All posts made by Habeler876 in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 3350987 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):
for the first time ever, my portfolio is 100% in btc. it's been a fun ride from 65, don't stop now! ATH here we come? what is driving this, Chinese speculation?
2.
Post 3351094 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):
for the first time ever, my portfolio is 100% in btc. it's been a fun ride from 65, don't stop now! ATH here we come? what is driving this, Chinese speculation?
the world is changing
fiat money isn't what is use to be.
but i haven't acquired enough bitcoins yet!
3.
Post 3351455 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):
Another great move to help bitcoin adoption
eeek...... interesting times we have here......
4.
Post 3352313 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):
^ this would seem completely accurate if you lived in a deep well, and the only information you ever had available to you was the price history.
meh, not much matters besides price action. news is not driving this market.
5.
Post 3363962 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):
interest rates to borrow usd are sky high just now on bitfinex.
300%!!
wha? you can short USD?
6.
Post 3417800 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):
if we don't see some buying soon, we will crash; target 168
right now another 10000 coins would have to be dumped (the same amount that was dumped when we were at 230) before we even hit 175. Do you really think another monster dump could come now? obviously its possible, but i feel its not that likely...
Everything is possible, right? You wouldn't dump 10k coins, which would maybe be at an average sale price of, say, $180, unless you thought it would crash further and were pretty confident of it. You'd either be hoping you could purchase those 10k coins back at a lower price afterwards, than $180 (good luck with that), or you seriously think it's unlikely the price of bitcoin will pass $180 (as for dumping 10k bitcoins) over the next few years.
Given a possible cup and handle forming,
and the general consensus that, pending no really bad news, this appears to be a consolidation before pumping north, it would seem extremely dumb... but who knows. Always
possible, not probable. Maybe an epic fail mis-click?
I'd be afraid to even short right now, because if feels like, at any second, a few nice buy orders stringed together could set off a rampage north. But that's just me (and really not based on much).
that isnt the consensus
7.
Post 3467397 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):
...... so we're going up from here, right?
8.
Post 3861986 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):
so much blood in the streets. nice bounce coming in the 400s methinks. but the bottom could be much lower.
9.
Post 3874373 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
i think this second bull trap is near complete.
10.
Post 3874675 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Okay. I'm officially sick of Gox. This last few days have been awful. I'm thinking of moving to BTC-e. Anything in particular I should watch out for?
Just the Russians closing their doors and leaving with your BTC a la Sheep Marketplace style. Or someone closing their bank account etc... with the same results, without any known person or company to follow. People bitch about Gox (and for good cause) but there's a reason that it's the only place where all of the big whales play at and every other exchange follows. Even after stopping all USD withdrawals, and a month SEPA withdrawals they're still like #1 (or so) exchange, think about it
bitstamp, low fees, trust, less lag etc. all there and you don't have to deal with marks goxxing
btc-e has lower fees and superior trade engine. there is some give and take.
11.
Post 3882223 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
FYI, bear pennant.
12.
Post 3882892 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Some decent buys coming through again, market feeling confident?
Just some idiot manipulator trying to protect his stupid investment by propping the price up.
this, 780 or so is top of pennant, pokes above could just be false breakout, i see nothing yet
13.
Post 3882906 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
these are some nice satoshi buys
14.
Post 3883125 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
FYI, bear pennant.
If you draw an arrow on the chart it will make the price go in that direction lol.
ouch
these wanna be manipulators bleed money now. gogogogo
15.
Post 3883223 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
there we go, more pullback please. false breakout!!!
16.
Post 3883590 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Breaking out of that triangle in a big way. Anyone want to place bets on recovery or bull trap?
You mean an actual bet? Yeah, sure. I feel we will go visit the exponential trendline.
what point are we currently at on that trendline? i forget where that thread is
17.
Post 3883645 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Finally, sold once @the right time. Now we can go down please
Well done, so far the downtrend looks intact.
a few mini whales are trying very hard to break upwards at strategic moments (i.e. last couple hours nearing close of pennant), but i dont think this takes. down soon IMO.
18.
Post 3883715 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
19.
Post 7317191 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):
I think we hit a top here. May be retesting 520 or 530 area (Bitfinex), but I think it will definitely hold this time, we'll see. Hopefully we'll see some bullish divergence to let us know that the low is in, and the rocket primed for takeoff...
20.
