds.

Manipulating the market requires effort, and long deep pockets. Those who have the ability to do it have more at stake than just making money, and predicting there moves is a gamble.

Everything that happens here makes Bitcoin more resilient and stronger, so it's best to just go about ones business and ignore the conspiracies.



45. Post 2975132 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ag@th0s on August 20, 2013, 08:48:05 PM
...and are trying to reach a price, it's probably worth trying to work out what that price is.

The price is always the next order of magnitude from where you are now, until you exhaust your energy. Just like our current economic model exhibits parasitic behavior, on our finite planet. Bitcoin is the equivalent parasite to our existing economic parasite.

You win the game of Magic the Gathering when the infection has taken hold, the infection spreads by profiting off speculation (in this thread) and other memes elsewhere. You can always play the immunity card by holding XBT.



46. Post 2975201 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: molecular on August 20, 2013, 08:56:06 PM
Some important info is expected to be revealed about the fed tapering issue tomorrow - what do you guys think the outcome will be? Will the fed effectively taper or not in september?

If they - against all odds - announce tapering, we might see a drop in bitcoin (and all other real assets)

Why? Where will the Fiat go - paying down debt, where?

Not sure exactly where it goes, but interest rates will rise as fiat becomes more valuable (at least in perception or expectation). It would be interesting to see wether bitcoin would be affected, but I seem to remember bitcoin took a hit together with gold/silver last time Ben hinted at the possibility of tapering. I don't think they have the balls to do anything more, though.


My guess is Bitcoin is huge if people are dumping on Ben's actions. I thought the last correction coincide more with Gox. problems /speculation, than with Ben's actions.

I suspect Ben is going to tighten his belt before he steps down and he will be laying the foundation for higher interest is in our future.



47. Post 2975217 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 20, 2013, 09:40:49 PM
new prediction:

tomorrow we learn fed maintains or ups QE: btc to $180 by friday


A broken clock is correct twice a day. But not sure what to make of a stuck record player.



48. Post 2975243 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on August 20, 2013, 09:47:04 PM
, asshole

Lol, thanks. We're good then ;-)



49. Post 2977278 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.13h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on August 21, 2013, 12:30:37 AM
Now is the time to go all in!
What! Has your account been hijacked, or are you trolling?
You are confusing me.



50. Post 3111753 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: ehoffman on September 09, 2013, 12:56:58 AM
Just a question, is this supposed to be a thread about Gox tracking?  Please come back to the thread topic... Wink
I think everyone is board and the walls around Fort Gox are moving and people are tracking it in real time.



51. Post 3124278 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: xxjs on September 10, 2013, 07:32:57 PM
WB to "the world's most sophisticated trading platform."

It can't even compete with NASDAQ on downtime. 3h15min against nasdaqs 3h.
doesn't the NASDAQ go down every evening and then weekends?



52. Post 3141071 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):

Quote from: Rampion on September 12, 2013, 11:36:19 PM
....funds that are nevertheless credited on our Gox balances.

This remind me of the run on the Banks in 1893.

But it's different this time. We have a ledger in the cloud.



53. Post 3145839 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Phinnaeus Gage on September 13, 2013, 04:15:56 PM
Full disclosure: I'm a couple three pages behind, thus perhaps the answers lie within.

If only there was a cost (albeit paper) to farting out an idea I wouldn't spend so much time sifting through this methane.



54. Post 3145928 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on September 13, 2013, 01:54:51 PM

Jokes aside, the true believers now are a different flock than they were 2 years ago...

Lol, I love you Mucus, the trolls haven't changed either (but for there avatars)

I was a skeptic @ $1, a true believe @ $2 and skeptic @ $10 and now I'm flying with a new flock over an activity volcano @ over $100. Sure times have changed.

Survival of the fittest still drivers Evolution.

I'd love to know if you like Bitcoin excluding the people who make it up...



55. Post 3174261 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

An interesting estimate @ total Bitcoin volume
http://data.bitcoinity.org/



56. Post 3174484 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: SkRRJyTC on September 17, 2013, 04:19:16 PM
Accumulation Distribution is taking a pretty steady nosedive as price is flat... Treading water, but for how long?
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg180zig2-hourztgSzm1g10zm2g25zxzi1gAccDistzv

The accumulators have moved to a different ship.

Would I be correct in assuming:  one cause could be all the liquid coins are not trading because they are being taken up by strong hands, and the supply is also distributing to a smaller minority as difficulty increases.  (So we could see a potential bubble?)

Or would I be better served by assuming that the volume is so low because there is very little new demand at the current price. (so we could see a correction?)



57. Post 3174580 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 17, 2013, 04:52:49 PM
the demand is at least the same and probably growing, Volume is more and more spread out across exchanges and there is a lot more economic activity

same demand, less and less selling at X price, price goes up!  Grin

The volume across the bigger exchanges is low when you look at this: http://data.bitcoinity.org/



58. Post 3174660 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: MAbtc on September 17, 2013, 04:58:41 PM
what about the actual volume of BTC being traded?

Looking at http://data.bitcoinity.org/ the last time volume was this low was in April of 2011 just before the big bubble.



59. Post 3176647 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

OK I figured it out, (why it's so quiet around here)
I think Bitcoin Land is full of students? (And classes are now in full swing.)



60. Post 3179001 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on September 18, 2013, 04:43:17 AM
I kinda feel like this is a key moment in the market.  We might break and retest the lows, or just blast higher.

He says as the tumble weed blows past the empty saloon.

and where oh where have all the wall watchers gone, plays in the background.



61. Post 3191704 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: vps15 on September 19, 2013, 06:50:59 PM
so who thinks we are heading for a correction or another bear trap now?
I think chodpaba is manipulating the market to fit his analysis  Roll Eyes
 
So lets go with bear trap for now.



62. Post 3198188 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 20, 2013, 02:32:52 PM
... They are agents in the market and rather than complain about them it would be more productive to understand their influence by the evidence. So far I do not see a lot of that happening.

I see cause and effect and what I think is evidence, however I may be limited by my own judgment, (the mass less trolling aside) what evidence based influence, are you not seeing happening? 



63. Post 3214052 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

If you didn't know what a circle jerk is: (I come from a sheltered environment)

It is: When a bunch of politicians - get together for a debate but usually end up agreeing with each other's viewpoints to the point of redundancy, stroking each other's egos as if they were extensions of their genitals. Basically, it's what happens when the choir preaches to itself.

I LOL'd at the thought applied to Bitcoin.



64. Post 3214093 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on September 23, 2013, 03:28:15 AM

So what you are saying is there is a chance that with enough circle jerkin' we could propel bitcoin over $1000 by friday?

I read ya  Wink

/\ that or Electricmucus sees a bunch a frat boys about to go blind.



65. Post 3219486 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 23, 2013, 04:29:55 PM
I am beginning to think that Bitcoin is a project by U.S. intelligence agencies to cognitively infiltrate Austrian economic enthusiasts by way of educating them about how things got to be the way they are.

LOL'd
I'd love to explore further, that's infiltrate not influence

So now the Austrians know how we got here and why things are the way they are what was the point?



66. Post 3219932 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 23, 2013, 08:14:59 PM
I am beginning to think that Bitcoin is a project by U.S. intelligence agencies to cognitively infiltrate Austrian economic enthusiasts by way of educating them about how things got to be the way they are.

LOL'd
I'd love to explore further, that's infiltrate not influence

So now the Austrians know how we got here and why things are the way they are what was the point?

Infiltrate, as in Cass Sunstien.

The Austrians are slowly learning.

What? That reform is necessary



67. Post 3220835 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 23, 2013, 08:49:19 PM
Well, for one, that quantitative metrics matter. It is not sufficient to make a projection to extremes based on the limited understanding of a theory. This is important for understanding little things like when you can apply linear relationships and when you have to apply exponential relationships... Little things like that.

For another. Market systems are more complex than you might expect if the only model you have for them is a cartoon. It is insufficient to simply dismiss things you don't agree with as 'externalities'. One thing we have learned very well about risk management is that externalities and complexities matter.

The point Austrians make is it isn't up to central authorities to manage the economy, but to individuals to manager there activity in an economy, to that point quantitative metrics, with regards to risk management is that externalities and complexities do matter, if you want to manage your participation at a highly effective level. It isn't justification to warrant central control.    

A Economy is a measure of economic interactions in a given system - v - Directing Economic interactions in a system to achieve an Economy.



68. Post 3221255 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 23, 2013, 11:20:09 PM
Well, for one, that quantitative metrics matter. It is not sufficient to make a projection to extremes based on the limited understanding of a theory. This is important for understanding little things like when you can apply linear relationships and when you have to apply exponential relationships... Little things like that.

For another. Market systems are more complex than you might expect if the only model you have for them is a cartoon. It is insufficient to simply dismiss things you don't agree with as 'externalities'. One thing we have learned very well about risk management is that externalities and complexities matter.

The point Austrians make is it isn't up to central authorities to manage the economy, but to individuals to manager there activity in an economy, to that point quantitative metrics, with regards to risk management is that externalities and complexities do matter, if you want to manage your participation at a highly effective level. It isn't justification to warrant central control.    

A Economy is a measure of economic interactions in a given system - v - Directing Economic interactions in a system to achieve an Economy.


This is what I am talking about. Austrians tend to wax poetic about economic generalizations. But the actual devil is in the details. And we are witnessing just how those details emerge throughout the fledgling Bitcoin ecosystem.

I'm still not convinced the NSA doesn't pay your salary  Wink 

I see value in the Chicago schools / Monetarists approach in the velocity of money -v- economic activity, and agree should speculative demand diminish that it would be the most accurate method for evaluating XBT actual value.  But Monetarists have this elephant in the room called the Central Bank, (more akin to "Seymour" form the Little Shop of Horrors) not to mention a subjective view of Economic Prosperity, that is not shared by all participants in the Economy.  The tools are best used not by a Central Bank but by the wealth managers in the economy.

But I couldn't agree more that Bitcoin Land is an education, albeit a cognitive infiltration, but it could be working in reverse like Sonmi-451 educating her interviewer in The Cloud Atlas.



69. Post 3221309 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Wary on September 23, 2013, 11:42:12 PM
Are you referring to some specific events? Can you elaborate?

Price exploration - adoption - success - those who have taken the red pill are running the 7th revision of the matrix, and cognitive infiltration is either your kryptonite or motivation to master the matrix.



70. Post 3221539 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 24, 2013, 01:16:11 AM
If only.

Sonmi-451... That's how counterintelligence works.

I also happen to think that Bitcoin was introduced to provide that education to CB's et al. Just as the Snowden revelaitons are being used to bludgeon the world into better IT security, where the NSA would actually have an edge. It is much more efficient than the political process.

Thank chodpaba, Not that I approve of the NSA having an edge when it comes to an all seeing eye, but I like the idea of educating CB's albeit a long shot, I can't see any harm in it.

I hope that doesn't imply Bitcoin has an off switch?

I'll give you an A for analysis, although you are stretching by deductive reasoning skills I still like to live in the world where the grass grows because it gets a little fertiliser, water and care, and Satoshi was an individual.  





71. Post 3221548 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 24, 2013, 01:21:37 AM
For one thing, it's teaching righties about the efficacy of syndicalist systems.

Would you equate individuals buying into Bitcoin, in the same vain as partaking in a syndicalist systems?



72. Post 3221671 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: chodpaba on September 24, 2013, 01:57:53 AM
Think about it this way... In the 1990's Alan Greenspan spoke of the inevitability of an algorithmic monetary system. If you know that something like that is going to happen wouldn't you want to be on the cutting edge of it rather than chasing it? How do you set up a laboratory to see how something like that would actually work in the real world, and get official approvals for it?

If you know of the inevitability of a Wikileaks, why not just set up your own? etc.

It's all war games.

What I believe Greenspan, was referring to is managing the money supply through rules inherent in monetarist theory, free of political manipulation.  Bitcoin could be a real world experiment, but it seems to me to be the antithesis of an algorithmic monetary system.

Sure Bitcoin could be a real world experiment, if it is I love the theory, so the question remains, how do you bring it under control, does it have an off switch?

Or is its success proof of the thesis.



73. Post 3233346 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: professorhandsome on September 25, 2013, 04:59:43 PM
Well, I was only trying to withdraw 10 bitcoins.

For your illegal drug operation apparently.

Quote from: JimboToronto on September 25, 2013, 12:42:19 PM

What bugs me is the fact that I'll have to get a passport or provincial age-of-majority card (at the age of 65) just to get back what is mine. This is almost as ridiculous as being IDed at the Skydome to buy a beer when I was 60 years old. At that time I simply went to a different kiosk. This requires a lot more fuss and expense.

Good to see drug dealers still working at 65. I guess it isn't as dangerous now that we're in a deleveraging.



74. Post 3249372 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on September 27, 2013, 05:03:40 PM
I've made some good calls too. Why nobody suck my cock?

LOL'd $180 next Friday



75. Post 3286880 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Nice to see a lot of Bear around here.
The bottom is going to be a tough call given how long it takes fiat to move in to exchanges,
I'm happy to call the bottom at 80, and say CaVirtex Leeds the panicky.



76. Post 3287991 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: ardana123 on October 02, 2013, 07:52:48 PM
Well, a guy that believes running a website for selling narcotics is a great career decision can't be the sharpest tool in the shed. lol

I think he did it as a public service.  There are those of us out here that feel that the alteration of one's own consciousness is an inalienable right.

If drugs didn't ruin lives and create murder, crime and rape I would say you're right. But drugs does all that so yea, drugs are bad mmmkay.

Being addicted to Bitcoin can ruin your life (the need to find a crutch - an addiction to cope with some aspects of reality is what can be destructive)

SR removed the violence from the typical drug market terf war. I'm sure the typical SR user was a little more stable than the pregnant junky in the ally behind my office passed out with a needle in here arm, living off the state sponsored free drugs obtained from the safe injection site across the road.



77. Post 3296508 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on October 07, 2013, 11:35:12 PM
Ok so whats the plan? Do we all panic, and in what direction? plz advise
The market always follows your move, but knowing that makes it a bit more tricky. 



78. Post 3315614 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on October 10, 2013, 08:36:23 PM
Never going to happen. Don't want to cause any confusion between me and Jaroslaw.
LOL to this dyslectic you look and sound the same



79. Post 3319597 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: uhoh on October 11, 2013, 02:17:41 PM
Midas - Everything he touched would turn to gold

Midas (Gox edition) - Everything he touched would turn to shit.gold

Gold is appropriate, (Midas wanted wealth but got heavy Gold 1.0)
We want Gold 2.0 but once Gox touches it it becomes a heavy immovable substitute something like gold 1.0



80. Post 3340132 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 15, 2013, 03:58:39 AM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5aU79h7NKo

 Cool
Adam has been compromised.



81. Post 3340282 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 15, 2013, 05:00:43 AM

Feather coin is the future of crypto-currency, come take your place in your community!

http://feathercoin.com/

 Cheesy

just send a few of BTC (only what you can afford to lose...)https://btc-e.com/ and trade it 5k FTC!
Your punt sounds like a tar baby. Looking at the website and forum I saw no innovation over Bitcoin to warrant attention.  



82. Post 3343384 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Help I'm short XBT and the train is leaving.



83. Post 3350885 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 16, 2013, 02:56:56 PM
should i buy some alts?  Huh

I'll post here when there is an alt. worth investing in.

The feature you are looking for is an equable distribution coupled with security for innovator adoption. (You can be late to the party and still win.)

It isn't time yet, you will know its time has come when the new adopters of today realize Bitcoin is to valuable to spend. (It will be hyper deflation or the dreaded deflationary spiral.)

Inception is in part dependent on day trading mistakes  Smiley



84. Post 3359422 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: mccorvic on October 18, 2013, 12:33:21 AM
This is getting blown way out of proportion.

A news item get blown out of proportion?! On THIS forum of all places?! I never thought I'd live to see the day...



85. Post 3364639 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: Tzupy on October 18, 2013, 05:30:38 PM
Did anyone see a new post by Chodpaba? It would be nice to see his evaluation of the market,
but he didn't seem to have posted (in the Speculation section) for a while.

I miss him too, I think He is hiding from the NSA, the CIA the FBI, and Bitcointalk stalkers while he mixes is Bitcoin brew.  



86. Post 3374149 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 20, 2013, 03:04:43 PM
i have to admit i'm buying FTC REALLY slowly cuz ya bitcoin is crazy bullish, is it going to 1000  Huh
WTF you are trying to unstick your FTC from the tar baby by promoting it here.  Cheesy looking toward to the FTC wall observer thread. Let us know once capitulation is in full swing.



87. Post 3381670 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on October 21, 2013, 06:45:55 PM
You know, it's not difficult to buy something with bitcoin and immediately replenish your stash by converting an equivalent amount from fiat to bitcoin.  If you're worried about spending your bitcoins.
+1, 'bitcoins are too valuable to spend' is bullshit.  If they are too valuable to spend, it means the current price is too low, thus market forces would drive it up and fix that problem.

Good! That settles it, no BS I'll offload @ $1598 then. My problem is mastering time, in reality it's an illusion but when it comes to Bitcoin it's dependent on market conciseness and that takes time. So yes they're too valuable to spend but I will sell a few to help it spread. It's a good thing value is a subjective judgment.



88. Post 3381787 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Erdogan on October 21, 2013, 07:04:45 PM
so if the price keeps rising, how would we ever use it as a real currency to buy stuff?
i'm pretty sure everybody who has them has them for buy and hold or making profit, not for purchasing goods - I certainly don't because in two months the price might have doubled, and I would curse myself for giving them away "back then" instead of using real currency.


Don't worry. There is a market with trades every minute. It means anybody can buy, anybody can sell whenever they want.

This is how one gains an education. It is part of the Bitcoin growth cycle. Every one coming into Bitcoin can sell at a profit over 100% in time but it isn't so easy to get back in. While Bitcoin remains binary players will conform.



89. Post 3383967 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Richy_T on October 22, 2013, 02:30:24 AM
How long were we above 200 last time?
Just long enough to load a paper wallet. It only closed above 200 on 1 day.  



90. Post 3383976 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: scarsbergholden on October 22, 2013, 02:34:52 AM
Thursday is a magnet for crashes.
weird. can you give me an example?
Black Thursday, Thursday the 13th, the Mayan calendar ends on a Thursday, Adam and Eve bit the apple on a Thursday. History is full of examples.



91. Post 3383995 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Richy_T on October 22, 2013, 02:40:03 AM

What definition are you using for "closed"?

I may put an alcoholic beverage on standby.
good point.
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg60zczsg2013-04-04zeg2013-04-18ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zv



92. Post 3384003 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: scarsbergholden on October 22, 2013, 02:42:46 AM
Black Thursday, Thursday the 13th, the Mayan calendar ends on a Thursday, Adam and Eve bit the apple on a Thursday. History is full of examples.
surely there are examples of other days of the week as well?  Huh
Yes you can interchange other days of the week with Thursday in the example above. Wednesday and Friday are popular too.



93. Post 3388469 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: ag@th0s on October 22, 2013, 11:11:14 AM
Bit of a Dilemma.  Obviously I'm a pretty shit trader - but checking my trading sheet, if I had simply bought BTC at the time I moved money into Stamp since May - I would have bought at 101 - 120 and 125 and right now I would have nearly double the coins that I do having traded for 5 months!  5 months of stress just to break even Smiley So having just gone back in at $190 - what to do?

You and Rick Falkvinge of the pirate party.
http://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/1owf4v/im_rick_falkvinge_founder_of_the_first_pirate/ccwbao9

Buy and hold! Is hard to beat.



94. Post 3391047 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: spooderman on October 23, 2013, 12:13:59 AM
I predict we'll be over 1800 soon! (pages on this thread)

You joke, Bitcoin is like this/\ - the parent to this tread was once approaching 1000 pages and a number of "tech savvy experts" were predicting what would happen if and when it reached 1000, the consensus seemed to resemble a calamity akin to Y2K .



95. Post 3391089 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: RationalSpeculator on October 23, 2013, 12:19:20 AM
I think this google trend as well as my recent poll here show that we are inbreading. Bitcoiners buying bitcoin.

That is not a big sample group in that poll of yours. (not being from North America, and partaking in the customs, I had to look up the meaning of circle jerk a while back, metaphorically that is what you describe.  )

I did come up with another theory that I think describes the growing adoption rate, we'll see where this correction leads us, and brace on the history here, we should have a good idea of where we are headed. 



96. Post 3392262 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: TERA on October 23, 2013, 06:00:16 AM
I was telling someone to buy btc just a few days ago when it was 150. She was interested and asked me to talk to her about it again later. Now suddenly btc is 210. I don't know what to tell you  Huh. "It's gone up 50% in 2 weeks but. I think it is still a good buy"? I don't know if this is a safe entry point anymore and I don't want you hating me if we dip to 160.

FTFU

Tell it just like you told us word for word, I like the matrix red blue pill analogy!  You cas start with when we last spoke it was 150.

Funny I offered a paper wallet at a poker game when we were at $100 the winner preferred fiat anyway another friend bought it off me. Our next game I'll offer to buy it back @ $200 per coin



97. Post 3396172 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: MoreFun on October 23, 2013, 06:22:16 PM
I hope you guys slept well yesterday cause today you won't.

LOL I love sleep and this is denying me that pleasure.



98. Post 3397867 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Tzupy on October 23, 2013, 05:29:37 PM
No, we go up for about 2 - 3 more days IMO. Well, it depends on volume, if it's really high we can
peak and crash tomorrow, if it's low we can slowly climb for a week, and then crash.

You're new here?

We get a flash crash and its back up the mountain.



99. Post 3397904 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: klee on October 23, 2013, 08:30:12 PM
This is going vertical, time to sell...
You have to look at the logarithmic graph, if you want to hold on to your Bitcoins for thenext run up.



100. Post 3398017 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: wobber on October 23, 2013, 10:32:46 PM
So price has to go up because of that?? Why would you play like that with money??

1) Bitcoin is a good idea,
2) Because it's fun to read this thread Roll Eyes or money is a social agreement, and no one created a rule that said you can't play.



101. Post 3399646 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: mah87 on October 24, 2013, 12:43:22 AM
it's gonna crash , it's another bubble

I felt the same in December 2012 @ $9 when I started dumping to be safe.
It all works out in the end.



102. Post 3399754 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 24, 2013, 05:13:55 AM
I sold a coin for over 200$   Cheesy

So, is that a good thing, or a bad thing?

Did you sell it for 200 Gox Bux or $$$ or real gold?

its a good thing, i think...

someone bought it from me @ 214 Canadian

Cool you can load up a DBcard from CaVirtex and withdraw it from an ATM anywhere in the world for a 2.5% fee. $214 CAD just cuts 200 in USD.



103. Post 3399808 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: mah87 on October 24, 2013, 05:19:07 AM
Why at 250? 300 seems more likely.

Danger zone is starting at 250 IMO, but yeah between 250-300

It is about volume over time not an peek in price. 250 in June next year won't correct like 250 will tomorrow afternoon.
and when it does it's just a knife edge on the way up to a new plateau.

Ignore the bears and accept responsibility for your own risk taking, and enjoy the party, if you miss the grand entrance of a new ATH catch the one next year.



104. Post 3403427 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: Sitarow on October 24, 2013, 04:34:14 PM
Its possible that we're cooling for a bit and maybe even go lower a bit before a new rally starts. It takes a little time to get the drive back.

I remember when we had something similar to this and held between $9 to $13 for a few weeks after the run up from $4 to $6.

However once it starting moving from $13 it was constant and upward past the previous all time high of $31
I block this time from my memory if I don't it will depress me endlessly knowing I was a bear at the end of last year.



105. Post 3405763 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: mccorvic on October 24, 2013, 09:51:43 PM
Guys, this crash is all my fault.

I bought 0.1 BTC at the peak yesterday. Of course this would happen Sad
It was actually adamstgBit he dumped 1 XBT that caused the correction.



106. Post 3407762 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: fr33d0miz3r on October 25, 2013, 07:17:41 AM
Can you add one more data point to that chart please?

Attribute: Value
Members: 0
Price: $200

I look forward to subscribing to any of your newsletters.

A few months later...

Members: 0
Price: $0
A while back someone concluded SR was doing about $2M per month - XBT was at about $10 given that SR accounted for over 90% of the economy looking at the money velocity and the available coins it would be reasonable to assume a valuation of $2 per coin. However Bitcoin jumped in value to around $266.
The net take home was Bitcoin is 1% currency and 5% money remittances and 94% a store of value.

It's value is not reflected in the economy but in its potential. If anything I blame the lost year of 2012 to the premature hype created by SR that brought on the June 2011 bubble a few months too soon after rising from $0.008 to $0.08 followed by $0.1 to $1.0

The expectation is we will see a new order of magnitude in evaluation soon. Sell if you must I'm all in this time around.



107. Post 3409856 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: JustAnotherSheep on October 25, 2013, 02:18:37 PM
http://blockchain.info/sl/address/1CSBFoN2ANwqXeuQ9daVQYHXoXVfqEtzfa
This one is funny. Bought below 50, missed april's top, and now active again. Did I get it right?
That led me here: https://blockchain.info/address/1FfmbHfnpaZjKFvyi1okTjJJusN455paPH?offset=400&filter=0

What wallet is this Huh
Each of those transactions my friend is a container for the new wealthy to be distributed one at a time over the following run ups to $10,000 and beyond.

Or part of an EFT



108. Post 3409880 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: lucas.sev on October 25, 2013, 03:04:43 PM
Anyone willing to call a bottom?


A local bottom or the bottom or the big bottom (of this bearish market)?

big

Lots of pussy footing going on here, hang on bulls there are some players hitching a ride.
This is where the weak hands show.



109. Post 3410335 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Loozik on October 25, 2013, 03:28:13 PM
Keep it crypto, dude. Type out your predictions, hash the message and post the hash here.
...
I don't even understand Bitcoin. I only trade it.

LOL
Children little - "the sky is falling" this cracked me up.



110. Post 3410475 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Loozik on October 25, 2013, 04:39:29 PM
LOL
Children little - "the sky is falling" this cracked me up.

Chill out, grandpa  Wink

Is that you Walsoraj. If you not short Bitcoin and looking to get out PM me, I'll help.

we're good  Wink



111. Post 3411047 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on October 25, 2013, 05:12:10 PM
http://www.forbes.com/sites/andygreenberg/2013/10/25/fbi-says-its-seized-20-million-in-bitcoins-from-ross-ulbricht-alleged-owner-of-silk-road/

FBI's wallet grows....

Gravity is a concept until you experience it and then it's unquestionably reality and never questioned.
I need an official US government organization to say they control the private keys that hold those coins.
An official press release or statement from someone accountable to the public to take credit for SR closure.
With out that it is conjecture.

This has huge gravity but as a concept but it isn't reality yet, for all I know SR was a scam, and the coins aren't with Law Enforcement.

Either way this is crazy.



112. Post 3411310 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: uvwvj on October 25, 2013, 06:27:27 PM

Gravity is a concept until you experience it and then it's unquestionably reality and never questioned.
I need an official US government organization to say they control the private keys that hold those coins.
An official press release or statement from someone accountable to the public to take credit for SR closure.
With out that it is conjecture.

This has huge gravity but as a concept but it isn't reality yet, for all I know SR was a scam, and the coins aren't with Law Enforcement.

Either way this is crazy.

Figure Schumer will say something soon, imo.  Plus they probably are not done, and nothing official till prelim hearing.

Could still be a SR scam until it isn't.



113. Post 3413033 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: strawbs on October 25, 2013, 11:51:55 PM
Any proof those are SR's earnings?

And why in blocks of 324 BTC, seems to be a completely arbitrary number?

324 = FBI on a phone keybord. (it was is Girlfriend sitting in the wafting room doing laundry)

While this sounds like conspiracy, this could be a bigger public scam than the first Pirate to hit the Bitcoin tabloids.  I will reserve judgment until I see an official statement form a related department or many reporters report of a hearing in a US courtroom.    



114. Post 3413344 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on October 26, 2013, 02:20:46 AM
I will reserve judgment until I see an official statement form a related department or many reporters report of a hearing in a US courtroom.    

http://www.thesmokinggun.com/documents/silk-road-dealer-cooperating-567432

thanks I had seen that, IMO This is a periphery event, I'm waiting on SR and seizing of coins, this could be the catalyst for a scam - SR shutdown.



115. Post 3425375 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on October 27, 2013, 06:04:38 PM
Here we go (? ? ?)
No. Please not yet. Wait a few more days.

Sure CaVirtx how fun, I jumped in (attempted to add funds) @ $110 before the silk road crash. Anyway it all made it in at the start of the run to $210 - I now understand the term panic buy I got in almost a month later 20% below the last peek. 

So Bitcoin waits for no one and funding CaVirtx can be a little slow sometimes. Good luck.



116. Post 3425390 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on October 27, 2013, 06:49:43 PM
Anyone think those bitcoin ATM's will have any effect on the exchange rate? As in people having easier access to a bitcoin investment since it's an ATM?
If the BTC ATM coming soon to Toronto were there now, I'd be there feeding in $100 bills as we speak, instead of waiting for some silly cheque to clear and then waiting for a deposit to one of my Virtex accounts to go through.

Actually I'd probably be standing in line behind hundreds of other Bitcoiners.
Someone thinks it is going up apparently the ATM in Vancouver will be trading on CaVirtx.  I think it is a privacy issue you have to have a mug shot and a palm scan to use it.



117. Post 3438681 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: windjc on October 29, 2013, 11:15:20 PM

Really? You think when (if) BTC gets to 4 figures that people are going to be excited to buy them? You think your grandma will want to invest in BTC if a bitcoin costs $1500? You think people will pyschologically want to buy a bitcoin when its priced higher than an .oz of GOLD?

Why on earth do you think large growing companies SPLIT their stocks? Is this is not obvious to you?

People are not sophisticated. Thats why everything always forever is on sale! Oh, look this t-shirt was $69, but today only it's $19. That is the world we live in.

BTC will become psychologically too expensive one day. And mBTC will HAVE to be the denomination of the exchanges. And what I am referring to is the psychological barrier for BTC becoming an "Asset class investment."

I agree with your sentiment, but I thought it was psychologically too expensive @ $13, and thought Dollar parody was probably the best price to accelerate adoption.  On that point  Satoshi himself didn't have denominations for the lower values, he just thought it would always be called Bitcoin and you would move the decimal point as the value increased.  

Turns out I was wrong and it didn't work out the way Satoshi thought, but oh well the not sophisticated people can use fiat, and get those discounts the sophisticated ones can get over the rising price and benefit from Bitcoin, the age of ignorance is coming to an end.  



118. Post 3440096 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: dillpicklechips on October 30, 2013, 05:47:20 AM
I am a Canadian, and I'm sorry.
Checks out, he is Canadian!
I'm Canadian too, unless that's a problem... most knowledgeable folk who have a great public sector job when discussing Bitcoin are invested in the current system. They want there house to maintain or increase in value, they think we're in a tight spot and QE and Canada's "Action Plan" stimulus is working out. 

They don't understand what backs Bitcoin and when I point out it's backed by whatever I'm or anyone else is voluntarily willing to trade for it they quit talking about it and end off with the "I just don't know" ultimately it depends who you talk to.

I'm hoping the media sparks more in-depth research.



119. Post 3440166 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Chaang Noi (Goat) ช้างน้อย on October 30, 2013, 06:30:09 AM
I am a Canadian, and I'm sorry.
Checks out, he is Canadian!

lol, check on what everyone says?
Just that as a Canadian they stereotypical say sorry. That's all I was saying.

they are known for being polite Smiley
And if you ask a question they will always preface it with "I think" even when they are 100% sure.r



120. Post 3443985 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: mccorvic on October 30, 2013, 03:37:30 PM
Seems we've found a "day trader" who thinks he's so smart and is dumping "at the top".

Prepare for some light turbulence and then a boom when he immediately regrets his decision and buys back.

LOL'ed so loud - after my sell off at the previous order of magnitude I'm in again with fiat loaded to buy at the top.
Never in history have I profited while loosing so much wealth.



121. Post 3458289 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: Sword Smith on November 01, 2013, 05:57:58 PM
Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

i like to keep it long, for google searches

as long as fail gox is out of it...   it is fighting to keep its 3rd place right now... btc-e is about to over take again!


thanks for changing the title. much better Smiley

Quoting for historical purposes. The end of the Gox era. Respect. And good call on the name change.

Woot I can officially post here now.



122. Post 3481247 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: klee on November 04, 2013, 06:11:02 PM
What exactly is this rally running on right now?


Fake volume in china by all the criminals who fled FINCEN registered exchanges.

This bubble will inflate further and burst even louder than the last one.
I doubt the 'criminals' you say will actually move fiat, so FinCEN is irrelevant..

Yes they will they use HSBC and the like. The fines they pay FinCEN are larger than the Bitcoin market cap.



123. Post 3481272 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: wobber on November 04, 2013, 06:12:34 PM
What exactly is this rally running on right now?


Fake volume in china by all the criminals who fled FINCEN registered exchanges.

This bubble will inflate further and burst even louder than the last one.

*bearlogic*


If it inflates more than 350, that's no bubble. That's a miracle. Actually if it stays above 300 is a miracle.

Lol just the fact Bitcoin exists is a miracle, the fact it's above $2. Makes me think there is a God.



124. Post 3481448 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: jojo69 on November 04, 2013, 07:12:36 PM

best yet

What would be awesome is an animation over time in this format. If I ever become independently wealthy I'll work on it.



125. Post 3481802 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: barbs on November 04, 2013, 07:53:04 PM
                bullish..........................................FALL
       bullish                                                           ...  
bulish                                                                       ....
                                                                                .
                                                                                .
                                                                                .
                                                                                .
                                                                                .
                                                                                .
                                                                             KABOOM=> 80$



Then XRP value will rise to 1/20

So this is what you do when your bitstamp transfer goes through?

You talking to a troll who got a lot of free XRP, and feels it just that they appreciate in value because Bitcoin has.

@ mash87

The value of ripple is in the network and the value you invest in it. The value isn't in the XRP.

I apologise in advance for feeding the troll you'll have to spam my PM as I have you on ignore.



126. Post 3485775 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: SheHadMANHands on November 05, 2013, 03:40:26 AM
Someone should respond to horny Betty:
http://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinBeginners/comments/1pw9ow/glad_to_see_im_not_the_only_noob_on_the_block_haha/

She's new to Bitcoin...


She said hormones gone wild as in menopause not horny.



127. Post 3495236 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: DougTanner on November 06, 2013, 02:56:13 AM
Man I really need to go to bed, but how do I do that with this suspense? Someone please buy all coins up until 267 so I can finally get some sleep. Sad

This is also my problem  Undecided
Move to Vancouver - also our mayor only gets hi so he can ride his bike down hill.



128. Post 3495922 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: keewee on November 06, 2013, 05:29:25 AM
Anyone still holding after buying at the top of the April high must be ecstatic  Smiley
Relieved



129. Post 3500692 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 06, 2013, 04:54:12 PM
Why do we suddenly have these huge walls? We haven't had walls like this in aaaaages.

I sold, correction is coming, i will get my chance to buy back!  Grin
At the next order of magnitude.
You training strategy reminds me of mine when we hit $9 on the way to $266.



130. Post 3500781 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Time goes by quickly as you get older, 1984 isn't going to be like 1984.



131. Post 3505037 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: hmmmstrange on November 07, 2013, 01:53:17 AM
If this bubble can reach $1k, will it promptly create a crash from all of the sellers at that price point?  Or will it begin much sooner ($500)?

Here's a "back of the envelope" theory:

Base to Peak ratios
Bubble 1:    $1 to $30 (30x)
Bubble 2:  $13 to $260 (20x)
Bubble 3: $120 to $1,200 (10x) Huh




Bubble 3: $120 to $1,680 (14x)

Actually they are not Bubbles, technically they were a run on the Bitcoin Bank, and what we have today is a lineup to deposit into the Bitcoin Bank.  (given we don't charge interest, there is a market based enter fee for depositors, given the utility and limited supply.)

Bubbles pop, and mismanaged banks go bankrupt and there "customers" panic.  

Bitcoin looks as strong as a bull and like it's here to stay



132. Post 3506515 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Nemo1024 on November 07, 2013, 07:23:16 AM
So, probably a stupid question to ask to all the bulls, but do you think there's a chance we see 300 today? Should I rebuy back at a loss?
I'm back in, which probably means that all hell will break loose. The market seems to do the opposite of what I expect from it lately.

Hold that's all you need to do, during the next run you will know how especially if you screwed up this time.



133. Post 3514524 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: macsga on November 07, 2013, 10:19:59 PM

Is hashrate going down or am I reading leaves here?
It dips with every difficulty increase, my estimate is this increase saw the last of the laggard GPU and early Asic,s drop out.

Hash rate is not going down if anything it may level out for a week or two.



134. Post 3514880 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on November 08, 2013, 12:07:19 AM
Good, the quicker we get rid off this vessens asshole the better.

+1 and my family. (I'll refrain from the use of the word asshole in good company though.) But this crook has got to go.



135. Post 3523230 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: justusranvier on November 08, 2013, 03:25:17 PM
Historically, my ridiculous bearishness has cost me.  Just ask adam.
But it gained you your own theme song. That's got to be worth something.
Welcome back Prodhorn. Good to see you your bearish commentary has helped spread Bitcoin far and wide. You can't say profits are losses. Know when the less you profit it allows others to profit and the network to grow. Bitcoin is limited after all.

As long as you are never 100% out the profit flame is alive.

And well the song who can forget the song.  



136. Post 3523567 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on November 08, 2013, 03:34:07 PM
I was kidding, it was a nod to proudhon.

I'm of the opinion that next bear market will be the most devastating and the longest one so far (worse than 2011) because everyone is caught up in the belief that if only they hold long enough, they cannot possibly lose out on BTC, no matter their entry price. Every dip is a buying opportunity etc.

Furthermore, the current bubble developed very quickly after only 7 months between former alltime high. So, it's a bubble on top of a bubble in the same year.

We can talk about that once we actually top out. So far, we haven't even doubled from the 266 high.

Lets get some terminology settled. A bubble is part of the hype cycle and is applicable here but overall insignificant. When in Bitcoin history it is growing at a steady rate. This growth is exponential and may or may not be a bubble. But the ups and downs are just noise.

What you refer to as a bubble is actually a run on the bank (people panicking looking to withdraw and see what is backing Bitcoin)

Bitcoin has had 7 such runs, 5 significant one's and 2 during run between peeks June 2011 and April 2013. What we can see is Bitcoin is more resilient than both free bank's and those backed by a central bank. (Bitcoin has not gone bankrupt)  

The average time between each run on the "bank" is prolonged by over enthusiasm. (That enthusiasm is existing depositors re-depositing a false feedback loop)

There was a bubble in 2011 as the growth when viewed on the log scale shows. April 2013 is not. It is my opinion, that we should see a growth spurt every 6 months until the next order of magnitude, followed by a bank run from the unfaithful. (The less narcissistic the investment the more sustainable the growth)  -

Typically Adams investing style grows Bitcoin the fastest.



137. Post 3526481 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: pera on November 09, 2013, 01:07:10 AM
I'm now officially a bear, good luck

this happens when you sell too soon, at 1600 you switch back to bull



138. Post 3537086 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: Nemesis on November 10, 2013, 05:01:40 AM
I expect around 5 bubbles until btc becomes mature.

So far i've counted only 2 guys.......

This isnt one of them.... lol for the next bubble we will need to go alot higher. Such as $1000 psychological barrier.

If this one pops and stays below 200 dipping below 150 for over 30 days this will be bubble no. 8.



139. Post 3537167 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: Dargumin on November 10, 2013, 05:15:07 AM
Europe wakes up over the next couple of hours. Wonder what the reaction will be?

Bitcoin getting good press over there, with the ECB lowering of interest rates, is driving adoption.



140. Post 3537182 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: MicroFi on November 10, 2013, 05:18:46 AM
Europe wakes up over the next couple of hours. Wonder what the reaction will be?

Woke up at exactly the right time to buy in some more.
I'm sure we hit the bottom and will only go up from now.

You Sir are part of the P2P - voluntary Bitcoin Central Bank managers. I only wish my fiat had shown up in time.



141. Post 3564402 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: paratox on November 13, 2013, 12:31:50 AM
Anything to stop a westerner opening and trading on a BTCChina account?

You will need a working phone number. Other than this, no verification process.

Also keep in mind that it might be complicated to get (fiat) money out from there.

The problem is just getting RMB out, you may wind up having to create a bank account (with all the risk that involves)



142. Post 3564413 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 13, 2013, 12:37:45 AM
Anything to stop a westerner opening and trading on a BTCChina account?

You will need a working phone number. Other than this, no verification process.

Also keep in mind that it might be complicated to get (fiat) money out from there.

"Might be complicated" is an understatement. Chinese citizens are limited to 50k CNY remitted per year. Considering you're probably not a Chinese citizen, you're going to have difficulties.

No problems if you import a lot.



143. Post 3572109 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: Holliday on November 13, 2013, 04:47:56 PM
This market runs around like a headless chicken.

Zoom out. That chicken has been climbing a mountain for 3 years. Wink

it's not headless and it may have its hart ripped out when it gets to the top.



144. Post 3575242 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: samson on November 14, 2013, 12:22:30 AM
We saw a 30$ dip on Gox earlier. If a crash was underway it would have happened then. We quickly recovered though, so I dont think we'll see another 20-25% dip till we'll be kissing 500$.

Again this would merely be a correction. When a crash happens you will know about it as everyone will be running around asking hos this could possibly happen.

It can and will happen. Maybe not now but it will happen.
Oh noez, dis tyme iz diffwent!

LOL, it is different this time. It will crash harder and faster than ever before.

Bitcoin doesn't crash.

In Bitcoin you are your own bank, what you think is a crash is actually the "herd" all deciding to withdraw the assets backing their personal Bitcoin Bank at the same time, it is actually a run (stampede) on the bank and an opportunity to profit from those not fit to manage a bank in their own interest as a customer.

They will not get there bitcoin back as they are limited in supply, only those worthy of being their own bank will qualify.    



145. Post 3583473 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: BRADLEYPLOOF on November 14, 2013, 06:23:24 PM

How or where do you generate these 3D orderbook history charts?

Custom written code.

It's beautiful.  I'd love to see that, but the last 12 months of data instead.  Can you do that?
Grin Every time someone sends Richy_T 10XBT the graphs improve exponentially.
Moleccccular created a this over time available on YouTube:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifKS-UebUCI



146. Post 3583601 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: Pzeudonym on November 14, 2013, 05:52:08 PM
At the moment it feels kinda bad, waiting for cheaper prices (post crash) to buy some coins.

I'm a little afraid the price will go straight to $x,000 and never come back, with me never having bought any Bitcoins.

If you bought and sold today I think it is the only day in history you would have lost money,

Bitcoin Is High risk, it is highly volatile, the only way to win is buy and hold, and never invest more than you are prepared to lose.



147. Post 3586832 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: spooderman on November 15, 2013, 01:12:33 AM
Sentiment seems terrible today.  We are hovering around an all-time high, and a lot of people are acting as if we just had a crash, or that this is definitely the top....

Agreed! Today got me feeling like I wanted out!
I'm with ya on that one.

The last time I acted on that feeling we were around $9
Now I wait and in another 6 months and the feeling will subsidie.



148. Post 3594346 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: QuestionAuthority on November 15, 2013, 07:09:20 PM
I can't take it anymore. The price is just too tempting. I'm selling all my coin as fast as I can. I may hate myself later but I feel like I have to do it.

save 10% in XBT



149. Post 3594539 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: QuestionAuthority on November 15, 2013, 07:18:21 PM
I can't take it anymore. The price is just too tempting. I'm selling all my coin as fast as I can. I may hate myself later but I feel like I have to do it.

Trading on feelings sounds like a good strategy. Cheesy

lol I'm not trading back in, I'm moving the funds to real estate.

Bubble hopping,
Each to their own,  good for you materialising real wealth. I just want you to have more, you can still consider to save 10% and use what you pay in rent to offset the difference, or save your rent into Bitcoin after you sell out. The trend Bitcoin compared to Housing seems to be the trend to be in.



150. Post 3619283 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: TakeTheSkyRoad on November 18, 2013, 03:17:35 AM
A few people have said that one reason why there might be such a rush to buy in China is the struggle to get money out of the country and to get USD. So the BTC is being used (in these cases) as a middle-man trading currency.

So I'm wondering which exchange would be the best place to sell to USD and transfer back out to a china friendly bank account ?

Ironically for everyone in the states I'm actually wondering if Hong Kong based gox is the place.
Maybe bit stamp though ?

Or would they not need to sell through an exchange ?
I have herd the opposite here in Vancouver lots of OTC coins sold to Chinese who buy in CAD and send them to family to sell in China.




151. Post 3627568 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Crazy on November 18, 2013, 07:41:54 PM
Can someone explain why it still takes days if not weeks to get money into exchanges to purchase BTC? Infrastructure? What a load of shit.

LOL. That is the regulations part it's for your own good.

That's what I thought when it went from $100 to $125 once your money is in you then don't buy coins because it goes from $150 to $179 in 2 days. And then you say WTF why is Cavirtx so high!



152. Post 3632256 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: kurious on November 19, 2013, 12:48:22 AM
Just been watching fiatleaks money flow - showing no bitcoins into CNY - but lots into USD...

Just wondering are the Chinese somehow buying in USD and selling in CNY?

http://fiatleak.com/

Is it just no data?  Anyone tell me what's up - maybe take a look?

EDIT: I mean CNY into BTC - late evening here!

Yes, there is a notable Chinese population in Vancouver, and I have been told they are buying XBT and selling in China,  still something is driving demand, (may be Pump and Dump with a lot of energy) . And looking at CaVirtex I'm sure lots of the coins moving to China are coming from Canada.



153. Post 3633287 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: proudhon on November 19, 2013, 02:39:46 AM
So, how'd the hearing go?

you missed the gong show: some exchanges popped past US $1000 for a second





154. Post 3644764 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: Rampion on November 19, 2013, 10:20:45 PM
Gallipi just tanked the price... He crapped his pants and did not answer to the last question, what a fail, Shasky and the indian lady yesterday have kicked everybody's butt Cheesy

what was the last question? i thought he did answer it.


the essence of the question was "give me concrete examples of what we have to do to make sure that things as the Silk Road won't happen". There's no need to crap your pants on that, as the fincen lady said paper cash is a much greater tool for fraud/crime etc., just follow the same rules and move on.
Where were you when he needed the teleprompter.
you get 10/10 for homework prep.



155. Post 3644871 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: proudhon on November 19, 2013, 10:51:35 PM
Are you guys looking at different charts than me?  
Looks like pretty normal volatility to me, compared to the action we have seen the last couple of days.

Volatility either side of the peak is a standard pattern, I'll be surprised if this time around we don't see the same as the previous bubbles. In fact, given how routine they are, I'm not sure we can call them bubbles as a bubble by definition is a one time cataclysmic event.

This
I don't think of them as bubbles anymore. Bitcoin = be your own bank and this volatility = herd mentality - everyone withdraw your saving at once. I.e. it's a P2P run on the bank.



156. Post 3645981 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 20, 2013, 01:00:14 AM
selloff in progress. hold on to your butts!

Can I hold on to your butt?

I already sold my butt.

i'm buying and selling my ass like a mofo

I am helping to stabilize bitcoin

so full of joy!


The speculators are p2p equipment of the FED Bernanke. You have got to love Bitcoin they work 24/7 and don't tax the system.
This is natural law in harmony with the market.



157. Post 3646073 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 20, 2013, 01:13:08 AM
selloff in progress. hold on to your butts!

Can I hold on to your butt?

I already sold my butt.

i'm buying and selling my ass like a mofo

I am helping to stabilize bitcoin

so full of joy!


The speculators are p2p equipment of the FED Bernanke. You have got to love Bitcoin they work 24/7 and don't tax the system.
This is natural law in harmony with the market.


I get paid by the free market for doing a good job   Wink

Thanks for all the attentive work, you will be remunerated according to the reserve you can pull out of the system.



158. Post 3646121 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 20, 2013, 01:20:16 AM
selloff in progress. hold on to your butts!

Can I hold on to your butt?

I already sold my butt.

i'm buying and selling my ass like a mofo

I am helping to stabilize bitcoin

so full of joy!


The speculators are p2p equipment of the FED Bernanke. You have got to love Bitcoin they work 24/7 and don't tax the system.
This is natural law in harmony with the market.


I get paid by the free market for doing a good job   Wink

Thanks for all the attentive work, you will be remunerated according to the reserve you can pull out of the system.


fyi, i only accept BTC  Wink

this is more of a slide line, i don't do it often.
Is that post or trade  Wink



159. Post 3646715 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 20, 2013, 02:35:02 AM
I'm making a cup of green tea.

Anyone trading should do the same. There's some psychoactive stuff in green tea leaves that tends to calm you down, make you more composed and rational. I've found it very useful for technical trading.

I remember reading that anthropologists suspect that it's the psychoactive qualities of green tea that led to the development of the Japanese tea ceremony and Zen Buddhism.

But I digress...

Sleep once a day is also very effective



160. Post 3646752 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 20, 2013, 02:17:28 AM
Its very obvious at this point that BTC is back in a upwards trend.

No it is not.

Leave your emotions behind. This bounce back up is no more meaningful than the drop to $600 was.

Most likely we will correct back toward $650 before we hit $700. If that doesn't happen I will be pleasantly surprised.  Smiley

the bouncing all over is random, this will play out by December 3rd when the senate hearings close.



161. Post 3646789 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 20, 2013, 02:43:58 AM
Its very obvious at this point that BTC is back in a upwards trend.

No it is not.

Leave your emotions behind. This bounce back up is no more meaningful than the drop to $600 was.

Most likely we will correct back toward $650 before we hit $700. If that doesn't happen I will be pleasantly surprised.  Smiley

the bouncing all over is random, this will play out by December 3rd when the senate hearings close.

wait what their are more hearing coming?
no, The record will stay open until the senators have had time to ask all questions not yet put to the witnesses experts.



162. Post 3653997 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: rpietila on November 20, 2013, 04:58:32 PM

A bull is a person who does not hold fiat.

A bear is a person who holds at least some fiat and wants to return to BTC.

As you can see, I am now a bear. But almost everybody else are bulls. What this means is that you do not have the means to influence price to the upside. Only we do. But we are very few. Also the newbies do. But will they really buy in this kind of situation?


Mmmm, I remember the days when I was nearer the top of your distribution list, and thought I could make a quick buck, and then Bitcoin jumped 2 orders of magnitude and became my legendary big fish.

I think the panic buying starts in the $1000 range this time around.

Please just because I enjoy your contributions, never go all in on fiat always hold a little Bitcoin in reserve.




163. Post 3654157 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: rpietila on November 20, 2013, 06:25:10 PM
Otherwise the common wisdom does not hold, and 2010 2011 is back.

I agree with your sentiments, my observation of the June 2011 bubble is it went so far off the trend line that it took a long time to catch up. We are now on track, but at any moment something fundamental may change, and we may see a demand spike of 2 orders of magnitude followed by a 12-16 month bear market.  If you dumped Bitcoin, I dumped some fiat, make good use of it.  



164. Post 3654181 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on November 20, 2013, 06:26:10 PM

A bull is a person who does not hold fiat.

A bear is a person who holds at least some fiat and wants to return to BTC.

As you can see, I am now a bear. But almost everybody else are bulls. What this means is that you do not have the means to influence price to the upside. Only we do. But we are very few. Also the newbies do. But will they really buy in this kind of situation?


Mmmm, I remember the days when I was nearer the top of your distribution list, and thought I could make a quick buck, and then Bitcoin jumped 2 orders of magnitude and became my legendary big fish.

I think the panic buying starts in the $1000 range this time around.

Please just because I enjoy your contributions, never go all in on fiat always hold a little Bitcoin in reserve.



So you're all out at a $15 $9-$40 price?

I've been buying back in, net worth is up net Bitcoin balance is down an order of magnitude.



165. Post 3654451 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: Odalv on November 20, 2013, 07:00:57 PM
Otherwise the common wisdom does not hold, and 2010 is back.
Care to elaborate on how/why 2010?

He is shorting at BtcChina. So only way how to get money out is buy back bitcoins. (usually with a loss) :-)

I don't think it is that hard to get it out. But I do think rpietila may be attacking a fellow top tear bitcoiner if he is still shorting.

Bitcoin is a battle between the not so rich and the mega rich, the opponents the mega rich are only now organising. The casualties are the small fish that sell their coins.



166. Post 3654823 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: tarmi on November 20, 2013, 07:32:59 PM
epic bull trap ongoing.
I'll believe it when I see it. (after the fact)



167. Post 3655735 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on November 20, 2013, 08:46:00 PM
The highly secure blockchain is the right medium for small transfers. You will have to have the possibility to buy every day stuff with your smartphone with bitcoin, or it will die. Period. Off-the-chain is the most stupid shit I heard the last weeks.
Everybody is talking about regulations, senate hearings, peeing their pants whether the Chinese will accept bitcoins or whatever. But the real thread are the users/speculators who think you have to have the whole blockchain in your pocket.
Bitcoin has the ultimate chance to replace visa etc..
7 Billion people with 1-5 transactions a day, that should be the goal of bitcoin.
If this is not going to be implemented the next months I will sell out and watch one of the greatest projects in our time die.

Guys, you heard it from [Date Registered: November 15, 2013, 01:22:48 PM], show's over. See you at the next Ponzi.
Yea, here I have been buying bitcoins since 2011 thinking it would be the future of money and then this guy appears out of no where and totally blows my mind and makes me realize that it's all over, it will die if it can't facilitate 7 billion people in the next months. Man, how things can change.
I give up fresh eyes, I just didn't see this coming. What should i do with my bits of electronic cookies. I'll try sell some and then reformat , and we can start again from the same footing. Who's in?



168. Post 3655991 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: chodpaba on November 20, 2013, 09:03:47 PM

I give up fresh eyes, I just didn't see this coming. What should i do with my bits of electronic cookies. I'll try sell some and then reformat , and we can start again from the same footing. Who's in?

Bitcoin was never going to be a universal, flattened currency. Never—ever. That is not it's niche in a monetary ecosystem. Bitcoin is a risk distributor, just one part of an emerging monetary ecosystem.

Hi chodpada, great to see you. Risk Distribution Virus rings in my ears every morning.

So yes Bitcoin has many values other than currency, just how it spreads and is valued is the question.



169. Post 3664227 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: San1ty on November 21, 2013, 03:08:53 PM
Cheesy

i cant do it

i cant sell me coins!  Cheesy


again I've got 22 BTC  a few days past a month so far mining as a NOOB....how many of you guys are gonna crack like an egg when/if BTC hits 1000 usd ..... ack....and from what I've seen on here if everyone runs to sell at the same time ..you seem to lock up the works anyway with no one selling....a nice little delusional loop

I've only got 22 coins ..it hits 1000 usd and I actually have the $$$ to plan and implement my foolish mid life crisis correctly (sports cars co-eds and bimbos)..(must resist)

anyway you with over 100 coins (big brass ones) I  will watch ponder and learn and www.mtgox.com is at $721 and going up as I type ....all aboard the 'roller coaster" exit stage left

sheez....only been doing this a month and flabbergasted already

Don't think that you are the only one with such a small portfolio! Big profits can still be made with what you have, it's all about timing and it's never too late!

The question is can you hold onto those coins?



170. Post 3665531 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: TheKoziTwo on November 21, 2013, 05:26:23 PM
any bears left? xD

Me, and Wekkel. Everybody else is all in.

- Wekkel, do you by chance have 20,000 coins? Lets sell the crap out of this sucker's trap!
You might have been a big player before, but now you're just a small fish. Second Market alone has bought tens of thousands of coins, big players are entering the game and they will run all over you. Just hold!!

This totally THIS.
It happened before.



171. Post 3677712 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Bitcoin still has some way to go, all this news isn't getting through.

11:04 unsolicited call from a financial adviser trying to solicit business for a major Canadian institution.

S: I hope I haven't caught you at a bad time?
M: it depends, is it important
S: I'll let you decide
M: Ok
S: .... gives me his why? Cant remember
M: So what would you suggest I do with $X in Bitcoin today.
S: Excuse me, is that some kind of public traded company?
M:  No its more like a commodity.
S: I haven't herd of it.
M: I suggest you look it up; I have to go good buy.



172. Post 3693656 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: thetopham on November 24, 2013, 05:57:44 AM
yeah so I bought at 819 and now this happens.... oh well printed out in paper wallet not going to touch until it doubles or triples!
So next month then.



173. Post 3699494 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Zangelbert Bingledack on November 24, 2013, 06:17:54 PM
Quote
An increasingly globalised humanity is faced with climate change,
dwindling resources, overpopulation and technological upheaval.

Not a promising start: climate change BS, "running out of resources" fallacy (economic ignorance), overpopulation OK maybe, technological "upheaval" (is this supposed to be bad!?).

Quote
Desperate attempts are made to stabilise Earth's climate, as a
post-capitalist world begins to emerge.

More climate change BS, "post-capitalist"...stopped reading there.

Maybe I was too judgmental, but I can't imagine that someone so ignorant about the basics of how the world works (I think my high school teachers said the exact same thing as this) would have any reliable insight on the future.

It's hard to believe I have something in common with climate science deniers.
I was converted over to Bitcoin and Austrian economic precisely because of my fundamental understand in environmental sustainability.  

Understanding of Environmental Science is the catalyst that accelerates Bitcoin adoption to the masses.  



174. Post 3699527 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: mccorvic on November 24, 2013, 07:14:54 PM
Lol why is there a 100$ gap between btc-e and gox?

Cause people who use BTC-E are bad at life.  "I'm gonna hold me durpocoin! Someday it'll be worth 1000x more than bitcoin!"

I thought it was because there are delays in new fiat to add to the bond fire.



175. Post 3700563 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Zangelbert Bingledack on November 24, 2013, 08:08:41 PM
It's hard to believe I have something in common with climate science deniers.
I was converted over to Bitcoin and Austrian economic precisely because of my fundamental understand in environmental sustainability.  

Understanding of Environmental Science is the catalyst that accelerates Bitcoin adoption to the masses.  

I love that: "science" "deniers" - that's two appeals to authority in a single term. The climate change crowd is the most environmentally destructive out there. To care about carbon emissions over things that actually matter, like pollution, is anti-environmental alarmism. It's just an excuse for a global tax. I'm glad that whole charade is winding down, after changing its marketing from "global warming" to "climate change" after the earth refused to warm as commanded. It was one of the lamest spectacles I've seen.
I'm appealing to an authority called logic, deductive reasoning and quantitative results. Not individuals or collective irrational opinion.

I agree with your conclusion in so much as It's "used" as an excuse for a global tax. But that don't change the fact that our environment and natural resources are being squandered and destroyed as a result of centralized economic direction.

The solution to curbing environmental degradation is decentralization, "protection of property rights" and free market based economics.  Here I mean redefining the current understanding of those terms and would recommend reading works by Walter Block on Environmentalism.



176. Post 3701372 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: Sword Smith on November 24, 2013, 09:27:44 PM
I don't "agree" with him. I know he is right because I have studied this myself. The R/P ratios (reserves divided by production) rises for many fossile fuels and since the end of the 19th century some people who do not understand economics have been warning about peak oil. Peak oil is a myth but I don't see why we should have a political argument about it.

You have the right to your opinion and that's all it is.  An opinion.  My opinion, is that your opinion is not based in reality.  How can supply be growing faster than consumption when oil is the result of millions of years of decay?
You have misunderstood the concept of a "reserve". In mining a reserve is defined as something that is discovered and has been proven to be economically viable to extract. The fact that you do not know this tells me that you have not studied this issue enough to have a qualified opinion:

Quote
Mineral reserves are resources known to be economically feasible for extraction. Reserves are either Probable Reserves or Proven Reserves.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mineral_resource_classification

Yet, you did not answer the question because you simply can not defend such illogical thinking.  Now you want to dodge with semantics.   Too funny.  
I have done this so many times it is getting tiring:

OIL
Global proven reserves:
1980: 683.4bn barrels
2013: 1'668.9bn barrels
Growth: 144 %

Global consumption:
1980: 61.4m barrels per day
2013: 89.8m barrels per day
Growth: 46.3 %

source:
http://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/excel/Statistical-Review/statistical_review_of_world_energy_2013_workbook.xlsx

Conclusion: Oil supply is growing faster than consumption
Bitcoin global proven reserves: 8.967 million
1980: 0
growth : 1000%

Global consumption:
1980: 0
2013: 1800 Bitcoin per day
Growth: 46.3 %

There will always be more Bitcoin consumption will shrink to match demand, and we have reserves predicted to last untill 2141.
Finite crap, we need more economic growth the reserves prove we are not running out.

You win. Sell all the Bitcoin they'll be cheaper tomorrow.



