All posts made by bassclef in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 1878687 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):

and here we... go



2. Post 1991216 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.55h):

looks like we took a punch, but the 130 wall holding.



3. Post 1999611 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.55h):

hooray for cheap coins!



4. Post 2006433 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.55h):

It's fun to watch. Set the market depth chart for 1 min and observe.

Fake sell walls go up, pushes price down a bit, fake walls go down. Put new wall(s) at slightly lower price and repeat. Didn't work? Try a different sized wall, or multiple tiny sells all at once to force a cascading effect.



5. Post 2006824 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.55h):

Quote
sounds really dangerous to do this kind of thing...

i would expect that when Mr.M start pumping, he won't be able to buy back 1/3 of his stash. and there's a really good chance someone throws in a few million and totaly fuckes up his plan.

Now you know why people have gambling problems.



6. Post 2029260 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.56h):

Quote from: arepo

i ask for neither praise nor abuse. but one without the other is not honest.

I enjoy your analysis, aerpo. Ignore the critics--if you met some of these folks in person I am doubly sure you would not care about their opinion.



7. Post 2152662 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.58h):

Quote from: 2017orso on May 15, 2013, 05:10:51 AM
I'm really surprised this doesn't get mentioned more often, but, there are a lot of people out there now, wealthy people, early adopters and new players alike, that have vested interest and a genuine belief in this technology.  The market is thin enough that these people can help ensure the price and volatility does not reach a level that could cause a level of panic which would create harm to its now escalating adoption.

The U.S. government is attacking this thing with flailing arms, and while it can scratch and do some superficial damage, the mark will be missed.  This time, it really is up to the people.

Agreed. They are a few years too late in any endeavor to seriously attack bitcoin and not come off as tyrannical. The average Joe doesn't know what kind of power the banking cartel/monopoly has, and they certainly don't want him to wake up. They will tread carefully.

On a happier note, I transferred funds to Gox via Dwolla this morning. Hours later I get the DHS email. Regardless, they funded my account for the full amount just a little while ago. I doubt they want to lose customers over this.



8. Post 2187120 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):

Da Bulls!
Daaa.... bears?

(I'll just leave this here)
http://youtu.be/769A4mUY7g0



9. Post 2249362 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.00h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on May 23, 2013, 08:25:12 PM
Bulls on Bitstamp are shifting a gear up.

And the other exchanges are right behind.



10. Post 2257265 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.00h):

At least we have ChartBuddy. He's always right.



11. Post 2322013 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):

Just a shaking of the tree... watch for that low-hanging fruit.



12. Post 3316081 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: manfred on October 10, 2013, 10:22:25 PM
Wtf   Walsoraj $180 by friday, adamstgBit epic crash in 5... 4....Have the accounts been hacked?


He's just trying to get off everyone's ignore list, pay no mind.



13. Post 3371137 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):

Quote from: windjc on October 19, 2013, 11:43:39 PM
Whoa where did gox get 55K volume? I thought it was dying. Do bots just like collectively losing fees?

Just because some idiots run around screaming about it all the time doesn't mean it is dead.

You're right. It actually lead the rally on the last leg up. However, it really amazes me why so many people still use it. Its almost like psychotic nostalgia. Its obviously a high risk exchange with even higher prices. I guess its more volatile though, so better still for daytraders.

Psychotic nostalgia. Can I get a technical indicator for that?



14. Post 3395636 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

The 1btc sell bot is at it again...



15. Post 3396220 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):

Quote from: hlynur on October 23, 2013, 06:35:08 PM

Anyway, just continue. Nothing brings me more joy than watching jokers like you and Rampion lose their coins because they think they know it all.

I wouldn't normally waste time on taking issue with this sort of thing, but in the few months that I've been using this forum, I've seen that all of your posts are derogatory and not in the slightest bit constructive.  You sound like a whining teenager.  Consider yourself added to my ignore list.
+1

@shroomskit: is your avatar pic deliberately showing self-mockery or just a coincidence?

His reputation precedes him. I recognize shroomskit from another forum where he was equally as obnoxious.



16. Post 3428955 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: ghdp on October 28, 2013, 06:04:56 PM

That it is making its way to the market.

That the twins have bought something like one hundred thousand bitcoins - at what price, we don't know - and are about to cash out some of them.

I thought they needed the 100k to represent the value of the ETF.



17. Post 3437646 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

400+ bid wall up



18. Post 3458190 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):

Quote from: MAbtc on November 01, 2013, 05:39:39 PM
1k bid wall up at $210. Not quite sure if it was moved or if it's new... Bitcoinity is often off.



It's actually 1.1k Smiley

I use trading.i286.org to see more accurate market depth numbers. Their Bitstamp feed has been broken for a few days now, though Undecided



19. Post 3483338 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Gox battering ram positioned @ 234, wants price higher...



20. Post 3489388 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: seljo on November 05, 2013, 03:23:36 PM
1.4 k dump but with little success...

Dump.... Nice try.

Or someone is getting coins off Gox. Price now matches Bitstamp.



21. Post 3491158 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: the_sunship on November 05, 2013, 06:44:01 PM
I think we will know when bitcoin has attracted too much attention when the US Government outlaw it. As in, anyone doing business in bitcoins is classified as a money transfer business and either has to get a licence or quit it. At the moment the wall street bankers are attracting most of the attention of Government trying to recoup some money from 2008 fiasco. But if bitcoin gains too much attention, and somehow is no longer is allowed in the USA, see how strong the coin will be then.

i'm in the us and am worried about this scenario. I assume the price would drop dramatically if the US tried to ban it, but if China and much of the world uses bitcoin, wouldn't the value simply spring back up?

Yes, the US would simply get left behind in this scenario, and would be incredibly stupid and short-sighted to do so.



22. Post 3493166 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

DDOS is sooooo six months ago.



23. Post 3495522 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

I just saw it!! And everyone posted at once!



24. Post 3502129 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Maybe the Gox wall is holding the price down to bring it back into alignment.



25. Post 3503962 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

While we're dropping bullish news...

Bitcoin ATM does $100k worth of transactions in first week Shocked

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2013/11/06/people-have-bought-or-sold-100000-in-bitcoins-from-a-vancouver-atm-firm-says/



26. Post 3504352 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Meanwhile, back at Gox...




27. Post 3504377 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):

Quote from: Kipsy89 on November 07, 2013, 01:36:39 AM
is that from the princess bride?  Smiley

Indeed. The Cliffs of Insanity!! Cheesy



28. Post 3505586 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: oakpacific on November 07, 2013, 03:53:23 AM
What about CampBX? Do they not look legitimate? Their price has been low, and liquidity pretty small, I even wonder how/why are they continuing this business, it doesn't seem profitable at all.

The reason for the price difference on BX is because Dwolla pulled their business recently. Now there is no easy way to get large sums of fiat there other than postal money orders through snail mail. When they start ACH bank transfers later this month the gap will close quickly. 



29. Post 3508614 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Wow what a crazy night.

Is it just the beginning, or do we get a correction?



30. Post 3523093 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: BRADLEYPLOOF on November 08, 2013, 07:07:30 PM
I have an interesting decision to make. I'll not be able to trade over the week-end, and probably for the whole next week.
Most of the coins were moved to a cold wallet.
Now, what to do with the rest...
Initially I planned to sell all and place scattered buy orders from below 250 and down to 150 with 3-5 dollar distance, and see which of them would get filled during my absence.
Looking at the latest development and extrapolating what happened in April, I am starting to get inclined to do the opposite: place scattered sell orders from 350 and up to 600, and hope that the top will not arrive before that, to subsequently re-buy at the new level, which I think will be around 400 (+/-100).
Any input from the experts?

You could always donate them to me!  ;-)  It would sure help my .19 BTC wallet expand slightly...


1L8waShNounfcxzCk4bsWr7Re1xRtmyvvP

Ha. I'm hurting too, lost 65btc to Yifu in the chip debacle. I try not to think about it. Any wealthy sugar daddy wants to help heal the pain...

1BjoVoDPzMpNXoyBZ6cK5qJ5nxxQcu8mWS



31. Post 3527271 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: windjc on November 09, 2013, 03:17:30 AM
The most impressive thing about this Chinese run up is that is coming on huge volume, the most we've seen there during this rally.

We could literally see them run all the way up to 3000 ($482)  in the next 24 hours.

Meanwhile, if that happens I literally think the other exchanges are going to sit there and watch it happen.

Which could be a good thing. If the other exchanges don't react on the way up, they probably won't react much on the way down.

The arbitrage opportunities for those with the means will be too great to keep a large price difference going for long.



32. Post 3535718 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: samson on November 10, 2013, 01:08:50 AM
It's pure manipulation. Read the forum history, there's a lot to read but you can pinpoint certain people on this forum who pop up just before ATH's and pump the price to the max then dump relentlessly. Then patiently wait to do it again.

So what happens when it stops working?  Oops! Only takes one time to be left on the wrong side of a trade. Risky.



33. Post 3560775 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Quote from: notme on November 12, 2013, 05:43:39 PM
Everyone please, stop the madness !

I don't wanna see any more posts (probably americans) with people saying saying China wants to see the USD go down.

This is outright wrong, you need to stop reading this Wall observer and go read the newspapers first.

China is the absolute #1 investor in USD. Get your facts straight.

Well, since you apparently have your facts straight, please point me to a source that verifies you claim that "China is the absolute #1 investor in USD".

They do own many billions worth of our bonds.



34. Post 3584918 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: cfrm on November 14, 2013, 09:54:11 PM
All the bears, who didn't catch the train at 350 or less, are now building a narrative of a 'big risk' of the goverment shutting down Bitcoin, as if it was feasible. My guess is absolutely nothing will happen from government side as a result of the hearing. Politics and law-making takes time, and everyday the Bitcoin-infrastucture and knowledge is growing. No politicians will want to attempt shutting down Bitcoin as it would be widely covered (resulting in bad PR), and there really is no legimate reason for trying to do so. + they would likely fail.

So, there is no scenario where politicians claim Bitcoin is used for terror and it's 'game over'. What a ridiculous claim.

You're right, the Senate will not decide anything at the hearing. It's for publicity and education purposes.

What's got people worried is Mike Hearn is pushing for coin blacklists. He's a lead developer, but probably not for long.



35. Post 3594877 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Another leg down on Stamp, momentum drying up as selling pressure increases.

"Captain, I don't like the look of the mist."



36. Post 3594901 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: the_sunship on November 15, 2013, 08:10:25 PM
wow - falling fast on Stamp. Not sure if I want to catch this knife... Embarrassed.

It's been being sharpened for a few days now.



37. Post 3596658 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: tarmi on November 15, 2013, 11:09:53 PM
wow, a lot of bears begging for cheap coins.

300?

no.

No kidding. There's even a poll now. Can't believe people fall for this.



38. Post 3597013 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: bassclef on November 15, 2013, 08:08:20 PM
Another leg down on Stamp, momentum drying up as selling pressure increases.

"Captain, I don't like the look of the mist."

Well that was fun. Grabbed some coins @ $396. The bull rush to buy back at ~$400 was obvious. China could have led us lower but they more or less shrugged it off.

We could go lower this weekend, but the psychology of the new Bitcoiners may prevent it.

Watch the tape. Read the tape. It tells a story. When it's time to cross the road, look both ways and walk. Don't hesitate.




39. Post 3599136 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: octaft on November 16, 2013, 05:53:24 AM
For example: Fox Business repeating that Bitcoin might go to $1 million
http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/2841813371001/is-bitcoin-the-currency-of-the-future/

This type of headline/hype is certainly keeping the world's best asset right in the face of every investor.


Make no mistake about it, Fox news is an enemy of holders, and they have a lot of sway in the US due to a relatively large viewership. I would be shocked if Bitcoin were ever presented in a positive light on that station.

If the producers are invested in Bitcoin, don't be so sure. Money talks.



40. Post 3599304 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):

Quote from: seleme on November 16, 2013, 06:11:35 AM
Just watch, there will be a ton of holders and early-early adopters waiting for 500. It could take us weeks, maybe months to get past that point. There will be enough coins for all who want to get in around that price.

Early adopters, each and every of them, have sold loads already, their "buy and hold" advice policy is for those poor noobs so they don't ruin their party and chance to sell some more higher.

Mind you, it was tempting to not sell all or most earlier after acquitring their coins so cheap so hats of to them for not doing it but they're still full of shit Cheesy

They're not going to sell their coins just because you want more.



41. Post 3615479 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: seleme on November 17, 2013, 08:00:10 PM
This is just fucking mental...

I have only 2 explanations:

1. Someone knows Senate will be gentle

2: Someone want the price as higher as possible for dumping on it if Senate would not be gentle.

I don't think the Chinese (or the Europeans or anyone else for that matter) really care much about what the Senate does

Everybody cares about it as the outcome of it will have an impact on the price. Good or bad.

There will be no outcome, it's simply a hearing to shape future lawmaking. Maybe. They are going to want to regulate it, of course. Everyone knows this, it's what these government agencies do. For the children. The debate will be if they can, or should, regulate. My take is that these guys know the US is in dire straits as far as overspending and debt, and regulating the hell out of Bitcoin business will be simply shooting themselves in the foot.



42. Post 3616764 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: proudhon on November 17, 2013, 10:41:04 PM
I think the total bid depth on Gox is more surprising than the price.  Why is so much money flowing into Gox?  Not only are coin prices significantly higher on Gox, but it's practically impossible to get money back out.  I really don't get it.

Apparently Gox works just fine for plenty of people.



43. Post 3617283 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: strawbs on November 17, 2013, 11:32:45 PM
An interesting thought struck me earlier - now that the majority of my personal wealth lies with bitcoin, what would be the best and most secure way of leaving them in a will?!?  If I were to get run over by a truck tomorrow, my coins would probably be lost.  None of my family or friends would have any idea what to do with paper wallets either  Shocked

There are going to be a lot of people wondering this very soon. I had to train my wife yesterday in accessing my wallet in case something happens to me suddenly.



44. Post 3617297 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: knight22 on November 17, 2013, 11:37:01 PM
An interesting thought struck me earlier - now that the majority of my personal wealth lies with bitcoin, what would be the best and most secure way of leaving them in a will?!?  If I were to get run over by a truck tomorrow, my coins would probably be lost.  None of my family or friends would have any idea what to do with paper wallets either  Shocked

You should write a treasure map with shady and mysterious instructions of how to get access to your bitcoin. That would be awesome  Cheesy

Cool business idea. Hide a stash of coins and have advertisers buy space along the trail to find it.



45. Post 3619297 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: ardana123 on November 18, 2013, 03:54:20 AM
Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve, is also weighing in on the hearing, saying that it has no plans to regulate the currency.

“Although the Federal Reserve generally monitors developments in virtual currencies and other payments system innovations, it does not necessarily have authority to directly supervise or regulate these innovations or the entities that provide them to the market,” Bernanke wrote in a letter to the committee.

Whoa. Nice.



46. Post 3619318 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Crazy on November 18, 2013, 04:05:25 AM
Underwhelming, I don't think that will move the market in any direction.

Maybe not, but good news for the future of Bitcoin in the US.



47. Post 3619469 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Someone said Bitcoin is like The Blob. Punch it and it assimilates you.



48. Post 3620132 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Shak on November 18, 2013, 06:18:24 AM
its really like 100 $ lower than btchina

i don't get it. even if there is not enough buying power to raise the price, the sell orders should vanish and reflect the price of the other markets, right? why would anyone have a sell order for 501$ when the price is 580$ on gox and 600$ in china?

Go ahead and play the arbitrage. You'd have to send bitcoins to Gox or Btcchina, sell high, then transfer fiat back to your home country, pay bank fees, wait a week... by then the price could have stabilized, or you'd be waiting 2 months for your USD Gox transfer... not as easy as it sounds.



49. Post 3620149 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

China is already over $600. Resistance at $500? Never!!!



50. Post 3625943 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Just some profit taking. Happened at $500 too. Will happen all the way up.



51. Post 3626046 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Nemesis on November 18, 2013, 05:44:18 PM
Just some profit taking. Happened at $500 too. Will happen all the way up.

All these "profit taking", "locking in profits" strategies never work and you will regret when btc trades at $1k

You've been warned.

I was watching the Bitstamp tape last night and saw multiple large dumps, hundreds of coins at once spaced closely together. My guess is an early adopter needed a new car or house. Also the market absorbed it nicely, strengthening my faith in the trend.



52. Post 3626081 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Quote from: Nemesis on November 18, 2013, 05:47:32 PM
Bitcoin is much more than digital currency. Those who understand will not "cash out" or "taking profit"

I see a future where bitcoin blockchain is the infrastructure for all digital assets. Its the technology that make it possible.

We're the early adopters and we dont need "cash" to be wealthy!


Again, true. But tell that to the skeptical wives who want $$$.



53. Post 3628328 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Raman just said current laws/statutes are flexible enough to meet their needs



54. Post 3628401 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Shasky: "Cash is still the best way of laundering money."

Ha!



55. Post 3628881 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):

Overwhelmingly bullish.



56. Post 3628899 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Senator: I'll be taking a phone call from one of my colleagues...

Colleague: Buy buy buy!!!



57. Post 3635071 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: seanneko on November 19, 2013, 06:52:04 AM
Why is Bearstamp doing the opposite of all the other exchanges? For the past couple of hours they've been slowly dropping in value, but all the others are either holding steady or rising...

Profit taking, daddy wants a new car, girlfriend wants a tennis bracelet Cheesy

I'd say Stamp has a nice bearish streak, but they eventually get dragged up along with China.



58. Post 3640905 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: ag@th0s on November 19, 2013, 05:27:36 PM
There's a part of me thinking that, at least in the eyes of the non devotee, Bitcoin has just embarrassed itself. Pissed it's pants in the playground of public opinion out of over excitement. The day after just about the best PR anyone could have ever expected we've proved conclusively how fucked our infrastructure is - how manipulated our markets are - how sentimental the idea of a crypto currency as the guarantee of any stable value is. Not only are the markets rigged, effectively run by an unholy cartel of early adopters, Miners Guilds and ASIC manufacturers: but the three biggest Exchanges in the world consist of a perpetual motion machine running on thin air, a market who's operation is so opaque that not even the most heroic of commentators appear to have one_fucking_clue of what is going on with it and a clunky start-up in a country with a banking system on the brink of bankruptcy.

Way to go BTC - mass adoption here we come. Not.

ps.  Still on the train - just pissing in the boiler so to speak.

Bitcoin conspiracy theories have never panned out. Occam's razor applies well to markets.



59. Post 3641267 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: BroodAap on November 19, 2013, 06:03:31 PM
I hope the price won't raise yet after the upcoming hearing. I want to buy allot but my money will be transferred to my bank account tomorrow.

I dunno, Shasky's going to testify again Wink



60. Post 3642434 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: Nikolaj06 on November 19, 2013, 07:15:43 PM
Any guesses to why stamp is slowly dropping all by it self? Delayed reaction because of ddos?

Selling in front of the Senate hearing, expecting a flash crash like yesterday to buy back lower.

Too risky for my blood.



61. Post 3642471 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):

Quote from: Parazyd on November 19, 2013, 07:43:58 PM
Has the Senate hearing started?

In 45 minutes.



62. Post 3643719 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: tomjo7 on November 19, 2013, 09:23:34 PM
What's the vote at 5?

I think it's that the Senate needs to be on the floor to vote @ 5.



63. Post 3643806 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Nice comments from Hughes, neat that her dad was a cryptographer in WWII. She emphasized the importance of digital currencies as groundbreaking.



64. Post 3645808 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: Chalkbot on November 20, 2013, 12:36:07 AM
I agree, the problem now is fiat transfers to exchanges and whether the exchanges can cope: BTCe has a dubious record; Gox is a nightmare all round; Stamp has failed this week; no volume on Coinmkt.  The list goes on - its the fiat interface that hampers crypto adoption.

Indeed. I'm trying to get money into bitcoin RIGHT NOW, and I just can't do it. And that's with me having a verified account at Gox and Coinbase. No coins, or 7-10 day international wire transfer? Hmmm. Well this blows.

Keep checking Coinbase. I was able to buy last night, price lock-in and all.



65. Post 3647453 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: CryptStorm on November 20, 2013, 04:32:01 AM
Hey honey would you press Market Sell on those 10K I left on the counter!???

Am i fucking seeing this?!

Wow!



66. Post 3647534 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Silly Gox. Fun to watch those market orders zoom by though Smiley



67. Post 3647976 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on November 20, 2013, 05:43:47 AM
yep, thank god that we have stamp and china, otherwise this would be like april
Agreed, this is not April.

This is June 2011.

Wait, I thought this was Sparta.



68. Post 3655275 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: gandhibt on November 20, 2013, 08:11:08 PM
Remember always that whalelish guys like rpietila and nemesis or goat for that matter can troll to get more coins. Rpietila and nemesis has even confessed this.

I cannot repeat this enough. Watch the tape, read a few books, but as a general rule do not listen to forum advice. This place is a den of iniquity and greed sometimes, with sock puppets, fake accounts and trolls everywhere. Watch where you step.



69. Post 3656609 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: TERA on November 20, 2013, 10:16:32 PM
4 hour chart going DOWN  , its bear time.

4 hour Bitstamp chart going up. Bull time!



70. Post 3667611 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on November 21, 2013, 08:53:18 PM
People are so panicky. Crazy. If someone even farts people just hit the sell button in total panic.

Noobs need more testicular fortitude. One might start by ignoring the trolls who scream crash/manipulation/FUD every time they go short.



71. Post 3671728 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Yes, more discussion of the underlying fundamentals of the double apple bottom.

Specifically me lying under them.



72. Post 3677908 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on November 22, 2013, 07:34:20 PM
$34.8 million now on the Gox order book. This is up from around $13 million at the start of October.

I understand continuing to use Gox as I've been using them since the very beginning, but I certainly wouldn't be sending them additional $ if I wanted to buy BTC in the last few months.

Is this perhaps USD that was always there, but not on the order book? Or are folks really sending new $ there? Perhaps the Second Market guys? Other large investors? I could see them not going to Bitstamp due the lack of liquidity. I still believe (no evidence) that Gox has private deals with large players for USD withdrawals. But they can't risk opening up that faucet to everyone and having it turned off until their issues with the US Gov and CoinLab are addressed.

One word: Volume.

Despite gox's problem, they have the highest volume and the most amount of experience handling the most amount of money. You could probably trust bitstamp with that much money, but good luck buying a million dollars without radically changing the price and losing to slippage.

Gox has problems, but they always sort them out- supposidly the larger you are a client, the faster they sort things out too. :-)  

Agreed. There are a lot of old traders and early adopter coins there. Despite their issues, they were first in the game and have the most market depth to purchase/trade large amounts of coins. I would not be surprised at all to hear they have private deals with big investors.



73. Post 3677944 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):

Quote from: elg on November 22, 2013, 07:38:17 PM
noob question: how come Stamp and Gox are on the same btc value now?

My guess is someone figured out how to arb between China/Gox/Stamp.



74. Post 3682871 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

All time highs on Bitstamp.

Also Arvind.



75. Post 3682892 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: CryptStorm on November 23, 2013, 06:17:34 AM
All time highs on Bitstamp.

Also Arvind.

There was an Arvind video on bitcoinity that showed him getting High!?

LOL. That gives me an idea!



76. Post 3693901 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: n8rwJeTt8TrrLKPa55eU on November 24, 2013, 04:39:37 AM
Memo to would-be weekend manipulators: your shenanigans are becoming sad and pathetic.

Most coins are now held by strong hands not stupid enough to believe that whales would permanently liquidate large coinage at the time of the week when there is the least liquidity.  We all know you are trying to trigger fake panics and bearish technical formations.   And we know you intend to buy those coins back just as quickly as you sold them.

If you want us to stop yawning, do a dump on a weekday, when people are awake, during real banking hours.


Thank you. I happened to look at my phone during the dump, and saw sub $800. Meh. I was at a holiday party, couldn't be bothered.



77. Post 3700785 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Can we get some better moderation here? Trolls are getting desperate.



78. Post 3704312 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):

Quote from: BitPirate on November 25, 2013, 04:50:40 AM
Sorry, I don't want to see a mass adoption bubble right now. Too early. I'd rather have 5-figure coins in the future than a mad gold rush now and millions of Chinese losing their shirts in a massive bubble.

That would be nice, but is it mathematically possible when everyone finds out about Bitcoin at once?



79. Post 3714432 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on November 25, 2013, 11:44:06 PM
Yet I have to see the big drop to 300-500 that so many oldtimers here seem to be expecting.


With so many expecting it, it may never happen.



80. Post 3714509 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: Spaceman_Spiff on November 25, 2013, 11:59:06 PM
Yet I have to see the big drop to 300-500 that so many oldtimers here seem to be expecting.


With so many expecting it, it may never happen.

many are also expecting a rise

And so we continue to do nothing....

Haven't we done enough? Cheesy



81. Post 3716964 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):

Quote from: Vigil on November 26, 2013, 05:07:51 AM
And there will be another sell-off.

Quoted for posterity in case anyone missed his last 100 posts repeating the exact same thing.

We get the idea, you want cheap coins, thanks for playing.



82. Post 3893681 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: Jcw188 on December 09, 2013, 05:29:34 PM
The question as far as I'm concerned is whether this is real or some type of dead cat bounce.  I mean to get over $1000, close to $1100 would mean something to me.  If it stalls out soon though I'd be worried it's headed for another drop.  We'll see I guess.  Anyone familiar with characteristics of dead cat bounce?

I think the resistance (walls) before 900 (Stamp) are significant to calm the earlier flash rally. But "we" don't want to crash again. Profits have been taken, coins have been distributed to stronger hands. We may sit tight for awhile before more money (or news) causes an accumulation cycle to begin again.



83. Post 3902224 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):

Quote from: 600watt on December 10, 2013, 07:34:45 AM
hopefully they are all trying so eager to create their own coin that bitcoin stands out of the corporate coin zoo.

They are not eager to create their own cryptocurrency when they are dependent on central banks for money creation and bailout needs. Besides it would take them 6+ months. They are stuck in an old paradigm.



84. Post 3925133 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: 11ams on December 11, 2013, 08:09:19 PM
European finance ministers have reached the basis of an agreement to wind down failing banks and share the costs, Eurogroup President Jeroen Dijsselbloem told CNBC following a 16-hour marathon negotiating session in Brussels.

The agreement is expected to begin with a Cyprus-style "bail-in" process in which major depositors in failing banks are tapped first in an effort to support the lender.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101263206

No comments...

This is positive news for Bitcoin, is it not? Or are we worried about how this could impact Bitstamp?

May be similar to the Cypress bail-in news, which was fairly significant.



85. Post 3929122 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: rpietila on December 12, 2013, 12:50:15 AM
Incorrect. Phew. Understatement of the century. If you have read any of my threads, you know very well that I know a lot about many things, and actively use this knowledge to my advantage.

You absolutely do. Which means no one should be listening to your advice if they want to keep their coins.

I do like your pink Mary Kay car though Cheesy



86. Post 3930412 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

Quote from: spooderman on December 12, 2013, 07:00:29 AM
Someone wanna summarise the last 40 pages for us europeans?





87. Post 3937062 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):

The four and six hour charts look much less menacing.

Hope you all have your gambling shoes on.



88. Post 4010129 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Well-timed, large sells every time price threatens to break upwards... I wonder if someone knows something we don't.



89. Post 4010227 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: TheCoinBull on December 17, 2013, 03:32:12 PM
Well-timed, large sells every time price threatens to break upwards... I wonder if someone knows something we don't.
Yes they do, and no, their not sharing.

Bullish. But it depends on how many sheeple believe him. Or if he's (or they) are intentionally driving down the price before good news.

Bitcoiners never share. They tend to hack, ddos, FUD and scam.



90. Post 4010855 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

Quote from: oda.krell on December 17, 2013, 04:02:23 PM
aaaah, the smell of denial.

And here I was, thinking this downtrend might be over already... but there you are, guys, coming up with all kinds of explanations why "price is kept down artificially".

Funny, because there's much less conspiracy around when the price is going up, huh?

Jim Cramer admits to doing it in his famous video clip.

Buy up all the bids, then crank the price down. Maybe call a friend and release a negative press release or two. He implies other hedge fund managers do it too, because, well it's incredibly profitable, doesn't take much money and they don't get caught.

Not saying it doesn't happen on the way up, but everyone's making money on the way up.

Edit: http://youtu.be/GOS8QgAQO-k



91. Post 4011402 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):

It's time to choose.





92. Post 4020183 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Catch a falling star and put it in your pocket....



93. Post 4020471 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on December 18, 2013, 06:14:17 AM
A lot of bulls on here are like mad cow disease; they give newbies a distorted view of bitcoin and end up taking their money as well, and then lose it all to the master traders/ whales.

Liberal use of the ignore button and checking to take the real people of ignore works well, you get a spam of ignored posts before dumps.
Very cool-- I hadn't really imagined there would be so many straw dummy FUD accounts.


Wink Its sometimes hard to keep up with the new sockpuppets but its better than suffering.

Good idea. It's been harder and harder to wade through this forum.

FYI BTCChina has TEMPORARILY suspended fiat deposits. Key word temporarily.

Sell if you think it's going lower and want to take the risk, but don't let fear take hold. It leads to the Dark Side.



94. Post 4020701 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

I ignored a few people and now half the speculation forum is greyed out. Gotta love the puppets.




95. Post 4020756 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

That was quite the Chinese shakeout. I grabbed a few coins @ $675 earlier, but I didn't sell any. Good enough for me. Long term, if Bitcoin succeeds even a little, I'd be kicking myself in the future if I gambled now with my stash.

If it goes lower, God be with the shorts.



96. Post 4030328 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: EuroTrash on December 18, 2013, 07:41:17 PM
Pff. I missed the top of the sucker's rally. I was temporarily busy with real life, how annoying.

As I expected the Chinese started the second wave of dumps. Now it is going to be interesting to see how much the other markets do care. There is a lot of fiat left at the exchanges, making people nervous.


China's going to be a dead exchange soon if they can't get money in. All the coins will get transferred out by arb or at a loss. Honey badger don't care. Decouple already happening.



97. Post 4030787 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on December 18, 2013, 08:18:49 PM
this is the end Cry

*buys more popcorn*

end of the trend?



98. Post 4031371 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-price-falls-btc-china-exchange-shuts-fiat-deposits/

Quote
BTC China told CoinDesk it is expecting to reinstate deposits in RMB soon. Bobby Lee said he is now working with another third party payment company to try and reinstate RMB pricing, and is hoping to make an announcement on the Weibo account in the next few hours.



99. Post 4036618 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

I see eleven threads greyed out in the speculation forum. Must mean something bearish.



100. Post 4036691 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: TERA on December 19, 2013, 04:48:56 AM


How about that oversold MACD?



101. Post 4037363 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

I've taken this time to liberally use the ignore button to single out sock puppets and troll fudsters.

Apologies if I inadvertently included you. Seems they're getting desperate.




102. Post 4037421 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: seleme on December 19, 2013, 06:23:41 AM
haha, I'm getting closer to that, have to review that screenshot and add some to my ignore collection.

I am going to ignore anyone who is posting either bullish or bearish knee jerk thoughts outside of this thread.

I lurk so I've a pretty good idea of the regulars. I'm also a writer so I recognize certain language patterns.

It's not hard, just ask yourself if there's an individual behind the username.



103. Post 4037486 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: seleme on December 19, 2013, 06:33:29 AM
haha, I'm getting closer to that, have to review that screenshot and add some to my ignore collection.

I am going to ignore anyone who is posting either bullish or bearish knee jerk thoughts outside of this thread.

Please ignore me..... i'm a bull pretend to be a bear that post bullish comments as a reversed psychology tactic. !!!!!  Shocked Shocked

as long as you post it here, you'll probably be fine  Grin

LOL seriouscoin is on my naughty list. It's ok, I regularly remove people. Be good and Santa will get out his red eraser.



104. Post 4044537 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Pretty big news. Overstock.com has been around forever and is a big US company.

http://newsbtc.com/2013/12/19/overstock-com-begin-accepting-bitcoin-2nd-half-2014/

Edit: Ranked 137 http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/overstock.com



105. Post 4045066 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: gizmoh on December 19, 2013, 05:39:56 PM
Very Important Christmas Gift Advice :

This thing is currently way overbought and mid-term overvalued considering the chinese exchanges current state of affairs..
No more fresh CNY, not even bank transfer cause the exchanges never used them and won't be allowed.
No more frenzy buying by china gamblers, no more capital control bypass trick. Remember they were the one that ignited this baby.
 A $100-$150 difference in price tells volumes,that china is weak though they account for 20%-35% of the btc market.
In the coming days they will be dumping on other exchanges, especially on bitstamp to get USD at the best rate. Selling pressure will be overwhelming.
All chinese exchanges reinstated fees, to milk while they can, until they  move to HK with NO big fat pocked china man ot simply close shop! There is no way around that.
Yes i'm saying all that after i sold and happy in fiat without loss Cheesy. And don't worry i won't buy back your coins until lower lows are achieved  Cheesy

You can thank me later for saving you from losing some $$$  Grin


Looks like the rally caught the bears off guard.



106. Post 4045157 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):



Bears are nervous Grin



107. Post 4045242 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Is there a reliable way to withdraw money from Stamp to a Chinese account?



108. Post 4045302 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: gizmoh on December 19, 2013, 06:01:46 PM
Very Important Christmas Gift Advice :

This thing is currently way overbought and mid-term overvalued considering the chinese exchanges current state of affairs..
No more fresh CNY, not even bank transfer cause the exchanges never used them and won't be allowed.
No more frenzy buying by china gamblers, no more capital control bypass trick. Remember they were the one that ignited this baby.
 A $100-$150 difference in price tells volumes,that china is weak though they account for 20%-35% of the btc market.
In the coming days they will be dumping on other exchanges, especially on bitstamp to get USD at the best rate. Selling pressure will be overwhelming.
All chinese exchanges reinstated fees, to milk while they can, until they  move to HK with NO big fat pocked china man ot simply close shop! There is no way around that.
Yes i'm saying all that after i sold and happy in fiat without loss Cheesy. And don't worry i won't buy back your coins until lower lows are achieved  Cheesy

You can thank me later for saving you from losing some $$$  Grin


Looks like the rally caught the bears off guard.

Uhhh Not really  Wink

Stamp:

Sell   Dec. 19, 2013, 3:13 p.m.   -13.61895395 BTC   $9,383.46   $689.00    $18.77
Sell   Dec. 19, 2013, 3:13 p.m.   -0.28899855 BTC   $199.12   $689.00    $0.40
Sell   Dec. 19, 2013, 3:13 p.m.   -0.08500000 BTC   $58.56   $689.00    $0.12
Sell   Dec. 19, 2013, 3:13 p.m.   -9.37674891 BTC   $6,460.58   $689.00    $12.93
Sell   Dec. 19, 2013, 3:13 p.m.   -52.63029859 BTC   $36,262.28   $689.00    $72.53

Well than why are you posting if so confident? Something about pride going before something.... Cheesy



109. Post 4046456 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: Voodah on December 19, 2013, 07:21:22 PM
guys a bit off-topic I feel a bit guilty look at this : http://www.forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2013/12/19/bitcoin-may-be-following-this-classic-bubble-stages-chart/



the funny thin is this : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=376183.msg4030054#msg4030054


did this journalist copy my post ? cant they be more talented ?



Did you buy your account?

Have you not seen the exact same thing posted a gazillion times, over and over?

Have you not ignored him yet? When not trolling he's quoting other trolls/sock puppets.

It's pretty funny to watch an entire thread of that shit, actually. There must be like 5 people controlling 20 accounts.



110. Post 4046688 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: Voodah on December 19, 2013, 07:30:10 PM
Quote
It's pretty funny to watch an entire thread of that shit, actually. There must be like 5 people controlling 20 accounts.

BTW I have only one account and yes I do sometime come here to make fun out of some users here, but this doesn't make me a 100% troll, most of the time I post really informative posts or call it my point of view, if you do not like my point of view than move on there is nothing to see here....

Why did you see a need to buy an account?

Ok you make your case. Sock puppets tend to quote themselves. Once you use the ignore button liberally on questionable accounts this becomes patently obvious. So when you quote them more than a few times you go on the naughty list.

I just get annoyed at traders who post low value material solely to drive market sentiment in their favor. Grow a pair and stand behind your trade, or change it. This is a house of learned men, not your personal echo chamber to manipulate the market.



111. Post 4047125 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

1, 4 & 6 hours charts looking awfully bullish.

Weeee there we go while I was writing!!



112. Post 4047875 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):



Personally I think the Overstock.com news is being underplayed. Those of us from the US realize how big it is, and it may encourage other retailers to jump on board to remain competitive.



113. Post 4047906 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: Dragonkiller on December 19, 2013, 08:57:58 PM
second half of 2014 though, hopefully a lot more important things would have happened by then

True, but it's a glimpse of things to come.



114. Post 4048541 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: Gyrsur on December 19, 2013, 09:40:13 PM
Care to explain wtf is overstock.com to an European fellow that never heard about them before?
Typical forum member, why research it myself and get real answers, when I can ask manipulators, schemers, and total schmucks...

a picture will always transport the message. say to him that the man inside the ellipse will be he after the adaption of Bitcoin by Overstock next year.



 Grin

I think I see Edward50 back by the radio tower.



115. Post 4049677 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Quote from: mb300sd on December 19, 2013, 11:06:03 PM
Picked up a large amount of BTC that would otherwise have hit the market, at the CNY rate.

Its not very difficult to bring large amounts of USD into China on a private plane. I have a close relationship with my A&P.

In case anyone's wondering, an A&P is an aircraft mechanic.

I thought he was referring to the discount supermarket chain.

Playing the finale of Bruckner Symphony #1 in your honor, Loaded. Nice job.



116. Post 4052831 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):

Massive buys on Gox. Something's up.



117. Post 4066232 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):

Quote from: spooderman on December 21, 2013, 12:41:19 AM
You really want tears in your eyes.... watch this http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dHchmWsrfUo&hd=1

Ahh so much lolz... thanks for that!



118. Post 4190923 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on December 28, 2013, 07:39:16 PM

btw. i sold major portion, im now 80/20 (usd/btc)

Some of yours coins are belonging to me now. :-)

And mine
You are welcome  Wink

Thanks for a nice xmas

And this is why nobody should listen to anybody for trading advice on this forum.

It's great that some people get lucky and make profits, and that experienced traders use volatility to their advantage. It creates market depth, which is a good thing.

I'm probably preaching to the choir, but there are sharks in the water and most noobs are armed with little more than a leaky inner tube Smiley

Now what I'd like to see are traders who brag about their bad trades. That would be entertaining, and sobering to newbies who think its easy to "double their stash".



119. Post 4199429 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Hey bitcoin market, do something. The gamblers are getting bored and need their dopamine rush.



120. Post 4209580 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):

Quote from: windjc on December 29, 2013, 10:05:47 PM
If this consolidation continues for another week until Jan. 6th, bears are going to be treading on REALLY thin ice, imo.

Depends on the timeframe. Personally I expect the final capitulation in Feb +/- 1 month, so one week does not matter much. Perhaps there should be a different thread for people who trade on daily, weekly and monthly timeframe. Or less slander. If March passes without hitting $400, then the chances of seeing it again are slim.

Well my premise is this one. A lot of new fiat will be hitting the exchanges in January. People want to get in NOW given what happened between Jan to Dec of 2013. Especially if the slow trend up continues.

My timeframe is longer. Bitcoin has been around for 5 years, and it has always been a terrific enlightenment for those who have been ripe for it. The knowledge about bitcoin has grown exponentially and investment into it has grown exponentially. I expect this to continue and every year be on average 12 times more glorious (as it has been), until everybody uses bitcoin (which will happen in 2016-17 at this rate). Everything that has happened since 2009 is captured by the trend and its variations, and will be.

There has been some regularities in the growth that I have researched, some of it is published, some not. I believe knowing them gives an edge in trading, and so far it has proven to be good. I have several million dollars of my own money that I could use to purchase bitcoins but choose not to. Not at this price. I am taking a large, calculated risk, with entry points set according to mathematical model for the rest of the year. I even gave the average sell price a few posts ago. Now there is no need to comment that I am doing bad every time the price rises $10. You could as well post about how good I am doing for the reason that I always have more bitcoins than fiat anyway  Cool

So, after smoking the best the world has to offer, I again feel that taking a break from this thread is in order.

See you at $500. And don't fall in the bull trap Wink

RP what I don't get is if you truly truly believe your log charts of 12x growth every year then why even trade? You are risking tens of millions of dollars in order to make a few more tens of millions. Isn't there something more worthwhile of your time. Like maybe starting a foundation or something?

Because his ego needs feeding. A little humility would suit him.



121. Post 4243090 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Quote from: windjc on December 31, 2013, 06:17:48 PM
Fortress is first. And so it begins.

Wow. Exciting times.

Correct me if I'm wrong but price is arbitrary. We can trade in millibitcoins or whatever. Infrastructure will increase no doubt, but there doesn't need to be a specific amount of infrastructure to support a price; it simply reflects supply and demand. When an investment firm needs to back their Bitcoin trust, they buy, increasing scarcity in an already scarce resource, driving up the price.

The lucky ones in this case will be those who hold whole coins, when millions of people want 1 coin each, or a fraction of one. Seems difficult for us to grasp for us here, but we are the hundreds and thousands, not millions, who want coins.



122. Post 4249911 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):

Happy New Years rally everyone!!

Love you all!



123. Post 4330270 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):

Well this explains today's rally.

http://bitcoinboard.net/facebook-accepts-bitcoin-on-advertising-platform/

FACEBOOK!!!



124. Post 4354107 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.52h):

Quote from: arepo on January 06, 2014, 11:04:47 PM
Going to sleep, feel free to pm me if by some miracle he will actually send coins to Richy.

i hear you, this whole thing does indeed reek of he-who-shall-not-be... er.. Matthew.

but, not being involved, im prepared for a good show either way Grin

TBH Coinabull has been on my ignore list for some time, probably FUDing for his book or suspected sock. But I hope he pays, should make for good entertainment Cheesy



125. Post 4360371 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.52h):

Quote from: NamelessOne on January 07, 2014, 06:45:26 AM
Gox also appears to have some kind of in-house bot with access to the exchange still and it is still buying, hahaha. This bots seems to be the 15btc buy bot that has been around for a while trying to push the price upwards every 5-10 minutes.

in a minute we shall find out .. if this bot is still active lol

it bought at 10:37.. lol if this was an elaborate hack to show the gox bot.. oh god

6hrs at that rate = 1100 by 7:41am lol

LOL There it is! Yeah I was just doing similar calculations. This has revealed their 'price pusher' bot to the world, hahah. That thing has been around for a least a couple weeks now. My theory is more that they hit the panic button when the market went in a direction they and their bot didn't want.

Maybe it's simply a market maker bot. Hard to tell.



126. Post 4361172 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.52h):

Quote from: windjc on January 07, 2014, 07:41:24 AM
Glad to see the ButtHead, I mean, CoinBull followed through on his bet.

Not. Shocking.

Well he is on the naughty list.



127. Post 4433861 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Quote from: [Default Trust] is Tyrannically Centralized! (goat) on January 10, 2014, 05:11:21 PM
do not forget to support overstock! do your part!




Nice! Are you using Satoshi's QT wallet?



128. Post 4454457 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):

Well, if electricmucus says so, it must be true.



129. Post 4520942 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):

Quote from: [Default Trust] is Tyrannically Centralized! (goat) on January 15, 2014, 06:34:11 AM
Is it choo choo time yet ?

Bitstamp 830 wall of  200 btc being eaten.

yes CCMF

Caribbean Condominium Mothers' Fund?
Christlike Concerns for the Medically Fragile?
Continuing Curriculum of Martyrs and Floozies?
Cost Cutters of Montana and Fairbanks?
Community College Magic Foundation?



130. Post 4532766 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: damiano on January 15, 2014, 08:41:52 PM
Looks like it has failed to break out upwards

Quote from: Patel on January 15, 2014, 08:43:57 PM
We're gonna go below 800 thats for sure.

Less book-talking and more chart dinosaurs, please.



131. Post 4535102 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: MAbtc on January 15, 2014, 10:16:53 PM
Why always "talking book" when someone expresses an opinion...

Generally, on this specific subforum, it's a valid assumption.
I mean more so that it's sort of a moot point. Obviously if I post a buy/sell target, that's my position. But there is this nagging assertion around here that this is done to manipulate price. That seems absurd to me, but I guess some people put a lot more weight on this forum than others.

During the December bear market (and more so during panics) half of the speculation forum turns to italics... meaning trolls, fudsters, sock puppets, and angry bears with nothing better to do. They mysteriously turn up at the most opportune times. Coincidence?

They are effective at instilling fear during crashes. Comments like THE CHINESE ARE SELLING ON STAMP can really get your heart going at the bottom of a long trend.



132. Post 4554425 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on January 16, 2014, 11:14:52 PM
Silk Road dump incoming - 26,000 coins.  FBI has said they are going to sell.  Judge has approved sale.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2014/01/16/the-feds-are-ready-to-sell-the-silk-road-bitcoin-kind-of/

Auctioned off-exchange. They're as good as sold.



133. Post 4753858 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.59h):

Guys, Gox was "going under" six months ago, and six months before that.

Guess what? They're still here.



134. Post 4821259 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.00h):

Quote from: proudhon on January 29, 2014, 04:52:22 PM
Uh oh, a bunch more merchants "of similar statute" (as Overstock) about to sign up with Coinbase.

This is not confirmed, but even if it is, it's bad news as these merchants will cash out all their bitcoin and will further crash the market.  I have confirmed the last part where I just wrote "even if it is, it's bad news as these merchants will cash out all their bitcoin and will further crash the market".

I've further confirmed this by quoting your confirmation. Confirmed.



135. Post 4881683 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on February 01, 2014, 07:15:22 PM
God gives bitcoin the thumbs up:
http://www.coindesk.com/legendary-game-programmer-john-carmack-guardedly-excited-bitcoin/

IDDQD

CCMF



136. Post 4945492 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: Vigil on February 05, 2014, 05:36:02 AM
Has the gov still not released the Gox funds from months ago?

You mean the funds Homeland Security seized from their Dwolla account last summer? Probably not. I had some cash tied up in that (talk about your bad timing); fortunately Gox credited my account anyway.



137. Post 4961344 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):

Quote from: GaliX on February 05, 2014, 10:13:32 PM
DogeCoin just got 13% Amplitude lol.
Amazing, Imagin BTC would just skyrock 100$ in one time haha  Grin

And now we have MEOW, another freaking animal coin. This is a house of learned men, not altcoin junkies.



138. Post 4966240 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):

Quote from: seleme on February 06, 2014, 03:27:13 AM
Altcoins are much better way to increase number of BTC than btc vs fiat trading.

When we talk about unrealized gains, yesterday was a third month when I cashed out like 5 BTC. That's how I decided to hedge and gain some realized profits - selling for 4-5k$ per month. It's quite enough to live more than comfortably and to spare at least half of that where I live.

Alt speculation is easier said than done. There are like 5-10 new altcoins per day so it's like watching a spinning roulette wheel. I have a little 3Mh/s scrypt rig (also serves as my office space heater) so I've been mining and playing with alts... between the greed, FUD, and pump & dumps I can't tell what's what. Everyone wants to be the next Satoshi.



139. Post 4980194 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):

I see the forum starting to go italic... trolls & socks puppets coming out to play. I guess the price didn't go low enough.



140. Post 5008063 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.04h):

Quote from: worldlybedouin on February 08, 2014, 12:03:32 AM


In German, I believe that means "The Bitcoin"  Smiley

Correct. Instead of, "Die Bitcoin, die," he meant "The Bitcoin, the"



141. Post 5011757 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.04h):

I hope Gox works itself out. They always have in the past, sort of like a Phoenix when everyone thinks they're dead, they rise back up.

Anyone else remember when their trading engine would lag beyond belief? Nobody could trade, and the market crashed at one point because of it. THE END IS NEAR people were shouting.

The end was not near. This is still the beginning.