Post 7317906 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):
I think we hit a top here. May be retesting 520 or 530 area (Bitfinex), but I think it will definitely hold this time, we'll see. Hopefully we'll see some bullish divergence to let us know that the low is in, and the rocket primed for takeoff...
Yesterday, everyone (including myself) thought that $550 was the bottom. Hence the panic buying which took Bitcoin right back up to over $600. Only problem was that the selling pressure kicked right back in gradually increasing in momentum. Today we hit $538. The rebound up to $575 (Stamp) was hardly the sort of emphatic bounce that tells a trader that the bottom is in.
I certainly didn't think $550 was bottom. Looked mainly like short squeeze and panic buying fish. I admit, I missed the spike to the $620 area but managed to sell $610 (BFX). If we can find diminished sell pressure at the last low or slightly lower low, the bottom will be in. The bounce won't necessarily tell you that. It may need a retest for any confirmation here.
21.
Post 7460549 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
300 coin dump on Huobi and not even a flinch from any of the exchanges (even Huobi). Looks like this level is pretty well supported. I think we are going to pop upwards pretty soon. Fingers crossed.
22.
Post 7460675 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
someone can explain the low volume + price rise?
Bullish consolidation. We broke the short term down trend and are now consolidating, with bulls IMO getting more and more confident in the current level. I see a lot of support building down to the 3750 level on Huobi.
23.
Post 7586256 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
As the price of these coins are the most important thing this year (considering it's the only thing people talked about the last 10 days) the price will go down or up by huge amounts when we know the outcome, right?
Right?
Depends how close the auction prices are to the exchange prices. May be that they are pretty close already, and so the market wouldn't have to move much to meet them. Still not sure if we will actually get official word on the prices?
24.
Post 7586558 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
Who is this guy anyway? I can't imagine he's serious with a statement like that...
Core developer.
Oh, you mean one of those koolade-drinking nutter Bitcoin cultists.
What would he know. He's not a real trading expert like Warren Buffet.
Look, you can market buy 3000 coins right now on Bitfinex with a top price of $632. Remind me again why someone would pay $1800 for a single lot? Yeah, that doesn't sound like a nutter/cultist at all....
25.
Post 7586625 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
As the price of these coins are the most important thing this year (considering it's the only thing people talked about the last 10 days) the price will go down or up by huge amounts when we know the outcome, right?
Right?
What do you think the chances we even find out the outcome are?
Personally, I think they are low. It's a closed auction. I don't think any official channel (government) will release anything. And I wouldn't be surprised if the bidders have to seal their lips based on some terms of the auction. No experience here obviously, but that is what my gut is telling me.
26.
Post 7606797 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
The Silberts are master pumpers. I didn't even know he had a brother involved in this, LOL. Well, I guess it's moon time, $700+? Strapping my suit on now.
27.
Post 7710031 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
Here's the trade, for future reference:
so almost 133 BTC sold for $9798.99 each??
how is this not bigger news....
some eccentric whale testing the waters? a drunk day trader? time travelers from 2015?
Most likely a hack and attempt to drain the hot wallet, IMO. No one bought coins for $10k. In your dreams.
This is like when someone sells coins on LBC for 10x the market price. Take it with a grain of salt.
28.
Post 7712852 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
We're still on the uptrend imo.
Agreed. I'm seeing a Bollinger Band squeeze coming -- we are in a tight, tight range, and all signs point to a bullish continuation on all exchanges. I think we'll see a big move in the next day or two.
29.
Post 8155895 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):
Were we faked out? Daily still even looks bullish, but it feels like we're slumping again. Not looking forward to a retest of 550s..... onwards and upwards....
30.
Post 8157098 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):
Were we faked out? Daily still even looks bullish, but it feels like we're slumping again. Not looking forward to a retest of 550s..... onwards and upwards....
Just crawling up slowly to set up for the next dump.
As someone who gets paid monthly in fiat and is still trying to accumulate more bitcoin, I'm rather fond of this behavior.
As low as possible for as long as possible, thanks.
That's my suspicion as well. But the daily looks an awful lot like the last bottom of the 550 level. Bullish engulfing candle, 2nd green candle, pullback on Saturday. Then it was a low volume green candle Sunday followed by a pump on Monday.
31.
Post 8161511 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):
So I saw some charts calling for bounce around 580s. Well, we're in the 580s. Anyone think we will form a higher low? Or is it back to doom and gloom?
32.