177. Post 3701704 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: mb300sd on November 24, 2013, 10:29:14 PM

Bitcoin global proven reserves: 8.967 million
1980: 0
growth : 1000%

Global consumption:
1980: 0
2013: 1800 Bitcoin per day
Growth: 46.3 %


Wha??

Error: div by zero
Sure just pointing out the dynamics of finite resources oil and Bitcoin are both mined not produced.



178. Post 3704307 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: jojo69 on November 25, 2013, 04:44:35 AM
you know, I think this 800ish area (and this being bitcoin, by "ish" I mean 700-900) is starting to look, dare I say, "mature"

if I was new money flowing in tomorrow, after transfers on last weeks exposure, I might look at this chart and say "yep, don' wanna miss this train"

just sayin'

Only in Bitcoin can the price double in a week and then seem boring and be called "mature".

I've never been more grateful for the ADD generation taking a bull by the horns.

This rocks last week was so last year.



179. Post 3712057 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on November 25, 2013, 08:09:35 PM
My point exactly. As China is no more buying our coins, who is left to raise the price?

you

EM looks like you are long on Bitcoin for a change  Cheesy



180. Post 3713299 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: Rampion on November 25, 2013, 10:03:16 PM
I'm thinking he must be a troll. No way anyone can be that reckless.

Definitely losing 75% of your capital by trading an asset that went from $13 to $900 in less than one year sounds fishy. You really need to be a special kind of retard to do that.

well put



181. Post 3713345 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on November 25, 2013, 10:11:17 PM
I'm thinking he must be a troll. No way anyone can be that reckless.

Definitely losing 75% of your capital by trading an asset that went from $13 to $900 in less than one year sounds fishy. You really need to be a special kind of retard to do that.

Although it's easy to do if you don't have the strength to just hold. I'm sure a lot of people lost money and panic sold during that $900 -> $460 crash. People like him shouldn't be investing in an extremely volatile market. And, he probably has some kind of gambling issue as even after all these losses he's still wanting to get out of the red by reinvesting... absurd.

And if he'd stop he would still only give his sister half. Piece of scum.

Maybe his sister is a future use of that assassination website? Wink

PS: Luckily he admitted to the verbal agreement in a Reddit post. Should be admissible in court I'd think.

cool she gets to sue for half of nothing.



182. Post 3724099 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: Rampion on November 26, 2013, 04:54:04 PM
900's being a real cocktease.

I really don't get the guys who pile their sell orders on $900. If you think it won't break ATH, just spread your asks below $900. If you think it will break ATH, just pull the ask and let the price slide upwards.

Really, placing an ask on ATH is something I will never understand, but people does that a lot. Never understood the logic in it unless its pure manipulation (inducing the market to think that the resistance on ATH is too high so the price can just go down).

That is why it's called a physiological barrier.
n00b's like when I was one just a little while ago say I'll cash out at 900.

And there you have it a physical physiological barrier.



183. Post 3727187 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: philip2000uk on November 26, 2013, 08:17:17 PM
*Ladies and gentleman, this is your captain speaking.  Prepare for lift-off ! *

*Ladies and gentleman, this is your captain speaking.
We had some delays because there were bears loose on the runway.
They have been taken care of, so relax and enjoy the flight.  
We hope you will fly with bitcoin airways again*

A Fox on the runway i filmed
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qUFiiBeorbU
Spare the suckers who watched add a time stamp. http://youtu.be/qUFiiBeorbU?t=11m20s

it's kind of like Bitcoin a nothing given the size of the airport and players involved elsewhere.




184. Post 3728728 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: Vycid on November 26, 2013, 11:26:01 PM
Germany?  guess I missed a few pages

If I can't bring the Winchesters you can count me out

I'm sure we can work out a parallel gathering in Vegas

In all seriousness, does it really make sense to bring a bunch of firearms to a party with a bunch of alcohol and people who definitely don't like each other? If there's going to be professional security I'm not seeing the point.
I love all of you WTF, those who are short Bitcoin may feel a little frustrated but as luck would have it they are short Bitcoin so won't be spending it.



185. Post 3728751 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: DougTanner on November 26, 2013, 11:28:18 PM
Ok whale-Santa, I've decided what I want for Christmas, but it'll have to be an early Christmas present. I want us to breach $1 per mBTC in the next 2-3 hours. Thank you, and merry Christmas!  Kiss

Lol, you have to send letters to Santa via snail mail



186. Post 3741931 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: Rampion on November 27, 2013, 08:24:37 PM
You don't see too many posts gloating about they sold at the top and rebought at the bottom.

Trading fees really eat into your profits when taking advantage of small swings, so you gotta wait for the bigger swings. I sold at 1035 and rebought at 930. Btcchina's no-fee trading sure looks attractive.

And what is BTCCHina's business model? How do they generate revenue?
1% on withdrawal



187. Post 3758207 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: niothor on November 28, 2013, 09:36:54 PM
This thread was weird but , ....common!

I told my wife there are at least 2 girls on the forum and she laughed, but you have to admit there aren't many girls in to Bitcoin, this upcoming $1000 party is going to be a sausage fest.



188. Post 3758243 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: rebuilder on November 28, 2013, 09:59:51 PM
An 80 BTC or so ask seems to keep popping up just below 1000 on bitstamp. It gets bought up, a minute later there's another. Stealth wall?
manipulator loading up on fiat.



189. Post 3758279 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: niothor on November 28, 2013, 10:10:45 PM
This thread was weird but , ....common!

I told my wife there are at least 2 girls on the forum and he laughed, but you have to admit there aren't many girls in to Bitcoin, this upcoming $1000 party is going to be a sausage fest.
Huh?

LOL, he[/b] she



190. Post 3758330 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: micalith on November 28, 2013, 10:11:36 PM
This thread was weird but , ....common!

I told my wife there are at least 2 girls on the forum and he laughed, but you have to admit there aren't many girls in to Bitcoin, this upcoming $1000 party is going to be a sausage fest.

true. My girlfriend was suggesting that there needs to be a special dating service for the btc forum addicts. I hoped that wasn't a threat!

it is still a hard sell at $1000 per bitcoin.



191. Post 3762700 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: explorer on November 29, 2013, 07:20:23 AM
Am I the only one that is seeing that coins on much more sparse on Mtgox than on Stamp?  If this is true, it would suggest that in the future it is going to be impossible for Stamp to keep up with Gox.

So much has been talked about regarding the fiat "stuck" in Gox and how people would theoretically have to buy bitcoin to get their currency out. However, the other thing is that who wants to sell their coins there if you can't get the money out? If most people with coins who need the money quickly would prefer to use Bitstamp for these obvious reasons, there is just going to be ALOT more bitcoins available on Bitstamp

We are seeing this in the last week. The spread has been over $200 for no particularly good reason.

Its a little crazy that with all these different exchanges, there are such different situations at each one that change the price dramatically and that most people are not (or can not) taking advantage of it (arbitrage).

I can't wait until there is parity in the exchange prices. Although I really question if that will happen anytime soon.

There's almost no money on Virtex. last = US$910 or so. ground to a standstill. Its taking so long to get money in that sells are overwhelming available $.
I'll fix that tomorrow  Wink



192. Post 3773864 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 30, 2013, 12:50:48 AM

you have no idea where i have been!

at one point i flat out screamed  " BIIIIIIIITTTTTTCCCCCCCCCOOOOOOOOOINNNNNNNN " in public , as the cops were arresting me.

I ended up in the crazy house bin alongside replica, no joke

So now I have to quit the bitcoins, and keep stress levels low... so ya i wont be posting much of anything anymore.

good luck all, never let this bubble pop, never!  Wink

 Cheesy

So you saying your short?



193. Post 3774057 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):

Quote from: explorer on November 30, 2013, 01:11:15 AM

you have no idea where i have been!

at one point i flat out screamed  " BIIIIIIIITTTTTTCCCCCCCCCOOOOOOOOOINNNNNNNN " in public , as the cops were arresting me.

I ended up in the crazy house bin alongside replica, no joke

So now I have to quit the bitcoins, and keep stress levels low... so ya i wont be posting much of anything anymore.

good luck all, never let this bubble pop, never!  Wink

 Cheesy
Undecided

So you saying your short?

Adrian-x  get to work!  yesterday you said tomorrow.... Virtex is still flat lining

Deposits are so slow. we did touch 1001 didn't we?



194. Post 3829606 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on December 05, 2013, 02:13:40 AM
This is The Great Crash!

I WAS RIGHT!!!

Yep, crashed right back up to 1230+  LOL

wait that's the price of Gold, oh how I love a good crash.



195. Post 3831836 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

I think a wee bit of profit taking is in order, but it looks like most Bitcoin speculators are investors with ADHD poking what appears to be a sleeping bull saying do something.

I think we'll hang around here for a week or two befor we see how big this thing is.



196. Post 3856904 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on December 06, 2013, 09:48:53 PM
2000$ in 2 weeks tops.

I may be delusional, but you sound a little bearish and conservative.
I'm thinking perfect storm. Conference grows is Second Markets ETF, gold parity - Bitcoin is at a discount for a new type of investor, and a more stable international legal frame within which to work, and a possibly of a Nasdaq XBT ETF.

Some call Bank of America sending buy signals as bullish, and it is if this Bitcoin sale is going to new players, but my big picture view thinks when the media turns to buy it's time to stop hoarding.

Oh and there is a hard limit



197. Post 3857272 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: seleme on December 06, 2013, 10:32:58 PM
One thing I never wrote here, didn't want to spread bad news...

Last Saturday guy on McxNow chat wrote that he got SMS from his best friend who knew he is into Bitcoins. He told him he is sitting with some Chicago Wall Street guy and he mentioned him Bitcoin and that his friend is into it. Wall Street guy told him to contact him and say to get out of Bitcoin as soon as possible as on Monday some guys are going to start betting against Bitcoin shorting it.

It looked fishy at the moment and even that guy from McxNow didn't pay lot of attention to it based on what he was saying but less than 24 hours after first flash crash happened and we were on top of bullish sentiments at that point.

Hahhaha, welcome to Wall street. What a joke  Grin

Well, it might as well be a joke, I didn't pay much attention to it at that time (let's say unfortunately, I could make few coins id I did but obviously never would do on such kind of info) but after things went as they went I thought about it today and it made more sense.

Not sure only what kind of volume platforms that have that kind of trading had recently, not sure if that volume could be subscribed to big guys.

Or you could have lost it all... please talk about hindsight.

To all the noobs, when some guys tell you the market will crash.... hes either right or wrong and the chance is as much as flipping a coin because hes clueless as you.


Of course, that's why I said I would never act on such info from some nobody who was told by nobody who was told by nobody.

But this time it looks there is a chance it was a genuine info.

There are going to be a lot of "I told you so's" on Monday
hell even those who just herd about Bitcoin knew to sell.

The truth is do you know when to buy?
Personally I always buy at the top and 6 months later cherish the bargain  Wink



198. Post 3857363 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: rpietila on December 06, 2013, 10:53:27 PM
One thing I never wrote here, didn't want to spread bad news...

Last Saturday guy on McxNow chat wrote that he got SMS from his best friend who knew he is into Bitcoins. He told him he is sitting with some Chicago Wall Street guy and he mentioned him Bitcoin and that his friend is into it. Wall Street guy told him to contact him and say to get out of Bitcoin as soon as possible as on Monday some guys are going to start betting against Bitcoin shorting it.

It looked fishy at the moment and even that guy from McxNow didn't pay lot of attention to it based on what he was saying but less than 24 hours after first flash crash happened and we were on top of bullish sentiments at that point.

Hahhaha, welcome to Wall street. What a joke  Grin

If that is true, it shows that there IS indeed a limit to stupidity and that can be found on Wall Street. Shorting bitcoin.  Grin LOL

I LOL with you Bitcoin is finite. Once you short you are short.
Anything above $220 leave me secure. In Bitcoin 's astro chart we will cross into the new year under $1000 and then have fun. Week hands need some shaking.



199. Post 3858365 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Quote from: seleme on December 07, 2013, 12:42:40 AM
Whenever price is rising mostly everyone here is in a good mood and having a good time. When it drops it's more like Armageddon.

Strange, isn't it? Why would people be happy when their wealth is growing, you would never thought they would be.

Who here only started investing last month, a little capitulation is healthy.



200. Post 3898827 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on December 10, 2013, 12:29:05 AM
Is he for real?  Dude is practically jizzing his pants  Grin .

That is a must se video, I couldn't control the LOL, had tears flooding my face.



201. Post 3951363 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):

Quote from: mbets on December 13, 2013, 04:24:00 PM
...
How much is required to invest? Can we invest in small amounts? i.e. less than 1 BTC?

yes these companies are split up in millions of shares, you can buy just 1 if you like.

go try it out send a bitcoin and build yourself a profoilo

its FUN FUN FUN  Cheesy

way better opportunities then "investing" in SCAMCOIN of the week

+1, apparently Havelock's fairly scrupulous but the biggest risk imho are those running the investments, can stress enough how important it is to do the research. Day trading can work out well too, there's some very predictable behaviour on some stocks. Again, caution and good luck Smiley

EDIT: Be very careful of mining operations and if you see a guy called pirateat40 get the hell out Wink

I looked at each fund, all of them seem to be losing value. Any fund that you recommend?


No.
The 30000 foot view, looks like this to me: new comers to Bitcoin get board just saving and want to play a proactive role in there investment, so after a growth spurt they look to invest there XBT, so XBT stocks go up, no other fundamental than demand from the likes of new investors. But given Bitcoin is growing and experiencing deflation not many companies will be able to outperform a 1000% growth per year.



202. Post 4002332 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: nanobrain on December 17, 2013, 01:44:45 AM
I wasn't paying attention, what happened this time that scared folks enough to bring the price down to the 700s range?
Well about 12 hours ago the Chinese govt made some sort of proclamation that spooked the market (I can't remember what it was) and then BTChina announced it was introducing fees with immediate effect.  And of course Loaded was telling everyone over the w/e he was going to be moving the market.

And prodhorn found a source who has captured Satoshi in China with the Bitcoin shut down codes and they plan to use it soon to kill this financial virous.

Sell all now



203. Post 4034028 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on December 19, 2013, 12:21:38 AM
Well I just consulted my trading team and asked them if I should by more bitcoins or wait for a lower price? They have analyzed the information available and said "Buy more bitcoins daddy". When all else fails you listen to the 5 and two year olds. They know what's up!

Last Bull Run my 6 year old asked in earnest are the bulls or the bears winning today Dady



204. Post 4036869 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on December 19, 2013, 04:52:30 AM
The answer is arbitrage.

Tell me how you'd do it, please.
Would this work:

  * Buy BTC with USD outside China
  * Sell the BTC in China for RMB
  * Use the RMB to buy goods or stock in Chinese market
  * Sell goods/stock outside China for USD

or the other way around.   Not for amateurs, of course.

This would equalize prices but according to some "exchange rate" that is not the official one, due to extra costs.

Which is what we see, right? They track each other but not at the official exchange rate.


Yes until your btcChina account gets frozen  Huh



205. Post 4037419 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: nanobrain on December 19, 2013, 06:18:29 AM
The answer is arbitrage.

Tell me how you'd do it, please.
Would this work:

  * Buy BTC with USD outside China
  * Sell the BTC in China for RMB
  * Use the RMB to buy goods or stock in Chinese market
  * Sell goods/stock outside China for USD

or the other way around.   Not for amateurs, of course.

This would equalize prices but according to some "exchange rate" that is not the official one, due to extra costs.

Which is what we see, right? They track each other but not at the official exchange rate.


Yes until your btcChina account gets frozen  Huh
Has your account been frozen?
I've been trying to change my phone number and they have gone all silent on me...coins stuck on there...getting a bit fidgety.

My XBT Withdrawal made yesterday was held back and this evening I was blocked from RMB and XBT withdrawals. (My account reflects my balances but withdrawals are frozen for now.)



206. Post 4037854 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: nanobrain on December 19, 2013, 06:38:48 AM
My XBT Withdrawal made yesterday was held back and this evening I was blocked from RMB and XBT withdrawals. (My account reflects my balances but withdrawals are frozen for now.)
Crikey...that doesn't sound too good.
So, any reason from your end that may have happened?
I'm getting worried that the next time I log in I'm going to get a 404 and this lot will have disappeared with a stack of coins.

Not sure I have 3 accounts with the same e-mail domain and cell number, and a few failed RMB withdrawals otherwise low volume and no pump and dump behavior I am sure it will be sorted tomorrow (I have a mandarin employee looking into it so I will have an answer tomorrow.)



207. Post 4045951 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: nanobrain on December 19, 2013, 08:12:20 AM
My XBT Withdrawal made yesterday was held back and this evening I was blocked from RMB and XBT withdrawals. (My account reflects my balances but withdrawals are frozen for now.)
Crikey...that doesn't sound too good.
So, any reason from your end that may have happened?
I'm getting worried that the next time I log in I'm going to get a 404 and this lot will have disappeared with a stack of coins.

Not sure I have 3 accounts with the same e-mail domain and cell number, and a few failed RMB withdrawals otherwise low volume and no pump and dump behavior I am sure it will be sorted tomorrow (I have a mandarin employee looking into it so I will have an answer tomorrow.)
Best of luck.
I just emailed them again but they seem to have me on 'ignore' now.
Gutted.
I guess it helps if you use QQ and can type in Chinese.

So what happened is my RMB transfer was reversed, so I bought more XBT (hey it was on sale).

I then tried to withdraw the XBT, and my account was frozen.  After chatting with QQ support, they tell me the RMB transfer was successful and I must now sell my XBT to cover the previous RMB withdrawal that was reported as failed.  Problem is XBT is selling @ RMB 200 below where I bought in. Anyway my account is still frozen and I can’t do anything so next update tomorrow.

This could be a glitch in there system, or happening to others.



208. Post 4053062 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on December 20, 2013, 05:11:59 AM
Massive buys on Gox. Something's up.

its the top most poeple buy at the top
I'm not most people, but I always seem to invest at the top, the plan is to cross into the new year in the $800's then hall in for the bubble of all bubbles.



209. Post 4053416 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: seleme on December 20, 2013, 06:06:56 AM
Seriously, what kind of money could be made in Bitcoin in 2-3 days only. Is there anything remotely similar to this?
Gambling?



210. Post 4053734 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on December 20, 2013, 06:25:54 AM
Cheesy

 Shocked is what I thought when I saw cavirtex has 21 people employed verifying new accounts. Then I remembered the dead cat bounce.



211. Post 4243604 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: JulieFig on December 31, 2013, 07:11:55 PM
Happy New Year from down under...

Without intending to, I ended up acting as a bit of a Bitcoin advocate tonight while out with friends at a New Years Eve party. I tried to enlighten them (inadvertently came up with a different analogy each time) as to what Bitcoin really was, but in the end the main 'argument' they had against it was "If I can't touch it, it's not real - I don't trust the internet with it". Which is ironic since that is basically what they're doing with their bank accounts.

One guy was a Financial Advisor (capital 'F', capital 'A' - his distinction, not mine) who said he was happy to "argue against Bitcoin all night". I (successfully, I think) countered every roadblock he threw up about Bitcoin and ended up betting him that one Bitcoin would be worth more than $50,000USD in 3 years (perhaps a little bullish, although can you blame me?)*. I confess, I may have been a little inebriated by this point, but I am getting a little fed up with the ramblings of people who have not taken a few minutes out of their day to research what Bitcoin actually is (i.e. a protocol as well as a currency), but instead act as if they're experts who foresee the demise of this 'imaginary money'.

Does anyone else get a little fed up with this sort of attitude?

(Apologies if this post does not belong in this thread... It's just that this is the main thread I read (every morning without fail, I trawl through the 8 or so pages that have been posted overnight... > 8 pages = something big has happened, < 8 pages = price has remained stagnant.) Although, it seems 'stagnant' in Bitcoin vernacular is akin to 'short-term' or 'temporary' in normal trading terms.)

*Bought at $1060 and have been 'hodling' ever since.
 

Hang in there Bitcoin can benefit everyone but not everyone will benefit equally. So don't get your knickers in a knot if they don't buy in. Historically buying at the top pays off over time. Ironically my first big purchase was in the $2.80 range, and I frequently buy at the top. Hold for sure but don't hold everything until $50K.



212. Post 4348166 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.52h):

Quote from: Mythul on January 06, 2014, 05:27:23 PM
I think now is still the time to sell since Chinese exchanges begin to close. They will announce the closure at least one week earlier if they really care about their users.

The big dip is coming.
How do you justify the call that Chinese exchanges are about to fold?



213. Post 4371398 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.52h):

Quote from: magicmexican on January 07, 2014, 07:07:40 PM
Speaking of bad news. Does anyone know the best way to get the fastest news that could relate to btc price? Seems like i am always late to the party.

LOL'ed,
you are trading on the wrong timescale if you think reactionary news is important.



214. Post 4413448 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on January 09, 2014, 06:20:41 PM
If only I could fart bitcoin out my unicorn ass! Cheesy

I've tried many times and even ended up in the ER on one occasion. Several coins that symbolized fiat currency were removed from my rectum. I embarrassingly explained that I had attempted to create bitcoins through intestinal alchemy.
I was expecting a drug induced deletion you were a unicorn. But good to know you are open to experimentation. 



215. Post 4414200 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on January 09, 2014, 07:06:25 PM
If your Bitcoins drop too much in value, you will have no purchasing power left to even buy bitcrack. If you can no longer get high on bitcrack, inevitably you will be forced to sell. Think about it.

Thus, as an emergency measure, I recommend selling your Bitcoins off for the "To The Moon" game on Humble Bundle.
I thought reading bitcointalk.org was bitcrack.

Just remember everyone only invested what they were prepared to lose, so a crash to single digits still allows one to get value out of the system. I am all bull for any value above $8 at the moment (would like some notice if we dip below $780 though)



216. Post 4414381 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: Richard Branson on January 09, 2014, 07:22:50 PM
CHOOOOO-CHOOOOO: OVERSTOCK WENT LIVE !

That is not bullish. Overstock has nothing to do with bitcoin.
They simply use bitpay and accept fiat  Wink

Bitpay sells the coins asap -ŧ Selling pressure
The last time a yellow Lamborghini sold through Bitpay, the dump of coins crashed the market.
How were the coins disperse for the Virgin Atlantic flight?



217. Post 4414495 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: gentlemand on January 09, 2014, 07:32:06 PM
216 coins crashed the market? Are you sure?
Call it good timing (correlation doesn't = causation)



218. Post 4414663 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on January 09, 2014, 07:41:52 PM
Do you see how we all just spinned a major retailer accepting Bitcoin as negative news? This is the raw power of human emotion. Reality does not matter.

Make believe is everything.
Aside from the science of economics.
this I found bullish.

http://mobile.businessweek.com/articles/2014-01-09/bitcoin-mining-chips-gear-computing-groups-competition-heats-up



219. Post 4415216 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: Richy_T on January 09, 2014, 08:07:05 PM
Sorry, I would much rather buy fake virtual credit points for a fake farm game.

It's all fun and games until fake Monsanto comes in and drives you out of business.
Can that be modeled in Farmvil, maybe it needs to be taken up a notch, Farmvil meet Second Life and Minecraft



220. Post 4415326 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: bambou on January 09, 2014, 08:15:40 PM
Since bitcoin price is largely speculative might we have reached the upper limit of pricing until real usage confirms said speculation? Wall street interest was forseen and now we have to go sideways or down for confirmation of actual utility.

yes i think you are completely right. But i would not underestimate the power of speculation.  Cheesy

Now that speculators have uncovered the real price of Bitcoin they need to hold for 5 days, but given bitcrack and noob trading ADHD, the show must go on.



221. Post 4415584 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):

Quote from: Biro Bob on January 09, 2014, 08:26:20 PM
I just tried to use overstock in the UK and bitcoin was not available.
Just tried in Canada and had to sign up so I doesn't find out anyone know if it's available in Canada?



222. Post 4419581 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: vdcc on January 10, 2014, 12:25:23 AM
Also, one of the bigger US based online poker sites started accepting bitcoin as a deposit option, and probably a bitcoin withdrawal pretty soon as well.
http://www.parttimepoker.com/winning-poker-network-adds-bitcoin-as-deposit-method

and a little older news, Zynga is accepting bitcoin too..
http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2014/01/06/bitcoin-back-over-1000-thanks-to-online-gaming-company-zynga/
And nobody cares, cause China is about to almost completely ban bitcoin, which will crash price to 300-400

 Wink this too is busy being priced in.



223. Post 4419752 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: Feri22 on January 10, 2014, 12:36:55 AM
PS: How can I help to create some global financial problems?   Huh

Buy a huge amount of Bitcoin, become a state leach and abstain from contributing to the economy of money.



224. Post 4434708 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: molecular on January 10, 2014, 06:39:59 PM
looks like huobi is first to break out of the channel to the upside.

The talk is they are going to get a smack down for not curtailing to their overloads at the end of the month. They will become the new Fort Gox.
Some think the price will go down, History predicts otherwise. Me, I’m joining the Spartans.



225. Post 4434752 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: proudhon on January 10, 2014, 06:45:14 PM
looks like huobi is first to break out of the channel to the upside.


Nah, just a wobble on the way down.  Sources have confirmed this.  充分證實和真實

I'v been on the internet and have been told: 拉马斯是充满了狗屎



226. Post 4511466 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 14, 2014, 06:38:25 PM
Perhaps someone will be interested in this comparison between the prices of MtGOX, Bitstamp, and BTC-China:



I should have used Huobi instead of BTC-China, since the latter appears to be nearly dead now.   However the website where I got the data (http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/) does not work with Huobi.  Is there an alternative source?

Don’t get to cozy with Huobi until mid Feb, there is evidence to suggest that 0% fees = an increase in fake volume, and the clincher it could become the new FortGox – Fiat in, and only Bitcoin Out, (no Fiat out – increases the value of Bitcoin, only key players will benefit from the arbitrage)  

In the meantime ask them to review the following: http://bitcoincharts.com/about/exchanges/



227. Post 4516462 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: T.Stuart on January 14, 2014, 10:25:48 PM
Blitz is right. Many here are very badly prepared psychologically for the event of a long term bear market. Do I expect $100 coins? Lower? No. Is it a distinct possibility, outside of a fatal crash to $0? Yes, unquestionably. Dismissing the possibility out of hand, as many here do, is laughable. Queue log chart, etc. that is supposed to show me that trend break is impossible.....

I think many may be very badly prepared for a long-term bear market because it seems rather unlikely at this stage. The only reason I can think of for this to happen over the next couple of years would be a catastrophic technical event rendering the security of the protocol unreliable. China ban, bubble-theorists, etc... none of that has the power to cause a long-term bear market considering where Bitcoin is now.

What else do you think might cause such a change in market sentiment at this stage?
The unequal distribution of coins can discourage adoption, the result the Bitcoin network has less value, until an optimal distribution equilibrium is reached this bear market will always be a credible probability.



228. Post 4520439 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: BTCtrader71 on January 15, 2014, 01:18:02 AM
The unequal distribution of coins can discourage adoption ...

What is the argument or evidence for this?
Personal experience, most people I know, I am the exception, feel that they don't want to invest because it feels like a ponzi they think if they buy 1 or 2 coins someone with 10,000 can just destroy there value and so are unwilling to take the plunge. They think the early investors in apple or the like deserve the return but Bitcoin is a couple of orders of magnitude too high to be reasonable. Result they don't invest.



229. Post 4520526 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: TERA on January 15, 2014, 05:43:50 AM

Being able to predict the future, based on the past, is only going to last so long, until one day it doesn't.
One never stops learning  Smiley



230. Post 4538344 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: mellowyellow on January 16, 2014, 02:44:50 AM


You would hope that by the time 1 BTC = $10,000 USD the fluctuations or volatility in these 'early years' will have subsided. Otherwise, we could be seeing swings between $10,000 and $100,000 each month! The stress levels of BTC day-traders seem high enough as it is... what would happen then??

It would make it fail. Bitcoin can only work if it is stablilised.
Stable price = 0% risk for holders
0% risk = free market fail.



231. Post 4555953 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

This thread is the P2P equivalent of the FED modeling the expansion and contraction of the money supply in real time.

It’s still my go-to for a warm fuzzy, LOL.  The fate of those coins is at least 2 months away, until I am wrong. 



232. Post 4556465 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: virtualfaqs on January 17, 2014, 01:31:57 AM
That's the point I'm trying to make. Overstock.com policy is 30 days. If BTC price goes down in 30 days, there are going to be people who will refund and rebuy. Will that be fraud or policy?

Good point, the solution store credit or refund in XBT after you pay a restocking fee.



233. Post 4556515 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: deadfi$h on January 17, 2014, 01:44:53 AM
The only thing that worries me is the possibility of a straight shot to the moon. Smiley

It is the most frightening thing that exists. It keeps 90% of my coins off the exchange.

I'm showing moderate growth in my exchange account, but not enough to merit the risk of being light on bitcoin when this thing erupts...

I don't understand this mentality. A jump to any sort of high level of price is going to take days and weeks and months. Why not ride it up when it's going up and down when it's going down? There's always time to jump back in.

If you don't have the time or desire to pay close attention to the markets, then buy and hodl can be a decent strategy. I don't know, it just makes me nervous going to sleep with a trade open.

I thought like you once, and waiting to buy back in after Bitcoin went north of $10, I knew I was going to nail this market.



234. Post 4556940 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: deadfi$h on January 17, 2014, 01:59:51 AM
The only thing that worries me is the possibility of a straight shot to the moon. Smiley

It is the most frightening thing that exists. It keeps 90% of my coins off the exchange.

I'm showing moderate growth in my exchange account, but not enough to merit the risk of being light on bitcoin when this thing erupts...

I don't understand this mentality. A jump to any sort of high level of price is going to take days and weeks and months. Why not ride it up when it's going up and down when it's going down? There's always time to jump back in.

If you don't have the time or desire to pay close attention to the markets, then buy and hodl can be a decent strategy. I don't know, it just makes me nervous going to sleep with a trade open.

I thought like you once, and waiting to buy back in after Bitcoin went north of $10, I knew I was going to nail this market.

But do you think your problem was selling in the first place or that you misjudged the market and should have bought back in sooner? You would have had some great opportunities to buy back in after that rise and crash.

There are some pretty awesome benefits of trading vs hodling though. Like for instance in that bloody day after the BTC-China news, I increased my account 60%. Hodlers did not. I'm all for hodling in a raging bull market  Cheesy


I misjudged fundamentals in Bitcoin at $9, after another 50% increase I thought I would ride out the Bull Run which I grossly underestimated.  I now only trade obvious market overreactions
(kind of like a the FED )  

If you can make it work do it, but for me Bitcoin isn’t normal.




235. Post 4570142 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on January 17, 2014, 07:22:21 PM
Patience.... wait until everyone is sure the price is going lower.

That is the time to buy.

I always know the best time to buy...a day after it happens.

i still think it was in 2011 Wink



236. Post 4570207 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: fonzie on January 17, 2014, 07:20:58 PM



double bull trap included in this pic
 Cool

I like this and see its relevance, just for the future we need one for the anatomy of a bull run



237. Post 4570378 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: T.Stuart on January 17, 2014, 08:32:09 PM
This "capitulation" has got absolutely no conviction. And as the days countdown to 31 January and nothing happens, people wanting to buy in but waiting for the China crash are going to start getting twitchy!  Smiley

any action is more likely to be during the week of Feb 10.



238. Post 4717761 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: 600watt on January 24, 2014, 10:12:14 PM
Quote
Could it be that this coding genius is instead enjoying computer-manufactured riches on some remote, tax-free island, or is he a cyber-terrorist who upon Bitcoin adoption will activate a Trojan-horse virus to bring world commerce back to the Stone Age?

edit: talking about satoshi nakamoto!
... and the Hadron Collider will create a black hole and we'll all be sucked in, this has to stop now before it is too late.

In reality we use the wheel not because we trusted the inventor but because we find it useful.  



239. Post 4720238 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: His Most Eminent Highness Grand Caesar Imperator Goat on January 25, 2014, 12:26:45 AM

just use bitsimple.com easy easy easy...

Can you sell as much as you want there without moving the price?

What are the advantages of bitsimple? Looks like they're taking 4%.

Fast and easy. Get your money in hours not months.

question is will they take [GOATcoin] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=429599.msg4698464#msg4698464

Goat is this for real?



240. Post 4722734 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on January 25, 2014, 03:49:10 AM
Pretty quiet out there.  Bulls and bears waiting for the other to move so as to catch opponents off balance.  Mexican standoff=merchants win=Bitcoin win!

I guess everyone will start playing dogecoin again.



241. Post 4788849 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.00h):

Quote from: Holliday on January 28, 2014, 01:20:44 AM

I'm waiting for the bull to say "we're still in stealth phase".

I live in a town of 12,000 where only about a dozen people have heard of it and I'm the only one who owns any. Yeah, we're still in the stealth phase.
You're thinking of a best case sceanrio in which Bitcoin becomes a massively adopted global phenomenon where every person has an interest in using it. But this graph is not intended to show success cases where something because a legitimate successful enterprise. It is intended to show ponzi schemes or things that fail or become unuseful (or not all that it was hyped up to be).

How many times does the graph have to be wrong before people stop posting it? I've been seeing it since 2011.
It's not wrong, we just don't know where we are, or what the mean looks like.



242. Post 4789115 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.00h):

Quote from: Holliday on January 28, 2014, 01:40:09 AM

I'm waiting for the bull to say "we're still in stealth phase".

I live in a town of 12,000 where only about a dozen people have heard of it and I'm the only one who owns any. Yeah, we're still in the stealth phase.
You're thinking of a best case sceanrio in which Bitcoin becomes a massively adopted global phenomenon where every person has an interest in using it. But this graph is not intended to show success cases where something because a legitimate successful enterprise. It is intended to show ponzi schemes or things that fail or become unuseful (or not all that it was hyped up to be).

How many times does the graph have to be wrong before people stop posting it? I've been seeing it since 2011.
It's not wrong, we just don't know where we are, or what the mean looks like.

So everything on the planet, during the entire history of mankind, has been adopted according to that graph. Wow. A fucking genius made that graph!

No that graph represents human emotion, in regards to hype, everything on the planet has been adopted according to a normal distribution curve.



243. Post 4789271 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.00h):

Quote from: Holliday on January 28, 2014, 01:50:39 AM
No that graph represents human emotion, in regards to hype

Oh... so it's useless, like trying to measure love. Wink
Yes, LOL
but come mid February lots of subjective evaluations of love (and I suspect Bitcoin) with objective outcomes will we quantified.



244. Post 4803370 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.00h):

Quote from: windjc on January 28, 2014, 07:12:46 PM
All I gotta say is where are all the bear *ucktards that were on this thread yesterday? How's that crash treating you? Lol. Hope you were at least able to skim a little off the $80 drop before it recovered.

Lol

They come out in the next session



245. Post 4807872 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.00h):

Quote from: His Most Eminent Highness Grand Caesar Imperator Goat on January 28, 2014, 09:01:20 PM
Ha, the Goat house is getting full. My second son was born yesterday about this time. Both baby and Mother are happy and healthy.  Grin

congratulations, you have work to do, comeback in 8 years.



246. Post 4831599 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 30, 2014, 01:39:52 AM
i've been selling coins.  Tongue

risk management....

but i still very bullish on the future.
Anyone in bitcoin a few years ago is rich now. So...
Anyone in bitcoin now will be rich in a few years. no worries  Cheesy

its easy to think that anyone that heard about bitcoin in 2012 bought 10K worth of bitcoin minimum

but it was a different time back then, bitcoin was really sketchy, no one wanted to risk more then they could afford to lose

and unfortunately i could not afford to lose very much at all

the week i heard about bitcoin was the same week i bought my house.

worst investment ever!    Tongue

and you haven't paid it off yet?



247. Post 4831768 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 30, 2014, 02:24:30 AM
Just got home, not gonna bother catching up with the last 30 pages of probable nonsense,

But I just watched the first segment of the first panel today, and sorry for the serious but I'd like if some of you could offer an opinion on the following.

Cyrus R. Vance, the very first person to speak, chooses to start with a case of money laundering, of course. Money laundering is the catch phrase and it's designed to put a negative image on bitcoin. They will repeat it again and again when asked about bitcoin.

The interesting thing is that they were laundering fiat dollars acquired from the theft of credit card information, using western express. This crime can't even happen with bitcoin. There is no credit card information to steal in the first place.

I think the reason they are going to try to vilify bitcoin and try to regulate the shit out of it so that they can maintain their monopoly on the money laundering business.  


What do you think?


the hearing made me feel like the US was going for a minimalist approach to regulation, the chairman seemed very pro bitcoin.... I don't think they are going to regulate the shit out of it. they keep saying that they want to have enough regulation to feel comfortable and at the same time not stifle bitcoin's potential. If i was a conspiracy theorist i'd say bitcoin is the new illuminati money, and government agents are in on it. but i'm not going to go there.
Quote from: New York Department of Financial Services Superintendent Benjamin Lawsky
"We're always going to choose to squelch money launderers...even if it prevents 1,000 flowers from blooming"
implies entrepreneurs are not welcome, NY doesn’t care if you are unemployed and innovate, they just want to make sure you follow the letter of the law.  




248. Post 4831826 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: aminorex on January 30, 2014, 03:05:45 AM
Virtual currency is another catch phrase that they want to embed in the subconscious. Virtual currency is very different from crypto currency.

+999  hit this hard people.  Never ever let anyone put virtual currency and crypto currency in the same class.  If they try to call it virtual currency, make them beg for mercy.  Sneer and cajole and ridicule.  One thing they cannot survive is mockery, because it subverts the illusion of competence and legitimacy.  Virtual currency is play money.  Cryptographic currency is backed by logic itself, more secure than any army.

Some think it is trivial, but it is not, “virtual” applies to fiat in a bank, not to cryptocurrencies.



249. Post 4831838 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 30, 2014, 02:53:34 AM
no...

like i said i could not afford to lose very much at all.

and i sodl alot in the 20's .....

you and me both.



250. Post 4846888 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 29, 2014, 03:24:07 PM
anyone log into virtex today??

i log in i see the picture and i'm like  Shocked

just logged in what am i looking at?



251. Post 4846962 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on January 29, 2014, 03:37:27 PM
anyone log into virtex today??

i log in i see the picture and i'm like  Shocked

I'm there now...what picture?

you dont see it?

go to "actions"

NSFW -> https://www.cavirtex.com/media/merch-button.png

hmmm nvm my browser sees to be confused...


It’s been there a while, every time I get hit up for a donation I offer to donate $1000 in Bitcoin and i send them a little package and instructions to get in touch with Virtex to sign up not one charity in 3 has bothered.



252. Post 4847862 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: Vigil on January 30, 2014, 10:19:25 PM
Look at this... lol
Quote
This doomsday scenario was echoed by another used called 'Proudhon', who has contributed to the forum for three years. The user said bitcoin's fall from $1,200 to its current level of around $900 will "continue until bitcoins are worth $0."

http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/chinese-new-year-bitcoin-ban-end-days-or-empty-threat-1434495

LOL, I hope they Google Proudhon and read up on Wikipedia  Smiley

They forgot to add when he changes his tune buy!



253. Post 4847895 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):

Quote from: Dalmar on January 30, 2014, 10:25:46 PM
Look at this... lol
Quote
This doomsday scenario was echoed by another used called 'Proudhon', who has contributed to the forum for three years. The user said bitcoin's fall from $1,200 to its current level of around $900 will "continue until bitcoins are worth $0."

http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/chinese-new-year-bitcoin-ban-end-days-or-empty-threat-1434495


It would be epic if Proudhun gets quoted on CNBC.  Shocked Grin
More epic they play the Proudhon song as an intro to Bitcoin doom and gloom.



254. Post 4914808 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: Richy_T on February 03, 2014, 03:17:40 PM

That's what we used to call in Naval Nuclear Power School a GCE (gross conceptual error). Trade requires two parties. Few will want to trade something that's scarce for something that isn't.

Quote
“Thank you. Since we decided a few weeks ago to adopt the leaf as legal tender, we have, of course, all become immensely rich. [...]

"But we have also," continued the management consultant, "run into a small inflation problem on account of the high level of leaf availability, which means that, I gather, the current going rate has something like three deciduous forests buying one ship's peanut." [...]

"So in order to obviate this problem," he continued, "and effectively revalue the leaf, we are about to embark on a massive defoliation campaign, and...er, burn down all the forests. I think you'll all agree that's a sensible move under the circumstances.”
― Douglas Adams, The Ultimate Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy

Wait, I've just had a great idea for a new alt-coin.

Quick someone buy all the 42coin



255. Post 4990313 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 07, 2014, 06:08:55 AM
virtex should be trading at 800

we really need someone to setup some arbitrage operation.... this is annoying... no cheap coins for me?  Angry
840 is cheep. I'm still arbing vertex
You can always buy at VOS.
VOS?

well it should be ~800 given 1USD = 0.90CAD


VOS = https://www.vaultofsatoshi.com/orderbook



256. Post 5037707 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on February 09, 2014, 03:36:01 PM
That's the luxury of buying in at $10. But I think it's more likely to do this:


Someone bought Most of my coins at $10 not long ago, I don't think I'll get a chance to buy back ever.
I like your image.



257. Post 5049360 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):

Quote from: aminorex on February 09, 2014, 07:39:42 PM
It is mathematically inevitable that debt-based monetary systems will explode.  It does not require any particular economic theory or political ideology to recognize this, merely mathematical literacy.
Those be some strong claims.  Doubts about them, I have.
I am presuming you are talking about the "where does the money come from to pay the interest"-situation.

That is a major component.  In and of itself, it would not make collapse inevitable, but it forms the foundation upon which collapse is built.
The system was designed to rent-seek in the margin, draining the energy made available by economic growth, on an exponential growth model.
The system can no longer work as designed, because the exponential growth assumption has reached end-of-life.  The energy available is declining.
It could in hypothetical principle be adapted, modified, to conform to the new material conditions; however, other factors make that impossible,
in particular the fragility of low-diversity tightly coupled systems:

It is useful to characterize ecological systems by their path through a three-dimensional phase-space, the axes of which are energy requirements, interconnectedness, and diversity.   Ecological systems, incorporating predator-prey dynamics, are attracted to a lemniscate path through this phase space.  When energy requirements approach the limits of available energy, interconnectedness is high, and diversity is low, the system is reaching a catastrophic portion of the trajectory, and a very rapid motion to a loosely-coupled, low-energy, high-diversity region ensues.  

The predators are about to become carrion, upon which a new diversity will feed.


Thanks this is a concise summary and describes our dilemma well.



258. Post 5058882 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

So WTF, a market order dropping btc-e to 100 is real?

I've been saved a fiew time by market orders when I sell 1 decimal too low, but this looks crazy.

Also what's up with Hong Kong, that volume can't be real?  



259. Post 5058898 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: spooderman on February 10, 2014, 04:34:06 PM
srsly tho, some people bought coins for 100 fucking bux on btc-e. wow. that is 6x ur money in a day.

This is how Bitcoin grows. Love it.



260. Post 5059014 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 10, 2014, 04:12:32 PM
WTF btc-e droped too 100!

this is wild

any update from gox yet?

I think a large fish is checking btc-e solvency with the drop. This I think is bearish for the future price bullish as someone is stress testing Bitcoins peripheral infrastructure.



261. Post 5059109 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: podyx on February 10, 2014, 04:37:48 PM
So WTF, a market order dropping btc-e to 100 is real?

I've been saved a fiew time by market orders when I sell 1 decimal too low, but this looks crazy.

Also what's up with Hong Kong, that volume can't be real?  
how much volume HK got?
http://bitcoincharts.com/markets/anxhkUSD_trades.html



262. Post 5060231 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 10, 2014, 05:02:53 PM

it was probably a trader that stayed up all night to read the gox update, when it finally came in, he thought this is it the protocol is broken, and sold in a panic thinking the price would not bounce back because "this is the end of bitcoin"

and yes traders should have low ball orders for panic sells like this

probably wouldn't do much for the price, but it will mean cashing in on retarted panic sells

To be honest we have grown 2 orders of magnitude, and when you trade in a foreign currency you sometimes make mistakes.

I think he hit sell at $60 not 600 thinking mBTC.  I think he is OK. Got most of his order filled at a good price. Definitely lack of sleep.



263. Post 5105788 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Quote from: meanig on February 12, 2014, 05:42:49 PM
Anybody watched this?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ziqOxLNfOc

He claims to have worked on Internet currencies for twenty years and with Tim Berners-Lee.

If you look at the comments he says that Bitcoin mining will use more electricity than the whole of Germany in a few years  Cheesy
He is an extreme Bull if he believes that, the price will need to be many orders of magnitude higher to justify the input cost.



264. Post 5111994 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 13, 2014, 02:12:23 AM
Wow gox almost under 500  Shocked
lol
thats 23% lower than stamps.

market is now saying there's a 23% chance gox will never send out another bitcoin.

can one deposit to Gox or is that prohibited too?



265. Post 5124631 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.08h):

Quote from: KFR on February 13, 2014, 06:44:36 PM
Adam can you kill your clone?  I know imitation is flattery but we have enough fonzies around here already.  Actually while you're at it, could you kill him too? Wink

 you hold the power to kill comments, use the ignore button.



266. Post 5146322 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on February 14, 2014, 06:50:31 PM

We build momentum slowly until a critical mass is reached and we go parabolic or some other calamity shifts the direction temporarily down again. The point is no ponzi scheme could have survived the shit we just lived through. Bitcoin is the real deal.
You weren't here in 2011, this is nothing but a little scrubbing under nails cleaning up a little.
Even if you invested 3 months ago this still looks like a bull market.



267. Post 5223922 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 18, 2014, 03:59:13 PM
Still massive dumps of Goxcoins, seems like people think they are worthless after all

as the poll indicates, clearly poeple have very little confidence they will resume withdrawals as promised.

are poeple trading gox on superior information or emotion... that is the question.
<Tinfoil hat>
Gox is dealing with a trojan horse and containing it for now after Bitcoin threatened gold parity the domain of the TPTB.

JP Morgan orchestrated a confidence attack, (with over 100 patent revisions to a Bitcoin competitor filed with the USPTO.) JPM knows Bitcoin inside out. They also trade aggressively to manipulate markets.

They dumped 8000 coins to crash Btc-e to $100 and dumped on Gox while exploiting withdrawal vulnerabilities, funded and published anti Bitcoin articles and studies. And publicly denounced Bitcoin after quizzing Bitcoins lead developer over at the CFR of how patches and development is done in regards to implication of the protocol.

Gox is in damage control containing the contagion, mainly because at the time the attack was planed (after they published an advertisement at the financial G8 conference) they were No.1 by a long shot.
</tinfoil hat>



268. Post 5224160 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: flynn on February 18, 2014, 06:32:29 PM
Maybe MK will move MtGox to Canada so he'll have another excuse to not sending the BTCs
Even the banks Gox uses in Japan are under international pressure because of possible criminal activity in Bitcoin (I read about car loans to drug dealers almost collapsing Gox's bank a while ago, while HSBC's laundry of over $600 billion gets a slap on the risk.)

I suspect MK has many restraining orders preventing him from disclosing his situation.

Don't get me wrong I thought Gox was a scam after the first crash in 2011 but I feel for the guy despite being so insolent.

If he were in Canada Bitcoin would be on life support.



269. Post 5247805 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):

Quote from: Vycid on February 19, 2014, 11:58:37 PM

In any event, this ignores the bigger logical leap I'm not following: how did MTGox end up insolvent? They certainly appear profitable. Is the theory that they were totally wiped out by tx mutability?

doubt it, but they could have funds locked by law enforcement for other reasons.



270. Post 5248163 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):

https://blockchain.info/ 53 minutes for a single block, I'm beginning to appreciate Quarks 30 second blocks.



271. Post 5248248 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):

Quote from: jojo69 on February 20, 2014, 12:36:53 AM
https://blockchain.info/ 53 minutes for a single block, I'm beginning to appreciate Quarks 30 second blocks.

it happens, just mining luck

we just hit an hour



272. Post 5266981 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):

Quote from: delphic on February 20, 2014, 08:25:07 PM
baha, Winklevoss Twins Launch Price Index for Bitcoin Named the ‘Winkdex’

worst name ever.
Yup.

I'd have called it Voss-daq.

the first name i think is better, after reading all the reddit junk.



273. Post 5268171 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):

Quote from: Nicholas-Carraway on February 20, 2014, 09:05:06 PM
 Worst-case is someone trying to destroy btc because its a threat to  Status Quo, but would think the aristocrats need to make more boatloads of money in btc before doing that.  I'm probably just crazy.
You don’t simply destroy a paradigm shift, you try get your foot in the door before you become irrelevant.



274. Post 5293131 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.15h):

Quote from: gentlemand on February 22, 2014, 03:02:58 AM
Here's an interesting nugget from /r/bitcoinmarkets



I was just looking at the one week charts and noticed we've hit 6 consecutive weeks in the red, this hasn't happened since 2011 when it dropped from $30 to $1.

If Gox keeps its bullshit up we could hit a record 7 red weeks which would be the first time in Bitcoins history! WOOO
7 conservative weeks of decline = worst bear market in the history of Bitcoin = wow



275. Post 5293290 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.15h):

Quote from: KFR on February 22, 2014, 03:41:51 AM
Bitcoin is backed by maths and its functionality.
Just the value is backed by the faith others will trust the immutable Bitcoin Protocol. (Maths)



276. Post 5331035 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):

Quote from: seleme on February 24, 2014, 05:58:14 AM
Something interesting is happening at the moment I think. Gox remove their tweets, relocate their office and that link few pages back saying "light at the end of the tunnel for gox customers". Maybe the exchange really is being sold to some more competent people? We'll see, we'll see.

Indeed, lot of stuff happened in few hours. Resignation from Bitcoin FOundation, tweets deleted, something's going on.

And a huge wall on stamp pushing the price down from $600



277. Post 5331205 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):

Quote from: Mythul on February 24, 2014, 06:17:41 AM
Ok, I really don't understand this market. It doesn't drop when Mt.Gox hits fucking $91 and now when MK resigns (something that everybody wanted) from the foundation, the price ..... tanks.

Well if all is well you don't resign but when you are not worthy of the position you resign.
I guess this looks like he is going to bail on Bitcoin

Those Canadians in Toronto know the drill, they have a crack smoking Mayor Rob Ford, who keeps working well because using crack and public service aren't exclusive.



278. Post 5331347 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):

Lol I only buy the top and bottom, (well the last fiew bottoms and tops - and a little off loading here and there)
I'm still thinking about adding funds, so I think there is a lot more bear in the woods.



279. Post 5331742 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):

Quote from: CryptStorm on February 24, 2014, 07:07:19 AM
The most interesting notion that Gox may be being purchased by outsiders makes a TON of sense!!

Imagine you're Mark-- totally sick of running your company, dudes are getting in your way while you're carrying your scrumptious coffee-beverage to work (idiots), and no one really understands your pure awesomeness... you have maybe 10,000 BTC (idk!?!?) and someone offers you millions!! to walk away from gox == yummy coffee-beverages without idiots.

What would you do?

Win-Win-Win

It actually adds up nicely.

Nice. And maybe you can insert a nice little backdoor in the code before you sell it, too.

Now, THAT would be typical bitcoin-drama.
I almost forgot that's how it goes.



280. Post 5342113 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 24, 2014, 05:42:20 PM
But Bitcoin is a protocol and therefore it is more sensible to compare it to the history of other protocols rather than computer games?

To an extent I agree I do not think this is a Higlander scenario

There can be more than one

Bitcoin is different from protocols because it does have a very specific unit price.
Imagine if e-mail would have been created in a way that later adopters have to fill the pockets of early adopters, so they can also send an e-mail. People wouldn't accept this and would create an alternative where everyone has a fair chance with using this protocol.
So, in my idea, bitcoin is not neutral enough to be called an protocol. Gaming suits better to it, especially with the amount of gambling that's happening at the markets.

The price of Bitcoin is reflective of its commodity value this is but the first app that runs on the Bitcoin protocol.



281. Post 5350886 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: 7thKingdom on February 25, 2014, 02:10:10 AM
Trading disabled on gox?

and exactly 1 year earlier to the day

Quote from: 2013 wall observer
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=85687.msg1556461#msg1556461

"image breaking $30 on Gox"
WRONG Smiley

Come on you bears, I want to buy cheap on Tuesday  Grin




282. Post 5351324 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on February 25, 2014, 02:40:12 AM
I kind of like the new logo. Anyone of you guys going to be trading on Gox?



Yes so professional looking I can’t wait to send my BTC / Fiat there, mountains are safe.



283. Post 5351434 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: MatTheCat on February 25, 2014, 02:55:56 AM
Thanks Matt the shorter for that message from our sponsor BFX.

Can you believe that Matt the Shorter came out his $626 short at $556.

I feared yet another nonsensical Bitcoin suckers rally and have been practising setting targets of 'not being too greedy', and since my target of 10% was reached and well breached.....

......I have missed out on more than doubling my already very lucrative profit.

I think there is going to be a short supply of coins and lots with fiat on the exchange, when this turns its going up fast. I give it a week tops.



284. Post 5351453 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 25, 2014, 02:56:00 AM
I kind of like the new logo. Anyone of you guys going to be trading on Gox?



Is that blue thing above the name a stylized price chart?


LOL, yes so volatile but always higher peek, this is the exchange for me.



285. Post 5351503 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: btc237ftw on February 25, 2014, 03:00:00 AM
Quote
gox.com directs to mtgox.com

Holy shit.. memo could be true.  Cheesy

I want to check myself but im afraid clicking / going to such a site,

Who has a confirmation of this?

no point, i can redirect my websites to mtgox.com it doesn't confirm anything.



286. Post 5351530 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on February 25, 2014, 03:01:16 AM
this is what was behind the censored parts apparently

http://cl.ly/image/2L043C464030

this could all be BS



287. Post 5351642 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: Vigil on February 25, 2014, 03:09:09 AM
Is that for real?

sell high buy low, LOL, you cant work at the Bitcoin P2P Fed, you'll go broke.  



288. Post 5351741 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: jojo69 on February 25, 2014, 03:15:08 AM
this is the best show on the internet

hands down

LOL my wife is gonna kill me, I've been getting my moneys worth (still stuck at the office).



289. Post 5351997 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on February 25, 2014, 03:26:16 AM
GOXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXED!

... you idiots fall for this crap every time guys. Stay away from the exchanges, they are the old new.

lots of people learning for the first time if you don't control the private keys to your Bitcoins you don't have any Bitcoins.



290. Post 5353105 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):

Quote from: 7thKingdom on February 25, 2014, 04:19:50 AM
The Bitcoin Foundation should audit, certify, rank, and give a seal of approval for each exchange.

You mean the Shrem Karpeles & Friends Foundation?


Latest tweet from TwoBitItidiot... "Thanks, man. I never mince words, I think this is disastrous from a reg standpoint. The hammer will now come down hard."

The conspiracy theorist in me can't help but to think the bitcoin foundation was compliant in all this and intentionally deceived the community.  They have been very pro regulation for a long time, and what better way to ensure the US comes down hard with regulation than making a grand show of what can happen without it.

It's genius I tell you!

This +1



291. Post 5366494 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):

Something big is happening under our noses. The same thing happened in the early 1900 in the banking industry when people stopped trusting banks.

1) an event big enough that makes Bitcoin demand taint - to track coins.

2) over 6000 people on Reddit at the moment learning Bitcoin is working properly and not to trust bad actors.

Who will win? Taint or freedom?




292. Post 5372293 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: proudhon on February 25, 2014, 08:22:27 PM
Holy shit, guys!  I know a lot of you are hurting, and I'm sorry.  150+ of my bitcoins are going down with the gox ship, but I can't quite express just how excited I am for the future of bitcoin without MtGox.  It's finally happening.  Good riddance, and fuck you, Gox!

With all that confirmed news, you still bought 150 XBT on Gox? WTF!, that's like 30 real XBT, I feel your pain.


I got a little ahead there.
 



293. Post 5372322 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: ChrisML on February 25, 2014, 08:35:52 PM
in coming weeks?

He be dead in the coming weeks. Imagine how many people he fucked. And I bet, some of them are people you really do not want to mess with.

MK has all ready ratted them out to the FBI, i think he'll be OK, this is part of the relocation program.  (he'll have to cut out his desert coffees, and loos some weight. )



294. Post 5375615 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: proudhon on February 26, 2014, 12:59:30 AM
I've got a feeling the market behavior to the MtGox failure will be like the reaction to the Silk Road closure.


coming from my you I
LOL ed

I think so too, but shouldn’t mention it until my fiat clears hopefully before Friday.  750,000 XBT the market thought was sloshing around just got removed, from the Bitcoin pool.

I know if I lost coins, (obviously I only bought them because they were going to go up in orders of magnitude) the first thing I would do is replace them, so as not to lose out.



295. Post 5375743 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: Le Happy Merchant on February 26, 2014, 01:24:23 AM
I've got a feeling the market behavior to the MtGox failure will be like the reaction to the Silk Road closure.

This. Although it feels weird to be quoting proudhon saying it.

Just remember, proudhon is never wrong. He just says the opposite of what he thinks.
He called the bottom to the minute during April, he was just off by 9000% when calling the top.



296. Post 5376286 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: MANofthePEOPLE on February 26, 2014, 01:41:47 AM
I've got a feeling the market behavior to the MtGox failure will be like the reaction to the Silk Road closure.


coming from my you I
LOL ed

I think so too, but shouldn’t mention it until my fiat clears hopefully before Friday.  750,000 XBT the market thought was sloshing around just got removed, from the Bitcoin pool.


Why do people keep saying they are gone? Just because I steal a coin from you it doesn't make it any less of a coin? What am I missing?

It isn’t missing, it is trading in the open market or is in cold storage, where ever it is, it’s been part of the status quo, because it wasn’t trading on Gox.  That is the market equilibrium is unlikely to change anytime soon.  



297. Post 5376537 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: portfail on February 26, 2014, 02:11:31 AM
Reading the chatlog i came up with a theory that looks increasingly probable to me.
(until i read prof7bit's explanation which came up while typing this and can be even closer to the truth but i can't comment on the technical side)

Someone's gone missing with the second/third key.Either kidnapped or gone rogue,probably blackmailing
"technically speaking it's not "lost" just yet, just temporarily unavailable"

This ties in with the "security concerns" the other guys will need his key also and "third parties involved"
Looks like he sees the coins not spent but he can't control them for some reason.

That can also explain how the document has some real figures and maybe things they were discussing among them if that is what he is admitting with "more or less" but "this document was not produced by MtGox".
[11:13] <MagicalTux> [01:09:51] <JonWickedFire> Do you think it was leaked by someone purposely to hurt you personally or gox in general? <- I have some doubts

Mark has always appeared to me like a shy nerd,currently in deep trouble.
[11:22] <JonWickedFire> How does that make you feel to hear or see people you bailed out yourself and stood up for over the years, turn on you like that?
[11:22] <MagicalTux> not good

Other variation on this is if he is in regulatory trouble (maybe something similar to Charley Shrem situation) which is preventing him from accessing the deposit box in which the keys are stored.

Blackmailing, mmm,  and could also explain the office closure, looks like the fiat is there to pay the rent, however cold storage was compromised due to some other type of intrusion.  



298. Post 5378616 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: shmadz on February 26, 2014, 04:27:41 AM
hmm is there any posts from virtex saying why?

https://twitter.com/cavirtex

something about a problem when they enabled LTC trading...

if you can find an explicit reason there, please share it.  I can't see the post history (probably 'cuz I'm blocking the scripts), but I'm not a twitter guy so I'm not sure how that stuff works.

I just sent a fiat deposit and now this!  I hope it is sorted tomorrow.



299. Post 5389155 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on February 26, 2014, 05:17:56 PM
Let's not rule out the possibility that Mark is simply lying, again.
I'm sure it is more likely a gag order from the US, putting his seized funds at risk, possibly more.

Not to mention some drug dealers with a different moral standards for justice.



300. Post 5400787 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: Holliday on February 27, 2014, 06:15:50 AM
Why are mtgox developments still this big subject here? I thought we were just going to let mtgox die already and recover without it.

The recovery is slow and boring. Train wrecks are morbidly interesting.

Well, I think it is worth discussing exactly what happened so that we are not doomed to repeat it again.

If you aren't the sole controller of your private keys, you don't have any bitcoins.

Follow that simple rule and you will not be doomed to repeat it again.

/\ This is what is happening. Just read the two bit idiot (names like pirate ponzi and bit of an idiot seem to carry weigh in Bitcoin land.)

The two bit idiot - is calling Bitcoin dead because over 7% of coins in Bitcoin are stolen.
Effectively calling it over when what we have learned is be your own bank, and if you trust someone with your Bitcoin they better provided you with evidence to be worthy. Regulation can't solve that gap.

Quote from: meanig on February 27, 2014, 03:50:35 AM
Be wary of the two-bit idiot guy. Just found some CONFIRMED bullshit in his gox blogs.