142. Post 5044728 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 09, 2014, 10:56:10 PM
For Bitcoin to crash to zero a fundamental flaw in the code would have to be found or SHA-2 broken.

SHA-2 being broken is always a possibility.  Keep in mind that all public crypto schemes rely on a conjecture
for which there is no compelling theoretical argument or empirical evidence,

And there are many other developments that could make bitcoins worthless, for example

* The US government bans crypto-currencies.
* Everybody chooses to use Dogecoin instead of Bitcoin
* The Bitcoin blockchain stops being maintained because
** Mining becomes unprofitable
** Other crypto-coins become more profitable to mine
** It got all messed up and the network cannot agree on the fix

and so on.  Surely there are many more possible disasters no one has thought of.  (One year ago crypto-currencies were believed to be untraceable and un-seizeable, for example.)  That is why one cannot put a probability on "price will crash to zero"...

The nuclear industry once sponsored a very thorough safety study that examined all the ways in which a nuclear plant could possibly fail, and concluded that, assuming several hundred operating reactors, there might be one partial meltdown every century or so.  That was before Three Mile Island, of course.  According to the principles of that study,  three separate reactors melting down down at the same time would be less likely than a meteorite killing Santa Claus; and the possibility that an unloaded reactor could explode and become a major nuclear risk was not even considered.

NASA too once sponsored a very detailed study of the Space Shuttle's safety.  It concluded that the chances of a total loss were about 1 every 100,000 launches.  The actual rate turned out to be 1 every 50 launches.

As your interest in Bitcoin is purely academic and you presumably don't own any bitcoins, one has to wonder why the majority of your posts are in a forum thread consisting of mostly un-academic discussion between bitcoin owners.

To use an American saying, don't knock it 'till you've tried it.



143. Post 5069775 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 11, 2014, 02:39:08 AM
they're not insolvent I wish everyone would stop going on about this. How could you actually fail that hard? They make more than half a percent on many of their transactions. They have a workable business model (when it works - it works!) If they genuinely don't have the cash I have no idea how they could have lost it.
I can think of at least five ways:

1. They were hacked and tons of their bitcoins were stolen.
2. The police seized a large chunk of their assets as part of crackdown on criminal use of bitcoins.
3. They wasted a fortune buying bitcoins at 10-20% above market.
4. They sold the clients' bitcoins at 100 USD to invest, price rose to 700 and they could not buy them back.
5. They reformatted the hard drive that had the only copy of their private keys.

And there are surely many more.  The immagination of incompetent managers is amazing.


Even if they were so foolish, life will go on without Gox. Just look at the price difference now.

So, when are you buying in? Cool



144. Post 5082153 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: gizmoh on February 11, 2014, 05:39:31 PM
Bitcoin is currently in a denial of service mode.

"aantonop: Tx malleability is now used in active broad-based attack against bitcoin network. Funds NOT at risk, but Denial-of-Service in progress"


Meanwhile many Bitstamp and btc-e withdrawals have gone AWOL.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=459836.40
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=459464.0


Some panic is in order. Kindly SELL in orderly fashion, before we hit the cliff.

So does this affect transactions in any way? No, it does not. I'll be kindly buying.



145. Post 5082475 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

-Jimmy Buffet



146. Post 5084170 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Bears, this is the buying opportunity, right now. Smart investors buy when the market is fearful, not the other way around.

Put on your big boy pants, place your buy orders, grab your iron mallet and do some troll hunting.



147. Post 5085220 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: CoinDox on February 11, 2014, 08:03:54 PM
Wow, I have been following this thread for a while now, I think I am going to stop. Seriously, for every one legitimate remark, there are hundreds others that do nothing but obfuscate reality and regurgitate media frenzy.

This thread now resembles the cesspools that are the Baby-Pips or ForexFactory forums in the way disinformation is spread based of half-truths and delivered with so much emotional baggage, you'd think the authors are packing for a trip to Mars (or the Moon right?).

Anyways, I digress - enjoy the feces flinging, if you are into that kind of thing.



Employ liberal use of the ignore button and watch the forum turn to italics during bad news. It's an easy way to call the bottoms.



148. Post 5085580 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 11, 2014, 08:20:02 PM
The BTC price on MtGOX now (580 USD) is already less than half of its all-time high on Nov/28 (1242 USD).

On other exchanges it is still somewhat above 50%.





149. Post 5089058 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Quote from: Nemo1024 on February 11, 2014, 11:00:09 PM
Don't know about you, guys, but I am going to have some fresh fiat on Stamp tomorrow, or the day after. This is too good an opportunity to miss out on! Smiley

The fear is palpable. Bitcoin will spring back just like it always has, and the ones who allowed themselves to get manipulated into selling will regret it.

Guess what, you don't have to fall for it.



150. Post 5104362 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Quote from: oda.krell on February 12, 2014, 05:35:27 PM
Don't think we're out of the bear market yet, but at least for the next few days I can see us regaining a bit of ground. Bid/ask on stamp looks extremely good, when viewed over a 1 week histogram.

A quick look at the 10 day shows a that if we don't revisit sub 650 (640?) we may be primed for a trend reversal. If we do, however, the downtrend will have more more strength.



151. Post 5104672 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

Overstock does 1 million in sales in Bitcoin, launches rewards program...

http://www.coindesk.com/overstock-launch-new-rewards-program-bitcoin-buyers/



152. Post 5130374 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.08h):

Gox will be irrelevant soon; much more quickly if they do not make good with their customers. Good riddance I say. They deserved the boot when their engine used to get laggy as *#$& but they were the only game in town.



153. Post 5131592 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.08h):

Quote from: magicmexican on February 14, 2014, 01:14:50 AM
By the way, wouldn't it be better if Gox would suspend all trading until further notice when he made the initial announcement?

You'd think, but no. I wonder if the rats are jumping ship yet.



154. Post 5131742 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.08h):

Quote from: windjc on February 14, 2014, 01:26:16 AM
This forum is almost as batshit crazy right now as when we were at $1200.   The agendas are out in full force.

Is the bottom in? No. But its getting closer.

Reading some more fiat for a purchase soon. Probably within the next week.

Meanwhile, bears, enjoy the ride. You are making cheaper coins available for all. And I thank you for that.

I get paid on the 15th (as do many in the US who are paid bimonthly, 15/31 are big paydays) and you'd better believe I'm buying. Bills be damned!



155. Post 5144454 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):

Nooo I slept in and missed the cheap coins!

Valentines Day rally in progress.



156. Post 5147484 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):

Quote from: podyx on February 14, 2014, 08:05:13 PM
somebody took a shit on stamp or what happend?

Someone trying to ride the waves. Risky business.



157. Post 5165326 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.10h):

Quote from: Holliday on February 15, 2014, 07:55:14 PM
From now on, who actually quotes the idiot, get's ignored aswell.  Tongue

If you do this in the speculation forum, you won't have anything left to read.

Ignore button is useful to judge bears' desperation. Edit: this usually happens when speculators are mostly short.




158. Post 5168030 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.10h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 15, 2014, 11:26:04 PM
Granted, those are speculators, not users.

I remember you saying something about speculators before. They provide liquidity and absorb excess risk that average investors are not willing to take. They exist in every market. I don't see it as a negative, as their trading is equally bound by the laws of supply and demand which will result in reasonably accurate price discovery over time. So bring on the speculation, it's all part of the adoption curve which, in Bitcoin world, is shared by bitcoin owners, not venture capitalists.



159. Post 5168096 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.10h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 15, 2014, 11:47:21 PM
BTW: You´re actually quite famous? Is that you? Shocked

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jorge_Stolfi
Seems to fit the description, cool CV (and field of work).
yes, it is me...

Cool! Great to have such an academic mind among us... what do you think about blockchains as voting mechanisms, seeing as vote fraud is of interest to you?



160. Post 5168451 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.10h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 16, 2014, 12:05:33 AM
[ speculators ] provide liquidity and absorb excess risk that average investors are not willing to take. They exist in every market. I don't see it as a negative.

I do not intend the term as negative.  But the use of bitcoins for speculation or store of value is a side effect that is not strictly necessary for its goal (cheap safe etc. payment via internet) and may be a an obstacle to it.

I have yet to see a convincing model (with numbers) of the bitcoin economy in the bright future; much less how we can get from here to there without being steamrolled along the way by banks, governments, and other competitors like Apple and PayPal. (I read somewhere that PayPal is already blocking any payment related to bitcoin.)

The fast increase in value, for example, seems to have attracted a lot of undesriable players (greedy speculators, shady investors, incompetent businessmen, scammers...) which are already harming the project's image.


You know you're absolutely right. I don't think anyone in their right mind doubts that digital currencies have an uphill battle.

I was in total agreement with you last year, but I invested anyway because I believed in the idea, and have had this nagging sensation in the back of my brain ever since I didn't buy up domain names when I was 16. I even had the idea then, but got sidetracked with college, music, girls... you know Cheesy Bitcoin brought me right back to that "oh shit" moment when I was learning about the internet in its early days.

After using Bitcoin, one realizes that it's so far better than the traditional system that it may just win by default. It's an extraordinary piece of technology that's driven by a huge need for change, not just in the way we transfer value, but in the political arena where central banking has gotten out of hand.



161. Post 5168700 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.10h):

Quote from: seleme on February 16, 2014, 12:23:18 AM
Exact,y that's why I wrote on page before that he is teacher and they are not really exciting ones.

They tend to play on safe, and there's no place for that in crypto at this moment. You either risk hard and make it big, or you fail trying Tongue

Yes, but the fact that he's here says something Cool

Jorge, do you have a wallet set up? I use Electrum for small amounts as it's super easy and lightweight. I'm sure some of us would throw a few cents your way to play with, if only to promote Ivy League academic research!



162. Post 5191827 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.11h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 17, 2014, 04:15:03 AM

    Deifenbach: Mr. Lundegaard, this is Reilly Deifenbach calling from GMAC. How are you this morning?
    Jerry: Yah, real good. How you doin'?
    Deifenbach: Pretty good, Mr. Lundegaard. You're damned hard to get on the phone.
    Jerry: Yah, it's pretty darned busy here, but that's the way we like it.
    Deifenbach: That's for sure. Now, I just need, on these last, these financing documents you sent us, I can't read the serial numbers of the vehicles on here, so I--
    Jerry: But I already got the, it's okay, the loans are in place, I already got the, the what, the -
    Deifenbach: Yeah, the three hundred and twenty thousand, you got the money last month.
    Jerry: Yah, so we're all set.
    Deifenbach: Yeah, but the vehicles you were borrowing on, I just can't read the serial numbers on your application. Maybe if you could just read them to me--
    Jerry: But the deal's already done, I already got the money.
    Deifenbach: Yeah, but we have an audit here, I just have to know that these vehicles you're financing with this money, that they really exist.
    Jerry: Yah, well, they exist all right.
    Deifenbach: I'm sure they do, but I can't read their serial numbers here. So if you could read me--
    Jerry: Well, but see... I don't have them in front of me. Why don't I just fax you over a copy?
    Deifenbach: No. Fax is no good, that's what I have and I can't read the darn thing.
    Jerry: Yah, okay, I'll have my girl send you over a copy, then.
    Deifenbach: Okay, because if I can't correlate this note with the specific vehicles, then I gotta call back that money.
    Jerry: Yah, how much money was that?
    Deifenbach: Three hundred and twenty thousand. See, I gotta correlate that money with the cars it's being lent on.
    Jerry: Yah, no problem, I'll just fax that over to ya, then.
    Deifenbach: No, no, fax is--
    Jerry: I mean send it over. I'll shoot it right over to ya.
    Deifenbach: Okay.
    Jerry: Okay, real good, then.

Well let's hope the wood chippers don't get involved...



163. Post 5204541 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote
Oh and. If true Fonzie, if you work at coindesk, than all your trolling/being a dumbass explains alot.

Someone needs to tell him that making his employer look bad in one of the most highly viewed threads on bitcointalk doesn't bode well for job security.



164. Post 5211227 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 18, 2014, 02:37:23 AM
Can you tell me the names of the known people who own 6mil bitcoins together? or even 2mil? or 1mil?

Net says that Satoshi owns 1 M pre-mined BTC, perhaps other "founding fathers" too?  Although of course they are not "known people".

Bitcoins are pre-mined now, Mr Stanford educated computer scientist? Get thee to the developer forum, go!



165. Post 5269269 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):

So I log in to see the price on Mt Pox come up first. Just about gave me a heart attack.



166. Post 5270391 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):

Quote from: Arcas on February 20, 2014, 11:10:37 PM
Has anyone try to buy BTC from coinbase and waited the 4 days?
Coinbase is very reputable. You should be able to trust them.

No issues here. I've bought with them on a number of occasions without a hitch.



167. Post 5330410 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):

Charlie Shrem (founder of BitInstant) chimes in on Mark's resignation:

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1yre42/mt_gox_ceo_resigns_from_bitcoin_foundation/cfn38sq

Quote
This is actually good news. I applaud Mark and the MtGox team for making the right decision as I had to do the same. Speaking very lengthy to Mark and the team over the weekend, I see good news on the horizon for people who have funds stuck in MtGox (I also have funds in MtGox stuck) - Charlie
Edit: Verification: https://twitter.com/CharlieShrem/status/437796742235308032



168. Post 5330554 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):

Quote from: creekbore on February 24, 2014, 05:37:31 AM
Quote
Speaking very lengthy to Mark

I'd take Charlie more seriously, if he didn't speak Doge Wink

Grammar is overrated, apparently. I bought my first bitcoins from his company last year.



169. Post 5331243 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):

Quote from: analytics on February 24, 2014, 06:28:34 AM
Anyone who trusts the words of "Charlie" is dumb.  

Anyone who trusts anything posted here by anybody, especially new members with a tenuous grasp of English, is dumb. Besides he confirmed it on his official twitter feed.



170. Post 5331522 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):

Quote from: creekbore on February 24, 2014, 06:39:45 AM
Anyone who trusts the words of "Charlie" is dumb. 

Anyone who trusts anything posted here by anybody, especially new members with a tenuous grasp of English, is dumb. Besides he confirmed it on his official twitter feed.

How does the same person confirming what they said previously make the initial claim more valid?

Shrem linked to his official Twitter account confirming that he was who he claimed to be on Reddit. Unless someone hacked his Twitter that's good enough for me.



171. Post 5331663 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):

Quote from: creekbore on February 24, 2014, 06:58:30 AM
The most interesting notion that Gox may be being purchased by outsiders makes a TON of sense!!

Imagine you're Mark-- totally sick of running your company, dudes are getting in your way while you're carrying your scrumptious coffee-beverage to work (idiots), and no one really understands your pure awesomeness... you have maybe 10,000 BTC (idk!?!?) and someone offers you millions!! to walk away from gox == yummy coffee-beverages without idiots.

What would you do?

Win-Win-Win

It actually adds up nicely.

The biggest problem is it makes a ton of sense -- since when does Bitcoin operate under such parameters? Wink

Too... much... sense... does... not compute...

Simple explanations go against the goal of a quarter of the members here, which is to talk up their books and make money at the expense of others. Sock puppet accounts, multiple personalities, bad manners, liberal profanity and a tenuous grasp of English are all optional but encouraged. Acting lessons are recommended to create convincing personas. If you don't see pages full of ignored posts you're not doing it right.



172. Post 5342806 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: seleme on February 24, 2014, 06:37:04 PM
it was great arbitrage opportunity on Stamp vs Btc-e, unfortunately I was without BTC on btc-e. 25+ USD at one point.

How you arbitrage on these exchanges without cash withdrawals?

You wait for next swing, it happens few times per month easily. One could make a nice salary just doing that with 100 BTC waiting Stamp and BTC-e to change the lead in price.

Lol your posts always read like the ads "how to make $xxx per month in the Forex markets using this one weird trick..." If only!



173. Post 5342905 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: seleme on February 24, 2014, 06:50:01 PM
it was great arbitrage opportunity on Stamp vs Btc-e, unfortunately I was without BTC on btc-e. 25+ USD at one point.

How you arbitrage on these exchanges without cash withdrawals?

You wait for next swing, it happens few times per month easily. One could make a nice salary just doing that with 100 BTC waiting Stamp and BTC-e to change the lead in price.

Lol your posts always read like the ads "how to make $xxx per month in the Forex markets using this one weird trick..." If only!

Hardly a weird trick, it happens all the time. Bitstamp was 10-15$ above BTC-e for 2 weeks or so until that whale had put a wall yesterday, at one point today it was 25$ below. That's 40$ of profit per 1 BTC and all in downtrend where those 40$ can make more coins than 2 weeks ago.

And things like this happen 1-2 times per month usually.

Just that you make it sound easy. It certainly is not. I do appreciate your advice though, not everyone would be willing to share it.



174. Post 5345198 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: aminorex on February 24, 2014, 07:44:22 PM
I bought pi goxcoins for 1/pi bitcoins each, just for fun.

I yearn for a complex wallet.


I bit and bought 6 Goxcoins for 1.5BTC. Let's hope that Tux really has some magical properties.



175. Post 5345945 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Seleme you should start a paid service. I'd subscribe just because I don't have time to monitor the altcoins all day, plus I hate some of the sleaziness that surrounds the community.



176. Post 5346480 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: kromer on February 24, 2014, 09:34:00 PM
WTF is up with Bearstamp. Don't they realize that these prices are already dirt cheap? Stop selling you fools!

most poeple sell at the bottom.

I underestimated how stupid people are. I am kicking myself for not profiting from this. I am all BTC and I think it's too late now.

You can always grab a few goxcoins if you're feeling extra frisky.



177. Post 5346683 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Listening to Beethoven 7, seems fitting.

Support @ 530.



178. Post 5349047 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 24, 2014, 11:59:49 PM

Lawsuits are the standard instruments that customers are expected to use when a company defaults on their contracts.  Why are MtGOX clients so reluctant do do the natural thing?


Because we've been through this before with Gox, again and again. Whether they pull through this time is yet to be seen.

Surely you must know how expensive and time consuming a lawsuit would be.

If you haven't heard, this community is a wretched hive of scum and villainy. Scams, "investment" schemes, failed ASIC group buys,  miner preorder drama, pump and dump coins, and other various flowery-sounding get-rich-quick schemes have come and gone long before you. However unfortunate, it does ensure that Bitcoin is not adopted by those who can't comprehend basic computer security by making a shining example of selected individuals. Stick around, though, and you'll see how fast we grow.



179. Post 5349167 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):

Quote from: Arcas on February 25, 2014, 12:18:17 AM
Gox is freaking out for some reason.

Those trigger fingers must be shakier than a Chihuahua on crack.



180. Post 5355839 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):

Quote from: tarmi on February 25, 2014, 07:45:56 AM
bitcoinbuilder is such a fail.


people who wired some fiat to mtgox and were betting against mtgox insolvency...

well, you might have a gambling problem.

Not if you think that there's a tiny chance MtGox and its associated assets could be bought, restructured and rebranded into a functional, profitable exchange by a forward-thinking capitalist. A longshot for sure.



181. Post 5356405 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):

Quote from: Girth on February 25, 2014, 08:18:28 AM
This is an excerpt from the 'leaked' document. (emphasis mine)

"The reality is that MtGox can go bankrupt at any moment, and certainly deserves to as a company. However, with Bitcoin/crypto just recently gaining acceptance in the public eye, the likely damage in public perception to this class of technology could put it back 5~10 years, and cause governments to react swiftly and harshly. At the risk of appearing hyperbolic, this could be the end of Bitcoin, at least for most of the public."

How do you put back a technology 5 to 10 years that is barely 5 years old?
I guess you tend towards the lower end.  Or perhaps he meant to say 5 to 10 weeks.
Also notice the phrase "this could be the end of Bitcoin".  Sound familiar?
It looks more than anything like the wording was chosen specifically to create a panic.

edit: bolding

Perhaps referring to pre-bitcoin cryptos that never took off, liberty reserve, e-gold... etc. It was obviously put together hastily. Place your bets accordingly.



182. Post 5357006 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):

Quote from: saekki on February 25, 2014, 08:56:44 AM
On mtgox.com source code:

<!-- put announce for mtgox acq here -->

You've got to be kidding.



183. Post 5357464 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):

Quote from: JCviggen on February 25, 2014, 09:13:39 AM
Meanwile bitcoinbuilder has gone tits up, darnit...

Josh was upgrading the servers earlier... perhaps a wise move Wink

https://www.twitter.com/BTCBLDR



184. Post 5357579 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):

Quote from: jojo69 on February 25, 2014, 09:30:34 AM
more html on gox source

Anything good? I'm on a tablet.



185. Post 5357859 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):

Quote from: jojo69 on February 25, 2014, 09:46:02 AM
jesus guys, help me out here

Yeah if ya quoted him, delete.



186. Post 5388353 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 26, 2014, 04:53:42 PM
User count is going to stabilize at some point, and will become lower than the actual BTC inflation rate. I see no reason why that wouldn't lead to price stability (not in USD terms perhaps but that's because USD is actually not stable at all).

It's hard to believe that the usercount will stop and stay stable. In my idea, it will more probably either increase or decrease.
But what remains the same is that the inflow of new coins will slow down and get more expensive.
All of it combined will keep bitcoin far away from stability.

Good news for day traders.



187. Post 5390191 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 26, 2014, 05:06:06 PM
User count is going to stabilize at some point, and will become lower than the actual BTC inflation rate. I see no reason why that wouldn't lead to price stability (not in USD terms perhaps but that's because USD is actually not stable at all).

It's hard to believe that the usercount will stop and stay stable. In my idea, it will more probably either increase or decrease.
But what remains the same is that the inflow of new coins will slow down and get more expensive.
All of it combined will keep bitcoin far away from stability.

Good news for day traders.

Yeah, exactly! Most of the people are here because they are interested in buying low and selling high, so they can make a easy buck. People aren't here because bitcoin is a practical currency for everyday use. It's all good fun, but bitcoin can't become a serious financial tool because of that.
But, I think that the idea of open sourced and transparent monetary system, that is supported by the internet, is very important and it is the future. Bitcoin is just financially too simplistic to do the job. Something more complex has to be made to create a practical currency, that follows the same open source rules of transparency.

2013 called, he wants his "bitcoin will never be a serious currency" argument back. Markets need buyers and sellers. Price discovery, liquidity, market makers, all that. We're still in a volatile pre-IPO-like phase, one that is traditionally not available to regular investors. I'm thinking longer term.



188. Post 5390256 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: Mythul on February 26, 2014, 06:40:31 PM
Bitcoin is a cult. Confirmed.

This user is currently ignored.

Confirmed.



189. Post 5390335 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 26, 2014, 06:43:49 PM
2012 called, he wants his "bitcoin will never be a serious currency" argument back. Markets need buyers and sellers. Price discovery, liquidity, market makers, all that.


Well, what was true in 2012 is true now. Not much has changed in bitcoin structure that would make this argument obsolete.
Yes, markets needs buyers, sellers etc. It's hard to understand what you're trying to say with that. It certainly isn't a counter-argument to currency needing stability and bitcoin being unable to offer it.

I assume more buyers and sellers create a more stable price. You should have been here last year when a few hundred coin dump could take the market lower significantly. We've come a ways since then.



190. Post 5390522 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 26, 2014, 06:49:59 PM
Orly? Tell that to Forex traders who speculate in every single currency in the world.

Can't you understand that trading currencies with one another is different from A currency being a good investment?
It would also be ok, if people are buying bitcoin to trade with other cryptos and to make money with trade. But people buying bitcoins are buying to hold and to wait for as long as possible to sell. It would be like someone on forex buys USD or CNY to hold and become rich by holding.
Don't try to confuse two totally different things with one another please.




191. Post 5390984 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 26, 2014, 06:59:14 PM
Sorry if this was posted already:

Jesse Powell's Blog
Unilateral Statement Regarding Fucked Up Shit, and the Greater Good
http://jesse.forthewin.com/blog/2014/02/unilateral-statement-regarding-fucked-up-shit-and-the-greater-good.html

Jorge, I'll be interested in reading your posts once you start actively using Bitcoin.

In my industry, it's like taking a music critic seriously when they've never been to the opera.



192. Post 5391771 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 26, 2014, 07:43:16 PM
Sounds more like "when they have never sung at the opera."  Wink

I do exactly that for a living. Learning an opera would be akin to learning cryptography or how to code.

Quote
Seriously, how many times do I have to write that I believe that cryptocoins can be great payment methods, and wish them all the success at that?  My skepticism has nothing to do with those aspects of cryptocoins, and me using bitcoin cannot possibly tell me anything relevant to the sources of my skepticism.

Agree to disagree Wink



193. Post 5392104 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: virtualfaqs on February 26, 2014, 08:19:28 PM
Mtgox BTC still selling for $50 USD! Bitcoinbuilder keeping the ghost of Mtgox alive! Josh actually posted new warnings about Mtgox insolvency that you have to agree to before you can continue trading.

The following guy is just not accepting the reality of the situation here.
2681.47000000   GOX for    0.80000000    ฿ ea.

Just people betting that Gox will be bought out and made whole. You're preaching a the choir of gamblers here.



194. Post 5392323 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: magicmexican on February 26, 2014, 08:35:11 PM
Mtgox BTC still selling for $50 USD! Bitcoinbuilder keeping the ghost of Mtgox alive! Josh actually posted new warnings about Mtgox insolvency that you have to agree to before you can continue trading.

The following guy is just not accepting the reality of the situation here.
2681.47000000   GOX for    0.80000000    ฿ ea.

Just people betting that Gox will be bought out and made whole. You're preaching a the choir of gamblers here.

Nothing wrong with the gambling if you have the edge

Totally. I gambled a bit with this one, I admit. Gox is a honeypot for potential investors. Yes, armchair Gox critics, there is value there.



195. Post 5400230 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: hmmmstrange on February 27, 2014, 05:41:17 AM
http://www.scribd.com/doc/209535200/Business-Plan-MtGox-2014-2017

Thanks. Takaways:

+430% accounts in 2013
1 million verified customers (submitted docs, etc)
demand was growing faster than their infrastructure
definitely planning on implementing Litecoin and possibly other cryptos in the future
partnership w/Mastercard in Canada (test market) for prepaid Bitcoin debit card
planned relaunch of improved website
planned auction site

edit: they were definitely solvent w/projected $925,000 in trading fees & $200,000 in net income from 4/2013 to 3/2014



196. Post 5400294 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: macsga on February 27, 2014, 06:37:05 AM
They 're seriously running out of time (if any of the above is really true, that is)...

Agreed. I edited the net income #s but still, yeah.



197. Post 5401381 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 27, 2014, 08:11:07 AM
Look kkaspar is a bit like Jorge in the sense that he/she is trying incredibly hard to find good reasons why bitcoin can't and will not work.

I think it speaks for itself that both keep posting here.
If they truly didn't think bitcoin could succeed they'd have left and done something else.

They are either trolling or secretly want to get in.
It is the same as me posting in a my little pony forum how stupid the franchise is.


No, actually I'm trying to find the opposite. Only without success.
Wouldn't it just be great if bitcoin will just expand and expand, and the coins will just get more expensive and expensive, with me getting richer and richer, and all while doing absolutely no work? It would be awesome! Like winning the lottery!
Sadly in my experience, the world doesn't work like that.

No it doesn't. It's been a rocky road and it will likely only get rockier. However distributed consensus networks (in which currency is one application) are a revolutionary technology, you cannot deny this or else you wouldn't be wasting your time here.



198. Post 5401458 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 27, 2014, 08:18:10 AM
No it doesn't. It's been a rocky road and it will likely only get rockier. However distributed consensus networks (in which currency is one application) are is a revolutionary technology, you cannot deny this or else you wouldn't be wasting your time here.
I agree with your every word. That's exactly why I'm here! I really believe in the future of transparent monetary systems that are based on open source development and supported by the internet. Bitcoin is just too flawed and simplistic to fill the shoes of that idea. There has to be something a lot more complex to be considered as an serious currency that can offer price stability.
Some say that bitcoin can develop into something more complex, but I just can't see that. There are too many flaws in the very core that won't be changed. A total remake is a more probable option to me.

Well enjoy the ride then Cheesy I'm sure we will be the first to know if something better comes along.



199. Post 5411914 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: Chang Hum on February 27, 2014, 07:29:32 PM
People are off their heads gambling on that toxic gox shit! If there was really a silver lining don't you think everyone in the know and there familys would be buying and the price would be 5x higher now??

Not everyone knows about it, lots of new posters lately both here & reddit, don't understand, or don't own enough BTC to take the risk. Not everyone wants to give their ID/ ss# for AML/KYC when they're still figuring out how to use/secure their own wallet.



200. Post 5420394 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):



My humble attempt at TA.

Daily 5, 15, 30 EMAs clustering together in the not-too-distant future. 200 EMA riding the bottom. Perhaps a Gox-related event will be the catalyst.

Reminds me of when Rick Moranis' character is talking to the horse in Ghostbusters:

"Wait for the sign, then all prisoners shall be released!"



201. Post 5421204 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 28, 2014, 07:09:06 AM
YOU guys have been posting in this forum... for 5 years?   or even 2-3 years.. would be quite a bit...

Well, this forum hasn't been around 5 years, but a few of us have been here a very long time.

In bitcoin time, a year is a long time... especially when it comes to the result(s) of public exposure to bitcoin.... I started in bitcoin in November 2013... It sure would have been nice to have gotten involved earlier, such as summer of 2013... but anyhow.. better late than never, and even though I am somewhat late, it still seems like the early days of bitcoin, in terms of potential.

I got in circa summer 2013. Heard about Bitcoin the previous year, but didn't explore it enough. Worst mistake ever. Lots of scandal going on, even then, but also so much opportunity if you could see the forest through the trees. I can't tell you how many people thought it could never top $100 (such a psychological barrier btw). It helps to put the current situation into perspective and not fly off the handle over a few lost coins.



202. Post 5421728 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on February 28, 2014, 08:00:57 AM
Personally, I am NOT too worried about the MT. Gox situation in the whole scheme of things - however, it is leaving some uncertainty for some time b/c we are NOT getting very clear communication about the extent of the damage and/or the extent to which any investors will be made whole.     Certainly with the passage of time, more and more regular people are finding out about bitcoin.. and there becomes more and more potential for bitcoin to begin to fill some various voids and to take on the value of various asset classes in the forum of currency, commodity, money transmitter, and network - amongst other potentialities.

Agreed. Gox has been around since the beginning (well, basically), and so will contribute to uncertainty going forward until we have real information. Gox certainly had more whales than any other exchange with hundreds and thousands of coins being tossed back and forth during volatile periods. It was amazing to watch, actually. My analysis of the situation is that Gox is either massively fraudulent or they're under a gag order. Recent US Silk Road investigations and their seizure of Mark's Dwolla account would support the latter. Watching Mark playfully make an apple tart or play with his cat on his Youtube channel makes it hard to believe he is a complicit criminal, but stranger things have happened.



203. Post 5486525 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

I love a good face-melting Bitcoin rally in the morning.



204. Post 5494064 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: bassclef on February 28, 2014, 05:58:16 AM


My humble attempt at TA.

Daily 5, 15, 30 EMAs clustering together in the not-too-distant future. 200 EMA riding the bottom. Perhaps a Gox-related event will be the catalyst.

Reminds me of when Rick Moranis' character is talking to the horse in Ghostbusters:

"Wait for the sign, then all prisoners shall be released!"

Well, the sign was reached, albeit a bit earlier than expected! During the past week we had a confirmed bottom bouncing off the 200 day EMA not once, not twice, but three times!

We haven't bounced off this line since October 2013 when Silk Road went dark. It was a decisive time for the markets as fears that the value of Bitcoin was largely supported by illegal activities were finally put to rest. We also bounced off the 200EMA in July 2013 after the summer run-up, precisely when the Winklevoss ETF news broke.

Now a similar situation appears as we face the failure and aftermath of Gox, but support has largely held fast, proving the resiliency of this market and optimism of the underlying technology. If that daily green candle means anything, exciting times are ahead.






205. Post 5495096 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: kkaspar on March 04, 2014, 02:21:55 AM
I wouldn't stop there.. maybe the world realized that bitcoin is divine and the code was sent down directly by god. Now there will be a 120 year long age of peace and enlightenment, while the entire world is mining for the same amount of coins, that a small group of people mined in 5 years.

Satoshi (holding up flaming white scroll before a kneeling crowd): And so it was written, thus shall it be.
Mindless followers (in a monotone chant): All hail Bitcoin.






206. Post 5498597 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: seleme on March 04, 2014, 06:59:59 AM

how do you add so many emas on wisdom

settings>indicator parameters>BOOM



207. Post 5508509 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: aminorex on March 04, 2014, 05:21:02 PM
So... "solid money" is metal stamped into a coin with a nominal value that you can scrap to obtain the nominal value. What do you get when you sell the scrap metal? More coins? Pigs and chickens?

I think by solid money he means whatever poisonous crap the central banks foist upon us at interest in order to rob us of our substance.
Please correct me if I am wrong, Jorge.


This guy showed his hand weeks ago. The ignore button will save you some grief.



208. Post 5510073 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on March 04, 2014, 06:32:44 PM
If we dont go up from here then we're still in the main downward channel from the ath. We need to break this to confirm a true reversal


Meaningless analysis. It depends entirely on which time scale you are using.

We had a reversal at the 400 bottom and yesterday we saw confirmation. It was a massive confirmation so the consolidation period should take a while. Fortunately, I made enough money yesterday to survive for another month before needing to cash out any more profits, so I can let most of them ride. There is resistance at $700 and support at $662 and $642 in this range.

I agree with Billy. The triple bounce off the 200 day EMA on the daily chart is conformation enough for me. I bought LTC yesterday and today so we'll see where that takes us in the mid term.



209. Post 5511768 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 04, 2014, 07:24:42 PM
I have stated my position several times, but for those who did not see it:

* Cryptocoins are a great invention...

The mere fact that you refer to them as cryptocoins tells me that you're ready to start giving sound market analysis.  Roll Eyes

-you don't own any "cryptocoins"
-you have a computer science degree from Stanford University

Do you really expect a different reaction from us? I have no problem with people giving honest criticisms to cryptocurrencies, but this is obviously not the forum in which to be doing it. I would think the developer forum would be more to your intellectual liking. Traders here are generally aware of how they work, inside and out, are aware of the risks, and have heard it all a hundred times before.

If you're going to post here, get your damn feet wet instead of shouting SHARK from the beach. You know how to swim, it'll be ok.



210. Post 5512905 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: hdbuck on March 04, 2014, 09:08:25 PM
ok now im just wetting my pants. Shocked Shocked Shocked

->http://huvrtech.com/

buy buy buy Cheesy


edit: OFF TOPIC BUT SERIOUSLY... Wowowowowowow

Seriously!!!

That is a holy shit moment right there.



211. Post 5512982 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: prof7bit on March 04, 2014, 09:15:32 PM
ok now im just wetting my pants. Shocked Shocked Shocked

->http://huvrtech.com/

buy buy buy Cheesy


edit: OFF TOPIC BUT SERIOUSLY... Wowowowowowow

fake. Totally obvious fake.

Well if Doc says it's true, then it must be Smiley



212. Post 5518664 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 05, 2014, 03:15:02 AM
But loving the new, aggressive JorgeStolfi.

Not agressive, just informative. Like a warning at the zoo, "do not  feed the bear, especially with your hand."

Now I feel like I'm getting to know the real Jorge. 



213. Post 5518739 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 05, 2014, 04:28:12 AM
Now I feel like I'm getting to know the real Jorge. 
Don't trust your feelings, they can be easily manipulated.

I'm a musician-- I have to or else the performance isn't any good. That said , I know when someone is faking it.



214. Post 5550611 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

http://www.amazon.com/gp/pdp/profile/ATILATX3PEXZ4/ref=cm_cr_rdp_pdp

Quote
Loved it!!! Excellent product, Experdited mailing, October 30, 2013
Amazon Verified Purchase(What's this?)
This review is from: Mirrycle MTB Bar End Mountain Bicycle Mirror (Sports)
1. The mirror itself is top notch. No distorsion (i.e., clear though convexed) unlike my previous Schwinn's at K-mart
2. Like it says, for the mountain bike, the mounting using the wedged end to the handle keeps it very tight, unlike
the collar-on-outside of handle mounting of the Schwinns and the like.
3. Even the articulated joints are tight and doesn't need any constant adjustments like my former. the threading
were made extra tight for this (the tooling to do the threading is purposefully made smaller).
4. i use it for the pavement (not dirt trails) and it holds the position after 30 miles. of course, if u bump the mirror,
it needs a little adjustment but that is expected.
5. Improvement: make the mirror about 1 inch diameter greater
6. just go buy it!!!

Are you fucking kidding me? The man can't even spell or construct a proper sentence. Experdited? Distorsion?

This is not Bitcoin's Satoshi.



215. Post 5560054 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on March 07, 2014, 12:39:52 AM
"the world's a stage." - some famous lunatic

That would be Macbeth...

Tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow,
Creeps in this petty pace from day to day,
To the last syllable of recorded time;
And all our yesterdays have lighted fools
The way to dusty death. Out, out, brief candle!
Life's but a walking shadow, a poor player
That struts and frets his hour upon the stage
And then is heard no more. It is a tale
Told by an idiot, full of sound and fury
Signifying nothing. — Macbeth Act 5, Scene 5



216. Post 5562203 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):

Quote from: oyvinds on March 07, 2014, 04:30:21 AM
http://bigstory.ap.org/article/ap-exclusive-man-denies-hes-bitcoin-founder

Several times during the interview with AP, Nakamoto mistakenly referred to the currency as "Bitcom." When shown the original bitcoin proposal that Newsweek linked to in its story, Nakamoto said he didn't write it, and said the email address in the document wasn't his.

lol

We desperately need a Dorian Bitcom meme.



217. Post 5564009 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

No, it's linked to Gox's wallet according to Reddit.



218. Post 5572877 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on March 07, 2014, 05:50:16 PM
any bad news, or are we going down because low price going slightly lower is scary?

major moves on the block chain.

Looks like Mark is splitting up the coins, possibly for hot wallet withdrawals. I now regret selling back my goxbtc, lol.

http://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/1zt02c/g_maxwell_explains_the_bitcoin_movement_could/



219. Post 5573010 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: Holliday on March 07, 2014, 06:00:50 PM
any bad news, or are we going down because low price going slightly lower is scary?

major moves on the block chain.

Looks like Mark is splitting up the coins, possibly for hot wallet withdrawals. I now regret selling back my goxbtc, lol.

http://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/1zt02c/g_maxwell_explains_the_bitcoin_movement_could/

Oh good! Gox is pumping coins into it's shit code! What could go wrong?

Yes, what could possibly penetrate that php fortress of security? Oh wait...



220. Post 5573182 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: GreekGeek on March 07, 2014, 06:14:10 PM
is there a link for GOX paying out?
or just speculation ?

Speculation, but hope.

http://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/1zt02c/g_maxwell_explains_the_bitcoin_movement_could/



221. Post 5573200 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: dreamspark on March 07, 2014, 06:14:10 PM
Yeah plus alot of the people who would get gox btc back would probably wanna get the fuck outta dodge

Not necessarily. No one would trust Gox again under Karpeles, but it doesn't mean they would lost trust in Bitcoin and immediately sell all their coins.



222. Post 5573239 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: seleme on March 07, 2014, 06:18:16 PM
It would be so awesome if we would collect like 1000 BTC for Dorian, the old guy would be very happy and we would get lot of press for it.

"Bitcoin community collects million dollars for Satoshi Nakamoto"  Grin

It would force the media to acknowledge the shoddy reporting by Newsweek. Great move by Antonopoulos.



223. Post 5582938 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

The way I understand TA is that everything that can be reflected in the price, is. Price discounts everything. So you're indirectly studying fundamentals.



224. Post 5596258 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: PoolMinor on March 08, 2014, 08:32:26 PM
I decided I would take one for the team and sell some BTC, this usually triggers an upswing immediately afterward. You're welcome!  Cry

You may just get your wish in a few days.



225. Post 5605709 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Made this last night, but fell asleep before I could upload it. Cheers.




226. Post 5628530 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):

Quote from: octaft on March 10, 2014, 07:42:50 PM
If you claim the a monopoly government is necessary to prevent the predation of the disadvantaged by the powerful, then I ask, howz that workin out for you so far?

Here's a question: let's say you could, for the rest of your life, commit 30% of your income and savings to charitable organizations of your choice, with a certain amount required to go to basic needs charities, in exchange for never paying taxes on anything ever again. Would you say yes? If that's too much, what's the maximum you'd go up to?

When I see discussions about small government, especially with Europeans defending socialism, keep in mind the US was designed to have decentralized state governments by its founders. If you don't like the rules in one state, drive to another one. To most libertarians, this is acceptable. So calling them anti-government is a gross misunderstanding. State and Federal governments here often butt heads, and often states win out.

Illinois, for example, resembles a socialist country in decline. It has many social safety nets, huge union influence, huge unsustainable debt, high unemployment and a super corrupt, scandalous government. Fortunately it's not difficult to move somewhere like Oregon, with low income tax and zero sales tax. After the auto industry bailout by the Feds (which didn't work, btw), Michigan has largely taken a hands-off approach with the decline of Detroit. As much of a hellhole/ghost town the metropolitan area is, the suburbs are still doing well. The corruption and collapse is working itself out and investors are buying up cheap cheap real estate. My friends rent a huge, amazing house there for a few hundred dollars a month. The neighborhood looks like a demilitarized zone but it's not unsafe because there's nobody there.



227. Post 5645689 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: threecats on March 11, 2014, 06:44:38 PM
That's my point, you act like people aren't aware of the risks already. Go run along and do something else.

I just bought a couple more just to spite people like you.

People sure aren't acting like they are aware of the risks already. I'll probably get my account banned soon, so you don't have to see my name any longer. Can't promise that you won't see my text anymore though.

The last line you wrote was a little weird. To me, that's like shooting yourself in the foot just to spite people like me :/

yea, that's why he is buying bitcoin. to spite you.

pitch that one to your shrink. might be productive.

Ignore button is useful. Please use it.



228. Post 5648526 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

In an attempt to post something useful I'll repost these... upward consolidation anyone?

Thanks for the super helpful train images, Adam Tongue






229. Post 5649030 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: solex on March 11, 2014, 09:53:21 PM


Yes. So anything above $600 in April is a breakout?


It looks as if we may breakout before. Below 600 would be a bearish option.

Should've changed it to "flying saucer reversal formation." Cheesy



230. Post 5651395 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):



bears gonna need some caffeine soon



231. Post 5651501 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: CoinDox on March 12, 2014, 01:16:09 AM
False start?



Shorters gonna short any little spike. Dangerous game.



232. Post 5651991 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 12, 2014, 01:49:05 AM
John steward mill said something like that, and that was in the 1800s. 
Whats this supposed to imply? That morality is supposed to change with time or something?


We may still cite John Steward Mill and others even though the ideas have been around a while, and maybe there was NO reference to John Steward Mill in the original post.   

I do believe that some things that were said in the 1800s may NOT apply very well in the modern world due to population growth and technological applications that may NOT fit very well into some of the current paradigms.  I was quite a fan of JS Mill during some parts of my life, but in recent times, I have been giving more weight to concerns and needs of community b/c I am of the opinion that some of the JS Mill thinking may NOT apply very well to some social responsibility concepts... there needs to be some balance.. ... yet I am NOT in any position to assert exactly where that balance line should be drawn.. that would be a product of the community, ultimately.. and surely I would think that any society would like to have balances that allow for personal liberty within a community framework, if possible.

JayJuan, check out this video. It pretty much sums things up.

http://youtu.be/muHg86Mys7I



233. Post 5652358 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: BubbaGumpShrimpinBoatCapn on March 12, 2014, 02:10:58 AM
Is now one of those moments i will be kicking myself later if i dont buy?

No, a bit more consolidation left to go imho. $635, $625 or $615 would be good buy targets, in decreasing orders of likelihood. If the pennant breaks down we could go sub $600 for awhile, although that is less likely.



234. Post 5665034 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on March 12, 2014, 08:08:07 PM
insight: friend of mine working in JP Morgan in London also confirmed they are kinda elaborating their own coin as we speak..  Undecided

They may succeed with novices but only until the banks fuck it up somehow, at which point people will begin to understand why they should support a coin not backed by any company/cartel.


Agreed.... In the end, these kind of endeavors are likely to bring more attention and credibility to bitcoin... even though they may seem to mimic or compete. 

Bitcoin will likely prevail - yet, we may want to see how these various competitive cryptos play out... and these additional cryptos will likely create hype and even pump and dump opportunities... for day traders.

Yes you're probably right. But a centralized bitcoin clone kind of defeats the purpose. Who will mine? JPMorgan? The public? A "trusted" central banker type entity? What if they need to change the rules, will they just hard fork it forcing everyone along? Sounds like a total disaster in the making.



235. Post 5680042 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 13, 2014, 05:25:31 PM
Damn, all this philosophy in last 10-15 pages makes this thread boring  Grin

I could make ChartBuddy repost "Favourite charts from the booms and busts of 2013" if you'd like Cheesy

Chartbuddy's Greatest Hits. I like it.

Beats recent discussion on issue number one that never goes anywhere on public forums: political philosophy. Number two is religion.



236. Post 5683313 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: hdbuck on March 13, 2014, 08:46:59 PM
meanwhile.. in Dogecoinland.. Grin



Switch to 12h view, move the neckline up a bit and watch the double top play out. We just bounced off the original support line as resistance. Buy target is 80 once all the nooblets let go.

Given the constant inflation of DOGE upon the market I probably won't even buy then.



237. Post 5701955 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: aminorex on March 14, 2014, 09:41:53 PM
what the fuck is wrong with you fonzie?

Perhaps he's testing whether anyone is left who does not ignore him? 


He was testing his German. What he meant was:

The, JayJuanGee, the



238. Post 5715220 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on March 15, 2014, 06:05:41 PM
...
The amount of "wealth" stored in bubble-like stocks is immense (tens of trillions). And it has a repeated history of being evaporated due to economic anomalies, black swan events, economic turmoil due to politic-economic situations etc...

All that nervous money is going to just pour into Gox ... owait.

Wealthy folks usually have a large network of connected friends. They don't need to buy on-exchange, they'll pay someone to take the risk for them. Look at someone like loaded or rpietila. You can bet they are helping their wealthy friends/family get bitcoins and properly secure them.



239. Post 5734639 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 16, 2014, 07:06:41 PM
Whatever happened at MtGOX, it is certain that some 500,000 BTC now belong to a thief or scammer.  Added to other scams and thefts, known and unknown, it may be that more than 1 million BTC now belong to bitcoin criminals.  If those people go unpunished and get to keep their bitcoins, such crimes will not stop with MtGOX.

So, if bitcoin succeeds like his most ardent fans believe, perhaps 10% of all the money supply in the world will belong to criminals.  You want me to root for that?  Angry

https://yourlogicalfallacyis.com/composition-division



240. Post 5735701 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 16, 2014, 09:25:04 PM
I still need to go to the US one day and go see for myself if these ridiculous cliches are actually true. I've heard you guys don't actually like beer, you just like to pee a lot  Cheesy

There are actually some really good beers over here now. I think finally quality of the beer finally became more important than drinking American swill-water.

With so many craft breweries springing up there is pretty amazing beer in the US. Imperial stouts that taste like dark chocolate, dry-hopped IPAs that taste like sweet grapefruit... basically variations and hybrids of existing styles in all strengths and flavors. Meades, barleywines, sours... the list goes on. There are a dozen small breweries in my city alone and most towns have at least one, usually started by a couple guys brewing in their basement.



241. Post 5754453 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Since not much else is going on...

Overstock ad. One of two run nationally on Comedy Central (extremely popular US channel) and likely others, seen by millions. "Now accepting Bitcoin" plug on final screen.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48_fmjn2GTc



242. Post 5754806 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Don't get excited yet. Another week of consolidation before we see anything interesting, imo.



243. Post 5755815 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: lemonte on March 18, 2014, 01:08:05 AM
Don't get excited yet. Another week of consolidation before we see anything interesting, imo.

What are your thoughts? We heading down?

