All posts made by owlbear in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 3945768 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):
I believe the media is necessary to drive up the price, and the media appears to be getting tired of doing Bitcoin stories. We need a new ATH or some big corporate endorsement in order to reinvigorate the positive reporting.
My prediction is if we don't get a good rally up to $1050+ today and a new all time high early next week we're more likely than not to be in a bear market by the end of next week.
2.
Post 3948630 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):
For what it's worth: the one-hour chart does show a perfect cup and handle right now.
3.
Post 3949564 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):
I wouldn't trade BTC now in any direction if my life would depend on it..
Get in, don't worry, be happy.
Not only dip your toes, get in with head and shoulder, teacup with handle, beer glass, butt and tits and everything. Edit: and your alpaca socks, iranian hand made shoes and your lamborghini.
Yeah, now is an exceptional time to get in. Last time the trend and its direction were in this level was at 11th April, noon GMT
And that would have been an awesome investment compared to practically everything else available to average people on 11th April, noon GMT.
4.
Post 3950049 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):
I mainly trade based on a combination of the amount of media hype, the rate of increase or decrease in media hype and my own incredulity about the price. This seems to work okay during the bubble phases. Outside of those I just buy and hold.
Right now I'm feeling very slightly bullish about the next day or two (or three) and bearish about the rest of the year.
5.
Post 3951008 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):
And we're back to where I could go full BTC at a tiny profit. Tempting, but if it's going down today I prefer to keep my BTC buying tokens until it goes lower.
6.
Post 3977953 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
Looks like the last weak attempt at a rally. If we break $900 today I predict it will be the last chance to sell above $900 for at least 6 weeks.
7.
Post 3978215 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
Weak hands folding out.
It's not easy putting your BTC under a mattress for a few years, is it?
Sure it is if that's your thing. I enjoy trading for fun and profit. To each his own.
Oh and here it is: the last time we break $900 in 2013 on Gox.
8.
Post 3978731 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
9.
Post 3993068 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):
I went full BTC again when I had a chance to buy back at a few percent profit. I'm not good at being bearish.
To da moon? Anyone? Damn it.
10.
Post 3993296 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):
I went full BTC again when I had a chance to buy back at a few percent profit. I'm not good at being bearish.
To da moon? Anyone? Damn it.
Hey, people on wall street would kill for a few percent profit. You're not getting even a "full" procent at your local bank with your savings account. Be happy! You made a successful trade!
Thanks, it already feels a little better. Full BTC has been a decent position historically, so let's say I just made a few percent gain on my future millions.
11.
Post 4016208 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
The reason why people like the number 666 is because it reminds them of their favorite heavy metal band.
12.
Post 4024112 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):
I should have stayed full fiat 3 weeks ago. Need more patience. Well, I've made a tiny BTC profit overall so I guess that's okay.
I predict the bottom will be about $320 and only briefly. Good luck waiting for sub $200!
13.
Post 4024624 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
This whole story from 150 to 1200 then back to who knows what... it's all gotta be fake...
Financial institutions played us and this is how they got into Bitcoin. Huge orchestrated pump and dump, using China and misinformation.
There was no China boom. There are no chinese buying btc pizza. There are no chinese crashing the market.
I bet it was all western USD in disguise..
I think Hanlon's razor applies here. Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.
Of course, if the history of Bitcoin is anything to go by those who bought in at $1200 and held will have made a good profit within a couple of years.
14.
Post 4025354 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
I'm selling some BTC, betting on a new low of about $450.
15.
Post 4025861 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
This is fun. I'm going fiat betting on the next drop which will be in the next few hours. Or never.
16.
Post 4026661 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
Access Denied at Gox now, or is it just me?
17.
Post 4026710 (copy this link) (by owlbear) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
Access Denied at Gox now, or is it just me?
just you, i got in fine
Yeah, I got in now too. It was down for about 5 minutes for me.