He says in this post from Wednesday 26th http://two-bit-idiot.tumblr.com/post/77920927310/i-retract-nothing-i-have-written-so-far-regarding-mt

Quote
SecondMarket was, in fact, approached by Mt. Gox some time last weekend.  Mark Karpeles approached Barry Silbert to solicit an acquisition offer, and it seems likely that Silbert, who had already committed privately to building a US-based exchange bitcoin exchange, jumped at the opportunity to explore the deal.

However, when the magnitude of the theft and potential fraud became free, Silbert and his team quickly pulled out of discussions, sent an email to all employees over the weekend banning them from buying or selling bitcoin indefinitely, and most likely reported the suspicious activity to the authorities.  As a regulated entity that probably signed a non-disclosure agreement before learning the full extent of the Mt. Gox damage, SecondMarket would have had no other choice, but to keep this out of the public eye, even if it was acting honestly behind the scenes.



301. Post 5401284 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: CoinDox on February 27, 2014, 08:00:46 AM
Can I make a point that some people here are mixing together BTC price speculation with BTC speculation as a technology.
I'd like to add that some know a lot about the speculative price of marijuana too. Smiley



302. Post 5401623 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Anyone notice the wall we call hashrate it's still going exponential.
http://bitcoin.sipa.be/



303. Post 5412117 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: proudhon on February 27, 2014, 07:22:40 PM
Great time to be lending BTC on bitfinex - it is sitting at an incredible 0.35% daily right now!  That is around 127% APR - compounded daily which would make it an effective annual rate of over 255%!!  Why are more people not lending BTC over there??

The same reason we didn't store bitcoins at Gox.

No kidding.  Jesus fucking christ people!  For fucks sake.  I just don't even...

No. No. No. This is a great investment, if you want your Bitcoin to vanish, a lesson learned the hard way sticks really strong.

I prefer learning vicariously through Prodhorn.



304. Post 5432115 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: 600watt on February 28, 2014, 05:44:04 PM


Quote
Fortress Financial Group, a publicly-traded asset manager with a market value of $4.26 billion, reported its 2013 results yesterday—and its biggest investment loss was bitcoin.



in my opinion it is a good thing that big money is getting in. so thumbs up for fortress. but..

but...

to effectivly create your biggest loss of all assets in bitcoin during 2013 is an outstanding example of bad timing.


Wow, to screw up like that they would have bought in after November 15 (say at the peak November 30)  and sold at the bottom December 15)  and dropped around $7 bar into the game and be totally out before Q4 ends.  

Assume they put in the minimum nesesary for the loss they account for about 20% of all volume invested in Bitcoin.

Not the behavior of a competent investment firm.



305. Post 5432437 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 27, 2014, 09:36:14 PM
I have told about the needed features countless times already, but I'll repeat myself again, what I see that needs fixing but isn't adressed with bitcoin: a) Speed of increasing wealth concentration b) Deflationary system that prohibits price stability c) Inefficiency of mining where new resources are spent while the network doesn't gain in speed or security.

I recommend many of the Alt coins that address your concerns specifically, if they truly are better, you'll make a killing.  



306. Post 5432499 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: TakeTheSkyRoad on February 28, 2014, 07:29:42 PM


Quote
Fortress Financial Group, a publicly-traded asset manager with a market value of $4.26 billion, reported its 2013 results yesterday—and its biggest investment loss was bitcoin.



in my opinion it is a good thing that big money is getting in. so thumbs up for fortress. but..

but...

to effectivly create your biggest loss of all assets in bitcoin during 2013 is an outstanding example of bad timing.


Wow, to screw up like that they would have bought in after November 15 (say at the peak November 30)  and sold at the bottom December 15)  and dropped around $7 bar into the game and be totally out before Q4 ends.  

Assume they put in the minimum nesesary for the loss they account for about 20% of all volume invested in Bitcoin.

Not the behavior of a competent investment firm.

Looks like they bought in and have hodl since..... losses are listed as "unrealised" so they haven't sold the BTC yet

so they put at least $7,000,000 in at the top. wow, not sure ill invests with these guys.



307. Post 5432537 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: zyk on February 28, 2014, 07:34:56 PM


Quote
Fortress Financial Group, a publicly-traded asset manager with a market value of $4.26 billion, reported its 2013 results yesterday—and its biggest investment loss was bitcoin.



in my opinion it is a good thing that big money is getting in. so thumbs up for fortress. but..

but...

to effectivly create your biggest loss of all assets in bitcoin during 2013 is an outstanding example of bad timing.



Wow, to screw up like that they would have bought in after November 15 (say at the peak November 30)  and sold at the bottom December 15)  and dropped around $7 bar into the game and be totally out before Q4 ends.  

Assume they put in the minimum nesesary for the loss they account for about 20% of all volume invested in Bitcoin.

Not the behavior of a competent investment firm.

Looks like they bought in and have hodl since..... losses are listed as "unrealised" so they haven't sold the BTC yet


OMG they still want to sell 20 % of all traded bitcoin....?  To the the Vietnamese ?

that's about 20% of the bitcoins traded on any given day during the last bubble.



308. Post 5432609 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: wilfried on February 28, 2014, 07:45:46 PM
I have told about the needed features countless times already, but I'll repeat myself again, what I see that needs fixing but isn't adressed with bitcoin: a) Speed of increasing wealth concentration b) Deflationary system that prohibits price stability c) Inefficiency of mining where new resources are spent while the network doesn't gain in speed or security.

I recommend many of the Alt coins that address your concerns specifically, if they truly are better, you'll make a killing.  

which altcoin isnt scrypt?

you have lots of homework to do, it isn't the application of script but how it is integrated into the POW or POS system,  NXT is the first one that comes to mind.



309. Post 5435016 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: deadfi$h on February 28, 2014, 09:48:06 PM

  

Frrom Bitcoinbuilder FAQ
Quote
As it got bigger though, I decided the only use I should have is to convert all the "real" BTC fees I earn into GOXBTC. The reasoning behind this is two-fold.. 1. I do think gox will be fine and it's a good investment, but also 2. if somehow they're not, I want to be in the same (sinking) boat with everybody else.

That is FUCKED up... he had NO hedging... apparently?   And, his business plan seem a bit, lacking?    Anyhow...   So how can you keep such a business going in the event that GOX is truly and totally insolvent in terms of the reimbursement of the investors' BTCs?



This doesn't make a lot of sense to me. Why would he want to go down with the ship when he was offering a fair service? He was giving people the opportunity to buy/sell the risk of Gox imploding where both sides knew what they were getting into.

Wants to show a loss for tax purposes maybe?

he doesn't want to fold, he isn't, he is being controlled by TPTB, they sent silk road layers after him, and his bank (Mizuho Bank) with Gag orders, he is playing for time, still he has no Bitcoins, if TPTB win the coins are lost, or he wins (not a chance i think) he gets his safety deposit box back.  



310. Post 5435454 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 28, 2014, 10:12:39 PM

  

Frrom Bitcoinbuilder FAQ
Quote
As it got bigger though, I decided the only use I should have is to convert all the "real" BTC fees I earn into GOXBTC. The reasoning behind this is two-fold.. 1. I do think gox will be fine and it's a good investment, but also 2. if somehow they're not, I want to be in the same (sinking) boat with everybody else.

That is FUCKED up... he had NO hedging... apparently?   And, his business plan seem a bit, lacking?    Anyhow...   So how can you keep such a business going in the event that GOX is truly and totally insolvent in terms of the reimbursement of the investors' BTCs?



This doesn't make a lot of sense to me. Why would he want to go down with the ship when he was offering a fair service? He was giving people the opportunity to buy/sell the risk of Gox imploding where both sides knew what they were getting into.

Wants to show a loss for tax purposes maybe?

he doesn't want to fold, he isn't, he is being controlled by TPTB, they sent silk road layers after him, and his bank (Mizuho Bank) with Gag orders, he is playing for time, still he has no Bitcoins, if TPTB win the coins are lost, or he wins (not a chance i think) he gets his safety deposit box back.  

Do you mean that he is in a similar boat as Charlie Shrem?

way more screwed



311. Post 5436731 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: zyk on February 28, 2014, 10:18:23 PM
money withdrawn.....who was the 10 k wall 3 hours before bitidiot came out ?

Can you even fathom the ramnifications of this selling? Come on ...we are here to speculate! Wink
I'll bite and go with Peter Vessenes, my money says he is the first bitwhale to cash out.  



312. Post 5436784 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: FTWbitcoinFTW on February 28, 2014, 11:24:04 PM
Lost coins only make everyone else's coins worth slightly more.  Think of it as a donation to everyone.

Best quote ever, follow me everywhere Smiley

totally this, plus not all coins are actively traded, so while its only 6% of total coins it is a much higher present of the total trading pool that just vanished.

other options are open but this looks like the one to me.



313. Post 5436933 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: zyk on March 01, 2014, 12:07:50 AM
money withdrawn.....who was the 10 k wall 3 hours before bitidiot came out ?

Can you even fathom the ramnifications of this selling? Come on ...we are here to speculate! Wink
I'll bite and go with Peter Vessenes, my money says he is the first bitwhale to cash crash out.  

Why would it be only him doing this?

there are probably more sure, but he is an insider i can profile. most insiders are still long term bulls, and piecing this Gox debacle together in a way I can understand I think there is a chain reaction happening here where lots of old coins will be dumped by the first big wallets to fall making way for the new guard.



314. Post 5437025 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: GreekGeek on March 01, 2014, 12:20:45 AM
this will be more like the 2011 correction and less like the April 2013 correction

it willl take a long time for fresh money to poor back in to the system (if it does at all)

if it corrects like 2011 that is good for Bitcoin fundamentalists, but it may not, depending what happens to the Gox's coins we could be in for a coin shortage, and the treat threatof impeding catastrophe.



315. Post 5437319 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: hdbuck on March 01, 2014, 12:30:35 AM
this will be more like the 2011 correction and less like the April 2013 correction

it willl take a long time for fresh money to poor back in to the system (if it does at all)

if it corrects like 2011 that is good for Bitcoin fundamentalists, but it may not, depending what happens to the Gox's coins we could be in for a coin shortage, and the treat threat of impeding catastrophe.

i guees so but i also think the community is way more stronger then back in 2011. Plus alot of new businesses are being funded and starts to emerge and i dont think they'll give up that easily.

its not them who will give up, its the new mega wealthy who are investing in Bitcoin, I welcome both scenarios, a depression in Bitcoin will help by leaving it awhile to allow a more wide spread adoption.



316. Post 5465292 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: machasm on March 02, 2014, 04:36:08 PM
1). The exchanges appear to be unregulated and trusting them can lead to a load of heartache (Read MtGox here).
2). Time taken to send bitcoins to these exchanges (with confirmations) can be rather lengthy and this may lead to missing any good buy/sell windows.

With these 2 issues in mind, can anyone see a way round them so that you can leave coins on exchanges safely? Or at least speed up the transaction?

check out Open Transaction - this technology should be coming to an exchange near you, just ask for it. (Supply and Demand)



317. Post 5465851 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: yrtrnc on March 02, 2014, 05:12:55 PM
1). The exchanges appear to be unregulated and trusting them can lead to a load of heartache (Read MtGox here).
2). Time taken to send bitcoins to these exchanges (with confirmations) can be rather lengthy and this may lead to missing any good buy/sell windows.

With these 2 issues in mind, can anyone see a way round them so that you can leave coins on exchanges safely? Or at least speed up the transaction?

check out Open Transaction - this technology should be coming to an exchange near you, just ask for it. (Supply and Demand)

How would open transactions be implemented to current exchanges in your opinion?

Thanks

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teNzIFu5L70



318. Post 5472852 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: TomRobert on March 02, 2014, 10:17:13 PM
stable price is not a good time for day traders, thats why I started to gamble and invest in all those ponzie schemes. Call me crazy but at the begining I lost a bit but I've made 1 BTC profit already. At the moment http://ponzicoin.co/ is the most stable and profitable ponzie and if I were you I would invest there, small amount just for fun.
Avoid the ponzis, I've made over100% in 24hrs trading fake Gox Bucks over at https://www.bitcoinbuilder.com/




319. Post 5518847 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: seleme on March 05, 2014, 04:23:49 AM

The BTC Foundation’s Power Struggle

Loyal Idiots,

For those of you who have been regular readers, you know that it is incredibly rare for me to miss a Daily Bit. These past 72 hours have been among the most stressful of my life, and I have been betrayed by some of those within the industry whom I had trusted.

Either I was misled by my sources or my sources were misled by Peter Vessenes and Jon Matonis over the weekend. I reported on Sunday that they were stepping aside gracefully following their absent leadership during the Mt. Gox scandal. However, yesterday and today I received conflicting reports. One person close to Vessenes told me that not only does the man have no intention to step down as the Bitcoin Foundation’s Chairman, but he intends to run for reelection when his term is up later this year. I don’t know whether I can believe that is true, because it truly would be stunning.

Then again Rob Ford didn’t resign his mayorship either, and he made it onto Jimmy Kimmel.

(Vessenes did not respond to an email yesterday, and a contact number for the foundation redirected to a full voicemailbox.)

But that’s not what bothers me. What truly eats at my core stems from what has happened behind the scenes these past few days. Let me say simply that the failure in leadership across many other firms not named Mt. Gox is stunning. I will say no more at this point for legal reasons, but I can’t remember the last time that I was so professionally disappointed and discouraged by the willful neglect of those who many others would call leaders.

I now know better.

I must be meticulous with every detail that I report from both the Mt. Gox saga and now the incomprehensible mismanagement of the Bitcoin Foundation, a group created ostensibly to be the mouthpiece for an entire revolutionary industry.

Yes, I believe there is troubling circumstantial evidence connecting the two. But this gets into serious territory, and I won’t print it until I am 100% confident in what I am writing. I have been warned by others within the industry that I am now playing a “dangerous game” confronting “powerful” people who are “ruthless and cunning”.

Don’t expect me to blink.

Just please be patient. I won’t back down.

“TwoBit — AKA Ryan Galt — AKA Ryan Selkis seems a bit hot headed but his heart is in the right place. I’ve emailed him a little bit and he’s opinionated but he does go (hard) after facts. With his style he does intermingle opinions and facts and this can be off putting to some people (not my taste). That said, if you simply rewrote everything in his posts in paired paragraphs, one for the facts and one for his opinions, it might ruffle a few less feathers. While he’s (AFAIK) new to the community, he’s made some insightful contributions already.

Track record is everything in the fast moving world of Bitcoin; only time will tell the whole story. But I’m inclined to think his story will work out on the positive side. We shall see.”

-Fellow Lifetime Member Brian Goss on a Bitcoin Foundation Forum thread.


Cheers,
TBI


I speculate Peter Vessenes is the problem, he leaked private conversations on Gox's situation to the "Bit Idiot", so he could accelerate there demise and keep his $5 million, Jon Matonis still looks competent. Ultimately Vessenes is being played by TPTB, his dishonest nature and greed are his downfall. 



320. Post 5530692 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on March 05, 2014, 06:35:14 PM
Quote
Your outright dismissal of the article is exactly the type of cultish behaviour the author is talking about - dismiss anything that doesn't fit the faith view.

Because we've read countless articles like that for 3 years.  These people obviously don't do research or they would understand that they are making very old arguments. What is cultish is to expect the same failed tactic to work this time. If you want to persuade us "cultists" of the error of our ways, then at least come up with a new argument.
If you're going to be a critic, at least be an original one.


The last time I had so much doubt I called $10 the top. So yes I'm part of a cognitive dissonance cult, but the people pointing it out can't use logic or deductive reasoning to prove it. The fact there is a name for my prescribed condition (can't remember it now but read about it earlier this week) installs more doubt but given my experience one should try and understand why one has such emotions, then do what is nesesary.



321. Post 5559866 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on March 07, 2014, 01:40:14 AM
It's not him. http://p2pfoundation.ning.com/m/discussion?id=2003008%3ATopic%3A9402Satoshi replied.

you are joking doesn't he have need to use his PGP key or something?



322. Post 5560541 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 07, 2014, 02:04:54 AM

How do we know that isn't Dorian trying to trick us?  Huh Huh Huh

WOW...  You seem to be onto something Walsoraj.....  that is really really funny to NOT hear from Satoshi in that particular thread for 5 years ... and then all of a sudden for some reason Satoshi Nakamoto, if that is really Satoshi, feels such a need to comment within that particular dormant thread and to say that he is NOT Dorian... ... I thought that we had NOT heard from Satoshi since about mid-2011 or so... which would then cause me to begin to believe that maybe Satoshi is Dorian.. b/c why would the real Satoshi care enough to reply in a dormant thread concerning whatever is going on with Dorian...   In this regard, the real Satoshi should NOT give a flying fuck about whatever is going on with Dorian or that Dorian is being confused for Satoshi.. unless Dorian is the real Satoshi...
The AP article could be Dorian explaining he is under NDA, and can't talk about that LOL

This is what you get when you give up TV. Real life BS drama.



323. Post 5576267 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: 600watt on March 07, 2014, 08:02:28 PM


what an idiot. if i was the target of such a "you-have-72-hours-to-step-back-or-i-will-throw-shit-at-you"- attack i would not step back at all. bad style.

unless you knew the dirty dirt was really dirty

TBI is playing it like he has the goods

to me, if someone throws shit in that manner, his intensions are always shady. an honest guy would, in my opinion, act differently. tinfoil hat on: tbi is supplied by someone with an agenda against bitcoin with secret information. for his 5 minutes of fame he decides to do go for it, not knowing the aganda of his supplier.

Speculation, but that someone was Peter Vessenes, who discusses the possible scenario, and treated to go public if MK didn't give him his XBT, then went public anyway and blew any hope of Gox good news Partner.

Vessenes wanted the Bitcoinia Bitcoins locked up in Gox which would have been sold to fund legal action that would make Vessenes pay back the Gox money he owes them. the scenario that is playing out is way too convenient for Vessenes.



324. Post 5579516 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on March 07, 2014, 11:52:26 PM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQmIRea_FWo

he dosnt say "i'm no longer Involved"  he clearly says "I'm Not Involved in Bitcoin"

but i'm starting to think its him

watch this

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GrrtA6IoR_E
he is sooo lying

totally he heeds to sigh an affidavit, his words are evasive.

we can add "good actor" to Satoshis long list of credentials.

* and opportunist - "free lunch" I tell you I would  have been highly insulted to be expected to eat alone.



325. Post 5579549 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: solex on March 08, 2014, 12:50:43 AM
btw. Can anyone see this? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=506152.0;topicseen

No. what should it be?



326. Post 5580650 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: Miz4r on March 08, 2014, 02:59:07 AM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQmIRea_FWo

he dosnt say "i'm no longer Involved"  he clearly says "I'm Not Involved in Bitcoin"

but i'm starting to think its him

watch this

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GrrtA6IoR_E
he is sooo lying

He sounds like he has absolutely no clue what Bitcoin is. I can't fathom how people can actually think this is THE Satoshi Nakamoto. Are they blind or do they want to believe it's him so much they can't think and see properly anymore? I don't get it it's just beyond stupid.

Satoshi is a very good actor too, that's what he wants you to think.



327. Post 5582522 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: seleme on March 08, 2014, 05:10:30 AM

Well, I hope not. I'm the last one who TheKozi was involved in conversation with here  Sad

Very sad if it was over those lost coins, did Autumn Radtke have anything to do with your stressful fiew days just passed?



328. Post 5582682 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: seleme on March 08, 2014, 07:00:32 AM

Well, I hope not. I'm the last one who TheKozi was involved in conversation with here  Sad

Very sad if it was over those lost coins, did Autumn Radtke have anything to do with your stressful fiew days just passed?

Not sure I understand that one?

My bad. I wrongly read your quoted TBI post below as your stress. I'll get more sleep to avoid embarrassing mistakes like this in future.

Quote from: seleme on March 05, 2014, 04:23:49 AM
TBI...



329. Post 5671047 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: arepo on March 13, 2014, 03:59:41 AM
in other words, i don't care about your lofty Randian free market ideals. while capitalism may be "the best solution we can aspire to", and that would be hard to disagree with, it is also clear that our present form of global capitalism is suffering from a huge amount of inefficiencies, many of which cannot be attributed to meddling governments. how can we reconcile these two things? i have no clue, but we've first got to get our heads out of our asses and stop worshipping the sacred cow long enough to think critically about why the apparatus is failing at efficiently distributing resources.

It is not failing at efficiently distributing resources, it is moving them up the pyramid with great efficiency as it was design to do.
It is so efficient TPTB are looking for ways to preserve it so there labour doesn't abandon it.



330. Post 5671112 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: arepo on March 13, 2014, 05:26:56 AM
I honestly and truly believe that almost all the inefficiencies can be attributed to meddling governments and political entrepreneurship of anti-competitive companies. I recognize this is a minority view, but I am prepared to argue it.

let's move this away from generalities, which are all well-hashed arguments on both sides, and focus on the specifics that we see in the global market today.

for instance, how is the poverty trap created by Walmart-esque wage suppression coupled with high unemployment rates attributable to governments? how is the large environmental externality of shipping and manufacturing attributable to governments?

the short answer is: they're not. but i'm sure you'll give me a longer answer Tongue

I can attribute those problems to a growing money supply, it is the single biggest cause for labour inequality and disregard for the environment. While governments allow fraction reserve banking and control it through a central bank they they are in all reality controlling it.

I'd argue nature does a better job at finding Homeostasis than ignorant power hungry egos of men.



331. Post 5678561 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: seleme on March 13, 2014, 04:08:58 PM
Damn, all this philosophy in last 10-15 pages makes this thread boring  Grin
I'm now all in, I guess so are most other so until more disposable fiat shows up at the door, we'll pump the philosophical principles.



332. Post 5680383 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 13, 2014, 05:39:09 PM

This is Canada, eh. With a brief search, I couldn't find data on more than 1-2 children. I'm not saying they live like kings, but first hand accounts tell me that (2 cases) 3 and 4 kids total subsidies added up to much more than $10/hr.  Both of these women deliberately spawned more societal leeches in order to receive the benefits, as holding a job was too difficult.  I cannot condone this.

I didn't see any mention of housing benefit either which can be a goodly portion of a working person's wage. Then of course, there is also the cost of working itself, the car, the insurance, the clothing, food, childcare. And of course, if you're not at work, there's always the chance to pick up a bit of money on the sly. Tax free, of course.

OK can a Canadian tell me where do I find this free money you talk about in Canada?



333. Post 5680550 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: 686f646c on March 13, 2014, 06:29:59 PM

This is Canada, eh. With a brief search, I couldn't find data on more than 1-2 children. I'm not saying they live like kings, but first hand accounts tell me that (2 cases) 3 and 4 kids total subsidies added up to much more than $10/hr.  Both of these women deliberately spawned more societal leeches in order to receive the benefits, as holding a job was too difficult.  I cannot condone this.

I didn't see any mention of housing benefit either which can be a goodly portion of a working person's wage. Then of course, there is also the cost of working itself, the car, the insurance, the clothing, food, childcare. And of course, if you're not at work, there's always the chance to pick up a bit of money on the sly. Tax free, of course.

OK can a Canadian tell me where do I find this free money you talk about in Canada?
Besides welfare, the only thing i'm aware of is child tax benefit which you probably already get.

What I thought, I dough people are having babies to get free money.

Edit: they are buying Bitcoin  Cheesy



334. Post 5680660 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 13, 2014, 06:33:33 PM

I would hate to live in the experimental society that you would design after the supposed revolution....


You kind missed the point again. He doesn't want to design a society. That's what statists want to do.

This time it can happen, history has favored the plunder, now for the first time there is a plunder proof store of wealth if you store it properly, if it is stolen it rewords all others not the plunderers.



335. Post 5681016 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on March 13, 2014, 06:53:42 PM
I didn't give them nice sounding names,  William Stanley Jevons, Léon Walras, and Carl Menger did over a hundred years ago. It's weird how several different people can independently and nearly simultaneously discover something so supposedly unbased in reality. The same thing happened with calculus. Maybe that's not based in reality either.

Now reconcile those thinkers with the likes of Joseph Proudhon and you have the bases for the capitalists new enlightenment.



336. Post 5681077 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 13, 2014, 06:57:48 PM

I would hate to live in the experimental society that you would design after the supposed revolution....


You kind missed the point again. He doesn't want to design a society. That's what statists want to do.

This time it can happen, history has favored the plunder, now for the first time there is a plunder proof store of wealth if you store it properly, if it is stolen it rewords all others not the plunderers.


Bitcoin is NOT going to resolve all of these societal and community questions b/c they are still going to exist; however, bitcoin will likely bring some revolutionary possibilities in the way that we think about our social institutions and how we think about and carry out social interactions.

I agree Bitcoin wont solve a thing, its people who will solve the problems, Bitcoin is just a useful tool, a unique and powerful tool people have never had before.



337. Post 5681850 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on March 13, 2014, 07:51:42 PM

I would hate to live in the experimental society that you would design after the supposed revolution....


You kind missed the point again. He doesn't want to design a society. That's what statists want to do.

This time it can happen, history has favored the plunder, now for the first time there is a plunder proof store of wealth if you store it properly, if it is stolen it rewords all others not the plunderers.


Bitcoin is NOT going to resolve all of these societal and community questions b/c they are still going to exist; however, bitcoin will likely bring some revolutionary possibilities in the way that we think about our social institutions and how we think about and carry out social interactions.


I agree Bitcoin wont solve a thing, its people who will solve the problems, Bitcoin is just a useful tool, a unique and powerful tool people have never had before.

Bitcoin solves the Byzantine General's problem. A problem is a thing.

I'm with you on this one, but Byzantine Generals were people, who needed a tool to solve the Byzantine General's problem. People use things (tools).



338. Post 5688321 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: creekbore on March 14, 2014, 03:35:40 AM
Quote
Quote from: KeyserSoze on Today at 07:58:52
Stolfi trying to argue the internet has less impact than French Revolution, World War II, or the end of Apartheid... almost as bad as Richy trying to persuade us the world doesn't need roads.

Seriously Richy is correct, roads and almost all the new world Infrastructure is a result of thinking based of a misunderstanding, it's not that we need or don't need them or think paying tolls are unjust. It's just they may not be as relevant as you think if you correct the original misunderstanding and build from a base of free market and mutual cooperation.

As for the internet it is the typically quintessential information technology of the new age in civilization (well it's nothing without Bitcoin) it changes everything that has shaped our world. Well illustrated by Balaji Srinivasan: http://youtu.be/cOubCHLXT6A



339. Post 5688391 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 14, 2014, 04:06:50 AM
Seriously, I can't believe that you have no idea of what WWII was, and what did to the world.

It was a war over collectivist ideologies it catalysed the current economic framework that impoverished billions of people.
The war illustrated that one phase in the Bible may in fact be true."Blessed are the meek: for they shall inherit the earth"



340. Post 5688539 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: creekbore on March 14, 2014, 04:41:57 AM
Jorge, please.  
You know that history began with Vietnam, the seventies and colour tv.  Before that the last great world-changing event was the American Civil War (which was 2000 1000 years ago), in the intervening time the world slept and before that it was full of dinosaurs.

FTFU Jesus walk in American 2000 years ago

But seriously everything today is a result of the very first acts of aggression and plunder of the first collectivist societies, there on out it's cause and effect.  This time we have a change as big as language for the first time wealth storage is globally accessible and plunder proof.



341. Post 5700309 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: hdbuck on March 14, 2014, 06:04:10 PM
yeeea but still, you cant blame people for being used to car's noise since it has been invented and suddenly change it. it do create a lot of accidents.

Please point me to the studies which reveal low noise EVs create lots of accidents. Your position is that we abdicate personal responsibility while crossing roads? Perhaps we should raise taxes so we can provide large titanium bubbles for people to use while crossing roads - it would certainly make them more safe.

there you go:

-> http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811526.pdf


Quote
The analysis of crash location indicated that the odds of an HE vehicle being
involved in a pedestrian crash were statistically higher than the odds of ICE
vehicle being involved in similar crash when the crash occurred on the roadway.
However, the odds of an HE vehicle being involved in a bicycle crash were
statistically higher than the odds of ICE vehicle being involved in similar crash
when the crash occurred at an intersection.

Smiley

edit: plus i dont think electric cars are greener.. think of all those batteries which are going to end up dumped

edit edit: in the end, my position is that electric cars are just a way for manufacturers to increase their marketshare and profit.. classic  Roll Eyes


Keep in mind 41% of global electricity comes from burning coal, so all that happens is the pollution source is relocated.  Bunting coal releases approximately 20 toxic- chemicals in concentrations which are toxic to the environment and come with measurable economic costs, among them arsenic, lead, mercury, nickel, vanadium, beryllium, cadmium, barium, chromium,  and radium.
And we are still overlooking the CO2 impact.



342. Post 5700814 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on March 14, 2014, 08:18:04 PM
Keep in mind 41% of global electricity comes from burning coal*, so all that happens is the pollution source is relocated.

http://content.sierraclub.org/evguide/myths-vs-reality
Edit: with citations...

Well that deals with the CO2 and confirms small electric card are more efficient than Big Gas SUV's.

...* citation: http://www.worldcoal.org/coal/uses-of-coal/coal-electricity/

pollution from coal
citation: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_impact_of_the_coal_industry (Sterilised by Wikipedia PR firm.)



343. Post 5702107 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: bobdude17 on March 14, 2014, 10:03:31 PM
I've never made a chart in my life. Does this line I drew mean anything?



its what we call the up trend, new line drawers are always told to zoom out before drawing lines, just zoom out and buy cheep coins.



344. Post 5705118 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 15, 2014, 02:04:54 AM
The site http://mark-karpeles.com/ that analyzed the leaked MtGOX logs has been shut down by the owner.

It seems that certain Mysteries are not meant to be revealed to Man.  Sad


wow



345. Post 5705390 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: adamstgBit link=topic=178336.msg5705312WikiLeaks

2 date=1394851942
The site http://mark-karpeles.com/ that analyzed the leaked MtGOX logs has been shut down by the owner.

It seems that certain Mysteries are not meant to be revealed to Man.  Sad



does this mean we won't get to find out who the best trader was?  Cry
I guess not but I hope the info made its way over to WikiLeaks

 



346. Post 5721810 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 16, 2014, 12:39:50 AM

Its spring break. Half the normal traders are out gettin hammered, I know I am.
Ah! "Fundamentals"!  Cheesy


I recall seeing tumbleweed blowing through here when the universities open. Notable when you analyses the previous wall thread.

I think a lot of traders are students.



347. Post 5721839 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on March 16, 2014, 01:55:03 AM
Something to stare at: Off Topic



thats so tripy
Is it going up when you look at it or do you see it going down?



348. Post 5722782 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 16, 2014, 04:07:18 AM

[ in the first two we were ] waiting for some news from gox
Indeed, for the first and second press releases, due Feb/10 and Feb/20; the drops were clearly due to disappointment  and the claim of "bug in bitcoin"  (Although the tense wait for the first was on Sun Feb/09 not  Thu Feb/06, right?).

There seems to be no consensus about the causes of the third minimum-volume day Mar/02 and the rally on Mar/03.  The immediate cause of the latter was a huge buy in Bitstamp.  However I recall that there were big expectations about an upcoming Bloomberg TV announcement; could that be it? (But that was a flop, and yet the price rallied...


Regarding the anticipated Bloomberg TV announcement and then the occurrence of the TV announcement.  The rally seemed to occur about 24 hours prior to the TV announcement - before we knew what was the announcement, we got a BTC price rise; however, once the announcement occurred, we receive nearly immediate decline.    Whether the anticipation caused the upward price rally and the disappointment caused the decline in price, that would be for someone other than me to argue such b/c I am unclear about whether something else may have been occurring at that same time to cause those price movements.

I think it was solely the blockchain / Bloomberg announcement. It had mixed reception most traders thought there was no innovation there as they have found an in house solution to zeroblock, but the anticipation was new tools for new traders.



349. Post 5758010 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: arepo on March 18, 2014, 03:18:58 AM
not to scare you, but what if the price never goes back up? it's certainly a possibility that you must consider.
Being struck by an asteroid is certainly a possibility too, I for one will owe Mark Williams a formal apology and admit his prediction that Bitcoin is a bubble and will go to $10. If we don't see a new ATH in the next 12 months feeling bullshit I'll say 2.



350. Post 5758436 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: seleme on March 18, 2014, 04:59:25 AM
Buy when everybody is pessimistic.

We might not be there yet but it's close.

I'm still living in Bitcoin euphoria, since the CFR took an interest in Bitcoin only 2 of the 4 big predictions have come to pass.
1) the collapse and or outlawing of key exchanges
2) the arrests of known Bitcoin personalities
3) a media smear camping demonising Bitcoin.
4) a collapse in the price. (I'm still coming to terms with Bitcoin leaving double digits)

To be honest the only thing that can collapse the price IMO are the week hands, (non believers) stolen Bitcoin and whales redistributing/ facilitating future wealth growth, and  I think a lot of coins @ the new order of magnetude have already been flushed.

I welcome a drop but if it happens it may take time or if it is quick it will kick some new big players in the balls, if it happens.



351. Post 5806835 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on March 15, 2014, 02:52:22 AM
The site http://mark-karpeles.com/ that analyzed the leaked MtGOX logs has been shut down by the owner.

It seems that certain Mysteries are not meant to be revealed to Man.  Sad



does this mean we won't get to find out who the best trader was?  Cry

Looks like someone is analyzing the data.
http://bitcoin.stamen.com/ (largest 500 Gox traders)



352. Post 5824799 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: rebuilder on March 21, 2014, 04:29:27 PM
They don't, I have no idea how you just find a wallet with 200,000 BTC when others can see it on the blockchain etc. It suggest to me personally that the theories regarding lost keys or badly written key generating software are the most plausible.

I wouldnt be surprised to see a large part of the 850k slowly being 'found' what this does to the price however is anyone's guess
Remember that interview with Karpeles saying the bitcons weren't technically lost, just unavailable? Either gox are lying through their teeth or they had some seriously poor practices. I can't say which is more likely. I've found a few old wallets I'd forgotten about, and no amount of people pointng at the blockchain would have helped me remember where the private keys where. Then again, I have never been entrusted with hundreds of thousands of BTC of other people's money, so my laxness is somewhat more excusable.

I can still reconcile Karpeles saying the bitcons weren't technically lost, just unavailable? With the possibility he had cold storage wallets using N of M stored in a safty deposit box that has been seized  by law enforcement.

Remember Mizuho Bank (Gox's Bank)  is facing international pressure and bankruptcy for giving car loans to known drug dealers (nothing like HSBC) my bet is US law enforcement and a gag order related to a silk road investigation explains the unavailable nature of the "lost" coins.



353. Post 5831403 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: mah87 on March 21, 2014, 11:33:28 PM
maybe because bitcoin is only based on beliefs and no real  economy ?

some of you guys brighten up my day,
FTFU
maybe because bitcoin is only based on beliefs and no real  economy ? now ripple on the other hand...  Grin Cheesy Cheesy



354. Post 5832898 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: ardana123 on March 22, 2014, 02:26:09 AM
This is it guys, better sell while you still can. Don't see it going up from here for a while, especially since goxcoins will be hitting the market soon.

 Wink



355. Post 5843333 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 22, 2014, 05:27:44 PM
He nailed one thing for sure:  the no volume part, which is concerning for bull at least. If the coins are really dat cheap, why no volume?
The distributed P2P federal reserve (that is the Bitcoin speculators) have exhausted there fiat canons.  
We need a new QE type plan metaphorically lets not call it bond buying but investing in Alts. Instead of buying fiat.



356. Post 5844646 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 22, 2014, 07:06:05 PM
im supposed to not wire more fiat then i can lose but i might have to do it Cool
A monetary loss cannot be measured just in dollars, you must consider what it could mean to your life, now and in the future.  If you have a few million $, losing 100 k$ is only an inconvenience, and you will probably recover those 100 k$ in a matter of months .  If all you own is a house worth 200 k$, losing 100 k$ is a big trauma, may even cost your family and you may never recover those 100 k$.  

If it helps you decide, I am going to change my signature from "rather skeptic" to "very skeptic".  I now put the chances of Bitcoin (specifically, not some future crypto-coin) becoming a significant currency of e-commerce at about the same level of myself becoming Pope.  And it has nothing to do with price evolution or recent news.

So you are saying don't just measure dollars but relative dollar, you can still measure in dollars.

As for your opinion I'm curious, what do you define as e-commerce?

In December 2012 I had finished my thought experiment and Bitcoin education of 20 months. (My skepticism was based on the fact my investment had over a 300% return. I could see no way for it to succeeded as a currency other than in black markets where there were greater inefficiencies. My conclusion was the velocity of Bitcoin couldn't justify the price (silk road accounting for approximately 80% of Bitcoin commerce.)

So I sold all but the fiew coins I mined. Needless to say over the following 12 months Bitcoin went from $10 to $1,000.
The shock (lost opportunity) made me reconsider my assumptions.

I finally reconciled my understanding with the fact Bitcoin could be used as a currency for e-commerce, if it's price collapsed.
But it's killer app was store of value and vertual commodity.

Since then my trading style has reflected that understanding.

I would love to know what it is about Bitcoin that has entrenched you skepticism ?



357. Post 5847425 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 22, 2014, 08:59:27 PM
More than that: the loss/gain in "real wealth" (or quality of life, or hapiness, whatever) is not linear in the dollar amounts.

In those examples, consider a 100 k$ investment that has 60% change or returning 200 k$, 40% chance of returning 0$.  For the millionaire, value is pertty much proportional to dollars. So his expected return over investment is +40 k$, so he definitely should take the chance.
I guess that's why some people play russian roulette with real bullets.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 22, 2014, 08:59:27 PM
[ ... ] over the following 12 months Bitcoin went from $10 to $1,000. The shock (lost opportunity) made me reconsider my assumptions.
I finally reconciled my understanding with the fact Bitcoin could be used as a currency for e-commerce, if it's price collapsed.

I am not sure I understand.  Its supposed "deflationary" character is a substantial argument against its adoption as a currency, but that is not my reason.
At first I attempted to apply the monetarists velocity value of money to estimate value of Bitcoin. While it has value it doesn't describe Bitcoin's value. My thinking was it's just a greater fool's game or a ponzi if the underlying value isn't justified. I was looking for intrinsic value. While I have derived a value it doesn't account for the speculative greed investors. My original point being the loss of potential gain was huge enough to make me rethink why several orders of magnetude in perceived value was possible when I couldn't see it.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 22, 2014, 08:59:27 PM
Actually I have no strong feelings about what its price will do in the medium term.  Its price is not tied to anything, there is no argument that would justifify why its price now is 500$, why it was 800$ two months ago, why it can't be 5,000$ or 5$ tomorrow.  It is the result of suply and demand, sure, but the demand is due to perceptions of future prices that are not based on anything. "The market" thinks that it is worth 500$, but no trader can convincingly explain why.

Agreed traders just trade, there why is to proffit, but to trade Bitcoin to this high you have to invest a lot of energy (wealth) ultimately it's a martingale should there be no underlying fundamentals, and while there are surly gamblers out ithere they would need, asymmetric information in there modeling to pump this up over $10 without risking $10's of millions.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 22, 2014, 08:59:27 PM
To make the point clearer,  consider the "extreme libertarian" scenario where Bitcoin (THIS bitcoin) is the only currency in use for all payments.
In that scenario, every person in the world is forced to keep his money stored in one single "bank", the Bitcoin Network.  That "bank" is different in many ways from the banks we have now, publlic or private.  One may argue whether these differences are advantages or disarvantages, but that still is not my point.

In that scenario, the money held by every person in the world is determined by its balance on that "bank"'s ledger, the BTC blockchain.

In that scenario, the BTC blockchain is still the same blockchain that Satoshi started and is in use today. 

But, in this blockchain, all the BTC that exist now, which is more than 50% of all the money that will exist in that scenario, are already assigned to a few thousand people.  And the coins that are yet to be found will be given exclusively to the "bankers" -- the miners who keep the "bank" running.

Moreover, the vast majority of the existing coins are in the hands of people who did nothing more than run an algorithm in their laptop for some time, or  invest a few thousand dollars.  Worse, the owners of those coins include all sorts of scammers and sleazy entrepreneurs, criminals, corrupt officials,  and common thieves  -- such as the MtGOX Thief, be it Mark or anyone else -- who have amassed large hoards of bitcoins by unethcal tricks, or worse.

Now, do you think that, if the world decides that cryptocoins are a god idea, they will create their "global universal bank" with a ledger that, right from the outset, assigns all the money in the world to those people?

That scenario is an extreme example, (not an "extreme libertarian" one) I believe it is less extreme that the fractional reserve system of today, in today's model my savings are diluted by inflation and in the extreme Bitcoin example work slaves can erode wealth by saving.
The extreme libertarian advocates extreme liberty and choice, choice to leave and choice to join or start anew.

I see Bitcoin as non violent whereas gold and all other forms of wealth have been plundered by us the civilized world for centuries (look at Germany gold it's still happening) Bitcoin on the other hand isn't as clean as I thought but we are learning with freedom comes responsibility. Every heist comes opportunity to learn for some the cost is dear, but those heists only happen untill we learn to avoid them, and those coins only get a one time benifit, unlike many systems today.

The issue I see you describing is with a finite number of monetary units (divisibility being ineffective because it results in asymmetrical distribution of wealth) how can the units be equitably distributed so an economy can effectively distribute resources and maximize participation?

They can't, it's a risk a leap of faith one you take if you believe or are stupid and greedy. But what is for sure is this problem is not new. Buying 1000 Bitcoin's for $5.00 was as much a leap of faith as buying 1 Bitcoin for a $1000, and untill Bitcoin has a distribution similar to the wealth in the world today it will have long bear markets. I beleve most Bitcoin enthusiasts will go for a bird in the hand over 2 in the bush.

Everyone will be tested, those early adopters know it is not who holds the most Bitcoin wins but who gains the most wealth, this is what describes how the coins will enter the market. Bitcoin will only be successful if this happens, and greed will ensure it.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 22, 2014, 08:59:27 PM
Granted that the "extreme libertarian" scenario is extremely unlikely by itself.  But the problem remains even in more limited scenarios where bitcoin is used only for some fraction of the e-commerce.   Anyone who adopts BTC as currency will be sharing his real weatlh with the current BTC owners, just as anyone who uses dollars is sharing his real wealth with the US government (or US citizens, if you wish).  Will people accept that?  Will governments allow that?  (Why is it that they don't allow private money?)

True
Misunderstanding
Using only M0 US dollars outside the US is a benifit to government and citizens.
M1 M2 and M3 is a results of fractional reserve funds using this money benefits corporations and banks a result of the inflammatory nature inherent as a growth target which syphon wealth from the bottom to the 0.01% at the top.
This is also the mechanism by which our environment is consumed.



358. Post 5851308 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on March 23, 2014, 12:44:21 AM
The issue I see you describing is with a finite number of monetary units (divisibility being ineffective because it results in asymmetrical distribution of wealth) how can the units be equitably distributed so an economy can effectively distribute resources and maximize participation?

More precisely, the problem that the world will face by adopting THE Bitcoin as the global currency is that the system will start out with ALL the money in the hands of a few thousand people and the "bankers" (miners).

Even if those "bitcoin barons" are generous and spend half of their BTC hoards in exchange for trifles, just to get the bitcoin economy started, they will still hold half of the money supply in the world.

What are the chances of the world being OK with that?

What are the chances that the world will be OK with a small group of central bankers controlling the money supply? Look, if people find Bitcoin useful and saves them money, then they are likely to use it, the same way people shop at Walmart even though the Waltons are extremely wealthy, pay low wages and buy stuff from China.

Jorge the real situation is at a point somewhat similar to the worst case Bitcoin scenario. Have you read the Oxfam wealth distribution report. even the likes of Larry Summers are showing concern.

In short the world is enslaved to the central banks of the BIS, and the Islamic outliers who reject there model on religious grounds are dealing with conflict that will result in adopting that model. This process of enslavement is called the Cantillon Effect it is not just from Central Bank monetary inflation but also from monetary inflation through fractional reserve banking.  

To get to the answer to your question the world doesn't have a choice, the people who have a choice are the ones playing with our economy the likes of the BIS members who were given a get out of jail card free when there martingale mortgage backed securities failed. While they are reforming with Basel III, when implemented we'll see intrest rates rise and lots of failures and further wealth accumulated at the top and more people enslaved as a result of globalization. The central bank model will fail regardless because it relies on exponential growth, and relative consumption of finite resources, many corporations will fail too because they are depend on the FRB credit that facilitates malinvestment in infrastructure that accelerates consumption for profit.  

Fiew see it the ones that do will buy into something just like Bitcoin I'm betting it will be Bitcoin untill something more promising comes along. The Bitcoin nouveau riche will sell there coins to them, and governments will support this as there will be a big 1 time tax boost at a time when they need it most. (So just buy that 1 Bitcoin it is a bet on a sustainable future) and if the Bitcoin nouveau riche never sell there coins because the demand never materializes, we will have a long bear market and Bitcoin depression untill the coins find an optimal way to distribute.

Your fear that early adopters get disproportionately wealthy is only viable if we have price controls on the value of Bitcoin. Without controls the risk of failure is huge, you are betting those who have lots of coins won't cash out, and will hold untill they collapse the system, I'm betting they are so greedy they will cash out before the system collapse.

That $5 (a mokate latte) investment in 2010 that would net you over $1,000,000 in 2013 is an insane redistribution of wealth yet it didn't deter me or many others, and I'm betting won't deter future investors as we see similar growth. To add there are fewer than a handful who made the investment then and still hold today, they are smart enough to know why when and to whom to sell there coins.
 



359. Post 5859939 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 23, 2014, 02:09:32 PM
I have watched that the HODL word is so much used in this forum. I have searched in almost the whole internet and didn't found anything about its meaning. So I registered exclusively to ask this:

What the f+ck does HODL mean?Huh

AFAIK, HODL is a typo that someone made in this forum (maybe on this thread, was it?) which later became a backronym for "Hold On for Dear Life".

It is the advice given by those who want to dump to those who are supposed to sacrifice their money for the noble cause of pushing the price up.  Wink
I enjoy your skepticism, but I think your a little sinister, hold is the advice given to noobs who buy high and then want to sell low.

Just buy one is the pump. In 2011 @$2 I gave the same advice I give today just buy 1, and if you can't afford to lose the cash just invest what you can live without and hold. I've given away way more in value ( as paper wallets and donations) than I've invested with the requests to hold and if you need assistance sending it ask for my help. I'll even send you one Bitcoin if you promise to look after it and send 0.5 back when it's worth $10,000. (Personally I think it has less chance of being stolen if you invest your own money)

The thing with scams and stealing is real but it adds value, to the system. The idea of justice you keep is an authority meme built on the meme that all land belongs to someone and you have to rent or buy it. The only rules in reality are based on natural selection viewed through the lens of universally preferred behavior, dynamic not entropic.



360. Post 5896128 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on March 25, 2014, 05:05:44 PM
Good to see i'm not the only one starting to feel bullish when reading this thread. The sun is shining, summer is coming. Bitcoin u may rise now please.  Smiley
This is sad if Bitcoin price is dependent on how we feel about the weather.



361. Post 5897029 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 25, 2014, 05:02:19 PM
I think that we are really starting to see adoption on a grand scale.   [ ... ] large wave of companies starting to accept bitcoin.   Everyday you jump on the internet, you see a new company starting to accept bitcoin.   It is simple logic that as more companies accept it, the more people will need bitcoin.   
People investing in something should try to have a realistic and accurate picture of its value, market etc.  Focusing only on positve side of news is not good for businesses.

I have seen a few anecdotes about companies starting to accepting payment in USD through BitPay, mostly from customers who already own bitcoins.  And BitPay's CEO said that they do not keep bitcoins themselves; they sell them as soon as they get them.

There seems to be no statistics on

   (a) how many stores really accept payment in Bitcoin, rather than USD through BitPay-like services.  (Many retailers work with rather tight
   profit margins; I don't see how they could post prices in BTC with the current volatility of the latter.)

  (b) how many people buy bitcoin for the purpose of paying for goods and services (as opposed to speculating, giving gifts, etc.), and how
  many dollars that amounts to.

  (c) how many stores have stopped accepting payment in bitcoins (directly or through BitPay-like services).

Overstock once or twice posted how much they sold through bitcoin.  Were there any updates?

I suppose that BitPay publishes some data regularly on their volume.


People should only invest in Bitcoin for 1 of 2 reasons.
1) you understand these intellectuals position of how money functions and can directly relate it to Bitcoin.
2) beleve Bitcoin is a technology going through a hype cycle allowing traders / marketers to proffit via the greater fool theory of investing.  

Jorge you skepticism is predisposed to providing the greater fool theory.
You are overlooking Bitcoin as a " risk distribution virus"  it is a distributed socialized voluntary p2p wealth preservation system.

It only works if you beleve in 1 above that is your insurance (the cure to buying high and selling low) . And secondary if you invest your excess wealth in the system, which changes your behavior aligning your self intrest with that of the community.

You drew a metaphor to accepting Bitcoin is like accepting addictive and destructive drugs. It is but it isn't destructive it's like choosing to live in civilization as opposed to living like a self sufficient cave man under the control of the dinosaurs, once you try it the benefits are obvious.

Dinosaurs are on the verge of extinction and higher levels of consciousness is about to evolve in smaller mammals.

If you invest for reason 2 above you will lose your money over the long run here the price fixing greater fools will try guarantee a greater fool with a price fixing mechanism.

Bitcoin is unstoppable if it is eventually controlled by type 2 investors type 1 investors take the proffit and invest in a new cryptocurrency.  



362. Post 5897178 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on March 25, 2014, 05:57:33 PM
Good to see i'm not the only one starting to feel bullish when reading this thread. The sun is shining, summer is coming. Bitcoin u may rise now please.  Smiley
This is sad if Bitcoin price is dependent on how we feel about the weather.
I didn't say that, read again.
Thanks I'm very bullish too the new coming difficulty is going to change the market dynamic and I'm predicting bull run.



363. Post 5898218 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: BitChick on March 25, 2014, 06:56:25 PM
Good to see i'm not the only one starting to feel bullish when reading this thread. The sun is shining, summer is coming. Bitcoin u may rise now please.  Smiley
This is sad if Bitcoin price is dependent on how we feel about the weather.
I didn't say that, read again.
Thanks I'm very bullish too the new coming difficulty is going to change the market dynamic and I'm predicting bull run.

I would trust the "veterans" on here.  It is weird but there seems to be a certain "feel" in the air when things are about to change.  I am not really a true "veteran" but before the last run in November I had this same sort of "feeling" if you want to call it that.   Grin  We threw some money in then, not really expecting the crazy run that happened soon after, but so relieved we bought more when we did.  Knowing this we threw in a little more this week.  Not much though because we are pretty much "all in" already. 
"veterans" Cheesy
Always do your own research, my research is slack - learn by osmosis. My "feeling" is braced on the new version 3 ASIC being launched by ASICminer, new players getting the new bitcoins = new market dynamic.  
But as this story unfolds I suspect the profits may not go to the share holders, but to spinoff like ROCKMINER, this is looking all to shady for me, so who knows, these guys wear their colours on their sleeves, they are looking to profit early and distribute the risk to the Bitcoin community, and possibly diminish  ASICminers shareholders dividends, I just can't tell if they will hold or sell the new coins.
Wait and see is how I'll proceed for now.  



364. Post 5901836 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 25, 2014, 08:06:53 PM
People should only invest in Bitcoin for 1 of 2 reasons.
1) you understand these intellectuals position of how money functions and can directly relate it to Bitcoin.
I think I understand how money works.  I understand in particular that issuing new money transfers real wealth from the society that uses it (not just those individuals who own or use it) to  those who issue it (and "of course" keep some of it for themselves).
Today governments don't issue the money it's created by Fractional reserve banking and a government promise to pay interest on the Money the central bank creates. If this idea works, everything is good in the world and we'll flourish. I'm not convinced it works at all, or TPTB know either the link I provided illustrates how it should work not how it works. Gold never became money because it was evenly distributed, it has a past more corrupt and distorted than Bitcoin.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 25, 2014, 08:06:53 PM
Quote
You are overlooking Bitcoin as a " risk distribution virus"  it is a distributed socialized voluntary p2p wealth preservation system.
It will hardly "perserve wealth".  It will transfer a lot of wealth from some people to other people.  Who will be the winners and who will be the losers depends on whether it will succeed or fail.  
I think you over estimate the wealth transfer, to me the value is in the protocol, if I was to take maximum utility out of the protocol, (Bitcoin becomes the default world currency) then the utility it provides is worth somewhere in the realm of 3- 6% of my total social contribution (salary)per year. (The utility ascribed to inflation and bank service charges of my total wage) other benefits aside. From there I can estimate how much to risk and how much benefit it provided based on my total social contribution.

 I withdraw my investment deflating the Bitcoin price and buy Bitcoin to keep the price up, all the while maintaining a steady growth, (nothing out of the ordinary in the typical housing or investment industry today ) there is more wealth transfer in miscalculated government funds and fines paid by banks for laundering drug cartel funds, that is happening in Bitcoin.

If I speculate and hold Bitcoin, I have no guarantee that the utility will ever manifest, I take risk that future adopters won't mind giving me this disproportionate benefit in wealth (you are correct that will be problematic) we have seen that it isn't as big a problem as one may think as $5 in investment today equates to $500,000 and people are still ok with that.  (Either investors are the greater fool or see value) but Bitcoin only grows if new users find utility in the protocol, if we are all greater fools the value falls to the base utility, for the average user.
I believe the people who hold large balances of Bitcoin have figured out they risk collapsing the system by holding out for two long. They have to let it flow, if any large balance cashed out at the price today it would fall, there are a lot of people can crash it to $100 today, they know because there isn't enough energy for a huge transfer of wealth unless the price is fixed, or the network grows.      


Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 25, 2014, 08:06:53 PM
Quote
[Bitcoin] it isn't destructive it's like choosing to live in civilization as opposed to living like a self sufficient cave man under the control of the dinosaurs, once you try it the benefits are obvious.
Terrible analogy.  "Civilization" means government, taxes, laws, police, and, yes, banks.  Those inventions are basically good, although they can break down and get corrupted, and we must constantly struggle to try to keep them working as intended.

In contrast, the anarchic pipedream of an unregulated global economy without banks and outside the reach of governments, laws and police is not only impossible to succeed, but would be a barbaric nightmare if it did.  How many MtGOXes will have to pass before bitcoiners understand that?
I don't define civilization as "government, taxes, laws, police, and, banks" those may be functional or dysfunctional institutions used to make a civilisation robust, but a civilisation is more a "revolution consisted in the development of the domestication of plants and animals and the development of new sedentary lifestyles which allowed economies of scale and productive surpluses"

You make the claim "impossible to succeed" with no justification or consideration for the end goal of cooperation to produce surpluses for the benefits of all members.

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 25, 2014, 08:06:53 PM
Quote
DinosaursAnimals from the Cretaceous Period are on the verge of extinction and higher levels of consciousness is about to evolve in smaller mammals.

Dinosaurs did not become extinct, they are called "birds" now.  Considering that dinosaurs can fly faster, better, higher and longer than any mammal, one could argue that they just left the inferior parts of the environment to the inferior life forms.  Cheesy

It is not clear yet what killed all the other non-flying dinosaurs, and why the ancestors of the mammals (which were smaller than mice, AFAIK) survived.  I am not aware of any evidence that they were more intelligent.  Perhaps it was a multi-year cold spell that killed the non-flying dinosaurs, and the pre-mammals survived only because they had better body temperature regulation (oops, sorry for the dirty word  Smiley) and lived off insects which lived off fungi that lived off the corpses of the dinosaurs.  Or whatever.

Just replace my use of Dinosaurs with large animals from the Cretaceous Period, I'm not saying early mammals were intelligent, being small they were just more adaptable and evolved into beings that are now more conscious (and I still see lacking evidence of intelligence) The big  Animals from the Cretaceous Period could not adapt, only those whose evolutionary path shrunk them in size and gave up dominating the ecosystem survived.



365. Post 5915295 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Bronstad on March 26, 2014, 03:05:04 PM
At one point this thread had 5689 pages... someone must be deleting their old posts or something. I wonder if they are trying to hide their admission of mining/buying from big bro.
It is quite common in fact, it's the only way to stop being notified of updates in the thread.



366. Post 5915515 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 26, 2014, 04:19:55 PM


To me it is the worst way to describe bitcoin because the meaning of "virtual", especially in the context of the internet implies a "non-reality" or simulation of something real.

Indeed (to the non-reality). Show me a bitcoin. Or even a "bitcoin serial number". There are only transactions. Virtuality in almost its purest form.

It probably deserves the "virtual currency" monicker more than traditional virtual currencies.

This is true. But for convenience we think of Bitcoin as units and that meme + vertual = not real.
When CNN calls it virtual they do not share your understanding they are thinking not real as in cyberspace fantasy.

So I switched to digital currency, but will now tolerate it when people who are possibly smarter than me call it virtual.



367. Post 5918567 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: His Most Eminent Highness Grand Caesar Imperator Goat on March 26, 2014, 07:20:00 PM
care to share the reason why you're deleting your old posts?

time to move onto bigger and better things. this forum has pretty much outlived its point of being, at least for me, and im not going to be spending much time here anymore. dont worry, im not leaving btc, just here Smiley

will you update Goat's speculation thread (currently HODL) from time to time?



368. Post 5939723 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: seleme on March 27, 2014, 10:11:21 PM
You guys are strange while taking any kind of discussion about Bitcoin with Jorge. He never owed one, he says he never will, his "whateveritiscalled" Chinese and Bitstamp predictions are crap, all in all his views are worthless.
Lol, I offered to give him 1XBT, he turned it down equating it to crack.



369. Post 5939826 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on March 27, 2014, 10:43:47 PM
Lol, I offered to give him 1XBT, he turned it down equating it to crack.

Nonsense, crack isn't as addictive as bitcoin  Wink .
Lol, Jorge thinks it is as addictive, I agree somewhat, then I realized I'm addicted to civilization too, so I justify my Bitcoin addiction as it is going to sustain my civilization addiction.

Quote from: seleme on March 27, 2014, 10:17:53 PM
But basically he is here to troll. I can't see me spending so much time at forum of something I find not interesting and destined to fail.
I think he is doing a valid research program for TPTB.



370. Post 5939882 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: lemonte on March 27, 2014, 09:29:34 PM
What would be a good way to determine the number of market participants in bitcoin? Do the biggest exchanges for instance disclose the number of unique accounts?

Genuinely interested, what do people think will happen to the price in the next 3 months if the Chinese news is real?

To the moon, only Chinese coins on the market will come from international travels avoiding capital controls.



371. Post 5939899 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on March 27, 2014, 10:53:50 PM
i was able to stop smoking bitcoins for 2 days then i totally lost it, i had to have me some bits.

Sounds serious, you should probably seek some help for this terrible affliction.

thats what my wife keeps saying.
Give her some bits too.



372. Post 5954676 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on March 28, 2014, 06:26:11 PM
i think if Jorge is gana watch and think about bitcoin he might as well buy some... i'd offer Jorge a quick and easy PayPal payment to buy my bitcoin, but paypal blocked my account.  Tongue
It is like crack if you try it you get addicted and then you can't be objective.
I offered him one Bitcoin and he called me out as being a drug dealer.



373. Post 5987429 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on March 30, 2014, 05:33:16 PM
Oddly, after someone posted that GIF of a bear scratching his nuts, there seems to be an erection in price.
This is why I read the nonsense on this thread. Lol.



374. Post 5988705 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):

Quote from: Zule on March 30, 2014, 06:45:54 PM
TA says we're going to be at 6k pages on this thread in about 3 weeks.
Is that log or linear?
You need to model the fundamentals to draw an accurate conclusion you have to model the contributors there frequency during economic conditions, analyze the content and relevance and come up with a predictive strategy to defined how and when they may delete all there posts. Just going on past page counts alone we're going down after the goating. This may be a trend.



375. Post 6009360 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: mah87 on March 31, 2014, 10:53:48 PM

Getting ready for tomorrow? Lol at the text Smiley

The problem is not chinese news it's IRS considering bitcoin as property. Anyone who got that already ? Don't you understand what's going on ? Permabull can't see ?

I think I here what you're saying, Permabull are selling to pay tax in fiat.



376. Post 6009853 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: BRADLEYPLOOF on March 31, 2014, 11:07:23 PM
Why would I give a shit about some foreign debt collection agency or US citizens complain about bypassing sales taxes?

Stop quoting Mah87.  He's been full ripple since he missed the bitcoin boat...

ripple is in the same boat as bitcoin when it comes to the IRS, lets all switch to USD.



377. Post 6010118 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: BRADLEYPLOOF on March 31, 2014, 11:43:24 PM
Why would I give a shit about some foreign debt collection agency or US citizens complain about bypassing sales taxes?

Stop quoting Mah87.  He's been full ripple since he missed the bitcoin boat...

ripple is in the same boat as bitcoin when it comes to the IRS, lets all switch to USD.