Post 8161756 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):
Do Bitcoincharts, Wisdom and Tradingview all use the same time zone? UTC or something? Something seems a bit off.
33.
Post 8176186 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):
Some selling into that huge bid wall on Huobi, but it just keeps on absorbing. Went from 2000 to 15xx, was sitting around 1600 for a while just now, and a few hundred were just added so it's now 1950. Wall man wants us to go up?
34.
Post 8183912 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):
Bed time in China. We seem to top around bed time and go sideways for the next 8 hours usually. See how this goes when they wake up.
35.
Post 8316116 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):
Is it bounce time? Seems we're forming a bit of a rounded bottom here. Don't know if this down trend is over, but maybe we can take a breather and see some up for a bit.....
36.
Post 8467849 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.07h):
Do you guys think we have reversed? Seems like about 1800 shorts were squeezed on that rally yesterday. I'm wondering if it was just a short squeeze and there is more down incoming. I would have thought a strong reversal rally would have passed 550/560. Thoughts?
37.
Post 8528678 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
Meanwhile, we have a ~250 ask wall on Bitfinex at $500. I'm getting mixed signals here.
But mostly, I think we might fall off a cliff soon.
38.
Post 8528983 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
Meanwhile, we have a ~250 ask wall on Bitfinex at $500. I'm getting mixed signals here.
But mostly, I think we might fall off a cliff soon.
it will get nibbled away. 500 is quite a bargain atm.
Bargain? Not sure. We'll see.
The wall was pulled and replaced as a hidden wall at 501. Someone took a 108 BTC bite out of it.
39.
Post 8705225 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):
507 btc bought at once
Yep, quite a buy on Stamp. Don't see any follow-up here, and no one following on the other exchanges, though. Probably that guy will afford us some more time sideways.
40.
Post 8723355 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):
Damn, some people made -- and lost -- a lot of money tonight on BTCE. Too bad I missed it. I keep cascade orders in BTC/USD there, but never thought to keep any in EUR markets. Congrats to those that prospered.
41.
Post 8724428 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):
Chinese Holiday for their Monday & Tuesday to start off the week so banks are closed, no new money pumping into Bitfinex until after the holiday.
Tuesday, Apple releases iPhone and their new payment system.
Possible uncertainty until Tuesday.
I'd be surprised if any of this had significant effect on the price in the short term. The most important thing to remember is that we are in a strong technical down trend on longer term time frames -- until that breaks.... more of the same. Sideways/down.
42.
Post 8731107 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.11h):
China looks like a double bottom off the 2880 level. Could be the end of that down wave I think. Not expecting moon, but I did buy some in 460s and the rest just now in low 470s, because it looks like we will retrace here.
43.
Post 10020795 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.42h):
Bears salivating over microscopic volume. Just wondering which of you have already sold? That's right, all of you!
Wake the rest of us up when something meaningful actually happens. Enjoy the weekend.
No need to fight the trend. Sold a long time ago, but I don't actively short. Might as well let people bottom fish and then jump on the train when the trend actually changes... but until then....
44.
Post 11556043 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):
It can't stay like this forever but while it does we don't have much to talk about in this thread.
The flatness is actually what dragged me back. This tight range has "huge move" written all over it, when it finally breaks. Really big squeeze happening. Predicting direction is impossible, but bias is probably to the downside, given that last breakdown and, well, the last 1.5 years of price history.
45.
Post 11638068 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):
What happened to the bitcoin we know and love? Even though the chart looks parabolic, the move is tiny!
I've been trying to catch a dip on LTC for a day now to no avail. Thing just keeps running...
46.
Post 11663503 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
I gotta say... this BTC chart just doesn't read as cleanly as it used to. I miss those strong trends. My guess is we are in a consolidation and will continue to range for a couple more days. Not sure which way we'll break, but my bias is still to the upside. But it'll probably just double top. Bulls really don't look that strong.
47.
Post 11671886 (copy this link) (by Habeler876) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
You think Mt. Gox is solely responsible for the ~ 1200$ price tag? That's interesting. Has anyone explained how? If so then Bitcoin's collapse is also due to Mt. Gox as well as bears and the bear market.
Willey bot.
What is Willey bot? Something Mt. Gox used to inflate the price?
People claim that the Willy Bot (an account backed by no real assets) was used to continually push the price up on MT Gox, and therefore, that it caused the bubble. I think that's crazy talk. The demand was clearly there, and the market was much bigger than Gox -- even at that time.