While it's possible we dip below $600 for a short time, I can't see it going lower than $580. And that's only if the market gets bored/nervous and bears get itchy trigger fingers. I would not recommend shorting at this point. All the pieces are coming into place for another exponential run-up this summer with its beginning starting as soon as a couple weeks. I recently increased my LTC position, as it will follow BTC up if/when it happens.



244. Post 5758188 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Ballsy move there.



245. Post 5765078 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Woke up to a nice LTC rally. Glad I bought low. 

LTC does add faster confirmation times, and its Scrypt algorithm is more resistant to ASICs. That's pretty much it.



246. Post 5765381 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: elebit on March 18, 2014, 02:50:07 PM
LTC does add faster confirmation times, and its Scrypt algorithm is more resistant to ASICs. That's pretty much it.

The faster confirmation times is pretty much exactly negated by the fact that you need more confirmations with LTC to be reasonably secure against forks.

True but most people don't know that, or even why x amount of confirms are necessary in the first place.

Quote
"More resistant to ASIC" is just silly seeing that we already have LTC mining ASICs. The only reason we didn't have them earlier was because LTC wasn't valuable enough. So, yeah, a low valuation is resistant to ASICs.

More resistant I guess is the key word. They have taken longer to develop than the SHA256 ASICs.



247. Post 5766230 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: souspeed on March 18, 2014, 03:41:53 PM
400 ATM's in Dubai within the next two weeks!

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/20q1hp/dubai_about_to_roll_out_a_massive_amount_of/

Was just reading about this. Pretty excellent news!



248. Post 5772149 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.27h):

Quote from: Richy_T on March 18, 2014, 09:29:50 PM

For example, will chartbuddy take your side in a political discussion? 

No, I'm a libertarian whereas Chartbuddy believes in an over-arching techno-tyranny and the extermination of all humans (His father was a T-1000 and his mother a Saberhagen Berserker). It can make discussions tense sometimes.

That'll make for some awkward dinner conversations.



249. Post 5861084 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on March 23, 2014, 07:14:08 PM
Oh, we are back to discussing my person... looks like someone really needs that lesson.

Well, you put yourself out there.

You post in the busiest thread in the forum (and this thread only), are quite opinionated to the contrary, and don't own any coins. People questioning your motives is going to be normal. And since we seem to be guinea pigs within some data collection experiment of yours, yeah, your not going to make many friends.



250. Post 5940235 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: Dr. LY on March 27, 2014, 11:38:25 PM
It's that moment where you're terrified you're going to lose it all.

aka "The time to buy more"

This. Always this. Some people never learn.



251. Post 6014257 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

I could use some trains.



252. Post 6022723 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: PeptoMax on April 01, 2014, 08:17:02 PM
So considering all that’s going on, when do you think is a good time to put in a large purchase at coin base?

Yesterday. But now would be a good time as well.



253. Post 6022808 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 01, 2014, 08:08:29 PM
When Mt Gox was dying, the market slid for months. When they stopped accepting deposits (for the last time), the market crashed to $400 and immediately rebounded to $710.
The slide from $710 to $436 was because the eventual banning of BTC exchanges was being priced in. There was some confirmation of this with two small exchanges that took us from $486 back down to $440.

Yep, a double-whammy capitulation event. I think the worst may be behind us, the community having learned a tough lesson by a proper Goxxing and telling the Chinese to get onboard or get off the boat.



254. Post 6037910 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

*wakes up from back seat*

are we there yet?

*zzzzz*



255. Post 6038295 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Look on the bright side, at least we don't have to deal with Gox!



256. Post 6045109 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: Guinpen on April 03, 2014, 02:05:26 AM
Here's hoping BJA either sold a little on the spike or found something to hock.

If the posted bids down to 400.01 were dumped at market, they would buy up to 490.76


I closed my margin long @ $478 and took a good pounding. My biggest loss ever. Note to self: Never hold a margin position overnight.

note to all : NEVER NEVER EVER TRADE ON MARGIN!!! Wink jmho!!!

I'll play the ignorant n00b card again... could you please explain what trading on a margin means?

In my defense, it does say "Newbie" on the left Smiley

It's when you borrow money (or bitcoins) to bet that the market is going in a certain direction instead of simply buying/selling. If you're right, you win more. If not, you lose more.



257. Post 6045208 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

So, who's drinking? What's the opposite of champagne?



258. Post 6054114 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

some light chooing



259. Post 6054416 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

margin calls?



260. Post 6118154 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: BitChick on April 08, 2014, 12:06:01 AM
I just posted a news article in the press section.  We are going to be able to get Bitcoin ATM cards that work anywhere Discover card is taken!  This is really exiting news I believe, and of course, it could be Bullish.  Granted, some people will cash out their coins perhaps, but it is progress nonetheless!  Smiley

http://gigaom.com/2014/04/07/new-bitcoin-debit-card-claims-to-work-with-90-percent-of-us-atms/

Hell yes that is bullish. I can go on a shopping spree with my bitcoins wherever Discover card is accepted? Huzzah!

Quote
yep!  I'm waiting for the next response before losing my rag with them.

Have you changed anything about your account recently? They lock withdrawals for two days if you do.



261. Post 6118382 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on April 08, 2014, 12:37:15 AM
Low volume at $445 is bad news. We're going lower. A month ago I'd be selling my internal organs to get BTC this cheap and nobody's buying.

Do not fear, the god of the 6h Huobi inverse head & shoulders is with you.



262. Post 6118605 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: jonoiv on April 08, 2014, 12:57:57 AM
Low volume at $445 is bad news. We're going lower. A month ago I'd be selling my internal organs to get BTC this cheap and nobody's buying.

Do not fear, the god of the 6h Huobi inverse head & shoulders is with you.



The final shoulder in the pattern you think you are seeing needs to go up to form a reverse head n shoulders.  And as the 1, 2, 4 hour MACD are all going down.  how will you get this reversal of fortunes?  

The goal is to spot it before it completes: Recognize the volume pattern and the fact that head & shoulder patterns (and variations thereof) occur all over the place in historical BTC trend reversals. So buy the right shoulder and short the distance from the head to the neckline, which it will probably bounce back off of.

MACD complicates things (if I use it I like the 12/24hr version much better) and one can use EMA lines to a similar effect.

Identifying trends and reversals is bread & butter trading and is more reliable than indicators, which are simply there to help.



263. Post 6118664 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: podyx on April 08, 2014, 01:16:25 AM

What exactly are u saying?

Are u saying we should put on our space suits?

Expect turbulence as we go up... but bring your sunglasses and sunscreen for the summer.



264. Post 6118726 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: jonoiv on April 08, 2014, 01:19:04 AM
Low volume at $445 is bad news. We're going lower. A month ago I'd be selling my internal organs to get BTC this cheap and nobody's buying.

Do not fear, the god of the 6h Huobi inverse head & shoulders is with you.



The final shoulder in the pattern you think you are seeing needs to go up to form a reverse head n shoulders.  And as the 1, 2, 4 hour MACD are all going down.  how will you get this reversal of fortunes?  

The goal is to spot it before it completes: Recognize the volume pattern and the fact that head & shoulder patterns (and variations thereof) occur all over the place in historical BTC trend reversals. So buy the right shoulder and short the distance from the head to the neckline, which it will probably bounce back off of.

MACD complicates things (if I use it I like the 12/24hr version much better) and one can use EMA lines to a similar effect.

Identifying trends and reversals is bread & butter trading and is more reliable than indicators, which are simply there to help.

April 4th.  looked the same and look what happened next.   That trend line needed to break through has only been breached once since December.  What makes you so sure, it will happen now?

Zoom out and use 6/12/24h charts, much more reliable and filters out noise. April 4 was the bottom of head.

For historical reference look at 24h chart from ~6/20 to 7/29. Massive head & shoulder reversal, see the resemblance? Neckline slopes downward, as it often does. It bounces back off it on 8/9. The difference then is that then, we had a single final capitulation event. This time we have a double final capitulation event, making this reversal slightly smaller in proportion. But it has been doubly painful, for sure.

That's my take. This could be the left shoulder of something bigger. But the pattern would still hold true, unless it didn't. Isn't trading fun Cheesy



265. Post 6151306 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 10, 2014, 05:18:11 AM
Give up on waiting for volume.  There just arent any coins left, not at these prices.  The tree has been shaken bare.

So eloquently put. Let's see if volume dries up and we get a bounce.



266. Post 6161350 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

Quote from: aminorex on April 10, 2014, 07:06:56 PM
Jorge is so far over the shark, that the Lewis trilemma applies.

Over 1600 posts in this thread since December. I can't think of a worse way to spend my free time.



267. Post 6999325 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: ShameOnYou on May 28, 2014, 07:01:51 PM
Have we already seen the full extent of the effect of the Willy Bot news? If it gets more substantiated in some way, would we face more negative sentiment? How did the story affect holders who may have bought based on that perceived buying pressure in the last bubble?

I personally didn't put much serious consideration into the Willy nonsense. Since Gox is priced in, it would affect the market little, if any. Plus traders noticed it turn on/off while it was running, so it's not something new.

I turned more bearish last night watching the waning buy support on Huobi (the market maker, aka exchange to watch first) around 3600. The longer this sideways/downward consolidation draws out on decreased volume, the more chance bears will start to sell. We are also overbought on the 1d/3d RSI, historically a pretty decent indicator when calling tops.

What comes up, must come down. Markets tend to fall on their own weight when there's not enough buy support. This is especially true of these markets because they are so small and overshoot like an excited teenager, then correct heavily.

All in good time though. I'm still bullish for the coming months. Good times ahead for BTC holders.



268. Post 8007513 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: Taras on July 24, 2014, 06:16:47 PM
600.08... Sub-600 again? We'll see...

There is a good chance of this. Then again I sold my trading stash last night so I'm biased.



269. Post 8014923 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: molecular on July 25, 2014, 06:46:48 AM
Wow team, you all must really be depressed to refuse to write anything in the midst of a 2000 coin Chinese pump (which doesn't even get us close to where we were, yesterday, but still). Cheer up!!

Unfortunately looks like the bounce may already be failing. Seems we may go back to retest the low from last night/this morning. I'd like to be bullish, as I am all in, but that drop yesterday caught me off guard. Undecided

I'm not ruling that out, but it doesn't necessarily look like that to me:



That's because you're looking at a 5 minute chart of what could very well be a bull trap.



270. Post 8105901 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: ensurance982 on July 30, 2014, 05:48:31 PM


Oh boy breaking the current support and re-testing the prev. bottom would be a disaster

Where do you see that support line drawn in that graph, I mean $USD-wise? The resolution and scale make it difficult to figure it out.

Looks like a daily chart with the lows being in the 400s. Doubt very highly that we'll get there, sorry bears. Look at all those recent red candles in a row; the sellers will run out of ammo eventually and we'll form a nice bottom.



271. Post 8106004 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: souspeed on July 30, 2014, 06:19:23 PM
Bit lower and I'll buy another few! I am going to reach my overall coin target much sooner than expected. Yay.

Let's recap. US regulation incoming. New fund opening 1/8/2014. Lots of coins need to be accumulated off exchange. How best to ensure a great price? Technical dumping on exchange to get the momo traders selling the price down. Acquire coins. Manipulate price upwards by removing selling pressure and some technical buying. Job done!

I expect that this is exactly what is happening.
Manipulate the price downward on the exchanges to keep downward pressure on the off exchange price in order to accumulate enough bitcoin en mass for the new opened fund.

Then when the price finally goes up there won't be any coins left for sale on the exchanges, cue face-melting rally.



272. Post 8107154 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

First rule of trading on btc-e is to turn off the trollbox.



273. Post 8107386 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: fonsie on July 30, 2014, 07:52:54 PM
yes people sell now

@ShroomsKit
If you by any chance still have 0.000001 BTC somewhere, SELL NOW

Careful guys. If you haven't sold already it becomes more and more risky as we close in on 560.

Rule #2 of trading: If you don't know what to do, HOLD



274. Post 8107443 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):

Quote from: kryptopojken on July 30, 2014, 07:59:34 PM
at what point will hell break loose on bitfinex?

When all the margined shorts suddenly cry out in terror, then fall silent.



275. Post 8114813 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on July 31, 2014, 05:58:21 AM
Ok, i'm back all in. After all that panic buying and selling i'm left with less than 1 coin Sad

Anyway, back to 600!

*facepalm*



276. Post 8141040 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 01, 2014, 07:04:35 PM
Lol I wonder who these 8 people that claim to have more than > 10000 are. I hope to have at least 10 in the next 10 years, and for the 99% of us that missed the boat to get legitimate gains Bitcoin needs to go really high. 10K is the bare minimum. I wonder if we will see it in the next 10 years.

You invest what you can... and you did NOT miss the boat, so long as you know about BTC (which you do) and you are doing something about it (which it sounds as if you are).  There are a lot more people out there who either have NOT heard about BTC or have NOT done anything about it or taken any action towards accumulating BTC.

Right. You never know, the guy with a BTC10,000 wallet might sell most of it during the next bubble (I should say "accumulation cycle") thinking it won't go any higher. You just don't know. Lots of people had more bitcoins than that a few years ago and sold them at $5 or $10. That's how distribution works. Don't worry about what others are doing--worry about your own plan.



277. Post 8159980 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):

Daily chart bear trap.



278. Post 8234588 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Need some volume soon or else the engine might stall again.



279. Post 8251756 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: ensurance982 on August 08, 2014, 04:36:20 PM
Today is a good day for some wall observing... walls, walls everywhere...

Indeed. It is a sign of a good weekend. Mark my words that this weekend wont be flat and boring.

This weekend I am 99.9% sure we will end up @$>600.


Yeah, its looking good.

Anything to support that? Why do you reckon we'll see good old $600+ times again over the weekend? All the latest weekends only brought us a slow but steady downtrend or at best stagnation, it seems!

Well we broke out of a consolidation channel last night to the upside, so that's good. I've seen a lot of buying pressure but not enough to spring us upwards... Bitcoin's default direction is DOWN so it takes significant volume to break orbit. Which we haven't seen. Looking at the daily chart it could come any day now. The 3d RSI is oversold which is also interesting.



280. Post 8253656 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: BowieMan on August 08, 2014, 06:05:14 PM
Today is a good day for some wall observing... walls, walls everywhere...

Indeed. It is a sign of a good weekend. Mark my words that this weekend wont be flat and boring.

This weekend I am 99.9% sure we will end up @$>600.


Yeah, its looking good.

Anything to support that? Why do you reckon we'll see good old $600+ times again over the weekend? All the latest weekends only brought us a slow but steady downtrend or at best stagnation, it seems!

Well we broke out of a consolidation channel last night to the upside, so that's good. I've seen a lot of buying pressure but not enough to spring us upwards... Bitcoin's default direction is DOWN so it takes significant volume to break orbit. Which we haven't seen. Looking at the daily chart it could come any day now. The 3d RSI is oversold which is also interesting.

Really do you have some graphs to illustrate your findings? Why is Bitcoins default direction down? Do you think this is the case because we're in a downtrend or because new coins are being generated every 10 minutes? The adoption rate works against that, though!

Maybe that's confusing. But look at any 3d chart over a couple of years and you'll see that it goes down for longer periods of time than it goes up. I'm not saying that it's a negative, just a longer correction cycle to counter the enthusiasm of exponential growth spurts. Also in market theory it's more difficult for a stock to go up than down, the saying goes "markets fall on their own weight" so additional volume is needed to confirm uptrends.



281. Post 8254187 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: BowieMan on August 08, 2014, 07:00:35 PM
Really do you have some graphs to illustrate your findings? Why is Bitcoins default direction down? Do you think this is the case because we're in a downtrend or because new coins are being generated every 10 minutes? The adoption rate works against that, though!

Maybe that's confusing. But look at any 3d chart over a couple of years and you'll see that it goes down for longer periods of time than it goes up. I'm not saying that it's a negative, just a longer correction cycle to counter the enthusiasm of exponential growth spurts. Also in market theory it's more difficult for a stock to go up than down, the saying goes "markets fall on their own weight" so additional volume is needed to confirm uptrends.

You mean a 3y chart??? But I see what you're talking about. Yeah, it definitely seems as if Bitcoin needs more buying pressure to confirm an continuing uptrend. Do you believe the 'weight' of the bitcoin market is getting heavier with an increased price or also an increasing number of Bitcoins in circulation (provoking a lower price)

No, definitely a 3d chart, where one candle equals 3 days of price action. Then you can see multiple years on one page. A 3y bitcoin chart would only be what, one candle? Ha!

No, I don't think it gets heavier, that's just an analogy as there is no "weight," just prices people are willing to buy/sell at. Each accumulation cycle sees exponentially more participants in the bitcoin economy, the coins are further distributed so demand increases which explains price support at higher and higher levels.



282. Post 8298526 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 11, 2014, 05:17:27 PM
Bring on the multi-year bear market. Let the true bit-leavers accumulate all the coins from the weak hands!

No thanks.

And please quit with the weak hands myth.

You are the definition of a weak hand.



283. Post 8298625 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

There goes the BTC1000 wall on huobi.



284. Post 8298732 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: kireinaha on August 11, 2014, 05:31:41 PM
Bring on the multi-year bear market. Let the true bit-leavers accumulate all the coins from the weak hands!

No thanks.

And please quit with the weak hands myth.

I don't get it. Last winter there were tons of people on here saying that if prices fell to $100 or $200 or whatever they would take loans out on their home equity, cash out their 401k, etc, to buy as many as possible. Don't we still want this?

Lots of people say this, if price really fell that low confidence would be shaken enough that many buyers would get cold feet, or they would wait to buy lower and miss their chance. Smart investors say "buy when there's blood on the street" but this is difficult in reality as it goes against human nature.



285. Post 8298812 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: Torque on August 11, 2014, 05:38:50 PM
i wanted to buy at 570, but now i will wait for 560 bcoz this is a hard crash ( see huobi ) Smiley

Actually, why don't you wait to buy at 550 when it hits 560?

Or wait for 540 when it hits 550?

Or wait for 530 when it hits 540?

Or?  Or?  Or?.... or never buy any ever?

That's the big dilemma. I bought at $400-$450. It was surprisingly difficult.



286. Post 8298826 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on August 11, 2014, 05:40:36 PM
This is nice to see. Finally continuing on to $300.

Oh get real. You know it'll never go that low Smiley



287. Post 8298906 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on August 11, 2014, 05:43:11 PM
This is nice to see. Finally continuing on to $300.

Oh get real. You know it'll never go that low Smiley

I know nothing! I only say what I think is going to happen. I've been saying $300 for a long time now.

A few more weeks of dumps like this and I might agree with you. But after a week of day trader p&d playtime with noobs? Not likely.

Support in the 400s is far too strong.



288. Post 8299055 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 11, 2014, 05:53:34 PM
Oh Jesus guys, sell sell sell and keep it low for the next month.

Why??

Because we all love cheap coins.

Protip: good traders buy on the way down and sell on the way up.



289. Post 8299244 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 11, 2014, 05:58:44 PM
Oh Jesus guys, sell sell sell and keep it low for the next month.

Why??

Because we all love cheap coins.

Protip: good traders buy on the way down and sell on the way up.

How many more years do you want Bitcoin to go down exactly?
You've had 5 years for cheap coins. Wasn't that enough?
Do you realize you will make money if people stop selling all the time and the price goes up?

But I make more money if I accumulate on the way down. I trade to increase my coin stash, not to see my dollar value increase.

Most people here have not had years of cheap coins. Try months. Those that did sold them off at $100 or are rich enough not to waste time here.

In the future, the difference between having BTC1 and BTC10 will be substantial so there is high incentive to accumulate bitcoins by (including but not limited to) day trading, spreading FUD, sock-puppetry and talking your own book to convince newer traders to buy/sell. Don't fall for it.



290. Post 8302888 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):

Yeah people get so caught up over bid/ask. Remember back in the Gox days when you could put up fake walls without the coin to back it? Hahaha... good times...



291. Post 8325950 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 13, 2014, 05:32:47 AM
I just sold whatever i had left. It's clear, Bitcoin is dead.
It failed. This year was make or brake. It broke. People lost interest. Everyone is getting out.

You have to be delusional to think the price will go up suddenly again.
Face it, this is the 5th or 6th year already. This is the time where it was supposed to happen and it simply failed.

People aren't gonna be suddenly interested again in 2 months again.
It's over. There is one way this will go and it isn't up.

Shhhh no tears.



292. Post 8326330 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Market is oversold on the 3d RSI. Historically this has been a good indicator. Doesn't mean we will rocket up tomorrow though.



293. Post 8332155 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: Nightowlace on August 13, 2014, 03:16:24 PM
Well, what are the thoughts on breaking back I to the $400s?

I think it's extremely risky to be short under $500.



294. Post 8333013 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

http://www.coindesk.com/bitpagos-brings-bitcoin-8000-convenience-stores-ripio/

At least Argentina will be getting cheap coins.



295. Post 8333338 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Funny to watch trolls like benihana come out and play chicken little.

Ask yourself, has anything changed fundamentally with Bitcoin? Is there something wrong with the protocol? On the contrary. Businesses and investors (professional and amateur) are clambering to get aboard.

The sharks are in the water and they smell blood. Don't sell during these times unless you know what you're doing. And if you have to get advice from this forum, you don't know what you're doing.



296. Post 8333528 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: kireinaha on August 13, 2014, 04:26:11 PM
Funny to watch trolls like benihana come out and play chicken little.

Ask yourself, has anything changed fundamentally with Bitcoin? Is there something wrong with the protocol? On the contrary. Businesses and investors (professional and amateur) are clambering to get aboard.

The sharks are in the water and they smell blood. Don't sell during these times unless you know what you're doing. And if you have to get advice from this forum, you don't know what you're doing.

People say this, but I don't think they really understand it. Bitcoin doesn't need to fundamentally change. It is what it is. And what it's been, for the past 5 years, was an asset that could be held and would run up in value every year. Finally, in 2014, it can be used with some mainstream merchants, and people have taken advantage of that. But the distinction we need to make here is... bitcoin holders themselves are the ones taking advantage. Very few people are buying bitcoin to turn around and spend them. That is not the drawing point... it is just an added amenity for those who already hold and want to use them.

So without the yearly price increases, bitcoin suddenly loses its luster. Today, Amazon entered the mobile payments realm. No bitcoin has not fundamentally changed, but the world around it has. And it seems like the world is saying, we're not interested in bitcoin anymore.

There have been greater ideas than bitcoin that ultimately failed. Just saying.

Disagree with everything you just said, but might want to double check with your high school math teacher.



297. Post 8333645 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Quote from: windjc on August 13, 2014, 04:30:08 PM
All the people worth reading like TERA were driven away by the HODL-tards for giving contrarian views. After all the juvenile attacks against them, why would they come back? All you delusional bulls have each other now.

There have been countless others that have come through here only to be driven off.  It doesn't matter if they're bulls or bears, there's absolutely no control here, and after the removal of noobie jail it's just gotten worse.  Couple that with a mod who's asleep at the wheel, or a general bull-troll himself and what do you expect?

These forums have absolutely gone to shit since the beginning of 2013.
Start reporting stuff? This particular thread aside (which by the way is moderated by Adam), I do clean up, but it's largely invisible since the actual bad stuff is deleted. I could clamp down harder on thread quality control, but there simply aren't that many new topics created so that would detract from how fresh page 1 is.

I'm also sad that TERA is gone.

TERA is a coward and a manic/depressant.

I always got the feeling he couldn't handle being wrong and emotionally vented on the forums. Gotta take your blows like a man. Not sure about the manic depressive thing but I know a guy like that and it's very difficult being friends with him. He's crazy and acts like a cokehead for a month then retreats and is dead to the world for three.



298. Post 8355993 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Those leveraged longs waiting for a big price increase on BFX were too tempting a target.

You guys wanted Wall Street, here they are!



299. Post 8356943 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: BitChick on August 14, 2014, 10:44:12 PM
And breaking news-  Ebay subsidiary discussing accepting Bitcoin. 

Could it be that someone knew this was going to be announced and was playing with the price a bit to get some cheap coins?  I often wonder about these things.

http://newsbtc.com/2014/08/14/ebay-subsidiary-braintree-said-discussing-accepting-bitcoin-payments/

Oooh interesting find.



300. Post 8367344 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

1000btc sell on bitfinix. Let's see how many lemmings follow.



301. Post 8367527 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

eBay payment unit in talks to accept bitcoin.

http://online.wsj.com/articles/ebay-payment-unit-in-talks-to-accept-bitcoin-1408052917

More good news about Winklevii ETF

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-15/spiderwoman-brings-hope-to-winklevoss-twins-bitcoin-etf.html

Yet the price falls.

Your game is up, Mr Margin Call!



302. Post 8373702 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: oda.krell on August 15, 2014, 11:46:43 PM
Gang, I must admit that I am a bit confused at this point. We broke the $505 resistance mark on Bitstamp which is very bullish, but we only did it for a very short period and only slightly. In the meantime, China has not emerged past their key resistance points. Thus, there are contradicting indicators.

At the same time, we broke $505, right? This really should be the end of the storm. I want thoughts from people in response. Not frantic words of BUY BUY BUY or SELL SELL SELL... just thoughts. What are you all seeing (with details)?

You want serious thoughts on price in the Wall Observer thread? You must a newb.. oh wait.


Alright. Personally, I don't see much of a chance for a more serious bounce back up yet. There's only very low volume on the counter moves up, today's entire daily candle outside lower BB, and we're only in day 5 of this severe trend (and they tend to last longer once they gather speed like the current one). I'll grant we are drastically overbought, so there is certainly potential for some bounce back, but I suspect we have another day or two of decline ahead of us before that happens.

I agree. I think we could bounce around $500 all weekend. If support gets pulled we could test $450 again. I'm trading over in LTC land at the moment and $5 has held well even with the latest 1000btc sell on bfx. Normally it follows BTC dumps like clockwork. At some point the markets start saying no.



303. Post 8376126 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 16, 2014, 04:39:47 AM
go hunting levered longs and then crash the market?  O_o

could it be? they're that crazy?

how can anyone sleep in times like these  Tongue

They're crazy but not stupid... I hope.



304. Post 8376177 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on August 16, 2014, 04:51:54 AM
Walls suggest sell-off back in motion... if you are playing a day trader game (don't do this by the way)... then take notice.

Walls are chest-beating. Let's see how badly they really want cheap coins.



305. Post 8423022 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Keep selling everyone I'm redoing my kitchen.



306. Post 8423601 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Ugh, dump after dump. If it is the Ethereum guys doing this you'd think they would at least spread it out over a longer period of time to get more fiat.



307. Post 8423872 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: Torque on August 18, 2014, 08:31:29 PM

People who bought at the beginning of the year are now tired and fearful of this market.  People who bought since mid- May are now tired and fearful of this market.  So who's left to buy now?


It works both ways. At some point there will be nobody left to sell and plenty of buyers waiting with forks and knives. That's when it reverses.



308. Post 8438094 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: magicmexican on August 19, 2014, 04:18:37 PM
Shorting LTC @4,3 was a genius idea

Of course it was. Thanks for the coins, Newbie.

More than doubled my stash this summer thanks to panic sellers.



309. Post 8438633 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: empowering on August 19, 2014, 04:54:15 PM
[...] Margin trading is evil [...]
Generalization is evil.

As a generalisation I would agree with what you say..... in general.... but not in this case... those borrowed funds are not being made available just to help people out... out of the kindness of brokers etc hearts... they know the game... it is their game... and their game is rigged for them to win...   Long term margin trading is hazardous to fish,  and I think detrimental to crypto.

Also I said that it is "in general" evil - not always and in of its self...  but the outcome is almost always the same in the long run... a few do well.. the rest...  get made into sausage

At least it's not Forex with 50:1, 100:1, even 200:1 margin. Quite a racket they have going on there for new traders.

Digital currency markets are so volatile there is really no need to trade on margin, but to each his own. I don't personally do it, but I can see situations where it could be applied in a very strict, controlled fashion. Posters here trading on margin, however, don't inspire confidence.



310. Post 8440073 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: sharky101 on August 19, 2014, 06:24:40 PM

Institutional pump.

Aww yeah.



311. Post 8445654 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 20, 2014, 12:59:53 AM
I demand respect and adoration from every bull in this thread. A brief statement about how awesome I am will suffice for now.
I am only half bull, half bear, and half indifferent, but nevertheless admit my admiration for your awesomeness.

You've got to be kidding me.



312. Post 8458990 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Weekly green candle. Reversal forming on Huobi 12h with solid volume. Will probably bounce back to $500, but this last dumpfest loaded the spring even more so I wouldn't trade it.

Bullish.



313. Post 8459125 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: molecular on August 20, 2014, 07:57:58 PM
Just remember kids: sharp bounces don't necessarily mean a true reversal.

Just look at what happened in April - a sharp bounce from bottom off  339 all the way to 554 on about 4X the volume of this recent bounce.  Everybody cheered "Hooray!  Look at that volume! Downtrend is over, bottom is in, only up from here!"  Then look what happened over the next 2 weeks after the rally... slow fall from 554 down to 420's.  Where it stayed for a month.

So yeah.  I predict that within 10 days (by 9/1) you'll have your answer whether this rally was sustainable or not.

who cares? up! ccmf!

What he's not taking into account is that we're coming to the end of a long continuation pattern that started when $1100 fell in November, so volume is expected to dry up as the price bounces off an ever-decreasing price ceiling. That means if we break above $570 it will be a more important breakout psychologically than the one in April, giving us an almost textbook bullish pennant, breaking out 3/4 of the way through.



314. Post 8471668 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on August 21, 2014, 12:29:15 PM
Litecoin going nuts  Shocked
Just a short squeeze, that garbage is still dying  Grin

Not so fast, Litecoin's creator works at Coinbase.



315. Post 8480576 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 22, 2014, 06:27:05 AM
It seems bitcoin is history....   Sad

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zl6DizyZgFY

if you trade you BTC for BC you're gonna have a really good time because BC is going up!  and BTC is going down Cry

ridiculous

In general, if you mess with altcoins you're gonna have a bad time. And that BC rap is the worst thing I've seen in quite awhile.



316. Post 8495437 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: aminorex on August 23, 2014, 05:10:13 AM
monkey gave up on getting btc any cheaper.
monkey is all-in.


Good monkey.  Have a banana.

My monkey's not back in yet. But I'll forgive him if he's wrong this once, for he has doubled my position this summer.



317. Post 8496896 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

I see a reversal pattern forming. But the trolls can yell louder than me so I'll keep the TA to myself.



318. Post 8496952 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: AceWallen on August 23, 2014, 08:48:58 AM
I see a reversal pattern forming. But the trolls can yell louder than me so I'll keep the TA to myself.

a bullish reversal pattern? is it the inverse head and shoulders that everyone and their mother is posting in the TV chat? dunno, it's certainly possible. whales love to paint the TA....

That's the one. Easily seen on the 12h chart.

Could be invalidated easily though if we don't get volume on the upside. All about the psychology playing out, these reversal patterns. They don't always look textbook.



319. Post 8497075 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: podyx on August 23, 2014, 09:07:10 AM
This market can really make a man sick...

I honestly was expecting some good upside right about now

Final bear trap. Low volume. Sellers being shaken out one final time.



320. Post 8515643 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

My cat told me to buy back in this morning. Seems sellers have exhausted their ammo.



321. Post 8515803 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on August 24, 2014, 06:40:47 PM
My cat told me to buy back in this morning. Seems sellers have exhausted their ammo.

The selling pressure is getting bigger by the day. If i was trading i'd prepare for another crash.

If you had any coin left to trade you'd simply lose it again Cheesy



322. Post 8536742 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: rpietila on August 26, 2014, 07:09:42 AM
I hope it is truly not the dirty fiat dollars that lead him to share his opinion in the way that he does.

I have been thinking that it has to be the clean, freshly made fiat dollars, but then again I don't know... In my country, professors are paid by the government and that's pretty much all you need to know.

Here in the US, it works almost the same way, except that professors and Universities are paid indirectly through the Federal Student Loan program. So the government straps 18 year-olds with no job and no income with tens of thousands of dollars in debt, Universities raise tuition and expand at ridiculous rates thanks to this free money, and graduates get to compete in an absolutely shitty job market while making loan payments for 30 years.

Academia must be nice.



323. Post 8545692 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):

Quote from: Richy_T on August 26, 2014, 08:02:29 PM
Yes, there maybe various differences in the administrative costs (and there likely are in most instances), yet the money still goes further and multiplies further when distributed more broadly.. and also there are studies that show certain kinds of industries have a greater multiplier effect than others.  For example the military industrial complex frequently has a very low multiplier effect as compared with some social services or roads and bridges and trains or even health care.

I am no fan of the military-industrial complex either. I view it as all part of the same package.

If we could start funneling money that goes toward needless aggression around the world to bridges and roads, that would be a start. Hell, just splitting up a fraction of the US defense budget and distributing it equally to Americans would be a better use of it. Ideologically to libertarians this is disagreeable, but I find it more agreeable than violence. Best case they could lower taxes to reduce the violence of collecting it in the first place.

In reality none of this is going to happen. We will continue to renovate the Middle East until we go bankrupt.



324. Post 8607286 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Anyone remember the bot on Gox that malfunctioned last year? Traders figured out how to manipulate it all night, pretty fun to watch. Not so much for its creator who lost thousands in trading fees.

I use an algo trader over at BTCe, no problems with the API. Just someone's spread bot gone haywire. Bad morning in the works for that guy.



325. Post 8614220 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on August 31, 2014, 06:41:20 PM
any reasons for the drop?

goxed
51% pool (easy came easy gone easy return)
crackers and governments and shit having 1200k coins(mtgox 200k, Ross Ulbricht 140k, crackers: 850k)
no new money
governments warning and banning
scam IPOs many including Ethereum and others
everyone is selling / spending
Dell / Expedia / Newegg / House dealer / etc are selling in real time
Winklevoss ETF will actually be shot down
GABI is already priced in
Dubai exchange won't create any thing new
etc..

silly wanker

I think that fallling got goxed, has pissed his pants when nearing the 51%, somebody from the government has taken his crackers, he has no new money, he's banned from his cardboard box, invested all of his cans into Ethereum, tried to buy a house from the House dealer, but since they only accepted BTC, he couldn't buy one, winklevoss+gabi+dubai something he read about on the piece of paper he used to clean off his ass while shitting in his new cardboard box.

Now he's here venting his frustration, because his cardboard box got wet from the rain.


That is way too complicated... MORE likely is that he is just paid by some government of financial institution to talk shit about BTC... as part of a team effort to lower BTC prices and possibly even attempt to undermine confidence in BTC or to distract us from having more meaningful communications about BTC or any other topic that we may feel important

Jay please please please stop quoting trolls. Ignore list is your friend, people.



326. Post 8652282 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

Quote from: creekbore
EDIT: Em, if you haven't already, you should read this post by AnonyMint --
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=400235.msg8649126#msg8649126 -- I think this provides some more substantial reasoning as to why getting fund managers involved in the BTC eco-system will eventually lead to disaster.

So AnonyMint claims a couple of things here:

-Bitcoin was created by the NWO to lure in techno-libertarians/anarchists; soon it will be slammed down by ETFs and other mainstream investment vehicles. There is no evidence of this except what can be assumed and extrapolated from other conspiratorial evidence, which is not without merit but is often... dubious.

-Bitcoin's adoption will slow because it has exhausted its demographics. If innovation continues, it will open up other adoption avenues, right? Not just the basement-dwelling libertarians who surf the internet all day? There seems to be a whole world out there that likes money and might enjoy using a digital ownership protocol.

His first post on this forum was suggesting how Bitcoin could change to reflect his expert analysis of its flaws. I have a hard time taking a doomsdayer with a self-professed IQ of 160 (or something like that) very seriously. I think he takes himself pretty seriously, but I had to unignore him to read his post. I perform with egotistical, self-righteous people all day, on and off the stage, and I cannot abide the narrow "all about me" attitude. It gets old real fast.



327. Post 8733303 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

The news hasn't really broken on any major outlets... "buy the rumor sell the news" may not even apply here. Good luck speculators.



328. Post 8733375 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Quote from: seleme on September 08, 2014, 07:26:05 PM
what a strange day, lol  Grin

Indeed. Just bought a few @ 468.



329. Post 8734322 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):

Well I'm buying more blow stamps, dunno about anyone else.



330. Post 8780565 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):

Quote from: Ragnar Danneskjold on September 11, 2014, 06:47:35 PM

+2
This place has really gone to seed since the days of Frozenlock and Walsoraj!

Nice to communicate with you jayjuangee! I always enjoy your rigorous postings.


+3

Things have gotten pretty bad lately. I don't come here much anymore just because half of the forum is on ignore.



331. Post 8904053 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):

Sold @ 5.15 (I trade LTC/USD), bought back in this morning.

We could go either way. We could go lower as it is the weekend. On the other hand, sell volume has dropped off as we are pretty heavily oversold. There is strong support at 400.

Depends on if the big boys buy back in or not. Probably a group of traders with deep pockets--it's pretty obvious what they're up to when I see 1000btc market sells. They've made me a lot of coin but, not gonna lie, their tactics won't work forever.



332. Post 8909000 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on September 21, 2014, 04:51:59 AM
So how does it feel after all that cheering for cheap coins that this time the price doesn't go back up?
Nobody is dying to get back in at lower levels. Nobody cares about cheap coins. Nobody wants to get burned after seeing Bitcoin crash month after month.
This is what you people have been cheering for. Happy now? Enjoying your cheap coins?

Yes, actually.

A little patience would suit you.



333. Post 8945472 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: mrkavasaki on September 23, 2014, 09:06:21 PM
you guys think  this the start to a new bubble?

No. When we hit $800 then you may start thinking about bubbles. Or, as I like to call them, reverse snowball exponential runups.



334. Post 8945556 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Maybe insider knowledge of Sonny's capital flight.



335. Post 8945677 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: klee on September 23, 2014, 09:15:49 PM
Maybe insider knowledge of Sonny's capital flight.
How much does he have?

BFL has been selling/scamming customers for over a year. I would guess millions but who knows how spread out his assets are. He's been hiding money from the feds for like 20 years so he obviously knows a few tricks.



336. Post 8945884 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: yokosan on September 23, 2014, 09:29:52 PM
At sub $400 it was so easy to buy coins... now I'm waiting to buy the next dip but the price continues to go up...

It is a problem, but as problems go it is one that I am very happy to have  Grin

Same. My bot will buy back in at a loss. But that's ok because it's already up 250% since June. It's indicated that this is a breakout on par, or larger than the one in late August so there is still likely upside. Biggest green candle on the 12h/daily in a long time.



337. Post 8959803 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Anyone else notice the 3d SAR reversal?



338. Post 8959851 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 24, 2014, 10:28:36 PM
Anyone else notice the 3d SAR reversal?

hopefully the weekly SAR  reverses  Tongue

Out of all the indicators, Parabolic SAR has the coolest name. Definitely better than MACD. That one just sounds like a drinking buddy we all had in college.

Works great at parties: "Yeah, the 3d Parabolic SAR blah blah blah..."



339. Post 8959984 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):

Quote from: Loaded on September 24, 2014, 10:38:10 PM
Wink




340. Post 9006280 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on September 28, 2014, 05:49:00 PM
I don't understand why everybody is complaining. This is exactly what you wanted. We finally had a chance to go up because of the Paypal news. It was extremely lucky we had that oppertunity in this bear market. So we did go up and after 50 dollars you absolutely dumped this shit out of the market to make your 100 bucks profit. Now you sit here complaining why we go down.
It's because you scared away all potential buyers with your idiotic way of trading. It's that simple. And you will do it again as soon as we go up 50 bucks. So just stop crying and complaining.

This is not a western dump. This is China. 70% of trading is in Yuan. They don't care about no Dell or paypal fanfare. And that's why the market never really reacted to that news

Paypal hasn't integrated it yet. May be months until it starts to affect the price. They just made the announcement which was largely priced in. Markets are fickle like that. Also profit taking is a thing. Watch and learn, Shroomie.

I do think there is a group of traders who are cranking the hell out of this bear market. You can see this with large market sell orders at key resistance points (500-900btc), then subsequent smaller sells (50-100btc) to add pressure. You wanted Wall Street, well here they are. There comes a point, though, when there is no more to crank without killing confidence, and we are approaching that point. Then they will have your cheap coins for the ride up.

I largely hold when the market becomes like this, because I just can't compete with the amount of coins they are throwing around.



341. Post 9013566 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: mmitech on September 29, 2014, 08:37:27 AM


Bitcoin technically has a 0% inflation since inception. There's a 21M BTC monetary base which will never be inflated.

see you are wrong there, technically there is 13 million Bitcoin in existence and the annual inflation rate is around 14% , theoretically there will be 21 million after 150 years.

No, there are 21M Bitcoins in existence. It's just that not all of them have been issued yet.

do you mind if I ask you this: how old are you and what kind of education do you have ?

Late 20s and PhD.

interesting, Phd in what ?

Software Engineering.

I cant believe that you are a bitcoin cultist with this kind of education... it is beyond my understanding.

No wonder they banned you from litecointalk. You should probably take it easy for awhile.



342. Post 9019397 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: romneymoney on September 29, 2014, 06:03:58 PM
I ended up making my own customized live ubuntu iso to run on my laptop connected to a usb printer in order to print an offline wallet.  One issue I faced was that armory wouldn't run with the default iso file, so you are stuck connecting to the internet in order to install the necessary packages .  Most of the various tutorials I read didn't even mention this issue, like they never tried to actually do it themselves.
So, IMO the paper wallet solution kind of sucks at least as I've seen it implemented.  If you don't compromise on something it's a real pain.
I like the idea of greenaddress.it for an online storage solution.  Didn't look into coinbase vault, but that's another option maybe. 

Try bitaddress.org. The page can be saved and run offline. You can create paper wallets, brain wallets, multisig wallets... the works.



343. Post 9020033 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Here we go again, whale pushing through another resistance point. Yawn.



344. Post 9020247 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: InvestorPerson on September 29, 2014, 07:03:07 PM
Here we go again, whale pushing through another resistance point. Yawn.

whale? don't go blaming whales everytime

bitcoin is going down because it's overvalued atm. plenty of room downwards till the bottom gets hit

Normally I wouldn't, but when I watch the tape and see market sells of 700+ coins at key resistance points, then you know something's up. You don't market order that many coins. You put up a wall. It's happened over and over and over and over. The more we recognize and analyze it, the less effective it becomes.



345. Post 9020312 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: stan.distortion on September 29, 2014, 07:16:53 PM
Here we go again, whale pushing through another resistance point. Yawn.

We can't do much, manipulation going on full. We can just see and watch the whole shit of manipulation.


Better than listening to your FUD, bring on the aliens.

More like the ignore button. These guys are not worth the keyboards they type on.



346. Post 9020732 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: dakota neat on September 29, 2014, 07:48:06 PM
circle run out of coins and is now market buying?  Shocked

They've pushed the price down for months by setting up scary walls to buy in large scale.

Those who don't think manipulation occurs, here is a guide written by Wolong, the guy who originally pumped Dogecoin.

http://cryptofrenzy.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/god.pdf



347. Post 9020887 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Dumper really wants this price down. Another 500 sold. Watch him sell small amounts later on (20-80btc) to tempt sellers. Might be a bot as it was selling 800+ then 50-100 a few weeks ago when the price was higher.



348. Post 9021578 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: MoreFun on September 29, 2014, 09:01:11 PM
Honestly this is the question we don't know for sure the answer, but we know that they are not selling off (going out of BTC) - it would be much more simple and much more profitable to sell it on OTC - even 50k+ coins. But much more believable is, that they want to accumulate cheap (maybe even through cheap OTC bulk buys) and rinse & repeat the bubble. Being end goal BTC at 0 is low probability, cause they were probably early in the game and understand the things well, this would be possible only in the case if someone is doing this who doesn't want BTC to succeed (banks, gvt...). Or if these coins are stolen and they really have xxx.000 BTC (but probably exchanges would get them). But all this killing BTC in imo less than 10% chance.

And remember - China is not the cause of all this rise and fall, its the tool.

My theory is that they want to push to 350, but not much lower. That's pretty much the last possible resistance level before we break down much harder. Lower towards $200s will encourage longer-term holders to sell, and of course the whales need them as support on the way back up. Their dumps are getting smaller as the price gets lower. They were rejected @ 375 and will have to spend considerably more coin to knock the price down from here.



349. Post 9021643 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: MoreFun on September 29, 2014, 09:08:19 PM
Honestly this is the question we don't know for sure the answer, but we know that they are not selling off (going out of BTC) - it would be much more simple and much more profitable to sell it on OTC - even 50k+ coins. But much more believable is, that they want to accumulate cheap (maybe even through cheap OTC bulk buys) and rinse & repeat the bubble. Being end goal BTC at 0 is low probability, cause they were probably early in the game and understand the things well, this would be possible only in the case if someone is doing this who doesn't want BTC to succeed (banks, gvt...). Or if these coins are stolen and they really have xxx.000 BTC (but probably exchanges would get them). But all this killing BTC in imo less than 10% chance.

And remember - China is not the cause of all this rise and fall, its the tool.

My theory is that they want to push to 350, but not much lower. Lower towards $200s will encourage longer-term holders to sell, and of course the whales need them as support on the way up. Their dumps are getting smaller as the price gets lower. They were rejected @ 375 and will have to spend considerably more coin to knock the price down.

They don't dump anymore, they just dump in mostly their own walls and when price is high (paypal push). They control the sentiment and orderbooks and price action so others sell for them. Do you think they care if price is $100 for two days so they can get XX.000 BTC and they push it to 500 in the next two days. Its all about their plan. To bad we don't know what it is.

But there is the question of loss of confidence. If they want this cash cow to remain profitable in the coming years (and they absolutely do want this) then a dip into $100s isn't exactly good for PR. Besides they'll have to risk a lot more to get there.



350. Post 9021718 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: MoreFun on September 29, 2014, 09:13:58 PM
Honestly this is the question we don't know for sure the answer, but we know that they are not selling off (going out of BTC) - it would be much more simple and much more profitable to sell it on OTC - even 50k+ coins. But much more believable is, that they want to accumulate cheap (maybe even through cheap OTC bulk buys) and rinse & repeat the bubble. Being end goal BTC at 0 is low probability, cause they were probably early in the game and understand the things well, this would be possible only in the case if someone is doing this who doesn't want BTC to succeed (banks, gvt...). Or if these coins are stolen and they really have xxx.000 BTC (but probably exchanges would get them). But all this killing BTC in imo less than 10% chance.

And remember - China is not the cause of all this rise and fall, its the tool.

My theory is that they want to push to 350, but not much lower. Lower towards $200s will encourage longer-term holders to sell, and of course the whales need them as support on the way up. Their dumps are getting smaller as the price gets lower. They were rejected @ 375 and will have to spend considerably more coin to knock the price down.

They don't dump anymore, they just dump in mostly their own walls and when price is high (paypal push). They control the sentiment and orderbooks and price action so others sell for them. Do you think they care if price is $100 for two days so they can get XX.000 BTC and they push it to 500 in the next two days. Its all about their plan. To bad we don't know what it is.

But there is the question of loss of confidence. If they want this cash cow to remain profitable in the coming years (and they absolutely do want this) then a dip into $100s isn't exactly good for PR. Besides they'll have to risk a lot more to get there.

I'm not saying 100 is the plan, but that if they planned this, it is simple to do. When price will be at 1000s few months later, x00 won't matter anymore, just the next moon and fresh money to be milked again.

On a long-term chart a dip like that would look bad to technical analysts, who make up a big portion of their help during large moves. It would be in their interest to keep the trendline intact. Surely they understand the implications of this technology, regardless of their heartlessness and greed in the short term.

Not saying 100-200 can't happen either, but I'd like to think that they can't control every aspect of the market across all exchanges, especially with exponential adoption and exchanges popping up everywhere.



351. Post 9022543 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

They are determined aren't they? Got below 370 and dumped BTC400 more.