I'd rather invest in USA's pennies, considering they cost about 1/3 more than they're worth to actually make...unfortunately, the value of a penny can't increase, unlike say, a bitcoin...

Then: much loss, so claim
good call



378. Post 6010207 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: keithers on April 01, 2014, 12:02:14 AM
Why would I give a shit about some foreign debt collection agency or US citizens complain about bypassing sales taxes?

Stop quoting Mah87.  He's been full ripple since he missed the bitcoin boat...

ripple is in the same boat as bitcoin when it comes to the IRS, lets all switch to USD.

I'd rather invest in USA's pennies, considering they cost about 1/3 more than they're worth to actually make...unfortunately, the value of a penny can't increase, unlike say, a bitcoin...

Then: much loss, so claim
good call

Lol, I actually throw pennies away, they are such a waste of space.   If I would have saved all the pennies in my life that I have thrown away...I would probably have enough money to buy....  a beer.  lol
I used to think they were a health hazard the risk of putting you back out verses the benefit of picking one up. But who knew the metal content exceeded the face value.



379. Post 6025778 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on April 01, 2014, 11:02:35 PM

Don't forget http://www.professorbitcorn.com

When he sounds like a fool on TV (in the eyes of a clueless reporter)  and or you never hear from him again, it's time to start selling.



380. Post 6042771 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 02, 2014, 10:18:52 PM
What was the actual china news that came out today to drop the price please? Scan read last 10 pages and couldnt see it, nor on reddit front btc page. Thanks.
JorgeStolfi is keeping track of it and posting info without bias, worth checking his posts:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=183158;sa=showPosts

Except you have to check all the factual claims.  Lots of erroneous stuff there.
But he does us all a service by teaching us a lesson in fact checking.
Lesson...delivered!


like Proudhon only more cunning and understated.



381. Post 6046156 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: KeyserSoze on April 03, 2014, 03:09:10 AM
This is the first bubble I've observed up close and personal. I'm finding it a teensy bit eerie how closely it's following the script others have laid out...

What's particularly interesting is that many bubbles pop and go to zero. Bitcoin has survived several boom/bust cycles, never going to zero. Indeed each bubble high is higher than the previous, and each bubble low is higher than the previous. It appears, and the hope is, there may be a few more of these cycles before it enters a more solid state on price.
It's not a hope, there is no other way it is designed into the software, it's a feature, adoption is a risk, price stability is a guarantee of failure, and that guarantee removes the risk involved in holding or selling.

Enjoy the ride even the most skeptic among us are hedging and buying Bitcoin.



382. Post 6046178 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: virtualfaqs on April 03, 2014, 03:15:34 AM
This is the first bubble I've observed up close and personal. I'm finding it a teensy bit eerie how closely it's following the script others have laid out...

What's particularly interesting is that many bubbles pop and go to zero. Bitcoin has survived several boom/bust cycles, never going to zero. Indeed each bubble high is higher than the previous, and each bubble low is higher than the previous. It appears, and the hope is, there may be a few more of these cycles before it enters a more solid state on price.

This time is unprecedented bad news though.
Confirmed



383. Post 6061467 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=167758.0

The link above is a gimps into speculator sentiment almost 1 year ago to the day.

fun read, there was a lot more optimism (more like ejaculating bull sperm  Cheesy )  back then



384. Post 6063764 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 04, 2014, 04:12:38 AM
Weird.

I was expecting that Huobi's note "no problem with banks" would cause a price surge today.

Was it all "spent" on yesterday's surge, that lifted the price from ~2500 CNY to ~2650?

You'll know when the Bank stop processing withdrawals. The price of Bitcoin will shoot up. So long as you can get fiat out the FUD drivers people sell Bitcoin's, and withdraw fiat, when you have fiat on an exchange but can't withdraw it you buy Bitcoin and withdraw that.

The effect shoots the price up. It's FUD untill we see people panic buy into Bitcoin.



385. Post 6067823 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: chessnut on April 04, 2014, 12:05:40 PM
Another way to look at it is this: if you buy into my sell orders, you'll be buying coins that I picked up for ~$10 three years ago. Those coins might make you money, but not as much as they made me.  If price rockets to $600, $700, or higher, you'll still be buying my coins. I guarantee you'll run out of fiat before I run out of bitcoin, Suckers.

when you bought at 550, I thought that was a good move, if not overly ambitious. but why the change? we stalled at the floor and you are bearish now? all the problems in china are short term.
This process is called coin dissemination it's imperative for adoption, it's driven by understand or fear, regardless it's a bull signal even if it's small.



386. Post 6072531 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: rohnearner on April 04, 2014, 04:54:00 PM
444.44 quite fascinating .!

 Cheesy this is so funny it's cook!

666 is a number Christian nations find bad.

4 is a bad Chinese number it has same symbol or pronunciation as death. 4 4's in a row is the ultimate death  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Having worked a lot with China I'll confirm there national religion is superstition.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

I'm buying this is a shaking of the Chinese hands.



387. Post 6074373 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: +EV on April 04, 2014, 08:06:57 PM
Through the last week I have been buying in the 450-520 range (first time buyer). I am all in and prepared to throw more of my monies at BTC in a few days if we don't run into an upswing by then. I have been lurking for a month, many thanks to those whom contribute their knowledge to the thread. I will be keeping my mouth shut around here until I learn the ropes a little more.
This tread represents the sentiment of the crowd, I found when I was buying and selling my actions were more honestly served by avoiding this tread (well its predecessor ) but then I'm not a trader, I'm now part of the p2p Bitcoin central bank movement, in an attempt to dampening  the bubble cycle.



388. Post 6076498 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: mmitech on April 04, 2014, 10:59:10 PM
... they will fuck us all the way up and down, we will all learn just to hold if we are lucky  Cheesy
bring it on. I'll bail someone out for the right price.



389. Post 6083621 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 05, 2014, 01:18:07 AM

I'm holding From <$40 average and I think it's going down some more before recovering. Either that or we're stuck in limbo for months. Day trading is a different thing from long term investing.

Limbo is a relative term here. we should expect a rapid climb to 700-800 in the coming weeks if this is a reversal.

That's a big "if". The only think known for sure is that the slide has been temporarily slowed down at expected resistance at the $400 Gox Low. I estimate we'd need at least ten million new dollars flowing into the exchanges to have a true reversal- otherwise we're just taking each other's money until the fees grind us to dust. IF I was a billionaire, I'd be dumping money into BTC like crazy right now, but I'm not. Billionaires don't make billions from giving money to people like us. They make billions from taking our money.

It's going to go sideways or down until the get rich crowd make way for the real players. That will require a lot of pain.
I'm catching up but think this is exactly where we are.



390. Post 6084134 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: tarmi on April 05, 2014, 03:14:44 PM
yes, pathetic volume is a bullish sign right now, but I am afraid that the dumpsters are just waiting for the bulls in denial and their moves. 
I'm waiting for the dumpsters to move.



391. Post 6112351 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: chromosoma on April 07, 2014, 03:45:32 PM


Crazy to think paper in your wallet can be worth anything, don't even have to go look for it, its printed...  The world is so wacky.

Yes,paper  money  are the sign of value, of work.
For example you work as engineer and design new car. You get paid. This is the reward for you work.
You  go to the supermarket and buy some bread.  The money you pay  serve as the reward for  farmers, driver, workers at the  market, tax etc.
The paper money DO have real value, so to say the real Proof of Work;)

In comparison  to BTC, which is some real random numbers. So everyone  can wank on sofa while mining  "money". That would contribute so much to our society.... Roll Eyes
Why work at some hard and dirty jon, if you can buy yourself a rig, and do nothing.

This troll is not being paid  Wink

Replace paper money in your stagnant with fiat created by decree of TPTB, and you realize there isn't enough paper to print all the money they created. Then you realize fiat is more plentiful than the shells you fear.

Jobs like the one you describe are to insure growth in the economy, specialization and create a distraction to minimize understand of the digital fiat you work so hard to get.

Edit : the rig doesn't do nothing it ensures only 21 million Bitcoin ever are created. It ensures your understanding of money having value remains true.



392. Post 6113042 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: Mervyn_Pumpkinhead on April 07, 2014, 03:55:08 PM
I personally doubt that after  fall to 100-200$ bitcoin will rise again.
Just scare to think about all those people who newly  bought  all those gridseeds, dragons with  THs of power, thinking they will  get money back.
But now, difficulty is still rising, and value is falling. This hardware will never  ever get your money back.

Is htere any other  purpose for SHA256 ASICs? Can you hack protected files with it?Smiley

Where do people get this retarded idea from that "Bitcoin is dead if it falls below price x".

Oh yeah, I know: from the same jumping-to-conclusions part of the brain that tells them "we never fell below the previous ATH, so it can't happen this time either"...

I actually agree with the donkey on this one. Low price has little threat to bitcoin. Right now,a low price would actually strengthen bitcoin, not weaken it. There has to be a solid bottom and certainty, so things could get moving again. Right now everyone who has a clue, are on hold because they have started to realize that the current price is only held up by desperation, denial and overly optimistic hopes. So, this uncertainty is actually slowing down all the progress that is going around bitcoin. I was already begging in January for people not to pump the price up when it is only supported by denial, desperation and hype. It was easy to see that the only thing it does, is it made the process a lot longer then needed. BTC should have fallen at 300, rested there for a month and now we would already be on a solid uptrend. But the fools kept pumping the market and created a lot of uncertainty about the present situation. But now the fall will take longer and the drop will be deeper.
Only real threat to bitcoin is competition, since the entire idea of open-sourced monetary systems is too big to just put it back in the box. The price may fall, but as long as there aren't solid competition, then it won't kill bitcoin itself.

In the same vain as your post but I'm thinking year not months. On this note it reminds me of a metaphor Gavin made paraphrasing it went like this.

Developing for Bitcoin is like driving a car at 120km per/h while trying to build the steering system or change the tiers, while the occupants fight over the steering wheal and there's a big guy called satoshidice who has the music on full volume with his foot flat on the accelerator.

A crash in price like the kind that would make me cry is just what Bitcoin needs. Shake out the weak ASIC developers, give core developers space to do what they do. It will be very good fore the core believes to test there faith.



393. Post 6113680 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: chromosoma on April 07, 2014, 04:15:23 PM

Yes,paper  money  are the sign of value, of work.
For example you work as engineer and design new car. You get paid. This is the reward for you work.
You  go to the supermarket and buy some bread.  The money you pay  serve as the reward for  farmers, driver, workers at the ]
Yes, debts, credits etc. There are much more money exist then people ever earned. But still paper money   is a good motivation for peopel to do something to sociaty.  Why  clean streets, why  do some dirty job if you can just mine coins?Smiley Why designing a car or a spaceship , if you can buy BTC-RIG and stay at home.
The work should be done by humans, not ASICS...

Why? ... because technology magnifies our productivity by many orders of magnetude. We how have the power to catch all the fish, cut down all the trees, and mine all fossil fuel in my lifetime.

This technological productivity gain is being invested in more growth, (more not better) we need our economy to respond to the simply economic rule of supply and demand.

We have inherently a demand for sustained existence, and a mix of finite and renewable resources. (This is ineffectively managed by central control)

The work of the TPTB managing our economy ensures income inequality (through inflation) and environmental destruction (through growth). While discouraging disruptive innovation to preserve the Status Quo.

While we all need to be motivated to contribute to our economic success, it is not an equal analysis to compare the fruits of human labour (real money) to the risk taken by a miner investing in an ASIC to create a digital money substitute that is governed by immutable rules independent of the central control system we have today. When "real money" has been substituted for the equivalent of the shells you consider impractical as money.

Using Bitcoin is by it's nature an experiment in restoring the free market system, it is disruptive and ugly but it is working.



394. Post 6113909 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 07, 2014, 05:51:48 PM
You're still a paid troll Cheesy

Would someone please explain how one becomes a paid troll? Perhaps I can bill them for a hundred bucks (old-fashioned money, of course) for every insult I get here.  Wink

One way is earn tenyar at a university. Wink
Another is proffit off Bitcoin fud.



395. Post 6114177 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

[quote author=Mervyn_Pumpkinhead link=topic=178336.msg6113718#msg6113718 date=1396892555

Well said..
I also agree that it would have been healthier for the development environment of bitcoin to have a year long resting period. I'm afraid that this isn't possible any more since the competition will also keep pushing. The word is out that it could be possible to offer monetary services separate from global banking. There are smart and powerful people and organizations developing their own variants, that won't be made public before they are considered perfect.
I personally think that the main thing that needs development is the coin supply. Fixed coin supply with increasing deflation makes the currency too attractive for speculative play. As long as there are good opportunities for speculative play, then there won't ever be price stability, and that is the main thing that creates a quality currency.
[/quote]

I found this a problem when I got into Bitcoin, instead of the Step Function to introduced new coins I thought a normal distribution function would work better.

I have since concluded that at this stage extreme volitility is a feature not a bug and I think it is distributing acceptably.



396. Post 6114253 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: Rampion on April 07, 2014, 06:08:18 PM
The first person to panic wins if you get to buy back in lower.

This is true, first person to panic buy wins as well cause you get more coins for your mullah!

Do you honestly think there is more greed than fear in this market right now?

You only have fear when you are close to the very bottom. Those who feel euphoria or fear always lose, because they buy near the top and sell near the bottom.

Just buy when this forum is bloated by FUD-spreader trolls, and sell when the thread is completely bloated by train pictures.

For the record: I'm buying myself, going in the $300 range is possible in my book, but no way we are going below $266. If we really go below $266 (VERY unlikely) I'd expect a long, multi-month bear market, but I'm betting on it NOT happening.

I'm more of an "It's always darkest before it goes pitch black" kind of guy. I have many times more coins in cold storage so I'm using my trading account as a hedge right now. Worse thing that can happen to me is that I'm stuck with tens of thousands in fiat while my main stash rockets up in value. I think I can live with that. Locking in profit on coins I bought in two digits may be a fear move, but it's the smart play. How many people with much much more BTC than me have to do the same thing for price to crater? Not Many.

I would advise you to take the profits during uptrends and following a rational plan (when we will hit this price I will sell x% of my stash, etc.) - I hate stating the obvious, but I'd avoid selling during dowtrends and buying during uptrends.

Maximize distribution for proffit is good.



397. Post 6115366 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: oda.krell on April 07, 2014, 06:34:56 PM
Quick, someone calculate the ratio price/(page no. of wall thread) over time.
We had a page number crash when goat left but we are back up. Cheesy



398. Post 6115502 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 07, 2014, 06:42:46 PM


I would advise you to take the profits during uptrends and following a rational plan (when we will hit this price I will sell x% of my stash, etc.) - I hate stating the obvious, but I'd avoid selling during dowtrends and buying during uptrends.

Maximize distribution for proffit is good.

If I get the bottom right, I will keep the bottom from being any lower than it otherwise would be. If I don't get it right, I will be giving money to the guys who keep the bottom from being lower than what it otherwise would be, a service worth paying for.

Lol, I see it the same way, if I don't make the optimum proffit distributing coins I create opportunity for the more competent.



399. Post 6115618 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 07, 2014, 07:25:41 PM
Bitcoin burns greed.  Greed is the fuel for its engine.  All that greed will be consumed and transmuted into a new thing: scarcity.

Bitcoin is commodified scarcity.  The world was running low on scarcity, so we had to create some.  Previously we faced peak scarcity.  Thanks to bitcoin, we now have enough scarcity for everyone.

Bring on the greed.  Come at me bro.  Bitcoin will use crypto fu and redirect that negative energy into pure positive scarcity.


Quoting for posterity.

Read it for the 3rd time and lol'ed with same intensity



400. Post 6132644 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 08, 2014, 09:59:33 PM
Bitcoin burns greed.  Greed is the fuel for its engine.  All that greed will be consumed and transmuted into a new thing: scarcity.

Bitcoin is commodified scarcity.  The world was running low on scarcity, so we had to create some.  Previously we faced peak scarcity.  Thanks to bitcoin, we now have enough scarcity for everyone.

Bring on the greed.  Come at me bro.  Bitcoin will use crypto fu and redirect that negative energy into pure positive scarcity.

Greed is blind and dumb, it will eat its own children when they get fat enough.

Greed is hurting bitcoin, that is why it is bleeding.  It was greed that attracted all the scammers and thieves that now surround it. It s greed that makes otherwise smart people forget prudence, turn off reason, and trust their money to those scammers, time and time again.

Greed breeds greed.  Greed sustains not only bitcoin, but also the altcoins: "Why should I invest in bitcoin, and help Satoshi & friends steal from my wealth, if I can create my own coin, and steal wealth from those who use it?"

Greed may even destroy bitcoins most praised quality, its planned scarcity.  I don't  see what could prevent that.

Bitcoin is the counter balance to greed. All those scammers and thieves know not from where wealth cometh. Greed is why the sh...ts who scammed me out of of many Bitcoin, now just beg for loans in mBTC. Greed has also given me an opportunity to grow  and also the reason I sold most of my Bitcoin for under $10. Greed + consciousness is why humans have flourished through deferred consumption. Scarcity requires discipline, the antithesis of greed.



401. Post 6133743 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 08, 2014, 11:52:30 PM
[fud]
We will see. Who are those that ultimately will decide the future of bitcoin?

(Hint: it is neither the Government, nor the banks, nor Wall Street -- nor the owners of bitcoins.)
[/fud]

 Roll Eyes we know its you (and possibly another 7 billion skeptics), just try the free drugs voluntary scarcity, I know you will like it!  Wink



402. Post 6142986 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 09, 2014, 02:23:31 PM
Iīll promise iīll short Bitcoin even more as iīm planning to spend my next holiday at the coast between Recife and Fortaleza(praia de pipa, canoa quebrada, here i come Cool).
 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
You are most welcome, as long as you sell the bitcoins elsewhere and spend your real money here.  Cheesy
FTFY
actualmoney

Just read today we don't know who invented it.

Real money is what you need to retire.



403. Post 6143385 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 09, 2014, 12:49:02 AM
Roll Eyes we know its you (and possibly another 7 billion skeptics)
Not really.

The skeptics and their governments may ban bitcoin from commerce and finance, but that is not what I meant.  The skeptics may define the environment, but it is the miners who will ultimately decide how bitcoin will evolve.  Not Satoshi, not the Shrem Karpeles & Friends Foundation, not the speculators, not the hoarders.

[fud]
So, what will Greed whisper to the miners' ears?
[/fud]

The users play a bigger role than you give credit, miner's will mine the coin with the most value and the value comes from liquidity and market depth created by the users. If miners who hold little influence on developers hijack Bitcoin it will fork for the greater benifit of it's users.



404. Post 6143987 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 09, 2014, 11:14:59 AM

i told my landlord about bitcoin as an investment because i believed it was a good investment. she invested 12.5 k € in may 2013 and sold above 1000 beginning of december, profiting € 100 k .  boy, i feel so guilty.

Good for her... but what about the guy who bought from her at above 1000 in December?  He too was told it was a good investment, but lost more than 55,000 € at this point...

Jorge a good example of greed being consumed. If the guy bought Bitcoin because he believed it has value why would he sell at a loss. If he himself was fearful and greed motivated him to buy with little understand of Bitcoin, he is a not functioning effectively (part of the problem we have in society today) in effect Bitcoin took greed and created more abundance. i.e. his greed was destroyed and he made more Bitcoin available at his expense, but if he was able to control his greed and save an understanding in why Bitcoin has value helps, he will convert his greed into scarcely - delayed gratification, a discipline lacking today.

Of those who thought 1000 Bitcoin for $5 in 2010 had value, I see parallels like 600whatt's landlord and I'm satisfied 97.3% have sold almost all realizing under 900% profit on capital risked.



405. Post 6144095 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 09, 2014, 04:55:57 PM
[fud]
So, what will Greed whisper to the miners' ears?
[/fud]

The users play a bigger role than you give credit, miner's will mine the coin with the most value and the value comes from liquidity and market depth created by the users. If miners who hold little influence on developers hijack Bitcoin it will fork for the greater benifit of it's users.
Not quite. Miners will do whatever gives more benefit to themselves.  Is the 21 million BTC cap good for them?

I'm betting they will do what is best for themselves I'm depending on it, there are a lot of sheep miners. I'm one, I support one of the biggest pools but I'll drop them in a second if it threatened my savings.



406. Post 6145658 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: BitchImightbe on April 09, 2014, 07:15:12 PM
Post some shit in Chinese
Wait for panic and fear
PROFIT

Repeat  Grin

you have to use a .jpg otherwise someone will cut and past into Google translate.



407. Post 6149001 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: fonzie on April 10, 2014, 12:24:51 AM


Whoīs gonna jump first?

If the weather changes I’ll go inside, but I’m waiting for erosion to wash away my good view. 



408. Post 6164458 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

a lot of big dumping going on,
if the price rebounds we'll all feel used,  Wink
if it don't I'll be in the market again, its been a fun ride today.



409. Post 6164506 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Quote from: shmadz on April 10, 2014, 11:42:33 PM
ah this really sucks

Hey Adam, you know what really sucks?

CaVirtex says because of some stupid law that I need to re-verify my bank account, and the way they verify is to send money to my account and then I have to tell them how much they sent...

Of course, I'm not going to know how much they sent until Huh who knows when? -- and then it will still take 2-3 business days for my deposit to clear, meaning I won't have funds in my account until, I dunno, next tuesday? wednesday?

I might just end up going to bitcoinbrains and eating that 6.5%...

Or maybe I just take the money I was going to spend on bitcoin and buy a flight and a hotel and go to the expo in Toronto this weekend Smiley

I was lucky i did this last week, also have an EFT on its way hope it comes through tomorrow. have you tried VoS



410. Post 6164581 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Quote from: UnDerDoG81 on April 10, 2014, 11:53:18 PM
Wow not sure if HODL or sell with a loss of 50% = $30.000 ??

Cant imagine we will ever see $500 at the moment.

hold, try and imagine how dead Bitcoin was as a new fad going from $35 - under $2, that was dead, this is a test for the new believers.



411. Post 6164613 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Quote from: seleme on April 10, 2014, 11:46:17 PM
I don't have idea when to start seriously buying.  Undecided
do it now, just think of the miners.



412. Post 6164991 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Quote from: shmadz on April 11, 2014, 12:11:03 AM
ah this really sucks

Hey Adam, you know what really sucks?

CaVirtex says because of some stupid law that I need to re-verify my bank account, and the way they verify is to send money to my account and then I have to tell them how much they sent...

Of course, I'm not going to know how much they sent until Huh who knows when? -- and then it will still take 2-3 business days for my deposit to clear, meaning I won't have funds in my account until, I dunno, next tuesday? wednesday?

I might just end up going to bitcoinbrains and eating that 6.5%...

Or maybe I just take the money I was going to spend on bitcoin and buy a flight and a hotel and go to the expo in Toronto this weekend Smiley

I was lucky i did this last week, also have an EFT on its way hope it comes through tomorrow. have you tried VoS

I have not tried them yet, but I expect I would have to verify with them as well, I'm not sure how long these prices will last. Maybe it will keep dropping and not being able to fund my account will actually turn in my favour.

One thing is for certain, once you experience bitcoin, the legacy banking system is downright laughable. It's seriously like comparing physical mail to email.

(*45 new replies?!?!?!*) holy crap, I need to type faster, lol.
My VoS verification took about 2 days. Deposits are quick but liquidity low.



413. Post 6165391 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on April 11, 2014, 12:34:22 AM
ah this really sucks

Hey Adam, you know what really sucks?

CaVirtex says because of some stupid law that I need to re-verify my bank account, and the way they verify is to send money to my account and then I have to tell them how much they sent...

Of course, I'm not going to know how much they sent until Huh who knows when? -- and then it will still take 2-3 business days for my deposit to clear, meaning I won't have funds in my account until, I dunno, next tuesday? wednesday?

I might just end up going to bitcoinbrains and eating that 6.5%...

Or maybe I just take the money I was going to spend on bitcoin and buy a flight and a hotel and go to the expo in Toronto this weekend Smiley

I was lucky i did this last week, also have an EFT on its way hope it comes through tomorrow. have you tried VoS
I think it was 3 days I sent a bank draft by mail

How long before the deposits showed up in your account btw? I was lagging on doing this myself. If I don't hurry up I won't be able to buy in at any point below my abp.



414. Post 6165806 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on April 11, 2014, 01:50:58 AM
Even the log charts don't look good

Cue for jorge with the worldcom chart.
He figured it out, you don't want to be talking to bleeding Bitcoiners on a day like today.



415. Post 6176135 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: ErisDiscordia on April 11, 2014, 06:06:34 PM
Anything worth doing is worth doing well.  Some things are not worth doing.  

There are many kinds of trades.  A free exchange based on mutual information is almost always pure win.  The more of these that occur, the more efficient and productive the economy.  Some trades are based on taking advantage of differential information, and are a positive boon systemically, although they are not win-win.  They are win-lose.  An evolutionary process weeds out the losers, but they are constantly churning, so this process will never completely end, and is unavoidable.  It is bound up with the necessary process of price discovery.  No problem there.  Performing deceptive tortious or outright criminal acts to induce losers in order to gain thereby is just evil, seeking to harm others in order to benefit thereby.  It is morally indiscernible from any other larceny or fraud, and harms the efficiency of the market, and harms the productivity of the economy.  It is a defection and a despoilment of the commons.  I would that some batman go from house to house giving neckties to sociopaths like these.  Not my job, however, and thankfully.  On this forum I rub shoulders with these parasites.


Good, thought-provoking perspective!  Smiley

Thanks for that.
+1



416. Post 6176210 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 11, 2014, 06:03:13 PM
Long term investment is a sensible choice, if the odds are favorable. For company stocks, it is even the "right" strategy.
For company stocks in the U.S. in aggregate buy and hold is suicidal over the next 10 years while the demographic curve forces distribution.
This summer will be the first glimpse of reality peeping into the fed-induced bubble of unreality we have enjoyed for 5 years, but just a foreshadowing really.
Seems like the democrats are going to want to prop up the economic system, at least until after the November 2014 elections, no?
Can kicking only works until you run out of road, no matter how good you are at it.  I expect a patch of cow trail coming up.  My reasons are idiosyncratic, and most will not share them.  They are also complex and ill-suited to a forum post.  I apologize for providing such low-information content.  The demographic curve and its correlation to p/e ratios is however both informative and easy to provenance.

Do you have any recommended reading on the bold point, or comments on appropriate blogs I'm interested.



417. Post 6176600 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 11, 2014, 07:02:14 PM
The demographic curve and its correlation to p/e ratios is however both informative and easy to provenance.

Do you have any recommended reading on the bold point, or comments on appropriate blogs I'm interested.

http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2011/august/boomer-retirement-us-equity-markets/el2011-26.pdf
Thanks



418. Post 6180351 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 12, 2014, 01:13:35 AM
I don't know what to make of it.
Well, I don't think that there has ever been a situation like this in the stock market: all the largest exchanges being ordered to stop using banks to transfer client money in or out, within the week.  The theory for that case probably does not exist, and certainly has not been tested.
That's for sure. Come to think of it the big 5 private banks in Canada are doing the same thing as Chinese banks. Cavirtex are asking for government legislation so for  Canadian exchanges before they are forced to use other nations banks.



419. Post 6186756 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 12, 2014, 02:12:49 PM
I am guessing that chinese exchangers hold between 1/10 and 1/5 of the coins that are on bitstamp and btc-e.
There is no way they could have acquired the amount they claim out of the blue.
Time will tell , but I doubt the numbers are that wrong.
You may not know it, but bitcoins can be easily moved between markets, even across currency exchange barriers.  Wink  

Arbitragers move coins to China whenever the price there is higher than in the West.  The price shoot by a factor of 10 in October/November when the Chinese market exploded, all because of demand in China  They must have slurped most of the coins available in the Western markets at the time.  

So I would guess the opposite: last January, the coins available in the Western exchanges (not counting the large hoards of long-term investors, nor the fictitious GOXCoins) were only 1/5 to 1/10 of those that were available in the Chinese exchanges.  (That is just a guess, based on nothing more than this simplistic price argument.) But that number must have been decreasing together with the price.

EDIT: fixed(?) wrong attribution of quote.
I live in Vancouver it is full of Chinese, there is lots of new Chinese wealth here, they keep our real estate market out of wack with the world.

I have been told by guys in the moving coins off market industry that before the last bubble that liquidity dried up and lots of new Chinese were buying for the first time and sending coins to china to for friends to sell.

I import a lot from China and experimented with paying suppliers by selling on exchange over there, my fiat to fiat conversion via Bitcoin gave me a 10-15% conversion advantage.

Unfortunately short lived fiat out became problematic, even getting my Bitcoin back was a change. As payment reconciliation with BTCchina was a mess.



420. Post 6215605 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 14, 2014, 03:47:57 PM
Approximate annual inflation rates since Jan/2014:

Euro Area (Euro) 1%
USA (Dollar) 1.6 %
China (Yuan) 2%
Brazil (Real) 6.5%
Argentina (Peso) 11%
Venezuela (Bolívar) 54%
Bitcoinland (Bitcoin) 350%
 Wink

Bitcoin is the only inflation rate I believe, and skeptics call it deflation. Cheesy



421. Post 6216340 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: Rampion on April 14, 2014, 04:08:46 PM

The fact is that an exchange commingling all their customers funds in one single bank account is simply non-compliant, and even illegal in most of the EU.

Just check how brokers work: you need to open a bank account UNDER YOUR NAME on a certain bank, and give the broker an authorization to operate with your account for this or that purpose - but customers funds are never commingled, each customer has his own separate bank account.

Bitcoin exchanges (apart from B-C afaik) do not operate that way (not even Kraken), exposing customers to a huge risk. It just takes one rotten seed (eg, a drug dealer) operating in exchange X and the only option LE has is to freeze the full account - that's why you cannot take customers deposits* in the EU if you are not a bank.

*deposit = holding funds on behalf of a third party - those funds are NOT legally yours, you are just holding them on behalf of your customer - that's what banks and only banks do.

So through in a gag order and this could have happened to Gox, I'm sure lots of silk road money was in Gox's bank.

I love this logic all the attacks on Bitcoin send the price up. This crap is already happened in Canada, the 5 big banks are hostile to Bitcoin, exchanges here are looking to bank overseas. Banks in jurisdictions what are friendly to Bitcoin are going to face the type of international scrutiny and resistance Mizuho Bank did in Japan for supporting MtGox.

This makes coinbase look the most viable, just not good for trading as you purchase is canceled if the trade goes against them.



422. Post 6216860 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 14, 2014, 04:55:33 PM

Why would that be more fair?
  What matters is what 1 unit of currency can buy.  That is not determined by how many units could be printed, not even by how many exist, but by how many are in circulation, and the demand for them.

Speaking of demand, I recall someone claiming that the bulk of bitcoin "commerce" (excluding investment and speculation), right now, is internet gambling.  Is that true?


Inflation you can trust has value. The QE monetary inflation that just locks in previous inflation in asset prices (asset not tracked in the CPI and monetary inflation studies) paints a different picture. Still this inflation is expected to remain lower that Bitcoin until Q3 2016). But ultimately the price deflation in Bitcoin is not a result of economic growth, but reflects the trust in a predictable monetary inflation policy, where asset prices are not manipulated by the central banks, the volatility arguably reflects greed and fear.



423. Post 6219058 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: akujin on April 14, 2014, 07:37:42 PM
I wouldn't get too cocky if I were you guys...
I've just finished watching this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bi2thGzzNSs and I realized that their government could easily initiate a 51% attack  Grin Grin Grin
Once bitcoin start hurting their economy, I wouldn't be surprised if they do something like that.
So basically, right now, they are like a cat playing with a cockroach..  Grin Grin Grin
I conclude that bitcoin still has a few more years left to live... unless you piss this cat reaally hard  Grin Grin Grin
A 51% attack just became a costly waste of time the idea president here renders it useless.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=563972.0



424. Post 6220548 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on April 14, 2014, 08:46:49 PM
That's no bear mask, that's a full on troll-mask. Just completely giving up on the "researching" schtick I see.
Why a troll? I am very skeptical that Bitcoin will succeed, I already explained why I think so.
You are no troll Stolfi, just a bear.
PS: Your "bull-mask" prediction indicate a 20% chance of staying between 400$ and 500$ this year.  Given bitcoin's volatility I think that is highly unlikely. I would take you up on a bet if I didn't already know the answer was no  Smiley .
He is the most sophisticated of all trolls; he installs doubt so deep the sheep don’t can't question. He is the equivalent of the gold bugs in the “Gold collapsing Bitcoin up tread” who convinced me to short Bitcoin and go long on gold, he talks the talk to spins a story just overlooking a few fundamentals that polarize the conclusion.   Wink



425. Post 6220959 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 14, 2014, 09:42:45 PM
My probabilities are mine! ALL MINE! If you want to have probabilities too, go get your own!


(paraphrasing an old email signature by billco@clark.net, about "opinion" Cheesy)

good call!

I used to think Professor Bitcoin aka Mark Williams was the ultimate almost “extinct cave bear” the demise of his reputation was my sell at the top trigger.

His position is a lot more moderate, and I’ve read he admitted publicly he is even holding Bitcoin.

I now look to you for guidance, don't go full bull or stop posting just yet.



426. Post 6220993 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 14, 2014, 09:47:45 PM
[ ... ]
He is the most sophisticated of all trolls; he instills doubt so deep the sheep don’t can't question. [ ... ]  Wink
Uh, yes, the probabilities I posted are based on the assumption that you folks will not manage to drive me away from this thread.  If I were to stop posting here, bitcoin would immediately shoot to the moon and beyond, of course.  Grin

 Cheesy I,m betting it will, not that it will be causation, just bad timing.



427. Post 6234342 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 15, 2014, 10:52:04 AM
Have you bought some BTC's already?
I have been doubling my BTC holdings every day since December.  Wink
Please check my maths 0 x 2 = 0

Jorge I see a few who have lost a lot shoring on the bad news, had they followed the accepted Bitcoin investment strategy they could profit. Bitcoin is a revolution not a ponzi, if you invented a better currency the elephant in the room is how do you distribute it in a fair and efficient way that is what is happening in Bitcoin land today. Skeptics like you made me question my understanding, it wasn't until I read an article written about 10 years before bitcoin posted on bitcointalk how the scarcity of gold facilities it's ability to be a communal store of wealth. (I wish I could find it I've tried a few times) Skeptics like you made one question there understanding, and do things like sell at the bottom as they come around to seeing the viewpoint presented, but without understand the full picture Bitcoin remains a binary invention. Your efforts could negatively affect those who make the mistake of being greedy and investing more than they are willing to lose.

Bitcoin investment advice.
Don't invest more than you are willing to lose.
Buy low sell high
and learn to hodl.  
Sell a little in every bubble.

The outcome from the strategy above is if Bitcoin fails tomorrow or in 20 years you lost nothing of value.
If it is successful you can reap a reward, how well you hold represent orders of magnitude in return.

All the scams are just necessary vaccinations, it's wrong in my view to tell people to live in this plastic bubble (lawful growth economy of environmental destruction) where everything is safe because in the real world it isn't. We need scam immunity. Living like a parasite in a growth economy is the biggest scam ever perpetrated. Bitcoin is just one small experiment nothing to avoid, if successful it rewards participants.

I hate scanner and manipulators as much as you do but I know in Bitcoin land a honest measure of wealth that evolves organically will develop an immunity to such things, this belief comes from systems that evolve naturally the foundation or our consciousness.



428. Post 6238621 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 15, 2014, 07:26:35 PM
Think of it  as gambling on a game with unknown and unknowable odds. 

Bitcoin is a revolution not a ponzi, [ ... ] Bitcoin remains a binary invention.
I will put my reply in small font ...
LOL, Fair enough, it is a gamble, but I will intuit the odds, in my view this invention is as profound as the wheal the plow or the printing press.

On the point of criminals, throughout history stored wealth has been plundered, that what people do when there is inequality, it is how the nation state was birthed eventually the groups come up with rules to prevent the plunder, and create an equilibrium. The last global thinker on the topic to have an impact was John Maynard Keynes. The institutions he worked to put in place have now all been eroded and the plunder is resuming at an exponential pace, today it more unfair and as vial as it was during the dark ages when you look at it on a global scale. 

Chriptocurancy for the first time in history gives people a way to store wealth without the treat of plunder (provided they are relatively computer and scam savvy ) this will change how we interact, killing someone to gain control of their stored wealth does not enrich one, by design it benefits the whole instead.  This is new! The institutions that exist(ed) are based on a premise that is now obsolete, they exist to serving the elite <1% and are going to become obsolete if they don’t evolve, non violent and corporative Regime change is coming, it needs to evolve organically to prevent abuse. 



429. Post 6238672 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 15, 2014, 07:59:17 PM
-snip-

The impressive list of bitcoin scams and failures may perhaps serve to teach them also the importance of professional accounting and financial regulations -- and why government is a good thing.  Wink

This is a joke right?

You ever heard of Enron?

The government itself *is* Enron.  For example, on 10 Sept. 2001, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld told the U.S. Congress that the Department of Defense had misplaced 2.3 tn USD.  That is 2.3e12 USD for which they could not account.   The federal government of the U.S. is one of the best, cleanest national governments in the world.  It is also vastly more criminal than any other entity of remotely comparable power.


OMG this was overlooked on 11 Sept. 2001



430. Post 6239465 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: Gatekeeper on April 15, 2014, 11:24:18 PM
Wow.  This battle is epic and made me glad i dumped into that strange 514 wall?Huh wtf was that guy thinking?

what a market.

lol i'll remember this post as we march on up, the guy was thinking how nice it is to take your btc off you for cheap.

we wouldn't march on up if those coins weren't sold so "cheep". he took one for the team  Wink



431. Post 6241074 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: Lowryder on April 15, 2014, 09:07:29 PM

Bitcoin will fail due to its natural scarce nature.
It WILL not work:
-as mean of transaction
-store of value

If the technology is so unique and outstanding, the scarce nature
Will ultimately destroy it.

The value will be zero.

Wake up!!!!!!!

re-quoting for posterity - his cracks me up every time "The world was running low on scarcity, so we had to create some"

Quote from: aminorex on April 07, 2014, 07:25:41 PM
Bitcoin burns greed.  Greed is the fuel for its engine.  All that greed will be consumed and transmuted into a new thing: scarcity.

Bitcoin is commodified scarcity.  The world was running low on scarcity, so we had to create some.  Previously we faced peak scarcity.  Thanks to bitcoin, we now have enough scarcity for everyone.

Bring on the greed.  Come at me bro.  Bitcoin will use crypto fu and redirect that negative energy into pure positive scarcity.




432. Post 6241177 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: bitcoinsrus on April 16, 2014, 02:01:34 AM

Chart buddy invalid pic  Grin

market p0rn?



433. Post 6243784 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

WTF...

Has anyone been watching the alt market it's going crazy. http://coinmarketcap.com/

Check out the "order by % change "

I'm not sure what to do?



434. Post 6253543 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: seleme on April 16, 2014, 05:54:00 PM

Of course there are moment when some other exchanges take control for short time but this time, beside his usual biased bullshit Jorge is right in general.

We can deny it as much as we want but Bitcoin is currently China's bitch and largely depends on each fart coming from that part of the world. Their government decisions or even only rumors about them are moving the market as a wheel. It might change at some time surely but right now we are under China's mercy completely and that's awful thing, specially for people who are trading as no skills and indicators can beat a single news coming from China. And their exchanges are in most cases the market leaders.

Jorge has hypnotised you  Wink
To interpret his input you need to work from his premise, I believe it goes like this. Bitcoin is not an investment but a bet with unknowable odds. Every input thereafter is an attempt at manipulating the odds in a 0 sum game.



435. Post 6255419 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 16, 2014, 07:53:11 PM
And the (apparently) best-informed description of the Chinese bitcoin traders that I have seen was not on Coindesk or Bloomberg, but on the Christian Monitor, of all sources.

If you follow the informal meetups and presentations people give around the world, you would have known months before October that Chinese funds were poring in to Bitcoin. One cant expect the media to react to that before it was news.

The only news worth noting in china will come from an official Chinese news source and it will start something like this; In the best interest of the Chinese people... 

My statistical analysis shows that your contributions to this tread has increased the correlation with price in China.

It appears to me the price in China is irrelevant, it it is 7% or above the west I will find a way to pay suppliers via Bitcoin, if it is below I will pay suppliers in Fiat, and the free market will arbitrage the coins back.



436. Post 6255519 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 16, 2014, 08:39:35 PM
So Jorge can now run people through the risk of bitcoin before they purchase, he'll be like a warning disclaimer.
I read somewhere that there was a guy sitting next to a bitcoin ATM (in North America, IIRC), offering better deals than the ATM.

Yes it was here in Vancouver, the owner chose to hire a musician paid minimum wage to tell the ATM poachers to piss off, the coffee shop owner permitted it because he got live music.




437. Post 6255594 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 16, 2014, 08:56:58 PM

By the way, The former owner of MercadoBitcoin, the company that set up that ATM, was also the creator of BitcoinRain, a Brazilian ponzi that collapsed after allegedly taking some 12,000 bitcoins from investors.  According to the then-owner, a hacker invaded MercadoBitcoin and stole all the BitcoinRain funds --- by COINcidence, just after they received a major withdrawal request.   That person later sold MercadoBitcoin to other people, who naturally do not see themselves responsible for the losses of BitcoinRain's clients.

thanks for that I remember the incident, I never looked into it because i couldn't understand why someone would trust there Bitcoin to a untrusted 3rd party, that and it seemed far away.

edit: To be honest I have noticed a lot of the motivation behind some of the innovation happening in Bitcoin is a way to launder stolen coins.  



438. Post 6257003 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

This is bullish
Li Ka-Shing sells his properties in China and buys into the Bitcoin dream. Smiley
http://finance.ninemsn.com.au/newsbusiness/aap/8828198/li-ka-shing-family-sells-beijing-property
http://www.techtimes.com/articles/2321/20131229/asian-billionaire-backs-bitcoin-investing-bitpay.htm



439. Post 6257209 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: BitAddict on April 16, 2014, 11:18:02 PM

You're mixing old news with new ones  Tongue

I see I have it backwards



440. Post 6257462 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 16, 2014, 11:25:54 PM
If I were a famous multi-billionaire, I would charge 1 million US$ to donate an "undisclosed sum" (actually 1 US$) to any interested startup.  Wink
Wink That explains the run up in December then, you would do well in Bitcoin land, you have the eye for spotting scams.



441. Post 6257478 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: BBmodBB on April 16, 2014, 11:35:29 PM


ALL MY BTC GONE *POOF* cryptsy banned me for asking why? GOOD GOD! =\

why what? They have been good in the past,  My withdraw all just happen to be lost pending atm.

edit: I fond this quote by The House of Rothschild has served me well in Bitcoin land. "Treat the stock exchange like a cold shower (quick in, quick out)."



442. Post 6261094 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 17, 2014, 05:17:26 AM
You can stretch them again , use a different time period , change the colors , but no way you can get those too match.
I really don;t understand why people have this need of matching current events with previous ones in order to "see' the future.

Me neither...  Sad

By the way, what is (are) the prossible explanation(s) for the April 2013 rally?

In hindsight I think a lot of liquidity was absorbed by the Twins. Bitcoin was getting positive press, there was a little run before halving that turned out to be a non event, but the statisticians / " quants" saw the liquidity trap and worked some magic and the herd followed the moment ASIC's arrived. The big kicker was the onset / arrival of ASIC's they were so successful GPU mining became obsolete although still profitable. It was a paradigm shift in that if you wanted Bitcoin you now had to buy it. The innovator stage ended and early adopter stage started.

Also the wave of new investor theory by rpietila timed perfectly with the successful halving event, (the code worked) and there was enough scarcely for everyone.

The same phenomenon happened when GPU mining was invented the increase in difficulty took the price from around a $0.01 to $0.30 and on to $1.00.

There is going to be another scarcity events in 2016 with halving and again when Bitcoin inflation falls in line with fiat inflation.
 
I think want added to the phenomenon is one of the first back of the envelope calculations people do when assessing Bitcoin is work out the value give world population and when they see it manifesting they reinvest there profits.

December's scarcity events was caused by liquidity moving to China and the West holding on all the good news out of the US.

What is at play now is distribution optimization in preparation for the next scarcity event. The coins need to be well distributed for the effect of value take hold.

 



443. Post 6270041 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 17, 2014, 05:38:15 PM
There is a high probability that China will crank up the printing presses. Poor(er) Chinese will either use Bitcoin as a hedge on inflation, use more traditional precious metals, or they will be too broke to hedge at all. Chinese capital in invested in all the wrong places. This was the inevitable consequence of their neo-mercantilist foreign trade policy, as it was for Japan and every other country that tried it.

You make that sound like a bad thing.  In fact it was an amazingly good thing. It worked really well, and accomplished what it was intended to accomplish.  Now that game is over and it's time for the next game.  Whether they can manage the transition or not is unproven.  Whether they can play the next game as well as they played the previous game is unproven.  But they definitely won the last round.

This x 7,billion
It's the evolution of things not just China but the whole world has to wean off fiat, our very survival depends on it.



444. Post 6274180 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: shmadz on April 17, 2014, 11:47:07 PM

Thanks dude. I always adhere strictly to the first rule, but it does bear repeating  Wink

I read the word "borrowed" to invest in bitcoin which i don't yet have enough confidence to do.



445. Post 6298193 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: mooncake on April 19, 2014, 09:43:19 AM
I remember when JorgeStolfi pretended to be unbias towards Bitcoin, and actually enjoyed his rational counter-arguments against BTC.

Me too. But we need to be more understanding though. As human beings, we are all influenced by our emotions and biasness.
When started off, one may be rational. But when nasty comments from others come in, one tend to sway towards a particular view and fortify it. By that time, even when presented with concrete facts, one remains adamant on the view, refusing to admit the inital view was wrong.

You do realize that goes both ways, right?

Of course, though it takes lots of self-cultivation to achieve non-biasness.

Yip It does. Bitcoin was too good to be true. I was like Jorge but I owned Bitcoin before I siding with the cave bears. It was the loss of $100 of thousand that made me reconsider my position and find a logic structure to support it.

Knowing how absurd fiat is I can't but believe Crypto will succeed. In my view the earth isn't flat any more.



446. Post 6358737 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: Post-Cosmic on April 23, 2014, 09:57:36 AM

 Is there any evidence to the belief that expansions in the bitcoin ecosystem, services & economy actually increase the price..??

 Seriously, merchants don't need to keep 'reserves' of 'BTC change' in their 'digital money registers' like stores do w/ fiat. They aren't interested in speculating in BTC future price rises either. They're in fact wary of it - they just want the extra potential sales & rep from bitcoiners. That's why they use services like BitPay. Payment re-processors such as BPay also are not interested in hoarding or buying crypto. They just facilitate things by accepting a cryptopayment from end users, dumping it at market (or pretty fast in any case), giving the merchant their proceeds in fiat & keeping their cut in fiat.

 Those customers, the end-users of all these crypto-friendly merchants & services. THEY are the ones implyingly expected to cause higher prices, by buying moar BTC now that they can shop at a greater variety of places w/ it. But who are the vast majority of cryptocustomers..?? ..BITCOINERS. Enthusiasts. Folks who -already- had their stash & don't mind spending out a little of it here & there. Whatever extra BTC they may buy to shop with will be compensated by what they spend - given that the merchants & payment processors will be dumping the BTC thusly received as payment.

 So why in the WORLD is there this MYTH continuing about merchant adoption, growing ecosystem = higher price? Wtf? What am I missing..?
Bitcoin's value comes from the ability to store wealth in a socialised distributed systems the benefits spread akin to a virus with each resulting fever an order of magnitude greater than the last. This current trend is part of the distribution cycle.

I don't think you are missing anything, a lot of this investment is assuming Bitcoin is a currency, when most probably it's a store of wealth once the store of wealth has matured its value as a currency will materialize, it is my view the current focus is creating an artificial stimulus the results will be mal-investment and Bitcoin will naturally accumulate at the correct time and price in the most appropriate proponents.  So this sideways movement could go on for a long time, who knows.

 



447. Post 6382659 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: Patel on April 24, 2014, 05:09:28 PM
Is Russia/Ukraine/USA situation bullish or bearish for Bitcoin?

Fiat canons need productivity to load them up. Oil & Gas is the source for productivity.

What we see and hear in the news is just propaganda; the dispute is over energy distribution, taxing energy, and right to sell energy to the highest bidder or new markets.

Russia/Ukraine/USA/EU all want to control an aspect of the energy Russia exports so they can load there Fiat canons.

Whatever happens the Bitcoin price will go up, but what is good for Bitcoin is a free market solution, one where Russia, distributes energy according to past agreements and future interests, and is free to negotiate contracts where the IMF and BIS have no jurisdiction, i.e. – create a banking system for the BRICS.

Ultimately this solution makes cryptocurrencies indispensable for international triad.



448. Post 6423092 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 27, 2014, 02:20:53 PM
Every exponential price trend that grows faster than population, inflation, and total economic output must perforce cease to hold at some point.  Unchecked, a 10x increase per year would mean that 1 BTC would buy the whole Earth within a few decades.

So, the question is not IF, but WHEN will Bitcoin's price stop following the historic exponential trend?

(Do I need to post again the Worldcom price chart? It followed an exponential trend much more closely and for a longer time than Bitcoin so far...)

Price trends should not be trusted without undersanding the fundamentals behind them.  Some bulls here have their explanation for Bitcoins historical exponential trend.  I have mine,  The conclusions seem to be very different...
I know I can't even give this stuff away  Cheesy
Until a better system than fiat actually takes hold I'm putting my faith in the logic that any better system will prevail (it was an act of faith when I first started mining Bitcoin). Until then I the exponential price trend to continue, it can only be stalled  by responsible fiat creation, and that is unlikely even if TPTB succeed in unification of all central banks.



449. Post 6425901 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 27, 2014, 05:05:02 PM
Though the great thing about linear regression is that as long as the price starts out at 0, the slope can't ever be negative, so all is well, and all will forever be well so long as there is a non-zero trading price. Infinite profits ahead, guaranteed. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Eg.with Auroracoin the slope is already negative. Linear regression could not prevent it.
Hm, that points out a problem with using linear regression on all the monthly points.

Suppose two items A, B that start out both at the same price 1$. Item A then grows steadily to 1000$ over 2 years.  Item B shoots up to 2000$ on the first month and then decays steadily to 1000$ in the next 23 months.

Linear regression will give a positive slope for item A and a negative slope for item B, even though both increased by a factor of 1000 over that time span.

On the other hand, consider item C that starts out at 1000$, drops to 1$ on the first month and recovers steadily to 1000$ over the next 23 months.  Linear regression would give positive slope.

These examples do not prove that linear regression is "wrong", but should make one aware that its meaning is not what one may think.

"Your results are not right. They are not even wrong." --some famous scientist reviewing the work of some colleague


Negative linear regression forecasts like this are critical in projecting the beta arbitrage opportunities with alts. Once market movers improve here it becomes a mining race again. And looking at the mining profitability data Slippery Slope follows this reversal happened on the 15th of this month as alt mining is now out of high risk and now motivated by profit. Alts are not so much a buy and hold opportunity for miners but a sell above the trend line opportunity.



450. Post 6426122 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 27, 2014, 04:12:19 PM
I suppose that, in the early days, sites like exchanges and online casinos would have a single bitcoin address for bitcoin deposits, and all clients would transfer bitcoins to it (using the decimal satoshi amount to identify their deposits); whereas now such sites commonly generate a new unique address for each client and/or each deposit.  Is this correct?

Somewhat I still use services who give me a lifetime bitcoin address and fiat services who require I identify my deposit with a unique amount.  I don't like it and presume it is moving the way you predict.



451. Post 6426312 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 27, 2014, 03:42:10 PM
Until a better system than fiat actually takes hold I'm putting my faith in the logic that any better system will prevail (it was an act of faith when I first started mining Bitcoin). Until then I the exponential price trend to continue, it can only be stalled  by responsible fiat creation, and that is unlikely even if TPTB succeed in unification of all central banks.

Personally, I think there's a preponderance likelihood that BTC will become something like the IMF SDR within 5-10 years.  It will become fiat.  I consider that a disastrous outcome, so I'm planning to diversify -- into MRO for now, and increasingly as it starts to get some traction and start-up risk declines.  On the other hand, it will be a beneficial outcome in terms of BTC investment value, and monetary utility, so I don't plan to convert entirely.  I just think BTC will have too much confiscation risk in future, for lack of anonymity.

If BTC has adequate evolutionary fitness to defend its moat, the SDR scenario seems almost inevitable, from my game-theoretically naive scenario analysis.  The exponential growth will continue until it reaches roughly the half-saturation point, if that is the case.  I'm thinking that's about twice as high as slipperyslope's model, from dead reckoning and Fisher's quantity theory.
 
I'm less concerned with fractional reserve banking using Bitcoin as the IMF's SDR. I know how fiat works and the downside risk I'll avoid that. We now have alts.  I'm happy to pay the confiscation tax you predict the trade off is there will be checks and balances that governments have to work with as a result and that is a win.



452. Post 6426387 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 27, 2014, 06:38:08 PM
Do you happen to like it in the academia when somebody who has no experience on the subject that you have been researching for months, uses childish non-real world examples to prove that in some cases the model you have been researching and using with incredible precision, would give strange results?
Sorry, we teachers develop a bad habit of simplifying 40 years of experience with a tool into childish examples.

What would your incredibly precise model say about this real-world (in more than one sense!) example:



What difference do you see between Apr/1997 and Jan/2000 in this example?


Mmm now the kicker Bitcoin isn't worldcom our growth economy is worldcom, bitcoin is technology and some justify its existence by relating it to an investment. 



453. Post 6433199 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 28, 2014, 04:37:22 AM
Good news! NO FUD. BTCChina: http://www.weibo.com/2149945883/B1MStEjN0?mod=weibotime

Quote
Small partners about bitcoin China suspended all news withdrawals are false news Bitcoin Chinese recharge and withdrawals everything is normal. If you need help, please call customer service phone 400-664-3033

Human translation: Rumors about BTCChina suspending withdrawals are false. Recharge and withdrawals still working
I understand that BTC-China is denying rumors that withdrawals were stopped.

AFAIK, no exchange has reported the blocking of CNY withdrawals through bank transfers.  I would think that the banks will leave that step for last so that clients have a chance to get their money out. 

This is what TPTB in China want.
1) China ( yuppie's and some High-net-worth individuals) started buying at the same time the US, ok'ed Bitcoin as the west were going to buy in to the idea. Biden then shoots over to China and offers US backing for Senkaku Islands, in return China follows Biden's lead on Bitcoin. (At the time Bitcoin was booming in China)
2) China's new policy is force the Chinese to use foreign reserve to buy Bitcoin (go inflate another country's fiat supply)
3) China wants to create demand for CNY abroad to buy virtual currency in foreign exchanges.
4) China likes Bitcoin just at this time it could be problematic and would complicate a fiat inflation problem.



454. Post 6433341 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: windjc on April 28, 2014, 04:47:53 AM

There's your news sir.
It's only a problem when we get the same news and the price of Bitcoin goes up. When this news comes out and the price tanks it illustrates fiat liquidity, the thing that people fear is going.

Canadian exchanges (Bitcoin is small here) have been dealing with the same thing since April last year. If you want to buy and sell Bitcoin you find a way, this fud in China is irrelevant, it's a problem when the only way to get your money out is to withdraw BTC, this will be bad news followed by a spike in price.

Remember Jorge is is shepherd or clergy or researcher or analysis or a skeptic or investment advisor but not investing in Bitcoin.



455. Post 6447233 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 28, 2014, 11:04:30 PM
The only reason to buy right now is if you think supply is going to dry up quickly. Otherwise tomorrow, next week or next month will suffice. You .might even get a discount.

I  just don't think supply is likely to dry up quickly, but I am willing to listen to arguments to the contrary.

I think SecondMarket is buying... will be interesting to check their holdings tomorow Smiley Or someone else, who is going long.

You do realize that it takes ~1.62 Million $/day to keep prices stable @ $450, right? How long can 2nd market or anyone else keep that up on their own?

Not all new coins enter the market, but old coins do enter and so over time it should roughly even out. It could just as easily be someone who sold at $500, $550 or higher buying back their own coins.  I'm looking for evidence of NEW buyers, and so far I haven't found any.

Good point, by that logic that is less than 50 coins a day per exchange on average  



456. Post 6447377 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on April 28, 2014, 11:24:41 PM
cheap coins?
This will be so true at the end of 2016 it will be funny to read.



457. Post 6447430 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 28, 2014, 11:28:29 PM
It wouldn't matter if it was only 5 coins. Fiat flow in has to be greater than fiat flow out for price to rise. Chinese fiat flow has slowed to a trickle with nothing obvious to replace it yet. The Chinese don't have to dump coins for the price to drop. They just have to stop buying them, and they ARE reducing purchases.

OK cheaper coins coming in, but not that I have $22,000 per day to invest, but that is not a lot of cash globally needed to come in to the average exchange to keep demand higher than production.
I'm banking supply dries up when AM gen3 chips are implemented and push up that difficulty.



458. Post 6448016 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 28, 2014, 11:52:12 PM
It wouldn't matter if it was only 5 coins. Fiat flow in has to be greater than fiat flow out for price to rise. Chinese fiat flow has slowed to a trickle with nothing obvious to replace it yet. The Chinese don't have to dump coins for the price to drop. They just have to stop buying them, and they ARE reducing purchases.

OK cheaper coins coming in, but not that I have $22,000 per day to invest, but that is not a lot of cash globally needed to come in to the average exchange to keep demand higher than production.
I'm banking supply dries up when AM gen3 chips are implemented and push up that difficulty.

It's not much cash at all, but it still has to come from somewhere. I can think of dozens of possibilities, but no probabilities.  Buying AM gen3 chips doesn't make any sense to me with BTC prices so much lower now than the cost of production. You'd get a much better ROI by buying coins themselves.
I'm not buying AM gen 3 chips, I am thinking AM will employ them anyway regardless of BTC price, and the distribution of new coins will shift enough to make mining less profitable for many.



459. Post 6449376 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on April 29, 2014, 02:33:01 AM


OK cheaper coins coming in, but not that I have $22,000 per day to invest, but that is not a lot of cash globally needed to come in to the average exchange to keep demand higher than production.
I'm banking supply dries up when AM gen3 chips are implemented and push up that difficulty.


In my thinking pushing up mining difficulty does NOT necessarily affect the BTC supply, it only concentrates the BTC supply into a smaller number of hands.    A smaller number  of miners holding BTC may mean that they are more likely to liquidate their coins, as part of their business model,.... rather than HODL.... or in the end, whether they HODL or dump could be a wash.... in other words it is NOT clear that increasing difficulty increases directly affects whether BTC are dumped or HODL'd.
Yes exactly, AM has good cash flow and a good proportion of the coins fly to share holders. The new distribution = small change in information. But SR and GOX coins are another story.



460. Post 6458412 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: TooDumbForBitcoin on April 29, 2014, 03:41:06 PM

That honey badger's name is Stoffel, which is Australian South African for "Stolfi".


FTFU his accent is South African not Australian in the original video.



461. Post 6458450 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 29, 2014, 03:59:59 PM
Isn't it ironic that the libertarian bitcoiners, champions of laissez-faire capitalism, are betting all their life savings on the hope that the Satoshi Bitcoin will be one day the only cryptocurrency in the market, so that they can charge monopoly prices for it?  Wink
It's funny but I find gross generalizations ironic.



462. Post 6476600 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on April 30, 2014, 03:23:07 PM
pure example of why control and centralisation is useless and can be avoided with minimum harm:



http://www.tuxboard.com/photos/2014/04/pas-besoin-de-rond-point.gif

wtf is this for real somewhere?
You have not been to China, traffic flows like red blood cells through your vanes. It is scarcely for someone like me. Kind of how banks feel about Bitcoin. You need regulation.



463. Post 6477110 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: Cassius on April 30, 2014, 04:16:20 PM

Yup.
In the current climate, I'd say that falls more into the category of 'not bad news' rather than 'good news'.

It is good news for bitcoin bad news for the price of bitcoin. in that dirty money rents a miner, mines clean bitcoins, sells clean bitcoins for clean cash.

the net result will be selling pressure on bitcoin, but a growing network. so cheep coins



464. Post 6477491 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 30, 2014, 02:22:11 PM
The impending (and almost certain) closure of the bank withdrawal channels of Chinese exchanges will inevitably lead to transfer of some of the coins that are now in their client accounts to the Western exchanges.  More coins, no new dollars, can only cause the price in the West to go down. The only question is by how much.

How exactly that will play out seems still uncertain.  The Chinese exchanges have been remarkably silent after the last PBoC move, in contrast to the weeks after the late March Caixin leak.  One of them at least has said that it will avoid public announcements because it does not want to cause commotion in the market.

