All posts made by modrobert in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 3523304 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):

Quote from: Finski on November 08, 2013, 06:02:26 PM


Thanks Finski, we can close down this thread now, nothing can top this.  Grin



2. Post 3536878 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):

Steak anyone? Dead bulls are piling up. The ship is sinking.



3. Post 3649921 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Only whales are currently allowed to login and have their panic sell?  Wink



4. Post 5098337 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):

After reading post after post with gox cursing, and then bitstamp go and do the same thing.  Roll Eyes  Grin



5. Post 5139105 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):

Quote from: jatajuta on February 14, 2014, 10:53:52 AM
You are cute.

In 2011 gox was doomed after the flash crash, everybody said TradeHill would dominate the exchange market. Now nobody knows who the fuck was TradeHill.

As long as there is a chance of gox resume btc withdrawal you have to be concerned about it.

Don't underestimate it, or you will be crying like baby when the gap between Stamp & Gox closes.

+1

I agree, it's funny to watch the cool kids in here, the same losers who once vouched for TradeHill, and who probably got burned by pirate@40 as well. They keep blaming Gox while jumping from one sinking ship to the next, cheering and applauding each other until the next fail.

Meanwhile, in reality, the only trading place still standing from 2011 is Gox, and this is precisely where you want to be with a shitload of fiat right now. Wink



6. Post 5367027 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: seleme on February 25, 2014, 05:06:06 PM
Bring regulation tomorrow as far as I'm concerned. I'll never have problems sleeping being full in bitcoins then as that means to the moon ladies and gentleman.

Those who thought we're going to be left free forever to make millions without being regulated live in cuckooland.
Depends on where you live. Bitcoin and its exchanges/services won't be regulated everywhere.

I don't live in USA but USA is all that matters for Bitcoin to prosper. So, US regulation is coming and I am very happy for it.

Either troll or naive.

Regulation as in using global accounting firms to launder your money and evade tax by moving money between countries as corporations do, but only if you are a member of the club.

Is that your idea of prosperity?



7. Post 5379833 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote
<MagicalTux> le gouv. US veut pas qu'on disclose hein

So all professional GOX bashers from USA in here, STFU until you have a revolution and get rid of your own corrupt gov.

Still think GOX downfall is good for Bitcoin?

Think again. If USA can keep GOX under siege, close down the trade engine, and issue gag orders for people involved; it can happen to any exchange still operating out there.



8. Post 5383036 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: thanksmark on February 26, 2014, 08:41:02 AM
Quote
<MagicalTux> le gouv. US veut pas qu'on disclose hein

So all professional GOX bashers from USA in here, STFU until you have a revolution and get rid of your own corrupt gov.

Still think GOX downfall is good for Bitcoin?

Think again. If USA can keep GOX under siege, close down the trade engine, and issue gag orders for people involved; it can happen to any exchange still operating out there.

Despite all the pressure from USA organized crime cell that you call "government", Gox's biggest foe was its management. Mark has to TALK, he chose to f**k with his customers instead - as he always did. It would take just a little bit of PR to resolve things in much better way than that blue ball catasrophe of a CEO did. He deserves anything that comes to him.

Good riddance, I say. Hope we all learn the lessons and also that there won't be "the biggest exchange" again, taking market to the bottom with every crisis.

Read again, as MagicalTux mentioned in French,  it was a "gag order", that means no talking to customers.

EDIT (tinfoil edition):

To clarify, if you want a smear campaign to be successful it must be bad enough to make people accept change without questioning, in other words regulation. I think this operation was well executed, lots of people playing into their hands by bashing MtGox.



9. Post 8328073 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):

Some seems to be behaving as if the '5' in the BTC/USD 5xx price didn't exist. Wink



10. Post 9981467 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.42h):

Hypothetically, if the US economy goes belly up with bank runs and whatnot, would that mean an increase in demand for Bitcoin and as a result higher rate against fiat currencies?

I used to be pretty sure that was the case, thinking rationally, but recently starting to doubt it. Sometimes market forces defy logic, and it could mean some kind of apathy towards any alternatives.

Let me know what you think. I'm aware that there are a lot of people who feel the need to reply "the US economy will never go belly up", that is the reason my first question starts with "Hypothetically", use your imagination and try to reply objectively.

The demand for gold is increasing, and some countries are getting their gold reserves back. This is a sign of upcoming events. What I don't understand is why gold price is going up (even if big media tries to downplay that), while Bitcoin goes down. Are speculators predicting a future so bad that internet might be shut down?  Because that is a serious threat to Bitcoin (and humanity in general).

BTW: The current low oil price might fool some people thinking the US economy is "improving", but that will only last until the masses figure out the price was rigged to begin with (as in market manipulation by government).



11. Post 9981619 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.42h):

Quote from: explorer on December 30, 2014, 08:46:20 AM
The low oil price supposedly saves about $50 per month for the average US household.  But it cuts the floor out of billions of dollars of junk bonds in the energy sector in the US alone, and trillions world wide.  Hardly conducive to 'improving' anything.  Not to mention the State actors that are going to have their budgets cut by 10, 20, 30 % + due to their reliance on $100+ oil.  It is a disaster in the making.  Fracking states are fucked.  The End.  Unfortunately, this didn't happen a few years ago before they did so much harm.

OK, and do you think the Bitcoin demand would increase or decrease in the "belly up" scenario? Assuming that the USD would be at toilet paper levels after bank runs etc.