352. Post 9025317 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: podyx on September 30, 2014, 04:47:43 AM
I'm actually considering if bitcoin is slowly dying out

Hashrate is declining sharply like never seen before

https://blockchain.info/sv/charts/hash-rate?showDataPoints=false&show_header=true&daysAverageString=1&timespan=1year&scale=0&address=

BFL shutdown?



353. Post 9033703 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: vortex1878 on September 30, 2014, 08:05:15 PM
The manipulator has some problems with the logistics to dump further coins.

If you can't buy back lower, you stop selling low. This is essentially what happened.



354. Post 9034353 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

If the big sellers are gone (and they are for now) we will probably go higher. However if we hover here for too long, others will sell and we'll get a slight bounce downward.



355. Post 9037568 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: Post-Cosmic on October 01, 2014, 03:44:00 AM

Awesome, precisely what I was getting at - I'm far from another 'Cut your loose' fanatic like 'falllling' just hoping for a $0-Crash - I just want people to stop deluding themselves in a blind religious haze while going to BitCoin Church with BitChick, and like you said Adam - Actually contribute towards putting into place, or at least understand, the groundwork that's obviously required before another gravity-defying bubble.

 Regarding your argument BitChick, the thing is with every passing previous bubble and subsequent cooling phase, it's ironically also gotten exponentially more difficult for the cynics to be proven wrong yet again by a follow-through epic bull-run.

 One thing I forgot to mention though is, the legacy Gox's bots left us with is one of 'Fake it 'till you make it' such that with last year's exploding limelight came hundreds of millions $$ poured into all facets of crypto-infrastructure & the underlying economies so thanks to that, it's very plausible to think the true fair market price of 1 BTC may be more than double 2013's mid-year average in the low $100's.

 So in the coming months $245-270 sounds like a good bottom, from $360-410. The infamous +1000% 12-18month figure, from a ~$250 price point, would lead right up to $2500 - Exactly where my 'off-chance moderate bubble' estimate was at ;p

If you only read this forum, or reddit, there are plenty of people excited about the technology, but I wouldn't go as far to call them fanatics. I think those that do spend far too much time reading posts by Bitcoin "fanatics" and get annoyed, jealous or angry for a variety of reasons. People love cars, people love sports and probably spend inordinate amounts of time on car and sports related forums. Would you call someone who plays Fantasy Baseball a fanatic about sports? Or call someone who cheers loudly when their team scores a cultist? My definition of a fanatic is someone who lacks critical thinking skills and blindly follows others. Bitcoin is decentralized and takes an above average IQ to even understand at a basic level, so I doubt most people who appreciate the protocol are fanatics in the truest sense of the word. Those that don't and are in it for a quick buck get weeded out fairly quickly by the market, which is what's happening now.

I don't disagree that people are pretty excited about the thing. That may rub off as fanaticism sometimes. They have different ideas than the existing paradigm, so they must be crazy. If everyone with a game-changing idea throughout history bowed to critics and admitted defeat, where would we be?

I hold bitcoins, I enjoy speculating but I have a fulfilling life without the need for its value to go "to da moon."

I also don't think the bots supplied enough buying pressure to fuel an entire exponential increase. I watched them work and they were highly secondary to the main action and volume coming from China.



356. Post 9037758 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: nanobrain on October 01, 2014, 04:48:22 AM
its pretty clear the last ATH was mostly down to Mark and his bots trying to bail himself out of sinking ship.

No, it's not clear at all. I watched them trade, they were secondary.



357. Post 9038347 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Quote from: MrPiggles on October 01, 2014, 06:31:26 AM
Wait, hasn't this happened recently.

Price drops 5%. Everyone panics, shits their pants, it's  the final capitulation, it's over. Oh noes.

Price stabilizes, rises a couple percent, everyones like wow this is over. TO DA MOON.

Price drops another 5%. Everyone panics, shits their pants, it's  the final capitulation, it's over. Oh noes.

Price stabilizes, rises a couple percent, everyones like wow this is over. TO DA MOON.

Price drops another 5%. Everyone panics, shits their pants, it's  the final capitulation, it's over. Oh noes.

Price stabilizes, rises a couple percent, everyones like wow this is over. TO DA MOON.


but the price is still dropping overall.

That is essentially the exact definition of a shakeout. Price falls, small recovery, price falls more, rinse and repeat until the whale thinks he has made all the weak hands sell their coins off. Then places massive buy orders to make the cheap buys and lets the market build the price up again.

The question is when will the shakeout end

Soon I hope. Manbearwhale sold BTC600 at $370.



358. Post 9044261 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

The positive part of this is that we can recognize and trade certain predictable market behavior.

That's right, if you know the dumper is going to dump, you can profit from it. Simply wait to buy until you see his large sells. Let him come to you since he wants to unload coins so badly. Wait until the market moves toward his large walls and buy directly into them. When he clears the order book, place your buy orders to replace them. Make him work for it. The nice part is that this community and market is small enough to manipulate, yes, but the community will quickly coalesce to move against manipulators if need be.



359. Post 9061951 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):

Investors getting out of DOGE. Was a nice pump, sad that I totally missed it.

Rule #213 of altcoin trading: Don't buy after three strong waves up. Each Bitcoin bubble had three strong waves up before reversing. Fibonacci numbers and all that.



360. Post 9097209 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):

Quote from: Remember remember the 5th of November on October 05, 2014, 11:56:47 PM
Anyone feel like sharing their "bankroll" when playing on the exchanges?

Mine is...well it's not really anything but about 0.30 btc total. I don't think I will be earning any serious amount of money with this, but this is the amount I am willing to risk, or rather, that I can afford to lose.

traders always say to only play with like %10 of your holdings, its just not wise to think you can call tops and bottoms, that kind of thinking will have you go all out on a bounce that turns out to be trend reversal
0.30 btc is about that much yeah, 10% of my holdings. I've been here since late Apr 2011, but unlike a lot of people I failed to amass large amounts of bitcoins, even though back then I had upwards of 100, a year later I had ten times as much litecoins, past tense yes.

I use a small percentage of my stash. I've managed to trade up from BTC6 to BTC20 since June. Thanks, Litecoin. Good time to buy some, btw, as it follows lock-step with Bitcoin. Silly Chinese traders, they love it Smiley



361. Post 9106823 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: Sitarow on October 06, 2014, 06:22:29 PM


SO who here timed the market swings?

Not by looking at 3m charts. Lowest I go is 15m.

12h & daily looking pretty hot right now.



362. Post 9108161 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

To those who are still short and currently talking their book:

Look at yesterday's daily candle, then compare it to every other daily candle during the past year that resembles it. That is all.



363. Post 9126047 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

I'm expecting rainbows and unicorns today everyone. Don't let me down.



364. Post 9126150 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):

Quote from: FNG on October 08, 2014, 08:05:38 AM
502 sitting at $335 on Stamp

Knock this down quickly and confidence should return

It was gulped down in one bite.



365. Post 9153958 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

Adam, that sucks man. I had some marital issues a couple years ago... really tough emotionally, but we worked it out. Ultimately neither of us wanted to be with anyone else. Worst case scenario, when you're Bitcoin rich maybe she will come crawling back Cool

In other news, looks like a bottom forming on the daily chart. If we get another dip the remaining sellers will be shaken out at the right shoulder, leaving the runway clear for bulls to take back control.



366. Post 9178282 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on October 12, 2014, 08:25:57 PM
Yeah, finally dropping the ignore on the Shroomster.  Undecided

What kept you  Huh

I find him entertaining.

Blitz even quotes him in his sig, along with the completely obnoxious non-entertaining troll.

You mean Jorge?



367. Post 9189790 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: Blitz­ on October 13, 2014, 08:25:40 PM
What sort of uptrend do you guys think would cause shroomsy to stop complaining about goddamn traders and dumpers? You think anything less than a perfectly linear rise would do it (straight line)? Huh

He obviously doesn't understand how markets work. Best to ignore until he graduates middle school.



368. Post 9191317 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: criptix on October 13, 2014, 10:59:31 PM
will probably not even get to 390...

you spoke too soon

i didn't expect someone to leverage short 750 coins right now...lol

but it's fine...we'll be up anyway

Does leveraged short mean the exchanges are lending them money??

they lend bitcoins to short Smiley

Technically they are lending other people's bitcoins, and the lenders are making interest.



369. Post 9194055 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

12hr head & shoulders completed on heavy volume. Trend reversal confirmed. Time to go long. Major resistance at $440-$450.



370. Post 9194083 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: Malin Keshar on October 14, 2014, 06:06:07 AM
now we only need ltc above 4 and it will be perfect

shhhh my ltc bot hasn't bought back in yet.



371. Post 9194279 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: porcupine87 on October 14, 2014, 06:19:16 AM
12hr head & shoulders completed on heavy volume. Trend reversal confirmed. Time to go long. Major resistance at $440-$450.

Major resistence is at $420. Don't look to the past. Look at the here and now( order book)!

1. order book can change instantly, not a reliable indicator
2. the past indicates support/resistance levels and their respective volumes, or how many players traded and will remember that particular price. support becomes resistance and vice-versa.



372. Post 9194904 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: porcupine87 on October 14, 2014, 06:48:44 AM
12hr head & shoulders completed on heavy volume. Trend reversal confirmed. Time to go long. Major resistance at $440-$450.

Major resistence is at $420. Don't look to the past. Look at the here and now( order book)!

1. order book can change instantly, not a reliable indicator
2. the past indicates support/resistance levels and their respective volumes, or how many players traded and will remember that particular price. support becomes resistance and vice-versa.

sure it can change. But now there is a wall at $420 with 4000 coins. This could deter people to buy at $415 because the price will likely no rise for the next time. I don't like TA. In my opinion price is the result of supply and demand. But if many traders believe in TA this will get a self-fullfilling prophecy. But I would say: If people try to predict the future with chart analysis, they are right at 50 50.

I bought new coins after we broke that 26k wall. This has more impact than charts!

PS: There is no resistance or support level at $420 in the past. Neither is it a round number (like $400). Why is there such a resistence now?

The wall could get moved up or down, or be taken away entirely. Some walls are skiddish, some are permanent. There's no way to know. Sometimes they are useful. During strong trends they are not as they get easily moved/pulled.

TA is simply a way to predict when the trend might reverse. And that's what you should be doing when trading... following the trend.

Volume tells me how much money and how many coins were accumulated and distributed when the 26k wall was eaten. You are part of it, so was I Smiley That is TA.

Support/resistance levels don't occur every time the market pauses. We could be consolidating for the next move up. 420 may well be a resistance level. But 450 will be a more significant one.

Markets are fractal in nature. The farther out you zoom, the more significant patterns and predictions become. So heavy volume support points on the daily chart will become more significant resistance than lesser volume support on, say, a 1 hour chart.



373. Post 9195094 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):

Quote from: porcupine87 on October 14, 2014, 08:24:04 AM
We will see what happens at $440. But you are right. Orders can always be pulled. It is just an indicator, not a tight rule. Out of curiousity: Why $440? Because there was a resistance  in 23.9.? Because there was a support at 18.8.?

Yes that is correct. Also 440-450 is the neckline of a larger head & shoulder reversal. There is an increased chance that the price will bounce back to 400 or so before resuming up, (only if there is enough volume). Also if there are enough profit-takers, you may get your $420 resistance :8




374. Post 9203210 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Probably going to pull back a little bit here... not to worry though.

Need those beartraps on the way up.



375. Post 9203274 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 14, 2014, 09:59:09 PM
Can I unfasten my seat belt yet?

No, the child safety seat is for your protection.



376. Post 9226180 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

As if trading on margin wasn't enough. BFX should just implement digital slot machines for when the market is quiet.



377. Post 9228051 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Quote from: bigdave on October 16, 2014, 10:08:31 PM
What is it with these goddamn dumpers!

WTF is with you, Shroomie?  You shorted at $404, no?  You said that you were leaving bitcoin.  You should be happy, no?

OH, you weren't really "leaving" bitcoin, you were just temporarily taking a break and talking your book, but NOW, you are back, and pumping.. oh?  I think I see.  Fucking idiot traders, they are the cancer of bitcoin, no?...     Wink   Cheesy

Shroomie is probably riding the Crimson tide right now... Don't pay any attention.

Better yet, ignore. He's just a dumb kid who has no interest in learning. Not going to waste my time.



378. Post 9228318 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

I remember that you had to get verified last year to even withdraw BTC. So older accounts of people who had money/BTC stuck there are at risk, which probably has been priced in already.



379. Post 9230830 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):

Here's a possible reversal pattern from this long downtrend with some support/resistance lines.



To validate the pattern and go up further we need to break through the top line on heavy volume, heavier than the previous 4 green candles. If the market is extra bullish, we are almost to the resistance point. However, we may visit support on the bottom line, which is around $340. So don't get your panties in a bunch if we head down--if the pattern holds true we will head back up before too long... if the buyers are there.



380. Post 9285065 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: jaberwock on October 21, 2014, 09:25:16 PM

If everyone use the same indicators to buy or sell, then the prices will rise or fall when we see the indicators.

It is kind of circular

Reminds me of backtesting strategies on cryptotrader. This is nothing new, just MIT kids writing trading algorithms. But they don't take into account slippage, trading fees and order size. If it worked as well as they say it does, they'd be more profitable using it themselves.



381. Post 9305047 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Huobi dumped on big(ish) volume but not many sellers on Stamp followed. Let's see if this sticks. My gut says it won't. Short from 408, will probably buy back soon.



382. Post 9305934 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: SkyValeey on October 23, 2014, 05:33:55 PM
@jonoiv

Nice pics but you can find EVERYTHING when you take various scales.

You just show at this pics that you want BTC to rise:)

This is http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias

This is true but I actually got some good signals a few months ago looking at history, which tends to repeat itself.



383. Post 9317900 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: ssmc2 on October 24, 2014, 06:46:14 PM

http://fortune.com/2014/10/24/bitcoin-fraud-scam/

 Roll Eyes

Just another clueless critic. And this one wants to use Bitcoin to sell books. He's no better than the fraudsters he claims to expose.



384. Post 9321876 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on October 25, 2014, 04:03:27 AM
bitcoin is going to die?  Shocked should i buy doge? Huh


No! Counterparty is the new Doge. Err... sort of.



385. Post 9360166 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Guys, put the trolls on ignore and don't quote them please.



386. Post 9373205 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: octaft on October 29, 2014, 07:07:58 PM
If a troll is ranked 0-10 in terms of how many people he successfully baits/how frequently he baits them, Lambchop has to be at least 8/10.

you guys really need to stop quoting him!



387. Post 9373876 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on October 29, 2014, 08:01:56 PM

Not sure you can say that, the same formation happened before and was followed by more down.
Also, the circumstances were different than what they are now...


Everything has been followed by more down, lately, even good news. At some point one has to start taking a balanced view and not just because we've made a lot of money shorting and the prevailing trend is down, so we must have more down. I've increased my stash quite a bit for the ride up, which will be happening sooner rather than later, but it doesn't mean I'll keep shorting when I see signs of the trend reversing.

12h chart. Look at the sell volume. Not exactly a high-volume selloff. Bears are almost out of ammo.



388. Post 9374046 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: tarmi on October 29, 2014, 08:40:30 PM

Not sure you can say that, the same formation happened before and was followed by more down.
Also, the circumstances were different than what they are now...



12h chart. Look at the sell volume. Not exactly a high-volume selloff. Bears are almost out of ammo.


we had a steady low volume decline since 600 levels.

I am not buying that out of ammo story. nobody is.

I am, and I tripled my coin stash thanks to volume analysis during the big drop from 600s. The big dumps, which were higher volume and obviously from a single entity if you watched the tape, was somebody selling a shitload of coins and traders following. They are not here anymore and haven't been since the BTC30,000 wall.

Look I'm not saying it is going to rocket up tomorrow, these markets surprise me again and again. Just saying we are in a longer term reversal pattern where the trend has a higher probability of reversing, and it's pretty risky to be short right now.



389. Post 9374140 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

TA 101

1) spot trend, follow it until it shows signs of reversal
2) learn what reversal patterns are, how they relate to market psychology, where they occurred historically in these markets, and how to recognize them and their variations
3) have enough self-respect and confidence in your position that you don't have to troll threads talking your book
4) profit



390. Post 9416374 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: inca on November 02, 2014, 04:24:44 PM
Inca, what happened to your posts about how big money secretly is accumulating and all that other bullshit?
Haven't seen any of those in a while.

Finally waking up from the fantasy?

We are clearly still in an accumulation/distribution phase. No secret about it. Just look at the 100 and 500 largest addresses and do some rudimentary analysis instead of trolling over day trading whipsaw noise.


Accumulation/distribution happens in every market, even mature and highly liquid ones.

With Bitcoin we see relatively short, heavy accumulation phases where the price sharply rises because demand is higher than supply, followed by longer distribution phases where the price falls because supply is greater than demand. These patterns happen on smaller timescales as well as larger. Check out Richard Wyckoff's work for more insight on how to time these cycles.

The point is, during each trade there are two parties involved, one buying and one selling. During each accumulation, sellers are selling to the buyers at a premium, and during the distribution phase someone is buying all the sold coins at a discount. Distribution comes to an end when the sellers are exhausted and the buyers satisfied. Demand becomes greater than supply again, a bottom is formed, then a markup campaign begins and we do it all again.



391. Post 9416621 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on November 02, 2014, 08:51:57 PM
^Lolyeah, falling like a stone.  Just how much are you hodling, inca?  Is the wasted effort/embarrassment of pimping your boss investment really worth it?

You should be the one worried about wasted effort, my puppet friend.



392. Post 9443033 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Looks like sellers have exited the market for now and demand has taken over in the short term. Although a possible retest of $300 is not out of the question, it's become less likely. More likely is a test of $400, then another shakeout of shorters who will inevitably be drawn back in as we move up toward that resistance.

I bought at the $300 wall back at the selling climax. Today I added to my position based on a renewed uptrend based on coin supply that has been sold to smart money who are happy to buy at these prices. What will follow in the the next month, after a final shakeout or two, is a markup campaign by the same big players who have been quietly accumulating during this sideways movement. This will draw in more money as the cheap coins are sold to them, and the cycle will begin again.



393. Post 9443107 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: Davyd05 on November 05, 2014, 08:09:00 AM
Looks like sellers have exited the market for now and demand has taken over in the short term. Although a possible retest of $300 is not out of the question, it's become less likely. More likely is a test of $400, then another shakeout of shorters who will inevitably be drawn back in as we move up toward that resistance.

I bought at the $300 wall back at the selling climax. Today I added to my position based on a renewed uptrend based on coin supply that has been sold to smart money who are happy to buy at these prices. What will follow in the the next month, after a final shakeout or two, is a markup campaign by the same big players who have been quietly accumulating during this sideways movement. This will draw in more money as the cheap coins are sold to them, and the cycle will begin again.


I hope this to be truish...I'm not big on markup campaigns.

No point in watching huobi with anything but the god dam 1 min charts.. love watching whales splash around.

Markup can be organic too, although it's almost always "encouraged" by whales. The key is recognizing their patterns of accumulation before it happens.

The only way I see it going up is if smart money has been buying and holding during the downtrend. Then the floating coin supply dries up and price rises organically.



394. Post 9444095 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: janos666 on November 05, 2014, 10:28:24 AM

In my personal opinion they (Winklevoss brothers) are ever-lucky fools (considering who they are but where they are today).
However, I barely know anything about them other than they are being related to Facebook, Bitcoin and Olympics (which I find to be a strange combination because you can't fine-tune both your body and your mind for two distinctly different things at the same time; testosterone can suppress higher mental functions for some limited degree and business requires a different mindset than sports).
I saw the Hollywood movie about Facebook (which I assume to be very far from reality) and I saw them talking about Bitcoin a few times here and there (mostly in those kind of talk shows which probably don't allow anybody to talk freely and honestly) where they gave me the impression that they are admittedly planning to dump most if their BTC for as much USD as possible rather than planning to build a future around it so they can keep it.
They probably see the current price as an overinflated bubble (still) and they wouldn't buy a single satoshi if they discovered BTC today. This implies they are probably ready to dump for a lot less (~100$ or less) if they come to the conclusion that they should do so.

They are lucky, sure, to be tall, good-looking, athletic, smart and Harvard graduates. Most likely half of this forum has the brains to get into an Ivy League school like that, but that's another conversation. You can tell from their TV appearances that they are pretty introverted and intellectual and probably understand Bitcoin a great deal. They have positioned themselves to be the Bitcoin "big money" that exists in every market, and seek to make connections into the establishment financial markets that their friends and family likely occupy, but for whatever reason, have distanced their clout from traditional investment vehicles to Bitcoin. I find it interesting. Honestly, I think the ETF will get approved sometime next year. Just a hunch.



395. Post 9459706 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on November 06, 2014, 06:05:00 PM
P.S. Hi SR2. Again, November. Weird.
And on top of that. The same day (6th november)! lol

Truth is stranger than fiction.



396. Post 9459909 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: rebuilder on November 06, 2014, 07:02:33 PM
It's not the buying of drugs online that puzzles me. Seems to beat the alternative of having to deal with potentially hazardous interactions with drug dealers on the street.

What escapes me is how they solve the problem of having to provide a shipping address at some point. That seems like the real weak point to me, as a buyer. (Yes, I know, PO boxes exist, but to my knowledge, renting one usually requires some form of ID).

Anyone knows how the actual customers solve this dilemma? Hoping they stay below the threshold for being targeted by LE?

Is someone sending you a package sufficient proof you ordered said package to base a prosecution on?

No, it's not. The reasoning is that you could send your enemy a package full of coke, then call the cops on him. Doesn't hold up.



397. Post 9460515 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Well there certainly is very little sell pressure on these rallies. Sellers on vacation, demand rising.



398. Post 9460659 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: Thomas-s on November 06, 2014, 08:22:25 PM

Best shakeout ever   Cheesy

Yeah it was. I remember speeding home to buy the dip, and just missed it. Oh well. Still cheap coins.



399. Post 9462224 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

No quoting the trolls pleeeeeease. I swear to god I will ignore you all.



400. Post 9484994 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

If a trader can properly apply the tools at his disposal (charts, indicators, candles) to predict supply versus demand in any given timeframe, he can profit even if he is right only part of the time. This is the easy part.

He must not only know the market in which he is trading, but he must know himself well enough to not let emotional baggage affect his decisions. To him, a bull market feels the same as a bear market. There is no joy or despair, only opportunity. The true challenge a trader faces is himself.

He must have the courage to confidently enter a position and exit quickly if he's wrong. He must not think too much or pontificate about a profit or mourn a loss.

Hamlet said it well: "...for there is nothing either good or bad, but thinking makes it so."



401. Post 9485408 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: Erdogan on November 09, 2014, 05:19:23 AM
If a trader can properly apply the tools at his disposal (charts, indicators, candles) to predict supply versus demand in any given timeframe, he can profit even if he is right only part of the time. This is the easy part.

He must not only know the market in which he is trading, but he must know himself well enough to not let emotional baggage affect his decisions. To him, a bull market feels the same as a bear market. There is no joy or despair, only opportunity. The true challenge a trader faces is himself.

He must have the courage to confidently enter a position and exit quickly if he's wrong. He must not think too much or pontificate about a profit or mourn a loss.

Hamlet said it well: "...for there is nothing either good or bad, but thinking makes it so."

The sociopath trader - I don't buy it.


I sure am.



402. Post 9528406 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

Good day for BTC. Hopefully it's just the beginning since we blasted through $400 like nothing.

I was also pleased Counterparty went up over 50% today after they assimilated Ethereum's software. I generally don't like altcoins, but this one could be big.



403. Post 9528572 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

Quote from: lyth0s on November 13, 2014, 06:31:34 AM
So on a related note (in that counterparty uses the bitcoin network), counterparty (XCP) converted all of Etherums code into its counterparty platform so now the entire smart asset system can work on the bitcoin protocol. Very bullish considering etherum was probably going nowhere. I also JUST so happened to buy some XCP (and XMR) a few days ago, its very nice that my XCP DOUBLED its USD value overnight Cheesy

This has been a very good few days for cryptos for me.


Source: http://cointelegraph.com/news/112908/counterparty-adds-ethereum-smart-contract-features

Yeah whatever happened to the Ethereum guys? They raised all that cash and what, bought new office furniture and embezzled the rest? All the while their software was open source and Counterparty was like OH HAI.

Good day for XCP. Big gains today.



404. Post 9585328 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: tarmi on November 18, 2014, 09:09:01 PM
Anyone posted this yet?

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-18/bitcoin-auction-winner-draper-to-bid-again-in-december.html

Everyone knows not to try low ball bids this time  Wink


wow, he already dumped his first stash.

smart.

Nowhere in the article does it say that. Perhaps improved reading comprehension would suit you.



405. Post 9588293 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: paymenow on November 19, 2014, 04:02:46 AM


Easy $8000 profit, sell 594 BTC @ $390 at Cryptsy and buy them back at Bitstamp for $375.

Uhh, no that would not work. Look at the order book.



406. Post 9589113 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: paymenow on November 19, 2014, 05:05:50 AM


Easy $8000 profit, sell 594 BTC @ $390 at Cryptsy and buy them back at Bitstamp for $375.

Uhh, no that would not work. Look at the order book.

He took his order back - probably read my tread... there was a buy order for 594 BTC for $390, and it was there for at least an hour.

Oh well...

Ahh, didn't see that. Would have been a nice one, for sure.

Weekly chart looks good, macd about to cross, sar crossed (or close to it), solid green volume and a nice low-volume, narrow range red candle. Should be an exciting couple months.



407. Post 9596900 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

XCP / Counterparty if you really need to take on more risk.

No miners, no bagholders waiting to unload. 2.6 million were created by burning BTC. It's technically not even an altcoin.



408. Post 9597068 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.33h):

Quote from: hdbuck on November 19, 2014, 11:37:09 PM
XCP / Counterparty if you really need to take on more risk.

No miners, no bagholders waiting to unload. 2.6 million were created by burning BTC. It's technically not even an altcoin.

Burning BTC?! i call it crypto-satanism.

Didn't peg you as the religious type. It's pretty clever actually, and it makes BTC worth a little more.



409. Post 9645354 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.35h):

Quote from: janos666 on November 24, 2014, 11:05:29 PM

Maybe I have misunderstood NotLambchop. It is in the name! He has nothing to do with lambs.

   Horse + X = Hinny

He is X!



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lamb_Chop_%28puppet%29
Quote
Lamb Chop has been described as a "6-year-old girl, very intuitive and very feisty, a combination of obstinacy and vulnerability...you know how they say fools rush in where wise men fear to go? Well, Lamb Chop would rush in, then scream for help."

Quote
Lamb Chop currently performs with Sheri Lewis's daughter, Mallory, mainly for the US Military. Lamb Chop is a three-star general. She was given a field promotion by Lt. Gen. Tom Conant, deputy commander of the Pacific for the Marines.

Yeah Lamb Chop was an American children's show in the 90s. Remember "The Song That Never Ends" that they made famous? Sometimes when I see pages of his ignored posts I think of it fondly.



410. Post 9683827 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

All the emotional players here make for easy money. Thanks guys, keep it up.



411. Post 9734687 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: Tony Abbot on December 04, 2014, 05:06:10 AM
Wow.... Fucken quiet in here.   


It's a bit trollish lately.



412. Post 9875964 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Went long at $305. Here comes the pump.

Edit: this sub has really gone downhill, btw.



413. Post 9918049 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: ticoti on December 22, 2014, 06:57:37 PM
what is the purpose of buying 10k bitcoins in every exchange on a downtrend ?

Accumulation. It is what smart money does. Then they sell them later at a higher price.



414. Post 9919171 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

Quote from: coinableS on December 22, 2014, 10:02:36 PM
Finex willy bot back? 0.2 buys at market every 11 seconds or so

Accumulation bot. Price goes below x, bot buys small amounts until it is satisfied, getting the best price from the orderbook.

Sandpeople travel in single file to hide their numbers.



415. Post 9927309 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):

Quote from: arklan on December 23, 2014, 05:47:09 PM
i'm pretty sure i'm no where near as well known at bitchick, but dammit, i'm still here!

just busy with work (more like stress from work...) and too broke to invest... though i am going to send 20 over to bitstamp here in a sec to test out the timing from a new bank account.

It's nice to have actual people posting, still, isn't it? I haven't seen Bitchick in awhile, nor her husband. Maybe an impending bull market will attract some traders back. Good traders, that is, not the reddit gambling brigade.



416. Post 9928005 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):

Quote from: Gianluca95 on December 23, 2014, 06:59:18 PM
Price goes up...I see it on 325$ tomorrow and after Christmas at 360$. Great Christmas Wink Go Bitcoin, go...

Do you think that people, after eating and much drinking (will be drunk many people) price will raise? Hope to see many drunk people that invested their money in bitcoin in way to raise price, imagine scenario, that would be very funny  Grin

Can confirm. Drinking like a fish all week, margin long at $305. More eggnog? Yes please!



417. Post 9986894 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.42h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on December 30, 2014, 07:57:49 PM
LambChop why the new account?
Did your old one get banned or is this a poorly thought out multi account FUD campaign?

If he gets the award for most posts, our friend Jorge (the most highly-cited computer scientist in Brazil) is at a close second. I wonder if his students know about his little pastime.



418. Post 10065128 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.44h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on January 07, 2015, 01:53:36 AM
I'm still expecting a plunge to as low as $220, but I'm buying anyway. These prices are just too low to pass up. I just don't think there was enough volume in the bounce off of $255 for it to be a final bottom. Worst case scenario is cascading margin calls that drop us to $200. Unlikely but possible. Ironically Stamp's suspended operations has given me and I suspect others time to pad our margins.  It also halted some panicked people.

A successful retest of $255 where it holds on even higher volume means a very likely end of the bear market, but it's way too soon to call it. Best case scenario is that Coinbase went down due to overwhelming buying. I doubt that's really the case but it's possible. If people really were naked short-selling, then there will be (and possibly is) a scramble to find coins in order to cover.

The least likely scenario is we go straight up from here. If that happens, a lot of short positions will be force liquidated causing a massive spike with a major retracement. If that happens, go margin short as close to the top as you can and then cover on the retracement.

That's not exactly how it would play out. If we retest, it should be on lower volume or it's liable to break through $250.

The away I see it, if we don't get a higher volume follow thru on this swing downward, the trend will continue up.



419. Post 10072613 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.45h):

Look for a breach of $300 later today. Shorts doubling down, not many coins left to borrow. Popcorn.jpg



420. Post 10075308 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.45h):

I say this is a reaccumulation/bullflag before another test of $300, which will likely break. Next stop $320.



421. Post 10097226 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.45h):

Quote from: Morecoin Freeman on January 09, 2015, 10:35:26 PM
My guess: Bitfinex buy wall at 286 will break. Going down.

It's been tested already. Whalebear won't sell into it. Wonder what that means.



422. Post 10098534 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.45h):

Quote from: Morecoin Freeman on January 10, 2015, 01:04:12 AM
My guess: Bitfinex buy wall at 286 will break. Going down.

It's been tested already. Whalebear won't sell into it. Wonder what that means.
About to fall below that point now. Watch close! Called it almost 3 hours ago. Tongue

Not sure about what will happen after this for now. Will be exciting nonetheless. Sunday might be a good buying opportunity (as usual).

You were saying Wink

Honestly now that confidence is restored I wouldn't be surprised if we tested $300 yet again. For the last three days I've been watching the price drift slowly upward on almost no effort (a sign of low supply/high demand) and the bearwhales who are all short have thrown nearly all of Finex's coin supply at the rallies to keep their positions safe. At some point they are going to give up or run out of coins, or both.



423. Post 10126085 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.46h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on January 12, 2015, 02:33:51 PM
This forum (especially this particular thread) is full of trolls & trolls sock puppets.
It's really gone to shit.

Nobody minds the battle between bears & bulls, they both have genuine reasons for cheering different scenarios to make money, that's fine.

There are so many trolls though, it's really quite pathetic & I feel embarrassed for them.

Trolls are people who refuse to make choices in their own pathetic lives and thus feel the need to judge the choices of others. Ignore them and they don't exist.



424. Post 10141378 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.47h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on January 13, 2015, 07:26:35 PM
Only $17m USD longs? Wow... remarkable.

Market is reeling, waiting to see if mr bitfinex whale decides to give it a rest.



425. Post 10141624 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.47h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on January 13, 2015, 07:55:15 PM
Feels good blocking all the trolls.

People really need to stop quoting and responding to them though. It doesn't help, even if it's "just for fun."



426. Post 10144287 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.47h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on January 13, 2015, 11:32:40 PM
Why aren't the mods banning all the trolls?? It's because of them that the price keeps crashing!

The word is 'heathens'. 

MAT 24:11 "And many false prophets, like Satoshi, Andreesen, Sielbert, Ver, and Antonopoulos, will appear and will deceive many people."


Jorge, you disappoint me. Don't you have a cushy university job? What's with the Schadenfreude?



427. Post 10147826 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Hello capitulation. It all happened so fast!



428. Post 10147902 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on January 14, 2015, 07:59:23 AM
We are going double digits boys. The panic on the streets once America wakes up will be the final straw.

Good luck with that one.



429. Post 10148877 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Finally, a bottom we can all agree on.



430. Post 10148944 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: fichtn12345 on January 14, 2015, 09:45:43 AM
Finally, a bottom we can all agree on.

 lol u sure?

The whales seem to have covered their shorts and are now marking up the price. We may see a lower volume retest of the lows, but don't count on it. Today's drop was a huge shakeout. Now that weak hands can't sell into rallies (enough to stop them that is), price goes up.



431. Post 10148984 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: findftp on January 14, 2015, 09:48:38 AM
Still, there might be some panic left.
Support is lacking.
I foresee a possibility towards 160.
I won't trade on it though. I'm already all in Grin

So when the fuck do I start trading on my own advice god dammit.
I'm still a scared motherfucker who listens to his emotions.
(still did not trade, but missed opportunity)

Support is building, I think the Chinese overloards will take us to the moon and try to get themselves some more bitcoins in the next round.

Experience will teach you. Also having the courage to take a position when the time is right. And that opportunity window may only last a few minutes.

edit: also never listen to advice in forums and trollboxes... you need to be an independent trader and learn to think like a predator rather than prey. Because that's how the big boys play Smiley



432. Post 10148992 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: Cassandra_PR on January 14, 2015, 09:53:10 AM
Finally, a bottom we can all agree on.

 lol u sure?

The whales seem to have covered their shorts and are now marking up the price. ...

Now close your eyes and tap your heels together three times. And think to yourself, 'There's no place like home., etc., etc.

You know, if you didn't spend all of your time trolling you could make some money here.



433. Post 10149035 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: Silverspoon on January 14, 2015, 09:57:32 AM
...Also having the courage to take a position when the time is right. And that opportunity window may only be a few minutes.

Bro, you've been "all in" since the top of the bubble & never sold AFAIK.  Where do you get this "when the time is right" crap when you've been so consistently & hilariously wrong for over a year? Cheesy

Right, like I advertise all my trades. My buy in price is sub $80 "bro"



434. Post 10149441 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: Silverspoon on January 14, 2015, 10:07:21 AM
...Also having the courage to take a position when the time is right. And that opportunity window may only be a few minutes.

Bro, you've been "all in" since the top of the bubble & never sold AFAIK.  Where do you get this "when the time is right" crap when you've been so consistently & hilariously wrong for over a year? Cheesy

For just over a year.

Welcome to the forum, newfriend.
You're clearly young, so let me give you a helping hand:  A trader who has been consistently wrong for over a year is a useless trader.
Never take advice from a trader who has been wrong for over a year.  Listen to psychics, to your cat if you must, but ignore the idiot who has been wrong for over a year.
If you have any more questions, just go ahead and ask Smiley

Yes, and the troll with no conviction except one to criticize others is certainly someone you should listen to.



435. Post 10149483 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on January 14, 2015, 10:46:11 AM
noobs:
...
6) have fun being out of the control of the facist bankster cartels

Stay wild, free & tasty, human.



  ~Your Beneficent Reptilian Overlords

Stay cowardly, ineffective and unimportant, troll.



436. Post 10149543 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on January 14, 2015, 10:49:31 AM
...Also having the courage to take a position when the time is right. And that opportunity window may only be a few minutes.

Bro, you've been "all in" since the top of the bubble & never sold AFAIK.  Where do you get this "when the time is right" crap when you've been so consistently & hilariously wrong for over a year? Cheesy

For just over a year.

Welcome to the forum, newfriend.
You're clearly young, so let me give you a helping hand:  A trader who has been consistently wrong for over a year is a useless trader.
Never take advice from a trader who has been wrong for over a year.  Listen to psychics, to your cat if you must, but ignore the idiot who has been wrong for over a year.
If you have any more questions, just go ahead and ask Smiley

Yes, and the troll with no conviction except one to criticize others is certainly someone you should listen to.

Correct.  Nothing dumber than listening to a butthurt idiot talking his book & failing.

Nothing worse than watching someone with talent waste it. It's time to take responsibility for your life, lambchop, whoever you are.



437. Post 10152749 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: shirkan on January 14, 2015, 03:59:16 PM
probably has something to do with the North American Bitcoin Conference launching this Friday, 16th January! http://btcmiami.com/

buckle up everybody Smiley


Could be, Winklevii are keynote speakers.



438. Post 10153073 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: Patel on January 14, 2015, 04:26:36 PM
probably has something to do with the North American Bitcoin Conference launching this Friday, 16th January! http://btcmiami.com/

buckle up everybody Smiley


Could be, Winklevii are keynote speakers.

They aren't speakers

Derp, thought he linked to the ETF conference in Florida this month. The twins are speaking there.

http://www.etf.com/inside-etfs-conference/index.html



439. Post 10155079 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: arklan on January 14, 2015, 07:09:03 PM
first chart check of the day for me just now. what in the ever living fuck happened!?

i mean, jesus. it's not quite half what the previous ath was (266 i mean. half being 133, obviously) but jesus. this is crazy. did i miss some epic fail news? big hack or something? i know bitstamp got hit for 19k btc, but this seems like more then that since it's spread across exchanges.

Big, panicky selling climax last night.



440. Post 10164772 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.49h):

My vote is for bear trap.



441. Post 10165608 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.49h):

Bears feeling the heat.



442. Post 10165630 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.49h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on January 15, 2015, 04:27:35 PM
Bears feeling the heat.

That's hot bovine blood soaking into our fur as we feast, bassclef Smiley

Is someone taking? Thought I heard something. Oh well.



443. Post 10168278 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.49h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on January 15, 2015, 09:10:56 PM
The only reason we're going under $200 again is because the FPRs haven't attracted a new bear whale yet. as soon as we see a giant ask wall low enough, it's gonna get eaten like fried chicken at Sunday potluck.

This is why I'm only 2.5% margin long right now. Have to keep my powder dry to hunt bear whales.

so who's the sucker gonna be?

I feel like your FPR is simply an explanation for trading ranges, originally outlined by Richard Wyckoff and used by VSA traders. This is how they play out:

1. Selling/buying climax
2. Secondary test(s) of highs/lows
3. Consolidation (up or down)
4. Sign of strength or weakness (a break upward/downward as a clue to the next move)
5. Shakeouts to test for supply/demand
6. Jump across the creek/break through the ice (a backup or spring, to gather strength to penetrate the top or bottom of the range)
7. Markup/markdown



444. Post 10180283 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):

Quote from: fichtn12345 on January 16, 2015, 08:34:18 PM
What's the most bullish thing imaginable? I would like some brainstorming please.

miami leaks show that the manbearwhale is the winkle etf and is indeed accumulating big time for all the secret investors. the bulls manage to push the price back in the high 200$ area which will create the biggest trendreversal hammer known to mankind. manbearwhale soon aka willi2.0 has finally accumulated enough and is now pumping with his remaining profits causing a lot of panic buying,  an epic short squeeze and 2000 more pages of rocket and train pix n stuff. Kiss

Miami leaks? Do tell.



445. Post 10182252 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):

Quote from: outahere on January 17, 2015, 02:09:53 AM
Dogecoin Breakout imminent...

1D and 3D crossovers happening and the 1 Week is about to crossover for the first time in over a year  Shocked
It's a puppy trap!

HA!!



446. Post 10189021 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):

Quote from: oblox on January 17, 2015, 07:12:12 PM


?

At least on the basis of equity markets, descending triangle patterns break to the downside 64% of the time but that doesn't mean it can't break to the upside. Looks more like a wedge though from the swing lows.

Whatever it is, you need to take into account the market background and not simply draw lines around arbitrary support/resistance points and look for pattern matches at investopedia. That is not good TA. The background is that we had a reversal with record volume. That means a lot more than triangles, and is potentially very bullish. Super risky to short this.



447. Post 10189217 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):

Quote from: Afrikoin on January 17, 2015, 08:12:16 PM
Everything about this screams indecision! Whichever way we break, it'll be massive.



Not necessarily. I'm half expecting a revisit to $160-$170 if things get bearish. But it will be on lower volume and act as a way to clear out the few remaining bears and weak hands--however the initial crash did a pretty good job with that--and will act as a spring upwards. Since the weak hands won't be there to dump into a rally, it will be stronger and more sustained. This is why large reversals follow large crashes, and vice versa.



448. Post 10192156 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):

Quote from: samsonn25 on January 18, 2015, 03:32:45 AM
Most credit cards and banks cover for unauthorized losses, which BTC does not have this insurance.

But they pass this cost of fraud onto the consumer, effectively raising the price of everything you buy. BTC insurance could become a fairly large industry.



449. Post 10194410 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):

Not a whole lot of selling going on, seems like this one might take.



450. Post 10196905 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on January 18, 2015, 03:55:30 PM
http://www.coindesk.com/changetip-now-allows-facebook-friends-tip-bitcoin/
Wow  Shocked

Awesome news!!



451. Post 10201183 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Good news has no effect in a bear market, but very positive effects in a bull market.



452. Post 10209194 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: noma on January 19, 2015, 08:10:13 PM
Support really looks good for the past 2-3 days. If not increase, I would hope to see it stable in the next few days.
I won't be too sure based on just 2-3 days work. Any Bear can dump the hell out of support any time they want to.
I hardly see buying support that strong.

Not any bear. These are people trading large amounts of money. It's expensive to do so. And if he's the only one dumping, he'll lose money.



453. Post 10209282 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: inca on January 19, 2015, 08:15:22 PM
Support really looks good for the past 2-3 days. If not increase, I would hope to see it stable in the next few days.
I won't be too sure based on just 2-3 days work. Any Bear can dump the hell out of support any time they want to.
I hardly see buying support that strong.

But it's expensive to do so. And if he's the only one dumping, he'll lose money.

And there are still 22,000 coins held short that need to be bought back on finex. Look at the orderbook and see how far up the price that takes you. (And yes it isn't quite that simple but..)

I agree. The order books look bullish atm. Even though I don't generally base my trading on them as they can quickly change, I do put a lot of weight in effort versus result when looking at volume.



454. Post 10209559 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: ParabellumLite on January 19, 2015, 08:49:13 PM
Any (quality) TA here would be appreciated. I'm curious whether some people are thinking the same as me regarding market movement tomorrow. Throw in those random drawn lines!

Just look at the size of the wick shooting down on the 3d candle. Look at all that stopping volume. All the TA I need.



455. Post 10210061 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

A bit of light chooing going on Smiley



456. Post 10210109 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Here comes the push through resistance. Big buys.



457. Post 10210192 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on January 19, 2015, 09:54:09 PM
lol @pathetic dumps. bears exhausted?

I think i've read exactly the same sentence about 130 times over the last 12 months.

Kind of like your posting history.



458. Post 10210413 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on January 19, 2015, 10:24:42 PM
Why do loads of you guys want the price to stay low?
I'll never understand it.

To talk their books.

Volume was greater than last failed breakout. Not a ton of selling... Let's see of we try again.



459. Post 10210439 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: ParabellumLite on January 19, 2015, 10:27:52 PM
Why do loads of you guys want the price to stay low?
I'll never understand it.

To talk their books.

Volume was greater than last failed breakout. Not a ton of selling... Let's see of we try again.

Just for the record: I'm not into Bitcoin at the moment and highly likely (as in 99,5%) will never get back into it. I'm simply bearish and trying to predict the market drawing on my own amateur knowledge. 'Talking your book' never works if you ask me: I don't believe that the posts of a few people on these boards can really influence the price, save maybe situations of great drops/rises in price.

Got it. You have to wonder why there are so many trolls though. Plenty of gullible scam fodder to go around. Look how many still fell for GAW. I think it must make a difference with so many amateur traders.



460. Post 10217701 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

NYSE invests in Coinbase

http://otp.investis.com/clients/us/intercontinental_exchange_group/usn/usnews-story.aspx?cid=953&newsid=28438



461. Post 10217888 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: Elwar on January 20, 2015, 03:34:38 PM
Why is the price going up in reaction to good news?

Is the topsy turvy world being flipped right side up?

Cat's out of the bag. Time to get long.



462. Post 10218327 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: Richy_T on January 20, 2015, 03:55:51 PM
Conflict of interest happens even on traditional platforms.

However a decentralized exchange would solve this age old issue.


Yep, there are many complaints of users of Forex exchanges having to compete with the exchange's own currency desk.

Of course, the government can always pass laws. Then everyone thinks they're protected and it still happens anyway.

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/031714/how-forex-fix-may-be-rigged.asp

Think about floor brokers. They have way more information than the average trader and most likely trade their own accounts. They are taking and placing the large orders (making a market) so they know where all the stops are and when/where the big money is coming in. They can quickly trade the futures market to offset risk. This type of "insider" trading is not exactly new.



463. Post 10229287 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: dakota neat on January 21, 2015, 03:59:03 PM
No that we know Bitfinex is doing insider trading this article goes well along.

http://www.nasdaq.com/article/recent-big-bitcoin-drop-looks-like-a-squeeze-that-could-be-a-huge-problem-cm434773

News flash, every market is insider traded. What do you think the marker makers on the floor of trading pits do? They can see the big orders coming in (they must make a market with these), and they see where all the stops are.



464. Post 10230514 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Bearwhale being knocked down @ Finex  Cool



465. Post 10230643 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on January 21, 2015, 06:05:43 PM
Bearwhale being knocked down @ Finex  Cool

Unless the price moves up it's all smoke and mirrors.

We've been nibbling away those walls since last night. Eventually they will get moved up.



466. Post 10230839 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on January 21, 2015, 06:19:50 PM
Bearwhale being knocked down @ Finex  Cool

Unless the price moves up it's all smoke and mirrors.

We've been nibbling away those walls since last night. Eventually they will get moved up.

Nibbling is for pussies. And this is the internet, so pussies will get shat on.

Nibbling is the only way so that whales don't drop a shitload of coins into the rise... It might even be a dump bot that detects large orders/volume at certain price levels, hence the need for stealth.



467. Post 10231229 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on January 21, 2015, 07:20:48 PM
Bearwhale being knocked down @ Finex  Cool

Unless the price moves up it's all smoke and mirrors.

We've been nibbling away those walls since last night. Eventually they will get moved up.

Nibbling is for pussies. And this is the internet, so pussies will get shat on.

Nibbling is the only way so that whales don't drop a shitload of coins into the rise... It might even be a dump bot that detects large orders/volume at certain price levels, hence the need for stealth.

Best of luck to you. I hope it works.

Hehe, I'm not actually doing the nibbling (but I did sub $200). Support is building strong. I'm pretty bullish atm.



468. Post 10231770 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Nailed it.



469. Post 10231842 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: kl8847 on January 21, 2015, 08:22:54 PM
moon?
How?

Demand overtaking supply. Newsflash, all those buyers sub $200 are holding longer term. Especially after today.



470. Post 10231906 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: GaliX on January 21, 2015, 08:30:02 PM
looks like this pump is about to fail. There are almost no buys after the initial break through... People are using this to go short actually.

Let's see when we will test 200 again.

Standard bear trap.



471. Post 10232155 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on January 21, 2015, 08:56:42 PM
Going to break 230$ in next hours? Support is growing fast. +5k btc to 210$ on finex now.  Grin

Yep, looks like the bottom is in.