I wonder how far they will take this new "PR policy":

  1. The Chinese exchanges may give their clients advance warning of the bank withdrawal closure, or the closure will happen only on the May 10 deadline.  In that case I expect that there will be a rush by most Chinese clients to sell their bitcoin (which they cannot use for commerce in China, and probably do not believe it ever go to the moon) and withdraw the CNY while they can.  Other clients who have some connection to the West may choose to move their bitcoin to Western exchanges and continue trading there.  Abitragers, habitual or improvised, will use any CNY still in their accounts to buy cheap coins there and sell them in the West.  Then the price will drop in the Chinese exchanges, and the Western ones will follow.

  2. The Chinese exchanges will close CNY bank withdrawals before May 10, without advance warning.   Then many clients with CNY trapped in their accounts will try to buy bitcoin to move them out.  The price of bitcoin in China will probably rise sharply.  Arbitragers, insiders, and other clients who have other ways of withdrawing CNY will make handsome profits at the expense of ordinary clients.  Arbitrage may temporarily transfer some of that price increase to the West, but that will be counteracted by the pressure of other clients moving bitcoin to the West, even at a loss, to get their money out.  Since in the end the net amount of bitcoin in the Chinese exchanges must decrease, the latter effect must predominate, so the price in the West will decouple and fall while it rises in China.

  3. The Chinese exchanges may just shut down without any prior warning, or block bitcoin widthdrawals as well; so that both the CNY and bitcons of their clients will be trapped inside, except perhaps for some privileged users or some restricted non-bank channels.  This option seems very unlikely, considering what happened to the owners of the GBL exchange.

In any case, I imagine that some Chinese traders who keep most of their bitcoins in private wallets, outside the exchange, may want to sell them, since the withdrawal restrictions may take all the fun & profit out of the bitcoin speculation game.  Therfore some of those coins will also find their way to the Western exchanges.


Ace Bear Troll, in terms of OldGeek Levels of thinking

1) On the surface he is a level 1 bear.
2) Posts analysts and FUD from a level 2 Bear perspective.
3) Acts like a level 3 bear, but occasionally joins in level 1 bitcoin proponent and bull bashing, (calls time out when Jorge bashing becomes insulting when using level 1 strategy.)

The above quote is a level 3 play, he is appealing to the rational risk taking in of the average trader, but in fact is planting a the seeds of greed, sell now to buy more later. Sell now so there is little support when the Chinese markets lose fiat liquidity, functionally he is testing bitcoin resilience, in reality we will only find out later if Jorge is a septic or a cynic.  




465. Post 6477519 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: lemonte on April 30, 2014, 04:34:09 PM

Yup.
In the current climate, I'd say that falls more into the category of 'not bad news' rather than 'good news'.

It is good news for bitcoin bad news for the price of bitcoin. in that dirty money rents a miner, mines clean bitcoins, sells clean bitcoins for clean cash.

the net result will be selling pressure on bitcoin, but a growing network. so cheep coins

Anyone renting a miner is not going to be able to sell a large amount of coins. 3THS only gets you about 0.19BTC a day with this difficulty.

this is positive, so greed keeping bad actors out.



466. Post 6477845 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: xulescu on April 30, 2014, 04:37:49 PM
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/controlled-chaos-european-cities-do-away-with-traffic-signs-a-448747.html

Everyone who bashed this GIF with no second thought or research proved they are completely clueless in life.

Removing all traffic laws and signs (except a few like 50 km/h speed limit in towns) made traffic more fluent, safer and faster on average.
The Autobahns have significantly fewer accidents NORMALIZED for traffic volume than many other highways.
This movement will most likely become more widespread.

It goes with the Clarkson quote with spikes in the steering wheel and a few other ideas from behavioural economics:
1. People ignore >70% of traffic signs, and much more in the US where the sign spam is completely out of control.
2. People read recommendations as mandatory
    a. Lacking speed limits, most people drive at their comfort speed. Speed LIMITS are by definition above the comfort zone of most people; otherwise they are inefficiently low. With speed limits, people drive at speed limits or above (usually) even if that is no longer comfortable for them (i.e. how tired they are).
    b. When banks recommend a MAXIMUM of ~34% monthly income to go to house mortgage, the vast majority of people take that as default and end up over-extending.

In short, if you take the signs away, people drive more carefully and organically, minding their surroundings. This is completely foreign to US drivers due to feelings of entitlement and "being in the right" no matter what the local traffic conditions are. That's also one of the main causes for how many accidents there are on the US highways (mostly, in merging and lane changing).

In my home city, in my mostly lawless-driving EU country, people routinely drive at 100+ km/h during the night in cities, even if the speed limit is the classic 50. Almost all accidents happen when drivers were DUI, racing or irresponsible local-mafia brats.

Y'all really need to get your head out of the "we need to control you or you would kill eachother" arsehole. I though "antifragile" was trending?
+1

I could not believe it but in many Chinese  cities (not the mega city's with traffic lights that people use) but the 3+ million people strong cities, where people treat the signs as as advisory only, how there are no tragic jams, the tragic just keeps moving it just gets slower during the peak. It is not easy to adjust, I may never adjust, driving head on into oncoming tragic on the wrong side of the road to avoid the two loan idiots who stopped at the tragic light that scares the s#!t out of me, but it works, and I was impressed, my favorite tragic sign.




467. Post 6478197 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 30, 2014, 05:09:39 PM
Hey, I am not recommending anything.  Anyone can decide whether what I wrote makes sense or not.  Do you mean that trolls are posters who force people to think?
Most people will never understand macro impact, they think as far as self interest, but until one is enlightened to the fact that we are part of an ecosystem that is wholly dependent on all players ( plants micro organisms and animals) acting on self interest, you realize your success is dependent on success of the whole.

Your input in the context of someone who is invested in Bitcoin has consequences, it implies the logical thing to do is acting on greed sell now to buy more later at the expense of those who will be forced to sell later, this input while valid is valuable to the ecosystem as a whole, but it does not serve the best interests of the whole, it serves to confirm the ramifications of your cynicism. A true researcher would look to draw a conclusion without creating influential feedback.

So one can only conclude you are a researcher and researching something where your input is part of the experiment, you are diligently trying not to influence.



468. Post 6478333 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 30, 2014, 05:18:17 PM
PS. Unless "septic" was intented to be the term for a polynomial of degree seven (after "quadratic", "cubic", "quartic", "quintic", and "sextic").  I have seen mathematicians use other bizarre terms like "septonic" or "septemic" in a vain attempt to avoid chuckles in the audience.

no I like Jorge the skeptic



469. Post 6479055 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: p0peji on April 30, 2014, 05:55:58 PM
1. Prisoners dilemma
2. The problem with this statement is that you never know what is the best interest of the whole.

I predict it is not continuous growth in a finite plaint, and I predict its not the first to consume all resources wins.  
but I trust evolution.



470. Post 6511522 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 02, 2014, 05:02:32 PM
An arbitrage trader follows the same "buy low, sell high" strategy of an ordinary speculator, except that he doesn't have to guess the future -- he can do both trades at the same time.

I imagine that arbitrage should be particularly lucrative for exchange owners, especially if they collude.  

Suppose that owners Alice and Bob of exchanges A and B agree to show each other the first few entries of their order books in real time, while delaying that information to the public by a few seconds.  Whenever Alice sees a sell order in her exchange A that has a lower price than the highest bid in B, she immediately buys into that order, counting that Bob will immediately sell the same amount into that bid. And vice-versa.

If this scenario is possible, the partnership Alice&Bob obviously would make a profit on every such occasion. Alice and Bob could equalize their expenses and profits, at any later time, just by exchanging bitcoins. Thus, even if A is in Bulgaria and trades only with dollars, while B is in China and trades only with CNY, they would never need to exchange dollars to/from CNY.  The dollars that Alice would take home would have come from the dollars that her clients deposited in A, while the CNY that Bob would withdraw from B would come from the CNY that others deposited into B.

(Trading fees, bank fees, and currency exchange rates complicate the details, but do not seem to invalidate the idea.)

mmm, so now we know why MtGog is being saved, and the Japanese government is lobbying for uniform international regulayion on Bitcoin.  Arbitrage on a large scale where there the laws are not homogenous would be more difficult or risky.



471. Post 6515385 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: spooderman on May 02, 2014, 10:44:44 PM

It's fake
I just spent 10 minutes of my life, I can't say its fake, rather its inconclusive, in that it could be dry paint you are watching.



472. Post 6531936 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: TERA on May 03, 2014, 10:53:26 PM
It all depends on how much time it takes to decline. Theoretically it could either drop immediately to $120 or go sideways for a year at $400.

I don't know which will happen. All I know is that the next 1-2 years is not going to be productive for traders.

If you try your hand at trading alts there is lots of fun beta trading and some abstract and huge % gains and losses.



473. Post 6532191 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Quote from: edwardspitz on May 03, 2014, 11:43:46 PM
Quite amazing how Tera nows exactly what will happen in the next 2 years.

...but not more crazy compared to people who (constantly) claim that we are only a few days away from going to the moon Smiley I think TERA is basing her prediction based on at the past where there has been long periods with less activity (in between bubbles).

I see something similar, coin distribution is what is happening and this process is hindered by coagulation, there are players in the space who will become distortedly wealthy if the market cap increase, hence they have too big a stake, we will need to see this experiment look like it's going to fail before those hoarders help distribute coins so distribution ends up resembling a normal distribution curve. I'm not predicting anything just think there is a roughly 30% chance something like this happens.

It's the true believes who survive.



474. Post 6574556 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote from: dreamspark on May 06, 2014, 02:26:42 PM

Todays news actually, funny that. If all Chinese exchanges are on the brink of closing as many in here believe, why are they being added to the foundation board?
The foundation needs to be in control of the next Goxing



475. Post 6583316 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 06, 2014, 09:29:22 PM

NOTE: There is nothing notable today.

I thought Adam asking you to get some skin in the game was notable  Wink

Not drinking while playing the drinking game is cause for suspicion.




476. Post 6595764 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 07, 2014, 01:48:33 AM
NOTE: There is nothing notable today.
I thought Adam asking you to get some skin in the game was notable  Wink
Please suspiciate at will.  Wink  As I said many times, I will buy bitcoin if and when I believe that it will be worth the trouble, compared to credit card etc.  I will not buy "just to try", not for investment, not "just in case it becomes worth a zillion some day".  
Jorge, looks like TPTB have been screwing with the trust in the international payment system, so your ideal user case may happen in the not too distant future.

http://www.coindesk.com/payments-become-political-weapons-mass-destruction/



477. Post 6656213 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 10, 2014, 04:29:32 PM

Well, how much dividend will the MtGOX 2.0 shares pay per year, as percentage of investment?  

There is no way of estimating how much trade they would get.  Why would people trade there rather than at Bitstamp or other exchanges?  Why would people trust their dollars and bitcoins to people who have an even more, er, peculiar past than Mark?


In all honesty MtGox will have to raise the bar before trust can be restored, it is possible.

I'd give them a go if, and that is a big if they implemented Open-Transactions server for crypto and complied with the existing regulation for brokerage firms (not MF-Global style) with zero fractional reserve debt when dealing with fiat.

Otherwise it's just another scam 2.0 and will never take off.

My take at the moment is greed is still driving the Gox mess.



478. Post 6656407 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: spooderman on May 10, 2014, 05:43:40 PM
if gox came back, it would likely be the best exchange out there. It would have a point to prove.
Not without 2 factor authentication OT style management for bid and ask side crypto. Without OT it is just a Martingale scam built on top of the previous one.



479. Post 6807770 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 19, 2014, 12:54:15 AM
Thanks! Yes, pretty impressive.

All my computing life I have been taught and taught students how to compute things in the most efficient way.  It turns my stomach seeing that much computing power (and electrical power) wasted.  Tongue

Do you people really believe that big miners will be more honest and less greedy than big bankers?


Jorge here is a paper just issued on the topic: http://www.ofnumbers.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Learning-from-Bitcoins-past.pdf. also published is a piece on other hurdles: www.bitcoinmagazine.com/12914/bitcoins-made-in-china

Reading the hurdles I was overcome with awe I can't even express my enthusiasm for the future it is exciting and unpredictable at the same time. I can't call the byproduct waste yet, it's still too soon, it looks like a complete changing of the old guard at the gates of a sustainable future.

As for scientific principles I was introduced to a new one today in physics where a phenomenon is not understood it is most likely the simplest explanation that is the most viable hence God is arguably the simplified cause of all this and Bitcoin is just part of the plan.

At the end of the day we will be free to choose, greedy miners won't survive neither will greedy bankers.

Edit factoring in the overwhelming uncertainty the energy equation brings to the large Bitcoin holders leads me to concluded we will stay flat or slow trend down for a while. Still I wouldn't take this as financial advice it's just one of my random thoughts. (I have a bad record of predicting macro trends.)



480. Post 6808715 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: nanobrain on May 19, 2014, 04:13:03 AM

As for scientific principles I was introduced to a new one today in physics where a phenomenon is not understood it is most likely the simplest explanation that is the most viable

er....sounds like Occam's Razor....at 800 years old hardly new.
The new part for me was seeing it used as a scientific explanation for God. Leading to the intended porous behind Bitcoin the universe and everything.



481. Post 6840672 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: Cassius on May 20, 2014, 06:11:41 PM
I was beginning to think that the one thing that could kill bitcoin would be boredom.

Good to see the patient still has a pulse Smiley

+1.  Smiley
You people need to look at the past and realize that congestions are always followed by large moves once the scale is tipped.
Not that hard, is it? Yet it always happens the same, because in humans, emotion drives reason and seldomly the other way around.

And of course, there are the "why did the price surge? any news? what happened? what about china?" cries. Because it couldn't be that price has a will of its own, as a manifestation of the consciousness of people around the world, and that there are some triggers that will incite movement. Nah, must be some NEWS.

Just wait. News will be found to fit the movement.

You may have missed it China and Russia sign an agreement to usurp the USD.
crypto is as a result more valuable as a medium of exchange.  

Well provided they settle in the Russian Ruble not Renminbi, as the RMB is linked to the USD anyway.




482. Post 6856903 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 21, 2014, 02:33:08 PM
Jorge retains some fantasy illusion that his posts affect the behavior of some marginal newbies
Rua Santa Ifigęnia is the traditional "electronics street" of São Paulo, some 5-10 blocks with tiny to medium-sized shops selling from transistors to consumer electronics, with sidewalks lined with street merchant stalls selling all sorts of accessories, cartridges, software, etc.. A large part of it is contraband, pirated, or counterfeit (you can surely find a "legitimate" copy of Photoshop or Autocad there for a few bucks). Once in a while the police raids the place, confiscates a couple of tons of merchandise, gves out fines and maybe some arrests, just to justify their salaries; but that is all "priced in" as you might say.

Some 10-15 years ago a Ph.D. student of mine bought for her project a Sony camera that had a CD burner built-in and recorded images directly on small 3" CD-Rs.  (There was a short time window when that camera made sense, because flash memory cards had about the same capacity as those CD-Rs but were much more expensive.) She was running out of the original supply of CD-Rs, and could not find then in Campinas; so one day we happened to be in São Paulo we thought of checking at Sta. Ifigięnia.

When you buy anything in Brazil the store is supposed to give you a "fiscal note", an official serially numbered receipt, of which they keep a copy.  Those receipts are used by tax auditors to check whether the state sales tax is being paid.  Obviously street merchants and  stores selling contraband don't give no friggin' fiscal notes, especially for a small purchase like a box of blank CDs; but since we were paying with federal grant money we needed the fiscal notes, and moreover we had to pay with a check from the government account.  We had to walk the whole street, asking at half a dozen computer supply shops, until we found a store that had those 3" CD-Rs, accepted the check, and gave us a fiscal note.

While we were walking back, people started shouting "tax inspectors, tax inspectors" all over the place.  In ten minutes (no exaggeration) half the small shops in the entire street closed their doors, and all the sidewalk stalls had been hastily folded and thrown into vans that disappeared from view.   For, you see, they had spotted two odd-looking people entering random shops and asking to buy some trinket with a fiscal note -- what else could they be?

So: don't underestimate.

Just think how many children went hungry after your shopping spree



483. Post 6858478 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: Argwai96 on May 21, 2014, 05:22:08 PM
Seems we have flattened here at 490-495, kinda thought we might dip and make a nice flag. Dont really know what to think. Any thoughts on where were going from here? (besides the proverbial moon)

A couple of houses just sold for BTC, (converted to fiat for the owners at market) I've seen large purchase through pay merchants like BitPay bring downward pressure on price as those coins work through the dark pools.

I'm still confused, I don't think the trigger on the next bull run has been pulled.

I think the bull run will be triggered by a redistribution of new coins evident in a rapid increase in difficult.



484. Post 6864080 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 21, 2014, 11:13:14 PM
Guess what: most intelligent people understand that government and public services are a good thing, and that taxes are necessary to have them.
Most intelligent people 300 years ago thought people could be owned, leeches were medicine, and that outer space was filled with ether. The logical fallacy you are making is called http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argumentum_ad_populum
I am not advancing that fact that as proof that governments are good. The point is that calling taxation "stealing from the people" is not reasonable, since most people believe (rightly or wrongly) that taxes are necessary and everybody should pay them. 

Of course, many or even most people may think that certain taxes are unjustified or unfair, and that certain government spending is waste.  That does not invalidate the point.

So much tension, think despite your warnings many are long on Bitcoin.
Taking pride in paying tax is relative to the wealth one think they deserve, and the gratitude one reserves after the fact.




485. Post 6878584 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: oyvinds on May 22, 2014, 05:42:29 PM
Interesting that this time alts are not following BTC, they're even going lower. Are we going to see decoupling again like before December?

Look at Darkcoin. +30% last 24h, yeah that's sustainable. Smiley

I too have noticed that alts like LTC and DOGE are not following BTC, they are flat or even seeing new lows (DOGE).

I suspect Darkcoin and perhaps a few other alts have something to do with it. Darkcoin has anonymous transactions. Now, ignore Darkcoin and that for a second, my point is really that LTC and DOGE has basically nothing that BTC does not have (LTC has slightly faster transactions, DOGE has MARKETING) and that leaves the door open for any new altcoin that does something which is fundamentally different (more anonymous transactions, for example).

Regardless, it seems BTC has come out #1 and left the challengers in the dust this round.

Darkcoin saved my alt portfolio, but i think other ults will start pumping, when the new crypto proponents enter, this space, (they all dislike bitcoin for some reason and justify using alts, just wait until the feedback loop starts)

At the start of the bitcoin run up from $120 to $1,000 i picked up a fiew LTC at $3 it then outperformed bitcoin i believe for the reason above. I never thought it could take off, but it did.  The same thing will happen to a few select alts, not sure how LTC will go though, but it will be something to monitor.



486. Post 6886571 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: mah87 on May 22, 2014, 05:33:24 AM
what do you think about Ripple ?

mah87, whats the inside scoop on ripple (Jed bailing)? its crashing hard today, down over 43% according to http://coinmarketcap.com/xrp_7.html



487. Post 6886597 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on May 23, 2014, 03:18:11 AM
It's obvious now that some big money players are buying; putting up an ask wall to keep the price in check while accumulating coins and moving up along the trend line. Question is when do they run out of fiat and will the train continue without their influence. I'm thinking if we push over 600 it will continue, what do y'all think?

One does not just run our of fiat, when one can create it with 0% interest.



488. Post 6899916 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 23, 2014, 02:06:01 PM
You'll get used to the feeling of confusion, I'm sure.
Hope you'll stick around when we're back to 1200 and beyond, will be interesting to see the rationalizations you'll come up with.
I find it amazing how people can put their money into something, without knowing where the profit will be coming from -- and without wanting to know.

in other words,
I find it amazing how people can put their money into food, without knowing where the profit will be coming from -- and without wanting to know.

Jorge I think your statement illuminates your bias.

While I 100% agree with your concern about where the profit comes from, answering this and you have the key to success*, a motive that is largely missing in our economy today. Lack of understanding where the profit comes from is my biggest criticism, of those like  Profesor Bitcoin who advise people to sell now because the market is over exuberant, without actually thinking of the macroeconomic implication of where those profits come from, those who can see this sell high and buy low however they shepherd the sheep for profit, ironically they are still the acute minority.    

I think someone advised you to enhance your understanding in overreaching economic schools of thought, and I'd second that. (Taking the liberty in marking your posts I'd give you a D+ in Classical and Keynesian ideas and E- in Austrian, Monetarism, Marxism ideologies.)

One prominent economic theorist came up with a rather obvious observation, The Subjective Theory of Value.  This is the reason many smart and thinking people buy Bitcoin (they are the shepherds), there is another theory, the greater fool, this is why lots of other people buy Bitcoin (I respect you attempts to discourage the greater fool's form getting involved and your fear of being a greater fools, but let evolution deal with them) the others 68+% are sheeple and buy Bitcoin for combinations of reasons but fall victim to the Fear of missing out, also leading to many of the feedback looks in the cycle and rewording the greater fools.

Not everyone shares your narrative, looking for references to reinforce your overwhelming idea that we are all greater fools.  

Nor does every one share my narrative, looking for references that everyone is stupid, in fact it's my very shortcoming that lead me to so virulently try to understand why anyone at all would even spend  $1 to buy a bitcoin, when I first heard about it, I refused to believe my instincts.  

* wealth comes to those who work hard to make use of the different values for mutual benefit.  



489. Post 6901018 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 23, 2014, 07:33:42 PM
The probability of this rally continuing to 2'000 USD/BTC can be near zero or near 1, depending on whether it is due to people dodging Bitstamp's "enhanced KYC" requirements or to the opening of some new bitcoin-based e-commerce service that is attracting many new bitcoin users in the US.

It's a messy mix of all that, and lots of new on ramps coming online, inflation redistribution due to difficulty increase and some existing traders FOMO, as well as this being a catalyst for whatever the term is rpietila uses to describe emotional anatomy of a first time buyer.

I haven't seen this kick in to a full blown feedback loop yet, I bet if you start posting Chinese slumber predictions again you could kill it.  

I'll LOL had if you do, hell i promise to short a little.



490. Post 6901366 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 23, 2014, 08:27:25 PM
I haven't seen this kick in to a full blown feedback loop yet, I bet if you start posting Chinese slumber predictions again you could kill it.  
I'll LOL had if you do, hell i promise to short a little.
The basic Chinese Slumber Method is trivial, just take the Huobi 1h chart on Bitcoinwisdom, switch to UTC time, line drawing mode, and connect the last two Slumber Points -- mean price in the last two 19:00 UTC candles.  We just went through one.  Then shift the plot so that you can read the line's value at the next 19:00 position.   

A slight refinement is to skip Slumber Points with visible volume bars, like yesterday's.  Connecting the points of May/21 nd May/23 I get ~3380 CNY for tomorrow May/24 ~19:30 UTC.

There, I hope the rally is dead now.  Grin


It was seeing your post here that was affecting the chi in the feedback loop, it had nothing to do with numbers. Cheesy



491. Post 6902039 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 23, 2014, 09:13:19 PM
Funny, since the rally began, the price stops increasing for a few hours, every day, around 03:00 am China time.   How weird.
I speculate subconsciously there are algorithms at play, if you read enough and take note of the diapering posts, you get a feel for the magic maths that makes bitcoin work.
 




492. Post 6906286 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: shmadz on May 24, 2014, 02:13:18 AM
http://www.reddit.com/r/Ripple/comments/26ccz3/ripple_board_member_resigns/

Quote
Hey ya'll. Jesse from Kraken here.
Today I have submitted my resignation from the Board of Ripple Labs. While I care about the people who work there and I wish the company the best, I cannot personally continue to support the business.

I believe that the technology and the protocol hold great promise, and have since the beginning, which is why I was the company’s first investor. Since Jed's departure, the management of the company has taken a different direction. Sadly, the vision Jed and I had for the project in the early days has been lost. I’m no longer confident in the management nor the company’s ability to recover from the founders’ perplexing allocation to themselves of 20% of the XRP, which I had hoped until recently would be returned. Prior to Jed's departure from Ripple, I had asked the founders to return their XRP to the company. Jed agreed but Chris declined—leaving a stalemate. This afternoon, I revisited the allocation discussion with the pair and again, where Jed was open, Chris was hostile.

As an investor, of course, I hope that Ripple Labs will overcome its hurdles and prove my lack of confidence misplaced. Unfortunately, unlike the founders, I don’t have swathes of XRP to dump if I don't think it's working out.

so sad  Cry we might never see mah in here again.

has anyone seen him anywhere?

I sure hope he's ok.

I hope he's ok, I think we can all learn from this - factor in a devastating loss scenario.  



493. Post 6906403 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: ChrisML on May 24, 2014, 04:24:21 AM
Weird how people suddenly are dumping. They are just so afraid we might go down again.

Let them dump, it has not much of effect. We went down $15,-. Been there, done that.

The sooner the retards are gone the better Smiley

I call another try for that wall $550,- within the next 24 hours. Before that we might see $505 on Bitstamp, but thats about it.

lol I was thinking about dumping and buying back sunday as its usually cheaper. But reading your post made me think again about it. I am a noob but my strength comes from knowing it. So I rely on you guys.

To make this clear, never rely on anything someone says here. Buying cause someone on here says you should buy... is stupid. Do what you think is best, with, I certainly hope, some common sense Tongue

Everyone can be wrong Smiley
Hell as a noob I'd advise don't read any of this ĒŪ@p while you are accumulating or selling, what people write here it's level 3 hypnosis FUD first answer the why then come here to heckle.



494. Post 6934970 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on May 25, 2014, 04:35:28 PM
Re the Willy report:  Is this the moment in the animated cartoon when the guy is about to realize that he has stepped off the cliff and has been standing on thin air for a while?   Wink

yes but this is Bitcoin, so it might be that the lie bootstrapped us to a higher price. I'm not sure though. I'm also not sure whether the report is factual (I just read it completely and it seemed coherent).

It may have been China, that launched us, Gox was limp at the time. I'm waiting for a Bitcoin founder to announce he's going to dump. Otherwise getting ready to be amazed again.



495. Post 6952569 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: klee on May 26, 2014, 04:00:37 PM
Litecoin seems to be firmly uncoupled from bitcoin now (if that's not an oxymoron). Doge also falling. Dark days ahead for both?

It was the same in the last BTC runup. First, LTC was falling and falling, LTC doomsday prophecies were filling the air.
"LTC is dead!!!" and so on. Then, the LTC/BTC ratio suddenly jumped from 0.0075 to 0.05 in a matter of 1 week !!!
Same with many of the other alts.

I would never call the end of some alt too early, those little suckers are full of nasty surprises!  Grin

Once upon a time, the majority of crypto investors had not experienced the burning side of a p&d.  Not true now.  Today, to have staying power, at a leading tier marketcap, a coin has to have compelling features.  LTC does not.  I expect DRK to fail on its snake-oil promises, eventually, but I expect it to outperform LTC by a nautical mile for a long while, perhaps forever.

Yes, LTC has historically lagged BTC and overshot its spikes.  I expect most of that positive beta will be embodied by other alts with better distinctives this time.  NXT and MRO are obvious candidates (leaving DRK aside for the moment).


A couple of weeks back you were more skeptical about NXT. What changed your mind, if indeed it has changed?
NXT Asset Exchange + BIG community backing it...

Don't go putting all your eggs in the NXT basket, given its origin it has a rather concentrated initial distribution, I may go so far as to relate it to ripple, then there is the Kenzan paradox of thrift, the paradox is managed in fiat with money inflation discouraging saving, NXT rewords Savings and encourages the paradox to the detriment of it as a useful means of exchange and ultimately a store of value.  I have yet to see other functionality to counterbalance this but it may exist or emerge.



496. Post 6996937 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 28, 2014, 04:26:55 PM
Imagine a room full of people, not a big room (a large garage maybe) and they and cooperating to build something.
I don't think that is a good analogy for this thread...  

Rather, a bar where a couple hundred random football fans are watching a game on TV and betting on it?   Wink


Oh yes the unfair drinking game analogy. At least in you're analogy there is a winner. I don't follow sport it's a distraction from the game of Bitcoin, but yes I see your point.

Jorge, I think your conclusions are posted earlier are wrong. "Them" whoever them is has been distilled to a point of ignorance. I'm sure if you looked hard you can find a Keynesian who has a rebuttal to each point that concerns you.



497. Post 6999519 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: kurious on May 28, 2014, 07:26:35 PM
Maybe you're right, but don't forget to add the old guy in the corner saying "This 'football' thing will never catch on, you knowI'm hilly skeptical this 'football' thing is going to end well, the prudent thing to do is warn people of the danger in playing, and why play anyway this game is also rigged."
FTFU Cheesy
Sorry Jorge I can't help myself,  I just need to know why? 





498. Post 7001223 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: ErisDiscordia on May 28, 2014, 08:41:01 PM
i am no Brazilian university student, but i will take some free samples! Grin

If successful and well-funded, J.O.R.G.E. might expand its activities to students around the world Smiley

I'm in for 500,000 bits, will someone create a multisig account for all donations.  Cheesy and come up with some rules for disseminating the snake oil to those poor Brazilian students - world students to benefit if the test run in Brazil works out. i think this will go viral on reddit  Smiley lets target those Brazilian economics students first.

do they have a trusted exchange to cash out at in Brazil?



499. Post 7001402 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: Marbit on May 28, 2014, 09:43:51 PM
What is 500,000 bits anyway? So have people stopped pushing mBTC and now they want an even smaller unit? Just stick with BTC as the unit.... it's getting ridiculous.... next is nanobit? satoshi? Maybe we should schedule a unit change every 2 years....

0.5 BTC, what idiot thought of using mBTC and why? it was always going to be bits, ever since new worlders started cutting up Spanish coins and calling them bits. Bitcoin reaches parody with the USD when 1 bit = $0.12. Until then it's just manic internet money, call it what you like, just make sure its registered on the blockchain.  



500. Post 7001481 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on May 28, 2014, 09:45:52 PM
mBTC is logical as does every SI unit (from KBTC all the way to uBTC). Bits is ridiculous.
the slang for uBTC is bits, and the SI unit for 1BTC is known as a MegaBit  Roll Eyes. if you don't like my Bits call them what you like.



501. Post 7001669 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 28, 2014, 09:49:17 PM
Sorry Jorge I can't help myself,  I just need to know why?  

Because 90% of what has "bitcoin" in it IS scams or stupid ideas.  Starting with attempts to convince the unwary to buy bitcoins "because they will go to the moon" or "a hedge against inflation" etc..

For example, I  already mentioned a couple of days ago that student of mine who had been offered to join some GPU-based bitcoin mining enterprise.

I have to check who is on the board of the Brazilian Bitcoin Foundation.  I would almost bet that the creator of the BitcoinRain ponzi is there.


you are good at spotting the scammers, I'm still a little too trusting (I'd say 75%), now lets leverage that 10% - to the moon  Wink
FYI bitcoin is the only thing I have ever been involved in that is a viable inflation hedge. will it be for everyone, I have no idea, but I know I'm as biter as hell when I look at how my money has been debased. so I'm going to make this work.



502. Post 7001759 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on May 28, 2014, 10:04:26 PM
mBTC is logical as does every SI unit (from KBTC all the way to uBTC). Bits is ridiculous.
the slang for uBTC is bits, and the SI unit for 1BTC is known as a MegaBit  Roll Eyes. if you don't like my Bits call them what you like.

Did they change the bit standard to equal 1 uBTC? It was some other different value before ...

I understood that 1 uBTC = 1 bit
http://blog.bitpay.com/2014/05/02/bitpay-bitcoin-and-where-to-put-that-decimal-point.html



503. Post 7002288 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: oda.krell on May 28, 2014, 10:39:27 PM
Eh, sorry to rain on your parade guys, but in all honesty, the entire "should we talk abot bit or ubit or mBTC" discussion only matter if Bitcoin ever becomes a unit of account. And frankly, I don't see that happening for a long time yet. (I mean it: long time. A human generation, maybe).

And for the other aspects, exchange medium, store of wealth, it doesn't matter one bit (hur hur) what it's called... gold bugs had to wrap their head around the rather impractical 'ounces' for a while, and that never stopped adoption either.

What I'm saying is, discuss away how to call the fractions of a coin, but I tend to think, it won't matter either way.

funny that, I offered to donate 500,000 bits to target Jorge's students with free coin, and every one gets in a knot, no one questions the donation just the denomination. Ha Ha Ha.



504. Post 7002364 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on May 28, 2014, 10:58:08 PM
maybe bits will be more stable.

LOLed



505. Post 7004065 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on May 29, 2014, 12:31:29 AM
bids are doing the tsunami, blast off looks imminent

cant wait to give all my friends 10bits with the new FB app coming out soon.


that's less than $0.007 CAD Roll Eyes



506. Post 7006761 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: shmadz on May 29, 2014, 01:56:41 AM

thanks for that link, it brought me to this one

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kWRlNO79sLw

edit:

I never quite understood the "adoption gap" chasm until I saw this little beauty



big thanks to whoever dropped that link, sorry I don't remember

finally I understood that this correlation of hype and despair explains the "adoption gap" chasm theory.

They are not one and the same the hype cycle is typically of the run-ups to all-time highs.

The adoption curve represents 100% of Bitcoin's total user base untill Bitcoin reaches maximum saturation.

The adoption chasm is about critical mass if you can reach 13-16% of your target user base, you have crossed the chasm and the network effect will trigger the remaining adoption through to saturation.

In my mind we're still in early adopter or innovator stage, we haven't crossed the chasm yet, once we've hit 13% of total Bitcoin users we've crossed the chasm and we home free.




507. Post 7007064 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: fff13 on May 29, 2014, 04:10:56 AM

Pulling a number literally from nowhere, it FEELS as if we are around 0.5%. Anyone have a more accurate number?

Don't do all super bull but if 1 in 20 wind up using Bitcoin in some way we are somewhere between 0.5 and 1% adoption. I'd think. Bitcoin won't have that much penetration but be happy if 1 in a 100 found it useful so maybe we're between 3 and 5 % total adoption or maybe you're a laggard, and we're bag holders. How long is a piece of string?



508. Post 7008519 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 29, 2014, 06:13:19 AM
[ Plot of wallet numbers allegedly showing growing interest in cryptocurrencies ]
http://media.coindesk.com/2014/05/Screen-Shot-2014-05-28-at-11.59.49-AM.png
Those plots show total wallets created up to a certain date, correct? Which means that the numbers plotted would keep increasing even if actual usage was decreasing?


Sure we pressure like fiat Bank accounts they contain BTC.



509. Post 7031400 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: sickpig on May 30, 2014, 08:08:43 AM
are these DRK rumors for real? why would they add it?


follow the hype ?

I'm loving this wave I bought in at launch sold the top bought back on the dip too the moon. This makes up for all that $#!ącoin I have bought.




510. Post 7063369 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on June 01, 2014, 12:21:03 AM
They were talking about it in the Meta section one day.  IIRC ~0.1BTC is the going rate for Sr. Member. 


Is there a premium for accounts with avatars? Smiley

I want an avatar!
All this time I though people were lazy.



511. Post 7063426 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Quote from: aminorex on June 01, 2014, 12:32:53 AM
Seems too regular to not have some factor affecting it, but once a pattern is established, it will be expected and therefore (potentially) self-fulfilling eliminated by arbitrageurs.

FTFY
One last pump to go then Pavlov's dog's will be conditioned for the next 2, they will be the ultimate bag holder catalyst.



512. Post 7063577 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Quote from: Walsoraj on June 01, 2014, 12:00:50 AM
http://www.coindesk.com/mark-t-williams-bitcoin-bulls-time-will-vindicate-prediction/

Quote
Williams remains definant

In a new interview with CoinDesk, Williams opened up about his famous prediction, offering a defiant analysis of why he is still convinced the current high price of bitcoin won’t remain for long.

Williams told CoinDesk:

“I continue to stick to my 2013 prediction that bitcoin is grossly overpriced and the price will eventually adjust dramatically downward as the priced-for-perfection expectations set by bitcoin promoters cannot be met.”

SELL SELL SELL!  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

He is lacking in understand. First he may not know when June 2014 ends, and second Bitcoin is not an asset as he understands it.

Bitcoin as an asset in his vocabulary @ $10 was overpriced and about to crash to $1, and it was the same @$1 where it just ascended from $0.10 and about to crash to its former value. So yes this guys reputation is once again my sell trigger.



513. Post 7064150 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):

Quote from: Krabby on June 01, 2014, 02:17:58 AM
We need more volume, something does not feel right.
Where are all the coins? I not adding any more volume, you?



514. Post 7171946 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: fonzie on June 06, 2014, 08:25:42 PM
Bull trap getting closed! If you havenīt shorted at 580$, now is the right time!

Thanks for your concern fonz, I don't recall you putting in a buy recommendation. But anyway does that recommendation come with an guarantee? Or are you training on your social capital?

I'm still thinking shorting anywhere above $11 before the end of June may be good just on the off chance Professor Bitcoin is correct.



515. Post 7240728 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

Quote from: Chalkbot on June 10, 2014, 09:35:56 PM
Since it is FUD time, why not:

I wonder how many people here know how this pic is related to bitcoin:
Bogart Pediatric 2009 Wine Aficionado Dinner
Here is another one (the URL is a spoiler):
Bogart Pediatric 2010 Wine Aficionado Dinner

There are several things to worry about re this person, but one in particular that may be relevant is that, before getting interested in bitcoin, that man went into the business of acquiring and selling virtual currencies and goods in internet games, and took over the entire market.

Are you suggesting that he is going to buy all the bitcoin?
Nice find, it just implies Brock Pierce is someone you don't want to hang with if you are into a Bitcoin business. If you get a little close you may jump out a tall building without leaving a note.

Wow we are getting class act undesirables involved in Bitcoin my bet is Brock is washed out before Bitcoin turns 11.

Virtual Currency Trading: The Past And The Future…: Autumn Radtke with the inside scoop.



516. Post 7280381 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: maok on June 12, 2014, 11:03:16 PM
what do you think of the possibility that this was just some large holders liquidating to get their funds in order to place bids on the auction?
+1

good move if it was. but i hope it is some other wall street insider moving over into crypt or an unrelated whale dumping to get some fiat to drive this coming bull market.



517. Post 7280433 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

this looks so bullish to me, i don't think i can get fiat on the exchange fast enough.  Grin CCMF



518. Post 7285129 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 13, 2014, 04:44:44 AM
I bet the auctioned coins go at or over market price. The savings of slippage along with the fact that you are getting the most "legal" purchase of all time is huge.
But there are 4000 new coins mined per day, totally clean.  Why would those 30'000 coins from the FBI (8 days' worth of mining) make such a difference?

Because the establishment are late to the party, and haven't invested in mining.
I don't think anyone is after laundered coins, I just hope there are more than 2 bidding.
More over someone is going to need some coin to help short that ETF after the boom. This is going to be fun, the old guard meets an unforgiving Bitcoin,s finite supply - they only get to play until they make a mistake and I hope they blow the first move.

There is no fraction reserve or bailout here.



519. Post 7295322 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: justusranvier on June 13, 2014, 04:56:03 PM
At some point, if the current devs do not step up and resolve the issues important to the stability of Bitcoin, and the public perception thereof, they will find themselves out of a job.  Bitcoin only follows their actions so long as a consensus wishes to do so.  If more competent caretakers come through, we will shift to them.
They are going to be out of a job shortly after btcd finishes getblocktemplate and bloom filter support.

The "Core Developers" won't be able to filibuster any more.

thanks for the introduction, this is awsom, will BTCd be open, and do you know how further development will happen?
do you know if a client like Armory will work with BTCd?




520. Post 7419991 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: Youghoor on June 20, 2014, 03:24:02 PM
Should I sell BTC before US auction of btc begins or should I hold ?
If you cannot decide on your own what to do or whom to follow, then do nothing. Presumably there is a reason that you bought BTC. If it still exists, hold. If it doesn't or never did, sell.

I bought BTC because concept of decentralization appealed to me. I am not in it for profit as I don't hold much BTC.
You are then part of the P2P Fed replacement. For best results and maximum benefit to all participants in this decentralized experiment you should :

Hold (and accumulate) when liquidity is high - price is falling.
Sell when liquidity is low. Price goes up too fast.

For a rough guide on when the price is too high or too low see https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=366214.0 this projection is a little steep but I hope you get the idea.



521. Post 7513401 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 25, 2014, 06:10:40 PM
Thanks for cutting my post into half, don't do that again. I guess you agree with point 2 and 3. [ ... ]
It is good etiquette to trim the posts you are replying to, leaving only the parts that are relevant to the reply.  However I should have added "[ ... ]" to show that parts were omitted; my apologies for being lazy.


Yes Jorge!, until you join the cult we hold you to a different standard,  Cheesy



522. Post 7513453 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on June 25, 2014, 06:07:52 PM
Woah... Since when are you a hero member, Eurotrash?
You'll get there. Cheesy
if I recall it’s a moving goal post, I expect to be downgraded after the next bubble.



523. Post 7515433 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: aminorex on June 25, 2014, 08:14:47 PM
The US Government auctioned the coins now because it is not supposed to hold on to seized property. 
This is a factual error.  The USG often retains seized property and uses it as it sees fit.  It's one of the perks of being allowed to seize property.  If you like something, you take it.  If they can't afford a law suit to get it back, it's all candy.

I'm inclined to think if we crash hard next week there are forces at work that are undermining Bitcoin's Fungibility, and we can expect the euphemistic green listed (black listed) coin idea to emerge with some fervor.

How we the Bitcoin community including the likes of Lawsky, respond to a new falls flag event or an existing one (say Gox) will determine the outcome.

I'm going with a crash followed by some divine guidance from a monkey or random market response.
The future always hard to see it is.



524. Post 7517844 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: justusranvier on June 25, 2014, 09:27:48 PM
Those "regulated Bitcoin exchanges" on Wall Street are going to do to the price of Bitcoin what they do to the price of gold.

They'll be happy to take your real Bitcoins and give you dollars they borrowed into existence, and they'll be happy to give you paper Bitcoins for your Dollars, but when it comes time to actually redeem your paper Bitcoins for real ones it will turn out they won't have any.

Just like how the NY Fed doesn't have Germany's gold.

bring it on, I cant think of more willing participants, who like to hold there own coins.

I have started thinking of strategies to really mess with this.  

I figure I’ll always manage my own keys, given the chance but in the case where one uses an ETF, say managing retirement funds in a tax exempt account, I was thinking I would counteract or amplify the Fiat – Bitcoin movement, in the real world regular trading accounts to amplify the market feedback or counteract it depending on the fundamentals.  



525. Post 7518020 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: atp1916 on June 25, 2014, 11:41:20 PM
some known early adopters are dumping, and many  other adopters/investors/developers are slowly losing faith (one of them speaking), Bitcoin needs another bubble ASAP, bubbles are the only thing keeps Bitcoin ongoing.

I don't believe that for one second.  The lack of bad news != waning interest.

Bitcoin is maturing from an adolescent out-of-control teenager into a mature member of society.


 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Following that metaphor I thought we just survived the first trimester and are still in the whom.



526. Post 7518130 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on June 25, 2014, 11:45:53 PM
So who sells near the bottom of the long term trend line and why?

I thought of selling a few, because I had a dream premonition a little while ago, - "the SR coins were drummed and fro some strange reason we hit $8.50 per bitcoin" I was out of fiat, in my dream, as I had blown it at $640 but felt no regret, as fundamentals were still good.




527. Post 7529759 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: oda.krell on June 26, 2014, 02:12:53 PM
Guys, I'm not a professional quote maker (yet), but I must say it...

In this moment, I am euphoric. Not because of any phony god’s blessing. But because, I am enlightened by my intelligence.
So you spent that SR refund then. Looks like good value. Grin



528. Post 7622231 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on July 01, 2014, 03:29:13 PM
I also have one btc stowed away. In the format of a ticket for the btc1k party. It's in a corner, almost forgotten, has been accumulating dust for a while. I wouldn't mind using it before Xmas this year.

There is a good chance that the price will be 5k on the day of the btc1k party.

So the ticket to the $1k party was $1k (as you will only get to use it if Bitcoin reaches $1k again). That's quite pricey for a party ...

You can pay $650 to buy 1 bitcoin and use the bitcoin to buy a ticket now

But it will only count if Bitcoin reaches $1k one day so effectively it will have cost you $1k. There's no way around this.
Tickets are 1 BTC and the party only happens if Bitcoin stays over USD 1K for 30 days.

You could buy a Bitcoin and exchange it for a ticket any time. The higher the value the more extravagant the party.

Ticket price is discounted at the moment. You can hold Bitcoin and only pay when the party is triggered.



529. Post 7652888 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: manfred on July 03, 2014, 07:23:35 AM
I am fine with another plateau phase, followed by a big-ass bubble  Wink
That's indeed the best way to accumulate more bitcoins.

It may continue like this for more than a year (which is perfectly fine).
Bubbling times are over, steady grow from here only with minor outbreaks
I don't think bubbly times are over,

I'm no fortune teller, but after making the screw-up of a lifetime selling out before the April bubble I did a lot of learning and I now keep an eye on a few fundamentals.

I felt forewarned prior to the December bubble, I was confident we were going up, I don't think we are going up just yet at the moment. But then again I have a 1 out of 3 record, and some more lessons to learn.



530. Post 7659311 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: Richy_T on July 03, 2014, 03:03:45 PM

I felt forewarned prior to the December bubble, I was confident we were going up, I don't think we are going up just yet at the moment. But then again I have a 1 out of 3 record, and some more lessons to learn.

I was sure we were underpriced but I was expecting that people had learned their lessons and we were post bubble and we'd get a steady, if wobbly, rise. Then it all got very exciting.
After the June 2011 bubble I thought it would never happy again, keep in mind it's the new comers who have the most lessons to learn, they drive this adoption model, the next wave of adopters are srude and used to winning at any cost.



531. Post 7690976 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: Krabby on July 05, 2014, 04:04:10 PM

I got the same figure after the launch when I started mining with a shitty Nvidia card Cheesy
They're currently still on one of my old corrupted hard drives I think.

Oh well.

I mined on my dual shift Nvidia cards (an old CAD workstation) I was so disappointed that it only net 0.09 BTC per day I scrapped the machine. And that was just a few years ago crazy.



532. Post 7724348 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 07, 2014, 07:54:48 PM
Quote
What do you think crypto is intended to do? and by whom?
Cryptocurrencies are meant to allow payments that governments (and banks, which can be conflated with them)  cannot see, block, divert, or undo.

That is not explicit in Satoshi's paper, but seems to have been a basic assumption by most of the crypto fans, especially the most ardent ones. (Reducing credit card fees is not something that would get people that excited about, is it?).

Most cryptocoins seem to be designed and supported with that goal in mind.  Some bitcoiners are even adopting other coins because they do not see bitcoin as sufficiently robust in that regard.  Few coins, if any (Ripple perhaps? I don't  know about it)  are designed to allow the same level of control that governments now have on bank transfers.

it looks like some connections to the central banks get it:
http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/pboc-official-sovereignty-bitcoin-internet-age-will-change-china-around-world/2014/07/07

Bitcoin is not about facilitating illicit activities, it’s about subverting them. 



533. Post 7725622 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: Bagatell on July 07, 2014, 09:02:28 PM
Quote
What do you think crypto is intended to do? and by whom?
Cryptocurrencies are meant to allow payments that governments (and banks, which can be conflated with them)  cannot see, block, divert, or undo.

That is not explicit in Satoshi's paper, but seems to have been a basic assumption by most of the crypto fans, especially the most ardent ones. (Reducing credit card fees is not something that would get people that excited about, is it?).

Most cryptocoins seem to be designed and supported with that goal in mind.  Some bitcoiners are even adopting other coins because they do not see bitcoin as sufficiently robust in that regard.  Few coins, if any (Ripple perhaps? I don't  know about it)  are designed to allow the same level of control that governments now have on bank transfers.

it looks like some connections to the central banks get it:
http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/pboc-official-sovereignty-bitcoin-internet-age-will-change-china-around-world/2014/07/07

Bitcoin is not about facilitating illicit activities, it’s about subverting them. 

Ireland central bank official warns virtual currencies ‘can challenge sovereignty of states’
http://www.pfhub.com/ireland-central-bank-official-warns-virtual-currencies-can-challenge-sovereignty-of-states-909/


Ireland central bank- official confirms Bitcoin works as advertised. Officials in china see the same thing but not as a treat but more an opportunity.



534. Post 7740962 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on July 08, 2014, 06:58:27 PM
Did anyone post this one already?

http://redditmetrics.com/r/bitcoin

Quote
Trending now! 928 new subscribers today, 578% trend score – Trend thread

Not sure why? Maybe bots are doing this, maybe it's because of Ukrainian bitcoin ATM news, maybe Roger Ver's tweets... Maybe something is about to happen.

something unbelievable always happens, and by some chance some guy just happened to have predicted it. I expect holders haven't been significantly challenged yet so I won't be shocked if we see more capitulation, or some CCMF,



535. Post 7745443 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: Richy_T on July 09, 2014, 01:19:48 AM
Brock Pierce, notable member of The What-Was-It Foundation, launches RealCoin:
http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/07/08/dollar-backed-digital-currency-aims-to-fix-bitcoins-volatility-dilemma/

Jesus H, why hasn't anyone kicked this loser Brock Pierce off of the Bitcoin Foundation yet?  Hasn't he caused enough controversy yet?

Also, how do you have a Realcoin backed to every dollar when there are $65 billion of them (dollars, that is) printed fresh every month?  Are they going to 'print' 65 billion Realcoins every month too?  

Stupidest. Crypto. Idea. Evar.

You give them your dollars, they give you the realcoins. Then 5 years down the line, they revalue or say that they're no longer backing the coin with dollars (like the US govt did with gold) but they're still worth a dollar. Then everyone else kicks themselves for being so stupid and Brock Pierce puts on his scuba gear and goes for another dive off his yacht anchored in the Caribbean.


LOL, FYI, when Bitcoin stops being volatile, you know its reached market saturation, Brock Pierce's solution is actuary a tax on people who don't understand Bitcoin's volatility is a feature.



536. Post 7745622 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 09, 2014, 01:09:21 AM
It would seem that the spike of new members in Reddit's /r/bitcoin was caused by the rumor of islamic terrorists using bitcoin.  At least, the top thread and several other threads are on that topic:
http://www.reddit.com/r/bitcoin


I’m sure they have more sophisticated algorithms ranking this info, and i bet it has a lot to do with the boost from the long weekend.  
I bet the fact that thousands of people sat down at some social event this weekend in the US and talked Bitcoin.

If you monitor r/bitcoin you will have noticed the readers  have been steadily dropping from an average of over a 1000 r/Bitcoin readers to the low 400’s  during peak hours (and recovering after the SR coin sales),  but on the 4th of July, there were over 3,000 readers there.

I bet that helped boost this attention, not to mention all the bull news.

This terror funding is just a false flag, the US president is openly wanting to fund these trouble makers. And not to mention the US left bombs, guns, helicopters and Humvees unattended for the taking, and un protected banks holding all of Saddam,s USD cash assets.

I bet the US even gave them GPS coordinates and a time line to claim the bonuses.




537. Post 7756524 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: Torque on July 09, 2014, 05:08:33 PM
Remember the end of may? Volume got very low.

Whale Investors: "Sell in May and go away."

They won't come back until the Fall.

sell into what? are Whale Investors holding fiat or gold?



538. Post 7761390 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 10, 2014, 12:56:46 AM
Looks like Andreas is done with the Bitcoin Foundation. Good. Screw the Bitcoin Foundation.

"I can no longer have even the smallest association with the Bitcoin Foundation, because of the complete lack of transparency" https://twitter.com/aantonop/status/486926129409052672

Jorge, can't argue there are some rotten eggs who are riding this bitcoin wave, and 2 of them are on the board of the Bitcoin Foundation, so no surprise people are starting to avoid it, but it doesn't undermine the impact this tech is going to have on the world.



539. Post 7761725 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 10, 2014, 01:23:39 AM

I just posted the news. I think it is good for Andreas, bad for TBF, not directly relevant to bitcoin.  BUT the RealCoin initiative can only be bad for bitcoin; how much, who knows. 

the RealCoin, initiative, shows up  Brock Pierce (will show him up) as a fraudster, ultimately it will be good for Bitcoin, bad for all those suckers who get ripped off.  



540. Post 7897464 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: Peter R on July 17, 2014, 06:00:51 PM

They create a virtual currency, even if it is decentralized. This includes creating altcoins. In fact, Satoshi would have commited a crime creating Bitcoin without registration. (200.2n5)


I don't agree with this interpretation.

Quote
200.2m: Virtual Currency means any type of digital unit that is used as a medium of exchange or a form of digitally stored value or that is incorporated into payment system technology.

200.2n5: controlling, administering, or issuing a Virtual Currency.

So, by their definition, VC is the currency, not the protocol. Satoshi has published Bitcoin the protocol, but he has never "issued" Bitcoin the currency.

Mastercoin and Ripple could be in trouble, though.


And Nxt, NEM, any coin that IPO'd and possibly any coin that was instant/ninja mined.  

I would also say that ALL proof-of-stake coins are "controlled and administered" by the developers in order to bypass the nothing-at-stake problem therefore giving them administrator privileges over the blockchain (for example, Vericoin devs just forked their blockchain to undo the theft from Mintpal).

Legitimately mined coins would be fine IMO.  I expect sidechains and spinoffs would be fine too.  I'm not sure about proof-of-burn coins (e.g., Counterparty).  

I interpreted this as an attack on the likes of Crypcy by those consulted with the NY regulators, Crypcy will eventually manage if they don’t already their own internal ledger by mining their own coin, and issuing it as a customer reword/ retention program and eventually requiring it be used as commission in exchange for other alts.  

It also puts a dampener on any exchange wanting to move forward with a technology solution to securing Bitcoin with the likes of Open Transaction, and instead enforces they use a less secure regulatory solution.



541. Post 7897553 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: Voktar on July 17, 2014, 06:06:57 PM
you want to know how they will regulate Bitcoin in NY state ? http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2aycxs/hi_this_is_ben_lawsky_at_nydfs_here_are_the/cizyqyz

Entities are considered dealing in virtual currencies if:
They transfer Bitcoins on behalf of one person. This includes Bitcoin tipping (/u/changetip), mixers, Blockchain.info Send Shared, CoinJoin, Dark Wallet (200.2n1)
They hold or have control over Bitcoins for their users. This includes Mining pools, Coinbase, Circle, Greenaddress.it, all exchanges. (200.2n2)
They buy or sell Bitcoins as a business activity. This includes Local Bitcoins sellers, #bitcoin-otc. FinCEN statements includes selling physical coinage (including casascius coins) also regulated. (200.2n3)
They create a virtual currency, even if it is decentralized. This includes creating altcoins. In fact, Satoshi would have commited a crime creating Bitcoin without registration. (200.2n5)
They trade any virtual currency, even for another virtual currency. This includes alt coin exchanges. Mintpal, Cryptsy, BTER, etc (200.2n4)
.. to any resident in New York. Web services, even those incorporated overseas, must either comply or block access for NY users. (200.2n)
Entities 'dealing in virtual currency' must:
Perform AML and collect identities, including verification of government issued Photo ID and proof of address, and retain these information for 10 years. (200.15a)
Retain all transaction logs for 10 years, including real name & physical addresses of ALL parties of a transaction - yes, including whoever you are sending to. (200.12a1)
Report all transactions over the USD value of $3000, and file Suspicious Activity Reports. (200.15g4)
Maintain collateral in the form of USD, including collateral for Bitcoin balances. The % as collateral is unspecified.
Retained earnings and profits of in invested in US dollars. They may not keep any profit in Bitcoin. (200.8b)
Forfeit Bitcoins that are inactive for over 5 years to the State of New York - (200.12c)
Not obfuscate any transactions - Bitcoin mixing would be illegal. (200.15f)



Interesting: now these people who creates altcoin would be committing a crime, even satoshi committed a crime following this logic. and NY wants to take your coins, so you wont be able to use your coins as a saving method ? yea so bad news for hodlers.


this is the whole document if you want to read it http://www.dfs.ny.gov/about/press2014/pr1407171-vc.pdf

Committing a crime?

You are describing these regulation news as negative, are you shorting Bitcoin by the way? Just kidding Wink

These type of regulations are pretty common in the financial world when companies are in charge of customers funds, this is GOOD for Bitcoin: no more Mt.GOXes, only serious players are allowed now.

Bullish news Wink

not so fast, if you can secure coins on an Exchange, that cannot be tampered with by the owner of the exchange (see Open Transaction- OT) this would be the most secure way to store funds on an exchange.

This regulation prohibits the use of storing Bitcoin on an exchange that uses OT because in order to obtain the the BIT licence you would have to make sure that the exchange has access to the funds for compliance, (so it can forfeit to the state) this immediately opens up a security hole and an opportunity for theft.  



542. Post 7897589 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: Erdogan on July 17, 2014, 06:10:52 PM

No more Ponzies, except Madoff. No more scams, except MF Global. No more bank collapses, except Lehman. No more money laundering, except HSBC. No more market manipulations, except LIBOR, gold...

Cheesy
quite the posit, this actually ensures Fractional reserves Bitcoins will flourish and more financial scandals will happen.



543. Post 7913148 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: KFR on July 18, 2014, 04:40:23 PM

Dell.  Gosh.  Whatever else can be said of Coinbase, they're certainly helping to push adoption.  Cool

This is going to go nuts, every time I see Bitcoin enter bubble territory I here don’t cash out just spend, if the next bubble happened with in my lifetime, Wink a lot of business is going to go to those companies accepting Bitcoin, and after that it’s going to explode.  



544. Post 7913197 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on July 18, 2014, 05:01:43 PM
Seriously, why does China seem to love positive US bitcoin news better than the US?   Roll Eyes

It is kind of strange, its about 2am there atm so they even get out of bed to buy coins, serious dedication.

doesn't Jorge trade in China?  Cheesy



545. Post 7913928 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: blatchcorn on July 18, 2014, 07:49:07 PM
Dell accepting Bitcoin is bad sign for the short term price

it seems to be a non-event at the moment. the market doesnt care much about that news.

A $10 rise is better than nothing

just 3 years ago a $10 rise was = to 300% now its just meh, I used to piss my self with a $5 rise.



546. Post 7932445 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 20, 2014, 02:59:08 AM
if you have a fully verified coin base account that is. SO GET SPENDING. Even if you pay USD go USD to BTC to buy... it's actually cheaper that way.
How do you send USD to Coinbase/exchange/Bitpay/whatever, and what do they send to Dell -- USD, or BTC?  If USD, how do they send it?


This appears to be one of those basic retarded questions of yours that could easily be answered by yourself, if you were to buy and use bitcoins then you would possibly realize how to use them.  Of course, the customers pay in bitcoin, and then if Dell wants to convert them to fiat after the transaction, they have that fiat conversion option.
And that is the (non)answer that I get whenever I ask that question in this forum. I had to ask the same person three times (on another thread), before he understood the question (and answered it for only one special case).

I thought that I called the question stupid and I answered it...... and you are implying that you are seeking some kind of deeper and more significant meaning?  And what would that deeper and more significant meaning be?
Yes you called the question stupid, and no you did not understand it. If "you pay USD go USD to BTC to buy", as the poster suggested, how do you send USD to Coinbase/exchange/Bitpay/whatever?

Jorge I believe one bank gets another bank to change some numbers on a computer and then another entity verifies that both party's agree then they charge a fee for doing this. All party's involved have to comply with government regulations to ensure no one is cheating. Once you understand how the system works with $, you're going to love how simply it works with Bitcoin.



547. Post 7932489 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

To the economics of how all this fiat converting in and out of Bitcoin works out to benefit the consumer and the retailer turns out to be a lot of interesting maths. In effect the Bitcoin payment networks are not in the business of payment networks but in the business of managing supply and demand of a finite digital commodity. The payment network is how they get Bitcoin and other data which they use for business.

Edit
It doesn't always work out in favor of the consumer, some times the consumer is screwed on the buying Bitcoin side (coinbase has a bad reputation here during big price swings.)

But while there is demand for Bitcoin everything is good.



548. Post 7938930 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: ag@th0s on July 20, 2014, 01:15:38 PM
That's what Big Trade is buying into - the utility, not the speculative opportunity, so I'm not expecting another "launch".  I'll be very surprised if we see $1000 again - there's no good reason for it at the transactional level.
That belief is certainly the goal which the present psyop against Bitcoin is attempting to achieve.

Don't understand - why would a view that emphasizes Bitcoins utility be a hostile operation?

It's drawing attention to Bitcoin the currency, when Bitcoins killer app is Bitcoin the store of wealth.