12. Post 9981714 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.42h):

Quote from: explorer on December 30, 2014, 09:09:21 AM
I really don't know.  I think it will be moon or grave though.  Too many variables for me to make a concrete call.  I am heavily biased toward moon due to my investment level and wishful thinking, and will try to convince myself that way until we're there, or my dreams are crushed.  Such is life as an emotional human  Cheesy
How big of a mess can the US make of the world in the mean time?  Fukin' huge, if past performance is a guide.  We'll be needing the internet and somewhere to live that doesn't glow in the dark.  That looks less and less likely the longer US hegemony exists.

Thanks. Your reply supports what is actually happening now in a sense, physical gold doesn't suffer from as many questionable variables as Bitcoin.



13. Post 10443938 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

Quote from: razibuzouzou on February 12, 2015, 07:38:36 PM

Hum, almost anyone can join...
http://www.w3.org/2004/01/pp-impl/73816/instructions

The front page of ripple.com, filled with testimonials from banksters and former traders of goldman sachs doesn't instill any confidence, more like a confirmation of legally lobbied fraud.



14. Post 10443996 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

Quote from: shmadz on February 13, 2015, 03:47:22 AM

The front page of ripple.com, filled with testimonials from banksters and former traders of goldman sachs doesn't instill any confidence, more like a confirmation of legally lobbied fraud.

Fraud is rampant. Both in governmentally regulated and banking sector sanctioned fraud, and also in the unregulated fringe elements running bitcoin scams.

The main difference is that with a public ledger fraud could be made transparent and ineffectual, whereas the current "legally sanctioned" fraud is unassailable under the current state.

Interesting times...

Perhaps the "fringe elements" are government funded.



15. Post 10457867 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):




16. Post 26353921 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):

Quote from: jojo69 on December 15, 2017, 05:24:45 AM
US woman used bitcoin to move cash to Islamic State, police say

all aboard the FUD train

You can also move cash in a bag.

Thinking of ISIS, this just in:
Quote
Before becoming a significant leader in ISIS, Abu Omar al-Shishani had been in the Georgian military and was trained by the US.

https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/the-us-trained-pied-piper-of-chechen-recruits-to-the-islamic-state-group/



17. Post 26360700 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):

Quote from: Elwar on December 15, 2017, 06:51:32 AM

You can also move cash in a bag.

Thinking of ISIS, this just in:
Quote
Before becoming a significant leader in ISIS, Abu Omar al-Shishani had been in the Georgian military and was trained by the US.

https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/the-us-trained-pied-piper-of-chechen-recruits-to-the-islamic-state-group/

This just in?

We've known the US is arming ISIS for years now.



Yes, my mistake, got tricked by recent Twitter post, article is old news.


Quote from: Phil_S on December 15, 2017, 08:07:13 AM
You can also move cash in a bag.

What are bags?

They have been used by criminals to move cash.


Cash can be used to pay anonymously.  Shocked



18. Post 26363783 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):




19. Post 26486610 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):

Quote from: TERA2 on December 17, 2017, 01:02:16 PM
Gox may have been a catalyst for the crashes but without gox there would have simply been another catalyst. At some point the traders decide to take profits.

The thing I remember about Gox towards the end is that there was an insane upward trend proportional to the difficulties getting fiat out of the exchange. The less chance of getting a wire out of there, the higher it went. I don't know if that's relevant today, still, doesn't hurt to be cautions about exchanges suffering from problems, either by load from users, DDOS or otherwise.

I read someone claimed there were 50k new user registrations per day at Bitstamp (or was it Kraken?), imagine the workload to verify these users when they want to withdraw, how will that affect withdrawals in general?



20. Post 28237308 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.38h):

Never a dull moment. Weak hands are panicking after some old whale placed a market order?  Wink



21. Post 28237568 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.38h):

Back in 12K land (for now).



22. Post 29842685 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.43h):

Maybe I'm stating the obvious but oscillating markets tend to favor a rebalancing strategy (bot or manual), for some reason rarely discussed in this thread (even if hinted at times).

In other words it doesn't really matter what happens to Bitcoin in the news, as long as the rate goes up or down, the only problem is when it goes sideways.



23. Post 29843039 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.43h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on February 08, 2018, 08:29:52 AM
Maybe I'm stating the obvious but oscillating markets tend to favor a rebalancing strategy (bot or manual), for some reason rarely discussed in this thread (even if hinted at times).

In other words it doesn't really matter what happens to Bitcoin in the news, as long as the rate goes up or down, the only problem is when it goes sideways.

The tricky bit is what pair do you choose to oscillate around ?  Most random walks in crypto have a bias. 

USD worked well for me, but maybe there are better constant-mix alternatives?



24. Post 29843714 (copy this link) (by modrobert) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.43h):

Quote from: HairyMaclairy on February 08, 2018, 08:36:51 AM
Maybe I'm stating the obvious but oscillating markets tend to favor a rebalancing strategy (bot or manual), for some reason rarely discussed in this thread (even if hinted at times).

In other words it doesn't really matter what happens to Bitcoin in the news, as long as the rate goes up or down, the only problem is when it goes sideways.

The tricky bit is what pair do you choose to oscillate around ?  Most random walks in crypto have a bias. 

USD worked well for me, but maybe there are better constant-mix alternatives?

BTC/USD on a single exchange?   That’s hardly without bias Tongue

I tend to avoid that after mtgox crashed, lesson learned. My biggest regret was selling a lot back in 2011 as a miner, but it's never too late, Bitcoin is awesome.