472. Post 10250975 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: Blazin604 on January 25, 2015, 03:22:22 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=408268.new#new 

This seems like a super good buy right now....wont be for much longer. They already have IOS wallets and Android wallets done lookin real fresh...

Did you just come to the bitcoin price tracking thread to push an altcoin. Wrong place, wrong time Wink

Im not pushing anything just asking what you guys think ?

I think you should be careful with shitcoins. Pump & dump only. They are a great way to lose bitcoins, which is what 98% of them are actually designed to do.



473. Post 10262031 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

 Cool
Quote from: damiano on January 26, 2015, 03:39:31 AM
I'm so shocked, I've never pulled a profit on leverage like this before

Yeah I'm tempted to take some profit here. Not bad going for just over 24 hours work.



Nice

I'm up a shitload

Went in at 230 20x leverage  out at 254 back in at 246 still holding controlling about 800 contracts.

There is another guy here who got in sub 200 with 3k contracts 20:1.  He must be in heaven.

Got in sub 200 on 3.3x margin on Finex, but with a lot of coinage. It's going to be a good month  Cool



474. Post 10262323 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

Closed my long. Opened small short. Expecting a correction, but not a lot.



475. Post 10266626 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

You don't get a run up like this without a correction folks. Markets do not move up/down forever.



476. Post 10269519 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on January 26, 2015, 06:04:51 PM
This week will be fruitful to all bitcoin traders.

We will pull back a bit to $266 (a major support level seen before) to digest the sharp growth yesterday. And then we will stand firmly above $300 in the mid-week. We will finally touch $350 by the end of the week.

The waves we saw so far are impulsive than corrective. If you do wave counting, you will see it is far away from the ending phase. So buy on the dip and ride the winner.

BTW, don't touch litecoin, coz it is dying and it is just taking a free ride from bitcoin. Bitcoin is at the edge of mainstream acceptance, and it will enjoy this huge first comer advantage and wipe out the alt coins.

Told you that $266 is a major support. Entry point around $266 will be very nice for breakout believers.

There's less that 2K worth of bids down to $266. You're dreaming if you think it will hold. The only buyers right now are people taking profits on their shorts. Those traders won't get back in until there is upward momentum.

Agreed. Multi day correction incoming.



477. Post 10275216 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

Ignore ignore ignore the sockpuppets. You will thank me in the long run.



478. Post 10281249 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

Quote from: inca on January 27, 2015, 07:36:10 PM
The recent "flash-bubble" created by the Coinbase announcement shows that the "West" can lift the price by at least +50 dollars (~250 to ~300) with suitable rumors.

I am assuming that the Chinese did not pay attention to the rumor, as they have not paid attention to other similar news in the past.  I am also assuming that the gentler upward trend that started around 2015-01-15 comes from China,  not from the "West"

I still don't know what caused the mini-bubble that started on 2014-05-20.  If it was created in the West, too, then it would imply that the "West" can pump the price by +200 $/BTC (modulo the possibility that the increment may depend on the starting price level).  

You are aware that a single 3.5 million dollar market order on bitfinex takes the price up to 470 dollars. If big money wants the price to rise, it rises, or falls or whatever they want, and for tiny amounts of cash in wall street terms. There is a limit to what can be shorted (available btc for lending) on Western exchanges, but a single motivated individual (say Tim Draper) could at any moment drive up the price and keep it there.

Imagine if the price was pumped to 400 by a big buy and then a 50 million dollar bid support wall appeared on coinbase.


Whales would never do this as it would benefit us and not them. What they do is scare the price around, stop hunt, pull in the unskilled traders' money and use the increased volatility/liquidity to take positions. The fake pump to $272 earlier with those upthrust/distribution candles on unusually high volume is a good example. (Thar she blows!) That tells me we are going down before going up.



479. Post 10281321 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

Quote from: damiano on January 27, 2015, 07:54:39 PM
The recent "flash-bubble" created by the Coinbase announcement shows that the "West" can lift the price by at least +50 dollars (~250 to ~300) with suitable rumors.

I am assuming that the Chinese did not pay attention to the rumor, as they have not paid attention to other similar news in the past.  I am also assuming that the gentler upward trend that started around 2015-01-15 comes from China,  not from the "West"

I still don't know what caused the mini-bubble that started on 2014-05-20.  If it was created in the West, too, then it would imply that the "West" can pump the price by +200 $/BTC (modulo the possibility that the increment may depend on the starting price level).   

You are aware that a single 3.5 million dollar market order on bitfinex takes the price up to 470 dollars. If big money wants the price to rise, it rises, or falls or whatever they want, and for tiny amounts of cash in wall street terms. There is a limit to what can be shorted (available btc for lending) on Western exchanges, but a single motivated individual (say Tim Draper) could at any moment drive up the price and keep it there.

Imagine if the price was pumped to 400 by a big buy and then a 50 million dollar bid support wall appeared on coinbase.


Whales would never do this as it would benefit us and not them. What they do is scare the price around, stop hunt, pull in the unskilled traders' money and use the increased volatility to take positions. The fake pump to $272 earlier with those upthrust/distribution candles on unusually high volume is a good example. (Thar she blows!) That tells me we are going down before going up.

How low do you think we're headed?

$225 if things get panicky. I'll have my short from $300 ready to cover below $250.



480. Post 10291493 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Whee, glad I kept my short open from $300.



481. Post 10292408 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Both Okcoin and Huobi have suspiciously fake volume. I mean look at the tape, there's like one legit transaction in a sea of .025 transactions that buy and sell back to themselves.



482. Post 10292450 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: aztecminer on January 28, 2015, 08:14:50 PM



in full boom the 'chinese panic' .

You guys are hilarious. I hope you trolls are trading and not just some whale's puppet, because it'd be way more lucrative.



483. Post 10292497 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: macsga on January 28, 2015, 08:21:09 PM

You guys are hilarious. I hope you trolls are trading and not just some whale's puppet, because it'd be way more lucrative.

They're puppet(s).  Undecided

I've nearly doubled my stash in the past few days by doing the complete opposite to what those idiots say, so keep on trollin' I guess.



484. Post 10292521 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: macsga on January 28, 2015, 08:24:02 PM
I've nearly doubled my stash in the past few days by doing the complete opposite to what those idiots say, so keep on trollin' I guess.

This seems to work nicely for those who are willing to trade. I just have an enormous "ignore list" here.  Grin

Oh yeah, they're a great contrary indicator Wink My ignore list is in the hundreds, at least. When I see pages of "This user is currently ignored" I know that something's afoot Smiley



485. Post 10292590 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: TakeTheSkyRoad on January 28, 2015, 08:27:01 PM
To everyone posting short terms charts try checking the longer term view.

The trend over the last two weeks has been the strongest trend for 3 months.



The biggest question here is will the trend continue with today being a "blip" ?
All trends have them and for this to be a blip the $$ trading would need at close the day at roughly $260+

If this is a trend break out then things could get interesting of course Smiley

If we do break downward it will be on lighter volume and probably won't be very long lived. We are already at $225 on btc-e which is the 61.8% fib level. I'm looking to get out of my short now and lock in the profits.



486. Post 10292971 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: blade87 on January 28, 2015, 09:11:42 PM
is this Huobi's real volume or something?

Yup! LOLOL



487. Post 10293612 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Careful guys. Bear trap. Look@ volume.



488. Post 10301894 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: Sitarow on January 29, 2015, 05:11:09 PM
The manipulators want it to go down and not up Not yet.

They still need ti dump ltc for btc. Target price may be 2.2 ltc/usd and 0.88ltc/btc.

However if you think you will liquidate ltc to btc faster without taking a hit against there bots then you will not be happy.


Please provide proof of this if you're going to speculate every page.



489. Post 10302058 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: Sitarow on January 29, 2015, 06:11:31 PM

You should read over my posts more.


I have, but unless you have insider info about this it's nothing more than making up a story without facts to back it up.

The reason I ask is that I know a bunch of guys who are bullish ltc/btc. It's not part of a conspiracy to pump the price, it's simply that 4 critical SMAs are about to cross, similar to before last November's bull market. Nothing more.



490. Post 10302637 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: Arpeggio on January 29, 2015, 07:07:05 PM
200 by Sunday morning EST.

Over 10k coins to 216. Good luck with that.

Bids are filling in fast.



491. Post 10302669 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: relm9 on January 29, 2015, 07:23:21 PM
Too many people want sub $200 coins, it's not gonna happen.

Reminds me of bulls calling for $10k last year, only the opposite.



492. Post 10304703 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: kodtycoon on January 29, 2015, 11:09:15 PM
Chinese should be waking up now.  Wonder what they plan to do
Seems like they're going to dump. Wonder how long before the finex buy walls disappear.

If those disappear, it will be immediatly as those buy walls are fake as has been seen my multiple people in this thread today. We are nearing 8 AM China Time, so if there's gonna be a move it will be there in the next 60 to 90 minutes. I already see some careful movement downwards, just the way the other dumps started before the 8 AM mark.

am i the only one feeling bullish?

No. The downward movements on low volume are just stop hunting. Had the same fakeouts (only in reverse) last time we consolidated out. It's how whales take position.



493. Post 10306855 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: greenlion on January 30, 2015, 05:39:35 AM
Its hilarious how quiet this thread goes when the price is rising compared to when it falls $10. Just trolls left = confirmed.

10,000 pages ago there actually were interesting posts where people were really analyzing TA and tossing ideas around. Now the best we have is TL;DR walls of text from concern trolls. Lately they've been coming for /r/bitcoinmarkets too.

It's pretty bad. I'm not going to post any TA unless newbie jail is brought back. This is the most popular thread on the forum and quality posts get shit on day in and day out from these shills with nothing to contribute.



494. Post 10307175 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: findftp on January 30, 2015, 07:12:27 AM
Its hilarious how quiet this thread goes when the price is rising compared to when it falls $10. Just trolls left = confirmed.

10,000 pages ago there actually were interesting posts where people were really analyzing TA and tossing ideas around. Now the best we have is TL;DR walls of text from concern trolls. Lately they've been coming for /r/bitcoinmarkets too.

It's pretty bad. I'm not going to post any TA unless newbie jail is brought back. This is the most popular thread on the forum and quality posts get shit on day in and day out from these shills with nothing to contribute.

I don't think the newbie jail will change much. These are economically motivated posters who are being allowed to deliberately deface the forum and discredit bitcoin in any way possible. They state openly they want to destroy bitcoin and then proceed to do everything in their (limited) power to bring that about. Posters that have previously been banned from the forum (Atlas and Goat spring to mind) were orders of magnitude less offensive (I found both quite entertaining and interesting tbh).

These guys are just cretins who have zero to contribute, their 'criticisms' are the usual baseless lies, FUD and misinformation that have been thoroughly refuted here over 4 years ago, yet all they do is repeat the same ad nauseum (a tool of propaganda). I've seen exactly the same modus operandi on other investing sites, which apparently bitcointalk has become in parts, and they will destroy this forum if they are allowed to run amok as they have been so far. They should have been banned long ago ... theymos and mods need to grow a backbone and realise what is happening, and soon.

In the end, censorship by the government is always the solution.
I knew it.

It's not a government it's private forum and the owners can do as they please.



495. Post 10310572 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on January 30, 2015, 03:05:44 PM


On btc-e 1200LTC/BTC trade was made the BTC was then sold at market rate and the usd was shorly used to bbuy 1200 ltc and keep the ltc/usd value the same.



I've got one major problem with this theory ... 1200 LTC is like 10BTC ... 'dumping' 10 BTC would have no impact on price whatsoever so your graphs make no sense to me.

Correlation /= causation

Making up stories to fit what you think is happening with the price is easy, this is a trading pitfall IMO, just like the new "traders" on reddit who are convinced this thing will go to zero because of "mining inflation"....

1200ltc buy could have been me Smiley I'm anticipating rising prices so I've been grabbing a few.



496. Post 10312116 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on January 30, 2015, 05:52:00 PM
Finex really wants to test $220.

Yeah it's interesting to watch the whales there play. There are some very skilled ones too that use professional tactics for accumulation/distribution... One more drop should pull out the rest of the retail shorts. Sad to see so many traders getting fleeced. Thanks for the coins though.



497. Post 10312129 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: yefi on January 30, 2015, 06:01:06 PM
Look at darkcoin, the savior for gpu miners, secretive....or a huge pump and dump (that actually helped me alot), and is now what?Huh?? A skidmark on bitcoin along with every other alt coin.

Let's not forget Auroracoin. From a $600 million market cap to $35 thousand. That has to be one of the most epic pumps of all altcoins.  Tongue

Blackcoin was a pretty epic pump too.



498. Post 10312453 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: tomothy on January 30, 2015, 06:28:31 PM
Finex really wants to test $220.

Yeah it's interesting to watch the whales there play. There are some very skilled ones too that use professional tactics for accumulation/distribution... One more drop should pull out the rest of the retail shorts. Sad to see so many traders getting fleeced. Thanks for the coins though.

How would another drop take out the retail shorts. Wouldn't they keep them open until they close and take profit? Then open new longs?

It would trap them into thinking the market is going down, when in reality we're beginning to round out on lower volume (daily chart). If they panic short toward the bottom there is little to no chance to profitably close and open a long, instead they will be in the red and wish the market down on emotion, troll forums talking their book, etc. It also catches stops of longs who would take profits into any small rally. These shakeouts usually happen on lower volume toward the end of the trading range before a big move in either direction. Whales are a clever bunch and know that many retail investors (daytraders) are not well capitalized and easily spooked.

If whales are bullish and accumulating, they need to rid the market of as much floating supply as possible, since this is what would be dumped into any subsequent rally. Once a rally starts, they are highly defined by how much selling there is. No selling, the market trends higher. Whales help the process by taking big long positions. We saw this during the last big reaction from the selling climax to $166. Often it takes time for whales to accumulate so to not mark up the price against their buying, which is why we didn't blast off right away.

In each case, a strong downward move prepares the market for an equally strong upward move by removing supply from the market, and vice versa by introducing supply to the market. I would not be surprised to see a decent rally in the coming days.



499. Post 10321382 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: tarmi on January 31, 2015, 05:46:38 PM
it will fall like a rock.


Better wake up the sellers then.



500. Post 10322194 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

http://podcast.runtogold.com/2015/01/btck-128-2015-01-24/

Starting @ 7:00, this is Tony Gallippi of BitPay... The whole podcast is worth a listen, but this part stands out:

Quote from: Tony Gallippi
We manage a treasury of bitcoins, dollars, euros, Canadian [dollars], and pounds. Constantly we're managing our portfolio to make sure we have enough of each currency, so we are always in the markets trading... It's interesting today in the markets, I would say a year ago, or maybe a year and a half ago, the markets did not have enough liquidity. We couldn't have sold a million dollars worth of Bitcoin in a day without dramatically moving the markets. But things have changed. There's a lot more participants now. We can move a million dollars a day and you wouldn't even notice that we're trading just because there's a lot more volume and more buyers and sellers in the market.

We also have a lot of hedge funds that want to accumulate Bitcoin positions, so when we have these huge spikes we also have some off-market opportunities to sell those. You'd be surprised at how many Wall Street firms are starting to accumulate Bitcoin positions that aren't talking about Bitcoin yet. There's a lot going on behind the scenes, as well as some private family wealth funds and things like that.



501. Post 10322412 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Trolls are out in force... Better cut your loose guys Wink



502. Post 10322438 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: NotHatinJustTrollin on January 31, 2015, 08:00:26 PM
Tony Gallippi is just desperately trying to hype.
I wanna remind y'all that Barry Silbert said the same exact thing all throughout 2014. "I know that Wall Street is coming into bitcoin in a big way".

Guess naht lel

Hence the prolonged bear market and recent shakeouts. That is how Wall Street buys.



503. Post 10324655 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

LTC has hardly budged during this move, interesting. Seems to have found a comfortable bottom.



504. Post 10325352 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: DaRude on February 01, 2015, 03:37:42 AM
So someone borrows like BTC5k (BFX shorts) and market sells them moving the price by few dollars and that's suppose to be bearish?  Cheesy

My thoughts too... Seems like a shakeout.



505. Post 10325715 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: damiano on February 01, 2015, 05:40:11 AM
How low can this possibly go?  I'm thinking 160ish

TA fodder:

Daily chart on this downmove is on declining volume... that's a sign of market strength. I got out of my short around $230.

I've observed that in Bitcoin, secondary tests of lows after selling climaxes (on larger timescales) generally don't play out all the way to the previous low, which would be $160. We might see $200. We bounced off $160 on such high volume that it's going to be one hell of a support level to break back through (expensive for whales, they can't dump forever unless they get the sheep to follow). The lower we go the stronger the reaction rally will be as more supply from weak hands will be siphoned out.

Another reason for the lull is that in the US, everyone is partying for the Super Bowl. I know I'll be away from the charts drinking beer and eating nachos.



506. Post 10325751 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: Bozuatle on February 01, 2015, 06:01:53 AM
How low can this possibly go?  I'm thinking 160ish
Daily chart on this downmove is on declining volume... that's a sign of market strength. I got out of my short around $230.
I've observed that in Bitcoin, secondary tests of lows after selling climaxes (on larger timescales) generally don't play out all the way to the previous low, which would be $160. We might see $200. We bounced off $160 on such high volume that it's going to be one hell of a support level to break back through (expensive for whales, they can't dump forever unless they get the sheep to follow). The lower we go the stronger the reaction rally will be as more supply from weak hands will be siphoned out.
Another reason for the lull is that in the US, everyone is partying for the Super Bowl. I know I'll be away from the charts drinking beer and eating nachos.

Shall we call it "The great nacho lull of 2015?"

Ha! More like "The Great Drunken Panic Buy of 2015"



507. Post 10328578 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Super Bowl price markup begins. Can't have the noobs buying cheap coins.



508. Post 10328872 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: kodtycoon on February 01, 2015, 08:01:10 PM

oh damn... Shocked is that real? how good is 7 sponsors in terms of getting a bill passed? US gov bullish on bitcoin much?

New Hampshire is the most Libertarian state in the Union and their government is a reflection of the people in this regard. The state motto is Live Free or Die. Wouldn't surprise me one bit if they were the first state to adopt Bitcoin in a real, legal fashion.



509. Post 10330078 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

The pumps/dumps are simply the big boys trading. Their volume moves the market, not the guys with 5btc. They know that in order to be bullish, they need to remove supply from the market first (thus the recent shakeout) so there's less selling into a rally. The good traders see this and can read supply & demand on the charts.



510. Post 10330205 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: tarmi on February 01, 2015, 10:29:15 PM
remove supply from the market? miners included?  Roll Eyes

bulls, you better hurry up and buy all the coins till 250 $, now is your best shot, because sooner or later someone will dump into your face, and bid side is not looking actually good.


Miner volume is a drop in the bucket compared to how much volume whales move. And yes, they likely absorb this selling in the face of a rally. They have to to achieve the next major resistance (supply) point before going short. Look at a daily chart and you'll see where those areas will likely occur. It is not rocket science. All you have to do is join them.



511. Post 10340598 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: Sitarow on February 02, 2015, 11:30:21 PM
@Sitarow, where is the ltc dump for btc?

I Guess your not paying attention.


This happens because the value of btc goes up faster than ltc, so the ratio goes down. There are bots that peg to ltc/usd to keep the ratio correct.



512. Post 10340625 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: dreamspark on February 02, 2015, 11:37:08 PM
i'm convinced.
going all in.

I wouldn't go all in, its going to retrace but shorters gotta start questioning the trend.

Usually in uptrends you get minor pullbacks on low volume but it's usually just longs profit taking and scalpers. If there's no significant selling into the rally after that, up we go.



513. Post 10340991 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on February 03, 2015, 12:13:45 AM
Is it bears covering their shorts? New mystery pumpers? Who the hell is buying @ $240 who had almost a week to buy cheaper than that?

I think the pumpers are simply groups, whales, trading syndicates, deep-pocketed traders who can read the market with a modicum of competence (which is rare around here) acting in their own interests. Hard to believe that it's a conspiracy, but anything is possible I guess.

It's the market finding a bottom--we had a huge selloff to $160, reaction rally to $315, then another selloff to $220 that cleared out even more selling. For a group of bullish whales, if they want to mark the price up they need to clear out the selling first. There are many ways to do this, but market dumping thousands of coins is the easiest way and immediately tells them a story about where the market wants to go. Also "testing" the market every so often, usually before the end of a consolidation, which is why the market often "springs" below (or above) the trading range for a short time. Eventually there will be little to no available coinage at a given price level, hence no one to sell into their rallies.



514. Post 10345646 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: bad trader on February 03, 2015, 01:08:04 PM
This is about to drop. The only question is how much.

Wishing the price down again are we?



515. Post 10349338 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: tomothy on February 03, 2015, 07:58:31 PM
Id say we possibly already reach the bottom already at 160$

I want to believe that you are right with this but I could easily see certain events unfolding which push us back down to similar levels. I think there are still a few elephants hiding in the closet that need to be dealt with. I am concerned about the next block of coins getting sold by USM. I think this could bring us down a bit again depending on how the sales work out. Also strangely enough I think if the SR trial went in Ross's favor I think the price would drop. And last but not least are those pesky NY Bitlicense Regs. I think we will hang sideways here going up at $10 increments weekly as the whales dangle some kelp? Wishful thinking?

Oh those pesky concerns. Concern concern concern.



516. Post 10350025 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

BUY THE DIP

http://youtu.be/0akBdQa55b4



517. Post 10350167 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: Ezmoneyezlife on February 03, 2015, 09:52:54 PM

Yes, buy they dip they have been saying all the way down from 1200$. BTC hasnt touched bottom yet, deal with it.

You have to sell the correction einstein. Hoping for $60 coins again is just as delusional as dreaming of $10k coins at the top. Works both ways.



518. Post 10350257 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: damiano on February 03, 2015, 10:02:38 PM
I highly doubt we will go under 200

We bounced off sub $200 with such heavy volume that it will now serve as a huge resistance point. We will need similar volume to break below it, which I highly doubt we will get when looking at the relatively weak volume on the recent dips.

Keep wishing trolls and noobs. I highly doubt you'd be buying that low anyway as the news would be horrible, the buying window would be very small and you'd just get caught up in the panic.



519. Post 10350367 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: ParabellumLite on February 03, 2015, 10:04:25 PM

Yes, buy they dip they have been saying all the way down from 1200$. BTC hasnt touched bottom yet, deal with it.

You have to sell the correction einstein. Hoping for $60 coins again is just as delusional as dreaming of $10k coins at the top. Works both ways.

I really wouldn't dare to say that with such determination. Bitcoin has been therefore and it might fall back there again. I still believe that it will stabilize in the 50-100 dollar range, with my guess being closer to 50 than 100. This year will bring us further valueing of Bitcoin on the basis of its true use, which is extremely limited at this point. Also: the bear market is not reversing for the time being, so it's a safe bet that it will keep going down further.

Now, a guess of 2 bucks, that would be delusional, although I cannot exclude that it will happen in like 5 years.

Of course anything can happen, but you have to be realistic. We would need another exchange failing to fall below $200 IMO.

You registered earlier this year so I don't expect you to be able to remember how far we've come since 2013.



520. Post 10350418 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: razorramon on February 03, 2015, 10:31:34 PM
I highly doubt we will go under 200

We bounced off sub $200 with such heavy volume that it will now serve as a huge support point. We will need similar volume to break below it, which I highly doubt we will get when looking at the relatively weak volume on the recent dips.

Keep wishing trolls and noobs. I highly doubt you'd be buying that low anyway as the news would be horrible, the buying window would be very small and you'd just get caught up in the panic.

If anything I can see a retest at 209-211, but I don't think the Bears have enough ammo

my guess as well...but a 166 double bottom would also be great
if they want to attack margin longs significantly then they have to push into the lower 100s at least...margin shorts are pretty much at max...

Agree. Too costly to go sub $100 for whales and not enough bad news. They only pushed below $300 because of the Bitstamp news.



521. Post 10357360 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: Afrikoin on February 04, 2015, 04:32:02 PM


Buy volume is a lot higher on the second one.



522. Post 10358798 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: damiano on February 04, 2015, 07:17:10 PM
I don't think that wall is going to move

Why not?

It's a real wall that's going to have to be destroyed

I'm thinking something like this... these play out all the time on every timescale. So, no sub $200.




523. Post 10358906 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: LewiesMan on February 04, 2015, 07:33:23 PM
I don't think that wall is going to move

Why not?

It's a real wall that's going to have to be destroyed

I'm thinking something like this... these play out all the time on every timescale. So, no sub $200.



What phase are we at?

On a daily chart, Early on in B or entering C, too soon to tell. My gut says we are at "ST" which stands for secondary test, and happens on lower volume than the SC (selling climax). The ST doesn't always have to retest the very lows, it's simply a demand point. There is a revised version of this with rising bottoms too, so that is also a possibility and very bullish if it plays out.

This is an example of an accumulation range, where the lows (and highs) get constantly tested, weeding out available supply as sold to strong hands. The volume should expand as we approach the top of the range, and contract as we approach the bottom. Toward the end of the range volume will continue to peter out as the market endures a series of tests, and if they pass the price goes up fairly easily because there is literally nothing left to sell into rallies (which is what stops them in the first place). This indicates that the market makers are bullish, and so should you be Smiley

Support has held nicely with multiple tests of $220 on low volume, indicating there is not enough supply to push us down at this price level. The last range like this from Oct/Nov/Dec that I traded retested the lows a couple times before completely breaking down on Stamp hack news, so we'll likely need something like that to push us sub-$200.



524. Post 10359095 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Just flew through the regs, they look pretty good. They softened up on the foreign transactions, now it's "due diligence" by the licensee. AML seems to be improved too, requiring the licensee to do it themselves. Not 100% about that one.



525. Post 10360101 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: damiano on February 04, 2015, 09:56:46 PM
Someone is taking all the btc swaps....

Let me guess, you're short.



526. Post 10360116 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on February 04, 2015, 09:48:17 PM
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102281056?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

This is the relevant story. Buying has been picking up since a few hours ago...



527. Post 10360139 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: damiano on February 04, 2015, 10:08:20 PM
Someone is taking all the btc swaps....

Let me guess, you're short.


Little long,  I'm on sidelines with 70% atm

Nice. Long here too. I trade on larger timeframes so small swings generally don't spook me.



528. Post 10360162 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on February 04, 2015, 10:11:54 PM

Imagen bitcoin ecosystem with few strong en transparent exchanges. Those fake chinese exchanges are history! Good times ahead  Grin

After Huobi went down recently they came back up without the wash volume bots for awhile. It was pretty pathetic.



529. Post 10367769 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Better sell all then mmitech... I don't even have to unignore you to know what you're going on about again.



530. Post 10367818 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Seems China still has some weak hands... They dump like 200 coins and Finex follows with 1500. I wonder how that's even remotely profitable unless they're just selling into their own buy walls. Maybe arbitraging somewhere, the futures market?



531. Post 10370332 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: Newbie1022 on February 05, 2015, 09:31:52 PM
We get you are short newbie..I wish there would be some follow-through selling for you Smiley

BTW..10,500 coins to 200. 7000 to 246! Rape!

Yes, I am short. But considering there was about 400 to 219 a couple minutes ago, there is now 2200 to 219, and Magic Beanswisdom is down for a few of the exchanges so people can't track the walls... well, those things make me think yes... people on here might want to know.

I see you are long!

I'm long too but I trade on daily candles. Anything below 6h/4h is noise to me. The way I see it we're moving into oversold territory on the oscillators on declining sell volume with narrower candle spreads... the current daily candle has a decent wick pointing downward, indicating that the market absorbed anything in that range... even the 3d candle is turning into a no supply candle, pretty pathetic for bears. I think the markets have simply ground to a halt. Last selloff was meh. Noob/bad trader/gambler shorts have increased to 20k thinking we'll retest $200 when in reality there is almost nobody left to sell. Perfect opportunity for a pump.



532. Post 10370444 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: damiano on February 05, 2015, 09:52:09 PM
We get you are short newbie..I wish there would be some follow-through selling for you Smiley

BTW..10,500 coins to 200. 7000 to 246! Rape!

Yes, I am short. But considering there was about 400 to 219 a couple minutes ago, there is now 2200 to 219, and Magic Beanswisdom is down for a few of the exchanges so people can't track the walls... well, those things make me think yes... people on here might want to know.

I see you are long!

I'm long too but I trade on daily candles. Anything below 6h/4h is noise to me. The way I see it we're moving into oversold territory on the oscillators on declining sell volume with narrower candle spreads... the current daily candle has a decent wick pointing downward, indicating that the market absorbed anything in that range... even the 3d candle is turning into a no supply candle, pretty pathetic for bears. I think the markets have simply ground to a halt. Last selloff was meh. Noob/bad trader/gambler shorts have increased to 20k thinking we'll retest $200 when in reality there is almost nobody left to sell. Perfect opportunity for a pump.

The dump this morning looks like a failure.  No panic sells, just the Bears who opened up the shorts.  Today would be a great day to squeeze. 

Might have to wait until tomorrow night--at these prices market makers love to mark the price up just before fiat deposits go though.



533. Post 10370486 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

Quote from: aztecminer on February 05, 2015, 09:53:51 PM
We get you are short newbie..I wish there would be some follow-through selling for you Smiley

BTW..10,500 coins to 200. 7000 to 246! Rape!

Yes, I am short. But considering there was about 400 to 219 a couple minutes ago, there is now 2200 to 219, and Magic Beanswisdom is down for a few of the exchanges so people can't track the walls... well, those things make me think yes... people on here might want to know.

I see you are long!

I'm long too but I trade on daily candles. Anything below 6h/4h is noise to me. The way I see it we're moving into oversold territory on the oscillators on declining sell volume with narrower candle spreads... the current daily candle has a decent wick pointing downward, indicating that the market absorbed anything in that range... even the 3d candle is turning into a no supply candle, pretty pathetic for bears. I think the markets have simply ground to a halt. Last selloff was meh. Noob/bad trader/gambler shorts have increased to 20k thinking we'll retest $200 when in reality there is almost nobody left to sell. Perfect opportunity for a pump.


don't worry when the chinese wake up they will see that big red 'chinese panic' flash dump and they will start the panic mode and huobi will shutdown and and all the chinese will start unloading their bags on the rumor that bitcoin is going to 170.

They're the ones who probably started it, and it was probably a couple hundred coin dump that got inflated by the bots (that seems to be their job if you watch them). When Finex doesn't have enough volume to move the price, they just follow China. There must be some arbitrage channel there because the orderbooks at Huobi, BTChina and OKcoin are lol compared to the volume.



534. Post 10382436 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

"Successful tape reading is a study of Force; it requires ability to judge which side has the greatest pulling power and one must have the courage to go with that side. There are critical points which occur in each swing, just as in the life of a business or individual. At these junctures it seems as though a feather’s weight on either side would determine the immediate trend. Anyone who can spot these points has much to win and little to lose."

Richard Wyckoff - Studies in Tape Reading



535. Post 10386200 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: testerman on February 07, 2015, 01:54:28 PM
preparation for dump is about to complete..

be patient.

Haha you guys are funny. The whales have been marching the price up for 24 hours, little by little. It's the same action we saw before the rally to $315.



536. Post 10387892 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: damiano on February 07, 2015, 05:34:17 PM
Shorts back down to 17,600 from 19,600.

Hopefully today fairs well

Interesting, I wouldn't expect that many margin calls from such a small price bump. I wonder if they simply closed out. 



537. Post 10398219 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on February 08, 2015, 07:37:01 PM

I think it is worthwhile to add this snippet. This criticism makes sense.

Quote
Everybody thought Bitcoin was gonna bring them freedom and liberty, but what it has brought them are three different kinds of entrapment. Let’s take these lessons, and make a Bitcoin that is useless to Wall Street, that doesn’t automatically create a cartel of miners, and that doesn’t leave a power vacuum for development which some Foundation will fill.

Read thru all the twaddle written by the GNU-people during the 80s and 90s and look at where GNU/Linux is now. The technology will carve its own path if there is any merit to it.

Yeah the guy is obviously jaded and slightly arrogant having worked for the NSA and other governmental bodies. And he has a disdain for Libertarians, which doesn't exactly come off as convincing and colors his argument as ignorant. And now he's on team Ethereum. Hmmmm...



538. Post 10399835 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Someone remind fonzie to take his meds.



539. Post 10407708 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: tomothy on February 09, 2015, 06:14:10 PM


Does this image have significance of a falling wedge which would be indicative of a possible trend reversal?
It was posted in the trading sim thread. Not mine. I just found it illuminating. I figure we could just continue longer at this stage but it still doesn't change the fact that a reversal seems to be suggested? Albeit possibly short lived due to the proliferation of shorts. Just wondering. Also wondering where those dark profits will go, i.e., back into BTC or LTC.

It's kind of a stretch. A triangle or whatever continuation pattern you'd choose to use would fit well in the area with the numbered waves, but not encompassing a buying climax on high volume. IMO if you're going to draw triangles and use them in analysis, they cannot be arbitrary. The must connect with multiple high volume areas and the price action should never "jump out of bounds" very much in order to be a valid pattern. Also the connection points should not be super far apart unless you're on a 3d or weekly chart. They are tools for you to understand and identify trading ranges and lower volume consolidation periods, not lines that simply tell you where to trade.

What many traders are missing now is the significance of the selling climax to $160, and the subsequent retest of that area. It is an enormous sign of strength for that many coins to have been transferred from weak hands to strong. I keep hearing "the downtrend is still intact!" Well, technically it is, but you'd better have a close look at that super high volume area that stopped the selling, or you're ignoring a big message the market is trying to tell you.



540. Post 10408497 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on February 09, 2015, 07:30:53 PM

What many traders are missing now is the significance of the selling climax to $160, and the subsequent retest of that area. It is an enormous sign of strength for that many coins to have been transferred from weak hands to strong. I keep hearing "the downtrend is still intact!" Well, technically it is, but you'd better have a close look at that super high volume area that stopped the selling, or you're ignoring a big message the market is trying to tell you.

I don't think most of those coins went from weak to strong hands. They went from bulls getting margin calls to people who will flip them for a quick profit. I think there is a short squeeze coming, but that doesn't mean that I think the bear market is over.

Could be. But the chart doesn't lie. Bulls may have been margin called but that would have contributed to the selloff as their long liquidation would sell into market. Someone stepped in to stop the selling, cover their shorts and scoop up those coins, or else the market would have gone lower. Somebody was willing to buy in hopes to sell at a higher price later. Simple logic there.

Also important and related (and slightly off topic)... a bulls market's success is defined by how much selling (supply) is introduced into it. Conversely bear markets are successful because there is not enough buying to stop the selling and bring supply/demand into equilibrium. Now if the "Four Punch Raiders" are ultimately bullish, it makes sense to remove as much selling as possible so to not impede their pumping. They need to corner the market, essentially owning most if not all of the floating supply. When you think about this, it is logical... remove enough supply from the market--price wants to go up. Increase enough supply--price goes down. If you were bullish and trading with huge sums, you'd be annoyed if dumpers dumped into your rally too Smiley Also you wouldn't accumulate a large position out in the open, you'd do it silently, spread out over time at market bottoms. Conversely at market tops, the big money distributes slowly over time (or quickly, I've seen both) to new buyers for huge profits. When this additional supply enters the market, it crashes and the game begins again. 3600 coins introduced by miners every day is not much compared with the bats some of these guys are swinging with. And who knows what % of those 3600 coins even make it to exchanges.

I think we agree on the direction the market is ultimately headed, but in my opinion, the "Four Punch Raiders" are simply good traders who can read price/volume action, and join the other good traders on big moves. Judging from some of the sizes of their orders, they are making an absolute killing. Can't say I can complain--I have joined them. My trading lot size is not small and has increased substantially over the last few months. But that's how professional traders aim to do things, they have to accumulate from weak hands and scare the public in to selling to them, then it's easy to mark the price up later on. It's pretty predatory, but such is life. I think so many traders lose money because they simply don't know what's happening behind the scenes and don't understand why the market goes up and down so much... but watching the volume can give you a pretty good indication when the deep pockets are involved. In Wall Street these are usually pit traders, market makers, specialists--guys close to the action with great insider connections. With Bitcoin it is likely early adopters who understand the trading game, guys close to exchanges, trading syndicates, and people involved in mining circles and news sites who get market-changing announcements and rumors before anyone else.



541. Post 10410414 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Hmm Old Crypto taking big positions at BTCe. Could be bullish.



542. Post 10410535 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: seleme on February 10, 2015, 12:17:38 AM
Hmm Old Crypto taking big positions at BTCe. Could be bullish.

PPC was pumped and dumped like some whore. 200% up in 2 hours then dump to starting point.

Doesn't mean the buyer(s) dumped it all. Looks like the buying ran into heavy sell orders by the looks of those candle wicks. Probably bagholders cashing out.

Just wonder why they would choose to resurrect those old school coins.



543. Post 10410663 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Is someone talking? Fozzie, is that you?

Your voice is indeed mellifluous.



544. Post 10412969 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: samsonn25 on February 10, 2015, 07:45:36 AM
Alot of people will get nervous if daily EMA goes under $200

Which EMA do you speak of. You can type in any number you want to get the candle data for the line slope.



545. Post 10418796 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

Quote from: smracer on February 10, 2015, 06:27:00 PM
LOL.  fake ask walls pulled right before they are reached.  How many more ask walls are fake?

Uh, yeah. Seems the brakes have been taken off the market a bit. 15min chart is a sight for sore eyes Smiley



546. Post 10420060 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):

The recent shakeouts took most of the floating supply from the market. This is a strong signal to get long while everyone else gets short. If we don't get significant selling, expect the market makers to take this one up for awhile.



547. Post 10430428 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

Quote from: podyx on February 11, 2015, 08:04:45 PM
Looks like we're finally going down

Just hunting stops below $220, move along.



548. Post 10430496 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

A fool and his obvious stop losses are soon parted.



549. Post 10430650 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

Quote from: Morecoin Freeman on February 11, 2015, 08:30:45 PM
Think we might go near $200 in like 48 hours.

Not with this weak volume.
I see some indications and patterns on the chart that tell me it should go somewhat low this time. I could be wrong though.

A lot of buy support around 210 and the volume is low at this time. So the dump might not go far.

Volume is the only indicator you need.



550. Post 10430691 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

Quote from: bad trader on February 11, 2015, 08:32:53 PM
There are no traders dumping at this price. Any coins sold come from miners or more likely Bitpay vendors.
I'm pretty sure this was a bear raid or price pumpers dumping. No reason for a legitimate seller to suddenly dump when there are apparent large buys going on (on Bitstamp).

Whale sells a small amount at market to incite panic/hit stops, lemmings sell into his walls = instant long position at lower average price than he would have gotten buying higher up, where he risks slippage and aggressive selling into his buying. At the same time it gives a false impression as to the direction of the market.



551. Post 10472525 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Shorting after obvious absorption volume. Seems like a good plan. /s



552. Post 10495819 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Clearly there are more than a few people on the wrong side of the market here.



553. Post 10495887 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: coinits on February 18, 2015, 12:46:47 AM
Clearly there are more than a few people on the wrong side of the market here.

To me it is not a market. It is an escape from fiat slavery. Go crypto and leave the Global Bankster Ponzi Fiat World behind.

I agree, but people try to trade to increase their holdings and allow themselves to be caught in bad trades. Look at the trading simulator thread, only a few out of 60 are actually profitable, everyone else is getting whipsawed and falling for the same old tricks.



554. Post 10496295 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Get your fiat cannons ready, gentlemen.




555. Post 10503018 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: bassclef on February 18, 2015, 02:01:53 AM
Get your fiat cannons ready, gentlemen.



Still relevant... we got a little shakeout into the middle of the trading range while I was sleeping. We might test lower but watch the volume. If it's not high, don't get spooked.

Shakeouts are low volume drops to "test" the market. If you're a whale, you hate weak hands that ruin your rallies. So you can dump a bunch of coins and the market immediately tells you a story. Any sellers left? If yes, another shakeout is in order. If no, safe to go up. As a bonus you get to catch stops below the market that lock traders into poor positions. This is good because they will panic buy later.

Of course it could be miners dumping but to get the best price you'd set limit orders. There is great slippage market selling that many coins and if you're a miner, there is no interest in pushing the price down with large market sells, the price is low enough as it is!



556. Post 10519849 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on February 20, 2015, 04:53:16 AM
jameson was involved in the first 132.79585631 purchase

no alcohol involved in the second purchase

go big or go home



Geez, the USD swap rate is getting up there. Slow your roll, Camo. That's a perfectly reasonable purchase, but we need to consolidate in this range for a while before the assault on $250. If we get much higher, take some profit and get back in 4 or 5 dollars lower.

Get one like that right and you'll be financially set for a few months. And with a strong margin you can essentially wait for the market to come to you and ignore the small moves and shakeouts. With a couple large crashes in the background going long and waiting it out is not a bad option. (Assess your risk first, as always, and don't be dumb about it... learn how to read the market... and don't risk the farm if you're only playing with a couple chips.)

Enjoying some Corbières wine, watching the price inch slowly upwards...



557. Post 10525630 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: tarmi on February 20, 2015, 05:54:00 PM
hi guys!

you are not able to break 250.  Cry


THE “JUMP” ACROSS THE CREEK” ANALOGY

The term “jump” was first used by Robert G. Evans, who piloted the Wyckoff Associates educational enterprise for numerous years after the death of Richard D. Wyckoff. One of his more captivating analogies was the “jump across the creek” (JAC) story he used to explain how a market would break out of a trading range. In the story, the market is symbolised by a Boy Scout, and the trading range by a meandering creek, with its “upper resistance line” defined by the rally peaks within the range. After probing the edge of the creek and discovering that the flow of supply was starting to dry up, the Boy Scout would retreat in order to get a running start to “jump across the creek.” The power of the movement by the Boy Scout would be measured by price spread and volume.

Defining the Jump

A jump is a relatively wider price-spread move made on comparatively higher volume that penetrates outer resistance or support. A backup is a test that immediately follows the jump – a relatively narrow price-spread reaction or rally on comparatively lighter volume that tests and confirms the legitimacy of the preceding jump action.



558. Post 10528069 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: tarmi on February 20, 2015, 07:19:37 PM
hi guys!

you are not able to break 250.  Cry


THE “JUMP” ACROSS THE CREEK” ANALOGY

The term “jump” was first used by Robert G. Evans, who piloted the Wyckoff Associates educational enterprise for numerous years after the death of Richard D. Wyckoff. One of his more captivating analogies was the “jump across the creek” (JAC) story he used to explain how a market would break out of a trading range. In the story, the market is symbolised by a Boy Scout, and the trading range by a meandering creek, with its “upper resistance line” defined by the rally peaks within the range. After probing the edge of the creek and discovering that the flow of supply was starting to dry up, the Boy Scout would retreat in order to get a running start to “jump across the creek.” The power of the movement by the Boy Scout would be measured by price spread and volume.

Defining the Jump

A jump is a relatively wider price-spread move made on comparatively higher volume that penetrates outer resistance or support. A backup is a test that immediately follows the jump – a relatively narrow price-spread reaction or rally on comparatively lighter volume that tests and confirms the legitimacy of the preceding jump action.


does this work backwards?   Undecided

jump - > dip

Absofruitly.

When it works backwards, the Boy Scout is instead testing support, which in a distribution trading range is indicated as "ice" instead of a "creek." The Scout tests and eventually falls through on heavier selling and is unable to break back above the ice, and the price drowns.

As we are probably not in a distribution trading range (strong buy support, little downward movement on shakeouts, plenty of floating supply removed from market following the Bter news) this does not apply.



559. Post 10528099 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: empowering on February 20, 2015, 09:59:17 PM
....and then what happens to the dead scout?

I think you missed the point.



560. Post 10528171 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):

Quote from: LewiesMan on February 20, 2015, 10:06:33 PM
seems to be holding, weirdly enough.

The only thing preventing higher prices is the amount of selling...

The only thing preventing lower prices is the amount of buying...



561. Post 10557520 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

I'd rather have off topic discussion than pages of low quality troll posts.



562. Post 10558409 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: octaft on February 23, 2015, 07:03:13 PM
Why should I have to tolerate ignorance? There's enough of it in this world, and it probably won't stop even if it's being fought, but it definitely won't stop if the people who try to avoid ignorant views simply roll over to it.

One person's ignorance is another's enlightenment. You're going to have a long road ahead of you if you engage everyone who, by your own judgement, has been deemed ignorant. You will rarely change someone's mind with words anyway... actions are much more effective.



563. Post 10558890 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: octaft on February 23, 2015, 08:01:41 PM
One person's ignorance is another's enlightenment. You're going to have a long road ahead of you if you engage everyone who, by your own judgement, has been deemed ignorant. You will rarely change someone's mind with words anyway... actions are much more effective.

Nah, ignorance is pretty much just ignorance. Anyway, it's less about convincing that person and more about convincing others who might think the bullshit that person is slinging around sounds reasonable.

As for actions, does "flaming them to rubble" count?

BillyJoe is from the deep South. Have you been? Bigotry is cultural there. On the other hand, so is kindness, so he'd probably give you the coat off his back and full access to his amazing liquor stash even though you've been berating him for pages and pages Wink



564. Post 10572005 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

We get the trolls we deserve.

DON'T QUOTE THEM



565. Post 10572226 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: DaRude on February 24, 2015, 11:54:10 PM
Leveraged longs are going full retard on finex  Angry think it's a full cycle, shorts going up they turn more bulish and leverage more, shorts see longs going up and short more ...

What makes you think being long is a poor choice? With a couple of big crashes in the background, who is left to sell?

Less selling = less supply to stop rallies = rallies gain steam = bull market
Less buying = less demand to stop crashes = crashes gain steam = bear market

When 10k coin market sells doesn't do much to the price, it's time to rethink being a bear.



566. Post 10572248 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Is someone talking?



567. Post 10582884 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: Bassica on February 25, 2015, 09:40:05 PM


I want this.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Adw772km7PQ



568. Post 10591709 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: Maximum_Overderp! on February 26, 2015, 06:04:26 PM
The buyers at the auction will probably hold on to the coins for awhile

They are a lot more likely to hold than exchange users IMO.  The fears of them dumping on exchanges are pretty silly really.

My thoughts too. It creates a scenario where businesses who normally would not risk wiring money to an unlicensed exchange can buy large amounts from a trusted source. The bidders will be professional investors, not kiddies who trade their 2btc back and forth and troll Internet forums talking their books.



569. Post 10593689 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

Quote from: Hfertig on February 26, 2015, 09:27:13 PM
Price seems to be going down a bit now. But I don't think this is going to end in another flash crash. And even if we should go down as much as last night, it will only show the resilience Bitcoin has managed to gain over the past weeks!

to me it looks like a slow grind down.

We've been consolidating with higher highs since Feb 30. Hardly a grind down.



570. Post 10596351 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):

We're looking at a move to $300. The effort vs. result in volume is not surprising... selling has been cleaned out during the previous consolidation and the market is ready to move up.



571. Post 10604187 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: Richy_T on February 27, 2015, 08:36:32 PM
Ps: i recently moved my blockchain files from my 128GB SSD to an HDD, and was shocked how much longer loading bitcoin-qt took. It went from being about 40-60 second loadtime to 3-4 minutes. SSD drives are the future, and will make read/write/storage of the blockchain quick and simple



But most of the blockchain is static, unused data, making it a poor candidate for SSD. And I wonder it Bitcoin is SSD friendly. Does it do a lot of read/writes or is that mostly when a block comes in? I wonder if it would make sense to have the client split the blockchain to use the appropriate device for the appropriate use case. Maybe this could be done with symlinks on *nix.

Regardless I would choose SSD over HDD for any application. You simply can't go back after using them. Plus you get hardware level drive encryption.



572. Post 10605773 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: macsga on February 27, 2015, 10:38:17 PM

Regardless I would choose SSD over HDD for any application. You simply can't go back after using them. Plus you get hardware level drive encryption.

I use both in my home system. The SSD is getting a bit full though and it's getting time for an upgrade.

Because we all know what security is, please don't entrust your bitcoin wallets ONLY on SSD drives. They tend to fail too... What's more important is, that they're harder to recover. Undecided

No worries, I back up regularly to an external mechanical HDD. And I use deterministic wallets so you only need the seed to recover even if the SSD suddenly fails.