Or as I have come to understand it Bitcoin is a universal debt ledger (unit of account), primed to accept the current financial debt systems, where debt is a vacuum that attracts wealth. (I.e. money as memory and that memory is going to be global and collectively stored on an P2P blockchain )



549. Post 7939247 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: bitrider on July 20, 2014, 01:52:31 PM
I think we have entered the sweet spot...the damped oscillator has pretty much come to rest - finally...and now we are seeing low volume and much lower volatility - and I expect it to continue for the next bend the river. My bollinger bands are closing down, and that is good. Now we can actually begin building a base for the next major move. Could be a week, or a couple of months as in past years. I really don't know what that will look like this time, but I'm guessing it is going to be fun... Cool

I love fun, also society today is built on the backs of many giants, we've moved through the ages with a dominant theme taking power from it's predecessor going from tribalism to emperors, to merchants to financiers, to titans of industry, and finally overlords of agriculture, now we move to globalization (not one governed by one sided laws impoverishing the poor) each theme throughout history has been unstoppable as it primarily servers the previous.

Bitcoin adoption is going those industry's too picking up a skeletal support structure, I too have no idea but it's fun for those who take the time to learn.



550. Post 7939347 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 20, 2014, 02:54:23 PM
Cost / Value analysis says we should be trading our bitcoins for at least 1500$. cheap coins everywhere!

I here the $1000 parties 1BTC tickets are selling in the low $600 at the moment (no need to buy a ticket just a Bitcoin)

And for those who don't believe me there are going to be hordes of people complaining that the party tickets only deliver $1000 in value but cost $2000 in actual outlay  Cheesy



551. Post 7958218 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 21, 2014, 06:33:44 PM
Most importantly also the magical unicorn method for sending USD- I think this is the answer Jorge deserved for this simple question- hence that is why I gave that answer to start with.... y'know what they say "ask a stupid question, expect a stupid answer"
But, have you checked how expensive is to rent a magical unicorn these days?   Cheesy


insert its happening gif Cheesy,  its cheaper than you think source: http://www.complexmag.ca/tech/2014/01/businessweek-bitcoins-unicorns-cover







but seriously Jorge the image above is considered so obvious it isn't worth considering, it is insulting to reduce working of fiat to a bank to bank transfer to just a "Bank Transfer" is overlooking how the system works, behind the scenes there are layers of corruption of the highest magnitude*.

what actual happens between the money transmitter and the money exchanger looks more like this and it happens again on the other end between the money exchanger and the bank:


*trust in the existing system is eroding still.
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/everything-is-rigged-the-biggest-financial-scandal-yet-20130425



552. Post 7975472 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 22, 2014, 08:23:04 PM
The eventual approval of the COIN fund is obviously likely to increase the price.  However, the magnitude of the increase does not seem so easy to predict.  Some complicating factors:

(1) I expect that, at first, the fund will buy the bitcoins that it needs from the Winklevosses and other investors like Tim Draper (and the eventual DPR  coins auction).  That is presumably why the Winklevosses are after that fund.  So the demand on the exchanges is likely to be indirect, from people who expect the price to rise because of the ETF, rather than from buys by the ETF itself.

(2) Granted that SMBIT and PBP are less glamourous than COIN, but they do not seem to have had much success, or much effect on the price.  SMBIT holdings have grown only 2000 BTC, from ~105 BTC to ~107 BTC, over the last two months.  They grew ~30 kBTC from December to April, but the price dropped almost 50% in that period.   

(3) Bitcoin's only intrinsic value is its utility as a method of payment.  Its value as an investment depends entirely on that utility.  Bitcoin is a high-risk invstment because no one can tell what the demand for that use will be, and there is a positive probability that such demand (and therefore its value) will go to zero at some point.   Approval of the ETF will not affect the expected demand for that use, nor that probability of failure. Therfore COIN shares will be just as risky an investment as bitcoin itself.  If large institutional investors do not trust bitcoin now, why would they trust COIN?
Because socialism breads sociopaths.

experiment-shows-people-exposed-to-socialism-cheat-more



553. Post 7975800 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 22, 2014, 08:48:34 PM
Ha! Try using any ultra-capitalist third-world country instead of East Germany, and you will reach the opposite conclusion...

Those third world examples are typical of las faire tyrannies, it boils down to just laws and freedom both slipping away fast in the west.



554. Post 7976892 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: hdbuck on July 22, 2014, 10:03:49 PM
Ha! Try using any ultra-capitalist third-world country instead of East Germany, and you will reach the opposite conclusion...

yeah, you could say the same thing about capitalism.. socialism is not great, but people act like it's the devil and capitalism is perfect.

socialism is evil. capitalism is not perfect.



& i'm all in for digital anarchy Cheesy
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/10881213/The-coming-digital-anarchy.html
the US flag is 41.5% red, the rest is propaganda  



555. Post 7977009 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: mmitech on July 22, 2014, 10:17:25 PM

capitalism is as evil or worst than socialism, it is the pure slavery it is the real pyramid... stop being delusional.

Smith, Proudhon and Marx understood something about how property inevitably leads to the slave pyramid, no need to move backwards, we tested everything and its failed, the next step is forwards.



556. Post 7978650 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: mmitech on July 22, 2014, 10:38:55 PM

capitalism is as evil or worst than socialism, it is the pure slavery it is the real pyramid... stop being delusional.

Smith, Proudhon and Marx understood something about how property inevitably leads to the slave pyramid, no need to move backwards, we tested everything and its failed, the next step is forwards.

neither capitalism or socialism will work in our modern society, very system was made to fix problem in short sight, we need something that fits not only our needs but the needs of the generations to come.

The solution is here the teleology is here and so is the will, people are slowly waking up to find it. Long ago there was a meme (not a gif, but an idea that evolved humanity) that meme was that the earth is personal property to be claimed, defended, leveraged and traded, that meme's allowed the most efficient solution to solved the problem known as the tragedy of the commons, and its usefulness is now ending.

The next epoch is one where personal property is redefined, the future is about success as a whole, social reputation decentralized many to many governance and a cloud based ledger called the blockchain. The solution is coming just hang on; you can get a glimpse into how the solution works in this video by James D'angelo while trading carbon opens a door to a house of cards similar to our existing financial system, managing finite resources like land in a similar way changes the game for all of humanity in the present always.

    



557. Post 7978873 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: xyzzy099 on July 22, 2014, 11:46:35 PM
So your definition of 'ultra-capitalism' is plutocracy?  I think the more plutocratic a society is, the less possible free markets are - and the lack of free markets is antithetical to any kind of real capitalism.  I would call such a country 'faux-capitalist', not 'ultra-capitalist'.

Crony capitalism is no more representative of "capitalism" than rigged elections are representative of "democracy".
Hm, we have been through this discussion before, haven't we?

People seem to mean very different things by "free market".  The Libertarian definition seems to be "totally unregulated market" which in my experience instantly degenerates into oligopoly or monopoly market, typical of crony capitalism.  If "ultra-capitalist" is not that, what would it be?

I believe that a relatively free market can only be sustained if it is regulated by a government that is commited to it and is stronger than any individual supplier (or consumer), or any small group thereof. 

That is visibly no longer the case in the US, for many markets (such as TV, energy, banking, operating systems, ...)  It has always been worse in Brazil...

You may have discussed some of these principles with someone on this forum.  It was not me.

I see it exactly the opposite way from you:  The regulations you believe are necessary for a free market (ironic, if you think about it) are always and everywhere used to subvert market forces, and give preference to whichever entity has the most political control over the 'regulators'.

I can't speak for all Libertarians, but personally, I believe that an entity of some kind is necessary to prevent those who would deprive others of their life, liberty, or property from doing so - and I believe that acting in a manner that would make free markets less free is one way of imposing such deprivation, and consequently, should be prevented.

The goal is to minimize coercion as much as possible.  It will always be necessary, however, to coerce those who would harm others into not doing so.

The blockchain, is that entity, it is public open and imitable, you voluntarily adhere to the rules and reap all the rewords of corporation in the market,  or you don't.

There is just one libeterian principle that is preventing laissez faire unregulated markets from functioning, and that is some people have rights at the expense of others, and some rights are inherited and accumulate at the expense of the whole, and while most preach non violence it only applies after violating the rights of everyone else. When all rights are equal and imitable anarchy will be the governing principle of choose, and markets will regulate themselves, at an efficiency not yet seen in history.  
  



558. Post 7978911 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on July 23, 2014, 01:09:06 AM
Since when Wall Observer thread became Politics & Society?

Fuck the wild capitalism.


Since forever.

or until we go up or down,



559. Post 7987848 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: Tzupy on July 23, 2014, 12:07:49 PM
empowering gave me an idea for a new poll question:
How many bitcoins would JorgeStolfi need to have in order to become a bitcoin nutter advocate?  Tongue

Lol 1BTC, he just needs to secure a private key. Unfortunately it'll have the same effect as heroin, and he sees what happens once you secure Bitcoin you become a zealot. It alters your brain chemistry  Cheesy



560. Post 8062256 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: Raystonn on July 28, 2014, 06:21:14 AM
In on page 7777.

There is a lot of dumping going on this7777 thing may collapse



561. Post 8167536 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: empowering on August 03, 2014, 04:07:18 PM
http://youtu.be/d-_DuWWPvKg  
Published on 22 Oct 2013

VERY Interesting interview with R Kurzweil .. also there is a brief bit about Bitcoin and there is some discussion of decentralisation.

Bitcoin @ 4 minutes and 11 minutes  

whole vid is good though.

Exponential perspective.



Anyone watch the video?
Check out all the jewelry and the broach Kurzweil is wearing, they are all DMLS 3D printed from shapeays.

I agree in part with what he says but his ego is eroding his authority.



562. Post 8216616 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 06, 2014, 04:21:18 PM
Wow! So I will be able to use bitcoin to pay my credit card bill?  Grin
And Circle can be used to create credit card bills. The ecosystem is now complete.  Cheesy

And so the debt cycle begins.



563. Post 8216749 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 06, 2014, 04:51:57 PM

Could you elaborate on the importance? People not located in the US don't exactly get what they do and what this may mean for Bitcoin, I guess. Is this rise back really a reaction on those news. I guess no one knows.

This is a huge company providing electronic payment solutions for third parties and now they include bitcoin as a payment solution.

Meaning all their merchants, Independent Sales Organizations (ISOs), financial institutions, government agencies and multi-national corporations, who use their service can now also opt to use bitcoin.  Grin

Quote
“This partnership with Global Payments allows ecommerce and retail merchants to easily accept bitcoin payments,”

Quote
Global Payments Inc. is one of the largest worldwide providers of payment solutions for merchants, value added resellers, enterprise software providers, financial institutions, government agencies, multi-national corporations and independent sales organizations located throughout North America, South America, Europe and the Asia-Pacific region.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Payments

Great news, indeed.

But I caution against the idea that this will be the catalyst of the next price surge. People ("bears" as you like to call them) have pointed out before that expanding payment options is probably going to add selling pressure at first. I agree with that.

What they forget of course is that each btc payment option also signifies another step to global acceptance and legitimacy of btc, so it is mid to long term extremely bullish. The "bears" like to leave that part out, though Cheesy



I'm curious to see how this unfolds. My behavior is probably atypical. I've spent fiat supporting company's that accept BTC.
I couldn't bring my self to spend more than $300 in Bitcoin while I'm buying the Bitcoin dips.



564. Post 8226141 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: NewLiberty on August 02, 2014, 05:05:48 PM
Pointing to the smartphone, Kurzweil says, devices like the iPhone are 100,000 times smaller than the computer that he used as an MIT student. "It is also several thousand times more powerful," he says. "It is a million times cheaper. That is a several billion-fold increase in price performance." Technology is being reduced at a rate of "100,000 in 3-D volume per decade," says Kurzweil. "That is another predictable exponential trajectory, so computers of this capability will be blood-cell size in 2030.

Phone size is increasing again.

30 Years Of Cell Phones


Actually cellphones are dead, computers are so small they replaced phones.
I carry a computer that has phone capabilities.



565. Post 8226766 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: nanobrain on August 07, 2014, 06:40:54 AM

Actually cellphones are dead, computers are so small they replaced phones.
I carry a computer that has phone capabilities.

No, you carry a tracking device SIM card around, have forsaken your privacy for convenience and pay through the nose for the privilege.

If you had described the situation to Orwell, he wouldn't have believed it.
Funny that. I used to be sensitive to the situation now I see Google even checks my GPS location when I active cretin apps or charge my phone at a different time and I have agreed to the tracking (it's not even subversive) I'll start messing with the situation just for you and Orwell, I'm sure he'd be shocked what's available and what's considered OK.



566. Post 8317820 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

I'm beginning to think coins are accumulating disproportionately to the adoption rate, with out the hard data it feels like we're headed into a 2011 style dry test of faith.

I think there is about a 40% chance we will be grinding lower or sideways or much the same over a prolonged period maybe even as long as 12 months optimistically seeing a spike into the thousands before the new year.



567. Post 8543900 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

tax is a given, just how it's collected and defined is what people argue over.

the markup or profit taken from any service or consumer good is a tax.
jurisdictional taxes should be viable too, its just problematic at the moment because we (the people - not global corporates) are not free to move in the physical world to a jurisdiction with out tax, but now that money works in a trust free virtual environment things may change.



568. Post 8558454 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Times are a changing.
This morning my wife asked me - what are altcoins? Then went on to say how they seem to be the new rage - saying how LTC and NMC could be a new growth opportunity. She went on to add that mining is not profitable anymore. (I had to hold my self back as just yesterday I had figured AM Gen 3 basics look viable.)

We don't talk much Bitcoin at home as you can tell.

She makes a great public barometer that way. Anyway she closed off saying this is mainstream now. As the articles that pop up in here 0% economic focus news feeds assume the reader knows a lot about Bitcoin.

So I'm going to call this the bottom for now.



569. Post 8558672 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Nightowlace link=topic=178336.msg8558335#msg8558335 date=140915931mmitech 


As a bitcoin fan, you obviously want to stick as many applications as possible into the Satoshi2009 blockchain, in order to get more support for it.  But there are other blockchains in existence, and the bitcoin network's hashing power could be harnessed for other protocols and applications if offered suitable rewards.


nice, attaching the year to the blockchain to imply its old. Quite the troll shot.


What is wrong with his post ? why do you think he is trolling ?

Yes the block chain is more than 5 years old, and this mean that you missed the point of his post, any attempt to change/add anything to the Bitcoin protocol at this point or in the future will be hard and will get harder when the adoption rate continue to increase, even a simple task to fix a bug or to release a newer version will get harder, but there are working alternatives (chains) that attempts to solve and add new  features that we think will be  crucial in the future... so the question is: is it worth it ?

LOL. why do I think he is trolling? because that is what he is. He may disguise himself as a scholar and a skeptic, but he doesn't fool me.

P.S. You're almost as trolly as him.



30 days in and he's calling out the trolls. Amazing. You should google the people you speak about prior to commenting on their intentions. He is in fact a scholar and a skeptic and I actually welcome his comments even though I often disagree. It is important to have people of different opinions offering up thought out, educated, comments. Too often you hear "BItcoin is a pump and dump" "Bitcoin will fail" "This is the last time we will see $500 buy now" and it is based solely on their current trading/holding position, emotion, and just to be an asshole.

Yes and no.
Skeptics are welcome we learn from them. Jorge is a fundamentalist non believer, his post above is ignorant of what is Bitcoin and these 2.0 appcoins actually are. App Coins are likely to fail there may be a few that make it like NMC, the reason is the hashing on the Bitcoin network is not wasteful (do your own reading no citation provided) and secondly there is new technology that leverages the Bitcoin blockchain read up on OT, it makes almost all App Coins obsolete.

2.0 coins are not the investment opportunity because of what I say by all means invest in them diversify your risk in cryptocurrency, it's my opinion you'll lose.



570. Post 8558816 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on August 27, 2014, 05:33:37 PM
Times are a changing.
This morning my wife asked me - what are altcoins? Then went on to say how they seem to be the new rage - saying how LTC and NMC could be a new growth opportunity. She went on to add that mining is not profitable anymore. (I had to hold my self back as just yesterday I had figured AM Gen 3 basics look viable.)

We don't talk much Bitcoin at home as you can tell.

She makes a great public barometer that way. Anyway she closed off saying this is mainstream now. As the articles that pop up in here 0% economic focus news feeds assume the reader knows a lot about Bitcoin.

So I'm going to call this the bottom for now.

Are you saying we should sell our bitcoins and buy litecoin and such instead Huh

Quite the opposite Wink

yes I wasn't advocating LTC as a buy, however if you are a gambling type there may be an upshot to ride, but ultimately its not worth the trip if you don't end up with more BTC.



571. Post 8559159 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 27, 2014, 05:55:26 PM

As a bitcoin fan, you obviously want to stick as many applications as possible into the Satoshi2009 blockchain, in order to get more support for it.  But there are other blockchains in existence, and the bitcoin network's hashing power could be harnessed for other protocols and applications if offered suitable rewards.


nice, attaching the year to the blockchain to imply its old. Quite the troll shot.

What a twisted mind those bitcoiners have...  

I merely attached the year to emphasize that it is the blockchain that Satoshi started in 2009.  The bitcoin protocol could be restarted tomorrow by Satoshi with a new genesis block, and then Satoshi2014 could be a natural name for the resulting blockchain, which would be independent of the Satoshi2009 blockchain.  (And I would not be surprised if some altcoins aren't just that, the bitcoin protocol with a "radical fork" of the blockchain.)

Jorge, the problem is there are already over 300 successful attempts (by that i mean alts which have a distributed flowing, nice GUI and analysis tools, etc) but they all fail to achieve the same network effect evident in Bitcoin, the Bitcoin network represents the most efficient network relationships partially because participants have a universal invested interest in its success. hell you are here pressingly because the network is successful and the participation density is high enough to keep this blog post engaging.

try find a comparable network in the alt community. I welcome competition it's the motivation behind progress, I have the same problem you have in that people get scammed, the bottom line is Bitcoin is an amassing experiment, however even though it increases in value exponentially year on year, most will lose, because they dont understand the economics, not because its a scam and they think there will be more growth in a new Alts when in fact its only Bitcoins growth that matters.        



572. Post 8559261 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 27, 2014, 06:10:13 PM
Yep, appears to be another meaningless truism.. without any real legs but supports an anti-govt thesis.



Yes, once again you simply dismiss anything that doesn't fit your world view. Any arguments, proofs or examples that current government is not good are invalid because the government is good.

Time to get back to wall watching. Not because I'm upset or throwing my toys out of the pram, merely that I think the essentials have been covered on both sides and flogging a dead horse is tiresome for all.

one can reconcile Both positions, the beauty is we're not groin back to single dwelling huts, and we not moving towards the tower of Babel.
we have a new decentralized technology that changes the paradigm, and the mechanism used to control our economic productivity will soon be in the hands of the people, not the all seeing eye at the top of the pyramid.

so its simple governments will serve people not the money masters, how that evolves is going to be disruptive.    



573. Post 8565326 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on August 28, 2014, 03:09:21 AM
EUR is rallying, USD is dropping like a stone.
I see that 1 EUR was worth ~1.30 USD a year ago, 1.38 USD six months ago, and is back to 1.30 USD now.  

What stone is that, pumice?  Cheesy

pure "gold" Jorge.
It's like: I see 1 BTC was worth ~ 500 USD a 9 months ago, 1000 USD 7 months ago, and is back to 500 USD now.

What drop in price Cheesy



574. Post 8565963 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: dakota neat on August 28, 2014, 06:13:26 AM
Does anybody also have a bad feeling about this? The Chinese will continue dumping for years...
At least we know now who the wall guys are.

http://www.thecoinsman.com/2014/08/bitcoin/inside-one-worlds-largest-bitcoin-mines/

Think about it like this, if you believe Bitcoin has some value try and quantity it. Then think of all that dumping from China as subsidized coin production and if you believe Bitcoin has value then you should be feeling good about these cheep coins.

I love the fact it's somewhat cheaper to buy than produce coins.



575. Post 8619235 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on September 01, 2014, 05:09:36 AM
Divergence on 2h chart. Falling will get a new dead cat bounce.

The bounces have no bounce anymore. Market is becoming it's own downside self-fulfilling prophecy. The last few weeks have been so wacky that nobody is convinced. I am bordering on just taking my ball, going home, and never coming back unless we go under $200. This shit has been way too f---ed up lately.

We need about 85% of the forum to quit like you and then I'm buying back in. Whatever price we are at when that happens.

Well, like OpenBazaar popped up this week and these GABI cats are supposed to be dropping tons of money... and then BTC-e goes apes---, yesterday. At best, this sh-- is rigged. At worse... who the f--- knows.

I guess what I am trying to say is... a-- rape gets old, quick.

If you look for patterns you'll find them, I think it may be a genetic defect in us humans but it has served us well.
None the less I've been hooked since 2011 and manipulation seems to be the game.

I'm not sure if I'm one of Pavlov's dogs or one who's moving in step.

But one thing is irrefutable and that is Bitcoin is useful tech, and unlike any other man made system, or economy, or casino, in the Martingale ever growing gamble, Bitcoin as we know it is limited in supply and will have consenting winners and losers. (Just hold is the best strategy)

It is my understand that Bitcoin is different in that we don't burn down the casino, revolt or go to war and start afresh, we just end up with those who have Bitcoin and those who lost Bitcoin, and those who are compelled to use it.



576. Post 8619601 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: FNG on September 01, 2014, 06:03:28 AM
The over 20% increase in a day. Or put it another way.. In 1 day the hash rate increased more than twice the entire hash rate at the beginning of this year.

It is crazy, we could be in for another 2011 down trend like we saw after the invention of GPU mining.

Around the last block halving $500 bought you 600 MH/s today it gets you 3,000,000 MH/s.

It just so happens that AsicMiner started shipping 8 TH/s @ 10 BTC just over a week ago they started hitting the the mass consumer market. And wouldn't you know it but as of today 8TH/s now costs Under 8 BTC, and you can expect that trend to go on quite a bit until the cost to mine is close to the cost of electricity.

It's going to look odd on that difficulty chart for sure, and given available resources ie. Total surpluses energy supply, it would be quite practical for the price to fall, to prevent a mining explosion.

Unfortunately disruption isn't always practical.

In my view it's safe to buy Bitcoin while the difficulty is increasing and the price is falling.
It's when difficulty and price stars falling together that you need balls.



577. Post 8626072 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on September 01, 2014, 06:56:40 AM
Wrong. The hashrate has decreased in the past ... if you cared to take a look and can read a plot.

I saw it stagnate at the last reward halving, maybe I did not look far back enough?

It self-regulate. If mining is unprofitable people stop mining, hash rate drop and mining became profitable again. If prices remain at these levels hash rate MUST drop, unless vast majority of hash power is controlled by entities that have no economic interests in mining per se.

So just jumped back into mining, here is a rough breakdown per TH/s:  (my electricity costs ($0.08/kWh)
Cost $2.18 per day; income @ $480/BTC = $8.80. (I.e. I am paid to heat my house this winter.)
So one of 3 things are going to happen next.

The price will fall to or below marginal cost of production.
Or
The hashing rate will increase until infrastructure grows to meet marginal cost of production.
Or
A combination of the above.

So no drop in hash predicted, and if the price drops to my marginal cost we may see old hardware from mining farmers go offline, which will be good for decentralization.




578. Post 8627093 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on September 01, 2014, 05:08:10 PM
Wrong. The hashrate has decreased in the past ... if you cared to take a look and can read a plot.

I saw it stagnate at the last reward halving, maybe I did not look far back enough?

It self-regulate. If mining is unprofitable people stop mining, hash rate drop and mining became profitable again. If prices remain at these levels hash rate MUST drop, unless vast majority of hash power is controlled by entities that have no economic interests in mining per se.

So just jumped back into mining, here is a rough breakdown per TH/s:  (my electricity costs ($0.08/kWh)
Cost $2.18 per day; income @ $480/BTC = $8.80. (I.e. I am paid to heat my house this winter.)
So one of 3 things are going to happen next.

The pricey will fall to or below marginal cost of production.
Or
The hashing rate will increase until infrastructure grows to meet marginal cost of production.
Or
A combination of the above.

So no drop in hash predicted, and if the price drops to my marginal cost we may see old hardware from mining farmers go offline, which will be good for decentralization.


About your situation: if the hash rate keep going up then you will have to replace your hardware with a more efficient one in 3 months.
This is quite an addition to the cost of mining, that one must factor in. So, even if you have very cheap energy and very efficient hardware you still can't be on positive cash flow for the next 3 month, let alone recover the initial investment in the hardware. Correct?

Profit margin goes down (I will likely get a ROI in bitcoin if difficulty increase at 15-20% per step) what happens all depends on price.  The bottom line is I like being warm in winter so I'm committed to consuming the energy. This business case is short term the long term is support capability for the network.

All I'm saying is at this point in time there is fat in the system and and that invites competition, and spending some BTC, and it's going to come from price speculators or infrastructure speculators, as a miner it's win win if you can hold and you want to be warm  Smiley

It's going to be interesting if I was a master manipulator I'd probably push the price down squeeze mining infrastructure and force the next level of productivity before stimulating a boom.



579. Post 8627538 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 01, 2014, 05:25:46 PM
So just jumped back into mining, here is a rough breakdown per TH/s:  (my electricity costs ($0.08/kWh)
Cost $2.18 per day; income @ $480/BTC = $8.80. (I.e. I am paid to heat my house this winter.)

Does that cost include the hardware cost?  (I note that 365.25*(8.80 - 2.18) = 2418 $/year/TH/s, correct?)

Quote
So no drop in hash predicted, and if the price drops to my marginal cost we may see old hardware from mining farmers go offline, which will be good for decentralization.

Why? I would think that the bigger farms are able to keep their equipment more up-to-date than small miners, and threfore have better efficiency.  Is it the other way around?

No the hardware cost 1 BTC per 1TH/s over the counter as of today but I bought it with BTC I mined when difficulty was last in decline (the end of 2011) so hardware cost feels like free.

I haven't done the hard maths but my take is Gen3 hardware efficiency is an order of magnitude more efficient than gen2. If price falls the big gen 2 mining farmers will be squeezed for profit and will have to sink new capital so in effect a fork in the road when it comes to a business plan. New growth so to speak old trees in the forest fall for new growth.

If price increase they keep gen2 hardware active. And there business grows. Old growth trees get bigger.

I'm thinking there is an opportunity for new growth, with retail gen 3 hardware, if price keeps falling, and more old growth if the difficulty trend continues, with price increasing, But price is falling and it could go below marginal cost for big farms, so only new hardware will be profitable.



580. Post 8631228 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: mah87 on September 01, 2014, 09:49:27 PM
ripple is the future, not bitcoin, you're all fools !!!
Glad to see you're well.
I'll never forget the crash after your last recommendation.
What do you say to the total inflation in ripple (fixed supply untill it's not)



581. Post 8632499 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: BitAddict on September 02, 2014, 12:20:07 AM
ripple is the future, not bitcoin, you're all fools !!!
Glad to see you're well.
I'll never forget the crash after your last recommendation.
What do you say to the total inflation in ripple (fixed supply untill it's not)

Now trading at $0.005. How much was it trading before total inflation?
Just wanted to know. Thanks
Ripple was dead to me when I understood it is centralized ( I can use it to buy Bitcoin and that's about it.)

I don't follow the price so I can't tell you. But this video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hinsnnc0VBk has some date you can look it up.

This just confirmed why centralization is problematic.



582. Post 8661485 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: grappa_barricata on September 03, 2014, 08:20:57 PM
Quote from: empowering

I watched a random bit of the video... he was talking about the fact that 'charity does not solve problems, merely postpone their solution', and i agree. But then, all of a sudden, he mention that 'private property is the problem'. WTF? At that point he lost me.

Private property is essential because the difference between us and what we call property are so thin that if we relinquish the right to own things to 'society' then the step toward relinquish the right to 'own ourselves' is short.

Of course this is just my opinion. At everybody his own.

Private property is a solution to "The tragedy of the commons" problem, it align, success with responsibility, (as a meme it has been the most successful cultural idea thus far) but is it not a solution, it creates a new problem.

Private property is problematic because it disrupts the free market, or ecology in nature (it allows for monopolies by decree), in that the granting of title to land, creates a right for one at the expense of the rights of others.  the "Private Property" Problem is what energized Marx - he elegantly illustrates the problem in his observation :Theft of Wood, and the Working-Class", where the aristocracy, to prevent people from taking wood from the forest - used in industry to create chairs, carts and cooking, the aristocracy then began to charge for it and punish those who didn't pay, (obviously the aristocracy were trying to prevent The tragedy of the commons - or get some of the action in a growing economy) but it had an negative effect on the wealth of the people, and a positive wealth effect on the aristocracy ie it was not only unfair but destructive as a whole.

 James D'Angelo presents the principal to the solution here, the future solution to the problem of property, he has applied it to a cap and trade system that effectively distributes equally the right to pollute to the individual level, (rights are only held by the living), and can be exchanged at will but remain an inherent right that cant be take away, just redirected according to free market principals. pure genius. check it out, vote for it its the future.  

the idea of private property is necessary as you point out, but it cant interfere with nature or fundamental right of freedom, and with bitcoin we now have a solution.



583. Post 8665553 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: cbeast on September 04, 2014, 06:09:32 AM
On Bfx:
No trades in 25 minutes
4 trades in 42 minutes, 5btc total

Pathetic.
Just like those three chartbuddy posts above.

Bitcoin is dead, nobody is interested anymore.
I was just about to say the same thing. Bitcoin is boringcoin.
This is going to be fun, back in the $2 range nobody was interested, then news of the Good Wife episode featuring Bitcoin took hold, speculators started buying in anticipation of all the exposure, it went up to $7 just before it aired and crashed down to $5 for the longest time.

I think COIN the ETF is our $2 good wife (we may have already had our "$7 moment"  . Adam I think of you always just like this  Wink http://youtu.be/Lzl5t1Sracc  Wink



584. Post 8736977 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 09, 2014, 12:00:22 AM
Perhaps an example helps.

Suppose @RPietila is now in the US (to simplify the example) and wants to buy a bottle of fine French wine that costs 500$ if paid in cash at the store -- just the current market price of 1 BTC -- with free delivery to @RPietila's location.  The wine merchant "accepts bitcoin" through Bitpay.

GOING THROUGH BITCOIN:

Years ago, when the price was 3$/BTC, all fees included, @Rpietila bought (say) 1.03 BTC for 3.09$

Today, @Rpietila clicks the bitcoin payment option and is directed to a Bitpay form that specifies the amount of bitcoin he must send, which is 1 BTC plus (say) 0.03 BTC to cover all the costs and fees.

@Rpietila transfers 1.03 BTC to the Bitpay address, shown on the form.  Let's suppose there is no fee for that.

Bitpay sends 500$ to the wine merchant's bank account. Pays a bank transfer fee for that, let's say 5$.

Bitpay sends the 1.03 BTC to Bitstamp and puts it up for sale.  Let's suppose there is no fee for that.

@JayJuanGee deposits 520$  into his Bitstamp account. Pays a bank transfer fee for that, let's say 5$.

@JayJuanGee buys the 1.03 BTC for 515$ (suppose that, by miracle, the price hasn't changed). Pays a trading fee on that, let's say another 5$.

@JayJuanGee withdraws the 1.03 BTC.  Let's suppose there is no fee for that.

@Bitpay now has 515$ in its Bitstamp account.  Withdraws 510$ to its bank account and pays a withdrawal/bank transfer fee of $5.

NET RESULT:

Bitpay paid 505$ (including one bank fee) and received 510$ (after all Bitstamp fees).  The 5$ difference is their processing fee.

@RPietila paid 3.09$ and got to enjoy a bottle of fine wine worth 500$.  He has the same amount of bitcoins that he would have if he did not buy those 1.03 BTC way then.

@JayJuanGee paid 525$ for the privilege of paying the rest of @Rpietila's wine bill (496.91$), plus three bank transfer fees, the Bitstamp trading fee, and the Bitpay processing fee; but he now has 1.03 BTC more in his hoard, nominally worth 515$, that he may be able to sell to @Erdogan tomorrow and thus pass that privilege on to him.

WITHOUT GOING THROUGH BITCOIN

@Rpietila clicks the bank payment option and gets the wine merchant's bank account #.

@RPietila sends 500$ to that account, pays a bank transfer fee of 5$.

NET RESULT:

@RPietila paid 505$ and got to enjoy a bottle of fine wine worth 500$.

CONCLUSION: Left as an exercise.


You forget Years ago, the price of a fine wine worth $50, and it's the fact it now costs $500, that we all want Bitcoin. Bitpay, are just working on ways to get you to spend your bitcoins nothing more nothing less, and they have to make a profit doing it or they'll disappear.




585. Post 8737049 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on September 09, 2014, 12:13:52 AM
Perhaps an example helps.

Suppose @RPietila is now in the US (to simplify the example) and wants to buy a bottle of fine French wine that costs 500$ if paid in cash at the store -- just the current market price of 1 BTC -- with free delivery to @RPietila's location.  The wine merchant "accepts bitcoin" through Bitpay.

GOING THROUGH BITCOIN:

Years ago, when the price was 3$/BTC, all fees included, @Rpietila bought (say) 1.03 BTC for 3.09$

Today, @Rpietila clicks the bitcoin payment option and is directed to a Bitpay form that specifies the amount of bitcoin he must send, which is 1 BTC plus (say) 0.03 BTC to cover all the costs and fees.

@Rpietila transfers 1.03 BTC to the Bitpay address, shown on the form.  Let's suppose there is no fee for that.

Bitpay sends 500$ to the wine merchant's bank account. Pays a bank transfer fee for that, let's say 5$.

Bitpay sends the 1.03 BTC to Bitstamp and puts it up for sale.  Let's suppose there is no fee for that.

@JayJuanGee deposits 520$  into his Bitstamp account. Pays a bank transfer fee for that, let's say 5$.

@JayJuanGee buys the 1.03 BTC for 515$ (suppose that, by miracle, the price hasn't changed). Pays a trading fee on that, let's say another 5$.

@JayJuanGee withdraws the 1.03 BTC.  Let's suppose there is no fee for that.

@Bitpay now has 515$ in its Bitstamp account.  Withdraws 510$ to its bank account and pays a withdrawal/bank transfer fee of $5.

NET RESULT:

Bitpay paid 505$ (including one bank fee) and received 510$ (after all Bitstamp fees).  The 5$ difference is their processing fee.

@RPietila paid 3.09$ and got to enjoy a bottle of fine wine worth 500$.  He has the same amount of bitcoins that he would have if he did not buy those 1.03 BTC way then.

@JayJuanGee paid 525$ for the privilege of paying the rest of @Rpietila's wine bill (496.91$), plus three bank transfer fees, the Bitstamp trading fee, and the Bitpay processing fee; but he now has 1.03 BTC more in his hoard, nominally worth 515$, that he may be able to sell to @Erdogan tomorrow and thus pass that privilege on to him.

WITHOUT GOING THROUGH BITCOIN

@Rpietila clicks the bank payment option and gets the wine merchant's bank account #.

@RPietila sends 500$ to that account, pays a bank transfer fee of 5$.

NET RESULT:

@RPietila paid 505$ and got to enjoy a bottle of fine wine worth 500$.

CONCLUSION: Left as an exercise.


You forget Years ago, the price of a fine wine worth $50, and it's the fact it now costs $500, that we all want Bitcoin. Bitpay, are just working on ways to get you to spend your bitcoins nothing more nothing less, and they have to make a profit doing it or they'll disappear.

The fees in this example are completely ridiculous. It is clear Jorge never bought Bitcoin. $5 to buy a Bitcoin? Get real.


AND Jorge, go out there and try earn a living, when I sell something to someone in the UK and they pay with PayPal, I pay over 4% to PayPal for the privilege - when doing business in CAD (the guy in the UK has to pay Paypal's GBP - CAD rate.  if I take a EFT in the UK there is no bank fee. (BitPay just do local transfers at a fraction of the cost.)

if I do bank to bank transfer i pay $60 and if over $5000 I then pay fee and a % of the total sent.



586. Post 8748263 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: justusranvier on September 09, 2014, 05:07:06 PM
The signal to noise ratio on the entire forum seems to slowly erode as time goes on (Bitcoin becomes more popular/increases in value).
There are public sector employees/contractors who get paid to do that to forums.

Today I learned they have a nice name: "Digital Influencers" here our provincial government activity employs them to spread misinformation in an attempt to degrade our education system, (divert funding)  never mind they are happy to fund private owned stadiums to the tune of $0.5 billion.

The positions are advertised and I believe they get paid by the number of solicited responses.



587. Post 8748436 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: Holliday on September 09, 2014, 05:27:17 PM
But one can fight it, using the same methods (words).

I disagree. You can't win an argument with a troll.
Agreed they are actual paid every time you respond. Best is put an idea forward and let the reader think.



588. Post 8748484 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 09, 2014, 05:50:22 PM
99% of the world could use CC DC banks and apples new ipayfasterthenyou

not a shit will be given.

nothing changed.

Until you use there service to buy Bitcoin, they'll be the new PayPal.



589. Post 8750808 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: the_sunship on September 09, 2014, 08:45:22 PM
LOL, superimposed on the video stream: APPLE WATCH: TELL YOU THE ACTUAL TIME! A WATCH THAT YOU WEAR ON YOUR WRIST!!

Unfortunately, it requires an iPhone in your pocket also.

So... What is the point of the watch? Didn't people stop wearing watches because they got phones?

No. But I would not wear some Apple watch that required nightly charging.

it seems very confusing market - wise. Yes, Iwatch is new and some people are going to get them, but they just introduced a bigger screen on the iphone. People want bigger screens on phones but smaller screens to wear? I don't get it. I'll be happy to read the reviews, especially for book reading and gaming - both of which I use my phone for. I can't imagine reading a book on a watch, but maybe I'm wrong. 

I read that the there is a huge second hand market for the competitors watches, meaning people buy them realise they have no function then sell them, applies watch will sell well but it won't catch on - if we see a new release of watch in 3 years I'll eat my words.



590. Post 8771781 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):



Times are changing - Bitcoin trending ahead of iPhone 6 what next.



591. Post 8782154 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

So I would like to point out that there is a possibility we can see a drift to the down side.
I'm thinking the mining race is not competitive enough and the cost of producing Bitcoin is relatively low given the current price.

In short we need to see difficulty increase until the cost of production is close to the price the market will pay, or the price to drop to that level. From there the squeeze and the pop and growth spurt happens.

The event horizon is coming with the next block halving, however it's looking like difficulty is slowing, (relatively speaking over the last 3 weeks)  

I'm watching for obvious indicators like a 100% increase in difficulty or 50% drop in price and anything in-between, so on the macro manipulation scale we're still in accumulation and dispersal mode.

Obviously anything goes in Bitcoin but for a stable bottom in price I'm looking for low margins on the cost of production.



592. Post 8794263 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: xyzzy099 on September 12, 2014, 05:51:32 PM

There can't be rigorous arguments in economics or other "soft sciences".  It is pointless to debate if we start disagreeing right there...


Is it really true that economics is a 'soft' science, or is it that people seem to have a ridiculously difficult time separating the philosophy of economics from the actual science of economics?

Every science, even the hardest of sciences, like mathematics and physics, also have multiple philosophies underlying them, but somehow people don't seem to get the two aspects confused.

Economics seems to be a special case in the sciences in a number of ways though.  It seems that scientific thought advanced steadily throughout history in pretty much every field except one - economics.  The ancient Greeks started to develop a science of economic thought, but somehow it seems to have just faded away, for reasons not entirely clear to me.  The situation stayed that way for quite some time, until Adam Smith reestablished economics as a science.

It has to make you wonder - how could one aspect of existence, especially one so vital to our well-being, be left so utterly neglected for so long?  Could it be that some folks have a vested interest in most people NOT having a real scientific understanding of economics?  Could it be that some people STILL have conflicted interests along these lines, and profit from blurring the lines between economic science and economic philosophy?

It hasn't been neglected thinkers like Ludwig von Mises and Hayek create a distinct divide between the social science and the actual science. the social science in economic = at what point do people start paying more for lobster than for cod, when calculating a supply and demand problem. the actual science is when there is a limited supply, the price will increase if the demand stays constant increases, or if there is monetary inflation and the demand stays constant the price will rise consistently if the new money is introduced equally.

it is for the exact reason that individuals are irrational and some are slow to learn, that Mises rejects the notion that you can objectively manage a central controlled money supply.

ie, it is because economists (of influence - Keynesian) blur the lines between science (as in the flow of gas moves from a high to a low pressure) to a social science as in (consumption is stable because per capita consumption of Ikea Lamps is constant - when what is actually happening is per capita consumption of lamps is declining, and due to the low quality more people are replacing them creating the illusion of stability.) and using that metric as an objective measure of price stability.

there is Economics the Hard science (the Austrian leaning View)
and there is Economics the soft science (the Keynesian View)

both are valuable, it just so happens that a central controlled economy is not an effective way to manage resources objectivly, so the soft science in economics should not venture parts the private hands of corporations.

the hard facts in any science are universal and can be leveraged but not manipulated, the same is true in economics the rest is the social science of economics.



593. Post 8794375 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 12, 2014, 06:27:39 PM
It seems that scientific thought advanced steadily throughout history in pretty much every field except one - economics.  The ancient Greeks started to develop a science of economic thought, but somehow it seems to have just faded away, for reasons not entirely clear to me.  The situation stayed that way for quite some time, until Adam Smith reestablished economics as a science.

It has to make you wonder - how could one aspect of existence, especially one so vital to our well-being, be left so utterly neglected for so long?  Could it be that some folks have a vested interest in most people NOT having a real scientific understanding of economics?  Could it be that some people STILL have conflicted interests along these lines, and profit from blurring the lines between economic science and economic philosophy?

Self-interest certainly plays a role.  For one thing, banks and financial companies employ the most economists and pay the best salaries.  That fact has an enormous influence on the axioms that economists choose, e.g. what should be the goal of economic planning and regulation, and what is taught at economics schools.  Even those economists who reject those axioms choose their own axioms based on their political preferences or business interests.  How could it be otherwise?

Lack of data is also another problem.  The world's economy is such a complicated system that no one can know its state and workings well enough to make any useful predictions.  Technological innovation is a major source of uncertainty. So are natural events and disasters (wars, droughts, eruptions, oilfield discoveries, nuclear meltdowns, etc.)

Yet another problem is that few if any economists have the mathematical knowledge and tools that are needed to usefully model a system of that size.

For example, some very crude models of the economy start assuming a linear feedback between, say, supply or price of each major product (oil, coal, electricity, grain, etc.) on the price of other products.  Mathematically, such a model includes a matrix of coefficients with tens of thousands of rows and columns, that express those mutual influences.    So, even if economists could get the data to fill that matrix, they would be unable to use that model for predictions or insight.  They would probably do what they do now: pick a few products, guess a few entries in that matrix, and pretend that they can make useful predictions from them alone, without considering the rest of the matrix. But one of the most important things one learns in linear algebra is that one cannot use intuition or shortcuts to predict the behavior of such linear feedback systems: small changes in just one of those millions of numbers could make the system behave in completely different ways.

that's why Bitcoin wins in the end, there are no system controllers making mistakes - not understanding systematic financial contagion, just millions individuals cooperating for the optimum outcome in pursuit of the Nash equilibrium.



594. Post 8794866 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 12, 2014, 07:05:23 PM
And even the simplest "economic atoms" are already way more complicated than a tropical storm...

Lol, that's the FUD the lie, the simplest "economic atoms" are supply and demand.



595. Post 8795152 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 12, 2014, 07:12:50 PM
that's why Bitcoin wins in the end, there are no system controllers making mistakes - not understanding systematic financial contagion, just millions individuals cooperating for the optimum outcome in pursuit of the Nash equilibrium.

That is the peisely point: "millions billions of individuals cooperating for the optimum outcome in pursuit of the Nash equilibrium" is just a longer name for the world's economy, including all the corporations, governments, regulations, criminals, etc., each one with its oun idea of what is the "optimum outcome"; and that is just too complicated a system to predict its future evolution with any confidence.  Including whether those billions will adopt bitcoin, or some other cryptocoin, or will stick to credit cards.
Progress Jorge, nice, now you being 1 in a billion do you put your faith in the people who are making life changing calls based on a system just too complicated to predict its future evolution with any confidence, or do put your faith in your local community the people you know and trust to figure out a path through the unknown?

Most Bitcoiners it seems to me are global community thinkers, and oppressed psychopaths, the difference in the real world it is the psychopaths are our politicians. The beauty in moving to Bitcoin is the psychopaths lose there power as the heard learns.




596. Post 8795384 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 12, 2014, 07:26:02 PM
And even the simplest "economic atoms" are already way more complicated than a tropical storm...
Lol, that's the FUD the lie, the simplest "economic atoms" are supply and demand.

No, the simplest "economic atoms" are suppliers and consumers.  Try making a mathematical model for either of them...

No you on the wrong track suppliers and consumers are a construct. You need to go back to the point you were born, it was demand (need) and supply (a loving parent) and as the relationship evolved (eating of an apple if you're religious) the earth the supply and people the need, the economic atoms of supply and demand are a fact in nature that determine the optimum for managing the limit of supply - and not accepting the limit is innovation,  psychopaths gaining control create a self managing system that is now obsolete.



597. Post 8795519 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 12, 2014, 07:58:20 PM
thinkers like Ludwig von Mises and Hayek create a distinct divide between the social science and the actual science. the social science in economic = at what point do people start paying more for lobster than for cod, when calculating a supply and demand problem. the actual science is when there is a limited supply, the price will increase if the demand stays constant increases, or if there is monetary inflation and the demand stays constant the price will rise consistently if the new money is introduced equally.

there is Economics the Hard science (the Austrian leaning View)

the hard facts in any science are universal and can be leveraged but not manipulated, the same is true in economics

Take the current bitcoin economy, for example (to stay on topic).  It has a single fungible "product" that can be moved instantaneously and for free across the globe, without "shelf life", etc..  It should be simple to make an economic theory for it that could predict its price, in the short or long range.

But one runs into problems right at the definition of "supply" and "demand".  The number of existing bitcoins is known and objective, but that cannot be considered the "supply" for price fixing purposes because some large holders will not sell (they say) for less than 10 k$/BTC, so it is like if those coins did not exist.  To simulate the price in the short run, what matters is the amount of coins that could be sold or bought for prices in the 200$--2000$ range.  The order books at the exchanges do not tell us that, because many traders keep their working assets outside the exchanges, and because there may be substantial OTC trading going on. 

As for demand, there is some demand for several utilitarian purposes, but we have no data about its magnitude. There is much evidence that it is dwarfed by the speculative demand for investment at various time scales.  And we do not have complete data about that either, for the same reasons above.

More importantly, the demand and supply of bitcoin can change drastically and unpredictably in a matter of hours, because they depend on the beliefs that buyers and sellers have about its future -- and those beliefs mat be radically changed by news, regulation, competition, etc..

So, what is the use of a neat and "rigorous" equation that relates price, supply and demand, if one cannot even objectively define -- much less measure and predict -- the future supply and demand?

This is why I think there is a possibility a 3 letter abbreviated agency may have invented Bitcoin, the monetarist have good models but they are ineffective because it is unenlightened self interest that adjust the unit of measure (the currency) , Bitcoin adds only one thing a fixed quantity of supply, this limits only the outer limits as the actual supply is manage by random individuals.



598. Post 8818741 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 14, 2014, 03:36:26 PM
Mining equipment generates lots of waste heat, I know... but this is ridiculous:
Quote
[ ... ] chip standard mining machine is constantly developing to advanced circuit, from the initial 110nm, to 55nm, then 40nm, 28nm, and 20nm and subsequent want out 16nm chip, chip beckons Bitcoin high-tech. Mining machine to roast cat, for example, now produced Bitcoin mining machine operator 820G force, power 1000w, priced at 1.04BTC, this price has been close in price now seems normal home computer ...

[ Courtesy of Google Translate from a random Chinese article  Cheesy ]

Jorge to draw an unpleasant metaphor, you're the bum picking up cigarette buts.

"Roast Cat" is friedcat and the tech discussed is this: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=735728.0

The price is now a lot lower than when the article was published.



599. Post 8833274 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: Teppino on September 15, 2014, 06:17:07 PM
dear mr manipulator:

1) fuck you
2) i won't sell no matter what
3) i will sleep very well even with btc @1$

When I see big dumping this is what I think http://www.arunjain.com/jokes/Shit_-_A_Bird_Story.htm
You'll have to hold tight Bitcoin won't go to a dollar but your faith will be tested.

In my view the manipulator on average are pushing the price up not down. Well that all changes with the coming ETF, as there will be new classes of manipulators, you won't know when you're falling or being dumped on.

Edit:
The manipulation game is to end up with more wealth not more Bitcoin.



600. Post 8849579 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: mah87 on September 16, 2014, 07:48:52 PM

well i didn't know that, that makes it all better....

If a bank with more than 20billions dollar in assets adopting Ripple can't make you rethink about the Ripple network then I have to say you are probably close minded.

Lol, this just makes it easier to buy Bitcoin From a Bank that's all.

But glad to have you back mah87, I was concerned you were drinking your own koolaid  Wink just before the last ripple crash.



601. Post 8850434 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):

Quote from: riiiiising on September 16, 2014, 08:24:05 PM
Damn, how many times I got to tell you guys?

The only reason price is still down at this level is because wall street is manipulating the market in one last ditch effort to buy cheap coins. Once they've had enough, they will allow natural organic growth to $1,000 and probably much higher.

Yes.  This.  

The same people that want to keep the price low will eventually want to pump it up.  I am just surprised how patient they are and how long they have kept the price low.   Undecided

They know that the longer they keep the price low, the more "weak hands" they can shake and get the price even lower. I'm optimistic, but in the short term I suspect we'll go lower still. Really, it's in the hands of our Wall Street overlords.  Grin

When they want it to go up again, it will be epic.

I think it's the other way around, coin price is high when you factor cost of production (excluding investment - water under the bridge) so cheap coins if you think just 6 months ahead, and a over supply at this time.

It's not week hands problem it's a lack of proponents with capital. I'm also thinking we go lower until mining profitability and demand stabilize, around marginal returns then we see a pop.



602. Post 8880420 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: dropt on September 18, 2014, 09:02:48 PM
Looks like the chinese miners (and not only them) are shutting down their machinery!!!! This IS the bottom!!!

Source?

More are coming online at an increasing rate, and will be untill we hit about $150.

This is the part of the growth stage of Bitcoin.

Maybe some GPU miners shutting down. Lol.



603. Post 8880495 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Quote from: raid_n on September 18, 2014, 09:05:59 PM
Obviously today continues to prove that the people that actually care about bitcoin, are orders of magnitude outnumbered by people who could give 2 shits about bitcoin.

What a great community to be involved in.

<Sigh>

I think bitcoin needs these cycles. This is how you distribute coins.
Either we will face complete failure or sooner or later there will be a rebound. Somewhat like  a phoenix rising from the ashes

This is how I see it, but some bulls still need to concede to the fact coins can't stay concentrated and have to spread before we can grow. So I think there is more pain for those over invested in Bitcoin.



604. Post 8969720 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on September 25, 2014, 10:31:20 AM
I understood that PayPal is merely accepting dollars from BitPay/Coinbase/Coinsetter and delivering them to merchants who subscribe to PayPal.  And for "digital goods" only. And only in North America. Isn't that so?

In other words, it is just like Dell: people who buy BTC now (on the exchanges or over the counter, in bulk or retail) are paying the shopping bills of owners of old cheap coins who choose to "pay with bitcoin".  Only that there is one more intermediary (PayPal) taking their fee.

Yip I know, quite exciting, all those countries that dont have PayPal, they can now make international payments / orders to the countries that support PayPal's - Bitcoin.

this is very positive news for small enterprises wanting to sell goods (virtual or otherwise) to countries where there are strict exchange controls or where PayPal in not competitive enough to be supported.  

the increased demand for Bitcoin is just a side show.



605. Post 8969796 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on September 25, 2014, 05:08:46 PM
Anyone else in here use Circle?

I've never experienced a better way to buy bitcoins. So easy my grandma can do it.
note to self never do anything shady* with "hyphymikey's" bitcoins, they have been tied to his identity.  Cheesy

ps. remember to declare all the capital gains on those coins they in the IRS ledger.

* shady here in Canada - or at lease British Columbia is buying something at a garage sale, or lemonade from a kids lemonade stand and not self assessing the tax and sending it to the government. You are also expected to self asses the value of gifts from out of Provence calculate the tax (PST) and send a cheque to the government for there share.

failure to do so is against the law and tax evasion. The truth is we are all evading tax in BC Canada, just now if you can track the money and put an identity to it you can technically collect it.  

I'm sure other parts of the free world have laws just as asinine.

so just think about how you get your bitcoin.



606. Post 9034225 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: Sandia on September 30, 2014, 08:34:50 PM
No confidence in the market.  The big fish want down, so we go down.  99.9% of us have no control over the market.

The better question is why do we keep buying to make them a profit with our losses?

I don't think it works like that. Where are the big fish going to put those profits, if they are invested in Bitcoin they want that wealth to grow not there Bitcoin balances. I think they dump to distribute coins, then when the stars align they buy back in to push the price up.

In my opinion the next trigger point will come when production costs equal market price, after a fiew key triggers the rocket will launch. Untill then it's us 99.9% betting against each other.



607. Post 9068933 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: prophetx on October 03, 2014, 04:33:09 PM
don't worry once Ebola starts spreading in the USA, no one will want to touch a dollar bill...
)
So this is how it happens, I'm waiting, I'm sure it's coming. The up side is central planners can have inflation with negative internet, and off to war we go.



608. Post 9086385 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on October 05, 2014, 03:38:57 AM
I don't know how to post my Putin eats bitcoin meme...
Try do it with sensitive consideration for his feelings.



609. Post 9099124 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Now withdraw your new BTC, it's not your's if you don't control the private key.

If this happened during the week I'd suspect BitStamp had a cash flow problem and was trying to attract fiat.



610. Post 9110279 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: TsuyokuNaritai on October 07, 2014, 12:43:49 AM
That manipulator at 350 thinks his wall is safe, we'll see.




LOL's looks like he got it in the balls.



611. Post 9111375 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on October 06, 2014, 08:28:50 PM
http://youtu.be/8cVlOWwsKgo?t=14m50s
Amir Taaki, goes ate shit thinks big on Keiser Report.

Wasn't he involved in the bitcoinica/intersango collapse?

Yes but his story checks out it's Peter Vessenes who has the shady story.
Also Mark Karpeles froze the unhacked funds - which Peter claimed, adding to friction between them.
Those funds are now part of the bankruptcy.

I some times wonder though, Amir pushing all this anonymity is helping the very person who destroyed his credibility.



612. Post 9144284 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: wet_blanket_banned on October 09, 2014, 06:45:05 PM

Banned again by bitcoin high priests for being a heretic. You do realize they don't ban people on the gold forums or any other investment for being bearish, no? Like I said, this place is faith based, and that is why it will fail... no fundamentals to back it up.

Did you know the user base of bitcoin is smaller than the frequent flyer club of Kuwaiti airlines? Bitcoin has been around for almost 6 years and nobody out there is interested. It's all faith based and controlled primarily by whales. The whales are your God (OK, so it's polytheistic.)

Market moves however they decide. Eventually they will pull the plug on the believers, and we're going back to single digit dollars.

Roll Eyes the fundamentals are there if you look, go back and check your sources on this then check the reference material, if you believe stuff just spouted out on you tube or here for that matter you deserve to get burned.



613. Post 9144731 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: mah87 on October 09, 2014, 07:12:54 PM
Bitcoin should be up shortly on the CFTC thing. They could be talking about it now tbh, not much recognisable as English in it so far :/
EDIT: Link again:
http://www.onlinevideoservice.com/clients/cftc/video.htm?eventid=cftclive

it doesn't matter, ripple has won already, udnerstand it now or buy some xrp later and far more expansive :!!!
Just for those who haven't got it yet. Ripple if successful will be like fiat, something you use to buy Bitcoin.



614. Post 9154349 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: justusranvier on October 10, 2014, 03:19:35 PM
i've got some damage control to do now
Make sure the private keys for your bitcoins are under your sole control, just in case.
Cheesy a little paranoid  Cheesy (must be single) if your other half doesn't like Bitcoin you've probably never had the opportunity to show them how it works.

Just a glimpse of the total time logged in is evidence of cheating. Thank a god my wife doesn't know those are 24 hour days.

Sorry to hear that Adam.



615. Post 9160264 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

@ adamstgBit
You're bringing the price down  Roll Eyes it sounds like you need to get to bed way earlier, you sound sleep deprived - get more sleep man.

And while your mood is depressing the price I'll through in some more unsolicited advice make a list of things that need doing and create a routine and stick to it. There is still lots of time to spend waiting on this forum for Bitcoin to rocket.

Meds treat systems not the problem.



616. Post 9160310 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 11, 2014, 04:06:51 AM

i love her.

Oh yes and while I'm being a a$$, "love" is a verb - a doing word.
It's looking like you're using the word "love" like a needy wanting word.

Get some good sleep and do something constructive that will be appreciated tomorrow.

And good luck,

Bitcoin is a messy meme and do doubt a big part of the issue.



617. Post 9160323 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: YogoH on October 11, 2014, 04:33:29 AM
Also , learn to sit down to pee in your own house. Trust me its not that bad and you never have to worry about missing.

Lol I learned to do that when I had to do my own cleaning cool thing is my kids do it too.  Shocked



618. Post 9160394 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Quote from: Richy_T on October 11, 2014, 04:44:03 AM
...and 2) toilet seat not open for discussion.

Don't get me wrong the discussion was had and preference were expressed - options are toilets seat up or pee on the seat.
"Up" is always preferred, my end of the bargain was to oblige and lift the seat, if she forgot to lift it when she was finished.

Still prefer sitting though.



619. Post 9204905 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: Biodom on October 15, 2014, 12:41:23 AM
interestingly, some people do loan out bitcoin through lending companies such as btcjam.com
Perhaps, it is OK to loan to miners, for example.
If you cannot make loans with bitcoin, it would be difficult to imagine bitcoin constituting a serious fraction of the overall economy.

sure and Pirate40 too, all I was describing was a general risk profile, during times of deflation one must save to realize value, during times of inflation one must invest to prevent loss. I'm sure many can find exceptions, but there is no way in hell I would lend to a miner, https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/calculator  
even when it was profitable to mine on GPU's, before the increase in price, I invested (lent money to miners) only to realize the increase in bitcoins value turned honest hard working folk into stammers who closed up shop and ran never to be herd from again.

regulation is not a counter balance for experience. lend all you want, if I'm wrong the market will penalize me, if not the lenders will be in trouble.

there is no problem loaning bitcoin, the market adds its own friction as is needed in the broader economy, when the value is going up dont be short, if it goes up 100% dealt is almost guaranteed if it goes up 200-1000% say goodby to your bitcoins, if the economy is shrinking and there is demand side inflation short / lend all you want, its a good time to do it.    



620. Post 9205314 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: mooncake on October 15, 2014, 01:50:49 AM
Prof Jorge,

This is for you: The Math Behind Bitcoin.

I wonder if Satoshi will win the Nobel prize one day?

EDIT: Meanwhile, serious mainstream publication has shifted their perception of bitcoin from libertarian and criminal activities to how the financial industry can innovate from the blockchain technology.

that is a great article thanks.



621. Post 9205993 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on October 15, 2014, 02:20:25 AM
Prof Jorge,
This is for you: The Math Behind Bitcoin.
I wonder if Satoshi will win the Nobel prize one day?
EDIT: Meanwhile, serious mainstream publication has shifted their perception of bitcoin from libertarian and criminal activities to how the financial industry can innovate from the blockchain technology.

Thanks.  But I knew the basics of the math (none of which was invented by "Satoshi", by the way).  

And thanks for the batch of fresh promises in the Economist.  Wink
It is fascinating how the maths brings about a paradigm shift to the meme of ownership, it's almost as profound as the realization that you can't take it with you when you die, except it's now mathematically proven ownership in reality can be as abstract as ownership in the afterlife.



622. Post 9226210 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: Tzupy on October 16, 2014, 07:16:04 PM
Anyone else notice TH1 swaps went down by like 60% in the past 24 hours? What are those?

Tradeable mining contracts.
http://www.coindesk.com/bitfinex-launches-tradable-mining-contracts/

I've never looked at mining swaps where do you see those? Is the exchange related to ghash.io?



623. Post 9226269 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: Tzupy on October 16, 2014, 07:20:30 PM
Anyone else notice TH1 swaps went down by like 60% in the past 24 hours? What are those?

Tradeable mining contracts.
http://www.coindesk.com/bitfinex-launches-tradable-mining-contracts/

I've never looked at mining swaps where do you see those? Is the exchange related to ghash.io?

http://bfxdata.com/combined/th1.php
Thanks looks like change
https://www.bitfinex.com/pages/announcements



624. Post 9237939 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: Richy_T on October 17, 2014, 06:49:26 PM
So....

Ebola: Bullish or bearish?
Ebola played correct = the end of coins and notes. This gives TPTB more fiat ammunition (inflation with negative interest)
It also represents an opportunity for Bitcoin.

But ultimately TPTB can steal more wealth from the people than ill gotten fiat gains from Bitcoin scams  can push up the Bitcoin price.

It's a PR race and TPTB have a lot more experience than there challenges.

So thinking bearish for now. But if stamp and Bitfinex go down I'm all bull.



625. Post 9286433 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: Raystonn on October 22, 2014, 03:20:42 AM
I am going to start using the term "bits" from now on when quoting prices.  I agree with Gavin.

Price is currently about $0.000387 per bit.  Let's go for bit-dollar parity!  Wink


The next parity target is 1bit = 1USDbit (12.5c)



626. Post 9286501 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: janos666 on October 22, 2014, 04:30:48 AM
I am going to start using the term "bits" from now on when quoting prices.  I agree with Gavin.

Price is currently about $0.000387 per bit.  Let's go for bit-dollar parity!  Wink


To be honest, I think this whole 21M thing and even more so the utilization of the decimal fractions make absolutely no fĪked sense for something like Bitcoin. This is just retarded in my opinion. A stupid mind trick and/or superstitious act which sacrifices logic and ease of use.
If I were the one to set up a maximum number for the coin supply, my first candidate would have been the highest possible number granted by the size of the underlaying integer or floating point variable but I would have revised it to an y=10^x (where x is a convenient whole number, something around 15 or 20).

Even if I make myself not caring about the 21 thing, but...
A decimal fractions?
DECIMAL FRACTIONS?

REALLY???
REALLY?HuhHuh

Makes no fĪcked sense. No no no... It's just wrong. Illogic and inconvenient = suboptimal ~ stupid.
Just as well then, it doesn't seem to me Satoshi thought we'd be using so many decimals, early on he proposed just moving the decimal point, and calling the new fraction Bitcoin. Seems some over enthusiastic programmers went and named and solidified the denominations making it impractical or confusing to go and just move the decimal point.



627. Post 9296856 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on October 23, 2014, 12:11:29 AM
Everything is based on risk/reward. If someone gave you 3-1 on a coinflip you would accept it instantly, but you could easily lose. Moreover, if they demanded you wager your entire net worth, the math would direct you to decline the offer.

Indeed.  The actual gain/loss is not linear on the monetary gain/loss.

If all your worth is 100'000$, earning another 100'000$ will only make your life a bit better; but losing 100'000$ woud be a terrible disaster, from which you may never recover.

So, taking that bet at 3:1 chances, even though it has a +50'000 expected monetary return, has a hugely negative expected actual return.  That is the reasoning behind the advice "only invest what you can afford to lose".
now apply that to economics, the 99% earn preinflation spend post inflation yet are clueless to the broader economic maths in our monetarist world, they just do the calculation with known information at hand, in the present only to learn (mostly never) the a central authority can change the risk/reward balance in the past with little regard for the future or for their benefit in the present at the stroke of a pen.



628. Post 9400673 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on November 01, 2014, 12:31:12 AM
Don't know if already posted, but the big and historical mining pool BTCGuild shuts down on government regulation:

Pretty big news...


http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2kwmhd/btcguild_shutting_down/


"it is a scary landscape to continue operating in"

It's shutting down (being sold) because the owner sees the risk of continuation as higher than winding up.

Apart from a fiew legitimate subpoena there has been no overwhelming government interventions (still NY licence is a threat)

Still never been hacked but with bugs like heart bleed and bash the risk of being hacked can be stressful. And the competition from big mining oppressions paints a shrinking business opportunity. One where you can't recover from a hacking.

The owner has contributed positively to Bitcoin and is held in high regard.



629. Post 9484180 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: 79b79aa8d5047da6d3XX on November 09, 2014, 01:50:09 AM
More likely, he got dumped.  Sad
Or he dumped us.  Smiley



630. Post 9484230 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: justusranvier on November 09, 2014, 12:43:17 AM
I'd prefer if a competent member of this community would put a bit more effort before forming convictions, on the other hand.
You're making unwarranted assumptions about my background.
I'd say gambling is a little extreme, not to defend TA, but those Stock Bitcoin traders, they provide a valuable service.
When I started here I saw no value in TA, but I've come to appreciate it's just another tool to be used in conjunction with others.



631. Post 9503310 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: jaberwock on November 11, 2014, 01:06:42 AM
Where the hell did adam go??

he got arrested in the SR2 bust Sad
is this speculation?



632. Post 9515802 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: PeteAugustus on November 12, 2014, 04:25:33 AM
When will it be at $1500 and is altcoins like Coin Magi XMG hurting btc?

Alts can't hurt Bitcoin, the scams help distribute Bitcoin and die, and the innovative ones grow the market cap.

Now Alts hurting Bitcoin investors is another story trade at your own risk, maybe safer to mine and hold.

Bitcoin is about 6 years old every year has begun an order of magnitude higher than the one before. It would be nice to keep this trend going this year.



633. Post 9515812 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: explorer on November 12, 2014, 05:04:09 AM
And shorted at 381!!!

Sorry for your loss.  Playing with fire is so much FUN though!

Lol I sold a huge chunk market always moves against me so yip going up.



634. Post 9515885 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on November 12, 2014, 04:48:06 AM
2015 could be re-run of 2013 at new order of magnitude scale, i.e. ~$2600 around March/April and ~$10k by end of year 2015.
Smiley I don't like spreading rumors but this looks like it, and feels the same, I sold a lot of coin in 2012 just before I got left behind, and I'm in the same position again.



635. Post 9516122 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: janos666 on November 12, 2014, 06:01:56 AM
...places that haven't participated significantly in the previous waves, like Argentina, Phillipines, Canada, Mexico, Australia, U.K., Carribean, Switzerland ...

Canada? Are you kidding?

Home of Ethereum, first public BTC ATM, rich mining tradition?

Maybe you should add Germany, the USA, Russia and China to the list. LOL

Hey, give him credit for not joking with Africa! Tongue

What,  Africa's looking strong
Bitcoin made easy: http://youtu.be/X0vtsjw_iDY best Bitcoin add yet.



636. Post 9528116 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

What's up with CaVirtex, it's been lagging all afternoon / evening I've exhausted my fiat over there, otherwise I'd give it a nudge, I bet that's Adam cleaning out his closet.



637. Post 9548861 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 15, 2014, 04:50:24 AM
Would the ripple fans please help me understand it?

Ripple is a system, based on cryptocurrency ideas but centralized, that banks can use for international remittances and interbank transfers of national currencies.

Ripple (XRP) is also the name of an altcoin, created by the same company that is developing the Ripple system; it is somewhat linked to the system, but is not a necessary part of the system, and probably will not be used by the banks that will use the system.

Is the above correct?

Thanks...


As I understand it, it's not too different from how money is created now, It's a p2p system of trust for issuing and managing debt, anyone can put economic energy into the system that becomes the money, you can do work for someone and receive remuneration from someone else, the ripple system handles who what when, and where no trust relationship exists you can bridge the gap with XRP.

The problem I see is when non banks (people like you and me) start using the system, as we are not professionals when it comes to rating credit worthynes we will issue credit that is likely to result in a default.

I like the idea of banks using it as it's probably has some advantages over the central bank,  still haven't wrapped my head around why people speculate on XRP though.



638. Post 9567718 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 16, 2014, 02:21:50 AM
Here's the [ formula ] I use:

Bmo = N x A

Bmo ~ total value bitcoin M0 (also called 'market cap')
N ~ total number of entities holding bitcoins
A ~ average Amount of value holding entities are willing to hold in btc

It appears likely that N is only going to keep increasing for the forseeable future (perhaps with exponential adoption rates at times).

A will stay around the same but also may increase as the confidence in holding value in btc becomes firmer.

You can let N to be any number of people, as long as it includes all people holding bitcoins in some time interval of interest and A is the average over that same set of people. 

So, let N be the number of all people who have held some bitcoin at any time since January.  Then N is fixed.

The Bmo of bitcoin has fallen 50% since January.  Therefore A must have fallen by that much, too.  So much for "A will stay around the same".

The formula is problematic also because it does not take into account the dynamics of BTC investing.  It seems that most of the extant bitcoins are held by "old" inactive investors, who are confident enough to hold them for a while longer, but were not confident enough to buy more coins over the last year.  (If the price keeps falling and they eventually decide to sell at 100 $/BTC, their old bitcoins would still have been a great investment, but any bitcoins acquired over the last year would have been a terrible one.)

So, the contribution to the A factor of those old investors does not depend on their confidence in bitcoin.  Rather, the amount of BTC that they are willing to hold is constant, and the amount of value that they are wlling to hold in BTC varies according to the market price of BTC, as determined by the Chinese traders.

In that case the value of A does not determine the market price, but is passively determined by it -- making the formula useless as a predictor of price.

VC's are doing their value added inputs (like the miners before them) once that market has a little more hierarchy, I can visualize it will be like the miners before them they'll realise it's cheaper to buy coins than build business to skim off the top.



639. Post 9574009 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: Eal F. Skillz on November 17, 2014, 08:08:59 PM
Adam should lock this thread in 10000. page and start new one. 1.5 years passed.

the reason this one was started was because there was no page number trunking, and you had to scroll through over a thousand page numbers links before you got to the posts.

and because people sometimes posted funny "memes" this was the serious tread ;-) only wall talk.



640. Post 9586381 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: mah87 on November 18, 2014, 09:21:24 PM
Ripple is the future bitcoin will be forgotten within 2years

Derp.

Newbies tend to not understand what's going on. It's ok you'll change your mind.
Good to see you're well.

FYI Newbies be concerned that XRP is about to crash. This is how it starts  Smiley



641. Post 9618265 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 22, 2014, 02:35:04 AM

Fiat is *designed* to lose value over time.  That's what discourages hoarding and encourages investing.  Who but in idiot would invest in a business that earns 10% a year, when one could get more by simply keeping his money in a mattress?  (The Bitcoiner's Dream)  Fiat is not intended to be a good store of value.

Regardless of Bitcoin's claim to be a good store of value, over the last year Bitcoin has really been losing it--even when measured in USD!  And since we both agree that fiat is utter shit store of value, how shit does that make Bitcoin?

how does one save if one is always forced to speculate on the market, or are 10% profits guaranteed every year? oh yes I forgot they are, and the poor suckers at the bottom who earn those inflating dollars last pay the highest price, gosh I love systems that propagate poverty.  



642. Post 9632597 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: Elwar on November 23, 2014, 06:21:41 PM
I'm still hodling someone will dump posts so I can be on page 10k.

HODL!


I think I missed the bubble again.
Lol this



643. Post 9643474 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 24, 2014, 07:44:48 PM
Wired, 2014-11-24:
Brock Pierce from The Bitcoin Foundation is bullish about the future of... something?
http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2014-11/24/bitcoin-myspace-cryptocurrency-blockchain

He sounds like a BlockStream yes man.

These people recently put out a proposed change to the Bitcoin protocol to tweak the mining incentives achieve the following:
Quote from: Sidechains white paper
In this paper, we argue that it is possible to simultaneously achieve these seemingly contradictory goals. The core observation is that
“Bitcoin” the blockchain is conceptually independent from “bitcoin” the asset



644. Post 9643801 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

Quote from: conspirosphere.tk on November 24, 2014, 08:08:54 PM
Wired, 2014-11-24:
Brock Pierce from The Bitcoin Foundation is bullish about the future of... something?
http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2014-11/24/bitcoin-myspace-cryptocurrency-blockchain

He sounds like a BlockStream yes man.

These people recently put out a proposed change to the Bitcoin protocol to tweak the mining incentives achieve the following:
Quote from: Sidechains white paper
In this paper, we argue that it is possible to simultaneously achieve these seemingly contradictory goals. The core observation is that
“Bitcoin” the blockchain is conceptually independent from “bitcoin” the asset

I vote for leaving bitcoin alone

We don't get to vote it would be a soft fork so only miners need make the change.
BlockStream have derived a way for miners to earn extra income by merge mining SideChains so it's a win win for them and the miners and a threat to Bitcoin as is.

No need to panic yet they are at least 6 months from testing before anything new is proposed.

Just a good idea to get educated.

The irony is to change the block size to allow Bitcoin to grow is a hard fork and requires the majority to agree.



645. Post 9750977 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.37h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on December 05, 2014, 07:19:40 PM
Why do people rack up thousands of posts on a forum for something they....

1.) Don't think will succeed
2.) Don't seem to really enjoy

I don't get it.

The trolls are paid to be here. Some just try to cover shorts by manipulating those who have no resistance to the force.
the rest of us enjoy learning, and think Bitcoin could succeed.  



646. Post 9761237 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.37h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on December 06, 2014, 09:15:35 PM

With all of the mining ROI going away I can see money pouring into the price from people who do the math and realize mining with current hardware + electricity costs (not free) is likely not worth their time.

Better off buying bitcoin directly.

And the cycle continues.....once again.

Mining ROI is still good enough in other countries whre the electricity costs are next to nothing.

Now that mining difficulty has flatlined more miners are obviously keeping some coins rather than buying new HW, thus we might have less supply of coins for a while.

The flat dutifully is great for ROI, I think many mining hardware investments have had a ROI, now the risk (price volatility)  discourages growing your mining investment (possibly encourages first time miners though )

I expected the average miner to be saving a higher present of coins so yes I think supply will be shrinking although I don't expect it to reflect in the price until mining becomes marginally profitable.

So a long sideways or a drop and a big ramp.



647. Post 9789006 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on December 09, 2014, 06:39:59 PM
@Blitz - How much have you made through BTC?

I wish I knew about it in 2011.



The question should be how much BTC have you made Smiley

I knew about in 2012.. and flubbed it by being too cheap to risk just building a mining computer which I could've used as my gaming rig if worse came to worse.. SO SILLYYYYYYYYYYYY

but I mean who knows how long you would've held etc.. etc

One does not simply make Bitcoin. The obvious 256 hashing aside, I'm sure most traders have more value but less Bitcoin, ultimately this is the long term trend for growth, while we wait it's a good idea to buy low and sell high.    



648. Post 10219295 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: Richard Branson on January 20, 2015, 05:58:26 PM
I mean shit, imagine you had put 50 bucks into BTC every week or 2 weeks from the time it started... I can bet you would be so far ahead right now, not bad for savings.

Savings you can not use, without crashing the price totally.
If you started buying 6 years ago, you had now tens of thousands of bitcoins.
Let's say, you need that "money" for something you can't buy with bitcoin -> you are fucked  Cheesy
Of course you only lost approx 15k $ in total, not very much.
$15k is not lost you can access that without crashing the market, the rest is an investment in the idea, the hopes and dreams of the community.



649. Post 10281608 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 27, 2015, 07:54:41 PM
http://www.coindesk.com/california-regulator-coinbase-exchange-regulated-licensed/

fucking coinbase. they dont even have a 1/3 of states

And they were, um, obfuscating when they claimed to be the "first" licensed US exchange.

And they were also, er, obfuscating when they let people to think that client BTC balances are insured.

And, furthermore, they were, ahem, obfuscating when they left the impression that client USD balances are insured by FDIC.

Yip welcome to the world of finance, still the Bitcoin protocol is functional so yes the facts stay the same you can only claim the Bitcoin associated with the private keys you control exclusively.

Everything else is a mirage.

Jorge, out of all the Bitcointalkers I follow you would be the last to get scammed, the only hurdle you need to overcome is understanding the system and buying a few Bitcoin.

You might as well just get some just in case your wrong. Think of it like keeping some bottled water in the pantry in case of emergency.



650. Post 10595650 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: noobtrader on February 27, 2015, 02:24:26 AM
wall of text  Grin

plagiarized Wall of text.



651. Post 11287299 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 05, 2015, 01:10:55 AM
Can anyone guess which events may have caused the bubbles that peaked before 2013-10?

We call them growth spurts BTW,  Wink the reference you mistakenly refer to as a bauble was sparked by the release of functional ASIC's in my opinion, it happened a little while after halving, which was a bit of a letdown as the anticipated price increase didn't happen.

I imagine 2013 -10 saw the first supply shortage, as AsicMiner brought the first industrial ASIC farm online and the few other ASIC'a hit the market. this changes the distribution and supply dramatically, I also imagine all those suckers who invested with Pirate40, bought back in during that time, that time frame would have given them just enough time to get over the tragic loss.  



652. Post 11315505 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on May 07, 2015, 08:44:06 PM



Legal documents and 'official' certificates now look like some kind of hokey toys or historical artifacts lacking relevance in the e-world, hard to take them seriously after seeing how much BS backs up the broken legal/political system behind them versus a digitally-signed notarised hashed-into-blockchain permanence.

I looked with a glance and thought aaah, gold colored paper with an relief impressed onto it, (mmmm, the hollow remnants of a time when gold was gold, now superseded by cryptographic signatures) I don't feel reassured that A they wont do something wrong, and B the government won't revoke the privileges.  



653. Post 11544188 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Quote from: xyzzy099 on June 05, 2015, 05:43:02 PM

oh come on! such ludicrous BS downloading 20MB is SOOOOOOOOO costly

Quote
“A very large block size would be problematic for miners because the network bandwidth between China, where the majority of mining is done, and rest of the world is heavily restricted. Important proposals like these need to factor in all of the nuances of the global landscape.”

the bandwidth between China and rest of the world is <20MB every 10 mins?

I think the problem the Chinese miners are concerned about is that, because of their lower bandwidth, they are already at a bit of a disadvantage with block propagation time, which increases the likelihood that their mined blocks may be orphaned - and increasing the block size increases that problem.


no it doesn't tho, just because the block size limit is higher doesn't mean network traffic is going to jump up dramatically...

nothing is going to change, their arguments are based on hypothetical nonsense.

Increasing the chance a block will be orphaned doesn't require that 'network traffic jump up', it just requires that that one block be propagated to the network more slowly than another simultaneous block.

20Mb Block capacity is not 20MB block tragic, its just preparation for the next growth spurt, if we cant handle 20x the amount of users (more like 8x the number of users now) and traffic its going to be a little disappointing, moving you BTC is going to be like having Gox coins when the network jams up.  Once the new 20x user realize how shit it is to use, demand will dry up, and your transactions will clear.

Shit thing is having coins stuck in the network won't allow you to sell, - best we keep the 1MB limit, and you all move your coins to Coinbase, OKCoin and Bitfenix, hope they don't Gox, and sell off chain at the peek to the next bag holder who wont be able to move them.

Who needs a functioning Bitcoin anyway, well have SideChains and Coinbase and Circle, we can just use that, it'll be better.




654. Post 11544393 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on June 05, 2015, 06:49:05 PM

It seems that a somewhat more accurate headline would have been: "BTCChina and Huobi agree that the current 1 MB block size limit is too small, but think that 20 MB would be too big"



you know there are only 91 nodes in the whole of China, if anyone over there wants to use Bitcoin they would need depend on one of the other 5000 nodes over here, i don't think they have much bargaining power.



655. Post 11955296 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: ElGabo on July 23, 2015, 07:38:44 PM
I'm not a trader or TA fan or something.

But what about this:



at scale (if history was to repeat) the second black circle should take us sideways until early 2016.



656. Post 12062305 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: dreamspark on August 05, 2015, 05:05:10 PM
Im so excited about the halving, whether you think its going to go up or down no one can argue that the uncertainty is gonna bring some volatility so us traders can finally make some good money again.

its sentiment like this that reminds me of weird Twilight Zone episodes.

The Block subsidy is inflation that devalues all our savings, it also necessary to incentivize security. It,s not so much a reward halving, it's a transaction cost subsidy halving and inflation halving.

The halving is a scary time, it's a big culling and a shake up. The last halving was anticipated by a big run up and then a slump, it wasn't until the drop in inflation kicked in and the liquid supply dried up that the markets went wild.

ultimately I think the same thing is going to happen again, except this time it'd different, there is more risk, bigger investments at stake and I think well see some a more volatile trend line and its going to be harder to predict.

make no mistake nothing is a given there is risk.



657. Post 12180062 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: POM on August 19, 2015, 02:57:11 AM
let it crash so i can buy up  Grin

|Not so sure its plain sailing, i think there are some early adopters dumping. the bitcoin ecosystem is too centralized, and the censorship is now in dangerous territory.





658. Post 12180082 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Fiat_Hodler on August 19, 2015, 03:44:45 AM
I dont get why people are scared of the fork, either you get 75% of the netwrok and change to the new BTC or you dont get 75% and it stays the same.

No need to worry or anything. Ridiculous...

they not scared of the fork just the misinformation from the Cripplecoiners, mainly the censoring and blocking of the views and discussion from those interested in increasing the block size from being discussed on Reddit and here on bitcointalk.org.



659. Post 12180103 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on August 19, 2015, 02:16:45 AM
feels a lot like the action on the silk road take down flash crash (which began the major 2013 major leg up), like market is waiting for some "news" to flush out the last of the weak hands before hitting major bull mode ... and $161 on finex is now double bottom no?

this is how it works new actors and coin distribution = new market information. this is the one chance those cripple coiners get to buy in before we say good buy. (up or down)



660. Post 12180163 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: brg444 on August 19, 2015, 04:01:57 AM
feels a lot like the action on the silk road take down flash crash (which began the major 2013 major leg up), like market is waiting for some "news" to flush out the last of the weak hands before hitting major bull mode ... and $161 on finex is now double bottom no?

this is how it works new actors and coin distribution = new market information. this is the one chance those cripple coiners get to buy in before we say good buy. (up or down)

Would you please stop your bs and concern yourself with supporting what is essentially NSA-XT http://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/bitcoin-dev/2015-August/010379.html

if that's true it's the cripple coiners to blame, they are holding the network hostage with limited transactions calling the only option to allow bigger block next year a unnecessary rush. Gavin has found a willing option to increase the block size in XT.



661. Post 12180271 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: brg444 on August 19, 2015, 04:17:32 AM
feels a lot like the action on the silk road take down flash crash (which began the major 2013 major leg up), like market is waiting for some "news" to flush out the last of the weak hands before hitting major bull mode ... and $161 on finex is now double bottom no?

this is how it works new actors and coin distribution = new market information. this is the one chance those cripple coiners get to buy in before we say good buy. (up or down)

Would you please stop your bs and concern yourself with supporting what is essentially NSA-XT http://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/bitcoin-dev/2015-August/010379.html

if that's true it's the cripple coiners to blame, they are holding the network hostage with limited transactions calling the only option to allow bigger block next year a unnecessary rush. Gavin has found a willing option to increase the block size in XT.

I think it's quite clear by now there is consensus that blocks should eventually increase. As such there is no "cripple coiners". Only people in disagreement as to how we should proceed.

Where is the demand for your transactions !? I'm not seeing it. Except some useless spam tests the network is in no way, shape or form, "held hostage". This is just another one of you XT supporters urgency "hyperbole"

Gavin has been compromised and working with Hearn to sabotage Bitcoin or shape it into a corporation playtoy.

It's time we rid ourselves of these two dangerous government shills. It's been a long time coming really...

Get to grip with reality and stop making yourself sound like a retard.

"Herrppp it's the cripplecoiners to blame for Gavin siding w/ a known Bitcoin-breaker and promoting a divisive fork riddled with NSA extra-code, derpppp"

demand can come at any time, its not rushing anything to implement a temporary measure to allow bigger blocks that executes next year.
non the less, it seems the science and the maths behind the incentives implies that the miners will limit them selves and its just the ignorant that think they need the laws of me to govern the block size.



662. Post 12180291 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 19, 2015, 04:23:04 AM
If bitcoin gets backed by the NSA is this bullish?

it looks like BS nothing to substantiate it. I think the dump has to do with theymos locking threads that talk about why we need bigger blocks defining talk about bitcoin with bigger blocks off topic, here, on bitcoin.org and on r/bitcoin.



663. Post 12180302 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: brg444 on August 19, 2015, 04:37:40 AM

It's not a temporary measure it's a network fork.


every orphaned block is a failed fork get over it its software. r/bitcoin is not a place you can reference it has a bias enforced by moderation.



664. Post 12195186 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: brg444 on August 20, 2015, 04:04:27 PM
Advice: Just think of XT as a security valve. If the core deadlock continues, the miners will opt out Wink

And leave Bitcoin in the hands of "benevolent" dictator Mike Hearn and his blacklists? Sure...  Roll Eyes

Bitcoin XT is the only viable implementation of BIP 101, that is the only reason miners and node hosts are switching, if you had been paying attention this debate it about avoiding dictatorships not supporting them.

Mile knows as well as you that fungibility (no black green or red lists) is essential for bitcoin to succeed as money, he discussed an idea and yes I agree with you, that he even entertained the idea is a little disturbing.  

if he is as clueless as you it will be much easier to not employ his changes than it is to improve bitcoin with BIP101.  



665. Post 12195395 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: brg444 on August 20, 2015, 05:19:34 PM
indeed, if you don't trust Mike and Gavin's XT code, but (for some unfathomable reason) you do trust Adam and Greg's Core, and Wladimir, Jorge, Pieter, Matt, Todd, Mark and all the others

You pathetic pathological lying POS

These developers are listed on Blockstream's "Team" page: Adam Back (President), Greg Maxwell, Pieter Wuille, Matt Corallo, Mark Friedenbach, Rusty Russell, Patrick "Intersango" Strateman, Jorge Timón, and Glen Willen. There may be others. Luke "Tonal" Jr works for Blockstream as contractor. Peter Todd works half-time for Viacoin, an altcoin that claims to be bitcoin done right -- e.g. with 25 times faster confirms.

Who is paying Wladimir's salary now?

Who's paying Mike's or Gavin's? You think these two are free from conflict of interest?

What really matters is you trolls still haven't been able to put forward a legitimate case of Blockstream benefitting from small blocks that doesn't rely on pure conjecture or total inability to grasp what it is they are doing.

I think your hijacking this tread too. (I'm sorry theymos closed down the thread where this debate was happening, some times when the truth is a treat authoritarian interests have to silence it and delete posts.) 



666. Post 12196926 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: coinpr0n on August 20, 2015, 06:23:07 PM
Bitcoin XT is the only viable implementation of BIP 101

It is not.  Any miner can make a copy of XT and remove the patches that he objects to.  Or make a copy of Core and add only those XT patches that implement vote-triggered 8MB limit.

If you are not a miner, you (or any programmer you trust) can make a copy of Core, simply raise the size limit to 8 MB,  and start running that version any time before the fork actually happens.

I'm not sure the masses of adopters are gonna do this / or even know-care about the possibility. Vanilla XT is the intended norm.

I'm part of the Any miner people, I'll just use XT I can write a script but compiling code that's complicated stuff, I'll leave that to the developers.



667. Post 12203005 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: BitChick on August 21, 2015, 01:16:05 PM
Saw an article this morning.  http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/the-blackmail-of-ashley-madison-users-has-already-begun/ar-BBlXLTH?li=AA54ur I guess a extortionist group called "Team GrayFlay" is already threatening to blackmail Ashley Madison users in the hack and they want payment only in Bitcoin.  From the article
Quote
Unfortunately your data was leaked in the recent hacking of Ashley Madison and I now have your information. If you would like to prevent me from finding and sharing this information with your significant other send exactly 2.00000054 bitcoins (approx. value $450 USD) to the following address…
Quote
If Team GrayFlay (or any other blackmailer, for that matter) emailed all 32 million account holders, and just 0.01% of them agreed to pay up the $450 (Ģ288) ransom, it would still earn them $1.4 million dollars (Ģ0.9 million).

So I guess this is bullish news?  Not sure how I feel about making a profit on the heels of extortion though.   Undecided

It's bullshit news that if you are cheering on you spouse and you want to keep up the moral facade it's can be bought with Bitcoin. For everything else there's Master Card.



668. Post 12220584 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on August 23, 2015, 01:56:02 PM
Two known CIA/NSA assets infiltrated in the Bitcoin community - Gavin Andresen and Mike Hearn - have joined forces to push a hastily concocted privacy nightmare/scamcoin, which they call Bitcoin-XT.

It is currently completely irrelevant, owing to an absolute lack of financial, economical, technical or social support.


How they are known to be CIA/NSA assets ?
Anyone who wants to see the Bitcoin Improvement Proposal that allows more user's to interact on the blockchain are CIA/NSA Assets.

If you personally know you're not compromised it's in the best interests of the Bitcoin network that you run a node that includes BIP101.



669. Post 12220678 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 23, 2015, 02:45:18 PM

lol wtf


first off you can't have anyone and everyone "the community" making changes as they please to the code base without completely destroying that code.

second, if anything XT proves just how decentralized Bitcoin dev is, and at any point in time a change can be made WITHOUT consensus via forking, whether or not this fork is accepted  by the community is another story.

third, TLDR too much nonsense

The nonsense is centralized developers calling the evolution hostile, blocking discussion, and spreading FUD. The bottom line more users will not break Bitcoin and preparation for more users as soon as next year isn't rushing anything.

Bitcoin development is centralized about 90% of the network runs centrally developed code. That group of developers are actively pushing to move Bitcoin transactions and their fees off the blockchain.

Moving Bitcoin fees off the blockchain will compromise security as the block reward diminishes.



670. Post 12240347 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on August 25, 2015, 05:42:33 PM
Trading on bitfinex has resumed.

That's what happened last time but trading stopped again after about half an hour. How long will they manage to keep their trading engine running this time before it freezes, or is frozen deliberately by them for some reason or other? This has been happening too often.


sounds like every time the market moves in any major way they freeze .. apparently your only allowed to trade on bitfiniex if the market is moving sideways. they must have some serious issues over there.

I think it's frozen again, there have been no trades for the last 8 minutes. It seems like they give about half an hour's trading then freeze the market when it starts moving up or down by a few dollars. Gox used to attempt fixing their trading platform while it was running and Bitfinex seems to be attempting it now.

https://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/3iccq1/bitfinex_frozen_again_for_btc/

"Update again:

We will be halting the trading engine again for a few minutes to update positions and balances with the trades."



Is this going to end with a Gox 2.0? (edit, Gox not God ;-) got to love auto correct on my phone)



671. Post 12266575 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on August 28, 2015, 02:40:07 PM
The problem is that our usual discussion thread for this type of thing (Gold Collapsing. Bitcoin UP) was locked by the Forum Administrators.  Furthermore, my submissions to /r/bitcoin are all censored now.  Since I've lost my two favourite outlets, my Bitcoin addiction is leaking into nearby threads...

http://bitco.in/forum/threads/gold-collapsing-bitcoin-up.16/

Only 43 newbies over there and not a single hero!

Why did they close down the old thread in the first place? It used to be a nice place to collect info. Anyone knows specifics? Undecided
Yeah, such a shame. That was about the only thread i actually read together with Masterluc's en Klee's thread.

Bitcointalk is not doing good these days. Trolls are allowed but cypher gets censored.

all this time we were worried about central control systems from outside but it turns out they are like cancer they grow from within.  



672. Post 12266619 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Quote from: hdbuck on August 28, 2015, 02:53:19 PM
The problem is that our usual discussion thread for this type of thing (Gold Collapsing. Bitcoin UP) was locked by the Forum Administrators.  Furthermore, my submissions to /r/bitcoin are all censored now.  Since I've lost my two favourite outlets, my Bitcoin addiction is leaking into nearby threads...

http://bitco.in/forum/threads/gold-collapsing-bitcoin-up.16/

please just go there.  Smiley

says the guy who attackers new bitcoin users - it's like you want to stop the bitcoin user base from growing ;-)  oh btw I'm sure your arrogant and ignorant personality is welcome over there. you may want to get a username early so you can earn a hero tag early.



673. Post 12305413 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Quote from: shmadz on September 02, 2015, 02:47:45 AM
Someone many pages back linked the Gavin interview, https://youtu.be/B8l11q9hsJM

Pay special attention at roughly 1:14:40 , the first and maybe only interesting question, let me paraphrase:

Brian: "so, if this fork succeeds, how will decisions be made in the future?"

Gavin: "Mike Hearn will be the benevolent dictator, he will be the ultimate decision maker."

...

He goes on to explain how he does not want to be in complete control, nor do any of the devs that currently have commit ability, but he is completely happy and ok with Mike as the sole controller and decider. He even goes in to mention that future changes will be much easier and will happen much more quickly once this change is made.

I know XT is already dead, but I just wanted to point out to anyone that was still unconvinced that Gavin has been compromised... He is either completely brain dead, or he is deliberately trying to end bitcoin's function as a permissionless, censorship-proof means of storing and transmitting value.

It's ok to have dictators if we have many Bitcoin implications.Mike can do what he likes with XT if it's not good for Bitcoin use another centrally controlled implementation. The problem now is we only have one choice with the centrally controlled development of Core.



674. Post 12609561 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.27h):

Quote from: dre1982 on October 05, 2015, 05:31:53 PM
Wow, Cryptsy and the Garza family business is corrupt! Next you'll try telling me that Mark Karpeles is an incompetent, latte drinking, fat, price fixing, thieving piece of shit. No way dude! lol

The constant flood of crooked exchanges, criminal businesses, unfavorable laws and developer infighting is turning Bitcoin into an international joke. Bitcoin seriously needs a PR firm.

Damn what's happening with a the big exchanges. First Mtgox, Mintpal and now this news about Mintpal. Can't Bitcoin just get some good news about exchanges.

The trick is only trade on exchange dont keep too much there.

The quality of exchanges is expected to change as time goes on. 
here is a new one with lots of coins in the background.

https://blog.gemini.com/



675. Post 12862133 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Quote from: xyzzy099 on November 02, 2015, 08:19:03 PM
If Core can't find a way to scale the network with a reasonable amount of safety and security in TWO YEARS, then they are incompetent and need to make way for better developers. 

How much time is a reasonable amount of time for you?  I really want to know. Give me an actual number.

That is a pretty bold statement about solving a non-trivial computer science problem.  I'm sure your patches will be accepted if you have a solution.

I think the problem is that you assume that increasing the blocksize fixes the problem.

I imagine a future where all manner of services that are currently ad-supported or subscription-based might instead be payed for with bitcoin microtransactions, seamlessly and transparently.  There could be millions, or maybe even billions of transactions per day from all these page views/minutes of video/etc. - vastly more than even Visa handles at peak capacity.  And add to that all the microtransactions that might be generated by devices on the Internet of Things, that none of us know the extent or nature of yet.

I don't see how increasing blocksize will handle this.  Even data-center sized nodes may not be able to handle all those microtransactions.

I don't claim to know what the answer is, but I am pretty sure that block-size alone won't do it - and lurching down that path in a non-judicious way could lead to permanent problems that will be painful to work around in the long term, after a real solution is found.

I'm certain blocksize alone WON'T fix all scaling problems, but it would buy us time. All it would take right now is a doubling of transactions to crash the network.  This problem was important, but now it's urgent as well. A doubling is well withing the realm of possibility in mere months and is approaching the probable. 

Creating a market for transaction fees needs to happen AFTER we reach mainstream adoption or we will never reach it. Yahoo mail, Facebook, Google all knew not to monetize too early.  That's why they're still around. I hope we'll be around when billions of cryto microtransactions becomes an issue.

I don't really think that the people resisting block-size increase are just interested in creating a transaction-fee market.

I don't work for Blockstream, nor am I a Core developer - but even I can see that there is potentially a heavy price to be paid (in terms of Bitcoin decentralization) if we rush head-long down the path of block-size for scaling - and this could turn out to be a mistake that can't be undone, AND one that does not really solve the problem in the long-term.

I don't see the urgency you do for raising blocksize right now.  Full blocks are still uncommon (except during "stress-tests").



We want users now, we plan to let them join in 3 months stalling block size growth because we dont want centralized nodes 20 years from now is damaging bitcoin - its myopic.  If we hit a growth spurt like in 2013 well see a minimum of 10X transaction growth and the fee pressure will increase disproportionately, limited transaction volume will push feed over $1.00 in value for the smallest transactions. Fees will kill the competitive advantage bitcoin is offering.

small blockests think the fee should be around $7. We the users are paying for low fees by subsidizing miners with inflation of 25BTC every 10 minus. we need economics of scale - more users to reduce fess as inflation subsidies diminish.  Centralization is a concern, but we have 90% of nodes running centralized code the number is actually irrelevant when the code changes are controlled by a centralized few who believe bitcoin can't scale and want to change it to accommodate off block chain transactions. 



676. Post 12862530 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Quote from: hdbuck on November 02, 2015, 09:25:02 PM
If Core can't find a way to scale the network with a reasonable amount of safety and security in TWO YEARS, then they are incompetent and need to make way for better developers.  

How much time is a reasonable amount of time for you?  I really want to know. Give me an actual number.

That is a pretty bold statement about solving a non-trivial computer science problem.  I'm sure your patches will be accepted if you have a solution.

I think the problem is that you assume that increasing the blocksize fixes the problem.

I imagine a future where all manner of services that are currently ad-supported or subscription-based might instead be payed for with bitcoin microtransactions, seamlessly and transparently.  There could be millions, or maybe even billions of transactions per day from all these page views/minutes of video/etc. - vastly more than even Visa handles at peak capacity.  And add to that all the microtransactions that might be generated by devices on the Internet of Things, that none of us know the extent or nature of yet.

I don't see how increasing blocksize will handle this.  Even data-center sized nodes may not be able to handle all those microtransactions.

I don't claim to know what the answer is, but I am pretty sure that block-size alone won't do it - and lurching down that path in a non-judicious way could lead to permanent problems that will be painful to work around in the long term, after a real solution is found.

I'm certain blocksize alone WON'T fix all scaling problems, but it would buy us time. All it would take right now is a doubling of transactions to crash the network.  This problem was important, but now it's urgent as well. A doubling is well withing the realm of possibility in mere months and is approaching the probable.  

Creating a market for transaction fees needs to happen AFTER we reach mainstream adoption or we will never reach it. Yahoo mail, Facebook, Google all knew not to monetize too early.  That's why they're still around. I hope we'll be around when billions of cryto microtransactions becomes an issue.

I don't really think that the people resisting block-size increase are just interested in creating a transaction-fee market.

I don't work for Blockstream, nor am I a Core developer - but even I can see that there is potentially a heavy price to be paid (in terms of Bitcoin decentralization) if we rush head-long down the path of block-size for scaling - and this could turn out to be a mistake that can't be undone, AND one that does not really solve the problem in the long-term.

I don't see the urgency you do for raising blocksize right now.  Full blocks are still uncommon (except during "stress-tests").



We want users now, we plan to let them join in 3 months stalling block size growth because we dont want centralized nodes 20 years from now is damaging bitcoin - its myopic.  If we hit a growth spurt like in 2013 well see a minimum of 10X transaction growth and the fee pressure will increase disproportionately, limited transaction volume will push feed over $1.00 in value for the smallest transactions. Fees will kill the competitive advantage bitcoin is offering.

small blockests think the fee should be around $7. We the users are paying for low fees by subsidizing miners with inflation of 25BTC every 10 minus. we need economics of scale - more users to reduce fess as inflation subsidies diminish.  Centralization is a concern, but we have 90% of nodes running centralized code the number is actually irrelevant when the code changes are controlled by a centralized few who believe bitcoin can't scale and want to change it to accommodate off block chain transactions.  


there is no we.

you are just as ignorant as one of them hobo hanging around with a "the end is near" panel around his neck.

such a clueless pathetic nobody.

also, for the millionth time, increasing the blocksize will not bring moar people to bitcoin.

seriously, what logic is this? you brain dead XT zombie.


we are all here cheering about the price surge, yet the only ones coming around with their fud and conjectures are the XTards, Mikey Hearn doing the dumbest blogpost ever, with all the tears and butthurt he is filled with.

so fork off man, just do it since you are so smart.. then you'll see what consensus and economic majority really means. Roll Eyes


Lets just move the block limit to accommodate them if they come just in case.



677. Post 12874225 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on November 03, 2015, 08:38:27 PM
this shorter is going all in
What shorter? There's only 9300 BTC swaps on BFX. It's just a seller. 

BTW, thanks bulls. I just made so much money shorting today, that I can dump again if you wanna take another swipe at $420.

So you opened you're just when exactly? When we busted through 380? 400?  Roll Eyes

I call BS

I started shorting @ $399 and kept shorting the whole way up.  I could have shorted twice as much, but after covering @$380, I know have enough to safely short Three times as much if we come anywhere close to $420 again.  I also transferred in some coins I was using for arbitrage just so I have some extra margin.

Try it again, Bulls. I double dare you.  See if I'm bluffing.   

dude you've really gone off the rails, sort yourself out.

first with all the big block crap and now this shorting shit ... you used to be a model bitcoiner, what happened to you?

I not brave enough to short like that, but its the small blockests - censoring that have left the free decentralized model Bitcoins club.



678. Post 12874350 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: AlexGR on November 03, 2015, 08:52:21 PM
Smallblockers happened to me. Scale or die.

Terabytes of blockchain that are to be filled with junk, with near zero cost, does not equal scaling but an open-wide attack vector to destroy BTC.

We should put you in charge. you seem to know how people should spend there money!  remind me again who in bitcoin land has the power to decide which bitcoin transactions are junk?

money velocity is not junk, its a fundamental measure of an economy, we have a limited supply so the only place to grow is increased velocity.  

and "at near zero cost"? what planet are you on!

we are paying miners with Bitcoin inflation 25BTC every 10 min. it's still early days and needed for security while we grow economies of scale.

you choose:

Limit Block Size we'll see 1MB blocks push tx fees above $10. per transaction. (if the new users think its a good idea and pay to use bitcoin it may gorow - demand in bitcoin is not a given dispirit what some Core Developer - Experts think)

or

lets the free market decide and let in an extra 1000 transactions generate the $10 fee along with added security in diversity.  



679. Post 12874390 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: brg444 on November 03, 2015, 09:12:55 PM
Smallblockers happened to me. Scale or die.

Terabytes of blockchain that are to be filled with junk, with near zero cost, does not equal scaling but an open-wide attack vector to destroy BTC.

Then fuckin find a solution that works! I don't give a shit how it's done but it's got to get done.  Years and years to figure out a way and if they can't come up with a scaling solution, then either they are incompetent and need to be replaced or they are intentionally obstructing progress and need to be replaced.



god .... you guys, pull yer heads out of yer arses and look around.

you lost the argument, get over it. there's solutions all around and many more on the way, for real. Just because you're not technical doesn't mean you're not being listened to ... but come on, when better brains say "we got this" then let them get the fuck on with it without all the back-stabbing!!!

Well to be fair technical stuff is not his strong suit...

How's that supposed to work? How many "blockspace" do I get for 1 bitcoin?

Easy. 1/21,000,000th of the whole chain.  I answered your question, now you answer mine. If I'm not buying space on the blockchain when I'm buying bitcoin, what am I buying?

So for 1 bitcoin I get 1/21,000,000th of the whole chain? Are you for real? Were you hit over the head with something?
Nope. I get one twentyone millionth of the whole damn chain. 4 eva. If you think that's too much, then perhaps you are selling your coins too cheaply.

If I'm not buying blockspace when I'm buying bitcoin, then what the hell am I buying?

Small blockers gon'a small block.



680. Post 12874468 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on November 03, 2015, 09:14:09 PM
Smallblockers happened to me. Scale or die.

Terabytes of blockchain that are to be filled with junk, with near zero cost, does not equal scaling but an open-wide attack vector to destroy BTC.

We should put you in charge. you seem to know how people should spend there money!  remind me again who in bitcoin land has the power to decide which bitcoin transactions are junk?

money velocity is not junk, its a fundamental measure of an economy, we have a limited supply so the only place to grow is increased velocity.  

and "at near zero cost"? what planet are you on!

we are paying miners with Bitcoin inflation 25BTC every 10 min. it's still early days and needed for security while we grow economies of scale.

you choose:

Limit Block Size we'll see 1MB blocks push tx fees above $10. per transaction. (if the new users think its a good idea and pay to use bitcoin it may gorow - demand in bitcoin is not a given dispirit what come Core Developer - Experts think)

or

lets the free market decide and let in an extra 1000 transactions generate the $10 fee along with added security in diversity.  

give it up, you and your buddy doc's gang lost. This is not the time or the place. Find another venue, we're here to have fun and talk about markets not display butthurt on behalf of the failed vendetta of a shill.

Bitcoin don't die like that, I have nothing to give up. I'm here a I just want to pump the price and look at trains.

The fact we are headed into a brick wall with limited transaction volume is a concern. We can take the brakes off, hobble bitcoin or we can open it up and let new users in.

I'm here to help everyone secure there bitcoin on the Bitcoin Blockchain and encourage it to grows in value for all.  



681. Post 12874496 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: Dilla on November 03, 2015, 09:23:07 PM
Never short a rally retards.

LOL, the steam engage is stoked the boilers is full and some coal is on its way.



682. Post 12874551 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: AlexGR on November 03, 2015, 09:24:48 PM
Smallblockers happened to me. Scale or die.

Terabytes of blockchain that are to be filled with junk, with near zero cost, does not equal scaling but an open-wide attack vector to destroy BTC.

We should put you in charge. you seem to know how people should spend there money!  remind me again who in bitcoin land has the power to decide which bitcoin transactions are junk?

The miners.

Quote
money velocity is not junk, its a fundamental measure of an economy, we have a limited supply so the only place to grow is increased velocity.  

Money velocity of multiple dust transactions = spamming the blockchain and bloating BTC.

Quote
and "at near zero cost"? what planet are you on!

Can I make a script right now and start spamming the blockchain when it is in low-utilization days, with almost zero fee tx's? The answer is yes. Even with 1mb limit. And it will be far easier to do that with 10mb limit. And that's irregardless of the mining fee. You cannot simply implement a higher blocksize without enforcing a system that prevents cheap malicious use of that capacity to self-destruct BTC. It would be an idiotic move of epic proportions and people would then say "so, we are at the mercy of script kids right now?" and then claim BTC devs are incompetent for not having foreseen how their actions are enlarging the blockchain by the tens of gigabytes, and how they (or the miners) must take action to prevent this kind of spamming, and how useless these devs are for not preventing it in the first place through fee competition in a much more limited block size, etc etc.

Do whatever you what with your money, I'm sure the miners will love your fees.

I like how you focus on the emotional appeal to a centralized authority to save us and ignore the obvious economic consequences. Bitcoin is not going to scale if you dont let go and let new users buy in.

Quote from: Adrian-x on November 03, 2015, 09:11:04 PM
we are paying miners with Bitcoin inflation 25BTC every 10 min. it's still early days and needed for security while we grow economies of scale.

you choose:

Limit Block Size we'll see 1MB blocks push tx fees above $10. per transaction. (if the new users think its a good idea and pay to use bitcoin it may gorow - demand in bitcoin is not a given dispirit what some Core Developer - Experts think)

or

lets the free market decide and let in an extra 1000 transactions generate the $10 fee along with added security in diversity.  



683. Post 12874579 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: spooderman on November 03, 2015, 09:27:57 PM
2 years of build up.

anyone else euphoric right now?

I haven't felt like this since I saw bitcoin go up $5 during the second great growth spurt and my 5 year old tells me "bulls are very happy today Dady"



684. Post 12874626 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: bitebits on November 03, 2015, 09:30:51 PM
Great post on Reddit:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/3rd4i5/can_we_be_sober_for_a_second/

Still: choo choo!


I see a rush on Block size - or are Blockstream hoping to have an off-chain solution so you can keep your Bitcoin off the Blockchain? - the the race is on,  get you BTC out of the exchange - treat an exchange like a cold shower a quick in and out.

this is what AlexGR calls spam.



685. Post 12877152 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: ssmc2 on November 04, 2015, 03:32:55 AM
Anyone else not sleeping tonight?  Cheesy Undecided

actually i like waking up to a surprise. it's always a surprise even when the price stays the same.



686. Post 12887481 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on November 04, 2015, 07:57:48 PM
Lol you guys all sold or something ?

China is showing no signs of slowing down, this isnt over soon.

It appears that way... bulls turning to bears and talking down in hopes of buying in at lower prices. That's how tarmi's and kwukducks are created. Sure, we may have some dips here and there, but why would this end now? A day before the auction? Mid-week? Why not a weekend dump? The way I look at it, I have held this long, why sell now? I'm not thinking about selling until we're past the old ATH. This rise has been violent, but that 2 year down trend wasn't pretty either.  We're heading to a new ath by the halving, and I wouldn't be surprised if we tested the old one before 2016.

the auction is tomorrow?

its all making sense now.

I wonder if this guy: Marc Andreessen who just sold 15% of his stake in Facebook for $31.9 million may be playing the market - pushing up the price a little so he can make a successful bid before pumping bitcoin with a limited supply.




687. Post 12887772 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on November 04, 2015, 08:51:00 PM
Lol you guys all sold or something ?

China is showing no signs of slowing down, this isnt over soon.

It appears that way... bulls turning to bears and talking down in hopes of buying in at lower prices. That's how tarmi's and kwukducks are created. Sure, we may have some dips here and there, but why would this end now? A day before the auction? Mid-week? Why not a weekend dump? The way I look at it, I have held this long, why sell now? I'm not thinking about selling until we're past the old ATH. This rise has been violent, but that 2 year down trend wasn't pretty either.  We're heading to a new ath by the halving, and I wouldn't be surprised if we tested the old one before 2016.

the auction is tomorrow?

its all making sense now.

I wonder if this guy: Marc Andreessen who just sold 15% of his stake in Facebook for $31.9 million may be playing the market - pushing up the price a little so he can make a successful bid before pumping bitcoin with a limited supply.



Marc Andreessen holding 31.9Million in fiat?

its making even more sense now.

fuck man you guys are in the know!

this lines up with VCs Andresen Horowitz known to be pushing behind the scenes for big blocks (Hearn is on their payroll and they are anchor investor for Coinbases financial data-mining operation) ... pump the price to put some 'real' transactional pressure on, pump it up for big blocks by pushing Gavin and Hearn to put out 'timely articles, and rally the usual paid shills on the forums (hi guise Smiley) ... making money and changing the world (in their image)

such pessimism, but thank you, I searched for 45minuts trying to get his position on block size and gave up (people wright so much crap on Bitcoin its amazing).  but you hand it to me on a silver plaster xxx.

hey I'd be more afraid of the tightens of network manipulation (the Blockstream investor list)  - funding Bitcoin Core development to remake Bitcoin to fit their vision.




688. Post 12992279 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on November 17, 2015, 12:06:57 AM
GhostSec, a hacktivist off-shoot of Anonymous, has claimed to have followed a chain of transactions and found a Bitcoin wallet containing $3 million which they say is linked to the self-proclaimed Islamic State terror group and Friday’s Paris attacks.

Read more: http://sputniknews.com/europe/20151116/1030223381/paris-attackers-alleged-bitcoin-wallet.html#ixzz3rhXvubak


Idiots! Why don't they use Monero? It's soooo much better for financing terrorism! And if it goes to h,  maybe reptilias castle will be raided.

I'm sure you may find some of that $600milion the US gave to ISL in the last congress sanctioned assistance package is being used irresponsibly, it seems ironic that 99.5% is not questions because it in the open and the media chose track the 0.5% that filed through to bitcoin, if it did.  



689. Post 13635504 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.41h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 22, 2016, 01:30:19 AM
"Socialism" is loosely defined as "social ownership and democratic control of the means of production."

That is more like the definition of "communism".  

To me, socialism is more general term that contrasts to "capitalism", in the sense of bein more society-oriented rather than individual-oriented.  Among other things:

(1) each individual should be rewarded by society in proportion to what he does for society, rather than by his possestions, descent, titles, intelligence, shrewdness, etc.;  


(2) property and economical rights of the individual are not absolute but are subordinate to the interests of society as a whole,

(3) the state is supposed to provide public services like health care, education, social security, transportation infrastructure, emergency and security services, etc.;

(4) the state should try to ensure equal opportunities to everybody and ensure that everybody has a decent minimal living conditions.

Socialism definitely does not imply state ownership of the means of production; but it implies state regulation, e.g. to force companies who provide vital services like water or electricity to charge reasonable prices, respect quality standards, provide basic service even to unprofitable areas, etc..  It admits, but does not require, that such services be provided directly by the state, by civil servants or through state-owned companies.

Socialism implies protection of consumer rights and mandatory product quality and safety standards; but is quite compatible with free market economy.  In fact, as part of protecting consumer rights, socialism implies state intervention when needed to keep markets free, by preventing the formation of monopolies and cartels.

living in one of the more Socialist Countries, point 1 is a little backwards, (it works just like more capitalist countries, the more you can extract from sociality the less you need to contribute.)  

in theory it should be more like:

each individual should be rewarded by pay to society in proportion to what he does for society, rather than by his possessions, descent, titles, intelligence, shrewdness, etc.;



690. Post 13647151 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.42h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on January 23, 2016, 02:33:51 AM
Didn't Satoshi consider the possibility that a hard fork could be contentious? Why isn't this a real concern?

Its supposed to protect the network, the problem is most people cant see who is creating the so called "controversy" and the "toxic environment" hint, its not the people wanting to scale bitcoin by allowing more people to interact with the blockchain directly.



691. Post 13647503 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.42h):

Quote from: Cconvert2G36 on January 23, 2016, 03:45:44 AM
poor Austin...

Quote
“I know a number of Blockstream people are frustrated by people who aren’t discussing things with them, talking to other media outlets

 Huh Huh

have you asked theymos what might be the problem?  Just sayin, like.

Hory Sheet.That drop.  Shocked

I am currently serving a 30 day ban on /r/bitcoin

My offence? I replied to Maxwell to counter some ridiculous claims he was making.

Blockstream is not interested in discussing anything with anyone, and openly censors people who do not back them 100%. Cry me a river, they can go pound sand for all I care

If anyone was wondering why the same 10-15 posters on r/bitcoin seem to be all in agreement...  Sad

No I had though there was a change in sentiment for a minute, but maybe the shilling (digital influencer) budget ran dry and "they*" are waiting for the end of the month to refresh the shilling budget before they carry on with new new FUD.

* I mention no names to avoid censorship.

I also noticed that blocks aren't full so maybe the FUDing starts when there is fire in the kitchen and is there to prevent attention shifting to the need for bigger blocks. 



692. Post 13647704 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.42h):



I though I'd just leav this here because its probably censored elsewhere. source



693. Post 13675672 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.42h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 25, 2016, 07:24:16 PM
Longterm Bitcoin has to gather enough fees to survive, without fees no miners.

Or in your business language: We can give away our product for free, said no successful business ever.

edit: the fees will longterm lead 1:1 to Bitcoins security. the higher the gathered fees the higher the security of the network.

Without fees, no miners. So people will pay fees to keep their transactions getting on the blockchain and miners will select transactions which help pay for their business. This isn't rocket science.

The problem comes when someone comes along and interferes in this negotiation between customer and service provider and distorts the value proposition.

More explictly: by Greg's argument, the UN should impose a worldwide production limit of 1 million liters of soft drinks per day.  Otherwise, the manufacturers like Coke and Pepsi have to give way their products for free,  they would go broke, and there would not be enough soft drinks for everybody.  

BITCOIN: The world's future global value transmission system, secured by 1000 PH/s of mining power and by a developer team who would bankrupt a homemade lemonade stand on the first day.

quoted for truth.

Well it's nice to see you rooting for bitcoin, I see you just dot promote investing in it.



694. Post 13710050 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.42h):

Its strikes me as funny and disingenuous when the Core Mini block proponents shot down Gavin Andresen's (over a year ago) proposal that was ready to implement allowing bitcoin block size to scale with demand.

The reason back then was we don't need it and if blocks fill up we can just quickly hard fork to accommodate the new users. Needless to say we can't implement an increase today a year later because it's "technically not feasible" and we need at least 12 months to schedule it.  

Sounds like a delay tactic, it is.

If you've been paying attention there has been a lot of compromise on behalf of the proponents for Bitcoin growth. They have moved to compromise limiting max block size down and down until it's an insignificant 2MB limit. (that's the size of 1 Web page every 10 minutes)  

In contrast Adam Back (a Blockstream employee) who ones argued limiting bitcoin growth to a max of 2 - 4 - 8MB increase happening every 2 years as reasonable compromise, Has today signed a big deal with one of the world's biggest Global corporate fanatical services firms PwC.  to use his team of Core Bitcoin Developers to optimize bitcoin to fit their needs.

Not surprising he is now arguing that the Bitcoin network should not exceed the 1MB limit as it can't handle blocks any bigger than 1MB for technical reasons.  

The Blockstream effect is real, it reared its ugly head when they introduced the idea of moving bitcoin value off the Blockchain onto less secure sidechains and now this.

this is full bear mode if you ask me, we're entering a great buying opportunity, should the bitcoin we know and love be allowed to scale or this could be some new paradigm where bitcoin takes a new turn.

either way I think we could exsect Bitcoiners who though PwC customers would be buying bitcoin, are now rebalancing as PwC buy the Bitcoin Developers.  



695. Post 13767856 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.43h):

Quote from: iCEBREAKER on February 03, 2016, 07:14:37 PM
Europe wants end to anonymous Bitcoin transactions

Money-laundering powers seen as crimp on terror funds if virtual currencies offer (unlikely) help
3 Feb 2016 at 07:18, Simon Sharwood

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2016/02/03/ec_virtual_currency_regulation_suggestion/



sure they are, the EU wont let you sell XMR to buy a prepaid credit card or anything without KYC.



696. Post 13841536 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.43h):

Quote from: xslugx on February 10, 2016, 08:14:57 PM
the price is getting to grow right now a little bit i wonder how will the classic release affect the price

Don't worry it won't ^^

There is no reason for the release of btc classic to affect the price!
Only the size issue will affect the price right now.

This ^^,  and I'm relatively confident that lots of bitcoiners will buy back in when we successful hard fork away from the PwC partnership to limit Bitcoin block size. Once that blockade is broken the sky's the limit.



697. Post 13895954 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: Elwar on February 15, 2016, 07:48:36 PM
People buying ETH thinking it's a commodity with a maximum limit.

 Roll Eyes

I was thinking of shorting this ETH bull run is it possible to do it on Margin?



698. Post 13896002 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: spooderman on February 15, 2016, 08:20:03 PM
where's trolfi these days?

he's hanging out on reddit surprisingly he's defending our beloved Bitcoin to the bitter end.

https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/45rqb3/heres_adam_back_stalling_master_hei_gavin_lets/czzykx4?context=3



699. Post 13896103 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on February 15, 2016, 08:42:59 PM
where's trolfi these days?

he's hanging out on reddit surprisingly he's defending our beloved Bitcoin to the bitter end.

https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/45rqb3/heres_adam_back_stalling_master_hei_gavin_lets/czzykx4?context=3

No he's insulting Bitcoin and advocating GavinCoin
GavinCoin WTF is that, Gavin is the longest standing developer he's taking heat for personal attacks, the only questionable thing he's done is visit the CIA and the CFR, and that was to tell them how bitcoin worked.

You just need to look at what he's produced to know he's pro bitcoin.  

GavinCoin means squat, try looking for facts!



700. Post 13896187 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: wachtwoord on February 15, 2016, 08:51:06 PM
where's trolfi these days?

he's hanging out on reddit surprisingly he's defending our beloved Bitcoin to the bitter end.

https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/45rqb3/heres_adam_back_stalling_master_hei_gavin_lets/czzykx4?context=3

No he's insulting Bitcoin and advocating GavinCoin
GavinCoin WTF is that, Gavin is the longest standing developer he's taking heat for personal attacks, the only questionable thing hes done is visit the CIA and the CFR, and that was to tell them how bitcoin worked.

You just need to look at what he's produced to know he's pro bitcoin.  

GavinCoin means squat, try looking for facts!

He's trying to make Bitcoin inflationary. He's a socialist. He's an enemy of Bitcoin.

GavinCoin is a fork of Bitcoin that increases the block size or the coin supply.

such ignorance off block chain transactions backed by Bitcoin fractional reserves will be inflationary.

You need to interact with the blockchain directly to avoid inflation! all those who think Satoshi's bitcoin is broken can support GMaxCore and watch TPTB take it over. First on the list PwC clients.



701. Post 13896221 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: hdbuck on February 15, 2016, 08:56:26 PM
Meh dont mind this adrianx cypherdoc fanboy, he is clueless.

what you doing here mr x? papa peter r got a lollipop for you in that cicrlejerking forum of yours.

I'm just here to see who pipes up to cry fowl when I dump. ;-) you don't seem too concerned about bitcoin anymore now that Monero's doing well.



702. Post 13906394 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: craked5 on February 16, 2016, 06:05:52 PM

Yeah the network is fucking clogged xD
LOL'ed, thanks, it may be a strategy to lock up old coins.  Roll Eyes



703. Post 13906410 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: mainpmf on February 16, 2016, 06:30:25 PM
$10 up and the entire network is clogged up.

go bitcoin


Edit: You know what to do. Appreciate!: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1305286.msg13368792#msg13368792

Well if the network is clogged up they'll have to react quickly at least!

Takes 1 year from when you start to react quickly. problem is we've been debating why we don't need to start for since 2013.



704. Post 13906450 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on February 16, 2016, 06:32:27 PM


Those aren't mutually exclusive... in fact , transparency is one thing I'm advocating to deflect these types of attacks.