573. Post 10621013 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

I see the FUD factory is back and cranking, right on schedule.

Pretty lame guys.



574. Post 10624282 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on March 01, 2015, 04:10:45 PM
Well, the price being 252$, it means that everybody who who owns bitcoin thinks that they are worth more than 245$; but, on the other hand, everybody in the world who has some money to spare thinks that 1 BTC is not worth 255$.


You really are not much of an economist, are you ? Cheesy How does such an oversimplifying way to look at economic choice even go together with your ability to solve abstract mathematical problems?

Okay. To name just one objection to such an incredibly naive model of the market:

Misrepresentation of your actual valuation for strategic purposes.

Similar to the misrepresentation, "tactical voting", in voting theory: sometimes it is individually rational for an actor not to cast a vote according to his sincere preference.

Are we sure that this is the real Jorge Stolfi? Maybe the real Jorge Stolfi is a reasoned and thoughtful person who knows what he's talking about. Maybe we are contributing to damaging his good name and reputation by arguing with this imposter. Brazil can't be that desperate.

I've been in contact with the actual Jorge Stolfi--he himself disavows any knowledge of the imposter here who spends his days arguing with kids about Bitcoin, and whose posts coincidentally occur near the end of "troll waves" where all the trolls and their sock puppets quote each other to reinforce a point.



575. Post 10624618 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Start posting trains.



576. Post 10624975 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on March 01, 2015, 10:24:04 PM
Come on Lamby buy back in.
You know you want to.


The pay is certainly better, thinking for yourself rather than for someone else.



577. Post 10634024 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: uhoh on March 02, 2015, 07:29:30 PM
Well if nothing else, this is gonna make the auction a bit more exciting.

Price markup before the auction.

The market's job is to trap traders into poor positions and use the resulting emotions against them. This also means as few cheap coins for as few people as possible. Once the news turns positive the average person has already missed the boat for max profit.



578. Post 10636205 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Bears a playing a dangerous game... markets don't fall forever friends. Have to learn how to recognize and play both sides.






579. Post 10636293 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on March 02, 2015, 11:06:19 PM
ehhh i figure 1/4 million can buy me a decent 50 footer ... most people would consider that a yacht and not a simple boat ... some may argue only 100 foot + counts as a true luxury yacht ...

Happy shopping (good luck with that 1/4 mill)

http://www.ypigroup.com/luxury-yachts-for-sale/index.htm

 Wink

oh i know there's definitely a difference between a yacht and a luxury yacht ... the same way there's a difference between a used honda and a new lamborghini
50 footers are sweet!

that's what i'm sayin ... if it has more than 1 bedroom , a kitchen , full bath , and is bluewater capable ... it's a yacht in my book ... those extra feet won't help you spear fish any better anyways Tongue

Just remember that it cost about 10% of the original cost of the boat, just for maintenance each year! Unless you can afford to move it from place to place where it will only see summer, and save on winterization. Also be ready to have it out of the water for 2 weeks a year for engine and outdrive overhaul. I have a mid-cabin open-bow catamaran powerboat. I spend about 8 grand a year in upkeep.

Yeah owning a boat is expensive as hell. Repairs, fuel, rent, winter storage, crew (if you have a yacht), taxes... you need a steady income for something like that, not a one-time Bitcoin cashout.

Lotto winners and professional athletes/musicians who come from humble beginnings run into this problem all the time---they underestimate how expensive a "rich" lifestyle is. Not to mention you have family and friends who feel entitled to handouts coming out of the woodwork.



580. Post 10636927 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

I would have expected more selling around this level, but the pullbacks are very small and short-lived. 6h chart shows expanding green volume. Weekly MACD is green with clear capitulation and accumulation zones behind us.

Everything is pointing to higher prices, yet BTC swaps back up to 20k.

At this point I feel like a decent percentage of the traders in this market have no clue how to read a chart at all, and are straight up gambling addicts.



581. Post 10636967 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):

Quote from: Ibian on March 03, 2015, 12:43:44 AM
I would have expected more selling around this level, but the pullbacks are very small and short-lived. 6h chart shows expanding green volume. Weekly MACD is green with clear accumulation zones behind us.

Everything is pointing to higher prices, yet BTC swaps back up to 20k.

At this point I feel like a decent percentage of the traders in this market have no clue how to read a chart at all, and are straight up gambling addicts.
Reporting for duty. I know next to nothing about trading, and ten times more than when I entered in late 2013.

You seem to have a grip on things at least with the experience of a couple of years of market movements. I've seen some guys enter a trade, no matter how risky, just for the thrill of it knowing that they will probably lose. The trading subreddit is full of them.

I knew next to nothing about trading in 2013 too, but how hard is it to pick up a book or two about a potentially life-changing opportunity??



582. Post 10646348 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: spooderman on March 03, 2015, 07:27:29 PM
Guys can we please not get excited so early on?

This rally hasn't even outdone the one at the end of January.

No one wants this bear shit to end more than me, but premature excitement leads to disappointment.

Don't let the trolls have all your train pics to quote making you look foolish.

Nothing wrong with getting happy over the potential end of a year-long bear market. Price moves on supply and demand anyway, the effect of this forum is miniscule.

Bears had their time to frolic in shorting schadenfreude but were unwittingly coiling a spring that would potentially wipe out their profits.



583. Post 10646450 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Lambie, get help.



584. Post 10646793 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: thefunkybits on March 03, 2015, 08:35:12 PM
I think a reasonable top is $350 and most likely to happen in the next 3 days

If we hit that target, I'm going on vacation. I've been trying to warn the shorts since capitulation that floating supply was drying up, nothing to sell, and we would get a markup soon.

edit: probably shouldn't post my trades here.

Longs are getting expensive--my cost of carrying this trade has essentially doubled since a few days ago. It will probably triple and more before I unload.



585. Post 10647021 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Meanwhile LTC creeps back toward $2. Seems that it will rally along with BTC this time.



586. Post 10651019 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: petahashminer on March 04, 2015, 03:16:19 AM
lol idiot chinese miner dumps again, but no effect! we are here

Could be miners, but my bet is on shakeouts. Gotta clean out the bears, catch some stops and encourage the gamblers to open more shorts before going back up (it's cheaper that way and allows for a cleaner pump... also the additional margin calls will spur things along)



587. Post 10659053 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: RD965 on March 04, 2015, 06:06:52 PM
We will get up to the 300$, buy pressure seems to kick in pretty well and good news keep coming

But for the retrace hater people here if you take a longer timeframe, were still headed to double top and retrace, before a bigger move confirms

https://www.tradingview.com/x/tEaDyufa/

If there is not enough selling in the market, it doesn't matter what that mess of a chart says.

Selling is the only thing that stands in the way of higher prices. And we have been shaking it out of the market for months--It would be risky to trade pullbacks with bears in such a weak position to move the price down very far.

We are coming out of a rising bottom accumulation trading range defined by the crash to $160 and correction to $315... Any available supply has literally been vacuumed out of the market by strong hands. Now that it's just about gone, the market moves up with ease. This idea always confuses bears who think the market is moved by some other force than supply and demand. Indeed it works in reverse at market tops when all the bulls get delusional yet the market is flooded with supply.

If we bust above $300 or $315 on heavy volume and the pullback is weak and on low volume, it's a signal that the bottom is in and a new bull market is beginning. The former resistance line at the top of the trading range is now support. Here we add to longs, not open shorts.



588. Post 10673254 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Well that came out of nowhere. Bam.



589. Post 10673303 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Auction price must have been higher than market.

Glad I added to my long at @$265.



590. Post 10673345 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: KryptoFoo on March 05, 2015, 09:32:42 PM
all the shorts from yesterday are underwater in the span of 5 minutes. amazing

Not a good market to be trading on the wrong side of. After capitulation nearly all my trades have been long (one short after $315 local top but that's the only time I've risked one)



591. Post 10673494 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on March 05, 2015, 09:36:15 PM
Auction price must have been higher than market.

Glad I added to my long at @$265.

Nice! I got in @ $270.

Couldn't resist taking advantage of the pre-pump shakeout. And at $266, well, never thought I'd ever get that price again!

Quote from: picolo on March 05, 2015, 09:38:27 PM
Auction price must have been higher than market.

Glad I added to my long at @$265.

Not the time to sell though, the night is young !

Target $350, but we'll see how we do once in the 300s... Wink



592. Post 10673681 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: molecular on March 05, 2015, 09:47:24 PM
I don't think it's likely, but if this has enough inertia to propel us beyond $320, there's more to come...

I agree. I'm trying to figure where we'll meet resistance areas... the last trading range from $300-$400 was low volume in comparison, and I imagine most who wanted to get out (capitulate) have already, hence the reason why we are at $280 today. If we pass $315, watch out. That would move us definitively out of this trading range ($200-$300) and into a strong bull move, partially propelled by the 20k who are still short. There will be no mercy for even well-capitalized shorts at those price levels as the hope to return sub $200 will fade into the distance.



593. Post 10673699 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on March 05, 2015, 09:54:57 PM
Someone is putting up ask walls to protect their shorts on finex.... Must be doing something right.

This almost never works out for them. Fighting the market is the fastest way to go broke. Shorts pushed the price down so low, now they are surprised when it springs back in their face.



594. Post 10677248 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):

Quote from: chriswen on March 06, 2015, 06:03:30 AM
This pumpier.  What was the point even?  Pump a bit and then lets it dribble down.

To let the shorts pile up. Whales hate weak hands that sell into rallies, so it's better to run them out at lower prices and gun the stops below the market. Clean out those sellers so the next pump is cost effective.

This is actually how a bull flag works, psychologically. Rally--let market drift down--catch weak handed coins---rally resumes.



595. Post 10685395 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

I think green volume looks good, rising bottoms since $166 on the daily, couple recent pump attempts from whales taking big positions (knowing that shakeouts don't do a whole lotta good anymore...), desperate gambling bears trying to trade against the market, throwing all they have left at it to protect their short positions...
 
Rockets are getting primed to leave this trading range. $300 right around the corner.



596. Post 10694058 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

If a rally doesn't get sold down it will likely continue up.

Path of least resistance.



597. Post 10703701 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: Afrikoin on March 08, 2015, 02:53:18 PM
I'm amazed at how people take triangles on charts seriously.

It's like trying to predict the speed of a vehicle based by watching its speedometer continuously whilst ignoring the actual terrain that it's on.

edit: I feel a bit troll-y for saying that, but....seriously folks.

What do you use yourself?

Could be said "I'm amazed at how people take [insert answer here] on charts seriously."

Triangles work. Sorry you feel that way

When the market is moving sideways and supply and demand are in relative harmony, triangles and other continuation patterns are how chartists judge when and where to take a position for the coming move. As they work themselves out, the trading range becomes smaller and smaller because range traders try to front run the other range traders which slowly closes the range, hence the triangle or wedge shape. There are variations whether the continuation range represents accumulation or distribution that will cause them to look a bit different.

At the end of the day, however, it always comes down to the intent, action and sentiment of the traders. TA as pictures on a price chart simply help us visualize this.



598. Post 10714258 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: uhoh on March 09, 2015, 05:12:23 PM
1000BTC in one chunk just dumped on finex

Dumped to another account. I see this happen a lot on the tape. Whales getting ready.



599. Post 10714349 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on March 09, 2015, 05:19:57 PM
1000BTC in one chunk just dumped on finex
Dumped to another account. I see this happen a lot on the tape. Whales getting ready.
For what?

I assume for a pump. Multiple Finex accounts, bots, traders working in groups... Have to make sure everyone is well-capitalized.



600. Post 10715231 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

On the Finex 1h chart there is not much selling into this little rally, just longs closing and taking profit. I'm sitting on 20% but will wait and see what happens as we approach $300. A "slow and steady" pump into a market exhausted of selling is definitely more sustainable than a "super crazy parabolic pump" Wink

In this type of market if we don't get pushed down, there's only one direction to go.



601. Post 10715761 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

RSI is not a super reliable indicator. Maybe on the 3d when searching for tops/bottoms to a big move. Any indicator on anything less than 4h/6h is not that reliable overall, only in a sense that other traders use it.

OBV is my favorite one for smaller timeframes like 1h/2h. It tells you when a spring is coiling, as price always follows volume. Usually it's the only one I use. Easy to get lost in indicators without knowing why they do what they do.



602. Post 10717090 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: dreamspark on March 09, 2015, 09:10:59 PM
Have you traded futures yet bja? Moves like today can make your mortgage payment for 6 months in 5 minutes.
Approx ~5%
Holy schmokes how much are you trading with?


10x 30-50 coins so the same as trading 300-500 coins. $10 moves can make $3000-$5000. Thats just one way without scalping the chop and inevitable pull backs. The key is EXTREMELY good risk management.

I'm good with 3x at Finex. That gives you a bit of wiggle room at least for a margin call, but the cost of carry gets expensive when holding big positions (like 150btc+). It's a trade off I guess.

Like earlier this year I went long too soon and had I been 20x in futures I would have been destroyed. On 3x I put up a bit more margin and was able to weather the storm. Ended up 32 BTC ahead because the market rebounded as I knew it would (just had the timing wrong).



603. Post 10727247 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Rally still has a ways to go imo. Look for a panicky top around $350, then all Bears will be released.



604. Post 10727899 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):




605. Post 10728725 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Daily On Balance Volume line breaks above resistance

Volume leads price





606. Post 10728955 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: gkv9 on March 10, 2015, 07:21:13 PM
Daily On Balance Volume line breaks above resistance

Volume leads price

- img snip -


Good news???
Buys will be injected or some more downside will be seen before a rally?

Yes, it is definitely bullish. You can see that when the line broke down through (what was then support) earlier in the year, the market saw a renewed downtrend and the subsequent rally to 315 failed break the upper OBV resistance area.

What is interesting is that OBV calculation contains no price data whatsoever. It simply keeps a running total of volume, adding green and subtracting red bars. But look how closely it tracks the price.



607. Post 10730197 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 10, 2015, 09:24:14 PM
Cool

How are those shorts fitting? pretty tight I assume Wink



608. Post 10740814 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):



PS: preliminary support
SC: selling climax
AR: automatic reaction
SC: secondary test
LPS: last point of supply
SOS: sign of strength

Richard Wyckoff wrote numerous times about the power of rising bottoms in a trading range. The story goes that the "composite man" (or the sum action of all professional interests in the stock) begins accumulating after the SC but is willing to play both sides of the market in order to amass an increasing line of stock from the weak hands. As the range plays out, there is decreasing available supply of stock to propel the price downwards, resulting in rising bottoms. Once the supply is dried up, the price will break out of the range and a markup campaign begins, led by the composite man.



609. Post 10753747 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on March 12, 2015, 07:52:55 PM
$300 tonight, let's hope we stay above this time

If we slay that bear whale


ruh roh ... did u hear that everybody ?? there is a bear whale. everyone stay calm... we will get billyjoe to get the 'four punch raiders' to take him out with a quick and powerful 'chinese panic' flash dumps and right when he thinks is great moment hit him with the short squeeze. got it everyone ?? ok break. on 10. go.

LOL

Realistically I think the situation is that longs are way over extended at a ridiculous interest rate and if the price doesn't start to move upwards soon enough we will come crashing down.  Just like how BJA spoke about a cascade of shorts going up, I think the tables have flipped.

Ever since BTC broke 300 I have had a bad feeling and it's getting worse and worse.  I am continuing to buy, but i'm out of leverage till we figure out which way the market is going to go.  Id rather jump in late than get burned.


The interst rates have jumped but only for the last 2 million or so that was borrowed. I'm still locked into my month long rate that is around .03 average. So there isn't enough longs with high rates that would close out and cause a cascading effect. If they decide to close out I'll be sure and scoop up some of their coins with my extra borrowed USD. And I know I'm not the only one willing to buy their coins.

I'm kicking myself that I didn't lock in some good long rates, and am now stuck with the FRR. I made enough profit from my previous 2 trades that it's not even a big deal, just annoying slightly that the cost of carry has essentially tripled. BFX doesn't do a very good job of explaining how reserving swap works and how to manage your loans--seems that it's a learned skill for the high rollers Smiley

The demand should bring some new USD in the near future, which will push the rates back down. But it may be awhile yet. Same thing happened on the short side last year if I remember correctly.



610. Post 10755271 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: Norway on March 12, 2015, 10:03:52 PM
I do not like the IBM news, and have gone into capital preservation mode by closing my long for now. I'll wait to see if the market can shake this off:  I believe IBM not using bitcoin will be construed as a negative, or at least an excuse to take profits.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/12/us-bitcoin-ibm-idUSKBN0M82KB20150312

Edit: one post up, worst. gif. ever.  Cheesy


"Unlike bitcoin, where the network is decentralized and there is no overseer, the proposed digital currency system would be controlled by central banks, the source said."

Biggest facepalm ever, because decentralization is the #1 property that makes Bitcoin what it is. Truth is they have not the slightest idea how Bitcoin and the blockchain works, but they think it's cool and want to build their own, LOL. Another thing is strong network effects for a secure blockchain, that's what these dumbtarts will never understand.
+1

+1000

Centralized digital currency won't work as there would be no need for a mining network. We have been through this a dozen times.



611. Post 10761907 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Nothing has changed after the latest shakeout last night even if it was a little more severe than usual, giving bears more confidence.

To get this thing over $300 market needed to clear out more selling. Whales get thier longs filled cheap and enjoy less selling into the next rally attempt. It's a win win.



612. Post 10761992 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 13, 2015, 03:16:24 PM
no, it's not a win win because a lot of ammo was spent for 4 attempts to break 300.

lot of usd swaps opened in the process, no cheap dolla' on bitfinex...

hidden bearish divergence showing up.

usd going ballistic.

but keep repeating that everything is ok, because I am ok with it.  Cool

Not enough ammo to go down, that's what defines a bull market. So we dance along the edge of the top resistance until we build enough power to jump over it.



613. Post 10762072 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 13, 2015, 03:23:34 PM
no, it's not a win win because a lot of ammo was spent for 4 attempts to break 300.

lot of usd swaps opened in the process, no cheap dolla' on bitfinex...

hidden bearish divergence showing up.

usd going ballistic.

but keep repeating that everything is ok, because I am ok with it.  Cool

Not enough ammo to go down, that's what defines a bull market. So we dance along the edge of the top resistance until we build enough power to jump over it.


we are not in a bull market. where did you get that idea?

Daily chart? Seems pretty bullish to me. I guess it depends on your definition.

Lately you seem to get excited about these low-volume shakeouts. You do realize they are meant to lock traders into poor positions.



614. Post 10762243 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 13, 2015, 03:35:50 PM
no, it's not a win win because a lot of ammo was spent for 4 attempts to break 300.

lot of usd swaps opened in the process, no cheap dolla' on bitfinex...

hidden bearish divergence showing up.

usd going ballistic.

but keep repeating that everything is ok, because I am ok with it.  Cool

Not enough ammo to go down, that's what defines a bull market. So we dance along the edge of the top resistance until we build enough power to jump over it.


we are not in a bull market. where did you get that idea?

Daily chart? Seems pretty bullish to me. I guess it depends on your definition.

Lately you seem to get excited about these low-volume shakeouts. You do realize they are meant to lock traders into poor positions.


no, not really.

what really got me excited was yesterday's bull attempt to break 300 on high volume that failed for the 4th time. delusional bulls are the one who will push us back down.

bears really dont have to do anything.

I see. Well we may get a little more downside, but I wouldn't personally be short here. If we can't go down and we can't go up, we go sideways/drift upwards until a) significant supply shows up or b) bulls push through. And with a capitulation/rising bottom gradient in the background putting demand in control (this is why we tend to drift upwards), I give greater probability to scenario b.



615. Post 10762592 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 13, 2015, 03:50:52 PM
of course you give greater probability to b, because you think we bottomed. many bulls think that. 

Indeed. I think there's a strong case for it. I do position trading using the daily chart so I'm not overly concerned with smaller down moves within the larger uptrend, which to this point haven't been very convincing.

At any rate this sideways consolidation has gotten to be pretty boring, but as they say, the longer the consolidation the stronger the break. Still looking at $330-$350 as my next sell target.

Just to prove that I'm not a complete moron, here are links to my trades.

I'm still long from the second chart, in fact I added to my position a bit.

http://i.imgur.com/P15wNHG.jpg

http://i.imgur.com/SVgsstM.png



616. Post 10763654 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Bear puts up 300+ ask wall, starts to get nibbled but holds

Bull market buys it with a 320 coin order

Bear immediately anger dumps 500+ coins, showing his hand and emotional state

This is not the activity of a good trader. Plenty of gamblers left to extract money from.



617. Post 10764320 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on March 13, 2015, 07:18:37 PM
starting to think this was a trap.

It's always a trap, adam. If you are a huge whale, how can you mark the price up the cheapest way possible?

-clean out the selling, test bear strength by dumping the market a bit
-get newbs/gamblers to open new shorts
-get longs to cover and take profit (better now than during a markup which you would have to absorb)
-get your own longs filled at lower prices

Works the opposite in a bear market. Now when they push back up there will be less selling and the new shorts will either cover or get called, adding further fuel.

It's all part of the game if you trade with enough coin to alter trends. Think like a predator and not the prey.

Now if you see big volume pushing through, say, $275, then that's an indication that the big boys are selling. If there is relatively lower volume (especially during a retest of a price area) then they are not and it is probably a test.



618. Post 10786557 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Winklevoss twins speaking about Bitcoin at SXSW tomorrow in Texas, surprised no one has mentioned this. I didn't even know about it until my wife told me that she's going to watch.



619. Post 10786580 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: gentlemand on March 16, 2015, 03:00:25 AM
Winklevoss twins speaking about Bitcoin at SXSW tomorrow in Texas, surprised no one has mentioned this. I didn't even know about it until my wife told me that she's going to watch.

I guess their speaking engagements are so prevalent that it's taken for granted these days. I wonder when Gemini will be live and rolling. It should be soon.

SXSW is a pretty huge festival in the US, so it will get the attention of a young demographic. All of the biggest PR and ad agencies are there promoting clients' products... that's exactly why the wife is there.



620. Post 10787124 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: Cconvert2G36 on March 16, 2015, 05:03:46 AM

-snip-

Hmm

No selling.



621. Post 10787630 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: macsga on March 16, 2015, 06:29:29 AM
There are a lot of skeptics that this alone will be the spark to lead to the next rally (I'm talking about their exchange).

No it almost for sure will not. But good news during a potential bull market could be an important catalyst to tip the scales, and SXSW is a pretty huge deal. Hell, my wife has met Sally Field and the CEO of McDonalds already--it's like a celebrity and who's who parade. I'll make sure she attends the Winklevoss presentation tomorrow.

I'm not saying it will ignite a super-rally, but it might get us over $300.



622. Post 10791974 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: inca on March 16, 2015, 03:48:35 PM
NLC probably banned for paedophilia references..

Long interest falling now 0.09%

Next an attack on 300.

To the guy shorting because sentiment is bullish - how would that have worked out in 2014? Smiley

Picked up .05% yesterday.

Still pushing up with rising bottoms, kind of like a wonky ascending triangle. The rising lows are what's important, indicating accumulation.



623. Post 10792332 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: testerman on March 16, 2015, 04:44:43 PM
so what do you think guys, will we see $300 this week?

There's still a chance this could break down and fill in below $280, which opens the door to breaking the rising bottom trendline at $260. However this is not what I think will happen (but many chartists are calling for it).

If you're not already in now, the lower risk trade would be to go long after $300 is broken and becomes support, confirming the break.



624. Post 10792700 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: michaelGedi on March 16, 2015, 05:16:46 PM
so what do you think guys, will we see $300 this week?

There's still a chance this could break down and fill in below $280, which opens the door to breaking the rising bottom trendline at $260. However this is not what I think will happen (but many chartists are calling for it).

If you're not already in now, the lower risk trade would be to go long after $300 is broken and becomes support, confirming the break.

how much room do you think there is for a cascading effect of long margin calls if it breaks down to 260ish? This is basically what I'm betting on. Majority of bids in between 255-271, after that, re assess. Otherwise join the bulls above 305 and CCMF for a moment.

It's possible though margin cascades are hard to predict. There might not be enough selling to even get us sub $280 at this point, though we might go there again due to low volume in general. When the market leaders are bullish and want to go up, watch them shake out the market downward as many times as it takes to clean out enough supply to do it while supporting certain price levels. They have both the bankroll and patience for this and it is a profitable thing to do as it fills their longs and builds retail shorts.

Those longs who are well capitalized would need sub $200 to get margin called, and that price is close to bear delusion at this point. I expect they would hold through, just as some of the well funded shorts are doing who allowed themselves to be trapped during capitulation. I expect they, on the other hand, are getting mighty nervous as their danger zone is in the $300s. Some of the bearish activity you see is likely groups of them protecting their positions--I saw this activity all the way up from the bottom--seems to work well enough until a whale with a pump bot comes along and decides to annihilate them.



625. Post 10792775 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: dreamspark on March 16, 2015, 05:50:26 PM


It's possible though margin cascades are hard to predict. There might not be enough selling to even get us sub $280 at this point, though we might go there again due to low volume in general. When the market leaders are bullish and want to go up, watch them shake out the market downward as many times as it takes to clean out enough supply to do it while supporting certain price levels. They have both the bankroll and patience and it is a profitable thing to do.

Those longs who are well capitalized would need sub $200 to get margin called, and that price is close to bear delusion at this point. I expect they would hold through, just as some of the well funded shorts are doing who allowed themselves to be trapped during capitulation. I expect they, on the other hand, are getting mighty nervous as their danger zone is in the $300s. Some of the bearish activity you see is likely groups of them protecting their positions--I saw this activity all the way up from the bottom--seems to work well enough until a whale with a pump bot comes along and decides to annihilate them.

Holding a long at this sort of interest rate through a ~25% decline is stupid and a terrible way to trade though. Its not so much a margin call cascade as a stop loss cascade that could be seen. If people are trading without stop losses then god help them!

I've done it. Had a losing trade that ended up over 20% in the green because I held through. Not optimal, but it worked out. I'm a position trader so I'm holding onto trades for weeks and the cost of the loan is a very small percentage of my overall profits.

I don't trade with stop losses. Whales actively gun for them, so why give them the bait?



626. Post 10793119 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: michaelGedi on March 16, 2015, 06:01:22 PM
thanks... for me the more I try to think like a whale the more I imagine they have more to gain by continuing the downtrend.

They will continue in the direction of least resistance according to supply and demand. That is why after capitulation they began pumping instead of dumping. Fighting natural market forces is a good way to go broke, any market professional knows this. They won't do it. There is also a good chance that they can see both sides of the market and have insider connections--so they know when to mark the price up or down ahead of how much fiat is entering the exchanges and what kind of news is coming out.

They've tested the hell out of this price range and it resulted in an accumulation gradient of rising bottoms (likely by multiple competing interests). This is bullish. They see this. We will test downward as many times as needed to break $300. If it means that they hold most of the coins on Finex to do this, so be it. They will be distributed later.



627. Post 10793274 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: dreamspark on March 16, 2015, 06:21:17 PM
An anecdote that it worked out for you that time doesn't mean it will continue to.
It's far from optimal when you can cut your losses and find a way better entry. That trade that netted you 20% overall could have netted you a significantly higher % by re entering when the market reversed.

Obviously everyone should trade how they feel fit but what about the people who opened longs at $900. Should they have held until the market reversed and get margin called. Of course if your trading spot its a different story.

Indeed, it was during the selloff to $160 and the losses would have been substantial had I cut them. Instead, seeing that we were at a likely capitulation/selling climax after whales sold us off in reaction to the Bitstamp hack news (perfect finale to the bear market, bravo guys) I wasn't about to sell into it. Instead I bought heavily into the selloff and secondary test when I saw it was on low volume, averaging out my trade downward to bank a great profit when it went to $300 on the reaction.

Obviously the sell climax created a unique situation. Crazy trade that turned out to be though Smiley



628. Post 10793359 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: podyx on March 16, 2015, 06:48:30 PM
NLC hasn't been active for 6 days Shocked

He won't be back until Easter.



629. Post 10794040 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: michaelGedi on March 16, 2015, 07:11:46 PM
thanks... for me the more I try to think like a whale the more I imagine they have more to gain by continuing the downtrend.

They will continue in the direction of least resistance according to supply and demand. That is why after capitulation they began pumping instead of dumping. Fighting natural market forces is a good way to go broke, any market professional knows this. They won't do it. There is also a good chance that they can see both sides of the market and have insider connections--so they know when to mark the price up or down ahead of how much fiat is entering the exchanges and what kind of news is coming out.

They've tested the hell out of this price range and it resulted in an accumulation gradient of rising bottoms (likely by multiple competing interests). This is bullish. They see this. We will test downward as many times as needed to break $300. If it means that they hold most of the coins on Finex to do this, so be it. They will be distributed later.


I get your points. It's just considering the implication that the large actors are sufficiently stacked to change market sentiment completely (tweak indicators, create momentum, etc) wouldn't it be profitable to sell into a rising bull market if you feel with a degree of certainty that you can manipulate it down again? When the consensus targets are above an exit point you are happy with, you know they are going to continiously keep buying at your favourite point before getting exhausted. Let's assume 300 is that point, would roughly 100% gains (if for arguments sake their buy point was near the 166 bottom, and we discount the massive rebound to 315) or more not be sufficient for this whole exercise? The new "sustainable" bull market can come later when the institutions are properly set up and notable new money is flowing in.

Every move costs them money and they want to reduce costs, as anyone logically would in their position. They cannot take control of the entire market; there is still organic trading and medium sized whales that will profit from them given the chance. It's simply more expensive to dump into a bull market that has removed so much supply from weak hands and has so many accumulators waiting. They could still dump down to $220 today, but why would they? It would be prohibitively expensive the likelihood of the dump being successful is reduced as everyone tries to frontrun everyone else for cheap coins. Instead they can push up, which is cheaper and it benefits their massive portfolio of coins they've been building.

The way I see it, Jan 25th's volume shows a large distribution area around $300-$315. This is whales unloading longs from the bottom--they cannot hide from that volume. They likely reloaded during the next few weeks in stealth (the pump before the Bter news had whale footprints) but are still holding as there hasn't been a spike in volume nor a buying climax yet for them to sell into. In fact volume has been reducing, indicating that they're largely observing and waiting. Now if there isn't sustained buying at this level as we consolidate sideways for a few weeks, I could envision an eventual extended test downward to force out remaining bears as they unload and push the market down. If we hold $280 and the market shows a bullish bias in the coming days, I think the direction is obvious for them.



630. Post 10795259 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

SXSW Winklevoss Bitcoin talk starting if anyone's interested.

www.sxsw.com/on



631. Post 10795443 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: ssmc2 on March 16, 2015, 10:22:32 PM
These guys are terrible at presentation skills.

Unfortunately I have to agree.

Agreed. Something they could improve upon.



632. Post 10795645 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

It's easy to criticize when you're the one watching. Performing/public speaking is a very difficult skill to master.



633. Post 10795696 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: uhoh on March 16, 2015, 10:54:53 PM
It's easy to criticize when you're the one watching. Performing/public speaking is a very difficult skill to master.

You're absolutely right, and I could personally never do it justice. This is a very difficult pitch to listen to though.

EDIT: did they mention the progress of the ETF earlier on?

Not really. They mentioned COIN in the present tense as if one could purchase a share of it, but nothing that we don't already know.



634. Post 10805436 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Looks like some longs unloading. Not many people following.



635. Post 10808281 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: dreamspark on March 18, 2015, 02:52:58 AM
About 10,000 coins were sold on Bitfinex alone to only bring us down $10, but the bid side remains the same. Take that info how you see fit. I know what that means to me.

Let me translate: Bull-market is ON. Bear-market is off. This 10$ move was an last failed attempt to reverse the trend. I see the we are going up.

What is your basis?

This experienced trader makes a valid point for something otherwise:

https://www.tradingview.com/v/iWXmzaeG/

Dont waste your time, no one left in here is a serious trader, if you actually want to hear the views of people who can trade both ways join whaleclub on teamspeak or trading view chat.

Hey now, here I am, making a nice living. Tradingview analysis is largely unimpressive to me and I don't see anyone predicting reversals, simply trend continuations and lots of EW (meh). Also very little volume analysis and over-reliance on indicators.

Whaleclub is just going to cloud new traders and is possibly a way for the mods to gain a following to trade against. You can't rule anything out when profit is on the line. Best to go it alone.



636. Post 10810840 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

This might have some legs coinciding with the news and all. May look to play the short side here.



637. Post 10811878 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: dreamspark on March 18, 2015, 01:14:13 PM
All I know is I tried to help people out the last two days by telling them it was gonna drop and they can trade both sides but as per usual nobody listens here in permabull land.

The Wyckoff trading range chart I posted yesterday on reddit had both a bullish and bearish mid-term scenario. Honestly either could have played out depending on the news--I started to see reduced demand over the last few days (but not supply) and closed out my long from $240 figuring the top would round out somehow. That might mean it may not go very low into the range, but we'll see. I'll probably wait until later today to decide whether to play short.

With the amount of shenanigans that goes on in this community when it comes to trading, nobody should trust anybody!



638. Post 10814614 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Well you bears had to ruin all the run.  Grin

My stop sell was triggered while I attempted to grab a little sleep--in it for the downside now.



639. Post 10817062 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: crazy_rabbit on March 18, 2015, 10:13:22 PM

Like I posted before, it's these jokers doing it together:

https://www.whaleclub.co/

Fascinating! I haven't seen this before!

Nah, most of those guys are relatively small fish from the reddit brigade. From my observations it's likely a small group of unrelated individuals with professional market experience, deep pockets and pretty sophisticated bots. You wanted Wall Street, well they are here and are shaking the market for all it's worth!



640. Post 10819918 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

We hit a nice double bottom, consolidated a bit, then a couple big longs started closing all at once and price just shot up... suddenly we are in the 260s and I fly to the computer to close my short... the orderbooks are so thin on the ask side... I think we all thought it was going to go lower.

-1 bottle of wine but +30 to my stash, put my buy orders a little below market but may have to panic buy in a few hours. Looks as if demand still wants to push up.



641. Post 10819981 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: Natalia_AnatolioPAMM on March 19, 2015, 07:31:13 AM
We hit a nice double bottom, consolidated a bit, then a couple big longs started closing all at once and price just shot up... suddenly we are in the 260s and I fly to the computer to close my short... the orderbooks are so thin on the ask side... I think we all thought it was going to go lower.

-1 bottle of wine but +30 to my stash, put my buy orders a little below market but may have to panic buy in a few hours. Looks as if demand still wants to push up.

I don't think there's a rolls eye emoji that can capture my feelings right now.

My advice is to build a Lego house and try to live in it!

 :)its all not as bad as it seems. Even if it pushes up ,sooner or later  its coming back

We already have a green candle on the daily. Strengthens the case that this was an extended shakeout. But we'll see.



642. Post 10826197 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):



Need volume bears, or bottom is in.



643. Post 10826304 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: dreamspark on March 19, 2015, 08:40:18 PM
bitfinex order book is looking really bad.

3 k till 230.

if we go under 210 sell everything.

Yet it refuses to go any lower! I know you're probably extremely short right now, possible on margin, but I hope you've set your stops accordingly...

I hope he is short on leverage and gets burnt badly. He used to be sort of a good read but nowadays it's getting close to trolling. I don't have to read what he has to say, there is nothing new. He's morphing into LambShroomie. Maybe he fears a bull market and misses 2014. But this is getting old quick.

Short from 290's I think he's quite safe from being burnt.

Still he (she?) is taking on additional risk by not closing at least part of a good trade like that after we've bounced off $250 three times. Just because the EW crew calls for $220 doesn't make it magically happen. Might be time to adjust those wave counts yet again, boys Wink



644. Post 10826539 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: bassclef on March 19, 2015, 08:31:08 PM


Need volume bears, or bottom is in.

Quoting self for posterity Cheesy



645. Post 10827004 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 19, 2015, 10:05:25 PM
I am detecting a lot of newbie accounts talking about 250 being the bottom.

so funny.

 Grin

Wow you are desperate.



646. Post 10827058 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 19, 2015, 10:06:48 PM
I am detecting a lot of newbie accounts talking about 250 being the bottom.

so funny.

 Grin

Wow you are desperate.


are those your sock puppets?

you were the one to post that brilliant TA after all.

I don't have sock puppets. Too busy planning my next vacation with btc profits for that.



647. Post 10827505 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 19, 2015, 10:48:46 PM
Tarmi, have you closed your short yet? 
I felt pretty good about closing my $290 short at $260 (~10%) this morning. How much bigger of a profit are you looking for in one trade?


no.



What's your target? $240? $220?


not telling you, sorry.

You must be fun at parties. Lighten up, crack a beer.



648. Post 10834044 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: dreamspark on March 20, 2015, 04:55:59 PM
I think the lack of bidwalls are baiting another spike to 255

Not going to take the risk though, 260 is good enough for me


i wonder what btc will worth on monday ?

My guess is around 1 bitcoin

We're currently building a huge bear flag, target around 270 and then dropping to the core again  Wink

Of course we are Wink

You keep up those shorts now!! Don't be afraid, bitcoin always goes back down

LOL

No shorts yet my friend, currently in a healthy long position from low 250's  fwiw.

Me too, fwiw. I think you have me beat by a couple bucks though. Had a pretty nice short coming down, but long is the better trade in this kind of market (looking @ daily chart).



649. Post 10834591 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Well at least there's some USD coming in for swaps at finex. My bid well below market was taken today for a 30 day period.

For the uninitiated, there's a market-within-a-market at finex to manage your loans. Since many traders hold open trades for weeks (and months) this can save significant money if you lock in a good rate before everyone else piles on during a pump.



650. Post 10834656 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 20, 2015, 06:19:10 PM
Well at least there's some USD coming in for swaps at finex. My bid well below market was taken today for a 30 day period.

For the uninitiated, there's a market-within-a-market at finex to manage your loans. Since many traders hold open trades for weeks (and months) this can save significant money if you lock in a good rate before everyone else piles on during a pump.


 Roll Eyes

that's just some bull cutting his losses and closing silently his high interest longs above 260 and playing with the thin order book.


Keep wishing that price down.



651. Post 10836435 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):

Quote from: macsga on March 20, 2015, 10:20:25 PM
I'm not trying to be funny but how does the current order book justify the current price?

Pretty funny actually


Yep, tons of longs, its time for the last market raping.

Ok. I 'm not a trader, so I won't pretend that I understand this chart (I don't) but what exactly the long/swaps have to do with the price is beyond my imagination. Is there a way for someone who possesses those to turn it (somehow) to BTCs? Is this a leveraged trading indicator (ie: the guys who bet that USD/BTC will be higher? ). If someone has the knowledge, please share for an ignorant chap.

Thanks Smiley

It doesn't mean anything, really, about the future direction of the market. A whale or two could margin call the "poorer" shorts or longs that are over-leveraged and trapped into $20-30 price difference, but the majority of them on that graph will take much more % price change. It's an indicator about what the vast majority of traders think about the market, and the market sometimes moves against that direction, sometimes not. Then again shorts were very high during the bear market and the price didn't rocket up because of that.

Market moves on supply and demand at a given time and little else.



652. Post 10854757 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

If you guys can resist quoting the trolls, maybe (just maybe) they'll go away. Jimbo I'm looking at you.



653. Post 10856665 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Quote from: lyth0s on March 23, 2015, 02:10:07 AM
I still wonder why almost all of the recent price increases are based on small time frame large 2-3 thousand volume candles. And I still wonder if some sort of institutional investor is buying the coins, waiting for the next dip and rebuying in order to cause less of a price hike. If you look at the finiex 15 minute candles you will see two large 3k volume boosts in price followed by a decline back to the baseline ~300 volume. Looks like a single person buying to me.

Whale takes a long position, smaller traders follow. I don't understand what you find surprising about this. Institutional investors and professional traders use all kind of tricks to collect coins without marking the price up: selling into bad news, shakeouts, selling in the open while buying in private... Unless they have more money than time, placing large market orders is the worst way to buy a significant position in such a thin market. Their methods usually involve placing buys lower and selling to scare down the market to get them filled.

What's interesting is that there hasn't much selling today to push it down, which should send a red light to anyone short. That's when the whales will smell a pump opportunity.



654. Post 10861015 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on March 23, 2015, 03:08:54 PM
Too many socks & low activity troll accounts popping up.
Pathetic really.

And members giving them what they want (attention) every time they post.



655. Post 10862531 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Quote from: ElectricMucus on March 23, 2015, 05:48:38 PM
lol if you think anything anybody posts in this forum, especially in this thread has any effect on the price.

You're still here.



656. Post 10862625 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Long from $260 if anyone is interested. Holding steady.

Previous trades:

long $220-$290
short $290-$230
long $230-$280
short $270-$260
long $260-???



657. Post 10863761 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Low volume shakeout. This kind of activity allows for higher prices by forcing bears to show their hands.

Generally if the market explores a lower price area twice and the latter is on lower volume, it signals a successful test of that price area by the dominant interests and is a strong buy signal. If the volume is medium to high, it may go lower or they may test the area again in the future.



658. Post 10874345 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Sentiment-wise, the fact that the longs haven't really budged much may indicate that they are the strong hands in this case.

Strong hands = profitable traders, experienced chart readers, well-capitalized, logical, non-emotional
Weak hands = newb traders, gamblers, simple indicator-based analysis, panicky, easy to shake out



659. Post 10874429 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on March 24, 2015, 07:38:27 PM
Sentiment-wise, the fact that the longs haven't really budged much may indicate that they are the strong hands in this case.

Strong hands = profitable traders, experienced chart readers, well-capitalized, logical, non-emotional
Weak hands = newb traders, gamblers, simple indicator-based analysis, panicky, easy to shake out


That's a biggie.

Good traders are good because they know how to manage risk. They won't risk 100% or their account on a margin trade. 50% is max, so if you have 10btc in your trading account you risk 5. That's a 15btc position if you're on 3:1.



660. Post 10876441 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Bullish RSI divergence 6h




661. Post 10878349 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.06h):

Quote from: Chef Ramsay on March 25, 2015, 03:28:09 AM
is it possible to open a long and a short at the same time on bitfinex?
my understanding is that if you are into schlongs, you need multiple accts.
Haha, shorts + longs together = schlongs!

i love the D& D reference, it is the most fun I've seen lately. I still don't know what they placed in his burger: jalopenos? or just went on with mustard and ketchup?

Ha, they were Thai chiles I think. The little ones. They're hotter than Habaneros. Little buggers pack a punch.



662. Post 10893305 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Well bears got a 50% retrace of the rally from $166 to $303 at $235. Not a bad run at all.



663. Post 10893383 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Now I remember why I had you on ignore tarmi. Broken record syndrome.



664. Post 10893406 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

What? Is someone talking?



665. Post 10894182 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: BlackSpidy on March 26, 2015, 04:50:48 PM
So if I understand the four punch raiders thing... this should be the short squeeze, right?

Don't listen to what others say about the market. Listen to what it tells you about itself.



666. Post 10894432 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: JimboToronto on March 26, 2015, 05:08:25 PM
Don't listen to what others say about the market. Listen to what it tells you about itself.

It's sometimes hard to hear what it tells you about itself because of the deafening clamor about 4 punch raiders, Elliott waves, monkeys, MACD, teacup leaves, astrology, etc.

 Wink

Jimbo gets it. Trade on facts, which is price and volume. You don't need much else, except to keep tabs on the traders who fill their charts with indicators Wink



667. Post 10894788 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Walls on both sides of the orderbook. I think we're in a holding pattern until we find out more about when the otc fund starts trading, and how much demand there will be for it. It'll be a good chance to mark the price up ahead of those wanting to get in.

Edit: I think there is a good chance there will be solid demand based on overall professional interest from Wall Steet, anecdotal evidence from Winklevii and the guys @ Bitpay (who trade a with basket of currencies) about hedge funds and investment firms looking to take positions, also high interest in the government auctions.



668. Post 10894949 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: damiano on March 26, 2015, 06:06:27 PM
Walls on both sides of the orderbook. I think we're in a holding pattern until we find out more about when the otc fund starts trading, and how much demand there will be for it. It'll be a good chance to mark the price up ahead of those wanting to get in.

Edit: I think there is a good chance there will be solid demand based on overall professional interest from Wall Steet, anecdotal evidence from Winklevii and the guys @ Bitpay (who trade a with basket of currencies) about hedge funds and investment firms looking to take positions, also high interest in the government auctions.

It opens the doors for people who don't wish to open up a Coinbase / Circle / Gemini account.  Owning btc without the hassle of having a wallet is a plus for a lot of americans.



Exactly. Which is why if these paper securities take off, anyone actually smart enough to own and secure a modest amount of bitcoins (which unlike metals, are provable in ownership and supply) will automatically become a market maker of sorts in an exciting new marketplace in the future if they choose to be.

Seems farfetched now, but is it really? Why do you think whales are jerking the market around to increase their holdings? They want to retire in a few years.



669. Post 10895017 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 26, 2015, 06:14:21 PM
Walls on both sides of the orderbook. I think we're in a holding pattern until we find out more about when the otc fund starts trading, and how much demand there will be for it. It'll be a good chance to mark the price up ahead of those wanting to get in.

Edit: I think there is a good chance there will be solid demand based on overall professional interest from Wall Steet, anecdotal evidence from Winklevii and the guys @ Bitpay (who trade a with basket of currencies) about hedge funds and investment firms looking to take positions, also high interest in the government auctions.


you sure sound like a pro with remarkable understanding of how markets work, able to catch the slightest whisper coming from the order books.

but "professional interest from Wall St" and penny stock trading in one post?

It won't come all at once. Plenty of penny stocks on the street to trade (and many do). Bitcoin still has a few years to reach any sort of market maturity.

There was a podcast recently with whats-his-face from Bitpay. Tony Gallippi. He insinuated that multiple hedge funds had approached him to take positions. This is when they would do it--during down markets in secret. Of course they don't want the general public knowing about it because they need someone to sell to in the future Cheesy



670. Post 10895189 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: Bitcoiner_cph on March 26, 2015, 06:27:59 PM
What are these Hedge funds, hedging?? The dollar?? Cheesy

They want to sell Bitcoin-related investment vehicles to the general public. This is really what Wall Street is all about, since most of them can only make money trading during raging bull markets.



671. Post 10899972 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: Chef Ramsay on March 27, 2015, 03:23:07 AM
enjoying these bears borrowing bitcoin at 0.07-0.49 (i dont get why the people borrowing my btc at 0.49% daily do not just reborrow from the market..rates are so much cheaper now...but i'm not complaining)

just received 0.12 BTC for the past day  Grin
While we're at it why don't the bulls and bears teach the trading game to the onlookers, so they can understand this stuff and go either way based upon the team they want to be on. Just a thought.

This is not the place. Far too many trolls, shenanigan and sock puppets. Really bottom-of-the-barrel ones too. Clean up the place a bit so I don't have to sift through disgusting pictures and immature, xenophobic drivel every time the price drops $5 and then we'll talk.



672. Post 10906460 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: coinableS on March 27, 2015, 09:17:47 PM
On these slow days I like to look back... I'm still waiting for that $40-$50 bottom!  Cheesy

Using my simple D double o D double o style, my predictions for a bottom. ;-) 40 - 50

-snip-


The price even broke out of the channel and he was still in denial. This, my friends, is why indicators and oscillators are useful until they are not and suddenly you're stuck in a bad position, watching the market take off without you. Look at the stoch. RSI there, clearly indicating more down. MACD was on a downslide too.

I think we ended up hitting a higher bottom around $80 there before rocketing up throughout the fall.



673. Post 10923416 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote

a little update.




Every trader is aware of bear flags. Volume tells the whole story, though, and the second flag has quite a lot more going on in that regard if you zoom in.

Anyone want to take a crack at it?



674. Post 10923631 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 29, 2015, 07:42:33 PM
Quote

a little update.

Every trader is aware of bear flags. Volume tells the whole story, though, and the second flag has quite a lot more going on in that regard if you zoom in.