So if someone wants to support the network by running 10 HQ nodes with fiber, that's a problem in your mind?

actually a 2MB block is about the same size as an average webpage over the last 2 years. It's not about bandwidth or capacity, its about control and investment FUD.  

the bitcoin network can handle the equivalent of 1 webpage every 10 minus. If one is concerned you should upgrade, this isn't 1995.



705. Post 13906692 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: bitebits on February 16, 2016, 07:01:15 PM
Wow. The explosion of puss, poison, and vitriol seems to suggest some kind of boil has been lanced.

Crassic has failed, what's next now on the maximally FUD bitcoin agenda I wonder?

Do you realize like this you are FUDding as much? I liked the old marcus_of_augustus better, all the trolling got to you.

i'm sure his ID has been compromised along with theymos, I used to respect the old marcus_of_augustus, he was an independent thinker.



706. Post 13908271 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: Meuh6879 on February 16, 2016, 07:25:13 PM
actually a 2MB block is about the same size as an average webpage over the last 2 years. It's not about bandwidth or capacity, its about control and investment FUD.  

do a resync of the blockchain :
- first 30Gb = 6 years of Bitcoin
- last 30Gb = 1 years and 8 week of ... Bitcoin

Yes, SegWit is safe heaven for privat node.

in today's world 6TB of disk space $300
(100% growth in bitcoin = 2MB blocks ~60GB / year)

- $300 = 100 years of storage space @ 2MB blocks.

**SegWit is safe heaven for ignorance for everyone else we need bitcoin growth.**

note to the ignorant, (@Meuh6879) its not about blockchain size so much as it's about p2p bandwidth for transmitting blocks, which has improved exponentially in 6 years.

SegWit does not reduce network capacity to transmit blocks, if anything it increases miners orphan risk as they now have a higher computational necessity to validate a block before a block can be validated and relayed.  




707. Post 13908352 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: Tzupy on February 16, 2016, 08:27:42 PM
anyone else feeling increasingly bullish?

Ummm, no... How about this?
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/46354z/most_bitcoin_clients_affected_by_glibc_dns/

just looking at the reddit post  Roll Eyes I'm banned form contributing there, otherwise id post this link below ( u/nullc calling it fud not a BTC problem and avoiding a patch.)

it looks like a patch is workable until your not OS is updated. so no big deal.
https://bitco.in/forum/threads/gold-collapsing-bitcoin-up.16/page-345#post-12316



708. Post 13908449 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on February 16, 2016, 09:57:25 PM
Researchers from Cornell have come up with a cost per current transaction formula. Right now they estimate we're at $6.2/tx.

that's a true cost but they don't understand bitcoin if they think that's what a transaction costs. that $6.2/tx is what us users are paying miners today to process transactions and every one is good with it. we all pay it with inflation. bitcoin needs orders of magnitudes of scale in transaction fees. We wont get it if the value of the network doesn't grow.  




709. Post 13909244 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on February 16, 2016, 11:12:19 PM

"There is general agreement in the Bitcoin community that the system must remain decentralized to prevent the possibility of any company or government controlling the currency."

So we decentralize by putting three quarters of our mines in one government's jurisdiction? 

Why am I the only one apparently concerned by this? Everybody cool with Chinese government's hand on the kill switch?

... at which point a HF does become necessary and a new POW algorithm will be adopted, something more centralising-resistant.

>"more centralising-resistant." Huh
you know why mining is consolidating? (hint its not centralizing)  It's because efficiencies in algorithm processing are being horded by the ASIC fabricators. As this technology democratizes (natural market competition) mining consolidation will biggin to diversify. It's a lack of understanding that leads to the mental shortcut that mining consolidation can be projected in a linear fashion until there is one cartel.  

Making the treat to choose a new PoW algorithm is an attack on the very incentive needed to motivate investment to grow and secure the network.  



710. Post 13909643 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.44h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 17, 2016, 12:38:00 AM

"There is general agreement in the Bitcoin community that the system must remain decentralized to prevent the possibility of any company or government controlling the currency."

So we decentralize by putting three quarters of our mines in one government's jurisdiction? 

Why am I the only one apparently concerned by this? Everybody cool with Chinese government's hand on the kill switch?

... at which point a HF does become necessary and a new POW algorithm will be adopted, something more centralising-resistant.

>"more centralising-resistant." Huh
you know why mining is consolidating? (hint its not centralizing)  It's because efficiencies in algorithm processing are being horded by the ASIC fabricators. As this technology democratizes (natural market competition) mining consolidation will biggin to diversify. It's a lack of understanding that leads to the mental shortcut that mining consolidation can be projected in a linear fashion until there is one cartel.  

Making the treat to choose a new PoW algorithm is an attack on the very incentive needed to motivate investment to grow and secure the network.  

I completely agree with this. What is needed is not less mines in China, But more mines outside of China.  It should worry all of us that this isn't happening to any meaningful degree.  Electrical power is 2 cents/kilowatthour in Eastern Washington, right outside of Microsoft's back door, so why are we letting the Chinese dominate mining?

I'll tell you why: The few American chip makers in the space like 21 are indeed hoarding the chips. This is a huge mistake, because they are onboarding all the risk. Sell miners and make money or keep them and mine. And then double down again by keeping the coins instead of selling them.

You may be good at speculating/trading
You may be good at making ASICS
You may be good at mining

But the chances are infinitesimal that you can be good at all three very difficult, competitive and specialized skills. 

i hate to break it to you, but fear of the chinese government confiscating all the mining farm in order to attempt a 51% attack is an irrational  fear.

short of this highly fantastic sanario, i see no problem having majority of hashing power where the majority of poeple on earth live.
Gmax is concerned that they own bitcoin, and bitcoin is controlled by 3 people, not that the government will try and confiscate there technology.

he's delusional , but that's what he thinks, yes just 3 people! and if you question him your wrong!



711. Post 13975275 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: Gyrsur on February 22, 2016, 06:32:09 PM
Good morning Bitcoinland.

Still stuck around $440, eh?

Let's get this thing moving up.


blocks are 92% full when u said that .. in case u didnt notice.

^^BS!

https://blockchain.info/de/charts/avg-block-size

Some Miners mine empty blocks, usually if it's found before they have time to fill it up with transactions. Empty blocks are usual mines within a minute or less of the previous block. Because these blocks can't have transactions in them they bring down the full block average, these blocks do not contribute to the capacity of the network but are reflected in the average. Some miners limit there block size to the 750KB dealt recommended by the Core Developers, these blocks are 100% full at 750KB, this also  skews the average.

its worth noting when Gavin first proposed making bigger blocks the biggest objection from the Core developers was its not needed and if it is ever needed the limit could be changed quickly. well it's needed and they now saying next year.



712. Post 13975398 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 22, 2016, 07:15:54 PM
There is still a huge amount of upward momentum in this market, judging by the moving averages.  The problem is, if we continue on this trajectory, blocks will fill first, then fees will double. Then fees will quadruple, octuple, etc. until even the mathematincally challenged pumpmonkeys start to extrapolate what this means. Even though fees are still cheap, they will be only so for a very short period of time.

we have the capacity for a half million active users at most. Even if we ALL go away and get replaced by high rollers doing drug deals or speculating on the halving or whatever, and even if SegWit almost doubles the capacity, then what? Things just stagnate until we go through another two year clusterfuck to kick the can again? Rinse and repeat?

and what if through some miracle we get through all of that with flying colors and market cap goes to 100 Billion. Do you think the PBoC and the Communist Party of China will be happy with that and just let it continue to grow?

I'm starting to think the best way for me to liquidate my stash is just to sell a coin a week for however many years it takes, regardless of whether the price goes up or down.  The objective of traders is to make money, of course, but the purpose of traders is SUPPOSED to be to function as liquidity providers who reduce volatility.

The problem as I see it is that the traders who make the biggest profit in this market actually create volatility, withholding liquidity when it is needed and dumping when the market is already crashing.  I may have made a fundamental miscalculation.  This could just be growing pains or this could be something endemic to disinflationary currency.  

What is SUPPOSED to happen according to economic theory is that as quantity of money creation decreases (halvings), velocity of money (transactions) is supposed to go up to compensate, maintaining the balance of MV=PQ.  This clearly cannot happen if scaling is slower than halvings.  Even if Core changes their own governance rules to ratify this roundtable agreement, scaling may be slower than halvings.  Sidechains, lighting network, etc are no substitute because they effectively trade Bitcon IOUs and not actual bitcoin. You get the same problem that the fiat world has: a fractional reserve money multiplier than can either run positive or negative and screw up the balance.  At some point, Bitcoin may hit stall speed and enter into an unrecoverable dive.  What scares the shit out of me is this may have already happened.  27 months since the ATH, we're trading at <50%.  

Somebody please tell me the error of my thinking, or a slow liquidation becomes a serious consideration.  




+1

I agree, besides I see one last bubble coming, that will bring (due to its "success") the end of Bitcoin with it. Luckily a much more "decentralized" digital-currency ecosystem will follow. The fall will be hard for many early adopters.

tl; dr; pure FUD every word is pure FUD.

LOL, where does the value for bitcoin come from, go down that rabbit hole it's the number of users holders and buyers (nicely correlated with metcalfe's law and transaction voluem) and a limited money supply nicely preserved by code and miners. This simple equation MV=PT illustrates why limiting the transaction volume and the quantity of money is a bad idea, (bitcoin has never grown under the notion of limited transaction volume) Bitcoin coders need to understand a little more about economics to be a true asset to bitcoin's development.




713. Post 13975464 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 22, 2016, 07:56:27 PM
Good morning Bitcoinland.

Still stuck around $440, eh?

Let's get this thing moving up.


blocks are 92% full when u said that .. in case u didnt notice.

^^BS!

https://blockchain.info/de/charts/avg-block-size

Some Miners mine empty blocks, usually if it's found before they have time to fill it up with transactions. Empty blocks are usual mines within a minute or less of the previous block. Because these blocks can't have transactions in them they bring down the full block average, these blocks do not contribute to the capacity of the network but are reflected in the average. Some miners limit there block size to the 750KB dealt recommended by the Core Developers, these blocks are 100% full at 750KB, this also  skews the average.

its worth noting when Gavin first proposed making bigger blocks the biggest objection from the Core developers was its not needed and if it is ever needed the limit could be changed quickly. well it's needed and they now saying next year.
they also said they wanted more time to come up with another solution other then simply rising blocksize

do you segwit?


I think the 2MB should come before the SegWit. Not SegWit comes before 2MB. SegWit is more difficult to implement.

segwit is supposedly available as of april. so if we were to make 2mb in a core relase today.. and had 75% miner consensus in 7 days of blockdata(1000) blocks.. bringing us up to march.. and then a 1 month grace period (even i have to admit thats a little short) then that would be a mad rush and still not beat segwit.


segwit is a complicated solution to a simple problem, the simplest solution is the obvious one.

segwit is a Hack it allows extra data in Multi sig transactions to be trimmed "making more space for typical transactions". It provides a benefit to off blockchane solutions Like LN (like making fractional reserve bitcoin easier) the problem miners lose revenue to off blockchain solutions and give them a discount (because segwit makes there transactions smaller) leaving less block space for you and me, and we have to pick up the bill  with higher fees to compensate for security.

I for one will use another alt before I pay a $10 in value as a bitcoin transaction fee.



714. Post 13975498 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 22, 2016, 08:10:33 PM
]
do i need to post this yet again?




ahahahaha i love it!


LOL, bitcoins a strange animal. I'm so lucky to still be here with such wild trading swings.  Wink



715. Post 13975710 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: becoin on February 22, 2016, 08:10:39 PM
its worth noting when Gavin first proposed making bigger blocks the biggest objection from the Core developers was its not needed and if it is ever needed the limit could be changed quickly. well it's needed and they now saying next year.
There is no urgent need for bigger block size limit. Spam need to be filtered out off the blockchain.

I'm paying normal tx fees and so far I haven't had any tx delays or other issues sending bitcoins. Do you have any problems sending your bitcoins?

spam (whatever that is) is nicely exorcise from the block chain by 1) don't process (or relay) new transactions without a fee, and 2) charging a nominal fee $0.01 for minimum transaction sizes for new transactions.

you don't need to limit the block size to prevent spam.

If you want to spam the network with a limited block size send a million fee paying transaction with a fee too low to process. it will fill up the mem pool and cause delays.

HD Space is a non issue when it comes to cost $300 for 6TB. It's the cost to relay transactions on a limited bandwidth network that is extensive.  

If you want to prevent the type of spam that causes congestion to the network write the transactions into the block chain take the fee, a million spam transactions will cost the spammer $10,000 if miners don't adjust there fees at a minimum of $0.01  that's 230MB ($1.5 in HD Space)

so a spam attack costs with a minimum fee of $0.01  = $10,000 results in a $1.5 in hard drive space, = network unaffected

that same spam attack today with limited block space will crash nodes and block the mem pool for hours if not days, and cost the spammer nothing as his fees are returned to him.  



716. Post 13975732 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on February 22, 2016, 08:15:33 PM
Quote
EDIT: actually, maybe LN might have some effect on money velocity in the future, by allowing (especially by machines) much more and faster transactions.

ding, ding, its taken a while but finally some are starting to "get it" ... LN will supercharge bitcoin monetary velocity, instant TX ... MV = PQ

that's not bitcoin velocity that's LN venosity, you can back LN with any system it dosn't need to be Bitcoin, the fees that get paid to LN, don't go to miners who secure the network, they fo to the LN node operators.



717. Post 13975962 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on February 22, 2016, 08:48:31 PM
Quote
EDIT: actually, maybe LN might have some effect on money velocity in the future, by allowing (especially by machines) much more and faster transactions.

ding, ding, its taken a while but finally some are starting to "get it" ... LN will supercharge bitcoin monetary velocity, instant TX ... MV = PQ

that's not bitcoin velocity that's LN venosity, you can back LN with any system it dosn't need to be Bitcoin, the fees that get paid to LN, don't go to miners who secure the network, they fo to the LN node operators.

you are just plain wrong, likely mis-informed by the company you keep. The necessary LN bitcoin TXs that open and close channels will be immediately identifiable by the bitcoin miners who can demand as high fees as they feel necessary to provide their precious adjudication services for the LN.

There is most likely no problem with fees leaving bitcoin for LN, it just some more FUD you are spreading like "the LN routing problem" bull made up shit stories. Just stop it if you don't know what you're talking about.

You should start preparing Bitcoin users for these "bitcoin miners who can demand as high fees as they feel necessary" to write to the limited blocchain. Limiting Blocksize and having orders of magnitude of growth off blocchain is going to force blockchain fees up very high as rewards diminish. (if LN even bothers to be backed by bitcoin to the bitter end.)


Quote from: adamstgBit on February 22, 2016, 08:21:36 PM
fee will remain at like 0.05-0.10$  indefinitely.

@Adam no they won't, this is where the fees come from, see MoA he's just not estimating what they would need to be to support Bitcoin security, it will be set by a centralized authority who will estimate ho much miners should get for their service.  



718. Post 13988993 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: hdbuck on February 23, 2016, 09:06:14 PM


TA aside, i think it still looks good because the "conesens" looks like it'll hold up. I saw a comment from Gavin somewhere today saying somthing along the lines of "Classic will continue to be compatible with Core as they move forward with their plan", was i dreaming? idk.

I think a lot of poeple are thinking this consensus, isn't a consensus, because of a few loud morons ( ex Coinbase saying " we want 2MB and Then segwit , and not the other way around! ")  which Makes it seem as tho this consensus will fall apart.

this is what this drop is about. but now it's over. now even these mistaken views have been priced in. I took advantage of the sellers today.

Core's consensus rules give loud morons veto power.

It is Bitcoin consensus rule you moron.

Neither Core nor Classic nor Blockstream nor Obama can do anything about it.

if it was Bitcoin consensus you wouldn't need to censor Bitcointalk, r/bitcoin, bitcoin.org and many other forums where developers discuss changing / keeping Core Consensus functional.



719. Post 13997948 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on February 24, 2016, 08:07:47 PM

3% left over why why is my TX not included



lol

LOL, just withdrew some BTC from an exchange, they are paying 0.00015936 XBT = $0.0924195 CAD per tx. just got 2 confirmations in like 2 minus.
Blocks are only full if your are not paying almost $0.10 per transaction.

and so it begins - to quote rocks

Quote
The goal is to slowly introduce a fee market. First slowly knock out very low value transactions, then add SFSW to slightly increase capacity. Then knock out moderately low value transactions, then add 2017 2MB HF to slightly increase capacity.

They will increase capacity, but at a very slow rate that falls behind usage growth. The effect will be a slow introduction of a fee market that removes more and more use cases for Bitcoin.



720. Post 13997989 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: blunderer on February 24, 2016, 08:13:21 PM
^^The Blogchain knows you really didn't need to send a buck & are spamming. I hope Blogchain loses your bitcoin, to teach you not to mess with it.

valid transactions are valid transactions. $1 in Bitcoin was not spam in 2011 and it's not spam today.

in fact $1 in March 2011 = 1BTC ($425 today). what will $1 in BTC be worth in 5 years.

it's ignorant to want to control the money supply by wishing monetary units vanish or get lost, all valid transactions should be valid.



721. Post 13999328 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on February 24, 2016, 09:15:18 PM
More BS:

Quote
" Thankfully we at Blockstream are given the freedom to speak and act as individuals on this matter. Even Adam is attending as an individual, his signature not carrying the weight of representing Blockstream in this instance.
I cautioned against going and was not in the room (I feel this meeting was antithetical to Bitcoin and no good outcomes were likely) so I only know second hand like you what was or was not said. But regarding the "consensus" document that was posted on medium, no I am not on board with that outcome."~ maaku7

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/46po4l/we_have_consensus_in_april_we_get_sw_3_months/d07gqic

i guess the whole "blockstream conspiracy" is shown to be the total bull it always was ...

it's not a conspiracy its a conflict of interest. BS are designing systems that benefit from limited block size, they are now implementing feature in Core to achieve this goal.



722. Post 13999439 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on February 24, 2016, 10:44:50 PM
guess what, the leaders of the free-shit army are govvy shills, no surprises there.

bitcoin takes away their free money fiat racket, of course they are here shilling to try and ruin something good people are creating to starve them out

no, it's just a concern that if we add extra 5% of user to the network, fees will quadruple and that rough calculation of yours will be about 4 sat's/Byte who knows better take it for a spin before it crashes and people choose to fly with oh say a better higher capacity solution like monero.

its got nothing to do with the free-shit army, its got to do with pushing bitcoin value not altcoins which have taken 6% bite out of the bitcoins market cap in 2 months.  



723. Post 13999470 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):

Quote from: orpington on February 24, 2016, 11:04:08 PM
guess what, the leaders of the free-shit army are govvy shills, no surprises there.

bitcoin takes away their free money fiat racket, of course they are here shilling to try and ruin something good people are creating to starve them out

Unfortunately, these damned shills have seemingly endless resources. Cry

Is there any way to stop them? Tongue

if you could just push bitcoin to about $7000, I'll dump my load sell out and shut the fuck up.



724. Post 14022597 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: ChartBuddy on February 26, 2016, 11:00:44 PM
Coin



Explanation


WTF just happened there? Adam you find a buyer?

I is this just typical whale behavior or am I just not on the happening news feed?



725. Post 14022616 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: BitUsher on February 27, 2016, 12:02:34 AM
Amazing development work from Sean Bowe,  Pieter Wuille, Gregory Maxwell, and Madars Virza.

First successful Zero-Knowledge Contingent Payment (ZKCP) on Bitcoin network=

https://bitcoincore.org/en/2016/02/26/zero-knowledge-contingent-payments-announcement/

Who needs the competing zerocoin token when we can build CT , zk-SNARKs, and ZKCP's in Bitcoin directly?

Bullish!


someone else thought so too  Undecided



726. Post 14022645 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: jbreher on February 27, 2016, 12:04:51 AM
https://youtu.be/4xgx4k83zzc?t=17s[/url]

it's going to be hard to improve my weekend after watching this. LOL'ed - just add bitcoin  Cheesy



727. Post 14051289 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: AlexGR on February 22, 2016, 09:59:21 PM
that same spam attack today with limited block space will crash nodes and block the mem pool for hours if not days, and cost the spammer nothing as his fees are returned to him.  

0.12 (to be released tomorrow I think - still one can build from source right now) can be tuned in terms of mempool size to avoid problems.

Quote
Memory pool limiting

Previous versions of Bitcoin Core had their mempool limited by checking a transaction's fees against the node's minimum relay fee. There was no upper bound on the size of the mempool and attackers could send a large number of transactions paying just slighly more than the default minimum relay fee to crash nodes with relatively low RAM. A temporary workaround for previous versions of Bitcoin Core was to raise the default minimum relay fee.

Bitcoin Core 0.12 will have a strict maximum size on the mempool. The default value is 300 MB and can be configured with the -maxmempool parameter. Whenever a transaction would cause the mempool to exceed its maximum size, the transaction that (along with in-mempool descendants) has the lowest total feerate (as a package) will be evicted and the node's effective minimum relay feerate will be increased to match this feerate plus the initial minimum relay feerate. The initial minimum relay feerate is set to 1000 satoshis per kB.

Bitcoin Core 0.12 also introduces new default policy limits on the length and size of unconfirmed transaction chains that are allowed in the mempool (generally limiting the length of unconfirmed chains to 25 transactions, with a total size of 101 KB). These limits can be overriden using command line arguments; see the extended help (--help -help-debug) for more information.
....
https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/blob/0.12/doc/release-notes.md

For non-technical guys, this means Bitcoin becomes much more hardened against possible issues that arise from spam/stress situations, despite "blocks are full".

It looks like the Core Developers did not understand the full impact of their policy change.



It seems the cause of the problem is Core 0.12 nodes and miners not relaying valid transactions, causing the mempool to expand. The net result is less nodes and nodes that don't switch to the centralized control of Core 0.12 will become overloaded contributing to the problem.  



728. Post 14051492 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: AlexGR on February 29, 2016, 06:19:39 PM
More than that, the fee market can't work.

It can't work because the absolute number of transactions that have to be done is still the same! All those transactions stuck aren't just transactions of a few cents, they can't just be grouped together.

How can it not work, when it is working right now?

You don't pay or you pay less => you wait more.
You pay more => you wait less.

In the meantime the "less" and "more" are in the 0-2 cents to 4-6 cents range - which is practically near-zero cost.

you have to understand processing transaction fees are being subsidized by us users.

We all pay the subsidy cost by using Bitcoin and accepting the monetary inflation which is given to miners as a block reward in exchange for writing blocks to the blockchain. At the moment that is between $5.00 AND $10.00 for a simple transaction, and now miners arnt doing it, Because Core added new features so help them stop this behavior.  

Limiting block size is to protect against unsolicited use of Bitcoin. and it should not be to increase fees either.

Not processing transactions will push up fees (yes), but it will also drive out typical user cases by make other competitors which have the same or better technology more cost effective.

The question is now:
Why limiting space when it is forcing the mempool of unprocessed transactions up to record levels in normal operation.

Why fores users onto other competitive systems already this year Alts have grown 6% at the expense of Bitcoin.

Your arguing it's a non issue because users need to pay a little extra so miners can earn a additional $0.06 at most and it's important while we users are subsidizing a transaction to teh tune of $5-10 with block reward monetary inflation.  

Yes. I follow your logic.  Lets screw up bitcoin for an extra $0.02 wile we pay miners over $10,000 every 10 minus to write transactions to the block chain.

something they clearly have stooped doing effectively ever since a mempool limiting feature was added to Core 0.12.



729. Post 14051549 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: becoin on February 29, 2016, 06:38:12 PM
It seems the cause of the problem is Core 0.12 nodes and miners not relaying valid transactions, causing the mempool to expand.
I'm banning all 'classic' and XT nodes as transactions sent by those spammers are not valid transactions. They are altcoin promoters.

as of Core 0.12 you don't need to bann them, Core has already set the defaults for you.

turns out it's not only effective for all 'classic' and XT nodes but all core nodes running 0.11 and below. Yes obviously its just Core0.12 that's correct every other node is spamming the network.



730. Post 14051666 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: AlexGR on February 29, 2016, 06:46:31 PM
It seems the cause of the problem is Core 0.12 nodes and miners not relaying valid transactions, causing the mempool to expand. The net result is less nodes and nodes that don't switch to the centralized control of Core 0.12 will become overloaded contributing to the problem.  

It is highly unlikely 0.12 has anything to do with it, as it represents just 15% of the network. If a tx is not relayed it will be rebroadcast until relayed. However it will stay in the mempool as unprocessed if it doesn't have the right fees.

Its not how many V0.12 nodes there are but how many miners use Core 0.12/ to mine, just 10 miners/nodes using using Core12  could cause the buildup of mempool in all other nodes - and it looks like it's now a problem.

check out https://bitcoin.org/en/release/v0.12.0

Particularly:
Memory pool limiting
Relay and Mining: Priority transactions ("The mining of transactions based on their priority is also now disabled by default")



731. Post 14051725 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: becoin on February 29, 2016, 07:02:45 PM
I'm banning all 'classic' and XT nodes as transactions sent by those spammers are not valid transactions. They are altcoin promoters.

What is it in the tx data that makes them invalid?
I'm not obliged to explain again and again why free block space to every bitcoin spammer will ruin bitcoin. I've made enough efforts. I'm the owner of the node I run. I decide which tx are valid and which are not! Time to end futile discussions with big blocktards. It is time to act.

Oh, so the tx are valid, you just don't like the clients. Why didn't you just say so in the first place!
Transactions are not valid as they can be part of bigger blocks! I don't care about who is sending such transactions if they are invalid.
otherwise valid outputs should not become invalid because the demand for bitcoin has increases that's a recipe for collapse. just imagine the ~2,000,000 BTC stuck in the mempool were removed from circulation because they are invalid (fee that is too low) sounds good if it has only upside benefit but it will destroy confidence in the system you'd be pissed in your $3.00 transaction was at some point classified as spam and became invalid.  



732. Post 14051743 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: AlexGR on February 29, 2016, 07:05:37 PM
It seems the cause of the problem is Core 0.12 nodes and miners not relaying valid transactions, causing the mempool to expand. The net result is less nodes and nodes that don't switch to the centralized control of Core 0.12 will become overloaded contributing to the problem.  

It is highly unlikely 0.12 has anything to do with it, as it represents just 15% of the network. If a tx is not relayed it will be rebroadcast until relayed. However it will stay in the mempool as unprocessed if it doesn't have the right fees.

Its not how many V0.12 nodes there are but how many miners use Core 0.12/ to mine, just 10 miners/nodes using using Core12  could cause the buildup of mempool in all other nodes - and it looks like it's now a problem.

check out https://bitcoin.org/en/release/v0.12.0

Particularly:
Memory pool limiting
Relay and Mining: Priority transactions ([The mining of transactions based on their priority is also now disabled by default)

I think that's related to disabling the benefits of old coins that were "eligible" for free txs, over those who paid fees (if you hit the mempool limit).

The reason is there in black and white no need to think.



733. Post 14051828 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: hdbuck on February 29, 2016, 07:11:36 PM
I'm banning all 'classic' and XT nodes as transactions sent by those spammers are not valid transactions. They are altcoin promoters.

What is it in the tx data that makes them invalid?
I'm not obliged to explain again and again why free block space to every bitcoin spammer will ruin bitcoin. I've made enough efforts. I'm the owner of the node I run. I decide which tx are valid and which are not! Time to end futile discussions with big blocktards. It is time to act.

Oh, so the tx are valid, you just don't like the clients. Why didn't you just say so in the first place!
Transactions are not valid as they can be part of bigger blocks! I don't care about who is sending such transactions if they are invalid.
otherwise valid outputs should not become invalid because the demand for bitcoin has increases that's a recipe for collapse. just imagine the ~2,000,000 BTC stuck in the mempool were removed from circulation because they are invalid (fee that is too low) sounds good if it has only upside benefit but it will destroy confidence in the system you'd be pissed in your $3.00 transaction was at some point classified as spam and became invalid.  

If only demand increased as much as your ignorance..

 Wink Hey iCE nice to see you too, I'm sorry but when I see your avatar I see that video play in my head of a fat man trying to get into a building hording a Frappuccino, its not exactly an image of someone who is invested in the success of Bitcoin.  Let alone willing to contribute to it.  

I preferred your old avatar, more honest.



734. Post 14051860 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: brg444 on February 29, 2016, 07:17:16 PM
Spam limit working as intended  Cool

no the transactions centralized control deemed undesirable were not written to the blockchain  but bloated the Mempool, something that was not supposed to happen.



735. Post 14051874 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: hdbuck on February 29, 2016, 07:00:21 PM
1MB wins, gavin or hearn or whoever forker or angry banker turns back their spam scrypt.

still not tonight dearies. Smiley



not sure that argument holds anymore Blockstream have a huge investment from the existing banking incumbents, ironically they are invested in Blocking the stream of bitcoin but not invested in bitcoin itself.  



736. Post 14051954 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: brg444 on February 29, 2016, 07:22:01 PM
Spam limit working as intended  Cool

no the transactions centralized control deemed undesirable were not written to the blockchain  but bloated the Mempool, something that was not supposed to happen.

Mempool bloat? Meh, just another spam attack. Honeybadger eats those for lunch.

$0.06 to get in the next block! Who's buying?

You keep telling us we should stop bitcoin for coffee, what your encouraging it now. Each transaction is subsidizes by $5-10 in monetary inflation, such ignorance calling a $0.06 increase in fees a win. Core 0.12 claims to only allow transactions that meet a specific centralized control policy to be admitted to the mempool, so yes a win for Core 0.12 nodes and a big middle finger to the rest of the Bitcoin network.



737. Post 14051980 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: brg444 on February 29, 2016, 07:24:56 PM
1MB wins, gavin or hearn or whoever forker or angry banker turns back their spam scrypt.

still not tonight dearies. Smiley



not sure that argument holds anymore Blockstream have a huge investment from the existing banking incumbents, ironically they are invested in Blocking the stream of bitcoin but not invested in Bitcoin itself.  

Says the guy pushing for CorporateCoin.

Shills keep saying this, but you need to explain it, Blockstream almost has an exclusive monopoly on corporate influence on the development of Bitcoin.



738. Post 14052008 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: European Central Bank on February 29, 2016, 07:25:08 PM
Spam limit working as intended  Cool

no the transactions centralized control deemed undesirable were not written to the blockchain  but bloated the Mempool, something that was not supposed to happen.

Does 0.12 include a big flashing sign to remind me that my transaction is spam? I sure hope so. Then I can reenter it with a non spam mindset.

No but they have included a new feature called Opt-in Replace-by-fee transactions you need to use this feature if you want to make your invalid transaction valid again.

it's a change to Bitcoin that comes with a with a lot of new problems but just ignore them for now.



739. Post 14052063 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: brg444 on February 29, 2016, 07:34:55 PM


The network, not Core, not centralized policies, decide if your transaction is good or not.


hardly, its those who manage to veto the proposals to allow blockchain grow that exert control what transactions become valid - demand is moving off bitcoin blockchain and your calibrating.   Roll Eyes



740. Post 14052121 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: brg444 on February 29, 2016, 07:44:36 PM
Spam limit working as intended  Cool

no the transactions centralized control deemed undesirable were not written to the blockchain  but bloated the Mempool, something that was not supposed to happen.

Does 0.12 include a big flashing sign to remind me that my transaction is spam? I sure hope so. Then I can reenter it with a non spam mindset.

No but they have included a new feature called Opt-in Replace-by-fee transactions you need to use this feature if you want to make your invalid transaction valid again.

it's a change to Bitcoin that comes with a with a lot of new problems but just ignore them for now.

RBF was actually invented by Satoshi and implemented in the original release. Try again

I think you need to "try again", that's such a week response. and I suppose the Block limit is just a temporary limit that can be removed when transaction volume approaches the limit.



741. Post 14052172 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: brg444 on February 29, 2016, 07:45:50 PM


The network, not Core, not centralized policies, decide if your transaction is good or not.


hardly, its those who manage to veto the proposals to allow blockchain grow that exert control what transactions become valid - demand is moving off bitcoin blockchain and your calibrating.   Roll Eyes

By those you mean 4000 nodes and about 80% of the mining power?

The standoff is just FUD and censorship if anyone knows how much the PR cost to keep control of Bitcoin Development you should have an idea. How sustainable is it?  

most people want to avoid corporate control of bitcoin and you keep telling us Blockstream has no influence, its independent bitcoiners who are corrupted by corporate control. I get it.



742. Post 14052200 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: brg444 on February 29, 2016, 07:51:31 PM
I think you need to "try again", that's such a week response. and I suppose the Block limit is just a temporary limit that can be removed when transaction volume approaches the limit.

who said that? surely not satoshi

So we agree on one satoshi quote, but it's hardly relevant you need to make up your mind independently of authority.  



743. Post 14052284 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: 8up on February 29, 2016, 07:58:47 PM



Ahh... The Wonder And Beauty of a planned economy.


+1 it's actually quite funny, when libertarians turn into communists.

No whats funny is that bitcoin has fallen victim to the exact same problem, while under control of the exact same PTB.
the existing Financial incumbents are seeing a return on there investment in Bitcoin already, despite the fact that they didn't have to buy one single bitcoin.

welcome to the future.



744. Post 14052418 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: brg444 on February 29, 2016, 08:09:31 PM

Ahh... The Wonder And Beauty of a planned economy.


+1 it's actually quite funny, when libertarians turn into communists.

No whats funny is that bitcoin has fallen victim to the exact same problem, while under control of the exact same PTB.
the existing Financial incumbents are seeing a return on there investment in Bitcoin already, despite the fact that they didn't have to buy one single bitcoin.

welcome to the future.

Didn't you sell your bitcoins anyway? Why do you care?

I mean face it Blockstream won, time to jump ship to a new altcoin. Better luck next time.


thanks for the good wishes, its actual quite a touchy subject crypcy walked away with a sizable portfolio of alts.

for advice to all investors, never sell all your coins. I'd advise buying and selling on probability. if your concerned yes I'm still in the market  Wink, and I'm not looking at Blockstreamm "winning" as you put it, as a long term probability.

if Blockstream has ever "won" we've all lost.



745. Post 14052451 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: tommorisonwebdesign on February 29, 2016, 08:13:23 PM



Ahh... The Wonder And Beauty of a planned economy.


+1 it's actually quite funny, when libertarians turn into communists.

bitcoin is not a democracy. Lips sealed
What do you mean? We have rights and liberties to spend Bitcoin on whatever we want, right?

No you have the right to line up or pay to get to the front. oh yes I forgot to mention you can move over to LTC or Monero no lineups. I'm still confused as to why the invested interests in those coins have any say on how long the lineups should be for processing Bitcoin transactions. 



746. Post 14053442 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: bargainbin on February 29, 2016, 08:30:25 PM
the thing is bitcoin won't shrink in size. but it won't grow either. it simply will stay the bonsai size it currently is.

all the money waiting on the sidelines will flow into alt-coins directly.

good luck with your empty bag - so called early adopters of bitcoin. Tongue

You don't understand. What's gonna happen is people will transact off-chain, maybe consolidate their paltry txs on pay now buy later Lightning Network, and then pipe dream use Bitcoin as the settlement layer, teh backbone, so to say.

The money will roll right in!

this totally this, I agree with this quote more though  "The free market will win. I just can't tell yet if it means replacing Core or Bitcoin"



747. Post 14053560 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: AlexGR on February 29, 2016, 06:52:54 PM
Why fores users onto other competitive systems already this year Alts have grown 6% at the expense of Bitcoin.

Can you show me the transactions these other competitive systems are doing?

I actually tried a block explorer with major altcoins, and their blocks are ghost-towns.

Last 5 blocks (tx count):

litecoin
3-1-1-7-9

dash
3-11-7-9-1

monero
2-1-1-1-1

eth
0-2-0-7-0

btc:
702-1420-2196-2384-2764
as others have pointed out block times are important, and its worth noting most influential Core developers agree that Bitcoin blocks are mostly full of spam.

But Sure it's not going to happen instantly. The market is buying in now in anticipation of the squeeze to come. it's still early high risk but lets see what happens when bitcoin node count drops below 4000 because blocks are full.

If we don't get a block increase before June 2017, I predict that we'll have a node count below 4000 by the end of 2017.



748. Post 14053591 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on February 29, 2016, 10:21:44 PM
Wealth is not linearly distributed but closer to logarithmic with a vast majority of wealth concentrated in a few hands (currently even dangerously so for civic stability considerations), the mainstream is not where wealth is concentrated so for a monetary adoption targeting the mainstream is a losing proposition.

Bitcoin doesn't necessarily need more transactions as much as higher value transactions, the value of a monetary network is not simply the number of connections but the total value of connections, i.e., number * value.

your on to something there, now you just need to explain how we do this with a static number and a static value without increasing the block size?



749. Post 14053633 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: hdbuck on February 29, 2016, 10:27:06 PM
If we don't get a block increase before June 2017, I predict that we'll have a node count below 4000 by the end of 2017.

mmmnope

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/48bvjy/in_may_2015_gavin_calculated_that_blocks_will_be/



Bitcoin is under attack, and I'm not sure you see it as your salary probably is dependent on this very state.

it startes with this PR war.


Controversial  - that words been redefined in Bitcoin,
Consensus - well that's been redefined too,
Decentralized - another word with a radically distorted definition
Censored - well that's got a new meaning too,
now
Full blocks  - that's now undergoing a redefinition. Thanks for your contribution.



750. Post 14054272 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: Lauda on February 29, 2016, 10:50:29 PM
Bitcoin is under attack, and I'm not sure you see it as your salary probably is dependent on this very state.

it startes with this PR war.
Correct. The sudden influx of transactions today means that somebody is trying 'to make' Gavin look like his prediction was accurate when it fact it wasn't. There is a claim from 'experts' (albeit exact information not available I think) from the roundtable that only 40% of the blocks are actually full (if you exclude the spam). The mempool was ~1.5k 2 days ago (this says a lot). However, it also seems like the price doesn't really care.

whats missing from LukeJr's clam that 60% of transactions are spam is a definition of spam.

Unfortunate I've been seeing full blocks for over a month. Ironical blocks are full just because of some are artificial size restriction, the reality is blocks would always be full it's just they wouldn't artificially be limited to 1MB.  



751. Post 14079114 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: Cconvert2G36 on March 03, 2016, 12:30:34 AM
It's gonna take some pain to wake up these miners to the fact that they may be relying on their main competitor to plan their own future.

Some times learning is painful, hopefully they realize LN is competition for fees, and while it promises to deliver many more TX/s it has no ability to create demand, quite the opposite relay it appears to erode the ability for individuals to settle with hard money.



752. Post 14079125 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: AlexGR on March 03, 2016, 12:41:59 AM
Why? What happened?
I think this happens often. (never go all out it's not this simple we are all pawns)
https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/48ovtg/im_out_guys/



753. Post 14079143 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on March 03, 2016, 01:14:43 AM
doom, lower, lower, lower ... the divide and conquer appears to be working.

and it could have been avoided so easily....

I don't think so ... Gavin is one stubborn SOB aussie

you should look in the mirror. ;-)

FYI its not Gavin who's on the payroll of TPTB.



754. Post 14079160 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.46h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on March 03, 2016, 04:23:06 AM
It's gonna take some pain to wake up these miners to the fact that they may be relying on their main competitor to plan their own future.

Some times learning is painful, hopefully they realize LN is competition for fees, and while it promises to deliver many more TX/s it has no ability to create demand, quite the opposite relay it appears to erode the ability for individuals to settle with hard money.

... and yet more cluelessness, it appears to be spreading, I wonder why that is?

 Smiley you're expressing many of these Symptoms dont forget, I'm on your side.



755. Post 14119107 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: AlexGR on March 06, 2016, 07:49:13 PM
Surely, there may be some more spam/ddos attacks on the bitcoin network in the coming days that could return bitcoin transactions to peaking at 90% or possibly more, but so far, the blockchain seems to have been handling such attacks pretty well

All is working as Satoshi said:

I am not claiming that the network is impervious to DoS attack.  I think most P2P networks can be DoS attacked in numerous ways.  (On a side note, I read that the record companies would like to DoS all the file sharing networks, but they don't want to break the anti-hacking/anti-abuse laws.)

If we started getting DoS attacked with loads of wasted transactions back and forth, you would need to start paying a 0.01 minimum transaction fee.

...although the min fee is much lower nowadays. But the essence is the same. If there was no abusing of the network we could be sending coins for free right now due to the max blocksize being more than accommodating for our genuine transaction needs.

Zero cost txs / near zero cost txs => bring zero-cost abuse or near-zero cost abuse.

When that happens => cost to transact increases to bypass the abuser's queue.


on the day of the satoshi quote: 1BCT = $0.07

a 0.01BTC fee on that day, cost adjusted for today value is $0.0007



756. Post 14129913 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: AlexGR on March 07, 2016, 10:52:23 PM

Right now, we cannot have blocksizes that can do VISA-level txs

This is said a lot, but it's actually not a problem that bitcoin has, it's a problem we all want to have and no one has a viable plan as to how to make that problem a reality - despite that disconnect we all conceive that it's remotely possible.

The problem bitcoin has is the block size is temporarily limited by the consensus system that's meant to prevent double spending, when in fact block size should be constrained by available technology. The Limit is temporary as Bitcoin wasn't initially conserved with the limit, and when it was added it was proposed that the limit would be increased at a point in time, first projected to be around March 2011.  

Bitcoin may not have a scalability problem at all. The scalability issue is based on a linear projection and a prediction that if we got VISA-level txs today we'd have a problem.

There is primarily one for profit company framing this debate. And were all entertaining that linear projection and the prediction as the reason to limit the block size today so bitcoin can be changed to fit with there business plan.


The reality is, limiting access to the blockchain is the problem, it's not the solution to the problem or a reason to limit the use of the blockchain, or the solution to achieving VISA-level txs. actually it's probably more likely to cause a delay in that vision, or alow bitcoin to centralize in the hands of new masters.



757. Post 14129921 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 07, 2016, 11:08:19 PM

O.k... take for example, when a few months ago, he said that Coinbase was going to support Classic XT etc...
Roll Eyes FTFU - Coinbase said they were going to test XT...



758. Post 14130073 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: AlexGR on March 07, 2016, 11:24:12 PM


The bloat cost creates

1) storage costs
2) bandwidth costs (as this 1gb or 10gb or 100gb must be downloaded and served over and over in the network - for decades)
3) processing costs / power costs (for decades)
4) I/O slowdowns (if the blockchain can't fit anymore in an affordable SSD you'll have to rely on a mechanical disk which is slow)
5) centralization cost as nodes have to drop out, increasing costs to the fewer nodes that remain. It's a vicious cycle where the less you have, the more the costs, plus you now become an easier target for DDOSing (more costs)

As for the problems that we may need to worry, these are what exactly? That txs without a few cents in fees won't go in in the next block? That's all there is to it.

1) storage costs are insignificant. ($300 = 6TB)

2) a legitimate constraint. (I say the market should find a balance.) FYI SegWit increases network tragic for less transactions it has positive effect of reducing the insignificant storage cost at the expense of using more of the valuable bandwidth cost.  

3) the processing cost is not a energy cost but a lost opportunity cost, time is money. (SegWit here increases this too)

4) this is such a far off concern it's not worth contemplating, already future storage technologies are coming on line daily and will be commercially available well before we expect the blockchan to hit 1TB.

5) such nonsense, nodes don't drop out because of the cost of storing the blockchanin or the cost of an internet connection, making it cheeper is not going to increase the demand to run a node. The demand to run a node is a result of wanting or needing to use and interact with the blockchain directly, running a node gives you security that your version of events is consistent with the economic world in which you interact, nodes will increase as a function of market capitalization and wealth distribution.  

Thinking the scaling issues are about transaction fees of a few cents is asinine, it's about letting bitcoin grow organically. We are all paying $5-10.00 in subsidized transaction fees anyway, we need allow economies of scale to grow to replace those subsidies.

limiting block size to what we have today with no increase in total market cap = fees/tx will need to gravitate to the $5-10 per transaction to keep the security we have today.
 



759. Post 14130238 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 08, 2016, 12:10:34 AM

O.k... take for example, when a few months ago, he said that Coinbase was going to support Classic XT etc...
Roll Eyes FTFU - Coinbase said they were going to test XT...


Ok. thanks.. I was kind of shooting off the cuff.. by memory... but what you say sounds exactly correct... and much more accurate than what I said.. but my point, in part, was that Armstrong has been increasing and increasing and increasing his involvement in the debate, rather than merely making statements regarding what his company was going to do.. he is currently seeming to be involved in an ongoing battle of persuasion to convince a lot others what they should do, too... which for me is beginning to come off as a bit much and causing me desires to remove some of my dinero from their system.

Armstrong's is working in the best interests of his investors. His investors are invested in a decentralized control of Bitcoin where they can leverage there competitive advantage.

A lot of people are ignoring the centralized authoritative control over the direction bitcoin development is taking, but the fact remains as much as I dislike Coinbase there company's success is built on the success of the same Bitcoin I'm invested in.

Blockstream are working to change bitcoin in a way that will undermine Coinbase, it will undermine the Bitcoin I'm invested in. Should Bitcoin be optimized today as a settlement network their company vision and business model is dead in the water.  That in its self is not a reason to not optimist bitcoin to be a settlement network. I have a preference to see bitcoin evolve organically, I think its premature to limit the block size as a stimulus to catalyse bitcoin as a settlement network. I want to decentralize financial control and totally disrupt incumbent financial players.

I want as many people as is technically feasible to settle directly with each other on the blockchain, that doesn't mean I don't want to see LN, or off chane networks, it just means I want LN or Coinbase to succeed or fail on there own merits I don't want to see anyone controlling the development direction in bitcoin to favor one or the other business models. 

   




760. Post 14130253 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: AlexGR on March 08, 2016, 12:14:36 AM

It can be made a reality pretty easily if we co-locate the miners and nodes into a single data center - or a few data centers well interconnected with big fat lines, in a way that even 1gb blocks at 3000tx/sec would not be an issue. But then you don't really have a peer to peer bitcoin. You have a (centralized) client/server one with plenty of attack vectors, including physical raids.


No I don't see it, were do you get customers to make this vision a reality, if you think it's pretty easily JUST DO IT?



761. Post 14130323 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: BitUsher on March 08, 2016, 12:16:39 AM
1) storage costs are insignificant. ($300 = 6TB)

2) a legitimate constraint. (I say the market should find a balance.) FYI SegWit increases network tragic for less transactions it has positive effect of reducing the insignificant storage cost at the expense of using more of the valuable bandwidth cost.  

3) the processing cost is not a energy cost but a lost opportunity cost, time is money. (SegWit here increases this too)
 

Are you pricing things in VPN hosting rental numbers , because many cannot and will not be able to run nodes from their home because of bandwidth limits and softcaps. The ISP's have oversold their bandwidth and with everyone torrenting and streaming HD the demand for bandwidth is higher than the supply.


Thinking the scaling issues are about transaction fees of a few cents is asinine, it's about letting bitcoin grow organically. We are all paying $5-10.00 in subsidized transaction fees anyway, we need allow economies of scale to grow to replace those subsidies.

limiting block size to what we have today with no increase in total market cap = fees/tx will need to gravitate to the $5-10 per transaction to keep the security we have today.
 

Yes, I agree that we need 5-10 USD of security per tx if not higher. Do you agree that the only way to scale is by having the mainchain be a settlement network? Have you done the math on 128MB blocks + thin/weak blocks vs 8MB blocks + LN + thin/weak blocks?

There really isn't a comparison between the two. One can scale and the other one lacks throughput and is centralized.

no I cant afford a VPN service, nor do I trust the VPN host, I only run a full node on my work PC and my Home Server. Bandwidth is not an issue where I live, nor would it be an issue if blocks were 10X larger.

I don't have an opinion on what transaction costs should be, I just know if someone was paying $5-$10 to encourage me to make transactions I may buy a coffee. (for the record bitcoin is too valuable to wast on coffee - my 4 $2 transaction have cost me over $3700's in lost value today.)

regarding the maths yes, someone did it a while ago they projected the revenue and size of block in relation to halving with $0.05 transaction fees. with regards to block chain growth is not a concern at this time. It was on r/bitcoin and it's unfortunately been censored, I'm sorry I didn't make a copy as I have wanted to reference it many times.



762. Post 14130441 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 08, 2016, 12:54:54 AM

O.k... take for example, when a few months ago, he said that Coinbase was going to support Classic XT etc...
Roll Eyes FTFU - Coinbase said they were going to test XT...


Ok. thanks.. I was kind of shooting off the cuff.. by memory... but what you say sounds exactly correct... and much more accurate than what I said.. but my point, in part, was that Armstrong has been increasing and increasing and increasing his involvement in the debate, rather than merely making statements regarding what his company was going to do.. he is currently seeming to be involved in an ongoing battle of persuasion to convince a lot others what they should do, too... which for me is beginning to come off as a bit much and causing me desires to remove some of my dinero from their system.

Armstrong's is working in the best interests of his investors. His investors are invested in a decentralized control of Bitcoin where they can leverage there competitive advantage.

A lot of people are ignoring the centralized authoritative control over the direction bitcoin development is taking, but the fact remains as much as I dislike Coinbase there company's success is built on the success of the same Bitcoin I'm invested in.

Blockstream are working to change bitcoin in a way that will undermine Coinbase, it will undermine the Bitcoin I'm invested in. Should Bitcoin be optimized today as a settlement network their company vision and business model is dead in the water.  That in its self is not a reason to not optimist bitcoin to be a settlement network. I have a preference to see bitcoin evolve organically, I think its premature to limit the block size as a stimulus to catalyse bitcoin as a settlement network. I want to decentralize financial control and totally disrupt incumbent financial players.

I want as many people as is technically feasible to settle directly with each other on the blockchain, that doesn't mean I don't want to see LN, or off chane networks, it just means I want LN or Coinbase to succeed or fail on there own merits I don't want to see anyone controlling the development direction in bitcoin to favor one or the other business models. 



Sure... fair enough that you described your perception of what the interests are here, yet I don't agree that you are reflecting it accurately when you suggest that coinbase is aiming for decentralized bitcoin and that somehow blockstream is in control of core's direction.

I personally see the current situation as classic, xt, coinbase and other advocates of change failing to meet their burdens of evidence and/or persuasion and therefore, core sticks with the status quo.  At the same time the advocates of classic, xt and coinbase etc are very vocal and emotional about the lack of change because they believe that they have sufficiently met the burden of evidence and/or persuasion... or that being louder is going to carry some weight in the decision making regarding change or future direction of bitcoin etc. 

There is no ruling out future changes so long as any such proposed changes are presented as convincing to a large majority of the stakeholders in order to test and adopt the changes.  At this point, no one is really controlling bitcoin.. it remains decentralized, and the fact that neither xt or classic were implemented helps to show that it remains decentralized.. sure at some point some version of various aspects of each xt and/or classic may be incorporated.. just like seg wit is currently in the works.  whether it is blockstream, coinbase or any other company, they will need to work around these anticipated directions, and I am repeating that I am pulling a lot of my money out of coinbase because I continue to perceive that they are continuing to be too pushy in the space in their efforts to achieve consensus by stick rather than carrot... or maybe just having less activism from Coinbase would be more appealing to me under these current circumstances.




I see bitcoin first and foremost as a value exchange protocol and code second,  the change to the economic incentives that preserve bitcoin as the biggest threat we see today, and while the Core Developers will have the code peer reviewed they have no economic insight to suggest their changes are economically sound, let alone a peer review of any economic impact study.


The evidence is there, the problem is FUD a result of the inability to appropriately assess the risks. I may just rate the relative risks differently.  Blockstream's conflict of interest and the fact many of the Core Developers have a salary dependant on not understanding the risks is beyond suspicious.



763. Post 14130455 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: AlexGR on March 08, 2016, 01:03:32 AM

It can be made a reality pretty easily if we co-locate the miners and nodes into a single data center - or a few data centers well interconnected with big fat lines, in a way that even 1gb blocks at 3000tx/sec would not be an issue. But then you don't really have a peer to peer bitcoin. You have a (centralized) client/server one with plenty of attack vectors, including physical raids.


No I don't see it, were do you get customers to make this vision a reality, if you think it's pretty easily JUST DO IT?

The point was that while it is doable, it is not a desirable outcome because it practically stops being a decentralized peer-to-peer version of Bitcoin.

My point is its not doable, and thinking its doable so long as its centralized is part of the problem.



764. Post 14130557 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: BitUsher on March 08, 2016, 01:06:09 AM

Here are the numbers which indicate how ridiculous scaling on the chain is for mass adoption-
Bitcoin Classic Big Block Future- 7 billion people making 20 blockchain tx day
○ 24,000 MB blocks or 3456 GB a day or 1,261,440 GB a year
○ ~500 Mbit/s best-case with IBLT @ 20tx/day/person

Bitcoin Core Payment Channel Future- 7 billion people making 20 blockchain tx day

○ 133 MB blocks - unlimited transactions count
○ ~3 Mbit/s with IBLT


If anyone is flowing this, here is the issue, "Bitcoin is broken, look if everyone on the planet tried to do 20 transactions a day. In the next 24hrs we'd need 3456 GB a day or 1,261,440 GB a year  no jokes we'd need it even if it happened next year. therefor we can't have bigger blocks today and we should stop all new blockchain growth now because its not possible to scale to that size."  

I like your optimism BitUsher, Wink I share it, but I'm not as delusional as you, growth is another science unto itself, and the block chain as a commodity will never be used like that.  

I say let it scale in an unlimited fashion, if demand was ever 20 x 7B people we'd hit a much smaller technological limit early and fees would increase naturally until price adjusted peoples preferences or expectation to want interact directly with the blockchain.



765. Post 14130579 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on March 08, 2016, 01:21:40 AM

In the beginning there was only darkness, then Satoshi said to Nakamoto "do we have consensus?" and then there was light.

Love this LOL'ed, I had a side bet (a like clockwork prediction) with "my other shillls" Cheesy  that you'd come here and insult me.  Roll Eyes



766. Post 14130651 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: BitUsher on March 08, 2016, 01:29:39 AM
Nakamoto consensus remains and the immutable blockchain has remained resilient against multiple political coups.

check out the definition of the word Coup it literally means to overthrow a centralized authority.

on a subconscious level you already have subscribed to the notion that Bitcoin has centralized and it has a centralized authority, one you identify with that is being threatened with a coup.

I on the other hand see Bitcoin as a decentralized system resistant to change, there is no Coup but only if you identify with a centralized authority under attack.



767. Post 14130747 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 08, 2016, 01:35:58 AM
If these proposals were merely framed in terms of technical increases to the blocksize without attempts at hardforks and changes in governance or consensus, they probably would have gone through by now... But they are not about technical increases.

If you had been flowing this since 2013 you'd have a feeling for it, gate keepers have been blocking all discussion and stalling for years. Gavin's proposal was shot down, Maxwell went on a big public rampage exclaiming Gavin is no longer a lead developer and we wont follow him anymore. Gavin then released the working code as XT. Maxwell resigned from assigning BIP numbers most likely after his hand was forced a little while later after BIP101 was added to Core.    

Other Core supported were quick to point out that as total lines of code Maxwell had in fact contributed more to bitcoin than Gavin. However it was recently uncovered that Maxwell had in fact misattribute others contributions to the code by adding his e-mail address to all unclaimed contributions, something he has not corrected to this day. (he could have used any email address he chose but he didn't he chose to use his personal one)

None the less that's a rather cheep shot as adding lines of code is akin to measuring the contribution to building an airplane by measuring the adding of weight.

I think Adam Back the CEO of Blockstream knows full well what a coup is when he sees the centralized control of Core slipping away from his hands.

Bitcoin is better served by many implementation not one centralized one, its not hostile, what is hostile is the censoring of discussion.  



768. Post 14130777 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: cbeast on March 08, 2016, 01:58:47 AM
SegWit will allow 4-5 tps. That will help some banks participate, but not many. If banks can't even use Bitcoin, who will?

Be your own bank. we get an extra 4-5tps written to the blockchain but the Witness data that get trimmed puts a 4X increase on the bandwidth needed by the network.



769. Post 14130807 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.47h):

Quote from: BitUsher on March 08, 2016, 02:11:50 AM
SegWit will allow 4-5 tps. That will help some banks participate, but not many. If banks can't even use Bitcoin, who will?

Be your own bank. we get an extra 4-5tps written to the blockchain but the Witness data that get trimmed puts a 4X increase on the bandwidth needed by the network.

Even though it makes my cause look favorable , I have to correct you . Segwit gets us 1.7-2MB realistically, not 4x.

6.8 - 14 TPS

I'm not looking at the 1.7-2MB in block size but the extra Multi sig data that is transmitted prior to being written to a block. That extra data is putting more strain on the infrastructure for fewer transactions, and its giving a discount to those transactions what use LN and carry more data. it's a new economic policy favoring the off chain solutions at the expense of mining rewards needed to secure the network.  I'm all fore it, but cost it on the broadcast tx size not the trimmed text size that's written to a block.  



770. Post 14276271 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.48h):

Quote from: BitUsher on March 21, 2016, 11:24:50 PM
Bitcoin can handle a scale-up to 2Mb. It's obvious.

The funny thing is that there is a hard drive that can store 9 year's worth of full 2Mb blocks for 9 years. For $85!
The countries with lower average internet speeds than 2 Mb/s (according to the Akamai ratings of 2015) are the likes of Bolivia, Venezuela and Paraguay. We're talking ranks 119, 71 and 112 in the Human Development Index, respectively.

I don't know about you, but I think that the third world is as ready for bitcoin as it was for the internet in the 1980s.
Right now, we shouldn't hold bitcoin back in fear that some people won't have the storage or internet speed to run nodes/mine. But still, it's a phony excuse.

Did you read the link? It is full of classic supporters planning on restricting the capacity upgrade in April with an attempt to block the softfork with 5% of mining power.

That soft fork your talking about is SegWit,  it's not a Bitcoin capacity upgrade it facilitates off chain transactions and fixes a few bugs that don't affect users.

according to Gmaxwell: "Segwit is not about saving space for plain full nodes" either.




771. Post 14994422 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.51h):

Quote from: ImI on May 28, 2016, 12:02:36 AM

Yeah, you are right. I am just surprised (and a little bit annoyed) that this silly 470$ mark still keeps us back.



this is Bitcoin it's $585 that holding us back now.



772. Post 15004713 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.51h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on May 29, 2016, 12:48:48 AM
This is mental. No way this holds. I'm buying a rug on Overstock. Undecided

nice. I hope its a good one. Sheets are a popular choice too.

I went out and had an endorphin rush when I checked the price after I returned. I'm all in now so I'm hoping this holds too, at least until the next wave of fomo fiat hits the exchanges.

Check out the CNY exchange rate RMB3845 = USD 585  that's an 11% arbitrage margin, I'm betting it holds for a little while until the bureaucrats in China figure out whats happening. 



773. Post 15073345 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.51h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on June 03, 2016, 10:06:17 PM
it looks like they are just hanging in there ... they let these bull runs happen at the weekends to relieve some pressure when new fiat cannot get into the exchanges to send it rocketing, then save up their dumpage for a monday-tuesday dumpathon ... but it's all looking quite desperate, at some point they will run out of idiots to borrow coins from and then the market can find the monetary premium instead of bouncing along on the cost-of-production floor (which is ever-increasing and soon to be doubling anyway)

I don't think its leveraged coins being dumped, But I do think when the tide turns it's fiat from these dumps (and a touch of FoMO) that are going to push bitcoin higher than it's ever gone before. Gmax panic attack yesterday gave some new hope to Core increasing the on chain block limit.

edit: there is also a lot of dark pool trading happening in bitcoin that's a big lot of coin that isn't hitting exchanges, I'd guess it's largely responsible for the long period of price stability. I'm also guessing those off exchange block trades are drying up now as some early adopters are running low on coin.



774. Post 15417175 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.54h):

Quote from: savetherainforest on June 30, 2016, 02:50:25 AM
This is why the DAO is up 13%. It's for our wickedness. We're the Lot's wife of crypto.



Is that landscape from Mars?


it's an r/bitcoin troll on his back with a hardon, he stuck around a little too long and forgot to pull up his shorts before the sun rose.

on another note, the halving if it's anything like the last one will be anti climactic until the reality of reduced liquidity takes effect. The last halving rally peeked too early and then again much later once liquidity dried up.

last time we didn't know what to expect, and this time we are headed into it with another unpredictable complication a very stubborn limit on transaction volume.

I think it's going to have a negative effect on growth, but we have to wait and see how it plays out. I hope you are all here to play the next one 4 years from now. 




775. Post 20631071 (copy this link) (by Adrian-x) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.16h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on August 04, 2017, 11:12:26 PM
... why the angst over a fork?

... no angst. Merely some stridently delivered advice to idiots to warn them of the error of their ways.

Ultimately the market will decide ... and my pal Loaded and I stand ready to dump Bcash and keep it eternally below the cost of production.

If you could just Bring it on that would be good, My miners breath hot air like this for breakfast.