Anyone want to take a crack at it?


hi, expert trader.


we are 20 points down from the last bearish wedge and the volume is just a little bit higher (on some days...overall is even lower). is that a bullish sign?

 Roll Eyes

Cute. Here you go--



1 - candle spread narrows, high volume as buying enters market to stop downtrend
2 - absorption volume in both directions, market unsure
3 - successful test and no supply on low volume warning of higher prices
4 - price moves up to top of range...
5 - ...and is stopped on distribution and no demand
6 - second leg of downtrend stopped as buying enters on high volume
7 - absorption, candle closes on high: failed dump
8 - no supply, low volume, price moves up
9 - volume contracts on narrowing candles, indicative of dwindling supply, price moves up after this area
10 - market absorbs another dump, lower volume than previous, candle spread narrowing, good chance of a double bottom here



675. Post 10923835 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: tarmi

wtf is that?


It's how I make 5 figures per month. If you don't understand, maybe read a book instead of talking yours.



676. Post 10923886 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.07h):

Quote from: tarmi on March 29, 2015, 08:31:20 PM
Quote from: tarmi

wtf is that?


It's how I make 5 figures per month. If you don't understand, maybe read a book instead of talking yours.

you make

5 figures of chian money yes?

gtfo clown.

Dollars. Back to ignore you go.



677. Post 10933953 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

During that little push to $236 last night a whale got a lot of bears and some longs to capitulate. Volume was very low, which was indication of one or a small group of traders bleeding out the selling at that level. No good trader would sell into activity like that, they just let them do it knowing it's for the good of all Smiley

Anyway, looks like $255 then $270. Probably will bounce off $270 but if volume is low on the reaction, we'll head up again.



678. Post 10962245 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

Quote from: dannyspk on April 02, 2015, 05:05:51 PM
Woah

Big buys

Nowhere close to the 'big dumps' when they come

Bears are out of ammo, and have been for some time. Double/triple bottom is evidence. Between that and the bull divergences I don't see how anyone who can read a chart could be short right now, besides the usual suspects who rode in on the short bus.



679. Post 10974374 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

Jorge, if a minig cartel ever threatened to change the rules of Bitcoin, the value would plummet as everyone jumped ship to a new coin. Why would they ever do it knowing that it would devalue their assets? Miners want bitcoins and need them to have value, or it's a wasteful endeavor.

Btw, have you bought any bitcoins yet? Have you set up a minig rig to see how the incentive structure works?

Talk is cheap.



680. Post 10974490 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

Quote from: dewdeded on April 03, 2015, 08:55:19 PM
Jorge, if a minig cartel ever threatened to change the rules of Bitcoin, the value would plummet as everyone jumped ship to a new coin. Why would they ever do it knowing that it would devalue their assets?
This is a nonsense answer to me. Why would they have to threat anything?

They CAN do many different detectable and undetectable manipulations, with or without violating Bitcoins rules. There is no need to change the rules.

They could manipulate: TX relaying, block relaying, not mining TX they dont like (to low fees, unwanted origin), banning of nodes, spying on users, etc.

They are free to do any of that now. But a pool that does won't see as much revenue because no one will want to point their miners there, so again there is no incentive.



681. Post 10974885 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

Price goes up $20 and suddenly double spends are happening and a mining cartel takeover is imminent.

Get a life guys, or at least take it to the technical development thread where you can share your fears in a thread that's not a troll-fest. Oh wait, there's no one to feed your narcissism there. It only counts as therapy if you're paying $200 an hour you know.



682. Post 10975009 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

Not my problem if you mentally ill mosquitoes keep yourselves in Life's waiting room forever.



683. Post 10975039 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on April 03, 2015, 09:59:06 PM
Price goes up $20 and suddenly double spends are happening and a mining cartel takeover is imminent.

Get a life guys, or at least take it to the technical development thread where you can share your fears in a thread that's not a troll-fest. Oh wait, there's no one to feed your narcissism there. It only counts as therapy if you're paying $200 an hour you know.
People in this forum are simply discussing some of the bitcoin narratives regardless of price movements and suddenly some dude comes and calls everything "FUD" by "trolls" and takes the discussion as a personal attack.


It's just that we've been over it. Again and again and again. To the point that it seems planned and manipulative, even if its not intended in that way.



684. Post 10976980 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: WeltMaster on April 04, 2015, 04:09:38 AM

Holy shit

"This attack has wiped us out financially. We were doing well before the government attacked us. We are not doing well now."



That's BurtW, no? He is a pretty well-known localbitcoins trader around here. Obviously setup and then nailed for money laundering... ouch. I feel for the guy and his family.



685. Post 10985972 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: ssmc2 on April 05, 2015, 12:20:45 AM
Green daily MACD

A formidable indicator on larger timescales.

For the uninitiated, because learning is more fun than trolling:

Quote
MACD

Developed by Gerald Appel in the late seventies, the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence oscillator (MACD) is one of the simplest and most effective momentum indicators available. The MACD turns two trend-following indicators, moving averages, into a momentum oscillator by subtracting the longer moving average from the shorter moving average. As a result, the MACD offers the best of both worlds: trend following and momentum. The MACD fluctuates above and below the zero line as the moving averages converge, cross and diverge. Traders can look for signal line crossovers, centerline crossovers and divergences to generate signals. Because the MACD is unbounded, it is not particularly useful for identifying overbought and oversold levels.



686. Post 10994819 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: Shatoshi on April 06, 2015, 01:53:00 AM
Here are questions from a newbie trader:  What's the longest you have sat on an ask or bid order waiting for it to be filled?  How long might you typically sit on losing longs or shorts before you close?  I'm still learning patience and while I can ride out quite a bit more of this rise with my open short, with the hope that on another decline I can either close at a small loss or mostly break even (any profit will be small at this point), a lot of articles suggest using much more strict stop losses than I had in place (and that I ultimately shyed away from using).  And now I'm curious about the benefit of just closing now.  Interest is negligible

I realize I am asking this in a den of hodlers.

I often sit on positions for weeks, but my trades happen on the daily chart so it involves waiting out a lot of the noise found on lower timeframes. Sometimes you have the luxury of waiting until the market comes back to you, but only if you're reasonably sure that it will, otherwise it's just wishing and hoping (not a good strategy). Sometimes it doesn't and it's more profitable to cut losses and reverse positions. Of course the danger here is that you can get whipsawed to death if you don't catch the trend early enough. It ultimately depends on your trading style. There are no hard and fast rules, but if you're sitting on a losing short position and the market is bullish and telling you there is not a lot of downward pressure, you should think about taking the loss. (Opposite situation would be in a losing long position where there is lots of supply coming in and the market is trending strongly down). There is no shame in this, it's simply the logical thing to do. If you cut your losers short relatively quickly and let the winners ride, you'll be much better off.

Always trade logically, never trade emotionally.



687. Post 11002337 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on April 06, 2015, 07:15:43 PM
Good afternoon Bitcoinland (and haters and trolls too).

Just got home from Saturday night to see we're still chugging along in the $250s.

Seems that the haters have become so desperate they've taken to spamming lame altcoins in a feeble attempt to undermine support for Bitcoin.

Amusing in a pathetic sort of way.

So, when we gonna sqeeze them shorts, Jimbo?

It'll happen soon enough if price is continuously finding higher bottoms. The shakeout a few hours ago surprised me, seems there is solid support above $250. I see the obvious (almost too obvious) H&S on the hourly, but the target for a pattern that small is measured from the neckline to the top of the head, so like $252. Not a short I'm going to take after the recent bottom and market strength.



688. Post 11010397 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: damiano on April 07, 2015, 03:12:44 PM

Yeah i've been watching it since yesterday.


Me too. I think that there's such low volume on Finex that it might simply be the bots keeping price in line with the Chinese exchanges who are range trading. They seem to be much more active lately. Hard to say, really.

Edit: looks like it's breaking upward, no surprise here



689. Post 11012964 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.09h):

Quote from: SkyValeey on April 07, 2015, 10:46:03 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/s/bitcoin/?sort=recent
dyor

btw. chat at tradingview about btc is great place if you trade with brain (=analysis)

chessnut's and danv's at last time are pretty accurate
ofc you can find also bullish at now like always but there's much more premises to go down.

look at btcchina 15m - rising volume with dropping price, clearly distribution.
the guy with 500k$? long at finex is joke. We saw similar spikes right before price went down.
i don't say price will crash today or tomorrow but it's easy to see that this is another bulltrap very likely.
slowly downtrend with many mini bulltraps is what we can see now.
Maybe with final dump. the sooner, the better to go faster up imo.
Right now there's an army people holding btc and holding opened longs and they must believe that we're going higher.
they think that they're in accumulation phase:) because they're always buying when price rose lol.
usually that's the point when distribution is starting:)

If you trade with a brain you won't be frequenting tradingview, whaleclub or any other group for that matter, you'll be reading and studying the market on your own. If those guys were making consistent money they wouldn't need to promote themselves to attract a following. And I can guarantee you those guys already know how to trade, set stops correctly, and read the market as it comes at them allowing them to avoid their own advice if it turns out to be false (which is often, no analyst is perfect). The poor lemmings who listen to them will be stuck in poor positions as the market turns against them, not knowing what to do, so they invariably hold, hoping and wishing (and trolling) that the market will come back to them. Eventually they get emotional and let go at the worst possible time. This is how the market eats newb traders.

Don't bother with 15m analysis. We are in an accumulation phase, at least on the longer term (months). They happen after capitulation at market bottoms. A long term distribution will occur at some point in the future, but not until after a strong bull market. Dec-Feb 2013/14 was the big distribution phase after the 2013 bull market. Accumulation generally takes longer than distribution, and we are nearing the final phases of one now started in January. Either bears get their wish and the market shakes down to $200 again before takeoff, or we blast off upwards through spring and summer. It's anyone's guess at this point. In the event of a shakeout many longs (who have proven to be well-capitalized) would continue to hold and more shorts led by dumb money would be opened, only to run for cover on the reversal. In the event of a blast off, the shorts would still run for cover and many more would be opened above $300 only to be destroyed by a new bull market, which always follows an accumulation phase (of course the dumb money does not know this). This is why there are so many well-funded long positions, probably some professional money there. Shorts are the weak hands in both scenarios.

Personally, with the difficulty the market has had selling of recently, my vote is for the blast off. It'll happen just like every other bubble: Supply is removed from remaining weak hands via capitulation, market fails to continue downward as demand is back in control, and price floats up for a few months before gaining steam into a parabolic move. Then distribution and another bear market as all the weak hands who bought at the top bail again, then accumulation and another bull market. Rinse and repeat.



690. Post 11029197 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.10h):

Quote from: Tzupy on April 09, 2015, 08:11:16 AM
Good morning, ladies! Cheesy
1d and 3d MACD divergence turned red, while the MACD themselves are negative, this is going to seriously hurt the bulls.

Moving averages diverge all the time, which is all MACD really is, calculating the difference between two lines and turning it into momentum.

Seems like a shakeout to me. Volume has been steadily declining as we are nearing the end of the trading range, similar to Dec 2014. The difference then is that we had the Bitstamp hack to bring in sellers to push us lower.

If there's enough volume to get below $235, see you there.



691. Post 11040183 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.10h):

Bottom tested three times (at least) on declining volume over the past few weeks. This trading range was shakeout city.



692. Post 11087841 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.11h):

Starting to look ugly if you ask me. If buying pressure does not pick up holders will continue to bail at this price level.



693. Post 11087945 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.11h):

Quote from: inca on April 14, 2015, 06:55:21 PM
Starting to look ugly if you ask me. If buying pressure does not pick up holders will continue to bail at this price level.

Sure the price has dripped lower. But the bids are piling up on finex.

6000 coins to drop 9 dollars. 6000 coins back to 246.

The orderbook is not usually a good indicator. It stacked to massive buy support before the last round of dumps as whales were selling into their own bids.



694. Post 11088042 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.11h):

Quote from: coins101 on April 14, 2015, 07:05:20 PM
Sorry to say there is nothing compelling to stop the trend reversal.

Maybe shorts should just take a step back and think about how they might be influencing cannibalism.

Before Bitcoin grows up some professional interests need to take positions on the cheap. That's all it is. You wanted Wall Street, well they are here and shaking down the early adopter tree.



695. Post 11099555 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.11h):

NLC, you are one troubled individual. Now I just feel sorry for you.



696. Post 11135218 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: inca on April 19, 2015, 10:06:53 AM
Getting an urge to go leverage long with my 50 btc play stash. Must. Not. Give. In. Smiley

I think there's a bit more downside (sorry guys). Technically things aren't looking great unless you can call this low volume chopping around a bottom--I can't. 3d macd solidly in the red. Daily chart bear flag in the works looking a bit foreboding. Whales seem intent on getting a panic shakeout near 200s or lower. Save your longs until then when everyone's freaking out.



697. Post 11136890 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: inca on April 19, 2015, 06:16:53 PM
Getting an urge to go leverage long with my 50 btc play stash. Must. Not. Give. In. Smiley

I think there's a bit more downside (sorry guys). Technically things aren't looking great unless you can call this low volume chopping around a bottom--I can't. 3d macd solidly in the red. Daily chart bear flag in the works looking a bit foreboding. Whales seem intent on getting a panic shakeout near 200s or lower. Save your longs until then when everyone's freaking out.

All this chopping around from 220-230 is fake.  The people who do get caught in the middle are those who are buying those shorts.

Thursday show @230 I gotto admit was pretty good.


Since we have gone from 22000 to 29200 shorts in a few days and the longs havent moved, whilst the price has risen, I would agree it is fake but not in the way you suggest. Borrowed selling and real buying by the looks of things.

I think the analysis of shorts vs longs is useful to know but overused to predict price. Shorts were at ATHs and the market still went down; conversely for longs. Market moves on supply and demand and not much else and those with the most coins and $$$ have the largest effect on price. They still have risk and need to make money so this will push the market in the direction of least resistance, or where obvious technicals point (often this is the same). Whales respect good, time-tested TA (volume, trends, support & resistance, MAs) just as other traders do. This is important as many of them are quite good.

Shorts vs longs may tell a good story but is more of a metric to see how many traders are entering the market to profit than anything else.



698. Post 11138006 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: Shatoshi on April 19, 2015, 08:23:05 PM
Do any of you more intelligent traders know anything about lag time between realtime trading on bitfinex and trades being reported to bots/services/observers?  Because I definitely notice the lag from time to time, I would definitely believe the claims that insiders are taking advantage of the imperfect distribution of information.

Everyone uses the live API--bots, web interface, trading software, bitcoin chart sites... Using a bot is only faster because it can make decisions and place orders very quickly. Generally everyone gets the info as it comes, no delay.



699. Post 11146079 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on April 20, 2015, 04:18:07 PM
You know what's more excruciating than a high volume dump down to $180?  A slow, 12 month grind down to $180.  From the average Joe, I'm sensing a huge amount of apathy for bitcoin right now, which sucks.

Why no apathy in the years before Jan 2013?  Are we still way above what can be supported?

I fear that if Bitcoin was what it is supposed to be you wouldn't have to ask the question. We would just see stable high volume on all exchanges. Instead we see the market and volume move according to the sentiments of speculators. If someone really needed BTC they would just buy it and use it without hanging out to see what the price would do. That doesn't mean that it can sustain a highish price as a speculators plaything, but I would be more comfortable if speculators accounted for 10% of the volume, not 90-98%.

Speculation is a huge and vital part of every market. Big currency markets simply have large market caps (in the trillions) so they are less volatile. You need billions, not millions to manipulate those markets.

Bitcoin is still a very young market and is just beginning to show efficient price discovery mechanisms. You joined during a massive speculative bubble so your expectations are high. Give it time.



700. Post 11177728 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on April 23, 2015, 09:34:02 PM

Maybe it was a sale to someone who wanted a ton of coins with no slippage? Maybe they're preparing to sell them on an exchange? Who knows.. but "they sent them to a new wallet and then spend 100" makes no sense.

He sent 100 from the 70k address. The 70k (minus the 100) is still sitting in the original address. It was simply sent back as change.



701. Post 11180002 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on April 24, 2015, 04:44:38 AM
what is a "fake" pump?  Over 200 bitcoins were consistently purchased per minute for 15 minutes, for the second half it consistently came up against buy walls, though I guess I don't know who set up the buy walls.  Do you mean it was one manipulator setting up both bids and asks in a tight range?
Maybe? Yeah the buys went through, but the ask sum took no hit despite an apparent purchase of over 2k BTC? Doesn't make much sense. Bid sum rose while ask sum remained constant  Huh

Looks like one whale wanted to push through the trendline with a bit of volume, but a bigger whale absorbed it all. Market is not going higher with this kind of money capping the price.



702. Post 11196617 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: ensurance982 on April 25, 2015, 10:32:57 PM
Quite a huge amount of bids at $225, I guess some people are eager to grab some coins and hope for a dump into their wall. Why isn't the price crashing already? I really would have expected it to go down massively after returning to these levels...
,

Failure to get above the 30d MA line during the last two rallies is a pretty good indication that the downtrend from $300 still has steam left and will probably test the 78.6 fib level. That's the lowest Fibonacci point, the "line in the sand" if you will. If we break it, watch out. Volume is low as the trading range from January to now is working itself out to completion (to be expected), so it wouldn't be difficult to achieve some panic.

To start the bull engine we either need more demand or liquidate until fewer people hold a larger amount of coins (bought from panic sellers) to reduce supply. A final big shakeout of early adopters and miners below $200 would clear the way for a big bull move.



703. Post 11215970 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Tzupy on April 27, 2015, 09:14:41 PM
russian bitcoin ban hammer getting closer.

just look how fast profits are leaving btc-e.

soon™.

They are desperate to get out, must have some inside knowledge.
The withdrawn coins will probably be distributed and slightly increase asks / seller pressure on other exchanges.

That's what I'm thinking. Someone wants out today, not tomorrow.



704. Post 11216480 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Crazy BTCe pump. Old school, I like it.



705. Post 11216564 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Possible front running of GBTC trading?



706. Post 11216626 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on April 27, 2015, 10:14:32 PM
Possible front running of GBTC trading?

How would that work? I still don't see how one would bleed into the other?

Like someone has insider info about institutional demand of GBTC and bought up all the cheap coins for themselves.



707. Post 11224663 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: inca on April 28, 2015, 04:38:49 PM

If you cannot see what suddenly allowing the vast sea of investment capital (multi trillion dollar pool) access to btc could potentially do to the price then I can't help you. Just fifty million USD would smash the price into the stratosphere.

Big picture remains that bitcoin is an excellent assymetric financial bet to speculate upon. Why do you think all the trolls and bears are really here?

Good point that a paper BTC derivitave (like GBTC and COIN) will attract a small but significant sum of money from investors who want to hedge against recessions and market/currency/economic crises. It's yet another tool for portfolio management.

This fact alone puts it on the radar for Wall Street, who make money selling these investment instruments to the public. They have undoubtedly "helped" the bear market due to the fact that there are so many green traders who are easy to shake out.

Think about this: Hedge funds aren't allowed to buy bull markets--in fact this is a great way to lose your job of you work for one--instead they buy down markets. When they buy, they buy low and they make sure to not mark the price up. Why would they make you rich at their expense? If the $200 level holds it's good evidence that these prices are "low" to whomever seeks to build a position in Bitcoin, and they hope to revisit higher price levels in the future.

Seeing how twitchy and hungry for good news this market is, watch everyone fat finger the margin buy button if GBTC begins trading at any price above spot.



708. Post 11226004 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Norway on April 28, 2015, 06:50:31 PM
I now have 2 theories for your motivation:


No, Jorge is a very smart computer scientist with an inflated ego who peaked decades ago. His "musings" about bitcoin are an attempt to stay relevant as he slowly fades away into academia.



709. Post 11228080 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

RSI divergences on the daily chart indicate trends losing steam. Last one is super obvious.




710. Post 11228196 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: tarmi on April 28, 2015, 10:57:09 PM
RSI divergences on the daily chart indicate trends losing steam. Last one is super obvious.



Bullish RSI divergence 6h



for the record we are 50 $ down from the last RSI bullish divergence.

We rallied from $240 to $260 after that prediction. As a trader I'll take that any day.



711. Post 11228307 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: tarmi on April 28, 2015, 11:17:37 PM

We rallied from $240 to $260 after that prediction. As a trader I'll take that any day.




as a "I earn 5 figures a month" trader, yes?

gtfo you clown!

You sound like you're about 12, so I'll leave it at that.



712. Post 11235992 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: sAt0sHiFanClub on April 29, 2015, 05:58:19 PM

Waiting for priceaction was never easier (more predictable).


You would think, but then something like the btc-e shenanigans throws it.

The btce shenanigans confirm it. Somebody wanted to buy big time, and for whatever reason chose that exchange to do so. This happens when the crowd gradually comes to realize that the bottom may be in and that demand will prevent further downside potential.



713. Post 11236606 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on April 29, 2015, 06:40:22 PM

Personally I don't think that is what is was about. I think someone wanted to break the major downtrend line in a major way and spend as little as possible doing it, and hoped that others would do the heavy lifting on the other exchanges. Busting the price up in any significant way would have taken much more money on any other exchange. Just my take ...

Alternatively it may have been a whale 'probing' to see how the market would react to such event - information gathering for their next 'play'

That could be part of it. It could have been a large whale on btce who sold a long time ago, didn't want the hassle of moving his fiat to another exchange and decided this price was a low-risk entry point. We don't really know: Maybe he became impatient for any number of reasons. We do know that he hasn't sold it back yet evidenced by the price on btce, which is now higher than other exchanges.

Traders who swing big enough bats to move the market don't necessarily plan for specific things to happen like short squeezes, they are simply a byproduct of their buying and selling to better their position.



714. Post 11238504 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: chopstick on April 29, 2015, 10:35:47 PM
So are we going up or down? What's the PROGNOSIS?

Market likes to take the route of least resistance. I probably don't have to tell you which way that is.



715. Post 11240058 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Cconvert2G36 on April 30, 2015, 03:20:19 AM
Quote
New Dollar Features

We’re also introducing new US dollar features that enable customers to hold, send, and receive dollars. Customers with dollar accounts gain all of the benefits of digital currency -- instant, secure and free payments to anyone in the world -- without holding or explicitly converting dollars into bitcoins. Dollar account balances held by Circle customers are FDIC-insured.

We have presented fiat users with a magnificent wooden horse sculpture, to be rolled within the gates with great fanfare.

It's pretty damn slick--using the Bitcoin network as a backend to send free dollar payments.

Move over PayPal.



716. Post 11245072 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 30, 2015, 03:42:49 PM
Allowing customers to use bitcoin to send money but holding it in USD (which is what's going on, Jorge - instant conversion at the time of use) and never seeing BTC is very neat. They still pay merchants in BTC, but don't need to worry about holding BTC. I can see that it might be nice for merchants to do the same. That removes a major barrier to adoption.

When you use their new service, they will take your USD, pretend to convert it to BTC, but keep the BTC as USD to avoid volatility losses, then pretend to convert the BTC back to USD, and deliver USD to the merchant.

That certainly removes the biggest barrier to bitcoin adoption -- which is bitcoin itself.

Guys, Jorge has figured everything out for us, pack it in. It was fun but we simply cannot compete with such a brilliant mind. Time to head home.



717. Post 11245678 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Cassius on April 30, 2015, 04:38:57 PM
Allowing customers to use bitcoin to send money but holding it in USD (which is what's going on, Jorge - instant conversion at the time of use) and never seeing BTC is very neat. They still pay merchants in BTC, but don't need to worry about holding BTC. I can see that it might be nice for merchants to do the same. That removes a major barrier to adoption.

When you use their new service, they will take your USD, pretend to convert it to BTC, but keep the BTC as USD to avoid volatility losses, then pretend to convert the BTC back to USD, and deliver USD to the merchant.
How did you figure it out all this? Or do you suggest that's what YOU would do if you were willing to start a company that clearly supports BTC in the first place?  Undecided

Please ignore my cheap shot about "the main barrier", and tell me what is wrong with my description of Circle's new service.

Circle may have intended to be a bitcoin-centered company when it was created.  However, BitPay's numbers show that the market for fiat-to-bitcoin and bitcoin-to-fiat services is small and shrinking, and the chances of recovering the VC investment and making a profit out of them are slim.  Circle and Coinbase must have realized this a year ago already.   So Circle (and Coinbase) are adding fiat-to-fiat services, whose market is orders of magnitude larger -- perhaps using bitcoin internally, but only if and when it pays.  From the quotes in teh article, it is evident that GS and IDG are interested in Circle as a digital payment processor, not as a bitcoin exchange. 

In case someone is wondering, none of that 50 M$ will go into buying bitcoins.  VC investors do not give money to startups for the startups to play the market with it, or invest it in something else.  If GS wanted to invest in bitcoin, they would do it themselves.  Charlie Lee explained that himself when he was asked how many million would Coinbase invest in BTC.

Ok, I'll humour you.
What happens when a Circle customer wants to buy something over the web from a merchant who isn't a Circle user? Maybe they use BitPay, or another service, or they're happy accepting funds in bitcoins. Do they:
1) Send a cheque, and inform the merchant by email (followed by a phone call)
2) Make a SWIFT transfer
3) Bridge the gap in some other way?

Don't you also think a start-up company (the clue's in the phrase) might anticipate a growth in their chosen sector?

You can humor him all day long, he won't humor back.



718. Post 11246681 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: dropt on April 30, 2015, 06:16:53 PM

Weren't you just told to keep your BS in this thread to wall watching and price discussion?  You really don't fucking listen to anything, do you?

His arguments are full of logical fallacies. Mr. Spock would not approve.



719. Post 11246723 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on April 30, 2015, 07:02:57 PM
BTC-E hit $238

Nice catch. I was adjusting my stops at Finex and missed it. Hard to see everything with 20 tabs of charts open.



720. Post 11246922 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on April 30, 2015, 07:20:22 PM
BTC-E hit $238

Nice catch. I was adjusting my stops at Finex and missed it. Hard to see everything with 20 tabs of charts open.

Get more screens

+1

I already have three!

Breakout upwards imminent, doesn't look like there's enough selling to push it down.



721. Post 11247106 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on April 30, 2015, 07:34:25 PM
I would love to see 240 before I turn in for the night.

Btw. Stands for six are dirt cheap nowadays, screens too.

Me too! If we make it above that next target is the 38.2% fib line, ~$250, which could be easily reached if the selling is light. Then the fomo begins, but that's getting ahead of things.

Six monitors would be amazing... but mine are NEC IPS monitors, so it would be a costly (although beautiful) upgrade Smiley



722. Post 11247298 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on April 30, 2015, 08:11:14 PM
You forgot about nasdaq stockholm being a partial reason for this micro-bubble.

And let's not forget the GBTC. One of the bidders is Citadel Securitys.

From Wikipedia:
"Citadel is the eleventh largest hedge fund manager in the world, and the second largest multi-strategy hedge fund manager in the world."

That's the ticket. Suddenly pension funds and hedge funds can tap into BTC. 2015 will be The Year of Bitcoin.

A lot of traders expected the "institutional investment" bubble back in May. Of course it fell short of expectations and the rally was doomed to fail. Now, well, who knows? Nobody is expecting it.



723. Post 11247405 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on April 30, 2015, 08:27:37 PM
$250 here we come. Resistance is futile. Somebody knows something we don't - that's for sure... Roll Eyes
Not really.. someone bought thousands of coins at $300 from bearwhale -- they sure weren't smart afterall.

But nobody could have predicted Bitstamp's hack, which is what sent us into this range in the first place.



724. Post 11255917 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: bitebits on May 01, 2015, 04:55:09 PM
I think bitcoin be  more like.....



We are very much in the hangover stage.

You have to think big (zoom out), we are in between 0 and 1.

Yeah these patterns are fractal. They happen on the 1h, daily and weekly charts. The longer timeframes are more reliable.



725. Post 11258143 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Wings1987 on May 01, 2015, 11:11:32 PM
Decent size dump that started on Huobi. Looks to be bouncing back.


This is why I don't use stops while trading. If I do it's outside of a strong support or resistance area (so running them would be too expensive) or I use a trailing stop.

$232 would have been the obvious place to put one, right below the market at an even number. I was watching finex and that mini dump caught a bunch of them around that area. In light of the uptrend in the background it's bullish. Silly traders.



726. Post 11264220 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Count Chocula on May 02, 2015, 01:16:32 PM
You should listen to Wary when he talks about hypocrisy. He's an expert.
Right. I've seen so many commies, that can be considered an expert in them. Smiley Although not all of them are hypocritical bastards. Some are well-meaning self-deceiving guys ("useful idiots", as Lenin used to call them).

We know it when you're sleeping
We know when you're awake
We know when you've been bad, motherfucker, we're watching you.
Careful Angry

Not your friends,

~The General Mills Apparatchiks

Some things there are that have a double life
in light and shade, the future and the past...
Human memories: lonely places, tearful love.

And there the watcher stands aghast, mute and motionless
and now all his days are as trances...
and all of his nightly dreams...



727. Post 11264836 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: Count Chocula on May 02, 2015, 04:58:07 PM
You should listen to Wary when he talks about hypocrisy. He's an expert.
Right. I've seen so many commies, that can be considered an expert in them. Smiley Although not all of them are hypocritical bastards. Some are well-meaning self-deceiving guys ("useful idiots", as Lenin used to call them).

We know it when you're sleeping
We know when you're awake
We know when you've been bad, motherfucker, we're watching you.
Careful Angry

Not your friends,

~The General Mills Apparatchiks

Some things there are that have a double life
in light and shade, the future and the past...
Human memories: lonely places, tearful love.

And there the watcher stands aghast, mute and motionless
and now all his days are as trances...
and all of his nightly dreams...

Some human memories and tearful lore,
Render him terrorless: his name's "No More."
He is the corporate Silence: dread him not!
No power hath he of evil in himself; etc., etc.

Even some writing talent, alas wasted inside your corrupt mind. If only you could see yourself through others' eyes and perhaps have the tiniest bit of courage to take responsibility for the things that you post.

Tell me, does your sadism extend to real life, or just the internet?



728. Post 11282334 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

So, what now? Buy all the cheap coins?  Grin



729. Post 11282352 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: ensurance982 on May 04, 2015, 04:15:47 PM
Looks like the bears could get quite a haircut there... I bet someone just decided to put everything on one card and start one final dump-attempt and shorted all of his holdings. Silbert stepped in at the right moment and turned the ship around. The bears are accustomed to not experiencing any resistance. This is truly gratifying!

It looked to me that lots of longs started closing at once (and maybe a few shorts opened too), thinking that GBTC wasn't going to start trading today.



730. Post 11282552 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.13h):

Quote from: ensurance982 on May 04, 2015, 04:28:48 PM
Alright, now we're back over $239, is the support line from $213 save again or is it still "destroyed? These are two support lines I'm watching at the moment, still valid? - What's your opinion:

-snip-


Taking the uptrend into the background, you often see shakeouts right before the price continues upwards. This has the effect of pushing the price up by encouraging longs to cover and bears to open up more shorts. Now those longs won't sell into the rally (they'll have to buy back in) and the twichy bears will cover, both of which encourage it.

Volume should be heavy as the market approaches any support/resistance areas, or they are not liable to break. That's more important than the exact price where one draws the line.

So to answer your question, yes, it held. (edit: but it was close)



731. Post 11283512 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: minerpumpkin on May 04, 2015, 06:10:20 PM
Aww, what's happening now... Let's just hope that we'll form a double-bottom on the short-term support line that's been established over the last few days and bounce right back into the $240s... I don't feel comfortable leaving this uptrend-channel Cheesy

It's a probing bot that pushes the market down on low volume to absorb selling, catch stops, etc. It puts big hidden orders right above the market so the price can't move up, market sells a bit to make the amateur traders nervous, catches what it can of the selling, then reverses. Very clever.



732. Post 11283588 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: atlosas on May 04, 2015, 06:23:45 PM
Aww, what's happening now... Let's just hope that we'll form a double-bottom on the short-term support line that's been established over the last few days and bounce right back into the $240s... I don't feel comfortable leaving this uptrend-channel Cheesy

It's a probing bot that pushes the market down on low volume to absorb selling, catch stops, etc. It puts big hidden orders right above the market so the price can't move up, market sells a bit to make the amateur traders nervous, catches what it can of the selling, then reverses. Very clever.

Or markets test the resistance at 243, it doesn't break, so it pulls back. No conspiracy

The hidden walls give it away. I've seen "it" at work at least a dozen times. No conspiracy, just clever traders taking advantage.



733. Post 11285763 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: minerpumpkin on May 04, 2015, 06:59:08 PM
Is that also the reason why BitFinex's orderbook seems to be broken on Bitcoinwisdom? It seems to shift every 5 seconds or so... What's up with that? Also, does this mean the price is going to break back up in an hour or so?

Not sure. I was getting annoyed by it earlier. Maybe it's a buggy API, or someone is testing a market-making bot (which fills in gaps between bid and ask). Seems to have stopped now.

Usually, during an uptrend, if a price just below the market is rejected on declining volume (which is what happened), it indicates that enough buyers in proportion to sellers exist to support the price. In that case the price will probably recover or simply go sideways before resuming its trend. This action could also be a shakeout designed to hunt stops below the market or nervous longs covering, or both.

I'm uncertain about this uptrend but leaning bullish. GBTC trading live could be a good pump opportunity once the market settles down sideways so we'll see if that materializes. There is a distinct lack of selling so even the slightest demand would push prices up. Definitely a risky trade to take a short position.

Regarding future prices: If a whale is smart he will attempt to push the market in the cheapest direction, otherwise he risks losing money as the prevailing market forces will simply run him over. Taking a bet in the direction of least resistance is more likely to result in a profitable trade.



734. Post 11292790 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: bad trader on May 05, 2015, 04:01:24 PM
But the volume doesn't matter, in my opinion. The shares did change hands at those prices. That's what matters.
The traders on the actual bitcoin exchanges have little reason to care. Someone could sell 50000 GBTC at $35 and buy 5000 BTC below $350 on bitcoin exchanges, but that's seems to be where GBTC's ability to affect the prices ends at the moment.

The important factor is how much demand there is for any ETF. People are watching GBTC carefully as it is first out of the gate, and any price increase in the BTC cash markets will reflect speculation on future demand for paper Bitcoin securities, and won't be a reflection of the actual price traded (since there's not enough volume for consistent arbitrage). So perception of high demand is important for higher prices because the company owning the ETF will have to buy bitcoins on the open market to match it.



735. Post 11307384 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

I try to leave for a nice extended three martini lunch and the place goes to hell. Classic Bitcoin.

Well, we have a 6h candle with BTC40k volume and I can almost guarantee that the price didn't move as far as whoever did the dumping wanted it to. Lots of buying as evidenced by that long bottom wick. Compare it to April 13th's 6h candle of similar volume and see how far the price went (hint: much farther). Volume like that tends to be stopping volume, not starting volume. What does it mean? Well that's for us to deduce.



736. Post 11312904 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: Chalkbot on May 07, 2015, 04:16:12 PM
Good morning Bitcoinland.

Slight dip on pretty big volume I see. I also see it's more than halfway back.

It doesn't appear to want to leave the $230s for long.

Pot on. Mmmm...

There's some speculation that a big part of that dip may have been some erroneous code at bitfinex. I'm not totally up to speed on the situation, however.

I watched it live and it was two whales going at it. Bullwhale won as the market conditions were greatly in his favor. Epic stuff.

If the Dump Team Six (Uncle Ben and the London syndicate) rumors are true, then the stacked orderbook is probably a big middle finger to them. Who dumps into such an oversold market anyway? Talk about a good way to go broke.



737. Post 11323085 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: Feri22 on May 08, 2015, 05:15:36 PM
What has to happen to be sure that we have a confirmed reversal? Break 260? 270? 280? 290? 300?

For me at least it would be getting firmly over 320 and lingering. Anything below that would possibly be another rinse and repeat.

Ok, can you please elaborate some reasons for 320? I would like to hear your theory...

~$200-$300 is the market's trading range since January. $300-$400 was the previous trading range toward the end of 2014. It takes lots of volume (up or down) to break out of a range, or else the price will continue to bounce around within it.

Once the price begins moving back above $300 and tests it as support, $320 will be easily achieved. Traders need to see this action to have the confidence to place a low-risk long position. Otherwise the long would be high-risk (a big no-no). A firm break above into a new trading range will be a sign that the long-term bottom is in and everyone who wanted to sell, sold, and that the big-moneyed interests have filled their bags. It is an important psychological milestone more than anything else, but it gives investors confidence that the market will begin turning bull and $500-$800 is within reach.



738. Post 11324086 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: molecular on May 08, 2015, 06:46:45 PM
can't he just replace with a cheaper offer?

Yeah that'd be the obvious thing to do. TBH the Finex interface when managing loans is confusing so that gives you an idea of who is shorting: noobs.

Quote from: tomothy on May 08, 2015, 07:03:20 PM
So, assuming we just had a double bottom of around ~$215ish; could we hit that resistance level again for a triple bottom? Is that realistic at all?  I just can't see us breaking out above $260 until the bit-license stuff comes out. Even if we start getting momentum; I think marketmakers could just use the new licensing standards to either push price down or push it up depending their own personal timeline concerning market manipulation. Have I just had my hopes of a new trend crushed to many time? I'm thinking $350 ~ July? W/ lots of stuff having been onramped by then (gemini,winki,etc,etc...)? But for now I just see sideways until June at least and just staying between 200-300 channel trend. Thoughts?

EW guys are calling a top at $260 then a retest of range lows. Watch us blow past it just to prove them wrong. We might get a pullback there (profit taking, new shorts) but if we stabilize and go above they'll revise their counts.

If you have a short open you should have closed $10 ago. Hoping the market comes back to you is not a strategy, it is gambling.



739. Post 11324534 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on May 08, 2015, 08:00:51 PM
.... am I the only one whose mind is boggled by their ability to ignore what they said two days ago and still claim that what they are doing makes sense? It's like a populist party. Of course they were right all along. They have called every possible movement there is.

Waves on a chart tend to play themselves out in patterns (impulse, corrective) and adhere to fibonacci levels as EW dictates, but they are driven more by volume, trader psychology and supply/demand than by a predetermined set of rules. EW tries to quantify this behavior but I find it best to keep an eye on their possibilities while analyzing volume and trends and where they're likely to begin and end.

It's just one of many tools to use. Plenty of methods will help reduce risk and point one in a direction of high probability trades. At the end of the day though, good trading comes down to money management than anything else.

But yeah, on a basic level it's mind-boggling to sift through the plethora of EW charts. One of them has to be close, therefore EW works. This reasoning can suck in newbs IMO and give them a false sense of security.



740. Post 11325413 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

If a troll cries in a forest and nobody is around to hear...

NLC your audience is rapidly dwindling. If you keep being an annoying ass some hacker is bound to dox you. Maybe troll a less tech-saavy crowd.



741. Post 11325539 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: lyth0s on May 08, 2015, 10:51:57 PM
Is this not a typical place where bears would have dumped?

-snip-

They tried a couple days ago and were denied. Lots of bear trend lines being broken lately--probably a good sign that we're forming a bottom.



742. Post 11333743 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: shmadz on May 09, 2015, 10:33:43 PM
Are we going up now?  Wink

Drifting higher on low volume always makes me nervous...

Sometimes it's bullish. When the market is exhausted of selling, the price often drifts up as there's too few coins to sell at this price and existing demand can march the price upwards. Then you get a little pump when bulls who were on the fence start buying. Of course it gets faded by traders unless the big money enters, but still better than going down.



743. Post 11334232 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: Stevenirving on May 10, 2015, 12:28:55 AM
BFX just took ~160$ out of my account and I am trying to figure out why.
I shorted 7BTC at 244.5.
Then closed it at 242.
BFX took out the 160$ saying it was a swap cost.
Why would I be charged 160$ swap cost?
Its nonsense. Who would trade on margin if the fees were ~11%?

Anyone know what I am missing?

It depends on how long you held the position the % rate was on the 7btc loan. $160 seems very high. Contact support and they should be able to take care of it for you.



744. Post 11339190 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: inca on May 10, 2015, 03:59:53 PM
Pretty low volume selling. Smells like capping action rather than a serious attempt to push the price much lower.

Seems like money making maneuvers by bored whales to run some stops and build up a few shorts before the rally resumes tomorrow.



745. Post 11347629 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: Dilla on May 11, 2015, 04:35:14 PM
yea, of all the times to get out, now makes the most sense in the last 18 months

I agree. Those five high volume bottoms at $210 just seemed fake to me, as if buyers were actually buying but only to sell $5 later. For this reason I'm unloading my cold storage and putting it max leverage short on OKCoin.

Should be a sure thing.



746. Post 11348016 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: Chef Ramsay on May 11, 2015, 05:14:09 PM
yea, of all the times to get out, now makes the most sense in the last 18 months

I agree. Those five high volume bottoms at $210 just seemed fake to me, as if buyers were actually buying but only to sell $5 later. For this reason I'm unloading my cold storage and putting it max leverage short on OKCoin.

Should be a sure thing.

I would ask tarmi, but he seems to have left the building.
If he got margin'd up, he's either ruined for good or in such a strong state of shock that he had to undergo treatment and this might speak to his absence.

Oh he's fine, probably all talk anyway. He'll be back soon with his BTC1 short, trying to talk the market down.



747. Post 11348050 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

In seriousness, I wasn't sure about this morning's little uptrend, but it did gain some steam later on. It's good that we bounced off $243--let's see if it double tops or keeps going. People are afraid to sell with $500 paper bitcoin being thrown around and more good news rolling in.



748. Post 11348085 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: ricmi on May 11, 2015, 05:29:10 PM
You bitcoiners wishing to other market participants the worst possible outcomes will backfire on you once we go to double digits. Wink

And how do you suggest we get there? Dump Team Six failed to break the market below $230 and you know they were gunning for $210.

The market is not magic, there needs to be actual selling for the price to go down.



749. Post 11348141 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Here's a better one, because human behavior is predictable.




750. Post 11348299 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: ricmi on May 11, 2015, 05:46:41 PM
You bitcoiners wishing to other market participants the worst possible outcomes will backfire on you once we go to double digits. Wink

And how do you suggest we get there? Dump Team Six failed to break the market below $230 and you know they were gunning for $210.

The market is not magic, there needs to be actual selling for the price to go down.


15 mil of coins in circulation and 3600 minted every day, so not so difficult.

The only question is when. I am betting this summer: june~august.


Once it's clear that the bear trend is all but over miners will start to hold in expectation of higher prices. They sure weren't dumping 3600 coins per day during Q4 2013.



751. Post 11350418 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):

Quote from: hyphymikey on May 11, 2015, 10:12:33 PM
The fact that you've been here this long, and are short right now, means you probably never knew what you were doing and actually made very little profits or lost everything. OR, you just are saying you are short to get others to short, so you can pick up cheap coins, and are smarter than we think you actually are.

Being short 80% from all time highs is the riskier trade. That's why not very many people are doing it now. There's an off-chance that we'll see $200 again, but taking risks like that is how you blow up your trading account.



752. Post 11368004 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

The remaining bears are getting frothy over on finex. I wonder how long it will take before they realize most of their friends have gone home.



753. Post 11372467 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: Dump3er on May 14, 2015, 08:48:21 AM
Huge market sells = manipulation, huge market buys = legit rally mode.

High volume pushing price down = so many coins to push the price 5,00$ down, that's bullish!
High volume pumping the price up = such demand, that's bullish!

Furthermore there only exists accumulation, have you ever seen any distribution with Bitcoin?!

*sigh*

Yeah big distribution area after $1200 top.

And pumping the price is manipulation too. Works both ways.



754. Post 11396004 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: rich93 on May 16, 2015, 07:58:31 PM
That's it, show's over folks ... you've had your $2.5 range for today and if you didn't get rich you're doin it wrong  Grin

The boring price range is incredibly dull this weekend. Most of the time there are only a few hundred Bitcoins traded every half hour on Bitfinex, and sometimes there's almost no trading at all. I expected automated bots to keep on micro trading when everyone else stopped, but even the bots seem to have stopped.

Volume has been quite low since the correction of the ride to $300 ended. Not much selling but not a lot of buying either. Everyone's waiting, waiting waiting. From a market making perspective, this would be a great time to pump... market with most speculative selling removed + multiple failed dumps + great news on all fronts. Everyone's waiting on the ETN news. But the potential is there.



755. Post 11403005 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: inca on May 17, 2015, 05:19:32 PM
How much does it cost to dox someone?

I'm in. Let's start a fund.



756. Post 11404150 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Dow Theory

Quote
Primary Bull Market - Stage 1 - Accumulation

Hamilton noted that the first stage of a bull market was largely indistinguishable from the last reaction rally of a bear market. Pessimism, which was excessive at the end of the bear market, still reigns at the beginning of a bull market. It is a period when the public is out of stocks, the news from corporate America is bad and valuations are usually at historical lows. However, it is at this stage that the so-called “smart money” begins to accumulate stocks. This is the stage of the market when those with patience see value in owning stocks for the long haul. Stocks are cheap, but nobody seems to want them. This is the stage where Warren Buffet stated in the summer of 1974 that now was the time to buy stocks and become rich. Everyone else thought he was crazy.

In the first stage of a bull market, stocks begin to find a bottom and quietly firm up. When the market starts to rise, there is widespread disbelief that a bull market has begun. After the first leg peaks and starts to head back down, the bears come out proclaiming that the bear market is not over. It is at this stage that careful analysis is warranted to determine if the decline is a secondary movement (a correction of the first leg up). If it is a secondary move, then the low forms above the previous low, a quiet period will ensue as the market firms and then an advance will begin. When the previous peak is surpassed, the beginning of the second leg and a primary bull will be confirmed.



757. Post 11413297 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on May 18, 2015, 07:43:24 PM
Dumpdy dump

Absorb absorb absorb



758. Post 11413996 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: publicjud on May 18, 2015, 08:53:05 PM
Only 1 dump from 1 person pretty much no?
No,

That's just how many parties were involved in the sharp spike down on BFX.. not including any of the other dumps in the previous hour.

what does that prove?

A bunch of stops were hit right below $230. Finex groups them together into large market sells. The 267 sell @ $229.01 and 1025 sell @ $229.44 may have been the bulk (some panic sellers mixed in there too probably). But you can see how the buy walls immediately moved up after that to stop the selloff. A few large buys happened down there as well.



759. Post 11414862 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: Morecoin Freeman on May 18, 2015, 10:40:03 PM
Damn I can't survive in a sideways market.

Where did all the traders go? Sad

It's pretty rough out there. Lots of chop, lots of accumulation, lots of leverage on both sides. Poop and scoops left and right. Maybe try trading on a higher timeframe. Also don't get sucked into quick moves either way, there's usually a better entry point if you wait.

"When you want to bet the house, hands off the mouse."



760. Post 11425463 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: Morecoin Freeman on May 19, 2015, 11:54:30 PM
Yea I think 230's will not survive, possibly by tomorrow.

Might get another test of $230 but sellers are not making much of an impact.

Volume is surprisingly low, which means we may be entering the Wyckoff accumulation trading range stage C, where the stock goes through testing by the composite operator. Volume trails off as most floating supply is now in strong hands, and there are a series of tests to see how low of a price in which the CO can accumulate any remaining scraps. This ends with either rising bottoms, or a washout to the floor of the range which will immediately reverse into a strong rally if volume is not high. Obviously you don't want to be caught on the wrong side of this so best to wait it out and don't panic if it happens.

There is a saying... "if you can't shake them out, tire them out." This is the stage we are in. Hold tight, because stage D and E are the markup phases if there's no new supply and everyone refrains from panicking into the CO's open bags. Next few weeks/months should be interesting.



761. Post 11425867 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

Quote from: spooderman on May 20, 2015, 01:19:11 AM
Yea I think 230's will not survive, possibly by tomorrow.

Might get another test of $230 but sellers are not making much of an impact.

Volume is surprisingly low, which means we may be entering the Wyckoff accumulation trading range stage C, where the stock goes through testing by the composite operator. Volume trails off as most floating supply is now in strong hands, and there are a series of tests to see how low of a price in which the CO can accumulate any remaining scraps. This ends with either rising bottoms, or a washout to the floor of the range which will immediately reverse into a strong rally if volume is not high. Obviously you don't want to be caught on the wrong side of this so best to wait it out and don't panic if it happens.

There is a saying... "if you can't shake them out, tire them out." This is the stage we are in. Hold tight, because stage D and E are the markup phases if there's no new supply and everyone refrains from panicking into the CO's open bags. Next few weeks/months should be interesting.

So you're saying...

the next few weeks/months r critical?

Absofruitly Wink



762. Post 11433405 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

It always seems like there's a few guys who collected a ton of coins trading the last big movement, missed the boat to fully cover and are now intent on losing it all by bossing the price in the direction that they traded last, trying to stop the correction because they are overconfident and still heavily leveraged the wrong direction in futures.

News flash, this never works.




763. Post 11457749 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.16h):

Quote from: Norway on May 26, 2015, 06:41:32 PM
Arbitrage should take care of this. I think the market is manipulated, but it can only be done to a certain degree.

I agree. With a market of this size, you really have to expect manipulation. Even a whale carefully trading a 10k position is going to manipulate the market, intentionally or not. It's simply the nature of the volume that he trades.



764. Post 11465415 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.16h):

Quote from: kevindurant on May 27, 2015, 05:05:33 PM
I think selling now and buying at 220 $ could be good plan for this week.

I think gambling is bad for your bank account.



765. Post 11465902 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.16h):

Quote from: dakota neat on May 27, 2015, 05:52:00 PM
give up. do you always be 'that guy' on a party? bitcoin is dead, nobody wants it. chinese database dumpers and stuff. sell now, do yourself a favor.

So sorry you bought near the top. But selling the bottom won't improve your situation.



766. Post 11561597 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

I heard a nasty little rumor about some big announcement this week. From the Winklevii.



767. Post 11593002 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Quote from: Chef Ramsay on June 11, 2015, 06:36:53 AM
Um, yeah, we're gonna need more of those hats...
It would be nice to hear more of an opinion about this whole thing from you, boss.

There's definitely something brewing. Somebody of deep-pocketed fame has been keeping a lid on the price for weeks now amid this low volume chop. Who knows why or what for, possibly to buy off-market. Maybe the Winkle twins have moonworthy news and these guys want to start pumping at a lower price, who knows. The buying has been picking up to challenge this, making me wonder what the insiders know.

Technically speaking the market has been grinding along, forming a bottom. I see a nice double bottom and RSI bullish divergence on the 3d and weekly charts--signals to take seriously on these long timeframes.

You normally see this low volume behavior as the bear market grinds to a halt. Psychologically there is still a lot of bearishness and even respected market gurus are calling for more down. In reality the selling is all but gone and most of the stock is held by strong hands, not intent on selling at these low prices. You see an unwillingness of sellers to participate. At the same time buyers are not interested much in the stock and the few that are, are fine with waiting patiently for the market to come to them. So the price seems to inexplicably firm up amid a dull period.

What I've been looking for is an eventual rally out of this area as the market is not able to provide any more cheap coins. That's the real test for the accumulators that must be passed, and they must agree. The price would then run promptly to the top of the trading range on big volume, giving all the bystanders a reason to get in. A rally this far into the trading range where supply has been successfully tested for so many times has the power to reverse the bear market.

If the Winkles have good news, HODL ON to those hats!



768. Post 11593158 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Quote from: aztecminer on June 11, 2015, 04:26:41 PM
Um, yeah, we're gonna need more of those hats...
It would be nice to hear more of an opinion about this whole thing from you, boss.

If the Winkles have good news, HODL ON to those hats!

did the Marshall's  do the final auction. i have hard time believing this is going anywhere before that final auction.

The overall trend will discount everything else so if the bull starts sooner rather than later, like late summer/fall, it wouldn't likely effect the price much. The smart money will begin selling thier tranches as the public mania gets underway and the price starts moving parabolic on larger timeframes, providing them with opportunity to unload large volumes. This is where the auctioned coins will likely be stealthily sold.



769. Post 11593795 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

15k coins to $200... haven't seen that in awhile.



770. Post 11593992 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Quote from: macsga on June 11, 2015, 05:59:55 PM
We mock ourselves about high vol. dumps... nonsense! THAT'S what I call a dump!

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-11/who-just-dumped-over-100-million-aapl

Smart money unloading stocks to the public, nothing to see here.



771. Post 11626660 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Looks to me that some of the whales building huge positions have taken the brakes off, so to speak. And all the support building on the bid side (18k to 212) is a signal, a not-so-subtle "this is gentlemen" to every trader out there.



772. Post 11634581 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Quote from: Dilla on June 16, 2015, 05:12:37 PM
I expected a consolidation in the $240s, but it just doesn't seem like much volume for another big leg up. I hope we stay here if we don't push up.

You guys are crazy. Look at the 12h and daily candle volume--there's a lot of commitment there. Either this is going to reverse in a very quick way or it's the beginning of a larger move up.

There's a nice W bottom on the 3d and weekly charts so I think you all know what's coming.



773. Post 11636399 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

Quote from: Specular on June 16, 2015, 07:56:28 PM
Does anybody really doubt this rally is Grexit driven?  I took a little off the table like a lot of people, but I think it's still got legs. The Cypress template suggests that there is still a long way to go as capital controls have not even been implemented yet.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-16/bitcoin-spikes-greeks-follow-cyprus-template


It may not be Grexit related... but it sure would be a funny coincidence.

The real question is whether the price rise is driven by honest-to-god Bitcoin demand due to the Greek situation or whether it is just traders/whales expecting another Cypress-style rally. Then again - does it really matter?

I'm curious to see if we have another move higher today/tonight.


Whales use news to plan market events. It kind of happens organically as they swing such huge bats their effect on the price is inevitable.

The message to traders is pretty clear: building support, tenacious buying by whales and lack of selling. Money is also flowing into some altcoins.

Market couldn't break down through $210, all the selling has been absorbed so the littlest push will ignite the rockets and everyone starts piling back on. That's how bear markets end. Technically it ended in January with that huge volume selling climax, but we needed time to build huge positions in the meantime Wink



774. Post 11661847 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on June 19, 2015, 05:34:19 PM
Starting to get worried we're set for a dump to take us below 240. It's eerily quiet on here, just a hunch but I sense a dump. People might have been waiting for the pump from the other day to continue. It hasn't so we've begun a little dump, I think people who look for small profits might sell now unfortunately.

Bid support has grown tremendously so it would have to be a pretty big dump, and sell volume is running low as usual this late in the bear market. Very risky for whales to attempt this if only to manipulate. Profit-taking is generally not enough to push things down when the market is ready to move up.

At the outset of larger uptrends you'll see a resistance to lower prices and low volume on the dips as some longs take profits and retail/gamblers load up on shorts. As a trader, I might take profits here (haven't yet) but would get long at the next dip if the price continues to firm up around $250. In that case many longs who rode the first leg will watch the bull flag complete on 12h/daily chart and jump back in.

I think we either go sideways this weekend or see a pump start sometime before Monday to mark the price up for people waiting for deposits to clear at exchanges. If we do see higher prices next week watch out because many of the whales are finally turning bullish, removing sell orders and attracting volume back into the market. The ask side of Finex is quite scary if a big pump takes off. Scary in a good way as there's little to stand in the way of higher prices, and it might run to the top of the trading range ($280-300) very quickly.



775. Post 11661963 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on June 19, 2015, 07:05:58 PM
Starting to get worried we're set for a dump to take us below 240. It's eerily quiet on here, just a hunch but I sense a dump. People might have been waiting for the pump from the other day to continue. It hasn't so we've begun a little dump, I think people who look for small profits might sell now unfortunately.

Bid support has grown tremendously so it would have to be a pretty big dump, and sell volume is running low as usual this late in the bear market. Very risky for whales to attempt this if only to manipulate. Profit-taking is generally not enough to push things down when the market is ready to move up.

At the outset of larger uptrends you'll see a resistance to lower prices and low volume on the dips as some longs take profits and retail/gamblers load up on shorts. As a trader, I might take profits here (haven't yet) but would get long at the next dip if the price continues to firm up around $250. In that case many longs who rode the first leg will watch the bull flag complete on 12h/daily chart and jump back in.

I think we either go sideways this weekend or see a pump start sometime before Monday to mark the price up for people waiting for deposits to clear at exchanges. If we do see higher prices next week watch out because many of the whales are finally turning bullish, removing sell orders and attracting volume back into the market. The ask side of Finex is quite scary if a big pump takes off. Scary in a good way as there's little to stand in the way of higher prices, and it might run to the top of the trading range ($280-300) very quickly.

What is your speculation about next week, bassclef ?

Will we say higher prices, what do you think in general ?

Obviously bullish. I think we test the 200 day MA again to see if it breaks. I think it might, easily. That means end of bull market to a lot of technicians although many of us watching closely have already sensed this. So $270-280 is a decent target for next reaccumlation zone.



776. Post 11662068 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: tarmi on June 19, 2015, 07:28:22 PM
obviously bullish is bearish.

only near the end of a trend



777. Post 11662715 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on June 19, 2015, 07:51:10 PM
I might have fallen and hit my head, but what do you mean here?

Something like this. 30 week simple moving average line (plots almost same as 200 day SMA) is a "one size fits all" method to track whether a market is in bear or bull mode. Lots of traditional market gurus use this number.

Basically if the market can get above it (and stay above it using it as resistance) it is a very good long term indication of things.




778. Post 11662885 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: Ivanhoe on June 19, 2015, 09:37:11 PM
i think it's a typo and he means "bear market".

Yeah that. Didn't catch it. Smiley



779. Post 11728992 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Well boys and girls, $253 or so is the 200 day MA, which also coincides with one or more log downtrend lines. Expect to see all of this wonderful "stability" end abruptly if it breaks Wink



780. Post 11736749 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: poncho32 on June 28, 2015, 03:23:16 PM
That was one helluva dump, doing squat.

I couldn't believe that. We had one crappy little pump on finex, then just when I thought it was going to moon we had a 1.5k dump straight down. Is someone taking us for a ride or what?

Best to zoom out and not sweat the little movements on the 15m chart or you're likely to get shaken out. The 1.5k dump was probably just a single trader locking in profits and was too lazy to use limit orders.

Just saw a 1000 coin market buy into a big hidden wall at Finex. Either it's a whale shuffling cards in his accounts or it's a trader taking advantage of the "corrective wave bot" that appears after every big move with huge hidden walls to push the market in the opposite direction to take a more profitable position.



781. Post 11736916 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

Quote from: tarmi on June 28, 2015, 04:35:04 PM

Best to zoom out and not sweat the little movements on the 15m chart or you're likely to get shaken out.


even better: just stop buying near the resistance line/local top. let others do that for you.

The resistance is what, $247.5? Not much wiggle room there if you're looking to position. I think that trader saw a chance to buy into those hidden walls with no slippage and took it.



782. Post 11739865 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: GaliX on June 28, 2015, 11:14:27 PM
In case you consider shorting Euro with your Bitcoins ... Try a bitcoin only Broker like:

https://1broker.com/


Could be a smart idea but be careful when using high leverage... Start with low leverage
You can also go for the safer trade an buy Gold Futures 20x....

good charting site is Tradingview for all forex pairs/future marks:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=FX:EURUSD

Didn't you just get banned from tradingview chat, lol.



783. Post 11748202 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: hmmkay on June 29, 2015, 08:15:23 PM
--NLC ravings--

I sincerely hope you're getting paid for this.

Much more lucrative to be in crypto. Her loss if she's wasting her time shouting at the wall.



784. Post 11748240 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on June 29, 2015, 08:39:27 PM
--NLC ravings--

I sincerely hope you're getting paid for this.

Much more lucrative to be in crypto. Her loss if she's wasting her time shouting at the wall.

Her ?

Explains the gay porn Wink



785. Post 11775289 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Reloading at the 200 day SMA support--who's ready for some fireworks this weekend?



786. Post 11775474 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on July 02, 2015, 08:01:18 PM
Reloading at the 200 day SMA support--who's ready for some fireworks this weekend?

For a novice, and if you don't mind for sure, could you elaborate this for me please  Smiley

Quote
200 day SMA support

Moving Averages

200 day (or 30 week) MA is an industry standard of sorts used by technicians to tell what the greater trend of the market is. Above it, bullish. Below, bearish.



787. Post 11803768 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

This is the force of accumulation at work friends, what have I been telling you about for months? it coils the market like a spring and when there is a proper catalyst (the Greek crisis in this case) that brings in the slightest bit of demand, the exchange prices skyrocket because there is so little left to sell. Happy trading!



788. Post 11804347 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on July 06, 2015, 01:46:21 PM
Jeez another 200k sell wall @ BTC-e. Do these guys honestly think 270 is a good price for their Bitcoins? Or are they just trying to keep the price down?
They'll run out or coins to mess around with soon & then the price will settle at what it should be. I always wonder why people would want to keep the price down, it doesn't make sense. Surely if you have/own BTC's you should want the price to go as high as possible, I know I do. I hope there are many shorters shitting themselves at the moment worrying about not being able to pay their bills Grin Grin
Shorting BTC has been a fool proof strategy for over a year. Well not any more bitches, WUT you gonna do now Wink

Yeah shorts are really running for cover here. The walls could be protecting of positions, or miners/whales cashing in on the rally. The thing is, fighting the tide of the market is a good way to go broke--always better to take the loss and go with the trend.



789. Post 11806236 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

15m chart: Watch the selling climax (high volume) + secondary test of the same price area (low volume). There's your buy signal.



790. Post 11810420 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: cyclotronmajesty on July 07, 2015, 05:29:52 AM
precipitous dump

Or a low volume dump. Of course you'll get a pullback after a big price rise, every time. There's overarching supply to be worked out of the market because of profit taking. Once it's all absorbed, whoosh back up we go. Look at the volume compared to similar moves to the left and it will give you an idea of how much gasoline is behind it.



791. Post 11810455 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: cyclotronmajesty on July 07, 2015, 05:38:19 AM
So if Greece makes a deal with the EU is that good or bad for bitcoin?

It doesn't matter too much although I'm sure some would sell expecting a drop. The price was ready to move up before the Greek drama, but the drama acted as a trigger for everyone who was out to jump back in and for whales to pump the price by taking bigger positions. It would have happened eventually. But the price is not directly being pumped by the Greeks, that is for sure. They are a very small percentage of the buyers.

The long term trend for Bitcoin is up regardless of the drama in the world.



792. Post 11810588 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: Chef Ramsay on July 07, 2015, 05:47:18 AM
precipitous dump

Or a low volume dump. Of course you'll get a pullback after a big price rise, every time. There's overarching supply to be worked out of the market because of profit taking. Once it's all absorbed, whoosh back up we go. Look at the volume compared to similar moves to the left and it will give you an idea of how much gasoline is behind it.
bc, your commentary I find is the most impressive and worthwhile content on this entire forum. Keep it up and wish we could get more of it. Cool You're either really smart or really cool by default.

Thank you Chef. I'm not much of a poster here lately, but feel free to pm me anytime if you have questions or want to take a trade. I almost always have a position open.

FYI not sure how much more pulling back the market will do as volume is trailing off and candle spreads narrowing/overlapping as the mini selloff grinds to a halt. Enough people are waiting for $260 that it may not happen.



793. Post 11814999 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Guys, just remember that a healthy pullback is necessary for the market to move up, because it draws out selling. This is why you see a corrective wave after every impulsive wave.

The corrective wave slants downwards because it pulls selling from:

a) longs who want to take profit
b) longs who get nervous and sell the bottom
b) shorts from eager bears
c) miners who wish to dump at this price level
d) whales who want to go to on vacation

It also provides cheap coins for bulls, and if they're still in control the market will move back up eventually. The longer the consolidation/correction, the higher the resulting move will be (generally) because all of the selling that would have been on the books is now gone and will not stand in the way of a price markup. Once the price gets a little push, all of the traders who have sold already will now have to buy back in, shorts will cover and the whales will simply move their walls aside. All of this will contribute to a sustained price advance.



794. Post 11817876 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: BlindMayorBitcorn on July 07, 2015, 10:20:10 PM
First the Cypress pump now the Grease pump. Is anyone else starting to feel as though Bitcoin is being manipulated to seem like it's responding to current events? We all know the Greeks weren't actually buying. Right?

That's how the game is played in most markets around the globe.

Jump in and trade with the smart money! It's somewhat obvious people want to pump the market and increase their investment/decrease risk after such a long accumulation period, where a relative few have succeeded in cornering the market. Sell with them at $300, $400 and $600.



795. Post 11829208 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: gizmoh on July 09, 2015, 07:05:22 AM
btc stagnating ltc mooning

it's part of the manipulation guys, btc blockchain is being spammed to force people to buy/use ltc instead

doom

LTC is toppish, about to pop.
Be very careful gamblers.


Volume is still expanding on larger timeframes, forecast full moon with chance of parabola.



796. Post 11837941 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on July 10, 2015, 03:40:09 AM
If I could short LTC, I imagine I'd be rich. But I hope it's the other way around and my inability to short it saved me from going broke  Cheesy

I tried earlier, LTC gives nothing on the short side right now. Pumpers are in full swing.



797. Post 11845796 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: chromosoma on July 10, 2015, 08:47:00 PM
So LTC was sacrificed to rise BTC price.
I am tempted to  buy LTC once they fall below pre-pump price...hm...

Yeah it was a pump to get more BTC. That is the coin everyone wants. LTC will make for good trading as it flies around now.

Lost a lot of money in the LTC fiasco last night, but made a lot when BTC got pumped. Came out even. Doh.



798. Post 11846058 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: SBear on July 10, 2015, 09:26:51 PM
Down to 284 on Stamp, I was hoping for an assault on 300 tonight, looking unlikely now.
Is 280 going to hold?

Depends on how much the LTC ponzi guy sells off in Bitcoin.
+ panic sells.

It's not the ponzi guy controlling LTC, it is a whale, probably a group of them. Doubtful that Mr. Ponzi had such a good pump bot and control over multiple exchanges.

Looks like the LTC selloff is spilling over a bit into BTC. Meanwhile LTC may go to $3 before bouncing.



799. Post 11846107 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: ejinte on July 10, 2015, 09:32:28 PM
Down to 284 on Stamp, I was hoping for an assault on 300 tonight, looking unlikely now.
Is 280 going to hold?

Hopefully. If we drop below $279 I suspect we'll also test $272.

It'll probably hold, looks like a higher low just put in on the hourly chart. During a bull market, those candles with long wicks off the bottom usually signal a shakeout, clearing the selling for another advance.



800. Post 11846235 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Quote from: Odalv on July 10, 2015, 09:45:19 PM
So LTC was sacrificed to rise BTC price.
I am tempted to  buy LTC once they fall below pre-pump price...hm...

Coming to you soon. Litecoin has already lost half of it's value in less than twelve hours.

It($8.5) was the last spasm before the death of  LTC

Part of me wonders whether the whales will wait for a LTC bottom then pump both BTC/LTC concurrently.



801. Post 11851583 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

$300 fomo rally incoming...



802. Post 11851815 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

Just a little shakeout to offload the bears.



803. Post 11864268 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: Wandererfromthenorth on July 13, 2015, 12:31:23 AM
Good setup on LTC/USD while BTC stalls a bit.


Watch for a break in either direction up or down, if not for a long run, for a relatively big percentage scalp or day-trade.
The pumper is not done distributing his coins. And who knows, he might even pump it alongside BTC when it starts to run again (but be careful don't put too much on chikun anyway, and definitely don't chase it, a shitcoin is still a shitcoin)

I'm currently trading this. My guess is up. It's a classic ascending triangle trend continuation, where buyers aggressively outbid each other to get their limit bids filled. This results in rising bottoms. Eventually it breaks up when there's no lower prices to be had and the resulting market orders push up the price through resistance. 



804. Post 11872786 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: yefi on July 13, 2015, 04:06:50 AM
I'm currently trading this. My guess is up. It's a classic ascending triangle trend continuation, where buyers aggressively outbid each other to get their limit bids filled. This results in rising bottoms. Eventually it breaks up when there's no lower prices to be had and the resulting market orders push up the price through resistance. 

Or not  Wink

The setup didn't pan out as I had hoped but I'm still holding the position. I think LTC will probably follow BTC during the upcoming bull market (as it did in 2013) so it will pay to have strategic positions in each. One should be cautious playing with LTC as it's a smaller market and therefore more volatile and prone to slippage.

The recent rally in BTC is fundamentally different than those that came before it in that it jumped the resistance between $260-80 very decisively and quickly on strong volume, with a large jump in price in a very short time (compare the length of the big 3d green candle to previous ones).

After a long, excruciating trading range where price has held resilience and various informed interests have taken position, this is a huge sign of strength and an indication that the market is ready to move up and begin to correct and recapture some of the lost gains from the year long bear market.



805. Post 11874838 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: yefi on July 14, 2015, 12:38:00 AM
The setup didn't pan out as I had hoped but I'm still holding the position. I think LTC will probably follow BTC during the upcoming bull market (as it did in 2013) so it will pay to have strategic positions in each. One should be cautious playing with LTC as it's a smaller market and therefore more volatile and prone to slippage.

The recent rally in BTC is fundamentally different than those that came before it in that it jumped the resistance between $260-80 very decisively and quickly on strong volume, with a large jump in price in a very short time (compare the length of the big 3d green candle to previous ones).

After a long, excruciating trading range where price has held resilience and various informed interests have taken position, this is a huge sign of strength and an indication that the market is ready to move up and begin to correct and recapture some of the lost gains from the year long bear market.

Well, you might still be right about LTC, though I'm on the sidelines there until I can see something I can hook into. Can't really get a feel which way it's going right now.

Regarding BTC, I'm bullish.

What keeps me up at night is whether the initial LTC run to $8 was just the first leg in a larger trend or not. If that happens and the bull market gets roaring I wouldn't be surprised to see LTC mirroring some of BTC's early gains.

-----

Just remember that it's supply and demand that controls larger market cycles and not much else. Once the available supply runs low and begins to stall the downtrend, it is a signal for savvy investors to accumulate quietly, keeping the price low. Once it's gone, the price moves up easily as there's nothing to stand in the way (it has been absorbed).

On Wall Street there are hedge funds, pension funds, insurance companies and other trading syndicates that actively plan and meticulously carry out campaigns to accumulate and distribute stock. They will not inform the general investing public of their plans until the bull market is well underway and they are looking to sell. Then the stock is "hot" and all of their useful idiot friends in the media will gladly help them find buyers. The fat cats in charge of large swaths of wealth did not get rich by trading a $10,000 Forex starter account--they are aligned with syndicates and deploy said wealth very strategic ways in order to corner markets and move supply and demand in their favor.

Who knows who has been actively accumulating Bitcoin, but they are there. Bullwhale and his fat sack of coins he likes padding the orderbooks with is just one example. If they have invested time and money into this venture, it's feasible to think they would plan to sell at higher prices than $300.



806. Post 11879659 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Quote from: DutchTrades on July 13, 2015, 07:26:04 AM
A Greece deal has reached.

Selling is the best option for now

IMF warned that Greece needs deeper debt relief. Not over yet.



807. Post 11939402 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):

Watch those shakeouts boys, they always come when you least expect them. The more nervous they make you, the more effective they are. Looks like this one is good to buy.



808. Post 11969124 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: unent on July 25, 2015, 05:28:29 PM
He probably means the gap with no buy orders shown by the yellow arrow. It was a nice evenly spaced run of buy orders, then that gap suddenly appeared with walls above and below it. The whole buy side looks artificial now, but the market is heavily manipulated by whales sometimes.

Well everyone gave them the opportunity to load up in January when someone shorted 30k coins to force capitulation. Everyone sold sold sold and shorted for months after that and the troll army and bears were convinced double digits were right around the corner. In actuality Whales and whoever else wanted a piece of Bitcoin could sit at the bottom and accumulate with open arms around $200. Now that they own most of the floating supply they can basically control the market. It is no accident nor conspiracy that the market gave them this opportunity. Fortunately it's in their interest to go UP Wink



809. Post 11969563 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: BlackSpidy on July 25, 2015, 06:29:50 PM
What's the next goal, guys? $340? I feel $340 between now and mid August is a realistic goal. We might (might? what the fuck is wrong with me!?) will be indefinitely going over $300 soon enough.

Once the trend gets going beyond $315, it could run pretty fast to $400 as it will be major advertising to the greater investing community that Bitcoin is back in play. My crystal ball says somewhere around $500 before we get a big correction.



810. Post 11971920 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: shmadz on July 26, 2015, 03:44:08 AM
Still not technically turned up... Still time for heroic bear dump to save us from the summer pump !

Sellers have left the market. Dumps have been ineffective since May. If you're short here I'm sorry for ya.



811. Post 11984813 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Price looks ready to move out of the trading range. Phase A selling climax and automatic reaction scared most of the weak hands from the market. Phase B provided good opportunities to collect in the lower $200s and sell the high $200s. Phase C testing was unable to break support below $220, a clear indication of no supply. Phase D is a reaction to phase C--a clean, strong rally with very little selling. Phase E is the markup, yet to be seen.

Last points of supply to build long positions were $220 and $275.  Medium term point & figure target $400-$500.

Exhibit A


Exhibit B



812. Post 11986584 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: inca on July 27, 2015, 10:31:09 PM

But we will be back to 230 by Friday.

I see the bears are shorting again here at 300. It is basically a last stand for them.

Any appreciable buying now will eviscerate the remaining 10,666 shorts on finex.

Place your bets!

If the bears don't understand or care to learn about the context of the market compared to its prior actions--that is, how the last six months has been coiling the spring of this rally--they deserve to lose money.



813. Post 11986838 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: GaliX on July 27, 2015, 11:04:03 PM
Why does everybody here become Nerdchills just because the Bitcoin price changed today +1.6% ?

Euro/Usd rallied today as well by 1.35%.. But in Forex you have the opportunity to trade with up to 200x leverage... Which makes a 1% move 200% gains...

The sad thing is you can't really trade Bitcoin with 20x leverage because the liquidity is so shity.

You were here this morning educating us on how Bitcoin cannot move up. Now you wonder why it's going up.

Good luck with those CFDs and 200x leverage.



814. Post 11987007 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: Fakhoury on July 27, 2015, 07:05:19 PM
Price looks ready to move out of the trading range. Phase A selling climax and automatic reaction scared most of the weak hands from the market. Phase B provided good opportunities to collect in the lower $200s and sell the high $200s. Phase C testing was unable to break support below $220, a clear indication of no supply. Phase D is a reaction to phase C--a clean, strong rally with very little selling. Phase E is the markup, yet to be seen.

Last points of supply to build long positions were $220 and $275.  Medium term point & figure target $400-$500.

Exhibit A


Exhibit B


Any time range for phase E bassclef ?

Wyckoff trading ranges tell a story of gradually changing supply and demand forces, from the selling climax where supply has overwhelmed the market, to the testing in phase C where supply has been successfully absorbed by the informed interests and demand begins to take control. They can only predict a general timeframe of what is probable.

We may zoom right past $315 in the next few days or bounce around below it awhile longer before building the needed energy to push over. If the second scenario happens bears may conspire for one final push down, which won't likely get very far. Either way the needed energy will be found by bulls aggressively buying any corrective dips or everyone fomo buying as it drifts up past $300 with no significant selling pressure.

You either need to have brass balls or be fresh out of the Babypips School for Retail Traders to short this. The probable direction is clear.



815. Post 12013356 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

No surprise that the bears are out trying to short the rally that is bringing the seven month accumulation and bear market to an end. The problem here for them is that overall, the "team" involved with Bitcoin right now is relatively small after the long bear market and the public disinterest associated with falling prices. The bearish subdivision of this team is even smaller. This makes downward market movements have low volume and without a large effect on price: There is simply not enough selling to overcome whatever demand has been left over and the price tends to drift upwards. Once a little demand is added the price will want to enter a very clean and extended rally.

Think of the bear market as making the bears' team roster smaller and smaller over time as the overarching supply (left over from those who bought during the top distribution and the panic selling that comes along with lower prices) that kept the price down is gradually absorbed at lower and lower prices. A bull market is the opposite and does the same with bulls: Their team gets smaller as the buying climax approaches and demand begins to dry up. This is when most people are the most bullish, but in reality there is tremendous supply being thrown at the market from the informed interests who bought near the bottom and the high prices cannot be sustained. There are important psychological factors at work as to why this happens, e.g. the weak hands who buy near the top and get burned who panic sell during a selling climax at a loss, and the panic buying of those on the sidelines during a buying climax who cannot stand to see their friends getting rich without them.

The market price of any asset is unpredictable to most because they attempt to fit it into their view of what the underlying asset (in this case Bitcoin) should be instead of what it is and think that the fundamentals should always be reflected in the market during price discovery. This is overcomplication. The only reliable market predictions are made by studying supply and demand removing imperfect human opinion, expectation and hyperbole.

There comes a time in every asset and every market where supply has dried up to a degree that the price can rise easily--the end of a bear market. There also comes a time where demand dries up, causing the price to fall easily--the end of a bull market. There are also people who understand this dynamic, long-term relationship, how it effects human emotions and attempt to profit from it. This is largely the reason why many stocks and securiteis do not always reflect their "fundamental" value (whatever that is) so humans attempt to search out positive or negative news to fit their view of why the price is rising or falling.



816. Post 12013491 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: phoenix1 on July 31, 2015, 01:37:57 AM
<snip>

Would you mind just posting a link to the pages of the book you continually quote from?
It is painful to hear you repeatedly watch you spew this as gospel, when it is something you have just recently read in a book ( 'Reminisces of a Stock Operator' i believe)
At least give the author some credit.

Your assessment of where we are in the cycle may be absolutely correct, but these are not your thoughts that you are posting they are someone else's  Wink

These thoughts are from a collection of texts written by Charles Dow, Richard Wyckoff, Edwin LeFevre, Hank Pruden, Tom Williams and many others... also they are from my own years of experience in trading and pattern recognition and analysis. Most good ideas originate from others, don't they? When I teach my students the structure of Mozart symphonies or perform in an opera I do not claim to have originated the idea of western musical analysis, chord structure or the principles of human vocal acoustics and production that originated hundreds of years ago, nor do I have to quote them and provide sources to validate the performance. That's ridiculous.

But yes, just for you, just because you woke up on the wrong side of the bed I'll be sure to send an annotated bibliography just as soon as possible.



817. Post 12043891 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: Gyrsur on August 03, 2015, 04:45:18 PM
the trendline limits the priceaction. we need some more buy volume



Trendlines get broken frequently when market goes sideways into reaccumulation (or distribution). The important thing to watch for is whether supply gets absorbed inside of this range. One usually sees volume/volatility dry up when this happens as the lack of selling limits the actions of traders. Then price is free to move up.



818. Post 12080201 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):

Quote from: cyclotronmajesty on August 07, 2015, 09:48:22 AM
Why is it going up now?  Huh

Because the market is resting after a big "no supply" rally from $220. And there is still not enough selling to bring the price much below $275 because it was getting vacuumed up during the past six months while the price was low. During that time Bitcoin ownership quietly changed from panicky "moon kid" get-rich-quick types to well informed, high quality long-term holders. Add a little demand from whales, traders and a dash of fomo... you start seeing bullish behavior.

That is the whole point of accumulation--to corner the market of floating supply so that by the time Joe Blow notices and wants to buy the stock/security will be triple the price.



819. Post 12114162 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on August 11, 2015, 03:31:05 PM
Why is Huobi offline?? the market was going WAY UP and then they went dead. I suspect somebody internally got caught in a losing trade and shut it down or somebody external got caught upside down with a big short and then launched a denial of service attack to save his ass.

Who knows if that's the case here, but programmers and hackers with big egos thinking they can trade seems to be a significant part of the landscape.



820. Post 12115085 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Since no one else is mentioning it, the DJIA crossed a significant technical milestone today to the downside.

Already down 250+ points.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-death-cross-is-a-bearish-omen-for-the-stock-market-2015-08-11



821. Post 12131958 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on August 12, 2015, 10:59:04 PM
Everyone was expecting a crash into the $250s, including me.  The longer it takes to get there (IF it ever gets there), the more resistance will grow. The whales swim a little closer to the surface. We are one day closer to the halving than yesterday.

Yes, there is way too much long leverage, but whoever attempts a margin squeeze of the bulls risks losing all of their coins and then some.  My positions are either long or margin long now.  

The goal of accumulation (if you're a professional investor type) is to spread out your buying so you average your holdings near the middle of the range. It depends on how early or late you enter the market (the guys buying the selling climax get the best price and quantity but take on more risk). There are likely multiple syndicates and other professional groups among us, we just don't see them and they are quietly supporting the price and sucking up supply, giving us higher lows and increasingly strong rallies. When they begin strategically deploying their resources (and those bid walls) to advertise Bitcoin to the greater investing community, watch out. Until then they are happy to provide generous support near their average buy price, my guess $200-$250.

The margin longs don't bother me too much, as most of them seem well capitalized and won't budge save for a super mega crash, which has a very low likelihood of happening. Many of them are owned by great traders as you'll generally see a few million of the longs decrease instead of increase during big rallies. This is profitable behavior. Contrast this to shorts who tend to pile on during every little dip and get burned having to cover at higher prices--very unprofitable, reactionary and amateur. It's easy to see who the strong hands are in this case.



822. Post 12150860 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

NY residents needed to withdraw their BTC from Bitfinex by 4pm Eastern today or the balances would be converted to USD. About 250 BTC in shorts opened this last hour...I overheard lots of fud in the chatrooms about the "Finex dump" so let the gamblers gamble...



823. Post 12166177 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: Elwar on August 17, 2015, 04:00:24 PM
what is the different between the BitcoinXT frok and a altcoin?  Huh

should i worry about my btc?

There is a huge difference.

BitcoinXT fork is 75% of the Bitcoin community agreeing to allow for phased in block size increases.

Altcoins are copies of Bitcoin changed significantly and started from scratch so that n00bs can think that they are early adopters and they're going to get rich some day.


And the blocksize code is just a code enhancement to the existing Bitcoin protocol. If forking actually caused an alt coin then Bitcoin is already an alt of the pre-2013 fork version of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin code is upgraded all the time.

Correct, the average user will not even notice the change should it occur.

I would enjoy some additional selling into my orders, though. However once no sellers exist at these levels and volume/volatility begin to dry up, the path of least resistance is up.

Last time I checked, Bitcoin is still functioning as intended.



824. Post 12184574 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

I think XT won't be happening given the market uncertainty it caused.

Currently zero percent of the miner vote.

http://xtnodes.com/

Grab those those coins boys!



825. Post 12184693 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):

Quote from: wlefever on August 19, 2015, 02:44:22 PM
I think XT won't be happening given the market uncertainty it caused.

Currently zero percent of the miner vote.

http://xtnodes.com/

Grab those those coins boys!
XT supporting nodes have more than doubled in a few days though (810 Bitcoin XT nodes today vs 3xx late Sunday)

I don't think we've bottomed out yet with more core and XT split discussions to come.

Bitcoin offers a discount and nobody shows up. Sounds like a bottom to me.



826. Post 12187480 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: dreamspark on August 19, 2015, 07:32:59 PM
All the technicals point to more down.

No they don't. Oscillators and RSI are way oversold on large timeframes. Maybe we'll get a retest of lows, but it'll probably be a higher low.

When you get climactic action to the downside like this and the bars close way above the lows, that means the market found high quality buying at that level and is an indication of strength. Market weakness is found on green bars near the tops of rallies, where the volume either trails off or you get high volume on narrow bars (evidence of high volume selling entering). That's when you short--not here after climactic action to the downside which removes all the selling.






827. Post 12187727 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: dreamspark on August 19, 2015, 08:00:27 PM
"Maybe we'll get a retest of lows, but it'll probably be a higher low."

So down then.

Depends what time frames your looking at completely. Weekly MACD is about to turn down.

We shall see, still $25 million in longs on BFX, LOL and that's after being told for the last 3 months that $30 million in longs was okay.

Standard triangle consolidation is occurring at the moment and I would seriously not be surprised to see it break out again to the downside. Where did all the bids go on Bitfinex? This could get so so ugly, where is everyone long on Finex going to close into?!

We shall see, its all speculation but there could still easily be a complete wipe out of those longs before we go anywhere.

Down slightly, then up. Catching a short here is dangerous.

If the longs are well-financed, it will take a dip to $100 or below to call them. You really think bearwhale will risk taking out another $3 million short? Everyone thought the sky was falling after $166 yet the best trade would have been long from there. I longed at $180 when everyone was crying about the end of Bitcoin. Great counter-sentiment trade.

Sell climaxes are meant to unnerve investors and encourage shorts in inexperienced traders.



828. Post 12195338 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 20, 2015, 04:45:55 PM
indeed, if you don't trust Mike and Gavin's XT code, but (for some unfathomable reason) you do trust Adam and Greg's Core, and Wladimir, Jorge, Pieter, Matt, Todd, Mark and all the others

You pathetic pathological lying POS

These developers are listed on Blockstream's "Team" page: Adam Back (President), Greg Maxwell, Pieter Wuille, Matt Corallo, Mark Friedenbach, Rusty Russell, Patrick "Intersango" Strateman, Jorge Timón, and Glen Willen. There may be others. Luke "Tonal" Jr works for Blockstream as contractor. Peter Todd works half-time for Viacoin, an altcoin that claims to be bitcoin done right -- e.g. with 25 times faster confirms.

Who is paying Wladimir's salary now?

Oh Jorge, Lambie and all the other regulars who come out when sentiment is low... you know you make excellent buying indicators. Your psychological responses which cause an irresistible desire to discredit Bitcoin are so predictable.

"Price crashing... sentiment low... must... discredit Bitcoin... cannot focus... on work... secretly... jealous... gaaaahhhh"



829. Post 12195510 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

About 12% of nodes are running XT with zero blocks mined.

If this number doesn't start rising XT will be DOA, Bitcoin will have worked as intended, and Gavin/Mike will have egg on their face for unnecessarily causing a rift and spooking the market.

I support a block size increase but not something as contentious as XT. There has to be a better solution.

Personally I think this will blow over soon and better solutions will be found.



830. Post 12195670 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: Andre# on August 20, 2015, 05:43:56 PM
About 12% of nodes are running XT with zero blocks mined.

13% and 2 blocks mined.

http://xtnodes.com/

https://getaddr.bitnodes.io/nodes/

A miner's ultimate incentive is the block reward which requires the survival and adoption of Bitcoin so that the reward can actually be worth something. A solution that causes investors to panic and devalue Bitcoin is not one that they would logically adopt.



831. Post 12196404 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: Andre# on August 20, 2015, 07:17:07 PM
A miner's ultimate incentive is the block reward which requires the survival and adoption of Bitcoin so that the reward can actually be worth something. A solution that causes investors to panic and devalue Bitcoin is not one that they would logically adopt.

Neither solution causes investors to panic nor devalue Bitcoin (yet). The long squeeze on BFX had little to do with this, IMHO. The fact that the BTC price stabilized in about three hours around $233 (a decrease of 8%) proves this. What happened to the Chinese stock market, a drop of one third in three weeks time, is what can be called a panic.

Traders love news they can use and forced a shakeout on the XT uncertainty (there was a Forbes article) to weed out the last remaining holdout weak hands. The stabilization is a natural market dynamic--a rebound effect caused by shorts covering and high quality demand.

A lot of people sold (not just on Finex) into the dropping price and low sentiment, which devalued Bitcoin. It is absolutely related to uncertainty caused by XT.



832. Post 12196564 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: Andre# on August 20, 2015, 07:43:15 PM
A miner's ultimate incentive is the block reward which requires the survival and adoption of Bitcoin so that the reward can actually be worth something. A solution that causes investors to panic and devalue Bitcoin is not one that they would logically adopt.

Neither solution causes investors to panic nor devalue Bitcoin (yet). The long squeeze on BFX had little to do with this, IMHO. The fact that the BTC price stabilized in about three hours around $233 (a decrease of 8%) proves this. What happened to the Chinese stock market, a drop of one third in three weeks time, is what can be called a panic.

Traders love news they can use and forced a shakeout on the XT uncertainty (there was a Forbes article) to weed out the last remaining holdout weak hands. The stabilization is a natural market dynamic--a rebound effect caused by shorts covering and high quality demand.

A lot of people sold (not just on Finex) into the dropping price and low sentiment, which devalued Bitcoin. It is absolutely related to uncertainty caused by XT.

Exactly! The sentiment was used by traders to make a buck. That's why it can't be called a panic, the traders didn't panic at all. An 8% drop (or gain) is nothing unusual for a small market like BTC.

Still saavy traders need sellers to follow them down or it's not profitable. So it's not all manipulation--think of it as testing the market for supply. And the market reacted with nothing but uncertainty over it.

Once we clear $238 or so it's game on for the bulls.



833. Post 12197723 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on August 20, 2015, 10:23:58 PM
Professor Stolfi must be capable of doing the job if nobody else is prepared to do it, or capable of doing it.

 Cheesy Grin Great joke!

That would be funny indeed.  I do have a Github account...

Please someone do it, and remove the temptation.   Cheesy

Go for it! (Actually I'm serious)



834. Post 12212346 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

I've said it before, but doing something that has a 0% to undermine the network (which is nothing) is better than doing something with 0.5% or even 0.1% chance to harm the network (XT) in the long term.

Miners are ultimately incentivized to secure and protect the network, not improve it with risky upgrades that cause market participants to panic sell, devaluing their network's token. I predict they will simply not adopt XT.

If they don't, the market will find a bottom in the next few weeks as people slowly realize that XT is stillborn, and a strong rally will result. Definitely a golden buying opportunity.

As far as trading though, it's wait and see. The market is always with us.



835. Post 12212684 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: Andre# on August 22, 2015, 04:04:58 PM
I've said it before, but doing something that has a 0% to undermine the network (which is nothing) is better than doing something with 0.5% or even 0.1% chance to harm the network (XT) in the long term.

0% chance of undermining the network? Really?

"If the cap is not raised to some higher limit; allowing a larger number of users to maintain direct access, then individuals will be priced out of the blockchain. When that happens Bitcoin becomes yet another network with no direct (peer) access; like FedWire, SWIFT, and other private closed transfer networks.  There is no realistic scenario where a network capped permanently at 1MB can have meaningful adoption whilst still maintaining direct access to the blockchain by individuals. To be clear, by ‘direct access’ I mean both parties transacting directly on-chain without relying on an intermediary or trusted third party."

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=946236.0

I'm not against raising the block limit, but there is not one solution. For the umpteenth time, it is not black and white, not XT or nothing.

Use logic and facts to form your opinion. It's important to not let fear cloud your judgement, nor marry oneself to a particular point of view.  Should we rush to judgement based on someone's opinion or weigh all evidence and make the most informed decision possible based on the facts?



836. Post 12231186 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

If the daily bar closes near the middle, I'm labeling it a climax day.

That's when price dumps or pumps parabolic below or above the prior stride of the trend (one can draw lines connecting preceding adjacent highs or lows to find this) on a flurry of activity, then closes near the middle. Volume is high. Sentiment is extreme. Even the strongest hands and most hardened traders consider folding their positions. In reality the trend has all but exhausted its ammunition.

Also...

Bullwhale is back



837. Post 12231264 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):

Quote from: bull_scammer on August 24, 2015, 07:15:12 PM

Bullwhale is back



If I were to make a wild guess I would say that those fake buy walls are yours. But guess what, you were so many times wrong to call the next big bull market that nobody is really buying this shit.

Patience, gentle troll, patience. The market ebbs and flows against all odds--we may have a longer accumulation than we had bargained for.

Also, the walls are not mine. I wish!



838. Post 12264270 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Futures settlement party starts the right shoulder of an inverse head & shoulders reversal pattern. High volume buying on Stamp this week. Asks thinning out while bid sides firming up.

Get 'em if you want 'em; not much selling left to push the price down.

(imo)



839. Post 12266609 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Quote from: Fatman3001 on August 28, 2015, 10:01:01 AM
Futures settlement party starts the right shoulder of an inverse head & shoulders reversal pattern. High volume buying on Stamp this week. Asks thinning out while bid sides firming up.

Get 'em if you want 'em; not much selling left to push the price down.

(imo)

This.

If you believe the price will go up, buy. If not, don't. Waiting for it to drop $2-3 when we're waiting for a pump is a bit strange to me.

But, by all means, feel free to come here and bitch about how you narrowly missed your buy in price when we're $30 up.

Better now than getting sucked into a big rally... but such is human nature.

This is the place to act: After the market been dramatically exhausted of its buying or selling power, after everyone has hysterically rushed to the exits all at once, after large amounts of supply have been offloaded to the public or absorbed cheaply by large interests, after the market is left stripped dry and teetering on the precipice, vulnerable to the slightest action in the opposite direction.

These places offer the greatest opportunity.

(imo)



840. Post 12266681 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):

Quote from: bad trader on August 28, 2015, 03:16:02 PM
This is the place to act: After the market been dramatically exhausted of its buying or selling power, after everyone has hysterically rushed to the exits all at once, after large amounts of supply have been offloaded to the public or absorbed cheaply by large interests, after the market is left stripped dry and teetering on the precipice, vulnerable to the slightest action in the opposite direction.
Yes, and the manipulator is piling up walls to make sure suckers will buy.

Which is why you buy with them, before everyone realizes that Bitcoin isn't dead after all Wink



841. Post 12859194 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Hi guys, what a rally! As I was saying all year, this is what nine months of accumulation does to the price. When the informed interests are done collecting and take the brakes off the market (that is, they stop selling heavily into bulges) this dynamic rally is to be expected.

The XT fears allowed them to collect even more at bargain prices from panicky selling, causing a terminal shakeout and supply shortage, dramatically forcing the price up and out of the trading range once a bit of demand came back into the market.

In January the curtain was raised for Act I. Now they begin buying up the price for Act II.



842. Post 12859692 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Quote from: vuduchyld on November 02, 2015, 04:33:57 PM
Is it just me, or does it look like nobody wants to sell right now?  Observing that wall....jeez.

I've tried to be a bear during this rally (went long from $230 to $340 in futures, then reversed) but there simply is not any selling to push the price down and I took a small loss, twice. And there are still 20,000 shorts on Finex, which, if the market continues its relentless march up, will cause a large crash upwards when they all rush to close out at once.

These are confusing times for traders because they've been trained to go short near 300 all year. Now things seem to be different, at least on the surface...



843. Post 12860065 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Bitcoin Monthly Candles

Who's ready?




844. Post 12860674 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on November 02, 2015, 06:20:26 PM

A Chart with monthly candles looks really nice.


Where do we get one of those? 

Is there any service that includes monthly BTC candles?

Tradingview.com

Their basic service is free. Fancier stuff like custom time intervals, side-by-side charts, intraday P&F, Kagi and Renko charts require a monthly fee.

And you can do cool things like this:

Reverse Bitcoin accumulation range!




845. Post 12861577 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):

Bitstamp is out of coins, lol. Is this gentlemen?



846. Post 12876806 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: lyth0s on November 04, 2015, 02:20:19 AM
Yeah my leveraged 20x long is making crazy profit right now. I cashed out 20% of it to keep me well in the green even if the other 80% gets eaten up on some out-of-the-woodwork selloff. This run up is sparking old memories Smiley

I have to go take care of some business for a few hours, but try to hit $480 before I return, okay guys?  Grin

It's ridiculous. I'm fully ready for this to come crashing down in dramatic fashion but I remember 2013's rally and how the price just relentlessly marched upwards.

I bought a bunch of 12/25 quarterly contracts in the $300s on 20x. Going to be a good Christmas if this rally recaptures some of the bear market losses. I normally don't go over 10x but I thought what the hell, the risk/reward is worth it.



847. Post 12876916 (copy this link) (by bassclef) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):

Quote from: nicked on November 04, 2015, 02:58:25 AM
Has anyone been paying attention to the size of the latest blocks?

The one I was looking at earlier seemed as if someone was moving the same 24,000 coins around to different wallets.